Browse content similar to 30/03/2016. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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The biggest industrial headache in this country for many years. | :00:00. | :00:07. | |
With no time to waste, an enormous decision to be taken | :00:08. | :00:10. | |
I do not think that nationalisation is the solution because everybody | :00:11. | :00:24. | |
would want a long-term viable solution. I am shocked, the Business | :00:25. | :00:30. | |
Secretary's job is to ensure that jobs are maintained. | :00:31. | :00:32. | |
And if not, is there life after steel? | :00:33. | :00:37. | |
And ever since it has gone, it is like a ghost city. | :00:38. | :00:43. | |
Thank God he has really large ears, the biggest ears I have ever seen. | :00:44. | :00:50. | |
I would like to punch him in the face, I tell you. | :00:51. | :00:53. | |
He has no shortage of insults for people | :00:54. | :00:55. | |
But does Donald Trump have a problem with women? | :00:56. | :00:59. | |
Targeted by ISIS, reconstructed by lasers and 3D printing. | :01:00. | :01:10. | |
Is this the future of preserving ancient architecture? | :01:11. | :01:22. | |
Britain has not been keen on industrial intervention - | :01:23. | :01:26. | |
"It's throwing good money after bad," it's said. | :01:27. | :01:31. | |
But that laid-back, laissez-faire approach | :01:32. | :01:33. | |
is meeting its stiffest challenge ever. | :01:34. | :01:36. | |
Are we really willing to do nothing and watch our steel | :01:37. | :01:40. | |
Remember, when Britain let Rover go under, we already had a new car | :01:41. | :01:45. | |
industry in place - but that's not where | :01:46. | :01:47. | |
Needless to say, arguments for some kind of help are swirling around. | :01:48. | :01:52. | |
We need a steel industry for defence. | :01:53. | :01:54. | |
We shouldn't let others steal the market from us by | :01:55. | :01:59. | |
And some say it's a temporary problem, not a permanent one - | :02:00. | :02:05. | |
We will test some of these points later on, but the dilemma is stark - | :02:06. | :02:13. | |
Let's start with our policy editor, Chris Cook. | :02:14. | :02:22. | |
Today's bad news may be all about Port Talbot in south | :02:23. | :02:28. | |
Wales, but you have to look further afield to see | :02:29. | :02:30. | |
Tata Steel itself is based in Mumbai in India, | :02:31. | :02:34. | |
and that is where the decision was made. | :02:35. | :02:37. | |
But the country with the biggest impact on the global steel industry | :02:38. | :02:40. | |
is China, and any attempts by the UK Government to support British Steel | :02:41. | :02:44. | |
would be subject to review by the European | :02:45. | :02:46. | |
Now, steel is an essential material for modern | :02:47. | :02:55. | |
Behind me here is part of the giant Crossrail works. | :02:56. | :03:02. | |
This is built using Tata steel, in this | :03:03. | :03:04. | |
The problem isn't with demand so much, it is really with supply. | :03:05. | :03:13. | |
China, once upon a time, imported steel. The same time it was building | :03:14. | :03:21. | |
a domestic industry. Between 2012 and 2015, supplied meets demand and | :03:22. | :03:25. | |
the price for steel products in China more than halved. There is new | :03:26. | :03:31. | |
Chinese producers and they started to export. Chinese sales abroad | :03:32. | :03:37. | |
rising as domestic prices fell so in a few short years, China swinging | :03:38. | :03:43. | |
from a voracious customer to fierce competitor. This is not like the | :03:44. | :03:47. | |
problems facing banks in 2000 and eight, when you are on the verge of | :03:48. | :03:52. | |
having no big banks at all. Too many steelmakers in the world. Some argue | :03:53. | :03:58. | |
we should save our own steelmakers. We should not be looking for charity | :03:59. | :04:02. | |
or sentimental reasons for keeping this but there are clearly some | :04:03. | :04:07. | |
benefits, not for every company, but with proximity, integration to the | :04:08. | :04:11. | |
supply chain and if the car manufacturing base in the north-east | :04:12. | :04:14. | |
was integrated to the metals manufacturing in the West Midlands, | :04:15. | :04:20. | |
they can create real advantages over steel producers in China which | :04:21. | :04:24. | |
cannot react to market demands and going forwards into flexible forms | :04:25. | :04:30. | |
of production, having a base in the UK could be an advantage going | :04:31. | :04:33. | |
forwards, if we can keep advisable in the short-term. There are also | :04:34. | :04:40. | |
human costs to mass unemployment. You can see the trauma in many | :04:41. | :04:45. | |
former mining times and bad experience suggest you cannot | :04:46. | :04:48. | |
underestimate the potential fiscal costs either. Andrew, a left-wing | :04:49. | :04:53. | |
economist, estimates it would have been cheaper to pay the costs of | :04:54. | :04:57. | |
keeping 31 minds open in the 1990s and paying the bill for the miners | :04:58. | :05:00. | |
but Britain would not be allowed to prop up Port Talbot. It is a | :05:01. | :05:05. | |
founding principle of the EU that states should not be allowed to tilt | :05:06. | :05:11. | |
the playing field in favour of the own companies by putting up or years | :05:12. | :05:15. | |
to foreign companies or by offering subsidies. That last real, the state | :05:16. | :05:21. | |
aid rules, could get in the way of helping a company like Tata Steel in | :05:22. | :05:25. | |
Britain. There are limited exceptions to this rule is on | :05:26. | :05:30. | |
subsidies. One relates to so-called rescue aid. It is permissible in | :05:31. | :05:37. | |
tightly defined circumstances and has to be with a view to restoring | :05:38. | :05:42. | |
the business to its long-term health and it is considered very much a | :05:43. | :05:48. | |
temporary measure. Since the European Commission estimates Europe | :05:49. | :05:53. | |
has 15% too much steel-making capacity, selling the rescue would | :05:54. | :05:58. | |
be tough but the EU might be handy cover for Britain. The government is | :05:59. | :06:01. | |
not keen to end up with a loss-making business on the balance | :06:02. | :06:05. | |
sheet. I do not think that nationalisation is the solution | :06:06. | :06:10. | |
because everyone would want a long-term, viable solution and if | :06:11. | :06:13. | |
you look at Europe and elsewhere, nationalisation is rarely the | :06:14. | :06:17. | |
answer, if you take into account the challenges the industry faces but | :06:18. | :06:21. | |
there are solutions to this once we understand the situation better and | :06:22. | :06:24. | |
we want to make sure we explored them. What might the ministers do? | :06:25. | :06:30. | |
Britain is against raising Europe-wide tariffs on Chinese | :06:31. | :06:33. | |
steel, noting the pain it would cause to steel buyers. Labour has | :06:34. | :06:40. | |
supported intervention and measures against Chinese steel. I went to | :06:41. | :06:44. | |
meet the President of China to press on him but very demand. It seems to | :06:45. | :06:50. | |
me that too many people are not prepared to say to the Chinese | :06:51. | :06:54. | |
government, sorry, your behaviour is not right, not fair and not proper | :06:55. | :06:58. | |
and not within the rules of the World Trade Organisation. If they | :06:59. | :07:02. | |
are to avoid closing this chapter in steel-making history, what options | :07:03. | :07:06. | |
have ministers got? They could cut energy costs or they could buy more | :07:07. | :07:11. | |
British Steel or they could help finance a sale. But that needs | :07:12. | :07:16. | |
someone to take the plant on. The killer question is- who might not be | :07:17. | :07:21. | |
and what might they save? Chris Cook. | :07:22. | :07:23. | |
You can read the history of the European steel industry over | :07:24. | :07:26. | |
the last 50 years, and it comes across as one manifest crisis | :07:27. | :07:29. | |
after another - a recession each decade, excess supply, | :07:30. | :07:32. | |
attempts by Europe to manage things, thwarted by the desire of each | :07:33. | :07:37. | |
country to keep its own plants open at any cost. | :07:38. | :07:40. | |
It makes this a peculiarly difficult industry to manage. | :07:41. | :07:43. | |
Sir Vince Cable is with us, Lib Dem and former Business Secretary | :07:44. | :07:46. | |
If you were still in that job, what would you be doing tomorrow? I think | :07:47. | :08:02. | |
that government intervention is involved whether we like it or not | :08:03. | :08:05. | |
and were already intervening by providing compensation because of | :08:06. | :08:10. | |
high energy costs and state aid clearance we have for that. The | :08:11. | :08:14. | |
argument is we could be doing more of that. What we would have to do | :08:15. | :08:19. | |
tomorrow is trying to bridge the very short-term objective which Tata | :08:20. | :08:24. | |
Steel have said for getting out of the industry and the longer period | :08:25. | :08:28. | |
which would be required to manage this sale in an orderly way without | :08:29. | :08:32. | |
catastrophic consequences and the other area we have to look at | :08:33. | :08:36. | |
closely is the issue of International Trade, I am not | :08:37. | :08:41. | |
protectionist but under national -- International Trade la, if you get | :08:42. | :08:46. | |
dumping in foreign markets at domestic prices, with the Chinese | :08:47. | :08:50. | |
have allegedly been doing, then the EU is entitled are entitled to | :08:51. | :08:55. | |
impose duties as it has done at relatively low levels. The British | :08:56. | :09:00. | |
government voted against the higher tariff regime they could have gone | :09:01. | :09:06. | |
for. Those are the issues. You use the word sale and were using the | :09:07. | :09:11. | |
same word, up for sale, British Steel, but it is not up for sale, | :09:12. | :09:15. | |
they would give it away. They would sell for ?1. They would pay someone | :09:16. | :09:20. | |
to take it. There are not many buyers around on the issue of | :09:21. | :09:24. | |
Scunthorpe came up, we had one man who is -- who expressed interest in | :09:25. | :09:31. | |
asset stripping but there has been what seems to be a qualified seal to | :09:32. | :09:36. | |
a buyer in Scotland, the Scottish government intervened and then | :09:37. | :09:39. | |
nationalised this form a few seconds to allow that deal to take place so | :09:40. | :09:46. | |
yes, it is a difficult environment. On nationalisation, would you | :09:47. | :09:51. | |
support, you are not in favour of long-term nationalisation would you | :09:52. | :09:54. | |
support short-term nationalisation if it meant the Exchequer would pay | :09:55. | :10:00. | |
?1 million every week to keep this alive? I would approach this in a | :10:01. | :10:04. | |
non-travelling, public ownership has a role in committed circumstances, | :10:05. | :10:11. | |
but if it would help, I didn't think this is a question of throwing large | :10:12. | :10:17. | |
amounts of taxpayer money at this, a rapid does orderly closure would | :10:18. | :10:21. | |
impose large costs. Not just on the human cost, on the community, but a | :10:22. | :10:28. | |
large fiscal cost as well. Clearly, the government must look at value | :10:29. | :10:32. | |
for money, but as one of the requirements of the European Union | :10:33. | :10:35. | |
rules. If there was value for money in a temporary period of public | :10:36. | :10:42. | |
intervention, then we should do it. This does not get publicity in the | :10:43. | :10:47. | |
coalition we had this problem at the last underground coal mines and | :10:48. | :10:51. | |
there was a temporary finance provided. We will pick up on those | :10:52. | :10:56. | |
strategic questions. Well, is there economic | :10:57. | :10:57. | |
life after steel? In effect we find ourselves | :10:58. | :10:59. | |
asking an old question - how as a country do we respond | :11:00. | :11:03. | |
to the changing balance London is bursting with new jobs | :11:04. | :11:06. | |
but doesn't have the housing to accommodate everyone, | :11:07. | :11:13. | |
so it's no good expecting all of Britain to move | :11:14. | :11:15. | |
there to find work. But can you move new | :11:16. | :11:18. | |
jobs to South Wales? Do you pay jobs to go there, | :11:19. | :11:20. | |
and if you do, is it better to simply pay an existing steel | :11:21. | :11:26. | |
company to stay there? We sent Secunder Kermani not | :11:27. | :11:29. | |
to Port Talbot today, but to Ebbw Vale, where the steel | :11:30. | :11:35. | |
mill, once the largest in Europe, Ebbw Vale in south Wales | :11:36. | :11:38. | |
was built on steel. At its peak, the works | :11:39. | :11:48. | |
here provided around 15,000 But amidst many of the same market | :11:49. | :11:51. | |
pressures still in place Like in Port Talbot, | :11:52. | :11:57. | |
around an hour's drive away from here, steel | :11:58. | :12:02. | |
was in the heart of the community But if you look at the site | :12:03. | :12:04. | |
with the steelworks used to be, there is almost no sign | :12:05. | :12:09. | |
of it left any more. If you want to know what happens | :12:10. | :12:11. | |
when heavy industry leaves town, With the steelworks, | :12:12. | :12:14. | |
I can go back a lot of years, and when you left school at 15, | :12:15. | :12:20. | |
you got an apprenticeship, You could go from one job, | :12:21. | :12:24. | |
you could leave a job on Friday and get a job on Monday, | :12:25. | :12:30. | |
and ever since it's gone There is nothing to | :12:31. | :12:33. | |
do in this valley at Both grandfathers were in the steel, | :12:34. | :12:37. | |
in the mines, like. Yes, because there | :12:38. | :12:42. | |
was a lot more jobs There was hundreds | :12:43. | :12:46. | |
and hundreds of jobs. It was a lot easier in the '70s, | :12:47. | :12:50. | |
'80s, '90s than what it is now. Many of those who lost | :12:51. | :12:53. | |
their jobs either retired, became | :12:54. | :12:55. | |
self-employed or left town. I moved to Swindon, been | :12:56. | :12:57. | |
in Swindon for 14 years. Every family would have had someone | :12:58. | :13:09. | |
that worked at the works, and if you look at the signage | :13:10. | :13:16. | |
around, even today, The union rep at the time | :13:17. | :13:18. | |
the steelworks closed is Dai Davies. He says workers were let down | :13:19. | :13:24. | |
by government after government. They've all neglected | :13:25. | :13:27. | |
the valley communities. I've said many times that the valley | :13:28. | :13:31. | |
communities built the world, so iron, steel and coal production, | :13:32. | :13:35. | |
we built the world, and yet we are now left with basically empty | :13:36. | :13:39. | |
valleys, empty shells The local council bought | :13:40. | :13:42. | |
the site of the steelworks. One of its rolling machines, | :13:43. | :13:47. | |
too heavy to move, still They build a hospital, | :13:48. | :13:49. | |
leisure centre in schools Part of a regeneration, | :13:50. | :13:53. | |
an attempt to lead people Richard Crook has led | :13:54. | :14:01. | |
the project, and sees better education as the best | :14:02. | :14:05. | |
replacement for the lost jobs. We certainly took the opportunity | :14:06. | :14:08. | |
that because the works were closing, Had the works not closed, | :14:09. | :14:10. | |
then potentially we may have continued on in that same | :14:11. | :14:14. | |
process, which at some point in the future would have led | :14:15. | :14:18. | |
to us to have to make the same decision, so yes, it is easy | :14:19. | :14:21. | |
to become wedded to what is there, and it is understandable, | :14:22. | :14:24. | |
because it is providing good quality employment | :14:25. | :14:26. | |
and spreading the growth into the supply chain, | :14:27. | :14:28. | |
so why change? Sometimes you need that jolt | :14:29. | :14:30. | |
to force the change, and to move on into a 21st-century | :14:31. | :14:33. | |
economy, and that is No, but you have to take | :14:34. | :14:35. | |
it as an opportunity, because if it has | :14:36. | :14:40. | |
happened, what do you do? But many have greeted | :14:41. | :14:43. | |
the new developments with cynicism. They say there is no | :14:44. | :14:45. | |
compensation for the This is the archive section | :14:46. | :14:47. | |
I set up on leaving He began documenting the changes | :14:48. | :14:53. | |
to the town with a video camera, bought with | :14:54. | :15:02. | |
his redundancy money. It is not bringing jobs | :15:03. | :15:05. | |
to Ebbw Vale, and that is the one It is a nice town now, | :15:06. | :15:08. | |
clean town, nice But as far as the people | :15:09. | :15:12. | |
are concerned, it's not, because in the 60s and 70s, | :15:13. | :15:20. | |
everybody had work, despite the fact that they were living | :15:21. | :15:24. | |
in perhaps poor conditions, There are still factories here, | :15:25. | :15:27. | |
and TVR is due to set But many lament the demise of steel, | :15:28. | :15:39. | |
and warn Port Talbot will, too. Well, joining me now to discuss | :15:40. | :15:51. | |
whether steel has a future and whether government should be | :15:52. | :15:56. | |
intervening in markets like this at all are Professor | :15:57. | :15:58. | |
Mariana Mazzucato, author of The Entrepreneurial State | :15:59. | :16:00. | |
and Professor at Sussex University, Allister Heath, Deputy Editor | :16:01. | :16:02. | |
of the Daily Telegraph, and Sir Vince Cable | :16:03. | :16:04. | |
is still with us. Do you find this case, when you look | :16:05. | :16:17. | |
at what happened in Ebbw Vale, it is a challenge to the view that the | :16:18. | :16:19. | |
Government should let industry work itself out? I find all cases with | :16:20. | :16:26. | |
big job losses and huge impact on community is very difficult, but | :16:27. | :16:30. | |
nevertheless the future of this country is to embrace globalisation, | :16:31. | :16:35. | |
free trade, new industries that are viable in the modern economy, and I | :16:36. | :16:38. | |
think we have done really well overall as a country. There are | :16:39. | :16:43. | |
problems in certain areas, old coal mining and steel mining areas, but | :16:44. | :16:46. | |
overall as a country we have embraced these new service | :16:47. | :16:50. | |
industries and high-tech manufacturing. No one is going to | :16:51. | :16:56. | |
say Britain doesn't have jobs, not always the best paid, but we have | :16:57. | :16:59. | |
jobs. But what you do with the valleys in your point of view? Due | :17:00. | :17:05. | |
basically say to people, the jobs are not there, you have to move? Or | :17:06. | :17:09. | |
do you bribe other companies to move jobs there? How do you connect the | :17:10. | :17:14. | |
new economy, a lot of which is in hubs around London and the | :17:15. | :17:16. | |
south-east, and the bits that haven't got these? That is the great | :17:17. | :17:22. | |
challenge in how you in Jenny this great challenge. There is a set of | :17:23. | :17:28. | |
answers, you need to create enterprise zones, give fiscal | :17:29. | :17:33. | |
incentives, zero copies in tax, no national insurance in those areas, | :17:34. | :17:37. | |
so a set of policies like that to try to change those areas, but I | :17:38. | :17:40. | |
think resisting change, saying we are going to stick with 20th century | :17:41. | :17:45. | |
industries, 19th century industries, that is not the solution. These | :17:46. | :17:50. | |
industries have declined for 20 or 30 years, and this is just the | :17:51. | :17:53. | |
acceleration of a long-running process. The other two of you I | :17:54. | :17:57. | |
think are more interventionist, I think. You believe Government has a | :17:58. | :18:04. | |
bigger role, what you say to him? There is a static dichotomy that has | :18:05. | :18:09. | |
been depicted, either nationalisation or being laid-back, | :18:10. | :18:13. | |
the term embracing industry. The term embracing industry comes from a | :18:14. | :18:15. | |
co-investment between public and private sectors, and some of the | :18:16. | :18:21. | |
great champions in this country, Rolls-Royce, jaguar, other sectors, | :18:22. | :18:23. | |
have been fruits of those kind of public interventions which are not | :18:24. | :18:27. | |
just about subsidies, incentives through different types of tax cuts, | :18:28. | :18:33. | |
but again, investment. And so I really think that this is a | :18:34. | :18:38. | |
question, and if you look at the US or Belgium, what they have actually | :18:39. | :18:41. | |
done is to transform and modernise the steel industry, to recover, the | :18:42. | :18:48. | |
purpose, reuse, suggested the US, that is worth $8 billion. One of | :18:49. | :18:53. | |
your industrial policies, you have said on this programme many times | :18:54. | :18:57. | |
that industry needs patient finance, financiers who are not here today, | :18:58. | :19:01. | |
gone tomorrow. Steele has had patient finance, Tata is the epitome | :19:02. | :19:07. | |
of a good, well-run company that gives its divisions time to sort | :19:08. | :19:11. | |
themselves out, but it given up. But we shouldn't just be part of another | :19:12. | :19:15. | |
country's industrial policy which isn't necessarily went to the UK | :19:16. | :19:20. | |
steel industry, and as changes occur to commodity prices, we just go with | :19:21. | :19:24. | |
the wind. One of the questions is, what kind of deals also can be | :19:25. | :19:28. | |
struck with these foreign sources of patient finance, and you are right | :19:29. | :19:34. | |
to look at them as a source of patient finance. When Fiat went to | :19:35. | :19:42. | |
the US and joined with Chrysler, Obama insisted that they look at | :19:43. | :19:48. | |
hybrid engines. In the same in Italy, you don't strike if you want | :19:49. | :19:51. | |
to biotic deals with the private sector, because if you want | :19:52. | :19:55. | |
incentive to be business friendly, this terrible word that we keep | :19:56. | :19:57. | |
repeating, because business itself doesn't then effect from | :19:58. | :20:01. | |
friendliness, it benefits from having a strategic innovation | :20:02. | :20:06. | |
policy, and we need better deals. A lot of the stuff that Alastair was | :20:07. | :20:09. | |
talking about is going to have to happen anyway, because even in the | :20:10. | :20:12. | |
best case scenario, there will be a lot of redundancies, so that kind of | :20:13. | :20:20. | |
sport -- support is whether some intervention is required to hold it | :20:21. | :20:25. | |
from complete collapse. This isn't just standardised products, we | :20:26. | :20:29. | |
talking high-value products, high-value technology, and Tata | :20:30. | :20:35. | |
believed passionately until recently in Port Tolbert, they invested in a | :20:36. | :20:40. | |
new blast furnace, so I think what we have to distinguish is the | :20:41. | :20:43. | |
long-term competitiveness issues which are tricky but can be | :20:44. | :20:46. | |
overcome, and this global glut problem. And the question to ask, is | :20:47. | :20:52. | |
the global glut problem temporary, as we deal with the Chinese import | :20:53. | :20:56. | |
issue, or is it a permanent or semipermanent problem, in which case | :20:57. | :20:59. | |
there isn't a great deal we can do except of vast cost. | :21:00. | :21:04. | |
But your view is the global glut is temporary? It to do with the Chinese | :21:05. | :21:06. | |
adjustment to a more balanced economy. They are producing 800 | :21:07. | :21:12. | |
million tonnes, we are producing 12 million tonnes, we are barely a | :21:13. | :21:16. | |
decimal point on the production, they only have to move a little bit | :21:17. | :21:20. | |
and we are blown over. You think there is a viable portion? I can't | :21:21. | :21:24. | |
predict the future, none of us can. But there is also the question of | :21:25. | :21:28. | |
the unstable policies that both the last government and this government | :21:29. | :21:31. | |
having committed around energy, this stop and start, so given that energy | :21:32. | :21:38. | |
costs are a big fact for steel, they need certainty, not just the | :21:39. | :21:44. | |
investors... If we had a fair energy price and a level playing field, do | :21:45. | :21:48. | |
you think there would still be overcapacity in the world steel | :21:49. | :21:51. | |
market, and should Britain be trying to keep it a bit in the market? When | :21:52. | :21:57. | |
you are using the word steel, you're taking a snapshot, this static thing | :21:58. | :22:02. | |
called steel. In any sector, we can modernise, we can have innovation | :22:03. | :22:09. | |
policy which transforms the steel industry, and instead, ironically, | :22:10. | :22:12. | |
it is precisely because we have had these laissez faire policies that we | :22:13. | :22:19. | |
have a decaying sector. There is massive overcapacity in the global | :22:20. | :22:23. | |
steel industry, but these are long-term problems. 320,000 people | :22:24. | :22:30. | |
were avoiding the steel in 1970, now there are 30,000, so a 90% | :22:31. | :22:34. | |
reduction. The answer is not to hark back to those days. You are agreeing | :22:35. | :22:48. | |
with Marianna there. And looking at Jaguar Land Rover, they depend on | :22:49. | :22:52. | |
buying cheaper steel, so we need to make the overall economy as | :22:53. | :22:56. | |
competitive as possible in the global market, not saddling | :22:57. | :22:59. | |
ourselves with overpriced steel and expensive energy. Other industries | :23:00. | :23:04. | |
benefit from dumped Chinese steel. Yes, they have bought in in these | :23:05. | :23:09. | |
companies. So more than half of the market is imported. Would you | :23:10. | :23:13. | |
happily see those companies lose jobs or pay more for their steel? | :23:14. | :23:20. | |
There is always creative destruction, so would we have | :23:21. | :23:24. | |
tariffs? Would you have tariffs? It is not about do you want them or | :23:25. | :23:32. | |
not. I think we should have free trade, that should be the solution. | :23:33. | :23:35. | |
Which try to police trade and make sure that people don't abuse the | :23:36. | :23:38. | |
system, but by and large we should enter free trade. I actually don't | :23:39. | :23:42. | |
think we're getting to the core of the problem. I would like to hear | :23:43. | :23:48. | |
Tata talk about this, when they close down some recent project in | :23:49. | :23:51. | |
the UK, what they said was there was no vision in this country, in that | :23:52. | :23:55. | |
particular case were green. I would bet that Mr Tata would not be | :23:56. | :24:02. | |
closing down the plant here if he thought it was a hub of new thinking | :24:03. | :24:06. | |
around steel, exactly in how you are talking about it, which is not just | :24:07. | :24:10. | |
steel as a static sector but transformative and affecting the way | :24:11. | :24:15. | |
other sectors operate. We don't have any industrial innovation. I want to | :24:16. | :24:20. | |
ask you one more question, Vince. Do you recognise a case for keeping | :24:21. | :24:26. | |
steel as a strategic industry in the case that a country the size of ours | :24:27. | :24:29. | |
needs steel to build the defence and other purposes? The key strategic | :24:30. | :24:35. | |
industries these days are electronic scum IT and so on, steel because we | :24:36. | :24:45. | |
need dreadnoughts and so on, but I don't think we should be cavalier | :24:46. | :24:49. | |
about accepting that we are the first major country not to make | :24:50. | :24:51. | |
basic steel, I would worry about that. Thank you all very much, and | :24:52. | :24:56. | |
I'm sorry we didn't have a member of the government here to make their | :24:57. | :25:00. | |
point, they didn't offer anybody to us this evening. Let's move onto | :25:01. | :25:02. | |
Donald Trump. He may describe himself as winning, | :25:03. | :25:06. | |
but he's not a winner Almost half of Republican women say | :25:07. | :25:09. | |
they could not imagine themselves supporting Mr Trump | :25:10. | :25:13. | |
in a presidential election. Last week, or was it the week | :25:14. | :25:15. | |
before, he was abusing His campaign manager has been | :25:16. | :25:17. | |
charged with battery for grabbing And today he made some comments | :25:18. | :25:22. | |
about abortion that have been Do you believe in | :25:23. | :25:26. | |
punishment for abortion? The answer is that there has to be | :25:27. | :25:30. | |
some form of punishment. As it happens, that line was dragged | :25:31. | :25:35. | |
out of him by the interviewer - he had seemed reluctant to go | :25:36. | :25:46. | |
that far, and he has Let's take stock of his appeal - | :25:47. | :25:49. | |
or lack thereof - to women voters. I'm joined by Molly Ball, | :25:50. | :25:54. | |
who is covering the US Presidential Something of a muddle in his line on | :25:55. | :26:09. | |
abortion tonight. How do you think he will play it? Donald Trump has | :26:10. | :26:14. | |
been all over the map on abortion and a lot of different issues, he | :26:15. | :26:19. | |
tends to do this, taking contradictory stands, sometimes even | :26:20. | :26:22. | |
in the same breath, and I think this allows people who like in to see | :26:23. | :26:27. | |
whatever they want to see in him. In this case, after making the | :26:28. | :26:29. | |
statement you just played on the tape, he then issued a statement | :26:30. | :26:34. | |
later saying the exact opposite, that in the case, the hypothetical | :26:35. | :26:38. | |
case that abortion were to be Bandini knighted States, it ought to | :26:39. | :26:41. | |
be the people performing the abortions who would be prosecuted | :26:42. | :26:45. | |
for that illegal act, not the women, who he described as the victims in | :26:46. | :26:48. | |
this scenario along with the life in the womb. Donald Trump has a history | :26:49. | :26:54. | |
of being pro-choice, meaning in favour of abortion rights, and he | :26:55. | :26:59. | |
has claimed that he had an epiphany sometime between then and when he | :27:00. | :27:03. | |
decided to run as Republican candidate for president, you really | :27:04. | :27:06. | |
can't be a Republican candidate and be in favour of abortion rights, but | :27:07. | :27:11. | |
he says he has the same position as Ronald Reagan, which is pro-life | :27:12. | :27:14. | |
with exceptions, he would make exceptions to allow abortions in | :27:15. | :27:17. | |
cases of rape and incest and when the life of the mother is in danger. | :27:18. | :27:22. | |
I'm assuming his views on abortion are not really what is driving these | :27:23. | :27:26. | |
rather poor polling ratings for him, because Republican women are keener | :27:27. | :27:37. | |
on Cruz that they are on Trump. What are women not liking? You mention | :27:38. | :27:43. | |
some of his greatest hits in terms of insulting women, but there is a | :27:44. | :27:47. | |
litany of statements. He has been feuding with the Fox News anchor | :27:48. | :27:50. | |
Megan Kelly, one of the stars of Conservative media, since the very | :27:51. | :27:55. | |
first debate back in August, when she asked him about his offensive | :27:56. | :28:02. | |
remarks about women. -- Megyn Kelly. He then went on television after | :28:03. | :28:06. | |
that debate and insulted her, and they have continued to feud in the | :28:07. | :28:10. | |
ensuing months. He frequently describes women in terms of their | :28:11. | :28:13. | |
appearance and derides the based on their appearance. I think a lot of | :28:14. | :28:18. | |
women feel that that is not just insulting to those individual women, | :28:19. | :28:21. | |
but to women as a whole, that he sees them as objects, and he doesn't | :28:22. | :28:27. | |
take them seriously as people. So you mentioned that half of | :28:28. | :28:31. | |
Republican women don't like him, but it is about three quarters of women | :28:32. | :28:36. | |
in the general electorate, and in presidential elections, women vote | :28:37. | :28:39. | |
at higher rates than men do, they are the majority of the electorate. | :28:40. | :28:42. | |
But he really doesn't seem to try, that is amazing. He carries on, he | :28:43. | :28:48. | |
has this form, this history, you think you might have looked at the | :28:49. | :28:50. | |
ratings and come up with something nice to say to women, but he doesn't | :28:51. | :28:55. | |
try. What is going on in his head? Is he just too sure of himself? Or | :28:56. | :29:01. | |
does he think, I keep winning by breaking rules, so I will keep | :29:02. | :29:04. | |
breaking the rules in the hope that this will pay dividends later. Fabio | :29:05. | :29:08. | |
Petroni to try to psychoanalyse Donald Trump, I do think anyone | :29:09. | :29:12. | |
knows what is going on inside his brain. -- far be it from me. But he | :29:13. | :29:20. | |
has this willingness to say what other people won't say, he is not | :29:21. | :29:24. | |
bound by political correctness, and a lot of people, particularly men, | :29:25. | :29:28. | |
feel emasculated by feminism and by the increasing equality of women, | :29:29. | :29:34. | |
and feel that in this day and age, you can't even tell a woman that she | :29:35. | :29:37. | |
looks pretty without having people all over you, so it is a sort of | :29:38. | :29:42. | |
white male identity politics that Donald Trump is speaking to, but as | :29:43. | :29:46. | |
you mention, he hasn't made any effort to broaden his appeal or | :29:47. | :29:50. | |
build bridges to people who are not in that segment. You have 12 seconds | :29:51. | :29:55. | |
to answer the question, will women vote Hillary Clinton? Does she grab | :29:56. | :29:59. | |
women? Are they all right laying around behind her? That is a big | :30:00. | :30:07. | |
question, but she has not managed to rally women to herself in the | :30:08. | :30:13. | |
Democratic primary. In 2008, she ran as a sexless candidate, but she has | :30:14. | :30:17. | |
run more aggressively this time, wanting to be the first woman | :30:18. | :30:21. | |
president, and in her primary against Bernie Sanders, young women | :30:22. | :30:24. | |
have not flocked to have as a result. Molly, thank you very much | :30:25. | :30:26. | |
indeed. The President of Afghanistan, | :30:27. | :30:52. | |
Ahshraf Ghani, has been in office for 18 months now, never attracting | :30:53. | :30:55. | |
quite as much attention in the West It may be good news that the world | :30:56. | :30:58. | |
is paying less attention to Afghanistan, but there | :30:59. | :31:02. | |
is a continued outflow of the country's citizens keen | :31:03. | :31:04. | |
to escape to richer nations. A quarter of the Mediterranean Sea | :31:05. | :31:06. | |
arrivals so far this year have been The BBC's Yalda Hakim managed to get | :31:07. | :31:09. | |
an interview with Ashraf Ghani about the migrant problem, | :31:10. | :31:13. | |
and began by asking him why there has been an exodus | :31:14. | :31:16. | |
of people from his country. This is one of the most | :31:17. | :31:18. | |
connected societies on earth. Because it became | :31:19. | :31:20. | |
a country of refugees. In Europe, in the United States, | :31:21. | :31:22. | |
in North America, Australia. We have at least a million | :31:23. | :31:25. | |
people who have settled. They have a million ties that bind | :31:26. | :31:27. | |
them with others so they pull. We're very proud of our Afghans, | :31:28. | :31:30. | |
they are now hyphenated Afghans. Particularly the social model | :31:31. | :31:34. | |
in Europe, the social welfare model, the welfare state, has | :31:35. | :31:39. | |
done well by Afghans. In Germany, for instance, | :31:40. | :31:43. | |
they have done extraordinary things. The push factors are, | :31:44. | :31:49. | |
a war has been imposed upon us. The departure of not just | :31:50. | :31:53. | |
international troops but the contractors took away | :31:54. | :31:58. | |
a million upper middle-class people This is a country where, | :31:59. | :32:01. | |
for 15 years, a lot of blood and treasure has gone in to create | :32:02. | :32:10. | |
a stable society. Sure, but it has also created one | :32:11. | :32:13. | |
of the most corrupt sets The inheritance of that is 41% | :32:14. | :32:17. | |
of people living below poverty. Yes, it is a country that has become | :32:18. | :32:26. | |
the platform for a regional We are at war but we're | :32:27. | :32:31. | |
not at civil war. The war between Afghans is a very | :32:32. | :32:40. | |
small component of a regional Al-Qaeda, unfortunately, | :32:41. | :32:43. | |
has gone deep and dark, Daesh is active here, | :32:44. | :32:53. | |
as it has done atrocious things. When I warned about the fear | :32:54. | :33:01. | |
of Daesh, it was not heeded, They said that this country | :33:02. | :33:04. | |
would become a graveyard for Daesh. But we also have the greatest | :33:05. | :33:11. | |
medium-term threat. Massive numbers of Pakistani Taliban | :33:12. | :33:19. | |
are being transposed Why, then, are Europeans | :33:20. | :33:22. | |
sending Afghans back, saying that they are economic | :33:23. | :33:27. | |
migrants, that they only come to Europe because of | :33:28. | :33:29. | |
poverty and not war? The social contract in Europe | :33:30. | :33:33. | |
vis-a-vis refugees was articulated In a period of liberalism's heyday | :33:34. | :33:44. | |
and welfare strength. That model, unfortunately, | :33:45. | :33:51. | |
is being re-negotiated. But there are also people | :33:52. | :33:55. | |
fleeing persecution. 11,000 people were | :33:56. | :33:57. | |
killed in this country. Did you ask the people of the UK | :33:58. | :34:00. | |
when Hitler was in the ascent Please understand, we have | :34:01. | :34:09. | |
to make a commitment. 549 young men and women graduated | :34:10. | :34:18. | |
from the military academy. They are making a commitment | :34:19. | :34:24. | |
to defend this country. Others on whom we have spent | :34:25. | :34:37. | |
hundreds of millions of dollars who want to leave under | :34:38. | :34:39. | |
the slightest pressure. If you want to have a country, | :34:40. | :34:41. | |
you need to have the will. It is not the slightest | :34:42. | :34:47. | |
pressure, though. In the last year we have | :34:48. | :34:49. | |
seen the worst violence. They are making that | :34:50. | :34:51. | |
dangerous journey. They are impoverishing | :34:52. | :35:00. | |
their families in order Because that journey was based | :35:01. | :35:10. | |
on false assumptions. Do we stand up for our right | :35:11. | :35:14. | |
to breathe and our right to live Countries do not survive | :35:15. | :35:23. | |
by their best attempting to flee. My goal is to make sure | :35:24. | :35:36. | |
that my people live If we don't stand up in the face | :35:37. | :35:42. | |
of the threat, and the threats are very real, my life | :35:43. | :35:52. | |
is threatened everyday. I go to different | :35:53. | :35:56. | |
parts of Afghanistan. But you have the protection that | :35:57. | :36:00. | |
other Afghans don't. You think when rockets | :36:01. | :36:02. | |
are fired at you, you have When bombs are thrown at you, | :36:03. | :36:04. | |
you have protection against it? If I had that sense, | :36:05. | :36:08. | |
I would surround myself Genuine is always better | :36:09. | :36:10. | |
than fake, but is fake better A topic discussed in many | :36:11. | :36:30. | |
different areas of life, The technology of 3D printing drawn | :36:31. | :36:34. | |
from multiple photographs means we have the power to create detailed | :36:35. | :36:40. | |
replicas more easily This, in fact, is a replica | :36:41. | :36:43. | |
in the making - a monumental scale reconstruction of the Triumphal Arch | :36:44. | :36:47. | |
from Palmyra's Temple of Bel. The real arch was destroyed by Isis | :36:48. | :36:49. | |
when they occupied the ancient city. This one, built in blocks, will be | :36:50. | :36:52. | |
installed on Trafalgar Square, then it goes to New York | :36:53. | :36:55. | |
and then Palmyra itself. So how far can replica substitute | :36:56. | :37:02. | |
for a destroyed past? Should you even contemplate putting | :37:03. | :37:05. | |
replicas on the sites Joining me now in the studio | :37:06. | :37:07. | |
is Dr Alexy Karenowska, the director of technology | :37:08. | :37:12. | |
at the Institute of And from Edinburgh is author | :37:13. | :37:14. | |
James Crawford, whose book Fallen Glory tells the story of some | :37:15. | :37:19. | |
of the world's greatest Tell us about your group. How well | :37:20. | :37:29. | |
can you make a replica? How realistic? Very realistic indeed, | :37:30. | :37:36. | |
our processes or a combination of architectural 3D printing and 3D | :37:37. | :37:41. | |
machine work can reproduce objects to the level of sub millimetre | :37:42. | :37:47. | |
precision. There are a series of surface techniques we can use to | :37:48. | :37:51. | |
reproduce the effects of weathering and ageing and the general | :37:52. | :37:56. | |
appearance. And the material, not plastic, what is it? We are working | :37:57. | :38:04. | |
on technology which combines real stone, the arch in Trafalgar Square | :38:05. | :38:09. | |
will be marble and Geo composite materials, artificial stones from 3D | :38:10. | :38:19. | |
printing. What is the purpose? There are many, in the context of | :38:20. | :38:23. | |
large-scale reconstruction, what we're doing is exploring | :38:24. | :38:26. | |
technologies that we believe can make a real difference | :38:27. | :38:29. | |
reconstructing regions like Syria which have been badly damaged and | :38:30. | :38:35. | |
these technologies open the door for producing a way of producing and | :38:36. | :38:43. | |
preserving the cultural heritage, the tangible and intangible aspects | :38:44. | :38:47. | |
of that. And really keeping the living history of these areas alive. | :38:48. | :38:52. | |
James, does this excite you? It does. The technology is fantastic, | :38:53. | :39:00. | |
it is or inspiring in the true sense of that phrase and my concern is not | :39:01. | :39:06. | |
what shall happen in Trafalgar Square and Times Square, and they | :39:07. | :39:11. | |
will be visiting, it is the idea of reconstructing on the actual site of | :39:12. | :39:15. | |
Palymyra itself. Tell me why you would not want this archway to go | :39:16. | :39:20. | |
back to where it was before Isis destroyed it? One of the things that | :39:21. | :39:26. | |
it brings to mind is the theory that comes from robotics and in the | :39:27. | :39:32. | |
1970s, the uncanny Valley, that machines will get to the point where | :39:33. | :39:37. | |
they were so close to humans, instead of us empathising, we | :39:38. | :39:42. | |
respond to them with revulsion and there is a danger with this | :39:43. | :39:44. | |
reconstruction of archaeology that we might respond to Palmyra in the | :39:45. | :39:52. | |
same way, but it becomes uncanny and what a tragic end for this city, but | :39:53. | :39:57. | |
when we visit it, we feel this sense of unease. Why would we feel that? | :39:58. | :40:04. | |
You will see the arch in Palymyra, you will barely be able to tell that | :40:05. | :40:08. | |
it was not the original, that has some subtle effect? Very much so, | :40:09. | :40:14. | |
you will barely be able to tell and you might not realise it but as time | :40:15. | :40:20. | |
goes by, that response, this concept of revulsion and that has happened | :40:21. | :40:25. | |
before, in 1900, an English antiquarian bought up the site at | :40:26. | :40:33. | |
Crete and brought this with -- rebuilt it with reinforced concrete | :40:34. | :40:36. | |
and some people thought this was fantastic but even while, when he | :40:37. | :40:39. | |
went on a Mediterranean cruise, and visited the site, he thought this | :40:40. | :40:44. | |
was a place of oppressive wickedness so there is a danger when you engage | :40:45. | :40:50. | |
in this process of reconstruction, it can have a negative impact. Is | :40:51. | :40:56. | |
the plan to put the reconstructed arch back with the original was or | :40:57. | :41:00. | |
to put it in a museum 500 metres away? Several things are important, | :41:01. | :41:07. | |
the overall aim of this project is to move towards on-site | :41:08. | :41:09. | |
reconstruction of the installation in Trafalgar Square and India work | :41:10. | :41:15. | |
or a demonstration of this technology and in response to the | :41:16. | :41:18. | |
point that were made, I would agree that it is extremely important that | :41:19. | :41:21. | |
we understand that the reconstruction is not the original | :41:22. | :41:25. | |
and it would be wrong to put objects on the site and claim that they are | :41:26. | :41:29. | |
something they are not. But I think it is also important to realise that | :41:30. | :41:34. | |
there is a huge tragedy in the complete loss of these physical | :41:35. | :41:38. | |
objects and yet the physical objects themselves are not the only element | :41:39. | :41:42. | |
of the cultural heritage they represent. I think that we have to | :41:43. | :41:49. | |
balance here respect for the site but also making sure we do not get | :41:50. | :41:54. | |
caught up too much in what we might describe as the romance of the | :41:55. | :42:00. | |
Roman, it is important that we are not too attached to the physical | :42:01. | :42:07. | |
objects. We can talk about this longer but we don't have the time. | :42:08. | :42:12. | |
Thank you both very much. That is all we have time for, Kirsty will be | :42:13. | :42:20. | |
here tomorrow. Good night. Temperatures falling out there under | :42:21. | :42:30. | |
largely clear skies and a touch of frost first thing tomorrow, showers | :42:31. | :42:34. | |
over south-east of Scotland and North East England and they could be | :42:35. | :42:37. | |
heavy through the day with the few showers developing elsewhere. Some | :42:38. | :42:42. | |
lively ones are parts of Northern Ireland staying dry with sunshine | :42:43. | :42:46. | |
and reaching double figures, largely dry in northern Scotland and we will | :42:47. | :42:48. | |
start the day before freezing | :42:49. | :42:49. |