Browse content similar to 29/04/2016. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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A week of wondering where anti-Zionism becomes anti-Semitism. | :00:00. | :00:00. | |
Tonight, we tackle that question head on. | :00:00. | :00:14. | |
Ken Livingstone insists he's said nothing wrong, | :00:15. | :00:16. | |
Those who support him say debate about Israel is being stifled. | :00:17. | :00:20. | |
His critics tell us that cannot become a cover for blatant racism. | :00:21. | :00:24. | |
I don't know why anyone would vote for Labour in the state | :00:25. | :00:27. | |
I don't know why anyone would vote for Labour as long as Corbyn, | :00:28. | :00:31. | |
who dared to say yesterday, "Crisis, what crisis?" | :00:32. | :00:33. | |
The least he could do is to say, OK, there's a problem. | :00:34. | :00:41. | |
We ask our guests on both sides. And we'll have the latest | :00:42. | :00:46. | |
on Corbyn's anti-semitism action plan - published tonight. | :00:47. | :00:50. | |
Also tonight, the Labour fortress of Wales. | :00:51. | :00:51. | |
Ukip is hoping to turn some of those green valleys a new shade of purple | :00:52. | :00:58. | |
People now realise that if they want things to change in Wales, | :00:59. | :01:03. | |
And a lot of the Labour voters are not really | :01:04. | :01:07. | |
And once upon a time, a tiny mid-table football club hit | :01:08. | :01:13. | |
As the Leicester City fairytale nears its spectacular conclusion, | :01:14. | :01:16. | |
we ask if the club's success could change the multi-billion | :01:17. | :01:19. | |
There's a point, some might say, when you should step | :01:20. | :01:34. | |
Ken Livingstone hasn't found that point yet. | :01:35. | :01:40. | |
He confirmed to newspapers today he stood by his comments | :01:41. | :01:42. | |
about Hitler - first made 30 years ago - | :01:43. | :01:44. | |
and called on Labour to reinstate him. | :01:45. | :01:46. | |
Labour has promised to get a grip on tackling anti-Semitism, | :01:47. | :01:49. | |
but the questions at the heart of the row perhaps go wider | :01:50. | :01:54. | |
than the problems facing one political party. | :01:55. | :01:58. | |
Some on the left have argued that the cries of anti-Semitism have | :01:59. | :02:02. | |
been aimed at shutting down criticism of Israel | :02:03. | :02:07. | |
So tonight, we ask how far legitimate questions | :02:08. | :02:09. | |
about the nature of the Jewish State before it turns into | :02:10. | :02:12. | |
We will talk to guests on both sides in a moment. | :02:13. | :02:16. | |
First, Chris Cook has been examining the issue. | :02:17. | :02:18. | |
He began by talking to the novelist Howard Jacobson. | :02:19. | :02:27. | |
The word anti-Semitism. It explodes, it is so a word I don't want to us | :02:28. | :02:33. | |
yoorks I don't want to hear myself saying it, I haven't for years, | :02:34. | :02:37. | |
wanted to say anti-Semitism and they are making me say it. Wish the left | :02:38. | :02:42. | |
didn't make me say it. All the time. I accept and understand that the | :02:43. | :02:46. | |
words I used caused upset. It has been a bad week for Labour. | :02:47. | :02:54. | |
Suspending one MP and one unapologetic former Mayor of London. | :02:55. | :03:00. | |
Both are being investigated over anti-Semitic. Labour plan to get on | :03:01. | :03:04. | |
the front foot. The way they will do it is by setting up a rule book | :03:05. | :03:08. | |
setting out what is acceptable criticism of the state of Israel and | :03:09. | :03:13. | |
what is anti-Semitism. It straight forward but there is an area | :03:14. | :03:17. | |
contested. It is round Zionism, it is surround the idea of the Jewish | :03:18. | :03:23. | |
state itself. Lots of critics of Israel profession | :03:24. | :03:28. | |
to oppose Zionism. Although many of them actually seem to Popes specific | :03:29. | :03:34. | |
action by Israeli Governments. So, is signism what they are really | :03:35. | :03:38. | |
opposing? That is where all the trouble comes from. This is why the | :03:39. | :03:44. | |
left won't get rid of this. Sign snitch was a liberation movement. | :03:45. | :03:48. | |
Not a movement of oppression. It wasn't a movement of clonism. I | :03:49. | :03:53. | |
don't know why anybody given the history of Jews would want to be | :03:54. | :03:59. | |
anti-Zionist. Allowing for the fact by Zionism we are talking about the | :04:00. | :04:03. | |
Jews to return to their home land. Lots of questions to be asked. Lots | :04:04. | :04:09. | |
of cruelties involved in such a dream of liberation. There always is | :04:10. | :04:15. | |
with liberation dreams. This ledder of a pro Palestinian campaign reads | :04:16. | :04:18. | |
the word differently. Israel needs to be judged by the same laws as | :04:19. | :04:25. | |
everyone else. So if it means occupying and staying in occupation | :04:26. | :04:30. | |
in Palestine in the West bank Gaza it is wrong. Would you call yourself | :04:31. | :04:36. | |
anti-Zionism. I would if that is what it means. It has lots of | :04:37. | :04:40. | |
different views about what it mean, if it means taking away what the | :04:41. | :04:43. | |
world has said Palestine should have, which is a free state I am an | :04:44. | :04:49. | |
anti-Zionism. The point of anti-Zionism is the existence of | :04:50. | :04:52. | |
Israel itself, so it is anti-Semitism to oppose that? I am | :04:53. | :04:57. | |
prepared to say anybody who wants to remove Israel, who thinks Israel has | :04:58. | :05:00. | |
no right to be, and would like it not to be, I am prepared to go out | :05:01. | :05:06. | |
on a limb and say that anybody who says that, is an anti-is mite. Do | :05:07. | :05:11. | |
you think it is legitimate to call for the end of the state of Israel? | :05:12. | :05:17. | |
I don't. No. The Palestinian, the PLO has accepted its economies | :05:18. | :05:20. | |
entering it is calling for a fair and just solution, and that is what | :05:21. | :05:25. | |
we support and I think that is what the world is supporting and nobody, | :05:26. | :05:28. | |
I think believes that there is going to be any future that doesn't | :05:29. | :05:32. | |
include Israel within it. So where are the lines elsewhere? We asked an | :05:33. | :05:37. | |
deck Mick from a pro Israel organisation? Legitimate criticism | :05:38. | :05:41. | |
isn't just fine and acceptable, it is necessary. Every nation state | :05:42. | :05:46. | |
needs to be held to account and I think legitimate criticism sound | :05:47. | :05:50. | |
like this. The occupation is wrong, the settlement should come to an | :05:51. | :05:55. | |
end, the attacks upon Hamas in order to stop the rockets are | :05:56. | :06:00. | |
disproportionate, the Israeli Arabs suffer inequalities and we should | :06:01. | :06:02. | |
close the gaps more quickly. Whether you agree with it or not that is in | :06:03. | :06:07. | |
the bounds of legitimate criticism. But even these criticisms can tip | :06:08. | :06:13. | |
over into something else. If you use a discourse which is horribly | :06:14. | :06:18. | |
demonising of Israel, which come pairs Binyamin Netanyahu to Hitler | :06:19. | :06:24. | |
and the Nazi analogies which uses the old tropes and images that used | :06:25. | :06:30. | |
to be apply to the Jew, the stereo typical Jew, you have wandered into | :06:31. | :06:36. | |
the wrong area. We have it clear we don't tolerate Islamophobia, racism | :06:37. | :06:41. | |
or anti-Semitism. I have had to expel people from the organisation | :06:42. | :06:44. | |
and defend that action and win it. It is part of what we do. We think | :06:45. | :06:49. | |
it is wrong. And therefore we don't tolerate it. Jeremy Corbyn's problem | :06:50. | :06:53. | |
is Labour finds people saying things that pro Palestinians will condemn, | :06:54. | :06:57. | |
and so, his party finds itself in trouble. | :06:58. | :07:05. | |
Do you think that Jews should or could vote for Labour? Well, I don't | :07:06. | :07:09. | |
know why they would right this minute. I like the idea that we | :07:10. | :07:14. | |
should all be above petty interest, but this is petty personal interest, | :07:15. | :07:18. | |
but this isn't petty. I don't know why anyone would vote for Labour in | :07:19. | :07:22. | |
New measures from Corbyn, and you and this evening heard | :07:23. | :07:29. | |
from the former General Secretary of the Labour Party on this issue. | :07:30. | :07:32. | |
Chris, talk us through what was said. | :07:33. | :07:34. | |
So this evening the Labour Party announced it will have a publish a | :07:35. | :07:40. | |
report which is going to look into how it should deal with issue, where | :07:41. | :07:46. | |
it should draw the lines. The former director of Liberty will be involved | :07:47. | :07:50. | |
in that process, this has been accelerated in part by a procession | :07:51. | :07:55. | |
of concern from within the Labour Party itself, the latest is Lord | :07:56. | :07:59. | |
Triesman, who was in charge of the machinery, he was sort of the guy in | :08:00. | :08:03. | |
charge of making sure the thing won election, he says, we have a | :08:04. | :08:07. | |
significant problem which may drive a deep wedge between Jewish people | :08:08. | :08:10. | |
and the party we have traditionally supported. If the Labour doesn't | :08:11. | :08:15. | |
lance the boil fast, it will lose those who have a tribal loyalty. We | :08:16. | :08:20. | |
are at a moment of truth. Thank you very much. You can see | :08:21. | :08:29. | |
those words there of Lord Triesman. Let us | :08:30. | :08:35. | |
Joining me now is Amnon Aran, an academic of Middle Eastern | :08:36. | :08:45. | |
Studies at City University, and Ghada Karmi, who is a research | :08:46. | :08:47. | |
fellow at the Institute of Arab and Islamic Studies at Exeter. | :08:48. | :08:50. | |
If Jeremy Corbyn has accepted the need to make changes to the party, | :08:51. | :08:54. | |
does it admit, if you like the party has a problem with anti-Semitism? | :08:55. | :08:58. | |
Not necessarily, think that the ferocity of the attacks on Jeremy | :08:59. | :09:03. | |
Corbyn, on certain members of the Labour Party, accused of | :09:04. | :09:08. | |
anti-eSemitism and so on, has rattled the Labour leadership, I | :09:09. | :09:13. | |
think that is what has happened. You don't think there is anti-Semitism | :09:14. | :09:18. | |
in the Labour Party? There is anti-Semitism all over the place. So | :09:19. | :09:21. | |
there is within the Labour Party? Is that a concession, there is? There | :09:22. | :09:25. | |
is, and as there is in the general population as, but you see, I think | :09:26. | :09:30. | |
the problem is people don't look into this properly, they haven't | :09:31. | :09:34. | |
bothered, to examine these accusations of anti-Semitism, to see | :09:35. | :09:41. | |
what actually the those accused of this, in fact said, and what would | :09:42. | :09:46. | |
people would find is a lot of the comments were critical of Israel, | :09:47. | :09:51. | |
Israel's policies, and that is not anti-Semitism. I am going to bring | :09:52. | :09:55. | |
you in in a second, let us stick on this for one second. Naz Shah was | :09:56. | :10:00. | |
the MP at the centre of this, who suggested that Israel should be | :10:01. | :10:06. | |
moved to the United States. Would you find that statement | :10:07. | :10:10. | |
anti-Semitic? Absolutely not. Look, everybody knows that Israel is very | :10:11. | :10:15. | |
close to the US, that the US -- United States protects Israel, it | :10:16. | :10:19. | |
funds it, it arms it. Moving the whole state of Israel, to the US, | :10:20. | :10:23. | |
would not be considered anti-Semitic in your mind? No, let me explain, if | :10:24. | :10:33. | |
you like it is, it is a clumsy way of expressing precisely that | :10:34. | :10:39. | |
comment, the fact that the two are very closely knit together, and let | :10:40. | :10:43. | |
me say quickly, over a million Israelis live in the US, lots of | :10:44. | :10:50. | |
Israeli citizens have dual... I want to bring in our other guest. Foo | :10:51. | :10:53. | |
first there is a problem in the Labour Party as acknowledged by the | :10:54. | :10:57. | |
steps taken by Jeremy Corbyn. I think the statements made by Ken | :10:58. | :11:01. | |
Livingstone and Naz Shah have been scrutinised carefully and I think | :11:02. | :11:07. | |
Ken Livingstone's past actions especially for example the | :11:08. | :11:12. | |
celebration of somebody of ully and I think Ken Livingstone's past | :11:13. | :11:14. | |
actions especially for example the celebration of somebody of someone | :11:15. | :11:16. | |
who praise Hitler "Who put the Jews in their place" strongly suggests | :11:17. | :11:22. | |
there is a deeply seated anti-Semitic. The point about Naz | :11:23. | :11:27. | |
Shah, if one concedes or condones the idea of transferring a whole | :11:28. | :11:31. | |
population surely that should be applicable if was does, I don't, but | :11:32. | :11:36. | |
if Naz Shah would have said that or proposed that as a policy to solve | :11:37. | :11:40. | |
peace processes generally or zones of conflict we could have maybe | :11:41. | :11:44. | |
discussed that, but I am sure you for example would not have supported | :11:45. | :11:48. | |
the proposal to transfer Palestinians to Jordan, even though | :11:49. | :11:52. | |
70% of the population is Palestinian. I would not support it. | :11:53. | :11:58. | |
But the argument there are a million Israelis in the US and | :11:59. | :12:01. | |
transportations of Israeli is logical, seems a fallacy. Have to | :12:02. | :12:07. | |
make this clear, Naz Shah did not say transporting the Israeli people | :12:08. | :12:11. | |
to Israel. To United States, she is saying Israel, the state of Israel, | :12:12. | :12:16. | |
it is an idea, that you should maybe, it is in the same vein when | :12:17. | :12:22. | |
you say if you love them so much, go and Li there. Are you saying that | :12:23. | :12:25. | |
The Tate of Israel should not exist? I tell you what I am saying, I need | :12:26. | :12:30. | |
to answer you on the question of transport. I am an expert on people | :12:31. | :12:35. | |
backbench up rooted and transported elsewhere. I am Palestinian. I | :12:36. | :12:40. | |
understand. They are hundreds of thousands of Palestinians, were | :12:41. | :12:44. | |
properly and really transported from our home land, many of us into | :12:45. | :12:48. | |
refugee camps. I am wear of that. It is 23409 an idea, it wasn't a little | :12:49. | :12:53. | |
thing a post on Facebook, it was a reality. I know all about that. I | :12:54. | :12:59. | |
don't put it in the same bracket. It is that reason I can't understand | :13:00. | :13:03. | |
how you can condone the comments made by Naz Shah, I personally of | :13:04. | :13:08. | |
course would completely object, any form of transfer of any population, | :13:09. | :13:12. | |
Palestinian, Israeli, Jewish, or... Let me widen this out a second. Do | :13:13. | :13:16. | |
you have a problem with any other Government poll assistance the | :13:17. | :13:20. | |
region, other than Israels? Of course. There are many, many Arab | :13:21. | :13:28. | |
Governments, which are despotic, tyrannical, of course. But you | :13:29. | :13:33. | |
would, you would blame its people for that? Because the connation is | :13:34. | :13:38. | |
that when you talk about the state of Israel or moving the state of | :13:39. | :13:42. | |
Israel, you are talking about all the people that exist in it. You are | :13:43. | :13:46. | |
not talking about the policys of after party or a government. This | :13:47. | :13:51. | |
was, as I tried to explain, this was a kind of comment, I mean, a silly. | :13:52. | :13:56. | |
A lot of people forget Naz Shah for a moment, a lot of people are saying | :13:57. | :13:59. | |
the state of Israel should not exist. You know that. When they say | :14:00. | :14:04. | |
that, are they saying that that is the whole state, they are not | :14:05. | :14:08. | |
talking about Likud or net or the Government. They are talking about | :14:09. | :14:11. | |
the Israeli people. -- Binyamin Netanyahu. The post please don't us | :14:12. | :14:19. | |
let us go all over the place. The post talked about moving Israel, the | :14:20. | :14:23. | |
state of Israel, to the United States, in a sort of a semi jokey | :14:24. | :14:29. | |
way, one must be able, one must be able to say things you know. We are | :14:30. | :14:33. | |
going to a bigger question, the existence of the state of veil. That | :14:34. | :14:40. | |
respect, think the real issue is the singularing out of Israel in some of | :14:41. | :14:44. | |
the debate. I think if we are serious about being on the left and | :14:45. | :14:48. | |
being liberal, then we should apply our standards to many country, | :14:49. | :14:53. | |
Israel maybe included in that and I would join the criticisms of many of | :14:54. | :14:57. | |
the Israeli policy, the occupation is deplorable. What about the fact | :14:58. | :15:02. | |
that Israel in a way singles itself out. It has this policy, the right | :15:03. | :15:07. | |
of return, for all Jew, do you think it is conflating there, a people and | :15:08. | :15:16. | |
a state? I think Israel is predicated on the idea it is a | :15:17. | :15:21. | |
Jewish state. It has tried to be a Jewish Democratic state. There are | :15:22. | :15:27. | |
various elements in Israel which compromise its democratic | :15:28. | :15:30. | |
credentials and I dare say there are many Israelis who pointed this out | :15:31. | :15:34. | |
on a daily basis. This is not something new. The only point I | :15:35. | :15:37. | |
would make about the debate we're having here is often we find in the | :15:38. | :15:44. | |
debate here, in some elements in the British left, singling out of Israel | :15:45. | :15:49. | |
on various issues which are to do with human rights, finance, | :15:50. | :15:54. | |
oppression and so forth. If we're going to be serious about this, they | :15:55. | :15:57. | |
should be put in a broader context, not only of the region but further | :15:58. | :16:02. | |
beyond, then we can have a sensible debate about where Israel fits into | :16:03. | :16:06. | |
that spectrum. Do you think anti-Semitism would disappear if | :16:07. | :16:12. | |
Israel changed its borders? No, look, there are two issues here and | :16:13. | :16:19. | |
you keep getting stubborn, it's really not helpful. Israel as a | :16:20. | :16:22. | |
state violates human rights, it in breach of international law, it is | :16:23. | :16:28. | |
therefore to be criticised, to be corrected, to be called to account. | :16:29. | :16:33. | |
Would you do it to a lot of other countries in the region? We're | :16:34. | :16:38. | |
talking about Israel. We're talking about where Israel fits into the | :16:39. | :16:42. | |
context of the world in terms of criticism. Israel is among states in | :16:43. | :16:46. | |
the world which violate human rights and which infringe... Why haven't we | :16:47. | :16:54. | |
mentioned any others? We're talking about anti-Semitism, the Labour | :16:55. | :16:59. | |
Party, Israel, why do you want me to talk about China, Iran or whatever? | :17:00. | :17:04. | |
No other state is questioned about its existence in that way. We're not | :17:05. | :17:10. | |
talking about the existence. You are not talking about the existence, I | :17:11. | :17:14. | |
think you are not under knowledge that, but what we find in some of | :17:15. | :17:18. | |
the debate is that Israel's which do exist is questioned and the reason | :17:19. | :17:21. | |
we are trying to put this in broader context is to see whether some | :17:22. | :17:24. | |
element of the debate is fuelled by anti-Semitism. When we have someone | :17:25. | :17:31. | |
like Ken Livingstone, who celebrates personality such as use of good are | :17:32. | :17:40. | |
we... Jeremy Corbyn has been affiliated with groups who have | :17:41. | :17:43. | |
profound anti-Semitic credentials, I don't imply he is an anti-Semite... | :17:44. | :17:48. | |
He is a fellow traveller in the sense that... I'll finish this | :17:49. | :17:54. | |
point... If his anti-Zionism brings him to shed company with groups so | :17:55. | :17:58. | |
bitterly anti-Semitic and he doesn't acknowledge that, that is where that | :17:59. | :18:03. | |
sense of denial comes from. Do you accept sometimes the anti-Zionism | :18:04. | :18:08. | |
that he would acknowledge covers, if you like, that people call it | :18:09. | :18:14. | |
racism, anti-Semitism, when it isn't, that it stifles debate? I | :18:15. | :18:19. | |
think certainly in some cases perfectly legitimate criticism of | :18:20. | :18:24. | |
the state of Israel... There are attempts to stifle them on | :18:25. | :18:27. | |
anti-Semitic grounds. However, I think in this country, in the UK, | :18:28. | :18:31. | |
the debate on Israel, said in the criticism of Israel, is efficiently | :18:32. | :18:36. | |
vocal and conspicuous, which refutes any suggestion that somehow the | :18:37. | :18:40. | |
debate and criticism of Israel is stifled in the country, it's the | :18:41. | :18:45. | |
last thing one could say. I'm afraid it is, I'm afraid this whole Guha is | :18:46. | :18:51. | |
about deflecting attention from what Israel is doing to other people, the | :18:52. | :18:58. | |
Palestinians. -- this whole hoo-ha. And it's making people think about | :18:59. | :19:01. | |
anti-Semitism rather than the actions of the state of Israel, this | :19:02. | :19:03. | |
is what it's about. Next week sees one of | :19:04. | :19:06. | |
the most complicated set of elections around the UK - | :19:07. | :19:08. | |
voting for the Scottish Parliament, the Northern Ireland Assembly, | :19:09. | :19:11. | |
the English councils, the London Assembly - | :19:12. | :19:12. | |
as well as several directly elected But take particular notice | :19:13. | :19:15. | |
of what happens in Wales overnight on Thursday, | :19:16. | :19:18. | |
which could yield some of the most Ukip is hoping to gain ground | :19:19. | :19:20. | |
there for the first time - fielding candidates across Wales | :19:21. | :19:24. | |
and on the regional top For nearly a century Wales has been | :19:25. | :19:39. | |
the Labour Party's fortress. Today, it's the last redoubt of Labour in | :19:40. | :19:45. | |
government anywhere in the UK. Since the beginning of universal suffrage | :19:46. | :19:49. | |
in every Wales wide electoral contest are one, the party of an era | :19:50. | :19:56. | |
in Devon has come first. -- Aneurin Bevan. Not only that, Labour created | :19:57. | :20:03. | |
the devolved assembly in Cardiff and dominated its government ever since. | :20:04. | :20:07. | |
We live in a fickle political age. As we've seen in Scotland, tribal | :20:08. | :20:11. | |
political loyalties forged over decades can crumble in month. | :20:12. | :20:17. | |
Gretchen maths. Essential part of their message is reminding voters | :20:18. | :20:23. | |
how long Labour has been in charge. We've had 17 years. 17 years. 17 | :20:24. | :20:31. | |
years of Labour's managed decline. Key to the time for a change message | :20:32. | :20:35. | |
is the suppose it under performance of public services in Wales compared | :20:36. | :20:39. | |
to the rest of the UK. Plaid Cymru want a second place they lost to the | :20:40. | :20:42. | |
Conservatives in the last assembly elections. Plaid Cymru had been in: | :20:43. | :20:49. | |
Lycian with Labour until 2011 and we had prioritised winning a referendum | :20:50. | :20:54. | |
to transform our national assembly into a lawmaking Parliament. I think | :20:55. | :21:00. | |
as a junior partner in, Lycian, in many cases throughout the world, we | :21:01. | :21:04. | |
took a hit for that in the following election. I think the situation is | :21:05. | :21:08. | |
different now, we've had 17 years of Labour leading the government in | :21:09. | :21:11. | |
Wales. Things could be so much better than they are. My programme | :21:12. | :21:17. | |
of government, my excellent team of candidates and Shadow Cabinet, are | :21:18. | :21:22. | |
ready now to for Wales the change Wales needs. And eight Plaid Cymru | :21:23. | :21:28. | |
led government. The Liberal Democrats, too, are targeting public | :21:29. | :21:32. | |
services. Polls suggest the party could be squeezed hard by the | :21:33. | :21:36. | |
electoral system that once benefited them. Perhaps falling below the | :21:37. | :21:39. | |
point where they will be treated as a group at all in the new assembly. | :21:40. | :21:45. | |
After last year's general election nobody believes polls anyway any | :21:46. | :21:49. | |
more. Five years ago polls said we would be wiped out, no Welsh Liberal | :21:50. | :21:53. | |
Democrats in the National Assembly. We've had the smallest group but the | :21:54. | :21:57. | |
group that has made the biggest difference. We've used influence to | :21:58. | :22:01. | |
create thousands more apprenticeships, ?280 million extra | :22:02. | :22:05. | |
into our schools. We've been able to pass a law which will see increased | :22:06. | :22:08. | |
numbers of nurses in hospital wards. We may be small but if achieved that | :22:09. | :22:12. | |
with five assembly members, imagine what we could do with more. The | :22:13. | :22:16. | |
Welsh assembly electoral system has 40 seats elected on the same | :22:17. | :22:20. | |
constituencies as Westminster but unlike Westminster the Welsh | :22:21. | :22:24. | |
assembly is topped up with another 20 seats from five regional list. | :22:25. | :22:29. | |
These are allocated by a system of PR. The big winner from this system | :22:30. | :22:33. | |
at this election could be Ukip. Predicted to take five or more | :22:34. | :22:42. | |
seats. 70 years down the line of a Labour government -- 17 years. Which | :22:43. | :22:46. | |
has failed us. People now realise if they want things to change in Wales | :22:47. | :22:50. | |
they have developed differently. A lot of the Labour voters are not | :22:51. | :22:54. | |
really going to vote Tory, but they are willing to give their allegiance | :22:55. | :22:59. | |
to Ukip because, of course, we've always spoken for the working class | :23:00. | :23:03. | |
men and women of Wales. Barry Island is beautiful when the sun is shining | :23:04. | :23:07. | |
and for the Conservatives seek, the Vale of Glamorgan, was a sunny spot | :23:08. | :23:12. | |
at the last general election, where they hung on to it having taken it | :23:13. | :23:13. | |
from Labour in 2010. It's a cast-iron rule. Ever since it | :23:14. | :23:22. | |
was created whichever party has won this constituency goes on to form | :23:23. | :23:28. | |
the government. But the rule only works for Westminster elections. For | :23:29. | :23:30. | |
the assembly, the Conservatives have never taken Vale of Glamorgan. In | :23:31. | :23:36. | |
fact, the rule in those elections seems to be that the Conservatives | :23:37. | :23:41. | |
will underperform. It's all about selecting the right cuts. The labour | :23:42. | :23:46. | |
of the Welsh Conservative thinks voters aren't always clear who is in | :23:47. | :23:53. | |
charge of what. At any election time sometimes you get a great deal of | :23:54. | :23:56. | |
indifference amongst the wider electorate but the assembly election | :23:57. | :23:59. | |
is probably a harder sell again because the Welsh media is a small | :24:00. | :24:04. | |
part of the media outlet that people go to for the daily feed. A lot of | :24:05. | :24:08. | |
people are informed by Westminster News and often Welsh news comes | :24:09. | :24:11. | |
second. Slowly but surely that is breaking down and people are getting | :24:12. | :24:15. | |
a better understanding of where their health service is being run | :24:16. | :24:19. | |
from, where the economy is run from, education. After 17 years of | :24:20. | :24:24. | |
Labour's managed decline, people want change here in Wales. This | :24:25. | :24:27. | |
election takes place against the backdrop of the troubles at Tata | :24:28. | :24:33. | |
Steel. The Labour Welsh assembly government has been keen to present | :24:34. | :24:36. | |
the ructions in Welsh steel as the fault of the Conservative government | :24:37. | :24:41. | |
in Westminster. Carwyn Jones has been First Minister of Wales since | :24:42. | :24:47. | |
2009. What do you say to those who suggest Wales lags behind the rest | :24:48. | :24:51. | |
of the UK? If you look at job creation we've been hugely | :24:52. | :24:54. | |
successful in bringing investment into Wales, unemployment figure is | :24:55. | :24:59. | |
5%, lower than Scotland and Northern Ireland, London, on a par with | :25:00. | :25:01. | |
England. A tremendous achievement given our history. Best GCSE results | :25:02. | :25:07. | |
ever. We are building more schools around Wales, it's not happening in | :25:08. | :25:12. | |
England because schools building... On health care challenges. In all | :25:13. | :25:16. | |
health services on the UK but independent studies have shown the | :25:17. | :25:19. | |
UK health systems are more or less the same. What we don't have is a | :25:20. | :25:24. | |
junior doctors strike. According to latest polls, Labour support in | :25:25. | :25:27. | |
Wales is at its lowest for six years, even so, no one is predicting | :25:28. | :25:32. | |
they won't be the biggest party in the new assembly. The big question | :25:33. | :25:38. | |
is, on what terms? It's clear the Welsh political landscape is | :25:39. | :25:39. | |
shifting. If you're a Leicester fan, | :25:40. | :25:42. | |
a football fan or just a fan those rare world-shaking sporting upsets | :25:43. | :25:45. | |
then you'll know this weekend Leicester City FC - | :25:46. | :25:47. | |
one of the more modest, less shouty clubs of | :25:48. | :25:51. | |
the Premier League could well clinch An almost unfathomable | :25:52. | :25:53. | |
turn of fortunes. At the start of the season | :25:54. | :25:58. | |
they were 5,000-1 to win the league. If they become champions it will - | :25:59. | :26:02. | |
in betting terms - be the greatest upset | :26:03. | :26:07. | |
in British sporting history. You might remember Brian Clough | :26:08. | :26:17. | |
taking Nottingham Forest from nowhere to extraordinary heights in | :26:18. | :26:22. | |
1978-1979. The last time anything in football happen on this scale. | :26:23. | :26:30. | |
So in this day of big money, big name, big promotion clubs how do | :26:31. | :26:33. | |
Joining me now from Michigan is Stefan Shermanski, | :26:34. | :26:37. | |
How unprecedented do you think this is? Does it feel like paradigms to | :26:38. | :26:46. | |
you? It feels like something very different. Exceptional. You | :26:47. | :26:50. | |
mentioned Brian Clough and Nottingham Forest, an extraordinary | :26:51. | :26:54. | |
outcome. They're in mind, back then, there was far less financial gulf | :26:55. | :27:00. | |
between the big clubs and the smaller clubs. That's what | :27:01. | :27:05. | |
incredible. Leicester are beating teams that have spent 3-4 times as | :27:06. | :27:10. | |
much as they have one talent. It's an extraordinary achievement. Part | :27:11. | :27:16. | |
of the idea of Soccernomics is this sort of thing shouldn't happen, | :27:17. | :27:22. | |
doesn't happen. Is it now recognised that it is possible. Does it change | :27:23. | :27:27. | |
the model? Well, I think there are two things. One thing is, with all | :27:28. | :27:31. | |
due respect to Leicester, whose achievements are wonderful, they've | :27:32. | :27:36. | |
had a bit of luck here. They've scored relatively few goals compared | :27:37. | :27:41. | |
to previous champions. They've really sneaked quite a number of 1-0 | :27:42. | :27:47. | |
victories, which makes them... Which makes it quite a fortunate outcome. | :27:48. | :27:52. | |
The other thing is, big clubs have really underperformed this year. An | :27:53. | :27:58. | |
example, typically, the team with the goal difference Leicester has | :27:59. | :28:01. | |
this season would typically have come forth in the league in the last | :28:02. | :28:05. | |
decade. It's a little bit of accommodation in exceptional | :28:06. | :28:08. | |
circumstances which can always happen, of course, which is what | :28:09. | :28:11. | |
makes sport wonderful, it's why we watch. Whether it is a change in the | :28:12. | :28:15. | |
paradigms, I'm less sure. Not putting it down to that reburial of | :28:16. | :28:19. | |
King Richard III which some Leicester fans think was their luck | :28:20. | :28:24. | |
on the site? In terms of how they play, they have a smaller squad, do | :28:25. | :28:27. | |
they play as a more concentrated unit than some of the bigger sides | :28:28. | :28:32. | |
with all the competing egos superstars customer is it a factor? | :28:33. | :28:38. | |
No, I honestly don't think so because if that were true we'd have | :28:39. | :28:44. | |
seen teams doing a Leicester previous years. What is exceptional | :28:45. | :28:48. | |
is this has come out of the blue and nothing like this has happened in | :28:49. | :28:53. | |
decades. What is interesting is that the income inequality in the Premier | :28:54. | :28:56. | |
League has actually been declining for the last decade or so. Mainly | :28:57. | :29:02. | |
because of the value of overseas broadcast rights, shared equally | :29:03. | :29:07. | |
amongst clubs. There is a trend towards inequality. It's slightly | :29:08. | :29:11. | |
smaller teams will have more chance in future. There's a trend towards | :29:12. | :29:19. | |
more equality, you say, now? Oh yes. That trend has been there for a | :29:20. | :29:23. | |
number of years. The financial gap really peaked in about 2005-2006. It | :29:24. | :29:31. | |
had been growing the previous 40 years. Now it's starting to shrink a | :29:32. | :29:35. | |
little bit and if the trend continues, for example, I would not | :29:36. | :29:40. | |
expect... I don't think it's that likely Leicester City will win the | :29:41. | :29:43. | |
championship next year, but it wouldn't surprise me if another club | :29:44. | :29:49. | |
from out of the big four work to port this off. Kretschmer could pull | :29:50. | :29:55. | |
it off. If Leicester make it to the top, would they stick to playing as | :29:56. | :30:01. | |
a small club or would they buy big players and change the shape of how | :30:02. | :30:07. | |
they look now? Their history of football in England, in every | :30:08. | :30:12. | |
country in the world, teams always try to be as big as they can | :30:13. | :30:15. | |
possibly be. No question Leicester will try to stay on top and spend | :30:16. | :30:20. | |
big this summer. They will make a big effort to try and sustain this. | :30:21. | :30:24. | |
But it will be difficult. Precisely because it's such an exceptional | :30:25. | :30:28. | |
circumstance, it'll be quite hard to sustain over time. Stefan | :30:29. | :30:32. | |
Shermanski, thank you very much indeed. That almost it for tonight. | :30:33. | :30:36. | |
It feels appropriate to finish with Leicester. | :30:37. | :30:39. | |
Back to Leicester to finish, where fans today have been rallying | :30:40. | :30:41. | |
behind their football club ahead of their historic weekend | :30:42. | :30:43. | |
Anybody would think they're confident. | :30:44. | :30:46. | |
# You've got me singing the blues #. # I've never felt more like running | :30:47. | :31:19. | |
away # Why should I go cause I can't stay | :31:20. | :31:26. |