15/01/2017 Sunday Politics North West


15/01/2017

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It's Sunday morning, and this is the Sunday Politics.

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Is the Prime Minister prepared to end Britain's membership

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of the EU's single market and its customs union?

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We preview Theresa May's big speech, as she seeks to unite the country

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Is the press a force for good or a beast that needs taming?

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As the Government ponders its decision, we speak to one

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of those leading the campaign for greater regulation.

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Just what kind of President will Donald Trump be?

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Piers Morgan, a man who knows him well, joins us live.

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And in the north-west, the NHS crisis here.

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Plus, a promise to improve mental health care for the next generation.

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And to help me make sense of all that, three of the finest

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hacks we could persuade to work on a Sunday - Steve Richards,

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They'll be tweeting throughout the programme, and you can join

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So, Theresa May is preparing for her big Brexit speech on Tuesday,

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in which she will urge people to give up on "insults"

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and "division" and unite to build, quote, a "global Britain".

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Some of the Sunday papers report that the Prime Minister will go

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The Sunday Telegraph splashes with the headline: "May's big

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gamble on a clean Brexit", saying the Prime Minister

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will announce she's prepared to take Britain out of membership

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of the single market and customs union.

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The Sunday Times has a similar write-up -

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they call it a "clean and hard Brexit".

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The Brexit Secretary David Davis has also written a piece in the paper

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hinting that a transitional deal could be on the cards.

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And the Sunday Express says: "May's Brexit Battle Plan",

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explaining that the Prime Minister will get tough with Brussels

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and call for an end to free movement.

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Well, let's get some more reaction on this.

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I'm joined now from Cumbria by the leader

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of the Liberal Democrats, Tim Farron.

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Mr Farron, welcome back to the programme. The Prime Minister says

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most people now just want to get on with it and make a success of it.

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But you still want to stop it, don't you? Well, I certainly take the view

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that heading for a hard Brexit, essentially that means being outside

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the Single Market and the customs union, is not something that was on

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the ballot paper last June. For Theresa May to adopt what is

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basically the large all Farage vision of Britain's relationship

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with Europe is not what was voted for last June. It is right for us to

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stand up and say that a hard Brexit is not the democratic choice of the

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British people, and that we should be fighting for the people to be the

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ones who have the Seat the end of this process, not have it forced

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upon them by Theresa May and David Davis. When it comes though dual

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position that we should remain in the membership of the Single Market

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and the customs union, it looks like you are losing the argument, doesn't

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it? My sense is that if you believe in being in the Single Market and

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the customs union are good things, I think many people on the leave site

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believe that, Stephen Phillips, the Conservative MP until the autumn who

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resigned, who voted for Leave but believe we should be in the Single

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Market, I think those people believe that it is wrong for us to enter the

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negotiations having given up on the most important part of it. If you

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really are going to fight Britain's corner, then you should go in there

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fighting the membership of the Single Market, not give up and

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whitefly, as Theresa May has done before we even start. -- and wave

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the white flag. Will you vote against regret Article 50 in the

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Commons? We made it clear that we want the British people to have the

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final Seat -- vote against triggering. Will you vote against

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Article 50. Will you encourage the House of Lords to vote against out

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Article 50? I don't think they will get a chance to vote. They will have

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a chance to win the deuce amendments. One amendment we will

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introduce is that there should be a referendum in the terms of the deal.

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It is not right that Parliament on Government, and especially not civil

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servants in Brussels and Whitehall, they should stitch-up the final

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deal. That would be wrong. It is right that the British people have

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the final say. I understand that as your position. You made it clear

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Britain to remain a member of the Single Market on the customs union.

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You accept, I assume, that that would mean remaining under the

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jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice, continuing free movement

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of people, and the free-trade deals remained in Brussels' competence. So

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it seems to me that if you believe that being in the Single Market is a

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good thing, then you should go and argue for that. Whilst I believe

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that we're not going to get a better deal than the one we currently have,

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nevertheless it is up to the Government to go and argue for the

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best deal possible for us outside. You accept your position would mean

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that? It would mean certainly being in the Single Market and the customs

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union. It's no surprise to you I'm sure that the Lib Dems believe the

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package we have got now inside the EU is going to be of the Nutley

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better than anything we get from the outside, I accept the direction of

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travel -- is going to be the Nutley better. At the moment, what the

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Government are doing is assuming that all the things you say Drew,

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and there is no way possible for us arguing for a deal that allows in

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the Single Market without some of those other things. If they really

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believed in the best for Britain, you would go and argue for the best

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for Britain. Let's be clear, if we remain under the jurisdiction of the

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ECJ, which is the court that governs membership of the Single Market,

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continued free movement of people, the Europeans have made clear, is

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what goes with the Single Market. And free-trade deals remaining under

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Brussels' competence. If we accepted all of that is the price of

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membership of the Single Market, in what conceivable way with that

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amount to leaving the European Union? Well, for example, I do

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believe that being a member of the Single Market is worth fighting for.

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I personally believe that freedom of movement is a good thing. British

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people benefit from freedom of movement. We will hugely be hit as

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individuals and families and businesses. Mike I understand, but

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your writing of leaving... There the butt is that if you do except that

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freedom of movement has to change, I don't, but if you do, and if you are

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Theresa May, and the problem is to go and fight for the best deal,

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don't take it from Brussels that you can't be in the Single Market

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without those other things as well, you don't go and argue the case. It

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depresses me that Theresa May is beginning this process is waving the

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white flag, just as this morning Jeremy Corbyn was waving the white

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flag when it comes to it. We need a Government that will fight Britain's

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corner and an opposition that will fight the Government to make sure

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that it fights. Just explain to our viewers how we could remain members,

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members of the Single Market, and not be subject to the jurisdiction

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of the European court? So, first of all we spent over the last many,

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many years, the likes of Nigel Farage and others, will have argued,

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you heard them on this very programme, that Britain should

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aspire to be like Norway and Switzerland for example, countries

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that are not in the European Union but aren't the Single Market. It is

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very clear to me that if you want the best deal for Britain -- but are

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in the Single Market. You go and argue for the best deal. What is the

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answer to my question, you haven't answered it

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the question is, how does the Prime Minister go and fight for the best

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deal for Britain. If we think that being in the Single Market is the

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right thing, not Baxter -- not access to it but membership of it,

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you don't wave the white flag before you enter the negotiating room. I'm

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afraid we have run out of time. Thank you, Tim Farron.

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The leaks on this speech on Tuesday we have seen, it is interesting that

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Downing Street has not attempted to dampen them down this morning, in

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the various papers, do they tell us something new? Do they tell us more

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of the Goverment's aims in the Brexit negotiations? I think it's

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only a confirmation of something which has been in the mating really

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for the six months that she's been in the job. The logic of everything

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that she's said since last July, the keenness on re-gaining control of

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migration, the desire to do international trade deals, the fact

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that she is appointed trade Secretary, the logic of all of that

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is that we are out of the Single Market, quite probably out of the

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customs union, what will happen this week is a restatement of a fairly

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clear position anyway. I think Tim Farron is right about one thing, I

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don't think she will go into the speech planning to absolutely

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definitively say, we are leaving those things. Because even if there

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is a 1% chance of a miracle deal, where you stay in the Single Market,

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somehow get exempted from free movement, it is prudent to keep

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hopes on that option as a Prime Minister. -- to keep open that

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option. She is being advised both by the diplomatic corps and her

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personal advisers, don't concede on membership of the Single Market yet.

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We know it's not going to happen, but let them Europeans knock us back

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on that,... That is probably the right strategy for all of the

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reasons that Jarlan outlined there. What we learned a bit today is the

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possibility of some kind of transition or arrangements, which

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David Davies has been talking about in a comment piece for one of the

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Sunday papers. My sense from Brexiteers aborting MPs is that they

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are very happy with 90% of the rhetoric -- Brexit sporting MPs. The

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rhetoric has not been dampened down by MPs, apart from this transitional

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arrangement, which they feel and two France, on the one front will

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encourage the very dilatory EU to spend longer than ever negotiating a

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deal, and on the other hand will also be exactly what our civil

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service looks for in stringing things out. What wasn't explained

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this morning is what David Davies means by transitional is not that

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you negotiate what you can in two years and then spend another five

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years on the matter is that a lot of the soul. He thinks everything has

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to be done in the two years, -- of the matter are hard to solve. But it

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would include transitional arrangements over the five years.

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What we are seeing in the build-up is the danger of making these kind

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of speeches. In a way, I kind of admired her not feeding the media

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machine over the autumn and the end of last year cars, as Janan has

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pointed out in his columns, she has actually said quite a lot from it,

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you would extrapolate quite a lot. We won't be members of the Single

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Market? She said that in the party conference speech, we are out of

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European court. Her red line is the end of free movement, so we are out

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of the Single Market. Why has she sent Liam Fox to negotiate all of

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these other deals, not that he will succeed necessarily, but that is the

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intention? We are still in the customs union. You can extrapolate

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what she will say perhaps more cautiously in the headlines on

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Tuesday. But the grammar of a big speech raises expectations, gets the

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markets worked up. So she is doing it because people have said that she

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doesn't know what she's on about. But maybe she should have resisted

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it. Very well, and she hasn't. The speech is on Tuesday morning.

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Now, the public consultation on press regulation closed this

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week, and soon ministers will have to decide whether to

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enact a controversial piece of legislation.

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Section 40 of the Crime and Courts Act, if implemented,

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could see newspapers forced to pay legal costs in libel and privacy

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If they don't sign up to an officially approved regulator.

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The newspapers say it's an affront to a free press,

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while pro-privacy campaigners say it's the only way to ensure

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a scandal like phone-hacking can't happen again.

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Ellie Price has been reading all about it.

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It was the biggest news about the news for decades,

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a scandal that involved household names, but not just celebrities.

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They've even hacked the phone of a murdered schoolgirl.

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It led to the closure of the News Of The World,

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a year-long public inquiry headed up by the judge Lord Justice Leveson,

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and in the end, a new press watchdog set up by Royal Charter,

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which could impose, among other things, million-pound fines.

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If this system is implemented, the country should have confidence

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that the terrible suffering of innocent victims

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like the Dowlers, the McCanns and Christopher Jefferies should

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To get this new plan rolling, the Government also passed

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the Crime and Courts Act, Section 40 of which would force

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publications who didn't sign up to the new regulator to pay legal

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costs in libel and privacy cases, even if they won.

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It's waiting for sign-off from the Culture Secretary.

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We've got about 50 publications that have signed up...

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This is Impress, the press regulator that's got the backing

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of the Royal Charter, so its members are protected

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from the penalties that would be imposed by Section 40.

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It's funded by the Formula One tycoon Max Mosley's

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I think the danger if we don't get Section 40 is that

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you have an incomplete Leveson project.

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I think it's very, very likely that within the next five or ten years

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there will be a scandal, there'll be a crisis in press

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standards, everyone will be saying to the Government,

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"Why on Earth didn't you sort things out when you had the chance?"

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Isn't Section 40 essentially just a big stick to beat

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We hear a lot about the stick part, but there's also a big juicy carrot

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for publishers and their journalists who are members of an

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They get huge new protections from libel threats,

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from privacy actions, which actually means they've got

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a lot more opportunity to run investigative stories.

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Impress has a big image problem - not a single national

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Instead, many of them are members of Ipso,

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the independent regulator set up and funded by the industry that

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doesn't seek the recognition of the Royal Charter.

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The male cells around 22,000 each day...

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There are regional titles too, who, like the Birmingham Mail,

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won't sign up to Impress, even if they say the costs

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are associated with Section 40 could put them out of business.

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Impress has an umbilical cord that goes directly back to Government

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through the recognition setup that it has.

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Now, we broke free of the shackles of the regulated press

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when the stamp duty was revealed 150 years ago.

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If we go back to this level of oversight, then I think

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we turn the clock back, 150 years of press freedom.

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The responses from the public have been coming thick and fast

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since the Government launched its consultation

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In fact, by the time it closed on Tuesday,

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And for that reason alone, it could take months before

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a decision on what happens next is taken.

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The Government will also be minded to listen to its own MPs,

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One described it to me as Draconian and hugely damaging.

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So, will the current Culture Secretary's thinking be

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I don't think the Government will repeal section 40.

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What I'm arguing for is not to implement it, but it will remain

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on the statute book and if it then became apparent that Ipso simply

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was failing to work, was not delivering effective

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regulation and the press were behaving in a way

:16:45.:16:47.

which was wholly unacceptable, as they were ten years ago,

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then there might be an argument at that time to think well in that

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case we are going to have to take further measures,

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The future of section 40 might not be so black and white.

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I'm told a compromise could be met whereby the punitive parts

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about legal costs are dropped, but the incentives

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to join a recognised regulator are beefed up.

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But it could yet be some time until the issue of press freedom

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I'm joined now by Max Mosley - he won a legal case against the News

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Of The World after it revealed details about his private life,

:17:27.:17:29.

and he now campaigns for more press regulation.

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Are welcome to the programme. Let me ask you this, how can it be right

:17:34.:17:42.

that you, who many folk think have a clear vendetta against the British

:17:43.:17:46.

press, can bankroll a government approved regulator of the press? If

:17:47.:17:51.

we hadn't done it, nobody would, section 40 would never have come

:17:52.:17:55.

into force because there would never have been a regulator. It is

:17:56.:17:59.

absolutely wrong that a family trust should have to finance something

:18:00.:18:04.

like this. It should be financed by the press or the Government. If we

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hadn't done it there would be no possibility of regulation. But it

:18:10.:18:10.

means we end up with a regulator financed by you, as I say

:18:11.:18:38.

many people think you have a clear vendetta against the press. Where

:18:39.:18:40.

does the money come from? From a family trust, it is family money.

:18:41.:18:42.

You have to understand that somebody had to do this. I understand that.

:18:43.:18:45.

People like to know where the money comes from, I think you said it came

:18:46.:18:48.

from Brixton Steyn at one stage. Ages ago my father had a trust there

:18:49.:18:51.

but now all my money is in the UK. We are clear about that, but this is

:18:52.:18:55.

money that was put together by your father. Yes, my father inherited it

:18:56.:19:01.

from his father and his father. The whole of Manchester once belonged to

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the family, that's why there is a Mosley Street. That is irrelevant

:19:06.:19:10.

because as we have given the money, I have no control. If you do the

:19:11.:19:13.

most elementary checks into the contract between my family trust,

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the trust but finances Impress, it is impossible for me to exert any

:19:24.:19:28.

influence. It is just the same as if it had come from the National

:19:29.:19:34.

lottery. People will find it ironic that the money has come from

:19:35.:19:39.

historically Britain's best-known fascist. No, it has come from my

:19:40.:19:47.

family, the Mosley family. This is complete drivel because we have no

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control. Where the money comes from doesn't matter, if it had come from

:19:53.:19:57.

the national lottery it would be exactly the same. Impress was

:19:58.:20:01.

completely independent. But it wouldn't exist without your money,

:20:02.:20:07.

wouldn't it? But that doesn't give you influence. It might exist

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because it was founded before I was ever in contact with them. Isn't it

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curious then that so many leading light show your hostile views of the

:20:18.:20:21.

press? I don't think it is because I don't know a single member of the

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Impress board. The chairman I have met months. The only person I know

:20:28.:20:31.

is Jonathan Hayward who you had on just now. In one recent months he

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tweeted 50 attacks on the Daily Mail, including some calling for an

:20:40.:20:45.

advertising boycott of the paper. He also liked a Twitter post calling me

:20:46.:20:51.

Daily Mail and neofascist rag. Are these fitting for what is meant to

:20:52.:20:56.

be impartial regulator? The person you should ask about that is the

:20:57.:21:00.

press regulatory panel and they are completely independent, they

:21:01.:21:04.

reviewed the whole thing. You have probably produced something very

:21:05.:21:09.

selective, I have no idea but I am certain that these people are

:21:10.:21:11.

absolutely trustworthy and independent. It is not just Mr

:21:12.:21:16.

Hayward, we have a tonne of things he has tweeted calling for boycotts,

:21:17.:21:21.

remember this is the man that would be the regulator of these papers.

:21:22.:21:27.

He's the chief executive, that is a separate thing. The administration,

:21:28.:21:33.

the regulator. Many leading light show your vendetta of the press. I

:21:34.:21:41.

do not have a vendetta. Let's take another one. This person is on the

:21:42.:21:58.

code committee. Have a look at this. As someone with these views fit to

:21:59.:22:04.

be involved in the regulation of the press? You said I have a vendetta

:22:05.:22:08.

against the press, I do not, I didn't say that and it is completely

:22:09.:22:13.

wrong to say I have a vendetta. What do you think of that? I don't agree,

:22:14.:22:19.

I wouldn't ban the Daily Mail, I think it's a dreadful paper but I

:22:20.:22:30.

wouldn't ban it. Another Impress code committee said I hate the Daily

:22:31.:22:38.

Mail, I couldn't agree more, others have called for a boycott. Other

:22:39.:22:42.

people can say what they want and many people may think they are right

:22:43.:22:46.

but surely these views make them unfit to be partial regulators? I

:22:47.:22:53.

have no influence over Impress therefore I cannot say anything

:22:54.:22:56.

about it. You should ask them, not me. All I have done is make it

:22:57.:23:02.

possible for Impress to exist and that was the right thing to do. I'm

:23:03.:23:08.

asking you if people with these kind of views are fit to be regulators of

:23:09.:23:13.

the press. You would have to ask about all of their views, these are

:23:14.:23:19.

some of their views. A lot of people have a downer on the Daily Mail and

:23:20.:23:26.

the Sun, it doesn't necessarily make them party pre-. Why would

:23:27.:23:30.

newspapers sign up to a regulator run by what they think is run by

:23:31.:23:36.

enemies out to ruin them. If they don't like it they should start

:23:37.:23:40.

their own section 40 regulator. They could make it so recognised, if only

:23:41.:23:47.

they would make it independent of the big newspaper barons but they

:23:48.:23:56.

won't -- they could make Ipso recognised. Is the Daily Mail

:23:57.:24:06.

fascist? It certainly was in the 1930s. Me and my father are

:24:07.:24:10.

relevant, this whole section 40 issue is about access to justice.

:24:11.:24:15.

The press don't want ordinary people who cannot afford to bring an action

:24:16.:24:19.

against the press, don't want them to have access to justice. I can

:24:20.:24:23.

understand that but I don't sympathise. What would happen to the

:24:24.:24:29.

boss of Ofcom, which regulates broadcasters, if it described

:24:30.:24:36.

Channel 4 News is a Marxist scum? If the press don't want to sign up to

:24:37.:24:45.

Impress they can create their own regulator. If you were to listen we

:24:46.:24:54.

would get a lot further. The press should make their own Levenson

:24:55.:24:59.

compliant regulator, then they would have no complaints at all. Even

:25:00.:25:04.

papers like the Guardian, the Independent, the Financial Times,

:25:05.:25:08.

they show your hostility to tabloid journalism. They have refused to be

:25:09.:25:15.

regulated by Impress. I will say it again, the press could start their

:25:16.:25:19.

own regulator, they do not have to sign... Yes, but Levenson compliant

:25:20.:25:24.

one giving access to justice so people who cannot afford an

:25:25.:25:29.

expensive legal action have a proper arbitration service. The Guardian,

:25:30.:25:32.

the Independent, the Financial Times, they don't want to do that

:25:33.:25:37.

either. That would suggest there is something fatally flawed about your

:25:38.:25:42.

approach. Even these kind of papers, the Guardian, Impress is hardly

:25:43.:25:54.

independent, the head of... Andrew, I am sorry, you are like a dog with

:25:55.:26:03.

a bone. The press could start their own regulator, then people like the

:26:04.:26:07.

Financial Times, the Guardian and so one could decide whether they wanted

:26:08.:26:10.

to join or not but what is absolutely vital is that we should

:26:11.:26:14.

have a proper arbitration service so that people who cannot afford an

:26:15.:26:17.

expensive action have somewhere to go. This business of section 40

:26:18.:26:23.

which you want to be triggered which would mean papers that didn't sign

:26:24.:26:27.

up to Impress could be sued in any case and they would have to pay

:26:28.:26:31.

potentially massive legal costs, even if they win. Yes. This is what

:26:32.:26:39.

the number of papers have said about this, if section 40 was triggered,

:26:40.:26:45.

the Guardian wouldn't even think of investigation. The Sunday Times said

:26:46.:26:52.

it would not have even started to expose Lance Armstrong. The Times

:26:53.:26:55.

journalist said he couldn't have done the Rotherham child abuse

:26:56.:27:00.

scandal. What they all come it is a full reading of section 40 because

:27:01.:27:04.

that cost shifting will only apply if, and I quote, it is just and

:27:05.:27:11.

equitable in all the circumstances. I cannot conceive of any High Court

:27:12.:27:15.

judge, for example the Lance Armstrong case or the child abuse,

:27:16.:27:20.

saying it is just as equitable in all circumstances the newspaper

:27:21.:27:25.

should pay these costs. Even the editor of index on censorship, which

:27:26.:27:31.

is hardly the Sun, said this would be oppressive and they couldn't do

:27:32.:27:35.

what they do, they would risk being sued by warlords. No because if

:27:36.:27:41.

something unfortunate, some really bad person sues them, what would

:27:42.:27:46.

happen is the judge would say it is just inequitable normal

:27:47.:27:49.

circumstances that person should pay. Section 40 is for the person

:27:50.:27:53.

that comes along and says to a big newspaper, can we go to arbitration

:27:54.:27:57.

because I cannot afford to go to court. The big newspaper says no.

:27:58.:28:02.

That leaves less than 1% of the population with any remedy if the

:28:03.:28:07.

newspapers traduce them. It cannot be right. From the Guardian to the

:28:08.:28:13.

Sun, and including Index On Censorship, all of these media

:28:14.:28:19.

outlets think you are proposing a charter for conmen, warlords, crime

:28:20.:28:22.

bosses, dodgy politicians, celebrities with a grievance against

:28:23.:28:26.

the press. I will give you the final word to address that. It is pure

:28:27.:28:35.

guff and the reason is they want to go on marking their own homework.

:28:36.:28:39.

The press don't want anyone to make sure life is fair. All I want is

:28:40.:28:43.

somebody who has got no money to be able to sue in just the way that I

:28:44.:28:48.

can. All right, thanks for being with us.

:28:49.:28:52.

The doctors' union, the British Medical Association,

:28:53.:28:53.

has said the Government is scapegoating GPs in England

:28:54.:28:56.

The Government has said GP surgeries must try harder to stay

:28:57.:29:00.

open from 8am to 8pm, or they could lose out on funding.

:29:01.:29:03.

The pressure on A services in recent weeks has been intense.

:29:04.:29:05.

It emerged this week that 65 of the 152 Health Trusts in England

:29:06.:29:08.

had issued an operational pressure alert in the first

:29:09.:29:10.

At either level three, meaning major pressures,

:29:11.:29:17.

or level four, indicating an inability to deliver

:29:18.:29:19.

On Monday, Health Secretary Jeremy Hunt told the Commons

:29:20.:29:25.

that the number of people using A had increased by 9 million

:29:26.:29:28.

But that 30% of those visits were unnecessary.

:29:29.:29:36.

He said that the situation at a number of Trusts

:29:37.:29:38.

On Tuesday, the Royal College of Physicians wrote

:29:39.:29:43.

to the Prime Minister saying the health service was being

:29:44.:29:45.

paralysed by spiralling demand, and urging greater investment.

:29:46.:29:51.

On Wednesday, the Chief Executive of NHS England, Simon Stevens,

:29:52.:29:55.

told a Select Committee that NHS funding will be highly constrained.

:29:56.:30:00.

And from 2018, real-terms spending per person would fall.

:30:01.:30:04.

The Prime Minister described the Red Cross's claim that A

:30:05.:30:08.

was facing a "humanitarian crisis" as "irresponsible and overblown".

:30:09.:30:12.

And the National Audit Office issued a report that found almost half,

:30:13.:30:15.

46%, of GP surgeries closed at some point during core hours.

:30:16.:30:22.

Yesterday, Mrs May signalled her support for doctors' surgeries

:30:23.:30:26.

opening from 8am to 8pm every day of the week, in order to divert

:30:27.:30:29.

To discuss this, I'm joined now by the Conservative

:30:30.:30:36.

MP Maria Caulfield - she was an NHS nurse in a former

:30:37.:30:39.

life - and Clare Gerada, a former chair of the Royal College

:30:40.:30:42.

Welcome to you both. So, Maria Caulfield, what the Government is

:30:43.:30:52.

saying, Downing Street in effect is saying that GPs do not work hard

:30:53.:30:57.

enough and that's the reason why A was under such pressure? No, I don't

:30:58.:31:00.

think that is the message, I think that is the message that the media

:31:01.:31:04.

have taken up. That is not the expression that we want to give. I

:31:05.:31:09.

still work as a nurse, I know how hard doctors work in hospitals and

:31:10.:31:13.

GP practices. When the rose 30% of people turning up at A for neither

:31:14.:31:18.

an accident or an emergency, we do need to look at alternative. Where

:31:19.:31:23.

is the GPs' operability in this? We know from patients that if they

:31:24.:31:26.

cannot get access to GPs, they will do one of three things. They will

:31:27.:31:30.

wait two or three weeks until they can get an appointment, they will

:31:31.:31:34.

forget about the problem altogether, which is not good, we want patients

:31:35.:31:37.

to be getting investigations at early stages, or they will go to

:31:38.:31:47.

A And that is a problem. I'm not quite sure what the role that GPs

:31:48.:31:50.

play in this. What is your response in that? I think about 70% of

:31:51.:31:53.

patients that I see should not be seen by me but should still be seen

:31:54.:31:56.

by hospital consultants. If we look at it from GPs' eyes and not from

:31:57.:32:00.

hospital's eyes, because that is what it is, we might get somewhere.

:32:01.:32:04.

Tomorrow morning, every practice in England will have about 1.5 GPs

:32:05.:32:09.

shot, that's not even counting if there is traffic problems, sickness

:32:10.:32:14.

or whatever. -- GPs shot. We cannot work any harder, I cannot

:32:15.:32:17.

physically, emotionally work any harder. We are open 12 hours a day,

:32:18.:32:25.

most of us, I run practices open 365 days per year 24 hours a day. I

:32:26.:32:29.

don't understand this. It is one thing attacking me as a GP from

:32:30.:32:32.

working hard enough, but it is another thing saying that GPs as a

:32:33.:32:36.

profession and doing what they should be doing. Let me in National

:32:37.:32:42.

Audit Office has coming up with these figures showing that almost

:32:43.:32:49.

half of doctors' practices are not open during core hours at some part

:32:50.:32:52.

of the week. That's where the implication comes, that they are not

:32:53.:32:56.

working hard enough. What do you say to that? I don't recognise this. I'm

:32:57.:33:01.

not being defensive, I'm just don't recognise it. There are practices

:33:02.:33:05.

working palliative care services, practices have to close home visits

:33:06.:33:08.

if they are single-handed, some of us are working in care homes during

:33:09.:33:12.

the day. They may shot for an hour in the middle of the data will sort

:33:13.:33:19.

out some of the prescriptions and admin -- they may shot. My practice

:33:20.:33:21.

runs a number of practices across London. If we shut during our

:33:22.:33:24.

contractual hours we would have NHS England coming down on us like a

:33:25.:33:29.

tonne of bricks. Maria Caulfield, I'm struggling to understand, given

:33:30.:33:34.

the problems the NHS faces, particularly in our hospitals, what

:33:35.:33:36.

this has got to do with the solution? Obviously there are GP

:33:37.:33:40.

practices that are working, you know, over and above the hours. But

:33:41.:33:45.

there are some GP practices, we know from National Audit Office, there

:33:46.:33:51.

are particular black sports -- blackspots in the country that only

:33:52.:33:54.

offer services for three hours a week. That's causing problems if

:33:55.:33:57.

they cannot get to see a GP they will go and use A Nobody is

:33:58.:34:02.

saying that this measure would solve problems at A, it would address

:34:03.:34:06.

one small part of its top blog we shouldn't be starting this, as I

:34:07.:34:10.

keep saying, please to this from solving the problems at A We

:34:11.:34:14.

should be starting it from solving the problems of the patients in

:34:15.:34:18.

their totality, the best place they should go, not from A This really

:34:19.:34:24.

upsets me, as a GP I am there to be a proxy A doctor. I am a GP, a

:34:25.:34:29.

highly skilled doctor, looking after patients from cradle to grave across

:34:30.:34:33.

the physical, psychological and social, I am not an A doctor. I

:34:34.:34:39.

don't disagree with that, nobody is saying that GPs are not working hard

:34:40.:34:42.

enough. You just did, actually, about some of them. In some

:34:43.:34:47.

practices, what we need to see, it's not just GPs in GP surgeries, it is

:34:48.:34:52.

advanced nurse practitioners, pharmacists. It doesn't necessarily

:34:53.:34:56.

need to be all on the GPs. I think advanced nurse practitioners are in

:34:57.:35:01.

short supply. Position associate or go to hospital, -- physician

:35:02.:35:05.

associates. We have very few trainees, junior doctors in general

:35:06.:35:09.

practice, unlike hospitals, which tend to have some slack with the

:35:10.:35:12.

junior doctor community and workforce. This isn't an argument,

:35:13.:35:17.

this is about saying, let's stop looking at the National health

:35:18.:35:20.

system as a National hospital system. GPs tomorrow will see about

:35:21.:35:26.

1.3 million patients. That is a lot of thoughtful. A lot of activity

:35:27.:35:31.

with no resources. If you wanted the GPs to behave better, in your terms,

:35:32.:35:35.

when you allocated more money to GPs, part of the reforms, because

:35:36.:35:39.

that's where it went, shouldn't you have targeted it more closely to

:35:40.:35:44.

where they want to operate? That is exactly what the Prime Minister is

:35:45.:35:48.

saying, extra funding is being made available by GPs to extend hours and

:35:49.:35:52.

services. If certain GP practices cannot do that, the money will

:35:53.:35:54.

follow the patient to where they move onto. We have no doctors to do

:35:55.:35:59.

it. I was on a coach last week, the coach driver stopped in the service

:36:00.:36:02.

station for an hour, they were stopping for a rest. We cannot do

:36:03.:36:07.

it. Even if you gave us millions more money, and thankfully NHS is

:36:08.:36:14.

recognising that we need a solution through the five-day week, we

:36:15.:36:16.

haven't got the doctors to deliver this. It would take a while to get

:36:17.:36:19.

them? That's my point, that's why we need to be using all how care

:36:20.:36:23.

professional. Even if you got this right, would it make a difference to

:36:24.:36:26.

what many regard as the crisis in our hospitals? I think it would. If

:36:27.:36:30.

you look at patients, they just want to go to a service that will address

:36:31.:36:35.

the problems. In Scotland for example, pharmacists have their own

:36:36.:36:39.

patient list. Patients go and see the pharmacists first. There are

:36:40.:36:42.

lots of conditions, for example if you want anticoagulants, you don't

:36:43.:36:48.

necessarily need to see a doctor, a pharmacist can manage that and free

:36:49.:36:52.

up the doctor in other ways. The Prime Minister has said that if

:36:53.:36:56.

things do not change she is threatening to reduce funding to

:36:57.:36:59.

doctors who do not comply. Can you both agree, that is probably an

:37:00.:37:02.

empty threat, that's not going to happen? I hope it's an empty threat.

:37:03.:37:07.

We're trying our best. People like me in my profession, the seniors in

:37:08.:37:11.

our profession, are really trying to pull up morale and get people into

:37:12.:37:15.

general practice, which is a wonderful profession, absolutely

:37:16.:37:19.

wonderful place to be. But slapping us off and telling us that we are

:37:20.:37:23.

lazy really doesn't help. I really don't think anybody is doing that.

:37:24.:37:27.

We have run out of time, but I'm certain that we will be back to the

:37:28.:37:30.

subject before this winter is out. It's just gone 11:35am,

:37:31.:37:32.

you're watching the Sunday Politics. We say goodbye to viewers

:37:33.:37:35.

in Scotland, who leave us now Coming up here in 20

:37:36.:37:37.

minutes: The Week Ahead. I'm Nina Warhurst, coming up

:37:38.:37:46.

in the north-west... A promise to improve mental health

:37:47.:37:49.

care for the next generation. And joining me to discuss that

:37:50.:37:52.

and the rest of this week's news are Graham Evans,

:37:53.:37:57.

the Conservative MP for Weaver Vale, and Lisa Nandy, who's the MP

:37:58.:38:00.

for Wigan for the Labour Party. But before we move on to mental

:38:01.:38:04.

health, this week 50 leading doctors wrote to the Prime Minister asking

:38:05.:38:09.

that she secure long-term We are in a crisis,

:38:10.:38:11.

and it is a humane crisis, because it is a crisis

:38:12.:38:18.

which is affecting human beings and there is a person at the top

:38:19.:38:21.

of the food chain is in denial Mark Holland there,

:38:22.:38:35.

who is a doctor from Manchester. Graham, this topic is so toxic

:38:36.:38:40.

that the health minister was meant to come on this programme

:38:41.:38:43.

but had to cancel. Number ten apparently asked him

:38:44.:38:45.

to because of that subject. Is the government in

:38:46.:38:47.

denial about the extent It's no surprise

:38:48.:38:49.

that we are in winter, but the National Health Service

:38:50.:38:54.

is dealing with more The Tuesday after Christmas

:38:55.:38:58.

was a record breaking number And it is winter time,

:38:59.:39:01.

people come back on the new year and find that they're

:39:02.:39:05.

not feeling well. And so, it is a very difficult time,

:39:06.:39:06.

I'm not disputing that, but the government has worked very

:39:07.:39:09.

hard in the NHS. We've committed ?10 billion

:39:10.:39:12.

since the election, there will be It's clearly not

:39:13.:39:14.

enough though, is it? You've got leading experts in every

:39:15.:39:20.

field throughout health care saying Well, no, the Prime Minister hasn't

:39:21.:39:23.

got her head in the sand. But we did ask the NHS before

:39:24.:39:29.

the general election how much they needed, and they asked

:39:30.:39:31.

for ?8 billion additional income, And we're actually going to be

:39:32.:39:34.

supplying ?10 billion by 2020. Isn't that a figure that's been

:39:35.:39:39.

disputed by Simon Stevens? Well, the figures have been

:39:40.:39:41.

disputed, but we did ask I'm not an expert, they are asked

:39:42.:39:44.

and that was the figure. Simon Stevens, the chief executive

:39:45.:39:56.

of the NHS England has said that the Prime Minister

:39:57.:39:59.

is stretching the truth when it I think that's it, that really

:40:00.:40:01.

is Simon Stevens at his worst. As I say, we as politicians asked

:40:02.:40:06.

Simon Stevens how much he wanted. We're committing

:40:07.:40:11.

?10 billion by 2020. Let's have a look at the figures

:40:12.:40:13.

leaked to us on the time ambulances have been left waiting

:40:14.:40:16.

at some hospitals. On the 4th of January,

:40:17.:40:18.

an ambulance was waiting for more The day before at North Manchester

:40:19.:40:20.

General, it was almost nine hours. And on the 12th of December,

:40:21.:40:28.

the longest turnaround time The Prime Minister denying that this

:40:29.:40:30.

is a humanitarian crisis. You could argue, relatives of anyone

:40:31.:40:37.

lay on a stretcher for nine hours Well, I don't accept that it's

:40:38.:40:40.

a humanitarian crisis. I work in defence and security,

:40:41.:40:44.

and if you look at what's going on in Syria and the civilians

:40:45.:40:47.

in Aleppo and elsewhere in Syria, I'm not disputing for a moment that

:40:48.:40:50.

we're going through a difficult time, but to say the Prime Minister

:40:51.:40:54.

isn't on top of this, And we're all working hard

:40:55.:40:57.

to work with the NHS Lisa, using language

:40:58.:41:01.

like a humanitarian crisis as the Red Cross did,

:41:02.:41:12.

is that overblowing the situation? I think it's fairly significant

:41:13.:41:14.

coming from the British Red Cross. That is more used to working

:41:15.:41:17.

in war-torn areas like Syria and the sorts of places that Graham

:41:18.:41:20.

was just describing. The truth is that hospitals

:41:21.:41:22.

and A in particular, are barometers for the health

:41:23.:41:24.

of the wider health And what we've seen over the last

:41:25.:41:27.

six years is not just huge cuts to hospitals,

:41:28.:41:30.

not only Simon Stevens but also the Tory chair of the health select

:41:31.:41:33.

committee has said that the government is not

:41:34.:41:35.

putting in the funding We've also seen massive sweeping

:41:36.:41:37.

cuts to social care, and that's meant many people,

:41:38.:41:43.

particularly older people, are coming into hospitals

:41:44.:41:45.

through the Ambulance Service It's social care,

:41:46.:41:53.

its pressure on GP translating to red alert

:41:54.:42:00.

across emergency services. I've visited some GPs this

:42:01.:42:02.

morning ahead of the show. We're committing ?3.5 billion

:42:03.:42:05.

to adult social care. And there are some examples of good

:42:06.:42:08.

practice, and best practice. Where we see best practice

:42:09.:42:12.

in the north-west, in Lisa's very own constituency in Wigan,

:42:13.:42:14.

and also in Salford where they have integrated networks to get patients

:42:15.:42:17.

out of hospital into... By constituency is a very

:42:18.:42:21.

good example of this. Where we are consistently one

:42:22.:42:24.

of the top performing hospital trusts in the region,

:42:25.:42:27.

and outperform many But even my hospital trust

:42:28.:42:29.

in the last few weeks has failed to meet those waiting time targets,

:42:30.:42:33.

those four hour waiting time targets in A, as have

:42:34.:42:38.

hospitals across the country. And the reality of that is

:42:39.:42:40.

ambulances queueing at hospitals and people lying on trolleys

:42:41.:42:43.

in hospital corridors, as they did when I was growing up

:42:44.:42:46.

under a Tory government in this We urgently need to take

:42:47.:42:50.

the politics out of this, Do you accept they need

:42:51.:42:54.

to be cross-party talks? We need more money into the NHS,

:42:55.:43:02.

and we need to be honest with people I grew up under a Labour

:43:03.:43:07.

government in the 1970s, and the health system that under

:43:08.:43:15.

a Labour government I would like to take politics out

:43:16.:43:17.

of it, as Lisa says, to work together and stop

:43:18.:43:21.

using the NHS as a We've committed ?10 billion

:43:22.:43:23.

extra funding by 2020, but there is clearly more to do,

:43:24.:43:27.

certainly in adult social care. But you think the reason

:43:28.:43:34.

they will agree to the call that was made by three

:43:35.:43:36.

of your own Tory colleagues and several Labour and Liberal

:43:37.:43:39.

Democrat MPs this week, to set up cross-party

:43:40.:43:41.

talks on the future Well, I can't talk

:43:42.:43:43.

for the Prime Minister, but I think that's a good

:43:44.:43:46.

suggestion, the politicians Certainly in the north-west

:43:47.:43:48.

and as Lisa says, where you have examples of best practice,

:43:49.:43:52.

in your constituency and elsewhere, For my constituency,

:43:53.:43:54.

for Cheshire West and Chester. So you both agree the Prime Minister

:43:55.:43:57.

needs to agree on cross-party She needs to put the funding

:43:58.:44:00.

in place to care for people More elderly patients are increasing

:44:01.:44:04.

the NHS costs and this week the government concentrated though

:44:05.:44:08.

on young people, announcing plans There will be more teacher training,

:44:09.:44:11.

more money for community health As Kevin Fitzpatrick now reports,

:44:12.:44:15.

waiting times for treatment in parts of this region are among the worst

:44:16.:44:18.

in the country. Mental health problems affect people

:44:19.:44:21.

of all ages and all backgrounds. The Prime Minister describes it

:44:22.:44:25.

as a hidden injustice, and wants to change attitudes

:44:26.:44:29.

towards mental illness. So does Jake Mills from Liverpool,

:44:30.:44:32.

who tried to end his And we're being kind

:44:33.:44:35.

of facetious about it. If there was a disease that existed

:44:36.:44:47.

that was killing more men in this country under the age of 49,

:44:48.:44:50.

and it was preventable and treatable, we would

:44:51.:44:53.

all be experts on it. Taken an overdose of

:44:54.:44:57.

prescribed medication. Hospital psychiatric teams

:44:58.:44:59.

are increasingly dealing with people in crisis,

:45:00.:45:01.

and the level of Patients with depression

:45:02.:45:03.

or anxiety weight eight days for treatment in Liverpool,

:45:04.:45:08.

below the national average of 19. But greater Manchester is among

:45:09.:45:15.

the worst in the country, 41 days in North Manchester,

:45:16.:45:21.

46 in central Manchester. And more than seven weeks

:45:22.:45:25.

in South Manchester. More young people particularly young

:45:26.:45:29.

girls and young women There's an awful lot more self harm

:45:30.:45:31.

and threat of suicide. So it's realy stepped up

:45:32.:45:40.

in terms of demand at a time And the Moodswings charity

:45:41.:45:43.

in Manchester, staff try to understand the underlying

:45:44.:45:47.

causes of people's distress. Its chair claims mental health

:45:48.:45:49.

services are under pressure, because too many people

:45:50.:45:51.

are prescribed drugs or referred The answer is to look

:45:52.:45:54.

at what we're doing, have a fundamental look

:45:55.:46:00.

at what we're going and start to see having human problems,

:46:01.:46:03.

rather than patients Jake Mills believes he's

:46:04.:46:06.

proof that you can return from the darkest of places,

:46:07.:46:14.

but many say that for mental health to get the same

:46:15.:46:16.

recognition as physical health, Again, I think we all agree

:46:17.:46:19.

that cases like Jake's are upsetting and there needs

:46:20.:46:26.

to be more investment. But really, Graham,

:46:27.:46:32.

?50 million across the country. Are we supposed to

:46:33.:46:34.

take that seriously? Well, unfortunately mental health

:46:35.:46:36.

has been the poor relation in the NHS and all parties were far

:46:37.:46:38.

too long, and the Prime Minister... ?50 million, it feels

:46:39.:46:43.

like it very much still is! The Prime Minister, one of her first

:46:44.:46:45.

speeches was on mental health, and putting it as a priority

:46:46.:46:48.

to the government in future. Again, if we can work

:46:49.:46:51.

together cross-party on this to really get it there,

:46:52.:46:53.

centrestage, because it has a huge impact on families

:46:54.:46:55.

across the country. It's tough, isn't it Lisa,

:46:56.:46:57.

because this is something that again breaches over into social care

:46:58.:47:00.

and often diagnosis is the trickiest Yeah, so I really applaud

:47:01.:47:03.

Theresa May for making this her first speech on health,

:47:04.:47:07.

because too often as you said, it becomes the afterthought

:47:08.:47:10.

or the poor relation. The problem is that when you look

:47:11.:47:13.

at the concrete measures that she actually announced,

:47:14.:47:20.

?50 million, just And not really compensating

:47:21.:47:22.

actually for the money that was previously promised

:47:23.:47:25.

and that never materialised. And there are some concrete things

:47:26.:47:27.

that you could do to deal with this. For example, last time

:47:28.:47:30.

George Osborne promised money for mental health,

:47:31.:47:32.

that money never actually went into mental health

:47:33.:47:34.

because cash-strapped trusts and clinical commissioning groups

:47:35.:47:35.

were actually taking that money and using it to pay

:47:36.:47:38.

for other priorities. And also, if we're salami slicing

:47:39.:47:46.

things like children's centres, youth services, 15 million then

:47:47.:47:52.

spread out, it's not going to mean Well, there is more to be done,

:47:53.:47:55.

but at least we met In fact, to pay tribute to one

:47:56.:47:59.

of your colleagues who is one of the first to stand up

:48:00.:48:03.

and in Parliament. We discuss mental health

:48:04.:48:05.

in Parliament, that wasn't And yes, there is a long way to go,

:48:06.:48:07.

we have far more to do, It is at centre stage,

:48:08.:48:12.

but there is an awful lot I mean, I would say that

:48:13.:48:17.

actually this is a crisis. I would say that it's

:48:18.:48:21.

going much further than... That is deeply offensive to people

:48:22.:48:24.

who are waiting significant amounts There are some people in greater

:48:25.:48:29.

Manchester who wait more than 90 days to see a counsellor

:48:30.:48:34.

when they're in crisis. I've had cases in my constituency,

:48:35.:48:36.

you will have done too. I had a young girl who was left

:48:37.:48:39.

sitting in a waiting room when she was suicidal al night,

:48:40.:48:42.

and then sent home. Not actually because of a lack

:48:43.:48:44.

of a bed, but for lack of an ambulance to get her

:48:45.:48:47.

to that bed. There are real, real problems facing

:48:48.:48:49.

people now, and it is a crisis. We all have examples

:48:50.:48:52.

in our constituencies, It was taboo subject up

:48:53.:48:57.

until fairly recently. It's really good that the Prime

:48:58.:49:05.

Minister is taking it as a lead, and I'm hoping in future we can

:49:06.:49:08.

get more money. We cannot magic more

:49:09.:49:11.

money out of the air. We need to have a stronger economy,

:49:12.:49:14.

stronger economy and stronger NHS. We're going to have to stop,

:49:15.:49:17.

because I know we're going to be coming back to this

:49:18.:49:22.

throughout the year. That's the NHS and mental

:49:23.:49:24.

health services. We're going to look now

:49:25.:49:26.

at what else is in the political Stuart Pollitt has called on three

:49:27.:49:29.

of our wisest minds to look ahead. Let's hope they do a better job

:49:30.:49:33.

than last year's experts. 2016 wasn't exactly a great year

:49:34.:49:41.

for political predictions, was it? We've gathered three experts to see

:49:42.:49:44.

what 2017 has in store. First on the agenda,

:49:45.:49:57.

the upcoming mayoral elections. Are they in danger

:49:58.:50:03.

of being a bit dull? I think we probably know

:50:04.:50:06.

who's going to win. I don't think Andy Burnham Steve

:50:07.:50:11.

Rotherham will be too worried But they could still be

:50:12.:50:14.

interesting contests. Do you see any possible challenge

:50:15.:50:17.

to a Labour victory? It's very hard to see Labour doing

:50:18.:50:19.

anything other than winning. But there is, there are questions

:50:20.:50:22.

about the extent of the victory and very interesting to see

:50:23.:50:26.

where the challenge comes from. It will be very interesting to see

:50:27.:50:29.

what happens with the Ukip vote there, and also some

:50:30.:50:32.

of the more fringe candidates. You know, the Women's Equality

:50:33.:50:34.

Party, you know, did very well It might be interesting

:50:35.:50:37.

to see how their greater Particularly in the

:50:38.:50:40.

preferential voting system. Just to pick up on that I think

:50:41.:50:45.

is well, about the challenge that will happen with the by-election

:50:46.:50:48.

for Andy Burnham's seat, whether or not Ukip will present

:50:49.:50:51.

a challenge within that In terms of Ukip, not sure that

:50:52.:50:55.

I buy into this idea that Paul Nuttall is going to deliver

:50:56.:51:02.

them lots of working-class I'd be amazed if Ukip ever

:51:03.:51:04.

wins parliamentary seat Andy Burnham's seat, that's the one

:51:05.:51:08.

they look at, isn't it? I accept there are certain

:51:09.:51:13.

constituencies where they ought to be winning, given the profile

:51:14.:51:16.

of Leave versus Remain But also, you know,

:51:17.:51:19.

the Conservatives could really kind But also, don't write off

:51:20.:51:22.

the Liberal Democrats. Tim Farron's put his eggs

:51:23.:51:29.

into the pro-Europe basket. This is a crucial year

:51:30.:51:31.

for the Liberal Democrats, not just in the north-west

:51:32.:51:33.

but nationally, because they have to try and grab the agenda,

:51:34.:51:36.

focus people's attention. You know, they might try

:51:37.:51:38.

and define themselves We do have one fascinating contest

:51:39.:51:40.

which will test all the parties, and that's the election

:51:41.:51:45.

to Lancashire County Council in May. Because that's a council

:51:46.:51:48.

that is under no overall control. Because if Labour fails to take

:51:49.:51:51.

Lancashire County Council at this stage of the electoral cycle,

:51:52.:51:57.

you know, that's a very damning It's also Cumbria, and in both

:51:58.:52:00.

of those errors you've got no overall control and a mixture

:52:01.:52:06.

of the Lib Dems and Labour being, It's really interesting to see how

:52:07.:52:09.

that anti-Conservative There is a certain brand loyalty

:52:10.:52:17.

to Labour here in the north-west. The problem for Labour is it's not

:52:18.:52:20.

being replicated further afield. That brand loyalty also

:52:21.:52:23.

is being stretched. 2017 is going to be volatile and

:52:24.:52:25.

it's going to be a lot of change. And the Conservatives are very

:52:26.:52:28.

much on the back foot. The next six months

:52:29.:52:31.

are going to be key for them. I mean, the Conservatives have got

:52:32.:52:34.

a very, very difficult year ahead. They're very divided

:52:35.:52:36.

on whether they want to remain as part of the European single

:52:37.:52:39.

market or not. They've got to come

:52:40.:52:41.

to their conference here in Manchester on the 1st of October

:52:42.:52:43.

this year, and be united The other thing that will be sorted

:52:44.:52:46.

out this year of course is the electoral boundaries

:52:47.:52:49.

in the north-west, I mean, that is one of the key

:52:50.:52:51.

reasons why I don't think there'll be a general election in 2017,

:52:52.:52:57.

is because the Conservatives want to make sure that the new

:52:58.:52:59.

boundaries are in place. One thing I can be sure of,

:53:00.:53:02.

that the three of you will be in for an interesting year no

:53:03.:53:05.

matter what happens. Andrew Russell than saying

:53:06.:53:07.

he doesn't think there will be I think there probably

:53:08.:53:11.

will, actually. My feeling is, if I was Theresa May,

:53:12.:53:15.

she wasn't elected by the country. She wasn't even elected

:53:16.:53:18.

from Conservative Party members, she's inherited this situation

:53:19.:53:21.

where we're leaving the European Union without any

:53:22.:53:23.

planning whatsoever I think she probably has

:53:24.:53:27.

to go to the country, and I think most likely if anyone

:53:28.:53:32.

can predict anything about this very unpredictable year,

:53:33.:53:34.

I would say that she will set out her sort of broad parameters

:53:35.:53:39.

and then call a general election Even if we trigger Article 50

:53:40.:53:42.

in March, is that not...? Well, she still not officially

:53:43.:53:46.

committed to triggering Article 50 in March,

:53:47.:53:49.

but I guess we'll Ought she trigger a general

:53:50.:53:51.

election as well? This is one of the most

:53:52.:53:55.

significant changes I'm not asking for

:53:56.:54:03.

a general election. Because I've just about recovered

:54:04.:54:06.

from 2015 marginal seat. I worked very hard

:54:07.:54:13.

to reduce my majority! Majority MPs of all parties tend not

:54:14.:54:15.

to want general elections. The great British public out

:54:16.:54:18.

there are sort of referendum-ed and election-ed out,

:54:19.:54:20.

so we don't really On a serious point, the threat

:54:21.:54:22.

of a Corbyn government would be You mentioned what we've got to do

:54:23.:54:31.

with Brexit in March. You need a very, very strong leader

:54:32.:54:35.

at the helm during this very She has to get through Brexit

:54:36.:54:38.

and 2017 is that year. We do not want any general elections

:54:39.:54:43.

destabilising the economy. I would say there's

:54:44.:54:48.

a better chance of having But, I mean, you're talking

:54:49.:54:56.

to somebody who thought that it was most likely that

:54:57.:55:01.

Yvette Cooper was going to win the Labour leadership contest

:55:02.:55:04.

the first time round. Speaking of Jeremy Corbyn,

:55:05.:55:06.

it has been a bumpy start This week, I met with him

:55:07.:55:12.

at Westminster and asked him if he agreed with our viewers,

:55:13.:55:16.

who told me he's out of touch with traditional Labour

:55:17.:55:19.

voters on immigration. What I want to do is end

:55:20.:55:20.

the undercutting of existing pay and conditions, the exploitation

:55:21.:55:25.

of people in awful The north-west of England told

:55:26.:55:27.

you with the Brexit vote, You're assuming that all those

:55:28.:55:37.

who voted Brexit voted on one issue. There are many issues

:55:38.:55:41.

people voted on. We need to have an economic

:55:42.:55:43.

relationship with Europe in the future, that's what Labour

:55:44.:55:45.

is committed to. That's why we're working

:55:46.:55:47.

with colleagues across Europe. Paul Nuttall is the new leader

:55:48.:55:50.

of Ukip, he is a plain northerner and he is,

:55:51.:55:54.

his message is clear on immigration: Why shouldn't those voters

:55:55.:55:56.

in the north-west turn to Ukip? I think what we have to do is ensure

:55:57.:56:03.

that there is no more undercutting of existing working conditions,

:56:04.:56:07.

no more people being brought in by agencies and forced

:56:08.:56:10.

to work for those agency. That sounds to your viewers

:56:11.:56:12.

like you are more worried about the rights of immigrants

:56:13.:56:16.

than you are about their concerns, but the impact of immigration

:56:17.:56:18.

on their community. It would have a very big effect,

:56:19.:56:21.

because it would mean that people that have got agreed working

:56:22.:56:24.

conditions in this country If we thought the beginning

:56:25.:56:26.

of the week that Corbyn was going to moderate his views

:56:27.:56:38.

on immigration, we were And then Tuesday's

:56:39.:56:40.

speech came about. Was it a U-turn

:56:41.:56:44.

from your perspective? I thought it was quite

:56:45.:56:46.

welcome, actually. Because it was the first time

:56:47.:56:47.

that the Labour leadership has come out and said we need to look

:56:48.:56:50.

at reform of the system of free movement, but our priority

:56:51.:56:55.

as we said from the very beginning is about as full access

:56:56.:56:58.

to the single market as possible. Do you think he communicated

:56:59.:57:00.

that very clearly? Because we're all left

:57:01.:57:04.

scratching our heads thinking, I think there were certainly some

:57:05.:57:06.

confusion over the way that But actually, this was the first

:57:07.:57:10.

time that I've heard somebody at that very senior level

:57:11.:57:14.

in the Labour Party say that we need some reforms

:57:15.:57:16.

to the system of free movement. That's a lot more detail than we've

:57:17.:57:19.

had from the Prime Minister so far, who is refusing to tell the British

:57:20.:57:23.

public anything at all about what she plans

:57:24.:57:25.

for post-Brexit Britain. Because for many young

:57:26.:57:27.

people in my constituency, they can see the benefits

:57:28.:57:30.

of being part of the single market, but actually the system that we've

:57:31.:57:33.

got of free movement has enabled us for far too long to bring in migrant

:57:34.:57:36.

labourer at the expense of young people in towns like mine,

:57:37.:57:39.

who need investment in their skills And we ought to change that,

:57:40.:57:42.

as Jeremy Corbyn... Protecting the rights of migrant

:57:43.:57:47.

workers rather than encouraging Our message from the Labour Party

:57:48.:57:49.

under Ed Miliband and now again under Jeremy Corbyn has always been

:57:50.:57:54.

that we will not allow the companies to drive down terms and conditions

:57:55.:57:59.

at the expense is of migrant workers and of people working

:58:00.:58:03.

here in this country. A little bit of clarity would be

:58:04.:58:06.

good, Graham, wouldn't it? From the government, so we know

:58:07.:58:09.

which direction wing heading in. Jeremy Corbyn, perhaps fairly,

:58:10.:58:12.

said to me, "I can't start talking about our policy until we know

:58:13.:58:14.

what the government's doing". We want to reduce the number

:58:15.:58:17.

of migrants coming here, but we need doctors,

:58:18.:58:22.

we need nurses, we need We have a shortage of those people,

:58:23.:58:24.

so it's vitally important for the continued growth

:58:25.:58:29.

of our country that we do have the ability to

:58:30.:58:31.

bring those people in. But we need to train

:58:32.:58:34.

up our own people. You think where having to a two

:58:35.:58:36.

tier system of visas? I think and skilled Labour

:58:37.:58:39.

coming in, as Lisa alluded to in her constituency and indeed

:58:40.:58:49.

in my constituency, we have young people who need to scale

:58:50.:58:53.

up to take those jobs. Having unskilled migrants

:58:54.:58:58.

coming in is a complete failure, but the government

:58:59.:59:00.

is working on that. It's easy for employers

:59:01.:59:02.

to bring in unskilled work. Some of the companies,

:59:03.:59:04.

not all companies, down It's about skilling up our own

:59:05.:59:06.

workforce, our own people. I'm sure all will become clear

:59:07.:59:09.

in the next few months. It's planes, trains and automobiles

:59:10.:59:12.

in this week's 60 Seconds. Anti-fracking protesters

:59:13.:59:15.

forced a four hour road Demonstrators were walking

:59:16.:59:18.

in front of lorries heading into the new Quadrilla site

:59:19.:59:28.

at Little Plumpton. 11 miles away in Preston,

:59:29.:59:30.

drivers have racked up fines of ?1 million in less

:59:31.:59:32.

than three months. They've been caught out by a new bus

:59:33.:59:34.

lane in Fisher gate. My daughter came up Chapel Street,

:59:35.:59:37.

and by the time she was here, From roads to rail, and an MP

:59:38.:59:40.

pointed the finger at Virgin for charging up to three times more

:59:41.:59:44.

for a trip from London to Preston than to Lancaster,

:59:45.:59:47.

despite the shorter journey. Virgin says more

:59:48.:59:53.

people use the line. Virgin need to have a look

:59:54.:59:55.

at the pricing structure. They also need to stop ripping

:59:56.:59:57.

people off, because this Passenger numbers at

:59:58.:59:59.

Liverpool John Lennon Airport are at their highest for five years,

:00:00.:00:02.

but the local singer Rebecca Ferguson won't be using it

:00:03.:00:05.

for a trip to Washington. She's decided not to sing

:00:06.:00:08.

at Donald Trump's inauguration because of a dispute

:00:09.:00:12.

over song choice. Thank you to my guests,

:00:13.:00:20.

Lisa Nandy the MP for Wigan. And Graham Evans, the Conservative

:00:21.:00:24.

MP for Weaver Vale. The Shadow Education

:00:25.:00:27.

Secretary Angela Rayner We'll be looking at the impact

:00:28.:00:30.

of changes to school funding. I'll hand you back

:00:31.:00:34.

to Andrew in London. Now, if anyone thought Donald Trump

:00:35.:00:36.

would tone things down after the American election

:00:37.:00:50.

campaign, they may have The period where he has been

:00:51.:01:01.

President-elect will make them think again. The inauguration is coming up

:01:02.:01:05.

on Friday. Never has the forthcoming

:01:06.:01:06.

inauguration of a president been In a moment, we'll talk

:01:07.:01:08.

to a man who knows Mr Trump But first, let's have a look

:01:09.:01:12.

at the press conference Mr Trump gave on Wednesday,

:01:13.:01:16.

in which he took the opportunity to rubbish reports that Russia has

:01:17.:01:18.

obtained compromising information You are attacking our

:01:19.:01:20.

news organisation. Can you give us a chance,

:01:21.:01:36.

you are attacking our news organisation, can you give us

:01:37.:01:41.

a chance to ask a question, sir? As far as Buzzfeed,

:01:42.:01:44.

which is a failing pile of garbage, writing it, I think they're

:01:45.:01:50.

going to suffer the consequences. Does anyone really

:01:51.:01:54.

believe that story? I'm also very much of

:01:55.:01:57.

a germaphobe, by the way. If Putin likes Donald Trump,

:01:58.:02:00.

guess what, folks, that's called The only ones that care about my tax

:02:01.:02:02.

returns are the reporters, OK? Do you not think the American

:02:03.:02:10.

public is concerned? The Wiggo, Donald Trump at his first

:02:11.:02:24.

last conference. The Can will he change as President? Because he

:02:25.:02:27.

hasn't changed in the run-up to being inaugurated? I don't think he

:02:28.:02:32.

will commit he doesn't see any point in changing. Why would he change

:02:33.:02:35.

from the personality that just one, as he just said, I just one. All of

:02:36.:02:40.

the bleeding-heart liberals can wail and brush their teeth and say how

:02:41.:02:42.

ghastly that all this, Hillary should have won and so on, but he

:02:43.:02:47.

has got an incredible mandate. Remember, Trump has the House

:02:48.:02:50.

committee has the Senate, he will have the Supreme Court. He has

:02:51.:02:54.

incredible power right now. He doesn't have to listen to anybody. I

:02:55.:02:58.

spoke to him a couple of weeks ago specifically about Twitter, I asked

:02:59.:03:02.

him what the impact was of Twitter. He said, I have 60 million people

:03:03.:03:07.

following me on Twitter. I was able to bypass mainstream media, bypass

:03:08.:03:11.

all modern political convention and talk directly to potential voters.

:03:12.:03:15.

Secondly, I can turn on the TV in the morning, I can see a rival

:03:16.:03:19.

getting all of the airtime, and I can fire off a tweet, for free, as a

:03:20.:03:24.

marketing man he loves that, and, boom, I'm on the news agenda again.

:03:25.:03:28.

He was able to use that magnificently. Twitter to him didn't

:03:29.:03:31.

cost him a dollar. He is going to carry on tweeting in the last six

:03:32.:03:42.

weeks, he was not sleeping. Trump has never had an alcoholic drink a

:03:43.:03:47.

cigarette or a drug. He is a fit by the 70, he has incredible energy and

:03:48.:03:51.

he is incredibly competitive. At his heart, he is a businessman. If you

:03:52.:03:55.

look at him as a political ideologue, you completely missed the

:03:56.:04:00.

point of trouble. Don't take what he says literally, look upon it as a

:04:01.:04:03.

negotiating point that he started from, and try to do business with

:04:04.:04:07.

him as a business person would, and you may be presently surprised so

:04:08.:04:11.

pleasantly surprised. He treats the press and the media entirely

:04:12.:04:16.

differently to any other politician or main politician in that normally

:04:17.:04:23.

the politicians try to get the media off a particular subject, or they

:04:24.:04:27.

try to conciliate with the media. He just comes and punches the media in

:04:28.:04:30.

the nose when he doesn't like them. This could catch on, you know! You

:04:31.:04:37.

are absolutely right, for a start, nobody could accuse him of letting

:04:38.:04:43.

that victory go to his head. You know, he won't say, I will now be

:04:44.:04:46.

this lofty president. He's exactly the same as he was before. What is

:04:47.:04:50.

fascinating is his Laois and ship with the media. I haven't met, and

:04:51.:04:54.

I'm sure you haven't, met a party leader who is obsessed with the

:04:55.:04:57.

media. But they pretend not to be. You know, they state, oh, somebody

:04:58.:05:04.

told me about a column, I didn't read it. He is utterly transparent

:05:05.:05:11.

in his obsession with the media, he doesn't pretend. How that plays out,

:05:12.:05:15.

who knows? It's a completely different dynamic than anyone has

:05:16.:05:19.

seen by. Like he is the issue, he has appointed an unusual Cabinet,

:05:20.:05:24.

that you could criticise in many ways. Nearly all of them are

:05:25.:05:27.

independent people in their own right. A lot of them are wealthy,

:05:28.:05:31.

too. They have their own views. They might not like what he tweaked at

:05:32.:05:35.

3am, and he does have to deal with his Cabinet now. Mad dog matters,

:05:36.:05:40.

now the Defence Secretary, he might not like what's said about China at

:05:41.:05:46.

three in morning - general matters. This is what gets very conjugated.

:05:47.:05:50.

We cannot imagine here in our political system any kind of

:05:51.:05:53.

appointments like this. Using the wouldn't have a line-up of

:05:54.:05:55.

billionaires of the kind of background that he has chosen -- you

:05:56.:05:59.

simply wouldn't have. But that won't stop him saying and reading what he

:06:00.:06:04.

thinks. Maybe it will cause him some internal issues when the following

:06:05.:06:06.

day he has the square rigged with whatever they think. But he's going

:06:07.:06:11.

to press ahead. Are we any clearer in terms of policy. I know policy

:06:12.:06:19.

hasn't featured hugely in this campaign of 2016. Do we have any

:06:20.:06:22.

really clear idea what Mr Trump is hoping to achieve? He has had some

:06:23.:06:29.

consistent theme going back over 25 years. One is a deep scepticism

:06:30.:06:32.

about international trade and the kind of deals that America has been

:06:33.:06:36.

doing over that period. It has been so consistent that is has been hard

:06:37.:06:39.

to spin as something that you say during the course of a campaign of

:06:40.:06:43.

something to get elected. Ultimately, Piers is correct, he

:06:44.:06:47.

won't change. When he won the election committee gave a relatively

:06:48.:06:50.

magnanimous beach. I thought his ego had been sated and he had got what

:06:51.:06:55.

he wanted. He will end up governing as is likely eccentric New York

:06:56.:06:58.

liberal and everything will be fine. In the recent weeks it has come to

:06:59.:07:02.

my attention that that might not be entirely true!

:07:03.:07:05.

LAUGHTER It is a real test of the American

:07:06.:07:09.

system, the Texan bouncers, the foreign policy establishment which

:07:10.:07:14.

is about to have the orthodoxies disrupted -- the checks and

:07:15.:07:18.

balances. I think he has completely ripped up the American political

:07:19.:07:22.

system. Washington as we know it is dead. From his garage do things his

:07:23.:07:25.

way, he doesn't care, frankly, what any of us thinks -- Trump is going

:07:26.:07:31.

to do things his way. If he can deliver for the people who voted for

:07:32.:07:37.

him who fault this disenfranchised, -- who voted for him who felt this

:07:38.:07:43.

disenfranchised. They voted accordingly. They want to see jobs

:07:44.:07:47.

and the economy in good shape, they want to feel secure. They want to

:07:48.:07:51.

feel that immigration has been tightened. If Trump can deliver on

:07:52.:07:56.

those main theme for the rust belt communities of America, I'm telling

:07:57.:08:00.

you, he will go down as a very successful president. All of the

:08:01.:08:03.

offensive rhetoric and the argy-bargy with CNN and whatever it

:08:04.:08:06.

may be will be completely irrelevant. Let me finish with a

:08:07.:08:14.

parochial question. Is it fair to say quite well disposed to this

:08:15.:08:16.

country? And that he would like, that he's up for a speedy

:08:17.:08:18.

free-trade, bilateral free-trade you'll? Think we have to be sensible

:08:19.:08:25.

as the country. Come Friday, he is the president of the United States,

:08:26.:08:29.

the most powerful man and well. He said to me that he feels half

:08:30.:08:33.

British, his mum was born and raised in Scotland until the age of 18, he

:08:34.:08:36.

loves British, his mother used to love watching the Queen, he feels

:08:37.:08:40.

very, you know, I would roll out the red carpet for Trump, let him eat

:08:41.:08:45.

Her Majesty. The crucial point for us as a country is coming -- let him

:08:46.:08:50.

me to Her Majesty. If we can do a speedy deal within an 18 month

:08:51.:08:55.

period, it really sends a message that well but we are back in the

:08:56.:08:59.

game, that is a hugely beneficial thing for this country. Well, a man

:09:00.:09:03.

whose advisers were indicating that maybe he should learn a few things

:09:04.:09:09.

from Donald Trump was Jeremy Corbyn. Yes, MBE. Mr Corbyn appeared on the

:09:10.:09:13.

Andrew Marr Show this morning. -- yes, indeed.

:09:14.:09:16.

If you don't win Copeland, and if you don't win

:09:17.:09:19.

Stoke-on-Trent Central, you're toast, aren't you?

:09:20.:09:20.

Our party is going to fight very hard in those elections,

:09:21.:09:25.

as we are in the local elections, to put those policies out there.

:09:26.:09:28.

It's an opportunity to challenge the Government on the NHS.

:09:29.:09:30.

It's an opportunity to challenge them on the chaos of Brexit.

:09:31.:09:33.

It's an opportunity to challenge them on the housing shortage.

:09:34.:09:35.

It's an opportunity to challenge them on zero-hours contracts.

:09:36.:09:37.

Is there ever a moment that you look in the mirror and think,

:09:38.:09:42.

you know what, I've done my best, but this might not be for me?

:09:43.:09:46.

I look in the mirror every day and I think,

:09:47.:09:48.

let's go out there and try and create a society where there

:09:49.:09:51.

are opportunities for all, where there aren't these terrible

:09:52.:09:53.

levels of poverty, where there isn't homelessness,

:09:54.:09:55.

where there are houses for all, and where young people aren't

:09:56.:09:57.

frightened of going to university because of the debts

:09:58.:10:00.

they are going to end up with at the end of their course.

:10:01.:10:03.

Mr Corbyn earlier this morning. Steve, would it be fair to say that

:10:04.:10:09.

the mainstream of the Labour Party has now come to the conclusion that

:10:10.:10:13.

they just have to let Mr Corbyn get on with it, that they are not going

:10:14.:10:16.

to try and influence what he does. They will continue to try and have

:10:17.:10:21.

their own views, but it's his show, it's up to him, if it's a mess, he

:10:22.:10:25.

has to live with it and we'll have clean hands? For now, yes. I think

:10:26.:10:29.

they made a mistake when he was first elected to start in some cases

:10:30.:10:32.

tweeting within seconds that it was going to be a disaster, this was

:10:33.:10:37.

Labour MPs. They made a complete mess of that attempted coup in the

:10:38.:10:40.

summer, which strengthened his position. And he did, it gave Corbyn

:10:41.:10:46.

the space with total legitimacy to say that part of the problem is,

:10:47.:10:50.

we're having this public Civil War. In keeping quiet, that disappeared

:10:51.:10:56.

as part of the explanation for why Labour and low in the polls. I think

:10:57.:11:01.

they are partly doing that. But they are also struggling, the so-called

:11:02.:11:06.

mainstream Labour MPs, to decide what the distinctive agenda is. It's

:11:07.:11:09.

one of the many differences with the 80s, where you had a group of people

:11:10.:11:14.

sure of what they believed in, they left to form the SDP. What's

:11:15.:11:18.

happening now is that they are leaving politics altogether. That is

:11:19.:11:22.

a crisis of social Democrats all across Europe, including the French

:11:23.:11:26.

Socialists, as we will find out later in the spring. Let Corbyn

:11:27.:11:33.

because then, that's the strategy. There is a weary and sometimes

:11:34.:11:35.

literal resignation from the moderates in the Labour Party. If

:11:36.:11:38.

you talk to them, they are no longer angry, they have always run out of

:11:39.:11:41.

steam to be angry about what's going on. They are just sort of tired and

:11:42.:11:44.

feel that they've just got to see this through now. I think the

:11:45.:11:48.

by-elections will be interesting. When Andrew Marr said, you're toast,

:11:49.:11:52.

and you? I thought, he's never posed! That was right. A quick

:11:53.:11:57.

thought from view? One thing Corbyn has in common with Trump is immunity

:11:58.:12:02.

to bad news. I think he can lose Copeland and lose Stoke, and as long

:12:03.:12:10.

as it is not a sequence of resignations and by-elections

:12:11.:12:12.

afterwards, with maybe a dozen or 20 Labour MPs going, he can still enjoy

:12:13.:12:15.

what. It may be more trouble if Labour loses the United trade union

:12:16.:12:21.

elections. We are in a period of incredible unpredictability

:12:22.:12:23.

generally in global politics. If you look at the way the next year plays

:12:24.:12:28.

out, if for example brags it was a disaster and it starts to unravel

:12:29.:12:31.

very quickly, Theresa May is attached to that, clearly label

:12:32.:12:34.

would have a great opportunity potentially disease that higher

:12:35.:12:38.

ground, and when Eddie the Tories -- Labour would have an opportunity. Is

:12:39.:12:44.

Corbyn the right guy? We interviewed him, what struck me was that he

:12:45.:12:49.

talked about being from, a laughable comparison, but when it is really

:12:50.:12:52.

laughable is this - Hillary Clinton, what were the things she stood for,

:12:53.:12:57.

nobody really knew? What does Trump stand for? Everybody knew. Corbyn

:12:58.:13:01.

has the work-out four or five messages and bang, bang, bang. He

:13:02.:13:05.

could still be in business. Thank you for being with us.

:13:06.:13:07.

I'll be back at the same time next weekend.

:13:08.:13:10.

Remember - if it's Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics.

:13:11.:13:12.

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