23/08/2016 Reporting Scotland


23/08/2016

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Leaving the European Union could cost the Scottish economy

:00:14.:00:16.

billions of pounds, according to analysis published

:00:17.:00:18.

But the Conservatives say the figures are a smokescreen,

:00:19.:00:22.

and the First Minister should rule out another independence vote

:00:23.:00:25.

Here's our political correspondent, Nick Eardley.

:00:26.:00:36.

What well leaving the EU mean for Scotland's economy, but businesses

:00:37.:00:44.

and shoppers like these? Today the Scottish Government published an

:00:45.:00:46.

analysis of how bad it thinks it could be. The publication

:00:47.:00:51.

illustrates that whatever the final form of Brexit, whatever Brexit mean

:00:52.:00:59.

Dellacqua means Brexit turns the argument that the UK somehow

:01:00.:01:03.

delivers financial security for Scotland no longer holds water. The

:01:04.:01:07.

figures published suggest the value of goods and services produced in

:01:08.:01:11.

Scotland could fall. But there is quite a range and how much by. By

:01:12.:01:19.

2030, the hit could be ?1.7 billion a year if we keep good trade links

:01:20.:01:23.

with the EU. But it could be as much as ?11 billion in the worst-case.

:01:24.:01:25.

The matter of tax coming in is also as ?11 billion in the worst-case.

:01:26.:01:32.

projected to fall. Between 1.7 billion and 3.7 billion. We have put

:01:33.:01:37.

out a range of different assessments and taken the Scottish impact of

:01:38.:01:40.

those assessments. I hope they are all overblown but we have to be

:01:41.:01:45.

realistic about the situation. The First Minister is clear she thinks

:01:46.:01:49.

Brexit will be bad for Scotland. But she is also pre-empting figures

:01:50.:01:50.

tomorrow on the state of our she is also pre-empting figures

:01:51.:01:54.

economy. It is expected her opponents will use them to say

:01:55.:01:58.

Scotland is better off in the UK, even outside the EU. They are going

:01:59.:02:03.

to shut the significant challenges in the Scottish economy and also the

:02:04.:02:06.

dividend we have in Scotland for being part of the UK. If she is

:02:07.:02:10.

talking today about security and stability, she can do one thing to

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give us that, which is take a second referendum on the table and get back

:02:16.:02:20.

to the job in hand. The First Minister says she will now operate a

:02:21.:02:24.

Brexit Bannister and repeated her belief that another independence

:02:25.:02:27.

vote is highly likely. -- Brexit Minister.

:02:28.:02:28.

A soldier from the Royal Regiment of Scotland has died

:02:29.:02:31.

after being shot last night, during a live firing exercise

:02:32.:02:33.

on the Army's training area at Otterburn in Northumberland.

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The soldier suffered a severe head wound and died at the scene.

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Our reporter Mark Denton can tell us more about the inquiry

:02:40.:02:41.

What we know is that it will be led by the local police force in

:02:42.:02:55.

Northumbria, but the Ministry of Defence will be involved as well and

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we understand the Ministry of Defence said the authority will be

:03:00.:03:00.

involved in that as well. They give Defence said the authority will be

:03:01.:03:06.

you some context, this is a huge military base, covering an area of

:03:07.:03:10.

60,000 acres, beautiful countryside in Northumbria but a key part of the

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British military's training. It started in 1911 has a military base,

:03:19.:03:24.

30,000 soldiers a year go through their training at the base, partly

:03:25.:03:27.

including live firing training and at any one time, there is 1600

:03:28.:03:32.

soldiers going through their training at this base at the moment.

:03:33.:03:38.

We have had some response from the Government will stop the Armed

:03:39.:03:42.

Forces minister has said what happened here last night is a

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tragedy, that deaths in training for the military are rare, but when they

:03:47.:03:51.

happen, every death is a tragedy. But we should remind ourselves that

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it is only just over a month since a Scottish soldier died on military

:03:57.:04:00.

exercises in the Brecon Beacons, Joshua Hall from Lockerbie was based

:04:01.:04:04.

at Catterick Garrison, the largest military base in Western Europe. No

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doubt more details on what happened here at Otterburn will emerge in the

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next few hours and days. An oil rig that ran aground

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on the west coast of Lewis is being towed to the other side

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of the island. The Transocean Winner was pulled off

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rocks at high tide last night, after spending two weeks stuck

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on the shore at Dalmore Bay. Under doses last night, the 70,000

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tonne Transocean Winner are being brought from Dalmore Bay do a much

:04:35.:04:39.

more sheltered anchorage on the East Side of Lewis. Two powerful tanks

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had been waiting in the dark until the rig floated on the high tide, of

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rocks that had kept it trapped or fortnight. Then the towing began.

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Imperceptibly at first. At last, the confirmation everyone had been

:04:57.:05:07.

waiting for. We are under way. We hoped it would come off at the same

:05:08.:05:11.

angle that it was on the beach. That happened so we are very pleased for

:05:12.:05:16.

all the hard work by lots of men and women to calculate how we should do

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the work, it proved to be correct. At the rig is still listing in the

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water. Sorting that out is taking time, slowing everything down. We

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spoke to the salvage master this morning and there are still some

:05:32.:05:35.

challenges around the ballast water system and we still have a list on

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the rig, and that is about 10 degrees at times. We have a look in

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this morning at pressurising the tanks, moving the ballast around and

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trying to reduce the amount of movement of the rig itself. Now it

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looks as though the rig will not be at Ankara to until the early hours

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looks as though the rig will not be of tomorrow morning. The main

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priority now is to get it safely on the anchors, then there will be a

:06:02.:06:03.

period of damage assessment with teams of other people coming in,

:06:04.:06:08.

diverse, people going into the water in that area and assessing how much

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damage there is, to see if we can do any temporary repairs in the area. .

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Answers yet on why the rig ran aground, that is the subject of an

:06:20.:06:22.

independent enquiry Islay Marine Accident Investigation Branch.

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Bigger-mac they have been in touch with us and have asked us to provide

:06:28.:06:32.

them with part of the dough bridle. We will do that once we get that.

:06:33.:06:44.

Anything we asked for, we will provide it. This evening,

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preparations continue, setting out the anchorage points for when the

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rig arrives. Five men have been arrested

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by police investigating the death of a man after a disturbance outside

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a football ground in Glasgow. 24-year-old Gary Weir was injured,

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along with three other men, near the Shettleston Juniors ground

:07:01.:07:04.

on the 7th of August. Three 20-year-olds, a 19-year-old

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and a 21-year-old man are due A lorry driver, who shook a newborn

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baby so violently it left permanent brain damage,

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has been jailed for 25-year-old Damien Menzies

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from Bathgate attacked the three-week-old at a dance show

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in a Livingston high school He had denied harming the child,

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who's unable to walk or talk, but was convicted

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of attempted murder. Celtic have scraped into the group

:07:34.:07:36.

stage of the Champions League Beaten 2-0 by Hapoel Be'er Sheva

:07:37.:07:39.

in Israel tonight, Brendan Rodgers' side progressed

:07:40.:07:45.

on the strength of their 5-2 win Celtic brought a 3-goal advantage to

:07:46.:08:03.

Southern Israel, but the first half brought several attempts at reducing

:08:04.:08:08.

their lead. A foul meant an early penalty for the Israelis. That

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threat avoided, five minutes later, Hapoel Be'er Sheva went ahead. Two

:08:16.:08:26.

minutes into the second half, a video benefited from the estate. --

:08:27.:08:32.

from this mistake. 2-0 down and the tension was obvious. But Celtic made

:08:33.:08:40.

it through to stop a weak performance on the night from the

:08:41.:08:43.

Scottish champions, but Celtic squeeze through to the Champions

:08:44.:08:46.

League group stage for the first time since 2013. The draw take space

:08:47.:08:53.

in Monaco on Thursday. -- takes place.

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More than 300 athletes from Britain's record-breaking

:08:55.:08:55.

Olympic team have arrived home from Rio.

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They were met at Heathrow by friends, family and fans

:08:58.:09:00.

after arriving on a specially-chartered plane.

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Our reporter Lisa Summers was there too and caught up

:09:02.:09:03.

After all the hard work, the reward. The tweets from some of the Scottish

:09:04.:09:15.

medallists speak from themselves, as the enjoyed the flight home. Shortly

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after ten o'clock this morning, Team GB's plane touched down at Heathrow.

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As they filtered through, hundreds of family, friends and fans lined

:09:28.:09:31.

the arrivals hall to greet the record-breaking Olympic team. Of the

:09:32.:09:38.

366 athletes who went to Rio, 130 have returned with medals, an

:09:39.:09:42.

amazing achievement and as they come home today, time to bask in that

:09:43.:09:48.

success. It feels amazing. Everyone has been so supported and excited.

:09:49.:09:53.

We have been inevitable bubble in Rio. Good to be back. Starting to

:09:54.:10:03.

feel a bit strange now! I'm looking forward to getting home and getting

:10:04.:10:07.

back on my bike. It was a Games when history was made. Ely Doyle played a

:10:08.:10:11.

part in Menninger bronze in the 400m medley. She was only a year old when

:10:12.:10:17.

a Scottish track and field athlete last won a medal. It was nice

:10:18.:10:22.

because afterwards, we found out that that was the metal that took us

:10:23.:10:25.

over the tally from London and I found out it was the first from a

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Scottish athlete for many years. All the stats came afterwards, which

:10:31.:10:31.

made it even more special. It was the stats came afterwards, which

:10:32.:10:37.

not going to be goals for Katherine Grainger. Still, five medals in five

:10:38.:10:42.

consecutive Olympics, what is not to like about that? But it had been a

:10:43.:10:47.

hard slog just to get there. At the start line be a epic final,

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everything is up for grabs. I raced in a way that I only know how to.

:10:52.:10:56.

You have to see what happens. Have you at another one in new?

:10:57.:11:00.

Nasser-mac I haven't said anything yet but I think it is unlikely. For

:11:01.:11:07.

now, time to enjoy the glory as they come down about two. Before long,

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the hard work starts again with Tokyo in mind.

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Well, it's over to Christopher now with the weather outlook

:11:13.:11:15.

Good evening. Largely dry, at least turning dry across most of the

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country tonight. Mild as well, but keeping a close eye on some heavy

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downpours pushing through the Borders, affecting the capital and

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giving a glancing blow to the East coast. Some thunder as well. But it

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is through the early hours. It goes by tomorrow morning, and what a

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difference a Day makes. Buddy up dry and fine, sunny weather to start.

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Temperatures at eight o'clock in the morning. Perhaps more cloud towards

:11:49.:11:54.

the Hebrides. Some light showers here. Still some quiet affecting

:11:55.:11:57.

parts of Caithness, Orkney and Shetland. Still the overnight rain

:11:58.:12:02.

for Shetland at this point in the day, but it will improve. Through

:12:03.:12:08.

the course of Wednesday, little to say, plenty of sunshine on offer and

:12:09.:12:13.

feeling pleasantly warm. Similar conditions for Northern Ireland by

:12:14.:12:17.

further South, more cloud, this front moving South. No rain to speak

:12:18.:12:21.

of, but it is still the dividing line between the hot air in the

:12:22.:12:25.

South East and something I touch fresher behind it. By mid-afternoon,

:12:26.:12:31.

around four p.m., we will see temperatures up to around 20 or 21.

:12:32.:12:36.

More cloud across the North West with some light rain showers but

:12:37.:12:39.

very pleasant. Some sunshine to end Wednesday. Looking ahead, low

:12:40.:12:47.

pressure on Thursday but they settled day, a couple of showers and

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workload likely compared to tomorrow, but it should not spoil

:12:54.:12:57.

things too much. Some heavy showers across parts of the North of Ingram,

:12:58.:13:01.

maybe drifting into southern Scotland. Still, temperatures of 18

:13:02.:13:07.

to 20. Friday, some heavy showers across the North West of Scotland

:13:08.:13:12.

and elsewhere, reasonably dry with a few showers down towards the Dorset

:13:13.:13:16.

coast and the Isle of Wight. In the South, 25 Celsius with the high of

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20. Our next update is during Breakfast

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at 6:25 tomorrow morning. But from everyone on the late team

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here in Glasgow

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