27/08/2014 Scotland Decides


27/08/2014

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Tonight, senior business leaders say the case for independence

:00:09.:00:11.

They argue "uncertainty is bad for business".

:00:12.:00:16.

Yes supporters say the facts and figures back independence.

:00:17.:00:28.

In all a native by news that 130 Scottish businesses have come out

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against independence. Setting sail to Shetland `

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we're on the campaign trail with the Deputy First Minister

:00:37.:00:39.

as she targets floating voters. 130 Scottish business leaders have

:00:40.:00:42.

come out against independence, claiming the business case has not

:00:43.:00:47.

been made by the Yes Campaign. Responding, the lobby group Business

:00:48.:00:50.

for Scotland said economic "facts and figures" support

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Scottish independence. Here's our Scotland business

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correspondent David Henderson. They don't back independence and

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they have spoken out now. The bosses of some of the country's best`known

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brands, like famous Grouse, spelt out today why they would vote no,

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thanks. They say the business case has not been made. What currency do

:01:27.:01:32.

trading? That is a fundamental question for business. As we look at

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the options, which of route is adopted by an independent Scotland,

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there will be additional costs for Scottish business. In an open

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letter, the business figures point to uncertainty about regulation, tax

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and pensions. They say uncertainty is bad for business. Different firms

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have different priorities. The people who signed this letter are

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looking to trade across the border with the rest of the UK. Other firms

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have different customers and they may take a different view about the

:02:08.:02:13.

prospect of Scottish independence. Campaigners on both sides of the

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debate have been reaching out to Scottish firms. Some business

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leaders here say a yes vote would give a boost to Scotland's trade

:02:24.:02:27.

overseas and grow markets at home as well. I don't think there is any

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greater risk with independence. I think it is the opposite, a huge

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opportunity. Scottish businesses can promote Scotland around the world.

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With the campaign is heating up and the referendum weeks away this may

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not be the last intervention of its kind as voters and firms weigh up

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potential risks and rewards. Well, let's discuss the business

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case for and against independence. I'm joined here in the studio

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by the former head of Scottish Financial Enterprise, Amanda Harvie,

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who was one of the organisers And also here is Ian McDougall,

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who's managing director of the Glasgow accountancy firm

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McDougall Johnstone. He's a member

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of the independence campaign group You say the business case for

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independence has not been made. You think are the questions which have

:03:27.:03:31.

not been answered? We are clear by looking at both sides of the debate

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that significant uncertainty surrounds key issues. Currency,

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regulation, tax, pensions, EU membership, and support for

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companies operating around the world. That poses a risk to business

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and whilst we face uncertainty every day, the scale and significance and

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likely duration of those uncertainties are too great a risk

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to take. Our conclusion is that the business case has not been made. Can

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you reassure her? This is 130 individuals who believe independence

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is not for them. There are some prominent individuals. The majority

:04:17.:04:34.

of the Scottish economy is SME so there are voices just as important.

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The range of signatories in that letter, we range from sole traders,

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right up to small limited companies that have great potential to grow

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and also huge multinational listed companies that are doing business

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around the world. Whilst we are all signing in an individual capacity,

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collectively we have had group responsibility for being the beating

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heart of the Scottish economy, creating tens of thousands of jobs

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and making the economy fly. Independence, whether for or

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against, would be quite people and people and the Whidbey uncertainty.

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I believe there won't be. 2500 members believe it is a strong

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opportunity and I find it strange that three weeks before the debate

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that we have 130 individuals who are somehow creating some sort of

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negativity out of this. Their opinion would have been much more

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welcome long ago stopped as usual this is a no campaign scare story.

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They have come a long with a no vote but we do not offer a plan of their

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own. They have no vision or plan, unless we suit tonight, which is

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acceptable to the Scottish business community. First of all, have a look

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at the mains on those list and I would challenge to suggest they are

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people of not significant vision. We believe in the future of Scotland

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and we have a successful country at the moment a growing economy and

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record employment rates and investment level. That success have

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been `` has been achieved as part of the UK, an important major market

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with a global impact and important for business. Our vision is to keep

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flourishing. We believe the way to do that is to stay part of the UK.

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It provides the foundation for further investment in jobs and

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industry. At any of the businesses represented threatening to leave

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Scotland if there is a yes vote? If conditions are not competitive and

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number of our signatories will have to relocate. I am one of those.

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Several financial institutions are relocating `` are talking about

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relocating if there is a yes vote. They have said a bigger issue is the

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exit from the EU, which could happen next year. That is a definite issue

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for them and leaving the EU is a massive issue for them and so

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probably the people who signed up to her report. If there is a

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significant chance the UK might leave the EU, some of the businesses

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who support a no vote must be concerned. The main political

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parties are committed to remaining parts of the EU but on stronger

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terms. We have a very advantageous position is part of the EU which can

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be further improved. If Scotland were to become independent it would

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have to start from .0 and negotiate its membership. It is highly

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unlikely that its position would be as favourable as what we enjoy just

:08:15.:08:15.

now in the UK. Thank you both. And that intervention

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from business leaders caused a stir in the oil`rich city of

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Aberdeen where my colleague Gavin Esler has spent the day talking to

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both sides of the campaign. That letter from 130 businesses has

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shaken up the debate because it turns so much on economics and oil,

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and that has been thrown into doubt. I enjoyed by representatives from

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Better Together and Yes Scotland. They're saying that the case has not

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been made and they hate uncertainty. They are welcome to their opinion

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and there is an equally large group, 2500 members, coming down

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with a contrary point of view. They may be saying that the case has not

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been made but that does not mean that the case does not exist. I

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think there is uncertainty and cars in business to have a look at what

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is being offered from the yes campaign. They are saying the risk

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is too high and tax and pensions and regulations in the oil and gas

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industry, they are not convinced this is the best thing for Scotland

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and the UK. We can see how busy the sport is. Expansions plan are just

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down the road. Which presumably will happen whatever the Scottish people

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decide. But oil industry is multinational and it will continue

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to thrive. It will thrive and both my children will hopefully benefit

:10:13.:10:14.

from what is happening in Aberdeen and the jobs it will bring. The

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uncertainty of independence might put the brakes on it. For jobs and

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their future, I believe having those kind of opportunities here in

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Aberdeen is better if we are part of our biggest market, which is down

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south. As this is always operate with uncertainties. Uncertainty is

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George Osborne's ?2 billion tax drain on the oil industry. That's

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why it is at a record low because the oil industry does not like the

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uncertainty from the Westminster government. It Scottish Government

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would do a better job of managing the resource will resource. We have

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heard somebody say that there is less reserve here. They operate on

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Rangers. If you have to assign a certain number, many other people

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feel very comfortable with the mean average number of 24 billion

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barrels. There are a lot of reserves but they are harder to get out. The

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recovery factor of those reserves has gone down because they are much

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harder to get out will stop they are in difficult geographical places

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stop I work in an industry where we have two work together and share

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knowledge for a collaborative approach and I think we must do that

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within and between companies. We need to be smarter at what we do. I

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think we can do that if we work together with the rest of the UK.

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This part of the debate is key to the future of Aberdeen and Scotland.

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This contention over the economy and oil will continue.

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A Better Together campaign video, broadcast last night,

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It featured an actress voicing concerns about independence.

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Better Together say the comments were drawn from real

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concern raised by women in focus groups and doorstep canvassing.

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Yes supporters say the campaign video is "insulting".

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Here's a short clip, so you can decide.

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Do you know? My husband is worse than the TV these days. He will not

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leave off about the referendum. He started again this morning. Have you

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made a decision yet? It is too early to discuss politics. Eat your

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cereal. So he asks the kids. Honestly, like he will get any sense

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out of them. Don't get me wrong. I know how important this photos.

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There is not much time left for me to make a decision but there are

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only so many hours in the day and there is a lot to way up.

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Finance Secretary John Swinney has confirmed Scotland will not pay

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its share of the UK debt if it does not get a currency union

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Mr Swinney told a BBC referendum debate if the UK seized all

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the assets of the currency it must also take all the liabilities.

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It's estimated Scotland's share of UK debt would be

:13:47.:13:48.

The former Prime Minister Gordon Brown has appeared

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in public alongside Alistair Darling for the first time since the two men

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Speaking at a Better Together event in Dundee, Mr Brown claimed the UK

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welfare state "offers better protection for pensioners,

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His speech was briefly interrupted by a demonstrator.

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Both sides of the campaign targeted the Highlands and Islands today.

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The Chief Secretary to the Treasury Danny Alexander joined

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the former Labour First Minister Jack McConnell in Inverness to tell

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local people they had "the best of both worlds" as part of the UK.

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Meanwhile the Deputy First Minister Nicola Sturgeon sailed to Shetland

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on the overnight ferry to target undecided voters.

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Our correspondent James Cook caught up with her.

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Welcome to Lerwick. Closer to Oslo than London. Many people here say

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they feel more in tune with Scandinavia than with Scotland in

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some regards. Let's talk about what that might mean in the context of

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the referendum. With me is Nicola Sturgeon. What brings you to

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Shetland? I am campaigning for a yes vote in the referendum. The weather

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was fantastic today. I am making the case that independence is not just

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about the transfer of power from Westminster to Holyrood, important

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though that is. It is also a great opportunity for us to look at where

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power best lies in Scotland and British decisions are best taken.

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There is a great demand for more island autonomy and we are keen to

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work with violence to make sure that happens. `` the islands. Scotland

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the council 's came together and said to the Westminster and Scottish

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government that it is time for a transfer of power.

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years and although they have approached you with demands, some

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people suggest this is a bit cynical, that you are looking for

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their vote, and now you are saying that you will do something if they

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vote for independence but many people say they just want the extra

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powers. Why can you not deliver them under devolution? We can if we will,

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we will work with the authorities to do that but there are some powers we

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are keen to devolve. For example the Crown Estates where there are

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revenues from the lease of the sea beds, developments that impact on

:16:51.:16:53.

the islands, we think it is right that the revenue is kept in the

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islands. We can't do that right now. Westminster party say that they will

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do that even if there is a no vote. Lets see, you ask what we have done

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so far but they have had a belonged to do this and they have not done

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it. Let's take the opportunity to do that. Revenues from oil in

:17:14.:17:20.

Shetland, it is on the verge of another boom. If we can take control

:17:21.:17:25.

of oil revenues, we can make sure there is more community benefit for

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the areas impacted by those kind of developments. Talking of oil and

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business, we have seen a letter in the Scotsman, 130 business leaders

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saying they have concerns about your plans because they don't feel they

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have answers to questions about what an independent Scotland would look

:17:43.:17:47.

like the business, especially in terms of currency. These businesses

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are entitled to express their views and ask questions, but I can also

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mention Business for Scotland, an organisation that has 2500 members,

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businesses who can see the opportunities presented to Scotland

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if we have powers in Scotland, and access to our own resources. Some of

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the questions being asked by the businesses you are talking about I

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would say have been answered. The no campaign's bluff on currency has

:18:17.:18:21.

been called, even Alistair Darling said the other night that of course

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Scotland can keep the pound. Businesses are active and vocal on

:18:27.:18:31.

both sides of the campaign, but Business for Scotland is perhaps the

:18:32.:18:33.

fastest growing part of the yes campaign saying that clearly

:18:34.:18:37.

businesses in Scotland can see the opportunities. Thank you for joining

:18:38.:18:43.

us. That is the view from one side of the campaign. We will be hearing

:18:44.:18:46.

from the other side of the campaign over the next hour. That is almost

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it for tonight but a reminder that there is much more on the website. I

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will be back tomorrow night with the latest from the campaign trail.

:19:02.:19:02.

Goodbye. A baby boom is creating so much

:19:03.:19:20.

demand for school places in England that it's forcing councils to cut

:19:21.:19:23.

budgets elsewhere, according to the It

:19:24.:19:26.

says school repairs and building projects have been cut back to meet

:19:27.:19:35.

a ?1 billion shortfall,

:19:36.:19:39.

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