15/09/2013 Sunday Politics East Midlands


15/09/2013

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brightest hopes, Sarah Teather is now heading for the exit. We will

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hear from Nick Clegg on what it signifies.

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hear from Nick Clegg on what it And freshly showered from the Great

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North Run and looking as fresh as daisies, the best and brightest

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Janan Ganesh, Helen Lewis and Iain Now, their leader is our Deputy

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Prime Minister. They are the junior government. They like the colour

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yellow and they have not won a general election since dinosaurs

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walked the earth. Now they are behind UKIP in the polls, so as

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walked the earth. Now they are party gathers for its annual bash

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this year in Glasgow, what is on their mind? Who are the people

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gathering at the Clyde this weekend? their mind? Who are the people

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Before they started drinking, we councillors in England and Wales,

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comrade. The first question we asked was, if the next election results in

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a hung parliament, which team would you rather go into coalition with,

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the Reds or the blues? Lib Dem councillors said Labour, two to

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the Reds or the blues? Lib Dem Tories or Labour? It is not for

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the Reds or the blues? Lib Dem to say. It is for the voters to

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say. We will decide depending on councillors favoured a coalition

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is on the table. Who would you rather play table football against?

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because I am winning. So in the winning 's which ones are heading

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popular policy was a mansion tax on house is worth more than £2 million,

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popular policy was a mansion tax on councillors. The next most popular

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policy was scrapping the Trident nuclear deterrent, supported by

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policy was scrapping the Trident of councillors. Then there was the

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reinstatement of the 50p top rate of income tax. 70% of councillors like

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the look of that. When it came to the idea of banning the burka in

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public places like schools and airports, 45% of councillors were in

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favour. Finally, a ban on topless Page three model is won the support

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of 33% of councillors. Why is it so popular, the idea of a mansion tax?

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It is a much fairer tax. We know there are people out there with

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It is a much fairer tax. We know expensive houses. Which of these is

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most important to you? Banning Trident. The cold war ended in

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1989. Another one was the idea of banning the burka in public places.

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whatever they like. If they want to banning the burka in public places.

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wear the birth or a kilt or if they anything. We are the party of jobs.

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Thank you. Last night, a fully clothed Nick Clegg rallied his

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troops, but if he was not around, who would Lib Dem councillors want

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instead? Business Secretary Vince Cable was most popular, with a third

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of the votes. In second place, the party's president, Tim Farron, with

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27%. 10% went to Danny Alexander, while the business minister Joe

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Swinson received 7%. The Energy Secretary Ed Davey scooped 6%, and

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in last place, Steve Webb, the pensions minister, who got 5%. If

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any of these councillors want to talk to me about it, I would be

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delighted to hear from them. Is talk to me about it, I would be

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certainly isn't. What do you think contenders. But our survey is not

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the only one that has got tongues wagging in Glasgow, because the

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the only one that has got tongues Dem leadership have commissioned

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their own poll which showed that 75% Dem leadership have commissioned

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of the country will never vote Dem leadership have commissioned

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the party, no matter what they do. Also meeting here this weekend,

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the party, no matter what they do. Democrats like to think they have

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got just as much va-va-voom, even if a big chunk of the country doesn't.

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Add, back in his hometown. So, a big chunk of the country doesn't.

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Much of their party thinks they a big chunk of the country doesn't.

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moving in the wrong direction. Earlier, I spoke to former party

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moving in the wrong direction. leader Paddy Ashdown. He has been

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put in charge of heading up the leader Paddy Ashdown. He has been

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election campaign. I asked him if the mood in Glasgow was grim. No. In

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many ways, as you know, Tory old commentator that you are just as I

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am a hoary old member at the other end of the camera, we have been

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midterm of a government, especially when you are in government and the

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country is going for in a deep economic crisis, has almost no

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relevance to where you might be economic crisis, has almost no

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the nipple come to consider how economic crisis, has almost no

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will vote in 600 days time -- when the people come to consider how

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will vote in 600 days time -- when will vote. We do not dismiss polls,

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but they are a snapshot of what will vote. We do not dismiss polls,

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indication of where we will be. will vote. We do not dismiss polls,

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guess is, for what it is worth, will vote. We do not dismiss polls,

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as we come to the election, the public will be in a very serious,

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probably frightened mood. Their public will be in a very serious,

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thoughts will be, who maintains public will be in a very serious,

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job, makes sure I don't have to public will be in a very serious,

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to higher mortgage? The coalition has delivered not only the required

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policies to make Britain's economy prosperous, but also its society

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fair. That is what people will want to see. I think coalition politics

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are here to stay and we have a role to play in it. But you are in a

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are here to stay and we have a role mood this morning. You tweeted that

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you were not happy with how the Observer newspaper handled your

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there anything we can do to help? There is probably something they

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arguments with the interview. The headline they chose to put on it

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late last night was outrageous, misrepresentative and in one case in

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Something about Ashdown wants a coalition with the Tories, or at

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Something about Ashdown wants a least they gave that in for us

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Something about Ashdown wants a inference. Let me make this point.

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campaign. Any journalist who in election. I am in charge of the

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campaign. Any journalist who in these next two years says that any

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Liberal Democrat prefers anything else in terms of the outcome of

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Liberal Democrat prefers anything coalition but the result of the

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ballot box dictating that outcome, that any prefer one side to another

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coalition determined by the electors that any prefer one side to another

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in the votes, will get a bloody that any prefer one side to another

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time from me, no matter who they are. We take the warning. A survey

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of Lib Dem councillors shows that in coalition with the Tories. That

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of Lib Dem councillors shows that in clear sign that your activists want

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a change of direction. I don't think it is news that as a left-wing

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party, we find it more congenial with those on the left wing, but

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that is not the issue. You saw it election. We are servants of the

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ballot box. We do watch the British people require us to do to provide a

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of our country. I am sure you have stable government in the interests

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of our country. I am sure you have got the point by now. I have fought

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the Tories all my life. But when responsibility to amend the economic

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crisis, was this right for the determine who are going to be in any

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coalition, should there be one, determine who are going to be in any

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voters and nobody else. It is not about what we like. I understand

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that. But your own internal polls leadership are not taking the party

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with them on that. I don't think that is true. Nick Clegg has done

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what no other party leader has done. He took the coalition agreement

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what no other party leader has done. the party, and they voted for it. So

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it is not true to say that members different direction. I think we

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it is not true to say that members extraordinarily united. I did not

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expect them to be so under these pressures, but they have surprised

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me and made me joyful at the same time. The party has done what it

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done in local government for a long time. We may have our private likes

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and dislikes, but the thing that time. We may have our private likes

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coalition is the ballot box. You have said that three times. I can

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say it again if you like. Please don't! What if your party votes

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say it again if you like. Please reinstate tuition fees as party

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policy afternoon? We will have to listen to that and act accordingly.

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You must listen to the voice of listen to that and act accordingly.

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party and take it into account in what you do. I am always quite

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answering hypothetical questions. I don't think it is likely to happen,

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but if it did, we would have to don't think it is likely to happen,

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distinguished Lib Dems was that don't think it is likely to happen,

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your party conference voted for something, it was in the manifesto.

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The manifesto is taken in its final form before the party for decision.

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The party will express views at form before the party for decision.

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stage in all sorts of ways. It did in my leadership, too. The manifesto

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is democratically agreed by the party at the time of the election,

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not before. The Tory conference party at the time of the election,

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be about how they think they have been vindicated, that austerity

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be about how they think they have worked, the economy is turning a

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corner. But Nick Clegg's conference announcements will be about plastic

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bags. Have you got the hang of this coalition think? Andrew, you can

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always be guaranteed to put things in the most discreditable form!

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always be guaranteed to put things is part of your charm. That was

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about to be a minor announcement in the middle of his speech. But it was

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discovered beforehand. It has not the middle of his speech. But it was

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discovered beforehand. It has not been very popular in terms of how it

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has been received, but that is not the central message. That leads

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has been received, but that is not to what I think is the biggest

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election. Isn't the biggest danger that the Tories, not you, if there

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is an economic recovery, they will get the credit for it? I don't think

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think the electorate does gratitude. The only time people cast a thank

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Thatcher over the sale of council houses. We could have a different

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discussion over whether that was a good idea. But what you have done is

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the underpinning for the promise of government, we have stayed firm

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the underpinning for the promise of very tough economic policy. But

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the underpinning for the promise of you get the credit? What we have

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done by ourselves, which the Tories would never have done, is make sure

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that when the pain is felt, it is not the poor who feel it. We have

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seen the biggest shift of taxation, lifting the poorest in the country

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out of taxation, that has ever happened, including in the previous

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Labour government. You are presiding over the biggest squeeze on living

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standards in modern times. Because it is the biggest recession in

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modern times. When you speak to it is the biggest recession in

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2.5 million people who have been lifted out of taxation altogether

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because of the Liberal Democrats, tax cut. You may be able to make the

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because of the Liberal Democrats, connection, Andrew, you are a sharp

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economic crisis and difficulty for everybody. But it is clear that

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economic crisis and difficulty for the Tories had been by themselves,

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none of that would have happened. We have sought to shift the burden

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none of that would have happened. We from the poorest in this country. I

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am part of that. So when we go into the next election, the message will

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am part of that. So when we go into be that if you want to continue

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am part of that. So when we go into have a prosperous economy and a

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society, only the Liberal Democrats will deliver that. Tim Farron says

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want to diss him. Can you confirm he likes Ed Miliband and he does not

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want to diss him. Can you confirm that there will be no dissing of Ed

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Miliband? It is not much my style. I've never much liked comments about

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the other leaders. I do not intend to make it so in the future. Can I'd

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finish up on Syria? You said after the Syria vote that Britain was

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finish up on Syria? You said after hugely diminished country. Given it

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both sides on a course which could now see Syria give up chemical

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weapons without records to military action, would you like to withdraw

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these remarks and admit that you action, would you like to withdraw

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these remarks and admit that you Britain has done? No. You and I

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these remarks and admit that you know, because we are old observers,

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that that would never have happened underpinning of a threat to use

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resigned from that. We have no part to play in the fact that Assad and

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Putin have moved towards peace for to play in the fact that Assad and

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fear of military action. We decided exactly the opposite. Why would

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fear of military action. We decided liked to have seen our country join

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in with those who are serious about upholding an international law which

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left others to make sure that we talent, but instead we resigned

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left others to make sure that we moved towards peace. -- even the

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Maxis and Stalin. But if it had moved towards peace. -- even the

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would not have had the time to allow this to happen. It has avoided war.

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Job done, British Parliament. That would be true if it was accurate but

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it is not. The resolution proposed a delay, that we should wait until the

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inspectors came back. That time frame was absolutely nothing to

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inspectors came back. That time with the parliamentary vote. The

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vote was going to incorporate that. I do not think you can claim what

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vote was going to incorporate that. remember that diplomacy, which was

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not reinforced by the threat of military action, does not work.

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not reinforced by the threat of is when diplomacy runs with a grain

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of military action that it works. illustration of that, look at what

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is happening over the last two weeks. By regret to say that our

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country, which has always been in disengagement, had no part to play

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And you we would get to the Balkans eventually, and we did. His biggest

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challenge is if the economy is get some credit for the Lib Dems,

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when the Tories will want to halt it all. But his position is not to

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when the Tories will want to halt it the necessary axeman. That is George

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Osborne's role. Their role is to be Osborne's role. Their role is to be

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the chaser party, taking the edge off. They will because of me going

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on about the pupil premium and That is what you will hear from

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of the cuts. Will that work? They them, how they have taken the edge

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of the cuts. Will that work? They are in a pretty good position. Even

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if they have lost two thirds of are in a pretty good position. Even

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popular support, according to the polls, I do not know anyone in

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Westminster methinks that will be matched in their parliamentary

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representation. If they have 56 matched in their parliamentary

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now, they might lose a dozen but Strategically, they are in a better

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position than the reading of the polls would tell you. I think Nick

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Clegg's survival has been one of the stories of this Parliament. He is

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looking good at the comfort -- at the conference. When he was at his

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lowest after the AV referendum, people were saying he would survive

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I thought that was fanciful. Believe and lead us into 2015 and beyond and

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I thought that was fanciful. Believe it or not... Paddy Ashdown was

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wrong, you were wrong and... I wasn't. I'm underestimated how bad

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his rivals are. If you are Lib Dem member, however aggrieved you are

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with Nick Clegg, you do not think, wouldn't it be great if Christian

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was in charge? Nick Clegg is the best they have. -- Chris Huhne was

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in charge. Of course, the people do in charge. Of course, the people do

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government and it is a consequence of the way they vote, a different

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matter. If Janan Ganesh is right, and they lose 15 seats in the next

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pivotal in the next government. It Possibly the most amusing outcome

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would be a Labour or Tory overall majority, which would be hilarious

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for the look on Paddy Ashdown's face. The danger is they get trapped

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constantly in talking about the politics of coalition and of a hung

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parliament. And they are very puffed politics of coalition and of a hung

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parliament. And they are very puffed up and they enjoy Parliament and

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there is a possibility they will not be. While they are talking about the

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Polish and themselves, they are be. While they are talking about the

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talking about the issues facing be. While they are talking about the

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coalition. It was interesting that he said that we are a left-wing

:21:31.:21:37.

party, not a centre-left party or a centre party, but a left-wing party.

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I'm going to put myself in the firing line and say that there is a

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big split between the Tim Farron firing line and say that there is a

:21:46.:21:50.

line who say they like Ed Miliband, and another one, Jeremy Browne in

:21:50.:21:54.

the Home Office saying that Labour are intellectually lazy. The risk

:21:54.:21:57.

clearly a clique around Nick Clegg who wants to be a synthetic party,

:21:57.:22:05.

but that is not where the membership who wants to be a synthetic party,

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activists are clearly of the left, not just the centre-left. They are

:22:12.:22:17.

very pro-immigration and they want strategy has to be to take the party

:22:17.:22:23.

to the centre. The something not happen at some stage? The poll

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suggests it is a left-wing party. happen at some stage? The poll

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Very left-wing. Other think the happen at some stage? The poll

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would have yielded -- would have yielded the same results before

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would have yielded -- would have 2010 election. This is reflected by

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the arithmetic. Whichever party 2010 election. This is reflected by

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biggest will most likely be the 2010 election. This is reflected by

:22:43.:22:44.

in coalition with the Lib Dems. 2010 election. This is reflected by

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Clegg's on latitude to choose is exaggerated by us. The choice is no

:22:49.:23:01.

parliamentary arithmetic. But if you remember the structure of the Lib

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Dems, they can tie themselves up in infighting. -- the choice is not

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stable. And Nick Clegg has had a good conference last year, and will

:23:15.:23:18.

have another one this year. The economy is better than it was a

:23:18.:23:21.

have another one this year. The ago. It could still go quite well

:23:21.:23:21.

for him. Yes, it is one of the ago. It could still go quite well

:23:21.:23:27.

stories of this Parliament, his survival and the way in which he has

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prospered. But there are a lot of campaigners, labour activists who

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have not forgotten what he has done in government and are determined to

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get him. It will be a tough year and a half. Tougher than he imagined.

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Now, not so long ago they were writing George Osborne's political

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obituary. Be on the Omni shambles budget of 2012 and a lacklustre

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performance of the British economy meant his reputation work -- was in

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the dirt. -- the omnishambles. But things have changed. The Chancellor

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is saying he has been vindicated. If runway, it looks as though the

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British economy has taken off, quarter. Forecasts for the rest

:24:15.:24:20.

British economy has taken off, the year have been revised up words.

:24:20.:24:23.

What's more, the office for National recession never actually happened.

:24:23.:24:31.

Unemployment is down in the three months to July and the number of

:24:31.:24:40.

spasticity rate since 1997. On Monday, George Osborne said his

:24:40.:24:42.

policies were bearing fruit. We Monday, George Osborne said his

:24:42.:24:45.

our nerve when many told us to abandon our plans. As a result,

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thanks to the efforts and sacrifices of the British people, Britain is

:24:51.:24:59.

turning a corner. The message for his Labour critics was clear. The

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Chancellor thinks he was right and they were wrong. And Chuka Umunna

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Good afternoon. Good afternoon.Do you accept that the economy has

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turned a corner? I think it is good that a stalled recovery appears

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turned a corner? I think it is good get this in perspective. We have had

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three wasted years. We have the worst economic recovery in history.

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Debt is up and we have record youth programme if they feel better or

:25:34.:25:43.

worse off, compared to 2010, the majority will tell you they feel

:25:43.:25:47.

worse because, on average, wages are down by £1500 compared to May of

:25:47.:25:54.

2010. That is the situation. The one of the things we have seen

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talked about, Vince Cable has been talking about this as well, is what

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is happening in the housing market. It seems that much of the solution

:26:06.:26:08.

to powering the recovery in the It seems that much of the solution

:26:08.:26:14.

of George Osborne lies in sorting out the housing market but the

:26:14.:26:18.

problem is, we are at risk of being another housing bubble. Because

:26:18.:26:21.

problem is, we are at risk of being research that came out this week, we

:26:21.:26:26.

know that housing in the UK is three times more expensive than in the US.

:26:26.:26:29.

know that housing in the UK is three We know that house prices are rising

:26:29.:26:32.

five times faster than wages, but we also know that the government is

:26:32.:26:38.

five times faster than wages, but we building new housing at a slower

:26:38.:26:40.

complaining about a housing bubble, rate, the slowest rate that we have

:26:40.:26:46.

complaining about a housing bubble, isn't that like Satan complaining

:26:46.:26:52.

about seven? -- seven. We all know that we cannot go back to business

:26:52.:26:56.

as usual. We need to build a new model of growth. But the housing

:26:56.:27:01.

bubble you talk about, it is not a bubble. It might turn into one.

:27:01.:27:06.

bubble you talk about, it is not a said the risk of a bubble. It is

:27:06.:27:08.

nothing like what happened on the I said, in 2009, we had the crash

:27:08.:27:15.

and we knew we needed to reconfigure the way that our economy works.

:27:15.:27:19.

Having an economy based on crisis is rebalance the economy. We saw the

:27:19.:27:26.

unemployment statistics this week, and it is welcomed overall, that

:27:26.:27:32.

unemployment has come down. At half up. And it went down in other parts.

:27:32.:27:42.

We know that we need to rebalance our economy, so that we do not just

:27:42.:27:48.

rely on consumption, but that we grow our productive sectors. And

:27:48.:27:53.

also that we grow our exports as well. We know we have a continuing

:27:53.:28:00.

deficit. We always have a trade deficit. There was never a trade

:28:00.:28:11.

surplus under Labour. Want to come onto what you have mentioned but

:28:11.:28:14.

scheme? We have not said that we would you scrap the help to buy

:28:14.:28:18.

scheme? We have not said that we would do that. Why not if it is

:28:18.:28:21.

causing the bubble? If you let me finish, on one hand what that scheme

:28:21.:28:27.

does at the moment, at the moment it is inhalation to a new scheme but

:28:27.:28:34.

tomorrow -- next year it will be in you do not sort out the supply of

:28:34.:28:38.

housing, then that is a recipe for the problems we have seen. Our

:28:38.:28:43.

argument is build more houses. Help more people to buy them by all means

:28:43.:28:45.

but if you do not have the supply more people to buy them by all means

:28:45.:28:48.

but if you do not have the supply you will end up with rising prices.

:28:48.:28:52.

That is obvious. Labour said that government austerity would prevent

:28:52.:28:54.

the return of growth. Austerity government austerity would prevent

:28:54.:29:00.

were wrong. We never said that growth would never return. What

:29:00.:29:04.

were wrong. We never said that said was that if you went for an

:29:04.:29:05.

were wrong. We never said that overly extreme deficit reduction

:29:05.:29:11.

recovery and you would choke growth. That is what we saw for three years.

:29:11.:29:17.

If you say, look at the US economy, it has grown at three times the

:29:17.:29:24.

If you say, look at the US economy, economy has grown at twice the rate.

:29:24.:29:28.

But the British economy is growing quicker than the American or German

:29:28.:29:31.

economy is now. But over time we have not seen that happen. But it is

:29:31.:29:37.

now. That may be the case. But my point is that those three years

:29:37.:29:42.

now. That may be the case. But my people undergoing huge stress and

:29:42.:29:44.

worry. It is good that we have growth back again but the question

:29:45.:29:48.

is, what kind of growth? What we have said... I'm going to come onto

:29:48.:29:55.

that but your credibility depends on your previous analysis. And there

:29:55.:29:57.

are doubts about it. This is what you said not that long ago. In

:29:57.:30:05.

You and the Labour Party said it had choked off growth. You were wrong.

:30:05.:30:33.

We were not wrong, because we had three years where the economy was

:30:33.:30:38.

not moving. Let's remind ourselves. Claude Osborne was predicting that

:30:38.:30:41.

the economy was going to grow by 6.9% between the start of this

:30:41.:30:46.

Parliament and now. It has grown by 1.8%. We did not say we would never

:30:46.:30:55.

have a return to growth. You never said that austerity would only

:30:55.:30:58.

temporarily delay growth. We have looked through your speeches and Ed

:30:59.:31:03.

Balls'. We can't find any reference to say this is simply delaying the

:31:03.:31:09.

recovery. You said austerity would choke off growth. If that is true,

:31:09.:31:13.

why has it returned now? Did we choke off growth. If that is true,

:31:13.:31:19.

it would choke off growth for ever? choke off growth. If that is true,

:31:19.:31:26.

We did not. You have changed your tune. I think your package at the

:31:26.:31:29.

top of this programme, to frame tune. I think your package at the

:31:29.:31:34.

around George Osborne, this is not a people's lives, and the people who

:31:34.:31:39.

deserve huge credit for the growth we are seeing are our country's

:31:39.:31:46.

businesses, who despite the tough economic times, have succeeded.

:31:46.:31:49.

businesses, who despite the tough are the ones who have powered this

:31:49.:31:52.

growth. It is not for us in Westminster to take credit. But you

:31:52.:31:57.

blame the government for lack of growth. So therefore, when the

:31:57.:32:03.

growth comes, the government has to take some credit. Look at the

:32:03.:32:07.

situation Britain is in now. We know the recovery still has to reach many

:32:07.:32:12.

parts of the country, but this is the OECD annualised growth in the

:32:12.:32:21.

G-7, the world's guest economies. That is looking pretty healthy. That

:32:21.:32:25.

is a recovery. I am not denying that That is looking pretty healthy. That

:32:25.:32:33.

we are seeing a stalled recovery, but who benefits from the growth? On

:32:33.:32:38.

average, your viewers have sustained a £1500 pay cut. That is the second

:32:39.:32:48.

biggest fall in the G20 since May 2010. Because we had the biggest

:32:48.:32:54.

financial services sector and took the biggest crash. Financial

:32:54.:32:58.

services are still in decline. Financial services are about 10% of

:32:58.:33:07.

the economy. They are not the only contributor to the economy. The

:33:07.:33:12.

point is, who benefits? Unemployment is falling, but we don't just want

:33:12.:33:16.

people to have any job, we want them to have decent jobs that pay a

:33:16.:33:21.

weight you can live off and that are more secure. Let me show you the

:33:21.:33:28.

unemployment figures. Your criticism has been that all the new jobs are

:33:28.:33:33.

part-time. They are not now, they are full-time. Full-time

:33:33.:33:37.

unemployment, up -- full-time employment, up 94,000. This is a

:33:37.:33:46.

short time frame. It is since the recovery began. Half the jobs that

:33:46.:33:50.

have been created since May 2010 have been part-time jobs. Roughly

:33:50.:33:56.

107,000 people are working part-time who would like to work full-time.

:33:56.:34:01.

Over the last 20 years, people now feel more insecure at work than

:34:01.:34:03.

ever. The question is about what feel more insecure at work than

:34:03.:34:07.

kind of growth and employment you are getting. The other point is the

:34:07.:34:14.

uneven spread of this across our economy. In places like the

:34:14.:34:21.

north-east and north-west, the Humber, the east of England, they

:34:21.:34:29.

have seen unemployment increase. I agree that there was a regional

:34:29.:34:33.

imbalance, but the service sector is growing, cheering and construction

:34:33.:34:40.

are growing and financial services are in decline, so the rebalance is

:34:40.:34:44.

happening. It is not happening to the degree we need to transform our

:34:45.:34:49.

economy so that we have a long-term, sustainable model of

:34:49.:34:53.

growth. That is why we need a comprehensive industrial strategy

:34:53.:34:55.

that all of government works towards. Your party conference is

:34:55.:35:04.

coming up. I am sure you are looking forward to it. Why do Ed Miliband's

:35:04.:35:09.

approval ratings get worse the more people see of him? I don't accept

:35:09.:35:20.

that. I have given you the figures. Polls go up and down. I have said

:35:20.:35:26.

that on this programme before. But his approval rating has consistently

:35:26.:35:33.

gone down. What actually matters our votes. Under Ed Miliband's

:35:33.:35:35.

leadership, the Labour Party have votes. Under Ed Miliband's

:35:35.:35:39.

put on almost 2000 extra councillors in places like Canada case, even

:35:39.:35:50.

Whitney. What is wrong with Whitney? We have been putting on votes. Let

:35:50.:35:56.

me show you this. This is the net satisfaction rating. Your leader is

:35:56.:36:00.

now more unpopular than Gordon Brown was when he took Labour to the worst

:36:00.:36:07.

defeat in living memory. Gordon Brown did not put on anything like

:36:07.:36:14.

this number of councillors. Votes are what matter, Andrew. Few people

:36:14.:36:21.

think Ed Miliband is a capable leader. Twice as many people think

:36:21.:36:26.

over Spurs who lives on the moon. These are polls. If you are talking

:36:26.:36:32.

to me about over Spurs lit, that puts this into context, Europe

:36:32.:36:39.

session with polls! -- Elvis Presley. Since 2010, we have put on

:36:39.:36:44.

thousands of members. Compare that to the Conservative Party, which has

:36:44.:36:47.

not won a general election since 1992. They will not disclose their

:36:47.:36:58.

membership figures. Why -- why won't you pledge to renationalise Royal

:36:58.:37:02.

Mail? Because that would be like writing a blank cheque. We don't

:37:02.:37:05.

know at the moment how much the government would receive for the

:37:05.:37:09.

sale of Royal Mail? So how can I judge how much it would cost to buy

:37:09.:37:13.

it back? That would be irresponsible. But the government

:37:13.:37:17.

does not need to do this right now. The entire country is against it.

:37:17.:37:23.

Sources in the City and Whitehall tell me that if Labour pledged to

:37:23.:37:26.

renationalise it, it would kill off the flotation. So if you are against

:37:26.:37:34.

it, why don't you do it? For me to pledge to renationalise Royal Mail

:37:34.:37:36.

would be like writing a blank cheque. But if you put it in the

:37:36.:37:43.

prospectus, people in the City, who know more about these things, say it

:37:44.:37:50.

would not happen, so why not do it? Because that would be irresponsible.

:37:50.:37:54.

It would be like writing a cheque for billions to renationalise Royal

:37:54.:37:59.

Mail. You would not have too right at the check if it did not happen. I

:37:59.:38:05.

have to deal with the facts. I am not good deal with the plot somebody

:38:05.:38:09.

might be speculating about in the City. We have to be careful about

:38:09.:38:14.

this. For me to pledge to renationalise it now would be like

:38:14.:38:18.

writing a bank cheque . We are going to be a fiscally responsible

:38:18.:38:22.

government. That is why I am not prepared to do that. Ed Balls will

:38:22.:38:28.

not be talking to you. You are watching the Sunday Politics. Coming

:38:28.:38:29.

up in 20 In the East Midlands: County

:38:29.:38:47.

councils had to cut millions of pounds from their budgets and now

:38:47.:38:53.

they are turning to you for ideas. If they were in an orchestra, they

:38:53.:38:59.

would be on fiddles. That is absolutely untrue. Nick Clegg tells

:39:00.:39:05.

us that he thinks we are warming to the Lib Dems. I get the impression

:39:05.:39:11.

that people in the East Midlands, much as other parts of the country,

:39:11.:39:15.

are developing a begrudging respect. My guests this week are Jessica Lee

:39:15.:39:26.

and Graham Allen. First, thousands of youngsters are heading off to

:39:26.:39:30.

university, but thousands are into. East Midlands has some of the lowest

:39:30.:39:35.

figures are people going to university in the country. Graham's

:39:35.:39:41.

constituency is officially the lowest. Teachers travel to

:39:41.:39:46.

Westminster to meet the educational secretary to voice their concerns.

:39:46.:39:52.

How did it go? It went well. We spent over an hour speaking to the

:39:52.:40:02.

Education Secretary. What they need is small bite—size bits of learning

:40:02.:40:08.

to build their confidence, motivate them and show them they can achieve.

:40:08.:40:14.

I'll be bothered about loosening the modules —— are they bothered? My

:40:14.:40:24.

kids don't like that, there are frightened of it. So why not stick

:40:24.:40:30.

with what we have gotten the moment. It has provided a tremendous

:40:30.:40:38.

improvements. 90% are more —— 90% more people from my constituency are

:40:38.:40:46.

going to university. We have to help young people in the East Midlands to

:40:46.:40:54.

aspire. Not everybody is good at the exams. If there is continuous

:40:54.:40:59.

assessment throughout the year, it helps? It changes the way of

:40:59.:41:08.

helping. It can help them to meet the changes that are suggested. In

:41:08.:41:14.

my constituency, the system that we have had for many years of building

:41:14.:41:19.

people up is actually working. There are no tangible improvements. My

:41:19.:41:23.

worry is that if we change for the sake of it, it will frighten the

:41:23.:41:31.

life out of the youngsters and my constituency, we will arrest that

:41:31.:41:35.

development and kids in my patch won't get that chance that we have

:41:35.:41:40.

all worked so hard to give them. I hope the Secretary of State has

:41:40.:41:45.

listened to us and hope he will come back with some minor changes to help

:41:45.:41:48.

children and my constituency to flourish as in others. We have a

:41:48.:41:54.

good and improving uptake for university and our constituency. It

:41:54.:41:58.

is right that the Education Secretary met with Graham. I think

:41:58.:42:04.

that is good news. I find Michael Gove very approachable and amenable

:42:04.:42:09.

to ideas. We need to follow it up and see what response we get there.

:42:09.:42:15.

We will follow that with interest. What are you most prepared to see

:42:15.:42:19.

dashed libraries closed, care for the elderly cut or other council

:42:19.:42:25.

services? Leicestershire county council says

:42:25.:42:31.

it needs to find £110 million worth of savings in the next five years.

:42:31.:42:35.

In Nottinghamshire the figure is £154 million. And Derbyshire county

:42:35.:42:41.

council says it has took at £157 million. Leaders from Leicestershire

:42:41.:42:46.

have been in Westminster this week to meet Conservative MPs from the

:42:46.:42:50.

county. In Nottinghamshire the county council has launched a public

:42:50.:42:56.

consultation. It wants to hear what services the public are prepared to

:42:56.:43:02.

seek at. We went out with the leader of the council to meet the voters.

:43:02.:43:08.

£154 million has to be cut from Nottinghamshire county council. They

:43:08.:43:13.

are asking you how they can do that. I am here to find out your

:43:13.:43:19.

views. I have the leader of the county council with me. Shall we

:43:19.:43:22.

asked people what they think? Yes. More people on the ground doing the

:43:22.:43:28.

actual work and not too many managers. What do you say to that?

:43:28.:43:37.

It is interesting to hear these views. There will be further job

:43:37.:43:43.

losses. There will be job losses in management as well as elsewhere in

:43:43.:43:48.

the management. You have built a new library building, to me there was

:43:48.:43:52.

nothing wrong with the old library building. You should look to do

:43:52.:43:57.

something in the library for the children, you might save money doing

:43:57.:44:03.

it that way. There is no money for the youth. Where do you think this

:44:04.:44:14.

man can cut the £154 million from their county council's budget? We

:44:14.:44:19.

haven't got a bus station for a start. We are waiting for one of

:44:19.:44:25.

them for quite a long time. It has been delayed again. You will have it

:44:25.:44:32.

by next winter. You can only cut so much. You need the services. Why not

:44:32.:44:43.

ask government as they can cut any of their budget, the Houses of

:44:43.:44:47.

Parliament? They have decided we should be cutting our budgets. You

:44:47.:44:54.

never see anybody saying, we are going to cut the site of our budget.

:44:54.:45:00.

The county council and a waste of time. Why are they a waste of time?

:45:01.:45:06.

If they were in an orchestra, they would be on fiddles. What do you say

:45:06.:45:12.

to that? It is absolutely untrue. I understand why people might have

:45:12.:45:16.

that perception. Fair play to Alan Rhodes to take

:45:16.:45:24.

part in that. You are never going to be sure how people are going to

:45:24.:45:29.

react to you when you're out in the street. The Conservative Council

:45:29.:45:32.

light Leicestershire are having to go cap in hand to Westminster to

:45:32.:45:36.

Conservative MPs to say, do not cut funding any more. We have got to

:45:36.:45:41.

deal with the reality. Most people in my constituency understand that.

:45:41.:45:46.

They are understand that the country has overspent and the appreciate

:45:46.:45:54.

that. They need MPs to make the case to request for funds in a way that

:45:54.:46:00.

they think will best serve their community. I think most people

:46:00.:46:01.

understand that. Nottinghamshire county council have announced they

:46:01.:46:06.

will stop paying their workers are living wage. How can they afford

:46:06.:46:14.

that? —— are going to start peeing. I think he has been courageous going

:46:14.:46:23.

out to the public and speaking to them about this. —— I hope this is

:46:23.:46:30.

opening up a dialogue with people saying, if you want good services

:46:30.:46:34.

local or a good health service, you will have to pay for it. I would

:46:34.:46:40.

like to see local people deciding what they are prepared to pay,

:46:40.:46:44.

politicians of all parties going out to convince them on the arguments

:46:44.:46:49.

and engage with them. If you fit it to people that if we pay a lot —— a

:46:49.:47:00.

little more for our police then we have less crime. If you invest in

:47:00.:47:02.

children, early intervention, that'll pay back in the long term.

:47:02.:47:07.

People are not stupid, they get these arguments. At the moment, all

:47:07.:47:14.

parties say that if we cut the fat out, it will be OK. Where can these

:47:14.:47:21.

cuts come from? I think this is what MPs need to do. To make those

:47:21.:47:25.

representations. Where can these continuing cuts come from?

:47:25.:47:30.

Foreigners start, you heard on the film there, the man was pointing out

:47:30.:47:37.

that there are too many chiefs. —— for a start. There has been a lack

:47:37.:47:42.

of accountability in the public sector for a long time. For

:47:42.:47:46.

example, I was horrified to read that under the last Labour

:47:46.:47:51.

government, they ordered 28 luxury coaches. What about elderly care?

:47:51.:48:08.

Local industry should be benefiting. There are savings that

:48:08.:48:13.

can still be made. I absolutely believe that. Where can these cuts

:48:13.:48:19.

be made? I will give you an example, I think people need to have a longer

:48:19.:48:23.

sighted view as well. For Derbyshire, the new Labour county

:48:23.:48:30.

council at the moment are having a consultation idiot. There are no

:48:30.:48:32.

decisions made. —— consultation period. £157 million they had to

:48:32.:48:43.

save and Derbyshire. That is a lot more than the —— than they were

:48:43.:48:51.

having to save. I think that this process is important. People can

:48:51.:48:57.

find those savings. Focus on keeping the front line services. I think it

:48:57.:49:03.

will pay off in the long term. You think that front line services will

:49:04.:49:07.

be protected? I cannot see what Derbyshire county council will do. I

:49:08.:49:13.

am saying that should be the priority. I would have one, cut

:49:13.:49:19.

central government out of the loop on raising money and let local

:49:19.:49:23.

people, local politicians, argue it out. I have faith in my politics

:49:23.:49:29.

that I can convince people that they should pay an adequate amount of

:49:29.:49:33.

hassle tax. Other taxes should be allowed to be raised if the local

:49:33.:49:39.

electorate agreed to it. —— council tax. Is that Labour Party policy?It

:49:39.:49:46.

is not. I am working hard to win over the Labour Party. Most other

:49:46.:49:52.

weathering —— Western democracies have councils that are independent

:49:52.:49:58.

and that listen to local people. That is the sort of system we need

:49:58.:50:02.

to build in this country, otherwise we will be back here next year

:50:02.:50:06.

having the same discussion. I hope not. The Lib Dems are holding their

:50:06.:50:11.

annual conference. They are looking to see how they can

:50:11.:50:18.

win here in the East Midlands. We have only one MEP N control of one

:50:18.:50:23.

district Council. Nick Clegg told us that he sees that as an improvement.

:50:23.:50:29.

It is a lot better than it used to be. For 70 years we were not

:50:29.:50:34.

represented a Parliamentary level. I am aware that in the last three

:50:34.:50:39.

years while we have been in coalition, we have suffered in the

:50:39.:50:43.

polls and there has been a temporary it to our popularity. I get the

:50:43.:50:48.

impression that people in the East Midlands, much as in other parts of

:50:48.:50:52.

the country, are developing a begrudging respect that we have

:50:52.:50:56.

stuck with it. If we had not, we would not begin to see the start of

:50:56.:51:03.

an economic recovery. Without the unanimity —— unity and resolve of

:51:03.:51:10.

the Lib Dems, we would not see a change like we have. Better state

:51:10.:51:13.

pensions, more apprenticeships, the people —— pupil premium in school,

:51:14.:51:22.

most notably as of next April, no one in the East Midlands will have

:51:22.:51:27.

to pay a penny in income tax from the first £10,000 the peak. All of

:51:27.:51:33.

that are good Liberal Democrat achievements. But I think we need to

:51:33.:51:39.

shout about them more. In two years ago you were here with the Prime

:51:39.:51:43.

Minister announcing a new enterprise scheme. I am frustrated that some of

:51:43.:51:55.

these enterprise zones have got stuck on various details. I would

:51:55.:52:00.

like to see the enterprise zone at the site I did visit myself, move

:52:00.:52:05.

forward as quickly as possible. It is a great way of attracting

:52:05.:52:09.

investment and generating jobs locally. Will your rallying cry be

:52:09.:52:15.

to the Liberal Democrat conference, hang on? Is that the best you can

:52:15.:52:21.

do? It is more uplifting than that. We have done great things in

:52:21.:52:28.

government. We are the only party of the liberal central ground. If you

:52:28.:52:37.

want a party that believes in a stronger economy, doing the

:52:37.:52:41.

difficult job is to do that, and a fairer society, then the Liberal

:52:41.:52:46.

Democrats are the only party able to deliver that in British politics. We

:52:46.:52:50.

will hear from an East Midlands Lib Dem hoping to make a breakthrough.

:52:50.:52:56.

Vince Cable was here to visit the biggest live them success story in

:52:56.:53:03.

the East Midlands. The party is in charge here. He was realistic of the

:53:03.:53:09.

challenges facing the Lib Dem is making more games in the area. We

:53:09.:53:15.

have got a base in several areas. We have been strong in other parts of

:53:15.:53:21.

the area, Leicester for many years. We have had a base in Nottingham,

:53:21.:53:26.

not now, Chesterfield used to be a state we had control of. It has

:53:26.:53:31.

fallen away now and we recognise that reality. Being an government

:53:31.:53:35.

has been a mixed blessing politically. We get criticised for

:53:35.:53:40.

everything that goes wrong, but we are now beginning to get the message

:53:40.:53:45.

across that we have made a positive contribution in government. You can

:53:45.:53:49.

always rely on Vince to be a straight talker.

:53:49.:53:55.

You are part of the largest Lib Dem branch in these midlands. It is the

:53:55.:54:01.

exception not the rule? You have said we have got a good story to

:54:01.:54:06.

tell where we run the council, where we have had this load —— big

:54:06.:54:13.

increase in membership. Things are going really well, we have a lot of

:54:13.:54:20.

support in other areas, Ashfield we had a close result in the county

:54:20.:54:27.

council elections. There are a lot of places in the East Midlands where

:54:27.:54:32.

there is support. Nick Clegg said last year that Lib Dem voters who

:54:32.:54:38.

went to the Labour Party are our lost cost? No. I do not believe

:54:38.:54:49.

that. There are lots of people who are inclined towards the Labour

:54:49.:54:53.

Party whose supporters because they see as campaigning on local issues.

:54:53.:54:59.

There are a lot of people who say the main problem is the man at the

:54:59.:55:05.

top for your party. Nick Clegg read a remarkable performance in the 2010

:55:05.:55:13.

debate. His ratings are very low. You have got to look at the facts,

:55:13.:55:19.

Nick Clegg's ratings are lower than Margaret Thatcher 's where before

:55:19.:55:25.

she left. We are still winning in our constituency where Nick Clegg as

:55:25.:55:29.

leader. We have a huge amount of support in our area. We are

:55:29.:55:34.

campaigning and doing well. We have the enterprise zone that is bringing

:55:34.:55:40.

thousands of jobs. We have a company that is bringing lots of jobs into

:55:40.:55:45.

our area. The Lib Dems are growing in some areas? They are not growing

:55:45.:55:50.

in Nottingham North. We are recruiting a lot of people there. I

:55:50.:55:57.

feel sorry for councillors of all political parties. They suffer from

:55:57.:56:02.

what the people do at the top level. People cannot vote for who the Prime

:56:02.:56:08.

Minister is directly, so they take it out in the local councillors. I

:56:08.:56:14.

think you will find that they will take it out on the Liberal

:56:14.:56:16.

Democrats. Now one trusts the Liberal Democrats because of Nick

:56:16.:56:21.

Clegg and the promises he broke in those very debates. It goes back to

:56:21.:56:26.

that, that's what many people think. We have delivered on the main

:56:26.:56:31.

policies that we have been involved in. I signed a letter to Nick Clegg

:56:31.:56:39.

when the votes came in on tuition fees. What about your party,

:56:39.:56:47.

Jessica? I think we have had is accessible marriage of convenience.

:56:47.:56:52.

I am going for an overall majority, all mean parties will be seeking

:56:52.:56:58.

that for the general election. In the key areas of the can make and

:56:58.:57:03.

welfare reform, where there have been significant improvements in

:57:03.:57:06.

reforms, there has been agreement by the two parties. —— economy. We will

:57:06.:57:12.

see separate campaigning by the leaders in the run—up to the general

:57:12.:57:19.

election. You say you would rather not have another coalition

:57:19.:57:22.

government? If there is another hung parliament, twice as many of them

:57:22.:57:28.

would rather be in a coalition government with the Labour Party and

:57:28.:57:35.

with you lot. I think that it has been, for the national interest, no

:57:35.:57:42.

one got a majority as we know. Two parties came together to form an

:57:42.:57:46.

coalition. There will be a natural separation. When will that happen?

:57:46.:57:52.

We will see natural campaigning, we will hear announcements from the

:57:52.:57:59.

party leaders. We would want to be an government on our own and put our

:57:59.:58:05.

own views across. We will be going for the maximum number of seats and

:58:05.:58:10.

we will fight the election on that. We will campaign for what we believe

:58:10.:58:17.

in. It will all depend on what the public does. The arithmetic last

:58:17.:58:22.

time was we could only go into the coalition with the Conservatives. We

:58:22.:58:28.

may be in agreement with the Conservatives but we have different

:58:28.:58:34.

priorities. We want tax cuts for the millions, we want that. I want to

:58:34.:58:41.

break up the happy coalition couple here. Every week in the House of

:58:41.:58:48.

Commons, I say the Liberal Party and the Conservative party marched

:58:48.:58:51.

through the lobbies to do things on health service, detrimental things

:58:51.:58:55.

to schools, to actually start to undermine our country. Then they

:58:55.:59:00.

come out and say, we are not really friends, we do not really work

:59:00.:59:05.

together. Yes they do. Night after night when they could fate ——

:59:05.:59:10.

thought certain things down, they are supporting this government

:59:10.:59:14.

together and they are both going to take the consequences in the next

:59:14.:59:17.

election. It has been suggested the best way forward as a party is to

:59:18.:59:20.

dozens yourself from the Conservatives. —— is to distance

:59:20.:59:28.

yourself. When do you think it is good to happen? We have different

:59:28.:59:33.

priorities to the Labour Party in Conservative Party. We have common

:59:33.:59:37.

to government with them to clean up the mess they Labour Party left. We

:59:37.:59:43.

believe in low earners and middle income earners into... Thank you

:59:43.:59:55.

very much. Here is a round—up. Millions of pounds worth of

:59:55.:00:00.

government funding is up for grabs for East Midlands's businesses.

:00:00.:00:03.

Companies are being invited to bid for the next round of the regional

:00:04.:00:14.

growth fund. 16% of shops here are empty, 2% above the national

:00:14.:00:19.

average. Be careful what you treat for. Gloria did they found she had

:00:19.:00:26.

as a prize Twitter. She treated this morning that she asked for is the

:00:26.:00:33.

gestures. The first suggestion came back because I follow these things

:00:33.:00:39.

very clearly. How happy are you that the leader of the Labour Party will

:00:39.:00:44.

still be in place come the next election? Why reject that advice and

:00:44.:00:56.

take advice from the Shadow Chancellor, I cannot think.

:00:56.:01:03.

You have got to be sober full. Does David Cameron follow you, Graham? I

:01:03.:01:08.

am sure he is one of my most avid followers. From the last programme I

:01:08.:01:15.

appeared on, and man treated to say I should not wear red Sox. I have

:01:15.:01:25.

tweeted today. Do you treat for yourself? I do about 90%. We will

:01:25.:01:29.

have to leave it there. Thank you deserves a programme all to itself.

:01:29.:01:45.

In a moment, more from our political Good afternoon. Nick Clegg says

:01:45.:01:51.

victory for either the Conservatives Good afternoon. Nick Clegg says

:01:51.:01:55.

or labour at the next election would put at risk the economic recovery

:01:55.:01:59.

is. Speaking in Glasgow at the Liberal Democrat annual conference,

:01:59.:02:00.

he said a coalition would allow Liberal Democrat annual conference,

:02:00.:02:04.

party to balance politics and enable the government to finish the job of

:02:04.:02:09.

repairing the economy fairly. It is my genuine belief that if we go

:02:10.:02:15.

repairing the economy fairly. It is coalition and Islands politics,

:02:15.:02:19.

repairing the economy fairly. It is dominating blood on their own, you

:02:19.:02:22.

will get a recovery which is neither fair nor sustainable. Labour would

:02:22.:02:24.

wreck the recovery, and under the fair nor sustainable. Labour would

:02:24.:02:29.

same commitment to fairness as ours, you would get the wrong kind

:02:29.:02:35.

Two 19-year-old woman arrested after a stabbing on Thursday have been

:02:35.:02:37.

released without charge. Police a stabbing on Thursday have been

:02:37.:02:41.

trying to discover if there is a link between the killing and a fire

:02:41.:02:45.

four hours later in which four Five people are being questioned in

:02:45.:02:51.

connection with that blaze. A Syrian government minister has described

:02:51.:02:54.

the agreement drawn up by America country's chemical weapons as a

:02:54.:03:01.

The minister claims the deals helps the Syrians out of a crisis and

:03:01.:03:06.

others war. The US Secretary of State John Kerry is in Israel to

:03:06.:03:08.

brief the prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, on the proposal. China

:03:08.:03:13.

and France have also welcomed the deal, which says Syria has until

:03:13.:03:17.

Friday to submit a competence of list of its chemical stockpile.

:03:17.:03:22.

Britain's Mo Farah has missed out on winning his first half marathon

:03:22.:03:27.

Britain's Mo Farah has missed out on He was taking part in the Great

:03:27.:03:29.

North Run between Newcastle and South Shields. Farrar, who was the

:03:29.:03:33.

favourite following his two gold Ethiopian's can mean many Serb

:03:33.:03:42.

favourite following his two gold Kenenisa Bekele in a sprint finish.

:03:43.:03:45.

A carnival atmosphere for the start was about the challenge. For others,

:03:46.:03:52.

walking it, so I have no time in simply dressing up for fun. I am

:03:52.:04:00.

walking it, so I have no time in mind. I just want to enjoy it and

:04:00.:04:02.

appreciate the crowds and have a fantastic time. For elite athletes,

:04:02.:04:08.

today's race was about who would be first over the line. Despite the

:04:08.:04:13.

wind and rain, large crowds turned out for the world's most popular

:04:13.:04:17.

half marathon, which attracts some of the finest women runners, two,

:04:17.:04:25.

including the Kenyan. There were high hopes for Britain's double

:04:25.:04:29.

Olympic champion Mo Farah, but after Shields, he was narrowly beaten

:04:29.:04:36.

Ethiopian's Kenenisa Bekele. It Shields, he was narrowly beaten

:04:36.:04:46.

thought I would come back and close the gap slowly. I managed to close

:04:47.:04:50.

it a little bit, but you can't take away what he has. Wheelchair athlete

:04:50.:04:56.

David Weir won his race for a fourth time. More than £200 million has

:04:56.:05:01.

been raised since the Great North That is it for now. There will be

:05:01.:05:16.

more news on BBC One at 6:35pm. So, did anything happen while we

:05:16.:05:19.

were away this summer? I thought heading now? Who better to answer

:05:19.:05:27.

than the best political panel we could cobble together for a tenner?

:05:27.:05:33.

Putting foreign affairs to one side for a moment, it seems that what

:05:33.:05:38.

happened mystically was that it became more apparent that some sort

:05:38.:05:41.

of recovery was underway at last, and that Mr Miliband still has not

:05:41.:05:48.

yet resonated with the British public. These things are a problem

:05:48.:05:54.

for Labour. Ed Miliband's mistake over the summer holiday was to take

:05:54.:05:56.

a summer holiday. And it looked over the summer holiday was to take

:05:56.:06:00.

the rest of the Labour Party had taken one too. They were not finding

:06:00.:06:04.

issues they could make their own. The only person who made an impact

:06:04.:06:09.

was Stella Creasy on online abuse. That is a huge problem, and it is

:06:09.:06:12.

partly down to the fact that there is this intense message discipline.

:06:13.:06:15.

They don't want to say anything is this intense message discipline.

:06:15.:06:18.

of line until they have got all their ducks in a row. It makes the

:06:18.:06:21.

party do at the moment. The terms of party do at the moment. The terms of

:06:21.:06:26.

trade have swung in David Cameron's favour, but the political rhetoric

:06:27.:06:30.

look at this headline from the is still with Mr Miliband. Let's

:06:30.:06:39.

look at this headline from the Sunday Telegraph. That headline

:06:39.:06:44.

might not be right, but the story is significant in that Mr Cameron is

:06:44.:06:46.

still in danger on his right flank significant in that Mr Cameron is

:06:46.:06:51.

doesn't need an enormous share of the vote to get an overall majority?

:06:52.:06:59.

Westminster group think. Of course Ed Miliband is in trouble. The

:07:00.:07:04.

Tories are reserved and. They are better organised, the economy is

:07:04.:07:08.

recovering. That poses difficulties for Labour, but if you look at what

:07:08.:07:15.

is happening on the ground, UKIP still pose a danger to Cameron.

:07:15.:07:18.

is happening on the ground, UKIP don't need to poll 15% in a lot

:07:18.:07:19.

is happening on the ground, UKIP those marginal seats, they just

:07:19.:07:22.

is happening on the ground, UKIP to get five or 6% of the vote, and

:07:22.:07:24.

that could potentially destroy the Tory lead. Lots of commentators

:07:24.:07:34.

that could potentially destroy the to say, this guy will never be prime

:07:34.:07:39.

minister, but it is possible that by default or by accident, in a very

:07:39.:07:45.

Miliband could end up as prime minister. It is still all to play

:07:45.:07:50.

for on both sides. If UKIP remains a threat to the Tory right flank and

:07:50.:07:56.

the Tories themselves are not really a national party any more, I am

:07:56.:07:59.

the Tories themselves are not really they will only target a few seats in

:07:59.:08:02.

Scotland, they don't get any big seats in the big cities of the north

:08:02.:08:05.

any more, they don't get the Ulster vote they used to get, so it is

:08:05.:08:09.

possible that Labour, which is more nationally based and has seats in

:08:09.:08:12.

the Midlands and the north and in Wales, so they could get in. I

:08:12.:08:18.

agree. The advantage of having a bad summer is that Ed Miliband can go to

:08:19.:08:25.

expectations. All he has to do is not dribble on the lectern, and

:08:25.:08:29.

expectations. All he has to do is will be written up as spectacular.

:08:29.:08:31.

expectations. All he has to do is He might not even use a lectin.

:08:31.:08:38.

position. The electoral vagaries of the system work in his favour. He

:08:38.:08:44.

still has a narrow poll lead, he is not out of the game at all. Of the

:08:44.:08:47.

three main party leaders, the only one who can be confident about being

:08:47.:08:54.

three main party leaders, the only in government after 2015 is Nick

:08:54.:09:00.

electorally. But if it is this bad for Labour at the moment, what will

:09:00.:09:06.

it be like if this recovery turns out to be real? It depends how much

:09:06.:09:14.

they succeed. Chuka Umunna was shifting the debate are living

:09:14.:09:16.

standards. They don't want to keep arguing about who called it right.

:09:17.:09:20.

Do people feel richer than they arguing about who called it right.

:09:20.:09:24.

in 2010? The data suggests that people don't feel richer than in

:09:24.:09:28.

2010. Because they are not.That people don't feel richer than in

:09:28.:09:33.

the basis on which Labour will fight the next election. It is clear that

:09:33.:09:38.

Labour are unclear on what to say or do next. They have just got to hope

:09:38.:09:42.

and pray that the economy is not as soundly based as it appears to be

:09:42.:09:45.

and that George Osborne is Tony Barber, who thought he fixed the

:09:45.:09:53.

just before the next crash. There are all sorts of uncertainties

:09:53.:09:57.

just before the next crash. There China, the bond market, the housing

:09:57.:10:00.

bubble might be blown up, and Labour just had to hope something goes

:10:00.:10:01.

wrong for Osborne. Chuka Umunna just had to hope something goes

:10:01.:10:07.

he would not get rid of help to just had to hope something goes

:10:07.:10:11.

There are all these criticisms about just had to hope something goes

:10:11.:10:14.

artificial schemes pumping up house prices, but he would not say that.

:10:14.:10:19.

It is tortuous. You see this again and again. When asked if Labour

:10:19.:10:27.

would repeal the bedroom tax, or the same thing with Royal Mail, it

:10:27.:10:29.

happens again. They will be falling on people who have not had a meal in

:10:29.:10:41.

coming out of the Labour Party. There is a kind and Gillette in

:10:41.:10:45.

coming out of the Labour Party. them to a politician's career. When

:10:45.:10:47.

they are under attack for a long time, the media get bored after

:10:47.:10:51.

they are under attack for a long while and switch the story. It

:10:51.:10:55.

happened to Osborne, who had a horrific 2012 and has recovered

:10:55.:11:00.

bad press as he is getting at the moment, because people find it

:11:00.:11:08.

tedious. Syria has been the big foreign-policy event this summer. It

:11:08.:11:10.

has remarkably led to a Soviet- American initiative to get Syria to

:11:10.:11:19.

give up its chemical weapons. The world will now expect the Assad

:11:19.:11:24.

regime to live up to its public commitments. As I said at the outset

:11:24.:11:27.

anything less than full compliance. John Kerry. Is this too good to

:11:27.:11:44.

anything less than full compliance. true? Even superficially, it is

:11:44.:11:46.

anything less than full compliance. very good. The only people who

:11:46.:11:49.

emerge with any sense of triumph are the Russians, who have had their

:11:49.:11:53.

emerge with any sense of triumph are biggest diplomatic coup. They are

:11:53.:11:56.

back on the stage again. B if you want to know why Putin even has

:11:56.:12:02.

back on the stage again. B if you because of moments like this. They

:12:02.:12:04.

were humiliated after the end of the Cold War, and a Nou Camp is a great

:12:04.:12:09.

power again. Then you have the Obama situation, because he has ended

:12:09.:12:13.

power again. Then you have the Obama where he wanted to end up. He has

:12:13.:12:16.

power again. Then you have the Obama concession from Syria, but the way

:12:16.:12:16.

he got there was so embarrassing. It concession from Syria, but the way

:12:16.:12:21.

made him look weak and erratic as a leader. There were contradictions

:12:21.:12:25.

between himself and his Secretary of State last week, and it has not

:12:25.:12:32.

between himself and his Secretary of him any good. I was in the States,

:12:32.:12:37.

and it was open season on him. I have never understood the idea of

:12:37.:12:41.

chemical weapons as a red line when you can massacre people in their

:12:41.:12:45.

thousands through other means. But chemical weapons are beyond the

:12:46.:12:50.

pale. The rebels are miserable. chemical weapons are beyond the

:12:50.:12:57.

have run out of time. I will have to ask you what you think about Syria

:12:57.:12:59.

next week, which gives you time ask you what you think about Syria

:12:59.:13:05.

prepare. Your book on Fred the shred is going well? It is.I am back

:13:05.:13:11.

tomorrow at noon with the Daily Politics at noon on BBC Two, where

:13:11.:13:14.

we will have more from the Liberal Democrat conference in Glasgow.

:13:14.:13:18.

we will have more from the Liberal is the start of our Daily Politics

:13:18.:13:18.

conference coverage. Next week, is the start of our Daily Politics

:13:18.:13:21.

will be back here at our normal is the start of our Daily Politics

:13:21.:13:24.

of 11am, when we will be joined is the start of our Daily Politics

:13:24.:13:30.

Grant Shapps. Remember, if it is Sunday, it is the Sunday Politics.

:13:30.:13:50.

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