21/05/2017 Sunday Politics North East and Cumbria


21/05/2017

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It's Sunday Morning, and this is the Sunday Politics.

:00:28.:00:32.

Labour attacks Conservative plans for social care and to means-test

:00:33.:00:34.

So can Jeremy Corbyn eat into the Tory lead

:00:35.:00:38.

Theresa May says her party's manifesto is all about fairness.

:00:39.:00:43.

We'll be speaking to a Conservative cabinet minister about the plans.

:00:44.:00:48.

The polls have always shown healthy leads for the Conservatives.

:00:49.:00:51.

But, now we've seen the manifestos, is Labour narrowing the gap?

:00:52.:00:56.

Here: We ask the Chancellor what's in the Conservative

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And are grammar schools the best way of improving our

:01:00.:01:02.

And with me - as always - the best and the brightest political

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panel in the business: Sam Coates, Isabel Oakeshott

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and Steve Richards - they'll be tweeting throughout

:01:18.:01:19.

the programme, and you can get involved by using

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Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn says pensioners will be up to ?330 a year

:01:22.:01:30.

worse off under plans outlined in the Conservative manifesto.

:01:31.:01:42.

The Work Pensions Secretary Damian Green has said his party will not

:01:43.:01:48.

rethink their plans to fund social care in England. Under the plans in

:01:49.:01:52.

the Conservative manifesto, nobody with assets of less than ?100,000,

:01:53.:01:58.

would have to pay for care. Labour has attacked the proposal, and John

:01:59.:02:03.

McDonnell, Labour's Shadow Chancellor, said this morning that

:02:04.:02:06.

there needs to be more cross-party consensus.

:02:07.:02:10.

That's why we supported Dilnot, but we also supported

:02:11.:02:12.

Because we've got to have something sustainable over generations,

:02:13.:02:15.

so that's why we've said to the Conservative Party,

:02:16.:02:17.

Let's go back to that cross-party approach that actually

:02:18.:02:20.

I just feel we've all been let down by what's come

:02:21.:02:24.

Sam, is Labour beginning to get their argument across? What we had

:02:25.:02:35.

last week was bluntly what felt like not very Lynton Crosby approved

:02:36.:02:39.

Conservative manifesto. What I mean by that is that it looks like there

:02:40.:02:43.

are things that will cause political difficulties for the party over this

:02:44.:02:47.

campaign. I've been talking to MPs and ministers who acknowledge that

:02:48.:02:52.

the social care plan is coming up on the doorstep. It has cut through

:02:53.:02:58.

very quickly, and it is worrying and deterring some voters. Not just

:02:59.:03:01.

pensioners, that people who are looking to inherit in the future.

:03:02.:03:13.

They are all asking how much they could lose that they wouldn't have

:03:14.:03:15.

lost before. A difficult question for the party to answer, given that

:03:16.:03:18.

they don't want to give too much away now. Was this a mistake, or a

:03:19.:03:23.

sign of the Conservatives' confidence? It has the hallmarks of

:03:24.:03:30.

something that has been cobbled together in a very unnaturally short

:03:31.:03:34.

time frame for putting a manifesto together. We have had mixed messages

:03:35.:03:39.

from the Tory MPs who have been out on the airwaves this morning as to

:03:40.:03:43.

whether they will consult on it whether it is just a starting point.

:03:44.:03:48.

That said, there is still three weeks to go, and most of the Tory

:03:49.:03:54.

party this morning feel this is a little light turbulence rather than

:03:55.:03:58.

anything that leaves the destination of victory in doubt. It it flips the

:03:59.:04:02.

normal politics. The Tories are going to make people who have a

:04:03.:04:06.

reasonable amount of assets pay for their social care. What is wrong

:04:07.:04:13.

with that? First, total credit for them for not pretending that all

:04:14.:04:16.

this can be done by magic, which is what normally happens in an

:04:17.:04:20.

election. The party will say, we will review this for the 95th time

:04:21.:04:25.

in the following Parliament, so they have no mandate to do anything and

:04:26.:04:30.

so do not do anything. It is courageous to do it. It is

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electorally risky, for the reasons that you suggest, that they pass the

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target their own natural supporter. And there is a sense that this is

:04:40.:04:46.

rushed through, in the frenzy to get it done in time. I think the ending

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of the pooling of risk and putting the entire burden on in inverted

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commas the victim, because you cannot insure Fritz, is against the

:04:57.:05:05.

spirit of a lot of the rest of the manifesto, and will give them huge

:05:06.:05:08.

problems if they try to implement it in the next Parliament. Let's have a

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look at the polls. Nearly five weeks ago, on Tuesday the 18th of April,

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Theresa May called the election. At that point, this was the median

:05:22.:05:27.

average of the recent polls. The Conservatives had an 18 point lead

:05:28.:05:32.

over Labour on 25%. Ukip and the Liberal Democrats were both on 18%.

:05:33.:05:41.

A draft of Labour's manifesto was leaked to the press. In the

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intervening weeks, support for the Conservatives and Labour had

:05:47.:05:49.

increased, that it had decreased for the Lib Dems and Ukip. Last Tuesday

:05:50.:05:54.

came the launch of the official Labour manifesto. By that time,

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Labour support had gone up by another 2%. The Lib Dems and Ukip

:06:01.:06:06.

had slipped back slightly. Later in the week came the manifestos from

:06:07.:06:10.

the Lib Dems and the Conservatives. This morning, for more polls. This

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is how the parties currently stand on average. Labour are now on 34%,

:06:16.:06:22.

up 4% since the launch of their manifesto. The Conservatives are

:06:23.:06:27.

down two points since last Tuesday. Ukip and the Lib Dems are both

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unchanged on 8% and 5%. You can find this poll tracker on the BBC

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website, see how it was calculated, and see the results of national

:06:40.:06:44.

polls over the last two years. So Isabel, is this the Tories' wobbly

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weekend or the start of the narrowing? This is still an

:06:48.:06:52.

extremely healthy lead for the Tories. At the start of this

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campaign, most commentators expected to things to happen. First, the Lib

:07:00.:07:04.

Dems would have a significant surge. That hasn't happened. Second, Labour

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would crash and plummet. Instead they are in the health of the low

:07:11.:07:14.

30s. I wonder if that tells you something about the tribal nature of

:07:15.:07:21.

the Labour vote, and the continuing problems with the Tory brand. I

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would say that a lot of Tory MPs wouldn't be too unhappy if Labour's

:07:26.:07:31.

result isn't quite as bad as has been anticipated. They don't want

:07:32.:07:37.

Corbyn to go anywhere. If the latest polls were to be the result on June

:07:38.:07:44.

the 8th, Mr Corbyn may not be in a rush to go anywhere. I still think

:07:45.:07:49.

it depends on the number of seats. If there is a landslide win, I

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think, one way or another, he will not stay. If it is much narrower, he

:07:55.:07:59.

has grounds for arguing he has done better than anticipated. The polls

:08:00.:08:05.

are very interesting. People compare this with 83. In 83, the Tory lead

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widened consistently throughout the campaign. There was the SDP -

:08:11.:08:23.

Liberal Alliance doing well in the polls. Here, the Lib Dems don't seem

:08:24.:08:25.

to be doing that. So the parallels with 83 don't really stack up. But

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let's see what happens. Still early days for the a lot of people are

:08:29.:08:31.

saying this is the result of the social care policy. We don't really

:08:32.:08:36.

know that. How do you beat them? In the last week or so, there's been

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the decision by some to hold their nose and vote Labour, who haven't

:08:40.:08:45.

done so before. Probably the biggest thing in this election is how the

:08:46.:08:49.

Right has reunited behind Theresa May. That figure for Ukip is

:08:50.:08:56.

incredibly small. She has brought those Ukip voters behind her, and

:08:57.:09:01.

that could be the decisive factor in many seats, rather than the Labour

:09:02.:09:06.

share of the boat picking up a bit or down a bit, depending on how

:09:07.:09:10.

turbulent the Tory manifesto makes it. Thank you for that.

:09:11.:09:14.

We've finally got our hands on the manifestos of the two main

:09:15.:09:17.

parties and, for once, voters can hardly complain that

:09:18.:09:19.

So, just how big is the choice on offer to the public?

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Since the Liberal Democrats and SNP have ruled out

:09:24.:09:25.

coalitions after June 8th, Adam Fleming compares the Labour

:09:26.:09:27.

Welcome to the BBC's election centre.

:09:28.:09:30.

Four minutes from now, when Big Ben strikes 10.00,

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we can legally reveal the contents of this, our exit poll.

:09:34.:09:38.

18 days to go, and the BBC's election night studio

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This is where David Dimbleby will sit, although there is no chair yet.

:09:41.:09:50.

The parties' policies are now the finished product.

:09:51.:09:53.

In Bradford, Jeremy Corbyn vowed a bigger state,

:09:54.:09:56.

the end of austerity, no more tuition fees.

:09:57.:09:59.

The Tory campaign, by contrast, is built on one word - fear.

:10:00.:10:07.

Down the road in Halifax, Theresa May kept a promise to get

:10:08.:10:15.

immigration down to the tens of thousands, and talked

:10:16.:10:17.

of leadership and tough choices in uncertain times.

:10:18.:10:21.

Strengthen my hand as I fight for Britain, and stand with me

:10:22.:10:27.

And, with confidence in ourselves and a unity

:10:28.:10:33.

of purpose in our country, let us go forward together.

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Let's look at the Labour and Conservative

:10:41.:10:44.

On tax, Labour would introduce a 50p rate for top earners.

:10:45.:10:50.

The Conservatives ditched their triple lock, giving them

:10:51.:11:14.

freedom to put up income tax and national insurance,

:11:15.:11:16.

although they want to keep the overall tax burden the same.

:11:17.:11:18.

Labour offered a major overhaul of the country's wiring,

:11:19.:11:20.

with a pledge to renationalise infrastructure, like power,

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The Conservatives said that would cost a fortune,

:11:23.:11:25.

but provided few details for the cost of their policies.

:11:26.:11:28.

Labour have simply become a shambles, and, as yesterday's

:11:29.:11:30.

manifesto showed, their numbers simply do not add up.

:11:31.:11:32.

What have they got planned for health and social care?

:11:33.:11:34.

The Conservatives offered more cash for the NHS,

:11:35.:11:38.

reaching an extra ?8 billion a year by the end of the parliament.

:11:39.:11:42.

Labour promised an extra ?30 billion over the course of the same period,

:11:43.:11:46.

plus free hospital parking and more pay for staff.

:11:47.:11:52.

The Conservatives would increase the value of assets you could

:11:53.:11:59.

protect from the cost of social care to ?100,000, but your home would be

:12:00.:12:02.

added to the assessment of your wealth,

:12:03.:12:04.

There was a focus on one group of voters in particular

:12:05.:12:08.

Labour would keep the triple lock, which guarantees that pensions go up

:12:09.:12:13.

The Tories would keep the increase in line

:12:14.:12:19.

with inflation or earnings, a double lock.

:12:20.:12:22.

The Conservatives would end of winter fuel payments

:12:23.:12:25.

for the richest, although we don't know exactly who that would be,

:12:26.:12:28.

This is a savage attack on vulnerable pensioners,

:12:29.:12:37.

particularly those who are just about managing.

:12:38.:12:41.

It is disgraceful, and we are calling upon the Conservative Party

:12:42.:12:45.

When it comes to leaving the European Union, Labour say

:12:46.:12:51.

they'd sweep away the government's negotiating strategy,

:12:52.:12:54.

secure a better deal and straightaway guaranteed the rights

:12:55.:12:57.

The Tories say a big majority would remove political uncertainty

:12:58.:13:03.

Jeremy Vine's due here in two and a half weeks.

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I'm joined now by David Gauke, who is Chief Secretary to the Treasury.

:13:16.:13:21.

Welcome back to the programme. The Tories once promised a cap on social

:13:22.:13:28.

care costs. Why have you abandoned that? We've looked at it, and there

:13:29.:13:36.

are couple of proposals with the Dilnot proposal. Much of the benefit

:13:37.:13:41.

would go to those inheriting larger estates. The second point was it was

:13:42.:13:45.

hoped that a cap would stimulate the larger insurance products that would

:13:46.:13:50.

fill the gap, but there is no sign that those products are emerging.

:13:51.:13:56.

Without a cap, you will not get one. We have come forward with a new

:13:57.:14:01.

proposal which we think is fairer, provide more money for social care,

:14:02.:14:05.

which is very important and is one of the big issues we face as a

:14:06.:14:10.

country. It is right that we face those big issues. Social care is

:14:11.:14:15.

one, getting a good Brexit deal is another. This demonstrates that

:14:16.:14:23.

Theresa May has an ambition to lead a government that addresses those

:14:24.:14:25.

big long-term issues. Looking at social care. If you have assets,

:14:26.:14:31.

including your home, of over ?100,000, you have to pay for all

:14:32.:14:35.

your social care costs. Is that fair? It is right that for the

:14:36.:14:39.

services that are provided to you, that that is paid out of your

:14:40.:14:45.

assets, subject to two really important qualifications. First, you

:14:46.:14:49.

shouldn't have your entire estate wiped out. At the moment, if you are

:14:50.:14:56.

in residential care, it can be wiped out ?223,000. If you are in

:14:57.:15:02.

domiciliary care, it can be out to ?23,000, plus you're domiciliary.

:15:03.:15:08.

Nobody should be forced to sell their house in their lifetime if

:15:09.:15:13.

they or their spouse needs long-term care. Again, we have protected that

:15:14.:15:15.

in the proposals we set out. But the state will basically take a

:15:16.:15:25.

chunk of your house when you die and they sell. In an essence it is a

:15:26.:15:30.

stealth inheritance tax on everything above ?100,000. But we

:15:31.:15:33.

have those two important protections. I am including that. It

:15:34.:15:37.

is a stealth inheritance tax. We have to face up to the fact that

:15:38.:15:42.

there are significant costs that we face as a country in terms of health

:15:43.:15:46.

and social careful. Traditionally, politicians don't address those

:15:47.:15:51.

issues, particularly during election campaigns. I think it is too Theresa

:15:52.:15:56.

May's credit that we are being straightforward with the British

:15:57.:16:00.

people and saying that we face this long-term challenge. Our manifesto

:16:01.:16:02.

was about the big challenges that we face, one of which was

:16:03.:16:07.

intergenerational fairness and one of which was delivering a strong

:16:08.:16:11.

economy and making sure that we can do that. But in the end, someone is

:16:12.:16:17.

going to have to pay for this. It is going to have to be a balance

:16:18.:16:21.

between the general taxpayer and those receiving the services. We

:16:22.:16:24.

think we have struck the right balance with this proposal. But it

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is entirely on the individual. People watching this programme, if

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they have a fair amount of assets, not massive, including the home,

:16:33.:16:38.

they will need to pay for everything themselves until their assets are

:16:39.:16:43.

reduced to ?100,000. It is not a balance, you're putting everything

:16:44.:16:48.

on the original two individual. At the moment, for those in residential

:16:49.:16:53.

care, they have to pay everything until 20 3000. -- everything on the

:16:54.:16:58.

individual. But now they will face more. Those in individual care are

:16:59.:17:02.

seeing their protection going up by four times as much, so that is

:17:03.:17:05.

eliminating unfairness. Why should those in residential care be in a

:17:06.:17:10.

worse position than those receiving domiciliary care? But as I say, that

:17:11.:17:15.

money has to come from somewhere and we are sitting at a proper plan for

:17:16.:17:18.

it. While also made the point that we are more likely to be able to

:17:19.:17:22.

have a properly functioning social care market if we have a strong

:17:23.:17:26.

economy, and to have a strong economy we need to deliver a good

:17:27.:17:30.

deal on Brexit and I think Theresa May is capable of doing that. You

:17:31.:17:34.

have said that before. But if you have a heart attack in old age, the

:17:35.:17:39.

NHS will take care of you. If you have dementia, you now have to pay

:17:40.:17:43.

for the care of yourself. Is that they are? It is already the case

:17:44.:17:47.

that if you have long-term care costs come up as I say, if you are

:17:48.:17:51.

in residential care you pay for all of it until the last ?23,000, but if

:17:52.:17:57.

you are in domiciliary care, excluding your housing assets, but

:17:58.:18:01.

all of your other assets get used up until you are down to ?23,000 a

:18:02.:18:06.

year. And I think it is right at this point that a party that aspires

:18:07.:18:14.

to run this country for the long-term, to address the long-term

:18:15.:18:17.

challenges we have is a country, for us to be clear that we need to

:18:18.:18:21.

deliver this. Because if it is not paid for it this way, if it goes and

:18:22.:18:28.

falls on the general taxpayer, the people who feel hard pressed by the

:18:29.:18:32.

amount of income tax and VAT they pay, frankly we have to say to them,

:18:33.:18:36.

those taxes will go up if we do not address it. But they might go up

:18:37.:18:40.

anyway. The average house price in your part of the country is just shy

:18:41.:18:46.

of ?430,000, so if you told your own constituents that they might have to

:18:47.:18:50.

spend ?300,000 of their assets on social care before the state steps

:18:51.:18:55.

in to help...? As I said earlier, nobody will be forced to pay during

:18:56.:19:00.

their lifetime. Nobody will be forced to sell their houses. We are

:19:01.:19:06.

providing that protection because of the third premium. Which makes it a

:19:07.:19:11.

kind of death tax, doesn't it? Which is what you use to rail against.

:19:12.:19:16.

What it is people paying for the services they have paid out of their

:19:17.:19:21.

assets. But with that very important protection that nobody is going to

:19:22.:19:24.

be wiped out in the way that has happened up until now, down to the

:19:25.:19:30.

last three years. But when Labour propose this, George Osborne called

:19:31.:19:33.

it a death tax and you are now proposing a stealth death tax

:19:34.:19:38.

inheritance tax. Labour's proposals were very different. It is the same

:19:39.:19:44.

effect. Labour's were hitting everyone with an inheritance tax. We

:19:45.:19:51.

are saying that there are -- that there is a state contribution but

:19:52.:19:53.

the public receiving the services will have to pay for it out of

:19:54.:20:00.

assets, which have grown substantially. And which they might

:20:01.:20:03.

now lose to social care. But I would say that people in Hertfordshire pay

:20:04.:20:08.

a lot in income tracks, national insurance and VAT, and this is my

:20:09.:20:13.

bet is going to have to come from somewhere. Well, they are now going

:20:14.:20:17.

to pay a lot of tax and pay for social care. Turning to immigration,

:20:18.:20:22.

you promised to get net migration down to 100,020 ten. You failed. You

:20:23.:20:26.

promised again in 2015 and you are feeling again. Why should voters

:20:27.:20:31.

trust you a third time? It is very clear that only the Conservative

:20:32.:20:35.

Party has an ambition to control immigration and to bring it down. An

:20:36.:20:40.

ambition you have failed to deliver. There are, of course, factors that

:20:41.:20:44.

come into play. For example a couple of years ago we were going through a

:20:45.:20:48.

period when the UK was creating huge numbers of jobs but none of our

:20:49.:20:51.

European neighbours were doing anything like it. Not surprisingly,

:20:52.:20:54.

that feeds through into the immigration numbers that we see. But

:20:55.:21:02.

it is right that we have that ambition because I do not believe it

:21:03.:21:07.

is sustainable to have hundreds of thousands net migration, you're

:21:08.:21:11.

after year after year, and only Theresa May of the Conservative

:21:12.:21:14.

Party is willing to address that. It has gone from being a target to an

:21:15.:21:19.

ambition, and I am pretty sure in a couple of years it will become an

:21:20.:21:23.

untimed aspiration. Is net migration now higher or lower than when you

:21:24.:21:28.

came to power in 2010? I think it is higher at the moment. Let's look at

:21:29.:21:33.

the figures. And there they are. You are right, it is higher, so after

:21:34.:21:38.

six years in power, promising to get it down to 100,000, it is higher. So

:21:39.:21:46.

if that is an ambition and you have not succeeded. We have to accept

:21:47.:21:49.

that there are a number of factors. It continues to be the case that the

:21:50.:21:54.

UK economy is growing and creating a lot of jobs, which is undoubtedly

:21:55.:21:58.

drawing people. But you made the promise on the basis that would not

:21:59.:22:02.

happen? We are certainly outperforming other countries in a

:22:03.:22:04.

way that we could not have predicted in 2010. That is one of the factors.

:22:05.:22:10.

But if you look at a lot of the steps that we have taken over the

:22:11.:22:12.

course of the last seven years, dealing with bogus students, for

:22:13.:22:19.

example, tightening up a lot of the rules. You can say all that but it

:22:20.:22:22.

has made no difference to the headline figure. Clearly it would

:22:23.:22:26.

have gone up by much more and we not taken the steps. But as I say, we

:22:27.:22:31.

cannot for ever, it seems to me, have net migration numbers in the

:22:32.:22:36.

hundreds of thousands. If we get that good Brexit deal, one of the

:22:37.:22:41.

things we can do is tighten up in terms of access here. You say that

:22:42.:22:46.

but you have always had control of non-EU migration. You cannot blame

:22:47.:22:50.

the EU for that. You control immigration from outside the EU.

:22:51.:22:53.

Have you ever managed to get even that below 100,000? Well, no doubt

:22:54.:23:00.

you will present the numbers now. You haven't. You have got down a bit

:23:01.:23:05.

from 2010, I will give you that, but even non-EU migration is still a lot

:23:06.:23:10.

more than 100000 and that is the thing you control. It is 164,000 on

:23:11.:23:14.

the latest figures. There is no point in saying to the voters that

:23:15.:23:18.

when we get control of the EU migration you will get it down when

:23:19.:23:21.

the bit you have control over, you have failed to get that down into

:23:22.:23:27.

the tens of thousands. The general trend has gone up. Non-EU migration

:23:28.:23:31.

we have brought down over the last few years. Not by much, not by

:23:32.:23:36.

anywhere near your 100,000 target. But we clearly have more tools

:23:37.:23:42.

available to us, following Brexit. At this rate it will be around 2030

:23:43.:23:46.

before you get non-EU migration down to 100,000. We clearly have more

:23:47.:23:50.

tools available to us and I return to the point I made. In the last six

:23:51.:23:54.

or seven years, particularly the last four or five, we have seen the

:23:55.:23:58.

UK jobs market growing substantially. It is extraordinary

:23:59.:24:02.

how many more jobs we have. So you'll only promised the migration

:24:03.:24:05.

target because you did not think you were going to run the economy well?

:24:06.:24:09.

That is what you are telling me. I don't think anyone expected us to

:24:10.:24:12.

create quite a number of jobs that we have done over the last six or

:24:13.:24:17.

seven years. At the time when other European countries have not been.

:24:18.:24:20.

George Osborne says your target is economically illiterate. I disagree

:24:21.:24:26.

with George on that. He is my old boss but I disagree with him on that

:24:27.:24:33.

point. And the reason I say that is looking at the economics and the

:24:34.:24:36.

wider social impact, I don't think it is sustainable for us to have

:24:37.:24:41.

hundreds of thousands, year after year after year. Let me ask you one

:24:42.:24:45.

other thing because you are the chief secretary. Your promising that

:24:46.:24:49.

spending on health will be ?8 billion higher in five use time than

:24:50.:24:53.

it is now. How do you pay for that? From a strong economy, two years ago

:24:54.:24:56.

we had a similar conversation because at that point we said that

:24:57.:25:02.

we would increase spending by ?8 billion. And we are more than on

:25:03.:25:07.

track to deliver it, because it is a priority area for us. Where will the

:25:08.:25:11.

money come from? It will be a priority area for us. We will find

:25:12.:25:15.

the money. So you have not been able to show us a revenue line where this

:25:16.:25:21.

?8 billion will come from. We have a record of making promises to spend

:25:22.:25:25.

more on the NHS and delivering. One thing I would say is that the only

:25:26.:25:29.

way you can spend more money on the NHS is if you have a strong economy,

:25:30.:25:35.

and the biggest risk... But that is true of anything. I am trying to

:25:36.:25:38.

find out where the ?8 billion come from, where will it come from? Know

:25:39.:25:42.

you were saying that perhaps you might increase taxes, ticking off

:25:43.:25:46.

the lock, so people are right to be suspicious. But you will not tell us

:25:47.:25:53.

where the ?8 billion will come from. Andrew, a strong economy is key to

:25:54.:25:57.

delivering more NHS money. That does not tell us where the money is

:25:58.:26:01.

coming from. The biggest risk to a strong economy would be a bad

:26:02.:26:05.

Brexit, which Jeremy Corbyn would deliver. And we have a record of

:26:06.:26:09.

putting more money into the NHS. I think that past performance we can

:26:10.:26:12.

take forward. Thank you for joining us.

:26:13.:26:15.

So, the Conservatives have been taking a bit of flak

:26:16.:26:17.

But Conservative big guns have been out and about this morning taking

:26:18.:26:21.

Here's Boris Johnson on ITV's Peston programme earlier today:

:26:22.:26:25.

What we're trying to do is to address what I think

:26:26.:26:29.

everybody, all serious demographers acknowledge will be the massive

:26:30.:26:32.

problem of the cost of social care long-term.

:26:33.:26:36.

This is a responsible, grown-up, conservative approach,

:26:37.:26:39.

trying to deal with a long-term problem in a way that is equitable,

:26:40.:26:42.

allows people to pass on a very substantial sum,

:26:43.:26:44.

still, to their kids, and takes away the fear

:26:45.:26:47.

Joining me now from Liverpool is Labour's Shadow Chief Secretary

:26:48.:26:53.

Petered out, welcome to the programme. Let's start with social

:26:54.:27:05.

care. The Tories are saying that if you have ?100,000 or more in assets,

:27:06.:27:08.

you should pay for your own social care. What is wrong with that? Well,

:27:09.:27:14.

I think the issue at the end of the day is the question of fairness. Is

:27:15.:27:19.

it fair? And what we're trying to do is to get to a situation where we

:27:20.:27:23.

have, for example, the Dilnot report, which identified that you

:27:24.:27:28.

actually have cap on your spending on social care. We are trying to get

:27:29.:27:32.

to a position where it is a reasonable and fair approach to

:27:33.:27:38.

expenditure. But you will know that a lot of people, particularly in the

:27:39.:27:42.

south of country, London and the south-east, and the adjacent areas

:27:43.:27:47.

around it, they have benefited from huge house price inflation. They

:27:48.:27:50.

have seen their homes go up in value, if and when they sell, they

:27:51.:27:55.

are not taxed on that increase. Why should these people not pay for

:27:56.:28:01.

their own social care if they have the assets to do so? They will be

:28:02.:28:05.

paying for some of their social care but you cannot take social care and

:28:06.:28:09.

health care separately. It has to be an integrated approach. So for

:28:10.:28:12.

example if you do have dementia, you're more likely to be in an

:28:13.:28:16.

elderly person's home for longer and you most probably have been in care

:28:17.:28:20.

for a longer period of time. On the other hand, you might have, if you

:28:21.:28:25.

have had a stroke, there may be continuing care needs paid for by

:28:26.:28:28.

the NHS. So at the end of the date it is trying to get a reasonable

:28:29.:28:32.

balance and just to pluck a figure of ?100,000 out of thin air is not

:28:33.:28:40.

sensible. You will have heard me say about David Gold that the house

:28:41.:28:45.

prices in his area, about 450,000 or so, not quite that, and that people

:28:46.:28:49.

may have to spend quite a lot of that on social care to get down to

:28:50.:28:55.

?100,000. But in your area, the average house price is only

:28:56.:28:59.

?149,000, so your people would not have to pay anything like as much

:29:00.:29:05.

before they hit the ?100,000 minimum. I hesitate to say that but

:29:06.:29:10.

is that not almost a socialist approach to social care that if you

:29:11.:29:14.

are in the affluent Home Counties with a big asset, you pay more, and

:29:15.:29:19.

if you are in an area that is not so affluent and your house is not worth

:29:20.:29:22.

very much, you pay a lot less. What is wrong with that principle? I

:29:23.:29:27.

think the problem I am trying to get to is this issue about equity across

:29:28.:29:31.

the piece. At the end of the day, what we want is a system whereby it

:29:32.:29:37.

is capped at a particular level, and the Dilnot report, after much

:29:38.:29:41.

examination, said we should have a cap on care costs at ?72,000. The

:29:42.:29:45.

Conservatives decided to ditch that and come up with another policy

:29:46.:29:48.

which by all accounts seems to be even more Draconian. At the end of

:29:49.:29:53.

the day it is trying to get social care and an NHS care in a much more

:29:54.:30:02.

fluid way. We had offered the Conservatives to have a bipartisan

:30:03.:30:05.

approach to this. David just said that this is a long term. You do not

:30:06.:30:10.

pick a figure out of thin air and use that as a long-term strategy.

:30:11.:30:15.

The Conservatives are now saying they will increase health spending

:30:16.:30:21.

over the next five years in real terms. You will increase health

:30:22.:30:26.

spending. In what way is your approach to health spending better

:30:27.:30:31.

than the Tories' now? We are contributing an extra 7.2 billion to

:30:32.:30:38.

the NHS and social care over the next few years. But you just don't

:30:39.:30:42.

put money into the NHS or social care. It has to be an integrated

:30:43.:30:47.

approach to social and health care. What we've got is just more of the

:30:48.:30:52.

same. What we don't want to do is just say, we ring-fenced an out for

:30:53.:30:57.

here or there. What you have to do is try to get that... Let me ask you

:30:58.:31:05.

again. In terms of the amount of resource that is going to be devoted

:31:06.:31:09.

in the next five years, and resource does matter for the NHS, in what way

:31:10.:31:16.

are your plans different now from the Conservative plans? The key is

:31:17.:31:20.

how you use that resource. By just putting money in, you've got to say,

:31:21.:31:25.

if we are going to put that money on, how do we use it? As somebody

:31:26.:31:31.

who has worked in social care for 40 years, you have to have a different

:31:32.:31:35.

approach to how you use that money. The money we are putting in, 7.7,

:31:36.:31:41.

may be similar in cash terms to what the Tories claim they are putting

:31:42.:31:45.

in, but it's not how much you put in per se, it is how you use it. You

:31:46.:32:00.

are going to get rid of car parking charges in hospital, and you are

:32:01.:32:02.

going to increase pay by taking the cap on pay off. So it doesn't

:32:03.:32:05.

necessarily follow that the money, under your way of doing it, will

:32:06.:32:07.

follow the front line. What you need in the NHS is a system that is

:32:08.:32:11.

capable of dealing with the patience you have. What we have now is on at

:32:12.:32:19.

five Asian of the NHS. Staff leaving, not being paid properly. So

:32:20.:32:28.

pay and the NHS go hand in hand. Let's move onto another area of

:32:29.:32:32.

policy where there is some confusion. Who speaks for the Labour

:32:33.:32:37.

Party on nuclear weapons? Is it Emily Thornbury, or Nia Griffith,

:32:38.:32:44.

defence spokesperson? The Labour manifesto. It is clear. We are

:32:45.:32:49.

committed to the nuclear deterrent, and that is the definitive... Is it?

:32:50.:33:00.

Emily Thornbury said that Trident could be scrapped in the defence

:33:01.:33:03.

review you would have immediately after taking power. On LBC on Friday

:33:04.:33:09.

night. She didn't, actually. I listened to that. What she actually

:33:10.:33:15.

said is, as part of a Labour government coming in, a new

:33:16.:33:19.

government, there is always a defence review. But not the concept

:33:20.:33:24.

of Trident in its substance. She said there would be a review in

:33:25.:33:31.

terms of, and this is in our manifesto. When you reduce

:33:32.:33:34.

something, you review how it is operated. The review could scrap

:33:35.:33:41.

Trident. It won't scrap Trident. The review is in the context of how you

:33:42.:33:45.

protect it from cyber attacks. This will issue was seized upon that she

:33:46.:33:51.

was saying that we would have another review of Trident or Labour

:33:52.:33:56.

would ditch it. That is nonsense. You will have seen some reports that

:33:57.:34:03.

MI5 opened a file on Jeremy Corbyn in the early 90s because of his

:34:04.:34:07.

links to Irish republicanism. This has caused some people, his links to

:34:08.:34:16.

the IRA and Sinn Fein, it has caused some concern. Could you just listen

:34:17.:34:22.

to this clip and react. Do you condemn what the IRA did? I condemn

:34:23.:34:29.

all bombing. But do you condemn what the IRA did? I condemn what was done

:34:30.:34:34.

with the British Army as well as both sides as well. What happened in

:34:35.:34:39.

Derry in 1972 was pretty devastating as well. Do you distinguish between

:34:40.:34:45.

state forces, what the British Army did and the IRA? Well, in a sense,

:34:46.:34:51.

the treatment of IRA prisoners which made them into virtual political

:34:52.:34:57.

prisoners suggested that the British government and the state saw some

:34:58.:35:01.

kind of almost equivalent in it. My point is that the whole violence if

:35:02.:35:08.

you was terrible, was appalling, and came out of a process that had been

:35:09.:35:15.

allowed to fester in Northern Ireland for a very long time. That

:35:16.:35:20.

was from about two years ago. Can you explain why the Leader of the

:35:21.:35:24.

Labour Party, Her Majesty 's opposition, the man who would be our

:35:25.:35:28.

next Prime Minister, finds it so hard to condemn IRA arming? I think

:35:29.:35:35.

it has to be within the context that Jeremy Corbyn for many years trying

:35:36.:35:38.

to move the peace protest... Process along. So why wouldn't you condemn

:35:39.:35:48.

IRA bombing? Again, that was an issue, a traumatic event in Irish -

:35:49.:35:55.

British relations that went on for 30 years. It is a complicated

:35:56.:36:01.

matter. Bombing is not that complicated. If you are a man of

:36:02.:36:05.

peace, surely you would condemn the bomb and the bullet? Let me say

:36:06.:36:10.

this, I condemn the bomb and the bullet. Why can't your leader? You

:36:11.:36:16.

would have to ask Jeremy Corbyn, but that is in the context of what he

:36:17.:36:21.

was trying to do over a 25 year period to move the priest process

:36:22.:36:22.

along. Thank you for joining us. It's just gone 11.35,

:36:23.:36:26.

you're watching the Sunday Politics. We report from Hartlepool.

:36:27.:36:28.

in Scotland and Wales. Hello and welcome to your

:36:29.:36:38.

local part of the show. We're live in Newcastle

:36:39.:36:40.

with the very latest on the election campaign trail

:36:41.:36:42.

in the North East and Cumbria. With me in the studio,

:36:43.:36:45.

Labour frontbencher Chi Onwurah, who's standing again in Newcastle

:36:46.:36:49.

Central. Kevin Hollinrake, the Conservative

:36:50.:36:52.

candidate in Thirsk and Malton - Jonathan Wallace, the Liberal

:36:53.:36:55.

Democrat candidate for Blaydon. And Phillip Broughton, who's

:36:56.:36:59.

standing for Ukip in Hartlepool - his party's top target

:37:00.:37:02.

in the north east. Also this week: Have the parties

:37:03.:37:05.

got the bright ideas But let's start with the manifestos

:37:06.:37:08.

and the impact on the campaign. Cavern, if your manifesto was

:37:09.:37:25.

support, it backfired, according to support, it backfired, according to

:37:26.:37:29.

the polls, which suggest Labour is closing the gap, and it is on their

:37:30.:37:33.

policies towards older people that have been perhaps unpopular on the

:37:34.:37:39.

doorsteps. This certainly isn't a giveaway manifesto, we are trying to

:37:40.:37:44.

make sure future generations have the opportunities are previous

:37:45.:37:49.

generations. In terms of the changes for elderly people and adult social

:37:50.:37:53.

care, many people will be better off under the changes, if you are in

:37:54.:37:57.

residential care, you are better. Some bubo getting care in the home

:37:58.:38:02.

are better off, but it does is make a fair system that if you're

:38:03.:38:07.

receiving state funded care, your assets are taken into account,

:38:08.:38:10.

whether they be cash assets or the value of your home. Does it strike

:38:11.:38:16.

you as fair or conservative that people who have got home, bought

:38:17.:38:19.

their home, hoping to pass it on to future generations are being told,

:38:20.:38:23.

100,000 is the most you will pass on, if you're unlucky to get

:38:24.:38:28.

dementia, the value of your home will be wiped. It is not true it is

:38:29.:38:34.

the most, you will be able to keep ?100,000 in any circumstances. They

:38:35.:38:39.

released ?23,000 currently. You'll be able to keep more, you don't have

:38:40.:38:45.

to sell your home or fund your if you get in Tomas O'Leary care, in

:38:46.:38:49.

your own home. If you don't need care, none of it will go to the

:38:50.:38:55.

state. Comfortable selling it to conservatives? Yes, it's a fair

:38:56.:38:59.

deal, the value of your home and your assets should be taken into

:39:00.:39:02.

account any means tested assessment, whether you're getting residential

:39:03.:39:05.

care residential care or care at home. Chi Onwurah, the consumers are

:39:06.:39:13.

being up front, they are,, Labour hasn't got one. We have got a

:39:14.:39:18.

solution. Consider party manifesto shows the content Theresa May has

:39:19.:39:21.

for the public because she is banking on a hard right Brexit and

:39:22.:39:25.

treating pensioners with absolute disdain. The 100,000, the dementia

:39:26.:39:31.

tax, if you are unlucky enough not to be healthy until your last days,

:39:32.:39:37.

whereas the Labour Party, we are saying we will be investing in

:39:38.:39:42.

social care, overcoming the hard cuts. We've cosseted, the Tory

:39:43.:39:48.

party... As I understand it, you're going to put some extra money in,

:39:49.:39:53.

the tax payable funded. You haven't got a long-term solution. The

:39:54.:39:59.

manifesto make clear we will be building a national care service,

:40:00.:40:04.

will be starting it. How will you funded? We set out a fully costed

:40:05.:40:12.

manifesto. You're not suggesting how long-term you will do it, at least

:40:13.:40:16.

to conservatives are. They said it's a big problem, this is our solution.

:40:17.:40:23.

The Conservatives will take away people's earnings, what they have

:40:24.:40:26.

invested in and the people poorer and more scared about what will

:40:27.:40:31.

happen to them in old age. We want to give people the reassurance they

:40:32.:40:35.

don't need to be afraid of being hammered and not passing on what

:40:36.:40:38.

they built up because they happen to be unlucky enough. Jonathan, the

:40:39.:40:45.

Liberal Democrats are guilty of doping it? No, we put a proposal for

:40:46.:40:50.

?6 billion to be invested in social care and the NHS, paid by income

:40:51.:40:55.

tax. We all use the health service and it is right we should be

:40:56.:40:58.

contributing towards it. The Conservative proposals, one of the

:40:59.:41:05.

key reasons why the woodwork is because no cap on what people will

:41:06.:41:09.

be paying towards the cost of their care. If you're wealthier, you

:41:10.:41:12.

should pay a contribution towards your care costs, but what the

:41:13.:41:17.

Conservatives are proposing is there be no cap. We are proposing there

:41:18.:41:22.

should be. The love, it would be nice to know what was in your

:41:23.:41:24.

manifesto, it's not being published manifesto, it's not being published

:41:25.:41:31.

-- fillip. The Conservatives are treating pensioners and eight

:41:32.:41:36.

terrible way, paper pensions back several times. The pension has gone

:41:37.:41:42.

up. The pension goalposts have been moved in this Parliament alone, that

:41:43.:41:46.

is wrong. We are saying you've got to protect the NHS, keep it in the

:41:47.:41:52.

public sector. You've also got to funded. We promised ?3 billion more

:41:53.:41:56.

at the last general election, and I'm sure we will be saying will

:41:57.:42:01.

protect the NHS, and we are fighting for local services. In Hartlepool,

:42:02.:42:06.

the services are taken away. Chi Onwurah, these poor ratings, it may

:42:07.:42:12.

be less to do with your manifesto and that people think there's no way

:42:13.:42:14.

Jeremy Corbyn will be prime ministers so we are saved to vote

:42:15.:42:21.

Labour. Our manifesto goes down well because it is about issues which

:42:22.:42:25.

resonate with people that people believe in, such as national

:42:26.:42:31.

education service. Such as investment in the north-east's

:42:32.:42:34.

infrastructure, transport. Why are you keeping Jeremy Corbyn away

:42:35.:42:39.

promotional seats? They don't want in there. If he's the big sell, why

:42:40.:42:47.

isn't he coming to Darlington, Middlesbrough South? Jeremy Corbyn

:42:48.:42:50.

has been seen all over the media. I'm not personally hope they would

:42:51.:42:58.

reschedule, but he's speaking much more to the knee jerk, but all of

:42:59.:43:04.

those candidates are out on the doorstep -- to the media. It is

:43:05.:43:10.

about policies, not about personalities. The conclusion is

:43:11.:43:14.

that regardless of Jeremy Corbyn, Labour's policies are popular. I

:43:15.:43:18.

will talk about Theresa May, she's very trusting. What about Labour's

:43:19.:43:26.

policies? Lu they don't add up, they've committed friend and 75

:43:27.:43:33.

billion of extra spending. -- framed and 75 billion. It is impossible.

:43:34.:43:39.

This is the tip of the iceberg, they're spending pledges. There's a

:43:40.:43:45.

lot of spending pledges, including the social care one.

:43:46.:43:50.

The key thing is we will make a success Brexit. That is what people

:43:51.:43:56.

want to talk about. Theresa May is trusted to it. Will you accept the

:43:57.:44:03.

national debt has doubled under the Conservatives? It has doubled. I'm

:44:04.:44:11.

going to stop there, we got so much more to discuss.

:44:12.:44:12.

Well, the Chancellor Philip Hammond was campaigning

:44:13.:44:14.

on Tyneside on Thursday - just hours after the Tory

:44:15.:44:17.

Luke Walton asked him what was in the manifesto to help

:44:18.:44:20.

solve this region's long-standing economic problems like

:44:21.:44:22.

The ready key thing is the commitment to our international

:44:23.:44:28.

strategy, which is an explicit commitment to make sure growth is

:44:29.:44:32.

spread around the country and benefits all regions. We do that by

:44:33.:44:37.

investing in infrastructure, by investing in skills and education,

:44:38.:44:41.

by upgrading local industry and local business. Is there a

:44:42.:44:45.

north-east dimension to it? Yes, the Northern Powerhouse stretches across

:44:46.:44:49.

the North, that's an important initiative in itself. It is about

:44:50.:44:53.

making sure the benefits of economic growth are spread across the

:44:54.:44:54.

country. Chi Onwurah, the unemployment figure

:44:55.:45:01.

saw a big dip in the north-east for the first time, London has got

:45:02.:45:05.

higher unemployment rates. If Screech knew that the Conservatives,

:45:06.:45:11.

not so for Labour? It is the case that working people in the

:45:12.:45:14.

north-east know we are an average worse off, so one not if you are in

:45:15.:45:22.

work. In terms of working poverty, people in poverty, people in work

:45:23.:45:28.

still and poverty cost the country, we have 1 million families who live

:45:29.:45:31.

in poverty and the majority of those in poverty are in work. It's

:45:32.:45:37.

important we are creating jobs and the north-east, but they need to be

:45:38.:45:41.

high skill, high wage jobs, which are a route out of poverty. Kevin,

:45:42.:45:47.

people might be in work, but they're not making, getting better off,

:45:48.:45:53.

wages are falling behind inflation. We are where we work in 2010, we

:45:54.:45:58.

were in a deep recession, the deepest recession since the great

:45:59.:46:03.

depression. We did as economy around, the second fastest-growing

:46:04.:46:06.

economy in the developed world. Are creating more jobs. You would accept

:46:07.:46:14.

there's a with wages. I believe we should have a higher minimum wage,

:46:15.:46:18.

we've got a commitment to the national living wage, which is

:46:19.:46:22.

raising the minimum wage right through to ?9 by 2020. We have to do

:46:23.:46:27.

it in a way which visitors can afford to do it and do it gradually,

:46:28.:46:32.

otherwise it will cost jobs. Fillip, this shows it is the Conservatives

:46:33.:46:38.

who are trusted, given the job figures? You can't trust the

:46:39.:46:42.

Conservatives. The national debt has doubled, the Conservative Party have

:46:43.:46:47.

borrowed more in harder time than Labour were in a government. What

:46:48.:46:55.

are you going to could they aren't? We've got to cut the right things,

:46:56.:47:03.

the foreign aid budget, ?12 million, we'd cut crime. How many jobs will

:47:04.:47:11.

that create? We've got to create a fair a company where we cut the tax

:47:12.:47:14.

the lower paid people, we've got to make sure big businesses pay their

:47:15.:47:19.

fair share, that is why we bring in a turnover tax to stop Amazon,

:47:20.:47:23.

Google from not paying tax. Jonathan, no sign of a prose Brexit

:47:24.:47:27.

the disaster that is why we bring in a turnover tax to stop Amazon,

:47:28.:47:29.

Google from not paying tax. Jonathan, no sign of a prose Brexit

:47:30.:47:32.

the disaster the region? People like you are telling us as soon as we

:47:33.:47:35.

vote for this, it will be a disaster. We are in a robust

:47:36.:47:39.

position. That is because we are still in the single market. The key

:47:40.:47:43.

issue for the region, because most of our exports go to the single

:47:44.:47:47.

market, is what access will get to it. The Liberal Democrats would

:47:48.:47:51.

argue we should be in the single market, we need to be in it to enjoy

:47:52.:47:56.

the benefits of it and to make sure we as the only region in the UK that

:47:57.:48:01.

exports more than imports are able to continue to get it. Zimbabwe has

:48:02.:48:06.

access to the single market, but what we want, for the benefit of

:48:07.:48:14.

being a member of the single market. The Liberal Democrats are the only

:48:15.:48:19.

body arguing that we should actually remain in the single market once

:48:20.:48:24.

referendum last year, though referendum last year, though

:48:25.:48:27.

supporting Brexit were saying there would be no danger to our

:48:28.:48:28.

membership. Time to move on. Now, among the most eye-catching

:48:29.:48:37.

proposals in this week's manifestos were those focused on education -

:48:38.:48:39.

and not just Labour's promise All the main parties agree that

:48:40.:48:42.

billions of pounds extra need to be spent on our schools to keep pace

:48:43.:48:46.

with rising pupil numbers. But the issue that really divides

:48:47.:48:49.

them is the Conservative plan to re-introduce

:48:50.:48:51.

selective grammar schools. Well, the sea may be calm here and

:48:52.:49:04.

Hartlepool Marina, but the political waters look on the choppy. The town

:49:05.:49:09.

has had a Labour MP for more than 50 years, the Conservatives and Ukip

:49:10.:49:13.

are increasingly confident of turning the political tide. And in

:49:14.:49:18.

that election campaign, education will be a vital issue. The town

:49:19.:49:22.

likes behind on academic results, though pupils at this local

:49:23.:49:26.

secondary are hitting the target. Its Ofsted rank and has gone from

:49:27.:49:31.

requires improvement to good, the head put that down to hard by hard

:49:32.:49:40.

work, by really focusing on the quality of teaching and learning,

:49:41.:49:42.

looking at the quality of standards. GCSEs are an important benchmark and

:49:43.:49:47.

last year 57% of pupils got at least five of them, including English and

:49:48.:49:51.

maths at grades A start to see. Across the north-east, the figure

:49:52.:49:58.

was 55.7%, cross Hartlepool, 47.5%. The lowest in the region. Figures

:49:59.:50:04.

are better here, but teachers fear a funding squeeze could hamper

:50:05.:50:09.

progress. If we are curtailing and not keeping up with in relation,

:50:10.:50:13.

where will it go? Will we end up with clusters of 60. Will we end up

:50:14.:50:22.

with no teaching assistants? Schools warn spending isn't keeping up with

:50:23.:50:27.

rising costs and pupil numbers, despite a manifesto promises of

:50:28.:50:33.

extra investment, worries remain. We are trying to understand which

:50:34.:50:37.

manifesto is going to see an increase in education. It is not

:50:38.:50:40.

clear that with some of the proposals if they will achieve that

:50:41.:50:43.

level of extra funding into schools that is needed. Also igniting debate

:50:44.:50:50.

in the selection, controversial Conservative plan to allow the

:50:51.:50:53.

setting up of more selective grammar schools. Not a rude stuff here want

:50:54.:50:59.

to go down. I believe we deliver a good education for those students

:51:00.:51:03.

may come brand of school. It worries me because it can create a divide in

:51:04.:51:09.

society. But supporters insisted national evidence is on their side.

:51:10.:51:14.

It's one of the most successful, the successful country in the world,

:51:15.:51:18.

Singapore, successful economy, it has grammar schools, it has

:51:19.:51:22.

selection. Why not have something like that in the north-east to raise

:51:23.:51:28.

standards, to improve education? If education reform is a battle line

:51:29.:51:33.

between parties, parents have more immediate concerns. I asked three of

:51:34.:51:37.

them for their message to the politicians. With changes to exams,

:51:38.:51:42.

one of their bugbears. The government have put in new exams

:51:43.:51:46.

were not given the time for those children to learn what they need.

:51:47.:51:51.

Exams are a big part, and I suppose a mark of their achievement to move

:51:52.:51:55.

on to post-16, but the stress doesn't worry me in terms of how the

:51:56.:52:00.

children cope. Don't mess around with funding, the funding must be

:52:01.:52:02.

there for the future of our children. Simple as that. It's got

:52:03.:52:08.

to be a high priority? Yes, it shouldn't be an issue, it should be,

:52:09.:52:13.

we need high quality education for all our peoples. As these students

:52:14.:52:17.

prepare for exams, our politicians are approaching a different kind of

:52:18.:52:23.

tests, and with the parties divided on education, the outcome of the

:52:24.:52:26.

selection in Hartlepool and across the country could have a big impact

:52:27.:52:27.

here in the classroom. Well, the North East Party -

:52:28.:52:29.

which won a couple of seats earlier this month

:52:30.:52:31.

on Durham County Council - are standing in Easington

:52:32.:52:33.

at the General Election. Susan McDonnell says for them,

:52:34.:52:35.

improving education is a priority for the party -

:52:36.:52:37.

and the government should invest More and more now we are seeing that

:52:38.:52:47.

children aren't going into secondary school education were some of the

:52:48.:52:51.

basics of reading and writing. I think we need to invest a lot more

:52:52.:52:55.

time and effort in the early years of school, a primary schools

:52:56.:52:59.

particularly, and then we would see a lot less effort having to be

:53:00.:53:03.

applied at the secondary school level. That would give children in

:53:04.:53:05.

this area a lot more advantage than they

:53:06.:53:14.

currently have. Is going back to grammar schools the key to bridging

:53:15.:53:18.

the gap in achievement? Pit stop the only key, my children go to a

:53:19.:53:23.

compound of school, it is clear we need more funding and fairer

:53:24.:53:27.

funding. One thing the gentleman was asking about, in terms of what he

:53:28.:53:33.

wanted to say, don't mess with the formula and funding. It cannot be

:53:34.:53:36.

writes some schools in London get 50% more in funding per pupil

:53:37.:53:41.

compared to schools and other parts of the country. We need a fairer

:53:42.:53:45.

funding formula. This government has committed to it. It is a total

:53:46.:53:50.

destruction to then get a new generation of grammar schools? Why

:53:51.:53:56.

not fund exists schools properly? As that gentleman said, Singapore has

:53:57.:54:06.

the best quality of education... Are your children missing out because

:54:07.:54:10.

they are not in a grammar school? We are happy with that education, but

:54:11.:54:13.

we shouldn't rule things out on ideological grounds. It is not just

:54:14.:54:20.

about academic selection for the Britos, it is also about providing

:54:21.:54:23.

technical education for those with different schools. Chi Onwurah, it

:54:24.:54:33.

has happened under the watch of Labour councils, like Northumberland

:54:34.:54:37.

and Middlesbrough have had their education criticise, Sunderland

:54:38.:54:40.

children's services failed, so Labour bears responsibility for the

:54:41.:54:45.

gap. Things could get better if you change the structure. You know as

:54:46.:54:50.

well as I do the funding for our local authorities has been slashed

:54:51.:54:55.

by 50%, not the time control of the schools has passed away from local

:54:56.:55:02.

authorities. The academy system has taken schools out of the control of

:55:03.:55:06.

local authorities. You know there are councils in this region that

:55:07.:55:10.

have been criticised for the standard of education for the

:55:11.:55:15.

schools they control. What we have seen is that the coating of

:55:16.:55:18.

investment into our schools, there's a lot that can be done in terms of

:55:19.:55:22.

improving how we invest in teachers, for example, and improving funding,

:55:23.:55:28.

but what is important is the cuts to school funding, which have not been

:55:29.:55:30.

acknowledged by the government, and in particular early years. We have

:55:31.:55:38.

lost 40% of our sure start centres in the north-east. The Labour Party

:55:39.:55:46.

is promising to invest 5 billion in early years, paid for by small

:55:47.:55:51.

increase in income tax from those earning over ?80,000. That is part

:55:52.:55:58.

of the solution. Grammar schools, Ukip's big idea, you've got nowhere

:55:59.:56:03.

to go. We are having a false to read, whether it is a grammar

:56:04.:56:08.

school, comprehensive, that's not the issue, funding is an issue. I'm

:56:09.:56:12.

fighting that would get their funding, because the Tories are

:56:13.:56:16.

cutting ?3 billion of the budget, Hartlepool will lose money. It is

:56:17.:56:23.

true. They are protecting school funding, there are debates about it.

:56:24.:56:27.

They've said on the formula no school will lose out. That is not

:56:28.:56:34.

the case. The educational policy Institute has the figure and

:56:35.:56:38.

Hartlepool will lose ?850,000, while places like Ballmer won't lose a

:56:39.:56:45.

am fighting for very school funding am fighting for very school funding

:56:46.:56:50.

in the selection. Jonathan, the Liberal Democrats want to increase

:56:51.:56:57.

funding the early years, but as we've seen in labour, investments

:56:58.:57:01.

and buildings and schools does not necessarily improve social mobility.

:57:02.:57:05.

mobility the worst thing you can do mobility the worst thing you can do

:57:06.:57:09.

is reintroduce grammar schools. There is talk of labour going back

:57:10.:57:13.

to 1970s, this is as going back to the lighting 50s. Grammar schools

:57:14.:57:17.

are socially diapason, they will benefit a small number. -- socially

:57:18.:57:27.

dive I serve -- diverse of. If you are a grammar school pupil, you are

:57:28.:57:32.

part of the minority, you need to be making sure the educational

:57:33.:57:35.

standards raise for all children, not just those lucky enough to go to

:57:36.:57:41.

a grammar school. I agree with that, 1.8 million children in our country

:57:42.:57:44.

who go to schools that are rated good or outstanding, more

:57:45.:57:53.

children... Chi Onwurah, Labour's pledge, scratch wishing fees. Is

:57:54.:57:58.

that really sustainable? It is absolutely sustainable because

:57:59.:58:02.

investing in our young people, we are not using young people's

:58:03.:58:06.

potential. I see so many young people who either don't want to go

:58:07.:58:09.

to university or have an apprenticeship. The figures show

:58:10.:58:14.

more people from poorer backgrounds go to university now. Not delivering

:58:15.:58:20.

in high skilled jobs, we haven't much that with embarrassment. Both

:58:21.:58:25.

Philip and Kevin are disincentives cells from their party's manifestos

:58:26.:58:33.

on grammar schools. -- distancing themselves. We need to get rid of

:58:34.:58:41.

tuition fees. This will appeal to a lot of people, a lot of parents who

:58:42.:58:45.

don't want to see their kids with debt. A basic fact Immers, the

:58:46.:58:53.

government the money. Any funding you seek or sores has come from

:58:54.:58:54.

taxpayers. The education of people who decide

:58:55.:59:06.

to go to university, who should fund at versus ?11 billion a year. We all

:59:07.:59:17.

benefit from it... We will have to live there, I'm afraid. We won't get

:59:18.:59:19.

an agreement. We're back, same time,

:59:20.:59:21.

same place next Sunday when the Green Party will be among

:59:22.:59:24.

the studio guests. And if you live in Workington

:59:25.:59:27.

in Cumbria and fancy putting a question to your local candidates,

:59:28.:59:29.

look out for our Look North hot cancelled. And rent to own is still

:59:30.:59:33.

our policy. Thank you very much, Tom Brake. Andrew, back to you.

:59:34.:59:40.

So, two and half weeks to go till polling day,

:59:41.:59:42.

let's take stock of the campaign so far and look ahead

:59:43.:59:45.

Sam, Isabel and Steve are with me again.

:59:46.:59:54.

Sam, Mrs May had made a great thing about the just about managing. Not

:59:55.:00:01.

the poorest of the poor, but not really affluent people, who are

:00:02.:00:07.

maybe OK but it's a bit of a struggle. What is in the manifesto

:00:08.:00:12.

for them? There is something about the high profile items in the

:00:13.:00:16.

manifesto. She said she wants to help those just above the poorest

:00:17.:00:21.

level. But if you look at things like the winter fuel allowance,

:00:22.:00:25.

which is going to be given only to the poorest. If you look at free

:00:26.:00:30.

school meals for infants, those for the poorest are going to be kept,

:00:31.:00:34.

but the rest will go. The social care plan, those who are renting or

:00:35.:00:42.

in properties worth up to ?90,000, they are going to be treated, but

:00:43.:00:47.

those in properties worth above that, 250,000, for example, will

:00:48.:00:53.

have to pay. Which leads to the question - what is being done for

:00:54.:00:59.

the just about managings? There is something, the personal allowance

:01:00.:01:03.

that David Cameron promised in 2015, that they are not making a big deal

:01:04.:01:08.

of that, because they cannot say by how much. So you are looking in tax

:01:09.:01:14.

rises on the just about managings. Where will the tax rises come from.

:01:15.:01:22.

We do not know, that there is the 40 million pounds gap for the Tories to

:01:23.:01:29.

reach what they are pledging in their manifesto. We do not know how

:01:30.:01:34.

that is going to be made up, more tax, or more borrowing? So that is

:01:35.:01:39.

why the questions of the implications of removing the tax

:01:40.:01:44.

lock are so potentially difficult for Tory MPs. The Labour manifesto

:01:45.:01:48.

gives figures for the cost of certain policies and where the

:01:49.:01:51.

revenue will come from. You can argue about the figures, but at

:01:52.:01:57.

least we have the figures. The Tory manifesto is opaque on these

:01:58.:02:01.

matters. That applies to both the manifestos. Looking at the Labour

:02:02.:02:04.

manifesto on the way here this morning, when you look at the

:02:05.:02:09.

section on care for the elderly, they simply say, there are various

:02:10.:02:12.

ways in which the money for this can be raised. They are specific on

:02:13.:02:19.

other things. They are, and we heard John McDonnell this morning being

:02:20.:02:24.

very on that, and saying there is not a single ? in Tory manifesto. I

:02:25.:02:32.

have only got to page 66. It is quite broad brush and they are very

:02:33.:02:38.

open to challenge. For example, on the detail of a number of their

:02:39.:02:43.

flagship things. There is no detail on their immigration policy. They

:02:44.:02:47.

reiterate the ambition, but not how they are going to do that, without a

:02:48.:02:52.

massive increase in resource for Borders officials. We are at a time

:02:53.:02:59.

where average wages are lagging behind prices. And in work benefits

:03:00.:03:06.

remain frozen. I would have thought that the just-about-managings are

:03:07.:03:11.

people who are in work but they need some in work benefits to make life

:03:12.:03:14.

tolerable and be able to pay bills. Doesn't she has to do more for them?

:03:15.:03:22.

Maybe, but this whole manifesto was her inner circle saying, right, this

:03:23.:03:29.

is our chance to express our... It partly reads like a sort of

:03:30.:03:36.

philosophical essay at times. About the challenges, individualism

:03:37.:03:40.

against collectivism. Some of it reads quite well and is quite

:03:41.:03:46.

interesting, but in terms of its detail, Labour would never get away

:03:47.:03:50.

with it. They wouldn't be allowed to be so vague about where taxes are

:03:51.:03:54.

going to rise. We know there are going to be tax rises after the

:03:55.:03:59.

election, but we don't know where they will be. 100%, there will be

:04:00.:04:07.

tax rises. We know that they wanted a tax rise in the last budget, but

:04:08.:04:12.

they couldn't get it through because of the 2015 manifesto. Labour do

:04:13.:04:16.

offer a lot more detail. People could disagree with it, but there is

:04:17.:04:22.

a lot more detail. More to get your teeth into. About capital gains tax

:04:23.:04:28.

and the rises for better owners and so on. The SNP manifesto comes out

:04:29.:04:33.

this week, and the Greens and Sinn Fein. We think Ukip as well. There

:04:34.:04:39.

are more manifestos to come. The Lib Dems have already brought theirs

:04:40.:04:46.

out. Isn't the Liberal Democrat campaign in trouble? It doesn't seem

:04:47.:04:50.

to be doing particular the well in the polls, or at the local elections

:04:51.:04:55.

a few weeks ago. The Liberal Democrats are trying to fish in

:04:56.:04:59.

quite a small pool for votes. They are looking to get votes from those

:05:00.:05:05.

remainers who want to reverse the result, in effect. Tim Farron is

:05:06.:05:09.

promising a second referendum on the deal at the end of the negotiation

:05:10.:05:17.

process. And that is a hard sell. So those voting for remain on June 23

:05:18.:05:23.

are not low hanging fruit by any means? Polls suggesting that half of

:05:24.:05:29.

those want to reverse the result, so that is a feeling of about 20% on

:05:30.:05:34.

the Lib Dems, and they are getting slightly less than half at the

:05:35.:05:37.

moment, but there are not a huge amount of votes for them to get on

:05:38.:05:42.

that strategy. It doesn't feel like Tim Farron and the Lib Dems have

:05:43.:05:52.

promised enough. They are making a very serious case on cannabis use in

:05:53.:05:56.

a nightclub, but the optics of what they are discussing doesn't make

:05:57.:06:00.

them look like an anchor in a future coalition government that they would

:06:01.:06:04.

need to be. I wonder if we are seeing the re-emergence of the

:06:05.:06:08.

2-party system? And it is not the same two parties. In Scotland, the

:06:09.:06:13.

dynamics of this election seemed to be the Nationalists against the

:06:14.:06:16.

Conservatives. In England, if you look at what has happened to be Ukip

:06:17.:06:31.

vote, and what Sam was saying about the Lib Dems are struggling a bit to

:06:32.:06:35.

get some traction, it is overwhelmingly Labour and the

:06:36.:06:37.

Conservatives. A different 2-party system from Scotland, but a 2-party

:06:38.:06:39.

system. There are a number of different election is going on in

:06:40.:06:43.

parallel. In Scotland it is about whether you are unionist or not.

:06:44.:06:48.

Here, we have the collapse of the Ukip vote, which looks as though it

:06:49.:06:53.

is being redistributed in the Tories' favour. This is a unique

:06:54.:06:57.

election, and will not necessarily set the trend for elections to come.

:06:58.:07:04.

In the Tory manifesto, I spotted the fact that the fixed term Parliament

:07:05.:07:08.

act is going to be scrapped. That got almost no coverage! It turned

:07:09.:07:16.

out to be academic anyway, that it tells you something about how

:07:17.:07:20.

Theresa May is feeling, and she wants the control to call an

:07:21.:07:25.

election whenever it suits her. Re-emergence of the 2-party system,

:07:26.:07:28.

for this election or beyond? For this election, yes, but it shows the

:07:29.:07:38.

sort of robust strength of parties and their fragility. In other words,

:07:39.:07:41.

the Lib Dems haven't really recovered from the losses in the

:07:42.:07:46.

last general election, and are therefore not really seen as a

:07:47.:07:51.

robust vehicle to deliver Remain. If they were, they might be doing

:07:52.:07:56.

better. The Labour Party hasn't recovered in Scotland, and yet, if

:07:57.:08:01.

you look at the basic divide in England and Scotland and you see two

:08:02.:08:05.

parties battling it out, it is very, very hard for the smaller parties to

:08:06.:08:11.

break through and last. Many appear briefly on the political stage and

:08:12.:08:17.

then disappear again. The election had the ostensible goal of Brexit,

:08:18.:08:22.

but we haven't heard much about it in the campaign. Perhaps the Tories

:08:23.:08:27.

want to get back onto that. David Davis sounding quite tough this

:08:28.:08:31.

morning, the Brexit minister, saying there is no chance we will talk

:08:32.:08:36.

about 100 billion. And we have to have power in the negotiations on

:08:37.:08:40.

the free trade deal or what ever it is. I think they are keen to get the

:08:41.:08:45.

subject of the manifesto at this point, because it has not started

:08:46.:08:50.

too well. There is an irony that Theresa May ostensibly called the

:08:51.:08:54.

election because she needed a stronger hand in the Brexit

:08:55.:08:59.

negotiations, and there was an opportunity for the Lib Dems, with

:09:00.:09:02.

their unique offer of being the party that is absolutely against the

:09:03.:09:07.

outcome of the referendum, and offering another chance. There

:09:08.:09:13.

hasn't been much airtime on that particular pledge, because instead,

:09:14.:09:17.

this election has segued into being all about leadership. Theresa May's

:09:18.:09:23.

leadership, and looking again at the Tory manifesto, I was struck that

:09:24.:09:28.

she was saying that this is my plan for the future, not ABBA plan. Even

:09:29.:09:35.

when talking about social care, he manages to work in a bit about

:09:36.:09:41.

Theresa May and Brexit. And Boris Johnson this morning, an interview

:09:42.:09:45.

he gave on another political programme this morning, it was

:09:46.:09:50.

extraordinarily sycophantic for him. Isn't Theresa May wonderful. There

:09:51.:09:55.

is a man trying to secure his job in the Foreign Office! Will he succeed?

:09:56.:10:01.

I think she will leave him. Better in the tent than out. What did you

:10:02.:10:08.

make of David Davis' remarks? He was basically saying, we will walk away

:10:09.:10:14.

from the negotiating table if the Europeans slam a bill for 100

:10:15.:10:21.

billion euros. The point is that the Europeans will not slam a bill for

:10:22.:10:27.

100 billion euros on the negotiating table. That is the gross figure.

:10:28.:10:32.

There are all sorts of things that need to be taken into account. I

:10:33.:10:36.

imagine they will ask for something around the 50 or ?60 billion mark.

:10:37.:10:43.

It looks that they are trying to make it look like a concession when

:10:44.:10:47.

they do make their demands in order to soften the ground for what is

:10:48.:10:52.

going to happen just two weeks after general election day. He makes a

:10:53.:10:56.

reasonable point about having parallel talks. What they want to do

:10:57.:11:01.

straightaway is deal with the bill, Northern Ireland and citizens

:11:02.:11:05.

rights. All of those things are very complicated and interlinked issues,

:11:06.:11:08.

which cannot be dealt with in isolation. I wouldn't be surprised

:11:09.:11:12.

if we ended up with parallel talks, just to work out where we are going

:11:13.:11:17.

with Northern Ireland and the border. Steve, you can't work out

:11:18.:11:23.

what the Northern Ireland border will be, and EU citizens' writes

:11:24.:11:29.

here, until you work out what our relationship with the EU in the

:11:30.:11:33.

future will be. Indeed. The British government is under pressure to deal

:11:34.:11:38.

quickly with the border issue in Ireland, but feel they can't do so

:11:39.:11:43.

because when you have a tariff free arrangement outcome, or an

:11:44.:11:47.

arrangement that is much more protectionist, and that will

:11:48.:11:50.

determine partly the nature of the border. You cannot have a quick

:11:51.:11:53.

agreement on that front without knowing the rest of the deal. I

:11:54.:11:57.

think the negotiation will be complex. I am certain they want a

:11:58.:12:02.

deal rather than none, because this is no deal thing is part of the

:12:03.:12:07.

negotiation at this early stage. Sounding tough in the general

:12:08.:12:11.

election campaign also works electorally. But after the election,

:12:12.:12:16.

it will be a tough negotiation, beginning with this cost of Brexit.

:12:17.:12:23.

My understanding is that the government feels it's got to make

:12:24.:12:26.

the Europeans think they will not do a deal in order to get a deal. They

:12:27.:12:33.

don't want no deal. Absolutely not. And I'm sure it plays into the

:12:34.:12:38.

election. I'm sure the rhetoric will change when the election is over.

:12:39.:12:42.

That's all for today, thank you to all my guests.

:12:43.:12:45.

The Daily Politics will be back on BBC Two at 12.00

:12:46.:12:47.

And tomorrow evening I will be starting my series of interviews

:12:48.:12:51.

with the party leaders - first up is the Prime

:12:52.:12:53.

Minister, Theresa May, that's at 7pm on BBC One.

:12:54.:12:56.

And I'll be back here at the same time on BBC One next Sunday.

:12:57.:12:59.

Remember - if it's Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics.

:13:00.:13:04.

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