27/02/2014 Pawb a'i Farn


27/02/2014

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On our panel this evening, former Wales outside half,

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Gareth Davies, Felix Aubel of the Conservative Party, former Plaid

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Cymru Adam Price and former Welsh language Commissioner, Mary Hughes.

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Welcome to the programme. We are in Powys this evening.

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We are visiting Brecon. It's great to be here.

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It's a historic town. We are at the local leisure centre.

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Thank you for joining us.

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Next week, we'll be in Pwllheli for the final show of the series

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and you are welcome to get in touch.

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The address is on the screen. Our first question.

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From the back row, please.

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Following on from the results of the last census,

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is there too much emphasis placed on safeguarding

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the rights of Welsh speakers, rather than promoting its use?

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Thank you very much. Following on from the results of the last census,

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is there too much emphasis placed on safeguarding

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the rights of the Welsh speakers, rather than promoting its use?

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Let me start with you, Felix.

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We have spent millions trying to safeguard the language

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through a Welsh language Act

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and the census figures show that the numbers are falling.

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Something is wrong.

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For a language to succeed, it must be alive.

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It must be used in homes

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and in everyday life.

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There has been an experiment in the Republic of Ireland

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and that's proved that the more you try to safeguard the language

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with legislation,

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people see it as irrelevant.

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They see it as part of the academic world

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and the middle class world.

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I remember it being said years ago that you can't safeguard

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a language through legislation,

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you have to promote a language.

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I think it would be better if the money that is being

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spent on legislating and on ensuring that legislation is implemented,

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is spent on classes to teach people to use the language

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in our chapels, our pubs,

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our schools, rather than gathering dust.

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What about the rights?

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Are you ignoring our rights as Welsh speakers

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to receive different services?

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Unfortunately, Welsh speak speakers don't use these rights.

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Look at the NHS Direct, for example.

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The figures were published a fortnight ago

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saying that bilingual languages were provided.

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Around 1% of those people phoning NHS Direct

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were using the Welsh service.

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I know from my experience in Carmarthen,

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all these pamphlets,

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paying different bills and so on,

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over 90% of Welsh speakers fill the forms in English.

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I'm not saying that's a good thing but that's the reality.

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Let me speak to the Welsh Language Commissioner, Meri Hughes.

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What about it?

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You wouldn't be surprised that I disagree with Felix.

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It would be a strange thing if we said that we didn't need

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rights for children, rights for older people

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and in the same way,

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it would be odd to say that we don't need language rights.

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It's important in creating confidence and that leads to use.

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We don't use the language because we don't have the confidence.

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We have lived in a situation for five centuries where it was

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not an official language in Wales, but today, it is official.

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It is an official language and it has been for two years.

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Let's build on those foundations.

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But the numbers speaking Welsh has fallen,

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despite legislation.

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Over the centuries,

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people in Wales were speaking Welsh without legislation.

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The most important right is the responsibility of Welsh language

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parents to transfer the language from one generation to the next.

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What is sad and I acknowledge the point, is that you have

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one in four or one in five parents, Welsh-speaking parents

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who for some reason do not transfer the language to the child.

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That's vitally important if you want to save the language.

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The people need to save it, not through legislation.

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And it's not a contest.

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Legislation is extremely important to create that confidence.

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Use is also important.

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We need to look at why people aren't using

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the language in different situations

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but a lack of legislation won't change that situation.

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Are our priorities right?

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I think we need to move hand-in-hand, rights and use.

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When I look at the results of the census,

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I'm disappointed with the situation.

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What is happening?

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What about Felix's line? Wasting money on translations?

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Since when is translating and using the Welsh language a waste of time?

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The Welsh people don't use them.

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The Welsh people are voting with their feet.

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Either the translations are too complicated for them

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or they choose to fill these forms in English.

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If someone wants a Welsh form, they can ask for a form

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but if you send out thousands of forms,

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people don't use them and it's a waste of money.

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Why should we have to ask for forms?

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Shouldn't it be something we receive naturally?

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That's why people don't use Welsh forms.

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They think, do I have the right to ask for it?

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It's easier not to. I don't want to upset anyone.

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The individual should be free to choose.

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Feel free to applaud. That's acceptable.

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Perhaps I should be a politician.

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I can see both sides.

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-Sitting on the fence!

-We need a framework

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and over the years there's been a framework put in place.

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We should be promoting the language.

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or should we look at complaints?

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Promoting it, I think.

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So you're more with Felix than with Mary?

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I think the problem is that if you go with the minority,

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then there is a chance that you are isolating the majority.

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The Welsh language needs goodwill from non-Welsh speakers.

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I'm sure Mary wouldn't disagree with that. Adam Price?

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It's no surprise that I would agree more with Mary

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than with Felix.

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But it's nice to hear you speaking nonsense, Felix,

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with such a rich command of the Welsh language.

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Legislation is vital as a basis but it's not enough.

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It will not save the language.

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I agree with what's behind the question.

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The period of emphasising rights is over.

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That battle has been won.

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The next thing is to use the language in our communities.

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There's a lot of work to be done.

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Economic futures of these areas,

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you're talking about people voting with their feet.

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People have to leave these Welsh-speaking communities

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because of a lack of work.

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Hopefully we'll see S4C moving to Carmarthen.

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We need jobs in the West and without jobs,

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people cannot afford to live in these areas.

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What about the right to use the Welsh language in these

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counties in schools?

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You need the jobs.

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Is the battle over?

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No, I don't think so.

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I think there is a lack of rights in this area as far as education provision.

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One thing I see daily is pensions from London,

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benefits from London,

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the UK Government saying, no,

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we don't need to do that in Welsh.

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That battle isn't over.

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We need to keep going.

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This emphasis on rights has turned into an obsession.

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And that is turning people against the language.

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They want to see the language being used every day,

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not this technical language.

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It's part of the middle class, that's what's turning people off.

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What I meant was the argument for making it,

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giving it equal status, has been won.

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In theory.

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I won't disagree with the Commissioner.

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Let me ask one thing.

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These rights are what your job is about - right, Meri?

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No. Rights are important.

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The official status of the language in 2011...

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But what about the promotion that the Welsh Language Board...

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This is still part of our work from day-to-day.

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It has as much emphasis as ever before.

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There's a lot more focus on this work now.

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I'll return to the panel later. A good start.

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Gwen, you asked the question?

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I think we should promote the use of the language, especially education.

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I come from an area where I've received Welsh medium education

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and, although the education is fantastic, I don't feel that I

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have enough opportunity to speak the language outside of the classroom.

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Unfortunately, I don't think that the council will provide

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Welsh schools in the future.

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Is that right? We are talking about rights here.

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The most important rights that we need as young people who can

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speak Welsh in this county is the right to a Welsh education,

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in a Welsh school.

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I'm very pleased to be a sixth form pupil

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but considering I live in the biggest county in Wales,

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isn't it awful that I have to travel

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over the border to go to a Welsh school?

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Education doesn't stop in the classroom

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and being a pupil in a Welsh community is part of a Welsh school,

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family, where everyone appreciates our culture

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and language is important

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and provides us an opportunity to promote the language

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and it's very sad that there are people here, young people,

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Welsh speakers,

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who are being ignored and are losing out on those opportunities.

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Does that mean you travel quite a distance to school?

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Around an hour in the morning.

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And we feel luck lucky, it's a postcode lottery.

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We are close enough to be able to go to this Welsh school

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but not everyone can.

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In a time of cuts, maybe the council would say there's not the demand?

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It's the closure of rural schools

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that's to blame.

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I have a question.

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I thought you were going to contribute to this discussion.

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We need to ensure that there is provision for bilingual services.

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There have been cutbacks in Powys.

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Children have to travel to schools in other counties,

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as has been mentioned.

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Glyn Powell.

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I have a quick comment.

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Why aren't the regions doing more for the Welsh language?

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These rugby teams are very English.

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An announcement: "Oh, 30-8 for so-and-so."

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That's all you'll get.

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But this isn't being practical.

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I wanted to put some money aside

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for my children, my grandchildren,

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with National Savings and I had a letter back saying

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they didn't provide a Welsh service.

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But we need enthusiastic teachers.

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We are relying on Welsh learn learners.

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We all have to become tutors.

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We shouldn't belittle learners.

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We have no patience.

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How many of you write cheques in Welsh?

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If you don't, it's just idle talk.

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So you agree with Felix?

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In some ways. We have rights.

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Legislation and rights has been important

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and the fact that we are in a healthier situation is a good thing.

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But we've seen examples of young people tonight who've been

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through the Welsh system that we have in Powys.

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But as well as trying to develop Welsh education

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and Welsh schools, we've also developed a system or we should

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develop a system where they can use the language outside of schools.

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Is that difficult in Powys?

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That is difficult.

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There are examples of how young people

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can get together to socialise.

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The same thing could have happened with the Welsh Lang language.

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We need to emphasise, not only on education

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but also what they do outside of school.

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That's an argument we often hear.

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I'll return to the back row.

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I'm lucky.

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I went to a Welsh school,

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but what I feel is it's difficult to use the language outside our school.

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I went to the local medical centre

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and it was difficult to get a Welsh language service.

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Why is it such an unusual thing to be able to use the language

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and feel comfortable using it?

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It shouldn't just be used in the classroom.

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I'll approach the panel.

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I know you're keen to answer, Meri.

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Can I thank those who've spoken.

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That's why we need to keep fighting and insist on our rights.

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I was in court last week

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challenging National Savings on that.

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I think a balance is important.

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To keep the Welsh language alive,

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we need to promote it on a practical level.

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That's more important than any legislation.

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What about the language in Powys, Adam Price?

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I remember reading a paper saying that you needed to

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concentrate on west Wales.

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Are you forgetting these people?

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Certainly not.

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We need different strategies for different parts of Wales.

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Different areas' needs are different.

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It's clear we need improved provision for Welsh language

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education in Powys.

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In other parts, there are different matters.

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The needs are going to be different

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and we need different debates to reflect that.

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We'll take a short break.

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Welcome back.

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We are in Brecon this evening.

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Let's go to the next question.

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Welsh county councils are having to make difficult decisions

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regarding cuts.

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What would you cut?

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Thanks very much.

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Welsh county councils are currently having to make difficult

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decisions regarding cuts.

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We hear about this more or less every day.

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What would you cut?

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I'll start with Adam Price this time.

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It's a difficult situation.

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I would argue that we should not be in this situation.

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It's due to the financial settlement from England that's cutting back

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unnecessarily considering the economic situation,

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but there we are, that is the situation.

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Councils have been meeting tonight to discuss the cutbacks.

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Isn't the fact that the economy is strengthening

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proving that these moves are vital?

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There is a wider argument.

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I think there is a consensus in Wales

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that it is foolish

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to endanger the growth in the economy by cutting back

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on Public Services,

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but there we are, that's the situation we find ourselves in.

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I think we can be more creative.

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The first thing I would do is cut back on the wages

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of senior officials.

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We have seen a number of scandals in Wales.

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I don't want to libel anyone, unlike we have seen in some councils,

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no-one will pay my legal costs.

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We have seen a situation

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where the people at the top who do not

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really add any value receive these high wages.

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I would also look at merging services,

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bring health and social services together.

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It makes sense.

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You can then deliver a better service.

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There are savings to be made.

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So for the reorganisation...

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This has been happening in Northern Ireland for 30 years

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and there's evidence that it's meant an increase for the people.

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And it makes it more cost-effective.

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Look at Estonia, a small country, using new technology

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in a creative manner to provide a better service and save money.

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So there are things that can be done.

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I'm not a Tory by any stretch of the imagination,

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but some councils which have Tory members have managed to avoid

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cutting back on services

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because they've been preparing

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for two years speaking to the people,

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asking the people.

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It's a question for the people.

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What can we do differently to safeguard core services

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that are important to the area

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while also saving money?

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Adam praising the Conservatives.

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I'm very pleased to hear that.

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I agree with the principle.

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It's awful that any Chief Executive of the council receives

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a higher wage than the First Minister or the Prime Minister.

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Everyone seems to agree on that.

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There are too many pen-pushers, administrators,

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rather than those front-line workers

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and on top of that,

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I would say what

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is vitally important is that there are too many councils in Wales.

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We need to cut the numbers down to six or seven.

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I know that a number of councillors do excellent work,

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but we could also halve the number of councillors in Wales.

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Many of the rural wards in the west and the north,

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you have areas with a low population

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and you have so many councillors

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that two or three could do the job,

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of six or seven councillors

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so there is room to cut back.

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I would like to go to the audience but Adam says it's a

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consensus that that is not the economic policy needed.

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We need to act and anyone with a credit card would say that

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if you borrow more money when you are in debt, you go bankrupt.

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We don't want to be the next, Greece, Portugal or Spain.

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George Osborne is bringing us economic stability.

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We are all in this together.

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That's not the first time that Felix has talked about the consensus.

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Sandra, where are you?

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There are some very important ideas

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and I'm pleased to hear the public's rights being considered

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because it would be a bad thing if we lost services, education,

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leisure centres and provision for the elderly so thank you.

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Rod Stallard?

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We need to step back

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and look at where the resources of this country are used.

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The Government is willing to spend money on nuclear weapons

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and wars and,

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if we cut back on those,

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maybe we could continue with the necessary services.

0:26:420:26:47

I agree with the nuclear weapons.

0:26:500:26:54

Who is ever going to use them?

0:26:540:27:00

We are talking about all these millions on Trident

0:27:000:27:03

and whose finger is on the button?

0:27:030:27:05

The President of America. It's nothing to do with us.

0:27:050:27:07

I must answer that.

0:27:070:27:10

War is an awful thing, so are nuclear weapons,

0:27:100:27:13

but because of the balance of power between the old Soviet Union

0:27:130:27:18

and NATO in Western Europe, nuclear weapons ensure that we have

0:27:180:27:24

peace in Europe following the Second World War.

0:27:240:27:27

I would add that if nuclear weapons were in the Ukraine today,

0:27:270:27:34

would Russia be threatening to attack?

0:27:340:27:38

If you have nuclear weapons, the bully doesn't threaten you.

0:27:380:27:43

I feel sorry for the people of Ukraine fighting for freedom

0:27:430:27:48

and Russia, the bully, attacking them.

0:27:480:27:54

I don't want to have a debate on nuclear weapons right now.

0:27:540:28:01

Nuclear weapons is the bully itself.

0:28:010:28:06

It stopped wars because if there were nuclear weapons on one

0:28:060:28:12

side and nuclear weapons on the other,

0:28:120:28:14

then both sides are too afraid to press the button.

0:28:140:28:17

It's a deterrent.

0:28:170:28:20

What about the cuts in Powys?

0:28:200:28:22

We didn't have an answer this week.

0:28:220:28:26

I signed a petition protesting

0:28:260:28:31

about the way Powys was intending

0:28:310:28:33

to close units for children

0:28:330:28:37

on intensive care units and integrate.

0:28:370:28:44

But they changed their minds because of the pressure put on them.

0:28:440:28:50

Also, these day centres for the elderly where

0:28:500:28:54

they come for the day for company and so on,

0:28:540:28:57

they are going to increase the prices from £6 a day

0:28:570:29:01

to £36 a day.

0:29:010:29:02

But cutbacks need to be made.

0:29:020:29:05

But those kinds of cutbacks

0:29:050:29:10

are against the weakest in society.

0:29:100:29:15

The authority should be looking into saving money

0:29:150:29:21

within the council.

0:29:210:29:23

Back to the audience.

0:29:230:29:26

I find it daft really that we have 22 local authorities

0:29:260:29:33

looking after three million people.

0:29:330:29:38

Obviously that will change.

0:29:380:29:39

You look at the health boards, there are seven.

0:29:390:29:44

It needs to follow that sort of pattern.

0:29:440:29:47

The problem is that the people affected most

0:29:470:29:50

are the weakest in society.

0:29:500:29:53

The elderly and the poor.

0:29:530:29:55

Years ago, communities were stronger

0:29:550:30:01

and if you had problems,

0:30:010:30:04

then people would help.

0:30:040:30:07

I think that we have moved backwards that aspect.

0:30:070:30:13

Life has changed.

0:30:130:30:17

There isn't that support.

0:30:170:30:23

We often read about the elderly, for example,

0:30:230:30:27

maybe without any contact with people for days on end.

0:30:270:30:32

I think this may make things worse.

0:30:320:30:38

There are cutbacks in our budget.

0:30:380:30:41

We are going through the same process.

0:30:410:30:43

So are other bodies.

0:30:430:30:47

I want to go back to the previous point.

0:30:470:30:51

Vulnerable people, the young, the elderly, what worries me

0:30:510:30:55

sitting here as the Welsh Language Commissioner is the need that

0:30:550:30:58

some people see to make cuts for Welsh

0:30:580:31:04

because there is certainly

0:31:040:31:07

a debate taking place on that, providing services in English.

0:31:070:31:15

If you want to safeguard services, where would you cut?

0:31:170:31:21

Where would the axe fall?

0:31:210:31:24

This is a disastrous situation and we don't want to see any cutbacks.

0:31:240:31:31

I think Gareth's put his finger on it and we need to look at society.

0:31:310:31:39

We also need to look at the voluntary sector.

0:31:390:31:42

There are some things where Government

0:31:420:31:46

on a local and national level should be providing.

0:31:460:31:49

There are things we should be doing as a society.

0:31:490:31:52

I think a more positive way for us

0:31:520:31:56

to have this debate is to say

0:31:560:32:00

what do we want to protect,

0:32:000:32:03

what do we want to provide, as far as vital services?

0:32:030:32:08

Where will the state provide

0:32:080:32:11

and where can we then provide voluntarily?

0:32:110:32:19

Through a combination of that, I think, even facing this

0:32:190:32:24

situation, at least we can protect

0:32:240:32:29

what we all think is important.

0:32:290:32:32

We have to go for another break.

0:32:320:32:38

Welcome back.

0:32:550:32:57

We are in Brecon this evening.

0:32:570:33:00

We are having a lively night of debate.

0:33:000:33:03

Time now for our third question.

0:33:030:33:06

Does the panel agree that the Welsh Rugby Union

0:33:060:33:11

and the regions must cooperate

0:33:110:33:16

in order to secure a successful future for the game in Wales?

0:33:160:33:20

There we are.

0:33:200:33:21

We have got the perfect man here to answer that question.

0:33:210:33:26

I'm the secretary of Brecon RFC.

0:33:260:33:31

Does the panel agree that the Welsh Rugby Union

0:33:310:33:36

and the regions must cooperate in order to secure a successful future?

0:33:360:33:43

I'm sure that the entire panel would say that is true.

0:33:430:33:46

A couple of years ago,

0:33:460:33:50

there was a survey into the situation

0:33:500:33:56

and it's something that cost around £60,000.

0:33:560:34:00

The only conclusion from the report

0:34:000:34:05

was that the regions and the union need to cooperate.

0:34:050:34:09

There were a number of other options considered -

0:34:090:34:12

should we have more regions, fewer regions?

0:34:120:34:14

The problem now with all this rowing

0:34:140:34:21

that's been going on,

0:34:210:34:27

is the fact that any trust between

0:34:270:34:32

the unions and the regions has been destroyed.

0:34:320:34:34

I think what sparked it all off was the statement

0:34:340:34:39

that the regions had to sign up

0:34:390:34:44

before the end of last year

0:34:440:34:47

and if we didn't, the four regions would go.

0:34:470:34:49

I think that was tactically foolish

0:34:490:34:54

and I think there was a feeling

0:34:540:34:57

that the regions would sign.

0:34:570:34:59

You blame Roger Lewis?

0:34:590:35:04

I don't know if it was Roger.

0:35:040:35:06

I would blame the Chief Executive of the board.

0:35:060:35:13

He obviously leads the way

0:35:130:35:16

but I think it was the board's responsibility to

0:35:160:35:19

solve the problem, not start making threats.

0:35:190:35:22

Three days after the deadline,

0:35:220:35:26

there was another arrangement.

0:35:260:35:30

So the relationship has been affected.

0:35:300:35:38

There's a lot of confusion.

0:35:380:35:42

Do you understand what's going on?

0:35:420:35:46

I have an idea.

0:35:460:35:50

The situation is that the WRU are not willing to give up

0:35:500:35:54

any control,

0:35:540:35:56

so they control everything but the regions are taking the risk.

0:35:560:36:02

We have to employ the players.

0:36:020:36:04

Ron, are you worried about the future of rugby?

0:36:040:36:09

Yes and I feel there's posturing from both sides,

0:36:090:36:15

the regions and the union.

0:36:150:36:18

Including Gareth?

0:36:180:36:19

Well, everyone agreed that we need to work together.

0:36:190:36:25

But there are a lot of problems with central contracts.

0:36:250:36:29

The union says that that's the way forward, the regions say no.

0:36:290:36:35

At some point they need to work together.

0:36:350:36:41

The central contract, it's a bit of a red herring.

0:36:410:36:46

What we need to establish first

0:36:460:36:50

is what competitions we are playing in.

0:36:500:36:52

It's March on Saturday

0:36:520:36:55

and we don't know what we're doing in four or five months' time.

0:36:550:36:58

So for the players, the sponsors, the regions,

0:36:580:37:02

we have no idea what we are doing next year.

0:37:020:37:06

What about you - who do you represent?

0:37:060:37:10

Llandovery Rugby Club.

0:37:100:37:12

To be fair to Gareth, he hasn't been in the job long.

0:37:120:37:16

I would say that I think the regions

0:37:160:37:24

are the jigsaw that doesn't really work in Wales.

0:37:240:37:30

The Welsh team's been successful,

0:37:300:37:33

the youth teams are enjoying success,

0:37:330:37:39

but what I would like to ask is

0:37:390:37:44

representing of the Principality League.

0:37:440:37:47

We have to give a three-year business plan to the

0:37:470:37:54

Welsh Rugby Union and I see a lot of money being wasted going

0:37:540:37:58

to overseas players, people on high wages

0:37:580:38:02

and I just wonder if you have to provide the Welsh rugby

0:38:020:38:07

with a plan so there is some transparency as to where the money is being spent.

0:38:070:38:12

I don't want to scrap this

0:38:120:38:16

but I think things have to change, they haven't been successful.

0:38:160:38:21

Adam Price, you enjoy rugby?

0:38:210:38:27

Yes, of course. I'm from the Amman Valley.

0:38:270:38:29

I don't have a choice.

0:38:290:38:31

But looking at it from the outside, I agree,

0:38:310:38:35

the regional experiment,

0:38:350:38:38

although I think it was the right aim,

0:38:380:38:46

hasn't been a success so far,

0:38:460:38:49

if we look at the Irish provinces and regions.

0:38:490:38:53

Maybe there are different reasons.

0:38:530:38:59

Graham Henry came up with the idea and what he wanted to do

0:38:590:39:05

was have the same model as Ireland where they were part

0:39:050:39:09

of the union and these rows would not be taking place

0:39:090:39:14

because there would be a pattern and a structure

0:39:140:39:17

with four divisions in a way, sub-regions.

0:39:170:39:24

Maybe we should be looking at that model.

0:39:240:39:27

Defending the regions,

0:39:270:39:33

they have developed these players for the national side.

0:39:330:39:40

As far as wasting money on overseas players,

0:39:400:39:46

it's a shame that we haven't the same situation as Ireland

0:39:460:39:49

right from the start.

0:39:490:39:51

You look at Ireland now and Ulster, for example,

0:39:510:39:55

make a big South African signing and it works out.

0:39:550:40:03

If I pretended to express an opinion about this situation,

0:40:040:40:07

most of my family and friends would know that I was lying

0:40:070:40:10

because I don't know what's going on.

0:40:100:40:12

But the impression I get by looking from the outside is that the

0:40:120:40:15

Union has lost all connection with the supporters and the communities.

0:40:150:40:21

The way it deals with the Welsh language,

0:40:210:40:24

or the way it doesn't deal with the Welsh language at the moment,

0:40:240:40:27

shows it is behaving like an American-like company

0:40:270:40:33

living in some cocoon in the middle of Cardiff

0:40:330:40:35

and it has lost that connection and I think that's a disgrace.

0:40:350:40:38

Thank you. Felix? You look like a former player!

0:40:380:40:41

As someone who has played a lot of rugby in the past,

0:40:410:40:45

in school and in college,

0:40:450:40:46

I'm very concerned about the situation.

0:40:460:40:50

Gareth has outlined the situation.

0:40:500:40:53

He is the expert

0:40:530:40:55

and I think it's best to let the experts sort things out.

0:40:550:40:59

Fair enough. You can have the last word on this, Gareth.

0:40:590:41:02

Is it a concern that so many people

0:41:020:41:04

flood to watch Cardiff and Swansea play football?

0:41:040:41:07

I know that some rugby supporters have gone in that direction.

0:41:070:41:11

It is certainly a competition, but life is a competition.

0:41:110:41:15

We can't afford to fall out, as we are doing,

0:41:150:41:17

because all we're doing is ensuring that more people

0:41:170:41:20

go to watch football instead of following rugby.

0:41:200:41:24

We have one more question before the end of the programme

0:41:240:41:27

and it comes from Meinir Jones.

0:41:270:41:29

The Standard Life company has announced today

0:41:290:41:33

that it could leave Scotland if the country becomes independent.

0:41:330:41:38

How much of a blow is an announcement like this

0:41:380:41:41

to the campaign in favour of independence?

0:41:410:41:44

The Standard Life company has announced it could leave Scotland

0:41:440:41:48

if it becomes independent.

0:41:480:41:50

How much of a blow is an announcement like this to the campaign in favour of independence?

0:41:500:41:54

Let's begin with you, Meri.

0:41:540:41:56

It's interesting to watch this process.

0:41:560:41:58

We heard about the row over the pound three weeks ago.

0:41:580:42:01

Keeping the pound or not keeping it if Scotland becomes independent.

0:42:010:42:05

Then there was the discussion about Europe.

0:42:050:42:08

And now today, this concern that Standard Life is going to move away.

0:42:080:42:15

Everyone is concerned about these elements,

0:42:150:42:18

and yet there is a huge elephant sitting in the room

0:42:180:42:21

and everyone is denying that they want to discuss that,

0:42:210:42:24

and that is oil and money, the money that comes from it.

0:42:240:42:28

Watching it as a process is amazing.

0:42:280:42:31

When are they going to admit that that is what truly concerns them?

0:42:310:42:36

There was a lot of discussion on oil this week

0:42:360:42:38

as the two cabinets went to Aberdeen. Felix?

0:42:380:42:41

As one who believes in the basic principle of freedom of choice,

0:42:410:42:45

Scotland has every right to vote on independence.

0:42:450:42:50

But on the other hand, if they decide to do that,

0:42:500:42:55

they have to accept the consequences.

0:42:550:42:57

They way I see it,

0:42:570:42:59

Alex Salmond is trying to get the best of both worlds.

0:42:590:43:02

He thinks, we'll break away from the United Kingdom

0:43:020:43:06

and England will be kind to us.

0:43:060:43:08

He's setting the rules.

0:43:080:43:10

He's saying, England will have to allow us to keep the pound,

0:43:100:43:13

and we can stay in the European Union.

0:43:130:43:16

Well, it doesn't sound much independence to me

0:43:160:43:19

because if you haven't got economic independence,

0:43:190:43:22

you're not an independent country.

0:43:220:43:24

But doesn't Scotland have as much right to use the pound as England and Wales?

0:43:240:43:28

No, because the simple fact is,

0:43:280:43:31

the pound was the English currency originally.

0:43:310:43:34

It was then extended when the UK was extended.

0:43:340:43:38

And you have to remember, the reason Scotland joined England in 1707

0:43:380:43:44

was because the Scottish economy was bankrupt,

0:43:440:43:47

every Scottish pound was only worth one English shilling.

0:43:470:43:54

So that is the concern now, that many companies in Scotland,

0:43:540:43:58

like Standard Life and some of the other companies,

0:43:580:44:01

say to Alex Salmond, you're welcome to become independent

0:44:010:44:04

but you have to accept the consequences.

0:44:040:44:07

And unfortunately, in an ideal world,

0:44:070:44:10

if it was economically beneficial for Scotland to become independent,

0:44:100:44:13

I'd say hear, hear.

0:44:130:44:15

But if I was Scottish, I wouldn't see it

0:44:150:44:18

as being economically beneficial with regard to work.

0:44:180:44:23

If England says, no pound, they will have to go into the euro.

0:44:230:44:26

You know the mess the euro is in today.

0:44:260:44:29

Spain will keep them out of the European Union

0:44:290:44:31

because it is worried about losing Catalonia.

0:44:310:44:34

And one more thing.

0:44:340:44:36

If Scotland became independent, in the short term,

0:44:360:44:40

Wales would be worse off for one reason.

0:44:400:44:43

We need Scotland at the discussion table with Northern Ireland

0:44:430:44:48

in order to secure concessions from the Government in London.

0:44:480:44:51

If we lose Scotland, Wales will only be a little lap dog for London.

0:44:510:44:56

Let's have the other side of the argument from Adam Price.

0:44:560:44:59

And they're listening to us now.

0:44:590:45:01

I'm surprised to hear you say that, Felix.

0:45:010:45:04

I'm not surprised that Standard Life has threatened this.

0:45:040:45:09

20 years ago, they wrote to all of their employees

0:45:120:45:16

to tell them to vote against devolution.

0:45:160:45:20

So they have shown their colours in the past.

0:45:200:45:23

There is a pattern here, isn't there?

0:45:230:45:25

Who have we seen during the last few weeks?

0:45:250:45:28

George Osborne, the spokespeople from the other parties,

0:45:280:45:31

Barroso, Mark Carney, Standard Life.

0:45:310:45:35

They won't be the last, by the way.

0:45:350:45:38

Many leaders from these large establishments

0:45:380:45:41

will come out against independence.

0:45:410:45:44

Why?

0:45:440:45:46

Because they're frightened.

0:45:460:45:48

Every time they do this, the yes vote increases because people in Scotland

0:45:480:45:52

aren't going to accept people threatening them.

0:45:520:45:55

The Scottish people have enough strength of character.

0:45:550:46:00

They have enough confidence to believe in themselves.

0:46:000:46:05

Isn't that a good point, Felix?

0:46:050:46:09

I wouldn't dare bet against them

0:46:090:46:12

because Alex Salmond is betting on himself.

0:46:120:46:14

I wouldn't bet against Alex Salmond.

0:46:140:46:16

You'll get a chance to reply, but Gareth...

0:46:160:46:19

Good luck to Scotland if they become independent, but...

0:46:190:46:21

Gareth, first.

0:46:210:46:23

The question was about how it was going to affect independence.

0:46:230:46:27

It sounds to me like there is some campaign here.

0:46:270:46:31

That Osborne has some strategy,

0:46:310:46:34

by coming out with Mark Carney, and so on.

0:46:340:46:36

But I just feel, have they gone too soon?

0:46:360:46:40

I agree with Adam.

0:46:400:46:43

I think this will encourage more Scottish people

0:46:430:46:47

to vote in favour of independence.

0:46:470:46:50

They may feel that they are being bullied, Felix.

0:46:500:46:53

Not at all, because Scotland is part of the United Kingdom

0:46:530:46:57

and so everyone across the UK is entitled to express an opinion.

0:46:570:47:03

If you look at Facebook, there are groups from Wales

0:47:030:47:06

in favour of independence for Scotland and groups against.

0:47:060:47:09

We do have a voice, but in the end,

0:47:090:47:12

the Scottish people themselves have the right to decide.

0:47:120:47:15

If they want to become independent, good luck to them.

0:47:150:47:18

I honestly wish them well.

0:47:180:47:20

So you think it was a mistake by George Osborne

0:47:200:47:22

to go up there to try and preach?

0:47:220:47:24

Not at all. George Osborne is just setting out the economic facts.

0:47:240:47:28

You're welcome to become independent,

0:47:280:47:30

you have the right to do so,

0:47:300:47:32

but we think you'll be worse off economically.

0:47:320:47:35

And as the singer David Bowie said on the night of the Brit Awards,

0:47:350:47:40

stay with us in the United Kingdom, we need you.

0:47:400:47:44

I want to go to the audience. Meinir?

0:47:440:47:46

I think Alex Salmond is a very intelligent politician.

0:47:460:47:50

He knows the bottom line is money.

0:47:500:47:53

I'm looking forward now to seeing him respond in a constructive way

0:47:530:47:59

to these negative comments.

0:47:590:48:01

If you lived in Scotland, would you vote yes or no?

0:48:010:48:04

I think I would vote yes.

0:48:040:48:06

You had your hand up.

0:48:060:48:08

I think this company is scaremongering.

0:48:080:48:11

As Adam said, I think a lot of people will come out in the media

0:48:110:48:17

to try and frighten people as the campaign goes on.

0:48:170:48:21

But I think that will have a positive effect on the yes campaign.

0:48:210:48:26

And in the front here?

0:48:260:48:28

I agree that they are scaremongering.

0:48:280:48:31

At the end of the day, if Scotland becomes independent,

0:48:310:48:33

the best deal for Scotland will be the same as the best deal for England,

0:48:330:48:37

so they'll have to agree in the end.

0:48:370:48:39

Oscar Williams at the back?

0:48:390:48:41

The Prime Minister said last week that the UK Government

0:48:410:48:46

would have more responsibility to look after oil income from the North Sea

0:48:460:48:50

when the income during the last few years has gone down by 30%.

0:48:500:48:54

How can he say he could look after the resources better than Scotland?

0:48:540:48:59

You two have a sentence each to close this discussion

0:48:590:49:03

and I mean a sentence. Felix?

0:49:030:49:05

It is up to the Scottish people

0:49:050:49:08

whether they become independent or not.

0:49:080:49:11

Adam?

0:49:110:49:13

The vote will be held on the date

0:49:130:49:16

of the old Celtic festival, Autumn Equinox.

0:49:160:49:19

If that's not a sign from the gods that they're going to win, well...

0:49:190:49:23

I think they'll do it.

0:49:230:49:25

That's it for tonight. Thanks to the people of Brecon.

0:49:250:49:28

It's been wonderful to have your company and the company of the panel.

0:49:280:49:31

Next week, we'll be in Pwllheli for the final programme of the series.

0:49:310:49:34

Until then, goodbye.

0:49:340:49:36

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