Browse content similar to 15/12/2016. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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He says history is being written today by every citizen of Syria. | :00:00. | :00:08. | |
But what kind of gruesome history is it? | :00:09. | :00:11. | |
At last, there is peace in eastern Aleppo, or what's left of it. | :00:12. | :00:14. | |
But the Syrian war is far from over, unless politics can intervene. | :00:15. | :00:19. | |
In the meantime, rebels are being evacuated to another enclave, | :00:20. | :00:22. | |
which could be the scene of the next battle. | :00:23. | :00:26. | |
And as people leave Aleppo, we'll talk to this doctor | :00:27. | :00:29. | |
who's on his way back the region to help the injured. | :00:30. | :00:32. | |
Also tonight: The new geopolitical weapon - hacking. | :00:33. | :00:42. | |
I believe the leak was a large part of why Hillary had real problems | :00:43. | :00:51. | |
with him enyams and why she did not hit her targets in the states trump | :00:52. | :00:55. | |
won. Could it have been the difference? Absolutely. | :00:56. | :00:58. | |
Well, we have to be very careful of this 1930s comparison. | :00:59. | :01:00. | |
The fact is, it's the only history that's taught in our schools. | :01:01. | :01:07. | |
One of the reasons everyone's mentioning it | :01:08. | :01:09. | |
is because it's the only history anyone knows anymore. | :01:10. | :01:12. | |
Where does history tell us we may be heading? | :01:13. | :01:24. | |
When the world looks back on the last 17 days of horror that | :01:25. | :01:29. | |
eastern Aleppo has just endured, it will undoubtedly wonder how | :01:30. | :01:31. | |
the brutality of medieval warfare could have imposed itself | :01:32. | :01:34. | |
Why did the two mechanisms of world authority - | :01:35. | :01:39. | |
the United Nations and the United States - both fail? | :01:40. | :01:42. | |
And how could the battle have gone on so long once one side | :01:43. | :01:45. | |
These are interesting questions, but today, at least, | :01:46. | :01:50. | |
there are more hopeful images from Aleppo than we've | :01:51. | :01:53. | |
Let's have a look at four scenes that tell the story of today. | :01:54. | :01:59. | |
First, the Syrian flag being raised over eastern Aleppo. | :02:00. | :02:02. | |
Let's not forget, this is the day that Assad hailed | :02:03. | :02:05. | |
what he called Aleppo's liberation as an historic event. | :02:06. | :02:08. | |
Second, the buses on their way to evacuate civilians, | :02:09. | :02:11. | |
rebels and their families from the remaining rebel-held | :02:12. | :02:14. | |
Meanwhile, overhead, Putin is watching. | :02:15. | :02:20. | |
This is footage of the buses today from the Russian Defence Ministry. | :02:21. | :02:24. | |
And finally, civilians waiting to move back into East Aleppo. | :02:25. | :02:28. | |
The children are chanting in praise of Assad - | :02:29. | :02:31. | |
a useful reminder that not all Syrians are anti-Government. | :02:32. | :02:36. | |
It was not a day for joy, but it was one of relief. | :02:37. | :02:40. | |
Now the professional journalists have had difficulty in getting | :02:41. | :02:43. | |
access to Eastern Aleppo, but the shelling there has been | :02:44. | :02:46. | |
vividly reported thanks to smartphones and social media. | :02:47. | :02:49. | |
And if that's been true of the attack on Aleppo, | :02:50. | :03:36. | |
The skies are clear, the birds chirping and people are leaving | :03:37. | :03:43. | |
besieged Aleppo and I'm hoping that I will be doing the same thing. | :03:44. | :04:33. | |
Dr Zaher Sahloul is from the Syrian American Medical Society | :04:34. | :04:35. | |
and is part of a medical convoy heading to the country this weekend | :04:36. | :04:38. | |
to help build a hospital to treat those injured | :04:39. | :04:40. | |
How much contact have you had today with the people there in terms of | :04:41. | :04:52. | |
how the evacuation has been going? I was fixated on my cellphone looking | :04:53. | :04:57. | |
at the reports and texts coming from my colleagues inside Aleppo. These | :04:58. | :05:00. | |
are the doctors and nurses I spent my last medical commission with | :05:01. | :05:06. | |
right before the siege. And they were updating me about the | :05:07. | :05:10. | |
evacuation process and I had a sigh of relief that it happened without | :05:11. | :05:14. | |
hiccups this time. Relatively smooth. When you get back there, | :05:15. | :05:18. | |
there will be a generation of children deeply scarred by what | :05:19. | :05:23. | |
they've been through. Every child I've seen in Aleppo, even before | :05:24. | :05:29. | |
these last few months, was scarred. They have been under siege, they | :05:30. | :05:33. | |
have shortage of food, medicine, there is no schooling, there is | :05:34. | :05:38. | |
bombing and every one of them will have trauma deep in planted in their | :05:39. | :05:42. | |
psyche for the rest of their lives. And physically disabled as well? | :05:43. | :05:47. | |
Yes, and this is a problem Syria has to live with in the long term. We | :05:48. | :05:53. | |
saw the child motionless in the ambulance. How quickly do you think | :05:54. | :05:58. | |
those kids will recover? It will take a generation or more for them | :05:59. | :06:02. | |
to recover. Syria does not have the capacity to deal with the cycle -- | :06:03. | :06:07. | |
psychological impact of the crisis. We also have a large number of | :06:08. | :06:11. | |
people injured because the amputations and spinal cord injuries | :06:12. | :06:15. | |
in Syria. It will take a look of effort and let's not forget that we | :06:16. | :06:21. | |
have 50% of the refugees outside Syria who are children. -- a lot of | :06:22. | :06:30. | |
effort. Do you ever reflect on how the human race could do better in | :06:31. | :06:34. | |
solving these disputes? Iowa to reflect on the fact that the | :06:35. | :06:38. | |
president of Syria was trained to be a doctor and he is overseeing the | :06:39. | :06:45. | |
destruction of many cities in his country, displacement of Hop | :06:46. | :06:49. | |
population, the injury of one and a half million people. -- his | :06:50. | :06:59. | |
population. The day that Nero burned Rome, the emperor, that was a | :07:00. | :07:02. | |
historic day. It is a historic day when you have a president trained to | :07:03. | :07:08. | |
be a physician overseeing the killing of 350 hospitals and the | :07:09. | :07:11. | |
killing of doctors and nurses in Syria. I was at school with him and | :07:12. | :07:16. | |
nobody expected him to be that brutal always was. Have you met with | :07:17. | :07:24. | |
him since? Yes. I asked him about introducing democracy in Syria and | :07:25. | :07:27. | |
he said they are not ready for democracy, Syrians. You never, ever | :07:28. | :07:32. | |
see a clue as to what horror can be inflicted by him from the kid you | :07:33. | :07:38. | |
knew at school? No. Many of us believe he is a war criminal and any | :07:39. | :07:46. | |
person who believes in the stability of Syria, they don't perceive him as | :07:47. | :07:49. | |
being part of the picture of the future of Syria. Do you think it | :07:50. | :07:54. | |
took too long for the point of surrender to be reached in eastern | :07:55. | :08:00. | |
Aleppo? Definitely. It was over weeks ago. They couldn't win from | :08:01. | :08:04. | |
that position. And of course there was a lot of suffering in the last | :08:05. | :08:08. | |
days as they held out. Definitely. Everybody knew this was happening. | :08:09. | :08:17. | |
What is the surprise is that the international community and Nato and | :08:18. | :08:20. | |
the United Nations did not intervene earlier. The evacuation of 250,000 | :08:21. | :08:26. | |
people from their homes and neighbourhoods happening now, this | :08:27. | :08:30. | |
is what is called ethnic cleansing, forced evacuation, and this is a | :08:31. | :08:36. | |
tragedy we have to live with for the foreseeable future. It is obviously | :08:37. | :08:40. | |
a tragedy. The scary prospect is that you will get the same thing | :08:41. | :08:43. | |
again in the place people have moved to. How can that... I mean, what is | :08:44. | :08:53. | |
happening here? How is it saying to move people from one enclave to | :08:54. | :08:57. | |
another where they can be pummelled again? Everything happening in Syria | :08:58. | :09:05. | |
is that history is rewritten and the use of chemical weapons, more than | :09:06. | :09:09. | |
168 times, the use of siege as a tactic of war, on both sides. What | :09:10. | :09:15. | |
happened in Aleppo happened in the city of Homs, as well as other | :09:16. | :09:23. | |
cities before. Killing children, bombing hospitals. These are the new | :09:24. | :09:27. | |
norms in Syria. It is dangerous not only for Syrians but for refugees. | :09:28. | :09:34. | |
The rise of the extreme West, sorry, right. And the terrorism we are | :09:35. | :09:39. | |
witnessing is all what is happening in Syria. You are going back to | :09:40. | :09:46. | |
what? Under whose auspices do you go back and build a hospital? Under the | :09:47. | :09:51. | |
Syrian government? You will be in their region now. The NGOs have been | :09:52. | :09:59. | |
part of the solution and they are the hope Syrians are looking for. | :10:00. | :10:07. | |
There is a British NGO and representatives, and they are going | :10:08. | :10:12. | |
symbolically to build a hospital that was destroyed. This is our | :10:13. | :10:15. | |
statement to tell the doctors of Syria we are with them, we are | :10:16. | :10:21. | |
standing up with them, and this is also to say, shame on you, you did | :10:22. | :10:24. | |
not stop the genocide in Syria but we will do our part and we will be | :10:25. | :10:29. | |
the ones we're building the country after it has been destroyed. Thank | :10:30. | :10:30. | |
you. The news yesterday that Yahoo had, | :10:31. | :10:33. | |
without noticing, been robbed of data on a billion users capped | :10:34. | :10:36. | |
a year in which hacking has rarely The idea that the Russians might | :10:37. | :10:39. | |
try to steal emails in order to discredit a candidate | :10:40. | :10:43. | |
in an American election would have Now it's what intelligence services | :10:44. | :10:46. | |
think actually happened. It's a development with all sorts | :10:47. | :10:53. | |
of implications, not least the questions it raises | :10:54. | :10:56. | |
for journalists about how Newsnight's editor Ian Katz, | :10:57. | :10:58. | |
who was involved in covering some of the biggest leaks of recent | :10:59. | :11:01. | |
years, dusted off his Our digital world is frighteningly | :11:02. | :11:22. | |
leaky. The medical records of top athletes, the internal debates of a | :11:23. | :11:27. | |
presidential campaign, scarcely a month goes by without some new cache | :11:28. | :11:33. | |
of sensitive data being thrown into the harsh glare of public scrutiny. | :11:34. | :11:38. | |
And, increasingly, it is states who are putting them there. It's a new | :11:39. | :11:44. | |
kind of information war. One that challenges the very idea of what | :11:45. | :11:49. | |
pre-assy means in a digital world. And one that poses new and difficult | :11:50. | :11:57. | |
questions for journalists. The President earlier this week | :11:58. | :11:59. | |
instructed the intelligence community to conduct a full review | :12:00. | :12:05. | |
of the pattern of malicious cyber activity related to our presidential | :12:06. | :12:10. | |
election cycle. An election full of twists has saved one of its most | :12:11. | :12:14. | |
breathtaking till last. A President-Elect is locked in a | :12:15. | :12:19. | |
stand-off with the CIA over whether Russia mounted a hacking campaign to | :12:20. | :12:24. | |
help put him in the White House. I think it's ridiculous. WikiLeaks | :12:25. | :12:29. | |
today released a brand new batch of hacked e-mail. Mira served as a | :12:30. | :12:36. | |
close aide to Hillary Clinton and was a confidante of John Pedester | :12:37. | :12:42. | |
who's hacked emails were leaked daily during the last weeks of | :12:43. | :12:48. | |
campaign. As the emails were leaked there were a string of awkward | :12:49. | :12:55. | |
headlines. Do we actually know who told Hillary she could use a private | :12:56. | :13:01. | |
e-mail and has that person been drawn and quartered? I was watching | :13:02. | :13:06. | |
TV. There was one of my emails on TV. The next day, a Twitter storm | :13:07. | :13:10. | |
developed because of something I'd said. It was just like, it became a | :13:11. | :13:18. | |
daily humiliation. Just ever-present terrible experience. It became one | :13:19. | :13:23. | |
where every morning I'd have to brace myself for some new e-mail | :13:24. | :13:31. | |
coming out in which I'd have to apologise to somebody or mostly deal | :13:32. | :13:36. | |
with people ruffling through your most private thoughts and sticking | :13:37. | :13:41. | |
them on the internet. It was the worst experience I've ever had | :13:42. | :13:45. | |
professionally. Whatever the precise intention of those behind the hack, | :13:46. | :13:50. | |
it. Anden has little doubt about its impacted. I believe the leak was a | :13:51. | :13:59. | |
large part of why Hillary had real problems with Millenials, which is | :14:00. | :14:04. | |
why she did not hit her targets in the three states Trump won. Could it | :14:05. | :14:07. | |
have been the difference? Absolutely. People have to live with | :14:08. | :14:13. | |
that. There's nothing new about states hacking system of other | :14:14. | :14:17. | |
states for commercial information and security secrets. And nothing | :14:18. | :14:24. | |
new about getting hold of embarrassing information to | :14:25. | :14:26. | |
discredit them. The Russians even have a word for it. What the latest | :14:27. | :14:32. | |
attacks have done is bring together these two tactics to create a new | :14:33. | :14:36. | |
one, the data leak has been weaponised. So, the from e-mail at | :14:37. | :14:41. | |
first glance looks like Google security. If you go into the text | :14:42. | :14:48. | |
behind the e-mail, you can see it's send from a Yandex e-mail account. | :14:49. | :14:52. | |
That's a Russian free mail web service. Tony is a former Pentagon | :14:53. | :14:57. | |
analysts who spends her time identifying new online threats. The | :14:58. | :15:04. | |
so-called spear fish Mel which caught out John Pedester was a scam | :15:05. | :15:08. | |
all e-mail users are familiar with. But it bore the digital fingerprints | :15:09. | :15:13. | |
of a hacking group linked to Russian intelligence. There's a brazenness | :15:14. | :15:17. | |
in the attacks we've seen this year that is has been surprising. The | :15:18. | :15:21. | |
Russians don't seem to care that this activity is being attributed to | :15:22. | :15:26. | |
them. There's also a meanness to it. They're willing to dump a tremendous | :15:27. | :15:31. | |
amount of personal and private information as part of these | :15:32. | :15:36. | |
attacks. These attacks have been attributed by the US Government as | :15:37. | :15:39. | |
something shared by the number of companies in the private sector. | :15:40. | :15:44. | |
Where does this leave reporters and editors who avenue always had to | :15:45. | :15:49. | |
think carefully about a source's motives. Five years ago I | :15:50. | :15:54. | |
collaborated with WikiLeaks to publish stories of thousands of | :15:55. | :15:59. | |
leaked US cables. Some criticised but few doubted the motivation of | :16:00. | :16:04. | |
the person who leaked them. Bradley, now Chelsea manning, was so | :16:05. | :16:09. | |
convinced she had to expose what she considered to be an abuse of power, | :16:10. | :16:14. | |
she was prepared to go to jail for it. But how should news | :16:15. | :16:20. | |
organisations behave when they're effectively handed thrives of | :16:21. | :16:26. | |
confidential information by foreign states with transpartent -- | :16:27. | :16:31. | |
transparent motives. Some say we're becoming useful idiots when we | :16:32. | :16:35. | |
publish damaging stories a hostile Government wants us to. What's to | :16:36. | :16:41. | |
become of a cycling super hero? We questioned with that on Newsnight | :16:42. | :16:44. | |
earlier this year. We ran a series of stories based on the medical | :16:45. | :16:49. | |
files of top athletes, files we were pretty sure had been hack hacked by | :16:50. | :16:54. | |
the Russians. It felt uneasy giving Moscow just what it wanted. But the | :16:55. | :17:00. | |
public interests in examining if one of Britain's sporting here rows had | :17:01. | :17:05. | |
broken the spirit of the rules if not the rules themselves was clear. | :17:06. | :17:12. | |
Not all the revelations in these leaks are quite as significant. | :17:13. | :17:16. | |
Thanks to Russian hackers, and a little help from chief stirrer | :17:17. | :17:22. | |
Julian Assange, I can now make a pretty pass able risotto. As John | :17:23. | :17:27. | |
Pedester said, it is all about adding the stock slowly. I also know | :17:28. | :17:36. | |
this time, thanks to the north Korean yaps, that Tom Hanks uses the | :17:37. | :17:44. | |
ail ya Johnny Madrid and Scot Ruden thinks Angelina Joel ary is a minute | :17:45. | :17:50. | |
imalley talented spoilt brat. The question is, have we become too | :17:51. | :17:55. | |
willing to serve up every tasty morsel provided by the hackers? | :17:56. | :18:00. | |
Perhaps, unsurprisingly, some of those who've seen their own private | :18:01. | :18:06. | |
communications sprayed across the internet, think it is. You have a | :18:07. | :18:09. | |
quote from someone about somebody else. Under the veneer of | :18:10. | :18:16. | |
journalism, reporters were totally trafficking in gossip. That's what | :18:17. | :18:20. | |
they were doing. The New York Times has run a string of stories this | :18:21. | :18:25. | |
year based on the Pedester emails and, before that, material hacked | :18:26. | :18:28. | |
from the democratic national committee. I asked the paper's | :18:29. | :18:35. | |
editor if the thought he might be doing Vladimir Putin's bidding keeps | :18:36. | :18:39. | |
him up at night? Sure it does. But it would keep me up at nice worse, | :18:40. | :18:46. | |
or at least longer, if I had information from a hack that I knew | :18:47. | :18:51. | |
was accurate that voters and citizens needed to know and I'm not | :18:52. | :18:55. | |
publishing because maybe it came from the Russians. I can't imagine a | :18:56. | :19:01. | |
slipperier slope than that. At what point is my safe at home filled with | :19:02. | :19:04. | |
information I can't report because I'm nervous about the source. If | :19:05. | :19:13. | |
someone had brought you a carton of papers, actual hard paper papers and | :19:14. | :19:20. | |
you knew for certain those were burgled from John Pedester's home, | :19:21. | :19:24. | |
would you treat those the same as a caceh of emails? That's a good and | :19:25. | :19:29. | |
hard question I've not had to confront yet. I would go through it. | :19:30. | :19:35. | |
If it was really significant and important, I would publish it. It | :19:36. | :19:39. | |
would make me nervous. I would admit to people how we got it. But I think | :19:40. | :19:47. | |
the information Trumps all. There's a powerful argument it doesn't | :19:48. | :19:50. | |
really matter how organisations like the New York Times and the BBC hack | :19:51. | :19:55. | |
material because in the Wild West of the internet, there'll always be | :19:56. | :19:59. | |
someone willing to publish. Some argue we should just accept there's | :20:00. | :20:04. | |
no such thing a prove assy in our digital lives. One high profile | :20:05. | :20:09. | |
victim of a major hack told me he communicates about all sensitive | :20:10. | :20:13. | |
matters by fax or phone. Kieran Martin is the man charged with | :20:14. | :20:17. | |
defending Britain against cyber attack. He's about to step out of | :20:18. | :20:25. | |
the shadows of GCHQ to lead the new cybersecurity centre. He told me | :20:26. | :20:29. | |
measures were taken to protect the British election from hackers but | :20:30. | :20:34. | |
there is a danger the recent US experience will inspire Ore tackers. | :20:35. | :20:38. | |
There are all sorts of threats from state cyber attackers. Threats to | :20:39. | :20:42. | |
critical national systems. Threats to our economic well-being through | :20:43. | :20:47. | |
commercial espionage. There may be a perception now this is a successful | :20:48. | :20:54. | |
model for intervention in societies such as ours and our allies and | :20:55. | :20:58. | |
that's something we need to be prepared to deal with. He insists | :20:59. | :21:04. | |
we're a long way from giving up on the idea of prove assy. Stealing | :21:05. | :21:07. | |
information for political, financial purposes is as old as human activity | :21:08. | :21:12. | |
itself. The digital world gives people an opportunity to do that on | :21:13. | :21:15. | |
a different scale. There's plenty to do to defend ourselves. We need a | :21:16. | :21:21. | |
demystify ourselves. If we wrap the problem in a shroud of mystique. | :21:22. | :21:26. | |
People eh people sitting at computers in far away places that | :21:27. | :21:31. | |
cannot be contested that is an incressbly damaging attitude to | :21:32. | :21:36. | |
take. Perhaps one detail of the US hacking story embodied the very | :21:37. | :21:43. | |
human vulnerability Martin and his counterparts can do little about. | :21:44. | :21:52. | |
When John Pedester received his mail, an aid and staffer replied | :21:53. | :21:56. | |
saying it was legitimate. It was a type owe. He meant to type | :21:57. | :22:03. | |
illegitimate. The course of mystery perhaps changed by two missing | :22:04. | :22:04. | |
letters. There an extended interview on | :22:05. | :22:18. | |
hacking on the Newsnight YouTube channel. | :22:19. | :22:21. | |
It'll be our last programme tomorrow, | :22:22. | :22:24. | |
There's always a tendency to think the moment we're living in | :22:25. | :22:28. | |
but this year has surely been dizzyingly interesting. | :22:29. | :22:33. | |
What's the right frame to view it through? | :22:34. | :22:37. | |
But first, how will historians look back on it? | :22:38. | :22:40. | |
We like to be first with the news, so I've been speaking to three, | :22:41. | :22:43. | |
to get an early draft on the year that was, in its own way, | :22:44. | :22:47. | |
President-Elect of the United States of America, Donald Trump. | :22:48. | :22:59. | |
The year could be remembered for lots of things. | :23:00. | :23:02. | |
The British people have made a very clear decision | :23:03. | :23:04. | |
Well, Lenin said there are decades when nothing happens | :23:05. | :23:09. | |
It was the year that globalisation went into reverse. | :23:10. | :23:17. | |
And the nation state reasserted itself | :23:18. | :23:18. | |
After decades of walls coming down... | :23:19. | :23:26. | |
..it was the year of barriers going up. | :23:27. | :23:29. | |
A year that nationalism and naked tribalism | :23:30. | :23:39. | |
I also want to fight for the preservation of our own identity. | :23:40. | :23:47. | |
A year that traditional politics and its parties began to fall apart. | :23:48. | :24:06. | |
Owen, you know perfectly well what the answer is - I voted remain. | :24:07. | :24:09. | |
I'm very surprised and actually quite disappointed | :24:10. | :24:11. | |
that you should even raise this question. | :24:12. | :24:13. | |
The year the truth became stretched | :24:14. | :24:14. | |
You bragged that you've sexually assaulted women. | :24:15. | :24:19. | |
I don't think you understood what was said. | :24:20. | :24:24. | |
Whether you like him or not, and I don't, | :24:25. | :24:34. | |
he is clearly an incredibly talented 21st-century communicator. | :24:35. | :24:36. | |
People will expect that from their leaders after 2016. | :24:37. | :24:39. | |
For me, 2016 has been something of a blur. | :24:40. | :24:42. | |
Not just a sense of events overtaking us. | :24:43. | :24:45. | |
they've just been rather important ones. | :24:46. | :24:49. | |
More a sense of assumptions changing. | :24:50. | :24:51. | |
For many, it's disorienting and they reach out for historical parallels. | :24:52. | :24:56. | |
Some reassuring ones or some obvious and rather dark ones. | :24:57. | :25:02. | |
The most commonly cited comparator is the 1930s. | :25:03. | :25:05. | |
You have outsider parties or outsider movements that arrive on | :25:06. | :25:18. | |
the political scene saying, we're not the same as other people, | :25:19. | :25:20. | |
that are not working for ordinary people. | :25:21. | :25:25. | |
That becomes enormously seductive to people who | :25:26. | :25:27. | |
do feel they've been left behind or their voices are disregarded. | :25:28. | :25:33. | |
It wasn't just the Nazis - Italy, Spain all had their fascists too. | :25:34. | :25:39. | |
There was Oswald Moseley in the UK and the | :25:40. | :25:41. | |
left-wing populist Huey Long over in the US. | :25:42. | :25:51. | |
Those outsider parties have been relatively contained in Western | :25:52. | :25:53. | |
democracies since the end of the Second World War. | :25:54. | :25:55. | |
And they're here and we're very worried about them. | :25:56. | :26:02. | |
The '30s can also be remembered for a US-led | :26:03. | :26:04. | |
adding to the disintegration of international co-operation. | :26:05. | :26:09. | |
But I also think issues are very tricky at | :26:10. | :26:12. | |
the moment in terms of the breakdown of what have been very, very secure | :26:13. | :26:15. | |
Especially the EU, Nato, for all its faults. | :26:16. | :26:23. | |
And these seem to be under great pressure. | :26:24. | :26:26. | |
If you lose the structures of international collaboration, | :26:27. | :26:29. | |
such as they are, which allow people to think collectively | :26:30. | :26:31. | |
or to think internationally, then, it is lost. | :26:32. | :26:36. | |
internationalists were very, very difficult to find. | :26:37. | :26:40. | |
VOICE-OVER: A vast pro-Nazi gathering, | :26:41. | :26:44. | |
carrying on the pro-Nazi campaign of back to Germany. | :26:45. | :26:47. | |
But historians are never keen on glib comparisons, | :26:48. | :26:51. | |
By reaching for the most familiar piece of history, | :26:52. | :26:54. | |
We have to be very careful of this 1930s comparisons. | :26:55. | :27:02. | |
The fact is, it's the only history taught in our schools. | :27:03. | :27:05. | |
It's the only history anyone knows anymore. | :27:06. | :27:07. | |
There are no militarised paramilitary organisations as there | :27:08. | :27:15. | |
were in the 1930s, that really characterised 1930s. | :27:16. | :27:21. | |
There aren't Stormtroopers or Blackshirts. | :27:22. | :27:22. | |
This is, in many ways, the working of democracy. | :27:23. | :27:31. | |
The working of democracy in the sense that? | :27:32. | :27:33. | |
One of the great things about democracy is it reflects | :27:34. | :27:39. | |
And they can make changes, radical changes, | :27:40. | :27:43. | |
without having to turn to revolutionary violence. | :27:44. | :27:48. | |
One of the roles of the media has to be not to | :27:49. | :27:51. | |
indulge in hyperbolic Hitler-spotting. | :27:52. | :27:59. | |
Perhaps then the year should be seen as one in which the elite were | :28:00. | :28:08. | |
overthrown. I don't think it's so much the 1930s. Perhaps the 1830s is | :28:09. | :28:12. | |
a better one. Then you have the Chancellor of Austria, the prince, | :28:13. | :28:18. | |
and a group of like-minded monks and statesmen actually deciding what was | :28:19. | :28:23. | |
good for Europe for 30 or 40 or 50 years, and they believed, a bit like | :28:24. | :28:30. | |
the EU elite today, that they were absolutely right, there was no other | :28:31. | :28:35. | |
way but their way, and of course gradually bubbling under was | :28:36. | :28:38. | |
resistance to this, so maybe the 1830s instead of the 1930s. It's | :28:39. | :28:45. | |
hard to make sense of 2016. The end of one kind of order but we haven't | :28:46. | :28:48. | |
yet seen the construction of a new one. | :28:49. | :28:56. | |
Two or three times you get a junction in the court -- course of | :28:57. | :29:01. | |
history. And we had one. In the confusion of different directions. | :29:02. | :29:03. | |
And that explains many of the contradictions we are seeing. Donald | :29:04. | :29:08. | |
Trump getting the support of Americans are -- American | :29:09. | :29:12. | |
Conservatives even though he's not a Conservative. He's an | :29:13. | :29:16. | |
interventionist. Brexit. A vote against globalisation, and yet the | :29:17. | :29:20. | |
Brexiteers say that we are going to become a beacon of global free | :29:21. | :29:26. | |
trade. We all are over the place and a complete mess. | :29:27. | :29:30. | |
So perhaps there are useful parallels to be drawn between the | :29:31. | :29:33. | |
messy upsets that come along every now and then in the form of | :29:34. | :29:38. | |
revolutions. Lenin definitely would have recognised this as a | :29:39. | :29:41. | |
revolutionary moment and he would have found a way of seizing on it. | :29:42. | :29:46. | |
Revolutions happen when assumptions that generations have had for very | :29:47. | :29:50. | |
long periods have broken down and people no longer believe in them. We | :29:51. | :29:58. | |
are seeing that very much in 2016. Russia, of course, had two | :29:59. | :30:02. | |
revolutions in 1917. One overthrew the Czar and the odd assumptions. It | :30:03. | :30:07. | |
was the second, months later, that saw an opportunistic Lenin grabbed | :30:08. | :30:12. | |
power. He promised people everything and anything. He lied unashamedly. | :30:13. | :30:20. | |
He identified a scapegoat that he could then blame for everything. He | :30:21. | :30:26. | |
used the word "Elite" a lot. He said people had heard too much from | :30:27. | :30:30. | |
experts. One feature of the current situation is not that events are | :30:31. | :30:36. | |
just unpredictable, but that you can get perverse outcomes. Democracy has | :30:37. | :30:40. | |
its foibles and the public can get things that perhaps they never | :30:41. | :30:43. | |
really intended. You can have a binary vote, very evenly matched, | :30:44. | :30:50. | |
but then that leads to quite an extreme outcome. Public preferences | :30:51. | :30:53. | |
are quite complicated things. We all want the public to have their say | :30:54. | :30:57. | |
but the challenge is to reduce that down to something simple while | :30:58. | :31:02. | |
capturing some of the nuance, and to make sure that in the process the | :31:03. | :31:05. | |
public does get what it really wants. | :31:06. | :31:11. | |
Can the outcome sometimes be very perverse? That there is a sort of... | :31:12. | :31:15. | |
The intended outcome of the revolution is not where the | :31:16. | :31:20. | |
revolution ends up? Yes! One obvious one is the French Revolution. One of | :31:21. | :31:24. | |
the most famous of them all, when they wanted to get rid of a king and | :31:25. | :31:27. | |
ended up ten years later with an Emperor! Hitler was called to become | :31:28. | :31:34. | |
Chancellor in 1933 and at that time he was intended to be the puppet of | :31:35. | :31:38. | |
right wing Conservatives, and of course within weeks, he was out of | :31:39. | :31:42. | |
control. So there is an unintended consequence of a major, major sort. | :31:43. | :31:51. | |
1830s, 1917, 19 30s. Each history has something useful to say but none | :31:52. | :31:54. | |
can really tell us where 2016 will lead. I don't think you've had the | :31:55. | :32:00. | |
revolution yet, Evan. If the revolution is coming will know about | :32:01. | :32:05. | |
it. It won't just be two unexpected elections. This is not 1917. This is | :32:06. | :32:12. | |
the year democracy actually spoke. Comeback in 100 years and I'll tell | :32:13. | :32:13. | |
you about 2016! Mary Kaldor is from | :32:14. | :32:16. | |
the London School of Economics and John Fredricks is a Talk Radio | :32:17. | :32:18. | |
host and joins us from Virginia. Mary, do you find yourself at all | :32:19. | :32:30. | |
attracted to any comparisons to the 1930s, or are you Hitler-spotting if | :32:31. | :32:34. | |
you look for them? There are two comparisons. This sense of | :32:35. | :32:38. | |
foreboding. This sense we're in a phoney war and we haven't really | :32:39. | :32:43. | |
felt the effects of Brexit and Donald Trump. And that something bad | :32:44. | :32:48. | |
is going to happen. The other is this is all about the crisis of | :32:49. | :32:54. | |
political representation. What is really disturbing, which ask is what | :32:55. | :32:58. | |
happened in the thirties, is the way the opposition a caving in. You see | :32:59. | :33:03. | |
the opposition on Brexit in this country, is totally accepting | :33:04. | :33:07. | |
Brexit. Nobody is saying, look, we may have voted for Brexit but it's | :33:08. | :33:12. | |
really bad for us. Everyone is caving in on immigration. We can't | :33:13. | :33:17. | |
actually control immigration. If the opposition goes on and agrees to | :33:18. | :33:21. | |
talk about control of immigration, it just feeds of right-wing | :33:22. | :33:27. | |
discourse. And, more alarmingly, I think, it legitimises the growth of | :33:28. | :33:31. | |
hate crime. I'm really nervous about where it will lead. We won't be able | :33:32. | :33:36. | |
to control immigration. I think it could lead to really dangerous | :33:37. | :33:41. | |
racism and violence in the future. That's a pessimistic view. John | :33:42. | :33:45. | |
Fredricks. You're not in that camp. What do you think about people who | :33:46. | :33:52. | |
evoke the 1930s at this point? Even, first of all, thanks for having me. | :33:53. | :33:58. | |
Mary just gave you the view of the globalist elitist who don't really | :33:59. | :34:01. | |
understand what's going on across the world. First of all, this has | :34:02. | :34:07. | |
nothing to do with the 1930s movement towards fascism. That was | :34:08. | :34:13. | |
about nationalism. This is about Severnity and jobs. This is a | :34:14. | :34:19. | |
workers revolution. Has nothing to do with ethnicity or race. It is not | :34:20. | :34:26. | |
a revolution of nationalism, it's a work lash. This is about jobs. | :34:27. | :34:32. | |
People in various countries, they want their countries back. They've | :34:33. | :34:37. | |
seen their jobs shipped all over the globe because the elite, globalist | :34:38. | :34:42. | |
international gangsters bangster network has scoured the earth for | :34:43. | :34:51. | |
cheap labour and shipped their jobs everywhere or they've let I will | :34:52. | :34:54. | |
leaguals come in to take their jobs. This has nothing to do with anything | :34:55. | :34:59. | |
accept people wanting jobs. Let me tell you something, with all the | :35:00. | :35:05. | |
talk about whatever Mary was saying, the elitist gobble de gook you just | :35:06. | :35:10. | |
heard, let me tell you something, economic prosperity and jobs is the | :35:11. | :35:14. | |
great equaliser. The great unifier. A pay cheque has no ideology. | :35:15. | :35:22. | |
Putting... John, can I come in... Very briefly. You're saying it is an | :35:23. | :35:28. | |
anti-globalisation thing but it's not a nationalism thing? That's | :35:29. | :35:34. | |
quite a subtle distinction. What's the difference between wanting your | :35:35. | :35:39. | |
country back, making America grate again and being a nationalist? | :35:40. | :35:44. | |
Because it's not about America. It's about American jobs. OK. That's | :35:45. | :35:50. | |
good. This is a jobs revolution. OK. Mary? I completely agree that this | :35:51. | :35:59. | |
was an anguished vote of those left behind by globalisation. But the | :36:00. | :36:04. | |
answer to that cannot be nationalism. The answer has to be in | :36:05. | :36:10. | |
Terre nationalism. It has to be dealing with those multinational | :36:11. | :36:13. | |
corporations and taxing their safe havens which is what the European | :36:14. | :36:17. | |
Union does. Regulating financial speculation. If we really want big | :36:18. | :36:22. | |
programmes of sub lick spending in a globalised world, we can only do it | :36:23. | :36:26. | |
through institutions like the European Union. And, so to argue | :36:27. | :36:31. | |
this is an answer to the problem is crazy. Look, can I suggest what this | :36:32. | :36:37. | |
year has been is a collapse of left/right dichotomy. What we have | :36:38. | :36:44. | |
now represented here in this discussion is a new dichotomy. Open | :36:45. | :36:48. | |
to the world. International collaboration is the solution to the | :36:49. | :36:52. | |
nation state being the answer to the world's problems. John, you're | :36:53. | :36:57. | |
basically, it's not really a right-wing or left-wing thing | :36:58. | :37:03. | |
anymore. I can't place Donald Trump. He's an interventionists difficult | :37:04. | :37:08. | |
to place. We know where he stands on the national versus globalism | :37:09. | :37:13. | |
spectrum. Is that fair as to where politics as moved, John? Evan, | :37:14. | :37:18. | |
you're right. This is a transformational president. | :37:19. | :37:23. | |
President-elect trump is transforming the hub can party in | :37:24. | :37:27. | |
America. The real bottom line to this is, I disagree with Mary on | :37:28. | :37:34. | |
this, Mary, what this whole movement is about across the globe, both in | :37:35. | :37:40. | |
the UK and France, just happened in the United States, is people want | :37:41. | :37:47. | |
their countries back but it's not a movement of nationalism. It's a | :37:48. | :37:56. | |
movement of protecting jobs. The international bankster network | :37:57. | :37:59. | |
scours the earth for cheap slave labour in order to cut out workers | :38:00. | :38:07. | |
that make a decent wage. When you get down to it, this whole argument, | :38:08. | :38:12. | |
everything that's happening, the reaction is to the globalist search | :38:13. | :38:19. | |
for cheap slave labour and they cut out the jobs of people in those | :38:20. | :38:23. | |
sovereign nations. So, I want to stop this. Get my jobs back. Mary, I | :38:24. | :38:30. | |
think of you as a liberal left-leaning person. John is | :38:31. | :38:33. | |
sounding so much more left-wing than you do. Almost a Marxist, this is a | :38:34. | :38:41. | |
capitalist not almost to drive wages down? I don't disagree with him | :38:42. | :38:48. | |
about globalisation. But I think globalisation has also brought huge | :38:49. | :38:52. | |
benefits. The problem is, we've had dramatic economic growth. But it's | :38:53. | :38:59. | |
only benefitted the rich. If we want, we can't go backwards on | :39:00. | :39:04. | |
globalisation. Globalisation is not just about multinational | :39:05. | :39:07. | |
corporations and free trade. It's about international communication. | :39:08. | :39:12. | |
It's about inter dependence. So, if we want to do anything about it, the | :39:13. | :39:19. | |
only way is by having a say. Taming it by international co-operation? | :39:20. | :39:25. | |
Yes. And, by the way, I want to add, it's rubbish to say it's not | :39:26. | :39:30. | |
nationalism. That stuff about making America great again, not allowing | :39:31. | :39:34. | |
Muslims into the United States, that is not just about jobs. That's pure | :39:35. | :39:39. | |
racism. I think we've lost John. At this point we need to stop anyway. | :39:40. | :39:44. | |
Mary, thank you. John, we might have lost the sound feed to you, | :39:45. | :39:47. | |
annoyingly. Your point was well made. | :39:48. | :39:48. | |
But before we go, we couldn't leave you without marking the 250th | :39:49. | :39:53. | |
They began life in the mid-1700s, when so-called "dissecting puzzles" | :39:54. | :40:01. | |
were handmade by cartographers to help teach children about maps, | :40:02. | :40:05. | |
and really took off at the turn of the last century after production | :40:06. | :40:08. | |
was sped up by the invention of a new mechanical saw known as - | :40:09. | :40:12. | |
An exhibition celebrating the puzzles opened today | :40:13. | :40:17. | |
at the Museum of Brands, Packaging and Advertising in London. | :40:18. | :40:20. | |
Anyway, here's what a Newsnight jigsaw might look like. | :40:21. | :40:23. | |
We got our resident hand model to solve it for us. | :40:24. | :40:26. | |
Hello. Still no sign of anything particularly cold on the horizon. A | :40:27. | :41:25. | |
mild start to the day tomorrow. Rain for Northern Ireland pushing into | :41:26. | :41:26. |