23/11/2015 Newsnight


23/11/2015

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More air power, more missiles more rapid deployment.

:00:00.:00:09.

Is Syria driving the agenda for the "full spectrum approach"

:00:10.:00:15.

for defence and security announced by the PM today?

:00:16.:00:20.

The threats we face today go beyond this evil death cult, from the

:00:21.:00:27.

crisis in Ukraine to the risk of cyber attacks and pandemics, the

:00:28.:00:31.

world is more uncertain today than even five years ago.

:00:32.:00:35.

Are there more soldiers than civilians on the streets

:00:36.:00:38.

of Brussels, where people are living in fear of an attack?

:00:39.:00:41.

I'm in a European capital now facing its third night of unprecedented

:00:42.:00:45.

lockdown. Two degrees temperature increase,

:00:46.:00:50.

the magic figure at the climate conference in Paris next week,

:00:51.:00:53.

but will everyone sign up? Ed Miliband tells us

:00:54.:00:58.

about his carbon crusade and talks about the upcoming vote

:00:59.:01:00.

on British air strikes in Syria. And an exclusive British interview

:01:01.:01:05.

with a woman who lives with a new face after an horrific attack

:01:06.:01:08.

destroyed her own one. The timing of the Strategic Defence

:01:09.:01:15.

and Security Review less than two weeks after the Paris attacks has

:01:16.:01:23.

meant that the Prime Minister was today able to set out a panoply of

:01:24.:01:27.

responses to what he called growing threats to our country and "a world

:01:28.:01:30.

more dangerous and uncertain than five years ago" - in both increased

:01:31.:01:33.

hardwear and deployable armed forces, including two new rapid

:01:34.:01:37.

strike brigades of 5,000 apiece,

:01:38.:01:40.

and a replacement for Trident, The list goes on, ahead of

:01:41.:01:45.

David Cameron's speech on Thursday in which he'll set out his case

:01:46.:01:51.

for British airstrikes in Syria. Here's our

:01:52.:01:55.

diplomatic editor Mark Urban with If you want a metaphor for how this

:01:56.:02:06.

government sees the forces now, you could do worse than this. Member

:02:07.:02:12.

old, professional, rapidly deployable. -- nimble. In fat but

:02:13.:02:25.

also out quickly too. After Iraq and Afghanistan Britain lacks the will

:02:26.:02:32.

or numbers to stick around. -- in, but also out. They may be

:02:33.:02:38.

increasingly structured to war strategic raiding in a more

:02:39.:02:42.

sophisticated way, backed up by intelligence assets backed up by

:02:43.:02:48.

soft power assets. It may be required to do certain specific

:02:49.:02:51.

things around the world, short and sharp and sophisticated. The wins

:02:52.:02:59.

are mostly in air power, Britain will keep Typhoons for longer and

:03:00.:03:08.

buying more F35 fighters. It will keep them at the current level but

:03:09.:03:15.

also at planes. There will be nine new maritime patrol aircraft,

:03:16.:03:22.

restoring a capability cut in 2010. Another squadron of F35-B will take

:03:23.:03:30.

pressure away from the royal air force. In the short term we will see

:03:31.:03:36.

a decision within days to join the offensive air campaign over Syria

:03:37.:03:39.

and that will increase the pressure on the royal air force. In the

:03:40.:03:45.

medium or long term, increasing by two Typhoons quadrants is good. The

:03:46.:03:50.

government today acknowledged the research and is of state -based

:03:51.:03:55.

threats, that is code for Russia. And it drives spending on eight new

:03:56.:04:01.

type 26 frigates. It is also a key rationale for renewing Trident. This

:04:02.:04:10.

isn't full-scale rearmament, because that would be hugely expensive. The

:04:11.:04:15.

opposition says that much of the money for new kit announced today

:04:16.:04:19.

has come from squeezing the MOD's people. ?11 billion of this extra 12

:04:20.:04:28.

billion is supposed to be coming from deficiencies in the MOD. That

:04:29.:04:35.

will translate into things like 30% job losses among civilian staff.

:04:36.:04:41.

That level of efficiency savings is challenging, I would say. We will

:04:42.:04:44.

have to interrogate this a bit more closely about how realistic the

:04:45.:04:50.

savings are. Those in uniform will face the pinch, too. With allowances

:04:51.:04:57.

and gaps between deployments hit. The Navy has had problems crewing

:04:58.:05:03.

ships will get 400 more sailors rather than the 2000 it hoped for.

:05:04.:05:10.

That will hit Britain's ability to sustain large-scale operations. Six

:05:11.:05:15.

or seven years ago we could deploy ten brigades, one in Iraq and one in

:05:16.:05:20.

Afghanistan, but we can't do that now. Sustainability is a big issue.

:05:21.:05:27.

We have put quite a lot in the shop window but how much is in the

:05:28.:05:32.

storehouse? By pumping more money into defence, the government has

:05:33.:05:36.

ensured that the Armed Forces at night quietly satisfied. What this

:05:37.:05:42.

is about is renewing their equipment at around about the same strength,

:05:43.:05:49.

with the one exception of the decision to buy the Poseidon

:05:50.:05:52.

maritime reconnaissance plane, none of this is about growing back what

:05:53.:05:58.

has been lost in previous cuts and in that sense Britain will get more

:05:59.:06:06.

modern forces but there will be a small force on the modern stage. It

:06:07.:06:11.

may not be huge but the UK is one of the few countries in Europe making a

:06:12.:06:15.

big new investment in defence, not least because it has so many

:06:16.:06:20.

missions in mind for them. Mark Urban.

:06:21.:06:22.

I am now joined by the Defence Procurement Minister, Philip

:06:23.:06:26.

Dunne, and the Shadow Minister for the Armed Forces, Kevan Jones.

:06:27.:06:30.

Good evening. First of all, Philip Dunne, none of this is making us

:06:31.:06:37.

feel any safer because we won't get anything for at least three years?

:06:38.:06:43.

This is a big day for defence, investing ?12 billion into the

:06:44.:06:48.

equipment plan. 178 billion over ten years. It does not generate

:06:49.:06:51.

capability overnight but it will in time. Right now we are facing a

:06:52.:06:57.

bigger threat than we have in five years, more insecure than in the

:06:58.:07:01.

past five years, and what has been announced does not change that in

:07:02.:07:06.

the short-term? We are seeking to make the Armed Forces more and it

:07:07.:07:09.

can happen continuously throughout the process. What has happened is

:07:10.:07:15.

that we are now not even returning to five years ago, we are having to

:07:16.:07:20.

patch up what you took away five years ago which was clearly too much

:07:21.:07:26.

of a slash and burn? Five years ago we inherited a shambles in the

:07:27.:07:31.

defence budget, completely unfunded expansion. We are now introducing

:07:32.:07:35.

state-of-the-art capability across the Navy, Air force and army. Do you

:07:36.:07:42.

agree with everything set out today? The government have cut the defence

:07:43.:07:46.

budget by 40% in five years and made silly decisions in 2010, for

:07:47.:07:51.

example, getting rid of maritime patrol which they are having to fill

:07:52.:07:58.

the gap of today. 178 billion over ten years, that is not new money,

:07:59.:08:05.

most of it is already committed. As Maria Eagle said coming 11 billion

:08:06.:08:09.

will come out of deficiencies. Slashing the backroom staff at the

:08:10.:08:15.

MOD. And also you are talking about this existing, if there is a growth

:08:16.:08:20.

in GDP of 2% which of course is not guaranteed and it is not likely? We

:08:21.:08:25.

are committed to a real term increase in new money. We have

:08:26.:08:33.

successfully bid into a joint security fund which is new money of

:08:34.:08:37.

up to 1.5 billion by the last year of Parliament and on top of that

:08:38.:08:40.

retaining efficiencies we can make from doing things differently within

:08:41.:08:45.

the Department and the Armed Forces and reinvesting that in capability.

:08:46.:08:49.

That is around 7 billion efficiency savings. Let's look at the major

:08:50.:08:54.

cost and that is the replacement of Trident. Kevan Jones, you have said

:08:55.:09:05.

that this is a deterrent and the only constant guarantee of our

:09:06.:09:11.

defence at sea. Do you support the replacement? I support the Labour

:09:12.:09:15.

Party policy which was reaffirmed at the conference which is to have a

:09:16.:09:20.

continued at sea deterrent. That is not about replacing Trident by

:09:21.:09:23.

replacing the submarines which are at the end of their useful lives.

:09:24.:09:28.

You are at odds with your leader because Jeremy Corbyn does not

:09:29.:09:33.

support that position? He doesn't, but the Labour Party does. In terms

:09:34.:09:37.

of the defence debates, internally, in terms of the policy review and

:09:38.:09:41.

the conference, we have agreed to that. You have a review coming up I

:09:42.:09:46.

Angela Eagle and Ken Livingstone and if they take a different view what

:09:47.:09:51.

is your response? I do not know what Ken Livingstone's role is, but this

:09:52.:09:57.

will not be made before we have that decision. The first line of defence

:09:58.:10:04.

is the police force and one of the most senior officers in Britain at

:10:05.:10:10.

the Home Office's request wrote to the Home Office with his assessment

:10:11.:10:14.

which was that any further reduction in officer numbers will impact their

:10:15.:10:18.

ability to manage terrorist incidents of the magnitude of Paris.

:10:19.:10:26.

If we have 20% cuts in the police force, you are robbing Peter to pay

:10:27.:10:31.

Paul, how are people going to feel safer if you cut police numbers? I

:10:32.:10:35.

can't talk about that tonight, not only do we not know what will come

:10:36.:10:39.

out of the statement on Wednesday, but what I can tell you is that I am

:10:40.:10:44.

the defence minister and not the Home Office minister but we are

:10:45.:10:47.

investing in 30% counterterrorism including in the police effort that

:10:48.:10:53.

they put into counterterrorism, so it would help with support from the

:10:54.:11:00.

military for the civil authorities if they need it in the event of a

:11:01.:11:04.

Paris type incident, we would have troops on the streets to support

:11:05.:11:10.

several of Laura Deas. -- civil authorities. Is Labour committed to

:11:11.:11:16.

keeping the same numbers on the streets? The police, Fire Services,

:11:17.:11:22.

local authorities will be slashed later this week. It raises a

:11:23.:11:27.

question about the joining up of what has been announced today in the

:11:28.:11:30.

defence review and what will be announced by the Chancellor later

:11:31.:11:35.

this year. It was referred to in the report that these are important

:11:36.:11:42.

elements of defence. One of the key points he made was that we need a

:11:43.:11:46.

human rights adviser in every embassy. Is that really the priority

:11:47.:11:52.

to discuss right now when we have Brussels on lockdown and we don't

:11:53.:11:57.

know where Isis will strike next? No, the short answer isn't no. But

:11:58.:12:03.

the important point which was raised is the role of the Foreign Office

:12:04.:12:06.

which will be slashed later this week. -- the shot and set is no.

:12:07.:12:13.

You seem very assured in your shadow defence position and I wonder when

:12:14.:12:19.

you seem to be at odds with your leader so much in the end, can your

:12:20.:12:24.

position be the dominant position? The fact of the matter is, in terms

:12:25.:12:31.

of Labour, it's important to speak to the Labour family which actually

:12:32.:12:35.

supports defence and families in my constituency and Labour voters, it

:12:36.:12:38.

is important to have credible defence policies. One last thing,

:12:39.:12:44.

you said earlier that you wondered what the role of Ken Livingstone

:12:45.:12:48.

was, it has been a hugely publicised argument. He was insulting to people

:12:49.:12:55.

with mental issues. You said that he had to be forced to apologise. As

:12:56.:13:01.

that situation moved on at all? That was last week 's news. He was forced

:13:02.:13:06.

to apologise but today Jeremy Corbyn referred to Maria Eagle as leading

:13:07.:13:10.

the review. I know as little as you in terms of what his role is. Thank

:13:11.:13:14.

you very much indeed. "In Paris they want to show they

:13:15.:13:17.

have survived, It didn't happen

:13:18.:13:19.

and people fear it will." These are the words of the head of

:13:20.:13:25.

the Chamber of Commerce in Brussels where the metro system, schools,

:13:26.:13:31.

universities, many restaurants and shops are closed for the third day,

:13:32.:13:33.

the city effectively locked down, The authorities called

:13:34.:13:36.

the terrorism threat to Brussels "serious and imminent" with a fourth

:13:37.:13:40.

suspect being charged with Yet so far Salah Abdeslam -

:13:41.:13:42.

a fugitive since being named a major suspect in the Paris

:13:43.:13:49.

attacks, has eluded the police. Katie, what is the latest? Well,

:13:50.:14:00.

there have been developments in the hunt for Salah Abdeslam. He is still

:14:01.:14:06.

on the run. It has not happened in Brussels but in Paris. Earlier today

:14:07.:14:10.

brothers workers found what is potentially the suicide belt that

:14:11.:14:17.

potentially was used by Salah Abdeslam and dumped there. --

:14:18.:14:25.

rubbish workers. Russells is in lockdown because he is still at

:14:26.:14:28.

large and here the City centre has been jittery all day. Some workers

:14:29.:14:34.

were looking after their children who could not go to school and son

:14:35.:14:39.

did not want to go far from home. Tourists have in the main not been

:14:40.:14:43.

frequenting their usual haunts and lurking underneath it is the fear,

:14:44.:14:48.

if your City reacts in such an unprecedented way, the threat must

:14:49.:14:54.

be serious. This is what a European capital looks like on its third day

:14:55.:14:59.

of lockdown. Police and military out in force, nurseries, schools and

:15:00.:15:04.

universities shut. The Metro not running and museums closed, many

:15:05.:15:08.

bars, restaurants and businesses don't open a tall or have limited

:15:09.:15:13.

hours. Facing a level 4 terror threat in the City, meaning an

:15:14.:15:18.

attack is imminent, and level three in the rest of the country, Belgium

:15:19.:15:23.

has taken dramatic action and the Prime Minister said normality will

:15:24.:15:24.

not return for at least two days. TRANSLATION: We hope to get back to

:15:25.:15:29.

a normal life. Obviously we have to be vigilant

:15:30.:15:32.

and prudent, so it has been decided that schools will be opened

:15:33.:15:35.

from Wednesday so that we can put in place the right measures to

:15:36.:15:38.

protect them and the metro will also Last night's raids across the

:15:39.:15:41.

country have led to one new suspect being charged with involvement

:15:42.:15:46.

in the attacks in Paris. But with Salah Abdeslam still alive

:15:47.:15:51.

and on the run the terror threat here is just as

:15:52.:15:58.

stark. One of yesterday's raids

:15:59.:16:00.

happened here in this suburb. The street behind me was cordoned

:16:01.:16:02.

off and so was that one But the whole operation

:16:03.:16:05.

was cloaked in secrecy. One local told me he had tried to

:16:06.:16:08.

film it but was stopped And even the local mayor only

:16:09.:16:11.

learned of the operation five He's one of 19 mayors in Brussels

:16:12.:16:25.

alone and at the moment they are meeting daily to discuss public

:16:26.:16:28.

safety. Because we don't know what

:16:29.:16:32.

information they have we cannot judge whether the measure is

:16:33.:16:36.

exaggerated or not. May be one day we will no what they knew. At the

:16:37.:16:43.

moment they've put the threat level at number four, the maximum level

:16:44.:16:48.

and it's better to do that than not to know and like Paris to have

:16:49.:16:55.

attacks you didn't expect with a large number of victims. So people

:16:56.:17:01.

accept it for the moment, but they won't accept it for long with no

:17:02.:17:07.

information. In Northeast Brussels there is a mix of Muslims and

:17:08.:17:10.

non-Muslims. What do people here think of their city's reaction to

:17:11.:17:15.

the terror threat? TRANSLATION: We're not scared, why would we be

:17:16.:17:20.

scared? It's just normal. If you haven't done anything you should not

:17:21.:17:26.

be scared. TRANSLATION: The shops are closed, schools are closed, it's

:17:27.:17:29.

sad for the Georgian, for everyone in fact, it's like life in prison.

:17:30.:17:36.

-- sad for the children. They will need to keep faith with their

:17:37.:17:39.

government's reaction for at least a couple more days.

:17:40.:17:42.

Last week this programme brought you news of bullying, sexual harassment

:17:43.:17:47.

and blackmail in the ranks of the young conservatives.

:17:48.:17:49.

The allegations centred around the activities of

:17:50.:17:51.

Mark Clarke, a former activist and parliamentary candidate,

:17:52.:17:53.

who ran a campaigning road trip during the 2015 general election.

:17:54.:17:56.

In September, one young activist took his own

:17:57.:17:58.

life, having previously complained he was being bullied by Mr Clarke.

:17:59.:18:01.

Now Allegra is here with some new details about the case.

:18:02.:18:10.

What has happened? There may be more fingerprints on

:18:11.:18:18.

the decision to bring Mark Clarke into the Tory campaigning machine

:18:19.:18:23.

than we are first thought there were. The former chairman Grant

:18:24.:18:26.

Shapps appears to be being isolated, essentially set up to be the fall

:18:27.:18:29.

guy. He's the one who brought him into the formal structures in Tory

:18:30.:18:35.

HQ, despite knowing he was on the 2010 list of official candidates for

:18:36.:18:39.

the Tory party and then he had to be taken off for allegations of

:18:40.:18:42.

impropriety repulsed up it looked like Grant Shapps was being isolated

:18:43.:18:47.

but today Conservative Party headquarters conceded to this

:18:48.:18:50.

programme that the decision on funding, giving funding to Mark

:18:51.:18:55.

Clarke Buzz trip 2015 was taken by the senior management board of the

:18:56.:18:57.

party, including the current chairman Lord Feldman, and Ben Coad

:18:58.:19:02.

chairman Grant Shapps and also Lynton Crosby and the deputy

:19:03.:19:04.

chairman Stephen Gilbert. The decision to give Mark Clarke

:19:05.:19:08.

organisation funding was taken at this incredibly senior level. If

:19:09.:19:13.

that is the full picture it's difficult to paint it as a Grant

:19:14.:19:18.

Shapps clock up. What about the idea that nobody was reading the report

:19:19.:19:22.

on Mark Clarke's behaviour in 2010? -- mistake.

:19:23.:19:28.

We understand Grant Shapps did read the inquiry, or the report into Mark

:19:29.:19:33.

Clarke's behaviour in 2010. Last week a young Tory activist told our

:19:34.:19:38.

colleagues, James Clayton and Ernest Oxer at, that they had given a

:19:39.:19:41.

submission to the report and in that this submission and they accuse Mark

:19:42.:19:45.

Clarke of aggressive behaviour verging on violence. Extremely

:19:46.:19:50.

aggressive behaviour is a direct quote. That was inverse admission.

:19:51.:19:54.

We understand Grant Shapps read the report and they believed it was

:19:55.:19:57.

allegations of rudeness, laziness but nothing worse. In the fullness

:19:58.:20:01.

of time the report will come out and if it is as critical as the

:20:02.:20:07.

interviewee says it was there are serious questions for Mr Shapps to

:20:08.:20:10.

answer for. Allegra Stratton, thank you.

:20:11.:20:12.

The state of emergency in France which has been extended

:20:13.:20:17.

for three months will have an impact on the UN climate change

:20:18.:20:23.

conference which begins on November 30th in Paris and which more than

:20:24.:20:25.

The French edict means that climate change protestors,

:20:26.:20:29.

normally part of such gatherings will be banned from demonstrating,

:20:30.:20:31.

but this time the pressure inside the conference to get a deal

:20:32.:20:34.

Here's Rebecca Morell with a short history of the climate change talks,

:20:35.:20:39.

Some say the climate meeting in Paris is our last hope.

:20:40.:20:51.

Some 500 kilometres away from Paris this is Jungfraujoch in the Swiss

:20:52.:20:54.

This isn't just a tourist attraction with stunning views, although that

:20:55.:21:06.

Instead, its lofty location gives it something of an edge and it comes

:21:07.:21:17.

This high-altitude research station is nearly 4000 metres

:21:18.:21:23.

It is one of a network of stations around the world

:21:24.:21:29.

Over the years researchers have seen emissions go sky-high.

:21:30.:21:36.

Carbon dioxide being the biggest culprit.

:21:37.:21:42.

Stefan Reimann is one of this scientist is keeping

:21:43.:21:47.

Stefan Reimann is one of this scientists keeping

:21:48.:21:48.

This is the CO2 measurement here at Jungfraujoch.

:21:49.:21:52.

We are normally above 400 parts per million.

:21:53.:21:55.

The reading about 10 years ago was definitely below, around 380 ppm.

:21:56.:22:01.

This is actually the highest ever as far as we know

:22:02.:22:04.

Bringing emissions levels down will be one of the primary aims

:22:05.:22:10.

But that means 195 countries reaching an agreement.

:22:11.:22:19.

It might sound like a big ask, but it's not impossible

:22:20.:22:22.

This station was one of the first to monitor CFCs, the man-made gas that

:22:23.:22:29.

- as you may remember - punched a hole in the ozone layer.

:22:30.:22:32.

The problems will only be solved by common action, and every country

:22:33.:22:39.

The Montreal Protocol signed the death warrant for ozone-damaging

:22:40.:22:50.

Now the ozone layer is on the mend, thanks to this uniquely successful

:22:51.:22:56.

So, when climate change became the big issue it was hoped

:22:57.:23:02.

Efforts began with the Rio Earth Summit in 1992 with the creation

:23:03.:23:08.

of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change,

:23:09.:23:11.

which called for the stabilisation of greenhouse gas emissions without

:23:12.:23:13.

But it did stipulate there should be a meeting every year called the

:23:14.:23:21.

This will be the nerve centre of the negotiations.

:23:22.:23:37.

It might look a bit messy now but when the representatives of 195

:23:38.:23:40.

different countries get going, it's going to get a lot messier still.

:23:41.:23:46.

Unfortunately, when these meetings began they

:23:47.:23:49.

So now there has to be a consensus between every country about every

:23:50.:23:56.

single word and every single piece of punctuation on every agreement

:23:57.:23:58.

And this is the woman who will be in charge of the whole thing.

:23:59.:24:07.

Can I just get your official job title, so we get it right?

:24:08.:24:10.

It is absolutely terrible. Is it long?

:24:11.:24:13.

It means absolutely nothing to anyone but anyway -

:24:14.:24:18.

Executive Secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention

:24:19.:24:20.

Do you think we are going to have a deal?

:24:21.:24:29.

Yes. Why?

:24:30.:24:33.

Because governments are not decreasing but increasing

:24:34.:24:36.

their political will because every single one is already impacted,

:24:37.:24:39.

We don't even want to entertain that scenario.

:24:40.:24:52.

But Cops gone by have been none too inspiring.

:24:53.:24:57.

Although the Kyoto Protocol of 1997 set emission-cutting targets

:24:58.:25:06.

on developed countries, a landmark achievement at the time,

:25:07.:25:08.

America pulled out and others failed to comply.

:25:09.:25:10.

But, historically it had been a good Cop.

:25:11.:25:12.

After two weeks of talks the Copenhagen conference

:25:13.:25:17.

ends without long-term agreement on carbon emissions.

:25:18.:25:24.

The conference ended in acrimony and already

:25:25.:25:25.

The leaders were invited in at the end but inadvertently what that

:25:26.:25:34.

meant was all of the big political issues were left to the final few

:25:35.:25:38.

That proved very, very complicated and essentially

:25:39.:25:41.

This time the leaders are being invited at

:25:42.:25:44.

the beginning of the conference to set the overall political direction,

:25:45.:25:46.

Copenhagen did, however, snatch one agreement from the jaws of defeat.

:25:47.:25:52.

Copenhagen reached the consensus that a rise

:25:53.:26:10.

of two degrees Celsius by the end of the century would be just about

:26:11.:26:13.

Any higher and there could be catastrophic changes.

:26:14.:26:17.

But scientists believe global temperatures have already risen

:26:18.:26:21.

by one degree since the middle of the 19th-century.

:26:22.:26:27.

So as far as this two-degree threshold goes we are already

:26:28.:26:29.

As emission levels go on climbing climate models show

:26:30.:26:34.

The higher we head above the two-degree rise the more

:26:35.:26:42.

doomsday-like the UN's climate forecasts get.

:26:43.:26:45.

Melting ice caps, flooded cities, loss of wildlife, food shortages,

:26:46.:26:47.

CO2 is a really, really long-lived gas in the atmosphere.

:26:48.:26:58.

So if we cut emissions by let's say 30%, 40%,

:26:59.:27:01.

So the increase will just be a little bit lower.

:27:02.:27:06.

But nature still cannot cope with what we are emitting.

:27:07.:27:09.

But as we near the next Cop, it is felt that

:27:10.:27:11.

For the first time most of the countries have already set out what

:27:12.:27:18.

These pledges, called intended nationally-determined

:27:19.:27:28.

contributions, or INDCs, will set the tone of the whole conference.

:27:29.:27:30.

But when the pledged reductions are taken together,

:27:31.:27:42.

the result will still see global warming bust the two-degree

:27:43.:27:45.

threshold by the end of the century.

:27:46.:27:46.

So, is a meaningful outcome already lost?

:27:47.:27:48.

Instead of being on a trajectory to four or five

:27:49.:27:51.

degrees, we are on a trajectory to be under three degrees.

:27:52.:27:53.

But it is certainly a huge dent in the irresponsible and runaway growth

:27:54.:27:58.

So it is a constant review and improve, review and improve.

:27:59.:28:02.

That is going to be the dynamic that Paris will set up.

:28:03.:28:09.

Since the Industrial Revolution economic growth has largely risen

:28:10.:28:11.

For things to change, growth needs to be uncoupled

:28:12.:28:25.

Developing countries are now told they will need to give their own

:28:26.:28:33.

carbon intensive periods a miss and use greener alternatives.

:28:34.:28:35.

But how much financial help they'll get to do that will be

:28:36.:28:38.

a big talking point, as will what money will be on hand

:28:39.:28:41.

for the countries hardest hit by the consequences of global warming.

:28:42.:28:45.

In the coming years, places like Jungfraujoch will be among the

:28:46.:28:48.

first to notice whether this summit has made a big enough difference.

:28:49.:28:51.

The question arising in Paris will be - whether hopes

:28:52.:29:00.

of hitting a two-degree target are ever achievable already lost.

:29:01.:29:08.

Earlier this evening, I spoke to the man who was secretary

:29:09.:29:11.

of state for Climate Change when the last set of climate talks

:29:12.:29:14.

happened in Copenhagen - Ed Miliband.

:29:15.:29:16.

I asked him whether there was really a better chance of agreement at the

:29:17.:29:19.

Well, I must say that your film brings back unhappy memories.

:29:20.:29:29.

But this is such a hard thing that the world is trying to pull off.

:29:30.:29:33.

It's like a Rubik's Cube with many, many sides, 195 sides that you're

:29:34.:29:36.

Now, that means you are not going to succeed first time round.

:29:37.:29:42.

So I think Paris will represent progress.

:29:43.:29:44.

It will represent progress because every major emitter is saying it's

:29:45.:29:47.

It looks like it's going to make progress on climate finance.

:29:48.:29:53.

And, therefore, we are going to have to get there in stages, I think.

:29:54.:29:57.

Let's look at the last time there was a binding

:29:58.:30:00.

As soon as you had a Republican administration, Kyoto was torn up

:30:01.:30:05.

So presumably an incoming Republican administration would just turn

:30:06.:30:09.

around and boot this out because there are no world policeman

:30:10.:30:12.

around and boot this out because there are no world policemen

:30:13.:30:15.

I think some people have talked about having sanctions and all

:30:16.:30:20.

Maybe that's something that will have to be looked at in the future.

:30:21.:30:25.

But, personally I think there are reasons for optimism.

:30:26.:30:27.

I'm not involved in crafting this agreement, but as an objective

:30:28.:30:30.

observer I'd say we are not where we need to be but perhaps in a better

:30:31.:30:34.

You are putting the case for Britain to unilaterally sign up to zero

:30:35.:30:41.

But why on earth would Britain put itself at such economic disadvantage

:30:42.:30:48.

for, actually, a minimum improvement to world climate?

:30:49.:30:53.

It is something that would be totemic and it would be to

:30:54.:30:56.

I'm putting the case for a long-term goal of zero emissions

:30:57.:31:02.

for the world because that's what the science tells us is necessary.

:31:03.:31:05.

But I'm also putting the case for Britain to reflect that

:31:06.:31:11.

Because, you say it would be bad for our economy.

:31:12.:31:17.

Businesses from Richard Branson to Paul Polman of Unilever to Ratan

:31:18.:31:23.

Tata, are all saying, actually, this will give us a sense of certainty.

:31:24.:31:29.

This will give us a sense of where we are working towards.

:31:30.:31:31.

And, look, there is going to come a point when the carbon budget for

:31:32.:31:35.

We might as well and has a pet that now and plan towards it.

:31:36.:31:42.

I think that's what the world should do and I think it's

:31:43.:31:45.

You also, in a way, with this kind of what you would say

:31:46.:31:49.

would be a very radical agenda of zero emissions kind

:31:50.:31:58.

of deny the right of developing countries to industrialise.

:31:59.:32:00.

Where does that square with your promise to reduce world poverty?

:32:01.:32:07.

You have to allow countries, to industrialise to raise the standard

:32:08.:32:09.

Absolutely right, and that's why I think we can be optimistic

:32:10.:32:13.

Not with zero emissions, not by signing countries in

:32:14.:32:17.

South America, not even signing China up to zero emissions.

:32:18.:32:24.

We're going to have to get to that point because of the science.

:32:25.:32:27.

But here is how countries can develop.

:32:28.:32:28.

First of all, the rich world is going to have to do its bit to give

:32:29.:32:32.

Secondly, climate finance as part of this agreement for developing

:32:33.:32:36.

And thirdly, the low-carbon path is actually something developing

:32:37.:32:39.

In terms of leading the way, let's talk about personal responsibility.

:32:40.:32:43.

Five years ago it was very much in vogue to talk

:32:44.:32:45.

There were campaigns about reducing people's own carbon

:32:46.:32:48.

That's just gone now - why?

:32:49.:32:54.

I don't think it has gone completely.

:32:55.:32:55.

I think the British public have had lots of other issues

:32:56.:32:58.

But I think the British public still care about this.

:32:59.:33:01.

I think it's not something that people don't recognise as important.

:33:02.:33:04.

But, of course, the action we take now is about

:33:05.:33:07.

I think it's incredibly important we do act on this.

:33:08.:33:11.

Do you actually monitor your own carbon footprint?

:33:12.:33:15.

I try and keep it as low as possible.

:33:16.:33:17.

I'm not presenting myself as a paragon of virtue.

:33:18.:33:19.

Do you say, I took a flight to Brisbane, I took a flight to Boston,

:33:20.:33:26.

I ran the washing machine ten times - what do you actually do?

:33:27.:33:31.

But the biggest thing that can happen and the biggest difference

:33:32.:33:35.

I can make is by making sure that governments act.

:33:36.:33:37.

Today, Prince Charles has been saying that

:33:38.:33:39.

climate change is a major reason for all the horror in Syria.

:33:40.:33:42.

I think it's one of the issues that has placed stress on Syria.

:33:43.:33:47.

I don't think he's saying it's primarily responsible.

:33:48.:33:49.

I think it's widely recognised that the issues of drought and

:33:50.:33:57.

water stress in Syria have been a contributory factor to the issues.

:33:58.:34:00.

There are very complicated issues in Syria and I don't think he's

:34:01.:34:03.

saying that the most important one is climate change.

:34:04.:34:08.

Because, in 2013 when you were leader,

:34:09.:34:13.

Do you think there is a clear case this time?

:34:14.:34:18.

I think it's a different case, but it's

:34:19.:34:20.

a case I'm yet to be convinced of, and let me explain why.

:34:21.:34:23.

But the Foreign Affairs Select Committee, I think,

:34:24.:34:26.

There are two issues in particular that they raise.

:34:27.:34:30.

It is the difference between Syria and Iraq.

:34:31.:34:33.

Who is going to do the ground operations against Isil in Syria?

:34:34.:34:36.

Because, there has not been a clear answer

:34:37.:34:38.

And secondly, what is the political settlement that we are

:34:39.:34:43.

And they haven't been clear about that.

:34:44.:34:47.

The Prime Minister has promised answers on this.

:34:48.:34:49.

Let's see whether the answers are convincing.

:34:50.:34:52.

Last time round you followed your conscience

:34:53.:34:54.

This time round, it's really unclear as to what Jeremy Corbyn's

:34:55.:35:01.

Do you think that any vote on military action for Britain to

:35:02.:35:07.

take abroad should be a free vote, should be a vote of conscience?

:35:08.:35:14.

Look, honestly, that's not a matter for me.

:35:15.:35:16.

That's a matter for Jeremy Corbyn and the Shadow Cabinet.

:35:17.:35:19.

Ed Miliband, thank you very much. Thank you.

:35:20.:35:21.

That's a question that only a very few of people

:35:22.:35:25.

Eight years ago Carmen Blandin Tarleton,

:35:26.:35:33.

a nurse on rural Vermont, was attacked by her estranged husband.

:35:34.:35:35.

She was left with 80% burns after he doused her with industrial

:35:36.:35:38.

Doctors described it as "the most horrific injury a human

:35:39.:35:45.

By the time she was on the list for a face transplant,

:35:46.:35:50.

Two years ago she endured 17 hours of surgery to get a new face,

:35:51.:35:59.

only the seventh person in the US to do so.

:36:00.:36:02.

Good evening. Thank you for joining us. Thank you, thank you for having

:36:03.:36:15.

me. When the attack happened you were put in a medically induced coma

:36:16.:36:19.

for three months. You were a nurse for 20 years. Had you any idea when

:36:20.:36:25.

you came round how badly you were burned? You know, I didn't until

:36:26.:36:36.

after I woke up. I had to be told exactly what my injuries were. Did

:36:37.:36:42.

you have any hesitation later when you were offered the chance of a

:36:43.:36:52.

face transplant? You know, when I decided that I was going to go

:36:53.:36:57.

forward and see if I was a candidate for a face transplant I never looked

:36:58.:37:01.

back. I always had a certain confidence and security that that

:37:02.:37:06.

was what I really needed at the time. You of course were a nurse of

:37:07.:37:11.

20 years standing and you knew all about the possibility of rejection

:37:12.:37:19.

and so forth. In that case, the questions you were asking presumably

:37:20.:37:22.

were very educated questions about the chance of this actually working?

:37:23.:37:30.

Yes, I knew that I was not going to be an easy person to match, I was

:37:31.:37:36.

the first person to have not the complete match with my donor because

:37:37.:37:43.

I had been exposed to so much of other people's blood and tissues

:37:44.:37:46.

with my other surgeries. I knew that it was not a guarantee that I would

:37:47.:37:55.

be able to keep my new face, but I always had a certain faith that it

:37:56.:37:59.

would work out. It has been almost three years now. It is doing well. I

:38:00.:38:07.

can see to a certain extent now that you have lips again, and your

:38:08.:38:10.

quality of life has been altered the nominally? Yes, I had search severe

:38:11.:38:18.

scarring on my neck because my face was terribly disfigured. I was on

:38:19.:38:23.

very large amounts of narcotics for many years. I could not even keep my

:38:24.:38:31.

head up for any period of time, because the scarring on my neck was

:38:32.:38:38.

quite severe. It has changed my life, much for the better, and I'm

:38:39.:38:45.

truly blessed. I wonder, when you say it has changed your life,

:38:46.:38:48.

whether it has given you pause for thought about the nature of identity

:38:49.:38:57.

and what creates identity? Well, I had never contemplated my identity

:38:58.:39:01.

prior to this. But now that I have had the experience of being a

:39:02.:39:06.

disfigured person, and now a person that has a new face, it has been

:39:07.:39:14.

quite strange, to look in an error, nowadays, I actually had my first

:39:15.:39:22.

dream last week, in my dream, I had my new face and I had not had a

:39:23.:39:30.

dream yet... We are very connected to our identities through our faces.

:39:31.:39:38.

I have always been sort of concentrating on the core of who I

:39:39.:39:43.

am, because my lugs have changed so dramatically short period of time.

:39:44.:39:50.

-- my looks. You also met the daughter of your donor, what was

:39:51.:39:55.

that experience like? That was a wonderful experience. I met her

:39:56.:39:59.

prior to my press conference when they revealed my face on May the 1st

:40:00.:40:06.

in 2013. I met her the night before, at her request. We had a

:40:07.:40:13.

great relationship. I would go with her travelling on occasion, to speak

:40:14.:40:19.

in the United States. We communicate on a regular basis, and she is just

:40:20.:40:27.

a lovely person. Her mother was a donor, an organ donor. And she

:40:28.:40:34.

allowed her face to be donated as well. It has been such a blessing. I

:40:35.:40:41.

let her and no that. Now you do talk about your story as an inspiration

:40:42.:40:48.

for other people but I wonder now, your attitude towards your attacker,

:40:49.:40:52.

who of course was your estranged husband, how has it changed? I

:40:53.:41:00.

totally forget a hymn in 2010. That also was a blessing. It was not a

:41:01.:41:05.

difficult thing to do. I believe that was because I was secure in

:41:06.:41:12.

really moving forward with my life will stop the forgiveness part came

:41:13.:41:17.

quite easily to me. To forgive him. I was also aware that the more

:41:18.:41:23.

energy I put on the past and what happened, and the unfairness of it,

:41:24.:41:28.

it was just going to hold me down in that negative space, and I did not

:41:29.:41:32.

want to be there, I did not want to be in the negative space, I just

:41:33.:41:37.

wanted to move forward the best I could. Forgiveness is actually was

:41:38.:41:41.

one of those necessities to my own freedom. Thank you very much for

:41:42.:41:53.

joining us. Mark Clark has denied all allegations against him.

:41:54.:41:57.

It seems fitting, on a night when we heard from former

:41:58.:42:00.

Rubiks cube enthusiast Ed Miliband, to note that the world record for

:42:01.:42:02.

solving the puzzle has been beaten - by American teenager Lucas Etter.

:42:03.:42:06.

Here he is, solving the cube in a blink-and-you'll-miss-it

:42:07.:42:10.

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