09/11/2015 Scotland 2015


09/11/2015

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More powers for Scotland, but do they go far enough?

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Hello. On tonight's programme -

:00:23.:00:25.

Has the much-debated "Vow" been delivered

:00:26.:00:28.

and can the Scotland Bill settle the constitutional question -

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We'll have live political reaction and analysis.

:00:31.:00:36.

The Prime Minister sets out his case for EU reform tomorrow.

:00:37.:00:39.

How will it go down with the other 27 member states?

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And the former Scottish Secretary admits he didn't tell

:00:44.:00:46.

an official inquiry the truth about leaking the Nicola Sturgeon memo

:00:47.:00:50.

until five days after he was re-elected to Parliament.

:00:51.:01:00.

The Scotland Bill is making its final passage through

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Nearly 200 amendments to the bill were tabled for discussion.

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MPs have voted against an SNP amendment giving Holyrood power to

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call a future referendum on Scottish independence.

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Our Westminster correspondent Tim Reid is at Millbank.

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Tim, can you take a moment and just expain to us what was

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originally agreed by the all-party Smith Commission compared to

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the bill that is going through the House of Commons just now?

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I think there is no doubt that the bill is a lot closer to the Smith

:01:34.:01:41.

recommendations than when it was first published. The Smith

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recommendationsabout a share of the 80 revenues being devolved to

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Scotland, air passenger duty, although things are contained in the

:01:56.:01:59.

bill clearly and much argument has been had about them over the course

:02:00.:02:04.

of its passage through the House of Commons. Lots of votes have been

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had, lots of amendments put forward. And because the UK

:02:09.:02:12.

Government put forward its 100 amendments at the beginning of last

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week which put the bill closer to Smith, it has received a warm

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welcome tonight than it had originally. Still the SNP believe

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there are things in that bill which do not go as close to Smith as they

:02:26.:02:31.

would like to and do not live up to the flower. The UK Government is

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convinced, it says, that it delivers the Vow. My colleague looks at the

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debate. One of the most significant events

:02:57.:03:00.

in Scottish devolution. The government backs Smith Commission

:03:01.:03:04.

push the case to strengthen Holyrood. That resulted in the

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Scotland Bill, which completed its final stage in the Commons. Pete

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Wishart began with a complaint from the SNP that not enough time had

:03:18.:03:22.

been allocated. Scotland is watching these proceedings and will not

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understand the gross disrespect shown to us. I acknowledge the

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honourable member's anger. He is always angry at something. And then

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it was onto the bill itself, as championed by the Scottish

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Secretary. This is a significant day for Scotland as we move the debate

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about our country's future from questions of constitutional process

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and onto the real business of using power to improve lives. But the SNP

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said that the legislation had failed to live up to what was promised. We

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heard from the former prime, Gordon Brown, near federalism, within a

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year or two, as close to a federal state as can be. You can call the

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legislation many things but it is not a charter for federalism. It is

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a long, long way away from that. MPs spent a large chunk of the evening

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debating last-minute amendments including beat evolution of further

:04:31.:04:35.

financial powers. That is Labour's earlier concern that the bill was

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failing to live up to what was promised. Given that the Minister

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has laid those amendments this Monday, we agree that the benefits

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issue has been devolved and therefore the Vow has been

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delivered. At the back row an amendment to give the Scottish

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Government future powers to hold a referendum was defeated. They agreed

:05:04.:05:10.

to give powers to Scotland to handle abortion. He's giving different

:05:11.:05:16.

powers to Scotland and England and we know that in other parts of the

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world that this has led to people having to travel at a vulnerable

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time. In all, the Scotland Bill will give Holyrood a series of new tax

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and welfare powers which, Minister said, will transform it into the

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world's most powerful devolved parliament. But the SNP say does not

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go far enough. They are winding up in the Chamber,

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what is the latest? I believe it has been given its third reading on the

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nod. No vote needed. I think Ian Murray, the shadow Scottish

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secretary has been quoting Donald Dewar saying that there shall be a

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powerful Scottish Parliament. Remember Donald Dewar's original

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introduction of the Scottish Parliament said there shall be a

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Scottish Parliament. It has gone to its report stage and is third

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reading despite your position on some issues, Labour on the

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devolution of abortion, we have not heard the last of that and clearly

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it goes to the House of Lords and there may be more said about that.

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The biggest you for the SNP dashed the big issue for the SNP into

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nice's debate was that the Commons rejected their proposal to be given

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the power to hold another referendum. That would be at the

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forefront of SNP minds. This bill will require assent from Holyrood,

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as well. Is it conceivable that the SNP could vote against this? I think

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a number of things have to happen before that process. We had tonight

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about the fiscal framework which David Mundell and John Swinney are

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working on at the moment. That is needed for these powers, these

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financial powers and the others that are being devolved, to come into

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force. They have to agree a financial framework. It is said that

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the Scottish Parliament may not allow this bill to go through if it

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is detrimental to the finances of the Scottish Parliament itself. So

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that has to be agreed and there will be a long, drawn-out passage through

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the House of Lords before acceptance.

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We are joined by the deputy SNP leader. Thanks for coming in, fresh

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from the vote. You wanted more powers, is that it settled now? The

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House of Commons has decided, it is progress of sorts. It is a modest

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bill, not a powerful Scottish Parliament which it was suggested it

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might be. We did not get tax credits devolved today and even the stuff

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that was reasonably uncontentious in the bill, we don't even have all

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income tax powers, corporation tax. It is good as far as it goes, but

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very modest. David Mundell says it is time for the political parties to

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work together to make these powers a success for everybody in Scotland.

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Were you and the SNP do that now? The Scottish National Party is in

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government in Holyrood, the Tories have never been in power there. The

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team there have always worked to make a Scottish Parliament a success

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with whatever powers -- whatever parties. You want to use the powers

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to work for Scotland. But you will not be happy with anything short of

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independence? The aim of the SNP is to see an independent Scotland but

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in the meanwhile, let's have the most powerful Scottish Parliament we

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have to improve the lives of Scottish people and grow the

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economy. Their opportunities in this bill to give a small business

:09:23.:09:26.

powers, that was rejected, to deliver tax credits to the Scottish

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Parliament, to deliver fairness, that was also rejected. We have to

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use the powers that are coming, remember we are not there yet, and

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try to make a success of them. As I believe the SNP government has with

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the powers it already has. Political opponents say that this is what the

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Scottish people voted for. You lost a referendum so it is time to stop

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provoking political grievances. The powers are what was promised.

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Politicians say silly things but that is the most stupid. This is the

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outcome of this -- the Smith Commission which was not even

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started after the referendum. So it is impossible for the referendum to

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have decided that this is what they wanted. So if there has been a

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clever side, it was the referendum in May and the SNP won 56 out of 59

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feet, and we say we should have maximum powers. This is modest

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progress today but it is not Devo Max or the closest thing to

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federalism. Is there any possibility that your colleagues in Holyrood

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will vote against this? John Swinney was absolutely clear, the fiscal

:10:47.:10:50.

agreement which governs how the whole thing works has to be in

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place, has to be right and has to be right and have to it does not cause

:10:56.:11:01.

Scotland any detriment, any loss simply because powers have been

:11:02.:11:05.

devolved. But you could not really be in a position ever to vote

:11:06.:11:09.

against more powers for Scotland, could you? Know, we did not oppose

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more powers today, but the Scottish Parliament do not have to give

:11:16.:11:19.

consent to this legislation. And I think John Swinney was right to say

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they will not consent to this legislation if the overarching

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financial framework leaves Scotland worse off. We are not going to buy a

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pig in a poke. We should have been told the detail of the financial

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agreements before we got to this stage of the legislation. It is now

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off to debate it and I'm sure they will deliver something positive for

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Scotland. I don't think the UK Government can take for granted that

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the Scottish Parliament will automatically support a deal if it

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was bad for the people of Scotland. Thank you for your time. We will be

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hoping to hear from the Conservatives.

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This is a key week for the Prime Minister in

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Tomorrow he'll set out his case for renegotiation in a letter to

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the other 27 member states and earlier he told the CBI, "The status

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In a way, you can't boil down all of my negotiation to one word,

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flexibility. Is this organisation flexible enough to make sure that

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countries inside the Eurozone can grow and succeed and countries

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outside the Eurozone, like Britain, can find what they need as well? If

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it is flexible enough, we will stay. If it is not, we will have to

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ask ourselves, a profound question, is this organisation for us. And

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people in Europe know I am deadly serious.

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Joining me now to discuss how other European countries will react to

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David Cameron's demands, from our London studio is Vincenzo Scarpetta.

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a policy analyst with Open Europe, which is a eurosceptic think tank

:12:55.:12:56.

Thanks for joining us. We don't know exactly what will be in the Prime

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Minister's letter, is he on emission impossible to win over the other 27

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member states? I think the bottom line of our exercise, of our

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European reform hits map -- heat map is that the negotiation will not be

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easy but all is still to play for. The vast majorities of countries are

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open-minded regarding David Cameron's reform plans that they

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remain to be convinced. The chances exceeded there. The really thorny

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issue is Cameron's demands for a four-year waiting period for migrant

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workers to claim benefits. How will that go down? I think the proposal

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to limit migrants' access to in work benefits is likely to be the single

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most difficult item on his agenda. The issue there is that a few

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European union member states think that the Prime Minister is trying to

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bury the fundamental principle of free movement which is not what the

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UK is trying to do. That is why there are strong reservations in a

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number of central and eastern European member states. As regards

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our map, we need to bear in mind that when we see red on our map it

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does not mean that certain countries such as Poland or the Czech Republic

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are impossible to convince, but it means that it will be hard work

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because they have strong reservations. But once it has been

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explained that what the UK is trying to do is to reform the rules on

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access to welfare, and it is not trying to undermine the fundamental

:14:51.:14:54.

principle of free movement, the chances of successful David Cameron

:14:55.:14:59.

will increase. -- of success for David Cameron will increase.

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The idea that has been put forward by David Cameron, it may be an

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opening gambit but we do not know, we do not know the details of the

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letter that will be sent tomorrow and we do not know what will come

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out of the negotiations, so I think it is too early to prejudge what the

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outcome could be. What about his desire for national governments to

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be given more power, who is likely to object to that in the other

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member states? This is another important item on the agenda and I

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think while at pretty much all EU member states are talking a good

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game about the need for national parliaments to be more involved, on

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the very specific proposal of a red card, giving groups the power to

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block European Union legislative proposals, I think some countries,

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like Spain or Belgium may have reservations because these countries

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have very strong emotional attachment to European integration

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and they may think that given national parliaments the power to

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veto legislation may hamper future integration. I think again these

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countries can be convinced and it will not be easy, but it is not

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going to be impossible, if David Cameron can do a good job of

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explaining exactly what the UK is trying to achieve. It sounds like it

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it is still all to play for. Absolutely. I would say that is the

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bottom line of our exercise, all is still to play for, the letter David

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bottom line of our exercise, all is impetus to a situation which has

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been going on at a technical level and we

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been going on at a technical level court of law. It started

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candidate for next year's Scottish elections, and Andy Maciver, former

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director of communications for the Scottish Conservatives

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and PR executive with the firm Message Matters.

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Welcome to you both this evening. Let us kick off with that Alistair

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Carmichael story. We heard from him today that he thought it was

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politically beneficial to leak about a memo about Nicola Sturgeon but it

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might not be particularly noble. That is politics. It is not the Lee

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Spick noble. I genuinely was a bit surprised at some of the things he

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said. I do not think he helped himself and win or lose, in terms of

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this particular trial, to talk about, to say that because my

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advisor leaked something with my authorisation, because he leaked

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it, I thought it was truthful for me to say I knew nothing about it. The

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Scottish electorate are not daft, lies are lies and he told a cracking

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one. He told it for political advantage. Whether or not in terms

:20:15.:20:19.

of the letter of the law, that actually leads him to being found

:20:20.:20:24.

guilty in legal terms, is one thing, but I think in the general

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obligation mind, that is behaviour that is not acceptable for any

:20:31.:20:34.

politician. He himself said that he is not disputing the fact that he

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was south of the standard expected of the ministerial code, I do not

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know if you dispute that? I do not think so. I think you are right,

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when you said this is politics, it is politics, that memo and the

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exclusive nature of that and the relevance to the election campaign

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made it very late Kabul from a political point of view, it does not

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matter which party you are from, I think any minister would have been

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quite happy for that memo to be leaked. He is serving the first

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order last politician to do something that. He is certainly not

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the first. I do not accept that this is politics, that is what politics

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is like, it may be what it has been like, it is not what it should be

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like. Politicians need to come forward and say this is not

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acceptable. People who do that in the future, we should not have to

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wait for constituents to take them to court, they party and colleague

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should say should not have done that and you need to stand down and we

:21:38.:21:40.

will take the by-election and see what we do with that. I agree

:21:41.:21:44.

completely and I wish politics was not like that but I think nobody

:21:45.:21:48.

should have any moral superiority because this could have and would

:21:49.:21:52.

have been done by ministers from all different parties. It is a political

:21:53.:21:56.

issue and a political trial, there is no question about that, the SNP

:21:57.:22:01.

see an opportunity for a by-election which could impact on the seats in

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Shetland next year but I do not blame the SNP, that is a political

:22:18.:22:21.

opportunity in the same way that the Liberal Democrats saw an opportunity

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with Michelle Thompson in Ember West. Could say it was fair enough

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to leak if you thought was politically advantageous but what

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about the fact he did not tell the official enquiry the truth about his

:22:29.:22:31.

role in the leak until five days after he was re-elected? Precisely.

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That is the thing that is motivating those constituents and they are not

:22:36.:22:42.

all SNP members or even SNP supporters. That is what is

:22:43.:22:47.

motivating them to do what they are doing, at enormous cost and with

:22:48.:22:51.

great difficulty and is motivating others, again not in any political

:22:52.:22:55.

party and some who are to support them in doing that, it is about

:22:56.:23:00.

lying. As you say, if you set aside the leak, to actually lie initially

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and then come clean later, to come clean later, because you know you're

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going to get found out, I think he said today, no leak enquiry ever

:23:13.:23:17.

finds a source and then he quickly realised after he was elected how

:23:18.:23:20.

convenient that the source was probably going to be found. Then he

:23:21.:23:26.

came clean. He did not even tell the truth for telling the truth's say,

:23:27.:23:30.

he told the truth because he knew he would be found out. He will be given

:23:31.:23:34.

more evidence tomorrow, but moving on to another story, the Chancellor

:23:35.:23:38.

announced 30% cuts or four government departments stop Paul

:23:39.:23:45.

Johnson from the Institute for Fiscal Studies says that is just a

:23:46.:23:51.

taste of bigger cuts to come. These are big cuts, 30% is a big cut to

:23:52.:23:55.

day-to-day spending but it is important to be clear this was not

:23:56.:23:58.

most of the transport budget, most of that budget is capital spending,

:23:59.:24:02.

that is not what the Chancellor is talking about. That is not most of

:24:03.:24:06.

the local government spending which is funded through council tax and so

:24:07.:24:10.

on. These are small amounts of money but an indication of the scale of

:24:11.:24:13.

cuts across the bigger amounts of money that we will hear about later.

:24:14.:24:20.

We have not seen anything yet. It is a continuation of what has been

:24:21.:24:23.

happening over the last four or five years with the heat turned up. It is

:24:24.:24:27.

interesting when it translates to Scotland, will have Barnett

:24:28.:24:31.

consequential is but if you look at transport, which is one of the

:24:32.:24:34.

departments concerned is, the Scottish Government has a good

:24:35.:24:39.

record, over the last four or five years despite the cuts which shows

:24:40.:24:42.

that the government in Scotland has been able to find a very good

:24:43.:24:46.

efficiencies despite budget cuts and shows it is possible to do that. I

:24:47.:24:50.

think one of the interesting things about the cuts in the departments

:24:51.:24:54.

recently is that they have not impacted on service provision

:24:55.:24:58.

because the government has managed to squeeze efficiencies out and that

:24:59.:25:02.

is an interesting point in these particular department and that will

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continue. It seems that the Chancellor is determined to push on

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regardless of any other criticism with his plan to run a budget

:25:09.:25:14.

surplus. Yes he is, yes he is. He is determined to do that regardless of

:25:15.:25:18.

the pain it will cause and whilst I do not disagree with Andy that there

:25:19.:25:24.

has been room to make efficiencies and use our resources better, I

:25:25.:25:28.

think two things, one, there comes a point when that becomes no longer

:25:29.:25:34.

doable without directly reducing the level of service that is available

:25:35.:25:37.

to people and secondly, his big push is really going to come on welfare

:25:38.:25:42.

because despite what the Lords have done on tax credits, they have

:25:43.:25:47.

simply given him a challenge to find more welfare cuts from elsewhere and

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I think that means that the poorest and most vulnerable and those least

:25:52.:25:55.

able will be the ones who will pay the price for a budget surplus that

:25:56.:26:00.

he has produced out of a clear blue sky and is actually greater than the

:26:01.:26:06.

current Scottish budget. So he wants to save all of that. Well, let us

:26:07.:26:11.

move on before we run out of time to that other story we were discussing

:26:12.:26:14.

tonight about Cameron's letter to the European Council leader setting

:26:15.:26:21.

up the reforms he wants to see. I do not know quite what is in the letter

:26:22.:26:25.

but McDonnell says it is all bluff and bluster. I think he is right. It

:26:26.:26:32.

is difficult to envisage him arguing for anything other than remain vote.

:26:33.:26:36.

It is a difficult position for him to be in specifically because he

:26:37.:26:40.

cannot be seen to say I will campaign to stay at all costs

:26:41.:26:44.

because that undermines the renegotiation with his European

:26:45.:26:46.

partners. The other European countries need to see two things,

:26:47.:26:49.

they need to see the polls are closed and there is a risk Britain

:26:50.:26:55.

will lead and see that Cameron is prepared to come out of he does not

:26:56.:26:58.

get what he wants. I'm not convinced he will. It is difficult to see

:26:59.:27:01.

Cameron campaigning for anything else other than remain vote but it

:27:02.:27:05.

might be a useful tool for him to persuade his partners in Europe that

:27:06.:27:09.

they are going to need to give him something if they want him to stay

:27:10.:27:14.

in. I would agree. He is trying to ride two horses and it is a tactic.

:27:15.:27:20.

I am not sure how well it will work because those that he is going to

:27:21.:27:24.

negotiate with are pretty politically astute and they might

:27:25.:27:28.

spot it for what it is. It is still not clear to me, not clear to many

:27:29.:27:34.

of us exactly what other changes he wants to have and where are his

:27:35.:27:38.

bottom line and do we agree with those anyway? These are his

:27:39.:27:45.

negotiation tactics and I am not sure that he has got a mandate to

:27:46.:27:48.

new -- to do that but he is doing that all the less.

:27:49.:27:49.

Unfortunately we didn't manage to a Conservative MP to discuss

:27:50.:27:53.

the Scotland Bill as we had hoped, nevertheless I'll be back

:27:54.:27:57.

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