13/02/2014 Pawb a'i Farn


13/02/2014

Similar Content

Browse content similar to 13/02/2014. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!

Transcript


LineFromTo

On our panel tonight, the Conservative MP for Montgomeryshire,

0:00:240:00:28

Glyn Davies.

0:00:280:00:30

The Ceredigion AM and the former Rural Affairs Minister, Elin Jones.

0:00:300:00:34

A member of the current Labour Government,

0:00:340:00:37

Natural Resources Minister, Alun Davies.

0:00:370:00:40

And to join the three politicians,

0:00:400:00:43

a lecturer specialising in politics, Dr Elin Royles.

0:00:430:00:47

Welcome to this week's Pawb a'i Farn.

0:01:020:01:06

We are still travelling whatever the weather.

0:01:060:01:09

For the next hour, we will be discussing matters

0:01:090:01:13

and there's plenty to talk about in Aberystwyth

0:01:130:01:16

with people from Ceredigion and they say they can't wait.

0:01:160:01:21

We have some sad news, we won't be broadcasting next week,

0:01:210:01:26

but we'll be back in two weeks from Brecon.

0:01:260:01:28

We have had several questions this week

0:01:280:01:30

and let's hope we can discuss a few of them.

0:01:300:01:34

Let's start with a question by Hywel Griffiths in the back.

0:01:340:01:38

What's your question?

0:01:380:01:39

After the storms and floods, is it time to accept that

0:01:410:01:44

we can't afford to live safely in certain areas?

0:01:440:01:48

Thank you. The question of the week.

0:01:480:01:50

After the storms and floods, is it time to accept that

0:01:500:01:53

we can't afford to live safely in certain areas?

0:01:530:01:58

Alun Davies?

0:01:580:02:00

How do you answer that question?

0:02:000:02:02

First of all, we must sympathise with those who've been suffering

0:02:020:02:06

and also we should be grateful to everybody who's been

0:02:060:02:11

working for communities wherever they are.

0:02:110:02:15

I have visited several communities which have

0:02:150:02:18

suffered during these storms and floods.

0:02:180:02:22

I've seen the work of the emergency services, NRW and local authorities.

0:02:220:02:26

Everybody has been working together and ensured that as communities,

0:02:260:02:31

we haven't suffered as badly as we might have.

0:02:310:02:35

I am going to be announcing a report in the morning

0:02:350:02:38

which has been looking at the Welsh coast

0:02:380:02:42

and looking at what has happened.

0:02:420:02:45

I think we need to be looking at protecting our communities better.

0:02:450:02:49

I understand the purpose of the question,

0:02:490:02:53

but at the moment I think it's important

0:02:530:02:56

to look after people and their homes and communities.

0:02:560:03:00

The lessons that have been learned

0:03:020:03:05

is that the investments we have made in Wales

0:03:050:03:08

have made sure that communities have been safer

0:03:080:03:11

because of this investment.

0:03:110:03:13

In Wales, we have not seen the same chaos as in England

0:03:130:03:16

and we have not seen the same kind of damage

0:03:160:03:20

that we have seen in England.

0:03:200:03:22

So you think more money should be spent,

0:03:240:03:27

or should we accept that we have to step back

0:03:270:03:31

just as a television programme suggested this week.

0:03:310:03:33

Places like Friog in Meirionnydd.

0:03:330:03:36

I think that programme was misleading.

0:03:360:03:39

Are you suggesting there aren't such plans?

0:03:390:03:44

Some councils are looking towards the future.

0:03:450:03:47

I am considering the situation.

0:03:470:03:50

I have not made any decisions as the programme suggested.

0:03:500:03:53

We have not cut back on flood investment

0:03:530:03:57

as they have done in England.

0:03:570:03:59

We have been investing and will continue to do so.

0:03:590:04:02

-I'll say this to you tonight...

-Quickly.

0:04:020:04:05

As a minister, I will ensure that flood defences are paid

0:04:050:04:10

for this year and next year

0:04:100:04:15

and every year until the next election.

0:04:150:04:18

We will continue to invest.

0:04:180:04:21

We have invested £240 million so far and there'll be European money.

0:04:210:04:25

We're going to continue to ensure safety across the country.

0:04:250:04:30

Elin Jones.

0:04:300:04:31

The weather we've seen over the last two months

0:04:310:04:35

and over the last few years has been terrible,

0:04:350:04:38

and unlike recent weather patterns.

0:04:380:04:41

I think everyone accepts that.

0:04:410:04:44

What surprises me is that it is not the same areas

0:04:440:04:48

which are affected every year.

0:04:480:04:51

Aberystwyth has had a bad time recently.

0:04:510:04:56

Ceredigion has been hit badly.

0:04:560:04:58

But these areas are not traditionally hit by bad weather.

0:04:580:05:03

We know of some areas, Borth is one.

0:05:030:05:05

Sea defences have been built in Borth and Aberaeron.

0:05:050:05:09

And it seems they have worked?

0:05:090:05:12

People give the impression that those defences have...

0:05:120:05:15

..have reinforced the sea defences.

0:05:190:05:23

So there is room to be look to defend Aberystwyth better

0:05:230:05:28

and the same in other places.

0:05:280:05:31

But at the same time, we need to look at taking steps

0:05:310:05:35

to lessen climate change because that is affecting us

0:05:350:05:39

but that is a long-term matter.

0:05:390:05:41

And we also need to look at how we control water levels in the rivers

0:05:410:05:47

which run off the mountains.

0:05:470:05:51

It flows from the Severn here right in to England.

0:05:510:05:55

We need to look at the way we work with farmers in those areas

0:05:550:06:00

to work on that land,

0:06:000:06:05

which will help to reduce the water

0:06:050:06:08

that comes down into the rivers.

0:06:080:06:12

Hywel, how do you answer this question as a geographer?

0:06:130:06:17

Do we need to work on the land, the highlands

0:06:170:06:20

to make sure that water doesn't come down so fast?

0:06:200:06:24

It does make sense and it will be more effective

0:06:240:06:27

to work on higher ground rather than as some people have suggested,

0:06:270:06:33

just dredging rivers,

0:06:330:06:35

which will lead to further problems in the long term.

0:06:350:06:38

Although they have been suggesting that in Somerset.

0:06:380:06:42

In the long term, that would create further problems.

0:06:440:06:47

We should look at the higher ground.

0:06:470:06:50

Thank you. Glyn Davies?

0:06:500:06:52

Like Alun, I sympathise with people

0:06:520:06:57

after what's happened,

0:06:570:07:00

but it's an interesting question.

0:07:000:07:02

But at the same time, I'm not prepared to say that it is time

0:07:060:07:11

to stop dealing with problems on the land.

0:07:110:07:17

I know things have been changing historically

0:07:170:07:20

and sometimes the sea takes away

0:07:200:07:23

some of the land throughout Britain.

0:07:230:07:27

But I think, it is the best way to deal

0:07:270:07:31

with this problem in Wales and in England.

0:07:310:07:35

The events that have happened in Somerset,

0:07:370:07:40

we've never seen anything like that before.

0:07:420:07:46

We haven't been dredging enough.

0:07:490:07:51

And also I want to see the effect on Plynlimon

0:07:520:07:56

and farms in Montgomeryshire

0:07:560:07:58

to stop water coming from the high ground.

0:07:580:08:02

We need to look at things like that and be very careful

0:08:020:08:05

and see what the best way forward is.

0:08:050:08:08

Elin Royles?

0:08:090:08:10

I'm not a politician on this panel,

0:08:130:08:15

so I think we need to be planning in the long term.

0:08:150:08:18

Politicians are thinking of political cycle.

0:08:180:08:21

There is a risk in thinking about that too much.

0:08:210:08:23

So you don't think Alun Davies is looking far enough into the future?

0:08:230:08:27

It's the nature of the job.

0:08:270:08:29

Climate change is actually here right now.

0:08:290:08:31

We've seen it in Wales over the past few yeas.

0:08:310:08:34

It's a terrible thing.

0:08:340:08:36

It's not something that just happens in Africa.

0:08:360:08:39

We need to adapt to climate change, plan into the future.

0:08:390:08:43

We have to make some brave decisions.

0:08:430:08:46

I'd say the plans by Gwynedd Council to pull back,

0:08:460:08:49

they are awful and they're painful

0:08:490:08:52

but those are the kinds of steps we need to take

0:08:520:08:54

to deal with the level of investment that's needed.

0:08:540:08:57

We need £135 million every year until 2035

0:08:570:09:02

and the level of investment that we need will only go up.

0:09:030:09:07

Can we protect everywhere?

0:09:070:09:09

But the other side of this is to allay fears.

0:09:090:09:12

Climate change doesn't just affect us in coastal areas.

0:09:120:09:18

We also have responsibility to work on this.

0:09:180:09:22

Have we been building too much on the land where we shouldn't have

0:09:220:09:26

-been building?

-Yes.

0:09:260:09:28

We've been building on flood planes.

0:09:280:09:30

We need to think again about planning

0:09:300:09:33

and be braver as politicians in terms of moving towards

0:09:330:09:38

renewable energy, and can I dare to mention wind power,

0:09:380:09:41

and preparing for change.

0:09:410:09:44

I don't think you can say that in Glyn Davies company!

0:09:440:09:47

I was surprised to hear the moratorium this week.

0:09:470:09:50

We need to have long-term vision.

0:09:500:09:53

Alun Davies, come back in.

0:09:530:09:56

Have planning laws been flouted too much since the days

0:09:560:10:00

when Carwyn Jones we in the job?

0:10:000:10:02

The rules have changed and were changed a few years ago.

0:10:020:10:06

So it was wrong as it was?

0:10:060:10:08

So it was wrong as it was?

0:10:080:10:11

The rules have changed and I think that has been acknowledged in Wales.

0:10:110:10:17

One of the things that I regret is going to meetings with Defra

0:10:170:10:22

where they denied that climate change is happening at all.

0:10:220:10:26

And ministers in England

0:10:260:10:30

wouldn't meet the Chief Scientist to discuss climate.

0:10:300:10:35

That's how it is over there.

0:10:350:10:37

In Wales we do accept that and we accept that climate change

0:10:370:10:41

is happening and we accept the responsibility.

0:10:410:10:45

We accept our responsibility to respond to that.

0:10:450:10:49

I agree with what Elin has said.

0:10:490:10:52

I hope in Wales that we are on the right track

0:10:520:10:56

and going in the right direction.

0:10:560:11:00

Seeing as we're in Aberystwyth, are you going to repair the promenade?

0:11:000:11:03

I hope so.

0:11:030:11:06

I agree with Elin, one of the things we need to do is look to the future

0:11:060:11:11

and make sure that the promenade, when it is rebuilt,

0:11:110:11:17

is stronger than it was two months ago.

0:11:170:11:21

Elin, quickly.

0:11:210:11:23

There was a promenade in Aberystwyth,

0:11:230:11:26

not defences against the storm that hit.

0:11:260:11:29

So having the defences could ruin the promenade?

0:11:290:11:32

We need to look at how to protect the promenade

0:11:320:11:35

and the town of Aberystwyth.

0:11:350:11:37

There is no question that it must be protected.

0:11:370:11:40

Aberystwyth can't fall into the sea.

0:11:400:11:43

If it's economically viable to do so, then it will be protected.

0:11:430:11:47

Some places like y Friog

0:11:470:11:49

are not going to be economically viable to protect.

0:11:490:11:54

We haven't made decisions like that.

0:11:540:11:58

Hang on, I need to hear from the audience.

0:11:580:12:00

We need to have a national discussion

0:12:000:12:03

before we make decisions like that.

0:12:030:12:06

Let's hear from the people of Aberystwyth.

0:12:060:12:09

I'm pleased that Alun has said everywhere will be protected.

0:12:090:12:15

I think the important point is about the different attitudes

0:12:150:12:19

and there isn't a single right answer.

0:12:190:12:24

In terms of dredging rivers,

0:12:240:12:28

I think it is an important thing to do in some places.

0:12:280:12:32

The same response isn't going to work everywhere.

0:12:320:12:35

Looking after the highlands and to try and keep the sea back

0:12:350:12:38

will only work in the short term.

0:12:380:12:41

With the weather we've had recently it won't have an effect

0:12:410:12:45

because all the highlands are saturated.

0:12:450:12:49

That means we need to look at dredging in lower areas.

0:12:490:12:55

The point is we forget quite quickly

0:12:580:13:00

that flooding has happened here before.

0:13:000:13:03

-Has it been as bad as this?

-Yes.

0:13:030:13:06

We've had more rain than we've had in the last 200 years.

0:13:060:13:10

The point is, it happened 200 years ago so it has happened before.

0:13:100:13:14

What about Vince?

0:13:160:13:18

You are a business owner in the town.

0:13:180:13:20

-Have you been affected by the floods?

-Yes.

0:13:210:13:25

They have had a great effect on Aberystwyth.

0:13:250:13:28

They've stopped people coming into Aberystwyth.

0:13:280:13:30

People aren't travelling as they should.

0:13:300:13:33

They should really dredge the rivers more.

0:13:330:13:35

I remember years ago I was with my grandfather.

0:13:350:13:38

They would dredge the river on his farm every three years

0:13:380:13:41

and they haven't done it for years.

0:13:410:13:43

The river levels are rising.

0:13:430:13:45

Some people have had their homes flooded in Talybont.

0:13:450:13:49

I was really lucky to avoid the floodwater

0:13:490:13:53

but a lot of home around me have been flooded.

0:13:530:13:56

What about you?

0:13:560:13:58

Alun walked Aberystwyth prom with me.

0:13:580:14:02

Fair play to him, he saw the devastation for himself.

0:14:020:14:05

As a county council, I think I speak for other councillors,

0:14:050:14:08

I want to thank the Assembly Government,

0:14:080:14:10

they are giving us money to repair the prom.

0:14:100:14:15

It isn't often that the Welsh Government gets praise from people.

0:14:150:14:18

I think we need to praise them for the fact that they are not only

0:14:180:14:22

rebuilding the prom but strengthening it.

0:14:220:14:26

We should put the message out that Aberystwyth is open,

0:14:260:14:31

-come here on holiday.

-Keith Morris.

0:14:310:14:33

We've got two questions here.

0:14:330:14:36

One is preventing water from flowing down the mountains

0:14:360:14:39

and hills to lower ground.

0:14:390:14:42

And the other question concerns protecting Aberystwyth

0:14:420:14:45

from these storms that we've had.

0:14:450:14:47

We need to improve the promenade defences,

0:14:470:14:49

but we need to protect the character of the promenade itself.

0:14:490:14:54

It is one of our biggest tourist attractions.

0:14:540:14:57

And money is needed for that.

0:14:570:14:59

Let's get a microphone over here.

0:14:590:15:01

I've suffered flooding in recent years

0:15:020:15:05

and I haven't seen any plans that would protect areas

0:15:050:15:09

that are lower down in the valley.

0:15:090:15:14

You think that's where it stems from?

0:15:140:15:17

I think that's part of the problem.

0:15:170:15:19

There isn't a simple solution to the problem,

0:15:190:15:21

because there are so many factors.

0:15:210:15:23

We understand that the weather is changing.

0:15:230:15:26

When there's a lot of rain, it collects in the hills

0:15:260:15:31

and runs down to the valley.

0:15:310:15:33

In the valley we can really suffer.

0:15:330:15:36

When there is a high tide and the water comes down,

0:15:360:15:40

it has to pool somewhere.

0:15:400:15:42

You in the back row.

0:15:420:15:45

To go back to the original question,

0:15:470:15:50

flooding can be caused by two factors.

0:15:500:15:53

One is high river levels as a result of high rain fall.

0:15:530:15:58

The second thing is

0:15:580:16:01

when sea breaches of the sea wall,

0:16:010:16:04

as we have seen in Ceredigion and Aberystwyth.

0:16:040:16:07

That's caused by higher sea levels.

0:16:070:16:11

As I see it, this issue concerns the second.

0:16:110:16:15

It isn't so much to do with the river levels.

0:16:150:16:20

If an area or town or whatever lies on low land,

0:16:200:16:25

which is at sea level or,

0:16:250:16:28

like some areas in Wales, below sea level,

0:16:320:16:36

we are going to reach the point where it is going to

0:16:360:16:40

be too expensive to defend them.

0:16:400:16:43

Final word, Penri James.

0:16:430:16:46

It all comes down to money.

0:16:460:16:49

When the storm hit Aberystwyth David Jones the Welsh Secretary

0:16:490:16:54

was quick to say there wouldn't be any extra money

0:16:540:16:57

to keep defending against flooding.

0:16:570:17:00

But when this happened on David Cameron's doorstep,

0:17:000:17:03

suddenly it's money no object.

0:17:030:17:05

I think Carwyn Jones was right this morning asking

0:17:050:17:07

what are the consequentials?

0:17:070:17:10

Is there more money coming to Wales?

0:17:100:17:12

On the radio, somebody said it is a case of

0:17:120:17:15

when the effluent reaches the affluent.

0:17:150:17:17

I need to get your response to that, Alun.

0:17:200:17:24

I've written to the Westminster Government

0:17:240:17:26

asking for consequentials but I haven't heard back yet.

0:17:260:17:29

-Do you think you'll get more money?

-Not from the Tories.

0:17:290:17:32

The thing is...

0:17:320:17:34

The Treasury said that this isn't new money that's coming in.

0:17:340:17:38

There are no consequentials but I need to have that confirmed to me.

0:17:380:17:43

I've also asked the Westminster Government

0:17:430:17:46

to bid to the EU Solidarity Fund.

0:17:460:17:49

A sentence, Elin Jones.

0:17:490:17:51

David Cameron said there money no object,

0:17:510:17:53

but there is no more money available even for people in England.

0:17:530:17:57

So nothing will come to Wales.

0:17:570:17:59

I think he is misleading,

0:17:590:18:01

because there are people who really are facing devastation right now.

0:18:010:18:05

This money will have to be pulled from somewhere else.

0:18:050:18:08

Glyn Davies, is David Cameron misleading people?

0:18:080:18:11

David Cameron has been in contact with Carwyn Jones.

0:18:110:18:13

They've been in communication.

0:18:130:18:16

And Alun Davies knows nothing about this?

0:18:160:18:18

I don't know.

0:18:180:18:19

I'm answering the question now.

0:18:190:18:22

Dai... David Cameron has said that if Carwyn Jones needs the Army

0:18:220:18:25

-in Wales to help, that's what he'll do.

-Did you just call him Dai?

0:18:250:18:28

He said that on the phone to Carwyn Jones

0:18:280:18:31

and they are working together.

0:18:310:18:33

It's important that the people in Aberystwyth

0:18:330:18:35

and in England learn lessons from this.

0:18:350:18:39

We need to make sure this doesn't happen again.

0:18:390:18:41

We don't need the Army here in Aberystwyth,

0:18:410:18:43

because the locals cleared it themselves.

0:18:430:18:46

Congratulating yourselves, fair play to you.

0:18:520:18:55

The second question from Lucy Scott?

0:18:550:18:57

Should tuition fees for students from Wales who choose to study

0:18:590:19:01

in England be paid for by the Welsh Government?

0:19:010:19:05

Thank you. Should tuition fees for Welsh students studying in England

0:19:050:19:08

-be paid for by the Welsh Government? Elin Royles.

-No.

0:19:080:19:12

And I'm amazed that Welsh universities

0:19:120:19:15

have stayed so quiet on the matter for so long.

0:19:150:19:18

We are in a situation where 20% more students...

0:19:180:19:22

There has been an increase over the past few years where

0:19:220:19:26

20% more students are going to England for their education

0:19:260:19:30

and Welsh universities are suffering as a result.

0:19:300:19:34

Of course, we are in a difficult situation.

0:19:340:19:37

Our main market are English students.

0:19:370:19:39

There are more English students coming to Wales

0:19:390:19:41

than the other way round.

0:19:410:19:43

But I think this perpetuates the lack of investment

0:19:430:19:48

in Welsh universities.

0:19:480:19:50

It takes money out of the system.

0:19:500:19:52

It affects the Welsh language.

0:19:520:19:54

We are missing out on students that could be studying here in Wales.

0:19:540:19:57

But aren't you differentiating between students

0:19:570:20:01

who want to study in England maybe in a better university.

0:20:010:20:05

But that's the student's decision.

0:20:050:20:07

What about the political priorities?

0:20:070:20:10

So we should give the student who comes to Wales

0:20:100:20:13

but not the student who goes to England?

0:20:130:20:18

I feel as though we should be paying the tuition fees for students

0:20:180:20:21

who stay in Wales,

0:20:210:20:23

because we've got a wider problem in terms of our economic situation.

0:20:230:20:27

We've also got a problem with emigrating.

0:20:270:20:30

And there's a brain drain that's going on.

0:20:300:20:33

It is really difficult to bring these students back to Wales.

0:20:330:20:36

We are seeing a reduction in the number of people studying in Welsh,

0:20:360:20:40

medical students and the number of students going to Cardiff.

0:20:400:20:43

Once they go to places like London or Liverpool

0:20:430:20:45

it's difficult to get them back. It is affecting our communities.

0:20:450:20:49

Where do you stand on this, Elin Jones?

0:20:490:20:52

Has there been a change of mind by Plaid Cymru?

0:20:520:20:55

I don't think students should have to pay for their tuition fees

0:20:550:20:58

-at all.

-But we're not in that situation.

0:20:580:21:01

So that's my standpoint.

0:21:010:21:04

Due to circumstances, we've had to introduce different policies

0:21:040:21:10

because of the market that exists between Welsh

0:21:100:21:14

and English universities and what's going on in Westminster.

0:21:140:21:18

At one point, we did have a policy

0:21:180:21:21

of only funding students who studied in Wales.

0:21:210:21:25

I remember that created its own problems.

0:21:270:21:30

Parents in Ceredigion were really cross with me, as their children

0:21:300:21:34

were forced to study courses like veterinary sciences.

0:21:340:21:39

But where do you stand on it now?

0:21:410:21:43

I think we are in a situation where we are seeing fees

0:21:430:21:48

reach £9,000 plus,

0:21:480:21:50

so in future we are going to have to consider change.

0:21:500:21:53

The Government is looking at this matter at the moment.

0:21:530:21:56

We might have a cross-party agreement

0:21:560:21:58

to see how sustainable this policy would be in the long term

0:21:580:22:02

and what needs to be done.

0:22:020:22:05

But you are not going to say that it is wrong that the

0:22:050:22:09

Welsh Government pays for students to study in England?

0:22:090:22:11

It is not wrong, because they benefit

0:22:110:22:14

and haven't had to face massive fees

0:22:140:22:17

as a result of having to take out loans of £9,000 a year.

0:22:170:22:23

So students from Wales and students raised in Wales

0:22:230:22:27

have benefitted from this policy.

0:22:270:22:29

-What's wrong about that?

-Of course, people have benefitted from this.

0:22:310:22:35

-But not Welsh universities.

-No, not Welsh universities.

0:22:350:22:38

I accept that there are weaknesses in this policy.

0:22:410:22:45

One of those weaknesses is the fact that English universities

0:22:450:22:48

have been marketing themselves really hard in Wales

0:22:480:22:51

in order to attract students from Wales.

0:22:510:22:54

I'll come back to the two Davies' in a moment.

0:22:540:22:56

We've got hands up everywhere in the audience.

0:22:560:22:59

Let's start with you.

0:22:590:23:01

I think the problem here is this £9,000 tuition fee

0:23:010:23:05

that is being raised in Westminster.

0:23:050:23:08

It will make it very difficult for students

0:23:080:23:11

especially those from poorer backgrounds.

0:23:110:23:13

But we can't go backwards.

0:23:130:23:16

We've got a different policy in Wales and I think it is fair

0:23:160:23:20

and will allow Welsh students can get the best

0:23:200:23:23

education possible, whether it be in Wales or elsewhere in Britain.

0:23:230:23:27

-So you support it as a Labour councillor?

-Yes.

0:23:270:23:29

I think perhaps we are looking at this in an economically skewed

0:23:320:23:35

perspective. It's too much about profit and loss.

0:23:350:23:39

We are looking at the future of these students.

0:23:390:23:43

If I move about 100km over the border,

0:23:430:23:48

then my future isn't as important to the Welsh Government.

0:23:480:23:52

So you think the policy as it stands is right?

0:23:520:23:55

-Yes, of course.

-What about you?

0:23:550:23:58

I disagree with this policy.

0:23:580:24:00

On the basis that people are going to England if we stay in Wales,

0:24:000:24:04

we support the local economy.

0:24:040:24:07

We support the cafe, the pubs, we support everything.

0:24:070:24:10

Whereas somebody who moves to Newcastle

0:24:100:24:14

isn't supporting the Welsh economy in the same way as we do

0:24:140:24:17

staying in Wales.

0:24:170:24:19

But don't you think that students studying in Newcastle

0:24:190:24:21

should have the same opportunity as you in Aberystwyth?

0:24:210:24:24

Everyone deserves...

0:24:240:24:26

Or do you think they should be punished as a result of their move?

0:24:260:24:28

It depends on whether the course is available here in Wales.

0:24:280:24:32

I think it is fair enough to go to England for a course

0:24:320:24:35

that isn't available in Wales.

0:24:350:24:37

If they want to study something like veterinary science, fair enough.

0:24:370:24:41

I was in university in the '90s and at that time there were grants.

0:24:430:24:48

A long time ago.

0:24:480:24:50

Most of my friends, as well as myself,

0:24:500:24:54

went to university in England.

0:24:540:24:57

I'm the only one that's returned to Wales.

0:24:570:25:00

I'm sure that speaks volumes about the effect this has.

0:25:000:25:04

They've great jobs most of them

0:25:040:25:06

but they've all stayed in London or Liverpool or other places like that.

0:25:060:25:10

So you think it's a mistake? Back two rows.

0:25:100:25:13

The National Students Union of Wales is looking at this

0:25:150:25:19

and they'll respond to the government too.

0:25:190:25:23

But we also need to look at non-traditional students,

0:25:230:25:27

mature students and those from further education colleges

0:25:270:25:31

to see how this is affecting them.

0:25:310:25:33

But there is another question.

0:25:330:25:35

Why are they crossing over in the first place?

0:25:350:25:38

Are schools doing enough to keep them in Wales?

0:25:380:25:42

We are seeing councils in places like Merthyr closing services.

0:25:420:25:46

But there could be departments in England

0:25:460:25:48

that are better than departments here.

0:25:480:25:51

That's fair, you want to attend the best place.

0:25:510:25:54

We've heard recently that fewer students are applying to Oxford

0:25:540:25:58

and Cambridge.

0:25:580:26:00

They decide to go to other colleges because they're better.

0:26:000:26:03

I think we've got enough in Wales.

0:26:030:26:06

Let's move on.

0:26:060:26:07

I just want to agree with the last speaker that we shouldn't pay.

0:26:090:26:15

The NHS have a scheme for dentist.

0:26:160:26:19

If they agree to work in North Wales for four years after they graduate,

0:26:190:26:25

they get money which helps them in their studies.

0:26:250:26:28

I think we should be looking more at specific subjects

0:26:280:26:32

-and they should be reimbursed.

-Thank you.

0:26:320:26:37

I don't agree with that policy.

0:26:390:26:42

The worst thing is that it shows the lack of ambition

0:26:420:26:45

that we have in Wales.

0:26:450:26:47

People say that we should be paying for our students to go to England.

0:26:470:26:51

Why don't we have better departments in Wales?

0:26:510:26:54

How about you two?

0:26:540:26:56

The Welsh Government needs to be more careful how they spend money

0:26:560:27:01

on higher education.

0:27:010:27:03

Either they decide to invest more money to attract the best

0:27:030:27:08

lecturers here in Wales and to keep Welsh students in Wales or not.

0:27:080:27:12

Behind you. You look like a lecturer but I'm probably wrong.

0:27:140:27:18

I look like a headmaster!

0:27:180:27:19

It's authority!

0:27:210:27:22

Elin mentioned the brain drain.

0:27:240:27:26

We have a brain drain from rural Wales.

0:27:260:27:29

We produce fantastic young people who are leaving rural Wales.

0:27:290:27:35

Shouldn't we be making sure we have jobs to keep them

0:27:350:27:38

in Wales rather than sending them into England to look for work?

0:27:380:27:43

The problem is, if we pay for students to go to England,

0:27:450:27:50

is our education here in Wales going to suffer

0:27:500:27:54

if the money that should be given to Welsh universities

0:27:540:27:57

-is going to other universities.

-Good question.

0:27:570:28:01

Let's move over to the panel. Glyn Davies?

0:28:010:28:04

I remember when the policy came in in 2010.

0:28:040:28:08

It was very unpopular.

0:28:080:28:11

Students were very worried.

0:28:110:28:14

I was worried at the time that Wales was going in a different direction.

0:28:140:28:19

What I want to see is students going to university

0:28:190:28:23

that suits them best.

0:28:230:28:25

That's what I'm most worried about.

0:28:270:28:30

Also, a new policy.

0:28:300:28:33

I'm also worried about the future of universities in Wales.

0:28:330:28:36

I think they are under threat.

0:28:360:28:40

If they don't receive enough money,

0:28:400:28:43

then I think they'll go down the table worldwide.

0:28:430:28:48

And in the end the Government in the Assembly

0:28:480:28:52

will change the policy.

0:28:520:28:55

Possibly after the next election.

0:28:550:28:57

A review is taking place at the moment.

0:28:570:29:00

Where do you stand in this, Alun Davies?

0:29:000:29:02

A review is taking place at the moment into the policy's impact.

0:29:020:29:05

I don't agree with fees in principle

0:29:050:29:08

but we have to deal with the reality as it stands.

0:29:080:29:11

I don't want to be in a position where we force students

0:29:110:29:15

to stay in Wales against their will.

0:29:150:29:19

I don't think Elin is in favour of that.

0:29:190:29:22

If they want to go, they can go.

0:29:220:29:24

Yes, but without any money.

0:29:240:29:27

If you're rich, you have the choice,

0:29:270:29:31

but if not, you have no choice.

0:29:310:29:33

I think everybody should have the same choice.

0:29:330:29:36

I stayed in Wales for my higher education

0:29:360:29:39

and I'm hoping that my children will do the same.

0:29:390:29:42

I want them to have the choice and that's the most important thing?

0:29:420:29:45

What about what this lady said?

0:29:450:29:47

-All her friends went to England and stayed there.

-That was their choice.

0:29:470:29:51

We shouldn't build walls around Wales.

0:29:510:29:54

Higher education is more and more international.

0:29:540:29:58

We need to compete in the modern world.

0:29:580:30:01

If we don't do, then we turn our backs on the world.

0:30:010:30:04

But you are in favour of the present situation?

0:30:040:30:07

-Of course I am.

-So in spite of this review, you add in favour?

0:30:070:30:14

I voted for it.

0:30:140:30:15

Obviously I support it, but we must make sure that the policy

0:30:150:30:20

develops with time and let me say that there are more

0:30:200:30:23

students from England coming to Wales than the other way round,

0:30:230:30:26

so more money is coming in from the Westminster Government to

0:30:260:30:29

Wales then we pay to English universities.

0:30:290:30:32

But the Welsh universities are complaining.

0:30:320:30:35

There is a discrepancy in funding at the moment between English

0:30:350:30:38

universities and Welsh universities

0:30:380:30:40

and that is because of intended developments that are stopping

0:30:400:30:43

a cap on numbers attending English universities

0:30:430:30:45

and also stopping the capping on fees in England.

0:30:450:30:48

That is going to increase this gap.

0:30:480:30:50

We need quality universities in Wales

0:30:500:30:53

but we must have the investment to realise that.

0:30:530:30:58

At the moment we need to strengthen that investment.

0:30:580:31:01

That is all for the moment. Join us after the break.

0:31:010:31:06

Welcome back. You are watching Pawb A'i Farn from Aberystwyth.

0:31:230:31:27

Our next question is from Trevor Pugh. What is your question, please?

0:31:270:31:32

Alun Davies has said that he wants to see farmers making

0:31:320:31:37

a profit without any subsidies.

0:31:370:31:40

-What effect would that have on rural to Wales?

-Let's ask the minister.

0:31:400:31:45

Alun Davies wants to see farmers making a profit without any

0:31:450:31:49

subsidies. What effect would that have on rural Wales?

0:31:490:31:53

Did you say that?

0:31:530:31:55

No, I didn't. I said the subsidies are going down at the moment.

0:31:550:32:02

They will continue to be reduced over time.

0:32:020:32:06

Reduced to nothing?

0:32:060:32:09

I don't think Pillar 1 will completely disappear.

0:32:090:32:14

But the value of Pillar 1 will reduce with time.

0:32:150:32:18

We are seeing that at the moment and it happens all over Europe.

0:32:180:32:23

Irish farmers were protesting last week when I was in Dublin -

0:32:230:32:28

not against me personally!

0:32:280:32:30

Is it happening faster in Wales because of your attitude?

0:32:300:32:33

No, what is happening is that the agricultural industry

0:32:330:32:39

must have a future where we can invest in the future.

0:32:390:32:42

I am going to announce next Monday our biggest ever Rural Development Plan.

0:32:420:32:46

We are going to ensure that we invest

0:32:460:32:49

something like £100 million a year in the future of rural Wales

0:32:490:32:54

and the economy of rural Wales and the agricultural economy in general.

0:32:540:32:59

What will the money be spent on?

0:32:590:33:02

If we don't do that,

0:33:020:33:03

if we ignore what is going on with Pillar 1,

0:33:030:33:06

and reduce subsidies, we are going to walk into the future

0:33:060:33:11

without any hope of protecting the future of agriculture.

0:33:110:33:17

As a minister, I am not going to do that.

0:33:170:33:19

I'm going to make sure that we do invest in these businesses.

0:33:190:33:23

We have been paying out subsidies for 70 years

0:33:230:33:27

and we have no industry resilient enough to stand on its own two feet.

0:33:270:33:34

We have to ensure that farmers and the agricultural economy

0:33:340:33:39

can withstand what is going to happen in the future.

0:33:390:33:42

If we don't do that, we are keeping our heads in the sand

0:33:420:33:45

and the industry is going to be destroyed.

0:33:450:33:48

What does the former minister think?

0:33:480:33:51

There is a reason why subsidies exist in the agricultural

0:33:510:33:55

sector, not just because farmers deserve it.

0:33:550:33:57

It exists because the food market does not work as a free market.

0:33:570:34:04

Increasingly so, as the big supermarkets are the only

0:34:040:34:08

buyers of produce.

0:34:080:34:09

And we have a great number of people trying to sell into that market.

0:34:090:34:16

That is why subsidies exist.

0:34:160:34:20

They exist all over Europe and they have to exist here in Wales

0:34:200:34:25

so that our farmers can continue to produce food

0:34:250:34:29

and to compete with farmers in Europe.

0:34:290:34:33

What has angered our farmers in Wales

0:34:330:34:35

and with which I do not agree, is to modulate at the greatest possible

0:34:350:34:38

level and cut the 15% of payments made directly to farmers.

0:34:380:34:46

-I would not have done that.

-But you agree with his long-term aims?

0:34:460:34:48

I don't agree that the free market works for agriculture

0:34:480:34:53

and I can't see that changing in the mid-term,

0:34:530:34:56

with this move towards big supermarkets.

0:34:560:35:01

I do think that there is value

0:35:010:35:04

and an opportunity for farmers in Wales where we have good

0:35:040:35:09

agricultural land and plenty of water to profit from that in future.

0:35:090:35:13

I'm sorry, Elin. Trevor Pugh?

0:35:130:35:16

It's important that the money comes directly to farmers

0:35:160:35:18

because farmers are investing locally and spending locally.

0:35:180:35:22

If you take it out of Pillar 1 and into Pillar 2, there is

0:35:220:35:25

no certainty that the money will come back into rural Wales.

0:35:250:35:29

Alun Davies has not made an announcement yet.

0:35:290:35:34

80% of this billion pounds is going straight to farmers.

0:35:340:35:39

It is going straight to farmers

0:35:390:35:40

and this is the biggest investment in the agricultural industry ever.

0:35:400:35:45

Farmers?

0:35:450:35:48

You say 80% of this Pillar 2 money is going to come back.

0:35:480:35:51

When consultants visit farmers, costing £500 a day,

0:35:510:35:56

to tell us what to do, and most of them have no idea what to do,

0:35:560:36:00

you have taken away 15% of our money.

0:36:000:36:04

That is 15% loss straightaway.

0:36:040:36:07

England is only on 12%, so they are 3% better off straightaway.

0:36:070:36:13

-Welshpool market with Glyn.

-Wait a second. Finish quickly.

0:36:130:36:18

Welshpool market.

0:36:180:36:20

When a Welsh farmer goes there to sell his stock,

0:36:200:36:24

an English farmer gets 3% more straightaway for his stock.

0:36:240:36:28

We cannot compete.

0:36:280:36:30

I remember you saying to us back in November, Mr Davies,

0:36:300:36:34

that you didn't want to be the politician to do to rural

0:36:340:36:37

Wales what politicians did to the coal mines in the 1980s.

0:36:370:36:42

Well, you are going the right way about it.

0:36:420:36:44

Why has France only marginally at 3%, Germans 4%,

0:36:440:36:49

the Irish nothing at all,

0:36:490:36:51

and you have taken as much money as possible out of rural Wales.

0:36:510:36:56

-You are what Judas was to the Christians.

-Absolute nonsense.

0:36:560:37:02

Irish beef...

0:37:050:37:09

Ireland has not modulated at all.

0:37:090:37:12

Beef comes into Ireland at £3.30 a kilo.

0:37:120:37:17

We have £3.60 8K.

0:37:170:37:19

We have no hope of competing against Ireland

0:37:190:37:23

and in the next few years, it is going to be very difficult for us.

0:37:230:37:28

The back row.

0:37:280:37:33

I'm talking from experience.

0:37:310:37:33

You talk about reducing subsidies to farmers.

0:37:350:37:38

I am an agricultural engineer and I sell machines

0:37:380:37:41

and tractors to farmers.

0:37:410:37:43

We are based in West Wales and we've had farmers pulling

0:37:430:37:47

out of contracts and cancelling four tractors because of these cuts.

0:37:470:37:52

That has a knock-on effect for everybody.

0:37:520:37:55

It's a risk to my job as an engineer.

0:37:550:37:59

We have a cleaning woman in work and we've had to let her go

0:37:590:38:05

because we don't have enough money in the pot.

0:38:050:38:08

She goes home and she can't pay the milkman because she has no work.

0:38:080:38:11

The milkman can't pay his bills and goes out of business

0:38:110:38:14

and so on and so on.

0:38:140:38:15

Over to you.

0:38:150:38:18

We have to remind you who owns most of Wales, the farmer.

0:38:180:38:25

We must also remind you as well who keeps the Welsh language

0:38:250:38:29

alive in rural Wales. I was talking to a farmer who told me that perhaps

0:38:290:38:33

he was going to lose 80% of his subsidies in highland Wales.

0:38:330:38:38

His problem is that he can't keep his children home

0:38:380:38:41

and what will happen to the industry?

0:38:410:38:44

-Thank you very much. Back one row.

-I just wanted to agree with Wyn.

0:38:440:38:50

We are very net importer of meat into Britain.

0:38:500:38:53

I'm talking specifically about beef.

0:38:530:38:55

We are competing with countries who have not gone for the 15% margin.

0:38:550:39:00

We know when beef comes from Ireland or Poland very recently,

0:39:000:39:06

it suppresses the market price in this country. That's what happens.

0:39:060:39:11

We're not on a level playing field in Europe.

0:39:110:39:15

It's not a level European system.

0:39:150:39:18

Back to you.

0:39:190:39:21

Alun Davies has told us

0:39:220:39:25

as farmers that 13% of money is coming from Europe.

0:39:250:39:30

As Welsh highland farmers, we are

0:39:300:39:32

going to suffer losses between 60% and 80%,

0:39:320:39:36

because he decided to penalise highland areas over 400 metres

0:39:360:39:42

and on top of that,

0:39:420:39:44

while consultations were being held in October, the 400 metre line

0:39:440:39:49

was not mentioned, nor was the 20 per hectare either.

0:39:490:39:55

So what good is a national consultation at great cost

0:39:550:39:58

-when nobody listens to anything.

-And nothing works?

0:39:580:40:02

Alun can answer in a minute. Glyn Davies, as a former farmer yourself?

0:40:020:40:06

We've had the same discussion in England as well.

0:40:060:40:10

Over the last year, I have been trying to persuade ministers not

0:40:100:40:14

to move 15% from the single payments to environmental payments.

0:40:140:40:20

He was very glad that he had done so.

0:40:200:40:24

Only 12% have moved in England

0:40:240:40:26

and they also said that in three years' time, it is

0:40:260:40:31

possible that it will go up to 50% but they want to see

0:40:310:40:34

what happens in agriculture and also worthwhile proposals.

0:40:340:40:41

I'm disappointed in what Alun Davies has said?

0:40:410:40:44

If something worthwhile happens with the Government in London...

0:40:440:40:48

I was very pleased to hear that because to be honest,

0:40:480:40:52

I was expecting. The problem is, we know what is happening.

0:40:520:40:58

The way money is going.

0:40:580:41:01

It moves from going straight, to going to some

0:41:010:41:04

sort of circumstances, helping the environment.

0:41:040:41:08

But it is important to move slowly enough,

0:41:080:41:12

-to not give the farmers in Britain some kind of...

-Elin Royles.

0:41:120:41:17

I must say that I am not a farmer

0:41:170:41:20

but I know how important rural Wales is and farmers,

0:41:200:41:23

and what ordinary people like us can do is buy more from farmers, buy as

0:41:230:41:30

locally as we can and buy more from them to try and promote the economy.

0:41:300:41:37

Alun Davies, a chance to answer all those points

0:41:370:41:39

but perhaps above all, the point about farmers not being able

0:41:390:41:42

to be competitive enough because of the money you have set aside.

0:41:420:41:47

The fact is that Irish meat imports have

0:41:470:41:50

fallen 44% during the last few months, so that is not true.

0:41:500:41:55

But when you look at the present system, some farmers

0:41:550:41:59

receive 100 euros a hectare and others receive 300-400 euros a hectare.

0:41:590:42:05

People know this. Is that fair? Of course it isn't fair.

0:42:050:42:09

We are introducing a system that nobody has complained about.

0:42:090:42:13

They agree with it.

0:42:130:42:15

People are talking about 15% which is moved from one

0:42:150:42:19

Pillar to another Pillar.

0:42:190:42:20

This enables us to invest in the industry for the future.

0:42:200:42:26

Pillar 1 is going to drop in value this year, next year

0:42:260:42:30

and the following year.

0:42:300:42:32

We're going to lose about 20% of the value of Pillar 1 by 2020.

0:42:320:42:37

Are we going to do nothing, sit back,

0:42:370:42:41

fight for 15% of money which is reducing,

0:42:410:42:43

or are we going to use this money to invest in the future

0:42:430:42:47

and invest in new agricultural businesses for the future.

0:42:470:42:50

That is the choice we have. I'm going to invest.

0:42:500:42:54

If you don't want money, you don't have to take it.

0:42:540:42:59

That's it. No chance for you to respond, I'm afraid.

0:42:590:43:02

We should dedicate a whole programme to agriculture

0:43:020:43:05

but for the moment time for some adverts.

0:43:050:43:07

Join us again after the break.

0:43:070:43:09

Welcome back to Aberystwyth. One more question, from Dafydd Thomas.

0:43:250:43:32

Bronglais hospital is very important to us in Ceredigion.

0:43:320:43:36

Does the centralising of health services in specialist

0:43:360:43:39

-hospitals improve the care for patients in this area?

-Thank you.

0:43:390:43:43

Brandeis hospital is important to us in Ceredigion.

0:43:430:43:46

Does the centralising of health services in specialist

0:43:460:43:49

hospitals improve the care for patients in this area? Elin Jones.

0:43:490:43:53

The first thing to say is that people in Ceredigion are used

0:43:530:43:58

to going to specialist hospitals for specialist care, cancer,

0:43:580:44:03

cardiac and so on to Morrison and Cardiff and we are used to doing so.

0:44:030:44:08

The argument about the future of Bronglais is whether it will be

0:44:080:44:13

there to save people's lives, to perform emergency operations

0:44:130:44:17

and Caesarean operations for pregnant mothers

0:44:170:44:20

and to save people's lives when they need such operations.

0:44:200:44:26

-So that's the question.

-On what are your fears based?

0:44:260:44:30

Health Minister Mark Drakeford said two weeks ago,

0:44:300:44:35

very unexpectedly, that his choice would be to centralise

0:44:350:44:39

maternity care, and be led by consultants in Glangwili.

0:44:390:44:43

That is of great concern to the population, not just of

0:44:430:44:49

Ceredigion, but also of Montgomery and Gwynedd, who rely on Bronglais.

0:44:490:44:54

The argument for Bronglais is unique in Wales

0:44:540:44:57

because this is the only hospital between the A55 and the A4

0:44:570:45:01

and it is important to save lives in those earlier.

0:45:010:45:06

But they have invested £30 million in the hospital

0:45:060:45:08

so that there is no suggestion that things are going to get much worse.

0:45:080:45:12

The hospital is not going to close

0:45:120:45:15

but it needs to have those core services which save lives

0:45:150:45:18

and allow the hospital to offer a full service.

0:45:180:45:22

It is not possible to transport people in helicopters in this

0:45:220:45:26

kind of weather, nor in an emergency to Glangwili in time to save lives.

0:45:260:45:31

This matter of safeguarding emergency services is crucial.

0:45:310:45:35

I am one of those people who has had emergency surgery in a hospital.

0:45:350:45:38

Those theatres need to be upgraded.

0:45:380:45:43

At Bronglais can't attract the quality to the hospital.

0:45:430:45:47

The problem is, they haven't really tried very hard.

0:45:470:45:50

Whenever a gap comes up, they centralise

0:45:500:45:53

services in Carmarthen to the whole process has been bad.

0:45:530:45:59

Also, mental health care.

0:45:590:46:01

That ward has closed and we don't talk enough about those kinds of things.

0:46:010:46:04

Consider a family with a patient who has mental health issues

0:46:040:46:08

and they have to travel to Carmarthen.

0:46:080:46:11

How does it affect the family?

0:46:110:46:13

What about people when they have the extra cost of travelling?

0:46:130:46:18

Let's turn to the audience. Gareth Davies?

0:46:180:46:23

I work in Bronglais hospital and it is a constant battle

0:46:230:46:30

for mid Wales to ensure services in Bronglais hospital.

0:46:300:46:35

The Hywel Dda University Health Board always tries to

0:46:350:46:38

centralise things in Carmarthen.

0:46:380:46:41

They forget that Bronglais serves a large area of mid Wales.

0:46:410:46:47

The Labour Party in Cardiff want to centralise everything.

0:46:470:46:53

We regularly hear that Ceredigion is to disappear quite soon

0:46:530:46:59

and join Pembrokeshire

0:46:590:47:01

so the services are getting further away from mid Wales all the time.

0:47:010:47:05

Ceredig Davies?

0:47:050:47:07

People in this area are very frustrated with what the

0:47:070:47:12

health board are doing in Bronglais.

0:47:120:47:13

As a council in December, we took a vote of no confidence

0:47:130:47:16

in the health board and we wrote to Mark Drakeford and

0:47:160:47:21

he came back to us and said that we should be dealing with this locally.

0:47:210:47:26

We wouldn't have written to him

0:47:260:47:27

if it was something that we could deal with locally.

0:47:270:47:30

Then they said they won't meet us as a council

0:47:300:47:33

unless we meet councillors behind closed doors.

0:47:330:47:38

That is not good enough.

0:47:380:47:39

They should have the confidence to come and tell us

0:47:390:47:42

exactly what future of Bronglais is.

0:47:420:47:44

-The back row.

-The Chief Executive of Hywel Dda earns £170,000 a year.

0:47:440:47:52

He didn't turn up to meet the public in Ceredigion.

0:47:540:47:59

As well as that, we understand that he is not answerable to the

0:47:590:48:05

Welsh Government.

0:48:050:48:06

They make these decisions about centralisation of services.

0:48:060:48:10

We have superb nurses and doctors in Aberystwyth

0:48:100:48:14

and we have a very good services. Why can't we upgrade the hospital?

0:48:140:48:21

Glyn Davies, concisely, please.

0:48:210:48:24

Bronglais is important to Montgomeryshire as well

0:48:240:48:28

and South Gwynedd.

0:48:280:48:30

There are people there from Llanidloes and Machynlleth.

0:48:300:48:35

It's very important for them.

0:48:350:48:37

What I want to see is every service possible in Bronglais.

0:48:370:48:41

I know we can't have everything. It costs too much but we need more...

0:48:410:48:46

Everything possible in Aberystwyth, in Bronglais.

0:48:460:48:49

-Because it is too far to go to other hospitals.

-Thank you, Glyn.

0:48:490:48:54

I'll have to give Alun 30 seconds.

0:48:540:48:56

We are talking about this all over Wales as we're modernising

0:48:560:49:00

the health service. We discussed this in my area this afternoon.

0:49:000:49:04

We have to have the best possible services all over

0:49:040:49:09

Wales and that's crucial.

0:49:090:49:10

That's why we're investing in Bronglais right now

0:49:100:49:13

and we're going to ensure that we have the best possible

0:49:130:49:17

specialist services for people all over Wales.

0:49:170:49:20

Alun Davies, thank you very much.

0:49:200:49:22

And the audience here in Aberystwyth, thank you for your company.

0:49:220:49:26

Next week my place will be taken by Jonathan. See you in two weeks.

0:49:260:49:31

Download Subtitles

SRT

ASS