09/01/2017 Newsnight


09/01/2017

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LineFromTo

Now it's time for Newsnight

with Evan Davis.

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Spot the difference -

new cabinet - old cabinet.

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Yes, we struggled as well.

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A two-day reshuffle,

and quite a bit of a kerfuffle.

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But it leaves government disrupted

but not altogether relaunched.

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The Prime Minister has been

struggling with a pretty tough

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joint, that is raising questions

about her mastery of some

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pretty basic skills.

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Was it much ado about nothing?

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Or can it reset the Conservative's

overall direction?

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With talks between the north

and south, we'll examine the search

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for peace on the Korean peninsula.

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In the Middle East we will examine

Iran's foreign policy.

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It's accused of not

searching for peace.

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Iranian expansionism

is extraordinarily dangerous.

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First of all, they have Shia groups

throughout the region they can rely

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on that they can, if you will,

convert, or infiltrate.

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Also tonight, Toby Young steps down.

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Virgin West Coast says it will no

longer sell the Daily Mail

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on its trains.

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It seems a culture war

is raging in the UK.

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James Delingpole and Paris Lees

will tell us whether it needs to be

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conducted with quite

so much vitriol.

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Hello.

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It's done, after two days,

government has been

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reshuffled and reshaped.

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124 jobs in government,

including junior ministers and whips

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and all the hangers on -

and about a third of those have been

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moved or are new.

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Including moves for some names

you might recognise,

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including Jo Johnson

and Rory Stewart who were shunted

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from jobs in their comfort

zone, to jobs elsewhere.

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Two important critiques

of the reshuffle are emerging though

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- the Prime Minister has said

that it makes government look

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like the people it serves,

but that is not quite true

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of the cabinet, which is a little

more public school and a bit more

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Oxbridge than it was and has

no more women in it.

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The other point, made

by the Institute for Government,

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is about the disruption to business.

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In nearly every department,

half or more of ministers have now

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been in their post

for less than a year.

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The heart of government,

which is the Cabinet Office

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will have an entirely new team.

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For what?

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Was it all worth it?

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Well, Nick Watt our

political editor is here.

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Let's talk about the handling today,

because yesterday it came

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in for quite a bit of criticism.

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It has been a tale of two

reshuffles, there is a feeling

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in the Cabinet that yesterday,

which was about the Cabinet,

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was not one of the Prime Minister's

most glorious moments with those

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ministers resisting her.

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I've been hearing scathing words

like chaotic, the Prime Minister has

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no authority, and she

can't even sack people.

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That's the Cabinet.

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Today she had a much better story

when she started moving

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through the junior and middle

ranking levels of government

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and Downing Street is saying

that the Prime Minister has created

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what they believe is one of the most

diverse governments in the history

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of this country, 37 women ministers

and nine ministers from black

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and minority ethnic backgrounds.

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I talked to a Cabinet minister

who said look at the whips office,

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six recently elected women MPs

brought into the whips office.

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They were saying it's not that long

ago that there were no women

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in the whips office and it was run

like a military operation,

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orders were barked.

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You can't do that in

the modern world so this

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is a modern whips office.

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There were some strange moves,

I mentioned Rory Stewart

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and Jo Johnson, people said wife

move them from jobs that seemed

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to be jobs they were familiar

with two things that

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are not experts on.

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Some people are spotting

a plot on the backbenches.

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What the Prime Minister did

was create a praetorian guard

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around her and then clipped

the wings of anyone who might

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possibly be seen as a

potential challenger.

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Dominic Raab, given this important

job as housing minister,

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but that is seen by these

people as a hospital pass.

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Will he ever get to grips with this

issue that nobody seems to get

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to grips with?

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Rory Stewart taken out

of the comfort zone of Africa

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to the Ministry of Justice,

somebody who made his name

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as a governor of an Iraqi province.

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And Justine Greening,

comprehensive educated Yorkshire

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woman, given an offer yesterday

that she couldn't take her mind

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off she goes.

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I've really been looking

at what Theresa May was trying

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to achieve in this

troubled reshuffle.

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Most prime ministers

are reluctant butchers.

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Margaret Thatcher lamented how

in her Downing Street years she had

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been obliged to learn the craft

of carving the joint.

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So, just how skilled

a butcher is Theresa May?

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Well, in this rather

elongated reshuffle,

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she's been struggling

with a pretty tough joint,

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and that's raising questions

about her mastery of some pretty

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basic prime ministerial skills.

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If prime ministers red reshuffles

so much, what exactly is Theresa May

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seeking to achieve here?

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Well, the answer lies in one date,

June the 8th, the Prime Minister

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is seeking to respond to the Tories'

surprise electoral setback

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by shifting the dial in three ways.

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In the first place,

she wants to restore her

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own political authority.

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Then she wants to show a more

diverse Conservative Party

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to the country.

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And finally, she wants to respond

to the concerns of voters who gave

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the Tories such a bloody

nose back in June.

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The Prime Minister gave

the impression yesterday

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that she was unable to carve key

sections of the joint after Cabinet

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ministers challenged

some of her plans.

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Tory MPs claim that the reshuffle

has exposed grave weaknesses

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in her operation, though MPs

now say she did stage

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a strong recovery today.

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Expectations were far too high

on the run in because I always

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thought it would be a moderate

reshuffle, only two or three

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jobs needed changing.

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Every reshuffle I'd ever seen

hits a problem somewhere

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when administered doesn't want to go

somewhere and they want to keep them

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in the Cabinet, which happened here.

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-- when a minister.

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Suella Fernandes, who has

coordinated the main backbench

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Brexit group takes her first step

on the ministerial ladder

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in the Brexit department.

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Other new ministers include the QC

Lucy Frazer, who becomes a justice

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minister and a former

entrepreneur Rishi Sunak,

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who joins the housing ministry.

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The Prime Minister invited a record

number of women appointed

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to the whips office

to Downing Street, and No 10 says

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Theresa May has created one

of the most diverse governments ever

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with 37 women and nine ministers

from minority ethnic backgrounds.

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It's probably the most diverse

governments Britain has ever had,

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that's a good thing.

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But more importantly,

the reshuffle is pretty much over,

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senior Cabinet level right the way

through to junior ministerial roles,

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we've got some really good

high-quality people.

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The Tories were shaken by the way

in which voters from their mid-40s

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downwards preferred Labour

in the election, with concerns over

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housing a key grievance

amongst younger voters,

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there is a renewed focus on this

in a newly rebranded department.

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All age groups in that election

will also alarmed by the confusion

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over social care, so Jeremy Hunt

takes overall control

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of that policy.

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The challenge will be to show

that these changes amount to more

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than shiny new

departmental nameplates.

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While the Prime Minister has been

panned for tinkering

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with her Cabinet, in this reshuffle

she has gone further

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than the limited changes

she made in the summer.

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So, progress since her Midsummer

nightmare when her first

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priority was survival.

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But this is still not

Theresa May's ideal reshuffle.

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Had she done better in the general

election there would have been

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changes at the most senior

level of the Cabinet.

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The Prime Minister tied up the loose

ends of her reshuffle this evening.

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The troubled Cabinet changes show

Theresa May cannot altogether escape

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the shadow of the election

but at junior levels

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there was a more decisive

Prime Minister on display.

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Nick Watt with an Atkins

diet metaphor as well.

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I'm joined by Kelly Tolhurst,

Tory MP for Rochester in Kent

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and as of today an assistant

government whip.

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One of those ones that Nick

was referring to earlier.

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And in a moment I'll be speaking

to Camilla Cavendish,

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director of the 10 Downing Street

policy unit under David Cameron

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and to the journalist Paul Mason.

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Good evening to you all.

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Kelly, can we start with you?

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It's interesting they have put

you up, the government have chosen

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to put you up to speak

for the government today,

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working-class background,

not one of these Oxbridge posh boys

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in the Cabinet, do you think this

is a time for the party to try

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and put forward a different face?

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Well, I think, for me,

I'm a conservative and always have

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been and I have become

a Conservative MP, and for me

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I think the last two days,

especially what has happened today,

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has shown really what the true

Conservative Parliamentary party now

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is, and they do include people

like myself, and it's been really

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good to be given the opportunity

to go into the whips

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office this afternoon.

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Theresa May explicitly said one

of the objectives and achievements

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of this was to create

a government that looks more

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like the country serves.

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Last count there were more than 30,

30 5% women in the country.

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Are you happy with

the way that's gone?

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I think we have got record numbers

for us women into government

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positions.

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Is more reflective of

the people we serve.

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It's true we need to do more

but today is a great step forward

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and I think with what's happened

in the whips office,

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it is a real indicator to show

that that's changing.

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In fairness, you don't really get

to speak on any issue

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in the whips office.

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Cabinet average age, 51,

it was 52, not much changed.

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In the Cabinet there is want black

or ethnic minority member

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of the Cabinet.

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48% Oxbridge, 34% went

to a public school.

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Does it make sense to sort of shout

about how you are creating

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a government that looks

like the country serves,

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if you've got 34% public school

people in the Cabinet, 48% Oxbridge?

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Is that a thing to shout about?

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Well, I think we need to look

at the government positions

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as a whole, and also look

at the people that came in in 2015

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and have come in this year,

and myself, having not been

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to university, and had

the opportunities to work hard,

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and to become a member

of Parliament, there are more people

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like me that came in in 2015

and I think if you look at this

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as a whole we are from a more

diverse background, therefore I do

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think some of the changes

are reflected.

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Is your line that this

will pass through?

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That the Conservative Party,

at the moment boasting around done

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about its government's

representative nurse

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when it is half public school?

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The parliament to party has changed

significantly in the last two years

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with the 2015 intake and 17.

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Today's appointments have made

a difference and I think

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we are moving forward.

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The big mission is about

rejuvenating this government,

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we know Brexit has got to be done

and Theresa May wants

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to move beyond Brexit.

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In a couple of sentences,

what is the big idea,

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apart from Brexit?

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What are you going to do?

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Well, the government is committed

to delivering Brexit,

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it's massively important.

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Apart from Brexit?

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My constituency is still the focus

but we have also said,

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and Theresa May has been clear,

we cannot forget that domestic

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agenda and there are things

like the NHS, the environment.

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What are you going to do?

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Well, one of the things

we are doing is focusing,

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as you know, we have been speaking

about the NHS and winter crisis over

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the last couple of days.

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It is something we are looking at.

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Kelly, I'm so sorry,

but speaking about the NHS...

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You are struggling to say

what the big mission is.

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There must be some sort of...

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Has the party been told this

is what our priority is?

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Reinventing capitalism

and we are going to do these 100

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things, or build

a powerhouse in the North?

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Saying we are going

to talk about the NHS.

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It's one of the things that matter

to the people of this country

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and one of the things about this

Cabinet reshuffle has been

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about having the reshuffle

and being very clear,

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the Prime Minister has

been very clear about

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what she wants to deliver.

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It's not just Brexit, absolutely,

it is still the main focus,

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but it is around working

towards those things that matter

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to people domestic is.

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to people domestically.

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With the greatest respect,

I've tried giving you a chance

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to say what the mission is,

and the fact that you are sort

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of struggling to say what it is,

or am I just being unfair?

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Well, I think maybe

you're being unfair?

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We've been clear about what we want

to do, there are key thing is,

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we can list them for you,

we need to make sure the economy

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continues to grow, we want people

to be getting opportunities to have

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better paid jobs.

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We've had the industrial strategy

just recently announced.

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That is massively important for

certain areas of the United Kingdom

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and the economy.

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The NHS is included in that.

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There are a number of things

that we have been clear

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on and our Prime Minister has been

very clear about command the last

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two days and changes that have been

made will hopefully drive forward.

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Please stay there.

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Let me turn to our other two guests

because the big question is,

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does this reset the

Conservative Party?

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No.

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I think today was

better than yesterday.

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What this reflects is,

we have a Prime Minister leading

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a minority government.

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She was never going to be

able to do a reshuffle.

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They have to fill in the gaps

in the domestic policy agenda

0:14:500:14:53

and make good on the speech she made

at the beginning of this

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about social justice

and managing that.

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That means they have to do

much more on housing.

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It would be great if they could

integrate the NHS and social care.

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There are a whole series

of unfinished things that need to be

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done, partly because of Brexit

but partly because of drift.

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Whitehall have been virtually

frozen for 18 months.

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The question about this we shuffle

is, can some of these people...

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Some of the junior

people are really good.

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Can they unfreeze the system

or is the shadow of Brexit

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going to loom over them?

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I congratulate Theresa May

for appointing a diverse junior

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layer of the Cabinet.

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They will find out how little power

you have as a junior minister

0:15:420:15:46

but how hard it is to get things

done if you are not part

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of the inner elite that runs

Britain, from which the core

0:15:500:15:53

of the front bench is drawn.

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The Oxbridge set of people.

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They don't just wield political

power, they wheeled social power.

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The whole Toby Young episode.

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This is like the BBC.

We did a

survey on this programme and it was

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worse when I worked here. This was

an attempt by Joe Johnson to stick

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it to student unions and have a good

go at them, like Donald Trump, and

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have a go at them on the right wing

agenda. That is the agenda of the

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elite Tory Party we are dealing

with. Welcome to reality for all the

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black ethnic minority and women

who want to bring the normal world

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into the Tory world.

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Can I just butt in on that?

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That is not the party I recognised.

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I don't recognise your sort of

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As a backbencher, I have

had many opportunities

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to influence from within.

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I don't want

to only talk about this. The

0:17:130:17:24

handling of the reshuffle,

the fact that it was perceived to be

0:17:240:17:27

botched yesterday,

what does it tell us

0:17:280:17:29

about the Downing Street operation?

0:17:290:17:31

There was a famous story about Tony

Blair and a guy I have forgotten.

0:17:310:17:34

Moving round the whiteboard and his

name came off. He never got into the

0:17:350:17:46

Cabinet because his name fell off.

0:17:460:17:48

Perculiar and arbitrary.

0:17:480:17:49

That said, the media management was

0:17:490:17:50

a bit surprising. Theresa May as

Home Secretary I always admired. She

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did not like all this presentation

stuff will stop when you get into

0:17:540:18:09

Number 10 you need to do the stuff

properly. Unfortunately they

0:18:090:18:12

oversold the idea that big beasts

would be moved in this be a huge

0:18:120:18:15

clear out of the new generation. She

has not brought in Mercer, who is

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regarded as a future leader. It

looks a bit limp.

Where does Theresa

0:18:190:18:23

May go from here?

0:18:230:18:24

The problem she has

is it is an Administration,

0:18:240:18:26

you need an overarching,

moral purpose.

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She cannot write the idea

0:18:280:18:29

down which is what does Britain

looks like after Brexit? The cabinet

0:18:300:18:33

would then split, you can do more

if you have a moral purpose.

0:18:330:18:42

The problem is

0:18:420:18:43

identifying just about struggling

people, managing people, is not

0:18:430:18:48

identify what you will do for them.

Right now we all know you are

0:18:480:18:54

absolutely right to raise the NHS,

it is on everybody's minds.

0:18:540:19:10

A guy who has overseen

the cancellation of

0:19:100:19:12

non-urgent operations was

reappointed with more power because

0:19:120:19:14

Theresa May did not have enough

power to sack him. Insofar as people

0:19:140:19:18

are seeing politics, no one is

obsessed with who is a junior

0:19:180:19:21

minister but they are concerned that

relatives being left on trolleys and

0:19:210:19:24

being made to wait in waiting rooms.

0:19:240:19:26

The person was promoted.

0:19:260:19:27

That was done by NHS England.

0:19:270:19:29

That is the sort of human shield

for the Government, isn't it?

0:19:290:19:32

Because of the Tories act in 2012

Jeremy Hunt had less power

0:19:320:19:35

than he should have.

0:19:350:19:37

You have to integrate the NHS...

0:19:370:19:41

How long have they been

in power to do that?

0:19:410:19:47

It is whether the budget

and the money will move

0:19:470:19:50

with the title.

0:19:500:19:54

Would you like the idea

of combining, integrating health

0:19:540:19:56

and social care?

0:19:560:19:57

That was in the name they gave

0:19:570:19:59

Jeremy Hunt yesterday. Is it just a

0:19:590:20:01

name or something substantive going

on?

0:20:010:20:08

It was right that change was

0:20:090:20:11

made. There is a correlation between

the two and the two have to work

0:20:110:20:15

together. The biggest challenge we

have as the NHS, as the population

0:20:150:20:26

grows and the treatment gets better,

the pressures on the NHS continue.

0:20:260:20:29

Going forward we are looking at

those areas combining and the Health

0:20:290:20:32

Secretary has an opportunity to make

the changes where he feels he is

0:20:320:20:36

needed.

We really do need to leave

it there. Thank you.

0:20:360:20:39

It's been a busy day in Panmunjom,

the so-called "peace village"

0:20:390:20:42

in the demilitarised zone

on the border of North

0:20:420:20:44

and South Korea.

0:20:440:20:50

There have been talks

there today, between the two

0:20:500:20:54

countries and they appear

to have gone smoothly.

0:20:540:20:56

Five officials on each side

attended, apparently

0:20:560:20:58

with a CCTV feed to the leaders

of the countries.

0:20:580:21:01

Now when enemies want to bury

the hatchet, they often start

0:21:010:21:04

with little gestures,

and avoid raising the things

0:21:040:21:06

that have divided them.

0:21:060:21:07

So it is with the North and South,

not agreeing the big stuff,

0:21:070:21:11

that North will throw

away its nuclear weapons.

0:21:110:21:13

But agreeing that the North

will take part in the

0:21:130:21:15

forthcoming winter Olympics.

0:21:160:21:16

There was more to it than that -

but is it a real step to stability?

0:21:160:21:21

Our diplomatic editor

Mark Urban reports.

0:21:210:21:22

Well, this is something,

surely, a thaw of sorts.

0:21:220:21:29

Face to face talks, a commitment

from the North to send cheerleaders

0:21:300:21:33

and athletes to the Winter Olympics,

and a resumption of schemes

0:21:330:21:36

to reunify families

divided by the Korean War.

0:21:360:21:38

Kim Jong-un is on a charm offensive.

0:21:380:21:40

The Panmunjom talks are the only

game in town right now.

0:21:400:21:43

And I think the South Koreans

would do well to try

0:21:430:21:46

to keep them going.

0:21:460:21:48

There are a lot of issues that are

Peninsula issues and that the US

0:21:480:21:52

should be careful not

to appear to be thwarting.

0:21:520:21:55

If there's a perception

in South Korea that the US is

0:21:550:21:58

keeping South Korea away

from its northern cousins

0:21:580:22:05

for the purpose of family

unification and issues like that,

0:22:050:22:08

I don't think that will help the US.

0:22:080:22:10

With just a couple of days

until the opening of the Winter

0:22:100:22:13

Games in South Korea,

the venues are ready

0:22:130:22:16

in the world is watching.

0:22:160:22:17

North Korea now says it

will send delegates,

0:22:170:22:19

as it did to the 2006

Olympics and World Cup.

0:22:190:22:29

And for the South, this is a timely

gesture that just might unlock

0:22:300:22:33

the bigger issues at stake.

0:22:330:22:34

I believe we can make

the Pyeongchang Winter Olympics as a

0:22:340:22:37

kind of turning point in

the escalating tension on the Korean

0:22:370:22:40

peninsula and engaging

in a direct dialogue

0:22:400:22:42

and exchanges with the North,

and further creating

0:22:420:22:44

an environment conducive to more

0:22:440:22:46

serious negotiation on nuclear

and ballistic missile issues.

0:22:460:22:56

But lest we thought

peace was about to break

0:22:560:22:58

out, North Korean officials

delivered another message today,

0:22:580:23:00

telling southern counterparts that

Kim's nuclear weapons target only

0:23:000:23:03

America and not the South.

0:23:030:23:11

A version of an old

mantra designed to sow

0:23:110:23:14

divisions between America

and its Korean ally.

0:23:140:23:16

I think it's a pretty typical ploy.

0:23:170:23:20

You have to bear in mind

the North Korean view of South

0:23:200:23:23

Korea - South Koreans are great

except that they are dominated by

0:23:230:23:27

their puppet master,

the United States, and don't stomach

0:23:270:23:29

if only the puppet master

were removed,

0:23:290:23:31

South Korea and North Korea

would have a terrific relationship.

0:23:310:23:34

But if the Americans are suspicious,

what about Moon Jae-in,

0:23:340:23:37

South Korea's President

and long an advocate

0:23:370:23:38

of better relations with the North?

0:23:390:23:51

The South Korean President Moon has

for decades been for improved

0:23:510:23:54

relations between North and South,

for engagement between North

0:23:540:23:57

and South, which is very

much on a different

0:23:570:23:59

page than President Trump

and his preference for maximum

0:23:590:24:02

pressure on North Korea.

0:24:020:24:04

Today's North Korean initiative

hasn't met with universal approval.

0:24:040:24:07

Even in the South, where some

people demonstrated

0:24:070:24:09

against improved relations.

0:24:090:24:12

When the Winter Olympics are over

the nuclear issue will

0:24:120:24:15

remain unsolved, the Korean

peninsula on the brink.

0:24:150:24:23

We live in divided times.

0:24:230:24:25

Anyone who peruses

social media will see

0:24:250:24:27

a clash of values play out daily

in vicious zero sum argument,

0:24:270:24:30

on any number of issues.

0:24:300:24:31

Today's examples?

0:24:310:24:33

One was the right wing

controversialist Toby Young stepping

0:24:330:24:36

back from his appointment

on the board of the new English

0:24:360:24:39

university regulator,

the Office for Students.

0:24:390:24:41

Having spent a decade trying

to be controversial,

0:24:410:24:43

he turned out to be too

controversial for

0:24:430:24:45

a public appointment.

0:24:450:24:49

The second story was

Virgin West Coast trains,

0:24:490:24:51

stopping its sales

of the Daily Mail.

0:24:520:24:53

"We've decided that this

paper is not compatible

0:24:530:24:56

with the Virgin Trains

0:24:560:24:57

brand and our beliefs,"

the company said.

0:24:570:25:03

It did also point out that it barely

sells any copies anyway.

0:25:030:25:07

The Mail called the

decision disgraceful.

0:25:070:25:08

While very different,

the two stories are just today's

0:25:080:25:11

examples of a culture war

that is currently being fought

0:25:110:25:13

on social media and beyond.

0:25:130:25:15

What characterises the culture war

is its preoccupation with words

0:25:150:25:17

and gestures.

0:25:170:25:28

Toby Young for example

is on one side of it -

0:25:280:25:31

a self proclaimed provocateur.

0:25:310:25:32

To be frank, he probably didn't even

believe half the obnoxious stuff

0:25:320:25:35

he wrote, he just wanted

to offend what he saw as

0:25:350:25:38

mainstream opinion.

0:25:380:25:39

He's the personification

of the conduct of

0:25:390:25:41

the culture war under way.

0:25:410:25:42

At times he's been

vitriolic, relishing a

0:25:420:25:44

fight with those on the other side.

0:25:440:25:46

If that can be said of those

on the provocative right,

0:25:460:25:49

is it the same on the progressive

side as well?

0:25:490:25:52

Over in the US, Google

are being sued by

0:25:520:25:54

James Damore, the coder

sacked after writing

0:25:540:25:56

a controversial - not very PC -

memo, critiquing the company's

0:25:560:25:59

diversity policy.

0:25:590:26:07

He said he and others

had been discriminated

0:26:070:26:09

against as white males.

0:26:090:26:10

Certainly he was vilified on social

media for saying and thinking

0:26:100:26:13

the wrong thing.

0:26:130:26:18

It's seen by the right as a case

of the left's intolerance.

0:26:180:26:21

Every day these kinds

of arguments are

0:26:210:26:23

erupting, even where

they don't need to.

0:26:230:26:26

Like Virgin - they're not banning

customers from bringing their own

0:26:260:26:29

copies of the Daily Mail

on to their trains, obviously,

0:26:290:26:33

but justifying the decision not

to sell the Mail in terms

0:26:330:26:36

of politics rather than

commerce ramped this up

0:26:360:26:38

as another divisive issue.

0:26:380:26:39

Again, on social media,

the debate polarised

0:26:390:26:41

around extreme positions

expressed strongly.

0:26:410:26:45

Each side's undoubtedly sincere

in its thoughts and really

0:26:450:26:48

believes the other is a threat

to either decency or free speech.

0:26:480:26:53

But is the virulent argument

a healthy sign or a vibrant

0:26:530:26:56

debate, or a sign that shared values

have more or less evaporated?

0:26:560:26:59

Build that wall.

0:26:590:27:00

Build that wall.

0:27:000:27:01

Build that wall.

0:27:010:27:18

With me now are two worriers.

0:27:180:27:20

Paris Lees is a broadcaster

and equality campaigner.

0:27:200:27:22

James Delingpole is

a columnist at The Spectator.

0:27:220:27:28

And writes the Breitbart.

0:27:280:27:29

James, Toby Young.

0:27:290:27:30

He tries to be controversial.

0:27:300:27:33

He cannot be surprised people say

we do not want to on a public body.

0:27:330:27:37

I don't think Toby

thinks, how can I be

0:27:370:27:40

controversial today? He just reacts

0:27:400:27:45

in the moment.

0:27:450:27:49

You use twitter, we react.

0:27:490:27:50

We get an instant thought and think,

0:27:500:27:56

The feeling dissipates

once you have got

0:27:560:27:58

the words out. We do not set out to

be deliberately offensive most of

0:27:580:28:02

the time.

Do you think he has been

badly treated?

We are talking about

0:28:020:28:06

separate issues.

0:28:060:28:09

Does Toby Young says some

spicy things on twitter?

0:28:090:28:12

Yes, he does. Should Toby be on the

office for students board, yes he

0:28:120:28:20

should. They are completely

different things he has worked in

0:28:200:28:27

the educational sector

and is a good man for the job.

0:28:270:28:30

Paris, do you see some

0:28:300:28:36

value in provocateurs trying

to challenge your views and those

0:28:360:28:38

of your friends, who probably think

quite alike on most of these issues?

0:28:380:28:48

Absolutely. I have written things

which people were deemed to be

0:28:480:28:51

provocative in the past. The idea

that Toby Young does not set out to

0:28:510:28:55

do that. This man published Julie

Birtles rant about transsexuals as

0:28:550:29:03

bedwetters and bad wigs

and dicks in chicks clothing.

0:29:030:29:05

We know 45% of trans

people in the UK have

0:29:050:29:08

attempted suicide. Are we saying it

is OK to bully people? No. I'm glad

0:29:080:29:12

people are waking up to that.

Can I

ask you about the manners? I'm

0:29:120:29:16

looking at some of your stuff or. It

is not very well mannered. Would you

0:29:160:29:20

agree?

0:29:200:29:30

The terrible thing is that secretly

in the green room before we came on

0:29:300:29:34

Paris and I have been getting on

like of dumb at a house on fire.

0:29:340:29:38

Forget about Paris.

Probably our

natural mode in her life is we are

0:29:380:29:42

delightful people, but sometimes

maybe Twitter brings out our kind

0:29:420:29:44

of edgier side.

0:29:440:29:47

Do you stand by what

you put on Twitter? I will take one

0:29:470:29:51

example, when are we allowed to say

that Brendan Cox is a total arse?

0:29:510:29:55

That was December, six months

after his wife was assassinated.

0:29:550:30:00

He probably said something

to provoke that, this

0:30:000:30:02

is just my policy, I

0:30:020:30:03

cannot speak for Paris. My policy is

if somebody says something really,

0:30:030:30:12

really stupid then I am going to

call them on it.

Can't you be well

0:30:120:30:16

mannered? Understand where they are

coming from and correct them. One

0:30:160:30:19

thing that characterises all of this

is people going from zero to

0:30:190:30:22

shouting and angry and swearing

without the steps in between.

0:30:220:30:30

In the great scheme of things,

how bad is calling somebody an arse?

0:30:300:30:34

This is something I've

been thinking about

0:30:340:30:35

recently in the sense of being

0:30:360:30:41

complicit in this.

0:30:410:30:42

People would regard me

as quite a hostile, angry

0:30:420:30:49

You know, I've called people bigots

before and said things that maybe

0:30:490:30:52

I've regretted, and I

think that actually it is going a

0:30:530:30:55

bit far actually and I think people

are getting really polarised and I

0:30:560:30:59

think we all need to look at our

role within that and how we have let

0:30:590:31:03

it get this bad.

The key thing,

you've taken great joy today in the

0:31:030:31:07

fact the Daily Mail isn't on Virgin

Trains.

It's fantastic.

You are sort

0:31:070:31:11

of cheering and clapping. Have you

ever tried to reach out to any of

0:31:110:31:15

the readers, it's one of the most

widely read papers in the UK, to

0:31:150:31:18

save let me understand where you are

coming from as well as you

0:31:180:31:22

understand where I'm coming from?

0:31:220:31:24

I have co-founded all about trans

when we take young trans people

0:31:240:31:27

to meet people in the media,

often times people that produce

0:31:270:31:30

shows like this.

0:31:300:31:31

That's you trying to get

them to understand you,

0:31:310:31:33

I've asked whether you have

tried to understand them.

0:31:330:31:36

Of course, when we come to meet them

we are trying to see

0:31:360:31:39

what their level

of understanding is.

0:31:390:31:42

But what about your

understanding of them?

0:31:420:31:44

Of course we are trying

to understand where they are coming

0:31:440:31:48

from and trying to further

the conversation and realise

0:31:480:31:51

what their awareness is.

0:31:510:31:52

Let me put the same

question to you, James.

0:31:520:31:54

Do you ever seriously try and engage

with anyone who thinks

0:31:540:31:57

differently to you?

0:31:570:32:00

We need to differentiate

between on a personal level,

0:32:000:32:02

should we all get along, you know,

when we meet somebody

0:32:020:32:07

at Glastonbury, having

a joint with them, yeah,

0:32:070:32:09

peace and love, man.

0:32:090:32:17

But it's very, very silly to imagine

that if only we all agreed and got

0:32:170:32:21

along somewhere in the squishy

middle the world would be

0:32:210:32:24

a better place.

0:32:240:32:24

There are certain issues

in the world where there

0:32:240:32:27

are very different views.

0:32:270:32:28

On the economy, for example,

on the size of government,

0:32:280:32:31

on what to do about immigration.

0:32:310:32:32

You are never going to get this

neutral point in the middle

0:32:320:32:36

where the rightness and truth is.

0:32:360:32:37

I'm sorry, we have to leave it,

you've had a constructive debate.

0:32:370:32:40

We overran on the first discussion.

0:32:400:32:42

Thank you, both.

0:32:420:32:45

This could be a decisive

year for Iran.

0:32:450:32:48

It started with protests that spread

across the country -

0:32:480:32:51

and although the authorities

say they are waning,

0:32:510:32:53

they have taken some extreme steps

to try and douse down the flames

0:32:530:32:56

of discontent - blocking access

to the messaging app,

0:32:560:32:59

Telegram and making

thousands of arrests.

0:32:590:33:02

Now, one trigger for those protests

was a leaked government budget

0:33:020:33:05

which cuts subsidies

and hikes up fuel prices,

0:33:050:33:08

while significantly

increasing military spending.

0:33:090:33:11

Iran is ramping up financial support

to proxies across the region,

0:33:110:33:14

which has fuelled the anger of some

Iranians concerned about the state

0:33:140:33:17

of their own economy -

and fuelled anxieties across much

0:33:170:33:20

of the world.

0:33:200:33:21

BBC Persian's Jiyar Gol

now investigates.

0:33:210:33:24

In towns and cities across Iran,

poverty, unemployment and corruption

0:33:280:33:32

has drawn tens of thousands

to the streets to protest

0:33:330:33:35

against the Islamic regime.

0:33:350:33:40

These are not the only

reasons for the protests.

0:33:400:33:45

There is also disquiet

about the billions spent

0:33:450:33:48

on Iran's foreign adventurism.

0:33:480:33:51

"No to interference

in Lebanon," they are chancing.

0:33:510:33:54

"No to Gaza."

0:33:540:33:55

-- chanting.

0:33:550:33:57

"Leave Syria."

"Think of us."

0:33:570:34:02

The supreme leader lives like a god.

0:34:020:34:04

We, the people, live like beggars.

0:34:040:34:11

Over the past three decades,

Iran has spent billions of dollars

0:34:110:34:15

in an attempt to increase

its influence in the region.

0:34:150:34:20

Tehran now controls a route

all the way to the Mediterranean

0:34:200:34:23

via Iraq, Syria and Lebanon.

0:34:230:34:27

And Iran is involved

in a devastating proxy war

0:34:270:34:30

with Saudi Arabia in Yemen.

0:34:300:34:33

The Iranian expansionism

is extraordinarily dangerous.

0:34:330:34:37

First of all, they have Shia groups

throughout the region they can rely

0:34:370:34:41

on, that they can, if you will,

convert or infiltrate.

0:34:410:34:45

And the man responsible

for Iran's military operations

0:34:450:34:50

in the Middle East is

General Qasem Soleimani,

0:34:500:34:52

the commander of the elite

Qods Force, a unit of

0:34:520:34:55

Iran's Revolutionary Guard,

which operates on foreign soil,

0:34:550:34:57

organising training

and funding militia groups.

0:34:570:35:04

A man feared by many and labelled

as a supporter of terrorism

0:35:040:35:08

by the US, General Solemani,

who once operated in the shadows,

0:35:090:35:17

is now one of the most powerful

commanders in the region.

0:35:170:35:20

He played Al-Qaeda.

0:35:200:35:21

He was the man in charge

all the way through.

0:35:210:35:24

He was always one

step ahead of them.

0:35:240:35:26

He used them.

0:35:260:35:30

They helped him, in his regional

designs on where he wanted to go

0:35:300:35:33

with the Qods Force and Iran.

0:35:330:35:35

To understand the power

and influence of General Solemani

0:35:350:35:38

and the Qods Force, you have to go

to the Iran/Iraq border.

0:35:380:35:44

In 2001, when the US

attacked Afghanistan,

0:35:440:35:46

many Al-Qaeda members came

to this mountainous area

0:35:460:35:48

to establish a foothold.

0:35:480:35:54

They set up bases but,

two years later, they were bombed

0:35:540:35:57

by the US.

0:35:570:36:00

This man is one of the prominent

members of the local Sufi Order,

0:36:040:36:08

a peaceful branch of Islam.

0:36:080:36:12

He claims Iran assisted this Sunni

extremists He claims Iran assisted

0:36:120:36:16

the Sunni extremists

who survived the bombings.

0:36:160:36:20

But, why would a Sunni extremist

group like Al-Qaeda,

0:36:370:36:41

an arch enemy of Shia Iran,

cooperate with Qasem Soleimani?

0:36:410:36:50

Cathy Scott-Clark has interviewed

former Al-Qaeda members,

0:36:510:36:55

who lived Iran, about their

dealings with Qods Force.

0:36:550:36:58

Iran was an enemy of America.

0:36:580:37:00

Iran was nearby.

0:37:000:37:02

The people who negotiated

from the Al-Qaeda side believed that

0:37:020:37:05

Iran, the Qods Force,

saw this as an opportunity,

0:37:050:37:09

a) to know where the

Al-Qaeda members were.

0:37:090:37:12

If you know where they are,

and you are controlling them,

0:37:120:37:15

then you can use them.

0:37:160:37:19

CIA documents declassified

in November which were recovered

0:37:190:37:23

from Osama Bin Laden's compound

in Pakistan shed a new light on how

0:37:230:37:26

Iran helped Al-Qaeda

against the US in Iraq.

0:37:260:37:31

Some of those documents suggest

Iran has had a pragmatic

0:37:310:37:34

relationship with Al-Qaeda.

0:37:340:37:35

The documents suggest Iran

and Al-Qaeda had been helping each

0:37:350:37:37

other in Syria and Iraq.

0:37:370:37:47

In 2011, when President Obama

pulled out from Iraq,

0:37:470:37:51

I was in Baghdad.

0:37:520:37:55

The next day, the picture of Iran's

supreme leader was posted

0:37:550:37:58

in Baghdad's main square.

0:37:580:38:02

Most Shia militias were more

loyal to Qasem Soleimani

0:38:020:38:04

than the Iraqi government.

0:38:040:38:16

Vali Nasr is an academic and former

foreign policy adviser

0:38:170:38:19

to President Obama's

Administration on Iran.

0:38:190:38:21

Part of why Iran has been

so successful in the region

0:38:210:38:24

is because they've played this game

of manoeuvring between different

0:38:240:38:27

factions, relying on the one

that is most naturally

0:38:270:38:29

their constituency but yet build

relations with the other side,

0:38:290:38:32

play them against one another.

0:38:320:38:34

In October, Qasem Soleimani's

father passed away.

0:38:340:38:39

We examined the footage

and pictures of the funeral,

0:38:390:38:44

just to understand what kind

of people attended the funeral.

0:38:440:38:48

For example, one of them

was the leader of Shia

0:38:480:38:51

militias in Iran.

0:38:510:38:57

Another person was a

representative of Hamas.

0:38:570:39:01

Many other people attended

to express their condolences

0:39:010:39:03

in person to him.

0:39:030:39:12

It shows how powerful

and influential he is.

0:39:120:39:15

General Soleimani financed,

trained and equipped thousands

0:39:150:39:20

of Shia militias to support Iran's

allies in Syria and Iraq,

0:39:200:39:23

including Lebanese Hezbollah,

a group which is also

0:39:230:39:25

on the US terrorist list.

0:39:250:39:30

Its leader says Iran pays the bill.

0:39:310:39:43

It's been estimated that Iran has

spent $6 billion annually

0:39:580:40:05

on the Syrian regime,

basically, to keep it afloat.

0:40:050:40:11

This is a conservative

estimate on the proxy group,

0:40:110:40:15

the Lebanese Hezbollah.

0:40:150:40:17

Iran is estimated to be allocating

$1 billion a year to the group,

0:40:170:40:23

mostly according to Israeli

intelligence forces.

0:40:230:40:31

General Soleimani says,

if Iran does not engage with enemies

0:40:320:40:34

outside the country's borders,

it will have to fight them

0:40:340:40:37

in the streets of Tehran.

0:40:370:40:41

As he tells his fighters

on the Syrian front line,

0:40:410:40:44

he is committed to expanding

Iran's regional influence.

0:40:440:40:51

But, at home, protesters

on the streets are tearing down

0:41:200:41:23

General Soleimani's banner.

0:41:230:41:23

They are warning the tens

of billions of dollars spent

0:41:230:41:26

propping up Assad in Syria

and financing Shia militias

0:41:260:41:29

across the Middle East must be

invested in their country

0:41:290:41:31

and their future.

0:41:310:41:32

We asked to speak to the Iranian

government about this report

0:41:320:41:35

but they declined to comment.

0:41:350:41:36

That's all we have time for.

0:41:370:41:38

We expected James Delingpole

and Paris Lees to be at each other's

0:41:380:41:41

throats but I think they are fixing

dinner together in the green room.

0:41:410:41:45

Emily will be here tomorrow.

0:41:450:41:46

Have a very good night.

0:41:460:41:52

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