
Browse content similar to 31/05/2017. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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The Tories relaunch their campaign, this time with Amber Rudd, | :00:00. | :00:00. | |
The question in this election is whether we want a country for the | :00:07. | :00:19. | |
many, or just the few. I just have to take on some of Jeremy Corbyn's | :00:20. | :00:24. | |
fantasy economics. I mean come on he has this money tree wish list in his | :00:25. | :00:30. | |
manifesto. Meanwhile, as one pollster suggests there will be a | :00:31. | :00:35. | |
hung parliament, Labour refuses to tell us whether they will rule out a | :00:36. | :00:39. | |
coalition with the SNP. I'm not dealing with hypothetical is, I'm | :00:40. | :00:43. | |
sorry. Why not? It is a reasonable question. We are fighting this to | :00:44. | :00:45. | |
win. We're going to cancel a Paris | :00:46. | :00:49. | |
climate agreement. No decision yet, but it | :00:50. | :00:57. | |
looks like he will honour The first of our new series | :00:58. | :00:59. | |
of political bedtime stories. There was a prince called David, and | :01:00. | :01:03. | |
he ruled well. Well, we had the nearest thing | :01:04. | :01:16. | |
to a full-spectrum TV election Seven politicians, some of them | :01:17. | :01:20. | |
candidates for Prime Minister, lined up in Cambridge, | :01:21. | :01:24. | |
with the conspicuous absence of the actual | :01:25. | :01:25. | |
Prime Minister, Theresa May. She was replaced by Amber Rudd, | :01:26. | :01:30. | |
the Home Secretary, who did an effective job at looking Prime | :01:31. | :01:32. | |
Ministerial. The debate had some sparky | :01:33. | :01:35. | |
moments, and some recurrent Everybody on stage | :01:36. | :01:38. | |
had their highlights, Nick, how did it go? Well, obviously | :01:39. | :01:55. | |
Jeremy Corbyn's late decision to turn up at this debate put the | :01:56. | :02:00. | |
spotlight on Theresa May, who was a notable absentee. And there were | :02:01. | :02:04. | |
plenty of jokes about how the Prime Minister called this election the | :02:05. | :02:07. | |
most important in her lifetime and she could not be bothered to turn | :02:08. | :02:11. | |
up. To which the Conservative Party says, thank you very much to those | :02:12. | :02:15. | |
six parties, you are illustrating one of our key themes about the | :02:16. | :02:20. | |
selection, which is that if Jeremy Corbyn emerges as the leader of the | :02:21. | :02:24. | |
largest party on June nine, the UK will be governed by a coalition of | :02:25. | :02:28. | |
chaos. What would I say about the overall verdict? There was no clear | :02:29. | :02:32. | |
winner and there was no clear loser. Jeremy Corbyn did as he did in the | :02:33. | :02:36. | |
Channel 4 debate on Sunday, he spoke from the heart on matters dear to | :02:37. | :02:41. | |
him, food banks for example. Amber Rudd did what she did last year in | :02:42. | :02:48. | |
the referendum debate, had some pre-packaged sound bites, one on the | :02:49. | :02:50. | |
Monopoly board that didn't quite work. But she stood up well against | :02:51. | :02:53. | |
the six other parties and delivered her core message, which was the | :02:54. | :02:58. | |
choice, who do you want to negotiate Brexit? Jeremy Corbyn or Theresa | :02:59. | :03:01. | |
May? A bit of a question mark, because Theresa May wasn't here. | :03:02. | :03:07. | |
Before this debate, YouGov carried out another poll, and it makes | :03:08. | :03:10. | |
pretty interesting reading to night. That's right. A YouGov poll in The | :03:11. | :03:14. | |
Times tomorrow suggests the Conservative lead is now down to | :03:15. | :03:22. | |
three points, 42 the Conservative, 39 to Labour. There is a dramatic | :03:23. | :03:26. | |
tightening of the polls as far as YouGov is concerned. But that is not | :03:27. | :03:30. | |
being borne out in other polls. The ICM poll in the Guardian yesterday | :03:31. | :03:34. | |
gave the Conservatives a 12 point lead. I spoke to one senior Labour | :03:35. | :03:38. | |
source who said to me, we are clear that there is a pattern that the | :03:39. | :03:44. | |
polls are tightening. But as there being a dramatic tightening, well, | :03:45. | :03:46. | |
they say they're going to be really cautious. Thanks, Nick. We will be | :03:47. | :03:53. | |
talking about the polls and what's driving them a little later in the | :03:54. | :03:54. | |
programme. Well, there were strong moments | :03:55. | :03:55. | |
for everybody on stage, David Grossman was watching | :03:56. | :03:57. | |
as the argument progressed. Not since Captain Mannering's wife | :03:58. | :04:11. | |
has a character so dominated a scene while not appearing. Jeremy Corbyn. | :04:12. | :04:16. | |
There were quite a party leaders. One Westminster party leader, one | :04:17. | :04:22. | |
co-leader and a stunt double -- that work for party leaders. The first | :04:23. | :04:28. | |
question of the night, who is missing? Theresa May. The reason any | :04:29. | :04:32. | |
leading lady sends a stunt double is so she doesn't get damaged if things | :04:33. | :04:36. | |
go wrong. So with this, Amber Rudd's tactic was clear. Ignore the others, | :04:37. | :04:42. | |
but slammed Jeremy Corbyn hard at every opportunity. Jeremy, I know | :04:43. | :04:46. | |
there is no extra payment you don't want to add to, no tax you don't | :04:47. | :04:51. | |
want to rise. But the fact is we have to concentrate our resources on | :04:52. | :04:54. | |
the people who need it most and we have to stop thinking, as you do, | :04:55. | :04:58. | |
that there is a magic money tree. You have to be accountable for the | :04:59. | :05:02. | |
money you want to spend. Have you been to a food bank? Have you seen | :05:03. | :05:07. | |
people sleeping around our stations? Jeremy Corbyn managed quite a few | :05:08. | :05:12. | |
slams back. We cannot go on giving money away to the very rich. This | :05:13. | :05:16. | |
Government is proposing another ?60 billion in tax giveaways in the next | :05:17. | :05:21. | |
five years. Instead I say turn it round and invest in the future of | :05:22. | :05:26. | |
all the while people. With so many participants, the debate often | :05:27. | :05:29. | |
descended into chaos -- of all of our people. Particularly when they | :05:30. | :05:34. | |
were arguing about chaos. This is chaotic, chaotic. As the Government, | :05:35. | :05:41. | |
the Conservatives were doing the most defending. Judge us on our | :05:42. | :05:44. | |
record... LAUGHTER | :05:45. | :05:51. | |
We have cut the deficit. It wasn't the past that worried the Lib Dems | :05:52. | :05:56. | |
so much as the future. We have a general election in eight days, | :05:57. | :06:00. | |
Theresa May assuming a colossal landslide, that's why she thinks she | :06:01. | :06:03. | |
can ignore people and not bother turning up tonight. She is telling | :06:04. | :06:06. | |
people, we will take your house of you and we will allow you to know | :06:07. | :06:12. | |
how much you get to keep after your majority. If tonight you resolve to | :06:13. | :06:15. | |
vote Conservative on the 8th of June, you were resolving to give | :06:16. | :06:19. | |
Theresa May emission to do what you like. Remove university tuition | :06:20. | :06:24. | |
fees. Mike there are other parties to be judged on their record. You | :06:25. | :06:28. | |
have a Labour government in Wales that is charging students to go to | :06:29. | :06:37. | |
university. This is a UK Government... Labour is different in | :06:38. | :06:41. | |
the UK than in Wales? It's going to be a UK policy. It is unbelievably | :06:42. | :06:48. | |
cruel to using lives as bargaining chips. The Greens attack the | :06:49. | :06:54. | |
Government and the UK on Brexit. I want to make the case for free | :06:55. | :06:58. | |
movement, it has been the most wonderful gift, the ability to | :06:59. | :07:02. | |
travel and work and live and love in 27 other member states, and for them | :07:03. | :07:06. | |
to come here. I am sorry that the Labour Party now doesn't support | :07:07. | :07:10. | |
that. Frankly. Mike when the subject turned to terrorism, the Ukip leader | :07:11. | :07:16. | |
called for internment of suspect if necessary. 23,000 jihadis out there | :07:17. | :07:24. | |
want to do us harm. Lets not give our freedom and our liberty awaits. | :07:25. | :07:29. | |
British rights over the rights of jihadis. The question was about | :07:30. | :07:33. | |
terrorism and extremism, and Ukip went straight for more slums. | :07:34. | :07:38. | |
APPLAUSE -- went straight for Muslims. It | :07:39. | :07:44. | |
wasn't a Muslim that shot Jo Cox. At the end of the 90 minutes, two | :07:45. | :07:49. | |
questions hung in the. Was Theresa May harmed or helped by not being | :07:50. | :07:53. | |
there, and was a single voter's mind changed by any of it's David | :07:54. | :07:55. | |
Grossman. Well, as is traditional with these | :07:56. | :07:57. | |
things, the debate tonight was followed by rounds of frantic PR | :07:58. | :08:00. | |
from all sides afterwards It's all wrapped up now, but just | :08:01. | :08:02. | |
before we came on air I caught up with the Brexit Secretary, | :08:03. | :08:07. | |
David Davis. First, I spoke to Labour's Shadow | :08:08. | :08:08. | |
Foreign Secretary, Emily Thornberry. I started by asking her whether | :08:09. | :08:19. | |
Jeremy Corbyn taking part in the debate plays into those Tory | :08:20. | :08:21. | |
warnings of a coalition of chaos. Well, I think that's probably the | :08:22. | :08:29. | |
desperate attempt of Conservative Party Central office to try and spin | :08:30. | :08:33. | |
this. But, you know what, I think if I was Amber Rudd I would be going | :08:34. | :08:39. | |
back to Theresa May and saying, you really on me. I'm in front of all of | :08:40. | :08:43. | |
those people and I say, judge us on our record, and people laughed. I | :08:44. | :08:47. | |
had to be that a front that up, it should have been you, you are the | :08:48. | :08:50. | |
Prime Minister, you are supposed to be the one who is strong and stable | :08:51. | :08:54. | |
and able to negotiate Brexit, and yet you're not even prepared to | :08:55. | :08:58. | |
debate with pupils to what I want to push a little harder on the | :08:59. | :09:07. | |
coalition of chaos line. -- debate with people. Many people thought it | :09:08. | :09:09. | |
was rather effective, and the polls, which have had a surge for Labour, | :09:10. | :09:13. | |
the polls perhaps suggest a hung parliament is more likely than we | :09:14. | :09:16. | |
have bought. That means there could be a coalition led by the Labour | :09:17. | :09:21. | |
Party. You know what I'm going to say, Evan, you know, we don't | :09:22. | :09:25. | |
believe the polls, we don't pay attention to polls. What we're doing | :09:26. | :09:29. | |
is we are out there to win it. We do sense on the ground that things are | :09:30. | :09:32. | |
beginning to change and that they want to listen to us and that they | :09:33. | :09:37. | |
do see there is an alternative, and an alternative which is a potential | :09:38. | :09:40. | |
Government that has the vision for Britain and is about hope and is | :09:41. | :09:44. | |
about an alternative. It does not have to be that way, and the power | :09:45. | :09:54. | |
is in the hands of the people, they can decide that no, despite the fact | :09:55. | :09:57. | |
that you guys in the media and Evra Ross Wardle been saying, Theresa May | :09:58. | :10:00. | |
is going to walk it, it is just a question of how big a majority it | :10:01. | :10:03. | |
will be -- in the media and everywhere else. It is up to the | :10:04. | :10:05. | |
media to decide, and the people are beginning to listen to us and | :10:06. | :10:08. | |
realising that we are a serious alternative. It does not have to be | :10:09. | :10:13. | |
like this. Point made. You can just clarify for the hypothetical | :10:14. | :10:18. | |
situation in which it is a hung parliament, that Labour will not | :10:19. | :10:22. | |
have a collision agreement with the Scottish National Party, correct? We | :10:23. | :10:26. | |
can take that as read, that will not happen, and you can be clear about | :10:27. | :10:29. | |
that now and it would be a breach of the promised if there is one of two | :10:30. | :10:34. | |
the election? I'm not dealing with hypothetical is with you, I'm sorry. | :10:35. | :10:40. | |
Why not? It's a perfectly reasonable question. Because we're fighting to | :10:41. | :10:45. | |
win! We want to have a majority in the House of Commons and we want to | :10:46. | :10:48. | |
be the next government and we are putting for and our alternative to | :10:49. | :10:52. | |
the British people and it's for them to decide which government they | :10:53. | :10:55. | |
want. One thing is for sure, it's either going to be a Labour | :10:56. | :10:58. | |
government or a Conservative government, and that's how it is. | :10:59. | :11:02. | |
It's very interesting that you won't rule out a collision with the SNP, | :11:03. | :11:07. | |
and anybody listening to you will say, if we don't agree with Emily | :11:08. | :11:14. | |
Thornbury that it may be a hung parliament, then we'd be right to | :11:15. | :11:17. | |
think they will do a deal with the SNP. We have put our faith in the | :11:18. | :11:20. | |
British people and in our ability to be able to put forward our arguments | :11:21. | :11:24. | |
and alternative vision. The fact is, you know, this is the biggest star | :11:25. | :11:29. | |
that we have in our show, which is a series of ideas and an alternative | :11:30. | :11:32. | |
vision for Britain. Let me just take a couple of points in there. If you | :11:33. | :11:38. | |
want to wave the manifesto... The manifesto says, it is very carefully | :11:39. | :11:43. | |
costed. It's not that funny! It says it's carefully costed. Sorry, I'm | :11:44. | :11:49. | |
laughing because I know you're going to start asking by numbers. Believe | :11:50. | :11:54. | |
me, I'm not trying to test you on your numbers, I'm not. However, | :11:55. | :11:59. | |
there are some policy areas, policy areas where it is simply not costed. | :12:00. | :12:03. | |
Our benefits going to be operated or not? Because working age benefits, | :12:04. | :12:07. | |
on Monday Jeremy Corbyn said they would be but there is no cost in | :12:08. | :12:12. | |
there for that, that is not a costed manifesto, is it? If we have a great | :12:13. | :12:16. | |
honour of taking over as the next government, we will need to go into | :12:17. | :12:25. | |
the Department of and look at the chaos that is currently Universal | :12:26. | :12:27. | |
Credit, and we need to look again at how well it is working, how that it | :12:28. | :12:30. | |
is, and how the cuts will be effecting real people's likes. We | :12:31. | :12:33. | |
have set aside ?2 billion per year in order to be able to look again at | :12:34. | :12:37. | |
Universal Credit and sorted out and make sure it is there. There is a | :12:38. | :12:41. | |
series of benefits that we will. The cuts off, I can reel them off if you | :12:42. | :12:46. | |
want. It starts with the bedroom tax and how unfair that is. It's just | :12:47. | :12:50. | |
the operating of benefits. Some of your plans are carefully costed and | :12:51. | :12:55. | |
they are there. -- the operating of benefits. This is not costed and it | :12:56. | :12:59. | |
is quite expensive. This is when you have basically changed on the hoof, | :13:00. | :13:02. | |
you have you turned on your manifesto, it is not in there. | :13:03. | :13:07. | |
Jeremy Corbyn says it is on the TV. That is different to your manifesto. | :13:08. | :13:11. | |
The reason we put into the manifesto by the focus on Universal Credit is | :13:12. | :13:16. | |
because this is another vehicle that people will be getting their | :13:17. | :13:19. | |
benefits, we want to make sure it is done fairly and properly. Emily | :13:20. | :13:23. | |
Thornbury, we are out of time, thank for joining us. | :13:24. | :13:32. | |
Also doing his duty at the Spin Room tonight | :13:33. | :13:34. | |
was the Brexit Secretary, David Davis. | :13:35. | :13:36. | |
I asked him how he felt Amber Rudd did this evening standing in for her | :13:37. | :13:43. | |
leader. I think she did astonishingly well, she was | :13:44. | :13:47. | |
straightforward, calm, sober, answered questions directly. It was | :13:48. | :13:50. | |
a metaphorical comparison with the coalition of against her, noise and | :13:51. | :13:55. | |
the argument, she was the voice of calm in the middle of it, she did | :13:56. | :14:02. | |
very well indeed. Theresa May did well not to go because she would not | :14:03. | :14:05. | |
have done as well as Amber Rudd. Well, I don't think that is true, | :14:06. | :14:09. | |
bear in mind a couple of things: she appeared on the same programme as | :14:10. | :14:12. | |
Jeremy Corbyn on Monday, doing the same again Friday, she has done 5500 | :14:13. | :14:17. | |
miles of touring around the country, answering loads of questions from | :14:18. | :14:22. | |
public and journalists. Do you think she watched tonight, do you know if | :14:23. | :14:25. | |
she watched it? Honestly, I don't know. | :14:26. | :14:30. | |
Bearing in mind she has got to run the country at the same time, she | :14:31. | :14:36. | |
has homework to do. Do you think she watched the debate? I don't know, | :14:37. | :14:39. | |
but I wouldn't necessarily assume so. It is embarrassing if you are | :14:40. | :14:44. | |
the leader of the party, the Prime Minister, and somebody stands in for | :14:45. | :14:48. | |
you, and to some extent, shows you up, by answering the questions so | :14:49. | :14:52. | |
nimbly, which is not characteristic of Theresa May in this campaign. I | :14:53. | :14:56. | |
don't think that shows her up, one of the real underestimated | :14:57. | :15:01. | |
characteristics, of great leaders, is they have good people around | :15:02. | :15:04. | |
them, good people around her, Amber Rudd is one of the stars, that is a | :15:05. | :15:10. | |
very good thing. Amber was able to be straightforward because we have a | :15:11. | :15:14. | |
strong argument, a strong case, she made it well. One of the things she | :15:15. | :15:20. | |
said related to your department. She said, when it comes to Brexit, you | :15:21. | :15:26. | |
have a plan. Yes, we do. I thought that you had a set of objectives, | :15:27. | :15:30. | |
but having objectives is not the same as having a plan. I plan is | :15:31. | :15:35. | |
what you do when they do not like your objectives! Well, we have both, | :15:36. | :15:41. | |
the manifesto, has a page and a half, what it refers to is well over | :15:42. | :15:48. | |
100 pages. Two White Papers, major speech, that long letter. Behind all | :15:49. | :15:53. | |
of that, those are the aims, the idea of a agreement, customs | :15:54. | :15:57. | |
agreement, idea of continuing counterterrorism cooperation, all | :15:58. | :16:01. | |
those things are there but underpinning that, there is also | :16:02. | :16:05. | |
chairing a meeting today, as I was, first steps of the plan, where we | :16:06. | :16:11. | |
hope we win the election and we start, 11 days later, into the | :16:12. | :16:15. | |
negotiations. Great, maybe, as it is the Brexit election by your own | :16:16. | :16:20. | |
admission, maybe you can share with us some aspects of the plan, maybe | :16:21. | :16:24. | |
you can tell us what your immigration policy will be, once we | :16:25. | :16:31. | |
leave. First thing we have said is that we will bring control back to | :16:32. | :16:36. | |
Britain. That is not a policy, it is a phrase, David...! Wait a minute, | :16:37. | :16:42. | |
let me get to the point, Evan, people voted for control the borders | :16:43. | :16:46. | |
and money and their own laws in the referendum, all of those matter, in | :16:47. | :16:49. | |
the control of borders, we are talking about bringing control back | :16:50. | :16:53. | |
to Britain's Parliament can decide on eventually what the immigration | :16:54. | :16:56. | |
policy is and we have said clearly that the aim is to bring it down to | :16:57. | :17:00. | |
sustainable levels. That is not a policy, with respect, that is not a | :17:01. | :17:09. | |
policy. A plan... Too often the commentators want to go into the | :17:10. | :17:14. | |
weeds and the details... LAUGHTER What? The outcome will be that. You | :17:15. | :17:20. | |
have told us no deal is better than a bad deal, but you have not told us | :17:21. | :17:24. | |
how bad a deal has to be... I just want to ask you, would you walk | :17:25. | :17:28. | |
away, literally say, no deal, if, for example, the European court of | :17:29. | :17:35. | |
justice had to be involved in the European aviation agreement that we | :17:36. | :17:38. | |
sign, or something like that. No deal is better than a deal that has | :17:39. | :17:44. | |
anything...? Many components of a bad deal, we will not draw the lines | :17:45. | :17:50. | |
for you so that our negotiations partners on the other side nowhere | :17:51. | :17:53. | |
to push it too, but I will say that we will not have the European court | :17:54. | :17:57. | |
of justice ruling on issues inside Britain. This is not a plan, it is a | :17:58. | :18:01. | |
lot of things that you say, that you are going to do. Set of demands that | :18:02. | :18:13. | |
are unpleasant and not compatible, is that what you are talking about? | :18:14. | :18:19. | |
Why would... Not at all, why would they be presented with incompatible | :18:20. | :18:22. | |
and unpleasant things, we are looking for the best deal possible, | :18:23. | :18:26. | |
a free-trade agreement, customs agreement, an agreement on | :18:27. | :18:29. | |
counterterrorism and security, those are not unpalatable things, and in | :18:30. | :18:35. | |
addition, will seek to open up free-trade agreements with the rest | :18:36. | :18:37. | |
of the world, those are all very good things, not very bad things. | :18:38. | :18:42. | |
The last one, another poll this evening, YouGov poll, 3% difference | :18:43. | :18:48. | |
between the Tories and Labour. What are you reading into this, into this | :18:49. | :18:53. | |
surge, too much Theresa May and not enough Amber Rudd on the campaign? | :18:54. | :19:00. | |
You have been a television commentator, radio commentator, for | :19:01. | :19:03. | |
a long time, you are very numerous, above all people, you should know | :19:04. | :19:07. | |
how untrustworthy pulsar. What it reminds people is that if you do not | :19:08. | :19:12. | |
have Theresa May going to that negotiation, 11 days after the | :19:13. | :19:15. | |
election, it will be Jeremy Corbyn. -- very numerate. The people | :19:16. | :19:18. | |
watching your programme have got to make a decision, which do they want? | :19:19. | :19:20. | |
I know which, it is clear to me. Well, this has not been the election | :19:21. | :19:29. | |
the Tories thought it would be An easy cruise to a much enhanced | :19:30. | :19:32. | |
majority, all based on the broad the party seems to be | :19:33. | :19:36. | |
in the midst of a wobble. Although still in the lead | :19:37. | :19:42. | |
according to the polls, it's hard to think of an election | :19:43. | :19:45. | |
campaign that has seen a more | :19:46. | :19:47. | |
dramatic turn against But, the Conservatives | :19:48. | :19:48. | |
are a party keen to get a grip, And campaign chief Lynton Crosby has | :19:49. | :19:57. | |
been given an enhanced role for the final week, Newsnight has learned. | :19:58. | :20:06. | |
Nick Watt looks at what is next for Theresa May. | :20:07. | :20:15. | |
VOICEOVER: Just a few short weeks ago, | :20:16. | :20:18. | |
Theresa May was banking on a Blue | :20:19. | :20:20. | |
surge sweeping her back into Downing Street | :20:21. | :20:22. | |
It turns out that a few weeks is now an eternity in British politics. | :20:23. | :20:26. | |
With just eight days to go, our strong and stable | :20:27. | :20:29. | |
Prime Minister is stumbling towards the finishing line. | :20:30. | :20:30. | |
Elections rarely work out as they're meant to work out. | :20:31. | :20:33. | |
It looked like this was going to be a very boring campaign, | :20:34. | :20:36. | |
I think, in lots of ways, what the Conservatives have | :20:37. | :20:40. | |
Because actually I think they're looking at this | :20:41. | :20:43. | |
huge problem of care, which is growing because - | :20:44. | :20:45. | |
luckily, I'm growing older myself - we're all living longer, | :20:46. | :20:47. | |
and it's a problem that has to be addressed sometime. | :20:48. | :20:50. | |
But to do that kind of in the middle of an election campaign isn't | :20:51. | :20:53. | |
And that's made it a much more interesting campaign. | :20:54. | :20:57. | |
The new pressure on the Prime Minister followed an estimate | :20:58. | :20:59. | |
by the pollsters YouGov that Theresa May could lose 20 seats. | :21:00. | :21:02. | |
Tory high command is disdainful of the findings. | :21:03. | :21:04. | |
They believe the Prime Minister is still on course for a decisive | :21:05. | :21:06. | |
victory on the grounds that Jeremy Corbyn is not seen | :21:07. | :21:09. | |
For all of the bullish talk amongst senior Tories, | :21:10. | :21:12. | |
Cabinet Ministers acknowledge that their campaign did | :21:13. | :21:14. | |
experience a wobble last week after Theresa May's U-turn | :21:15. | :21:16. | |
But rare nerves in the May camp led to one major change, | :21:17. | :21:28. | |
Sir Lynton Crosby, who masterminded David Cameron's victory in 2015, | :21:29. | :21:30. | |
has taken sole command of the Tory election campaign. | :21:31. | :21:35. | |
Everybody bar the Prime Minister now answers to him. | :21:36. | :21:37. | |
Under Lynton Crosby's leadership, there has been a renewed focus | :21:38. | :21:39. | |
on the original issue the Prime Minister said | :21:40. | :21:41. | |
who is best placed to deliver Brexit? | :21:42. | :21:52. | |
David Cameron's former Director of Communications believes | :21:53. | :21:54. | |
They're willing to check to go over the top with him | :21:55. | :22:05. | |
and go in the direction that he sets. | :22:06. | :22:09. | |
lots of people just wanted to follow what he said | :22:10. | :22:21. | |
and were prepared to listen to him and hear what he had to say. | :22:22. | :22:25. | |
But he was also very clear in 2015 - I'm in charge. | :22:26. | :22:27. | |
The dominant role now played by Lynton Crosby shows how | :22:28. | :22:30. | |
the architect of the original social care policy, the Prime Minister's | :22:31. | :22:32. | |
Joint Chief of Staff, Nick Timothy, has been damaged by the U-turn. | :22:33. | :22:35. | |
One minister told Newsnight that after the election, | :22:36. | :22:37. | |
there will be calls to curb the unconstitutional | :22:38. | :22:39. | |
dominance of Timothy and his colleague Fiona Hill. | :22:40. | :22:45. | |
Ministers say the Prime Minister's authority has taken a knock. | :22:46. | :22:47. | |
but only if she secures a decisive victory. | :22:48. | :22:55. | |
is a parliamentary majority of at least 50. | :22:56. | :22:58. | |
about why the Prime Minister inflicted this election | :22:59. | :23:03. | |
Welcome to the BBC Election Debate 2017. | :23:04. | :23:10. | |
Theresa May's less-than-perfect campaign was forced | :23:11. | :23:11. | |
onto the defensive again tonight over the television Leaders' Debate. | :23:12. | :23:19. | |
We invited the leaders of seven parties to take part. | :23:20. | :23:21. | |
Some are here, others chose to send senior representatives. | :23:22. | :27:30. | |
The election battle in Scotland is heating up. Signs are that Nicola | :27:31. | :27:35. | |
Sturgeon's party remain somewhere ahead, but she has not had it all | :27:36. | :27:39. | |
her own way in this campaign, accurately softening her demand for | :27:40. | :27:42. | |
an independence referendum as seen last year. How is it going down, | :27:43. | :27:48. | |
Kirsty has been on the road with Nicola Sturgeon today, as she | :27:49. | :27:49. | |
campaigns for votes in Fife. The morning after the SNP manifesto | :27:50. | :28:01. | |
launch. If I was to tell you that instead of going on this cruise, you | :28:02. | :28:04. | |
can see Nicola Sturgeon, would you get off the boat? Would you be quite | :28:05. | :28:09. | |
keen to see her? Probably wouldn't seek her out, but if she was here to | :28:10. | :28:14. | |
chat, I would say hello. Apparently she is also coming here for a bite | :28:15. | :28:20. | |
to eat. Important visitor in the fish bar today? Yes, I believe so. | :28:21. | :28:26. | |
Any special recipe? Obviously, a traditional haddock and chips is the | :28:27. | :28:30. | |
most popular, award-winning. One mile away, still more than 30 | :28:31. | :28:38. | |
fishing boats. This fisherman voted to leave the EU, but he is for the | :28:39. | :28:45. | |
SNP. Tell me, what you think of Nicola Sturgeon? She is good, aye, | :28:46. | :28:49. | |
puts herself across well, talks to the point. Back in town, Nicola | :28:50. | :28:56. | |
Sturgeon is doing what she and Theresa May say they like doing | :28:57. | :29:01. | |
best, campaigning. The thing with the general election campaign, even | :29:02. | :29:05. | |
if you are First Minister, any photo opportunity is better than no photo | :29:06. | :29:08. | |
opportunity especially when they are young and cannot speak back! | :29:09. | :29:17. | |
One resident has concerns about education. What are her policies? | :29:18. | :29:26. | |
Generally, they're not bad on the whole, but education... And there | :29:27. | :29:33. | |
have been repeated questions during this campaign about what the SNP | :29:34. | :29:36. | |
have done with their decade in government. I sat down with the | :29:37. | :29:40. | |
First Minister. Two years ago you said you wanted to be judged on your | :29:41. | :29:49. | |
education record. Dropping our position in Scotland since 2006 on | :29:50. | :29:54. | |
several key indicators, tenth to 19th position internationally on | :29:55. | :30:01. | |
science, 11th to 23rd on reading, Scotland overall is average. For a | :30:02. | :30:05. | |
country that once prided itself on its literacy and numeracy, that is | :30:06. | :30:09. | |
pretty disastrous. That's why I've said we've got improvements to make. | :30:10. | :30:14. | |
That study is two years old. But you have been in power for ten years! | :30:15. | :30:18. | |
I'm being frank both about where we have made good progress in | :30:19. | :30:21. | |
education, I'm not going to sit here and except that they're not areas | :30:22. | :30:27. | |
where progress been made. I can point you to lots of things were | :30:28. | :30:31. | |
over the 10-year period we are seeing improvements. I can cite the | :30:32. | :30:34. | |
fact that there are fewer young people from our deprived communities | :30:35. | :30:37. | |
leaving school with no call of occasions, that number has halved | :30:38. | :30:42. | |
since we took office. We have regular numbers of young people | :30:43. | :30:46. | |
going into education the attainment gap is starting to narrow. In the | :30:47. | :30:51. | |
election manifesto, the rich and independents just once and there was | :30:52. | :30:55. | |
absolutely no reference to the referendum. -- you mentioned | :30:56. | :30:59. | |
independence just once. This is not a vote winner. This is one of the | :31:00. | :31:03. | |
strange things about Scottish politics just now. My political | :31:04. | :31:07. | |
opponents say that I talk about nothing but independence. The fact | :31:08. | :31:10. | |
of the matter is, my position on giving people a choice at the end of | :31:11. | :31:14. | |
the Brexit process is clear. But I'm also fighting a Westminster election | :31:15. | :31:18. | |
where I think it's also really important to talk about what SNP MPs | :31:19. | :31:25. | |
can do to stand against further Tory cuts and to strengthen Scotland's | :31:26. | :31:27. | |
hand in the Brexit negotiations. If the Tories take target seats, say | :31:28. | :31:31. | |
ten of the target seats, you may even lose your deputy leader if that | :31:32. | :31:34. | |
happens, would you then except that this has been a high watermark for | :31:35. | :31:40. | |
independence? Look, I hear these things all the time. We had an | :31:41. | :31:44. | |
exceptional election result in 2015. I hope we can repeat that we are | :31:45. | :31:48. | |
working hard to do that. But you know this well. Before that election | :31:49. | :31:52. | |
result, the most MPs the SNP had ever had in our entire history was | :31:53. | :31:57. | |
11. We had six in the parliament before we got 56. I get people | :31:58. | :32:02. | |
saying to me now, if you only get 50, 45, 40, that somehow a disaster, | :32:03. | :32:11. | |
it's a ridiculous way of looking at things. In The Times today, there is | :32:12. | :32:14. | |
a poll which suggests a hung parliament. In that scenario, would | :32:15. | :32:18. | |
you do a deal with Theresa May? No. I wouldn't put a Conservative Prime | :32:19. | :32:23. | |
Minister into office. Even if she said, Nicholas Durden, I'm going to | :32:24. | :32:28. | |
give you top billing next to me at the Brexit negotiations -- Nicola | :32:29. | :32:32. | |
Sturgeon. In my lifetime, Tory governments have been damaging for | :32:33. | :32:37. | |
industry, public services, public finances in Scotland. I think I've | :32:38. | :32:40. | |
got a duty to be honest with people, I wouldn't support a Conservative | :32:41. | :32:44. | |
Prime Minister. You have already said there could be some kind of | :32:45. | :32:47. | |
accommodation with Labour, but could you really do a deal with Jeremy | :32:48. | :32:53. | |
Corbyn, a man you said is not fit to be Prime Minister? Seriously. I'm | :32:54. | :32:56. | |
trying just to be frank with people. I said it in 2015, if the arithmetic | :32:57. | :33:02. | |
made a Progressive alliance possible, I would want to explore | :33:03. | :33:06. | |
the SNP, not being part of a formal coalition, but I also have to deal | :33:07. | :33:14. | |
with reality. I think what I seen over the last few days, she | :33:15. | :33:18. | |
wrong-footed herself in calling this election. I think it has been | :33:19. | :33:22. | |
bizarre watching the Prime Minister, who called this election, appear to | :33:23. | :33:26. | |
be the most unprepared of the leaders for the selection. She can't | :33:27. | :33:30. | |
answer basic questions. She has spent the election trying to dodge | :33:31. | :33:34. | |
scrutiny, avoiding talking to real voters. I think if Theresa May has | :33:35. | :33:39. | |
wrong-footed anybody, it's herself, and she's probably already starting | :33:40. | :33:44. | |
to regret it. Nicola Sturgeon may be confident, and if the polls are | :33:45. | :33:52. | |
right, it's a fairly safe bet that the SNP may win a majority of seats | :33:53. | :33:55. | |
in Scotland. But if as predicted, the Conservatives increased their | :33:56. | :33:57. | |
toehold, the danger for the Nationalists is that they may be | :33:58. | :34:00. | |
seen to lost the momentum for independence. But with just over one | :34:01. | :34:04. | |
week to go to the election, that is something that Nicola Sturgeon is | :34:05. | :34:11. | |
just not prepared to swallow. Kirsty Talkington Nicola Sturgeon. We | :34:12. | :34:14. | |
should say that we have approached the other main parties in Scotland, | :34:15. | :34:20. | |
and we will be hearing from the other leaders before the election. | :34:21. | :34:23. | |
Maybe they will be eating chips as well extract the world has been | :34:24. | :34:27. | |
waiting with a degree of trepidation for Donald Trump to make up his mind | :34:28. | :34:30. | |
on whether the US will withdraw from the Paris climate change agreement. | :34:31. | :34:34. | |
He has been teasing us a bit to date with a tweet. I'll be announcing my | :34:35. | :34:39. | |
decision on the Paris Accord over the next few days. Make America | :34:40. | :34:43. | |
great again! Make of that what you will. Is the US ready to walk out of | :34:44. | :34:47. | |
the deal, and what difference would it make to the planet if it did? A | :34:48. | :34:54. | |
climate change adviser to Barack Obama joins us of the internet from | :34:55. | :35:02. | |
Boulder Colorado. The Danish government's environmental | :35:03. | :35:05. | |
Institute's the sceptical environmentalist has reservations. | :35:06. | :35:11. | |
Good riddance to Paris, is that your take on it? Fundamentally we know | :35:12. | :35:18. | |
that even if everybody did everything they promised in Paris, | :35:19. | :35:25. | |
which is not going to happen because Trump has announced he is not going | :35:26. | :35:28. | |
to do the clean power plan, but even if everyone did it, it would only | :35:29. | :35:31. | |
get us 1% of the way of what politicians have promised us. It was | :35:32. | :35:34. | |
already a very expensive treaty that would do almost no good. The whole | :35:35. | :35:38. | |
conversation we are having right now, is Trump going to leave or not, | :35:39. | :35:41. | |
is not going to make much difference. It's just a difference | :35:42. | :35:45. | |
between an ineffective treaty and a very ineffective treaty. It does | :35:46. | :35:48. | |
offer as an opportunity to start talking about, is there a smarter | :35:49. | :35:52. | |
way forward? Yes, there is a much better way to try to help the | :35:53. | :35:57. | |
climate change is that of going down... Let me put this to Paul, it | :35:58. | :36:05. | |
is true, Paris is not the saving of the planet, is it? Paris is | :36:06. | :36:10. | |
necessary, but not sufficient. It goes at the end of 24 years of trial | :36:11. | :36:18. | |
and error to try and come up with a flame work -- a framework for | :36:19. | :36:21. | |
nations, it is a long-term framework. The pledges that were | :36:22. | :36:27. | |
made only go to 2030, they will be followed by other pledges for the | :36:28. | :36:32. | |
future. Already the 2030 pledges will put down the global emissions | :36:33. | :36:38. | |
curve so that it is significantly less, it is a foundation to build | :36:39. | :36:41. | |
on, it's not sufficient but the best hope we have got. Paul Bodnar, what | :36:42. | :36:47. | |
do you think the rest of the world should do now? If America leaves, | :36:48. | :36:52. | |
should they play hardball? Should they have sanctions against American | :36:53. | :36:55. | |
goods that are made in industries that don't face the same | :36:56. | :36:59. | |
environmental constraint that our industries do? How do you think they | :37:00. | :37:02. | |
should play it? The rest of the world has made quite clear that they | :37:03. | :37:06. | |
intend to carry on. One of the changes that happened over the last | :37:07. | :37:11. | |
15 years or so, since Kyodo and Copenhagen, is that countries have | :37:12. | :37:13. | |
realised that making this transition to a clean energy economy is in | :37:14. | :37:18. | |
their economic interest. If you look at the size of the global green | :37:19. | :37:22. | |
energy market for goods and services, already about $1.5 | :37:23. | :37:27. | |
trillion and growing rapidly, it is a huge economic opportunity for | :37:28. | :37:31. | |
Chinese and European firms, and they will be only too happy to pick up | :37:32. | :37:35. | |
the slack from the United States in that regard. It's rather sad for our | :37:36. | :37:37. | |
exporters and our businesses, however. Bjorn, I saw you scoffing | :37:38. | :37:45. | |
as Paul was saying all of that. I'm sorry, we've just got to get back to | :37:46. | :37:50. | |
reality. Look, the point is that right now the International energy | :37:51. | :37:54. | |
agency tells us that we are spending more than $150 billion every year to | :37:55. | :37:58. | |
subsidise this green economy that Paul is telling us is already | :37:59. | :38:01. | |
effective. No, it only works because we are putting lots of money into | :38:02. | :38:05. | |
it. We have got to us, are we getting much climate benefit out of | :38:06. | :38:12. | |
it? The answer is no, of a next 25 years the International energy | :38:13. | :38:15. | |
agency estimate will be spending $3 trillion just for subsidising | :38:16. | :38:20. | |
inefficient soul and wind. By the end of that time we will have a tiny | :38:21. | :38:25. | |
fraction, less than 3%. If we believe what Paul is saying, it's | :38:26. | :38:35. | |
not going to make much difference, the Americans leaving. The rest of | :38:36. | :38:38. | |
the world will carry on with this, and that is the fact. You're not | :38:39. | :38:41. | |
going to get rid of it just by letting the second biggest emitter | :38:42. | :38:43. | |
in the world leave. There is a couple of things we need to realise. | :38:44. | :38:46. | |
One is, long-term trading has already stumbled at the first | :38:47. | :38:50. | |
beginning when the US leaves. But also we have a situation where many | :38:51. | :38:53. | |
developing countries have signed up basically because they were promised | :38:54. | :38:58. | |
$100 billion per year starting in 2020. There's no chance in hell that | :38:59. | :39:02. | |
is ever going to happen, so they are also going to start considering, do | :39:03. | :39:06. | |
we want expensive, inefficient green technology, or do we want the cheap. | :39:07. | :39:10. | |
Fuel economy? What we really need to understand is, we're doing a repeat | :39:11. | :39:17. | |
of the Kyodo treaty. Back in the 1990s everybody told us that Kyodo | :39:18. | :39:21. | |
was the solution. We knew that it wasn't but we wasted 15 years. I | :39:22. | :39:24. | |
worry we are going to do the same thing with Paris. Paul, do you think | :39:25. | :39:29. | |
the US, if it does leave now, we'll ever find itself wanting to come | :39:30. | :39:32. | |
back into this thing? First, let me say that you have heard a lot of | :39:33. | :39:38. | |
incorrect alternative facts and Bjorn, in particular about the cost | :39:39. | :39:44. | |
of green energy, which is now cheaper than fossil fuels in many | :39:45. | :39:48. | |
parts of the world. I think it would be very hard for the US to claw | :39:49. | :39:53. | |
itself back from a second departure from the international stage on | :39:54. | :39:58. | |
climate change. And most of the costs of withdrawing will fall on | :39:59. | :40:01. | |
the United States in the form of a void and market opportunities. But | :40:02. | :40:07. | |
also we are the second largest emitter in the world. Our emissions | :40:08. | :40:12. | |
matter. If we stall out instead of continuing to aggressively reduce | :40:13. | :40:15. | |
emissions, the biggest impact of all will be on the poorest and most | :40:16. | :40:19. | |
honourable in the world. That's why you hear a unanimous chorus from | :40:20. | :40:22. | |
those countries urging the Trump administration to stay in the | :40:23. | :40:26. | |
agreement. Paul and Bjorn, thank you. We need to leave it there. That | :40:27. | :40:31. | |
is it for this evening. Almost. Because we have a final piece of | :40:32. | :40:35. | |
political argument for you. But it's not a political argument as you know | :40:36. | :40:40. | |
it. Good politicians need to be good storytellers. They need tails and | :40:41. | :40:43. | |
anecdotes to make their arguments. For the next few nights we have | :40:44. | :40:47. | |
Asuncion your politicians to tell us a story. One preferably with a | :40:48. | :40:52. | |
point. It is up to them to interpret their brief. The story can be true | :40:53. | :40:57. | |
or false, abstract or literal, personal or political, just as long | :40:58. | :41:01. | |
as it is a story. It is for those of us brought up on Jackanory. We're | :41:02. | :41:06. | |
starting with the Lib Dems and Vince Cable's bedtime tale. Goodbye. | :41:07. | :41:15. | |
Once upon a time, there was a prince called David. And he ruled well with | :41:16. | :41:26. | |
a team of very wise advisors. But one day he decided he wanted to roll | :41:27. | :41:31. | |
on his own. So he got rid of his advisers, and he sought help from a | :41:32. | :41:36. | |
snake oil salesmen. In a far-away country called Australia. And the | :41:37. | :41:44. | |
snake oil salesmen created for him a special chaos proof armour. And he | :41:45. | :41:48. | |
told him to wear it at all times. And the Prince's sycophantic | :41:49. | :41:55. | |
advisers told him that if he did that, he would be completely | :41:56. | :42:01. | |
infallible. So to prove his strength he decided to wage war on a | :42:02. | :42:05. | |
rebellious tribe in a place called Farage land. And he went into | :42:06. | :42:14. | |
battle, and he lost. His once United Kingdom started to break apart. The | :42:15. | :42:20. | |
currency collapsed, merchants and craftsmen moved away to other lands. | :42:21. | :42:25. | |
And he was forced to resign. And he went to live in a remote forest. A | :42:26. | :42:31. | |
new leader was chosen called Princess Theresa, she wanted to | :42:32. | :42:39. | |
prove her strength, so she made peace with Farage land and decided | :42:40. | :42:45. | |
to go to war with another tribe, called the Euros. And as she | :42:46. | :42:50. | |
prepared for battle, she had a call from the same snake oil salesman | :42:51. | :42:55. | |
from Australia. And what he said to her is that you should wear my | :42:56. | :43:04. | |
special improved chaos proof armour. And he said, if you wear this in | :43:05. | :43:08. | |
battle, you're bound to win. She hesitated, and thought. And then she | :43:09. | :43:11. | |
said... Yes. Hello there, good evening. Tomorrow | :43:12. | :43:24. | |
morning we start off at 14 degrees | :43:25. | :43:26. |