Browse content similar to 06/06/2017. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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There's one day of campaigning left in an election dominated by two | :00:08. | :00:09. | |
terrorist attacks in the space of two weeks. | :00:10. | :00:13. | |
We now know the identity of all three London Bridge killers. | :00:14. | :00:17. | |
What does who they were tell us about how well protected we are? | :00:18. | :00:28. | |
In the case of Youssef Zaghba there are questions about why if the | :00:29. | :00:33. | |
Italian authorities were worried about him going to Syria to fight | :00:34. | :00:38. | |
that the information was not passed on and if it was, it was not dealt | :00:39. | :00:40. | |
with more efficiently. We hear from a former head | :00:41. | :00:42. | |
of Prevent at the Foreign office about the Government's | :00:43. | :00:45. | |
anti-radicalisation strategy. Undoubtedly there is a branding | :00:46. | :00:56. | |
problem, the brand of the Prevent strategy has become tarnished. We've | :00:57. | :01:00. | |
had cases where teachers or those working in the NHS are not willing | :01:01. | :01:02. | |
to be involved. Tonight, Theresa May says | :01:03. | :01:04. | |
she will consider changing human rights law to restrict the freedom | :01:05. | :01:05. | |
of movement of suspected militants. If our human rights laws stop us | :01:06. | :01:15. | |
doing it we will change them so we can do it. | :01:16. | :01:16. | |
We put that to the Shadow Attorney General and a former | :01:17. | :01:19. | |
The polls have shown a race that's been tightening. | :01:20. | :01:25. | |
The seat in the north of this town is one that the Labour | :01:26. | :01:29. | |
and Conservative parties both really want to win. | :01:30. | :01:31. | |
I think it's a definite choice for people to choose either | :01:32. | :01:37. | |
I mean, the old way has not been doing too well. | :01:38. | :01:42. | |
Stephen Bush looks at who and what shaped his politics as a young man. | :01:43. | :01:52. | |
And the Home Secretary had to reply to attacks on the police, like this | :01:53. | :01:55. | |
If this Government can find time and money, apparently, | :01:56. | :02:00. | |
to appease the police, how is it they have not found | :02:01. | :02:03. | |
the time to do anything to bring about democratic control | :02:04. | :02:05. | |
We begin tonight's extended programme here in London on the day | :02:06. | :02:23. | |
we learned the name of the third London Bridge attacker. | :02:24. | :02:26. | |
He was Youssef Zaghba, an Italian national of Moroccan | :02:27. | :02:29. | |
His background is different again to the two killers we already know. | :02:30. | :02:38. | |
As the Prime Minister announces tonight that a Tory government | :02:39. | :02:40. | |
would consider amending human rights law to restrict the freedom | :02:41. | :02:43. | |
and movement of terrorist suspects, we examine the depth and breadth | :02:44. | :02:47. | |
of the terror threat and how to counter it. | :02:48. | :02:50. | |
First, with what we know so far about the attackers, | :02:51. | :02:53. | |
here's our Diplomatic Editor, Mark Urban. | :02:54. | :02:59. | |
For the police and MI5, the three perpetrators | :03:00. | :03:01. | |
are worthy of study, not least in understanding how | :03:02. | :03:04. | |
Today the authorities confirmed the identity of Youssef Zaghba. | :03:05. | :03:11. | |
Of Moroccan and Italian parentage, he lived in Bologna before | :03:12. | :03:13. | |
TRANSLATION: He went to London to go back. Here there is not anything, he | :03:14. | :03:32. | |
went to work. At least that is what he said. In March of last year the | :03:33. | :03:36. | |
Italian authorities had stopped Youssef Zaghba using a one-way air | :03:37. | :03:40. | |
to Turkey and they believed he was about to join the jihad in Syria. | :03:41. | :03:45. | |
The Italian said that they told Britain. The UK authorities say that | :03:46. | :03:51. | |
he was not a subject of interest. We see this a lot where one agency has | :03:52. | :03:57. | |
the intelligence and it says we passed it to our partner agency but | :03:58. | :04:02. | |
obviously a lot of these organisations rely on liaison | :04:03. | :04:06. | |
officers to do this. And quite often sometimes the liaison officer will | :04:07. | :04:12. | |
not have done it all it has not been put on the right system. And | :04:13. | :04:18. | |
troubling new facts have emerged about Khuram Butt also. Pakistani | :04:19. | :04:22. | |
born but raised in this country, he had long associated with the | :04:23. | :04:25. | |
Al-Muhajiroun militant group featuring in a documentary on them. | :04:26. | :04:29. | |
But it also became clear today that he had threatened summer Hassan last | :04:30. | :04:44. | |
July in a park. He you work for Quilliam, used by Muslims and | :04:45. | :04:47. | |
government money to work against Muslims. How dare you come to a | :04:48. | :04:53. | |
Muslim event, you are an apostate. All very aggressive. And very | :04:54. | :05:01. | |
threatening. Because in the mind of extremists, if you declare a Muslim | :05:02. | :05:04. | |
and nonbeliever then there is an automatic death penalty in their | :05:05. | :05:08. | |
mind. It is a well-known technique of intimidation. A scuffle resulted | :05:09. | :05:15. | |
and Khuram Butt received a police caution after Doctor Hassan reported | :05:16. | :05:19. | |
him. I said in my professional judgment he is part of the network | :05:20. | :05:26. | |
which is openly pro-Islamic state in the UK. And the threat to national | :05:27. | :05:32. | |
security. But -- Khuram Butt had been the subject of interest but his | :05:33. | :05:35. | |
status had been downgraded because it was not thought to be involved in | :05:36. | :05:40. | |
any active plots. The type of judgment that MI5 guy monitoring | :05:41. | :05:44. | |
3000 suspects, must constantly make. Some of these people come from | :05:45. | :05:48. | |
backgrounds where they had long-standing patterns of | :05:49. | :05:52. | |
Association with radical networks, a history of radical activism. One of | :05:53. | :05:58. | |
the individuals in this plot, Khuram Butt for example, fits into bad | :05:59. | :06:01. | |
character and personality type. But in other cases people come from a | :06:02. | :06:05. | |
completely fresh background without ever having been known to the | :06:06. | :06:10. | |
authorities. The third London Bridge killer, Rachid Redouane, fits into | :06:11. | :06:14. | |
that last category. He was not on the radar. Libyan and Moroccan, 30 | :06:15. | :06:20. | |
he was the oldest of group. This afternoon police raided this address | :06:21. | :06:24. | |
in Ilford in east London. They remove some items, part of the | :06:25. | :06:28. | |
search to map the relationship of the suspects with one another and | :06:29. | :06:32. | |
the wider militant network in the capital. Three men with quite | :06:33. | :06:36. | |
different backgrounds. Inevitably some of the questions in this | :06:37. | :06:42. | |
investigation will become central to planning how to prevent similar | :06:43. | :06:46. | |
actions in the future. How did they meet if it was not online or at a | :06:47. | :06:51. | |
mosque. What was the basis of the relationship between the men. And | :06:52. | :06:55. | |
when exactly did they form the intention for this joint enterprise | :06:56. | :07:01. | |
of murder on London Bridge. Certainly it is plausible and likely | :07:02. | :07:05. | |
that an attack of this kind could be put together in a matter of hours | :07:06. | :07:09. | |
because it uses everyday items, a rented van, knives are no sense of | :07:10. | :07:15. | |
building an explosive device or doing something that would require a | :07:16. | :07:19. | |
lot of planning and reconnaissance. This is very instantaneous and easy, | :07:20. | :07:25. | |
a dumbed down form of terrorism. Those are now investigate and would | :07:26. | :07:28. | |
try to stop another attack has found a disparate group of fanatics armed | :07:29. | :07:33. | |
with everyday objects. It is a fearsome challenge for anyone to | :07:34. | :07:34. | |
stop. Over the past few weeks, | :07:35. | :07:36. | |
there have been repeated questions around the Government's Prevent | :07:37. | :07:39. | |
strategy - designed to stop Our reporter Richard Watson has been | :07:40. | :07:41. | |
speaking to a former head This is a time of difficult | :07:42. | :07:54. | |
questions for the police and MI5. Absolutely. The Italian attacker was | :07:55. | :08:02. | |
on the radar in Italy and so the focus will be what specific | :08:03. | :08:06. | |
information was given to British authorities. We know from yesterday | :08:07. | :08:11. | |
that the first attacker to be identified, Khuram Butt, was on the | :08:12. | :08:15. | |
radar as well. He was investigated themes and even featured in a | :08:16. | :08:20. | |
Channel 4 documentary. So he had strong links with Al-Muhajiroun. In | :08:21. | :08:23. | |
a rare interview I spoke to the former head of the Prevent strategy, | :08:24. | :08:30. | |
a man called Arthur Snell and he spent his career in government | :08:31. | :08:33. | |
counter terrorism circles. This is what he said. | :08:34. | :08:34. | |
I think, you know, that situation, somebody who has, as you say, | :08:35. | :08:38. | |
has appeared in a TV documentary almost sort of celebrating his own | :08:39. | :08:41. | |
kind of hardline views and hardline status. | :08:42. | :08:44. | |
But I would go back to the point that you've got 500 active | :08:45. | :08:48. | |
investigations, 3000 people being looked at. | :08:49. | :08:52. | |
Now, in the case of Khuram Butt, what we must assume is the police | :08:53. | :08:57. | |
took a look at him, and the police and other authorities drew | :08:58. | :09:00. | |
a conclusion at that time that he wasn't planning | :09:01. | :09:02. | |
What does this say about prevent? Most people accept there was some | :09:03. | :09:18. | |
serious problems in the early days of the Prevent strategy. There was a | :09:19. | :09:23. | |
lot of money around, and in some cases money was given to people with | :09:24. | :09:28. | |
ultraconservative views quite inappropriately. I spoke to Arthur | :09:29. | :09:32. | |
Snell and he accepts the argument but says beyond that the core | :09:33. | :09:35. | |
activity of the Prevent strategy needs to continue. | :09:36. | :09:37. | |
Undoubtedly a branding problem, you know. | :09:38. | :09:39. | |
The brand of Prevent has become tarnished for various reasons. | :09:40. | :09:42. | |
We've seen cases where, for example, teachers or people working | :09:43. | :09:44. | |
in the NHS are very unwilling to be involved. | :09:45. | :09:47. | |
But if we ask, what is the point of Prevent? | :09:48. | :09:50. | |
The point of Prevent is to stop people from becoming | :09:51. | :09:53. | |
terrorists in the first place, to address the underlying | :09:54. | :09:55. | |
causes that drag people into terrorist activity. | :09:56. | :09:57. | |
That is an important activity for the Government, | :09:58. | :09:59. | |
and it has never been more important than the time we are in now. | :10:00. | :10:02. | |
If Prevent needs to be rebranded, I don't have any problem with that. | :10:03. | :10:17. | |
Is there an issue now of the direction of travel of the | :10:18. | :10:24. | |
government anti-terrorism strategy? Get them early on ordeal -- ordeal | :10:25. | :10:30. | |
with extremists? This has been under debate for more than a decade, do | :10:31. | :10:34. | |
you focus just on violent extremists or do bogus as well on the so-called | :10:35. | :10:41. | |
non-violent extremists, people with ultraconservative views which may be | :10:42. | :10:43. | |
unpalatable but do not breach the law. That question is very tricky. | :10:44. | :10:49. | |
The live music seems to be moving towards tackling extremism now, | :10:50. | :10:53. | |
non-violent extremism but there are risks to that. If you effectively | :10:54. | :10:58. | |
alienate a large section of your Muslim population then the damage | :10:59. | :11:02. | |
the flow of community intelligence and so some people think you need to | :11:03. | :11:05. | |
look more structured questions such as how to give these young people | :11:06. | :11:12. | |
avenues to success so that they do not otherwise have those. But | :11:13. | :11:16. | |
critics could say that could be a 20 year plan. | :11:17. | :11:18. | |
Let's drill down now into one question - | :11:19. | :11:20. | |
how should terrorists who fit the profile of Kaurem Butt, | :11:21. | :11:22. | |
a man known to the authorities, who could be said to be hiding | :11:23. | :11:25. | |
As we now know, Khuram Butt was on the radar of the security | :11:26. | :11:37. | |
services well in advance of the London Bridge attack, | :11:38. | :11:41. | |
As we now know, Khuram Butt was on the radar of the security | :11:42. | :11:45. | |
but was still able to carry out his murderous rampage. | :11:46. | :11:47. | |
So, what type of reform should we be looking | :11:48. | :11:49. | |
at across a range of areas to prevent known troublemakers | :11:50. | :11:52. | |
from planning and executing further deadly attacks? | :11:53. | :11:53. | |
We asked four experts for their thoughts. | :11:54. | :12:00. | |
As Independent Reviewer of Terrorism Legislation throughout | :12:01. | :12:03. | |
the period of control orders, I saw how effective they were. | :12:04. | :12:06. | |
They relocated people from the people with | :12:07. | :12:08. | |
They put controls on their use of computers and mobile telephony, | :12:09. | :12:14. | |
they enabled the authorities to know exactly what they were doing. | :12:15. | :12:18. | |
They worked, and I believe they saved many lives. | :12:19. | :12:22. | |
Khuram Butt should have been subject to something like a control order. | :12:23. | :12:26. | |
If he'd been under a control order, he would not have done | :12:27. | :12:29. | |
what he did, and probably the others wouldn't, either. | :12:30. | :12:36. | |
We know that at least one of the London Bridge attackers had | :12:37. | :12:38. | |
been watching extremist videos on YouTube, and, you know, | :12:39. | :12:43. | |
this follows so many concerns about the way in which it's | :12:44. | :12:46. | |
incredibly easy to access content about how to make a nail bomb, | :12:47. | :12:49. | |
how to commit an attack, it's so easy to access that content | :12:50. | :12:53. | |
The US tech companies have got to start taking action. | :12:54. | :13:00. | |
That means aggressively and proactively taking down content, | :13:01. | :13:03. | |
and it means hiring enough people that they can respond to complaints | :13:04. | :13:05. | |
The threat that we are facing here is low-tech terrorism. | :13:06. | :13:17. | |
It's a bunch of guys in someone's front room making a plot, | :13:18. | :13:20. | |
arming themselves with kitchen knives and then going on the street | :13:21. | :13:23. | |
We mustn't forget that the 20/7 attackers were identified | :13:24. | :13:28. | |
by a community officer who dealt with a simple dispute | :13:29. | :13:31. | |
on Oxford Street that led to their identification | :13:32. | :13:32. | |
And that is the value of community police officers. | :13:33. | :13:39. | |
And they're the ones suffering from these cuts. | :13:40. | :13:46. | |
As a community organiser, I feel that we need a third option. | :13:47. | :13:49. | |
One that can be used by families and communities to engage | :13:50. | :13:52. | |
with people who are vulnerable to radicalisation, before a formal | :13:53. | :13:54. | |
However, the current political climate doesn't allow for that | :13:55. | :13:58. | |
Also, we need the reassurance that information and intelligence | :13:59. | :14:01. | |
provided by communities will be taken seriously and be acted upon. | :14:02. | :14:16. | |
Let's pick up on one of those points there - | :14:17. | :14:18. | |
do the authorities have the powers they need to tackle extremism? | :14:19. | :14:21. | |
It would appear that Theresa May, a former Home Secretary, | :14:22. | :14:24. | |
At a rally tonight, she indicated she would be prepared to change some | :14:25. | :14:30. | |
human rights laws to bear down harder on the terror threat. | :14:31. | :14:40. | |
I mean making it easier for the authorities to deport | :14:41. | :14:42. | |
foreign terrorist suspects back to their own country. | :14:43. | :14:45. | |
And I mean doing more to restrict the freedom of movement of terrorist | :14:46. | :14:48. | |
suspects when we have enough evidence to know they are a threat, | :14:49. | :14:51. | |
but not enough evidence to prosecute them in full import. | :14:52. | :15:03. | |
And if our human rights laws stop us from doing it, | :15:04. | :15:07. | |
we'll change the laws so we can do it. | :15:08. | :15:10. | |
We did ask to speak to the Government tonight, | :15:11. | :15:14. | |
Joining me now - for Labour, Shami Chakrabarti, | :15:15. | :15:17. | |
the Shadow Attorney General, and Dominic Grieve, the former | :15:18. | :15:19. | |
Conservative Attorney General and Chair of the Intelligence | :15:20. | :15:21. | |
Good evening to both of you. Shami Chakrabarti, you could be Attorney | :15:22. | :15:31. | |
General in two days' time if the authorities came to you and said, we | :15:32. | :15:36. | |
need to make an alteration to the human rights law so that we can | :15:37. | :15:40. | |
exclude more easily or crack down on them, would you deny it? Our | :15:41. | :15:45. | |
commitment is to deal with terror suspects within the rule of law, | :15:46. | :15:52. | |
including the human rights. It is interesting, this is a familiar knee | :15:53. | :15:56. | |
jerk of Theresa May that we have heard before. A few years ago she | :15:57. | :16:01. | |
was talking about caps. Now she has gone for an anti-human rights dog | :16:02. | :16:06. | |
whistle. A few days earlier when she was standing in Downing Street, she | :16:07. | :16:10. | |
said that terrorists are against human rights and we are going to | :16:11. | :16:15. | |
protect our liberal society. There is no detail from Theresa May this | :16:16. | :16:19. | |
evening. You are confident that the Human Rights Act is sufficient to | :16:20. | :16:26. | |
the task? We will always listen to whatever the security agencies say | :16:27. | :16:30. | |
that they need. But we are confident that we can provide any new powers | :16:31. | :16:35. | |
that are truly necessary and proportionate within the human | :16:36. | :16:38. | |
rights framework and within the rule of law. Clearly something is not | :16:39. | :16:42. | |
working. You agree that the atmosphere has changed, two terror | :16:43. | :16:48. | |
attacks in two weeks proceeded by Westminster, it is a different | :16:49. | :16:51. | |
atmosphere and different climate. People want to know that everything | :16:52. | :16:55. | |
in the Government's armoury is being used. Perhaps that armoury isn't | :16:56. | :16:59. | |
right? We are concerned about the armoury, our biggest concern is | :17:00. | :17:03. | |
about resources. Everything I've heard from your clips this evening | :17:04. | :17:06. | |
and everything that I've heard from the agencies themselves in recent | :17:07. | :17:10. | |
weeks suggests that cuts for example in the number of police officers, | :17:11. | :17:15. | |
cuts to the Borders agency, austerity, it is a potential problem | :17:16. | :17:24. | |
and we are committed to making that the priority. You have a situation | :17:25. | :17:26. | |
where you have heard Lord Carlile say tonight that actually control | :17:27. | :17:30. | |
orders are what we need back. Lord Carlile and I have debated control | :17:31. | :17:33. | |
orders on your programme over the years and we have disagreed. If | :17:34. | :17:39. | |
there is a need for any new powers to monitor suspects who are not yet | :17:40. | :17:43. | |
able to be charged, we are convinced that could be dealt with within the | :17:44. | :17:50. | |
criminal justice system and not as an extra justice system measure like | :17:51. | :17:54. | |
control orders. We have said, Jeremy Corbyn has said even this evening | :17:55. | :17:58. | |
that he will look at the law. But the primary focus that we are making | :17:59. | :18:05. | |
is resources. If you have an extremist in your midst, you know | :18:06. | :18:09. | |
for example somebody like Khuram Butt is in your midst but there is | :18:10. | :18:12. | |
not enough to prosecute him but actually you want to detain and | :18:13. | :18:15. | |
restrain him in some weight and you don't have the powers to do so just | :18:16. | :18:19. | |
now, but keeping him off the streets is the main thing to do, you would | :18:20. | :18:23. | |
look at a new law? We will always keep the law under review. At the | :18:24. | :18:27. | |
moment we are convinced that with additional weasels is we can deal | :18:28. | :18:36. | |
with these people within the rule of law. Is Shami Chakrabarti right, | :18:37. | :18:38. | |
there is no need for any movement on the Human Rights Act? Certainly the | :18:39. | :18:42. | |
architecture that we have of human rights allows the derogation. There | :18:43. | :18:45. | |
is no difficulty derogating if you can show it is necessary and | :18:46. | :18:49. | |
proportionate to do so. The Prime Minister is therefore absolutely | :18:50. | :18:53. | |
right when she says that within the structures of our easy HR | :18:54. | :18:57. | |
obligations, we could, if necessary, for example, if we felt it was | :18:58. | :19:01. | |
vital, detain people without trial. Whether it would be a good thing to | :19:02. | :19:05. | |
do it or not is another matter, but the powers do exist to allow that to | :19:06. | :19:10. | |
happen. She is actually not saying anything new tonight at all, that is | :19:11. | :19:13. | |
not the way she is putting it out first book that is not what I | :19:14. | :19:19. | |
understood her today, and I was present when she spoke. She was | :19:20. | :19:23. | |
going to review the legal framework and see what areas it would be | :19:24. | :19:28. | |
improved, that is compatible with our human rights obligations and | :19:29. | :19:31. | |
from my point of view it is a common-sense thing to do. It seems | :19:32. | :19:35. | |
we are in familiar territory in one way. Actually when she was talking | :19:36. | :19:39. | |
about before about social care, would that all would then not be a | :19:40. | :19:43. | |
cap, that was the same story just a different form of language. You seem | :19:44. | :19:54. | |
to be saying the same about this. This is clearly what you are saying | :19:55. | :19:57. | |
tonight. We need to alter the law in some way to increase the possibility | :19:58. | :20:00. | |
of fibre restraint or exclusion, we will look at that. Dominic Grieve, | :20:01. | :20:03. | |
you or a lawyer, you know she was saying something different. I | :20:04. | :20:05. | |
understood she wanted to review the law in terms of restricting people's | :20:06. | :20:09. | |
liberty if there was evidence which could not be produced in court but | :20:10. | :20:12. | |
there was intelligence evidence. Yes, it can be looked at further. | :20:13. | :20:17. | |
80p, which we have at the moment, could be changed or improved. There | :20:18. | :20:24. | |
are only seven restrictions at the moment. History has shown that they | :20:25. | :20:28. | |
and control orders may have a limited use. That is not a reason | :20:29. | :20:32. | |
why you shouldn't go away and look at them again. That is a sensible | :20:33. | :20:37. | |
reaction by Government, and not one with which I have any difficulty. | :20:38. | :20:42. | |
You are saying two days before an election, you have been on this | :20:43. | :20:47. | |
programme many times arguing it against 90 days, arguing against 42 | :20:48. | :20:50. | |
days, arguing against control orders. You have always been the one | :20:51. | :20:55. | |
to say that the law as it exists just now is sufficient to the tasks. | :20:56. | :21:00. | |
You must be crossing your fingers. Not at all, I am always want to | :21:01. | :21:04. | |
argue against gimmicks, absolutely. And given three does creep in | :21:05. | :21:13. | |
because people feel that they have got to do something. But in fairness | :21:14. | :21:16. | |
to the Prime Minister, if you listen to what she had to say this evening, | :21:17. | :21:20. | |
reviewing how T -- Howell Tpims operate... She was saying | :21:21. | :21:25. | |
amendments. Amending Tpims is perfectly reasonable, it can be done | :21:26. | :21:29. | |
within the framework of our human rights obligations without any real | :21:30. | :21:32. | |
difficulty of the situation warrants it. I don't have a problem with | :21:33. | :21:37. | |
that. Clearly the detail will have to be looked that, but she is not | :21:38. | :21:41. | |
wrong to raise such an issue. Two days before an election? | :21:42. | :21:45. | |
Unfortunately these events have taken place four days before an | :21:46. | :21:49. | |
election, we have to live with the consequences of that. We can't just | :21:50. | :21:53. | |
ignore it and say, we will come back to it on Saturday. That is | :21:54. | :21:56. | |
unreasonable for the opposition by Government. Thank you both very | :21:57. | :21:58. | |
much. Hello, good evening | :21:59. | :21:59. | |
from Walsall's New Art Gallery, here in the crucial political | :22:00. | :22:03. | |
battleground of the West Midlands. The second last day | :22:04. | :22:06. | |
of the election campaign is over. We'll hear the views | :22:07. | :22:08. | |
of our own focus group in Walsall, and we'll have a profile | :22:09. | :22:11. | |
of Jeremy Corbyn, the man who is Well, because this may prove to be | :22:12. | :22:13. | |
an important signifier of the direction Britain is taking | :22:14. | :22:18. | |
on Thursday night. That's because one way of describing | :22:19. | :22:20. | |
the traditional election map of England is that Labour | :22:21. | :22:23. | |
own the north, the Tories own the south, and the Midlands | :22:24. | :22:25. | |
is a swing region that holds the balance of power | :22:26. | :22:28. | |
and decides who runs A caricature, but one | :22:29. | :22:30. | |
with a grain of truth in it. Now, that old order - | :22:31. | :22:34. | |
that election map may be challenged on Thursday, | :22:35. | :22:36. | |
but it is still interesting to look at this campaign | :22:37. | :22:38. | |
from the perspective of a West Midlands marginal seat, | :22:39. | :22:40. | |
and I'm sitting in one here. Walsall North is number 23 | :22:41. | :22:43. | |
on the Tory target list. It is one the party needs to win | :22:44. | :22:45. | |
if Theresa May is to get a substantial majority, | :22:46. | :22:49. | |
the kind of majority that justifies her decision | :22:50. | :22:51. | |
to call the election. It is also the kind of seat | :22:52. | :22:53. | |
she wants to win, because she wants to reach out to the parts of Britain | :22:54. | :22:56. | |
the Tories have struggled to reach - places like this, with | :22:57. | :23:00. | |
the characteristic industrial Here in Walsall, they've got a dry | :23:01. | :23:02. | |
saying about the place. But international competition has | :23:03. | :23:05. | |
made life more difficult and it is still one of the more | :23:06. | :23:13. | |
deprived constituencies Today, nearly a fifth | :23:14. | :23:16. | |
of the constituents receive some That's almost double | :23:17. | :23:21. | |
the national average. David Winnick is up early | :23:22. | :23:27. | |
looking for Labour votes. This has long been | :23:28. | :23:35. | |
natural Labour territory. David Winnick captured | :23:36. | :23:40. | |
the seat for Labour in 1979. But the old order is under | :23:41. | :23:42. | |
challenge, and he is now defending Two years ago, he got 39% of | :23:43. | :23:48. | |
the vote to the Conservatives' 33%. But this seat is one where Ukip's | :23:49. | :23:57. | |
strong showing last time can shape If just half of those | :23:58. | :24:00. | |
defect to the Tories, That's the outcome that | :24:01. | :24:09. | |
Theresa May was hoping So, is that what will | :24:10. | :24:14. | |
happen on Thursday? Well, we'll come back | :24:15. | :24:23. | |
to Walsall in a minute. But, the penultimate day | :24:24. | :24:25. | |
of the campaign is over. Nick Watt, our Political Editor, | :24:26. | :24:27. | |
has been notching up the miles during the last few weeks, | :24:28. | :24:30. | |
and is with me now. Almost there, Nick! What is the | :24:31. | :24:39. | |
feeling, particularly in the Tory camp at the moment? There are some | :24:40. | :24:43. | |
pretty nervous and some pretty angry ministers. One minister told me, | :24:44. | :24:48. | |
Theresa May has had the worst imaginable campaign and her stock | :24:49. | :24:52. | |
has absolutely plummeted. There is furious about U-turn on social care, | :24:53. | :24:57. | |
and also the less than sort of Sunni approach of this Tory campaign. A | :24:58. | :25:01. | |
minister told me, this whole campaign has gone sour. They think | :25:02. | :25:06. | |
they are going to win, but not win as emphatically as they had hoped, | :25:07. | :25:12. | |
and the blame is being laid squarely at the door of the Prime Minister's | :25:13. | :25:14. | |
joint chiefs of staff, Nick Timothy and Fiona Hill. We all here in | :25:15. | :25:19. | |
Walsall, I have been up in the North East looking at another seat that | :25:20. | :25:22. | |
the Tories would dearly love to win. Here is my report. | :25:23. | :25:27. | |
At last, our strong and stable Prime Minister has located... | :25:28. | :25:29. | |
Theresa May briefly took up residence in a sturdy stable to | :25:30. | :25:33. | |
deliver her main campaign message of the day. | :25:34. | :25:37. | |
The clear choice for people is, who do they trust to get the best | :25:38. | :25:40. | |
Who has got the will, who has got the plan | :25:41. | :25:44. | |
for those Brexit negotiations, because they start only 11 days | :25:45. | :25:47. | |
after polling day, and they are the basis of everything else. | :25:48. | :25:50. | |
A big focus on Brexit could only mean the | :25:51. | :25:52. | |
We were told at the beginning of this campaign that | :25:53. | :26:05. | |
it would be a presidential tour by Theresa May, | :26:06. | :26:07. | |
with you only playing a | :26:08. | :26:09. | |
Now, with 48 hours to go and after a faltering campaign by | :26:10. | :26:14. | |
Theresa May, you are playing a prominent role. | :26:15. | :26:16. | |
So is the Prime Minister is so alarmed by the | :26:17. | :26:18. | |
success of Jeremy Corbyn, the man you described as a mugwump, | :26:19. | :26:21. | |
I think wholly accurately, by the way! | :26:22. | :26:25. | |
Is she hoping that the Boris Johnson Heineken effect is going to reach | :26:26. | :26:30. | |
out to voters in parts of this country where she is struggling? | :26:31. | :26:35. | |
Nick, I have been engaging with you, with the voters in this country, | :26:36. | :26:39. | |
But the point is, there is one choice for people on Thursday. | :26:40. | :26:45. | |
It boils down to a clear and simple choice between a | :26:46. | :26:51. | |
strong and determined woman in the form of Theresa May, | :26:52. | :26:53. | |
who in my view has a fantastic plan for Brexit, and | :26:54. | :27:01. | |
understands we need to take this country forward. | :27:02. | :27:05. | |
And Jeremy Corbyn, who is at very best weak and | :27:06. | :27:07. | |
So Boris Johnson travelled to the North East seat of | :27:08. | :27:15. | |
To deliver an impassioned speech about the dangers | :27:16. | :27:20. | |
A month ago, Newsnight launched its general election | :27:21. | :27:25. | |
Corbyn-mania had yet to sweep into one working men's club. | :27:26. | :27:33. | |
He's stronger, he has come back and he is | :27:34. | :27:46. | |
So he is coming round, he has two days to go. | :27:47. | :27:51. | |
So, Danny, I saw you a month ago at the beginning of the campaign. I'm | :27:52. | :28:02. | |
wondering, one month on, have you changed your views at all? No, | :28:03. | :28:07. | |
definitely not. It's nice to see you again. It's nice for you to come and | :28:08. | :28:12. | |
see us for the feedback. But definitely not. Theresa May had high | :28:13. | :28:16. | |
hopes of capturing this rock-solid Labour seat at the start of the | :28:17. | :28:20. | |
election campaign. One month on there are some signs that Jeremy | :28:21. | :28:25. | |
Corbyn's successful campaign is paying dividends. But there are | :28:26. | :28:28. | |
natural supporters who simply will not support him. Over in the rule | :28:29. | :28:36. | |
all Tory supporting area of the constituency, there is support for | :28:37. | :28:40. | |
Theresa May, although her campaign slips have been noticed. What do you | :28:41. | :28:46. | |
think of Theresa May's campaign? Well, she's basically spoilt it when | :28:47. | :28:53. | |
she did the U-turn. She was going all right until Ben. Well, I did | :28:54. | :28:58. | |
like Theresa May very much. But I think she's been very indecisive | :28:59. | :29:03. | |
over a lot of things. I just don't know. The Prime Minister of the | :29:04. | :29:12. | |
United Kingdom, Theresa May. The feel of Theresa May's campaign early | :29:13. | :29:17. | |
in the day gave way to a more energetic rally tonight in the | :29:18. | :29:19. | |
gritty surroundings of Slough, the final stretch in which our leader's | :29:20. | :29:24. | |
feat for barely touch the ground. It has been a strange election - | :29:25. | :29:29. | |
to me, it feels as though the important debates about Brexit | :29:30. | :29:32. | |
and the overall direction of And now we know they have to finish | :29:33. | :29:35. | |
by this time tomorrow. And to get a taste of how all this | :29:36. | :29:44. | |
has played with voters in this marginal seat, | :29:45. | :29:47. | |
we convened a panel A small focus group of people | :29:48. | :29:49. | |
who have been Labour or Tory, or undecided | :29:50. | :29:52. | |
between Labour and Tory. Ipsos Mori selected | :29:53. | :29:54. | |
the panel for us, and, as this is a Labour seat, | :29:55. | :29:56. | |
there is a tilt towards Labour in the numbers, | :29:57. | :29:59. | |
but Tories and undecideds I looked back on the campaign | :30:00. | :30:01. | |
with the panel, to gauge their views on some of the key moments | :30:02. | :30:05. | |
and themes. Thank you for coming and let's talk | :30:06. | :30:13. | |
about the election campaign and which bits made an impression on due | :30:14. | :30:17. | |
and which have not. And where you think he is. -- made an impression | :30:18. | :30:25. | |
on you. To start with security and terror which has dominated sadly | :30:26. | :30:29. | |
much of the campaign. Samantha, has that effect it for you your view of | :30:30. | :30:35. | |
the political parties, you're thinking about this election? It has | :30:36. | :30:39. | |
not changed my thoughts on the political parties, it has remained | :30:40. | :30:47. | |
the same as before. It has made the undecided because I want to feel | :30:48. | :30:51. | |
safe on the streets, I want my children to be safe and then | :30:52. | :30:54. | |
obviously my children will have children. As it is now I am | :30:55. | :31:04. | |
uncertain, I feel we are on site. -- I feel we are on say. We'll bring | :31:05. | :31:10. | |
the perpetrators of the attacks but is anywhere else you blame, people | :31:11. | :31:13. | |
you think of lead the country down? -- we will blame. Personally I think | :31:14. | :31:22. | |
the government has let us down. It seems to be dividing communities. We | :31:23. | :31:27. | |
are supposed to be multicultural and we are on paper but we are not. All | :31:28. | :31:33. | |
the communities are separate. If you're not together there will never | :31:34. | :31:40. | |
be peace. I think security is let us down as well. They knew one of them, | :31:41. | :31:48. | |
in the London terrorist attack that carried out the attack. They could | :31:49. | :31:50. | |
have done something earlier and they did not. Has that affected your | :31:51. | :31:56. | |
thinking about the political parties? I think that it has. I | :31:57. | :32:02. | |
think Theresa May, I do not think she is doing herself any favours | :32:03. | :32:07. | |
with the things she has said. She said things previously about the | :32:08. | :32:10. | |
police that they are bringing back but I do not think that is helping | :32:11. | :32:14. | |
her at the moment. Thinking back to the Manchester or London attack, is | :32:15. | :32:19. | |
that anyone who comes to mind you think captured the moment, who spoke | :32:20. | :32:23. | |
the nation? Who gave the impression of leadership on the issue? I think | :32:24. | :32:30. | |
Jeremy Corbyn did quite well with what he had to say. I think what I | :32:31. | :32:36. | |
do -- I think we need more police on the streets. They have been reduced | :32:37. | :32:40. | |
and local police station has been shut down. If we have an emergency, | :32:41. | :32:46. | |
we're waiting half an hour, and are for something to be done. One of the | :32:47. | :32:50. | |
things often said about voters and terror attacks, is when you're | :32:51. | :32:55. | |
thinking about security they tend perhaps to think in more | :32:56. | :33:00. | |
conservative, right wing ways. For health that is more left. Both -- | :33:01. | :33:06. | |
but if anyone who has felt more inclined to vote Conservative as a | :33:07. | :33:09. | |
result of what has happened in this campaign? Heads shaking. How many | :33:10. | :33:17. | |
would say you feel more inclined to vote for Labour as a result of the | :33:18. | :33:22. | |
terror attacks? Several of you. I would like to talk about leadership | :33:23. | :33:25. | |
because that has been quite a big issue in the campaign, both parties | :33:26. | :33:31. | |
made something of that. Who would like to say what the Tories slogan | :33:32. | :33:36. | |
was relating to leadership in the earlier part of the campaign. If I | :33:37. | :33:40. | |
say there was a three word slogan they were using a lot? Strong and | :33:41. | :33:48. | |
stable. How many of you recognise those words is being used by the | :33:49. | :33:55. | |
Conservative Party? Did you hear them repeating that a lot because | :33:56. | :34:00. | |
people used to said they only had three words. They were saying that | :34:01. | :34:07. | |
often. I never heard anyone say something so often. I'm tired of | :34:08. | :34:13. | |
seeing Theresa May, she's always there. Strong and stable. OK, I get | :34:14. | :34:22. | |
it. I think the Jeremy Corbyn one stands out more. For the many and | :34:23. | :34:30. | |
not the few. How many of you know that phrase, for the many, not the | :34:31. | :34:35. | |
few? That one was getting a bit battered. How many of you think that | :34:36. | :34:42. | |
strong and stable is a good way to describe Theresa May? How many of | :34:43. | :34:50. | |
you do not think strong and stable is a good way of describing Theresa | :34:51. | :34:58. | |
May? A couple of abstentions. Why were you laughing when I said strong | :34:59. | :35:03. | |
and stable? Were not strong and stable with Theresa May because of | :35:04. | :35:10. | |
the policing cuts. I think that is the number-1 issue. We cannot be | :35:11. | :35:14. | |
strong and stable without police and we are not secure. We need to | :35:15. | :35:18. | |
prevent these attacks from happening. None of you thought | :35:19. | :35:20. | |
Theresa May represents and stability? You were not persuaded by | :35:21. | :35:29. | |
the slogan? I have never seen anyone so weak and feeble in my life. I | :35:30. | :35:35. | |
didn't think she was quite clever to be asking for this election because | :35:36. | :35:41. | |
she thought she was in a very strong position to win. But as the time has | :35:42. | :35:46. | |
gone on I think she could have shot herself in the foot. What has she | :35:47. | :35:56. | |
shot herself in the foot on? The series of events with the terrorism | :35:57. | :35:59. | |
things, the policing, the things that she is saying and all that | :36:00. | :36:05. | |
about dementia and people's homes to pay for their care. I do not think | :36:06. | :36:10. | |
that helped her. That has overshot the campaign. How many of you have | :36:11. | :36:16. | |
seen your opinion of Theresa May go up during this election campaign? | :36:17. | :36:21. | |
None of you. How many of you think your opinion of her has gone down | :36:22. | :36:26. | |
during the election campaign? What about Jeremy Corbyn, has your | :36:27. | :36:31. | |
opinion of Jeremy Corbyn gone up during the campaign? You're putting | :36:32. | :36:38. | |
your hand up tentatively. I would not stay up or down, I am undecided | :36:39. | :36:44. | |
about him in general. But it has not gone. How many dig your opinion of | :36:45. | :37:17. | |
him has gone down during the campaign? None of you. I'm going to | :37:18. | :37:18. | |
weed out some words and I want you to shout simultaneously. Shout the | :37:19. | :37:20. | |
name Jeremy Corbyn or Theresa May. Which one looks more confident? | :37:21. | :37:20. | |
Jeremy Corbyn. More prime Mysterio? Jeremy Corbyn. More serious? Theresa | :37:21. | :37:26. | |
May. More confident? Jeremy Corbyn. More compassionate? Jeremy Corbyn. | :37:27. | :37:30. | |
So you are entering Jeremy Corbyn to most of those questions. -- you are | :37:31. | :37:38. | |
answering. I want to ask you a question to finish, the choice you | :37:39. | :37:43. | |
are facing, you have expressed the view that it comes down to Labour or | :37:44. | :37:47. | |
Tory. Other parties would beg to differ I know. How many of you think | :37:48. | :37:54. | |
that the choice you have this time is a good choice? I've -- but it is | :37:55. | :38:04. | |
a good election with a fair selection of candidates. How many of | :38:05. | :38:08. | |
you think oh my goodness it is a dilemma, you are picking the least | :38:09. | :38:16. | |
bad rather than the most good? Just go round on whether it is an | :38:17. | :38:20. | |
election we are picking a good one or a least bad one? You have to go | :38:21. | :38:27. | |
with what is important to you. So the policies that Jeremy has and | :38:28. | :38:33. | |
Theresa May has come at you go with which our most important to you | :38:34. | :38:37. | |
overall. How do you think you will go? Undecided. I was going to vote | :38:38. | :38:49. | |
Tory but as Theresa May has gone a long her campaign has kind of weak | :38:50. | :38:54. | |
and whereas I have seen Jeremy Corbyn get stronger. That has made | :38:55. | :38:58. | |
me weep a bit. So I am a bit undecided. Mark, to have the last | :38:59. | :39:13. | |
word! I am sitting on the fence. From what I've heard, I think it is | :39:14. | :39:23. | |
going more towards the Labour Party. Roy, you were a Labour voter, do you | :39:24. | :39:28. | |
think that this is an election where it is a choice or a dilemma, is it | :39:29. | :39:33. | |
about the best or the least bad? I think is a different choice, between | :39:34. | :39:40. | |
a new weight or an old way. The old way has not been doing so well so | :39:41. | :39:45. | |
let us try the new way. I think the Labour Party are setting out the | :39:46. | :39:50. | |
things that are important to most people, the NHS, education, | :39:51. | :39:53. | |
policing. A better choice than last time when it was David Cameron or Ed | :39:54. | :40:01. | |
Miliband? Definitely, much better. A really good election with a clear | :40:02. | :40:05. | |
choice, Jeremy Corbyn all the way and a lot of optimism here and | :40:06. | :40:09. | |
exciting times it hopefully he gets in. Tory voter lifetime, where are | :40:10. | :40:21. | |
you now? Still undecided. The last time when it was David Cameron and | :40:22. | :40:25. | |
Ed Miliband it was a clear choice because Cameron was the stronger | :40:26. | :40:32. | |
leader. But this time, I am going to wait until Thursday I think. Just | :40:33. | :40:38. | |
choose the last minute. Quite a few undecideds. You have not got long. | :40:39. | :40:45. | |
On paper I do not think any of them are standout leaders. Not like | :40:46. | :40:51. | |
Barack Obama, you think he is a leader. How do you think you will | :40:52. | :40:55. | |
go? I would rather not say. You see Jeremy Corbyn | :40:56. | :41:04. | |
getting a relatively warm reception in that group - | :41:05. | :41:06. | |
is that the prevalent view in places like this, | :41:07. | :41:08. | |
or was the panel untypical? You never know until | :41:09. | :41:11. | |
the day, do you? Well, here in Walsall's | :41:12. | :41:14. | |
New Art Gallery with me are Andrew Mitchell, | :41:15. | :41:16. | |
who has been the MP for Sutton Coldfield since 2001 | :41:17. | :41:18. | |
and is the former Secretary of State Liam Byrne has been the MP | :41:19. | :41:21. | |
for Birmingham Hodge Hill since 2004, and was a member | :41:22. | :41:25. | |
of the Shadow Front Bench Andrew Mitchell, do you agree with | :41:26. | :41:42. | |
those other senior colleagues, that this has been a terrible Tory | :41:43. | :41:49. | |
campaign? This is my ninth general election as a Parliamentary | :41:50. | :41:52. | |
candidate and I have never known any of those elections not experience | :41:53. | :41:57. | |
quite a lot of turbulence in the Conservative Party and this is no | :41:58. | :41:59. | |
exception. But over the past month I have been in a number of targeted | :42:00. | :42:04. | |
and marginal seats across the Midlands. I think it was never as | :42:05. | :42:09. | |
good for the Conservative Party as at the beginning, I do not think it | :42:10. | :42:13. | |
is as bad as some media are suggesting it is now. I think on the | :42:14. | :42:17. | |
ground there is a different battle going on to the battle going on in | :42:18. | :42:21. | |
the national media. You say you have done nine, can you think of a worse | :42:22. | :42:28. | |
Conservative campaign than this? I think there have always been | :42:29. | :42:33. | |
difficulties with campaign. I'm not going to do that. I think they have | :42:34. | :42:38. | |
always been difficulties. But on the doorstep I think a lot of the media | :42:39. | :42:42. | |
froth that characterises the national campaign is not bear and I | :42:43. | :42:45. | |
think people across the Midlands are making up their minds who they want | :42:46. | :42:49. | |
to deal with Brexit and who they think will run the economy best | :42:50. | :42:53. | |
after the general election is over. Liam Byrne, what is your critique of | :42:54. | :43:02. | |
the Tory campaign? I think it has been interesting, Theresa May went | :43:03. | :43:05. | |
into the election thinking it was a con election. She wanted to make the | :43:06. | :43:12. | |
pitch to hire me as your chief negotiator but that has not worked | :43:13. | :43:15. | |
because people already have factored in Brexit and they want to move | :43:16. | :43:20. | |
beyond it. So the election has been revealed actually as I change | :43:21. | :43:24. | |
election. And Labour have put some bold offers on the table, around 6% | :43:25. | :43:32. | |
increase in public spending and that has resonated. People do not want | :43:33. | :43:36. | |
more of the same. At the beginning it was thought that this could | :43:37. | :43:39. | |
redraw the map and bring the Tories back into blue-collar areas, destroy | :43:40. | :43:46. | |
Ukip, replace Labour as a party of aspiration and the working class. In | :43:47. | :43:51. | |
your opinion is that happening or basically is it retreating to the | :43:52. | :43:58. | |
traditional two parties? I think is retreating to the traditional | :43:59. | :44:02. | |
2-party election but that is not inconsistent with some of the points | :44:03. | :44:05. | |
we made about the collapse of Ukip and so on. But I think the media set | :44:06. | :44:11. | |
of very low bar for Jeremy Corbyn. He has had a good election campaign, | :44:12. | :44:18. | |
to be fair. But as he goes blasting up the arterial roads of Britain | :44:19. | :44:22. | |
lobbing 50-pound notes at every interest group that there is, I | :44:23. | :44:26. | |
think here in the Midlands on the doorsteps the reaction I'm getting, | :44:27. | :44:29. | |
people are suspicious of that. They do not think there is a magic cure | :44:30. | :44:33. | |
and I think it will come down to those two points I made at the | :44:34. | :44:39. | |
start, Brexit and the economy. In focus group Brexit, they did not | :44:40. | :44:42. | |
know enough about the different pitches for that to be decisive. But | :44:43. | :44:48. | |
to talk about vulnerabilities of the quadrant campaign and money. | :44:49. | :44:52. | |
Starting with money because you the guy who wrote the famous note about | :44:53. | :44:55. | |
the money that the money running out. Do you think people will buy | :44:56. | :44:59. | |
the pain of idea that you can raise public spending by five, 10%, and | :45:00. | :45:08. | |
not notice or find any, that you are paying for? | :45:09. | :45:16. | |
Is Labour being honest? Look, the costed programme is about ?48.6 | :45:17. | :45:24. | |
billion, 80% of that money would come from Corporation Tax going back | :45:25. | :45:31. | |
up, the financial transaction tax. The experts said that that will have | :45:32. | :45:36. | |
costs, it will feed through to prices, wages, shareholders, | :45:37. | :45:40. | |
pensions. The figures that have been put on the table are the best | :45:41. | :45:44. | |
available. The key thing is that the spending plans, it is about a 6% | :45:45. | :45:49. | |
increase in public spending, are matched by the tax plans, which are | :45:50. | :45:54. | |
seen as fair. Theresa May's problem is that she went into this election | :45:55. | :45:58. | |
without having a pre-election budget. Her manifesto has unravelled | :45:59. | :46:03. | |
very quickly because there are no numbers to go with it. The other | :46:04. | :46:07. | |
vulnerability is that everybody in the Parliamentary party, most of | :46:08. | :46:11. | |
them, voted that they have no confidence in the guide, including | :46:12. | :46:15. | |
yourself. We're not talking about ancient history, it's less than a | :46:16. | :46:19. | |
year ago that you said I have no confidence in the sky. Do you now | :46:20. | :46:25. | |
have confidence in him? This is not a presidential election. Do you have | :46:26. | :46:29. | |
confidence in him or not Brazil and I am voting for him, so I do have | :46:30. | :46:35. | |
confidence in him. We have put together a plan which has united | :46:36. | :46:38. | |
what is a broad church in the Labour Party. You must have either been | :46:39. | :46:44. | |
wrong one year ago when you said you had no-confidence in him, or not | :46:45. | :46:49. | |
have confidence in him now. There is a logic in that. I'm not avoiding | :46:50. | :46:53. | |
the question. The key thing that has changed from one year ago is that | :46:54. | :46:57. | |
one plant has been put on the table which has been drawn from all parts | :46:58. | :47:02. | |
of the Labour Party, the broad church of the Labour movement. It is | :47:03. | :47:07. | |
a very different proposition. Do you think the Tories underestimated | :47:08. | :47:11. | |
Jeremy Corbyn at the beginning of this campaign? The media set a low | :47:12. | :47:16. | |
bar. I have never underestimated Jeremy Corbyn, I have worked with | :47:17. | :47:20. | |
him in parliament and probably know him better than many parliamentary | :47:21. | :47:24. | |
colleagues. Liem is existing wished former businessman and he will know | :47:25. | :47:30. | |
that you cannot -- is a distinguished former businessman. | :47:31. | :47:33. | |
You cannot get all of this money by just taxing the 5%. On the doorsteps | :47:34. | :47:38. | |
in the Midlands, people's eyes have narrowed and I believe they will | :47:39. | :47:42. | |
vote for the Conservative Party on Thursday. Thank you both very much. | :47:43. | :47:47. | |
You can find a full list of the candidates from both the Walsall | :47:48. | :47:48. | |
constituencies on the BBC website. You probably know the old saying | :47:49. | :47:51. | |
that you never get a second chance Well, maybe Jeremy Corbyn has belied | :47:52. | :47:54. | |
that particular claim. For many people, first impressions | :47:55. | :47:57. | |
of him were drawn from his apparent reluctance to sing the national | :47:58. | :48:00. | |
anthem back in 2015 just after becoming Labour leader - | :48:01. | :48:03. | |
a moment that had Tory But in this campaign, | :48:04. | :48:05. | |
many people have evidently come His approval ratings | :48:06. | :48:08. | |
have improved markedly. Which is interesting, | :48:09. | :48:11. | |
as he has of course been We asked Stephen Bush, | :48:12. | :48:13. | |
a special correspondent at the New Statesman magazine, | :48:14. | :48:17. | |
and the journalist who perhaps before anyone else recognised that | :48:18. | :48:19. | |
Mr Corbyn was going to be Labour leader, to make a film for us | :48:20. | :48:22. | |
offering us his account Jeremy Corbyn comes from a place | :48:23. | :48:25. | |
unlike any other Labour leader. He leads a party where his own MPs | :48:26. | :48:34. | |
have voted against him twice. He's abandoned everything history | :48:35. | :48:42. | |
tells us Labour must do to win. Yet, the more the country has seen | :48:43. | :48:45. | |
of him in this campaign, the more his appeal has | :48:46. | :48:48. | |
seemed to grow. So what have we all missed | :48:49. | :48:53. | |
about the Corbyn project? By day, he's fighting to change | :48:54. | :49:00. | |
the Labour Party and campaigning. By evening, he is fighting | :49:01. | :49:05. | |
to change the Labour It is in effect not just | :49:06. | :49:07. | |
the end of Blairism, It is the end of an entire moment | :49:08. | :49:11. | |
in British politics. His appeal is too wide | :49:12. | :49:15. | |
and too deep to be ignored. Corbyn was born in 1949, | :49:16. | :49:18. | |
and grew up in the small Shropshire Other Labour leaders | :49:19. | :49:21. | |
from comfortable upbringings, like Clement Attlee and Tony Blair, | :49:22. | :49:24. | |
discovered their ideals But Jeremy Corbyn emerged almost | :49:25. | :49:26. | |
fully formed from his upbringing I am from a working-class part | :49:27. | :49:33. | |
of London, he is a very And what struck me, he'd | :49:34. | :49:40. | |
had quite a privileged He didn't have things | :49:41. | :49:49. | |
of the inner-city. But that is what he wanted | :49:50. | :49:56. | |
for everyone else. His parents, David and Naomi, | :49:57. | :49:59. | |
had met while campaigning for the Republicans | :50:00. | :50:01. | |
during the Spanish Civil War. David was an official in the local | :50:02. | :50:03. | |
Labour Party, and Corbyn joined The young Jeremy was often | :50:04. | :50:06. | |
tasked with connecting But it was at home where his | :50:07. | :50:10. | |
politics were shaped. There was an atmosphere both | :50:11. | :50:13. | |
in my house and indeed in Jeremy's house of the parents | :50:14. | :50:16. | |
and the youngsters talking together quite seriously about politics | :50:17. | :50:18. | |
and being taken seriously, Their first campaign | :50:19. | :50:20. | |
was the 1964 election, when Harold Wilson ended 13 | :50:21. | :50:29. | |
years of Conservative rule. We did do things together, | :50:30. | :50:34. | |
fundraising, it was in a marginal constituency and it was worth | :50:35. | :50:38. | |
getting out on the streets for. And that's what every party wants | :50:39. | :50:41. | |
to know from its canvassers. It wants to pinpoint its supporters | :50:42. | :50:45. | |
and make sure that it can get everyone to the polls | :50:46. | :50:49. | |
on October 15th. He left his traditional school | :50:50. | :50:55. | |
with only two E grades at A-level, In an early example of activism, | :50:56. | :50:57. | |
he had refused to join the school's Conscientious objectors like Corbyn | :50:58. | :51:02. | |
were instead allowed to mow We had a little room | :51:03. | :51:05. | |
where we could disappear when we had done all the jobs | :51:06. | :51:13. | |
and make ourselves a cup of tea. Because it was a time of great | :51:14. | :51:16. | |
political discussion. But Vietnam, combined | :51:17. | :51:20. | |
with Wilson's failure to really transform Britain, | :51:21. | :51:22. | |
meant many on the left By the time Corbyn moved | :51:23. | :51:25. | |
to London in the 1970s, To fix Labour, its members needed | :51:26. | :51:32. | |
to take over the party. To fight the leadership | :51:33. | :51:35. | |
at every level. On everything from foreign policy | :51:36. | :51:39. | |
to management of policing. And the Home Secretary had to reply | :51:40. | :51:48. | |
to attacks on the police, like this If this government can find time | :51:49. | :51:51. | |
and money, apparently, to appease the police, | :51:52. | :51:55. | |
how is it they have not found the time to do anything to bring | :51:56. | :51:57. | |
about democratic control You have to remember that | :51:58. | :52:00. | |
on the left, at end of the 1970s, our most important campaign | :52:01. | :52:09. | |
was the campaign for And the point about the campaign | :52:10. | :52:11. | |
for Labour Party democracy was that it placed the most value | :52:12. | :52:16. | |
on members and members That is why today I think | :52:17. | :52:19. | |
Jeremy thinks, correctly, that his legitimacy comes | :52:20. | :52:28. | |
from the fact that so many people If you want to understand | :52:29. | :52:31. | |
Jeremy Corbyn's professional life, you have to understand this | :52:32. | :52:39. | |
particular patch of From Haringey to Hornsey | :52:40. | :52:41. | |
to Islington, he's always been more of a movement man | :52:42. | :52:51. | |
than a professional politician. As a union organiser in Haringey, | :52:52. | :52:53. | |
then a councillor in Hornsey, and finally in 1983, | :52:54. | :52:56. | |
a safe seat in Islington North, his career covers the entirety | :52:57. | :52:58. | |
of the Labour movement. His guiding principle | :52:59. | :53:01. | |
in all these roles - Jeremy sees himself first | :53:02. | :53:14. | |
and foremost accountable to the mass And much less so to | :53:15. | :53:18. | |
the Parliamentary Labour Party. And he sees them as having been over | :53:19. | :53:22. | |
the last two years, awkward, difficult, trying to undermine him, | :53:23. | :53:25. | |
trying to obstruct what he has You have just seen the new Labour | :53:26. | :53:27. | |
Party of Neil Kinnock. Glossy brochures, glossy | :53:28. | :53:37. | |
words, glossy images. It all looks very comfortable | :53:38. | :53:40. | |
and cosy, doesn't it? But when you look behind all | :53:41. | :53:44. | |
the rosy covers, what do you find? Jeremy Corbyn, Labour candidate | :53:45. | :53:49. | |
for Islington North. Defeat of the Tory government | :53:50. | :53:53. | |
will be brought about by a series of disputes of which Parliament | :53:54. | :53:56. | |
is only a part. The quote the Tories picked | :53:57. | :53:58. | |
out was very important. Corbyn does see Westminster as only | :53:59. | :54:01. | |
one front in a much bigger fight These positions were | :54:02. | :54:04. | |
a gift to the Tories. This is Valerie Furness, | :54:05. | :54:11. | |
Labour candidate for Nuneaton. A Labour government has got to take | :54:12. | :54:16. | |
on the people who obstruct it, Somebody said, oh, Val, | :54:17. | :54:19. | |
you're on the television. And that is when I | :54:20. | :54:24. | |
first saw the poster. You know, I was on a | :54:25. | :54:27. | |
poster with my friends. Even in the febrile 1980s, | :54:28. | :54:33. | |
Corbyn and his allies They believed in stronger trade | :54:34. | :54:38. | |
unions, significant redistribution, and that power was won not just | :54:39. | :54:43. | |
in Westminster, but on the streets. Their associations too | :54:44. | :54:46. | |
offended Middle England. Corbyn embraced Martin McGuinness | :54:47. | :54:52. | |
when he was still a pariah, and he campaigned for those | :54:53. | :54:55. | |
convicted wrongly of pub bombings. Critics saw him as an | :54:56. | :54:57. | |
advocate for the IRA. It didn't work in 1987, | :54:58. | :54:59. | |
those people got elected. It didn't work, the Guildford four | :55:00. | :55:07. | |
were exonerated along And there was a peace | :55:08. | :55:09. | |
agreement in Ireland. Mrs Thatcher is now edging towards | :55:10. | :55:14. | |
an overall majority of 100... The problem for Corbyn | :55:15. | :55:25. | |
was, in the late 1980s, the country and the Labour Party | :55:26. | :55:27. | |
thought he was wrong. And it is going to be | :55:28. | :55:30. | |
a record-breaking night. Three victories running | :55:31. | :55:32. | |
for the Prime Minister... The Parliamentary Labour Party | :55:33. | :55:34. | |
concluded, for Labour to ever win again, it had | :55:35. | :55:37. | |
to bury its Corbynite elements. In 1996, Tony Blair joked | :55:38. | :55:43. | |
about the very idea of a Corbyn leadership, saying you really don't | :55:44. | :55:47. | |
have to worry about Jeremy Corbyn And in the resulting battle | :55:48. | :55:50. | |
for the party's soul, We have been elected as New Labour | :55:51. | :55:54. | |
and we will govern as New Labour. Jeremy Corbyn has always | :55:55. | :56:07. | |
wanted one thing, which is And if you think of it in terms | :56:08. | :56:09. | |
of who your opponents and who your enemies are, | :56:10. | :56:18. | |
for Jeremy Corbyn Theresa His political enemies | :56:19. | :56:20. | |
are in the Labour Party. People like me, people | :56:21. | :56:26. | |
like Tony Blair, and it is Blairism. Just like after Harold Wilson, | :56:27. | :56:30. | |
Corbynism was born out of disillusionment with | :56:31. | :56:32. | |
the Labour government. After the party's second defeat | :56:33. | :56:38. | |
in 2015, changes to the party's rules for electing its leader, | :56:39. | :56:41. | |
intended to revive the party's I thought he had no chance | :56:42. | :56:44. | |
of winning in May 2015. But convinced myself | :56:45. | :56:52. | |
and others that if he fought a good populist campaign, | :56:53. | :56:55. | |
he could get a decent And use it to start building | :56:56. | :56:57. | |
what he has always wanted, which is an extra-parliamentary mass | :56:58. | :57:05. | |
movement of progressive people. Under Corbyn, Labour | :57:06. | :57:10. | |
membership has surged. And the Corbynites believe that | :57:11. | :57:13. | |
a large base will keep the party on the left, | :57:14. | :57:16. | |
preventing the compromises A Labour Party which was out | :57:17. | :57:18. | |
of power but purged New Labour members and New Labour | :57:19. | :57:31. | |
influence is the ambition Power is a by-product, | :57:32. | :57:39. | |
because if you go to the root of what is supporters always talk | :57:40. | :57:43. | |
about, it is always framed in terms Moving the terms on which | :57:44. | :57:46. | |
we consider things in. All radical parties aim to change | :57:47. | :57:49. | |
the language of politics. Clement Attlee in 1945, | :57:50. | :57:53. | |
Margaret Thatcher in 1979. The Corbyn project aims | :57:54. | :58:02. | |
to shift the debate, too. And this partly explains | :58:03. | :58:04. | |
their defensiveness with the press. If you want to try and get good | :58:05. | :58:06. | |
coverage, you want to try and get a page lead in the Daily Mail, | :58:07. | :58:10. | |
page lead in The Sun, and work with the press, | :58:11. | :58:15. | |
first of all you genuinely have to compromise on your policies | :58:16. | :58:18. | |
and your politics. And, secondly, come a general | :58:19. | :58:20. | |
election, as they did to Ed Miliband, they just throw | :58:21. | :58:23. | |
the kitchen sink at you. So that compromise isn't | :58:24. | :58:25. | |
worth it in the long one. Let's be clear that it's been | :58:26. | :58:29. | |
very hard for him to get over a lot of the media, | :58:30. | :58:34. | |
all through the time Now it's a general election, | :58:35. | :58:37. | |
and there has got to be some sort of fairness in the media, | :58:38. | :58:51. | |
even from the BBC. he is getting it over, | :58:52. | :58:53. | |
he is getting it over. Any rise in support may be | :58:54. | :58:57. | |
because Corbyn has compromised. Where once he railed | :58:58. | :59:01. | |
against appeasing the police, he is now a loud defender | :59:02. | :59:03. | |
of the Met. He abandoned decades | :59:04. | :59:05. | |
of Euroscepticism to hold onto the leadership, | :59:06. | :59:09. | |
and then switched back once Both those choices | :59:10. | :59:11. | |
will form key planks To remain in charge, | :59:12. | :59:14. | |
no matter the result on Thursday. A lot depends on June the 8th, | :59:15. | :59:18. | |
but I think if he does better than Ed Miliband in terms | :59:19. | :59:22. | |
of the vote share, then he would be well within his rights | :59:23. | :59:25. | |
to stay on as leader. Having had only two years to try | :59:26. | :59:28. | |
and change the Labour Party. Labour's performance in recent polls | :59:29. | :59:34. | |
suggests that aim might be achieved. to restructure Labour so party | :59:35. | :59:43. | |
members pull the strings, for policy to be made | :59:44. | :59:47. | |
by the grassroots, For Labour to remain | :59:48. | :59:49. | |
firmly on the left. That would all but guarantee | :59:50. | :59:52. | |
Corbynism endures, through this Matthew Parris will be profiling | :59:53. | :00:18. | |
Theresa May in tomorrow's programme. Two days to the vote, and this | :00:19. | :00:23. | |
election has not been leading news bulletins today, as other grave | :00:24. | :00:25. | |
matters have been concerned with. One day to go. Do they think there | :00:26. | :00:34. | |
is much that can happen in the last day? This campaign will go American | :00:35. | :00:41. | |
tomorrow, as the two candidates rack up a lot of miles as they travel | :00:42. | :00:44. | |
across Great Britain. The interesting thing about this | :00:45. | :00:48. | |
campaign is that it is going to test the idea that election campaigns to | :00:49. | :00:52. | |
not have much of an impact in the result. In the Labour Party they are | :00:53. | :00:55. | |
upbeat about the campaign but cautious about the result. They have | :00:56. | :01:00. | |
to get out young voters, as we were saying earlier. The Tory campaign, | :01:01. | :01:04. | |
senior figures are nervous and not happy about that campaign. Whatever | :01:05. | :01:11. | |
the result, come Friday morning, I think the British political | :01:12. | :01:13. | |
landscape will look different. Thanks, Nick. | :01:14. | :01:15. | |
Thank you to the art museum for hosting us. I will be in Bolton | :01:16. | :01:23. | |
tomorrow for the day before the vote. We will be in the place where | :01:24. | :01:34. | |
Theresa May picked off her campaign. Another of our election guides. What | :01:35. | :01:38. | |
is the fundamental choice you are making? See you tomorrow. Good | :01:39. | :01:39. | |
night. Elections are sometimes a fight | :01:40. | :01:49. | |
between tribes. Workers versus capitalists, unions versus | :01:50. | :01:53. | |
nationalists, taxpayers versus welcome their recipients. Drivers | :01:54. | :01:58. | |
versus cyclists. -- welfare recipients. Elections are often a | :01:59. | :02:02. | |
fight between who is on top and who gets more of the pie. Not this one, | :02:03. | :02:07. | |
though. Both the Conservatives and Labour fought to be on the same | :02:08. | :02:11. | |
side, fighting for the same people. They are not fighting for those at | :02:12. | :02:16. | |
the bottom. Neither side is making generous promises on welfare. | :02:17. | :02:19. | |
Certainly they are not fighting for those at the top. This is a bad | :02:20. | :02:24. | |
election for fat cats. Nobody is even paying lip service to trickle | :02:25. | :02:28. | |
down economics these days. Everybody is fighting for the same ordinary | :02:29. | :02:32. | |
working families. It is the lower middle that is moving up the | :02:33. | :02:35. | |
political charts. With the main parties agreeing wombat, the choice | :02:36. | :02:40. | |
comes down to this. Labour say the Tories don't mean it, they revert to | :02:41. | :02:46. | |
type. A Tory leopard can't change its spots. The Tories say Labour | :02:47. | :02:51. | |
cannot deliver, they will screw up. The Conservatives do socialism | :02:52. | :02:55. | |
better than Labour ever can. That's this election - Paul Lawrie | :02:56. | :02:59. | |
insincerity versus Labour incompetence, which is the greater | :03:00. | :03:04. | |
risk? -- Tory insincerity. If you don't like ordinary working | :03:05. | :03:08. | |
families, you'd best sit this one out. | :03:09. | :03:11. |