
Browse content similar to 08/05/2016. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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|---|---|---|---|
A thumping big win for Labour over the Conservatives in London - | :00:36. | :00:41. | |
but what do Thursday's less impressive results across | :00:42. | :00:43. | |
the country mean for Jeremy Corbyn's chances of getting to Number 10 | :00:44. | :00:48. | |
We'll hear from both sides of the debate | :00:49. | :00:50. | |
Here's one Tory riding high at least. | :00:51. | :00:54. | |
Scottish Conservative leader Ruth Davidson has managed to take | :00:55. | :00:57. | |
the party once thought of as too toxic for Scotland | :00:58. | :01:00. | |
And with the elections now over it's back to the biggest political | :01:01. | :01:07. | |
The Cabinet's heavyweights have been trading blows | :01:08. | :01:11. | |
In London - Sadiq Khan emerged triumphant from an often rancorous | :01:12. | :01:18. | |
And how will the Khan- Corbyn combo work? | :01:19. | :01:33. | |
giving media interviews this morning, I'm joined in the studio | :01:34. | :01:38. | |
by the aristocracy, the upper crust, the royalty | :01:39. | :01:40. | |
Tom Newton-Dunn, Julia Hartley-Brewer and Steve Richards. | :01:41. | :01:47. | |
We're going to have a whip round after the show | :01:48. | :01:49. | |
and get Steve a double-barrelled surname too. | :01:50. | :01:52. | |
So, this week's elections were an extraordinary | :01:53. | :02:04. | |
demonstration of modern democracy in the United Kingdom. | :02:05. | :02:06. | |
There was good and bad for almost every political party | :02:07. | :02:08. | |
across the nations and regions, and that's meant a feast | :02:09. | :02:11. | |
of spinning, analysis, claim and counter-claim. | :02:12. | :02:12. | |
Well today with almost all of the results now in - | :02:13. | :02:15. | |
although we're still waiting for a few police and crime | :02:16. | :02:17. | |
commissioners and one English council - we're going to try | :02:18. | :02:20. | |
First here's Adam with his behind-the-scenes look at how | :02:21. | :02:24. | |
It's election night, and my chance to annoy the big | :02:25. | :02:29. | |
And this is the most depressing bit. | :02:30. | :02:37. | |
Are you expecting to get a bit of a headache? | :02:38. | :02:42. | |
It's a two day extravaganza of results. | :02:43. | :02:48. | |
Will Jeremy Corbyn be staying up all night tonight? | :02:49. | :02:50. | |
Jeremy doesn't go to bed on nights like this! | :02:51. | :02:54. | |
We're old mates, we've been together 30 years on these different things | :02:55. | :02:57. | |
So you're both proper election night geeks? | :02:58. | :03:01. | |
The Labour telly addicts watched their party lose one council | :03:02. | :03:06. | |
and a handful of councillors in England, not a lot, | :03:07. | :03:10. | |
but not amazing either, as even Jeremy Corbyn admitted. | :03:11. | :03:13. | |
We were getting predictions that Labour was going to lose councils, | :03:14. | :03:17. | |
Although he celebrated winning two by-elections in pretty | :03:18. | :03:23. | |
This is the first time I've ever had a desk at one of these things. | :03:24. | :03:32. | |
The SNP got close to a majority in the Scottish Parliament, | :03:33. | :03:38. | |
It is a vote of confidence in the record in government | :03:39. | :03:49. | |
of the SNP, and it is a vote of trust in the SNP to lead | :03:50. | :03:56. | |
Davidson, Ruth - Scottish and Conservative and Unionist.. | :03:57. | :04:03. | |
The biggest smile belongs to Ruth Davidson, leader | :04:04. | :04:05. | |
of the Scottish Tories, who displaced Labour to become | :04:06. | :04:09. | |
Have you been looking in the results in Scotland than just going whoa? | :04:10. | :04:14. | |
Even if you look at some of the seats... | :04:15. | :04:23. | |
We've just seen a few come through, the SNP have hold of one, but, | :04:24. | :04:26. | |
actually, with huge swings from the SNP to the Conservatives. | :04:27. | :04:30. | |
In Wales Ukip won their first seats on the Assembly, | :04:31. | :04:33. | |
meaning a comeback for the former Tory MP Neil Hamilton, | :04:34. | :04:36. | |
who managed to offend one Welshman within seconds. | :04:37. | :04:40. | |
I'm thoroughly Welsh through and through, | :04:41. | :04:41. | |
Here were are in virtually your hometown of Llanelli. | :04:42. | :04:45. | |
Just one correction, Neil, of course it's not | :04:46. | :04:47. | |
virtually my hometown - it is my hometown. | :04:48. | :04:49. | |
So let's be very accurate about that, shall we? | :04:50. | :04:53. | |
By lunchtime on Friday, us media types had realised that | :04:54. | :04:58. | |
nothing especially dramatic had happened, so we all hotfooted | :04:59. | :05:02. | |
it to City Hall to see Labour's Sadiq Khan elected | :05:03. | :05:05. | |
Though most of the chat among the hacks in the press room | :05:06. | :05:10. | |
was about the campaign run by his Tory rival, Zac Goldsmith, | :05:11. | :05:19. | |
which was described as mean and divisive. | :05:20. | :05:20. | |
I personally never went near central office in either | :05:21. | :05:25. | |
of my campaigns, and I don't think Boris Johnson did either. | :05:26. | :05:28. | |
Is that because they're not very good? | :05:29. | :05:30. | |
That's because you are the candidates, it is | :05:31. | :05:32. | |
your campaign and you should run it your way. | :05:33. | :05:36. | |
And Labour nabbed another mayor in Bristol, taking over | :05:37. | :05:41. | |
The results from other campaigns around the UK are still | :05:42. | :05:46. | |
It's not been super exciting, but we have got a nice view | :05:47. | :05:51. | |
So with almost all the counting and number crunching across England, | :05:52. | :06:01. | |
Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland now finished, let's take a look | :06:02. | :06:04. | |
The SNP won the Scottish election, and will be the largest party | :06:05. | :06:10. | |
But Nicola Sturgeon's party fell two short of a majority, and will govern | :06:11. | :06:16. | |
Ruth Davidson's Conservatives overtook Labour to become the second | :06:17. | :06:22. | |
biggest party north of the border, with 31 seats. | :06:23. | :06:26. | |
Scottish Labour were pushed into 3rd place - | :06:27. | :06:28. | |
with 24 seats, down 13 from the last Holyrood election | :06:29. | :06:33. | |
Labour remains the dominant party in Wales, winning 29 | :06:34. | :06:35. | |
And Leanne Wood's Plaid Cymru pipped the Conservatives 12 to 11 to become | :06:36. | :06:41. | |
taking 7 seats in Wales - the first time they've sat | :06:42. | :06:49. | |
In Northern Ireland, the DUP will once again | :06:50. | :06:52. | |
They won 38 seats, with the next biggest party Sinn Fein on 28. | :06:53. | :06:59. | |
Results in the English councils were seen as a major test | :07:00. | :07:02. | |
And the party had a mixed night winning the most councils - | :07:03. | :07:07. | |
but losing 23 councillors since the last elections in 201 . | :07:08. | :07:12. | |
There were two Westminster by-elections - with Labour | :07:13. | :07:14. | |
holding the seats of Sheffield Brightside and Ogmore | :07:15. | :07:18. | |
And the Labour party won in London too - | :07:19. | :07:20. | |
where Sadiq Khan beat Zac Goldsmith to the mayoralty, | :07:21. | :07:23. | |
winning 57% of the vote on first preferences, to Goldsmith's 43% | :07:24. | :07:31. | |
The Green Party came third in the London elections - | :07:32. | :07:34. | |
with their highest vote tally yet in the capital. | :07:35. | :07:36. | |
There were also new Mayors chosen in Bristol, Salford and Liverpool - | :07:37. | :07:39. | |
Finally, voters in 40 police forces in England and Wales | :07:40. | :07:43. | |
elected their new Police and Crime Commissioner. | :07:44. | :07:46. | |
With the Tories and Labour triumphing over independents. | :07:47. | :07:50. | |
With 36 of the 40 election results having declared, the Tories have won | :07:51. | :07:54. | |
What does this mean, in the round, for Labour? It is the worst possible | :07:55. | :08:12. | |
result for Labour, because it isn't good enough, and it isn't bad | :08:13. | :08:16. | |
enough, which is the worst-case scenario for anyone who wants Labour | :08:17. | :08:21. | |
to win in 2020. This is concerning the likes of Jeremy Corbyn and John | :08:22. | :08:26. | |
McDonnell, but it is the point of being a political party, winning | :08:27. | :08:30. | |
elections. Is it the worst of both worlds because they didn't do badly | :08:31. | :08:35. | |
enough? To justify ousting Corbyn, but they didn't do well enough to | :08:36. | :08:39. | |
suggest that Corbyn's people were right, and there was a groundswell | :08:40. | :08:45. | |
of opinion moving to the far left. We saw the message coming out from | :08:46. | :08:50. | |
the deputy leader on Friday morning, stand-down everyone, not yet. Do you | :08:51. | :08:55. | |
agree? No. Even if these results had been much worse, as many expected it | :08:56. | :09:01. | |
would be in the media and beyond, it still wouldn't have been the mood | :09:02. | :09:05. | |
now. It is all being played out in public. Tom Watson, the deputy | :09:06. | :09:10. | |
leader, gave an interview on Friday where he called ambiguously for | :09:11. | :09:14. | |
patients. What he meant was, it is far too early to remove a leader who | :09:15. | :09:19. | |
got an overwhelming mandate nine months ago in September. And he s | :09:20. | :09:25. | |
right about that. You can't do it if the party membership overwhelmingly | :09:26. | :09:30. | |
backs the leader. But what he meant by patients was, you don't have to | :09:31. | :09:35. | |
translate it, there is a time-limit to this. Jeremy Corbyn needs more | :09:36. | :09:38. | |
time to show he can put together a winning formula. If he fails in | :09:39. | :09:44. | |
that, at some point, there will be he and others who will trigger some | :09:45. | :09:49. | |
kind of challenge. So he's on a leasehold? Yes. He's not doing well | :09:50. | :09:54. | |
enough to suggest he will win the next election. I don't agree with | :09:55. | :09:58. | |
Julia that people are indifferent about winning elections. But party | :09:59. | :10:03. | |
members who voted for Jeremy Corbyn are absolutely different to winning | :10:04. | :10:08. | |
elections. I don't know. I assume that people who go out knocking on | :10:09. | :10:13. | |
doors want to win. Sadiq Khan. That was the big result for Labour, and | :10:14. | :10:18. | |
he won very comfortably. He won very strongly in the GLA as well. The | :10:19. | :10:25. | |
Tories did very badly. We have this strange situation where, despite | :10:26. | :10:29. | |
Sadiq Khan being the poster boy for the night, he still hasn't met | :10:30. | :10:34. | |
Jeremy Corbyn. Is Mr Khan going to be an alternative Labour Party based | :10:35. | :10:39. | |
around London City Hall? He tells us he's going to meet Jeremy Corbyn | :10:40. | :10:43. | |
tomorrow. Corbyn said they were going to meet today. It is a real | :10:44. | :10:48. | |
problem for Jeremy now because he is up against someone else with their | :10:49. | :10:55. | |
own mandate, an enormous one. 1 3 million Londoners, together with | :10:56. | :10:58. | |
their second preferences. A huge number. I think Sadiq Khan will use | :10:59. | :11:04. | |
that to be the mouthpiece of the moderates, the soft left. I would | :11:05. | :11:07. | |
suggest that if we were not looking at this through the prism of what it | :11:08. | :11:12. | |
means for Mr Corbyn, we may be pointing out that the Tories didn't | :11:13. | :11:18. | |
have a great night. They lost seats in England and Wales, they lost | :11:19. | :11:21. | |
London and their share of the vote in London is now under 30%. They | :11:22. | :11:27. | |
only got eight seats on the Greater London assembly. They are in their | :11:28. | :11:31. | |
worst position since 2004, which was the second time we had a London | :11:32. | :11:36. | |
election. It isn't brilliant for them. They would save the first year | :11:37. | :11:40. | |
in government, do get this kind of reaction. Or worse ones. At what is | :11:41. | :11:46. | |
overlooked in all this is that the last Labour government's post-9 | :11:47. | :11:51. | |
devolution proposals has transformed UK politics. In Scotland, the | :11:52. | :11:55. | |
Conservatives are thrilled because they came second, but that wasn t | :11:56. | :12:00. | |
about David Cameron, it was about Ruth Davidson, their leader there. | :12:01. | :12:05. | |
In London, when people voted for Sadiq Khan, they were not thinking | :12:06. | :12:10. | |
about Jeremy Corbyn. They were voting for him. Unintentionally | :12:11. | :12:16. | |
those devolution proposals have transformed UK politics, fracturing | :12:17. | :12:20. | |
the UK parties, and will no longer allow any single party to make those | :12:21. | :12:26. | |
sort of thousand seat gains that Blair did. But the Tories shouldn't | :12:27. | :12:29. | |
be too complacent about this. It wasn't a great result. It wasn't, | :12:30. | :12:38. | |
but who would expect it? The party is an absolute disarray, the deepest | :12:39. | :12:43. | |
divisions. We have had a senior Cabinet Minister resign, criticising | :12:44. | :12:46. | |
the Prime Minister and the Chancellor. If they did well this | :12:47. | :12:50. | |
time, I would be surprised. So the Tories should have done worse? They | :12:51. | :12:56. | |
should. I would disagree with your hypothesis to begin with, because | :12:57. | :13:00. | |
they are, in some parts of this country, making remarkable progress, | :13:01. | :13:03. | |
like Scotland. They could have lost seats. We know the Ruth Davidson | :13:04. | :13:12. | |
story. If David Cameron can show his own party he's still a winner, six | :13:13. | :13:16. | |
years into government, I would suggest he is pretty safe | :13:17. | :13:21. | |
post-referendum. Well, that is our panel's verdict. | :13:22. | :13:24. | |
So the high point for the Conservatives this week | :13:25. | :13:26. | |
was undoubtedly in Scotland, where a party once known | :13:27. | :13:28. | |
as the toxic Tories has become Ruth Davidson's Conservatives, | :13:29. | :13:30. | |
replacing Labour as Scotland's second party and becoming | :13:31. | :13:32. | |
the official opposition to the SNP at Holyrood. | :13:33. | :13:34. | |
Ruth Davidson successfully positioned herself as the only | :13:35. | :13:36. | |
person capable of standing up to Nicola Sturgeon over independence | :13:37. | :13:38. | |
This morning Nicola Sturgeon says "bring it on2. | :13:39. | :13:42. | |
Well we can speak now to Ruth Davidson, she joins us | :13:43. | :13:44. | |
Good morning. Are the Scottish Conservatives now quite separate | :13:45. | :13:57. | |
from the Tories? There was no appearance in your campaign from | :13:58. | :14:04. | |
ministers in Westminster. But our campaign was launched in March? | :14:05. | :14:10. | |
Other than that, did anybody come up to campaign for you? This was not | :14:11. | :14:16. | |
about London. It is a sophisticated electorate in Scotland. People knew | :14:17. | :14:20. | |
what they were voting for. This wasn't about who would be Prime | :14:21. | :14:24. | |
Minister. This was about who would be the First Minister of Scotland, | :14:25. | :14:29. | |
and who would be the Leader of the Opposition in Scotland. I made a | :14:30. | :14:32. | |
very clear campaign of what I would do if I were to be the Leader of the | :14:33. | :14:38. | |
Opposition, how I would hold the SNP to account, how I would say no to a | :14:39. | :14:42. | |
second independence referendum, and how I would concentrate on the | :14:43. | :14:46. | |
things that matter to ordinary Scots. Let's not go over the | :14:47. | :14:51. | |
campaign again! I could probably say those lines in my sleep! In what | :14:52. | :14:57. | |
ways to you now regard yourself as distinctive and different from the | :14:58. | :14:58. | |
English Tories? Since I took over as leader I was | :14:59. | :15:07. | |
the first leader in Scotland to be the leader of the entire party in | :15:08. | :15:10. | |
Scotland. In terms of fundraising, Pelissie... What made you different? | :15:11. | :15:20. | |
You had seen me takes on different policy decisions from my colleagues | :15:21. | :15:25. | |
down south, if you compare the manifestos you will see differences, | :15:26. | :15:30. | |
for one example, the right to buy for housing association houses. We | :15:31. | :15:34. | |
don't think that is appropriate for the housing market in Scotland. How | :15:35. | :15:37. | |
colleagues did down south. There is a distinct difference that. I wonder | :15:38. | :15:43. | |
if it was a Scottish Conservative idea or not. The title was Ruth | :15:44. | :15:53. | |
Davidson, a strong opposition. It did say Scottish Conservatives twice | :15:54. | :15:56. | |
on the front cover. And multiply many times inside. In the Times the | :15:57. | :16:02. | |
roof, the whole truth and nothing but the roof. You created a new Tory | :16:03. | :16:06. | |
brand. -- Ruth the. We don't fight just as conservatives | :16:07. | :16:17. | |
in Scotland but conservatives in the Unionist party. The echoes of the | :16:18. | :16:21. | |
Unionist party played quite loud in this election was that they were | :16:22. | :16:24. | |
looking for people who would unequivocally stand up for the | :16:25. | :16:28. | |
decision we made just 20 months ago. I think that was an area we fought | :16:29. | :16:32. | |
strongly on now we have had some success. While I recognise a win for | :16:33. | :16:36. | |
the Scottish National party, they are now in a third term of | :16:37. | :16:41. | |
government, and I congratulated the First Minister, what was really | :16:42. | :16:44. | |
significant about the result is we managed to stop them having a | :16:45. | :16:48. | |
majority. They slipped back. This idea that they didn't put a clear | :16:49. | :16:54. | |
mandate for a referendum in their manifesto, unlike in 2011, and now | :16:55. | :16:58. | |
they don't even have a majority that takes the second referendum off | :16:59. | :17:03. | |
the table for five years and give Scotland's stability. You say a | :17:04. | :17:06. | |
second referendum is off the cards and I understand the reasons why. I | :17:07. | :17:10. | |
suggest that means unionists in the rest of the UK you would like to | :17:11. | :17:14. | |
back Brexit can now do so without the fear of the second independence | :17:15. | :17:20. | |
referendum? I argued all through this campaign irrespective of what | :17:21. | :17:22. | |
happens with a referendum on Europe, that is not trigger point for a | :17:23. | :17:29. | |
second referendum. I haven't heard anyone in the SNP argued | :17:30. | :17:33. | |
successfully if there are was a Brexit... It is important we stay | :17:34. | :17:41. | |
part of the union in which we export so many goods and services. I have | :17:42. | :17:45. | |
yet to have anyone in the SNP explain it. But I look forward in | :17:46. | :17:51. | |
the coming weeks to hear them make the argument for that. Last time the | :17:52. | :17:59. | |
SNP were a majority government the Scottish Tories gave them crucial | :18:00. | :18:02. | |
support on budget votes. Can you see us of doing that again? I think | :18:03. | :18:07. | |
times move on. The SNP is no longer led by Alex Salmond... We know that. | :18:08. | :18:16. | |
I think we will be robust. I will seek to put forward alternatives. I | :18:17. | :18:20. | |
want to be as positive as I can be, not just crudely and blocking and | :18:21. | :18:24. | |
questioning, although all of that is important. The debate we haven't had | :18:25. | :18:28. | |
in Scotland for the last five years, but I want to put forward | :18:29. | :18:31. | |
alternatives. One area I think we can make common cause is reforming | :18:32. | :18:35. | |
education, it is a disgrace our school performances have gone back | :18:36. | :18:39. | |
in Scotland in recent years. We used to have the best education system | :18:40. | :18:50. | |
anywhere in the world. That is no longer the case. There is a lot I | :18:51. | :18:54. | |
can do to try and bring the SNP onto our ground. I managed in the last | :18:55. | :18:56. | |
parliament coming from third, in terms of school testing and money | :18:57. | :18:59. | |
not just being handed to local authorities, I think we got a wink, | :19:00. | :19:01. | |
teach first. There are real areas I think we can help the debate in | :19:02. | :19:04. | |
Scotland and put forward is positive or turn at its. You shouldn't | :19:05. | :19:09. | |
overplay your part. The SNP is still the dominant party in Holyrood, you | :19:10. | :19:13. | |
are second, but all the other opposition parties are to the left | :19:14. | :19:16. | |
of you. You're still a minority voice and won't be able to count on | :19:17. | :19:20. | |
the opposition, other opposition parties ganging up on your side We | :19:21. | :19:26. | |
are a hugely important voice precisely because of the other side | :19:27. | :19:34. | |
in voices you have identified. The First Minister, like the Prime | :19:35. | :19:36. | |
Minister has competing and conflicting areas of interest: how | :19:37. | :19:39. | |
one way or another. You are right to say Nicola Sturgeon has that she | :19:40. | :19:42. | |
wants to make Scotland the highest in the UK. The other parties are | :19:43. | :19:47. | |
trying to drag a further left, taking more money out of the pocket | :19:48. | :19:51. | |
of ordinary working Scots. Our voice is crucial to pull her back to the | :19:52. | :19:55. | |
centre, saying that is not the way to look after the Beeb all working | :19:56. | :19:59. | |
hard and deserve a break in Scotland but also not the way to look after a | :20:00. | :20:04. | |
Scottish economy. Last month's figures, 20,000 rise in unemployment | :20:05. | :20:10. | |
in the UK, most of which came from Scotland. Our economic growth is a | :20:11. | :20:13. | |
fraction of the rest of the UK. We need to become a more competitive | :20:14. | :20:17. | |
country. That is an odd and I can make very strongly. Let me ask you | :20:18. | :20:21. | |
this, when you look at the huge powers that have been devolved | :20:22. | :20:26. | |
Scotland, and more on their way over schools, education, hospitals, | :20:27. | :20:29. | |
health, transport and now a chunk of tax as well, is it ever conceivable | :20:30. | :20:35. | |
that a Scottish MP from a Scottish constituency could ever again be | :20:36. | :20:40. | |
Prime Minister of the United given that they would have no | :20:41. | :20:44. | |
responsibility for so many things that affect the rest of the UK? Of | :20:45. | :20:50. | |
course. Typically in the last Labour government you had a health minister | :20:51. | :20:53. | |
who came from Lanarkshire in John Reid you had a chance of that came | :20:54. | :21:01. | |
from Edinburgh. Is that conceivable again, that you could have a Home | :21:02. | :21:06. | |
Secretary from a Scottish constituency, where everything on | :21:07. | :21:10. | |
the home front is essentially devolved to Scotland? It was | :21:11. | :21:13. | |
devolved at the time it was being taken over by John Reid. I know he | :21:14. | :21:18. | |
played Parliamentary bingo and got a lot of big jobs. If you have English | :21:19. | :21:24. | |
votes for English laws, a Scottish Prime Minister wouldn't even get to | :21:25. | :21:30. | |
vote on his own policies. Andrew, you and I have talked about this | :21:31. | :21:35. | |
many times. You saw our Strathclyde commission report, the basis that | :21:36. | :21:38. | |
the Smith commission, the devolution of all these powers on one of the | :21:39. | :21:43. | |
key aspects of that, looking at great detail with constitutional | :21:44. | :21:47. | |
expert, was to ensure it wouldn t divest Scotland away from the rest | :21:48. | :21:51. | |
of the UK. I don't think it does. In terms of all of the big jobs, I | :21:52. | :21:56. | |
think you will see another Scottish Prime Minister, or from Wales or | :21:57. | :22:00. | |
Northern Ireland. Talent will out. Do you think you've Zac Goldsmith | :22:01. | :22:03. | |
bought the kind of campaign you fought in Scotland the Conservatives | :22:04. | :22:11. | |
might have held on to the mayor I don't qualify to talk about that, | :22:12. | :22:15. | |
I've only been to London once this year. I knew I had a job to deliver | :22:16. | :22:20. | |
here in Scotland. Even though I am a political geek I didn't watch the | :22:21. | :22:23. | |
London mayoral race that closely I had a job to do the. Thank you. | :22:24. | :22:27. | |
So Labour ended the week with a big result to feel cheerful about thanks | :22:28. | :22:31. | |
to Sadiq Khan's thumping win over Zac Goldsmith to become | :22:32. | :22:33. | |
The numeric macro has used his big job in office to reach out beyond | :22:34. | :22:43. | |
the activists, which sounds like criticism of Jeremy Corbyn. He was | :22:44. | :22:44. | |
talking to Andrew Marr earlier. We in Labour, our mission is to | :22:45. | :22:49. | |
improve people's lives, and change We only do that | :22:50. | :22:52. | |
by winning elections, by having a mandate | :22:53. | :22:55. | |
to improve people's lives. What are the challenges | :22:56. | :22:57. | |
facing Londoners? How do you tackle | :22:58. | :22:58. | |
the housing crisis? How do you ensure we have a modern | :22:59. | :23:00. | |
and affordable transport system How do young people get | :23:01. | :23:03. | |
the skills of tomorrow? We only do that by speaking to those | :23:04. | :23:05. | |
people who previously By speaking to Tory voters, | :23:06. | :23:11. | |
to those outside of our tent. And my point is, we've got to | :23:12. | :23:14. | |
stop talking about ourselves. Well, to discuss this we're joined | :23:15. | :23:17. | |
from Leeds by Caroline Flint, she was of course a former minister | :23:18. | :23:21. | |
and was in Ed Miliband's Welcome back to the programme | :23:22. | :23:31. | |
Caroline Flint. Let me put Sadiq Khan's quote to you. So-called | :23:32. | :23:34. | |
natural Labour voters alone will never be enough to win a general | :23:35. | :23:39. | |
election. Have you seen any progress from Thursday's results that Jeremy | :23:40. | :23:44. | |
Corbyn's Labour Party is making progress in appealing to beyond the | :23:45. | :23:48. | |
faithful? We need to make a lot more progress, Andrew. Although we had a | :23:49. | :23:52. | |
fantastic result in London with Sadiq Khan, and I have to say the | :23:53. | :23:56. | |
Tory campaign was both shameful and disgusting. We won in Bristol with | :23:57. | :24:02. | |
Marvin and held onto councils like Crawley, Southampton and Redditch | :24:03. | :24:05. | |
and Hastings, where I have been many times. It is not enough. We have to | :24:06. | :24:10. | |
show that we are a party that is competitively challenging the | :24:11. | :24:14. | |
government. That is why, as Sadiq said in his interview in the | :24:15. | :24:17. | |
Observer today, we have to reach out beyond the big cities and reach out | :24:18. | :24:22. | |
to those people who voted Conservative to vote Labour. Then we | :24:23. | :24:26. | |
can have big politics for a big election and when it. What you say | :24:27. | :24:29. | |
to John McDonnell, been a bit too in your party, saying I think we are on | :24:30. | :24:35. | |
a steady course for victory in 020. We are laying the foundations for | :24:36. | :24:39. | |
that long haul victory in 2020. Is he right or wrong? I believe in | :24:40. | :24:44. | |
honest straight talking politics. John McDonnell said in the run-up to | :24:45. | :24:48. | |
these elections, we are looking to hang on. Looking to hang on isn t | :24:49. | :24:53. | |
enough. This is the worst result for an opposition party after a general | :24:54. | :24:57. | |
election in 30th. The year after Michael foot was elected we gained | :24:58. | :25:03. | |
1000 council seats. Tony Blair 800, Ed Miliband over 800. We actually | :25:04. | :25:09. | |
had a loss of 28. In fact, the Tories, when you look at directly | :25:10. | :25:12. | |
contested elections, gained three. It doesn't take away from the hard | :25:13. | :25:18. | |
work on the ground by Labour councillors, Parliamentary | :25:19. | :25:20. | |
candidates and members in these elections, but we need to be making | :25:21. | :25:25. | |
far more inroads to be within an opportunity to win in 2020. That is | :25:26. | :25:29. | |
the challenge for Jeremy. He deserves the right to lead, won the | :25:30. | :25:34. | |
election, but he has to show, what have the loan from these elections? | :25:35. | :25:37. | |
Will he talked people like Sadiq Khan to think about how we broaden | :25:38. | :25:41. | |
our appeal so we can be in a very strong position, 2020. How long has | :25:42. | :25:47. | |
it got to learn these lessons? Our members were only elected in | :25:48. | :25:50. | |
September last year. I said he won on a huge mandate. He has not only | :25:51. | :25:56. | |
won the right to be leader, he is the leader and our members believe | :25:57. | :25:59. | |
Labour leaders should have the time to prove themselves. But, you know | :26:00. | :26:03. | |
we know when the election is going to be, that is something relatively | :26:04. | :26:07. | |
new to our politics in Britain. We also know this election we have to | :26:08. | :26:11. | |
be honest about what the positive aspects and also about what didn't | :26:12. | :26:14. | |
work and where we need to gain ground. How long have you got? | :26:15. | :26:19. | |
People will be looking to hear from Jeremy what he's run and how he will | :26:20. | :26:22. | |
take us forward and they will be looking... We have elections next | :26:23. | :26:26. | |
year and the year after, but we have to ask ourselves is a party. I think | :26:27. | :26:30. | |
this is a really big task for Jeremy Tilse. We are having a debate about | :26:31. | :26:34. | |
what is the Labour Party for? We have to decide, are we a party of | :26:35. | :26:38. | |
protest or a mainstream, democratic socialist party which is | :26:39. | :26:41. | |
competitively challenging for government? If we are the latter, | :26:42. | :26:45. | |
which we should be, we need to have the politics and the leadership to | :26:46. | :26:50. | |
actually talk about that much, much more and take us board. That is | :26:51. | :26:55. | |
really important for all of us. We have to ask ourselves is well, we | :26:56. | :27:00. | |
have ten years of opposition here. We don't need another five on top of | :27:01. | :27:06. | |
that. John McDonnell thinks you begrudge things. He says, for | :27:07. | :27:09. | |
goodness sake get behind the leader, it is time to put up or shut up I | :27:10. | :27:14. | |
am someone who loves the Labour Party. I joined in 1979, I know what | :27:15. | :27:23. | |
it's like... Put up or shut up? I am putting up. I put up in the House of | :27:24. | :27:28. | |
Commons, where I am working with John McDonnell's team on tax | :27:29. | :27:31. | |
transparency measures. We have a Tory party that should be absolutely | :27:32. | :27:35. | |
on the ropes. A jet measures they had to drop on tax credits, Sunday | :27:36. | :27:40. | |
trading they have had to drop, and I knew turned since the last general | :27:41. | :27:45. | |
election. The education policy in tatters, the Panama papers, it goes | :27:46. | :27:49. | |
on and on. The truth is we need to be making sure that the public know | :27:50. | :27:56. | |
about that and we have an alternative to that. At the moment, | :27:57. | :28:00. | |
despite all those issues facing the Tory party, we didn't make as much | :28:01. | :28:03. | |
progress as we showed. Let's be honest about these results, let s be | :28:04. | :28:08. | |
honest about we need to reach out beyond our core vote, just as Sadiq | :28:09. | :28:12. | |
Khan said. I hope John McDonnell will back me on that. Lets see if we | :28:13. | :28:17. | |
can continue with this honesty. Given Scotland is now effectively a | :28:18. | :28:21. | |
no go area for Labour, how could you ever hope to win the 2020 election | :28:22. | :28:28. | |
on England alone? You would need a 13 point lead, a bigger lead than | :28:29. | :28:34. | |
Tony Blair had. That is just not conceivable. It is a massive | :28:35. | :28:39. | |
challenge, Andrew. In Scotland are very disappointing night for | :28:40. | :28:42. | |
Scotland. I think how Scottish friends all know that the way back | :28:43. | :28:48. | |
for Labour will take some time. I wouldn't blame Jeremy Corbyn for | :28:49. | :28:51. | |
what happened in Scotland either. You are right. My understanding is | :28:52. | :28:56. | |
if we don't make the sort of comeback we need to in Scotland in | :28:57. | :29:00. | |
the numbers were used to be able to rely on, we need to gain something | :29:01. | :29:05. | |
like 100 seats, 100 seats in England to have a majority. We need to have | :29:06. | :29:09. | |
that sort of talking within the party. Activists realise protests in | :29:10. | :29:14. | |
themselves will not be enough. Labour votes won't be enough and I'm | :29:15. | :29:17. | |
looking to Jeremy Corbyn to provide the leadership that. | :29:18. | :29:21. | |
A final question. What you say to several Tory MPs who have said to | :29:22. | :29:31. | |
me, and I quote, Mr Corbyn's survival is the single most | :29:32. | :29:36. | |
important thing for Tories for 020? If we are not winning elections | :29:37. | :29:41. | |
they will say that. In many respects, the Tories were probably | :29:42. | :29:46. | |
relatively relieved. Despite the shameful campaign they ran in | :29:47. | :29:49. | |
London, given everything that's been going on in government in the last | :29:50. | :29:54. | |
eight months, they should be quite relieved in terms of the result We | :29:55. | :29:58. | |
need to show them that Jeremy can stand up and face those criticisms, | :29:59. | :30:03. | |
and the way he does that is by reaching out, as Sadiq Khan has | :30:04. | :30:07. | |
done, as have many councils across the country in keeping their seats, | :30:08. | :30:11. | |
and do the right thing for Labour. We need to move on, Caroline. Thank | :30:12. | :30:14. | |
you. So that's the view of one former | :30:15. | :30:16. | |
member of the Labour frontbench - we're joined now by the current | :30:17. | :30:19. | |
shadow energy minister Clive Lewis, he's in our Norwich studio - | :30:20. | :30:21. | |
welcome to the Sunday Politics. Morning, Andrew. Caroline Flint was | :30:22. | :30:30. | |
saying that George Osborne's latest budget is in ruins, the Tories are | :30:31. | :30:34. | |
tearing themselves apart over Europe, Iain Duncan Smith resigned | :30:35. | :30:37. | |
because of what the government is doing to the working poor. The best | :30:38. | :30:42. | |
Mr Corbyn could say was, we hung on. Is that good enough? Let's have a | :30:43. | :30:49. | |
look at the focus of the media to -- the media and the punditry. It was | :30:50. | :30:55. | |
issued in the Labour Party that was the core focus for you guys. You | :30:56. | :31:00. | |
brought that on yourselves. The bottom line is, at the start of your | :31:01. | :31:05. | |
programme, you began that the results of the Labour Party, when | :31:06. | :31:09. | |
actually, we were up 2% in the national share vote and the Tories | :31:10. | :31:14. | |
were down 5%. Yet you in your commentators started on how it was a | :31:15. | :31:18. | |
result for Labour. I'm not saying it was anything to shout about. But | :31:19. | :31:23. | |
let's look at the results. You need 13 points to win, so I would suggest | :31:24. | :31:27. | |
that one or two points is neither here nor there was yellow Caroline | :31:28. | :31:31. | |
Flint hit the nail on the head in that we have a massive task in front | :31:32. | :31:36. | |
of us. But infighting is not the way forward. That is not going to help | :31:37. | :31:42. | |
us achieve victory in 2020. We all know it is a massive uphill | :31:43. | :31:46. | |
struggle. We need to think how we can make the best effort to win in | :31:47. | :31:50. | |
2020, and that is what the next few weeks and months need to be about. I | :31:51. | :31:56. | |
agree with with so much of what Sadiq Khan said in his interview. | :31:57. | :32:00. | |
Why doesn't Jeremy Corbyn meet with him? I think he will. But he won the | :32:01. | :32:09. | |
capital city, by 14 points. It was an incredible victory, the first | :32:10. | :32:14. | |
Muslim leader of a major city in Europe. And Mr Corbyn, we haven t | :32:15. | :32:20. | |
seen him anywhere near him yet. It is a fantastic victory. Sadiq Khan | :32:21. | :32:26. | |
nominated Jeremy. He didn't vote for him, which is a brilliantly | :32:27. | :32:32. | |
principled position. Corbyn and Khan are comrades and good friends. They | :32:33. | :32:38. | |
have a lot to learn from each other. Sadiq Khan won because he was with | :32:39. | :32:44. | |
Jeremy Corbyn. All the people in London who are supporting the Labour | :32:45. | :32:48. | |
Party under Jeremy Corbyn and reaching out. I am sure that Sadiq | :32:49. | :32:53. | |
and Jeremy will meet in the near future. It is certainly unusual | :32:54. | :33:00. | |
Caroline Flint has just told us that the Conservatives should be happy | :33:01. | :33:04. | |
and relieved by Thursday's results. I don't think they should. In Exeter | :33:05. | :33:09. | |
they lost four seats. In Ipswich, there were seats we didn't even win | :33:10. | :33:15. | |
in 97. Their share of the vote is down 5%. They didn't make the games | :33:16. | :33:20. | |
expected in Wales. I don't think it is a fantastic result for them at | :33:21. | :33:24. | |
all. I expect the Conservatives will try to turn the focus back on to | :33:25. | :33:34. | |
Labour, but I don't think they've got anything to crow about either at | :33:35. | :33:37. | |
the moment. What do you say to Ian Murray, the Scottish Secretary, the | :33:38. | :33:39. | |
only Labour MP in Scotland. He says, I don't think the public see the UK | :33:40. | :33:43. | |
Labour Party led by Jeremy Corbyn as being a credible party of future | :33:44. | :33:50. | |
government in 2020. I listened to the whole interview, and I respect | :33:51. | :33:55. | |
Ian Murray great real. I heard his statement. I think he was saying, | :33:56. | :34:01. | |
basically, where we are as a party at the moment isn't good enough I | :34:02. | :34:05. | |
don't think you'll find anyone in the Labour Party who would disagree | :34:06. | :34:09. | |
with that. We need to move forward and consolidate. These results were | :34:10. | :34:13. | |
not the disaster that you and the punditry were predicting. We were | :34:14. | :34:18. | |
told 150 or 200 seats lost -- would be lost. We were told Jeremy Corbyn | :34:19. | :34:24. | |
wouldn't win, and then he won with a landslide. We won -- we heard that | :34:25. | :34:29. | |
the old by-election would be a disaster. And he won. I think the | :34:30. | :34:35. | |
thing to think about now is that politics is in flux. In the US, we | :34:36. | :34:45. | |
have a socialist running Hillary Clinton to the wire, but then you | :34:46. | :34:50. | |
have Donald Trump standing as well. People are concerned and angry, and | :34:51. | :34:53. | |
things are changing, and the punditry needs to take that into | :34:54. | :34:58. | |
account and reflect that things are changing. We will take that into | :34:59. | :35:03. | |
account. I never use the word disaster to talk about Labour's | :35:04. | :35:08. | |
performance on Thursday. Let's stick with that. I put to you that surely | :35:09. | :35:14. | |
the real lesson from Scotland is this - if you continue to attack | :35:15. | :35:20. | |
north of the border, as you have been, you need to do better in | :35:21. | :35:25. | |
England than even Tony Blair did in 97, and that, I put to you, is | :35:26. | :35:31. | |
frankly fantasy. Let's look at Scotland. It was a very difficult | :35:32. | :35:36. | |
night for us. I would rather you looked at England and tell me how | :35:37. | :35:41. | |
you will do well. This is the issue - what we have done in this weeks | :35:42. | :35:46. | |
election is consolidate our vote in 2015 and improve it by 2%. We now | :35:47. | :35:53. | |
need to move forward. We now have next to no chance of winning in 2020 | :35:54. | :35:58. | |
if we remain a divided house, and that is what has happened at the | :35:59. | :36:02. | |
moment. What we can all learn from Sadiq was explaining is -- in his | :36:03. | :36:09. | |
interview is that we have consolidated our vote in 2015 and | :36:10. | :36:14. | |
improved it, and now we have to move on small businesses, to those who | :36:15. | :36:18. | |
are affected by the government cuts on public services. We need to reach | :36:19. | :36:23. | |
out to people who have voted Conservative in the past. I think it | :36:24. | :36:26. | |
is a message that Jeremy Corbyn has two and will listen to. But the key | :36:27. | :36:32. | |
thing is that a house divided has no chance of being able to do that in | :36:33. | :36:35. | |
2020. Thank you for joining us. It's just gone 11.35am - | :36:36. | :36:39. | |
you're watching the Sunday Politics. We say goodbye to viewers | :36:40. | :36:41. | |
in Scotland, who leave us now we're going to be talking | :36:42. | :36:44. | |
about a big week ahead First, though, the Sunday | :36:45. | :36:49. | |
Politics where you are. Sadiq Khan gained more votes | :36:50. | :37:02. | |
than his two predecessors managed in their victories - | :37:03. | :37:08. | |
1.3 million when you take into account first and second | :37:09. | :37:13. | |
preferences. People are saying that does | :37:14. | :37:15. | |
effectively give him the biggest ever personal mandate | :37:16. | :37:18. | |
in UK electoral history. And it is being read not just | :37:19. | :37:20. | |
as a rejection of Conservative tactics during the campaign, | :37:21. | :37:23. | |
but giving a real endorsement to his platform of more housing | :37:24. | :37:25. | |
cheaper transport, more Here with me for the duration | :37:26. | :37:28. | |
this morning Labour MP for Stoke Newington Diane Abbott; | :37:29. | :37:35. | |
and Greg Hands, Conservative MP This morning the new mayor has | :37:36. | :37:38. | |
described his opponent's campaign People were approaching me | :37:39. | :37:47. | |
during the campaign, dozens and dozens and dozens | :37:48. | :37:51. | |
of parents, uncles and aunties, grandparents, saying look, | :37:52. | :37:54. | |
we've done well in business or in accountancy or in law, | :37:55. | :37:57. | |
and we're encouraging our children and nephews and nieces, | :37:58. | :38:00. | |
our grandchildren to get But after the way we've seen you be | :38:01. | :38:02. | |
treated, why should we? After we've seen what you've gone | :38:03. | :38:08. | |
through, why should we? I've spent my entire | :38:09. | :38:11. | |
life encouraging those in minority communities, | :38:12. | :38:14. | |
encouraging those underrepresented to get involved in civic | :38:15. | :38:17. | |
society, to get involved I've been fighting extremism | :38:18. | :38:19. | |
and radicalisation all my life. I think when you conduct politics, | :38:20. | :38:23. | |
you should conduct it in a positive way, to energise and enthuse people | :38:24. | :38:26. | |
to get involved in politics. But let's just remind | :38:27. | :38:30. | |
ourselves how we got here - I therefore declare Sadiq Khan to be | :38:31. | :38:35. | |
elected as the new Mayor of London. More votes than anybody else to hold | :38:36. | :38:42. | |
the job and the highest turnout London has today chosen hope over | :38:43. | :38:48. | |
fear, and unity over division. It didn't take long for Tories | :38:49. | :39:00. | |
to turn on their own campaign. Former Cabinet minister Sayeed Warsi | :39:01. | :39:04. | |
tweeted it had been "appalling" Even Zac Goldsmith's sister said it | :39:05. | :39:08. | |
didn't reflect the brother she knew. When Boris got elected we went | :39:09. | :39:13. | |
from more unified view of London, and it's a real shame | :39:14. | :39:17. | |
that the politics drifted back And that's what you feel they were, | :39:18. | :39:20. | |
was nasty and divisive? There was a tinge of that | :39:21. | :39:25. | |
that was unworthy of Zac and unworthy of the Conservative | :39:26. | :39:28. | |
Party and unworthy of Sadiq Khan. To his credit, I think Sadiq Khan | :39:29. | :39:31. | |
handled it with great The location of his swearing-in | :39:32. | :39:34. | |
ceremony was quite deliberately I wanted to do this signing | :39:35. | :39:39. | |
in ceremony here, in the very heart of our city, surrounded | :39:40. | :39:45. | |
by Londoners of all backgrounds Sadiq Khan is now the most powerful | :39:46. | :39:52. | |
Labour politician in the country - something he's achieved | :39:53. | :39:58. | |
by being more than willing on the campaign trail to contradict | :39:59. | :40:00. | |
his party's leadership. Jeremy Corbyn didn't | :40:01. | :40:07. | |
even make it down here Well, it's an open invite, I'm not | :40:08. | :40:08. | |
sure what Jeremy was doing today, we'll have to find out | :40:09. | :40:15. | |
what he was doing. There are people here | :40:16. | :40:17. | |
from all parties, not just Labour. I'm really proud, as | :40:18. | :40:21. | |
a mayor, I've done that. And early signs are that the team | :40:22. | :40:23. | |
running City Hall will be filled with the big names | :40:24. | :40:26. | |
of the New Labour era. Oona King, former Home Secretary | :40:27. | :40:29. | |
Jacqui Smith and even Andrew Adonis, one of Tony Blair's closest allies | :40:30. | :40:31. | |
who left the Labour Party last year in order to work | :40:32. | :40:34. | |
with the Conservative Government. So, will Sadiq Khan's City Hall | :40:35. | :40:36. | |
inevitably now be seen as an alternative vision | :40:37. | :40:40. | |
of what the Labour Party could look like, in particular | :40:41. | :40:42. | |
when compared to Jeremy Corbyn? Sadiq has been absolutely | :40:43. | :40:46. | |
clear, he's running Where he disagrees with | :40:47. | :40:48. | |
Jeremy Corbyn, he's going to be I think that the tradition that | :40:49. | :40:56. | |
Sadiq will follow in London is that of the great city mayors | :40:57. | :41:01. | |
in the United States. He'll be on the detail here, | :41:02. | :41:03. | |
he'll be less of a factional figure in national politics, | :41:04. | :41:07. | |
and he's certainly not I don't think he's looking | :41:08. | :41:08. | |
for the next job, I think he's very focused on the job that | :41:09. | :41:13. | |
he's just inherited. Which may very well be the case | :41:14. | :41:15. | |
but there were still speculation at City Hall about what Sadiq Khan's | :41:16. | :41:18. | |
next job might be when the votes The mayoralty can be the making | :41:19. | :41:23. | |
of a politician, that's been the case with Boris, | :41:24. | :41:29. | |
and I suspect that will be the case Will we see him lead | :41:30. | :41:32. | |
the Labour Party now? I think it's certainly possible | :41:33. | :41:35. | |
it's certainly possible. He will want to use it, I imagine, | :41:36. | :41:38. | |
as a stepping stone to something In the meantime London's new mayor | :41:39. | :41:41. | |
will have to make good on his promise of tackling | :41:42. | :41:49. | |
the capital's housing problems. They will almost certainly | :41:50. | :41:53. | |
think themselves to have The commitment is to try and build | :41:54. | :41:54. | |
up to 50,000 homes a year, make many of them affordable - | :41:55. | :42:01. | |
these are promises which if they are not fulfilled, | :42:02. | :42:06. | |
will come back to haunt those who made them, and certainly | :42:07. | :42:10. | |
in the case of Sadiq Khan as the winner, he's going to have | :42:11. | :42:13. | |
to try and find a way of getting all the boroughs to double | :42:14. | :42:16. | |
the amount of house building And by the way, to get | :42:17. | :42:19. | |
lots of cheap housing, as well. What ever the years ahead may hold, | :42:20. | :42:23. | |
the headline this weekend is Londoners have just made | :42:24. | :42:29. | |
Sadiq Khan arguably the most powerful British Muslim | :42:30. | :42:33. | |
in all of history. Diane Abbott, was this that | :42:34. | :42:52. | |
surprising? It shows that Labour's show was broadly the same in last | :42:53. | :42:58. | |
year 's general election? He did face an exceptionally nasty | :42:59. | :43:01. | |
campaign. I was with Ken Clarke on Thursday, and he said that he | :43:02. | :43:06. | |
suspected there would be some one nation Tories, and Muslim Tories, | :43:07. | :43:13. | |
who in response to the campaign would either not vote or vote for | :43:14. | :43:18. | |
Sadiq. I think it will inflict long-term damage on the Tories. And | :43:19. | :43:23. | |
it didn't even win. It might have been a question of one in one out, | :43:24. | :43:30. | |
it was said, because there was also Ken Livingstone the week before with | :43:31. | :43:35. | |
the question of anti-Semitism. There was also an issue with what Ken | :43:36. | :43:40. | |
chooses to say, and ex-politician, and also the Prime Minister, the | :43:41. | :43:44. | |
leader of the Conservative Party, standing up in the House of Commons | :43:45. | :43:50. | |
twice to put up forward the clue in sinew and that Sadiq might be some | :43:51. | :43:54. | |
kind of Muslim extremist. I have never seen that before. I have never | :43:55. | :44:00. | |
seen a Prime Minister promote that kind of intime of rhetoric. Do you | :44:01. | :44:09. | |
accept that? Did you accept that the responsibility for the defeat and | :44:10. | :44:12. | |
the tone of the campaign, right from the top, the man who use it behind | :44:13. | :44:17. | |
every week at PMQs? I don't accept that. Throughout the campaign we | :44:18. | :44:23. | |
were asking legitimate questions, which have now been answered. Let me | :44:24. | :44:27. | |
congratulate Sadiq Khan on his victory. We look forward to him | :44:28. | :44:31. | |
working with us. In government, we have a big agenda for London. We are | :44:32. | :44:36. | |
looking forward to working with the new met of London to deliver | :44:37. | :44:41. | |
housing, transport improvements air quality improvements and so on. I | :44:42. | :44:46. | |
think the thrust of the campaign was actually about Zach Goldsmith's | :44:47. | :44:53. | |
programme for London. And that was against Sadiq Khan's programme for | :44:54. | :44:56. | |
London, which proved to be more popular, which is one of the reasons | :44:57. | :45:01. | |
why he won the election. London has been a difficult place for the | :45:02. | :45:07. | |
Conservative Party. In last year's Enrile election, where Labour | :45:08. | :45:09. | |
performed quite poorly, the Labour vote went up in London by 7% at the | :45:10. | :45:15. | |
time it was static and the rest of the country. London has been | :45:16. | :45:18. | |
difficult for us in recent elections. | :45:19. | :45:23. | |
Do you regret the campaign in anyway? The bigger issue on the | :45:24. | :45:31. | |
doorstep was none of this. Do you regret it at all? Any part of the | :45:32. | :45:35. | |
way the campaign was handled at all? In terms of the campaign, of course. | :45:36. | :45:40. | |
Whole range of issues crop up in a campaign. On the issue of the focus | :45:41. | :45:44. | |
from the Prime Minister down on links with extremists? I disagree | :45:45. | :45:49. | |
with the premise of the question, I don't believe that was the focus of | :45:50. | :45:54. | |
the campaign. I believe that is the focus of the debrief or analysis of | :45:55. | :45:59. | |
commentators since the election but you are right, a week ago the | :46:00. | :46:06. | |
election was dominated by only row with Labour and anti-Semitism. If | :46:07. | :46:11. | |
the Tories were just asking reasonable questions, why has the | :46:12. | :46:16. | |
campaign been condemned by Ken Clarke, and a Tory member of the | :46:17. | :46:21. | |
House of Lords? Tories would be queueing up to distance themselves | :46:22. | :46:25. | |
from this campaign... I don't accept that. If you look at what having was | :46:26. | :46:30. | |
saying, we do have to look at some aspects of the campaign. But I don't | :46:31. | :46:33. | |
think he was condemning the campaign. I was with Ken Clarke on | :46:34. | :46:37. | |
Friday. You say there is nothing to learn question what from every | :46:38. | :46:41. | |
campaign there is always things to learn, even from the most humble | :46:42. | :46:45. | |
by-election all the way through to general election. In politics you | :46:46. | :46:50. | |
must always learn from campaigns, particularly unsuccessful campaigns. | :46:51. | :46:54. | |
My career in politics, some of my first campaigns were quite | :46:55. | :46:56. | |
unsuccessful. You learn from those in stakes. I will not pass | :46:57. | :46:59. | |
particular comment. One of the issues I will say that cropped up | :47:00. | :47:04. | |
was the EU, which has been an element we haven't really focused on | :47:05. | :47:08. | |
which is a big backdrop to this campaign. Let's not for this moment. | :47:09. | :47:14. | |
Zac Goldsmith has had a long principled position on the EU which | :47:15. | :47:18. | |
I respect, but it hasn't helped and that cropped up on the doorstep far | :47:19. | :47:23. | |
more than anything about religion or race or anything in relation to | :47:24. | :47:28. | |
that. Diane Abbott, it was important for the Conservatives would be | :47:29. | :47:31. | |
important for anyone to raise questions and explore aspects of a | :47:32. | :47:35. | |
man's life if they are going to represent this capital city? Sure. | :47:36. | :47:43. | |
But it is not Labour people it is Tories, and in particular black and | :47:44. | :47:46. | |
ethnic Tories who have complained about this campaign. Some of them | :47:47. | :47:50. | |
have written that they couldn't bring themselves to vote. It isn't | :47:51. | :47:57. | |
just the stuff about Sadiq possibly being a Muslim extremist, but those | :47:58. | :48:02. | |
different leaflets to Sikhs, Hindus, which particularly upset the Asian | :48:03. | :48:06. | |
community in London because they felt it was both patronising and | :48:07. | :48:10. | |
wrong to send leaflets to Hindus about Sadiq is going to take your | :48:11. | :48:16. | |
gold jewellery and whatever it was. That was particularly nasty and | :48:17. | :48:19. | |
upset a lot of people. What impact is that going have? Will you be | :48:20. | :48:23. | |
fighting elections in London in the next two or three is? I don't agree | :48:24. | :48:28. | |
with the premise of what Diane is saying. I don't that was on the | :48:29. | :48:32. | |
doorstep. On the doorstep these issues were not a big part of the | :48:33. | :48:36. | |
campaign. The issues that were a big part of the campaign were housing, | :48:37. | :48:40. | |
transport, Ed quality and the European Union. You know how | :48:41. | :48:49. | |
important the issue crime, safety, the terror threat is. Is London | :48:50. | :48:51. | |
where safe now because of Sadiq Khan as mayor? I think London is as safe | :48:52. | :48:54. | |
as it can be, with the government working together with American | :48:55. | :48:57. | |
London, the Metropolitan Police the structures are replaced to make sure | :48:58. | :49:01. | |
that is the case. Your position is the same as Home always answering it | :49:02. | :49:08. | |
with in terms of the government With Sadiq Khan as mayor, is London | :49:09. | :49:12. | |
on safe question what I have no concerns with Sadiq as mayor in | :49:13. | :49:17. | |
relation to safety concerns in London. The Mayor of London must | :49:18. | :49:23. | |
work with the government, with the Metropolitan Police. I am looking | :49:24. | :49:26. | |
forward to us all working together to ensure London remains as safe as | :49:27. | :49:32. | |
it possibly can be from terrorism. Do you expect, conversely, Sadiq | :49:33. | :49:36. | |
Khan to take a slightly more critical, could we expect tense | :49:37. | :49:39. | |
relations with the Metropolitan Police? Not just given his past as a | :49:40. | :49:43. | |
lawyer representing people who have allegedly been in dispute with the | :49:44. | :49:50. | |
police, but because generally as a lawyer he has taken a stance against | :49:51. | :49:54. | |
patent search on things at that I don't think so. Sir Bernard Bogen | :49:55. | :50:00. | |
was at his installation. -- Sir Bernard Hogan-Howe. I think they | :50:01. | :50:05. | |
will want to work closely together for one of Ken's best moments as | :50:06. | :50:13. | |
mayor came when he worked closely with the police. You have some | :50:14. | :50:17. | |
control of the purse strings. Do you think now we have a Labour mayor, | :50:18. | :50:23. | |
you won't provide as much up to the city, given the Struthers structure | :50:24. | :50:28. | |
it need? The Chancellor and I provided a lot of funding for | :50:29. | :50:33. | |
London. A big package on TFL, 1 billion over the course of the | :50:34. | :50:37. | |
spending review. A big package on housing, to provide for low-cost | :50:38. | :50:44. | |
shared ownership, shared homes, state regeneration and so on. We | :50:45. | :50:48. | |
published the National air quality plans. A lot of action coming from | :50:49. | :50:53. | |
the government, in relation to London, even ahead of the election. | :50:54. | :50:57. | |
You're not going to punish Londoners for voting Labour? Of course we will | :50:58. | :51:04. | |
work with the new mayor in the interest of London and making sure | :51:05. | :51:07. | |
Londoners get the best possible deal. I say that as a London MP | :51:08. | :51:12. | |
Chief Secretary to the Treasury I look at all the money going into | :51:13. | :51:15. | |
London and am satisfied London is getting a good deal. A good deal. I | :51:16. | :51:23. | |
hope they don't punish Londoners for voting Labour. Why would they, Z is | :51:24. | :51:27. | |
very important to any government? It would be wrong and | :51:28. | :51:32. | |
counter-productive but we are going to have to wait and see. It would be | :51:33. | :51:36. | |
wrong and that is why we're not going to do it. It is incredibly | :51:37. | :51:40. | |
important. London is one of big engines of this country, going | :51:41. | :51:45. | |
forward. The government absolute director Clive is the importance of | :51:46. | :51:49. | |
London, and that is right at the core of a lot of the debate. -- | :51:50. | :51:56. | |
absolutely core. It would be a fair expectation of Londoners to expect | :51:57. | :52:00. | |
help from the government to keep affairs down because you gave that | :52:01. | :52:04. | |
to Boris Johnson in the last three years of the Conservative | :52:05. | :52:06. | |
administration? It would be fair for Londoners to expect that? We have a | :52:07. | :52:10. | |
very generous settlement for transport of London up until 20 1. | :52:11. | :52:16. | |
In terms of the money that is given by the government to transport for | :52:17. | :52:21. | |
London, it is up to them area macro and transport for London to decide | :52:22. | :52:25. | |
how to spend that money. We have given money to Crossrail as well two | :52:26. | :52:31. | |
months ago. Our commitment to transport in London cannot be | :52:32. | :52:34. | |
questioned. With all the attention on the mayoral contest it was easy | :52:35. | :52:38. | |
to forget the London assembly also had its election. | :52:39. | :52:41. | |
Raphael Sheridan has been taking a look at what happened. | :52:42. | :52:44. | |
The Assembly's main political clout rests in its ability | :52:45. | :52:46. | |
to amend the mayor's budget, but this requires | :52:47. | :52:48. | |
However, on the night, Labour stopped any chance of that | :52:49. | :52:51. | |
happening by retaining 12 of the 25 seats. | :52:52. | :52:54. | |
The Conservatives were down one, on 8. | :52:55. | :52:56. | |
The Greens retained their two seats, with two new Assembly members, | :52:57. | :52:59. | |
and Ukip made what Nigel Farage called "a breakthrough", | :53:00. | :53:03. | |
winning two seats, the first they have held since 2004. | :53:04. | :53:07. | |
Well, it's a breakthrough, and what's behind it is we are | :53:08. | :53:10. | |
a very different party to the one that stood here last time around. | :53:11. | :53:14. | |
We've made big gains in the European elections, general elections, | :53:15. | :53:16. | |
local elections all over the United Kingdom. | :53:17. | :53:18. | |
But it was a poor night for the Liberal Democrats, | :53:19. | :53:23. | |
who were reduced to just one assembly member - | :53:24. | :53:25. | |
its mayoral candidate, Caroline Pidgeon. | :53:26. | :53:27. | |
So whilst there might be new faces on the Assembly, | :53:28. | :53:30. | |
perhaps what this election suggests is that, despite mixed support | :53:31. | :53:32. | |
the Labour nationally, London has reasserted itself | :53:33. | :53:34. | |
That is the shape of the body that hold Sadiq Khan to come. | :53:35. | :53:49. | |
We are beginning to get a sense of what his administration might be. | :53:50. | :53:54. | |
There might be people like Lord Adonis, who might come and be an | :53:55. | :53:59. | |
adviser, a Blairite individual like that being a key figure, what do you | :54:00. | :54:04. | |
think? I think it would be great to bring Lord Adonis in. Anyone who is | :54:05. | :54:14. | |
mayor would call on Lord Adonis for study gets things done. Do you get | :54:15. | :54:19. | |
the impression Sadiq Khan's administration might look fairly | :54:20. | :54:24. | |
Blairite and moderate impaired yours all Jeremy Corbyn's? I think Sadiq | :54:25. | :54:29. | |
Khan will do what is best for London. I am confident Sadiq will do | :54:30. | :54:35. | |
that. Has anyone let you know where Jeremy was during that splendid | :54:36. | :54:37. | |
service at Southwark Cathedral yesterday? I think he was on his way | :54:38. | :54:43. | |
to Bristol. I know this is not West of England programme, we had a | :54:44. | :54:46. | |
fantastic result with Marvin becoming the Labour mayor of | :54:47. | :54:54. | |
Bristol. But he wasn't there? I think you will find that Jeremy and | :54:55. | :54:58. | |
Sadiq are going to be working closely together. Jeremy is not just | :54:59. | :55:03. | |
the leader of the party but a long-standing MP and has a | :55:04. | :55:05. | |
particular interest in issues which will be at the heart of Sadiq's | :55:06. | :55:11. | |
programme. Tech three housing. Is it possible he wasn't there because he | :55:12. | :55:14. | |
doesn't like the way and maybe you don't either, that Sadiq Khan has | :55:15. | :55:16. | |
distanced himself in the campaign from him? And that is not | :55:17. | :55:22. | |
respectful, doesn't recognise Jeremy Corbyn's mandate? That is a media | :55:23. | :55:29. | |
live. Jeremy and Sadiq will work closely together, what have to work | :55:30. | :55:33. | |
closely together. The party in London will expect that and that is | :55:34. | :55:37. | |
what will happen. What do you think Sadiq Khan should do in terms of | :55:38. | :55:42. | |
administration? I think that is a question better put to Sadiq Khan. | :55:43. | :55:45. | |
I'm sure he will be working closely with the government on a number of | :55:46. | :55:49. | |
these really important issues important to Londoners across the | :55:50. | :55:52. | |
board. I am looking forward to speaking to him. What about people | :55:53. | :55:58. | |
like Lord Adonis, Jacqui Smith? That is a decision for Sadiq Khan. Lord | :55:59. | :56:05. | |
Adonis he works with very closely. He has in very capable in the work | :56:06. | :56:09. | |
he has done for the National infrastructure committee. It is up | :56:10. | :56:12. | |
to Sadiq Khan. He has that mandate. It is up to him to deliver that | :56:13. | :56:17. | |
Would it be another indication perhaps Sadiq Khan was as extremist | :56:18. | :56:22. | |
as some might have portrayed him? Again, I said disagree with the | :56:23. | :56:27. | |
premise in that suggestion. The government will work with | :56:28. | :56:32. | |
whoever the London mayor is. Sadiq Khan, whatever political party, in | :56:33. | :56:34. | |
the interests of Londoners and the country. People are going to | :56:35. | :56:40. | |
constantly now at the two of them, the individuals, Jeremy Corbyn and | :56:41. | :56:44. | |
Sadiq Khan and find differences it's inevitable. People are going to | :56:45. | :56:48. | |
point out that he was an electoral winner. What was a winner in London, | :56:49. | :56:54. | |
is what is always a winner in London, the Labour Party. We had | :56:55. | :56:59. | |
fantastic results, even last in a bad general election. I will say | :57:00. | :57:03. | |
this, I was all over London in the run-up and on the day, from 7-1 at | :57:04. | :57:08. | |
night and there were very many people giving me the thumbs up and | :57:09. | :57:11. | |
coming to me in the street who wanted to win this for Jeremy. Not | :57:12. | :57:16. | |
everybody, but people wanted a good result for Jeremy London. How much | :57:17. | :57:21. | |
do think it was an important factor? Sadiq Khan says success has many | :57:22. | :57:26. | |
parents. Which parent was more important question mark I wouldn't | :57:27. | :57:31. | |
like to say but there were a lot of activists working their socks off | :57:32. | :57:37. | |
for Sadiq macro. Andrew was talking to Caroline Flint earlier. Sadiq | :57:38. | :57:40. | |
Khan said we will be never trusted to govern unless we reach out and | :57:41. | :57:43. | |
engage with all voters, regardless of background. It has been very | :57:44. | :57:48. | |
clearly interpreted as having to be much more inclusive than the | :57:49. | :57:52. | |
messaging around Labour led by Jeremy Corbyn. Every London MP, as I | :57:53. | :58:01. | |
am and as Jeremy is, an average property in Hackney now costs ? | :58:02. | :58:06. | |
million. I can't win Hackney and Jeremy can't win Islington on the | :58:07. | :58:09. | |
basis of people living in council estates. It is naturally the case in | :58:10. | :58:13. | |
these... You supported the mansion tax? Did I? I think I expressed very | :58:14. | :58:20. | |
clearly my reservations about the mansion tax. You have to be | :58:21. | :58:24. | |
inclusive to win seats in London. Jeremy is inclusive and Sadiq will | :58:25. | :58:31. | |
be. Is this quite a problem for the Conservatives, is Sadiq Khan really | :58:32. | :58:34. | |
Jeremy Corbyn's man question that was thrust of the campaign up until | :58:35. | :58:39. | |
now. How you approach this? I think he is going to work with us and we | :58:40. | :58:43. | |
will work with him, in delivering for London. In terms of the internal | :58:44. | :58:49. | |
Labour warfare going on, that has been going on for the last year or | :58:50. | :58:53. | |
longer, I think that is a problem for Labour and not really a problem | :58:54. | :58:56. | |
for the Conservatives on the government. We will be getting on | :58:57. | :58:59. | |
with governing the country and leave the internal squabbling to the | :59:00. | :59:04. | |
Labour Party. You worked really hard in your seat for years and years. | :59:05. | :59:08. | |
Quite urban, although as a lovely postcode in Fulham, you have set | :59:09. | :59:16. | |
back, the Conservative cause has been set back by this campaign? I | :59:17. | :59:21. | |
don't agree. I don't think the issues you have mentioned were the | :59:22. | :59:25. | |
issues cropping up on the issues were the bread and butter issues and | :59:26. | :59:31. | |
I will say it again, the European Union referendum, which seems in | :59:32. | :59:35. | |
Congress but a lot of people in west London, which are overwhelmingly | :59:36. | :59:39. | |
parts of London, most pro-remain part of Britain were saying they had | :59:40. | :59:44. | |
problems without candidate because of his position on the EU. We have | :59:45. | :59:48. | |
run out of time. That is an issue we will be exploring in the next few | :59:49. | :59:51. | |
weeks. Thank you for joining us Andrew, from here in London, back to | :59:52. | :59:53. | |
you. Welcome back. The panel is | :59:54. | :00:12. | |
assembled, and we will be talking about the EU referendum shortly | :00:13. | :00:17. | |
particularly about Tory splits in that referendum. First, let's get a | :00:18. | :00:21. | |
reaction to what you have been hearing on the show. Caroline Flint | :00:22. | :00:27. | |
was very interesting. She said the things that the moderates have said | :00:28. | :00:31. | |
before, we will need to do better than this, for example. She also | :00:32. | :00:36. | |
repeated the Tom Watson line, which is that our members think that he | :00:37. | :00:42. | |
deserves more time. I'm not even sure that if he had lost London | :00:43. | :00:46. | |
there would have been a coup. There was lots of talk and rumbles, but | :00:47. | :00:51. | |
there is going to be this one this year for sure. The argument from the | :00:52. | :00:56. | |
moderates is that he needs more time because of the mandate. At no point | :00:57. | :00:59. | |
have the Labour voters who voted for Jeremy Corbyn going to say, time is | :01:00. | :01:07. | |
up now. In 2020 when Labour go to a landslide defeat, they will still | :01:08. | :01:10. | |
not think there was an argument for Corbyn not to be leader. There is | :01:11. | :01:15. | |
nothing to be gained by waiting and everything to be lost. When I hear | :01:16. | :01:20. | |
about people talking about the need for unity and lack of squabbling, it | :01:21. | :01:26. | |
did remind me of the appeals that used to be made among Tories during | :01:27. | :01:30. | |
the Maastricht debacle in the early 90s, but it never happened, of | :01:31. | :01:33. | |
course. When there are divisions, you can't hide them. This drama is | :01:34. | :01:40. | |
being played out in public. Tom is right. What the so-called moderates | :01:41. | :01:45. | |
are doing now is much more sensible, which is to say, there won't be a | :01:46. | :01:49. | |
coup. The hints that there might be have stopped. There will not be a | :01:50. | :01:54. | |
coup for now, and they are framing it very sensibly with that Watson | :01:55. | :02:01. | |
line, patience. He has this mandate from last September. It's far too | :02:02. | :02:05. | |
early to challenge the mandate when he is still popular with the | :02:06. | :02:09. | |
membership. But let's frame it to see whether he can be an election | :02:10. | :02:15. | |
winner, and that is fair. If he isn't an election winner, they hope | :02:16. | :02:21. | |
at some point to persuade the membership... That they will not | :02:22. | :02:24. | |
persuade the membership. The polls told the members he would not be an | :02:25. | :02:29. | |
election winner and they voted for him anyway. What was always not a | :02:30. | :02:34. | |
feasible option to them, although some were contemplating it, was | :02:35. | :02:41. | |
moving now. It's too early. There is a caveat there, which is that there | :02:42. | :02:48. | |
is no electoral trigger in 2017 He will not be electorally tested in | :02:49. | :02:51. | |
2017, as it is all about the shires. With the local elections over | :02:52. | :02:54. | |
you can expect the referendum campaign to get as hot as a Sunday | :02:55. | :02:56. | |
afternoon in early May. And, in case you'd forgotten, this | :02:57. | :02:59. | |
is an argument which has pitched former close Cabinet allies | :03:00. | :03:03. | |
against one another. Here's Justice Secretary Michael | :03:04. | :03:05. | |
Gove and Chancellor George Osborne They are giving part of the economic | :03:06. | :03:07. | |
case for each side of the debate. If we look at the arguments that | :03:08. | :03:19. | |
are made now about how Britain might suffer outside the European Union | :03:20. | :03:23. | |
economic play, they are all arguments that are a reprise, | :03:24. | :03:25. | |
a rerun of the original case that was made against staying | :03:26. | :03:28. | |
outside the single currency. But more than that, you can see how | :03:29. | :03:30. | |
countries which are outside the European Union are able to forge | :03:31. | :03:33. | |
trade deals and to grow faster One of the striking things | :03:34. | :03:36. | |
about the EU, is that is has brought economic insecurity and massive | :03:37. | :03:43. | |
youth unemployment to countries I'm pretty clear that there will be | :03:44. | :03:56. | |
a significant hit to the value of people's homes and to the cost of | :03:57. | :04:01. | |
mortgages. That's one example of the kind of economic impact that we get | :04:02. | :04:06. | |
from leaving the youth. The Leave campaign is today saying they would | :04:07. | :04:12. | |
leave the single market. For me that is an absolutely catastrophic | :04:13. | :04:16. | |
economic mistake our country. Michael Gove said this morning to | :04:17. | :04:20. | |
Andrew Marr that the relations between the warring Tory cabinet | :04:21. | :04:26. | |
ministers were still cordial. Do you believe them, or have a squadron of | :04:27. | :04:34. | |
pigs just flown over the studio Of course it isn't cordial. No more | :04:35. | :04:38. | |
than what is going on in the Labour Party right now. There is this | :04:39. | :04:42. | |
debate going on. I have wanted a referendum for many years on this | :04:43. | :04:47. | |
issue. It is extraordinary that we have just had the Chancellor of the | :04:48. | :04:50. | |
Exchequer, who has supported the idea of the EU referendum, saying it | :04:51. | :04:54. | |
is catastrophic the dash it would be catastrophic. If one of the options | :04:55. | :05:00. | |
is catastrophic, how irresponsible to have it. In September, they were | :05:01. | :05:06. | |
saying, we haven't finished the negotiations yet and we don't know | :05:07. | :05:11. | |
which way we are going to go. He either lied then, or he is lying | :05:12. | :05:16. | |
now. Which is it? Has this not turned out to be more rancorous | :05:17. | :05:21. | |
even much more rancorous, than Mr Cameron and George Osborne ever | :05:22. | :05:27. | |
envisaged to three months ago. If you go back to the row we were | :05:28. | :05:32. | |
initially having in January about collective responsibility, which is, | :05:33. | :05:37. | |
will Cameron allow or not allow his cabinet to campaign for leave, and | :05:38. | :05:46. | |
he lost that one. But in May, using key had a point. Michael Gove, Boris | :05:47. | :05:51. | |
Johnson, big hitters doing immense damage to the Tory brand and to Tory | :05:52. | :05:58. | |
unity. Things bubbling up of late are the way that ministers like | :05:59. | :06:02. | |
Priti Patel going for issues like NHS funding. We can pay the NHS more | :06:03. | :06:07. | |
if we left the EU, which means we are not paying enough. That hits | :06:08. | :06:11. | |
right at the heart of government policies. The moment collective | :06:12. | :06:18. | |
responsibility ends, a spell that is cast over us that they all agree | :06:19. | :06:23. | |
with everybody about everything we never see it in the same way again. | :06:24. | :06:29. | |
In 75 with Harold Wilson - will you remember that? And never again they | :06:30. | :06:36. | |
say that Mr Benn and Mr Wilson and all those people were on the same | :06:37. | :06:41. | |
song sheet. He very clever Rees said an agreement to differ -- very | :06:42. | :06:47. | |
cleverly said. But it was the differing that stood out. We all | :06:48. | :06:55. | |
were two young! But Harold Wilson never played the prominent part in | :06:56. | :06:59. | |
the campaign that David Cameron has played. He kind of stood back from | :07:00. | :07:08. | |
it all. Very clever. But also, using the government's power, it has | :07:09. | :07:14. | |
turned nasty because of the way that the government's Remain side has | :07:15. | :07:17. | |
played it. And some of the ridiculous claims that have been | :07:18. | :07:22. | |
made. People come up to me all the time and say, wide you think this? | :07:23. | :07:28. | |
We want facts. People are crying out for the facts. The Chancellor saying | :07:29. | :07:33. | |
it is going to be catastrophic is absolute and utter nonsense. We know | :07:34. | :07:38. | |
that because the Prime Minister said last year himself that it wouldn't | :07:39. | :07:43. | |
be. Michael Gove said today that he wasn't bothered about being part of | :07:44. | :07:46. | |
the single market. Given that the economic debate is... If you look at | :07:47. | :07:51. | |
the private polling they are doing, the Remain side think they are | :07:52. | :07:55. | |
winning the economic argument. The Leave side think that they will win | :07:56. | :08:02. | |
on immigration, controlling borders and national sovereignty and so on. | :08:03. | :08:06. | |
To say that it doesn't matter if we are in the single market, even if | :08:07. | :08:10. | |
there is a price to pay, could come to haunt the Leave side. I think it | :08:11. | :08:21. | |
is an error. When in the Scottish referendum campaign, Alex Salmond | :08:22. | :08:30. | |
was fudging over the currency issue, the fact that he fudged it meant | :08:31. | :08:35. | |
that he could never say what would actually happen. I think a lot of | :08:36. | :08:39. | |
people will be bothered about being out of the single market, including | :08:40. | :08:43. | |
a lot of their natural supporters, and some business people. I think | :08:44. | :08:47. | |
they are losing the debate on the economy, and that will be more | :08:48. | :08:50. | |
pivotal in the end. The ordinary response to the Remain campaigners | :08:51. | :08:57. | |
about being in the single market is... If you seriously think that | :08:58. | :09:04. | |
BMW is going to go to Angela Merkel and say that they are happy to have | :09:05. | :09:10. | |
3% WTO tariffs to our biggest market in the UK, that is insane. Gordon | :09:11. | :09:18. | |
Brown has been brought out for the Remain campaign. He had an | :09:19. | :09:23. | |
intervention in the Scottish referendum. I wonder if it could be | :09:24. | :09:28. | |
a repeat for months, because I wonder how much Mr Brown resonates | :09:29. | :09:33. | |
south of the border? You would be tempted to think absolutely not | :09:34. | :09:37. | |
because Gordon Brown is still a hugely respected figure in Scotland, | :09:38. | :09:43. | |
perhaps less in England. But the key voters, the undecideds, art those | :09:44. | :09:52. | |
middle ranking people. Not those posh people or the people who have | :09:53. | :09:58. | |
made up their minds to leave. The public sector worker, perhaps, | :09:59. | :10:01. | |
middle ranking people. They could crucially play a row role in | :10:02. | :10:06. | |
organising -- galvanising Labour voters. How do you persuade them | :10:07. | :10:13. | |
enough to care? Referendums are dangerous for Prime Minister. They | :10:14. | :10:18. | |
produce wacky sequences. David Cameron was a king for Jeremy Corbyn | :10:19. | :10:27. | |
to do well when he was making a speech in support of staying in | :10:28. | :10:32. | |
That is what happens in referendums, you become desperate for your | :10:33. | :10:35. | |
previous enemies to survive and flourish. The Labour vote is | :10:36. | :10:38. | |
important. If that doesn't come out, it would be disastrous for Remain. | :10:39. | :10:46. | |
And people in favour of Brexit are going to be more keen to vote | :10:47. | :10:51. | |
because they feel more passionately. It is difficult to be passionate | :10:52. | :10:55. | |
about remaining in the EU. And those who are passionate about coming out | :10:56. | :11:03. | |
are quite eurosceptic. -- about staying in our quite eurosceptic. Mr | :11:04. | :11:08. | |
Cameron and Mr Osborne would put themselves in that category. The EU | :11:09. | :11:15. | |
is constantly being reformed. But not in the direction we want to And | :11:16. | :11:22. | |
the heads of MI5 and MI6 supported staying in this morning. George | :11:23. | :11:25. | |
Osborne wants to play the security card. Whether they are right or | :11:26. | :11:32. | |
wrong, I would suggest that security, in terms of fighting | :11:33. | :11:35. | |
terrorism and keeping our borders secure, is not something that | :11:36. | :11:40. | |
British people associate naturally with the EU. You are absolutely | :11:41. | :11:45. | |
right. The remainers started off thinking that security would be a | :11:46. | :11:48. | |
big catchphrase, but it hasn't worked. It is a score draw at best, | :11:49. | :11:57. | |
largely because migration has come to play in this security argument. A | :11:58. | :12:03. | |
former head of MI6 has said that it doesn't matter. Remain have got to | :12:04. | :12:07. | |
say something in this. The best they can hope for is, their best suit is | :12:08. | :12:13. | |
the economy, and leave immigration. That is the danger of the security | :12:14. | :12:18. | |
issue. If you bring up security you can quickly move on to immigration. | :12:19. | :12:23. | |
They can say, you cannot really be secure and less you can control our | :12:24. | :12:29. | |
borders. The moment you got on to immigration, it is highly emotive | :12:30. | :12:36. | |
and the doubters have got some - those who support out have got some | :12:37. | :12:42. | |
clout on this. As long as the economy is centre stage, and most | :12:43. | :12:47. | |
people assume that Remain are winning that argument, I think that | :12:48. | :12:52. | |
is as Sagna second as going back to 75. The polls show that they are | :12:53. | :12:58. | |
ahead on the economy. The 200 page Treasury document was predicated on | :12:59. | :13:04. | |
GDP, but actually it was predicated on an extra 3 million immigrants | :13:05. | :13:10. | |
coming to this country by 2030. We shall see | :13:11. | :13:11. | |
what happens in the next couple of months. | :13:12. | :13:15. | |
We'll be back at the same time, 11.00 next week. | :13:16. | :13:17. | |
You can watch the Daily Politics every day this week at noon. | :13:18. | :13:20. | |
Remember, if it's Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics. | :13:21. | :13:24. |