21/01/2018 Sunday Politics London


21/01/2018

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LineFromTo

Morning, everyone, and welcome

to the Sunday Politics.

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I'm Sarah Smith.

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And this is your essential briefing

to everything that's happening this

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morning in the world of politics.

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Big fines for bosses who take

bonuses from firms with black holes

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in their pension funds -

will the Prime Minister's promise

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help the Government get

back on the front foot

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after the collapse of Carillion?

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Leading Brexiteer Jacob Rees-Mogg

says the Lords risk fundamental

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reform if they obstruct the passage

of the EU Withdrawal Bill.

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Arch-remainer Lord Adonis

says that's their job.

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We'll bring the MP

and the peer together.

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Henry Bolton fights to save his job

after a week of damaging headlines

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about his relationship

with a 25-year-old model.

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We'll be talk to

the Ukip leader live.

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Will it be his last

interview as party leader?

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In London, knife crime is on the

rise. Could the solution lie in

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Scotland where it is treated as a

public health issue?

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All that coming up in the programme.

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And with me today, our regular

gaggle of experts providing

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the inside track on all the big

stories - Tom Newton Dunn,

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Isabel Oakeshott and Steve Richards.

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First this morning, Theresa May

is proposing what she's

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calling tough new rules

to penalise company executives

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who try to line their own pockets

by putting their workers'

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pensions at risk.

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"An unacceptable abuse,"

she says, "that will end."

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Her comments come as the Government

attempts to seize the initiative

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after the collapse of the giant

construction, services

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and out-sourcing company, Carillion,

which went into liquidation

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on Monday with debts

of around £1.5 billion.

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One of Britain's biggest

construction firms, Carillion,

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has been put into liquidation.

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20,000 workers face

an uncertain future.

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Carillion employed people providing

essential services in our schools,

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hospitals, railways and prisons.

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They had to be told they would be

paid when they turned

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up to work on Monday.

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Let me be clear that all employees

should continue to turn up to work

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confident in the knowledge

that they will be paid

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for the public services

that they are providing.

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The firm had around 450

contracts with government,

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on top of private work

and overseas projects.

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Some of those had been handed

to the company after it issued

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profit warnings last year.

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Prime Minister, why were contracts

awarded to Carillion

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despite the warnings?

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Labour and the unions

wanted answers.

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Why did the Government

not heed the warnings?

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Why did they continue to give

billions of pounds of contracts

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to a company that the City

were backing against in 2013?

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That's the real question.

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And it's emerged the firm's former

chief executive, Richard Howson,

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who left the firm last year,

received £1.5 million in pay

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and bonuses in 2016,

while many ordinary employees face

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the prospect of being laid-off

and a huge black hole

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in the company's pension scheme

could result in their

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pensions being slashed.

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Subcontractors who hadn't been paid

for weeks were warned they might get

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just 1p for every pound

they are owed.

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Some warned that they too

might go to the wall.

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We are not really a business

of a size that can trade

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through that without some form

of support from the Government.

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If it's not forthcoming, I think

ourselves and lots of businesses

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like us will probably go

out of business.

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In the wake of the collapse...

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For Labour though, this was not just

about the failure of one company.

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By Monday night, Jeremy Corbyn had

taken to social media.

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At Prime Minister's Questions,

he pressed the point home.

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This is not one isolated case

of government negligence

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and corporate failure.

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It is a broken system.

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Virgin and Stagecoach's management

of East Coast Trains,

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Capita and Atos' handling

of disability assessments,

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and security firm G4S's failure

to provide security at the Olympics

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were all examples, according

to Jeremy Corbyn, of the private

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sector failing the public sector.

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These corporations, Mr Speaker,

need to be shown the door.

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We need our public services

provided by public employees

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with a public service ethos

and a strong public oversight.

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As the ruins of Carillion lie

around her, will the Prime Minister

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act to end this costly racket?

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Theresa May pointed out

it was the Blair and Brown

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governments that signed

many of the big public-private

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partnership deals and she suspected

there was something else behind

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the current Labour leadership's

hostility to the private sector.

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But what Labour oppose isn't just

a role for private companies

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in public services but the private

sector as a whole.

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This is a Labour Party that has

turned its back on investment,

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on growth, on jobs.

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A Labour Party that will always put

politics before people.

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So, under a Labour government,

how far would their

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nationalisation plans go?

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Would every binman, builder

and even bankers have to be

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employed by the state?

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Carillion's collapses the big story

of the week and it will continue to

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have political consequences I will

talk through now at the panel. Tom

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Newton Dunn, presumably the caps of

Carillion has prompted this promise

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from Theresa May that she will

punish bosses who continue to take

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bonuses when they have black holes

in the pension fund, is this

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something new?

This is our

expectation, the Prime Minister has

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acted dramatically as a response to

the collapse of Carillion last week.

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The problem as I recall a party

conference speech she gave in

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October, 2016, the citizens of

nowhere, calling out a rotten

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corrupt apples across the country

then, Philip Green who presided over

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the collapse of BHS, leaving a

massive pensions black hole, an

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entire year and a bit has passed and

no apparent government action. I

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fear Theresa May with the bold words

in the new look Observer this

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morning, action today, still action

tomorrow.

It is what people want to

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hear?

Certainly people do want to

hear it, although they are amazed it

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has not happened before. Jeremy

Corbyn is playing this beautifully.

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There is a much more worrying bigger

picture here for the Conservatives.

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The opportunity they have created

for Jeremy Corbyn to underline his

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case that unfettered free markets do

not work and somehow or other

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Carillion symbolises everything that

is wrong about the system, as we

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heard him say in the clip. I do not

think most voters are particularly

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ideological, they just want things

to work. But if the Government is

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seen to be incompetent on this

scale, it creates a vacuum for the

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leader of the Labour Party to put an

ideological spin on it and he is

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doing it very effectively.

The Prime

Minister is right when she says more

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of these PFI contracts were signed

under Blair and Brown than under

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subsequent Tory governments, but now

you have a Jeremy Corbyn Labour

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Party in opposition, they do not

have to shoulder the blame for that?

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Jeremy Corbyn oppose them at the

time. The late 1970s in reverse,

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that is what we are seeing. Bowman

the minority Labour government being

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torn apart. Now we have a minority

Conservative government being

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challenged by tidal waves which put

them on the defensive all the time.

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We have not time to go through other

examples, but just on this one,

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Theresa May is quite well equipped,

as Tom said, from the beginning, she

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taught the language of intervention

and corporate governments, coming

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after the bad people in the private

sector, but because of the lack of

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action to follow it up and because

Jeremy Corbyn genuinely believes in

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these things, it is much easier for

him to swim with these tidal waves

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than her lead in this deeply

pressurised minority government.

We

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have been talking to all three of

you through the programme, let us

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pick up on Carillion with the Shadow

Attorney General, Labour's Shami

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Chakrabarti. Labour have been very

critical of the Government's

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response to the collapse of

Carillion, what would Labour have

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done differently this week if you

had been in government?

I think what

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we would do and what we will do, as

soon as we are in government, is

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look in a far more fundamental way

at PFI, outsourcing, and by the

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way...

We will get on the principles

of this, but if you had won the

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election in 2017, it would have been

a Labour government handling the

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collapse, what would have been

different in your response?

We would

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not have left it so late, we would

not have bailed out a company that

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already had raised serious warning

signals in the City, we would not

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have allowed them to get into

subcontracting with, for example,

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Cerco, worth millions of pounds,

profit warnings against that company

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too.

Cerco are a big government

provider, should they be looking at

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all of their contracts with the

likes of Cerco who have also issued

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profit warnings?

You do have to look

at all of the arrangements and the

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subcontracting arrangements. It is

not because I am ideological leap

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opposed to the private sector, it

will be smaller private sector

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companies suffering from nonpayment.

Should the Government help? The man

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running the small business in the

film saying they might go to the

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wall.

Quite possibly. But with

accountability. It is all very well

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for Mrs May to say she will sting

the big executives, there has to be

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ministerial responsibility as well.

One of my concerns is that when

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vital public services of a kind

almost constitutional, for example,

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prisons, get contracted out, what

you are actually devolving as

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ministerial responsibility,

something goes terribly wrong, in a

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vital utility, a matter of security,

infrastructure, and ministers, of

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whatever colour, put up their hands

and say, it is wicked executives.

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What we need is ministerial

responsibility, oversight, of course

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we want a thriving private sector,

but some vital services need to be

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run by public servants and with

ministers held to account.

Sometimes

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when you hear Labour Shadow

ministers talking, it sounds as

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though they want to take absolutely

everything back into public

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ownership.

That is not the case. I

believe in a mixed economy and I

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know my colleagues do too but there

are times when some things need to

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be in public hands. That will

include on constitutional grounds

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talking about people's human rights,

basic security, and it will also

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mean sometimes when you have a big

organisation and outsourcing is used

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to grind down the working conditions

of some workers and break down the

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sense of community solidarity.

Where

is it appropriate for private

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contracts?

For example, there are

some things that the private sector

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probably does better. When you're

running a police force, you are

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unlikely to say, we will make the

motorbikes for the police officers

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better than BMW. Maybe you will but

I doubt it will happen any time

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soon.

You need to look at this. What

about cleaning in offices and police

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stations? Should that be run by the

police or outsourced?

Maybe

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hospitals are better example because

cleanliness in a hospital is quite

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often a matter of life and death.

Sometimes it is better even for

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something that seems not a core

service like claiming to be in

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public hands. You need to look at

this on a case-by-case basis.

You do

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not have many examples of where it

is appropriate for private companies

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to be involved. Prisons and

probation, what about catering in

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prisons, does that have to be in

public hands?

What you want to do is

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look at the quality of the service,

the quality of the conditions, for

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the people working there, and to see

what would be best value for the

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public and for the public purse. It

is not ideological, but in some

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cases, principles are at stake.

We

are left with the problem here of

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workers worried about pensions,

working for Carillion and

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subcontractors who might not get

paid. If the Government work to talk

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about putting taxpayers' money into

helping out those people or those

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companies, would the Labour Party

object?

We would want to look at the

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conditions of spending public money?

In principle? It is not the fault of

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the subcontracting small companies

they will not get paid.

Indeed, but

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if you decide to spend public money,

for example, to help the smaller

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businesses, you want accountability

in response. You

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in response. You might well want to

legislate to give priority to

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pension funds, for example, over

shareholders who have not done their

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job of corporate governance in these

cases.

Moving on to talk about

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something else, if you don't mind,

the serial six attacker, this time

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last week we were sitting here

talking about the fact the Justice

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Minister said he would launch a

judicial review and now he will not

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because it has little chance of

succeeding. Should the Government be

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pursuing a judicial review?

My view

at the time, I held my tongue about

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it because I am used to politicians

wading in in a knee jerk way when

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there is a case of this kind, my

view is that if there is to be a

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judicial review of the parole board

decision, the best person to bring

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such a review would be a victim

because the chances are their best

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arguments would be under the Human

Rights Act which gives rights to

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victims and not to politicians.

Crowdfunding attempt to raise money

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to do that perhaps?

If the Justice

Secretary wants to make a name for

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himself with this as a new Justice

Secretary, he might better give his

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attentions to making sure the people

have decent levels of legal aid so

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they can vindicate their rights

under the Human Rights Act. In

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relation to the case of John Worboys

and the crisis of public confidence,

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that it is in danger of creating, we

could do with an end review of the

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whole case, from the moment a young

woman

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woman went to the police and was not

believed to the moment this release

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decision was made arguably with the

lack of transparency and involvement

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of victims.

He was prosecuted for

offences against 12 women and we

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know there were almost 100 other

women who came forward. The CPS said

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there was not enough evidence and

they cannot revisit that decision,

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if there was not enough evidence

then, there will not be enough now.

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I am not second-guessing the

particular CPS decision is because I

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am not in a position to do that but

there are issues for the whole

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system from the moment that a woman

went to the police and was not

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treated with the respect she

deserved, to victims.

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Kier Starmer was director of

prosecutions at the time and he said

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he didn't have any involvement in

the decision-making behind it.

Nor

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did his predecessor.

But he should

have done, shouldn't he? He has

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prosecuted for only 12 cases, the

DPP should be involved in that.

My

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argument is this whole

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story on this whole case and the

numbers of women involved and

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frankly the anxiety this decision

has caused to women who weren't even

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victims means there needs to be an

end to end review of how the system

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has worked in this case, from the

moment a woman went to the police

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and was arguably not believed in was

made without the input of victims

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who I would expect to be given

notice and the opportunity to make

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representations to the parole board.

There's a story running in the

0:17:010:17:03

Sunday Times this morning about

Momentum and saying they are trying

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to deselect 50 Labour MPs. The fact

of the matter is whether have been

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Parliamentary selections, momentum

candidates have... Do you think

0:17:110:17:18

actually the Parliamentary Labour

Party should better

0:17:180:17:25

Party should better reflect Jeremy

Corbyn's Labour Party?

Momentum is

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not prioritising the selection of

some candidates over others. They

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are part of the Labour movement that

has always had various strands

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within it. What is exciting to me is

not exciting to the Sunday Times,

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fair enough, but we have a

Democratic party becoming more

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democratic. I...

There is still a

massive disconnect between those who

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sit in Parliament and those who have

joined since Jeremy Corbyn became

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leader.

I think these things become

exaggerated. I have noticed people

0:18:010:18:12

uniting around purposes, not least

the scandal around Carillion. I

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don't really spot this red Menace in

the way other people do. It's a

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democratic party, and most popular

movement of about 600,000 people and

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I think that something to be

optimistic about.

Thank you for

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talking to this morning.

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Momentum haven't been that

successful so far.

I think it has

0:18:410:18:46

been overblown on the basis of the

evidence. You quoted the procedure

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is taking place so far, they haven't

prevailed that often and in the

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Sunday Times this morning they

resorted to the example of Haringey

0:18:550:18:59

Council where there are a lot of

specific local issues. At this point

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it is unclear whether the selection

will become the overwhelming theme

0:19:040:19:08

over the next few years in the

Labour Party. It might do but the

0:19:080:19:12

evidence so far is it is much more

nuanced than some papers are

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suggesting.

Three new Momentum

members on the NEC this morning, is

0:19:170:19:23

it going to make a difference do you

think?

A huge difference because

0:19:230:19:30

Corbyn and his wing of the party can

now do precisely what they want, as

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long as they have the union muscle

behind them during conference votes,

0:19:330:19:38

then the party and any which way he

wants to run it is his. I disagree

0:19:380:19:43

with Steve, the difference in

language Jeremy Corbyn and his close

0:19:430:19:47

associates were using after the NEC

elections this week on mandatory

0:19:470:19:53

reselection is, Shami wasn't asked

if she believed in them, Rebecca

0:19:530:20:00

Long-Bailey was, and they refused to

rule them out and say they were a

0:20:000:20:06

bad thing. In my view, it is without

doubt that Corbyn will at some stage

0:20:060:20:15

try to reshape the Parliamentary

party more in his image and you may

0:20:150:20:20

argue why should he not do that.

Shami was saying the party is much

0:20:200:20:26

more united around Jeremy Corbyn and

when we see a story like Carillion

0:20:260:20:32

it is easier for him to get the

backing of the Parliamentary party.

0:20:320:20:37

I think that's right. How unpleasant

and ugly and divisive is it to have

0:20:370:20:43

the story is out, whether or not

they are completely accurate or

0:20:430:20:47

whoever is briefing, I think it

looks very bad on the atmosphere of

0:20:470:20:52

the Parliamentary party. Where I do

think Shami has a good point is on

0:20:520:20:56

the size of the Labour membership.

600,000, the Conservatives can only

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dream of getting a fraction of

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dream of getting a fraction of this,

so clearly there is a big problem

0:21:130:21:15

for the Tory party there in matching

what Labour is doing.

We should ask,

0:21:150:21:17

mandatory reselection for Labour

MPs, are you in favour, Shami?

Any

0:21:170:21:21

democratic process should be across

the board and for everyone. Where

0:21:210:21:25

MPs are doing a good job, including

working with their membership, and

0:21:250:21:29

you have to work with your

membership to get the vote out in

0:21:290:21:33

the Labour Party, that relationship

works well and I think that

0:21:330:21:36

relationship will only work better

into the future. I have been all

0:21:360:21:41

over the country to all sorts of

CLPs campaigning, and you would be

0:21:410:21:49

surprised at the number of places

where there is a very happy

0:21:490:21:53

relationship between the MP and the

party regardless of the particular

0:21:530:21:58

strand they come from.

Thank you for

that.

0:21:580:22:00

Now, the Government's flagship

Brexit legislation -

0:22:000:22:02

the EU Withdrawal Bill -

hasn't always had the easiest

0:22:020:22:04

of times in the House of Commons,

but this week, MPs voted to send it

0:22:040:22:08

through for consideration

in the House of Lords.

0:22:080:22:10

A number of peers having expressed

concern about the so-called Henry

0:22:100:22:12

VIII powers the bill grants

to ministers to make changes to some

0:22:120:22:15

laws without parliamentary scrutiny.

0:22:150:22:16

And of course, a number

of peers are dismayed

0:22:160:22:18

about the process of Brexit itself.

0:22:180:22:20

So, are we likely to see more

dramatic attempts to change

0:22:200:22:23

the Bill in a chamber full

of unelected lawmakers?

0:22:230:22:25

Ellie Price has been

taking their temperature.

0:22:250:22:33

Stop Brexit!

0:22:340:22:37

You'd think a bill that sought

to enshrine EU law into British law

0:22:370:22:40

after Brexit would be popular

with the pro-Remain

0:22:400:22:42

crowd in Parliament.

0:22:420:22:44

But when the Withdrawal Bill cleared

the Commons this week,

0:22:440:22:47

one Tory Remain-supporting MP said

he hoped the House of Lords would

0:22:470:22:50

make an enormous amount of changes.

0:22:500:22:53

Good lord, what are they up to?!

0:22:530:22:57

I think what will happen

is that the Government will suffer

0:22:570:23:00

a series of defeats,

which will reduce the power

0:23:000:23:04

of ministers to do things

without proper scrutiny,

0:23:040:23:07

and put in place a sensible series

of votes - both in Parliament

0:23:070:23:11

and the people at the end

of the process - so that when we do

0:23:110:23:15

get an end point to Brexit,

people can say that it's

0:23:150:23:17

been done properly.

0:23:170:23:23

So a second referendum

is on the table?

0:23:230:23:24

It's definitely on the table.

0:23:240:23:26

You would expect a Lib Dem

to say that, but some Tory

0:23:260:23:28

peers want changes too.

0:23:280:23:33

If it comes to the situation

where it looks as if what people

0:23:330:23:36

voted for cannot be delivered,

then we have to decide how

0:23:360:23:38

best to move forward.

0:23:380:23:43

I don't believe the House of Lords

is trying to block Brexit at all.

0:23:430:23:47

I think what the House of Lords

is doing is its constitutional duty.

0:23:470:23:51

So anyone hoping the House of Lords

will deliver a fatal blow to Brexit

0:23:510:23:54

will be disappointed,

but so too will anyone hoping

0:23:540:23:59

that the Withdrawal Bill will come

out of there unchanged.

0:23:590:24:01

So what is all the fuss about?

0:24:010:24:06

The extent of the Government taking

powers to itself while giving

0:24:060:24:08

powers to Parliament,

Henry VIII powers, this issue,

0:24:080:24:10

of course, about the kind

of protections we've had under EU

0:24:100:24:13

law that we've contributed

to for consumer protection,

0:24:130:24:15

workplace protection,

environmental issues,

0:24:150:24:19

they are coming into UK law

and that's what this bill does

0:24:190:24:23

but it needs to make sure they're

protected in UK law; they can't just

0:24:230:24:26

be overturned the next day.

0:24:260:24:28

There has to be a mandatory

process to do that.

0:24:280:24:31

But this was the reaction when some

elected MPs over in the Commons

0:24:310:24:34

voted against aspects

of the Withdrawal Bill,

0:24:340:24:35

causing a government defeat.

0:24:350:24:39

One of their own colleagues even

talked of treachery.

0:24:390:24:41

Another MP, Jacob Rees-Mogg,

this week said the laws would face

0:24:410:24:46

reform if it tried to frustrate

the democratic will of the people.

0:24:460:24:49

So is the chamber full of unelected

Remainers playing with fire?

0:24:490:24:57

Since I've been leader

in the House of Lords,

0:24:580:25:00

for just over two years,

what I've found is every time

0:25:000:25:02

someone doesn't agree

with something we're doing,

0:25:020:25:04

they will get quite

hysterical about "take

0:25:040:25:06

away their powers," it's almost

an off-with-their-heads moment.

0:25:060:25:09

But you know, there is quite

prescribed powers we do,

0:25:090:25:12

we take them seriously

and responsibly, and,

0:25:120:25:13

if there are changes

we think should be made,

0:25:130:25:16

we will send them back

to the House of Commons.

0:25:160:25:20

And even one of the lesser-spotted

Brexit-supporting

0:25:200:25:22

Lords isn't worried.

0:25:220:25:23

There are a number of lords

are in cahoots with Messrs Tusk

0:25:230:25:26

and Juncker in trying to persuade

the British people that they made

0:25:260:25:28

a grave mistake when they voted

to leave Brexit, and I have no doubt

0:25:280:25:32

they will have a bit

of fun doing that.

0:25:320:25:34

But on the big issues,

like whether we should

0:25:340:25:36

have a second referendum,

the Lords voted by a majority

0:25:360:25:39

of more than 200 against that last

year; or if you look at the Commons

0:25:390:25:42

vote where the majority was over 200

against remaining in the single

0:25:420:25:45

market and the customs union,

I think the Lords will look

0:25:450:25:48

to the elected House and do

what they're good at,

0:25:480:25:50

which is to consider the detail.

0:25:500:25:52

Of course, one of the biggest

differences between the Lords

0:25:520:25:56

and Commons is the presence

of nearly 200 crossbenchers -

0:25:560:25:58

members who aren't in a party

and don't take the whip,

0:25:580:26:01

and they include some

of the most distinguished legal

0:26:010:26:03

minds in the country.

0:26:030:26:05

And debate over the bill's

constitutional implications may well

0:26:050:26:07

lead to more than one showdown

with the Commons.

0:26:070:26:11

It's worth remembering

that the Corporate Manslaughter

0:26:110:26:15

and Corporate Homicide Bill went

back and forth between the two

0:26:150:26:18

Houses seven times only a few years

ago, and that was just an aspect

0:26:180:26:22

of the criminal justice system,

it wasn't about the biggest decision

0:26:220:26:25

this country is taking since 1945.

0:26:250:26:30

So I think people need to be

a little bit relaxed about that.

0:26:300:26:38

Like the MPs on the Green

benches of the Commons,

0:26:390:26:42

the Lords on their red benches

agreed to trigger Article 50.

0:26:420:26:46

But the Lords, like the Commons,

is split on what Brexit

0:26:460:26:49

should actually look like.

0:26:490:26:52

There may be some toing and froing,

or ping-pong as it's known around

0:26:520:26:56

here, but pretty much everyone

agrees the Lords can't

0:26:560:26:59

and won't block the bill,

and it will go through,

0:26:590:27:01

probably, by the end of May.

0:27:010:27:06

Ellie Price reporting.

0:27:060:27:08

Well, to discuss this,

we're joined from Somerset

0:27:080:27:10

by the MP Jacob Rees-Mogg.

0:27:100:27:12

This week he was elected

chair of the influential

0:27:120:27:16

European Research Group,

made up of Brexit-backing

0:27:160:27:17

Conservative backbenchers.

0:27:170:27:18

And in the studio, we're

joined by Andrew Adonis.

0:27:180:27:26

He's a Labour peer who resigned

from his role as a Government

0:27:260:27:29

adviser last month over

its Brexit strategy.

0:27:290:27:33

Lord Adonis, you have made your

opposition to Brexit clear, recently

0:27:330:27:37

describing it as a national list

spasm that can be stopped. Do you

0:27:370:27:42

think the EU Withdrawal Bill is the

opportunity to stop Brexit?

I agree

0:27:420:27:48

this is the biggest decision the

country will take since 1945. I do

0:27:480:27:53

not think the Lords can stop it,

this is an issue for the people. It

0:27:530:27:58

started with the people in a

referendum and my view is the final

0:27:580:28:01

sites should go to the people. The

critical issue over the coming

0:28:010:28:05

months will be the relationship

between the House of Lords and the

0:28:050:28:09

House of Commons in seeing people

have the final say.

When you say

0:28:090:28:13

people have the final say, you are

talking about a second referendum?

0:28:130:28:18

The first referendum on Mrs May's

terms on departure of the EU, not a

0:28:180:28:24

rerun of the referendum two years

ago because when we have that we

0:28:240:28:27

didn't know what the terms would be.

We are a democracy, we engage the

0:28:270:28:33

people, this is the biggest decision

since 1945 and the people should

0:28:330:28:38

have the final say.

Let me bring in

Jacob Rees-Mogg on that, you are

0:28:380:28:44

confident we will have a Brexit deal

that will look attractive to most of

0:28:440:28:48

the electorate so presumably you

wouldn't be too worried about the

0:28:480:28:51

second referendum on the terms of

the deal?

I think the ambition of

0:28:510:28:56

the Lords in putting forward a

second referendum is to try to stop

0:28:560:29:01

tax it, and Lord Adonis has been

clear about that. He said only

0:29:010:29:05

yesterday he wanted to delete all of

the clauses of the Withdrawal Bill.

0:29:050:29:09

We have had a referendum, then a

general election where both main

0:29:090:29:13

parties backed the referendum

results. I think if somebody wants a

0:29:130:29:17

second referendum they should win a

general election first, campaigning

0:29:170:29:22

for one, rather than getting

unelected peers to use it as a

0:29:220:29:26

stratagem to obstruct Brexit. It is

noticeable Lord Adonis and others

0:29:260:29:30

have not called for a second

referendum on other things

0:29:300:29:40

referendum on other things like the

Scottish vote.

Lord Adonis, you have

0:29:400:29:42

sent you will make the Government's

life an absolute misery over the EU

0:29:420:29:45

Withdrawal Bill which sounds as if

you are using it as a stick to beat

0:29:450:29:49

a policy or a decision you don't

like rather than your real role

0:29:490:29:54

which is legislative scrutiny.

There's a huge amount of scrutiny to

0:29:540:29:57

do. The powers which ministers are

given in this bill is without

0:29:570:30:02

precedent in a single piece of

legislation, they have order making

0:30:020:30:05

powers over the whole sphere of

legislation that was previously

0:30:050:30:09

enshrined in European law so if the

House of Lords doesn't pay attention

0:30:090:30:12

to that it's not doing its job.

Coming back to Jacob's remarks,

0:30:120:30:18

Jacob himself has been a

0:30:180:30:29

supporter of the second referendum.

In the House of Commons in 2011 he

0:30:310:30:34

himself set out a case for a

referendum on the terms of departure

0:30:340:30:36

from the European Union if the

electorate voted first time around

0:30:360:30:39

to set the process in train. Jacob

is contradicting his own position.

0:30:390:30:42

You are shaking your head, Jacob

Rees-Mogg.

0:30:420:30:48

That is simply inaccurate. There was

a proposal for a referendum to begin

0:30:480:30:52

a process of negotiating

nonmembership, to give them a

0:30:520:30:57

mandate, and he would come back with

what he achieved, and there would be

0:30:570:31:01

a referendum on the result. The

Prime Minister decided to have a

0:31:010:31:05

straightforward referendum, in or

out. Lord Adonis is speaking about

0:31:050:31:12

discussion before the referendum

terms were set, then they were set,

0:31:120:31:16

everyone knew what they were voting

for, to leave the EU, it was clear

0:31:160:31:20

that meant leaving the single market

and the customs union. I put a dent

0:31:200:31:24

Lord Adonis, he would not be calling

for a second referendum had Remain

0:31:240:31:31

won.

That is completely untrue. We

did not know what the terms were.

0:31:310:31:35

The Conservative manifesto for the

election before said we would stay

0:31:350:31:39

in the single market. These are

Jacob's words, in the House of

0:31:390:31:46

Commons, in 2011, it might make

sense to have the second referendum

0:31:460:31:50

after the renegotiation is

completed...

He says he is talking

0:31:500:31:53

about Cameron's renegotiation that

he went to before.

Exactly the same

0:31:530:31:59

principle applies now. We are seeing

the terms Mrs May is coming back

0:31:590:32:03

with, it is absolutely right that

people should have a safe and it

0:32:030:32:06

should not be Jacob Rees Mogg and

Brexit ideologues deciding what the

0:32:060:32:09

terms are.

The difficulty with this

is that people decided in a

0:32:090:32:18

referendum, the general election

manifestos of both parties committed

0:32:180:32:20

to carrying out the result of the

referendum, if Lord Adonis wants to

0:32:200:32:24

put his case forward, he should try

to stand for election, something I

0:32:240:32:28

do not think he has ever done, win a

general election campaigning to

0:32:280:32:33

reverse the result. Unelected peers

should not try to frustrate the will

0:32:330:32:37

of the British people, as now

expressed in two Democratic votes.

0:32:370:32:41

On that, you have been issuing some

veiled threats this week, saying the

0:32:410:32:45

House of Lords would get into

difficulties if they try to

0:32:450:32:49

frustrate Brexit, what do you mean

by that?

I think what Baroness Smith

0:32:490:32:54

is saying is very sensible, the

House of Lords will abide by the

0:32:540:32:59

Constitutional conventions, it will

look to revise, I have concerns

0:32:590:33:02

about some of the Henry VIII powers

myself, a perfectly reasonable thing

0:33:020:33:06

for the Lords to look at in its

normal constitutional role. But if

0:33:060:33:11

the House of Lords gets into a 1909

position of peers against the

0:33:110:33:15

people, the people win and the Lords

need to be aware of that, they need

0:33:150:33:22

to observe the constitutional norms

and then everything will carry on.

0:33:220:33:24

The Lords need to be aware that what

might happen to them in those

0:33:240:33:27

circumstances, that government could

flood the Chamber with 200 new Tory

0:33:270:33:32

peers?

It is already pretty flooded,

but yes, you would have to have a

0:33:320:33:36

deluge on top of a flood. The House

of Lords has to abide by the

0:33:360:33:41

constitutional norms, otherwise the

Prime Minister would be perfectly

0:33:410:33:44

entitled to use reserve powers to

create more peers. I hope that will

0:33:440:33:48

not be necessary. This is a

conditional, not something I am

0:33:480:33:51

calling for.

What he is doing is

threatening the Lords, Brexit

0:33:510:33:56

ideologues who will stop at nothing

to get Brexit through without the

0:33:560:33:59

people the final say. He is dodging

the issue because nobody is talking

0:33:590:34:05

about the House of Lords asserting

itself against the people. The issue

0:34:050:34:08

which it will come down to resist

the House of Lords invites the House

0:34:080:34:13

of Commons, Jacob and his

colleagues, themselves to reach a

0:34:130:34:16

decision again on the issue of

whether they should have a

0:34:160:34:20

referendum on the final terms. It is

not anti-democratic, it is the

0:34:200:34:25

proper expression of democracy and

the House of Lords. It is something

0:34:250:34:29

which Jacob himself has supported in

the past, no longer convenient for

0:34:290:34:34

him to recognise that fact, but

people's past does catch up with

0:34:340:34:39

them. Nigel Farage has come to

support a referendum on Mrs May's

0:34:390:34:44

Brexit deal because he realises it

is inevitable. As people realise the

0:34:440:34:49

gravity of this decision and the

fact Parliament itself is not in a

0:34:490:34:52

great place to take it because there

has been a referendum. The case for

0:34:520:34:57

a referendum on Mrs May's terms will

be unstoppable and the House of

0:34:570:35:01

Lords will play an important

democratic role in inviting the

0:35:010:35:05

House of Commons to reach a decision

on that.

Jacob Rees Mogg, it would

0:35:050:35:09

be ironic if the British

constitution is working its way with

0:35:090:35:13

the House of Lords making its

revisions sending it back to the

0:35:130:35:16

Commons, for you to argue against

that, when what you wanted was for

0:35:160:35:20

us to take control back of our own

government.

I am all in favour of

0:35:200:35:26

taking back control and decisions

being made in the House of Commons

0:35:260:35:29

with the Lords acting as a revising

Chamber. You have to understand the

0:35:290:35:34

motives, they are trying to obstruct

Brexit. Lord Adonis said the

0:35:340:35:38

decision to leave for is as big a

mistake as appeasement in the 1930s,

0:35:380:35:44

almost hysterical reaction to the

Brexit decision, and they are using

0:35:440:35:50

it as a strategy to frustrate

Brexit. What they should do is not

0:35:500:35:54

used the unelected Lords but they

should campaign in a general

0:35:540:35:57

election if they have to campaign to

do it as the Labour Party notably

0:35:570:36:01

didn't in 2017, to call for a second

referendum and reverse the result,

0:36:010:36:05

but they do not have the courage

because they know the British people

0:36:050:36:09

are not with them.

One slightly

different thing before we finish,

0:36:090:36:13

are you excited the buyer tapestry

is coming to Britain, you don't

0:36:130:36:16

think it is maybe a bit cheeky of

the French celebrating something to

0:36:160:36:22

a celebrating the Norman victory

over the British?

0:36:220:36:29

over the British?

-- Bayeaux

tapestry. I think it is a splendid

0:36:300:36:34

gesture. We could send them a

fragment of the union Jack from

0:36:340:36:37

Nelson's ship at Trafalgar to remind

them that by and large we win the

0:36:370:36:44

battles.

Some people have suggested

we send Jacob but Bayeaux tapestry

0:36:440:36:51

is much more recent in its views.

On

the big issue of Brexit... We will

0:36:510:36:56

have to leave it there, Jacob Rees

Mogg, Lord Adonis, thank you for

0:36:560:36:59

that.

0:36:590:37:01

And you can find

more Brexit analysis

0:37:010:37:03

and explanation on the BBC website,

at bbc.co.uk/Brexit.

0:37:030:37:06

It's coming up to 11.40am.

0:37:060:37:07

You're watching the Sunday Politics.

0:37:070:37:09

Coming up on the programme,

we'll be talking to embattled Ukip

0:37:090:37:12

leader Henry Bolton ahead

of his make-or-break meeting

0:37:120:37:13

with the party's executive.

0:37:130:37:15

First, though, it's time for

the Sunday Politics where you are.

0:37:150:37:23

Hello and welcome to

the London part of the show.

0:37:280:37:30

I'm Jo Coburn.

0:37:300:37:31

Joining me for the duration of

the programme, Jackie Doyle-Price,

0:37:310:37:35

Conservative MP for Thurrock,

and Sarah Jones, Labour MP

0:37:350:37:37

for Croydon Central.

0:37:370:37:38

Welcome to both of you.

0:37:380:37:40

Under Sadiq Khan, London has

witnessed an enormous

0:37:400:37:42

surge in knife crime.

0:37:420:37:44

Offences are up by almost

a third on a year ago.

0:37:440:37:50

Having enjoyed good poll ratings

in his honeymoon period in office,

0:37:500:37:53

the mayor now finds himself under

real pressure for the first time.

0:37:530:37:57

But could an answer to the problem

be found north of the border,

0:37:570:38:00

in Scotland, where ten years ago,

after being faced with similar

0:38:000:38:03

levels of violence on the streets,

the Government started to treat

0:38:030:38:05

knife crime as a health issue?

0:38:050:38:08

The result appears to have been

a dramatic improvement

0:38:080:38:12

and the Met Police Commissioner,

Cressida Dick, says the capital

0:38:120:38:15

should now follow suit.

0:38:150:38:16

But what exactly would

it mean in practice?

0:38:160:38:18

Andrew has been to

Scotland to find out.

0:38:180:38:24

The back half of the 20th century

saw Scotland, and Glasgow

0:38:240:38:28

in particular, become victim

to an epidemic of knife crime

0:38:280:38:30

which claimed hundreds of lives.

0:38:300:38:31

This is Desmond.

0:38:310:38:35

He witnessed knife violence

first-hand from a very young age

0:38:350:38:38

and eventually became an offender

as well, before turning

0:38:380:38:40

his life around.

0:38:400:38:44

I was brought up with

a mother on drugs.

0:38:440:38:46

Her partners were always violent,

so it was always knives

0:38:460:38:51

getting thrown about or scissors,

like kitchen knives.

0:38:510:38:54

I was only a kid, so they are scary,

that is protection to them,

0:38:540:38:57

so a knife will protect me.

0:38:570:38:59

Like people say, if you carry

a knife, you intend to use it.

0:38:590:39:02

If you throw a knife

at someone for a fight,

0:39:020:39:04

I either use it at them or they take

it off me and they use it on me,

0:39:040:39:09

so I was in a fight in Glasgow,

I was selling drugs.

0:39:090:39:12

And someone tried to

take my drugs off me.

0:39:120:39:16

I had to pull my knife out.

0:39:160:39:18

It was the first time I went to use

it and I was scared.

0:39:180:39:22

"I need to show them

I am not scared."

0:39:220:39:24

So I just stabbed the guy.

0:39:240:39:25

But I didn't stab him...

0:39:250:39:26

I didn't know where I was going

to stab him, but I stabbed him

0:39:260:39:30

and I stabbed him in the side

and I stabbed him and I thought,

0:39:300:39:33

it wasn't as bad as

what I thought it was.

0:39:330:39:35

I thought, I can do that again.

0:39:350:39:38

I don't know what the feeling was,

but it was like power.

0:39:380:39:40

For years, people tried

and failed to find a solution.

0:39:400:39:44

A little over a decade ago,

things in Scotland had

0:39:440:39:47

got incredibly serious.

0:39:470:39:51

A report by the United Nations found

that it was the most violent country

0:39:510:39:54

in all of the developed world.

0:39:540:39:57

You were three times more likely

to be assaulted if you were a Scot

0:39:570:40:00

than if you were American.

0:40:000:40:04

And 30 times more likely

than if you were Japanese.

0:40:040:40:06

But since then, there has been

a remarkable change.

0:40:060:40:10

Since the mid-noughties,

the murder rate has halved.

0:40:100:40:18

Crimes involving handling

an offensive weapon are down by two

0:40:190:40:21

thirds and violence is at the lowest

rate for nearly half a century.

0:40:210:40:24

All of this has happened at the same

time that something called a public

0:40:240:40:28

health approach has been taken

to the issue.

0:40:280:40:30

Fundamental to that change

was a group of medics.

0:40:300:40:32

We were all seeing huge numbers

of people coming through hospital

0:40:320:40:34

doors who had been injured

as a result of violence and we felt

0:40:340:40:38

that we wanted to do

something about that.

0:40:380:40:40

The World Health Organization had

recently recommended trying

0:40:400:40:41

to understand violence

as if it was a disease.

0:40:410:40:47

If you get involved in a situation

where your friends are involved

0:40:470:40:50

in violence, it's likely to spread

throughout your friend group

0:40:500:40:53

and we had a big problem ten years

ago with young people hanging

0:40:530:40:57

about in gangs and that was just

something that became expected

0:40:570:40:59

of that kind of social structure.

0:40:590:41:02

So it's kind of like an infection.

0:41:020:41:05

And the public health approach means

using scientific methodology

0:41:050:41:07

to treat violence like a virus.

0:41:070:41:10

Essentially, the public health

approach involves trying to decide

0:41:100:41:16

what your problem is,

so you obviously need some

0:41:160:41:18

data and some analysis.

0:41:180:41:19

You then have a look

at what interventions might work

0:41:190:41:22

to deal with the problem and then

test them out.

0:41:220:41:25

And if they work, you scale them up

and try to reach as many people

0:41:250:41:28

as you possibly can.

0:41:280:41:36

It was an idea taken up

by the Scottish authorities,

0:41:360:41:38

helped by a new body called

the violence reduction unit.

0:41:380:41:41

The new approach tied together

schools, hospitals, youth services -

0:41:410:41:43

whowever could be shown to make

a real difference.

0:41:430:41:45

The key thing here is to recognise

that if you want to tackle the issue

0:41:450:41:49

of violent crime and knife crime

in particular is not to simply think

0:41:490:41:52

it is about increasing the sentences

for individuals who are convicted

0:41:520:41:55

of these crimes, that it is simply

about more policing.

0:41:550:41:57

The criminal justice system has

an important part to play,

0:41:570:42:00

but the key to it is preventing it

from happening in the first place.

0:42:000:42:03

That is about working with young

people who maybe get

0:42:030:42:09

involved in violent crime,

maybe carrying knives, so trying

0:42:090:42:11

to understand exactly why

they are carrying knives and why

0:42:110:42:13

they think they need to get

involved in violence.

0:42:130:42:15

And what you can do to prevent them

from getting involved

0:42:150:42:18

in it in the first place.

0:42:180:42:19

Now part of that solution

is Des who we met at

0:42:190:42:22

the beginning of this report.

0:42:220:42:24

He has been going around schools,

warning young people away

0:42:240:42:26

from the path he took.

0:42:260:42:27

Life is a circle.

0:42:270:42:28

As long as one person can change,

that one person can help someone

0:42:280:42:31

else change and just go

round in a circle.

0:42:310:42:33

The more people that we get to help

people, the more people that we can

0:42:330:42:37

get to give someone a helping hand,

you can change the world.

0:42:370:42:40

Less violence, less crimes, less

people in prison, less drug using.

0:42:400:42:44

And here in London,

people are taking notice.

0:42:440:42:49

Met Police Commissioner Cressida

Dick this week taking part

0:42:490:42:53

in a hunt for knives

in front of TV cameras,

0:42:530:42:55

she says that we too

should be following a public health

0:42:550:42:58

approach to the problem,

just like Scotland has.

0:42:580:43:00

But whether we can manage

the scale and success

0:43:000:43:02

of the Scottish experiment

is a different question altogether.

0:43:020:43:07

I am joined in the studio

by Teme from Forefront,

0:43:070:43:10

an organisation which helps young

people to escape a life of violence.

0:43:100:43:13

And the deputy mayor for policing

and crime, Sophie Linden.

0:43:130:43:15

Welcome to both of you.

0:43:150:43:17

Sophie Linden, first of all,

are you signed up to adopting this

0:43:170:43:20

public health approach?

0:43:200:43:21

Absolutely.

0:43:210:43:22

I mean, this is...

0:43:220:43:24

We have learnt the lessons

from Scotland and from

0:43:240:43:26

elsewhere, such as New York.

0:43:260:43:29

We published a strategy to tackle

knife crime last year where we very

0:43:290:43:32

clearly put a public health agenda

into the middle of it.

0:43:320:43:37

We can only tackle knife crime

if it is not just around policing

0:43:370:43:40

and the criminal justice service,

as the package says,

0:43:400:43:42

but by working with schools,

families, communities

0:43:420:43:44

and with the health service.

0:43:440:43:45

So how much money have you pledged

to actually financing

0:43:450:43:48

and working in this way?

0:43:480:43:49

In the face of massive

government cuts across England

0:43:490:43:56

and Wales and in London,

schools are facing a £99 million

0:43:560:43:59

funding gap next year alone,

the mayor is investing in putting

0:43:590:44:03

money upfront in terms

of preventative work

0:44:030:44:05

with young people, but also

investing in policing.

0:44:050:44:07

But frankly, that's not

going to be enough.

0:44:070:44:10

The Government needs to step up

and reverse the cuts.

0:44:100:44:13

London has seen 30 youth centres

close over the course

0:44:130:44:16

of the last administration.

0:44:160:44:18

This is having a real impact

on the lives of young people.

0:44:180:44:23

Could the mayor be

contributing more?

0:44:230:44:25

Would you like to see Sadiq Khan

pledging more money,

0:44:250:44:27

before you go to central government?

0:44:270:44:28

In the face of really

large government cuts,

0:44:280:44:31

the mayor is putting the money

in that he can, but it's not

0:44:310:44:34

going to fill that gap.

0:44:340:44:36

The Government needs to step

up, if it is serious

0:44:360:44:38

about tackling violence.

0:44:380:44:39

How much money do you think

is required to fund a successful

0:44:390:44:42

public health approach?

0:44:420:44:45

Well, we know, after years

of underfunding, that 30 youth

0:44:450:44:48

centres in London have closed,

that's about 13,000

0:44:480:44:49

places for young people.

0:44:490:44:51

As I have said already,

schools are facing a funding gap...

0:44:510:44:59

Sure, but what sort of money

are you talking about?

0:45:040:45:06

Well, we need to look at exactly

what filling that gap

0:45:060:45:09

and what we have done is we have put

money in and invested money

0:45:090:45:12

into services and in policing

and we need the Government to step

0:45:120:45:15

up and put the money

where it is needed.

0:45:150:45:17

Jackie Doyle-Price, should

the Government be putting,

0:45:170:45:19

central government, real cash behind

this sort of approach?

0:45:190:45:21

What is a crisis in terms

of knife crime in London?

0:45:210:45:24

The reality is, the Government can

only spend as much money as it

0:45:240:45:27

collects from people, taxpayers.

0:45:270:45:28

Therefore, we need to make

the choice about how we spend it.

0:45:280:45:31

What I would say, however,

is that investing in this kind

0:45:310:45:33

of programme actually saves,

because we obviously take

0:45:330:45:35

cost out of policing,

if we can actually get

0:45:350:45:37

the behavioural change,

but it will take time to actually

0:45:370:45:40

embed a system where we are changing

young people's behaviour

0:45:400:45:42

and people are spending less

activities carrying knives.

0:45:420:45:44

Right, but you would

then see more funds?

0:45:440:45:46

You would like to see more funds

going from central government

0:45:460:45:49

because, in the long term,

it would save money?

0:45:490:45:51

We need to be smarter

about how we spend.

0:45:510:45:53

Have you, Sophie,

visited the violence

0:45:530:45:54

reduction unit in Glasgow?

0:45:540:45:55

I have met the present

leader of the violence

0:45:550:45:58

reduction unit in Glasgow.

0:45:580:45:59

We've certainly looked at it

when we were developing

0:45:590:46:01

the knife crime strategy

and many of the things

0:46:010:46:03

they have been doing,

and they have been doing them

0:46:030:46:05

for years, and that is very,

very important, there are not

0:46:050:46:08

short-term solutions to this.

0:46:080:46:09

Do you think it is important

you went up there and actually

0:46:090:46:12

learnt the lessons face-to-face

and see the unit in operation?

0:46:120:46:14

We are always keen to learn lessons

and we will always make

0:46:140:46:17

sure we can learn them.

0:46:170:46:18

Right, are you going to set up

a violence reduction unit along

0:46:180:46:21

the same sorts of lines?

0:46:210:46:22

We have a specific unit

within the mayor's office of police

0:46:220:46:25

and crime looking at violence

and across London.

0:46:250:46:27

Of course, Scotland is very

different to London.

0:46:270:46:29

We have 32 boroughs and we have

different mechanisms

0:46:290:46:31

and governments, but absolutely,

we want to make sure

0:46:310:46:33

that we have this public health

approach alongside really

0:46:330:46:35

good, effective enforcement.

0:46:350:46:37

What is your reaction?

0:46:370:46:40

This is obviously the sort

of rhetoric and warm words

0:46:400:46:43

you want to hear from the police,

but do you think this is the real

0:46:430:46:46

action that is needed to tackle

knife crime in this way?

0:46:460:46:49

I have personally visited the VRU

in Scotland and I think we have

0:46:490:46:53

learned a lot of lessons but we're

implementing them, we are not

0:46:530:46:58

putting them in practice.

0:46:580:46:59

In terms of endorsing a public

health approach, that is one thing,

0:46:590:47:02

but actually taking the steps

required to implement

0:47:020:47:04

the public health approach,

that is something different

0:47:040:47:07

which I do not think we have seen

enough movement towards that yet.

0:47:070:47:09

Do you think the commitment

is there to do something?

0:47:090:47:12

I think a lot of people have made

a commitment publicly.

0:47:120:47:14

If we can see this endorsed

on paper, through the strategies

0:47:140:47:17

and policies, then we can have more

faith that it might take shape.

0:47:170:47:20

One of the problems,

Sophie, historically,

0:47:200:47:21

has been a lack of trust

between black and minority

0:47:210:47:24

ethnic communities and

the police in London.

0:47:240:47:25

What are you doing to improve that?

0:47:250:47:27

So, just in terms of the policing,

we are reintroducing neighbourhood

0:47:270:47:30

policing which I think is very

important aspect of ensuring that

0:47:300:47:33

local communities know that

police and the police

0:47:330:47:39

know their local community.

0:47:390:47:41

But also, we have got a commitment

and we already have about 300

0:47:410:47:44

Metropolitan Police officers

in the secondary schools of London

0:47:440:47:46

working with young people

so that the first engagement

0:47:460:47:49

and encounter with the police is not

in that confrontational situation.

0:47:490:47:52

One of the things that I think

the community finds very difficult

0:47:520:47:54

is the issue of stop and search.

0:47:540:47:56

Why are black people four times more

likely to be stopped and searched?

0:47:560:48:00

We recognise some of

the complexities around stop

0:48:000:48:07

and search and some of the worries

young people have in London

0:48:070:48:10

around stop and search,

but stop and search is an effective

0:48:100:48:13

tactic for keeping knives

and weapons off the street.

0:48:130:48:15

And what the mayor and myself have

been saying, and the commissioner,

0:48:150:48:18

the commissioner said this week

and I was there on the knife sweep

0:48:180:48:26

that you filmed, is you should

expect an increase in

0:48:270:48:29

stop and search over

the next coming months.

0:48:290:48:31

Where there is an increase in knife

crime and an increase in violence,

0:48:310:48:34

you should expect an increase

in stop and search.

0:48:340:48:37

With more black people

being stopped, disproportionately.

0:48:370:48:38

What's important is that stop

and search is done effectively,

0:48:380:48:41

it is done in an intelligence-led

way and to ensure it is

0:48:410:48:44

those people who are...who

we have got intelligence

0:48:440:48:45

of carrying knives that are stopped

0:48:450:48:47

and searched in an appropriate way

and in the right way.

0:48:470:48:50

Temi, do you welcome

an increase in stop and search?

0:48:500:48:52

No, I don't, I think

when campaigners and activists

0:48:520:48:54

like myself make these comments

about stop and search, sometimes

0:48:540:48:57

they can be misinterpreted.

0:48:570:48:58

We are not saying that

in the interactions where weapons

0:48:580:49:00

are found and removed that stop

and search is bad, we are saying

0:49:000:49:05

a blanket roll-out every

time we see the figures

0:49:050:49:07

to say there's an increase

0:49:070:49:09

in violence, that the only

approach we have is a rapid

0:49:090:49:11

increase in stop and search,

that's not effective.

0:49:110:49:13

And I will just say one thing

about that relationship

0:49:130:49:16

between young people,

particularly young black

0:49:160:49:17

people and the police,

and I've made this argument before.

0:49:170:49:19

These young people, when they feel

their lives are under threat,

0:49:190:49:22

they are not calling the police.

0:49:220:49:23

There is no trust or relationship

for them to use the police

0:49:230:49:26

as the conflict reduction

they are supposed to be.

0:49:260:49:29

So the increase in stop

and search, that just further

0:49:290:49:31

erodes that relationship.

0:49:310:49:32

Do you accept that?

0:49:320:49:33

I absolutely recognise

we have an issue with certain

0:49:330:49:35

sections of young people,

not just black young people but some

0:49:350:49:38

white young people as well,

where trust and confidence

0:49:380:49:40

is an issue.

0:49:400:49:41

And stop and search is one

of the motivating factors.

0:49:410:49:43

Stop and search can

be an issue in that.

0:49:430:49:46

What matters is that it's done

effectively but what also matters

0:49:460:49:48

is that there's good transparency

and accountability and officers

0:49:480:49:50

are held to account.

0:49:500:49:51

Body worn video, which has been

rolled out across London,

0:49:510:49:54

is a game changer in this

because both sides have a record

0:49:540:49:57

of the interaction.

0:49:570:49:58

It is reducing

complaints as we speak.

0:49:580:49:59

Do you support the shift

towards an increase in stop

0:49:590:50:02

and search again, Sarah?

0:50:020:50:03

I think what we have to do is look

at this in the round, right?

0:50:030:50:06

So what do we want London to be?

0:50:060:50:08

We want London to be the safest city

in the world, don't we?

0:50:080:50:11

That's what we want it to be.

0:50:110:50:13

We want people to come here,

to live here, to be content

0:50:130:50:16

and our greatest asset...

0:50:160:50:17

No one would disagree with that.

0:50:170:50:19

Our greatest asset in doing

that is our young people.

0:50:190:50:21

They are the ones that

are going to create the society

0:50:210:50:24

we want to live in.

0:50:240:50:25

So, should stop and search be

increased on the streets of London?

0:50:250:50:28

So, just to finish, the first aim

is to enable our young people to be

0:50:280:50:31

the wonderful people they can be

and to achieve what they want

0:50:310:50:34

to achieve, and to have

safe and happy lives.

0:50:340:50:36

Part of the policing aspect of this

is stop and search, of course it is,

0:50:360:50:40

but it's a much bigger problem

and it's more about schools.

0:50:400:50:43

The number of expulsions has

gone up dramatically.

0:50:430:50:44

What happens to those

children in London?

0:50:440:50:46

What is it like to be

a young person in London?

0:50:460:50:49

What messages are we giving them

that all we are going

0:50:490:50:51

on about is the kind of crimes

and not their ability to do

0:50:510:50:55

what they want to do?

0:50:550:50:56

So the public health

approach they have done

0:50:560:50:58

in Scotland that has taken ten,

15 years, that looks at every single

0:50:580:51:01

aspect of young people's lives

and says what we need to put

0:51:010:51:04

in place, surely that's the right

approach and that's where you start.

0:51:040:51:07

So is the Mayor,

Sadiq Khan, correct?

0:51:070:51:08

Do you support his policy

shift increasing stop

0:51:080:51:12

and search again rather

than taking the holistic approach?

0:51:120:51:14

Exactly as Sophie said,

it is a very complicated issue

0:51:140:51:17

and you have got to be super careful

to try to take the

0:51:170:51:20

community with you.

0:51:200:51:27

To me, we have to look at

the results stop and search bring.

0:51:270:51:30

So at the moment, something like one

in three stop and searches,

0:51:300:51:33

they find something which shows

they are targeting appropriately.

0:51:330:51:35

Back in the day, that was like one

in ten, which was far worse,

0:51:350:51:39

and led to huge understandable

conflict in our community.

0:51:390:51:42

So we need to do it properly,

and there's a role to it but it's

0:51:420:51:45

nowhere near the biggest part

of the solution.

0:51:450:51:50

Temi, one of issues is that reducing

stop and search doesn't seem

0:51:500:51:52

to have increased trust,

so in a way it hasn't

0:51:520:51:55

solved the problem.

0:51:550:51:56

When stop and search was cut,

when it was reduced,

0:51:560:51:58

it hasn't led to this better

relationship between black

0:51:580:52:00

and minority ethnic

communities and the police.

0:52:000:52:03

I completely agree with you. Let me

be blunt about it.

0:52:030:52:06

You're not just going to do one

tactic that is going to reverse

0:52:060:52:09

decades of mistrust and a bad

relationship that's

0:52:090:52:11

been constructed.

0:52:110:52:12

It's an intergenerational problem,

it's a historical problem,

0:52:120:52:14

so stop and search is a continuation

of the sus laws we saw decades ago.

0:52:140:52:18

Young people know this,

their communities have

0:52:180:52:20

had problems with it,

their parents have had problems

0:52:200:52:26

with it, their grandparents had

problems with it and therefore

0:52:260:52:28

it's going to take more than just

this one action to build the trust

0:52:280:52:32

again between these communities.

0:52:320:52:33

Jackie Doyle-Price, do you think

it is right to move away

0:52:330:52:38

from s sort of criminal justice

style approach to a purely public

0:52:380:52:41

health approach in the way

they did in Scotland?

0:52:410:52:44

I wouldn't see it as

either/or actually.

0:52:440:52:45

Given that it takes time to embed

behavioural change which a public

0:52:450:52:48

health approach is designed

to achieve, you've got

0:52:480:52:50

to have a programme

of enforcement alongside that.

0:52:500:52:52

It is carrot and stick

at the end of the day.

0:52:520:52:55

It is so serious because of

the numbers that we are talking

0:52:550:52:58

about and the tragedies we see every

week or so on the evening news,

0:52:580:53:01

particularly over Christmas

and New Year period.

0:53:010:53:06

Do you think there need to be

tougher mandatory sentences

0:53:060:53:09

for carrying knives?

0:53:090:53:10

If there was tougher sentences,

you know, and that worked,

0:53:100:53:12

there would be no crime

in America, right?

0:53:120:53:16

If we just locked people up

and that was the solution,

0:53:160:53:19

everything would be fixed.

0:53:190:53:20

We've got a binary decision to make,

either things carry

0:53:200:53:22

on as they are and knife crime goes

up and down as it does,

0:53:220:53:26

or we do something about it

and the only way to look

0:53:260:53:30

at it is to look at it

from a point of view of poverty,

0:53:300:53:33

aspiration, inequality,

jobs, mental health,

0:53:330:53:34

education, and put all

of those pillars in place.

0:53:340:53:36

Right, do you agree with that?

0:53:360:53:38

Well, as with all things,

we tend to, when it falls

0:53:380:53:43

into criminal activity,

that's where society

0:53:430:53:44

has failed so the more

0:53:440:53:45

you can intervene early

to prevent these things,

0:53:450:53:47

that's absolutely

the right way to go.

0:53:470:53:49

Right, because do you accept,

Sophie, that the problem

0:53:490:53:51

here is that actually a lot

of the young people in London

0:53:510:53:54

are more frightened of being

attacked and injured with a knife

0:53:540:53:56

than they are about going to prison?

0:53:560:53:58

So when we were developing

the knife crime strategy

0:53:580:54:01

which we published last year,

and it is actively being delivered

0:54:010:54:04

at the moment, we spoke

to many young people,

0:54:040:54:06

in prison and out of prison,

and they told us they were worried

0:54:060:54:09

and scared about carrying a knife.

0:54:090:54:12

I absolutely agree with Sarah

and with Jackie and Temi that this

0:54:120:54:15

has to be much wider.

0:54:150:54:16

It is not as the film said,

it's not simply criminal justice

0:54:160:54:19

or simply enforcement.

0:54:190:54:20

They have their place,

they are important.

0:54:200:54:22

Sentencing, stop and search

enforcement, but we have to get

0:54:220:54:26

to the root causes, and in order

to do that we have to really face up

0:54:260:54:30

and the Government has to face up

to the fact the cuts and the money

0:54:300:54:34

coming out of those vital

services is really impacting

0:54:340:54:36

on young people's lives.

0:54:360:54:37

But I say again, we can only spend

what we collect from taxpayers

0:54:370:54:40

and that's causing tough choices

and decisions to be made,

0:54:400:54:44

but we have to decide

what our priorities

0:54:440:54:46

are and what we need to tackle.

0:54:460:54:48

I would say tackling violence

is an absolute priority.

0:54:480:54:50

Sophie and Temi, thank you both

very much for coming in.

0:54:500:54:53

With the demise of the construction

and private public service provider

0:54:530:54:57

Carillion, just how will London cope

in shoring up the damage done

0:54:570:54:59

to transport, libraries, prisons,

police training and much more?

0:54:590:55:04

And should the capital be calling

time on outsourcing such public

0:55:040:55:06

services to private companies?

0:55:060:55:08

Jerry Thomas has this.

0:55:080:55:11

Since it went bust on Monday,

Carillion's vast network

0:55:110:55:14

of operations across London have

been left in the lurch.

0:55:140:55:17

They were involved in

the construction of more than 1000

0:55:170:55:23

homes in the capital,

in what may be a blow to

0:55:230:55:26

the Mayor's house-building target.

0:55:260:55:31

One of Carillion's largest public

sector contracts was a £12 million

0:55:310:55:34

refurbishment St Helier's

Hospital in south London.

0:55:340:55:36

The authorities have acted to ensure

the continuation of services,

0:55:360:55:38

but it's sparking a debate

about the merits of PFI contracts.

0:55:380:55:41

A National Audit Office report this

week said hospitals built under PFI

0:55:410:55:44

contracts cost 70% more

than if the Government

0:55:440:55:46

borrowed the money itself.

0:55:460:55:49

Carillion was responsible

for maintaining some

0:55:490:55:50

of London's largest prisons,

from Pentonville to Wandsworth.

0:55:500:55:56

Even before the company failed this

week, the conditions in the prisons

0:55:560:56:04

they ran had been severely

criticised by the independent

0:56:040:56:06

monitoring board.

0:56:060:56:08

Meanwhile library services

in Croydon that have been

0:56:080:56:10

run by Carillion have

been brought in-house.

0:56:100:56:12

The Mayor has questioned

whether contracts such as these

0:56:120:56:14

should have been given

in the first place.

0:56:140:56:16

There needs to be an urgent

investigation into all that went

0:56:160:56:19

on with relation to new contracts

given by the Government

0:56:190:56:21

to Carillion, when everyone else

appeared to know this company

0:56:210:56:24

was in danger.

0:56:240:56:25

A collapse of this magnitude may

well make it more difficult

0:56:250:56:28

for the Government to justify

outsourcing in the future.

0:56:280:56:30

Sarah, the collapse of Carillion,

this major construction company,

0:56:300:56:34

involved in building 1,000 homes

at the time of liquidation,

0:56:340:56:37

how is that going to affect

Sadiq Khan's housing target?

0:56:370:56:39

We need to investigate exactly

where they are involved,

0:56:390:56:42

what the contracts are and what can

be done about it, and the Government

0:56:420:56:47

has to step in and do

all of the right things in terms

0:56:470:56:50

of making sure where there is public

sector contracts but also

0:56:500:56:53

where there's private sector

contracts because these are people's

0:56:530:57:01

jobs and livelihoods, and,

you know, that people's jobs

0:57:030:57:05

are protected and

the work gets done.

0:57:050:57:07

I think there's a big job of work

to do first and foremost to make

0:57:070:57:11

sure we are building the things

we need to build.

0:57:110:57:13

Network Rail has a lot of contracts

with Carillion, and in Croydon

0:57:130:57:15

we desperately need some upgrades

to our train lines because it's

0:57:150:57:18

falling over as it is,

and if we don't get that investment,

0:57:180:57:21

people won't be able to get to work

and everything will grind to a halt

0:57:210:57:25

so we need to sort this out.

0:57:250:57:26

Setting up a taskforce

but going much further in terms

0:57:260:57:29

of making sure people's jobs

and pensions are supported as well.

0:57:290:57:31

I've had e-mails, I don't know

about you, from people who've got

0:57:310:57:34

Carillion pensions who are really

worried about what's

0:57:340:57:36

going to happen to them.

0:57:360:57:37

Jackie, do you think

there is a philosophical argument

0:57:370:57:42

now to have that there should be

an end to big public sector

0:57:420:57:45

contracts, delivering vital services

being given to a private company

0:57:450:57:47

like Carillion in the future?

0:57:470:57:48

I wouldn't go anywhere

near as far as that, Jo,

0:57:480:57:51

but I think there is an issue

about how we manage

0:57:510:57:53

public sector contracts.

0:57:530:57:54

I spent five years on the Public

Accounts Committee and saw a lot

0:57:540:57:58

of these contracts up close,

and I think there is an issue

0:57:580:58:05

about how some departments

manage contracting out.

0:58:050:58:07

We could be a whole

lot better at this.

0:58:070:58:09

I think we've ended up with a system

which has tended to generate big

0:58:090:58:12

monopolies in the private sector

doing public sector work,

0:58:120:58:15

and there are a lot of risks

associated with that.

0:58:150:58:17

If there's any learning

to be done from this,

0:58:170:58:19

I think that's the lesson we need

to really act on.

0:58:190:58:22

Right, do you accept

that the Government's defence

0:58:220:58:26

is they don't want to put a private

firm going bust, the cost

0:58:260:58:29

of that, onto the taxpayer,

on to the London taxpayer?

0:58:290:58:31

I think we've got to look

at the cost of lots of these massive

0:58:310:58:35

contracts that are costing

the taxpayer lots of money

0:58:350:58:37

in the first place and I think

we need to have a look at how

0:58:370:58:40

we do this.

0:58:400:58:41

Should it end, then,

that relationship...

0:58:410:58:43

Should public contracts be given

to private companies

0:58:430:58:45

like Carillion in the future?

0:58:450:58:46

I think there's a balance to be

struck, and as Jeremy Corbyn said,

0:58:460:58:49

where things are failing we need

to look at that but in the main

0:58:490:58:52

we want public sector contracts

to be within the public sector.

0:58:520:58:57

So you do want to try to bring

everything in-house?

0:58:570:59:00

Yes, if I could try and just say two

things that have happened.

0:59:000:59:07

One is that Government ministers

didn't meet with Carillion to talk

0:59:070:59:10

about this issue over the last few

months, and the other is the banks,

0:59:100:59:16

one of the chief execs of one

of the banks that decided not

0:59:160:59:19

to support Carillion said

that the decision didn't even

0:59:190:59:21

come across his desk.

0:59:210:59:22

So here we have a decision

about tens of thousands of jobs

0:59:220:59:25

and it's not going anywhere

near ministers or the chief execs

0:59:250:59:27

of banks, so clearly that

structure is not working.

0:59:270:59:32

And the independent monitoring

board, Jackie, have repeatedly

0:59:320:59:34

criticised Carillion for poor

maintenance of prisons

0:59:340:59:39

but they were able to hold

onto the contracts - why?

0:59:390:59:42

Again, that is something we need

to look at in terms of how

0:59:420:59:45

we manage these contracts

because there is a lot of benefit

0:59:450:59:48

from transferring the risk

to private sector providers.

0:59:480:59:49

What are they?

0:59:490:59:54

Value for money, you can

hold them to account.

0:59:540:59:55

Let's not pretend that when we had

companies in national ownership

0:59:550:59:57

throughout the '70s everything

was perfect, it was not.

0:59:571:00:00

There was a reason we moved

to outsourcing things

1:00:001:00:02

to the private sector.

1:00:021:00:03

But it only works if the contract

is suitable and fit for purpose,

1:00:031:00:06

and I think ministers and civil

servants need to be a lot more

1:00:061:00:09

vigilant about making sure it

will deliver for the taxpayer.

1:00:091:00:11

All right, well thank you to both

of you for being our guests

1:00:111:00:15

today on the programme.

1:00:151:00:16

That is Jackie Doyle-Price and Sarah

Jones, and it's back to Sarah.

1:00:161:00:24

Welcome back.

1:00:251:00:27

Now, the Ukip leader,

Henry Bolton, faces his party's

1:00:271:00:29

ruling body later today,

who will decide whether they think

1:00:291:00:32

he should be sacked after less

than four months into the job.

1:00:321:00:35

The showdown comes after a week

of damaging headlines

1:00:351:00:38

about his private life.

1:00:381:00:41

54-year-old Henry Bolton met

25-year old Jo Marney

1:00:411:00:43

at a Ukip party last month.

1:00:431:00:51

He left his wife on 23rd December

and spent Boxing Day

1:00:551:00:58

with the former model.

1:00:581:00:59

Last weekend, the Mail on Sunday

revealed that Ms Marney had sent

1:00:591:01:02

racist text messages

about Prince Harry's

1:01:021:01:03

fiance, Meghan Markle.

1:01:031:01:04

She said Harry's black American

fiance would taint the royal family

1:01:041:01:07

with her seed and pave the way

for the way for a black king.

1:01:071:01:10

On Monday, she was

suspended from Ukip.

1:01:101:01:12

Mr Bolton said he would end

the romantic element

1:01:121:01:14

of the relationship.

1:01:141:01:15

But just two days later,

they were spotted having dinner at

1:01:151:01:17

a swanky restaurant in Westminster.

1:01:171:01:19

She later went back to his flat.

1:01:191:01:20

But Mr Bolton insists that was just

to collect her bags and he provided

1:01:201:01:24

a taxi receipt to prove it.

1:01:241:01:28

He says he still loves her,

it was "the happiest I've been

1:01:281:01:31

in years" during their whirlwind

romance and hasn't ruled out

1:01:311:01:34

re-kindling the relationship.

1:01:341:01:36

And Henry Bolton joins us now.

1:01:361:01:36

Can you rekindle your relationship

with the woolly executive? What do

1:01:361:01:42

you expect the outcome of the

meeting will be? -- with the

1:01:421:01:49

executive.

The meeting was set up to

discuss the present situation. They

1:01:491:01:53

may decide to have a vote of

no-confidence and if they do and it

1:01:531:01:56

goes against me, it goes to the

membership.

You could at that point

1:01:561:02:02

say, the National Executive

Committee do not have confidence in

1:02:021:02:05

the do, I had better stand down.

I

could do, but I will not. There are

1:02:051:02:10

number of elements here, the most

important is the NEC should have its

1:02:101:02:14

eye on the political poll, the need

for the party get itself on its feet

1:02:141:02:18

and deliver an effective message in

terms of the Brexit debate and how

1:02:181:02:23

policies shape for the UK

post-Brexit -- the political ball.

1:02:231:02:29

They will probably also have

questions about your personal life,

1:02:291:02:33

and this is an opportunity for clear

this up. On Monday, you told us your

1:02:331:02:39

romantic relationship with Jo Marney

was over and then you were seen

1:02:391:02:43

having dinner together and on the

tube going home after dinner, is the

1:02:431:02:48

relationship over?

I am not going to

go into the details. That

1:02:481:02:52

relationship in terms of the party

is now over, Ms Marney has resigned.

1:02:521:02:58

She was suspended.

She resigned as

of yesterday. She made an apology to

1:02:581:03:01

the members yesterday for the

embarrassment caused and any

1:03:011:03:05

disruption and problems caused for

the party. I think that draws a line

1:03:051:03:09

under that.

It doesn't because you

said publicly on Monday that the

1:03:091:03:16

relationship was over and then you

are seen having dinner with somebody

1:03:161:03:19

who's views, and she has revealed,

she had to apologise for, if you

1:03:191:03:26

judge someone by the company you

keep, you should not have dinner

1:03:261:03:31

with her.

We have information out in

the public domain that shows, that

1:03:311:03:35

proves, there is an insurgency going

on within the party. Some of that

1:03:351:03:40

information came from her, in

addition, she had a number of death

1:03:401:03:45

threat she wanted to discuss and she

did have to collect things from my

1:03:451:03:48

apartment. That is all done.

You

will not be having dinner with her

1:03:481:03:54

again?

I may do. The romantic

element is over. It would be inhuman

1:03:541:03:59

to simply walk away and cut the link

entirely. I will not do that.

This

1:03:591:04:04

is someone who has embarrassed the

party and the leadership by sending

1:04:041:04:07

racist messages about Meghan Markle

but you think it is appropriate for

1:04:071:04:14

you to continue?

I have for the

content of the messages, they are

1:04:141:04:17

appalling, and she has admitted

that. -- I abhor the content of the

1:04:171:04:24

messages. My job is to get the party

on its feet. At the moment, everyone

1:04:241:04:30

is talking about Brexit, but

actually, leaving the EU is not the

1:04:301:04:34

point, the point is getting back our

independence for this country in

1:04:341:04:38

every area of administration, that

has been the objective.

There are

1:04:381:04:43

lots of people who did not know you

were the leader of Ukip until this

1:04:431:04:46

hit the front pages! You have not

been doing a great job of getting

1:04:461:04:52

Ukip into the Brexit debate and

instead this relationship has

1:04:521:04:56

brought the party in to distribute

and surely if you want this to be

1:04:561:04:59

about the politics, you should stand

down? -- brought the party into

1:04:591:05:05

disrepute.

I am delivering the

message now, we have an agenda to

1:05:051:05:09

move forward in terms of internal

reform to build the solid base. But

1:05:091:05:16

it is necessary, they have been

neglected. They need to be rebuilt

1:05:161:05:20

and then we can move forward

politically. That is my core

1:05:201:05:24

purpose. Any other debate is a

distraction and I will not let

1:05:241:05:27

myself get drawn down that route.

She has left the party, we move

1:05:271:05:31

forward.

Your behaviour started the

debate.

Are we not talking about

1:05:311:05:36

this leadership thing being a moral

court as to what the state of my

1:05:361:05:41

marriage and personal relationships

is? What is important to the nation

1:05:411:05:45

and the voters under 17.4 million

people who voted to leave the EU is

1:05:451:05:49

that this country gets its

independence back from Brussels and

1:05:491:05:52

that we can move forward on that

basis.

You are suggesting we should

1:05:521:05:56

not have a period moral debate about

whether it was right for you to

1:05:561:06:00

leave your wife or have a much

younger girlfriend, people are upset

1:06:001:06:07

about you keeping company with

someone who has sent offensive and

1:06:071:06:11

racist messages and this is someone

you want to continue having some

1:06:111:06:14

kind of relationship with and that

questions your judgment -- prurient

1:06:141:06:21

moral debate.

I do not think that it

is good for British politics at all

1:06:211:06:26

or the nation to start focusing on

someone's domestic affairs rather

1:06:261:06:29

than the politics they are

delivering. With this country, we

1:06:291:06:34

need to work hard, this party needs

to work hard to unite the various

1:06:341:06:40

leave campaigns, to mobilise them

and take forward the cause for

1:06:401:06:42

independence and that is what I am

absolutely determined to do and I am

1:06:421:06:46

not going to let this party be

disrupted by internal squabbling

1:06:461:06:51

which has exploited my own domestic

situation in order to cause

1:06:511:06:54

problems.

You have said in your

leadership election that it would

1:06:541:07:01

cripple Ukip, why? -- you said the

new leadership election would

1:07:011:07:05

cripple Ukip, why?

It would take

months, it would take us off the

1:07:051:07:11

battlefield for the Brexit debate.

We cannot afford to do that

1:07:111:07:14

politically. At the same time, the

resulting in fighting would give our

1:07:141:07:19

political enemies ammunition to pull

the party apart. The party, if the

1:07:191:07:23

NEC makes the wrong decision today,

the party will start doing that in

1:07:231:07:27

itself. Politically, this party

cannot afford to have a leadership

1:07:271:07:31

election now.

Just to be clear,

regardless of whether or not the NEC

1:07:311:07:35

vote to have comments in you, you

will try to have confidence in you.

1:07:351:07:45

I will remain in contact.

Thank you,

Henry Bolton. Henry Bolton says he

1:07:451:07:51

wants to refocus us onto the

politics of Ukip, away from his

1:07:511:07:59

critical life -- personal life, do

you think there is any chance?

It is

1:07:591:08:03

so depressing. We should be past the

stage where we hold politicians so

1:08:031:08:07

morally to account. I don't care

about Henry Bolton's love life, it

1:08:071:08:11

is not my business. I care about the

fact it is the only thing I know

1:08:111:08:15

about him and his leadership of the

UK Independence Party at the moment.

1:08:151:08:20

I do not mean to be rude, Henry, but

I think you are finished, Ukip is

1:08:201:08:25

finished, the sooner you accept

that, the better for all the people

1:08:251:08:29

who care about Brexit and the

delivery of Brexit because right now

1:08:291:08:34

you cannot focus on that, you are

too busy, too distracted, sorting

1:08:341:08:38

out this mess in your private life.

Now Nigel Farage and Arron Banks are

1:08:381:08:42

talking about a new movement,

separate to Ukip. Is it time to put

1:08:421:08:47

the party to bed and start something

new?

That will be dependent on the

1:08:471:08:51

decision that NEC makes this

afternoon. If they decide to keep me

1:08:511:08:55

as leader, we will be able to move

forward with the agenda of reform we

1:08:551:08:59

have been talking about. If it takes

another course of action, I suspect

1:08:591:09:05

Isabel is right. It is a difficult

challenge, absolutely, but that only

1:09:051:09:09

chance for the party is to continue

as it is in the present agenda of

1:09:091:09:14

reforms I have initiated and taking

forward. If we do not do that, quite

1:09:141:09:18

frankly, I think Isabel is correct.

Tom Newton Dunn?

I think Ukip does

1:09:181:09:25

have a future. I disagree a tiny bit

with Isabel. If only it can somehow

1:09:251:09:30

stay together until Theresa May

finally does the deal with the EU

1:09:301:09:38

27. There will be compromises in the

deal, there may be payment of access

1:09:381:09:43

to the single market for financial

services, although Theresa May will

1:09:431:09:47

not call it that. It will be some

form of a fudge simply because it

1:09:471:09:51

has to be. We heard Emmanuel Macron

this morning, holding with Angela

1:09:511:09:56

Merkel's hardline of no cherry

picking. Ukip Ozma opportunity to be

1:09:561:10:00

the hard-core Brexit fighters --

Ukip's opportunity. They have to

1:10:001:10:13

stay, crucially, alive until that

point. Personally, for Mr Bolton, I

1:10:131:10:17

have a terrible feeling he will lose

his job and girlfriend after this. A

1:10:171:10:23

terrible individual tragedy.

Steve

Richards, is it necessary there is a

1:10:231:10:26

voice, whether from Arron Banks, and

Nigel Farage, whether it continues

1:10:261:10:31

to be Ukip, is there not a wing of

the Tory party, Jacob Rees-Mogg

1:10:311:10:37

earlier, are they not doing the job

of holding the Government to account

1:10:371:10:40

and making sure they get the kind of

Brexit they think people voted for?

1:10:401:10:46

Partly. Some Brexit voters went to

Labour because their concerns about

1:10:461:10:51

being left behind were partly

addressed by the Labour manifested

1:10:511:10:55

at the last election. It is also

about the credibility of the voice.

1:10:551:11:00

The problem Ukip has had over the

last 18 months is that all political

1:11:001:11:05

parties are fragile, the theme of

the programme today, the other big

1:11:051:11:10

ones all, but when you have all of

these leadership contest, all

1:11:101:11:14

triggered by wacky absurd

circumstances, the degree to which

1:11:141:11:17

weightiness and credibility is taken

away is such that it is difficult

1:11:171:11:24

for a party to recover. I am with

Isabel, it has reached the point

1:11:241:11:28

where even though Brexit is this

golden opportunity for Ukip, it has

1:11:281:11:33

imploded to such an extent I cannot

see how it pulls back.

Would you

1:11:331:11:38

welcome the return of Nigel Farage

to the political scene?

I would

1:11:381:11:42

always welcome his return, he livens

up political debate, nobody can

1:11:421:11:47

doubt his passion for ensuring

Brexit is delivered in the way

1:11:471:11:49

voters who backed that in the

referendum envisaged. There is

1:11:491:11:54

clearly a vacuum. Bring it on, I

say.

You think it is serious, the

1:11:541:11:59

idea him and Arron Banks might start

something new?

I do not know about

1:11:591:12:03

Arron Banks but I know Nigel Farage

has the appetite, he is extremely

1:12:031:12:07

worried about the fate of Brexit and

whether there will be some great

1:12:071:12:11

betrayal of voters and I know he is

thinking very carefully about what

1:12:111:12:14

to do next.

Would that worried the

Prime Minister, if Nigel Farage was

1:12:141:12:19

to come back central stage?

This

Brexit deal is going to disappoint

1:12:191:12:25

lots of people who voted Brexit.

There is political space there for a

1:12:251:12:33

harder Brexit political force. But

it has to have the other ingredients

1:12:331:12:38

of weightiness, credibility and

coherence that Ukip always struggled

1:12:381:12:41

with.

Quick word. It has to have a

very persuasive narrator and Nigel

1:12:411:12:46

Farage, like I'm or loathe him,

there has been no politician in the

1:12:461:12:54

current generation who can put

forward a more persuasive case than

1:12:541:12:57

Nigel Farage. If he comes back, very

bad news for the government.

Thank

1:12:571:13:03

you very much to the panel and my

guests today.

1:13:031:13:07

And before we go, there's just time

to tell you about a new podcast -

1:13:071:13:10

Prime Minister's Questions

with Andrew Neil.

1:13:101:13:12

It's available every

Wednesday afternoon,

1:13:121:13:13

after Prime Minister's Questions,

with highlights and analysis

1:13:131:13:15

from Andrew and his guests.

1:13:151:13:16

You can listen and subscribe

on your phone's podcast

1:13:161:13:18

apps and iPlayer radio.

1:13:181:13:19

That's all for today.

1:13:191:13:20

Join me again next Sunday

at 11am here on BBC One.

1:13:201:13:23

Until then, bye bye.

1:13:231:13:30

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