02/06/2017 Newsnight


02/06/2017

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Theresa May faces questions from public sector workers.

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My question to you is, why do you care less

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about the children than the Labour government?

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I don't care less about the children.

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We'll talk to Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson.

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Jeremy Corbyn faces questions on nuclear weapons.

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Would you allow North Korea or some idiot in Iran

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to bomb us and then say, oh, we'd better start talking?!

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No, of course not, of course I would not do that.

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We'll ask our panel if they think Mr Corbyn can win.

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The Conservative candidate in Thanet faces criminal charges

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How will this affect the race there?

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I wouldn't have thought it'd make any difference.

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Because I think they're all Ukip down this way.

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And, Stephen Smith drives his bus where most

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How many of these battle buses have you seen so far?

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If you've sat through an hour and a half

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of the Leaders' Debate and you're joining us now,

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If you've missed the whole thing up until this moment, fear not -

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we're live in York in the Spin Room, and will be talking to Boris Johnson

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You will get a full taste of it here.

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This was the last major set TV piece of the election,

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and it fell to the public to ask the questions.

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Theresa May faced questions about public services,

:01:52.:01:53.

Brexit, and her recent tendency to backtrack.

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Jeremy Corbyn was pressed by the public once again on Trident,

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his commitment to the red button and his attitude towards the IRA.

:01:59.:02:06.

It's hard to talk about winners and losers when the two never

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But let's go live to Nick Watt, who was watching the debate

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He can tell us what happened. What was your sense, Nick? Well, in these

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debates you are looking for easing a moment, the moment of the US

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presidential election when Ronald Reagan turned to Jimmy Carter and

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said, there you go again. This was not a head-to-head, and you didn't

:02:35.:02:37.

have a big moment like that. But what you did have was awkward

:02:38.:02:42.

moments for both leaders. For Jeremy Corbyn, his difficult moment came

:02:43.:02:45.

when he was asked about the Trident nuclear deterrent. He made clear he

:02:46.:02:50.

has changed his position from 2015 when he said that he would never use

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it. He said he would not authorise a first strike. But he could not bring

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himself to say that he would actually authorised it in those

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circumstances. A member of the audience said, surely it is better

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to have it there and not use it than to not have it. Jeremy Corbyn would

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not answer that question. For the Prime Minister there was a difficult

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moment when she appeared not to know that they had been recent reports

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that the UK has given aid money to North Korea. A more versatile Prime

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Minister would have said, we give money to people in need, we don't

:03:22.:03:27.

give it to regimes. Nick, who was your sense, I know you have

:03:28.:03:30.

clarified that they didn't actually meet, but was there in winner from

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tonight? Well, Theresa May entered this performance having struggled in

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this campaign. Jeremy Corbyn came to York tonight having had a very good

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few weeks. I would say, against that background, the Prime Minister

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performed considerably above expectations. There was a difficult

:03:48.:03:51.

moment for Jeremy Corbyn when he was asked, would he specifically condemn

:03:52.:03:56.

IRA terrorism? He couldn't do that and he said that he condemned all

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acts of terrorism. But there was one interesting unifying theme. Both

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leaders came under questions in their core areas and absolutely

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stuck to their positions. For Theresa May, there was a difficult

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emotional moment when a nurse said to her, why is it right I have only

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had a 1% pay rise, which is basically a pay cut? The Prime

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Minister said, there is no magic money tree, we have difficult public

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finances. Jeremy Corbyn faced difficult questions from a micro

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businessman who employs just five people. Why should I face an

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increase in Corporation Tax. Jeremy Corbyn said, I'm sure you'll

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understand we need money for public services. The mood in the two camps,

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the Corbyn camp very happy saying the Labour leader got across his

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core message, the big message he got across with that Theresa May would

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not debate with him. But I have seen some glum cabinet ministers this

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week. But this evening I'm seeing some Borre happy Cabinet ministers.

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One said to me, that was a slam dunk win for Theresa May. This was the

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last debate and it will define the last few days. Our policy editor

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Chris Cook has been taking a look at this debate. Here is his report.

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Tonight is the final event in this debate series... May

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versus Corbyn. Well, not really. It was May and then Corbyn. The Prime

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Minister insisted that they appear separately. And you can see some of

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her logic. She used the opportunity to kick lumps out of her opponents

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when they couldn't retort. You have Diane Abbott who can't add up

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sitting around the Cabinet table. John McDonnell, who is a Marxist.

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Nicola Sturgeon, who wants to break our country up. And Tim Farron who

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wants to bring us back into the EU, the direct opposite of what the

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British people want. The audience though gave her a pretty rough time.

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Refusing to answer people's questions, refusing to talk to

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Jeremy Corbyn. A Prime Minister and potential future Prime Minister

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doesn't understand the difference between a learning disability and

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the mental health condition. I had called an election... For the good

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of the Conservative Party, you have called a general election for the

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good of the Conservative Party and it will backfire on you. Including

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an Brexit. Do you really think you have any real leveraged with

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Brussels? An area where she has a rather well drilled response. I

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think we can negotiate a good deal, because a good deal in trade terms

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is not just of benefit to the UK, it is of benefit to businesses in the

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remaining countries in the European Union. Social care was where Mrs May

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had her weakest section. She pretended there hadn't been a U-turn

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involved in announcing a cap on social care costs. I heard the

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scaremongering that came out after our manifesto was published. And I

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set out one of the details, the aspects that would have been in the

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consultation, which is about having a cap on the absolute level. There

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is a flaw of ?100,000, you can protect 100000 and we will consult

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on watch and by the cap. This killer question was one she could not give

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a meaningful answer. You can tell us what the floor is now. Why can't you

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tell us the cap? APPLAUSE

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There was a run of concerns about austerity too, including mental

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health, schools bending and public sector pay. I've been working as a

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nurse for 26 years. Do the Tories expect our support in light of the

:07:41.:07:45.

1% pay increase? That is where Mr Corbyn was most comfortable, making

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a clear defence of a bigger state. We are asking the very biggest

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corporations to pay a bit more. But I'll cull you what, I think it's

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worth it. It's worth it so that any young person can go to university

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and not leave with debt, to make sure that school head teachers do

:08:01.:08:08.

not have to collect at the school gate in order to pay the teachers'

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salaries. Mr Corbyn, who started out pretty relaxed, lost his ribbon

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after being pressed several times on whether he would use our nuclear

:08:14.:08:16.

deterrent if we were attacked. The reality is that we have to obviously

:08:17.:08:22.

try to protect ourselves. We would not use it as first use. And, if we

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did use it, millions are going to die. You have to think this drink

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through. APPLAUSE

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-- you have to think this thing through. Would you use it as second

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use, or would you allow North Korea or some idiot in Iran to bomb us and

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then say, oh, we'd better start talking. You'd be too late! He was

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also pressed on his 1980s contact with Irish republicans. There has to

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be a coming together at some point. You were talking to them, they were

:08:58.:09:01.

killing women and children and you were talking to them. There has to

:09:02.:09:04.

be... Well, I was talking to representatives of the republican

:09:05.:09:11.

movement, yes. Actually, so was the Government at the same time. So this

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debate can tell us a lot we didn't know. These two politicians have

:09:16.:09:19.

vulnerabilities. But by now, that's hardly a surprise. That was Chris

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Cook. Joining me now from York,

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Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson. Foreign Secretary, thank you for

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joining us. We're used to hearing strong

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and stable from Theresa May. Well, I think... She spoke for

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herself. She gave a commanding performance, and it came across

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very, very clearly that she's in well Min Lee the best candidate to

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be Prime Minister on Friday of next week -- overwhelmingly. Strong and

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stable was how she wanted to be seen. She emanated both virtues. Her

:10:01.:10:05.

answers were clear, they were concise. She got through a lot of

:10:06.:10:10.

them. Yes, she had some tough questioning, but I think when you

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contrast Jeremy Corbyn's performance and his... The difficulty he had

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with some pretty elementary questions about the defence of this

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country, about the Brexit negotiations... Let's talk about

:10:24.:10:27.

her. The audience didn't see strong and stable tonight, did they? They

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said she wobbled and backtracked, her so will their words, not mine.

:10:31.:10:37.

On social care, she still hasn't been able to admit that it was a

:10:38.:10:40.

U-turn. She talks about wanting to be honest but you can't admit that

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the cap on social care was something she thinks has now got wrong and she

:10:45.:10:48.

changed her mind. That's not strong and stable at all. On the contrary,

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I think she gave a very full answer to the whole question of social

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care, and she spelt out once again this is to stop people having to go

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through the agony of selling their homes to pay the care whilst they

:11:01.:11:05.

are alive whilst raising the threshold to ?100,000 so that you

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can pass on when you die. Yes, we are going to consult on the cap.

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There are difficulties with the cap being regressive, as she explained

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very clearly. I think the audience got that, and it was actually a

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useful exchange. But when you came to Jeremy Corbyn on the defence of

:11:26.:11:28.

our country. I mean, we've invested ?31 billion in the Trident... We

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will be talking about Labour, Jeremy Corbyn and Trident, I assure you...

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But we are talking about the Conservatives' message tonight,

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which is her message is about hard-working families, Foreign

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Secretary, that is something we have heard all the way through. She wants

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to talk to hard-working families. We heard tonight in the and say to her

:11:51.:11:54.

that she is earning the same money that she was in 2009. Theresa May

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said, there no magic money tree. That's pretty condescending, isn't

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it, for somebody who has seen 14% less money in real terms, that's

:12:05.:12:08.

what she said tonight. No, what you pointed out, we have already spent

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half ?1 trillion on the NHS. She was talking to a nurse who hasn't seen

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her salary go up in real terms since 2009. I understand, nobody minimises

:12:22.:12:27.

the difficulties that are facing. As Theresa May is just said, we have to

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be prudent public expenditure. It is the cause of that that we can put ?8

:12:33.:12:36.

billion into the NHS to continue to improve that great service -- it is

:12:37.:12:40.

because of that. You can only do that if you have a strong economy. I

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know you don't want me to talk about the policies of the Labour Party...

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When -- if I can... To condescend to a guy who was running a small

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business and want to whack up his taxes with no understanding of the

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damage that does to the productivity of the UK economy, the ability of

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our economy to generate the tax revenue that we need to pay for the

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NHS and other public services. You can confirm what Michael Fallon told

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the Telegraph, there will be no increase in in contact under this

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Conservative parliament if you win. Is that correct -- in income tax. We

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have already taken 4 million of the lowest paid out of tax. No increase

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in income tax, is that what you will pledge? We will bear down on

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taxation, we have no plans to raise income tax. Note signs for the high

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earners, you have just talk to me about being prudent and having to

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make choices and not paying in nurse more than 1%, so there will be no

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increase in income tax, even for high earners, write? Our plans are

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to cut taxes. Flavour's plans are to put them up. And to keep putting

:13:53.:13:57.

them up -- Labour's plans. Funding unnecessary things such as

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renationalising the utilities on the railways. And necessary things like

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a nurse's wagers. A colossal expense. It's by having a strong

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economy, by believing in this country and getting the right Brexit

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deal above all that we will have the revenues, we will have the tax

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revenues we need to pay for great public services. Let's get onto

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foreign affairs. It's lovely to have the Foreign Secretary here. In the

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last 24 hours, Donald Trump has walked away from the most

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significant global deal to save the planet. And the best we have heard

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from Theresa May is that it is disappointing. That sounds like what

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you'd say when a souffle doesn't make it!

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Everyone remembers that Bill Clinton, who was much loved by the

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liberal left and all the rest of it, did not ratify the Kyoto protocol,

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and yet America has met its obligations there. Let's see what

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Donald Trump does before we waive our finger at him and accused him of

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things. I think it would be better, as I said to Rex Tillerson and all

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our counterparts across Government in America, that it would have been

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much better to go with the original thing. But it didn't work. He made a

:15:17.:15:23.

clear commitment to his electorate before the American election that he

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would do just this. And the best special relationship can say is

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disappointing. We can work to reduce CO2. Huge steps have been

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accomplished at on both sides of the Atlantic to do this. We have reduced

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it and so have the Americans. Fried didn't Britain partake in the joint

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letter? As you heard the Prime Minister say very well, she doesn't

:15:55.:15:59.

have to tag along with a bunch of other signatories. Tag along? So we

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are tagging along now, is it? She was talking to the Americans in a

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way that those other leaders won't. She made her view clear. We are

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going to work with the Americans nonetheless to continue to tackle

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climate change, which is the right thing to do. You did mean the office

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of Foreign Secretary. People are starting to talk about whether you

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will keep your job after the election, and when you talk about

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tagging along with foreign leaders, it just demeans your office. I

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simply fail to understand what you're saying. It is completely

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right of the Prime Minister to ring up the American president to express

:16:45.:16:49.

the position of the British Government in terms that I think

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were loud and clear. Our job, unlike Jeremy Corbyn, the most

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anti-American leader of the Labour Party I can remember, we have

:16:59.:17:01.

considerable ability to help the Americans. Do you think people who

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criticise Donald Trump are just whingeing? I will give some

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examples, if I may. One of them is obviously over the air run deal,

:17:19.:17:22.

which Jeremy Corbyn alluded to several times. Britain has worked

:17:23.:17:27.

with the Americans so they haven't scrapped the Iran nuclear deal,

:17:28.:17:31.

which had been a risk. We are working with them on their policy

:17:32.:17:34.

for the Middle East peace process, where Donald Trump has shown great

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interest. If you look at the actions of America in Syria, their treatment

:17:45.:17:48.

of Russia, they are far more proactive now in dealing with the

:17:49.:17:52.

atrocities being committed by Assad. And that is very much, I believe,

:17:53.:18:00.

thanks to the intercessions of the UK Government and a powerful

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relationship that has been developed between us. Theresa May did not back

:18:04.:18:17.

you at the time. We haven't had any such requests, and all I can say is

:18:18.:18:24.

that on the two occasions when the Americans have taken action, I think

:18:25.:18:33.

they had a material impact on the calculations of the Russians and of

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the Assad regime. Do you think you will be in a job next week? That is

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something that the Obama administration absolutely failed to

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do, and I think part of that success is thanks to UK diplomacy. As for

:18:47.:18:52.

your questions about the job that I may have. I want, if at all

:18:53.:18:59.

possible, to be the MP for Uxbridge and South Ruislip. Equally important

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is that we get the right person leading our Brexit negotiations, and

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tonight, it was absolutely clear to me that there is only one person who

:19:11.:19:15.

can conceivably do this, the division and firmness of purpose,

:19:16.:19:19.

and that is Theresa May. Thank you very much. I don't agree with -- I

:19:20.:19:24.

don't disagree with the analysis that this was a heavy victory for

:19:25.:19:32.

her tonight. Thanks for your time. Following Theresa May came Jeremy

:19:33.:19:36.

Corbyn. He faced questions from the audience, from the hosts, David

:19:37.:19:44.

Dimbleby. We are joined by Ian Lavery, Labour's national elections

:19:45.:19:52.

and campaign coordinator. He can miraculously join us where you might

:19:53.:19:54.

have seen Boris Johnson a few seconds ago. A lot of this, as you

:19:55.:19:58.

heard from the Foreign Secretary and the audience tonight, came down to

:19:59.:20:04.

that one question - security. Everything to Jeremy Corbyn tonight

:20:05.:20:07.

centred on whether the public and the audience trust him with the

:20:08.:20:13.

nation's security. I think Jeremy answered very sincerely and honestly

:20:14.:20:16.

tonight, as always. I thought it was a tremendous performance. He stood

:20:17.:20:22.

there, took the questions, answered every single one, unlike Theresa

:20:23.:20:27.

May, who has had a disastrous campaign. And what you have just

:20:28.:20:31.

seen there before is a job interview by Boris Johnson, very intriguing

:20:32.:20:37.

stuff. Jeremy Corbyn performed exceptionally well tonight. The

:20:38.:20:41.

trouble is, though, the same questions have plagued him right the

:20:42.:20:44.

way through this campaign, and it wasn't from journalists tonight,

:20:45.:20:50.

from the BBC and the media, but from members of the public, and it

:20:51.:20:54.

suggests that there is baggage that surrounds him, questions about his

:20:55.:20:58.

relationship to terrorism, to the IRA, to nuclear weapons. You can't

:20:59.:21:05.

get past that, can you? Jeremy Bowen sub that fully tonight. He said, for

:21:06.:21:09.

example, that for many years, the only way to ensure that we have

:21:10.:21:13.

resolutions to conflicts across the globe would be to have constructive

:21:14.:21:19.

dialogue, discussions. At times, it's not very favourable. At times,

:21:20.:21:29.

you might have to speak to people who you really don't want to. And

:21:30.:21:34.

Jeremy explained that. With regard to the IRA, he explained that he

:21:35.:21:38.

spoke to people from across the piece, nationalists and unionists.

:21:39.:21:42.

Look at the solution we've got, we got the Good Friday agreement,

:21:43.:21:49.

peace, and that is because Jeremy and his like think it is right to

:21:50.:21:53.

consult with people across the piece. Jeremy Corbyn didn't take

:21:54.:21:58.

part in the peace process. He didn't call the IRA terrorists. He could

:21:59.:22:01.

have shut that down, and he could have said what he would do with the

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nuclear button and a second response. He didn't. I'm not

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suggesting for one minute that Jeremy Corbyn took part in any

:22:12.:22:15.

discussions. What he did say was that at the time when he was

:22:16.:22:19.

discussing with all parts of the community in Northern Ireland, that

:22:20.:22:22.

the Government were doing that at the same time, Margaret Thatcher's

:22:23.:22:26.

Government, which was interesting. They were right at the time, because

:22:27.:22:31.

what we want to see what we have now is a peaceful solution to the

:22:32.:22:33.

situation in Northern Ireland. Surely, that is what we all want.

:22:34.:22:38.

Would you accept that until Jeremy Corbyn can make those sorts of

:22:39.:22:41.

questions go away from members of the public that were facing into

:22:42.:22:49.

night, from people watching at home and thinking the same thing is, that

:22:50.:22:51.

he cannot be trusted with the nation's security? Jeremy Corbyn be

:22:52.:22:56.

trusted with national security. That isn't in any doubt, and he explained

:22:57.:23:03.

that tonight, very clearly, that he takes the national security of this

:23:04.:23:07.

country extremely seriously. One of the differences between Jeremy and

:23:08.:23:10.

the Conservatives is that Jeremy believes in preventing further

:23:11.:23:16.

conflict, in discussion and negotiation with countries across

:23:17.:23:21.

the globe. He doesn't want to wait until the final seconds to run and

:23:22.:23:28.

press a button that perhaps could incinerate millions of human beings.

:23:29.:23:32.

I think that's sensible and I think that's what people want - dialogue,

:23:33.:23:37.

discussion, honesty, sincerity, agreement that this will never, ever

:23:38.:23:42.

happen. We don't want people running towards the button and trying to get

:23:43.:23:46.

there before each other to kill off the human race. It's absurd. Ian

:23:47.:23:49.

Lavery, thank you very much indeed. Meanwhile, at the end of what has

:23:50.:23:52.

probably felt like a long week for Theresa May,

:23:53.:23:55.

we heard that a Conservative candidate is facing charges over his

:23:56.:23:57.

2015 general election expenses. Craig Mackinlay says

:23:58.:23:59.

he's done nothing wrong, and will continue to fight to be

:24:00.:24:01.

re-elected next week with The Crown Prosecution Service says

:24:02.:24:04.

it's charged Mr Mackinlay, who defeated Nigel Farage

:24:05.:24:12.

in South Thanet in one of the constituency battles

:24:13.:24:14.

of the night, with offences under the Representation

:24:15.:24:16.

of the People Act. David Grossman has

:24:17.:24:19.

been to South Thanet, Is this battlebus full

:24:20.:24:21.

of Conservative activists visiting South Thanet in the 2015 general

:24:22.:24:26.

election part of national It might seem like a dull question,

:24:27.:24:28.

but the two are treated differently, Knowingly failing to declare

:24:29.:24:35.

election spending correctly The then-victorious candidate,

:24:36.:24:40.

Craig Mackinlay, has been charged with two offences relating

:24:41.:24:48.

to election spending Also charged are his election

:24:49.:24:50.

agent, Nathan Gray, and a party organiser,

:24:51.:25:03.

Marion Little. Back in 2015, this was the front

:25:04.:25:04.

line of the Conservatives' It was such a Ukip-supporting area

:25:05.:25:07.

that Nigel Farage had chosen it The Tories thought if they could

:25:08.:25:11.

beat him here, well, they could hold back the tide

:25:12.:25:15.

of Ukip nationally. The defeated Ukip candidate in 2015

:25:16.:25:18.

was out campaigning in Clacton today, chatting to journalists,

:25:19.:25:21.

when an aide starts trying Right, that's big

:25:22.:25:24.

news, OK, thank you. Well, effectively what it means

:25:25.:25:34.

in that constituency is that, whilst his name will stay

:25:35.:25:42.

on the ballot paper, I think the chances of people voting

:25:43.:25:45.

for him are now very slim, so I think that constituency will be

:25:46.:25:49.

a straight fight now between Ukip and the Labour Party,

:25:50.:25:52.

and I will be there tomorrow afternoon giving a speech at 5pm

:25:53.:25:55.

to support our candidate. And what do you think it means more

:25:56.:26:01.

broadly in the context of seven days Well, once again it's bad

:26:02.:26:04.

judgment from Theresa May. But why on Earth would you allow

:26:05.:26:09.

someone to go ahead as a general election candidate when this cloud

:26:10.:26:12.

was clearly hanging over him? In a statement today,

:26:13.:26:15.

Mr Mackinlay said... On election night 2015,

:26:16.:26:31.

I was staying at this hotel in Ramsgate, ready to cover

:26:32.:26:34.

the count the next morning, when who should I bump into,

:26:35.:26:39.

also staying here, but a very senior party worker from

:26:40.:26:42.

Conservative Central Office. Just keeping an eye on things,

:26:43.:26:45.

was the casual reply. It turned out that a whole team

:26:46.:26:51.

of Conservative Party workers had been staying here and at another

:26:52.:26:56.

hotel off and on throughout They racked up hotel bills

:26:57.:26:58.

of thousands of pounds, But should the money have

:26:59.:27:05.

been declared as local If so, it would have

:27:06.:27:09.

taken his spending well South Thanet was the last

:27:10.:27:14.

remaining open investigation Last month, the CPS decided

:27:15.:27:20.

against charging more than a dozen other candidates

:27:21.:27:26.

over similar allegations. In a statement today,

:27:27.:27:28.

the Conservative Party said they were confident that

:27:29.:27:31.

Mr Mackinlay would be cleared, meanwhile criticising

:27:32.:27:34.

what they called fragmented, Well, the Conservative Party

:27:35.:27:36.

continues to believe that these Craig Mackinlay is innocent

:27:37.:27:42.

until proven guilty, Mr Mackinlay, along with Nathan Gray

:27:43.:27:45.

and Marion Little, will appear We return to the issue of climate

:27:46.:27:51.

change. So, in the absence of America,

:27:52.:28:05.

it was China and Europe who came together and pledged to unite

:28:06.:28:08.

to save the planet - a sight few would have

:28:09.:28:11.

predicted five years ago. Preisdent Trump announced his

:28:12.:28:13.

withdrawal on Thursday, saying he believed that

:28:14.:28:14.

to participate in the pact would be to undermine the US economy,

:28:15.:28:17.

wipe out jobs, and put his country Is that how the rest

:28:18.:28:20.

of the world sees it? Joining me now is Todd Stern,

:28:21.:28:24.

former advisor on Climate Change to President Obama,

:28:25.:28:27.

who was the United State's Chief Negotiator on the 2015

:28:28.:28:29.

Paris Climate Agreement. Thanks very much, Emily, it's a

:28:30.:28:48.

pleasure to be here. Look, I think this is a terrible decision. It's

:28:49.:28:51.

bad for the United States in all sorts of ways. It's bad for the

:28:52.:28:55.

world and battle climate change. It's also a big diplomatic hit by

:28:56.:29:02.

the United States. In diplomacy, a country's reputation and standing

:29:03.:29:05.

and credibility matter above all. What the rest of the world is going

:29:06.:29:08.

to see here is that the United States has given them a slap in the

:29:09.:29:13.

face. The drug administration, President Trump, has given -- the

:29:14.:29:17.

Trump administration. It took years of work to get this deal gone. It is

:29:18.:29:22.

a balanced, fair and universal agreement, the first time a real,

:29:23.:29:27.

durable, effective climate agreement has been established after all these

:29:28.:29:31.

years of trying. I see no legitimate case for having pulled out. It's

:29:32.:29:36.

going to be quite damaging for the US. Boris Johnson a moment ago said

:29:37.:29:40.

that Bill Clinton never ratified Kyodo. Is that an equitable

:29:41.:29:46.

arrangement? -- Kyodo. I did hear that, and there is no legitimate

:29:47.:29:50.

comparison there. There is not a question of whether Bill Clinton,

:29:51.:29:56.

who I worked for, by the way, ratified the agreement. The

:29:57.:30:02.

agreement had a structure and a formation that had in reality no

:30:03.:30:06.

chance of getting ratified in the US Senate, that was too bad, we wanted

:30:07.:30:10.

it to happen but it just wasn't going to happen and it wasn't

:30:11.:30:14.

because President Clinton didn't try. Do you think China is taking

:30:15.:30:19.

the place of America? Is it emerging as the saviour of the planet? Well,

:30:20.:30:24.

I don't think China is the saviour of the planet but I will say that

:30:25.:30:27.

I'm glad that China is making clear that they intend to stay in the

:30:28.:30:34.

agreement and to continue with their pledges. That's important. Obviously

:30:35.:30:40.

the US and China together, the work that we did together, the diplomacy

:30:41.:30:43.

was enormously important to getting the agreement done. And it's a good

:30:44.:30:47.

thing that China wants to stay in. It's going to be also I think

:30:48.:30:52.

enormously important that Europe, including the UK, step up and play a

:30:53.:30:56.

leadership role. And many other countries around the world. So I

:30:57.:31:02.

wouldn't at all look at China as a saviour, that would be a real

:31:03.:31:06.

mistake. But China is an important player. There are many other

:31:07.:31:11.

important players. China, as the world's largest emitter at this

:31:12.:31:15.

point by far, obviously has a responsibility, and I'm glad to hear

:31:16.:31:19.

that President Xi Jinping seems to be saying that they intend to meet

:31:20.:31:23.

that responsibility. Todd Stern, thank you very much for joining us.

:31:24.:31:26.

Back to the election now, and our regular Friday panel.

:31:27.:31:28.

Paul Mason - Corbyn supporter and journalist.

:31:29.:31:32.

And Polly Mackenzie - former advisor to Nick Clegg.

:31:33.:31:34.

Very nice to see you all. A quick run through, who do you think one

:31:35.:31:43.

that debate? Where their winners and losers for you, Paul? I'm going to

:31:44.:31:47.

say this, you have been very good at not being to tribal up to this

:31:48.:31:52.

point! I have great hopes for honesty... I think what was wrong

:31:53.:31:55.

with that debate is that at this stage in the game we need expert

:31:56.:32:00.

people quizzing both sides. Hugh won was the politicians because they

:32:01.:32:04.

were not expertly quizzed. Neither of them was pushed to the limits of

:32:05.:32:13.

where their positions are because the audience... I think they were

:32:14.:32:15.

coming from an emotional position, which is where many voters come

:32:16.:32:17.

from. On things like nuclear, tonight this is the issue that

:32:18.:32:21.

Labour spin doctors want to avoid, I want to hit it head-on. The position

:32:22.:32:27.

is clear. No first use is incredibly new and innovative for the British

:32:28.:32:30.

nuclear military establishment, and yet nobody in the audience seemed to

:32:31.:32:34.

pick it up. I'm concerned that the quality of democracy we are going to

:32:35.:32:38.

get at the end of this election is one where, you know, two completely

:32:39.:32:41.

different politicians have really fail to be quizzed expertly in the

:32:42.:32:47.

weight that... That is very brave, saying the audience asked the wrong

:32:48.:32:52.

questions. When they are quizzed expertly, Corbyn supporters go on

:32:53.:32:56.

Twitter and troll them and call them Zionists asking hard questions.

:32:57.:33:02.

Obviously is wrong. But the point I'm trying to make is that we need

:33:03.:33:07.

to know now, what is the cap? It was said again and again, what is the

:33:08.:33:12.

cap on how much savings you lose from the dementia tax? We don't

:33:13.:33:17.

know. Polly, let me come to you. What did you feel? This was about

:33:18.:33:21.

the warmth at an audience has for whoever is on the stage, Hugh won

:33:22.:33:28.

that? I think Theresa May was better than she has been. She has had a

:33:29.:33:32.

wobble for the last ten days, but it feels like she's back on track, as

:33:33.:33:39.

good as she could be. You do have to have different phases. Andrew Neil

:33:40.:33:43.

taking people to pieces, but also people who can relate to human

:33:44.:33:47.

beings. Both of them were better than you would have expected on

:33:48.:33:50.

that. Politicians get found out when they are asked questions by real

:33:51.:33:55.

people, I see that every day on my radio show. It is the real voters,

:33:56.:33:59.

when they ask questions, politicians are sometimes like goldfish. We saw

:34:00.:34:03.

that tonight with Jeremy Corbyn. This was an important event, it had

:34:04.:34:12.

the highest audience of any interview programme so far, and I'm

:34:13.:34:15.

afraid, Paul, that Jeremy Corbyn was found out tonight. His remarks on

:34:16.:34:17.

terrorism, he could not bring himself to condemn the IRA. He

:34:18.:34:24.

condemned them. No, he didn't. On nuclear defence... This man is not

:34:25.:34:30.

fit... I don't want to rerun the debate. What I do want to say is, at

:34:31.:34:35.

the end of the week when we have seen an extraordinary diversity of

:34:36.:34:38.

polls in the way that we have and the two years or whatever, where

:34:39.:34:42.

would you put your number is now? If I come to you for maps, and I know

:34:43.:34:47.

you do this anyway as a hobby, you are going for a Tory majority, still

:34:48.:34:52.

worse plot yes, I am. Theresa May has had a bad week, let nobody

:34:53.:34:57.

denies that. Tonight she came out fighting. Any floating voter who

:34:58.:35:00.

watched that will have been more impressed by Theresa May than they

:35:01.:35:04.

thought they would be. In terms of numbers, at the start of this

:35:05.:35:11.

campaign I predicted a Tory majority of 74. Then I went through all of

:35:12.:35:15.

the constituencies on the basis of the opinion poll lead, I came out

:35:16.:35:19.

with a majority of 130, that has role so much rolled back, it will

:35:20.:35:23.

not be that high. But I still expect a landslide. About 100? 80 to 100. I

:35:24.:35:32.

think Iain is better as a detailed numbers, but the Tories will win

:35:33.:35:37.

this. 50, 75, whatever it is. What is depressing for me is that neither

:35:38.:35:41.

Theresa May more Jeremy Corbyn were particularly strong. They both have

:35:42.:35:45.

big areas of weakness. Stronger than Tim Farron! Nick Clegg is worried

:35:46.:35:50.

about his seat tonight, is that right? People said that Sheffield

:35:51.:35:57.

Hallam was going to be lost, but Nick won with a substantial

:35:58.:36:00.

majority. Is it conceivable that the Lib Dems could go back with this

:36:01.:36:06.

time? At elections, anything is conceivable. People pledged to eat

:36:07.:36:09.

their hats and look like idiots, or run down the street naked! Of

:36:10.:36:14.

course, anything is plausible. Like my promise in 2010! All that I can

:36:15.:36:20.

do is leave the range of polls, the maximum that Theresa May is going to

:36:21.:36:24.

get is ten extra seats, I would have thought. Seriously?! I hope there is

:36:25.:36:31.

money on this afterwards! Paul, in Corbyn HQ, can I just ask you, are

:36:32.:36:35.

they preparing for the possibility of it hung parliament or a wind.

:36:36.:36:39.

They are preparing for a possibility of a hung parliament or a win.

:36:40.:36:44.

People were talking about the Northern Irish, Welsh and Scottish

:36:45.:36:48.

governments on Brexit. They were not at the beginning of this, write?

:36:49.:36:53.

Absolutely not. Go back and look at the polls. The Rangers from a small

:36:54.:36:57.

Tory majority through to a hung parliament through to a minority...

:36:58.:37:03.

They are ahead, aren't they? I spent the whole of the 2050 election

:37:04.:37:07.

campaign preparing for it hung parliament. Wishing it is going to

:37:08.:37:09.

happen doesn't actually make it happen! You are believing the polls

:37:10.:37:15.

that you want to believe, not the majority. Labour very concerned

:37:16.:37:21.

about the turnout. On a high turnout of young people... And you have to

:37:22.:37:24.

get young people out, young people to put their money where their mouth

:37:25.:37:31.

is. If they don't vote Labour, it is ?9,000 on your university fees from

:37:32.:37:36.

September. He is also saying that students who have already gone

:37:37.:37:40.

through the University going to have their money refunded, this is

:37:41.:37:44.

fantasy politics. This feels like a personality race. The more people

:37:45.:37:48.

have seen of Jeremy Corbyn, it seems the more they have warmed to him.

:37:49.:37:53.

The more they have seen of Theresa May the less they have want to hurt.

:37:54.:37:58.

I generally believe tonight was a turning point -- the less they have

:37:59.:38:04.

warmed to her. I think you should apologise to what you said, the

:38:05.:38:09.

Trump playbook. Your side is calling my Vida terrorist. We have

:38:10.:38:15.

questioned... -- might lead a terrorist. Would you like to

:38:16.:38:20.

apologise for that? It is out of the Trump playbook. He is terrified of

:38:21.:38:26.

debating. It is legitimate to ask, where is she? You questioned her

:38:27.:38:29.

health, you should be ashamed of yourself. Do you think any of this

:38:30.:38:35.

cuts through? Some of it does. Reinforcing what we heard earlier,

:38:36.:38:39.

they all still feel the same. The policies are incredibly diverging in

:38:40.:38:42.

this election in the way that they haven't been recently. But you still

:38:43.:38:46.

get the sense that all of the politicians are kind of mediocre.

:38:47.:38:50.

Who do you think has played dirty? On, everybody. Do you? The future of

:38:51.:38:58.

the country is at stake. The other side is actually saying that Labour

:38:59.:39:02.

and the millions of people who support it or in some ways tainted

:39:03.:39:10.

by terrorism... Absolutely. Jeremy Corbyn has supported the IRA. You

:39:11.:39:16.

are digging the grave of consensus politics in this country. Labour

:39:17.:39:24.

supports the rule of law, anti-terrorist... I'm so sorry, we

:39:25.:39:27.

need to get to Steve Smith, he is on his bus. We need to go on.

:39:28.:39:40.

Finally... We will come back to Diane Abbott next week.

:39:41.:39:43.

Imagine the scene: A snap election is called, the Newsnight office

:39:44.:39:45.

From this creative huddle, a germ - in fact, lots of germs,

:39:46.:39:49.

A vision of red: A bus, a battle bus, with Stephen Smith on board,

:39:50.:39:54.

visiting constituencies that have been craving some election glamour -

:39:55.:39:56.

Tonight we bring you the last excursion.

:39:57.:40:01.

Welcome to our popular and acclaimed general election

:40:02.:40:04.

And if you can see this, it means we've had a second

:40:05.:40:08.

Let me refresh your memory about our high-quality format.

:40:09.:40:13.

We're attempting to sprinkle some election razzmatazz on the places

:40:14.:40:16.

Too rock-solid for them to rock up to in their wheels.

:40:17.:40:23.

We've come to the great city of Liverpool on our magical mystery

:40:24.:40:33.

tour, to another constituency that doesn't tend to see a lot in the way

:40:34.:40:37.

Liverpool's Fab Four constituencies are considered to be among

:40:38.:40:53.

We're in Walton, where the party romped home at the last election

:40:54.:40:59.

This constituency is so red that the Conservative candidate

:41:00.:41:06.

Walton's only a few square miles in size -

:41:07.:41:12.

all too easy for our charabanc to stray across the

:41:13.:41:15.

Looks like this bus is not returning.

:41:16.:41:25.

So why is it that election fun and games generally pass Walton by?

:41:26.:41:31.

If only there was a numbers-savvy prodigy to give this vehicle

:41:32.:41:33.

It's only Newsnight's Chris Cook, the Kitt to our Knight Rider,

:41:34.:41:42.

Liverpool Walton, it's fair to say, is a 1-party Labour seat.

:41:43.:41:49.

It's one of only five constituencies in Britain where the second-place

:41:50.:41:53.

party got no more than 10% of the vote.

:41:54.:41:58.

If the other parties last time around had been

:41:59.:42:00.

interested in fighting here, they could each have spent ?12,000

:42:01.:42:03.

But, in practice, the Conservatives, Ukip and the Liberal Democrats

:42:04.:42:10.

all together combined spent only ?3000 on their campaign here.

:42:11.:42:13.

It's really not a seat where the result is in question.

:42:14.:42:18.

After all these years, some facts in one of my investigative reports.

:42:19.:42:29.

So, do the folk here feel they've been taken for granted?

:42:30.:42:34.

Where better to take our bus to meet voters than the colourful bus stops

:42:35.:42:38.

How are you enjoying the election so far?

:42:39.:42:46.

How many of these battle buses have you seen so far?

:42:47.:43:03.

They only come when they really need you, don't they?

:43:04.:43:06.

It's pretty rock-solid, this seat, isn't it?

:43:07.:43:10.

If that is the problem, once they know they've got a safe

:43:11.:43:15.

Do you think it would help if you saw more of the party

:43:16.:43:19.

I sometimes feel like my MPs aren't always visible

:43:20.:43:31.

You sound like you take quite an interest in it, is that right?

:43:32.:43:36.

Because, I mean, it's affecting our future.

:43:37.:43:38.

We've had such a turbulent year for politics, haven't we,

:43:39.:43:41.

I hope your real bus comes along soon!

:43:42.:43:47.

You wait all Newsnight for a bus, and then two come along at once.

:43:48.:43:54.

Oh, it's one of those natty convertible numbers.

:43:55.:43:58.

Would you swap your Liverpool tour bus for our Newsnight battlebus?

:43:59.:44:04.

Newsnight battlebus, come and have a chat about the election!

:44:05.:44:10.

This is Steven Smith with the number one tour bus in Liverpool.

:44:11.:44:26.

He is in Bristol with a full programme then.

:44:27.:44:53.

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