27/10/2013 Sunday Politics North West


27/10/2013

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Morning, folks. Welcome to the Sunday Politics. Hope you enjoyed

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the extra hour in bed, and that you've realised it's not 12:45. It's

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11:45! It's getting stormy outside. But they're already battening down

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the hatches at Number Ten because coalition splits are back, with

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bust-ups over free schools and power bills. We'll speak to the Lib Dems,

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and ask Labour who's conning whom over energy.

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EU leaders have been meeting in Brussels. But how's David Cameron

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getting on with that plan to change our relationship with Europe? We

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were there to ask him. Have we got any powers back yet? DS!

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Foreign companies own everything from our energy companies to our

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railways. Does it matter who And in the North West:

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Eric Pickles picks a fight over planning.

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And value for money or overpaid fat cats?

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How much does the head honcho at your council deserve?

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as many daily journeys made by bus than by tube, so why is the planned

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investment in buses not keeping pace?

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And with me, three journalists who've bravely agreed to hunker down

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in the studio while Britain braces itself for massive storm winds,

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tweeting their political forecasts with all the accuracy of Michael

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Fish on hurricane watch. Helen Lewis, Janan Ganesh and Nick Watt.

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Now, sometimes coalition splits are over-egged, or dare we say even

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occasionally stage-managed. But this week, we've seen what looks like the

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genuine article. It turns out Nick Clegg has his doubts about the

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coalition's flagship free schools policy. David Cameron doesn't much

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like the green levies on our energy bills championed by the Lib Dems.

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Neither of them seems to have bothered to tell the other that they

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had their doubts. Who better to discuss these flare-ups than Lib Dem

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Deputy Leader Simon Hughes? He joins me now. Welcome. Good morning. The

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Lib Dems spent three years of sticking up for the coalition when

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times were grim. Explain to me the logic of splitting from them when

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times look better. We will stick with it for five years. It is

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working arrangement, but not surprisingly, where there right

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areas on which we disagree over where to go next, we will stand up.

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It is going to be hard enough for the Lib Dems to get any credit for

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the recovery, what ever it is. It will be even harder if you seem to

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be semidetached and picky. The coalition has led on economic

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policy, some of which were entirely from our stable. The one you have

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heard about most often, a Lib Dem initiative, was to take people on

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blowing comes out of tax. The recovery would not have happened,

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there would not have been confidence in Britain, had there not been a

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coalition government with us in it, making sure the same policies

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produced fair outcomes. We are not going to leave the credit for any

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growth - and there has been very good news this week. We have played

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a part in that, and without us, it would not have happened. Does it not

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underline the trust problem you have? You promised to abolish

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tuition fees. You oppose nuclear power, now you are cheerleading the

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first multi-billion pounds investment in nuclear generation.

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You are dying out on your enthusiasm on green levies, and now they are up

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for renegotiation. Why should we trust a word you say? In relation to

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green levies, as you well know, just under 10% is to do with helping

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energy and helping people. Unless there is continuing investment in

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renewables, we will not have the British produced energy at cheaper

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cost to keep those bills down in the future. At cheaper cost? Explain

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that to me. Off-shore energy is twice the market rate. The costs of

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renewables will increasingly come down. We have fantastic capacity to

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produce the energy and deliver lots of jobs in the process. The parts of

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the energy bill that may be up for renegotiation seems to be the part

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where we subsidise to help either poor people pay less, or where we do

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other things. Too insulated the homes? Are you up to putting that to

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general taxation? Wouldn't that be progressive? I would. It would be

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progressive. I would like to do for energy bills what the Chancellor has

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done for road traffic users, drivers, which is too fuelled motor

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fuel -- to freeze new to fall. That would mean there would be an

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immediate relief this year, not waiting for the election. So there

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is a deal to be done there? Yes We understand we have to take the

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burden off the consumer, and also deal with the energy companies, who

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look as if they are not paying all the tax they should be, and the

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regulator, which doesn't regulate quickly enough to deal with the

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issues coming down the track. We can toughen the regulator, and I hope

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that the Chancellor, in the Autumn statement, was signalled that energy

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companies will not be allowed to get away with not paying the taxes they

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should. And this deal will allow energy prices to come down? Yes How

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could David Laws, one of your ministers, proudly defend the record

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of unqualified teachers working in free schools, and then stand

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side-by-side with Mr Clegg, as he says he is against them? David Laws

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was not proudly defending the fact that it is unqualified teachers He

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said that some of the new, unqualified teachers in free schools

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are doing a superb job. But you want to get rid of them? We want to make

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sure that everybody coming into a free school ends up being qualified.

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Ends up? Goes through a process that means they have qualifications. Just

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as we said very clearly at the last election that the manifesto

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curriculum in free schools should be the same as other schools. It looks

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like Mr Clegg is picking a fight just for the sake of it. Mr Clegg

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was taught by people who didn't have teaching qualifications in one of

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the greatest schools in the land, if not the world. It didn't seem to do

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him any harm. What is the problem? If you pay to go to a school, you

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know what you're getting. But that is what a free school is. No, you

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don't pay fees. A free school is parents taking the decisions, not

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you, the politicians. We believe they would expect to guarantee is,

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firstly that the minimum curriculum taught across the country is taught

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in the free schools, and secondly, that the teachers there are

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qualified. Someone who send their kids to private schools took a

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decision to take -- to send their children there, even if the teachers

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were unqualified, because they are experts in their field. Someone who

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send their kids to free schools is because -- is their decision, not

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yours. Because some of the free schools are new, and have never been

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there before, parents need a guarantee that there are some basics

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in place, whatever sort of school. So they need you to hold their hand?

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It is not about holding hands, it is about having a minimum guarantee.

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Our party made clear at our conference that this is a priority

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for us. Nick Clegg reflects the view of the party, and I believe it is an

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entirely rational thing to do. Nick Clegg complained that the Prime

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Minister gave him only 30 minutes notice on the Prime Minister Buzz 's

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U-turn on green levies. That is almost as little time as Nick Clegg

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gave the Prime Minister on his U-turn on free schools. Aren't you

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supposed to be partners? Green levies were under discussion in the

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ministerial group before Wednesday, because we identified this as an

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issue. We do that in a practical way. Sometimes there is only half an

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hour's notice. We had even less than half an hour this morning! Simon

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Hughes, thank you. So the price of energy is the big

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battle ground in politics at the moment. 72% of people say that high

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bills will influence the way they vote at the next election. Ed

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Miliband has promised a price freeze after the next election, but will

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the coalition turned the tables on Labour, with its proposal to roll

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back green levies. Caroline Flint joins us from Sheffield. It looks

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like the coalition will be able to take ?50 of energy bills, by

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removing green levies. It is quite clear that different parts of the

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government are running round waking up to the fact that the public feel

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that this government has not done enough to listen to their concerns.

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Last week, there was a classic case of the Prime Minister making up

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policy literally at the dispatch box. Let's see what they say in the

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autumn statement. The truth is, whatever the debate around green

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levies, and I have always said we should look at value for money at

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those green levies. Our argument is about acknowledging there is

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something wrong with the way the market works, and the way those

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companies are regulated. Behind our freeze for 20 months is a package of

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proposals to reform this market I understand that, but you cannot tell

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as the details about that. I can. You cannot give us the details about

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reforming the market. We are going to do three things, and I think I

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said this last time I was on the programme. First, we are going to

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separate out the generation side from the supply side within the big

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six. Secondly, we will have a energy pool, or power exchange, where all

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energy will have to be traded in that pool. Thirdly, we will

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establish a tougher regulator, because Ofgem is increasingly being

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seen as not doing the job right I notice that you didn't mention any

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reform of the current green and social taxes on the energy bill Is

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it Labour's policy to maintain the existing green levies? In 2011, the

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government chose to get rid of warm front, which was the publicly funded

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through tracks a scheme to support new installation. When they got rid

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of that, it was the first time we had a government since the 70s that

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didn't have such a policy. What is your policy? We voted against that

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because we believe it is wrong. We believe that the eco-scheme, a

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government intervention which is ?47 of the ?112 on our bills each year,

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is expensive, bureaucratic and isn't going to the fuel poor. I am up for

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a debate on these issues. I am up for a discussion on what the

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government should do and what these energy companies should do. We

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cannot let Cameron all the energy companies off the hook from the way

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in which they organise their businesses, and expect us to pay

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ever increasing rises in our bills. There is ?112 of green levies on our

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bills at the moment. Did you vote against any of them? We didn't, but

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what I would say ease these were government imposed levies. When they

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got rid of the government funded programme, Warm Front, they

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introduced the eco-scheme. The eco-project is one of the ones where

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the energy companies are saying it's too bureaucratic, and it is

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proving more expensive than government estimates, apparently

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doubled the amount the government thought. These things are all worth

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looking at, but don't go to the heart of the issue. According to

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official figures, on current plans, which you support, which you voted

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for, households will be paying 1% more per unit of electricity by

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2030. It puts your temporary freeze as just a blip. You support a 4 %

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rise in our bills. I support making sure we secure for the future access

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to energy that we can grow here in the UK, whether it is through

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nuclear, wind or solar, or other technologies yet to be developed. We

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should protect ourselves against energy costs we cannot control. The

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truth is, it is every fair for you to put that point across, and I

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accept that, but we need to hear the other side about the cost for bill

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payers if we didn't invest in new, indigenous sources of energy supply

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for the future, which, in the long run, will be cheaper and more

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secure, and create the jobs we need. I think it is important to

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have a debate about these issues, but they have to be seen in the

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right context. If we stay stuck in the past, we will pay more and we

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will not create jobs. How can you criticise the coalition's plans for

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a new nuclear station, when jeering 13 years of a Labour government you

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did not invest in a single nuclear plant? You sold off all our nuclear

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technology to foreign companies Energy provision was put out to

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private hands and there has been no obstacle in British law against

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ownership outside the UK. Part of this is looking ahead. Because your

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previous track record is so bad What we did decide under the

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previous government, we came to the view, and there were discussions in

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our party about this, that we did need to support a nuclear future.

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At the time of that, David Cameron was one of those saying that

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nuclear power should be a last resort. And as you said, the

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Liberals did not support it. We stood up for that. We set in train

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the green light of 10 sites, including Hinkley Point, for

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nuclear development. I am glad to see that is making progress and we

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should make more progress over the years ahead. We took a tough

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decision when other governments had not done. You did not build a new

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nuclear station. When you get back into power, will you build HS2?

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That has not had a blank cheque from the Labour Party. I am in

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favour of good infrastructure. Are you in favour of?, answer the

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question? I have answered the question. It does not have a blank

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cheque. If the prices are too high, we will review the decision when we

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come back to vote on it. We will be looking at it closely. We have to

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look for value for money and how it benefits the country. Have you

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stocked up on jumpers this winter? I am perfectly all right with my

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clothing. What is important, it is ridiculous for the Government to

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suggest that the answer to the loss of trust in the energy companies is

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to put on another jumper. The coalition has taken a long time

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to come up with anything that can trump Ed Miliband's simple freezing

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energy prices, vote for us. Are they on the brink of doing so? I do

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not think so. They have had a problem that has dominated the

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debate, talking about GDP, the figures came out on Friday and said,

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well, and went back to talking about energy. My problem with what

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David Cameron proposes is he agrees with the analysis that the Big Six

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make too many profits. He wants to move the green levies into general

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taxation, so that he looks like he is protecting the profits of the

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energy companies. If the coalition can say they will take money off

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the bills, does that change the game? I do not think the Liberal

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Democrats are an obstacle to unwinding the green levies. I think

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Nick Clegg is open to doing a deal, but the real obstacle is the carbon

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reduction targets that we signed up to during the boom years. They were

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ambitious I thought at the time From that we have the taxes and

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clocking up of the supply-side of the economy. Unless he will revise

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that, and build from first principles a new strategy, he

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cannot do more than put a dent into green levies. He might say as I

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have got to ?50 now and if you voters in in an overall majority, I

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will look up what we have done in the better times and give you more.

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I am sure he will do that. It might be ?50 of the Bill, but it will be

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?50 on your general taxation bill, which would be more progressive

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They will find it. We will never see it in general taxation. The

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problem for the Coalition on what Ed Miliband has done is that it is

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five weeks since he made that speech and it is all we are talking

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about. David Cameron spent those five weeks trying to work out

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whether Ed Miliband is a Marxist or whether he is connected to Middle

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Britain. That is why Ed Miliband set the agenda. The coalition are

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squabbling among themselves, looking petulant, on energy, and on

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schools. Nobody is taking notice of the fact the economy is under way,

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the recovery is under way. Ed Miliband has made the weather on

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this. It UK has a relaxed attitude about

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selling off assets based -- to companies based abroad. But this

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week we have seen the Swiss owner of one of Scotland's largest

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industrial sites, Grangemouth, come within a whisker of closing part of

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it down. So should we care whether British assets have foreign owners?

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Britain might be a nation of homeowners, but we appear to have

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lost our taste for owning some of our biggest businesses. These are

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among the crown jewels sold off in the past three decades to companies

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based abroad. Roughly half of Britain's essential services have

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overseas owners. The airport owner, British Airports Authority, is

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owned by a Spanish company. Britain's largest water company

:20:43.:20:45.

Thames, is owned by a consortium led by an Australian bank. Four out

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of six of Britain's biggest energy companies are owned by overseas

:20:49.:20:51.

giants, and one of these, EDF Energy, which is owned by the

:20:52.:20:54.

French state, is building Britain's first nuclear power plant in a

:20:55.:20:56.

generation, backed by Chinese investors. It's a similar story for

:20:57.:21:04.

train operator Arriva, bought by a company owned by the German state.

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So part of the railways privatised by the British government was

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effectively re-nationalised by the German government. But does it

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matter who owns these companies as long as the lights stay on, the

:21:22.:21:24.

trains run on time, and we can still eat Cadbury's Dairy Milk?

:21:25.:21:30.

We are joined by the general secretary of the RMT, Bob Crow, and

:21:31.:21:35.

by venture capitalist Julie Meyer. They go head to head.

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Have we seen the consequences of relying for essential services to

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be foreign-owned? Four of the Big Six energy companies, Grangemouth,

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owned by a tax exile in Switzerland. It is not good. I do not think

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there is a cause and effect relationship between foreign

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ownership and consumer prices. That is not the right comparison. We

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need to be concerned about businesses represented the future,

:22:12.:22:14.

businesses we are good at innovating for example in financial

:22:15.:22:19.

services and the UK has a history of building businesses, such as

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Monotypes. If we were not creating businesses here -- Monotise. Like

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so many businesses creating products and services and creating

:22:37.:22:46.

the shareholders. Should we allow hour essential services to be in

:22:47.:22:51.

foreign ownership? It was demonstrated this week at

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Grangemouth. If you do not own the industry, you do not own it. The

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MPs of this country and the politicians in Scotland have no say,

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they were consultants. Multinationals decide whether to

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shut a company down. If that had been Unite union, they are the ones

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who saved the jobs. They capitulated. They will come back,

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like they have for the past 150 years, and capture again what they

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lost. If it had closed, they would have lost their jobs for ever. If

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the union had called the members up without a ballot for strike action,

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there would have been uproar. This person in Switzerland can decide to

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shut the entire industry down. The coalition, the Labour Party, as

:23:42.:23:46.

well, when Labour was in government, they played a role of allowing

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industries to go abroad, and it should be returned to public

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ownership. Nestor. It has demonstrated that the Net comes

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from new businesses. We must not be... When Daly motion was stopped

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by the French government to be sold, it was an arrow to the heart of

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French entrepreneurs. We must not create that culture in the UK.

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Every train running in France is built in France. 90% of the trains

:24:28.:24:31.

running in Germany are built in Germany. In Japan, it has to be

:24:32.:24:42.

built in that country, and now an energy company in France is

:24:43.:24:46.

reducing its nuclear capability in its own country and wants to make

:24:47.:24:49.

profits out of the British industry to put back into it state industry.

:24:50.:24:54.

That happened with the railway industry. They want to make money

:24:55.:24:58.

at the expense of their own state companies. We sold off energy

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production. How did we end up in a position where our nuclear capacity

:25:09.:25:14.

will be built by a company owned by a socialist date, France, and

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funded by a communist one, China, for vital infrastructure? I am not

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suggesting that is in the national interest. I am saying we can pick

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any one example and say it is a shame. The simple matter of the

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fact is the owners are having to make decisions. Not just

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Grangemouth, businesses are making decisions about what is the common

:25:40.:25:44.

good. Not just in the shareholders' interest. For employees, customers.

:25:45.:25:50.

What is in the common good when prices go up by 10% and the reason

:25:51.:25:55.

is that 20 years ago they shut every coal pit down in this country,

:25:56.:25:59.

the Germans kept theirs open and subsidised it and now we have the

:26:00.:26:02.

Germans doing away with nuclear power and they have coal. Under the

:26:03.:26:11.

Labour government, in 2008, the climate change Act was passed. Well

:26:12.:26:17.

before that, and you know yourself, they shut down the coal mines to

:26:18.:26:21.

smash the National Union of Mineworkers because they dared to

:26:22.:26:25.

stand up for people in their community. Even if we wanted to

:26:26.:26:30.

reopen the coalmines, it would be pointless. Under the 2008 Act, we

:26:31.:26:35.

are not meant to burn more coal The can, as if you spent some of

:26:36.:26:41.

the profits, you could have carbon catch up. That does not exist on a

:26:42.:26:50.

massive scale. You are arguing the case, Julie Meyer, for

:26:51.:26:54.

entrepreneurs to come to this country. Even Bob Crow is not

:26:55.:26:59.

against that. We are trying to argue, should essential services be

:27:00.:27:06.

in foreign hands? Not those in Silicon round about doing start ups.

:27:07.:27:13.

I am trying to draw a broader principle than just energy.

:27:14.:27:17.

Something like broadband services, also important to the functioning

:27:18.:27:24.

of the economy. I believe in the UK's ability to innovate. When we

:27:25.:27:29.

have businesses that play off broadband companies to get the best

:27:30.:27:34.

prices for consumers. These new businesses and business models are

:27:35.:27:40.

the best way. Not to control, but to influence. It will be a disaster.

:27:41.:27:46.

Prices will go up and up as a result. Nissan in Sunderland, a

:27:47.:27:52.

Japanese factory, some of the best cars and productivity. You want

:27:53.:27:56.

that to be nationalised and bring it down to the standard of British

:27:57.:28:01.

Leyland? It is not bring it down to the standard. The car manufacturing

:28:02.:28:04.

base in this country has been wrecked. We make more cars now for

:28:05.:28:11.

20 years -- than in 20 years. Ford's Dagenham produced some of

:28:12.:28:17.

the best cars in the world. Did you buy one? I cannot drive. They moved

:28:18.:28:23.

their plants to other countries where it was cheaper labour. Would

:28:24.:28:30.

you nationalise Nissan? There should be one car industry that

:28:31.:28:35.

produces cars for people. This week the EU summit was about Angela

:28:36.:28:40.

Merkel's mobile phone being tapped, they call it a handy. We sent Adam

:28:41.:28:49.

to Brussels and told him to ignore the business about phone-tapping

:28:50.:28:52.

and investigate the Prime Minister's policy on Europe instead.

:28:53.:29:02.

I have come to my first EU summit to see how David Cameron is getting on

:29:03.:29:11.

with his strategy to claim power was back from Brussels. Got any powers

:29:12.:29:20.

back yet? Yes! Which ones? Sadly, his fellow leaders were not as

:29:21.:29:24.

forthcoming. Chancellor, are you going to give any powers back to

:29:25.:29:31.

Britain? Has David Cameron asked you for any powers back? The president

:29:32.:29:35.

of the commission just laughed, and listen to the Lithuanian President.

:29:36.:29:44.

How is David Cameron's renegotiation strategy going? What's that? He

:29:45.:29:54.

wants powers back for Britain. No one knows what powers David Cameron

:29:55.:29:58.

actually wants. Even our usual allies, like Sweden, are bit

:29:59.:30:06.

baffled. We actually don't know yet what is going through the UK

:30:07.:30:12.

membership. We will await the finalisation of that first. You

:30:13.:30:18.

should ask him, and then tell us! Here is someone who must know, the

:30:19.:30:23.

Dutch Prime Minister, he is doing what we are doing, carrying out a

:30:24.:30:29.

review of the EU powers, known as competencies in the jargon, before

:30:30.:30:34.

negotiating to get some back. Have you had any negotiations with David

:30:35.:30:37.

Cameron over what powers you can bring back from Brussels? That is

:30:38.:30:44.

not on the agenda of this summit. Have you talked to him about it

:30:45.:30:49.

This is not on the schedule for this summit.

:30:50.:30:54.

David Cameron's advises tummy it is because he is playing the long game.

:30:55.:31:05.

-- David Cameron's advisers tell me. At this summit, there was a task

:31:06.:31:11.

force discussing how to cut EU red tape. Just how long this game is was

:31:12.:31:18.

explained to me outside the summit, by the leader of the Conservatives

:31:19.:31:24.

in the European Parliament. I think the behind-the-scenes negotiations

:31:25.:31:28.

will start happening when the new commissioner is appointed later next

:31:29.:31:31.

year. I think the detailed negotiations will start to happen

:31:32.:31:36.

bubbly after the UK general election. That is when we will start

:31:37.:31:40.

getting all of the detail of the horse trading, and real, Lake night

:31:41.:31:49.

negotiations. Angela Merkel seems keen to rewrite the EU's main

:31:50.:31:53.

treaties to deal with changes in the Eurozone, and that is the mechanism

:31:54.:31:58.

David Cameron would use to renegotiate our membership. Everyone

:31:59.:32:02.

here says his relationship with the German Chancellor is strong. So

:32:03.:32:06.

after days in this building, here is how it looks. David Cameron has a

:32:07.:32:12.

mountain to climb. It is climbable, but he isn't even in the foothills

:32:13.:32:16.

yet. Has he even started packing his bags for the trip?

:32:17.:32:21.

Joining us now, a man who knows a thing or two about the difficulties

:32:22.:32:29.

Prime Minister 's face in Europe. Former Deputy Prime Minister,

:32:30.:32:32.

Michael Heseltine. We are nine months from David Cameron's defining

:32:33.:32:37.

speech on EU renegotiation. Can you think of one area of progress? I

:32:38.:32:43.

don't know. And you don't know. And that's a good thing. Why is it a

:32:44.:32:51.

good thing? Because the real progress goes on behind closed

:32:52.:33:02.

doors. And only the most naive, because the real progress goes on

:33:03.:33:08.

behind closed doors. Because, in this weary world, you and I, Andrew,

:33:09.:33:14.

know full well that the moment you say, I making progress, people say,

:33:15.:33:20.

where? And the machine goes to work to show that the progress isn't

:33:21.:33:26.

enough. So you are much better off making progress as best you can in

:33:27.:33:34.

the privacy of private diplomacy. It is a long journey ahead. In this

:33:35.:33:40.

long journey, do you have a clear sense of the destination? Do you

:33:41.:33:46.

have a clear sense of what powers Mr Cameron wants to negotiate? I have a

:33:47.:33:50.

clear sense of the destination, which is a victory for the campaign

:33:51.:33:56.

that he will win to stay inside the European community. That is the

:33:57.:34:02.

agenda, and I have total support for that. I understand that, but if he

:34:03.:34:10.

is incapable of getting any tangible sign of renegotiation, if he is able

:34:11.:34:16.

only to do what Wilson did in 1 75, which was to get a couple of token

:34:17.:34:22.

changes to our membership status, he goes into that referendum without

:34:23.:34:27.

much to argue for. He has everything to argue for. He's got Britain's

:34:28.:34:35.

vital role as a major contributor to the community. He's got Britain s

:34:36.:34:39.

self interest as a major beneficiary, and Britain's vital

:34:40.:34:47.

role in the City of London. He's got everything to argue for. He could

:34:48.:34:51.

argue for that now. He could have a referendum now. He doesn't want one

:34:52.:34:58.

now. I haven't any doubt that he will come back with something to

:34:59.:35:06.

talk about. But it may be slightly different to what his critics, the

:35:07.:35:14.

UK isolationist party people, want. He may, for example, have found that

:35:15.:35:18.

allies within the community want change as well, and he may secure

:35:19.:35:24.

changes in the way the community works, which would be a significant

:35:25.:35:30.

argument within the referendum campaign. Let me give you an

:35:31.:35:36.

example. I think it is a scandal that the European Commission don't

:35:37.:35:42.

secure the auditing of some of the accounts. Perhaps that could be on

:35:43.:35:48.

the agenda. He might find a lot of contributing countries, like

:35:49.:35:51.

Germany, like Colin and, would be very keen. -- like Holland. David

:35:52.:36:00.

vetoed the increase in the European budgets the other day, and he had a

:36:01.:36:07.

lot of allies. So working within Europe on the things that people

:36:08.:36:12.

paying the European bills want is fertile ground. Is John Major right

:36:13.:36:16.

to call for a windfall tax on the energy companies? John is a very

:36:17.:36:22.

cautious fellow. He doesn't say things without thinking them out. So

:36:23.:36:28.

I was surprised that he went for a windfall tax. First of all, it is

:36:29.:36:34.

retrospective, and secondly, it is difficult to predict what the

:36:35.:36:39.

consequences will be. I am, myself, more interested in the other part of

:36:40.:36:43.

his speech, which was talking about the need for the Conservative Party

:36:44.:36:49.

to seek a wider horizon, to recognise what is happening to the

:36:50.:36:53.

Conservative Party in the way in which its membership is shrinking

:36:54.:37:01.

into a southeastern enclave. Are you in favour of a windfall tax? I am

:37:02.:37:06.

not in favour of increasing any taxes. Do you share Iain Duncan

:37:07.:37:17.

Smith's point of view on welfare reform? I think Iain Duncan Smith is

:37:18.:37:27.

right. It is extremely difficult to do, but he is right to try. I think

:37:28.:37:33.

public opinion is behind him, but it isn't easy, because on the fringe of

:37:34.:37:43.

these issues there are genuine hard luck stories, and they are the ones

:37:44.:37:48.

that become the focus of attention the moment you introduce change It

:37:49.:37:53.

requires a lot of political skill to negotiate your way through that But

:37:54.:37:59.

isn't Iain Duncan Smith right to invoke the beverage principle, that

:38:00.:38:04.

you should be expected to make a contribution for the welfare you

:38:05.:38:10.

depend on? Yes, he is. I will let you get your Sunday lunch. Thanks

:38:11.:38:14.

for joining us. Coming up in just over 20 minutes, I

:38:15.:38:16.

will be looking Hello, I'm Arif Ansari. Coming up in

:38:17.:38:27.

the North West: Value for money or overpaid fat

:38:28.:38:31.

cats? How much would you pay the head of your council?

:38:32.:38:35.

No payrises here but that hasn't put off my guests this week. We welcome

:38:36.:38:39.

the Labour MP for Bolton West, Julie Hilling, and Mark Menzies, the

:38:40.:38:45.

Conservative MP for Fylde. And we start with the Chief Executive of

:38:46.:38:47.

Lancashire County Council, Phil Halsall, who left his job this week

:38:48.:38:51.

in the middle of an inquiry into how a council contract was awarded.

:38:52.:38:57.

Here's how events in Lancashire unfolded. Phil Halsall was appointed

:38:58.:39:01.

chief executive in 2011 on a salary of ?195,000.

:39:02.:39:04.

unfolded. Phil Halsall was appointed chief executive in 2011 on In April,

:39:05.:39:06.

the council awarded One Connect that's a joint venture between the

:39:07.:39:10.

council and BT, a ten year contract worth ?5m to manage the council s

:39:11.:39:17.

vehicles. Mr Halsall is a director of One Connect.

:39:18.:39:20.

Six days later, the Conservative Geoff Driver lost his job as council

:39:21.:39:23.

leader following the local elections. Labour launched an

:39:24.:39:30.

inquiry. That report was given to the council in August and Mr Halsall

:39:31.:39:35.

was suspended. Phil Halsall has always been clear he did nothing

:39:36.:39:37.

wrong. always been clear he did nothing

:39:38.:39:40.

Well, the Labour MP in West Lancashire, Rosie Cooper, is not

:39:41.:39:48.

reassured. This whole episode has been a triumph of commercial

:39:49.:39:54.

confidentiality over the public interest and it is time public

:39:55.:39:57.

interest came first. It is time to open the books, be honest and to

:39:58.:40:02.

tell people what councillors and decisions have been made by them and

:40:03.:40:06.

the executive of the former magister County Council, they need to be made

:40:07.:40:11.

accountable for what they have done. `` Manchester County Council.

:40:12.:40:13.

Well, Phil Halsall and the Labour Leader of Lancashire County Council

:40:14.:40:17.

Jenny Mein did not want to talk The former Conservative Leader Geoff

:40:18.:40:18.

Driver sent us this statement. Well, staying with chief execs and

:40:19.:40:36.

this week, the Mayor of Salford Ian Stuart,

:40:37.:40:42.

`` all, what do you make of all this? I do not want to get drawn

:40:43.:40:49.

into any of the details because I have not been privy. We do not know

:40:50.:40:54.

them, that is the problem. I think it is healthy to ensure that there

:40:55.:40:58.

is an inquiry, that the information is in the public domain so that

:40:59.:41:01.

there is no ambiguity or concern that wrongdoing has taken this. In

:41:02.:41:05.

this case, it is absolutely right for there to be an inquiry. `` has

:41:06.:41:11.

taken place. Do you regret that they have come to this compromise

:41:12.:41:13.

agreement rather than seeing the inquiry through? Because Mike I have

:41:14.:41:18.

not been privy to the conversations that the councillors have had but I

:41:19.:41:21.

think it should be very important for my residents to make sure that

:41:22.:41:29.

transparency prevails. `` through. I have not been privy. I am not

:41:30.:41:33.

satisfied with the way it has been left hanging. I think there are

:41:34.:41:37.

unanswered questions and it is healthy for them to be answered

:41:38.:41:41.

What would you like answered? Some details around the peace in your

:41:42.:41:47.

intro. What brought it around. I was not aware of any concerns being made

:41:48.:41:52.

about Phil Halsall, his performance at all. This is all something very

:41:53.:41:57.

recent to me. It is very important that we do understand what went

:41:58.:42:01.

wrong. Did any wrong doing take place or is this something that is

:42:02.:42:08.

not as big a concern as some people are saying? Until we have an

:42:09.:42:13.

inquiry, we do not know that. There have been two interpretations. One

:42:14.:42:16.

is that Labour came in and deliberately forced out a good

:42:17.:42:21.

performing chief executive. The other one is that something we are

:42:22.:42:25.

not quite sure about was going on beforehand, under the previous

:42:26.:42:28.

administration, and we need answers for that. Which one do you lean

:42:29.:42:36.

towards? ? Some weight is a good disinfectant. If we get all of the

:42:37.:42:39.

fact out of the public domain then we can let people reach their own

:42:40.:42:43.

conclusions. At the moment we are speculative, never a good place to

:42:44.:42:47.

be. Julie, I know you are not a Lancashire MP but if your feeling

:42:48.:42:50.

that there should have been more time given to Cedars inquiry

:42:51.:42:54.

through? I think this illustrates is how important it is that you have

:42:55.:43:01.

good ordered trails and scrutiny of everything that officers and

:43:02.:43:03.

councillors are doing. I think that it has to be for Lancashire to see

:43:04.:43:06.

how best to resolve the situation and whether it gets taken anywhere

:43:07.:43:11.

else for further inquiry. I think Lancashire has to make that

:43:12.:43:15.

decision. One thing which is always very distressing is that the vast

:43:16.:43:21.

majority of public servants, whether paid officials or elected

:43:22.:43:23.

representatives, do a good job. One of the difficulties that always

:43:24.:43:28.

happen in these situations is that people say that they are all the

:43:29.:43:31.

same and that is not true. The vast majority are doing a good job.

:43:32.:43:35.

We are sticking with chief executives. This week, the mayor of

:43:36.:43:41.

Salford, Ian Stuart, decided has council does not need one. `` his

:43:42.:43:44.

counsel. He's planning to take on a large part of the role himself. But

:43:45.:43:48.

while he's going to do without, consultants in Rochdale have

:43:49.:43:51.

recommended their chief exec get an extra ?40,000. It's sparked a row

:43:52.:43:54.

between the Council Leader Colin Lambert and the Rochdale MP Simon

:43:55.:43:57.

Danczuk. He's so angry he's calling for a parliamentary inquiry into top

:43:58.:44:05.

bosses' pay. Stuart Pollitt reports. Pay packets, wage slips. Chances are

:44:06.:44:10.

you want more in yours but how much should be in chief executives'? That

:44:11.:44:21.

debate has been ignited here in Rochdale in recent weeks. It has

:44:22.:44:24.

pitted labour Council against Labour MP, provoking petitions and strong

:44:25.:44:28.

public opinion. It started when consultants were paid ?27,000 by the

:44:29.:44:31.

council and recommended this man, chief executive Jim Taylor, should

:44:32.:44:38.

be paid an extra ?40,000 a year Car tax is due. You can pay that. Steve

:44:39.:44:48.

and Vanessa are both facing 30% pay cuts in their jobs for a private

:44:49.:44:51.

company employed by Rochdale Council. We are not getting things

:44:52.:44:56.

paid. We have not got the money At the same time, you see people higher

:44:57.:45:00.

up the scale getting pay increases, hopes that make you feel? It is an

:45:01.:45:07.

insult. Yes, it is equivalent to three of my wages.

:45:08.:45:10.

So how much do chief executives get? The consultants who reported to

:45:11.:45:13.

Rochdale said the average outside London is ?180,000 with the range in

:45:14.:45:16.

Greater Manchester from ?140,00 to just over ?200,000. Jim Taylor at

:45:17.:45:23.

Rochdale is one of the lowest paid but the town's MP has led the

:45:24.:45:29.

campaign against any rise. It is just not acceptable. So by keeping

:45:30.:45:35.

salaries lower in Rochdale, you will not lose the best people? We have

:45:36.:45:39.

recruited some of the best people in Rochdale. You can keep them? Jim

:45:40.:45:45.

Taylor came here 12 months ago, what has changed? The guy obviously

:45:46.:45:51.

wanted to work here. The council says it has cut back on senior

:45:52.:45:54.

managers and promised to look again before committing to any pay rises.

:45:55.:45:58.

What is the problem was keeping pay as it is? If you look at Greater

:45:59.:46:02.

Manchester, ten authorities, there is quite a bit of easement in senior

:46:03.:46:08.

staff. If we are to keep them, the independent advice is that these are

:46:09.:46:14.

the middle range salaries. `` quite a bit of movement in senior staff.

:46:15.:46:20.

If you come 100 miles north and head for the Cumbrian hills, you will

:46:21.:46:24.

find the executive debate is not just about how much they are paid

:46:25.:46:28.

but how much are paid off. Stephen, you have a lot of paper. What have

:46:29.:46:34.

you spent the last six months June? I have been attempting to find out

:46:35.:46:40.

the extent of the payoff of the ex`county council leader. Any joy?

:46:41.:46:43.

Cumbria County Council says it normally publishes remuneration and

:46:44.:46:46.

redundancy details in the fully audited accounts and will do so next

:46:47.:46:53.

summer. Why does it matter if they do it quickly? It matters because in

:46:54.:46:57.

May next year there are elections. These people have to be held to

:46:58.:47:00.

account and if we do not know what they are doing then we cannot. How

:47:01.:47:06.

much to the people of this town think chief executive is put into

:47:07.:47:10.

their bank accounts? About 200, 00. But like that's not bad, that's

:47:11.:47:15.

quite close. about 150,000. 50 grand? You are 100 groundout!

:47:16.:47:21.

Really? No way. So how does public and private pay

:47:22.:47:24.

compare? The average in large private sector business is ?215 000.

:47:25.:47:27.

At Manchester United, former chief executive David Gill was paid

:47:28.:47:30.

?2.6million last year. The head of BBC North, Peter Salmon, picked up

:47:31.:47:32.

?387,000. ?2.6million last year. The head of

:47:33.:47:39.

BBC North, There is no comparison. Chief executive in large retailers

:47:40.:47:45.

or large private companies work practically 24/7. Let me tell you,

:47:46.:47:49.

from my experience, the senior chief officers do not work 24/7.

:47:50.:47:54.

We all hope for a pot of gold at the end of the rainbow but will the

:47:55.:47:58.

bosses at our councils have to get used to a smaller pot in the future?

:47:59.:48:07.

And we're joined now from London by Steve Tatton of consultants IDS

:48:08.:48:10.

which has carried out research into the pay of council chief executives.

:48:11.:48:19.

Welcome to the programme. How much are chief executives paid? Oh, well,

:48:20.:48:26.

yes, on the basis of the latest data available referring to last year,

:48:27.:48:28.

across the whole of England, the sort of average pay of council chief

:48:29.:48:35.

executive is 145,000. That will differ according to the type of

:48:36.:48:37.

authority you are looking at. For instance, if you are at the head of

:48:38.:48:42.

a London bar, the average salary might be around 185. If you are the

:48:43.:48:48.

chief executive of the small district Council, that would be

:48:49.:48:57.

around 100 15. How always decided? A lot of authorities have a

:48:58.:49:00.

remuneration committee which is made up of council members. `` how is

:49:01.:49:04.

this decided? They will take advice like the consultant `` consultancies

:49:05.:49:12.

in Rochdale and they will make the decision of how much they should

:49:13.:49:16.

receive and what salary increases they should receive. There has been

:49:17.:49:20.

some pretty big increases for TV executives. I have not been the

:49:21.:49:24.

immediate past but certainly in the last few years. `` chief executive

:49:25.:49:33.

is. From 1999 to 2009, chief executive went up by 76%. That, in

:49:34.:49:39.

turn, is part of an inquiry by the public administration select

:49:40.:49:44.

committee, which looked at the whole question of senior executive pay. ``

:49:45.:49:47.

sparked off an inquiry. The new incoming government then promised

:49:48.:49:52.

that no senior official would be appointed on more than

:49:53.:49:53.

that no senior official would be appointed on more the Prime Minister

:49:54.:50:00.

salary, around 100,000 `` 150,0 0. Mark, what do you make of this and

:50:01.:50:05.

what we saw in this film about Jim Taylor? I think Simon, the MP for

:50:06.:50:11.

Rochdale, makes a very important point in that it is a matter for the

:50:12.:50:15.

select committee to look at. Maybe these people to justify their

:50:16.:50:19.

salaries but it sets uncomfortably with me at the moment to hear such

:50:20.:50:23.

big pay rises going through. Often at a time when people further down

:50:24.:50:26.

in the council are expected to take pay freezes. That does not

:50:27.:50:30.

separate. I think it is important that it gets looked at

:50:31.:50:35.

independently. You could save, why is he worth ?40,000 less than they

:50:36.:50:40.

are chief executives? Let's look at this. If you have a high performing

:50:41.:50:45.

leader of the council who is delivering efficiency savings and

:50:46.:50:48.

improving the services for council tax payers then there is a case to

:50:49.:50:53.

be put for that extra pay. But you should not just be doing that for

:50:54.:50:58.

the sake of it. Your chief executive in Fylde, he gets paid about 90 The

:50:59.:51:04.

correct it is less, it is a small authority and the officers work

:51:05.:51:08.

incredibly hard and have a lot of responsibility. You reckon that if

:51:09.:51:13.

about right? I think it is a reasonable sum of money in

:51:14.:51:17.

comparison but it comes down to the performance of that chief executive.

:51:18.:51:23.

Julie, looking at your council, we see the leader on almost double

:51:24.:51:27.

?170,000. Do you think that is right? I think you have to look at

:51:28.:51:31.

the role that people play. As Mark says, we are a single tier

:51:32.:51:37.

authorities, Sean is running a multi`million pound business,

:51:38.:51:41.

effectively. He has not had a pay rise since 2006. Do you think you

:51:42.:51:46.

should? Wear any time of austerity. I think we have to look at the

:51:47.:51:52.

situation for all people in different jobs. There is a job

:51:53.:51:55.

evaluation that needs to be done and Wigan is another local authority,

:51:56.:51:59.

the new chief executive has taken a pay cut from the previous one. It is

:52:00.:52:04.

about looking at the situation. What has happened across both of my

:52:05.:52:07.

authorities is that they have done away with lots of tears of senior

:52:08.:52:12.

management. Both authorities, one is lost and the other is in the process

:52:13.:52:17.

of getting rid of, the chief executive. Senior managers are

:52:18.:52:23.

taking on more responsible to stop that is one of the Ordinance, that

:52:24.:52:26.

is why they said Jim Taylor is worth the money. We need the right people

:52:27.:52:31.

running the local authorities so it is a balance of having the right

:52:32.:52:38.

people in place at the Dean to remunerate them properly as against

:52:39.:52:40.

the difficult times but we should not just blame local authorities. ``

:52:41.:52:50.

?1 billion was taken out of local authority expenditure so we are at a

:52:51.:52:53.

difficult time were local authorities are trying to manage the

:52:54.:52:59.

difficulty of the budget. That would not explain why their salaries would

:53:00.:53:03.

go up. What do you make of the Mayor of Salford? He is planning on doing

:53:04.:53:10.

it himself. We are in a different situation to Salford, one of the few

:53:11.:53:13.

authorities with an elected mayor. When things are going well then

:53:14.:53:17.

things will maybe be fine and if he is going to take on those

:53:18.:53:19.

responsibilities maybe that will be fine. But maybe it won't? Maybe it

:53:20.:53:26.

won't. When you have difficulties, who will take responsibility for

:53:27.:53:28.

sorting out those difficulties? If Ian is not only mayor but Chief

:53:29.:53:34.

Executive then fine but somebody has to have that ultimate goal that is

:53:35.:53:38.

taking that responsibility that is different from the leader of the

:53:39.:53:41.

council. In Salford, Barbara Spicer was the chief executive, pretty well

:53:42.:53:46.

regarded. Is it a danger if people lose their chief executives? It is

:53:47.:53:50.

important to split the row between me and chief executive. As a chief

:53:51.:53:55.

executive, you are in a senior management will. As mayor, you're

:53:56.:54:01.

overseeing the running of the council. It is important that you do

:54:02.:54:05.

not prove that you because you could end up with bad decisions being

:54:06.:54:09.

taken and Lessig on to build a. We will keep an eye on it. Thank you.

:54:10.:54:13.

`` and less accountability. The village of Tattenhall in West

:54:14.:54:17.

Cheshire was mentioned in the Domesday Book. People there are

:54:18.:54:20.

quite keen to preserve it and this week voted overwhelmingly to limit

:54:21.:54:22.

development by supporting a so`called Neighbourhood Plan. It

:54:23.:54:25.

would be the region's first, although developers are challenging

:54:26.:54:31.

it in the courts. Meanwhile, in East Cheshire, the Government's thrown

:54:32.:54:33.

out the council's latest development plan, leading to fears the area

:54:34.:54:37.

could be swamped by developers. Chris Rider's been investigating.

:54:38.:54:47.

This is local democracy in action. The residents of Tattenhall coming

:54:48.:54:51.

out to vote in this referendum. They were deciding whether to support the

:54:52.:54:54.

parish council's own plan to protect the village from too much

:54:55.:55:01.

development, a plan they want adopted. I think it is good for the

:55:02.:55:05.

village. We will see how it goes and what happens. There has been a lot

:55:06.:55:10.

of discussion and meetings. Garden gate costs. It has been a topic of

:55:11.:55:17.

conversation for a long time. `` garden gate gossip. Having all of

:55:18.:55:23.

these develop them all at once, it is too much and the village will

:55:24.:55:28.

fall out of contact. The village still faces a legal challenge from

:55:29.:55:35.

to developers. There is no voting going on in this neighbouring

:55:36.:55:39.

village but the Conservative councillors are going head`to`head

:55:40.:55:44.

with local `` with Eric pickles who has dismissed it. Officers leaving

:55:45.:55:50.

them concerned about the future This is the field where it is going

:55:51.:55:53.

to be, all the way down to that page. There is anger and

:55:54.:55:58.

distraction. The local parish council feels let down. We're

:55:59.:56:03.

disappointed to find ourselves in the position will we are aware that

:56:04.:56:06.

it is happening across the country to lots and lots of authorities For

:56:07.:56:11.

the leader of Cheshire East Council, Michael Jones, it is a careful

:56:12.:56:18.

balancing act. We are trying hard. We will try and close the gap but

:56:19.:56:25.

have to protect the countryside It is a key issue. We are left with the

:56:26.:56:30.

consequences of it. In this village, there is a proposal for two

:56:31.:56:33.

developments, this is one of them, which together would result in a

:56:34.:56:38.

population increase of 25%. The debate will continue but none of the

:56:39.:56:41.

residents are taking this lying down.

:56:42.:56:46.

Julie, it is a serious problem, is it not? For councils like Chester

:56:47.:56:54.

East which do not have a local plan. This just demonstrates the dichotomy

:56:55.:56:59.

between the Government saying it is all about localism and local

:57:00.:57:00.

authorities and local areas making decisions for themselves about

:57:01.:57:05.

development and then the very same government saying that they do not

:57:06.:57:08.

agree with the plan and are going to call it in and you have to build

:57:09.:57:12.

more houses and make changes. It makes an absolute nonsense of

:57:13.:57:16.

localism. We had a robust debate about this in Parliament on

:57:17.:57:19.

Thursday, in Westminster Hall, and it was made very clear, MP after MP,

:57:20.:57:25.

seeing to the planning minister that it is very important that the wishes

:57:26.:57:29.

and concerns of local people get taken into account. If you have the

:57:30.:57:34.

planning Inspectorate running over the wishes of local councils and

:57:35.:57:37.

people then that will break down and it is very important that the

:57:38.:57:40.

minister gets a handle on it. Is that what you think is happening?

:57:41.:57:46.

Absolutely. Wigan had its plan called in and had to produce more

:57:47.:57:50.

homes. It had concentrated in building houses on brownfield sites

:57:51.:57:55.

and making sure that the housing was an area that `` areas that people

:57:56.:57:59.

wanted it. The planning inspector came in and said that you needed to

:58:00.:58:03.

put more planning and closer to the green belt, not wanted at all. Wigan

:58:04.:58:07.

had to do that to make sure it is full the plan. What was the logic Mr

:58:08.:58:13.

Mark cause that was where the developers would prefer to build

:58:14.:58:16.

houses. Yes, but we were trying to do our best to protect our green

:58:17.:58:20.

spaces and protect areas where people actually had leisure

:58:21.:58:24.

activities. It is this absolute nonsense. There are problems in

:58:25.:58:30.

Fylde with four local plan? The local plan has been to consultation

:58:31.:58:35.

and certainly the numbers that we think the planning Inspectorate may

:58:36.:58:39.

wish to see our very different from the numbers that I would be happy

:58:40.:58:41.

with local residents would be happy with. They want more? There is the

:58:42.:58:50.

potential that the `` that they want more. That is not acceptable. It is

:58:51.:58:54.

important that any plan we move forward with its robust. They have

:58:55.:58:59.

to realise that they are not there to deep heat `` to dictate, they are

:59:00.:59:03.

there to work with local people How do you balance that with the fact

:59:04.:59:08.

that your government says we need more houses and more to rebuild We

:59:09.:59:12.

do need more houses. I do not think anybody is arguing that. But we need

:59:13.:59:16.

the right number of houses in the right places and also need to make

:59:17.:59:18.

sure that we prioritise brownfield sites. Developers will often prefer

:59:19.:59:25.

a greenfield site because it is cheaper to develop and more

:59:26.:59:28.

attractive to sell. But at least they will be building. Yes but we

:59:29.:59:34.

also need to make sure that they are building, not holding onto land and

:59:35.:59:38.

that houses are being built. That is a really difficult problem. It is

:59:39.:59:40.

always difficult because nobody wants houses next door to us but

:59:41.:59:45.

they are places for our children to live so it is a tough situation

:59:46.:59:52.

The rest of the week's news now with Ian Haslam. Lord Mandelson

:59:53.:59:58.

admitted approving plans for HS while in government to upstage the

:59:59.:00:04.

opposition. He also told the Lords that some train services to London

:00:05.:00:13.

would be cut. No empirical case has been established for HS2.

:00:14.:00:16.

There'll be no prosecutions after an investigation into the leak of the

:00:17.:00:19.

Cumbrian Crime Commissioner's expenses. Prosecutors say the leak

:00:20.:00:22.

was in the public interest and Richard Rhodes has repaid the money.

:00:23.:00:26.

The family of Gunner Robert Cutting say they want a government apology

:00:27.:00:29.

after a review of the so`called friendly`fire incident that claimed

:00:30.:00:32.

his life in Northern Ireland 40 years ago. The buried my brother and

:00:33.:00:42.

that was it, they shut the door on him.

:00:43.:00:42.

The NHS watchdog, the Care `` Jack Straw is to step down after

:00:43.:00:50.

30 years. And people in Cumbria have been

:00:51.:00:54.

shown plans to more than double the size of the Walney offshore wind

:00:55.:00:57.

farm. The expansion would make it the largest of its kind in the

:00:58.:01:05.

world. That is pretty much all we have time

:01:06.:01:11.

for. Just time to thank my guess, Julie Hilling and Mark Menzies.

:01:12.:01:13.

Thank you very much for coming. We have an interesting week because we

:01:14.:01:17.

have high`speed rail been free school area for into that

:01:18.:01:31.

Is Labour about to drop its support category. Thank you.

:01:32.:01:32.

Is Labour about to drop its support for High Speed 2, a rail line the

:01:33.:01:36.

party approved while in government? for High Speed 2, a rail line the

:01:37.:01:47.

these green shoots? These are all questions for The Week Ahead.

:01:48.:01:59.

So, HS2. Miss Flint wouldn't answer the question. She's in northern MP

:02:00.:02:04.

too. Ed Balls is comparing it to the Millennium Dome.

:02:05.:02:09.

too. Ed Balls is comparing it to the minute's silence for HS2? It will

:02:10.:02:14.

not be quite as crude as that. They will not stand up and say, we

:02:15.:02:19.

not be quite as crude as that. They senior Labour person said to me it

:02:20.:02:19.

would be a bit senior Labour person said to me it

:02:20.:02:22.

that Gordon Brown and Ed Balls set for the euro back in 97. They will

:02:23.:02:28.

be chucking lots of questions into the air, and the questions will

:02:29.:02:32.

create doubt, and will create the grounds for Labour to say, at some

:02:33.:02:38.

point, we think there is a much much better way of spending the money. It

:02:39.:02:43.

isn't ?42 billion, because that includes a contingency. Let's see

:02:44.:02:50.

what Peter Mandelson had to say about HS2. He was in the government

:02:51.:02:57.

when Labour supported it. Frankly, there was too much of the argument

:02:58.:03:01.

that if everyone else has got a high-speed train, we should have won

:03:02.:03:08.

too. Regardless of need, regardless of cost, and regardless of

:03:09.:03:14.

alternatives. As a party, to be frank, we didn't feel like being

:03:15.:03:19.

trumped by the zeal of the then opposition's support for the

:03:20.:03:26.

high-speed train. We wanted, if anything, to upstage them. So they

:03:27.:03:31.

didn't really need it, and we're only talking about ?50 billion. Why

:03:32.:03:38.

would you take a decision involving ?50 billion in a serious way? For

:03:39.:03:42.

David Cameron, if it becomes clear Labour is against it, he cannot

:03:43.:03:48.

proceed. He indicated last week that he wouldn't proceed if the certainty

:03:49.:03:53.

wasn't there. For Labour, HS2 is really a debate about the deficit by

:03:54.:03:57.

proxy. They think that if you don't go ahead with HS2, that releases

:03:58.:04:01.

tens of billions of pounds to spend on other things, such as public

:04:02.:04:06.

services, without going into boring. I don't think that works because

:04:07.:04:28.

there was a difference between cancelling something that already

:04:29.:04:30.

exists to pay for something else, and cancelling something that does

:04:31.:04:33.

not yet exist and will be paid for over decades to pay for something

:04:34.:04:35.

here and now. Can Labour do this? I know that the line will be, we are

:04:36.:04:39.

not going to build this railway because we are going to build

:04:40.:04:41.

200,000 houses a year. Can they do this without political cost? I think

:04:42.:04:43.

there will be political costs, but they will play this card of we have

:04:44.:04:48.

changed our mind. I think Cameron's line has been very clever, saying we

:04:49.:04:53.

cannot do it without labour. You can put it in two ways. Sorry, we cannot

:04:54.:04:58.

go ahead with it, but Labour has ruined your chance of prosperity, or

:04:59.:05:03.

they can tie themselves to it, and then Labour cannot attack it on

:05:04.:05:09.

great grounds when costs do spire. You can write Labour's script right

:05:10.:05:15.

now. They can say, if we were in charge, the financial management

:05:16.:05:22.

would be much better. This raises some really important questions for

:05:23.:05:27.

the government. They have utterly failed to make the case for HS2

:05:28.:05:33.

There is a real case to make. Between London and Birmingham it is

:05:34.:05:37.

about capacity not speed. North of Birmingham, it is about

:05:38.:05:42.

connectivity. It is a simple case to make, but it is only in the last

:05:43.:05:46.

month that they have been making that case. It shows really terrible

:05:47.:05:49.

complacency in the coalition that they haven't done that. We'll HS2

:05:50.:05:58.

happen or not? I think it will. For the reasons that Nick outlined,

:05:59.:06:01.

there is not of a constituency for it amongst Northern areas. -- there

:06:02.:06:11.

is enough of a constituency for it. There is private investment as well.

:06:12.:06:17.

It isn't like Heathrow. I say no, because I think Labour will drop

:06:18.:06:24.

their support for it. Caroline Flint said she was in favour of the

:06:25.:06:27.

concept of trains generally, but will it go further than that? It is

:06:28.:06:33.

difficult to see how it will go ahead if Labour will not support it

:06:34.:06:38.

after setting five tests that it clearly will not meet. Some will

:06:39.:06:46.

breathe a sigh of relief. Some will say, even in the 20th century, we

:06:47.:06:51.

cannot build a proper rail network. The economy was another big story of

:06:52.:06:57.

the week. We had those GDP figures. There is a video the Tories are

:06:58.:07:02.

releasing. The world premiere is going to be here. Where's the red

:07:03.:07:05.

carpet? It gives an indication of how the Tories will hand Mr Miliband

:07:06.:07:10.

and labour in the run-up to the election. Let's have a look at it.

:07:11.:07:43.

These graphics are even worse than the ones we use on our show! How on

:07:44.:07:49.

earth would you expect that to go viral? It did have a strange feel

:07:50.:07:58.

about it. It doesn't understand the Internet at all. Who is going to

:07:59.:08:03.

read those little screens between it? Put a dog in it! However,

:08:04.:08:15.

putting that aside, I have no idea that that is going to go viral. The

:08:16.:08:20.

Tories are now operating - and I say Tories rather than the coalition -

:08:21.:08:26.

on the assumption that the economy is improving and will continue to

:08:27.:08:31.

improve, and that that will become more obvious as 2014 goes on. We

:08:32.:08:36.

just saw their how they will fight the campaign. Yes, and at the

:08:37.:08:43.

crucial moment, you will reach the point where wages. To rise at a

:08:44.:08:47.

faster pace than inflation, and then people will start to, in the words

:08:48.:08:52.

of Harold Macmillan, feel that they have never had it so good. That is

:08:53.:08:57.

the key moment. If the economy is growing, there is a rule of thumb

:08:58.:09:05.

that the government should get a benefit. But it doesn't always work

:09:06.:09:08.

like that. The fundamental point here is that Ed Miliband has had a

:09:09.:09:12.

great month. He has totally set the agenda. He has set the agenda with

:09:13.:09:17.

something - freezing energy prices - that may not work. That video shows

:09:18.:09:22.

that the Conservatives want to get the debate back to the

:09:23.:09:25.

fundamentals. That this is a party that told us for three years that

:09:26.:09:33.

this coalition was telling us to -- was taking us to hell on a handcart.

:09:34.:09:38.

That doesn't seem to have happened. The energy price was a very clever

:09:39.:09:45.

thing, at the party conference season, which now seems years ago.

:09:46.:09:49.

They saw that the recovery was going to happen, so they changed the

:09:50.:09:56.

debate to living standards. Some economists are now privately

:09:57.:10:00.

expecting growth to be 3% next year, which was inconceivable for five

:10:01.:10:05.

months ago. If growth is 3% next year, living standards will start to

:10:06.:10:07.

rise again. Where does Labour go then? I would go further, and say

:10:08.:10:14.

that even though Ed Miliband has made a small political victory on

:10:15.:10:18.

living standards, it hasn't registered in the polls. Those polls

:10:19.:10:25.

have been contracted since April -- have been contracting since April.

:10:26.:10:29.

That macro economic story matters more than the issue of living

:10:30.:10:34.

standards. The interesting thing about the recovery is it confounds

:10:35.:10:38.

everybody. No one was predicting, not the Treasury, not the media not

:10:39.:10:44.

the IMF, not the academics, and the only people I can think of... I fit

:10:45.:10:51.

-- I thought they knew everything! The only people I know who did are

:10:52.:10:57.

one adviser who is very close to George Osborne, and the clever hedge

:10:58.:11:00.

fund is who were buying British equities back in January. Because

:11:01.:11:05.

the Treasury's record is so appalling, no one believe them, but

:11:06.:11:09.

they were saying around February, March this year, that by the end of

:11:10.:11:15.

the summer, the recovery would be gathering momentum. For once, they

:11:16.:11:23.

turned out to be right! They said that the economy would be going gang

:11:24.:11:26.

bust is! Where did the new Tory voters come from? I agree, if the

:11:27.:11:33.

economic recovery continues, the coalition will be stronger. But

:11:34.:11:42.

where will they get new voters from? For people who sign up to help to

:11:43.:11:47.

buy, they will be locked into nice mortgages at a low interest rate,

:11:48.:11:51.

and just as you go into a general election, if you are getting 3%

:11:52.:11:57.

growth and unemployment is down the Bank of England will have to review

:11:58.:12:00.

their interest rates. People who are getting nice interest rates now may

:12:01.:12:04.

find that it is not like that in a few months time. The point John

:12:05.:12:11.

Major was making implicitly was that Mrs Thatcher could speak to people

:12:12.:12:16.

on low incomes. John Major could not speak to them -- John Major could

:12:17.:12:21.

speak to them. But this coalition cannot speak to them. This idea

:12:22.:12:25.

about the reshuffle was that David Cameron wanted more Northern voices,

:12:26.:12:33.

more women, to make it look like it was not a party of seven men. When

:12:34.:12:38.

David Cameron became leader, John Major said, I do not speak very

:12:39.:12:43.

often, but when I do, I will help you, because I think you are good

:12:44.:12:47.

thing and I do not want to be like Margaret Thatcher. But that speech

:12:48.:12:52.

was clearly a lament for the party he believed that David Cameron was

:12:53.:12:56.

going to lead and create, but that isn't happening. And energy prices

:12:57.:13:03.

continue into this coming week. We have the companies going before a

:13:04.:13:07.

select committee. My information is they are sending along the secondary

:13:08.:13:11.

division, not the boss. How can they get along -- get away with that I

:13:12.:13:17.

got the letter through from British Gas this week explaining why my

:13:18.:13:21.

bills are going up, and at no point since this became a story have any

:13:22.:13:25.

of the big companies handled it well. I will have to leave it there.

:13:26.:13:30.

Make sure you pay your bill! That's it for today. The Daily Politics is

:13:31.:13:37.

back on BBC Two tomorrow. I will be back here on BBC One next Sunday.

:13:38.:13:44.

Remember, if it's Sunday, it is The Sunday Politics.

:13:45.:13:51.

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