23/04/2017 Sunday Politics North East and Cumbria


23/04/2017

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It's Sunday afternoon - this is the Sunday Politics.

:00:37.:00:39.

Jeremy Corbyn wants to give everyone in Britain four

:00:40.:00:42.

extra bank holidays - but is the Labour leader up

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to being Prime Minister if he wins the election in just

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Theresa May says she wants a stronger hand to deliver Brexit -

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how will the Conservatives go about getting the bigger

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I'll be asking Party Chairman, Patrick McLoughlin.

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And I've been in Paris where voters are going to the polls in first

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round of the French Presidential election - what could be the impact

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on the EU and Brexit of this most unpredictable of contests?

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Here: What does Theresa May's snap election mean for

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We'll take a look at what's at stake for the political parties

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across the region as voters weigh up their options.

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Or feel they may not like it but the Tories

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And with me has always ready for the marathon task of covering a snap

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general election, even working on bank holidays, the best and

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brightest political panel in the business. David Wooding, Polly

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Toynbee and Toby Young. So Labour's big announcement this

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morning was a crowd pleaser. Four more rainy bank

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holidays to enjoy - one for each of the patron saints

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of England, Scotland, But Mr Corbyn probably won't be

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getting the time off work if he wins And on The Andrew Marr Show this

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morning he was asked what he would do as Prime Minister

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if the security services asked him to authorise a drone strike

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on the leader of Islamic State. What I'd tell them is,

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give me the information you've got, tell me how accurate that is,

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tell me what you I'm asking you about decisions you

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would take as Prime Minister. Can I take you back

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to the whole point? Is the objective

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to start more strikes that may kill many innocent

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people, as has happened? Do you think killing

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the leader of Isis would be I think the leader of Isis not

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being around would be helpful, and I'm no supporter or defender

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in any way of Isis. But I would also argue that

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the bombing campaign has killed a of whom were virtually prisoners of

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Isis. So you've got to think

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about these things. Mr Corbyn earlier. David, is his

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reply refreshing damaging? It is damaging. He has clearly been

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freaked to the fire already in the first week, there will be lots of

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questions on his suitability as a leader and the damage it could cause

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to our national security over the weeks ahead and Andrew Marr has cut

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straight to the chase here. The other thing, of course, is the

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letters of last resort, one of the first duties of a Prime Minister

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when he walks into No 10 is to sign these letters on his own, on or --

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or on her own in a room, a very lonely moment, to decide whether he

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should press the nuclear button and that goes in the Vanguard submarines

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and is opened in the event of a strike and he has dodged a question

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so many times. One must wonder what he would do that. He has to make

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these decisions as Prime Minister. On the Isis point, refreshing or

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damaging? It sure is his base, the people who support him, that's the

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sort of thing they support info and maybe his tactic is that's all he's

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going to get, that is what the polls seem to suggest, in which case they

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will be pleased, and say yes, the man is a man for these who doesn't

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press buttons and shoot people down. But if you want to win you have to

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deal with your own weaknesses and reach out to other people. I think

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most people would say that's not somebody who could defend the

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country. I wonder if he was being totally honest in saying he would

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consider it he would ask for more information. He has previously been

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on the record as being against drone strikes in principle, he's

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campaigned against them, he wants to abolish drones. I think Andrew Marr

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let him off saying it was a drone strike rather than a Navy SEAL or

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SAS operation and he had the fact that they could be collateral

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damage. We that's not his position because he condemned the

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assassination of Osama Bin Laden even though there was no collateral

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damage. David is right on the Trident point, he fetched the

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question. We heard Niall Griffiths on this very show saying Trident,

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the renewal of Trident, would be in the next Labour Party manifesto. It

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turns out now we don't know and when he was asked he said that remains to

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be seen, his re-opened a can of worms. What he has said about

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Trident which was extraordinary was, we will rebuild the submarines but

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not have any nukes on them which is expensive and useless. And of course

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the Labour Party were forced soon after that interview to put out a

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statement saying it is Labour Party policy to renew Trident. So where

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are we? Do we know what the party's policy is? It is to renew Trident

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but he has started this review which involves looking at it all again. We

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know he is a unilateralist to start with but whether he can force this

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through is dubious. Does it matter, though, if the party policy is in

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favour of Trident, if the leader is not? The potential Prime Minister is

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not? They split three ways when they went to vote on it in the Commons.

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The party agreed they were pro-Trident and when it came to the

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vote they split three ways. I think it's difficult for them, it's always

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been a really difficult issue for Labour. The question is whether you

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want to seal off your negatives, whether you really want to try and

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reach out to people. There are an awful lot of people who will like

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what he said, there are an awful lot of people that think we have been

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involved in terrible wars, we have wasted a lot of money and blood and

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let's just get back from the whole thing, let's retreat from the world

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and not try punching above our weight. There is something to be

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said for that and it is a reasonable argument. He's been true to himself

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on this. I think he is and Polly is right, lots of people will agree

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with him, not enough to win a general election, the latest ComRes

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poll shows Tories on 50% and Labour on 25 and as my colleague James

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Forsyth in the Spectator said if this was a boxing match it would

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have been stopped by now by the revelry. We are not stopping, we are

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going on. So the political parties have had

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to move into election mode Stand by for battle buses,

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mail shots and your social media timeline being bombarded

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by political propoganda. But none of this comes cheap -

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Adam's been doing his sums. Democracy is priceless but those

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planes, trains and automobiles used in the last election cost money

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and we know exactly how much, thanks to the Electoral

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Commission database. The Conservatives flew David Cameron

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to every part of the UK in one day on a private plane costing ?29,000,

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in-flight meals extra. They shelled out ?1.2 million

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for adverts on Facebook. The most expensive item was their

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election guru Lynton Crosby. They bought ?2.4 million worth

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of advice and research from his firm Labour's biggest expenditure

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was on good old-fashioned leaflets, costing ?7.4 million

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to print and deliver. Hope they didn't go straight

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into the recycling. Cheap for all the

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enjoyment it gave us. To turn a normal minibus

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into Harriet Harman's pink bus Nick Clegg toured the country doing

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all manner of stunts transported although the party got a grand's

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discount when it broke down. Ukip's then leader Nigel Farage

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was accompanied by bodyguards Nicola Sturgeon's chopper

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cost the SNP ?35,450. Plaid Cymru spent just over

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?1,000 on media training And the Greens spent ?6,912

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promoting their tweets. It adds up to a grand total

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for all the parties of ?37,560,039. Jabbing at my calculator that works

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out at less than ?1 per voter. Adam Fleming there -

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and joining me now is the man responsible for the Conservative

:09:10.:09:14.

election campaigns - for the locals next month

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and the general election in June - Welcome to the programme. The Crown

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Prosecution Service is reviewing evidence from 14 police forces that

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your party breached election spending rules on multiple occasions

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in the last election. What are you going to do differently this time?

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Well, the battle buses are part of the National campaign spend. You saw

:09:40.:09:45.

them just on the shot that you did, all three parties had those battle

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buses so that's why we believe they were part of the national spend and

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it was declared that way. At least 30 people in your party, MPs and

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agents, being investigated because they may not have been right to

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include it in the national spend. Are you saying you are going to do

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nothing differently this time? You asked me about last time and the way

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the position is... Was. I asked you about this time. We will take a

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careful count and make sure that everything that we do is within the

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law. But as I say, the last election, all three parties had

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battle buses. It is your party that above all has been investigated by

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14 police forces. You must surely be taking stock of that and working out

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how to do some things differently. You are being investigated because

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you put stuff on the National Ledger which should have been on the local

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constituency ledger. Are you looking at that again? All of the parties

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had battle buses and they all put them on their national spend. I

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don't think any of the parties put them on the local spend. The other

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battle buses were not full of their party activists. Your party stuffed

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these battle buses with activists and took them to constituencies.

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That's the difference. And I ask again, what is different this time?

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Are you going to run the risk of being investigated yet again? We

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believe that we fully compliant with the electoral law as it was. What

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will happen if one of these, or two or three or four or five of these 30

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people, Tory MPs, or agents running campaigns are charged during the

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campaign? As I say I believe we properly declared our election

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expenses. What happens if they are charged? You asking me a

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hypothetical question, the importance of this election is about

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who is in Downing Street in seven weeks' time. Let me clarify this,

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you maintain that in 2015 you did nothing wrong with how you allocated

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the cost and the activities of the battle buses and you would do

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exactly the same this time round? What we did at the last election we

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believe fully complied with the law. So the battle buses this time,

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stocked full of activists, will still be charged to the national

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campaign even when they go to local constituencies? Will they? We will

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be looking at the way we do it, there is new guidance from the

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Electoral Commission out and we will look at that guidance. It is not the

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guidance, it is the lawful stop the Electoral Commission said that, if

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you look at the report they did on us, they said there was one area

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where we had over claimed, over declared, and another area we had

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and declared. We haven't worked out what to do

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yet, have you? We will get on with the campaign and

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start the campaign and I'm looking forward to the campaign.

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I'm trying to work out of the campaign is going to be legal or not

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because last time it seems it could have been illegal.

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I am sure the campaign will be legal.

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You started the campaign warning about the prospect of, the coalition

:12:49.:12:53.

of chaos. Mr Corbyn has ruled out a post-election coalition with the SNP

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and so have the Lib Dems so who is going to be in this coalition?

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Vince Cable said he was looking towards a possible coalition trying

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to stop a Conservative government. Is not the leader of the Lib Dems.

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He's an important voice in the Lib Dems. Who will be in it? Let's see

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because of the Conservative Party is not re-elected with a strong

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majority, what will happen? There will be a coalition stopping us

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doing the things we need to do. Who will be in it? It will be a

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coalition of the Labour Party, the SNP and the Liberal party. They have

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ruled it out. I think they would not rule it out if that was the

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situation. Like Theresa May not ruling out an election and then

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changing her mind? The things the Prime Minister said were very clear,

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once she had served Article 50 there was an opportunity, as we know

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today, there is going to be the start of a new government formed in

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France and in September we have the German elections. So it was quite

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right that we didn't get ourselves boxed into a timetable. That is why

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the Prime Minister took the view that they should be a general

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election to give her full strength of an electoral mandate when it

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comes to those negotiations. What about Mr Corbyn's plan for four new

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bank holidays, good idea? I'm not... If we get Corbyn in No 10 Downing St

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we will have a permanent bank holiday of the United Kingdom. We

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will have fewer bank holidays of most other major nations, most about

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major wealthy nations. What about at least one more? Well, look, he's

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talked about four bank holidays. Today would be a bank holiday and

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next Monday would be a bank holiday and the other week was a bank

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holiday too. I don't think it's very well thought out. It sounded more to

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me something like you get in school mock elections rather than proper

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elections. Your party is the self-styled party of the workers and

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you have no plans to give the workers even one extra bank holiday?

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What we want to do is ensure Britain is a strong economy and building on

:14:55.:14:59.

the jobs that we have created since 2010. We were told that by reducing

:15:00.:15:03.

public expenditure unemployment in this country would go up,

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unemployment has gone down and the number of jobs have gone up

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substantially. But no more bank holidays? Well, we will make our

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manifesto in due course but I don't think four bank holidays held in

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April, March and November are very attractive to people. When Ed

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Miliband as leader of the Labour Party suggested the government

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should control energy prices by capping them, the Conservatives

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described that as almost Communist and central planning. Do still take

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that view? You'll see what we have to say on energy prices. I didn't

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you about that, I asked you if you take the view... The Prime Minister

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made a speech at the Conservative Spring conference in which she

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outlined her dissatisfaction about people who are kept locked on a

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standard tariff and those are the issues we will address in the next

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few weeks when the manifesto was published.

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Would that be an act of communism? You will need to see what we say

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when we set out the policies. It could be. You could put a Communist

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act into your manifesto? I don't think you'll find a Communist

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manifesto in a Conservative manifesto which will be launched...

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You are planning to control prices? We will address what we think is

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unfairness in the energy market. Mr Jeremy Corbyn was reluctant this

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morning to sanction a drone strike. You heard us talking about it

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earlier against the leader of Islamic State if our intelligence

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services identified him. What would it achieve? When the Prime Minister

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gets certain advice in the national interests, she has to act been that.

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We've seen with Theresa May in her time as Home Secretary and Prime

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Minister, she's not afraid to take those very difficult decisions. What

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we say this morning from Jeremy Corbyn was a his tans, a reluctance.

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I don't think that serves the country well. What would it achieve

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if we take out the head of Islamic State he's replaced by somebody

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else. It brings their organisation into difficulties. It undermines

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their organisation. It shows we'll take every measure to undo an

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organisation which has organised terrorism in different parts of

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Europe, the UK. I think it is absolutely right the Prime Minister

:17:29.:17:31.

is prepared to take those kind of measures. Jeremy Corbyn said he

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wasn't prepared to take that. Because he wasn't sure what it would

:17:37.:17:41.

achieve. The Obama administration launched hundreds of drone strikes

:17:42.:17:46.

in various war zones and we in the west are still under attack on a

:17:47.:17:52.

regular basis. Mr Corbyn's basis was what would it achieve? It would

:17:53.:17:57.

achieve a safer position for the UK overall. The war on terrorists. But

:17:58.:18:02.

the Westminster attack, Paris has just been attacked again? There's

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been attacks which have been stopped by the intelligence services. We

:18:08.:18:11.

must do all we can to support them. The question was about drone

:18:12.:18:15.

strikes. Whether it is drone strikes or other action, we have to be

:18:16.:18:20.

prepared to act. Let's move on to Brexit. It is the major reason the

:18:21.:18:23.

Prime Minister's called the election? Not the only within but

:18:24.:18:28.

the main reason? It is one of the reasons. Now we start the two-year

:18:29.:18:32.

negotiations and then a year afterwards. Also the way in which

:18:33.:18:37.

certain people said they would try to use in the House of Lords or

:18:38.:18:40.

House of Commons to prevent us making progress. I think you'll put

:18:41.:18:47.

in your manifesto, it is the Government's policy, the Brexit

:18:48.:18:53.

negotiating position will be no more freedom of movement. Leave the

:18:54.:19:00.

single market and no longer under the jurisdiction Europe. You expect

:19:01.:19:03.

every Tory MP to fight on that manifesto. What will you do with Ken

:19:04.:19:09.

Clarke and Anna? They will have fought on their manifesto. They will

:19:10.:19:13.

understand the Prime Minister has the authority of the ballot box

:19:14.:19:16.

behind them. Will they fight the election on these positions? I'm

:19:17.:19:21.

sure they'll fight the election supporting the election of a

:19:22.:19:26.

Conservative Government and it's manifesto will quite clearly set

:19:27.:19:30.

out... You know they're against these positions. Ken Clarke has a

:19:31.:19:34.

prod tradition of expressing a certain view. Overall, the party's

:19:35.:19:39.

manifesto, it is not just individuals like Ken Clarke, it is

:19:40.:19:43.

what happens as far as the House of Lords are concerned, people said

:19:44.:19:47.

they'd use the House of Lords to prevent certain measures. You're the

:19:48.:19:51.

party chairman, will it be possible for people like Ken Clarke to fight

:19:52.:19:56.

this election under the Conservative ticket without sub describing to all

:19:57.:20:01.

-- subscribing to all of these Brexit conditions? Ken Clarke will

:20:02.:20:07.

fight as Conservative candidates. That wasn't my question. I know

:20:08.:20:11.

that. Will they be allowed to fight it on their own ticket and not

:20:12.:20:15.

subscribe to what is in your manifesto? The manifesto will be

:20:16.:20:20.

what the Conservative Party fights the General Election on. There will

:20:21.:20:24.

always be cases where people have had different views on different

:20:25.:20:30.

parts of the manifesto. That will be the guiding principles for the

:20:31.:20:36.

party. Philip Hammond says your election promises in 2015, in your

:20:37.:20:41.

manifesto not to raise taxes tied his hands when it came to managing

:20:42.:20:45.

the economy. Do you agree with him? No. The simple fact is we have to do

:20:46.:20:49.

the best things for the economy. We'll set out in our manifesto in a

:20:50.:20:54.

few weeks' time, what the policies will be for the next Parliament. Can

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I clarify, you don't agree with your Chancellor? What Philip was saying

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was some of the areas we wants to address as Chancellor, what the

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party will do, it will set out all the issues we're fighting on. It

:21:10.:21:13.

will set out clearly the choice we have in this country. That's the

:21:14.:21:17.

important thing. Let me put the question to you again. Philip

:21:18.:21:21.

Hammond said this week your election promise in 2015 not to raise taxes

:21:22.:21:25.

had tied his hands when it came to managing the economy. I ask you, do

:21:26.:21:31.

you agree with him? You said no. Philip expressed his view as to what

:21:32.:21:36.

he would like. What I'm saying is in a few weeks' time we'll set the

:21:37.:21:40.

manifesto which will set the policies, agreed with the the

:21:41.:21:45.

Cabinet. He's Chancellor. Doesn't he determine what the economic part of

:21:46.:21:48.

the manifesto is? We'll talk about that in due course. Will you have a

:21:49.:21:54.

lock on the taxes that you locked in 2015 on income tax, VAT, national

:21:55.:21:59.

insurance? That will be decided. You'll see that when we publish the

:22:00.:22:06.

manifesto in a few weeks' time. Will you rule out the possibility taxes

:22:07.:22:10.

may have to rise under a future Conservative Party? Conservative

:22:11.:22:15.

Government. We've taken four million people out of tax. Now, on average,

:22:16.:22:21.

people are paying ?1200 less tax than they were on the same salaries

:22:22.:22:27.

in 2010. I'm very provide of that. I can assure you, the Conservative

:22:28.:22:29.

Party will want to see taxes reduced. It is the Labour Party

:22:30.:22:33.

which will put up taxes. We have the evidence where this he did so.

:22:34.:22:39.

Council tax went up by over 100%. You haven't reduced the tax burden

:22:40.:22:45.

as a percentage of the GDP is now going to reach its highest level

:22:46.:22:50.

since the mid-180s which was when Conservatives were in power. The tax

:22:51.:22:56.

burden in this country under your Government is rising? We've more

:22:57.:22:59.

people paying taxes which is something, because we've a growing

:23:00.:23:02.

economy and more people... What about the tax band? You said you

:23:03.:23:07.

reduced the tax burden on your own Government's figures is rising? We

:23:08.:23:12.

have reduced the tax burden. The threshold at which people start

:23:13.:23:17.

paying. These are tax rates not the tax burden. It is rising. The tax

:23:18.:23:23.

rates have been reduced. You said tax burden. Perhaps I misspoke. Tax

:23:24.:23:28.

rates have been reduced. We'll leave it there. No doubt we'll speak again

:23:29.:23:36.

between now and June Is France now about to make it

:23:37.:23:37.

a hat-trick of shocks The prospect terrifies

:23:38.:23:42.

the governing elite in Paris. But they're no less scared

:23:43.:23:45.

in Brussels and Berlin, given what it could mean

:23:46.:23:47.

for the whole EU project, never mind the huge potential impact

:23:48.:23:49.

on our own Brexit negotiations. 11 candidates are contesting

:23:50.:24:09.

the first round of the presidential Only the top two will go forward

:24:10.:24:12.

to the run-off on May 7th. For the first time since General De

:24:13.:24:18.

Gaulle created the fifth Republic in 1958, it's perfectly possible that

:24:19.:24:23.

no candidate from the ruling parties of the centre-left or the

:24:24.:24:27.

centre-right will even make it The election has been dominated by

:24:28.:24:30.

the hard right in the shape of the who's never been elected

:24:31.:24:37.

to anything and only started his own party

:24:38.:24:44.

a few months ago. And the far left in the form

:24:45.:24:46.

of Jean-Luc Melenchon, a former Trotskyite who has surged

:24:47.:24:49.

in the final weeks of the campaign. The only candidate left from the

:24:50.:24:53.

traditional governing parties is the centre-right's

:24:54.:24:56.

Francois Fillon and he's been struggling to stay in

:24:57.:24:59.

the race ever since it was revealed that his Welsh wife was being paid

:25:00.:25:02.

at generous public expense for a job I've just come across

:25:03.:25:07.

this magazine cover and it kind of sums up the mood

:25:08.:25:22.

of the French people. It's got the five main candidates

:25:23.:25:25.

for President here but it calls them the biggest liar, the biggest cheat,

:25:26.:25:28.

the biggest traitor, the most paranoid, the biggest demagogue,

:25:29.:25:31.

and it says they are the winners The four leading candidates,

:25:32.:25:34.

Le Pen, Melenchon, Macron and Fillon, or in with a chance

:25:35.:25:44.

of making it to the second round. Only a couple of points separates

:25:45.:25:48.

them in the polls, Frankly, no one has a clue what's

:25:49.:25:50.

going to happen. Of the four, there is a feeling that

:25:51.:25:56.

two of them may be President But the two of them may not find

:25:57.:26:02.

themselves in the second round. Somebody said to me that the man or

:26:03.:26:14.

woman on the Paris Metro has as much a chance of knowing

:26:15.:26:28.

who will win as the greatest experts Because the more expert you are

:26:29.:26:32.

the more you may be wrong. The country has largely

:26:33.:26:39.

stagnated for over a decade. One in ten are unemployed,

:26:40.:26:44.

one in four if you are unlucky Like Britain in the '70s there is

:26:45.:26:47.

the pervasive stench There are three keywords that come

:26:48.:26:51.

to mind. Anger, anger at the elite, and in

:26:52.:26:58.

particular the political elite. And an element of

:26:59.:27:05.

nostalgia for the past. These three words were decisive

:27:06.:27:10.

in the Brexit referendum. They are decisive in

:27:11.:27:15.

the French election. Identity and security has been

:27:16.:27:26.

as important in this election France is a proud nation, it worries

:27:27.:27:30.

about its future in Europe It seems bereft of ideas about how

:27:31.:27:37.

to deal with its largely Muslim migrant population, huge chunks of

:27:38.:27:41.

which are increasingly divorced It is quite simply exhausted by

:27:42.:27:45.

the never-ending Islamist terrorist attacks, the latest only days before

:27:46.:27:55.

voting in the iconic heart of this If Fillon or Macron emerge

:27:56.:27:59.

victorious then there will be continuity of sorts, though Fillon

:28:00.:28:10.

will struggle to implement his Thatcherite agenda and Macron will

:28:11.:28:14.

not be able to count on the support of the French parliament, the

:28:15.:28:18.

National Assembly, for his reforms. But if it's Le Pen or Jean-Luc

:28:19.:28:21.

Melenchon then all bets are off. Both are hardline French

:28:22.:28:27.

nationalists, anti the euro, anti the European Union, anti-fiscal

:28:28.:28:30.

discipline, anti the market, Either in the Elysee Palace

:28:31.:28:33.

would represent an existential Brexit would simply become

:28:34.:28:42.

a sideshow, the negotiations could just peter out as Brussels

:28:43.:28:51.

and Berlin had bigger fish to fry. We're joined now from

:28:52.:28:55.

Paris by the journalist 8th Welcome to the programme.

:28:56.:29:07.

Overshadowing the voting today was yet another appalling terrorist

:29:08.:29:11.

attack in Paris on Thursday night. Do we have any indications of how

:29:12.:29:17.

that's playing into the election? That initially people thought this

:29:18.:29:21.

has been almost foiled in that the police were there as a ramp up. One

:29:22.:29:27.

policeman was killed. But the terrorist did not spray the crowd

:29:28.:29:31.

with bullets. It was seen as not having much of an effect on the

:29:32.:29:36.

election. This has changed. We now know the policeman who was killed, a

:29:37.:29:43.

young man about to the promoted, he was at the Bataclan the night of the

:29:44.:29:48.

terror attack. He was a fighter for LGBT rights. The fact he was

:29:49.:29:55.

promoted, happy within his job, he has this fresh face. Sudden, he's

:29:56.:30:01.

one of us. It took perhaps 48 hours for the French to process this. But

:30:02.:30:07.

now they're angry and this may actually change the game, at least

:30:08.:30:13.

at the margins. To whose advantage? I would say the two who might

:30:14.:30:19.

benefit from this are Marine Le Pen, she's been absolutely

:30:20.:30:23.

anti-immigration, anti-anything. And made no bones about it as she

:30:24.:30:28.

immediately made rather strange announcement in which she'd said if

:30:29.:30:32.

she'd been president none of the terror attacks which happened in

:30:33.:30:36.

France would have happened. Francois Fillon has written a book two years

:30:37.:30:44.

ago called Combating Islamic Terrorism he's has an organised plan

:30:45.:30:48.

in his manifesto. Unlike Emmanuel Macron who stumbled when he was

:30:49.:30:52.

asked the evening this happened what he thought, he said, I can't dream

:30:53.:30:56.

up an anti-terror programme overnight. The question, of course,

:30:57.:31:00.

that arrows was this is not the sort of thing that's just happened

:31:01.:31:04.

overnight. It's been unfortunately the fate of France for many years.

:31:05.:31:09.

Let me ask you this finally, what ever the outcome on May 7th in the

:31:10.:31:15.

second round, who ever wins, would it be fair to say French politics

:31:16.:31:21.

will never be the same again? Yes. Absolutely it's a very strange

:31:22.:31:24.

thing. People have no become really excited about this. You cannot go

:31:25.:31:28.

anywhere without people discussing heatedly this election. The anger

:31:29.:31:33.

that was described is very accurate. Very true. There was this feeling as

:31:34.:31:39.

for the Brexit voters and the Trump voters, vast parts of the people

:31:40.:31:43.

were being talked down to by people who despised them. This has to

:31:44.:31:50.

change. If it doesn't change, we cannot predict what the future will

:31:51.:31:55.

be. We'll know the results or at least the ex-the Poll London time

:31:56.:32:00.

tonight at 8.00pm. Thank for joining us from the glorious heart of your

:32:01.:32:02.

city. Now, the Green Party currently has

:32:03.:32:06.

one MP and they'll be contesting many more seats in June

:32:07.:32:09.

as well as hoping to increase their presence on councils in

:32:10.:32:12.

the local elections on 4th May. Launching their campaign

:32:13.:32:14.

on Thursday, co-leader Caroline Lucas made

:32:15.:32:16.

a pitch to younger voters. When it comes to young

:32:17.:32:18.

people they've been But one crucial way they've been

:32:19.:32:20.

betrayed is by what this generation and this government and the previous

:32:21.:32:25.

ones have been doing when it comes We know we had the hottest year

:32:26.:32:28.

on record last year, you know, you almost think what else does

:32:29.:32:33.

the environment need to be doing All the signs are there

:32:34.:32:35.

and it is young people who are going to be bearing

:32:36.:32:39.

the brunt of a wrecked environment and that's why it's so important

:32:40.:32:42.

that when we come to making that pitch to, yes, the country at large

:32:43.:32:45.

but to young people in particular, I think climate change,

:32:46.:32:48.

the environment, looking after our precious resources,

:32:49.:32:50.

has to be up there. And I'm joined now by the Green

:32:51.:32:55.

MEP, Molly Scott Cato. Welcome back to the programme.

:32:56.:33:09.

Promised to scrap university tuition fees, increase NHS funding, rollback

:33:10.:33:13.

cuts to local councils spending, how much would that cost and how would

:33:14.:33:16.

you pay for it? Like the other parties we haven't got a costed

:33:17.:33:20.

manifesto yet, it's only a few days since the election was announced so

:33:21.:33:23.

I will come back and explain the figures. You don't know? Like every

:33:24.:33:27.

party we have not produced accosted manifesto yet, we produced one last

:33:28.:33:33.

time but public spending figures have changed so we're not in a

:33:34.:33:36.

position to do that but we will be in a week or so. What taxes would

:33:37.:33:41.

you like to consider raising? We would consider having higher taxes

:33:42.:33:45.

for the better off in society. I think we need to increase the amount

:33:46.:33:50.

of tax wealthier people pay. How do you define better off? I'm not

:33:51.:33:53.

entirely clear what the precise number would be but I think 100,000

:33:54.:33:59.

people would pay a bit more, 150,000 quite considerably more but the real

:34:00.:34:03.

focus needs to be on companies avoiding paying taxes. I work on

:34:04.:34:06.

that a lot in my role in the European Parliament, we see an

:34:07.:34:09.

enormous amount of tax avoidance by companies moving profits from

:34:10.:34:12.

country to country and we need European corporation to make that

:34:13.:34:16.

successful. It has not made much difference yet. We have made lots of

:34:17.:34:22.

changes. Google turned over $1 billion and only paid 25 million in

:34:23.:34:25.

taxes last year. There was a significant fine introduced by the

:34:26.:34:30.

competition commission on Apple and in the case of Google we must change

:34:31.:34:34.

the laws so that people cannot move profits from country to country.

:34:35.:34:40.

Everybody wants to do it. But you couldn't face a big spending

:34:41.:34:43.

programme on the ability to do that. You'd have to increase other taxes.

:34:44.:34:47.

If you look at the cost of free student tuition, tuition fees and

:34:48.:34:50.

also maintenance grants to students, that would come in at about 10

:34:51.:34:53.

billion a year. One way of paying for that would be to remove the

:34:54.:34:57.

upper threshold on National Insurance, bringing in 20 billion a

:34:58.:35:00.

year, that's the order of magnitude we are talking about. It is not

:35:01.:35:05.

vast, and some of the proposals we have... That would be an increase on

:35:06.:35:09.

the better of tax? National Insurance on people earning...

:35:10.:35:15.

People earning above 42,000. You would have another 10% tax above

:35:16.:35:20.

42,000? I can't remember exactly how much the National Insurance rate

:35:21.:35:25.

changes by. But in government figures it would be 28 billion

:35:26.:35:30.

raised. I think it is up to 45, a bit more you pay a marginal rate of

:35:31.:35:33.

40%, you would have them pay a marginal rate of over 50%? We would

:35:34.:35:38.

put the National Insurance rate on higher incomes the same as it is on

:35:39.:35:42.

lower incomes. If you are a school head of an English department on 50,

:35:43.:35:46.

60,000 a year you would face a marginal rate under U of over 50%?

:35:47.:35:52.

It is not useful to do this as a mental maths exercise but if you

:35:53.:35:57.

look at other proposals would could have a landlord licensing system,

:35:58.:36:01.

longer term leases on properties, so young people particularly, but also

:36:02.:36:04.

older people who rent, could have more security which needn't cost

:36:05.:36:07.

anything. We could insist on landlords paying for that. The

:36:08.:36:11.

mental arithmetic seems clear but we will come back to that. How is the

:36:12.:36:15.

Progressive Alliance coming? It is going well, I have heard of a lot of

:36:16.:36:20.

interest at local level. Winterset this in contest, context, lots of

:36:21.:36:25.

progressives are concerned about the crisis in public services, prisons,

:36:26.:36:29.

social care system, and also about the Tories' hard extreme Brexit they

:36:30.:36:33.

are threatening. You want the left to come together? Theresa May has

:36:34.:36:38.

given us opportunity, she has taken a risk because she has problems with

:36:39.:36:41.

backbenchers, she doesn't think she can get through Brexit with a small

:36:42.:36:44.

majority so there is an opportunity and we are saying progressives must

:36:45.:36:48.

come together to corporate, Conservatives are effective at using

:36:49.:36:50.

the first-past-the-post system and we have to become effective as well.

:36:51.:36:56.

Do you accept this Progressive Alliance cannot become the

:36:57.:36:59.

government and Mr Corbyn is the Prime Minister? How could it happen

:37:00.:37:03.

otherwise? I think that is a secondary question. For me the

:37:04.:37:06.

primary question is who do people choose to vote for? Aluminium

:37:07.:37:10.

government afterwards comes after the election. In most countries that

:37:11.:37:14.

is the case. I understand that but we have the system we have and you

:37:15.:37:17.

accept this Progressive Alliance cannot be in power and thus mystical

:37:18.:37:21.

Burmese Prime Minister? Personally I think Mr Corbyn is less of a threat

:37:22.:37:24.

to the country than Theresa May, she has shown herself to be an

:37:25.:37:27.

authoritarian leader and she has said she doesn't want to have

:37:28.:37:33.

dissidents, which I would say is reasonable opposition, and what we

:37:34.:37:35.

are suggesting at the moment is there is a way of avoiding that very

:37:36.:37:38.

hard Brexit and damage to public services. You'd be happy to pay the

:37:39.:37:41.

price of having Mr Corbyn as Prime Minister? I do not see that as a

:37:42.:37:46.

price. People have the choice of Jeremy Corbyn or Theresa May as

:37:47.:37:49.

Prime Minister, that's the system that works. You would prefer Mr

:37:50.:37:54.

Corbyn? I would but votes are translated into seats and the

:37:55.:37:56.

Progressive Alliance is a step towards that.

:37:57.:37:58.

It's just gone 3:50pm, you're watching the Sunday Politics.

:37:59.:38:00.

We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland, Wales

:38:01.:38:02.

and Northern Ireland who leave us now.

:38:03.:38:04.

Coming up here in 20 minutes, the Week Ahead.

:38:05.:38:13.

Hello, and a warm welcome to your local part of the show.

:38:14.:38:17.

This week, what else but the general election?

:38:18.:38:20.

Theresa May's decision to call a snap poll has left many voters,

:38:21.:38:23.

We'll all have to endure more electioneering,

:38:24.:38:29.

But could this poll change the political landscape

:38:30.:38:32.

And, as if one big election wasn't enough, we'll also take a look

:38:33.:38:37.

at whether local elections in our region on May 4th will give

:38:38.:38:40.

And with me in a crowded studio to discuss all that

:38:41.:38:45.

are Anne-Marie Trevelyan, the Conservative MP for Berwick,

:38:46.:38:47.

Workington Labour MP Sue Hayman, Jonathan Arnott, UKIP's North East

:38:48.:38:51.

MEP, and, yes you can yell house now, we also have Sunderland Lib Dem

:38:52.:38:55.

Well, at the start of this week we were wondering what we might talk

:38:56.:39:02.

Now, of course, we're having to pack it all in.

:39:03.:39:06.

So on June 8th, or just after, we'll have a clearer picture of how

:39:07.:39:10.

the political geography of our region has been affected

:39:11.:39:12.

Sue Hayman, as Theresa May made her announcement, what was your feeling?

:39:13.:39:26.

I said that I welcomed it because now voters have got an opportunity

:39:27.:39:30.

to vote for a Labour government that will stand up for ordinary people,

:39:31.:39:34.

shout out for everybody in this country to have a proper opposition

:39:35.:39:38.

against a Tory government that really has been failing working

:39:39.:39:45.

people. Do you think all the parties are as enthusiastic as you say you

:39:46.:39:48.

are? We get into elections to fight them to wind and that is what we

:39:49.:39:54.

will do. Anne-Marie Trevelyan, any vertical party would be tempted, it

:39:55.:39:57.

would be pointers to say you wouldn't be, but let's not pretend

:39:58.:40:03.

this is about the national interest. This is about the Conservatives

:40:04.:40:05.

sensing Labour blood. The Prime Minister has been clear that there

:40:06.:40:10.

is a political dimensional, and despite the fixed in Parliament act,

:40:11.:40:16.

it shows Labour have come forward so that when there is a need to get the

:40:17.:40:19.

clarity from the electorate, and that is what the Prime Minister

:40:20.:40:25.

wants. She also wants a huge Conservative majority. If that is

:40:26.:40:27.

what the electorate choose to give her so she can move forward with

:40:28.:40:33.

Brexit with real clarity and that support the height, that would be

:40:34.:40:39.

fantastic. Niall Hodson, even how about 2015 was for you in this

:40:40.:40:44.

region, I assume you want a chance to bounce back from what was a near

:40:45.:40:49.

death experience. We are straight out of the blocks, we have all our

:40:50.:40:53.

candidates in place, we are raring to go and we have been out on the

:40:54.:40:56.

campaign trail this weekend. It is all systems go. Do you sense you

:40:57.:41:01.

have been forgiven for being in coalition with the Conservatives?

:41:02.:41:06.

Time has moved on so quickly since then, so much has happened, it is

:41:07.:41:10.

almost in relevant. There are completely different issues on the

:41:11.:41:13.

table. It is looking at a situation now where the noble Democrats could

:41:14.:41:18.

take a great deal of seats from the Tories and we are only party in a

:41:19.:41:25.

position to do so. Jonathan after it -- Jonathan Arnott, the Conservative

:41:26.:41:31.

government is delivering potentially the kind of Brexit that your voters

:41:32.:41:34.

would want. It could not have come at a worse time for the party, could

:41:35.:41:40.

it? I am a Democrat, I believe in elections. I want the people to have

:41:41.:41:44.

as much of a say as possible. Of course there are questions of trust.

:41:45.:41:48.

When a Prime Minister tells you time and time again they will not be a

:41:49.:41:52.

snap election and then calls one, that is the kind of politics that

:41:53.:41:56.

people don't want. But I think when you look at the areas in which Ukip

:41:57.:42:02.

are doing well in, Ukip are on the up, and I think they are still on

:42:03.:42:11.

the up in those areas. You know, I think if you believe in democracy,

:42:12.:42:16.

then actually having an election is never going to be a bad thing. Apart

:42:17.:42:21.

from that point I made, Theresa May saying there was not going to be won

:42:22.:42:25.

and then doing it, that does not go down well. We will see.

:42:26.:42:29.

Just after Jimmy Yates will have a clear idea of how our medical

:42:30.:42:34.

geography has been affected in our region. The election could be a

:42:35.:42:37.

bruising one for Labour. So could some Labour seats fall

:42:38.:42:45.

to the Conservatives? And will UKIP break

:42:46.:42:48.

through or break apart? Luke Walton has been

:42:49.:42:51.

to a key battleground in Teesside where Labour faces

:42:52.:42:53.

a particularly fierce contest. Market day in Guisborough,

:42:54.:43:01.

the town has been trading for centuries and is also a place

:43:02.:43:03.

where political control has been It is part of a constituency

:43:04.:43:06.

that has been labour for the past 20 years,

:43:07.:43:09.

but being conservative before them. And there's mixed opinions

:43:10.:43:13.

about going to the ballot box again. You get sick of them

:43:14.:43:16.

because they promise you the earth I don't welcome it,

:43:17.:43:19.

but I think it will be a good Why, because it will

:43:20.:43:27.

decide some things? I think it will, people get sick

:43:28.:43:31.

of all the elections and everything but at the end of the day,

:43:32.:43:34.

if it brings the country together, The Conservative lead in the polls

:43:35.:43:37.

means Labour have faces a hard sell in this campaign,

:43:38.:43:42.

and in this constituency, it will have to do it

:43:43.:43:44.

without the sitting MP Tom He announced this week

:43:45.:43:46.

he is standing down, due to what he says are irreconcilable

:43:47.:43:50.

differences with Jeremy Corbyn. And he is not the only one

:43:51.:43:54.

with doubts about the Labour leader. You have only got to look at

:43:55.:43:58.

Tom Blenkinsop who is not standing. Marjorie has been a Labour voter

:43:59.:44:06.

for more than 50 years. Like I say, we have been Labour

:44:07.:44:11.

all our lives, but Jeremy Corbyn, when I watch on television,

:44:12.:44:16.

he irritates me. But for businessman Abdul,

:44:17.:44:17.

the Labour leader's anti-establishment style

:44:18.:44:30.

is a positive. I personally think he is a breath

:44:31.:44:33.

of fresh air for politics. He is honest, straightforward,

:44:34.:44:36.

a regular guy. The other establishment,

:44:37.:44:46.

it is all a bit too complex and too Pitching the right product,

:44:47.:44:49.

whether yellow, red or blue is important for political parties

:44:50.:44:54.

as it is for market traders. For Theresa May, the promise

:44:55.:44:59.

is strong Brexit. For some of her opponents,

:45:00.:45:03.

a break with austerity. So what is the issue that will seal

:45:04.:45:05.

the deal with voters? The EU is the most important

:45:06.:45:08.

at the present moment. A strong government is going to get

:45:09.:45:12.

the country the best deal possible. Working people get tax

:45:13.:45:17.

taken off them a lot I think the whole

:45:18.:45:19.

situation is wrong. So you think working

:45:20.:45:23.

people need a better The marginals being defended

:45:24.:45:27.

by Labour include Hartlepool, With Workington also

:45:28.:45:32.

potentially vulnerable. Battleground seats being defended

:45:33.:45:37.

by the Conservatives include Copeland, Carlisle

:45:38.:45:40.

and Stockton South. In a region long a Labour

:45:41.:45:43.

stronghold, it is the party The Labour Party is still

:45:44.:45:46.

across the region in a strong position in most seats and is likely

:45:47.:45:57.

to win most seats, but they are being more strongly

:45:58.:46:00.

challenged in more places than they have been

:46:01.:46:02.

in living memory. but elsewhere it is the colours

:46:03.:46:09.

in Middlesbrough South, but elsewhere it is a different

:46:10.:46:19.

party colours of Ukip and the Lib Dems which are adding

:46:20.:46:21.

to an unpredictable Less than seven weeks before

:46:22.:46:23.

voters take their pick. The Conservatives took your

:46:24.:46:33.

neighbouring constituency of Copland. This election is going to

:46:34.:46:37.

be about limiting losses rather than about really trying to get into

:46:38.:46:41.

government, isn't it? The only poll that matter is what it will happen

:46:42.:46:46.

on May the 4th in the local elections and in the General

:46:47.:46:49.

Election on June the 8th. Theresa May once this election to be just

:46:50.:46:54.

about Brexit, but it won't be. To me that is a smoke screen because they

:46:55.:46:57.

are trying to hide the huge cuts that have been made to public

:46:58.:47:01.

services which affect the most vulnerable people in society the

:47:02.:47:04.

most. There is so much more to this collection that people will be

:47:05.:47:09.

looking at. The pulse can be wrong, but you are 20 points behind in the

:47:10.:47:13.

polls which would suggest some of these seeds you could almost write

:47:14.:47:18.

off. Your seat would go Conservative, are you worried about

:47:19.:47:23.

it? Well, polling does not necessarily mean what a result is

:47:24.:47:26.

going to be. I am going to fight hard for my seat, I have worked hard

:47:27.:47:31.

since I was elected two years ago. You should not be in that position

:47:32.:47:35.

where you should have two defend your seat, you should be trying to

:47:36.:47:39.

win Stockton South, Carlisle, but the reality is you will be defending

:47:40.:47:42.

your seat in Cumbria are not looking to win any others. This election is

:47:43.:47:47.

about choice. For a Labour government it will stand up for

:47:48.:47:50.

working people, and a Tory government that has failed. Well you

:47:51.:47:57.

will not address directly the point. Anne-Marie Trevelyan, you one last

:47:58.:48:02.

time with a good majority, but the Lib Dems may be thinking you can

:48:03.:48:06.

harness all the remaining voters in your constituency. I got in in 2015

:48:07.:48:20.

and have worked hard, I have secured funding to bring new investment into

:48:21.:48:24.

Eric and another of practical investment issues, so I hope the

:48:25.:48:31.

local electorate will give me the chance to continue working hard.

:48:32.:48:36.

Tony Blair today said he believes anyone who voted to remain should

:48:37.:48:40.

look at me at who is standing and not vote on an MP who will vote on

:48:41.:48:45.

the Brexit deal and just wave it through. That is you, isn't it? Tony

:48:46.:48:52.

Blair is entitled to encourage... But you are not going to question

:48:53.:48:57.

the Brexit deal, are you? I believe that we should be leaving the EU,

:48:58.:49:04.

which we will now do. I believe we need to take back our own laws,

:49:05.:49:08.

leave the single market, so we are no longer under the jurisdiction of

:49:09.:49:12.

the European Court of Justice. Brexit to me means having control of

:49:13.:49:18.

our laws and our borders. That is what the Prime Minister is heading

:49:19.:49:21.

towards. Jonathan Arnott, if you are honest, one seat is going to

:49:22.:49:27.

interest you, which is Hartlepool. The rest of them, you might as well

:49:28.:49:33.

forget. I think we will do well in Hartlepool, of course, but remember

:49:34.:49:37.

that in 11 of the constituencies across the region Ukip other party

:49:38.:49:41.

in second place. It does beg the question, if Labour have a huge

:49:42.:49:45.

meltdown, then we could be the beneficiaries. It would be foolhardy

:49:46.:49:51.

to put all our eggs in one basket. Was 2015 the high watermark? I don't

:49:52.:49:56.

dispute Hartlepool is a target for you, but the rest of them, you will

:49:57.:50:04.

just make waves. In 11 of those we are the party in second place, and

:50:05.:50:08.

that does make a big difference. Our number one target in this region is

:50:09.:50:11.

going to be the seat that we can win. We don't know who the candidate

:50:12.:50:17.

is going to be yet, there will be a hustings on Wednesday night. I may

:50:18.:50:23.

or may not be there. I am not committing to anything live on-air.

:50:24.:50:29.

We have got some great people. Niall Hodson, the problem is, your party

:50:30.:50:35.

is fighting a battle here because six out of ten voters in the

:50:36.:50:39.

north-east backed Brexit in the referendum, and you are going to be

:50:40.:50:43.

the party saying you will stop it. Which means four out of ten didn't.

:50:44.:50:51.

Sue is right to say this is not just about back said. We are potentially

:50:52.:50:56.

giving the reins to an extremely right-wing Tory government and

:50:57.:50:59.

giving them free rein if they get such a large majority to do whatever

:51:00.:51:03.

they like. That comes down to affecting our welfare state, the

:51:04.:51:08.

NHS, local councils. It is a serious matter beyond Brexit. I think it

:51:09.:51:14.

suits Theresa May to have this as a Brexit election. But the danger is

:51:15.:51:18.

that you harvest some of the Remain voters, hand the victory to a

:51:19.:51:23.

pro-Brexit Conservative. If you want to stop exit in this region, you

:51:24.:51:30.

vote Labour. That is rubbish. You need to vote Liberal Democrat. We

:51:31.:51:35.

heard earlier this week, an MP saying this is an election Labour

:51:36.:51:40.

can't win. The Liberal Democrats do expect to win seat and we need them

:51:41.:51:42.

in order to percent opposition to in order to percent opposition to

:51:43.:51:49.

the Tories. Helen Goodman said this election is not going to be about

:51:50.:51:52.

who is Prime Minister or who is in government. It strikes me as

:51:53.:51:56.

something a lot of Labour MPs might do, to say this is a personal vote

:51:57.:52:01.

for me, your neighbour John Woodcock has already said he will not support

:52:02.:52:06.

Jeremy Corbyn. That is a bizarre message to go into this election

:52:07.:52:10.

with, isn't it? I am going into this election to win my seat again, and

:52:11.:52:14.

government because that is what we government because that is what we

:52:15.:52:19.

get into elections to do. We do welcome Jeremy Corbyn with open arms

:52:20.:52:23.

to your constituency? I will have to wait and see if he wants to come all

:52:24.:52:26.

this way up to the west Cumbria. I am happy to welcome anyone who wants

:52:27.:52:31.

to support me in this election. Will you put on your leaflet that you

:52:32.:52:35.

would like him to be the next by Minister? We are looking at what our

:52:36.:52:39.

leaflets will say at the moment, I can't say what will be on our

:52:40.:52:44.

leaflet and what won't be. There was a dispute about whether he is a

:52:45.:52:49.

liability on the doorstep, so was he a liability in a constituency like

:52:50.:52:54.

West Cumbria where the nuclear industry is so important? Jeremy

:52:55.:52:59.

Corbyn came up to Copeland, as did many other frontbenchers and what

:53:00.:53:04.

are we hard. It was a disappointing result, I cannot deny that.

:53:05.:53:11.

Anne-Marie Trevelyan, if Labour does manage to shift the election agenda

:53:12.:53:15.

away from Brexit, let's talk about the state of the health service,

:53:16.:53:19.

school funding, the fact that we might create jobs but pay has gone

:53:20.:53:22.

down, there could be more difficulties for your party. What

:53:23.:53:27.

worries me most is about issues regarding the defence of the nation

:53:28.:53:29.

and the fact that Jeremy Corbyn still can't decide how he would look

:53:30.:53:35.

after and use our Armed Forces. That sort of chaotic leadership is

:53:36.:53:43.

terrifying, and therefore there is... What about the NHS? We have a

:53:44.:53:49.

lot more nurses in the NHS than we had two years ago. We are moving in

:53:50.:53:57.

the right direction. We are getting older, complex medical needs will

:53:58.:54:00.

grow and we will need to increase the number of medical students

:54:01.:54:04.

coming into the system, but we are continually growing that bill. These

:54:05.:54:07.

are issues we must continue to talk about.

:54:08.:54:09.

Well, amidst all the excitement about the general election,

:54:10.:54:11.

it's easy to forget that there are also important local polls

:54:12.:54:14.

But frankly we aren't going to let you forget.

:54:15.:54:17.

But given this week's events, will they just be a barometer of how

:54:18.:54:21.

the General Election might go or will local issues be to the fore.

:54:22.:54:24.

Here's David Macmillan with a round-up of what's happening

:54:25.:54:26.

where, and what's at stake via the medium of ice cream.

:54:27.:54:29.

The red one, the blue one, the purple, orange or green one.

:54:30.:54:32.

It is a choice we will be making over the next two months.

:54:33.:54:38.

The local elections are always seen as an indicator of how the parties

:54:39.:54:43.

are doing nationally, but it is rare to have it in such

:54:44.:54:47.

sharp focus as it will be this year with the General Election

:54:48.:54:50.

They will tell us whether this northern Labour heartland

:54:51.:54:53.

is seriously flirting with the Conservatives.

:54:54.:54:59.

We have flirted with the switch from Labour to something else,

:55:00.:55:07.

we have elected monkeys, are we going to be prepared to move

:55:08.:55:10.

Here in County Durham, Labour are defending a big majority.

:55:11.:55:16.

In North Yorkshire, the Conservatives have

:55:17.:55:19.

Labour have run a minority administration in Northumberland,

:55:20.:55:23.

and in Cumbria they have been in coalition with

:55:24.:55:25.

There are two mayoral elections as well, in Labour

:55:26.:55:28.

held North Tyneside, and the new Tees Valley Metro Mayor.

:55:29.:55:31.

So what issues are on people's minds in County Durham as they prepare

:55:32.:55:34.

There is homelessness that needs tackling.

:55:35.:55:46.

The facilities are getting closed or undermined.

:55:47.:55:49.

And the dominant issue in recent years has been austerity.

:55:50.:55:52.

They are going to be judged on the very, very difficult

:55:53.:55:54.

decisions they have made about cutting wages

:55:55.:55:58.

for members of staff, closing very popular services,

:55:59.:56:03.

libraries, leisure centres, so people are going to be making

:56:04.:56:07.

that sort of local judgment on how well the councils have responded

:56:08.:56:10.

There's an array of delicious things to choose from here

:56:11.:56:16.

Whoever is leading our councils on May 5th will hope they have more

:56:17.:56:21.

palatable choices to make over the next four years than local

:56:22.:56:24.

authorities have faced over the last four.

:56:25.:56:34.

Anne-Marie Trevelyan, these council elections are being fought in the

:56:35.:56:41.

context of years of budget cuts, everyone accepts that, but

:56:42.:56:45.

particularly the budget cuts have been worse here, and people will be

:56:46.:56:50.

entitled to say it is a Conservative government that has ensured that

:56:51.:56:53.

north-east councils have suffered. We have changed the way funding is

:56:54.:56:57.

going, so business rates are coming to councils, and councils have been

:56:58.:57:01.

asked to look at doing a cover services, so Northumberland county

:57:02.:57:07.

council and so on are doing more at office services using taxpayers

:57:08.:57:10.

money as efficiently as possible. The last four years have been a tale

:57:11.:57:14.

of reduced budgets and councils have been forced into difficult

:57:15.:57:17.

decisions, and they come from cuts that have come from your government.

:57:18.:57:20.

I am afraid that across-the-board there were needs to make but cross

:57:21.:57:29.

the board. There is a question of raising business rates, and that is

:57:30.:57:32.

improving because the system in place is better and encourages the

:57:33.:57:36.

council to support business. The council is more proactive than

:57:37.:57:41.

before, the council is supporting the industry because they know they

:57:42.:57:44.

will seek money coming in. And there is an increase of the social care

:57:45.:57:52.

budget will stop. This will be another tough election for you, Sue

:57:53.:57:55.

Hayman potentially, because of those budget funding cuts have come from

:57:56.:57:59.

above are haps, Labour will get the blame for individual decisions

:58:00.:58:03.

because the perception is they could have done something different. In

:58:04.:58:07.

Cumbria, the Labour Party is in coalition with the Lib Dems, and we

:58:08.:58:12.

have had huge cuts to the local government and spending budgets in

:58:13.:58:15.

Cumbria. Anne-Marie Trevelyan talked about business rates, and that will

:58:16.:58:20.

be all we will be relying on seeing because the government is farming

:58:21.:58:28.

out support to local councils. Funding used to be done by need. You

:58:29.:58:35.

could apply for what you needed. Did you accept that Labour must take the

:58:36.:58:38.

blame for some of the decisions that have been taken in cutting services?

:58:39.:58:45.

The Labour Party and the Lib Dems worked together, they work a budget

:58:46.:58:48.

that will do the best they can with the existing funds for the local

:58:49.:58:53.

people of Cumbria. One of the things you have to accept is in a county

:58:54.:58:58.

like Cumbria, it costs a lot more to deliver services like social care,

:58:59.:59:01.

and that is not taken account of any more. We will talk to our guest

:59:02.:59:06.

again in a moment, but I did want to talk to the Green Party who says

:59:07.:59:07.

they offer a unique toys to voters. We are not left, we are not

:59:08.:59:11.

right, we are green. We are not tied to

:59:12.:59:14.

any fixed ideology. Whatever will reduce the impact

:59:15.:59:15.

of climate change and improve quality of life is what the Greens

:59:16.:59:18.

go with, and we prefer evidence based tried and tested policies,

:59:19.:59:21.

instead of knee jerk reactions. Jonathan Arnott, you were meant to

:59:22.:59:31.

be the main rivals for Labour in this region, but there are dozens of

:59:32.:59:36.

seats in the selection whether I know Ukip candidates. It is not the

:59:37.:59:42.

sign of a major party. I could sit here and I could make a lot of

:59:43.:59:46.

excuses, I could talk about our best ideas not being opened and so one,

:59:47.:59:51.

or whatever, but you are right, it is not good enough. That is honest,

:59:52.:59:57.

fair enough. Niall Hodson, even your party is struggling to build up

:59:58.:00:01.

enough support to field more candidates. Even though you are the

:00:02.:00:08.

second largest party. Durham is a difficult council. It is tricky and

:00:09.:00:16.

four us in the north-east, it is a matter of rebuilding, getting back

:00:17.:00:19.

to where we were pre-2013 particular. But we do have a lot of

:00:20.:00:24.

candidates up and we do hope to make steady gains across the elections.

:00:25.:00:28.

As we have been doing over the past couple of years. Jonathan are not,

:00:29.:00:33.

do you hope you will get seats on the council because there is no

:00:34.:00:36.

chance of you controlling any of them. Yes, I think we have a number

:00:37.:00:40.

of seats where we expect to do pretty well. Also, you mentioned

:00:41.:00:46.

Hartlepool earlier, we have got a by-election coming up that we have

:00:47.:00:50.

got some incredibly good responses coming back and we hope to do

:00:51.:00:54.

incredibly well in that. I would say that there are a couple of seats in

:00:55.:00:57.

the south-east and Northumberland where we think we could win. Thank

:00:58.:00:59.

you. I'm off to brush up

:01:00.:01:00.

on my majorities. Something I often do

:01:01.:01:03.

on a Sunday evening. Next Sunday we'll have a special

:01:04.:01:05.

debate between the candidates who want to be Tees Valley's

:01:06.:01:07.

first elected mayor. on issues like the NHS. Run out of

:01:08.:01:08.

time. Andrew, back to you. Now, Ukip have made their first

:01:09.:01:17.

significant policy announcement of the election campaign today

:01:18.:01:24.

with a call for a ban on wearing But is it a policy that will meet

:01:25.:01:29.

with the approval of the man who bankrolled the party's last

:01:30.:01:35.

general election campaign? Hello, Andrew. Let me see if I can

:01:36.:01:43.

clarify some things, are you a member of Ukip? I a patron of Ukip

:01:44.:01:48.

so I don't stop being a member. So you are still a member? I am,

:01:49.:01:53.

apparently for life. Are you still hoping to bankroll Ukip? Not at the

:01:54.:02:00.

moment. Why is that? The internal problems we have had in Ukip have

:02:01.:02:04.

been aired, and a lot needs to happen in the party in terms of

:02:05.:02:09.

professionalising it and I think it is ill-prepared for this general

:02:10.:02:13.

election. Are you going to run in Clacton? I will be if selected. For

:02:14.:02:22.

Ukip? Yes. Have you been to Clacton? I've been with Nigel Mansell on the

:02:23.:02:26.

campaign. You will run for a constituency you've only been in

:02:27.:02:29.

once? Yes, why does that surprise you? You know nothing about it. I've

:02:30.:02:35.

just recently decided to become the candidate there. Did you know where

:02:36.:02:40.

it is? Of course I do, your piece the other night was completely

:02:41.:02:43.

wrong. I said I knew where it was but I didn't know much about it.

:02:44.:02:48.

Maybe the people of Clacton will regard you as a carpetbagger? Why?

:02:49.:02:57.

Because you have never been there. Most politicians are carpetbaggers

:02:58.:03:01.

and I will be there for the right reasons. I thought it was because of

:03:02.:03:06.

your visceral hatred of Douglas Carswell. He only lasted 24 hours

:03:07.:03:10.

after I announced my candidacy so we will see what happens. The main

:03:11.:03:13.

thing I am going to Clacton on Monday to meet the Ukip councillors,

:03:14.:03:17.

see what the issues are and see if they want me as a candidate. They

:03:18.:03:21.

may not want me. Who do you think you will be up against? The

:03:22.:03:27.

potential Conservative candidate. Who in Ukip? I don't suppose anyone

:03:28.:03:32.

in Ukip will stand against me, I wouldn't have thought. Really? I

:03:33.:03:40.

would have thought. Money talks! Why do you say that? You talked about

:03:41.:03:45.

having a pirate radio station to blast into Clacton so it is not

:03:46.:03:48.

covered by the election rules. You've been talking about financing

:03:49.:03:52.

a sort of right-wing Momentum movement. I just wonder, has

:03:53.:03:58.

politics now just become a Richmond's hobby? From my

:03:59.:04:01.

perspective the reason I'm interested in it is if you have

:04:02.:04:05.

looked at what has happened in the country, it's clear the

:04:06.:04:06.

Conservatives will have a massive majority. -- has politics become a

:04:07.:04:15.

rich man's hobby. Only putting up candidates not against Brexit MPs.

:04:16.:04:21.

Is Ukip over? I don't think so. The electoral maths is interesting

:04:22.:04:24.

because first-past-the-post effectively could help Ukip in this

:04:25.:04:34.

example. Ukip got one MP with 4 million votes. What we are seeing is

:04:35.:04:38.

the total collapse of Labour. In that situation there are certain

:04:39.:04:41.

seats up north in Hartlepool and other seats like that, the total

:04:42.:04:44.

collapse of the Labour Party could help Ukip to win a few seats. Is

:04:45.:04:50.

Ukip over? It looks that way, yes. They haven't made much of a dent in

:04:51.:04:54.

Labour's vote in the north, they don't really have a defining issue

:04:55.:04:57.

anymore and all the polls we have seen published since the election

:04:58.:05:02.

was called show Ukip vote is going to the Conservatives. Is Ukip over?

:05:03.:05:07.

It always happens when the Conservative Party goes far to the

:05:08.:05:11.

right, really hard Brexit, there is no space for BMP, Ukip and all of

:05:12.:05:16.

that. Are you associating the BNP with Ukip? Or that, movements to the

:05:17.:05:21.

right of the Conservatives get eaten up one the Conservatives move as far

:05:22.:05:26.

right as Theresa May has done. I think what your enterprise shows is

:05:27.:05:31.

how it's really time to reform funding of political parties. It is

:05:32.:05:34.

disgraceful that very rich people can move in and bankroll the Brexit

:05:35.:05:39.

campaigned to the extent that they did. We need proper state funding of

:05:40.:05:46.

parties. The union is bankrolling Labour. I assume the reform would

:05:47.:05:54.

include trade unions? Indeed. Ukip has lost its talisman in Nigel

:05:55.:05:57.

Farage, it was a one-man party, I have to say, people like Tim. Having

:05:58.:06:02.

voted for Brexit its reason to be has gone. It will still take votes

:06:03.:06:06.

from Labour and the Conservatives but probably only from the don't

:06:07.:06:10.

knows. There are seats in certain places where if enough Tories back

:06:11.:06:14.

Ukip dated when. Hartlepool is an example. Were the Tories will never

:06:15.:06:20.

win. The demise of Ukip has been forecasted many times before but I

:06:21.:06:23.

don't see a Tory candidate winning in a place like Hartlepool. So we

:06:24.:06:27.

could see, and I think we will see, the total collapse of the Labour

:06:28.:06:32.

vote. We shall see. The leader of the party of which you say you are

:06:33.:06:35.

still a patron, Paul Nuttall, said he would ban the Burcea and the

:06:36.:06:41.

niqab in public, what is your view? -- the niqab and the Burcea? I'm not

:06:42.:06:48.

in agreement with that. If it is a security issue at airports or public

:06:49.:06:52.

transport it could be acceptable but I'm not in favour of curtailing

:06:53.:06:56.

people's writes. You have gone further than him, haven't you? You

:06:57.:07:01.

tweeted you wanted to ban Muslim immigration. In my view the problem

:07:02.:07:04.

we have had with the lack of integration in certain communities

:07:05.:07:07.

has come about through mass open-door immigration. If you are a

:07:08.:07:12.

must win you wouldn't be allowed in? What I said in the tweet was I think

:07:13.:07:18.

they should be a ban on immigration... You said Muslim

:07:19.:07:24.

immigration. That's what I believe. If you are a world famous doctor

:07:25.:07:26.

coming to help one of our big teaching hospitals in this country

:07:27.:07:30.

because you are a Muslim you could not get in? We have to start

:07:31.:07:33.

somewhere, there are huge problems in areas where 20% of the population

:07:34.:07:36.

don't speak the language, they haven't integrated. You should read

:07:37.:07:42.

the rest of the tweet, it is control of immigration from a 10-year ban on

:07:43.:07:47.

unskilled immigration. The first thing you said was to ban Muslim

:07:48.:07:51.

immigration, it is in black and white. I have said that, I do not

:07:52.:07:55.

dispute that. I was questioning that. There is my answer, you cannot

:07:56.:07:59.

tell somebody's will adjust freedoms but what you can do is stop adding

:08:00.:08:03.

to the problem. Doesn't that sound a bit like the BNP? It's as like BNP

:08:04.:08:08.

and like Trump. Its, we hate Muslims, fine, if that is what you

:08:09.:08:12.

are standing for, that is clear. The final word is we have had open-door

:08:13.:08:17.

mass immigration from the Conservative Party, we've had it

:08:18.:08:20.

from the Labour Party and its fine if you are in north London to say

:08:21.:08:24.

these things, if you live in Oldham and your community has been

:08:25.:08:27.

radically changed and you have a whole population not integrating in,

:08:28.:08:30.

not speaking the language, something has got to be done. We had better

:08:31.:08:34.

leave it there. Thank you for coming in. I am en route to Clacton. We

:08:35.:08:37.

will see how you get on there. Now, Lib Dem leader Tim Farron

:08:38.:08:39.

was on TV earlier today and he was asked again

:08:40.:08:42.

about an issue that he's been asked about repeatedly -

:08:43.:08:45.

his attitude to homosexuality. when they asked you whether gay sex

:08:46.:08:47.

was a sin. Come on, Robert, I've been

:08:48.:08:57.

asked this question loads few days and I have been clear,

:08:58.:08:59.

even in the House of Commons, It's possible I'm not the only

:09:00.:09:03.

person getting tired Probably, but then why don't

:09:04.:09:13.

you just close it down? Toby Young, why does he get into

:09:14.:09:26.

such a mess over this? I mean, he is leader of the Liberal Democrats. Its

:09:27.:09:31.

2017. I guess the reason he keeps refusing to answer that question is

:09:32.:09:34.

because what the implication is that he does think that homosexual acts

:09:35.:09:41.

are sinful, and he cannot bring himself not to say that, or to say

:09:42.:09:45.

what Robert Peston and others want him to say because he is an

:09:46.:09:48.

evangelical Christian who converted at the age of 20, 21, and clearly he

:09:49.:09:53.

really struggles with this issue and I think it will be really difficult

:09:54.:09:57.

for the Lib Dems to promote, or even Lib Dem candidates like Vince Cable,

:09:58.:10:01.

to promote the idea of the Progressive Alliance even though Tim

:10:02.:10:04.

has ruled it out, if he is not prepared to say I don't think

:10:05.:10:13.

homosexual acts are sinful. What is your view? It is disastrous if that

:10:14.:10:16.

is what he really thinks but Preston did not push the hard. I'm not sure

:10:17.:10:19.

he understood the difference about the question between gay sex and

:10:20.:10:21.

being gay. I think he just thought he was going on saying I'm not

:10:22.:10:25.

anti-gay. He needs to command immediately and clarify it. If you

:10:26.:10:29.

are right and he does actually think it is a sin he is in real trouble.

:10:30.:10:33.

There is a slight parallel with what police said before about Jeremy

:10:34.:10:38.

Corbyn, how his unilateral nuclear policy would appeal to the hard core

:10:39.:10:42.

of the left. The problem for Tim Farron with what he is saying here,

:10:43.:10:47.

while he is an evangelical Christian, this will not appeal to

:10:48.:10:55.

traditional Liberal Democrats. An LGBT community member cannot

:10:56.:10:58.

possibly vote for an MP who believes that a sexual act between

:10:59.:11:02.

homosexuals is sinful. He has not made that clear. Of course, he wants

:11:03.:11:06.

to stop Brexit as well so he is neither liberal nor democratic. He

:11:07.:11:10.

will have seven weeks to make it clear because I am sure he will be

:11:11.:11:14.

asked again. We have the chairman of the Conservative Party on earlier,

:11:15.:11:18.

Polly. An important figure for the Tory campaign. What did you make of

:11:19.:11:22.

what he said? I don't think he will have him on very often, he didn't do

:11:23.:11:27.

brilliantly. I think they will bring back chemical Ali, Michael Fallon,

:11:28.:11:30.

he can say anything with a straight face, he can say black is white.

:11:31.:11:37.

Michael Fallon, chemical Ali? Why do you say that? He can absolutely say

:11:38.:11:42.

black is white. For instance if you look back at what he said, you

:11:43.:11:48.

challenged him about the energy policy, when Ed Miliband came out

:11:49.:11:53.

with it, he said any kind of freeze would stop investment, the lights

:11:54.:11:58.

will go out. You have him on, he will say the exact opposite. He is

:11:59.:12:03.

magic at that. But I don't think your guy today was up to the job. If

:12:04.:12:07.

Michael Fallon was chemical Ali, or we should say chemical Fally,

:12:08.:12:16.

Patrick was more like comical Ali. The whole Iraq war is rushing back

:12:17.:12:21.

at me. He is the warm up comedian, there is another six weeks to go,

:12:22.:12:24.

just getting things started. What did you think? I don't think he was

:12:25.:12:29.

too bad, it was difficult for him to say exactly what was in the 2050

:12:30.:12:33.

manifesto is going to be replicated in the Conservatives' manifesto

:12:34.:12:37.

during this general election, he doesn't want to be seen rowing back

:12:38.:12:40.

on stuff but on the other hand I don't think he can conceal the fact

:12:41.:12:44.

they will be far fewer commitments in this Conservative manifesto than

:12:45.:12:48.

in the last one, as you and I know, it was full of rash promises last

:12:49.:12:51.

time because they thought they would have to trade a lot of them away in

:12:52.:12:59.

the negotiations with the Liberal Democrats to form a second coalition

:13:00.:13:02.

so they are saddled with policies they don't particularly want to be

:13:03.:13:04.

hemmed in by. The forthcoming Conservative manifesto will be much

:13:05.:13:06.

lighter and shorter with fewer commitments. Different? Some stuff

:13:07.:13:10.

jumped from the 2050 manifesto? I think so but we will see a

:13:11.:13:13.

commitment to run schools to overcome that hurdle in the next

:13:14.:13:16.

parliament and I don't think, in spite of what you think, Polly, that

:13:17.:13:20.

it will be a hard tack to the right. I think if anything the mood music

:13:21.:13:23.

of the Conservative manifesto will be a centrist inclusive one. The

:13:24.:13:29.

mood music will be because the specifics would be there. She is

:13:30.:13:33.

good at saying governing for everybody and the many and not the

:13:34.:13:36.

few but when you look at the hard facts of what her and Hammond's

:13:37.:13:41.

budget looks like, you look at her hard Brexit, it's a very different

:13:42.:13:44.

story. Or that, the music has stopped for this week! Thank you. I

:13:45.:13:52.

will be back next week at the normal time of 11am on Sunday morning. On

:13:53.:13:58.

BBC One The Daily Politics is back at midday tomorrow and we will be on

:13:59.:14:03.

every day next week on BBC Two. Remember, if it's Sunday, it is The

:14:04.:14:05.

Sunday Politics. There'll be a couple of hours of

:14:06.:14:34.

just fantastic music, really, all the Ella classics, as well as

:14:35.:14:37.

some very special guests, we have Mica Paris, Imelda May,

:14:38.:14:40.

Dame Cleo Laine 'There's a side to Rory that the

:14:41.:14:43.

public doesn't see. 'Rory has suspected for some time

:14:44.:14:48.

that he may have ADHD. Here we have the first hydrogen bomb

:14:49.:14:52.

that went into service with

:14:53.:15:01.

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