29/09/2013 Sunday Politics London


29/09/2013

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do with the lack of talent, it is Sunday Politics. David Cameron

:00:21.:00:48.

house-buyers with deposits. Is he merely stoking a new house price

:00:48.:00:53.

bubble? As Tory activist 's gather in Manchester, we will have the

:00:53.:00:56.

results of our exclusive survey in Manchester, we will have the

:00:56.:01:00.

Conservative councillors. I will be William Hague. And Ed Miliband made

:01:00.:01:06.

headlines with his pledge to freeze energy prices for 20 months after

:01:06.:01:09.

headlines with his pledge to freeze the next election. But does the

:01:09.:01:11.

headlines with his pledge to freeze policy really stack up? Shadow

:01:11.:01:13.

Energy Secretary Caroline Flint Conservative London politicians

:01:13.:01:25.

Underground should be made illegal, something the Prime Minister doesn't

:01:25.:01:26.

With me are a trio of top political commentators. All three will be

:01:26.:01:45.

tweeting their thoughts, or in some cases just their thought through the

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afternoon. We have already been cases just their thought through the

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afternoon. We have already been bombarded with a series of policy

:02:02.:02:03.

announcements, a tax break for married couples of up to £200 per

:02:03.:02:08.

year, more money on life extending cancer treatments and, last night,

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the news that the second stage of next year. David Cameron says it is

:02:12.:02:20.

all about helping hard-working people. Right now, you can't get,

:02:20.:02:30.

95% mortgage. That means a typical family with two people earning

:02:30.:02:35.

20,000, 25,000, they are being asked, to buy an average house,

:02:35.:02:43.

20,000, 25,000, they are being mortgage payment, but they can't get

:02:43.:02:45.

the mortgage. They can't buy their flat or house. As Prime Minister,

:02:45.:02:48.

I'm not going to stand back while people's aspirations to get on the

:02:48.:02:52.

housing ladder, to own their own flat or home, is being trashed.

:02:52.:02:57.

housing ladder, to own their own is why we need to act. A predictable

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attempt by party leadership to kick-start the conference with

:02:59.:03:04.

eye-catching policies. The polls show a big bounce for Ed Miliband

:03:04.:03:08.

and the Labour Party, with decent numbers for UKIP. What do party

:03:08.:03:20.

councillors as they travel to their For the Conservatives this weekend,

:03:20.:03:35.

conference, and as a scene setter we asked ComRes to survey councillors

:03:36.:03:37.

are Finland and Wales. Councillors asked ComRes to survey councillors

:03:37.:03:44.

like Tom, packing for conference at home in Wellingborough. Immigration

:03:44.:03:49.

is an issue for him. He thinks there are pros and cons. But we found

:03:49.:03:55.

is an issue for him. He thinks there immigration has had a negative

:03:55.:04:01.

reflects into this wider issue of our relationship with Europe. People

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possible influx of ovarian and Romania emigrants. Obviously the

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issue of Europe is very big. -- are worried about the rise of the UK

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issue of Europe is very big. -- councillors thought that their

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issue of Europe is very big. -- should make a pact with UKIP. The

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issue of Europe is very big. -- concern is, yes, will they take

:04:32.:04:51.

talking about them. A pact? Depends what they say, anything is possible.

:04:51.:04:58.

What would you like to see? Ideally, from my point of view, a national

:04:58.:05:08.

pact. David Cameron arrived in Manchester last night. Around the

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same time as these activists from London. I broke the news to them

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that in our survey just 26% of Tory councillors think that the prime

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ministers in touch with the lives of ordinary people. The same at all

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Conservatives, you don't judge people by their background. It's not

:05:31.:05:35.

where they come from, it is where they are going to. It is not a

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where they come from, it is where problem that he is a bit on the

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where they come from, it is where side? Cull you might describe him

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like that, I would not use those words. Explain your T-shirt, it

:05:43.:05:49.

like that, I would not use those phrase that a senior Cameron person

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is alleged to have used about you? It is a humorous way of letting

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is alleged to have used about you? party now that we are here to say

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important. We are not going away any time soon. A sentiment you will

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important. We are not going away any a lot at this conference, because

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just 22% of councillors in our survey said that David Cameron was

:06:08.:06:12.

any good at listening to the people that work hard for his party. That

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was Adam. Joining me now from the Conservative Party conference in

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William Hague. Welcome to the Sunday Politics. Good morning. Over one in

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five Tory councillors in our survey large majority did not want a pact

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with UKIP at the next election. large majority did not want a pact

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have noticed that UKIP, in local been for the Conservatives. I think

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have noticed that UKIP, in local we have to make sure that people

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election they are choosing between a we have to make sure that people

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Conservative and Labour Government, we have to make sure that people

:06:59.:07:00.

as David Cameron as Prime Minister general election is different from

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the local government perspective. It is pretty unusual, some might say

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unprecedented, for a large chunk of one of the big parties in this

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country to want to go into coalition one of the big parties in this

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with a smaller party before an happened? Looking at your survey,

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three times as many didn't want happened? Looking at your survey,

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with statistics, you can highlight it whichever way around you want to.

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The point is, we are not having pacts with other parties, electoral

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pacts with other parties. You rule it out? That is not going to happen.

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What we do want is to have a pact it out? That is not going to happen.

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with the voters, if you like, as we have often done in the Conservative

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Party. We have won over the voters of other parties to support our

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important with those people that say important with those people that say

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they want to vote for UKIP. By default, they would produce a Labour

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government in the exact opposite of many of the things they intend,

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government in the exact opposite of Conservative and decide to vote

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government in the exact opposite of UKIP instead in a general election.

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That could help to produce a Labour government. The chairman of the

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That could help to produce a Labour committee, the elected voice of

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Conservative backbenchers, he says your party should spell out what had

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once back from the European Union before next year's European actions.

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Do you agree? We will be spelling out some things in the European

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elections. I will be talking about this later on today. For instance,

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European treaties the concept of ever closer union, a concept that in

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believed in. We would like that ever closer union, a concept that in

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consequences that would flow from that. We will be setting out the

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examples and principles of the changes we want to say. Certainly

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over the next year, not only before the European actions but the general

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there will be a negotiation of a new the European actions but the general

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their area think that George Osborne to be negotiated. Only 11% of your

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their area think that George Osborne is in touch with ordinary people.

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is not for me to explain why people say what they say in surveys. The

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important thing is what we are delivering for the country. What

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George Osborne is delivering his renewed economic growth. 1.4 million

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new jobs in the private sector, renewed economic growth. 1.4 million

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for hard-working people, by reducing the tax for 25 million of them.

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for hard-working people, by reducing Help To Buy scheme that we are

:10:10.:10:13.

highlighting today. That is what really matters to people, actually,

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I think you will find. Let's talk about helping ordinary people. Ed

:10:17.:10:21.

Miliband is guilty freeze energy prices. What are you going to do

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about energy prices, we already asked energy companies to put people

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on their lowest tariffs. This has not been amended. -- implemented.

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Why not? This is going to happen within this government. It is going

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to happen within this government when the... Why hasn't it happened

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now? People are suffering now from rising energy prices. It has not

:10:59.:11:02.

happened because my colleagues have been implimenting it. In the case of

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Ed Miliband's policy, if you are asking why it has not yet happened

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under this Government, it didn't even survive a few our's scrutiny in

:11:11.:11:16.

opposition. In a few hours he had to concede that if there was a big

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change in oil prices then the policy would not work. The trouble is,

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change in oil prices then the policy would dry up some of the investment

:11:23.:11:30.

in the energy industry. I don't think it is a credible promise.

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in the energy industry. I don't a party that presided over council

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government, -- last government, a party that presided over council

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not very credible. Why is George Osborne going against the European

:11:47.:11:52.

Well, we don't want to see the and over this country. Can the

:11:52.:12:09.

should be able to decide those things in our own country. We have

:12:09.:12:12.

never signed up to such matters things in our own country. We have

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European institutions. If you allow one thing that wasn't meant to be

:12:19.:12:21.

decided to be decided, you find one thing that wasn't meant to be

:12:21.:12:25.

there are another ten or 20 things that affect many other people. We

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are very vigilant about what we that affect many other people. We

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competence creep, with the European Union taking more powers than it was

:12:33.:12:36.

meant to have. That is one of the referendum, do want a new deal in

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Europe. That is what we intend to institution, ICAP, fined for fixing

:12:42.:12:52.

the LIBOR rates. The founder of institution, ICAP, fined for fixing

:12:52.:12:56.

company has donated £5 million to your party. Shouldn't you give it

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back? Aren't you ashamed to accept that money? He has donated his own

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Which he made out of ICAP. As people have to other parties, people are

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free to do that and they should have to other parties, people are

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free to do that. I am not aware have to other parties, people are

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any plan for that to be repaid. Because you can't afford to. Let's

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recap this. We have seen Tory MPs parrot propaganda lines from the

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energy companies this week. We have the Chancellor going to court to

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fight for unlimited banker bonuses. We have a top Tory donor the centre

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fight for unlimited banker bonuses. of yet another city scandal. Ed

:13:34.:13:36.

Miliband is right when he says you lot are on the side of the vested

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interests so the rich and powerful, isn't he? Well, again, look at the

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record. I just did! 1.4 million extra jobs in the private sector, 25

:13:47.:13:53.

Help To Buy scheme which is going to million people with a tax cut, a

:13:53.:13:55.

Help To Buy scheme which is going to help so many people, particularly

:13:55.:13:58.

young people have the house that future. Council tax bills held down,

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young people have the house that welfare reform so that it pays to

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work. Actually, this is a government people and that will be highlighted

:14:09.:14:11.

While President Laugharne he's weapons programme. -- is talking.

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It would be hard to say from week to week whether it is speeding up

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continuing with it. That is why to week whether it is speeding up

:14:38.:14:46.

say the new message - the new words - from Iranian leadership are very

:14:46.:14:51.

welcome. I said that to the Foreign Minister in New York over the last

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few days but it is the actions that will count. At the moment, the

:14:55.:14:59.

nuclear programme continues. We negotiations on that and that will

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be a very important test as to whether actions will match the

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words. When will we know it if we are being strung along? He has

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strung as a long in the past as are being strung along? He has

:15:13.:15:18.

nuclear weapons negotiator. When will we know if he is not just

:15:18.:15:20.

doing that again? Over the next will we know if he is not just

:15:20.:15:26.

weeks, it will be a very important time. He has said there should be

:15:26.:15:30.

more transparency over the Iranian transparent in many regards at the

:15:30.:15:37.

moment. The atomic agency is asking for information that is not being

:15:37.:15:43.

given. One test is, in the coming information? The information that

:15:43.:15:49.

the international of authority is asking for about their nuclear

:15:49.:15:54.

programme. We will be able to form a view of this in the coming weeks

:15:54.:15:59.

or months. It is important we test their new willingness to talk to us

:15:59.:16:05.

important to find out whether they asking, is the nuclear programme

:16:05.:16:12.

really continuing? Are they really negotiations and offer something

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Council on Friday night, is the Year, Syria still has a chemical

:16:29.:16:53.

Council on Friday night, is the that allow full force? I did not

:16:53.:16:57.

catch that. Does that allow for Security Council resolution about

:16:57.:17:03.

Iraq, which most people concluded in not allow full force. It does

:17:03.:17:11.

not specify that. It talks about terms seven of the charter. That is

:17:11.:17:17.

a message of the whole UN Security Council that there will be measures

:17:17.:17:21.

- there will be consequences - if the Assad regime does not comply.

:17:21.:17:29.

has a big commitment. I have spent counterpart over the last week.

:17:29.:17:36.

Russia has said, this is something you will have to do. We will work

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with Russia and others very closely to check there is compliance will

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this resolution. Given the progress that has been made, you must be

:17:46.:17:52.

very glad that the British House of Commons stopped your rash to force

:17:52.:18:06.

against Syria. -- rush. The reason has happened is because there was a

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credible threat of military action. has happened is because there was a

:18:08.:18:14.

credible threat of military action. President Obama did not get it

:18:14.:18:15.

through Congress. They have not President Obama did not get it

:18:15.:18:21.

the vote in Congress. There is no other explanation as to why the

:18:21.:18:25.

policy changed. It was because there was a debate about military

:18:25.:18:30.

action in the West that the policy changed on theirs. That is why it

:18:30.:18:36.

changed. We were not in a rush for military action. The boat put to

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the House of Commons was to have inspectors reported. It was before

:18:40.:18:51.

Russian and Syrian policy changed. We need to make sure that works

:18:51.:19:25.

Russian and Syrian policy changed. Government having an interest in

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mortgage lending. -- there is a fundamental problem. It should have

:19:28.:19:34.

been set much lower to exclude London and the South East where

:19:34.:19:39.

houses are dramatically overvalued. Many economists think freezing

:19:39.:19:44.

energy prices is a terrible policy. These policies can be popular. If

:19:44.:19:50.

you have no chance of getting a deposit, the Government will make

:19:50.:19:59.

Osborne tried every single lever. It looked like he could not do

:19:59.:20:04.

anything to get the economy moving. It is moving. They have pulled it

:20:04.:20:12.

forward and there are signs it is recovering. The reason why they

:20:12.:20:14.

forward and there are signs it is doing this is they want to show

:20:14.:20:17.

this week at the conference there are real sort of understandable

:20:17.:20:21.

issues you can explain very simply that really up going to improve

:20:21.:20:26.

people's lives. The Conservatives Miliband's speech last week. The

:20:26.:20:35.

nuts. Much more cautious and -- language about the energy price

:20:35.:20:49.

freeze. They are nervous that Ed Miliband may be touching a nerve on

:20:49.:20:54.

that one. What we will get this week, I suggest, his Tory populism

:20:55.:21:03.

to counter Miliband populism. I think we will see that and it will

:21:03.:21:05.

be a mistake. As long as it is think we will see that and it will

:21:05.:21:11.

about The Picture, they are on relatively strong ground. When the

:21:11.:21:18.

political conversation changes to more fiddly things, particularities

:21:18.:21:32.

Labour Party. It is about borrowing against a party that stands for

:21:32.:21:49.

Labour Party. It is about borrowing warming economic picture. That does

:21:49.:21:54.

not pay energy bills. Does not sound that the Tories have anything

:21:54.:22:00.

not pay energy bills. Does not to counter the price freeze. --

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not pay energy bills. Does not does not sound. They have had a

:22:03.:22:05.

week to think about a great attack line and they do not add anything.

:22:05.:22:10.

the credibility test. Ed Miliband said, if there were a big spike

:22:10.:22:33.

the credibility test. Ed Miliband energy prices, he would not be able

:22:33.:22:33.

it is about credibility. Being seen as serious and grown-up is worth

:22:33.:22:52.

it is about credibility. Being seen more than any burst of popularity.

:22:52.:22:52.

with the election campaign, it My worry about the announcement

:22:53.:23:01.

with the election campaign, it begins to lose credibility, begins

:23:01.:23:06.

to seem a banana republic. It looks a lot less wise than it did last

:23:06.:23:12.

week. I disagree. Every time energy bills go up and they will continue

:23:12.:23:14.

to go up, it will be a reminder bills go up and they will continue

:23:14.:23:19.

how much people are being hit in the pockets. People know by energy

:23:19.:23:24.

prices are going up. There is a structural change in the world that

:23:24.:23:29.

was not there before - China and India. These energy companies may

:23:29.:23:33.

be making huge profit but, at the end of the day, what is driving

:23:33.:23:40.

be making huge profit but, at the the cost of fuel is China and India.

:23:40.:23:42.

Ed Miliband, great man that he is, I am not sure he can take on the

:23:42.:23:47.

people Sammir on that one. How dare last week. Dogged by criticism

:23:47.:23:58.

people Sammir on that one. How dare the summer of his leadership style

:23:58.:23:58.

announcements, and attempted to the summer of his leadership style

:23:58.:24:16.

announcements, and attempted to vested interests that hold back

:24:16.:24:18.

announcements, and attempted to economy. In a speech in which he

:24:18.:24:18.

jokingly referred to himself as economy. In a speech in which he

:24:18.:24:22.

action hero, Mr Miliband promised to switch the forthcoming business

:24:22.:24:26.

action hero, Mr Miliband promised tax cut from large firms to smaller

:24:26.:24:29.

businesses. He said he would force big firms to train at an apprentice

:24:29.:24:33.

every time they bring in a worker from outside the EU. He hinted that

:24:33.:24:38.

increasing the minimum wage would be increased. He bowed to take on

:24:38.:24:44.

developers with a use it or lose it threat to landowners and pledged to

:24:45.:24:50.

build 200,000 homes each year by 2020. He promised to freeze energy

:24:50.:24:56.

prices and reset the energy market. The next Labour government will

:24:56.:24:59.

freeze gas and electricity prices provoked a rash of headlines -

:24:59.:25:09.

hailing the return of red Ed macro. It has also given him a spike in

:25:09.:25:14.

the polls. And Labour's Shadow Energy Secretary Caroline Flint

:25:14.:25:15.

Ed Miliband says, our energy market is broken and does not work. In

:25:15.:25:34.

what way is that market to date different from the one Labour left

:25:34.:25:43.

companies that dominate the energy generate energy, and sell it on

:25:43.:25:54.

companies that dominate the energy Miliband recognised when he was

:25:54.:25:56.

Secretary of State and asked for more information from the company

:25:56.:25:59.

Secretary of State and asked for is on hold serve costs and profits,

:25:59.:26:01.

all the things we have done to mitigate against that in terms

:26:01.:26:11.

all the things we have done to Horsell market is too secretive

:26:11.:26:14.

all the things we have done to it is too much about such supply.

:26:14.:26:16.

all the things we have done to - the wholesale market. We have

:26:16.:26:18.

resetting the market. It has got been raising with the Government in

:26:18.:26:28.

resetting the market. It has got worse in terms of speed at which

:26:28.:26:32.

prices have gone up. Labour put privatisation. We took some reforms

:26:32.:26:41.

realised it was not working and privatisation. We took some reforms

:26:41.:26:48.

was broken and we need to reset privatisation. We took some reforms

:26:48.:26:51.

Ed Miliband will be the first to onwards. Let's have a look at what

:26:51.:26:55.

happened to energy prices under onwards. Let's have a look at what

:26:55.:27:00.

Labour government. Electricity up 67%, gas up 139%. Overall prices up

:27:00.:27:09.

by 48%. The market was broken and we saw prices biking as wholesale

:27:09.:27:14.

prices went up. The tick action we saw prices biking as wholesale

:27:14.:27:21.

the one Front programme, decent homes for social housing. -- we

:27:22.:27:31.

programme. Trying to do things around social obligations needs

:27:31.:27:36.

programme. Trying to do things be looked at. Gas and electricity

:27:36.:27:43.

presided over but as a consequence of Labour policy. Beds have a look

:27:43.:27:46.

at the breakdown of dual fuel - of Labour policy. Beds have a look

:27:46.:27:53.

and electricity bill. -- let's have a look. The supply costs of getting

:27:53.:28:00.

it to us and so on. The policies government - Green levies - are

:28:00.:28:12.

energy bills. £112 on average bill of 1188. You have put the bill up.

:28:12.:28:25.

obligations amount to £112. That helps the poorest insulate homes.

:28:25.:28:30.

Overwhelmingly, looking at your wholesale costs are worth more than

:28:30.:28:37.

half. What we have seen, based on figures we now have, in Eni macro,

:28:37.:28:52.

Do you have plans to do anything about the £112? If you took that

:28:52.:29:09.

energy. It -- we stimulate. If we do not have clean energy, we will

:29:09.:29:12.

be beholden for ever-more to fossil do not have clean energy, we will

:29:12.:29:18.

fuels that are depleting. It will create jobs and bring in investment

:29:19.:29:23.

will start in the last few years, investment. If I could go back to

:29:23.:29:35.

whatever advance there are, looking at whether the money raised through

:29:35.:29:40.

energy companies to deliver energy efficiency, is that doing as well

:29:40.:29:44.

as it might? Could it be better delivered by another agency? They

:29:44.:29:49.

are fair questions. We need to get market. Can we make the market will

:29:49.:29:55.

competitive make sure when there is downward pressure on wholesale

:29:55.:29:59.

prices, that is reflected on our bills? That is the bigger picture

:29:59.:30:05.

As you complain about the energy prices, it was as a result of your

:30:05.:30:18.

actions. Ed Miliband introduced prices, it was as a result of your

:30:18.:30:21.

climate change act. He admitted prices would have to rise to pay for

:30:21.:30:27.

decarbonisation. He said, we are going to minimise the costs as much

:30:27.:30:31.

as possible, but it is true there is not a low-cost energy future out

:30:31.:30:36.

there. It is important that we address the pressures on bills,

:30:36.:30:39.

there. It is important that we also recognise that if we are going

:30:39.:30:40.

to build a better future where we can have more home-grown British

:30:40.:30:48.

renewables. Truth is it is about the market. I acknowledge I acknowledge

:30:48.:31:00.

wholesale prices have fallen. They fell in 2009, we got a reduction in

:31:00.:31:04.

bills of 5%. Which are saying that fell in 2009, we got a reduction in

:31:04.:31:15.

going up, but we haven't seen the amount of investment suggested by

:31:15.:31:21.

Government to take out all carbon speech in Brighton that Labour

:31:21.:31:33.

Government to take out all carbon from energy generation by 2030.

:31:33.:31:36.

Government to take out all carbon is not that far away. By 2030, no

:31:36.:31:37.

more coal generation, no more gas generation, only much more expensive

:31:38.:31:43.

nuclear and much more expensive without bills going up even further?

:31:43.:31:52.

Hang on a second. The 2030 target to remove carbon from the electricity

:31:52.:31:56.

supply, we have said we should set a target now because, actually, it

:31:56.:31:59.

gives us more time to plan ahead and also allows investment to come in.

:31:59.:32:02.

There is plenty of people with cash in their pockets not want to invest

:32:02.:32:07.

what they are stalling because of the Government's hesitancy over

:32:07.:32:09.

this. I just want a clarification here. My understanding is that your

:32:09.:32:14.

commitment is to get rid of all carbon from power generation by

:32:14.:32:20.

2030? From the letters city supply. Only electricity. We will still

:32:20.:32:23.

2030? From the letters city supply. gas? We have always said we will

:32:23.:32:27.

need gas for decades to come. So we are clear for that. But you will be

:32:27.:32:37.

increasingly dependent on expensive nuclear. EDF are currently demanding

:32:37.:32:41.

twice the market price to build plans in this country. Renewables

:32:41.:32:48.

are two or three times the market price. Bills are going up under

:32:48.:32:55.

are two or three times the market policies? On nuclear, we took a

:32:55.:32:56.

decision under the Labour Government that we needed to revitalise the

:32:56.:33:01.

sector, to hit targets on clean that we needed to revitalise the

:33:01.:33:06.

energy and make sure it can do the heavy lifting. The Government at the

:33:06.:33:09.

discussions with EDF about what heavy lifting. The Government at the

:33:09.:33:14.

important, because I don't know heavy lifting. The Government at the

:33:14.:33:16.

it's going to be, it is important that stands up to scrutiny in terms

:33:16.:33:20.

of value for money. At the same time, I go back to market reforms.

:33:20.:33:26.

difference, the jargon for nuclear, We will not just have a target for

:33:26.:33:32.

difference, the jargon for nuclear, we will have it for renewables as

:33:32.:33:33.

well. That is even more important, that we can have a robust target

:33:33.:33:36.

that we have a transparent market so that we can have a robust target

:33:37.:33:43.

Cameron saying something needs to be price to be judged against. Michael

:33:43.:33:59.

Cameron saying something needs to be done. I'm surprised David Cameron

:33:59.:34:00.

doesn't acknowledge that. You are going to freeze prices for 20 months

:34:00.:34:08.

regulator to replace Ofgem. Will that regulator have the power to

:34:08.:34:11.

regulator to replace Ofgem. Will control prices? The new energy

:34:11.:34:20.

wholesale costs and prices, which it moment. As a result of that it will

:34:20.:34:29.

wholesale costs and prices, which it wholesale prices fall, it can force

:34:29.:34:32.

the energy companies, if they don't, to pass on reductions in bills to

:34:32.:34:37.

consumers. It will not have what we see in some parts of the European

:34:37.:34:41.

Union, 15 of them, that have a variety of price controls that set

:34:41.:34:45.

things at below inflation and what have you. France, Spain, Italy.

:34:45.:34:51.

things at below inflation and what will not do that. Why? Because we

:34:51.:34:55.

are looking at a temporary price freeze to reflect a reduction in

:34:55.:35:00.

are looking at a temporary price British public respite from ever

:35:00.:35:01.

reforms into the market. At the British public respite from ever

:35:01.:35:06.

of this, what we want is a more competitive market that can be

:35:06.:35:10.

trusted, that is more transparent. We do believe it is right that,

:35:10.:35:14.

actually, we need a regulator that has much more of a role in making

:35:14.:35:20.

effectively. Are you accusing energy companies of profiteering? EU I

:35:20.:35:29.

effectively. Are you accusing energy accusing them of overcharging and

:35:29.:35:31.

not passing on wholesale reduction costs to the customer in a fair

:35:31.:35:39.

not passing on wholesale reduction Of making Carter -- cartel profits?

:35:39.:35:44.

I do believe that the level of profits they have passed on to their

:35:44.:35:51.

I do believe that the level of the reductions they could have

:35:51.:35:53.

provided to consumers. Let's look at the evidence for that. Here are

:35:53.:35:59.

provided to consumers. Let's look at British owned companies, SSE and

:35:59.:36:03.

provided to consumers. Let's look at they made combined earnings of

:36:03.:36:23.

provided to consumers. Let's look at work done by other organisations,

:36:23.:36:28.

Witch and others, it shows that work done by other organisations,

:36:28.:36:33.

Centrica's case they have something like 8% return in profit margins on

:36:33.:36:38.

the retail side. That goes up to 24% on the generation side. They have

:36:38.:36:41.

passed on, in terms of profits, something I70 4% through evidence to

:36:41.:36:46.

shareholders. But these figures don't show that. They have invested

:36:46.:36:48.

£3 billion. I am reporting what don't show that. They have invested

:36:48.:36:58.

been reported by Ofgem. Ofgem has They may well be, but we don't have

:36:58.:37:03.

of not doing the job they should be of not doing the job they should be

:37:03.:37:06.

doing, and they have held back from across the big six, something like

:37:06.:37:16.

50% of profits has gone over to Centrica's case it is 74%. On the

:37:16.:37:22.

Centrica example, even though they have had the highest profit margins,

:37:22.:37:28.

they have invested the least. It is fair to question. We are running out

:37:28.:37:32.

of time. None of us really know fair to question. We are running out

:37:32.:37:36.

the true price of energy is that is crucial. That is because he merged

:37:36.:37:43.

the market and we can't tell the difference. If they continue putting

:37:43.:37:47.

prices up, even after your price freeze, if they don't invest in

:37:47.:37:51.

prices up, even after your price way that they do, do you rule out

:37:51.:37:56.

competitive market and that is why watching Sunday Politics. Coming up

:37:56.:38:03.

in just over 20 minutes I will be looking at the week ahead with our

:38:03.:38:07.

Shadow Attorney General, welcome. and Isa with Mary McLeod and the

:38:07.:38:39.

Shadow Attorney General, welcome. strikes on the Underground should be

:38:39.:38:47.

conference season reaches its final the ring to have a tilt at the

:38:47.:38:59.

conference season reaches its final London mayoral team. Eddie is and

:39:00.:39:05.

Tessa Jowell and Siddique Khan dropped heavy hints they will run

:39:05.:39:09.

for City Hall in 2013. Who do you fancy? Tessa Jowell or Siddique

:39:10.:39:15.

Khan? I think it will be much longer than that, the list. Who else? EU I

:39:15.:39:22.

couldn't possibly say. You could. speculative at the London reception.

:39:22.:39:26.

We had a list of ten. All kinds speculative at the London reception.

:39:26.:39:30.

people. What would be interesting is if we are going to decide on having

:39:30.:39:32.

candidates. What would you like if we are going to decide on having

:39:32.:39:42.

see? They closed primary, Labour supporters to be involved in the

:39:42.:39:49.

decision. What about an all-female short list? Tessa Jowell, that is

:39:49.:39:54.

the first time a woman has suggested putting herself forward. And on

:39:54.:40:05.

the first time a woman has suggested Oona King had a go. A lot of women,

:40:05.:40:08.

I think, might be planning on going. think it will be interesting. The

:40:08.:40:13.

problem with an open primary is think it will be interesting. The

:40:13.:40:16.

cost. But I think the principle think it will be interesting. The

:40:16.:40:19.

good one. You will have no money by Would you like to see Boris stand

:40:20.:40:30.

again? I think he's been a great Mayor. A lot of people have come

:40:30.:40:35.

standing. This is the greatest city in the world. It's an amazing job to

:40:35.:40:40.

do. I really think that it is the independents. It's difficult for

:40:40.:40:47.

them to stand, but some did well last year. I think it would be great

:40:47.:40:53.

to have a long list of candidates. Who would you like to see come

:40:53.:40:55.

mind would make a good Mayor? I Who would you like to see come

:40:55.:41:04.

2020 vision and wants to deliver third. Is the weird thing that is

:41:04.:41:24.

more likely to go for Mayor again if he thinks the Conservatives might

:41:24.:41:27.

lose the next election, if he thinks they might win he's more likely

:41:27.:41:30.

lose the next election, if he thinks go for... But he has to make a

:41:30.:41:34.

decision in 2015. Maybe you have had these conversations with Boris,

:41:34.:41:37.

decision in 2015. Maybe you have had haven't. I talked to him about

:41:37.:41:38.

Heathrow expansion and stopping haven't. I talked to him about

:41:38.:41:44.

third runway. But I would rather have him standing again. Labour

:41:44.:41:47.

established the cost of living as established the cost of living as

:41:47.:41:50.

one of the major battle lines in the next general election. In London,

:41:50.:41:53.

rising house prices, soaring rent and the squeeze on wages has meant

:41:53.:41:58.

that under this Government Londoners are spending a large amount of

:41:58.:42:01.

housing. Earlier in the week I caught up with the Prime Minister

:42:01.:42:05.

and began by asking him what he thought the proportion of income the

:42:05.:42:10.

accommodation was in the capital. I it is a huge amount. Rent is very

:42:10.:42:18.

housing and we have to deal with that. At the same time, we have

:42:18.:42:21.

housing and we have to deal with deal with the fact there are lots of

:42:21.:42:23.

people renting in London who would like to buy in London and over their

:42:23.:42:25.

own home. That is what the Help like to buy in London and over their

:42:25.:42:29.

Buy policy is about. Helping young people who can afford the mortgage

:42:29.:42:32.

payments but can't get the mortgage but because the banking system is

:42:32.:42:38.

stuck. The figure is 59%, you are right, it is extremely high. I don't

:42:38.:42:43.

have a target in mind. It if we build more homes, which we should do

:42:43.:42:49.

planning system, if we help young people get on the housing ladder and

:42:49.:42:52.

own a home of their own, if we continue to make it easy for people

:42:52.:42:55.

to rent houses, we should see a better situation. Let me add to

:42:55.:43:02.

housing benefit. One of the things that has driven rent up in the past

:43:02.:43:07.

has been housing benefit paying people's rent. London councils say

:43:07.:43:13.

London needs 100,000 new homes each year until 2021 to get on top of the

:43:13.:43:15.

shortages you have just described. year until 2021 to get on top of the

:43:15.:43:21.

have been built each year. How are you going to increase that sixfold?

:43:21.:43:25.

have been built each year. How are Reforming the planning system is

:43:25.:43:30.

planning system, the parties have encourage house-builders to build.

:43:30.:43:35.

planning system, the parties have Unlocking the mortgage market, which

:43:35.:43:49.

planning system, the parties have immigration. You have seen net

:43:49.:43:49.

migration under this Government immigration. You have seen net

:43:49.:43:53.

by a third. We need to take further steps to make sure we don't put

:43:53.:43:57.

unnecessary pressure on the housing system. Taking those measures into

:43:57.:44:01.

account, it is still not going to be enough to build the sort of number

:44:01.:44:04.

that is required to deal with what is now a housing crisis. Do you

:44:04.:44:10.

that is required to deal with what in build and, -- Ed Miliband has

:44:10.:44:16.

outflanked you on this? He won't control immigration, so you have

:44:16.:44:18.

pressure building and building. control immigration, so you have

:44:18.:44:23.

idea of confiscating land from developers will discourage people

:44:23.:44:26.

from boarding houses. He has opposed reforms to the planning system and

:44:27.:44:31.

Miliband had helped to put in place. The only way you will get more

:44:31.:44:34.

houses is reforming the planning system, making sure builders can

:44:34.:44:41.

houses is reforming the planning things were doing. One of the things

:44:41.:44:43.

he says is that you just don't get top of your party, you live for

:44:43.:44:49.

he says is that you just don't get at Number 10, you have a house in

:44:49.:44:54.

don't understand what it is like. Would you accept that? I don't,

:44:54.:44:59.

don't understand what it is like. a minute. Of course, it is a huge

:44:59.:45:03.

I hold surgeries in my constituency where people see me every week and

:45:03.:45:06.

talk about the pressures in terms of rent, being able to buy a home.

:45:06.:45:09.

talk about the pressures in terms of the end, you should judge people not

:45:09.:45:12.

background they have, judge them by Frankly, this Government is building

:45:12.:45:18.

more homes, getting the housing market moving, helping people get on

:45:18.:45:22.

the housing ladder, dealing with problems of immigration, reforming

:45:22.:45:25.

welfare so it pays to work. There things government is doing. You

:45:25.:45:30.

welfare so it pays to work. There see the economy turning the corner.

:45:30.:45:30.

million net new private-sector jobs, see the economy turning the corner.

:45:30.:45:36.

million net new private-sector jobs, many more small businesses set up,

:45:36.:45:43.

election. 360,000 more young people need to stick to the programme.

:45:43.:46:10.

permission is not owned by builders available land. There are lots of

:46:10.:46:20.

things we need to do. Ed Miliband says he wants to build hundreds

:46:20.:46:24.

things we need to do. Ed Miliband thousands of homes and we know he

:46:24.:46:27.

needs it. He wants to build all those homes during the time of

:46:27.:46:29.

Labour being in office. We want those homes during the time of

:46:29.:46:34.

look at what needs to be changed in order to make sure those homes are

:46:34.:46:39.

built. We're going to do it. Every government has said that. Labour

:46:39.:46:43.

fell to build the houses it said it would build pop 13 years was that

:46:43.:46:57.

for 13 years. First of all, the number of homes be built was not

:46:57.:47:04.

enough. Many of us when lobbying. housing, housing. Many of us were

:47:04.:47:11.

going on about this. In London we are desperate for more homes. It is

:47:11.:47:16.

right he has come out and said he wants to. We did up all the social

:47:16.:47:21.

housing in the entire country, which was a big achievement. We

:47:21.:47:25.

housing in the entire country, going to do something about it.

:47:25.:47:27.

housing in the entire country, have some radical policies and

:47:27.:47:30.

we're going to do it. It is not about changing the planning policy.

:47:30.:47:35.

It is about investing money. We need to have social housing for

:47:35.:47:43.

rent. That is the only sort of affordable housing we can have. The

:47:43.:47:49.

real key is letting Ed Miliband making developers build on land

:47:49.:47:57.

building houses. They could also we're not going to do it at will. A

:47:57.:48:04.

plot of land near the Angel which has been empty for 20 years, there

:48:04.:48:07.

London, it is really difficult. has been empty for 20 years, there

:48:07.:48:37.

am in West London. To rent or buy it is extremely difficult and we

:48:37.:48:42.

need more homes. We need more. Absolutely! Do you think 16,000

:48:42.:48:50.

homes a year in shame for? I think constituency in West London that I

:48:50.:48:56.

have lots of development going on. I have some developers that have

:48:56.:49:04.

not got planning permissions sorted. intervention. I tried to make sure

:49:04.:49:11.

we can get things through and work with Hounslow council to make that

:49:11.:49:17.

happen. We do need those homes. What is wrong with use it or lose

:49:17.:49:23.

it? We also need homes that are affordable. There are five-bedroom

:49:23.:49:26.

houses with a couple of garages which are not homes for nurses,

:49:26.:49:31.

houses with a couple of garages homes for working people. They are

:49:31.:49:31.

not affordable. I was looking at homes for working people. They are

:49:31.:49:35.

how much it was to rent a three bedroom flat in Islington. When

:49:35.:49:40.

how much it was to rent a three looked this week, it was four under

:49:40.:49:45.

These were the cheapest ones we could find the stock -- £400. One

:49:45.:49:50.

suggested we had the land value could find the stock -- £400. One

:49:50.:49:55.

in order to stop people sitting could find the stock -- £400. One

:49:55.:49:59.

land, having vacant properties or taking investment properties. Is

:49:59.:50:03.

that not a good idea? We should Including use it or lose it? We

:50:03.:50:13.

London his face was so big in terms of the city. We do have to say,

:50:13.:50:33.

London his face was so big in terms to help me get a school. London

:50:33.:50:43.

London his face was so big in terms to make sure our leaders understand.

:50:43.:50:45.

One of the big tests for any Prime Minister at conference season is

:50:45.:50:47.

for the coming year. In London, Minister at conference season is

:50:47.:51:05.

for the coming year. In London, York subway have been illegal since

:51:05.:51:08.

the 60s was that they happen but rarely. This action in 2005 was

:51:08.:51:12.

only one of two cases in almost rarely. This action in 2005 was

:51:12.:51:17.

years. The boss of the striking union was sent to jail and his

:51:17.:51:23.

organisation find £2 million. The TW has decided their demands are

:51:23.:51:28.

more important than the law. More important than the City and the

:51:28.:51:33.

people they serve. The idea of a strike ban on the tube might be

:51:33.:51:37.

gaining momentum. Earlier this year, Conservatives called for them to be

:51:37.:51:41.

made illegal. They say, if unions have serious dispute with transport

:51:41.:51:45.

buses, it should go to a third party to have it settled. There

:51:45.:51:50.

should be binding arbitration. If a vote is taken, then the binding

:51:50.:51:55.

arbitration should be done by a judge or a panel and that their

:51:55.:52:02.

decision as a church, should be final. That is the point. -- 8

:52:02.:52:06.

judge. This is gaining approval final. That is the point. -- 8

:52:06.:52:12.

Parliament. I think the assembly Conservatives are leading the way

:52:12.:52:21.

suggestion. I hope the Government I them now or after the election will

:52:21.:52:24.

look at is to see if we can make this possible. -- either now for

:52:24.:52:32.

I am not saying all strikes will be banned. I think essential public

:52:32.:52:45.

services such as the fire brigade and similar public services, bear

:52:45.:52:49.

and 80s which we should not be should not be strikes these days.

:52:49.:52:56.

and 80s which we should not be tolerating in an economy which

:52:56.:52:56.

needs people to get out to work a slippery slope no one wants to go

:52:56.:53:01.

rescue things. The trade unions a slippery slope no one wants to go

:53:01.:53:23.

taken industrial action to ensure station the public had mixed views.

:53:23.:53:33.

Especially when you are looking after children, children rely on

:53:33.:53:39.

the service. They think maybe it could be an option. I do not think

:53:39.:53:44.

they should be made illegal. I have a right to protest against pay

:53:44.:53:51.

rises, just like any other person. governing it and there should be a

:53:51.:54:03.

police are not allowed to strike. Should the Conservatives win the

:54:03.:54:06.

next election, could well be added to that list? When I spied the

:54:06.:54:12.

Prime Minister, I asked him whether he would rule out banning strikes

:54:12.:54:16.

on the Tube. I would not rule them out. It would be better if we could

:54:16.:54:20.

get to a situation where there was disputes came up, rather than the

:54:20.:54:26.

strikes me as seen in recent years. Seeing fewer strikes in our public

:54:26.:54:28.

support. What about other parts Seeing fewer strikes in our public

:54:28.:54:36.

the public sector? But take a look at firefighters. Should they be

:54:36.:54:39.

banned from going on strike like the police? We have an opportunity

:54:39.:54:45.

to look at all these things before the next election. What a majority

:54:45.:54:49.

Conservative government would do. The Duke has been particularly

:54:49.:54:56.

difficult in recent years. -- the tube. Mary kite you are one of the

:54:56.:55:01.

MPs that did not respond to the survey. We do support a ban on the

:55:01.:55:10.

tube strikes? -- would you support? Transport for London is essential

:55:10.:55:13.

to have a city works and how the how the City works. We have about

:55:13.:55:22.

11 million people going around London during the day, working in

:55:22.:55:28.

recent potential strike colour less London, and they need to get to

:55:28.:55:41.

recent potential strike colour less than 50% of people actually voted

:55:41.:55:42.

recent potential strike colour less on it. For those who said they

:55:42.:55:57.

recent potential strike colour less ban? Would you like to see it in

:55:57.:55:59.

the manifesto? It is something we should think about putting in there

:55:59.:56:03.

for us to have you may not support a ban on strikes. -- in there. I

:56:03.:56:11.

think it's it's built in the mouths of Tory politicians in London to so

:56:11.:56:15.

they should be banning strikes on the tube. -- it sits ill. That is

:56:15.:56:25.

Boris's then you should have over 50% and that is a majority. --

:56:25.:56:32.

Boris is saying. He promised he would work towards a no-strike

:56:32.:56:33.

agreement with the Underground. would work towards a no-strike

:56:33.:56:41.

he met the unions? He has not even met them. For them to turn around

:56:41.:56:48.

they only have strikes when there is a failure in relationships. If

:56:48.:56:54.

we had a man who will not even meet the Underground unions... We had

:56:54.:57:00.

more strikes under Boris than Ken. That is due to an attitude problem.

:57:00.:57:06.

Her what about the disruption? That is terrible. I'm not pretending

:57:06.:57:11.

they are not a failure. When I happen it is terrible. People who

:57:11.:57:15.

work on the tubes do not go on pay. Nobody wants to go on strike.

:57:15.:57:24.

negotiate these things and talk through the problems. The Prime

:57:24.:57:28.

Minister said it was something they would consider to look across the

:57:28.:57:33.

public sector for firefighters. What you say to that? I think, for

:57:33.:57:41.

public services that are absolutely Striking is a way of people voicing

:57:41.:57:49.

arbitration way you can. We need Striking is a way of people voicing

:57:49.:58:03.

over 50% of people voting for a Striking is a way of people voicing

:58:03.:58:07.

where less than 50% come out and We need to engage with the public

:58:07.:58:09.

vote, are those electors not valid? We need to engage with the public

:58:09.:58:27.

let's get the public out. Now time for the rest of the political news

:58:27.:58:38.

in 60 seconds. -- you are coming out with a... The cancer is said to

:58:38.:58:44.

be unable to sell the old buildings and is considering moving back.

:58:44.:58:50.

be unable to sell the old buildings the council. Some traffic wardens

:58:50.:58:53.

in Camden and Ealing claim that forecasts in council contracts mean

:58:53.:58:56.

they are put under pressure to issue more parking tickets. Ealing,

:58:56.:59:05.

targets on the number of tickets and denied any wrongdoing. Two men

:59:05.:59:08.

spitting in the streets. It was and denied any wrongdoing. Two men

:59:08.:59:19.

successfully for spitting. Enfield council has said it will seek a

:59:19.:59:26.

decision to close maternity and Accident and Emergency units at

:59:26.:59:29.

Chase Farm Hospital. The labour followed by Accident and Emergency

:59:29.:59:33.

Nobody likes spitting in the street, but would you fine people for doing

:59:33.:59:49.

it? I would, actually. I think it is a disgusting habit. My local council

:59:49.:59:53.

is looking at banning it, or fining for it. I am supportive of it. You

:59:53.:59:59.

don't think it is Draconian? I think unhygienic, and absolutely they

:59:59.:00:13.

should be fined. Don't you think it mightily to people being unfairly

:00:13.:00:16.

prosecuted? You are looking forward to the idea that Hounslow Council

:00:16.:00:21.

introduces it? I just think... I agree. It is right to say that this

:00:21.:00:27.

is not acceptable and fining them is the right thing to do. What chilly

:00:27.:00:29.

other habits that people have? the right thing to do. What chilly

:00:29.:00:39.

other habits that people have? different, it doesn't affect anyone

:00:39.:00:49.

other habits that people have? unpleasant for others. It shouldn't

:00:49.:00:51.

just be about you. Do you think think they probably will, they will

:00:51.:00:58.

take the lead and go for it. Thank you both for being my guests is

:00:58.:01:02.

today. That is all we've got time for. My thanks again to Mary McLeod

:01:02.:01:06.

So, we'll David Cameron's marriage tax break win over voters? How will

:01:06.:01:25.

So, we'll David Cameron's marriage conference initiatives? And what is

:01:25.:01:37.

UKIP leader Nigel FarageFarage up to with the Tories in Manchester?

:01:37.:01:42.

On this business of a possible Tory- UKIP pact, in a general election,

:01:42.:01:56.

let's see what David Cameron had to say about that earlier. I am not

:01:56.:02:03.

looking for a packed. I think we need to give people a clear choice

:02:03.:02:06.

at the general election. The British economy has turned a corner. We

:02:06.:02:10.

at the general election. The British on the right track, we are seeing

:02:10.:02:12.

more jobs, new businesses, we are beginning to get things moving

:02:12.:02:15.

again. Do you want to stick with us, hard-working people, or do you want

:02:15.:02:20.

to put it at risk with Ed Miliband hard-working people, or do you want

:02:20.:02:26.

and his crazy plans to tax business out of existence? That was the Prime

:02:26.:02:32.

there any appetite on the UKIP side discussions around the country,

:02:32.:02:40.

there any appetite on the UKIP side would say no. It's being discussed,

:02:40.:02:40.

is the media that is pushing this. would say no. It's being discussed,

:02:40.:02:59.

is the media that is pushing this. trying to reclaim what I would call

:02:59.:03:04.

position. I'm not sure what the Conservatives are trying to react to

:03:04.:03:16.

the right, which the media wants to interpret as them possibly being

:03:16.:03:17.

able to do some sort of pact with interpret as them possibly being

:03:17.:03:21.

able to do some sort of pact with UKIP. Have you given any thought to

:03:21.:03:27.

whatsoever. It is not on the radar. I have read comments, including

:03:27.:03:33.

Carswell, the Eurosceptics, that they might form a potential, let's

:03:33.:03:40.

call it, you know, cabinet. If there were UKIP members, I don't doubt

:03:40.:03:44.

that Nigel Farage would be one of them. But I would reiterate it is

:03:44.:03:46.

not discussions that are taking place. I am thinking more of an

:03:46.:03:55.

have responded to that by saying, the moment, there are no ongoing

:03:55.:03:58.

discussions. There is certainly constituency level or coming out of

:03:59.:04:05.

believe any constituencies are Eurosceptics? I am not privy to

:04:05.:04:15.

believe any constituencies are all 360 constituencies might be

:04:15.:04:17.

discussing. All I can do is give you the example of the few I have seen

:04:17.:04:23.

and know it is not on the agenda. Without a pact, it is perfectly

:04:23.:04:25.

possible that you could fail to Without a pact, it is perfectly

:04:25.:04:30.

a single seat at the next election, but put Ed Miliband into Downing

:04:30.:04:35.

Street? Categorically not. There are a number of seats out there that are

:04:35.:04:36.

very clear marginals, just like a number of seats out there that are

:04:36.:04:54.

Izzard was. I believe there could be an MP -- just like Eastleigh was. If

:04:54.:04:59.

you take enough votes away from an MP -- just like Eastleigh was. If

:04:59.:05:02.

Tories, if you make sure that Labour wins? I will go back to the comment

:05:02.:05:08.

I made. If you take Eastleigh as an example, a Liberal Democrat held

:05:08.:05:11.

seat, even after that result, does example, a Liberal Democrat held

:05:11.:05:17.

seat, even after that result, does to be focusing on Tory seats. We are

:05:17.:05:18.

out there because people resonate to be focusing on Tory seats. We are

:05:18.:05:21.

out there because people resonate with our message. For the Liberal

:05:21.:05:21.

support any discussion on leaving with our message. For the Liberal

:05:21.:05:31.

turn-off for voters. David Cameron with our message. For the Liberal

:05:31.:05:34.

says there is not going to be a with our message. For the Liberal

:05:34.:05:39.

or at a constituency level. But with our message. For the Liberal

:05:39.:05:41.

seems clear to me that there will not be a national one. So, does

:05:41.:05:46.

David Cameron have a UKIP strategy? The only encouraging thing for

:05:46.:05:49.

UKIP's successful David Cameron that the moment that he would only

:05:49.:05:52.

that their support is so enormous that the moment that he would only

:05:52.:05:55.

really need to win back maybe a third or a quarter of its to make a

:05:55.:05:59.

decisive difference to the Tory share of the vote in 2015. The

:05:59.:06:03.

question becomes, how much of that UKIP support is up for grabs? A

:06:03.:06:08.

question becomes, how much of that last week suggested that 47% of

:06:08.:06:09.

current UKIP voters would consider voting Tory if it meant preventing

:06:10.:06:13.

Ed Miliband becoming Prime Minister. That number goes up to 57% against

:06:13.:06:19.

recovery. So, plausibly, there is secondary question is, what does

:06:19.:06:25.

David Cameron do to win over those people? He has tried a Europe will

:06:25.:06:29.

referendum and it didn't work. He tried travelling up his immigration

:06:30.:06:33.

policy and that didn't work. I wonder if it is time. You wait until

:06:33.:06:38.

the run-up to 2015, when they start to focus on the explicit choice

:06:38.:06:44.

Cameron, and that is what shifts a Cameron. We heard from William Hague

:06:44.:06:53.

earlier in the programme, the Tory line is that if you vote UKIP you

:06:53.:06:56.

could end up with Ed Miliband in Downing Street. That is the simple

:06:56.:07:02.

appeal, isn't it? Yes, and I think Diane is right, I think the European

:07:02.:07:08.

elections will show a good showing for UKIP. It is deemed the one where

:07:08.:07:13.

you can play away. I think it will be hard for people to get excited

:07:13.:07:14.

about that, I think that bounce be hard for people to get excited

:07:14.:07:21.

fade away. In Eastleigh, they had a good ground game, that is difficult

:07:21.:07:26.

for UKIP, that don't have that machinery sorted. How are they

:07:26.:07:31.

for UKIP, that don't have that to fund that operation? But the

:07:31.:07:59.

for UKIP, that don't have that fun, next year do you want me or Ed

:07:59.:08:03.

for UKIP, that don't have that danger with David Cameron is saying,

:08:04.:08:06.

of course, there is not going to be a pact, the danger is you will get a

:08:06.:08:12.

repeat of the 1977 election. John Major said, famously, do not bind my

:08:12.:08:16.

hands. A series of Conservative personally rule out membership of

:08:16.:08:22.

the euro, when the Conservative membership was wait and see. That

:08:22.:08:26.

looked like a Prime Minister not in charge of his party. The danger

:08:26.:08:32.

looked like a Prime Minister not in Let's assume you do really well

:08:32.:08:34.

looked like a Prime Minister not in the European actions and there is a

:08:34.:08:37.

widespread expectation that you will, even in Downing Street. They

:08:37.:08:42.

might be managing expectations. will, even in Downing Street. They

:08:42.:08:45.

stops you fading away as the general election approaches? A number of

:08:45.:08:48.

reasons. As has been mentioned, election approaches? A number of

:08:48.:08:51.

whole issue of the referendum pledge has been proved to be an absolute

:08:51.:08:58.

nonsense. It is so contingent on if I am re-elected, if it's not a

:08:58.:09:02.

coalition government, is, if, if. That was fooled nobody. The issue of

:09:02.:09:09.

where voters are coming from, it is because they have lost faith in

:09:09.:09:13.

where voters are coming from, it is David Cameron says. There is nothing

:09:13.:09:15.

he is going to say that is convince think that is my view and the view

:09:15.:09:22.

of a lot of UKIP. I am told that they have expunged Nigel Farage

:09:22.:09:28.

of a lot of UKIP. I am told that the fringes? It is a great scoop, on

:09:28.:09:32.

the front page. They are outside the ring of steel. Even so, they won't

:09:32.:09:37.

programme, so they must be worried about something. His people have

:09:37.:09:39.

paid money for adverts in the Tory about something. His people have

:09:39.:09:43.

paid money for adverts in the Tory brochure and his name has been taken

:09:43.:09:44.

out. Speaking of people the Tory brochure and his name has been taken

:09:44.:09:48.

leadership is worried about, Boris Johnson, are we in any doubt as

:09:48.:09:53.

leadership is worried about, Boris interview that he is now beginning

:09:53.:09:53.

his long march back to Parliament? interview that he is now beginning

:09:53.:10:01.

his long march back to Parliament? He does express feeling slightly sad

:10:01.:10:01.

during the Syria debate that he He does express feeling slightly sad

:10:01.:10:05.

not there, on the political front line to participate. I still do

:10:05.:10:10.

not there, on the political front see why it is in his interest is to

:10:10.:10:14.

The interesting thing is him saying he will move before, I think he

:10:14.:10:40.

The interesting thing is him saying that people have seven years before

:10:40.:10:43.

the electorate get bored of them. He might be cresting that. He doesn't

:10:43.:10:47.

want to be Prime Minister, he is much more ambitious than that. He

:10:47.:10:51.

wants to be an emperor. He was asked, which Roman emperor would you

:10:51.:10:59.

like to be compared to? You said, important. I don't think you are

:10:59.:11:03.

thinking big enough. See what I important. I don't think you are

:11:03.:11:10.

to put up with, every Sunday? By virtue of being born in the US,

:11:10.:11:15.

to put up with, every Sunday? By could be president. Unlike Arnold

:11:15.:11:16.

Schwarzenegger. How about a deal with Boris? He has made no secret,

:11:16.:11:26.

after Eastleigh, that he would be open to a discussion. Let's call it

:11:26.:11:29.

no more than a discussion. He has been adamant, however, he does not

:11:29.:11:35.

see any reason, any justification or any opportunity where he would be

:11:35.:11:37.

able to have that discourse with any opportunity where he would be

:11:37.:11:43.

David Cameron. Maybe it comes down to that on both sides. I've no idea.

:11:43.:11:45.

We know that the Tories will be to that on both sides. I've no idea.

:11:45.:11:50.

more Eurosceptic after the next election? I can't imagine David

:11:50.:11:54.

Cameron's successor will be somebody that supports EU membership in

:11:54.:12:00.

ideological direction of the party. The leadership contest will be about

:12:00.:12:06.

this is a great deal for Britain membership, are you going to say

:12:06.:12:12.

this is a great deal for Britain because the Prime Minister has

:12:12.:12:15.

turned to leave rapid change two words in the working Time directive,

:12:15.:12:18.

turned to leave rapid change two or are you going to become a leader

:12:18.:12:25.

a good conference for David Cameron eye-catching announcement related to

:12:25.:12:34.

a good conference for David Cameron living standards. May be a clearer

:12:34.:12:38.

a good conference for David Cameron certainly help, that fightback has

:12:38.:12:41.

should be looking out for are not been rubbish so far. The thing we

:12:41.:12:46.

should be looking out for are not ones about the end of October, when

:12:46.:12:47.

then we will see what happens. In a everything gets to settle down and

:12:47.:12:57.

then we will see what happens. In a he doing, other than mischief? I

:12:57.:13:03.

could almost say revenge. Revenge on Mr Cameron? Yes. You know? Lord

:13:03.:13:06.

Ashcroft was there at the Labour conference. You call it mischief,

:13:07.:13:14.

but there is every reason why he should be there. We all call it

:13:14.:13:16.

mischief. Thanks for being with should be there. We all call it

:13:16.:13:20.

Join me on Daily Politics for live coverage of the Conservative Party

:13:20.:13:26.

conference tomorrow morning from 11:30 on BBC Two. We will bring

:13:26.:13:30.

conference tomorrow morning from George Osborne's speech live and

:13:30.:13:31.

uninterrupted. I'll be back next weekend when guests will include

:13:31.:13:35.

former Conservative Chancellor Kenneth Clarke. Remember, if it

:13:35.:13:38.

former Conservative Chancellor Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics.

:13:38.:13:41.

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