06/10/2013 Sunday Politics East Midlands


06/10/2013

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Morning, folks, welcome to the Sunday Politics. And in-out EU

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referendum before the general election? We talk to the Tory rebel

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demanding one next year, that is our top story. As government ministers

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prepare to decide how the press should be regulated, what will be

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the impact of this week's row should be regulated, what will be

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between the Daily Mail and Ed Miliband?

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And in the East Midlands — the mail peoples faces?!

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And in the East Midlands — the mail scam that's costing victims tens of

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thousands of pounds. And how are the Greens and UKIP planning to win your

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vote? He will try to force a vote in the

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October. Home Secretary Theresa He will try to force a vote in the

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was asked about his plans on the BBC earlier this morning. I think he has

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got it wrong, I think what we need to do is to negotiate the settlement

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with the European Union and then put that to the people me to decide

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whether to be in or out. Is this a flea bite or a real threat? I think

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the next election, a Conservative Party that will be offering people

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that renegotiation, a new settlement with Europe, looking to the future

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and putting that to the British people in and in or out referendum.

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And what the amendment possibly could do, as James Wharton, who

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And what the amendment possibly putting the Referendum Bill through

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Parliament has said, is it could jeopardise that bill. Adam Afriyie

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joins us now from Millbank studio. Good morning. If the referendum

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would be held next October, it would have to be an in-out question based

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the status quo? There wouldn't be time for a full renegotiation. I

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disagree. By having a referendum in 2014, it gives us 12 months to

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renegotiate, but it kick-started negotiations, because the European

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Union, if they wish us to remain members, would need to accommodate

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and make changes so that they would members, would need to accommodate

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and make changes so that they would persuade the British public to stay,

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strengthens the Prime Minister's hand, and 12 months is ample time

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for that kind of negotiation. You might think that, but Germany has

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not even got a government at the moment, why should they meet our

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timetable? This is going to be incredibly, located renegotiation. I

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think, basically, 80% of people incredibly, located renegotiation. I

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a referendum. More than 50% what a election. British businesses need

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certainty, and we could carry on taking a scan down the road for

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ever, but I have struggled with taking a scan down the road for

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conscience over this one. I do not want to cause trouble, but it is

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essential that Parliament and MPs have the opportunity to search their

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souls and give people a referendum this side of the election. That

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would also bring certainty and clarity for the future, and like I

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said, it strengthens the Prime Minister's hand if it is successful.

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You right in the Mail on Sunday Minister's hand if it is successful.

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the people are not convinced there even will be a referendum, so they

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don't trust David Cameron? I think the headline was not the headline I

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wrote for that piece. What I am You are saying that the British

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people are not convinced. Look, there are too many uncertainties

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here - they may not be convinced the Conservatives will win the election,

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I hope we will, they may not be convinced the renegotiation will be

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good enough, that there will be convinced the renegotiation will be

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referendum. Do you trust David That is why we need to bring the

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referendum forward, there is time to negotiate, and we tidy up the issue

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that has been hanging around for too long. Do you trust David Cameron to

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deliver a referendum in 2017? I Minister, and of course I trust

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deliver a referendum in 2017? I referendum? There as only variables

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in between. What I am doing with referendum? There as only variables

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this amendment, is to try to be referendum? There as only variables

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is that Parliament and every MP referendum? There as only variables

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the opportunity decide whether they want to be sure of a referendum

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within this parliament, or maybe leave it to the vagaries of what may

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within this parliament, or maybe happen in 2015. Supposing you got

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your way, how would you vote? Like Michael Gove, I would vote for us to

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leave as of today, but there will be Michael Gove, I would vote for us to

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an enormous amount of pressure on European Union leaders to come

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forward with proposals. If they European Union leaders to come

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to say, the mandate is not ever closer political union, it is ever

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closer trading harmony, giving us closer trading harmony, giving

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our legal system, I might change my more border control and control

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our legal system, I might change my mind. But this is what needs to

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happen - if we have a referendum in happen - if we have a referendum in

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negotiations to be kick-started happen - if we have a referendum in

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people to argue in or out, and the end result is a stronger Prime

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Minister. Is it true that you have end result is a stronger Prime

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Minister. Is it true that you have got about 80 MPs supporting this? It

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certain, and I think we will see it on hold over the next three or five

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weeks. He will have to ask each individual MP. I am asking you,

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is your motion! There will be other motions coming forward, and I know

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cross-party, for people who want the British public to have a say in

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2014. You know it is not going to get through, the whips will stop

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this from happening. One of the successes, apparently, of your

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party's Manchester conference was that you were not divided over

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Europe anymore, the Europe issue was settled. Here you are bringing it

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Europe anymore, the Europe issue was back to life and pouring petrol

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Europe anymore, the Europe issue was unlicensed troublemaker of the

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Tories? The only struggle I have had is not a fight with my party but

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Tories? The only struggle I have had with my conscience as to whether or

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not I would give Parliament and with my conscience as to whether or

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British people an opportunity to have a say in 2014. I wrestled with

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it, and I decided I wanted people to have that opportunity. It is for

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each individual MP to search their soul, speak to constituents and

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decide whether they want that. You decided it would get you in the

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headlines again. Oh, you are so cynical, Andrew! I have no ambition

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publicity seeker. All I seek is cynical, Andrew! I have no ambition

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would not be able to sleep at night if I did not bring forward this

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opportunity for Britain to have if I did not bring forward this

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say. We have left it far too long. Nobody under the age of 56 has had a

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say. Thanks for joining us, good luck with this continuing struggle

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with your conscience! I will move the seat around and addressed the

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panel, what do you make of it? The party managers must be furious with

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him. I think what this confirms party managers must be furious with

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that David Cameron is incredibly lucky in his enemies. His most

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prolific critics, Nadine Dorries, Peter Bone, Adam Afriyie, even if

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you are very anti-Cameron, you will not think, man, if only they were in

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charge of the party! I think the party managers are not too alarmed.

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They do not take him seriously? No, is not as if the James Wharton bill

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is a work of genius, it is riddled with flaws, anomalies and loopholes.

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It purports to guarantee that a referendum will take place in the

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next Parliament. My understanding of theoretically impossible and that

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all the future government would theoretically impossible and that

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is cancel out that bill with another bill. He does have a point that

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Cameron's plan for a referendum bill. He does have a point that

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nothing like as likely to happen... dangerous. The problem for David

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Cameron is twofold. One, if Ed Miliband says he's going to support

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Adam Afriyie, it will go through. Unlikely that Ed Miliband would

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Adam Afriyie, it will go through. that, but what he might do is say to

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his MPs, ignore this. It may well be significant number of Labour MPs do

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not turn up, and then what you have Conservative backbenchers, and in

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that war you might well find that through, and then the Prime Minister

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has real trouble, because Adam Afriyie says, the Prime Minister

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membership, up what basis and with which mandate? He would not be able

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to get agreement with Nick Clegg or Ed Miliband, so you would be looking

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think he is a Labour mole, that Ed Miliband, so you would be looking

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what I have come to, a Daily Mail style conspiracy theory, it could

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not be more perfect. The prospect of style conspiracy theory, it could

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a referendum on the EU at the same time as Scottish independence is

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has told us he could not sleep at conscience. We could send him some

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pills, I suppose. We know he's going to sack all those lieutenants were

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going around and saying he is the great future and the next leader of

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the Conservative Party. He denied doing that! He would be amazed to

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hear you say that, this is a crisis conversations in corridors, quite an

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operation to get letters into Graham Brady, he said to have letters,

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operation to get letters into Graham 46, but at the moment this campaign

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is being run by Lieutenant of Adam They are disaffected and not happy

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under David Cameron's leadership. There is a whole army of them! I am

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pleased he has outmanoeuvred the awkward squad, and now James Wharton

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is saying, you're going to kill awkward squad, and now James Wharton

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bill. I do not think they are very competence lieutenants. The main

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episode is it will unify a large Conservative Party behind David

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Cameron. On what they hope is a settled position. We still hope

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Cameron. On what they hope is a be talking to John Prescott, who is

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in hole, if you see him, pointing in the direction of the BBC studios! Do

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you want to buy a house? Can you afford the mortgage repayments but

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not the 20% or 30% deposit the mortgage provider is demanding from

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you? The Government says it has mortgage provider is demanding from

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scheme designed for you which is in launching next week, help to buy,

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re-emergence of 95% mortgages, remember them?! But is the policy

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really good for home-buyers or the British economy? Here is Giles.

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Never mind who lives in a house British economy? Here is Giles.

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this, who can afford to buy a house these days? The Government would

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this, who can afford to buy a house like many more people to be able to

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without putting down a crippling like many more people to be able to

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without putting down a crippling amount of money as a deposit, and in

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the spirit of rights to buy, the government has launched help to

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the spirit of rights to buy, the confusingly it is the name for two

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been running since April. Help to government are bringing it in early.

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Let's get in on the inside and take a good look around at what this

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scheme actually has to offer. And why the Government thinks it really

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works. Help to Buy 1 was an equity loan scheme. The idea, nice, is

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works. Help to Buy 1 was an equity it was for new build only, up to a

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value of £600,000. But it is Help to value of £600,000. But it is Help to

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Buy 2 that everyone is looking into right now. It is for any property up

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to a value, again, of £600,000. right now. It is for any property up

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time the Government is guaranteeing that it will take on the first

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losses should the home owner in that it will take on the first

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future failed to make their mortgage payments. Don't worry about that, if

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you are a buyer, you are going to be concerned about coming up with the

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5% deposit and 95% mortgages will be available again in participating

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a housing prime mover. You cannot get training to 5% mortgage anymore,

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90% even, so there are couples in our country who have good jobs,

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decent incomes, they could afford the mortgage payments but they

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failure in our banking market. So Jonathan, but I guess for you this

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is not Homes Under The Hammer, but a main impact of this scheme will

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is not Homes Under The Hammer, but a to push up prices, who does that

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benefit? Mostly rich and all the people who own their houses. Plus

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the banks, of course, because it is a subsidy for them. Who loses?

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People who want to buy a house in the future. Moreover, it is a bit

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odd that the Government says it the future. Moreover, it is a bit

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not OK to borrow to finance schools or roads, but it is fine for the

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effectively, in order to guarantee housing market. 2.3 million? I do

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not think Help to Buy covers that. But enter a would-be buyer, will

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they now be seeing a plethora of help to buy mortgages? In a word,

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no. David Cameron has brought the months, and banks were not ready at

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that stage. Two banks have committed to fund the scheme, the Lloyds group

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and the RBS group, so lenders like Halifax, RBS and NatWest. They will

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be doing the scheme, but even once the scheme is up and running you are

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probably find 95% mortgages on the high street because of the guarantee

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the government is offering. People might say this is how we got into a

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mess in the first place. Why would the government want to make those

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products available then now? It the government want to make those

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more what investment banks were doing in the background that caused

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performed extremely well through the depths of the downturn. Is this

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performed extremely well through the game changer? Yes, I have done my

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best to save over the last few years but this has enabled me to make

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best to save over the last few years first purchase. How frustrating

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best to save over the last few years it just renting? Very frustrating,

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you are throwing away money hand over fist, and now I can take that

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enthusiasm raises a question back at the flat. If you are looking for a

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95% mortgage, you don't really care economy, you are thinking, great, I

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can buy a house. Yes, if I was a house buyer or a bank, I would be

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pleased, but it will do longer term economic damage. The tricky steps

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the government are trying to pull off is that home-buyers might be so

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grateful for the opportunity to off is that home-buyers might be so

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their own homes that they reward the Government with the vote, while

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their own homes that they reward the the same time the Government tries

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to sidestep consequences that such a Now Conservative MP Margot James,

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and Allister Heath, editor of City It is said by the critics that this

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scheme will cause a housing bubble. Where is the evidence? House prices

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are more varied. Housing not just in London remains overvalued and the

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problem with this scheme is that it will pump up house prices, it will

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therefore houses will become even more overvalued. That is a dangerous

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territory, last time it ended in tears, and now the Government is

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taking on the risk of that policy. What do you say to that? We have a

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real problem, it takes people on average until they are 38 years

:17:44.:17:55.

real problem, it takes people on property. The problem is not that

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they cannot afford it, but they cannot afford the deposit. We have

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got to do something to allow people to get their feet on the property

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ladder and I don't agree it will cause a boom in house prices. It

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would if we were not building any have had a record this year, 12

:18:10.:18:23.

months to right now, the record have had a record this year, 12

:18:23.:18:34.

the last ten years. These are not the statistics I have seen, but

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the last ten years. These are not new supply is coming up. It is

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starting to creep up. We don't see enough house building, need to build

:18:42.:18:48.

more houses and that is a solution to this problem. You are right,

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people cannot afford to buy homes and the reason is there are not

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enough good quality homes in the deposits are so high is because

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secondly the Government has passed laws to make the banking system

:19:04.:19:08.

secondly the Government has passed prudent, telling them to put more

:19:08.:19:13.

wrong. Now suddenly the Government is not happy with the outcome of its

:19:13.:19:18.

own rules and is trying to create these subsidies to circumvent the

:19:18.:19:24.

rules it has put in place. It is not a subsidy. Don't forget banks have

:19:24.:19:28.

to pay a charge in order to take part in this loan scheme and that

:19:28.:19:34.

the... You are guaranteeing the money. Yes, but the fear is worked

:19:34.:19:42.

out on a commercial basis. The taxpayer is protected. Why? You

:19:42.:19:47.

out on a commercial basis. The guaranteeing £12 billion worth of

:19:47.:19:52.

mortgages per year. Yes but the change in the whole mortgage basis

:19:52.:19:58.

has been made a few years ago in response of the crash. They made the

:19:58.:20:01.

distressed test on people applying for mortgages much higher and you

:20:01.:20:12.

twice... So it will not be like these self certification mortgages

:20:12.:20:17.

handed out in America that caused the sub-prime crisis? Pigment bit

:20:17.:20:21.

like that but the banks are rightly asking for bigger deposits, they

:20:21.:20:26.

know there is a big chance house prices could fall if interest rates

:20:26.:20:33.

eventually, so they are demanding bigger deposits. The Government

:20:33.:20:38.

eventually, so they are demanding circumventing this is being passed

:20:38.:20:40.

eventually, so they are demanding on to the taxpayers which is why it

:20:40.:20:41.

is a dangerous policy. Instead they on to the taxpayers which is why it

:20:41.:20:44.

is a dangerous policy. Instead they should be massively accelerating

:20:44.:20:52.

Planning permission is much easier to get now, we have seen a 49%

:20:52.:20:54.

increase in planning permission to get now, we have seen a 49%

:20:54.:20:59.

a new building over the last year, a huge increase. In the figures I

:20:59.:21:05.

a new building over the last year, a recently, they showed new start

:21:05.:21:08.

a new building over the last year, a the 12 months to the autumn were

:21:08.:21:12.

only about 110,000 which is the figure you inherited, which was

:21:12.:21:17.

only about 110,000 which is the an all-time low in 2010. New house

:21:17.:21:19.

built in the last quarter are third up on the time last year. You have

:21:20.:21:24.

relaxation of planning laws and up on the time last year. You have

:21:24.:21:29.

other policies the Government put into effect last year to take effect

:21:29.:21:33.

and it is coming through now. I agree, if we weren't building more

:21:33.:21:38.

houses, if the construction sector advantage of the increased demand,

:21:38.:21:45.

there would be a risk. David Cameron says you are snob and it is only

:21:45.:21:52.

snobs who dislike Help To Buy. They don't have the bank of mum and dad,

:21:52.:21:59.

people like that will finally get on the housing ladder. That is complete

:21:59.:22:05.

nonsense. We need a sustainable housing market where there is a

:22:05.:22:10.

large amount of construction, like in the 1930s for example, where

:22:10.:22:13.

large numbers of proper family homes were being built for people. House

:22:13.:22:22.

prices were pushed down and people could afford houses. You are now

:22:22.:22:28.

encouraging people to take out a 95% mortgage, I thought that was a bad

:22:28.:22:34.

idea, so supposing interest rates go struggle, and supposing house prices

:22:34.:22:42.

fall by more than 5%, I am now faced with negative equity and soaring

:22:42.:22:49.

interest rates that I cannot afford. 95% mortgage, if you can afford

:22:49.:22:54.

interest rates that I cannot afford. repayments, you will be fine. What

:22:54.:22:57.

happens when interest rates rise? They have got to rise a lot before

:22:57.:23:03.

you get into trouble. People are already affording rent which is

:23:03.:23:08.

you get into trouble. People are lot higher than mortgage payments.

:23:08.:23:11.

You will not be able to get into this scheme unless you can afford

:23:11.:23:16.

repayments double what they are this scheme unless you can afford

:23:16.:23:20.

the moment. The Conservatives should limelight last week but there was an

:23:20.:23:24.

unwelcome intruder in the shape limelight last week but there was an

:23:24.:23:30.

row between Ed Miliband and the Daily Mail. Just over a week ago the

:23:30.:23:38.

claiming that Ed Miliband's Father Ralph hated Britain. They showed a

:23:38.:23:45.

picture of his father's gravestone with the caption, grave socialist.

:23:45.:23:48.

They then removed the photo and with the caption, grave socialist.

:23:48.:23:53.

Ed Miliband the right to reply on printed an editorial alongside it

:23:53.:23:57.

saying they stood by every word printed an editorial alongside it

:23:57.:24:01.

published an fair headline. It also reporter had gate-crashed a private

:24:01.:24:08.

memorial service for Ed Miliband's uncle in a London hospital, for

:24:08.:24:13.

which the paper has now apologised, but Ed Miliband has called on the

:24:14.:24:15.

hard look at the way his papers but Ed Miliband has called on the

:24:15.:24:23.

run. This comes a week before a but Ed Miliband has called on the

:24:23.:24:31.

Joining us now from Hull, John Prescott. Does this row between

:24:31.:24:40.

Joining us now from Hull, John reinforce the case for tough, new

:24:40.:24:46.

certainly influences the opinion about that but that is more of Paul

:24:46.:24:49.

Dacre's doing. Ed Miliband rang about that but that is more of Paul

:24:50.:24:54.

while I was in Strasbourg making sure my complaints were nothing

:24:54.:24:59.

while I was in Strasbourg making do with press regulation and he

:24:59.:25:03.

while I was in Strasbourg making right. This argument is not about

:25:04.:25:07.

politicians and media people, it is about ordinary people that love

:25:07.:25:16.

politicians and media people, it is and dealt with. All of these cases

:25:16.:25:17.

affected individual people and they are the ones that need to have

:25:17.:25:22.

justice in this matter. Next week we will be hearing whether the Privy

:25:22.:25:26.

Council will be reporting on the will be hearing whether the Privy

:25:26.:25:37.

agreeing then that what the mail did with its Miliband article was a

:25:37.:25:49.

matter of judgement? Yes, and the with its Miliband article was a

:25:49.:26:02.

conclusion that the relationship between the press, the police and

:26:02.:26:05.

politicians should be governed, between the press, the police and

:26:05.:26:16.

proposal given by half the press industry that that does not meet the

:26:16.:26:20.

Leveson requirement and I suspect the Privy Council this week will

:26:20.:26:22.

have to reject that, and I hope the Privy Council this week will

:26:22.:26:27.

will because it is not consistent with the Leveson report which the

:26:27.:26:32.

Prime Minister said he supported. You attacked the mail in your column

:26:32.:26:38.

today but your paper went through the Cameron family bins to see what

:26:38.:26:43.

nappies they used for their disabled son. Isn't that far more offensive

:26:43.:26:46.

than what the Daily Mail wrote about Ralph Miliband? It probably is,

:26:46.:26:56.

than what the Daily Mail wrote about couldn't defend that. I have had

:26:56.:27:04.

Haven't we all? Yes, but we are editors who acts unilaterally. Paul

:27:04.:27:15.

Dacre is running this thing in the judgement and some accountability

:27:15.:27:31.

which the press have accepted the old PCC is no good. They are playing

:27:31.:27:33.

for time because if they reject old PCC is no good. They are playing

:27:33.:27:37.

this week there is 12 months until you can consider a parliamentary

:27:37.:27:42.

alternative and then you are near the election and you begin to bully

:27:42.:27:45.

the leaders. That is how they have been successful in putting off

:27:45.:27:55.

recommendations. Maybe my memory is fading but did you or anybody else

:27:55.:28:01.

in the Labour Party object to the Sunday Mirror's behaviour? I didn't

:28:01.:28:04.

know about it. I would just say Sunday Mirror's behaviour? I didn't

:28:04.:28:09.

is wrong if that is what they did. As you said, you have the same

:28:09.:28:13.

position when they go through your rubbish bins, I think that is wrong.

:28:13.:28:19.

We have Leveson set up by the Prime Minister to look at the cultures and

:28:19.:28:23.

practices and the unilateral action of editors and he came forward with

:28:23.:28:27.

a proposal that was agreed in Parliament under a compromise of the

:28:27.:28:39.

Royal Charter. I don't like a Royal Charter, it is not democratic

:28:39.:28:41.

frankly, but we have agreed to go along with it so why did the

:28:42.:28:44.

Government set up in charge at the same time rushed through the press

:28:44.:28:51.

box? It looks like a fix, like they are using the Royal Charter as a

:28:51.:28:58.

means of delaying everything. They have now said they are going to

:28:58.:29:02.

introduce their own independent charter. This industry does not want

:29:02.:29:07.

to face up to any form of accountability. We know Alistair

:29:07.:29:09.

Campbell and Ed Miliband's officers accountability. We know Alistair

:29:09.:29:14.

are working closely on the assault of the Mail. What is the endgame for

:29:14.:29:24.

this? Is it the head of Paul Dacre? He is not an acceptable character to

:29:24.:29:36.

me, and he needs to be taking account. When Ed Miliband rang me it

:29:36.:29:41.

was to say, don't let these arguments drift into press

:29:41.:29:44.

regulation, he wanted the argument of decency. Are you and Ed Miliband

:29:44.:29:58.

after Paul Dacre's head? No, he can stay there. It is like with Murdoch,

:29:58.:30:00.

after Paul Dacre's head? No, he can we were not attacking him but what

:30:00.:30:04.

is papers were doing. To that extent, what they are doing about

:30:04.:30:08.

ordinary people, not just big politicians who can look after

:30:08.:30:12.

themselves. We know, with the bad cases he had to deal with, they

:30:12.:30:16.

might get libel action, which the press say, but they pretty well

:30:16.:30:20.

destroyed their lives. That is about judgment. If you say, as Paul Dacre

:30:20.:30:25.

got good judgment? I would say no, he will have to live with it.

:30:25.:30:30.

Thank you for joining us, he did not even have to go to the BBC studios,

:30:31.:30:36.

we sent a truck there for him. What is the endgame in this? Whether the

:30:36.:30:41.

Labour Party is trying to make this an issue press regulation are not,

:30:41.:30:45.

this is where it is going. We have the criminal trial involving Andy

:30:45.:30:49.

Coulson coming up, the Privy Council discussing press radiation before

:30:49.:30:51.

the end of the year, and the question is, what is political

:30:51.:30:55.

impact? My hunch, it is an unfashionable view, is that the

:30:55.:30:59.

total at yum elated political impact of the Leveson story over the past

:30:59.:31:02.

several years, hacking and everything, is close to zero,

:31:02.:31:09.

because most voters do not care, and those who do care believe that all

:31:09.:31:13.

parties are roughly complicit in being too close to editors and

:31:13.:31:18.

proprietors. You said that Adam Afriyie was a Labour mould, with a

:31:18.:31:24.

smile. Is the Daily Mail also a Labour mole? This has been a dream

:31:24.:31:28.

for Ed Miliband, I took on Murdoch, I am taking on the energy companies

:31:28.:31:34.

and now the evil Daily Mail! I think... I should say I used to work

:31:34.:31:38.

for the Daily Mail, but when they printed the right of reply, they

:31:38.:31:42.

surrounded it with a big two fingers up at Ed. If they had not done

:31:42.:31:44.

surrounded it with a big two fingers that, they would not be in this

:31:44.:31:49.

position. The poll in the Sunday Times this morning shows 72% think

:31:49.:31:53.

the Daily Mail was wrong and backed Mr Miliband's demand for an apology.

:31:53.:31:58.

If you come to define and your dad, people are naturally going to do

:31:58.:32:02.

this, but it took all the coverage away from the Tory conference, the

:32:02.:32:05.

media loves covering itself, here we are doing it again, this has been a

:32:05.:32:12.

dream for Mr Miliband. The political significance of this is that David

:32:12.:32:15.

Cameron said in the House of Commons that he wanted to try to find some

:32:15.:32:18.

common ground between the three party Royal Charter and the

:32:18.:32:24.

so-called press industry version. What the Daily Mail has done is

:32:24.:32:28.

ensured that the Prime Minister is not going to be able to do that.

:32:28.:32:31.

What is going to happen this week is that the press Royal Charter has to

:32:31.:32:35.

be considered first, and that will probably be rejected. The Privy

:32:35.:32:41.

Council will reject it. Then the three party Royal Charter will come

:32:42.:32:46.

up, but meanwhile the press will set up their own regulatory body because

:32:46.:32:51.

the Royal Charter is not a proper statutory underpinning, they will be

:32:51.:32:52.

able to go ahead with that. There statutory underpinning, they will be

:32:52.:32:56.

will be the legal basis for the oversight of the oversight body, and

:32:56.:33:01.

it will basically just be an ambassador that will not be

:33:01.:33:07.

resolved. As you say, no-one much cares about this outside of the

:33:07.:33:10.

profession and a few media watchers. But this has been great politics for

:33:10.:33:18.

Ed Miliband. It is only great politics if he scores a great

:33:18.:33:25.

victory. I take your view that people are cynical about it. But the

:33:25.:33:29.

narrative is, I am the chap who stands up to vested interests. But

:33:29.:33:33.

all those vested interests are people that you would expect a

:33:33.:33:36.

left-wing politician to want to take on. It is also more significant

:33:36.:33:45.

about who he has stood up for, and the person he has studied for is his

:33:45.:33:48.

father. Maybe people thought of him as a Marxist, now they think of him

:33:48.:33:54.

as war hero. He gets to the crux of matters, you know! You are watching

:33:54.:34:00.

the Sunday Politics. Coming up in just over 20 minutes, I will be

:34:00.:34:01.

speaking to Godfrey In the East Midlands, the

:34:01.:34:14.

campaigners looking to stamp out scam mail. The letters with tempting

:34:14.:34:18.

offers which keep coming through our doors and can leave victims tens of

:34:18.:34:26.

thousands of pounds out of pocket. Receiving these through your

:34:26.:34:29.

letterbox, if you are a victim, is like being mugged in your own home.

:34:29.:34:33.

And last week it was Brighton, this week it's Manchester. Our Political

:34:33.:34:35.

Editor gives us a behind—the—scenes look at how the East Midlands has

:34:35.:34:38.

influenced the Conservative Party conference.

:34:38.:34:41.

Hello, I'm Marie Ashby and my guests this week include someone who's

:34:41.:34:44.

spent the week at the Tory Party conference in Manchester, Heather

:34:44.:34:46.

Wheeler the Conservative MP for Derbyshire South. And still sporting

:34:46.:34:50.

a Brighton sun tan, it's John Mann, the Labour MP for Bassetlaw in

:34:50.:34:54.

Nottinghamshire. Welcome to you both. First, let's get your reaction

:34:54.:34:58.

to the consultation which opened this week on the Derbyshire Fire and

:34:58.:35:01.

Rescue Service's plans to close 19 fire stations across the county.

:35:01.:35:10.

You must have some very worried constituents, Heather? At the

:35:10.:35:16.

moment, I did suppose they are worried because they probably don't

:35:16.:35:21.

know much about it. Your programmers highlighting it. The website dashed

:35:21.:35:26.

the document is on the website. Or they can bring my office and get

:35:26.:35:31.

copies. The model of the fire service is based on 1947 rules. This

:35:31.:35:37.

is the 21st century. We need our fire service to come into the 21st

:35:37.:35:45.

century. This is a plan for the future. So you approve of these

:35:45.:35:51.

plans? I went my constituents to read the document and understand it

:35:51.:35:56.

and give their comments. What is fascinating is that our numbers of

:35:56.:36:01.

callouts have gone down 40 3% —— 40%. And we are getting safer as

:36:01.:36:13.

well? Absolutely. We the same arguments from the ambulance service

:36:13.:36:17.

in the East Midlands and the police service pulling police officers off

:36:17.:36:20.

the front line and hospitals losing accident and emergency departments.

:36:20.:36:25.

One thing that categorises this coalition government is that they

:36:25.:36:30.

are taking part 999 services. Derbyshire is getting hits like the

:36:30.:36:35.

rest of the country. But these plans were approved by the Labour majority

:36:35.:36:39.

on the Fire authority. Because they have got less money because the

:36:39.:36:43.

government has cut the money. It boils down to government

:36:44.:36:47.

priorities. When George Osborne and David Cameron —— where they spend

:36:47.:36:56.

the money, they cut money from fire services. Cuts, he is saying. No,

:36:56.:37:02.

you doesn't understandably not going back to the 1970s. We are looking

:37:02.:37:07.

forward to the future. There aren't some fantastic new pieces of kit. We

:37:07.:37:12.

have to move with the times? Well, we've reported on the Lib

:37:12.:37:15.

Dems, Labour and the Conservatives as the party conference season has

:37:15.:37:18.

progressed, but what about some of the other parties? In a moment,

:37:18.:37:21.

we'll be hearing from UKIP, but first the Greens' spokesman in the

:37:21.:37:24.

region, Richard Mallender, told our reporter Helen McCulloch, about

:37:24.:37:26.

their prospects. I think there is very good support

:37:26.:37:30.

for the Green party in the East Midlands. We know from our local

:37:30.:37:34.

election results and from the European results last time around

:37:34.:37:38.

that many people want to vote Green. We are thinking about the

:37:38.:37:41.

European elections next year when there is a proportional

:37:41.:37:47.

representation system. That will be opportunity for people. What are

:37:47.:37:49.

your key policies for the East Midlands? We are looking to help

:37:49.:37:55.

grow the green economy. Want to see investment in housing and proper

:37:55.:37:59.

installation. We want to see investment in renewable energy as

:37:59.:38:05.

well. The East Midlands is the powerhouse for the UK economy. We

:38:05.:38:09.

have power stations here in the Trent Valley. We also have ideal

:38:09.:38:13.

situation for a lots more wind power. Some members of the Green

:38:13.:38:18.

party has said that you need to look towards UKIP to gather support. UKIP

:38:18.:38:25.

have been good at getting into the media. Unfortunately, or

:38:25.:38:30.

fortunately, they have not had many —— we have not had many members

:38:30.:38:34.

shooting their mouths of them saying daft things. We have to be out there

:38:34.:38:36.

putting our policies forward. Well, a few digs at UKIP there and

:38:37.:38:40.

with impeccable timing, joining us in the studio is Roger Helmer,

:38:40.:38:44.

UKIP's MEP for the East Midlands. So, Roger. Richard Malleinder saying

:38:44.:38:47.

that your party enjoys the controversy of it all. And some have

:38:47.:38:56.

enjoyed putting their foot in it? We are a resurgent, exciting party. We

:38:56.:39:01.

attract people with big personalities. Some of them go over

:39:01.:39:05.

the top but at least there is action and development and excitement. So

:39:05.:39:12.

the European elections next year, but already your deputy, Paul

:39:12.:39:16.

Nuttall, is saying that he UKIP should stand in the European

:39:16.:39:21.

elections. What do you think? We want to know because we want to

:39:21.:39:27.

inform the current and the! You will be standing against me? No, I would

:39:27.:39:34.

be standing against Heather Wheeler! I'm standing for a five—year term in

:39:34.:39:40.

the Parliament. I hope I shall do well next year. But you must be

:39:40.:39:49.

worried about UKIP? We have done interesting polling and we have

:39:49.:39:56.

noticed how many votes are coming in from the old Labour end. We have a

:39:56.:40:01.

small socialist workers group but they are churning through the votes

:40:01.:40:08.

and UKIP are picking up those. Heather is right. Many people say

:40:08.:40:14.

the UKIP is the Conservative Party in Excel. But we are getting votes

:40:14.:40:21.

—— the Conservative Party in ex—aisle. But we are getting votes

:40:21.:40:24.

from people who have not voted in many years or from the Lib Dems or

:40:24.:40:37.

Labour. Are you worried, John? No, I'll worried about the hypocrisy of

:40:37.:40:43.

UKIP. How much of you are from its? You have earned millions, you would

:40:43.:40:48.

your leaders. Don't MPs get salaries? You don't believe any

:40:48.:40:55.

European elections! I believe in representing my constituents. You

:40:55.:41:03.

represent the —— in the European Parliament as if you are a Foreign

:41:03.:41:10.

Minister. You argued that I shouldn't be allowed to represent

:41:10.:41:15.

the European Parliament's view. I did not say any of those things. I

:41:15.:41:19.

did not say that we ought to go and absolutely did not say that I was

:41:20.:41:24.

representing the European Parliament. I represent a

:41:24.:41:28.

constituency represent me. And I suppose you want in South Korea

:41:28.:41:32.

either, paid for by the taxpayer? Gentleman, so why should they vote

:41:32.:41:38.

for Labour and not UKIP? Because of jobs. The critical thing is jobs.

:41:38.:41:44.

That is what East Midlands needs. And these 909 services. The NHS in

:41:44.:41:49.

turmoil because of the cuts that are starting to work through. The fire

:41:49.:41:53.

service, the Belize, the ambulance service ahead of it. That is what

:41:53.:41:59.

Labour is fighting on. So how will you counter this UKIP vote? The

:41:59.:42:05.

answer is that we have already got fantastic manufacturing jobs here.

:42:05.:42:08.

They understand that Europe cannot do without us. They would be happy

:42:08.:42:12.

to have a free trade agreement. There is no way that John and his

:42:12.:42:16.

merry gang are gay to take is back to the 1970s. With your party be

:42:16.:42:25.

standing against Heather? I don't know. Can I come back to John's

:42:25.:42:31.

point. He has said that jobs are being hurt by excessive immigration

:42:31.:42:36.

from Europe. We agree. The difference is is that it was John's

:42:36.:42:41.

party which encourage this massive immigration and we are the only

:42:41.:42:45.

party saying that we have to get out of European Union because that is

:42:45.:42:48.

the only way that we can control our borders. And they don't say what

:42:48.:42:53.

they would have in its place. But what Rogers said in America to the

:42:53.:42:58.

Heritage Institute was that we want more flexible labour markets, in

:42:58.:43:03.

other words, cheaper labour here. That issue has not been addressed.

:43:03.:43:10.

Ever since Roger was in the Tory party and Margaret Thatcher took a

:43:10.:43:15.

sin. It was your party when you were in the Tory party. The big error was

:43:15.:43:19.

not that people can move across Europe, but that they can work

:43:19.:43:24.

anywhere. What I am calling for is Caesar's so that we give people jobs

:43:24.:43:30.

where they are needed and not where there's competition. Well done!

:43:30.:43:37.

Ever, do you see UKIP are being taken more seriously? I can

:43:37.:43:43.

understand why they're hopeful that, but unfortunately, they are not.

:43:43.:43:48.

What is an old, dear friend and I will not disrespecting. But we are

:43:48.:43:51.

talking about, in the nicest sense of the phrase, a group of people

:43:51.:43:57.

coming together and unfortunately people have got very, very angry.

:43:57.:44:03.

The recession was so bad and the austerity measures. But we had to

:44:03.:44:08.

take them because of the huge deficit that we were left. But we

:44:08.:44:13.

are coming out of the other side of it now. What about the fantastic

:44:13.:44:16.

figures about the number of cars bought in the last month. And that

:44:16.:44:21.

is Derbyshire. How was the party going to be taken more seriously? I

:44:21.:44:25.

have seen the list of candidates for next year's European elections and

:44:25.:44:30.

I'm very impressed. We have taken one guy who made a bit of a blooper

:44:30.:44:34.

at our party conference and remove the whip from them. Any new party

:44:34.:44:40.

will have people like this. We will straighten it out. We are a serious

:44:40.:44:47.

party. We came second in the last European election. You bang on about

:44:47.:44:56.

riding high in the polls, but but you did OK Lincolnshire but not in

:44:56.:44:59.

the rest of the East Midlands. Compared to where we were, it was an

:44:59.:45:04.

extraordinarily good result. Last time, we came second, ahead of

:45:04.:45:12.

Labour. And we see the every —— we see every prospect of coming first

:45:12.:45:15.

next time. That'll be a game changer in British politics. You have been

:45:15.:45:21.

born! Roger Helmer, thank you for joining us.

:45:21.:45:23.

Now last week our Political Editor, John Hess, sent me a postcard from

:45:23.:45:27.

the Labour conference in sunny Brighton. This week, he's been to

:45:27.:45:30.

not—so—sunny Manchester to see the Conservatives at their conference.

:45:30.:45:38.

Dear Marie, a moment to relax with a touch of crazy golf, scale down to

:45:38.:45:42.

an exhibition stand at the Conservative conference. One of our

:45:42.:45:46.

MPs is even on the leaderboard. So which leader has got the best

:45:46.:45:51.

handicapped and which one is on the campaign fair way for a hole in one.

:45:51.:45:56.

But what you can't fail to mess around the Conference exhibition

:45:56.:45:59.

hall is the image of the Tories certainly had an election winning

:45:59.:46:05.

swing. Margaret Thatcher still inspires the party faithful,

:46:05.:46:08.

especially for a new generation of conservative women. At a fringe

:46:08.:46:15.

meeting, there were renewed calls for more women in politics. I think

:46:15.:46:19.

it is much more credible if we have women talking about these is use

:46:20.:46:24.

across the political spectrum than if we have the same men on TV or in

:46:24.:46:29.

the newspapers all of the time. Amanda Soloway chairs the party's

:46:29.:46:34.

women's organisation in the East Midlands and hopes to be the next MP

:46:34.:46:38.

for Derby North. I would certainly like to see us getting into 40%. Try

:46:38.:46:47.

to get women more involved. We have a lot to offer. Ken Clarke believes

:46:47.:46:53.

he has more to offer. He confirmed he was staying on to fight the next

:46:53.:46:58.

general election in rashly. I will be 74. Mid—term of my career. I am

:46:58.:47:05.

surprised, to find myself still doing it. Although when I started, I

:47:05.:47:11.

would have told you that I'm not sure if I would be persuaded to give

:47:11.:47:17.

this up. Back to the golf, and success. The Conference ball hits

:47:17.:47:20.

its target but maybe that is just political spin.

:47:20.:47:22.

John Hess reporting on the Conservatives in Brighton — and get

:47:22.:47:26.

ready to see our political editor as you've never seen him before in 60

:47:26.:47:30.

seconds. But first, to most of us they're a nuisance — but to others

:47:30.:47:33.

they can mean being conned out of thousands of pounds. Scam mail,

:47:33.:47:36.

delivered through the letter box, telling you you've won prizes and

:47:36.:47:40.

you need to send money to receive them, is a growing problem. And here

:47:40.:47:43.

in the East Midlands, a campaign's sprung up to have them made illegal.

:47:43.:47:47.

Des Coleman has been to meet the family of one victim.

:47:47.:47:54.

Sometimes it is just junk mail. Other times, it includes tempting

:47:54.:47:58.

offers of cash. Most of us throw them away. But some people get taken

:47:58.:48:03.

in. I have come to Derbyshire to talk to a family that lost thousands

:48:03.:48:09.

to one such scam. This is three months' worth of scam mail that you

:48:09.:48:14.

had redirected from your father's house. Added it affect him? My

:48:14.:48:21.

father became totally addicted to the extent that if you got a letter

:48:21.:48:24.

like this, he would not do anything else that day until he had filled in

:48:24.:48:30.

the forms, may the application and sent off his checks to the

:48:30.:48:36.

criminals. He would refuse to to do anything with the family until he

:48:36.:48:43.

had done that. £150 a week, £5,000 a year. We worked out that since he

:48:43.:48:48.

has been doing this, he must have spent over £30,000. So what can be

:48:48.:48:53.

done? Three things need to be done. One is to stop the delivery through

:48:53.:48:59.

people's letterboxes of this can mail —— of this scam mail. The Royal

:48:59.:49:06.

mail needs to filter this mail out. Secondly, Parliament needs to

:49:06.:49:11.

strengthen consumer protection regulations to make trading

:49:12.:49:17.

standards take stronger action against these criminals and conmen

:49:17.:49:22.

delivering this mail. And ministers need to recognise that this is an

:49:22.:49:25.

addiction, an illness, just as much as alcoholism.

:49:25.:49:27.

Marilyn Baldwin, the founder of the Think Jessica Charity, is here. I

:49:27.:49:32.

read on your website about your mum being scammed and it was just

:49:32.:49:38.

heartbreaking. She was in her eighties, describe to me how it

:49:38.:49:46.

literally took over her whole life. Described to me the day—to—day

:49:47.:49:52.

bombardment. What happened to my mother, she responded to one of

:49:52.:49:56.

these letters. And I was put on what is called a sucker 's' list. Over

:49:56.:50:00.

the five—year period before she died, she received over —— several

:50:00.:50:11.

letters from the scammers. We try to get the post redirected but there

:50:11.:50:15.

was nothing that we could do. We could not get power of attorney, we

:50:15.:50:20.

could do nothing. We had to stand back and watch a do it. What effect

:50:20.:50:24.

did it have on her mentally, physically. Mother stopped going

:50:24.:50:28.

out, she missed family weddings, she became very fearful of people coming

:50:28.:50:33.

to the door. She was getting letters from FBI agents, she was getting

:50:33.:50:36.

letters from clairvoyant saying that her family were against her. It was

:50:36.:50:42.

a whole cocktail of additional characters which formed her

:50:42.:50:46.

delusional world. You set up the charity based in the East Midlands,

:50:46.:50:49.

but it is a much bigger problem than just here. It is a massive problem.

:50:49.:50:57.

Through the Think Jessica Charity website, we can be alerted to people

:50:57.:51:03.

who have lost millions. This mail is pumping into the UK. Brian Smith in

:51:03.:51:09.

the video there is one of your constituents, what have you been

:51:09.:51:17.

doing to help him? We have had ten minute rule debates in Parliament.

:51:17.:51:21.

We have got hold of the ministers, try to explain to them the issue

:51:21.:51:27.

over Royal mail. At the minute, it takes a signature of the Home

:51:27.:51:30.

Secretary to stop mail being delivered. Well to reason may is a

:51:30.:51:34.

bit busy! There are other things we should do. —— to reason may is a bit

:51:34.:51:43.

busy! The Royal mail don't want to be dealing with it they won't be

:51:43.:51:48.

sorting office to have a bundle of it and the police to go through it.

:51:48.:51:54.

We need regulation. I take my hot off to you, setting up a charity. I

:51:54.:52:00.

have found people, not always at elderly, while barristers say

:52:00.:52:06.

anything. They are scared as well. There is an embarrassment factor ——

:52:06.:52:10.

they are embarrassed to say anything. People get sucked into

:52:10.:52:17.

this. A rent as losses. Our MPs doing enough? In 2009, I addressed

:52:17.:52:27.

MPs in the House of Commons and I thought things were going to be done

:52:27.:52:35.

then. MPs have come on board. Heather is doing an amazing job

:52:35.:52:39.

now. Hopefully, she will keep pushing. I would like to bring in

:52:39.:52:44.

that these scammers know exactly who they are going for. They are going

:52:44.:52:48.

from mailing lists that categorise people as being elderly. You want

:52:48.:52:55.

the world mail to tackle this, but how? Now that we here it is going to

:52:55.:52:59.

privatise as well, that must be a concern. Yes, when I first

:52:59.:53:05.

approached Royal mail, I asked them to put a simple message or flyer

:53:05.:53:10.

where they could flag up victims who were getting a lot of this type of

:53:11.:53:15.

mail. They said it was impossible to do. Everything about a pensioner

:53:15.:53:22.

getting 100 letters a day and they say they can't be flagged up? ! They

:53:22.:53:28.

say that they have cancelled several contracts over recent years and that

:53:28.:53:32.

they understand the upset that scam mail can cause. This is a printed

:53:32.:53:38.

Royal mail stamp. The company that sent this can be traced by the PPI

:53:38.:53:43.

number on that stand. So cancelling ten contract is only the tip of the

:53:43.:53:49.

answer. —— the PPI number on that stamp. What we are doing is taking

:53:49.:53:56.

it a trading standards. East Staffordshire Council going to be

:53:56.:54:00.

the hub. I have 21 MPs from all around the country who have got

:54:00.:54:04.

their councils to join up with the East Sussex hub. We will attack the

:54:04.:54:10.

criminals that way. What about Royal mail. There are plans for

:54:10.:54:13.

privatisation. They are hardly going to want to turn away business? What

:54:13.:54:20.

Royal mail have done is what they have —— which is the tip of the

:54:20.:54:24.

iceberg. They have stopped coming in at the airports. This top 50,001 go

:54:24.:54:31.

last time. But we need to change the law. It is too profitable for them.

:54:31.:54:37.

Older viewers know, we all get junk mail of different kinds. Not of this

:54:37.:54:44.

volume. This isn't junk, it is scam. Junk mail is legal. But the Royal

:54:44.:54:49.

mail is making vast amounts of money from people buying mailing list. So

:54:49.:54:55.

you are saying it is not in their interest to act on this? It is not

:54:55.:54:59.

in their commercial interest. We need to make it so. We try to

:54:59.:55:05.

educate victims and potential victims so that when these people

:55:05.:55:08.

receive our literature and they get one of these letters, they think,

:55:08.:55:14.

which is one of those, and they don't respond. Because at

:55:14.:57:04.

We are getting into a discussion of more affordable homes needed, but we

:57:05.:57:07.

have no time. Andrew, back to you. Our next guest is no stranger to

:57:07.:57:17.

controversy, a former UKIP MEP he Our next guest is no stranger to

:57:17.:57:22.

recently lost his party's whip after a series of outbursts including

:57:22.:57:44.

receiving aid as 'Bongo Bongo Land' and joking that a group of UKIP

:57:44.:57:47.

women who didn't clean behind their fridges were 'sluts'. Now he sits in

:57:47.:57:52.

independent but remains a UKIP party member. Here's a flavour of recent

:57:52.:57:55.

events in the political life of Godfrey Bloom. How you can possibly

:57:55.:58:10.

be giving £1 million a month... Bongo Bongo Land. I got 6000 e-mails

:58:10.:58:16.

within 12 hours, only 47 were not agreeing with me so you are the

:58:16.:58:20.

within 12 hours, only 47 were not that is out of touch. Everybody

:58:20.:58:23.

knows me, a bit like the Marmite joke, they love me or they hate

:58:23.:58:27.

knows me, a bit like the Marmite but I have always told me like it

:58:27.:58:35.

is. I made a joke and said that women who did not clean behind the

:58:35.:58:40.

French were sluts and everybody laughed along, including the women.

:58:40.:58:46.

I have had hundreds of e-mails, saying, God Almighty, can't you

:58:46.:58:51.

I have had hundreds of e-mails, a joke any more? I am long in the

:58:51.:58:54.

correctness and I understand UKIP have moved on and they are doing

:58:54.:59:06.

well, and I wish them well. This, with no black faces on it. You are

:59:06.:59:10.

picking people out for the colour of with no black faces on it. You are

:59:10.:59:16.

their skin? You disgust me! Perhaps the way they are doing things now is

:59:16.:59:25.

disgrace me. We are joined now with a suitable distance between us by

:59:25.:59:31.

the independent MEP for Yorkshire and the Humber, Godfrey Bloom. You

:59:31.:59:34.

said this weekend that you have and the Humber, Godfrey Bloom. You

:59:34.:59:40.

be a complete sociopath to be in politics, are you a sociopath? No, I

:59:40.:59:50.

rugby club likes to tell it as it am just an ordinary bloke from the

:59:50.:59:54.

rugby club likes to tell it as it is. I did not come into politics to

:59:54.:59:55.

rugby club likes to tell it as it save my country from the clutches of

:59:55.:00:00.

the awful, evil... That is why I am in politics, and that is why I

:00:00.:00:06.

member, and I will still be voting ability... Do you accept that your

:00:06.:00:14.

conference? We were both born in ability... Do you accept that your

:00:14.:00:21.

same year, we are too old to worry about regrets. Let's look forward

:00:21.:00:27.

and see... Never mind the year I was born, what is the answer to my

:00:27.:00:35.

country and intent to do the best I independent for my country, and

:00:35.:00:42.

country and intent to do the best I re-elected. They are the only game

:00:42.:00:45.

in town, the only party that will get as out. Shouldn't you have been

:00:45.:00:54.

liability? You hijacked the party conference. That is a matter of

:00:54.:00:58.

perception. We have heard nothing in the last two years but it is a

:00:58.:01:03.

one-man band, a Nigel Farage party, and I can make a joke at a fringe

:01:03.:01:06.

meeting and collapse the whole thing. This doesn't say anything

:01:06.:01:14.

Andrew. It tells you about your journalism - it is not about UKIP or

:01:14.:01:23.

me, it was the journalists' reaction to a small joke at a meeting. And

:01:23.:01:30.

myself, unless I had a commended. Personality, the most unbelievable

:01:30.:01:43.

force of personality to collapse a party conference. Nigel Farage has

:01:43.:01:56.

been a friend of mine for 20 years, and may I remind you that in June

:01:56.:02:00.

and July UK was slipping in the polls, and when I made my statement

:02:00.:02:06.

about overseas aid, we went back to liability, I never was, I am a vote

:02:06.:02:13.

getter. As you know, there is a correlation, but let me show you

:02:14.:02:18.

what Nigel Farage had to say about you on the BBC. Let's blunder clip

:02:18.:02:23.

of that. We are not here to win friends amongst the liberal elite,

:02:23.:02:30.

and Godfrey's problem was that he manifesto. Don't you need to reflect

:02:30.:02:39.

that you are too outrageous, too politically incorrect even for UKIP?

:02:39.:02:41.

Well, you see, to a certain extent I politically incorrect even for UKIP?

:02:41.:02:47.

have been gagged on other subjects. I am a libertarian, I wanted to

:02:47.:02:51.

have been gagged on other subjects. about flat tax. I thought David

:02:51.:02:53.

Aronowitz wrote a very good piece in the times on drugs, and I have been

:02:53.:02:57.

gagged to speak about any of these things because they are not part of

:02:57.:03:01.

it, so I tend to speak about other things. Maybe they have outgrown

:03:01.:03:10.

machine, and they have to get rid of the Victor Meldrew wing. You might

:03:11.:03:13.

have a point, but I am speaking the Victor Meldrew wing. You might

:03:13.:03:17.

you from Hull, and if you look at Barnsley, and very recently in

:03:17.:03:23.

Scarborough and Whitby in the buy legends, 25%, so how you see things

:03:23.:03:28.

in the bubble, it is not like how we see it appear in Yorkshire. You

:03:28.:03:32.

in the bubble, it is not like how we like the one who was sitting in

:03:32.:03:35.

in the bubble, it is not like how we bubble! Is UKIP unravelling? Of

:03:35.:03:35.

course it isn't, we are getting bubble! Is UKIP unravelling? Of

:03:35.:03:40.

of the vote in by-elections, of course it is not. Boy, wouldn't

:03:40.:03:45.

of the vote in by-elections, of main parties and the establishment

:03:45.:03:48.

love to see that! But I am sorry, it is not happening. Will you stand as

:03:48.:03:52.

an independence against UKIP in is not happening. Will you stand as

:03:52.:03:55.

European elections? Almost certainly elections were next week, I could

:03:55.:04:08.

do not think I will go that route. Will you stand as a UKIP candidate

:04:08.:04:10.

again? We do not know, probably Will you stand as a UKIP candidate

:04:10.:04:14.

but I shall certainly be trying Will you stand as a UKIP candidate

:04:14.:04:18.

help UKIP as best I can. You both share a flat, I understand, in

:04:18.:04:21.

Brussels, neither of you clean behind the fridge. Other than the

:04:21.:04:26.

fact that the place is probably quite murky, you have got a chance

:04:26.:04:30.

to talk to each other and get back into his good graces, haven't you? I

:04:30.:04:34.

am sure we will be having a beer before the month is out. So Godfrey

:04:34.:04:44.

take it? For those of you who were shrugged! Thank you very much for

:04:44.:04:50.

joining. A great pleasure. I will have to move my own share, you do

:04:50.:04:55.

not have the sea Jeremy Paxman doing that! Nobody votes for UKIP because

:04:55.:05:00.

they think they are a smooth, slick, absence of PR polish is the reason

:05:00.:05:07.

for their popularity, so these are skirmishes are not a problem, and

:05:07.:05:11.

more than that, Godfrey Bloom does make Nigel Farage look better. Even

:05:11.:05:15.

in that clip from Andrew Marr, he juxtaposition with someone like

:05:15.:05:20.

Godfrey Bloom than he has done before. I mean, he did hijacked

:05:20.:05:25.

Godfrey Bloom than he has done conference, it was a disaster, they

:05:25.:05:26.

got tonnes of publicity but not conference, it was a disaster, they

:05:26.:05:29.

kind they wanted. But you have to journalists. I thought he was sexist

:05:29.:05:37.

long before anyone else, he used to have an incredible page on his

:05:37.:05:42.

website entitled Godfrey Bloom: Misogynist, and the proof that he

:05:42.:05:47.

photographed with a girls' rugby characters in politics. He does

:05:47.:05:53.

photographed with a girls' rugby Nigel Farage look better, but is sin

:05:53.:05:55.

was to say things you said before but to ruin the party conference. It

:05:55.:06:01.

sounds like he is coming back. A beer in Brussels and he will be

:06:01.:06:06.

sounds like he is coming back. A on the UKIP ticket. Sitting having a

:06:06.:06:06.

beer in that built the Chechen, on the UKIP ticket. Sitting having a

:06:06.:06:12.

sounds like it may be what the deal is that he comes back into UKIP

:06:12.:06:15.

sounds like it may be what the deal does not stand as an MEP at the

:06:15.:06:18.

European Parliamentary elections. -- in that built the kitchen. It is

:06:18.:06:22.

right to say the electorate are sophisticated and they know what

:06:22.:06:25.

this party is for, what characters Godfrey Bloom said for people to

:06:25.:06:33.

electorate know what they go using UKIP four. They are using it as

:06:33.:06:37.

electorate know what they go using vehicle to beat over the head the

:06:37.:06:37.

three established parties. They vehicle to beat over the head the

:06:37.:06:40.

probably do it in the European elections and give them first place.

:06:40.:06:44.

The big question is what happens in problem that Nigel Farage was making

:06:44.:06:55.

The big question is what happens in an Andrew Marr this morning is that

:06:56.:06:56.

he wants to copy the tactics of an Andrew Marr this morning is that

:06:56.:06:58.

he wants to copy the tactics of Paddy Ashdown, get elected and

:06:58.:07:00.

councils, build up a Parliamentary base, and to do that you do need

:07:00.:07:01.

Commons next week, and there is base, and to do that you do need

:07:01.:07:04.

ministerial reshuffle on the cards, that is the rumour in Westminster.

:07:04.:07:06.

David Cameron has spoken of the that is the rumour in Westminster.

:07:06.:07:10.

David Cameron has spoken of the extraordinary talent pool of women

:07:10.:07:12.

among his ministers, so could he bring more of them into the cabinet?

:07:12.:07:14.

He was talking about it earlier bring more of them into the cabinet?

:07:15.:07:19.

week. I think we are getting there in Britain, but we have a long way

:07:19.:07:25.

businesses in Britain, there are not boardroom. If you look at politics

:07:25.:07:29.

in Britain, there aren't nearly enough women around the Cabinet

:07:29.:07:34.

table. So I think, in every walk of life, whether it is the judiciary,

:07:34.:07:38.

whether it is politics, business, there is a lot further to go. Before

:07:38.:07:41.

the last election, we only had there is a lot further to go. Before

:07:41.:07:45.

women Members of Parliament. We there is a lot further to go. Before

:07:45.:07:47.

have around 50, so we have made there is a lot further to go. Before

:07:47.:07:50.

big change, but it is still 50 out of 300, not nearly enough. So we

:07:50.:07:55.

need to do more. My wife likes to say, if you don't have women in

:07:55.:08:00.

need to do more. My wife likes to places, you're not just missing

:08:00.:08:03.

need to do more. My wife likes to missing out on a lot more than

:08:03.:08:06.

need to do more. My wife likes to of the talent, and I think she

:08:06.:08:09.

need to do more. My wife likes to probably has a point. The prime

:08:09.:08:14.

need to do more. My wife likes to there going to be a reshuffle? I

:08:14.:08:14.

think you are right to say there there going to be a reshuffle? I

:08:14.:08:19.

will be a lot more women, they need to change the ratio of women to

:08:19.:08:25.

will be a lot more women, they need called Dave who went to maudlin

:08:25.:08:33.

college. So obviously they are not fishing in the biggest talent pool,

:08:33.:08:43.

but there are numbers. Esther McVey has been selling a very difficult

:08:43.:08:46.

brief in work and pensions, you could see people being given bigger

:08:46.:08:48.

roles. Helen is pretty sure. We could see people being given bigger

:08:48.:08:55.

told it is not a Cabinet level reshuffle me it is under Secretary

:08:55.:08:57.

level, so maybe you could put Esther McVey into the Cabinet. Margot

:08:57.:09:05.

James, who you had here not that long ago, she is very impressive.

:09:05.:09:07.

What is impressive is that some long ago, she is very impressive.

:09:07.:09:11.

like Andrea Leadsom, who is really impressive, worked in the City,

:09:11.:09:16.

like Andrea Leadsom, who is really smart, really big on important

:09:16.:09:19.

intervention, she should still be in there, but she fell out with George

:09:19.:09:23.

Osborne when she dared to criticise him a few years ago over Ed Balls

:09:23.:09:33.

you are doing it on talent, Andrea expectation, if he does not do this

:09:33.:09:40.

you are doing it on talent, Andrea now, a tonne of bricks will fall on

:09:40.:09:44.

him. He has got no excuse not to promote women, because the 2010

:09:44.:09:49.

intake was disproportionately female in terms of talent. The question of

:09:49.:09:58.

the Tories and the struggle with women voters is a very deep and

:09:58.:10:01.

historic one. You have to remember that for most of the post-war period

:10:01.:10:05.

they had an advantage electorally amongst women voters. Many times

:10:05.:10:07.

Conservative government without amongst women voters. Many times

:10:07.:10:12.

women of this country. This began to change in the mid-1990s, and the

:10:12.:10:17.

question is, why has that happened? personalities at the top are now

:10:17.:10:21.

much more hostile to women, or less, personalities at the top are now

:10:21.:10:26.

Brent doubled to female voters? personalities at the top are now

:10:26.:10:27.

is such a deep historical trend personalities at the top are now

:10:27.:10:29.

I do not think one reshuffle will change it. -- or less competent

:10:29.:10:38.

civil. The English party conference season is over, do you share the

:10:38.:10:40.

consensus view that Ed Miliband season is over, do you share the

:10:40.:10:47.

out best of the three party leaders? I think I probably do, but his

:10:47.:10:53.

overall approval ratings are still minus 20, whereas Cameron's minus

:10:53.:10:56.

ten. And the more the recovery seems minus 20, whereas Cameron's minus

:10:56.:11:00.

to take place, and some of the latest figures are quite amazing,

:11:00.:11:06.

they certainly surprised me, you wonder whether Labour's tactic is

:11:06.:11:10.

right to put all their eggs into the living standards basket. I was

:11:10.:11:16.

looking at car sales, which are booming. If people start to feel

:11:16.:11:18.

better, and they don't yet, but booming. If people start to feel

:11:18.:11:22.

they were, it is tougher to go on about living standards. George

:11:22.:11:31.

Osborne's... You have Ed Miliband making a great thing about living

:11:31.:11:34.

standards, but then they say under their breath, this is global forces,

:11:34.:11:42.

outstripping wage increases. And you're absolutely right, as the

:11:42.:11:45.

economy improves, presumably that will be dealt with, but Miliband's

:11:45.:11:48.

argument will be that there are people suffering, and even if the

:11:48.:11:52.

economy recovers, they will still forces, it is difficult to blame the

:11:52.:11:57.

government for that. Body being noticed now, there is nothing worse

:11:57.:12:01.

for the leader of the opposition noticed now, there is nothing worse

:12:01.:12:05.

for the leader of the opposition than to be not noticed. -- but he is

:12:05.:12:08.

being noticed now. It seems that he in many ways has set the political

:12:08.:12:12.

weather. Look at the number of references to the Labour leader

:12:12.:12:18.

weather. Look at the number of Mr Cameron's speech. And in Mr

:12:18.:12:21.

Obama's speech on a similar topic, living standards. Was the mentioning

:12:21.:12:30.

Ed Miliband?! Oh, he was using the same language, he has not gone that

:12:30.:12:35.

far. If I were Ed Miliband, I would be more worried now, because Labour

:12:35.:12:39.

through the kitchen sink at their conference. They came out with the

:12:39.:12:41.

biggest policy announcements they could, compulsory apprenticeships,

:12:41.:12:48.

the energy freeze on prices, and it generated a poll boost which has

:12:48.:12:49.

fizzled away within ten days. I generated a poll boost which has

:12:49.:12:55.

not know where they go from here. What is significant with Ed Miliband

:12:55.:13:00.

conference beaches, he has set the one nation Britain, and the problem

:13:00.:13:06.

with those speeches is people say, they are fine, they are academic,

:13:06.:13:07.

but what does it mean? What you they are fine, they are academic,

:13:07.:13:15.

now is an intellectual framework that translates into policies. The

:13:15.:13:18.

polls to watch are not the ones after the conferences, but at the

:13:18.:13:22.

end of the month when it has also pulled down. They will tell us where

:13:22.:13:26.

we are going. We will have to go ourselves now. Thank you to our

:13:26.:13:28.

guests. The Daily Politics will ourselves now. Thank you to our

:13:28.:13:31.

back tomorrow at noon on BBC Two, and I will be back on BBC One this

:13:31.:13:37.

time, same time, next week. If it is Sunday, it is the Sunday Politics.

:13:37.:13:39.

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