Browse content similar to 05/06/2016. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Just over a fortnight to go, and the referendum debate is getting | :00:38. | :00:44. | |
serious, with Boris Johnson and John Major the latest senior | :00:45. | :00:46. | |
We'll be discussing all the week's big developments, | :00:47. | :00:51. | |
We've hit the road with both campaigns, and we've got two big | :00:52. | :00:59. | |
I'll be joined by Labour's John Prescott, | :01:00. | :01:04. | |
And, if you haven't decided how to vote yet, | :01:05. | :01:08. | |
One MP who's only now finally reached a decision will reveal live | :01:09. | :01:17. | |
And coming up here - As the Assembly prepares | :01:18. | :01:19. | |
for its first full week of business, I'll be talking to Mike Nesbitt | :01:20. | :01:22. | |
about opposition and his relationship with his SDLP | :01:23. | :01:24. | |
And, in a week in which one poll showed the public are three times | :01:25. | :01:36. | |
more likely to trust the word of a random stranger | :01:37. | :01:39. | |
And, in a week in which one poll showed the public are three times | :01:40. | :01:44. | |
I'm joined by a political panel with the full authority | :01:45. | :01:46. | |
It's Sam Coates, Isabel Oakeshott, and Janan Ganesh. | :01:47. | :01:49. | |
We'll try and find some random strangers to replace | :01:50. | :01:51. | |
them next week, and see if you notice the difference! | :01:52. | :01:56. | |
So, in case you weren't sure just how high the stakes were in this | :01:57. | :02:00. | |
referendum campaign, you only have to look at this | :02:01. | :02:02. | |
morning's papers, and listen to former Prime Minister John Major | :02:03. | :02:04. | |
taking aim at his fellow Tories in the Leave campaign. | :02:05. | :02:07. | |
The current Prime Minister David Cameron tried to get his party | :02:08. | :02:09. | |
to avoid so-called blue-on-blue attacks, in the hope of keeping | :02:10. | :02:12. | |
It seems like John Major didn't get the message, | :02:13. | :02:17. | |
as he accused the Leave campaign of squalid deceit, | :02:18. | :02:19. | |
and called Boris Johnson a court jester. | :02:20. | :02:23. | |
Here he is, talking to Andrew Marr earlier. | :02:24. | :02:28. | |
This is going to affect people, their livelihoods, their future, | :02:29. | :02:32. | |
for a very long time to come, and if they are given honest, | :02:33. | :02:36. | |
straightforward facts and they decide to leave, | :02:37. | :02:37. | |
then that is the decision the British people take. | :02:38. | :02:40. | |
But if they decide to leave on the basis of inaccurate | :02:41. | :02:45. | |
information, inaccurate information known to be inaccurate, | :02:46. | :02:47. | |
Now, I may be wrong, but that is how I see their campaign. | :02:48. | :02:55. | |
And this is so important, for once, I'm not prepared to give the benefit | :02:56. | :02:59. | |
of the doubt to other people, I'm going to say | :03:00. | :03:04. | |
And I think this is a deceitful campaign, and in terms | :03:05. | :03:07. | |
of what they are saying about immigration, a really | :03:08. | :03:10. | |
They are misleading people to an extraordinary extent. | :03:11. | :03:15. | |
So, that was former Prime Minister John Major, but, | :03:16. | :03:18. | |
when Boris Johnson took to the same sofa, he studiously declined | :03:19. | :03:21. | |
to return fire when asked if those words were part of an attempt | :03:22. | :03:25. | |
by the Remain campaign to "take him out". | :03:26. | :03:28. | |
Whether it is or not, this morning I think that... | :03:29. | :03:30. | |
I'm rather with John McDonnell this morning... | :03:31. | :03:32. | |
He says that there's too much of this sort of blue-on-blue action, | :03:33. | :03:38. | |
and what he wants to hear is the arguments, | :03:39. | :03:40. | |
Boris failing to take the bait. As I said, John major hadn't got the | :03:41. | :03:56. | |
memo from down the street, that was a joke. | :03:57. | :04:00. | |
The fact was John Major was sent into the show by Downing Street to | :04:01. | :04:05. | |
beat up on Boris. Is that an example, a testament to have rattled | :04:06. | :04:08. | |
they are? My own evidence is they are very | :04:09. | :04:12. | |
rattled, they got extremely twitchy about something I tweeted on Friday | :04:13. | :04:24. | |
night where I suggested a prominent Remain person was appearing on sky. | :04:25. | :04:30. | |
This shows the level of nerves in Downing Street. The kind of language | :04:31. | :04:36. | |
being exchanged between senior figures in the party raises very | :04:37. | :04:39. | |
serious questions about how the party comes together. | :04:40. | :04:42. | |
We had Michael Gove this morning saying he thinks the party can come | :04:43. | :04:48. | |
together on June the 24th. Of course they can, but I doubt it will be on | :04:49. | :04:53. | |
June the 24th. It is quite remarkable for a | :04:54. | :04:58. | |
Conservative Downing Street to get a former Conservative prime ministers | :04:59. | :05:02. | |
to come onto the BBC, the main Sunday morning news show, Andrew | :05:03. | :05:07. | |
Maher, and to beat up on the man who is currently favourite to be the | :05:08. | :05:10. | |
Tory leader. That is almost unprecedented. | :05:11. | :05:17. | |
John Major put his credibility on the line with phrases like squalid, | :05:18. | :05:21. | |
depressing. He was going for Boris Johnson. | :05:22. | :05:27. | |
There is a clear, strategic imperative behind what John Major | :05:28. | :05:31. | |
was saying, he is trying to reduce Boris Johnson's credibility, | :05:32. | :05:34. | |
currently the most popular and trusted figure in the EU debate. | :05:35. | :05:39. | |
They are worried and trying to harm that. | :05:40. | :05:43. | |
So, they are going for the man. The Big Questions this morning for | :05:44. | :05:47. | |
Downing Street, and it is right to point fingers at Downing Street for | :05:48. | :05:52. | |
pushing this kind of intervention, stiffening John Major's spines when | :05:53. | :05:57. | |
it turned out Boris was going to be on the programme I think he had a | :05:58. | :05:59. | |
bubble. That is my understanding. The danger | :06:00. | :06:07. | |
is that Downing Street are encouraging this, to send this | :06:08. | :06:14. | |
debate into a Tory blue-on-blue battle. | :06:15. | :06:18. | |
The effect may well be to deter Labour voters. | :06:19. | :06:20. | |
The people who want Britain to stay inside you need to do two things, to | :06:21. | :06:27. | |
make sure Tory voters vote for Remain, and turn out the Remain vote | :06:28. | :06:33. | |
against Labour and SNB voters. The question is whether having all | :06:34. | :06:36. | |
the headlines dominated by this blue-on-blue fight -- SNP. | :06:37. | :06:44. | |
It means people shrug and give up. It is more than just blue-on-blue. | :06:45. | :06:49. | |
From what John Major said this morning, it seems Downing Street is | :06:50. | :06:55. | |
prepared to trash the Tory brand, their own brand, in desperation to | :06:56. | :06:59. | |
win on June the 23rd. John Major describing one of the | :07:00. | :07:05. | |
likely people to be the ex-Tory leader -- next Tory leader as a | :07:06. | :07:08. | |
court jester. Saying, if you put Michael Gove, | :07:09. | :07:12. | |
Boris Johnson comic Iain Duncan Smith in charge of the NHS, is like | :07:13. | :07:17. | |
giving your pet hamster to a buy them. A second Tory poster. How can | :07:18. | :07:22. | |
you not conclude they are so desperate about June the 23rd they | :07:23. | :07:28. | |
are prepared to trash their own party's brand. | :07:29. | :07:34. | |
Short of using the B word when he thought the Microsoft when talking | :07:35. | :07:39. | |
to Michael Brunson, it was very vociferous. | :07:40. | :07:42. | |
It is true Boris Johnson did not retaliate in the interview. John | :07:43. | :07:45. | |
Major and number ten would argue that retaliation was made very | :07:46. | :07:51. | |
early, over the past few weeks, the Prime Minister's integrity on some | :07:52. | :07:54. | |
questions had been brought into doubt by people in his own party. | :07:55. | :08:00. | |
Without defending number ten's instructions to John Major if they | :08:01. | :08:03. | |
exist, they feel aggrieved because of attacks during the campaign. | :08:04. | :08:09. | |
Looking at the footage of John Major, I detect sincere emotion on | :08:10. | :08:13. | |
his part, rather than being a mouthpiece. | :08:14. | :08:17. | |
I did argue that he didn't mean what he said. | :08:18. | :08:23. | |
As Sam was saying, he didn't want to come on. | :08:24. | :08:25. | |
This is such an important development, it tells us about the | :08:26. | :08:27. | |
remain camped. Now, staying with the EU referendum, | :08:28. | :08:31. | |
today we're going to try Two well-informed campaigners, | :08:32. | :08:34. | |
the Conservative MEP Dan Hannan and the Labour MP Emma Reynolds, | :08:35. | :08:38. | |
will be interrogating each other I'll mostly just be sitting | :08:39. | :08:43. | |
back to watch. A short while ago in our green room, | :08:44. | :08:47. | |
they tossed a coin to see Emma is the winner, or loser, | :08:48. | :08:50. | |
depending on your point of view, so they'll be the first | :08:51. | :08:58. | |
to be cross-examined. They took a break in campaigning | :08:59. | :09:02. | |
to make their pitch I'm Daniel Hannan, Conservative | :09:03. | :09:04. | |
Member of the European Parliament, and I'm inviting you to fire me | :09:05. | :09:13. | |
on the 23rd of June. First, because leaving | :09:14. | :09:16. | |
is the modern choice. The European Union | :09:17. | :09:20. | |
is a relic of the 1950s, when regional blocs | :09:21. | :09:22. | |
looked like the future, but that world has been overtaken | :09:23. | :09:27. | |
by technological change. Second, because it's | :09:28. | :09:30. | |
the cheaper choice. Instead of handing Brussels | :09:31. | :09:36. | |
?20 billion a year gross, 10 billion net, we'll have our money | :09:37. | :09:38. | |
to spend on our priorities. We will take back the sublime right | :09:39. | :09:45. | |
to hire and fire our own lawmakers. In a necessarily uncertain world, | :09:46. | :09:59. | |
we will have taken back control to mitigate any risks ourselves | :10:00. | :10:03. | |
instead of passing power to people who may not | :10:04. | :10:06. | |
have our interests at heart. And fifth, because it's | :10:07. | :10:09. | |
the confident choice. We are a merchant, | :10:10. | :10:13. | |
maritime, global nation, the fifth largest economy | :10:14. | :10:16. | |
on the planet, one of five permanent seat-holders | :10:17. | :10:21. | |
on the UN Security Council. We have the world's most | :10:22. | :10:24. | |
widely studied language, before we are able to run our own | :10:25. | :10:26. | |
affairs in our own interests? Trading and cooperating with friends | :10:27. | :10:34. | |
and allies on every continent, including Europe, | :10:35. | :10:36. | |
but living under our own laws. So, here are Dan Hannan | :10:37. | :10:42. | |
and Emma Reynolds. And, just to explain the rules, | :10:43. | :10:45. | |
you've just five You can only ask questions, | :10:46. | :10:47. | |
or only give answers. Nine out of ten economists and a | :10:48. | :11:00. | |
string of organisations say leaving the EU would damage the economy, | :11:01. | :11:05. | |
make families worse off, cause a recession, could you name an | :11:06. | :11:09. | |
independent economic force -- economic forecaster who has said the | :11:10. | :11:12. | |
opposite? Five former chancellors are | :11:13. | :11:15. | |
campaigning to leave, plenty of economists, ... | :11:16. | :11:21. | |
Gerard Lyons has said, although in favour of leaving, if we were to | :11:22. | :11:27. | |
vote to leave, the two years, it would cause great uncertainty and | :11:28. | :11:31. | |
depress the economy. He hasn't said that. He said that in | :11:32. | :11:34. | |
a report. He hasn't. You will have to do | :11:35. | :11:40. | |
better than that. He is strongly of the view leaving means walking away | :11:41. | :11:45. | |
from a declining trade bloc and being able to leap up... And the | :11:46. | :11:50. | |
uncertainty? All these international bodies... | :11:51. | :11:58. | |
Hang on. The IMF, these are people who shared the outlook, | :11:59. | :12:03. | |
international bureaucrats, they share the lifestyle, the tax-free | :12:04. | :12:09. | |
lifestyle, they shared the basic outlook. Through euros, because that | :12:10. | :12:19. | |
is the kind of circles they live in. The Institute for Fiscal Studies is | :12:20. | :12:22. | |
widely respected, they have said by leaving we could blow a black hole | :12:23. | :12:28. | |
of up to ?40 billion in our public finances, meaning less money for | :12:29. | :12:32. | |
public services. They were feeding in the same basic | :12:33. | :12:38. | |
data they got from these IMF, OECD organisations. | :12:39. | :12:41. | |
They are independent. If I didn't think we would be better off as a | :12:42. | :12:44. | |
whole, I would not be inviting viewers to make me redundant. The | :12:45. | :12:51. | |
reason I am confident I will have a job in the private sector doing | :12:52. | :12:55. | |
something more productive than regulating everyone else is we | :12:56. | :12:59. | |
shouldn't be linked to the world is Oates only collapsing trade bloc. | :13:00. | :13:05. | |
There are huge opportunity -- the world's. We are the only one that | :13:06. | :13:11. | |
hasn't grown. Another question, you have described | :13:12. | :13:18. | |
the NHS as the biggest 60 year mistake, why can the public trust | :13:19. | :13:21. | |
the Leave campaign when they don't want the NHS to be in public hands? | :13:22. | :13:27. | |
I said the mistake was having a nationalised system rather than a | :13:28. | :13:31. | |
pluralist one as they have in almost every other industrialised country. | :13:32. | :13:34. | |
The referendum is an instruction to the Government to get us out. | :13:35. | :13:39. | |
It does not mean you are electing the boat Leave campaign, but giving | :13:40. | :13:44. | |
a mandate to get us out on terms and in a timescale said to our allies | :13:45. | :13:51. | |
across the control -- the channel but in our interests. | :13:52. | :13:56. | |
We are really looking at a decision to leave and asking people not to | :13:57. | :14:02. | |
trust any other politician but the British electorate. | :14:03. | :14:05. | |
The weight of economic evidence is on the remain camped, you would | :14:06. | :14:08. | |
admit that at least. Can you name a country that has | :14:09. | :14:12. | |
access to the single market but does not accept free movement? | :14:13. | :14:17. | |
The EU side free trade agreements with Colombia... | :14:18. | :14:23. | |
You said access to the single market, every country in Europe has | :14:24. | :14:27. | |
access to the single market. There is a free trade area from | :14:28. | :14:32. | |
non-EU Iceland... Why therefore does Ireland and | :14:33. | :14:38. | |
Norway faced agricultural tariffs of over 13%? | :14:39. | :14:42. | |
Ireland and Norway? Icelands and Norway. | :14:43. | :14:47. | |
Yes, they have wisely chosen to stay out of the Common Agricultural | :14:48. | :14:52. | |
Policy. Their farmers are strongly in favour of staying out of the CIP. | :14:53. | :14:58. | |
If we did the same thing, instead of being doubly penalised as a net food | :14:59. | :15:02. | |
importer with efficient farms, paying more in, getting less out, we | :15:03. | :15:06. | |
can have a British farming policy tailored to suit our needs. | :15:07. | :15:13. | |
In Northern Ireland, you suggested the border would remain open between | :15:14. | :15:18. | |
the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland. How can you therefore | :15:19. | :15:22. | |
guarantee that if you want to stop free movement, that European | :15:23. | :15:24. | |
migrants would not come through that border? You are leaving the back | :15:25. | :15:30. | |
door open. Illegal migrants could come through that border today but | :15:31. | :15:35. | |
do not. They could come through legally. We have an agreement which | :15:36. | :15:40. | |
includes the Isle of Man and the Channel Islands, which are not in | :15:41. | :15:44. | |
the, it long predates the EU. The point is it is possible now, don't | :15:45. | :15:49. | |
take anyone's word for it, we have a common travel area with EU and | :15:50. | :15:54. | |
non-EU states, no-one in Dublin or Westminster is suggesting that is a | :15:55. | :15:59. | |
problem. We have only three seconds to go, tough and time in the | :16:00. | :16:02. | |
interests of fairness! It is the dunnock Emma to be cross-examined, | :16:03. | :16:07. | |
let's look at her pitch to undecided voters. | :16:08. | :16:13. | |
We are stronger, safer and better off in Europe. | :16:14. | :16:15. | |
Families benefit from lower prices, more jobs, | :16:16. | :16:17. | |
Businesses benefit from a European single market | :16:18. | :16:20. | |
Workers benefit from employment protection. | :16:21. | :16:26. | |
We trade more with the EU than any other country. | :16:27. | :16:29. | |
from companies like Jaguar Land Rover here in the West Midlands. | :16:30. | :16:33. | |
And by staying in the EU, we will attract even more investment | :16:34. | :16:36. | |
and create more jobs for the next generation. | :16:37. | :16:40. | |
In the 21st century, the challenges that our country face | :16:41. | :16:42. | |
no longer stop at the White Cliffs of Dover. | :16:43. | :16:44. | |
Cross-border crime and terrorism, climate change - | :16:45. | :16:46. | |
by working with our European partners, | :16:47. | :16:47. | |
we can meet these challenges successfully. | :16:48. | :16:54. | |
predicts that damage will be done to our economy if we leave. | :16:55. | :16:59. | |
And the Bank of England Governor, Mark Carney, | :17:00. | :17:02. | |
It would create a black hole in our public finances, | :17:03. | :17:14. | |
meaning less money for our public services, like schools and the NHS. | :17:15. | :17:19. | |
for more jobs, prosperity and security. | :17:20. | :17:30. | |
As before, Dan, you now have five minutes | :17:31. | :17:31. | |
to put your questions. Off you go. | :17:32. | :17:36. | |
Thank you. As you know, the EU is not a settled dispensation, it is | :17:37. | :17:43. | |
undergoing the Euro crisis, the Schengen crisis, migration problems, | :17:44. | :17:47. | |
and it is evolving - what are the greatest risks of Remain? Well, you | :17:48. | :17:54. | |
would keep your job! You seem to want to lose your job. I don't think | :17:55. | :17:58. | |
that there are great risks of as remaining, because we have the best | :17:59. | :18:02. | |
of both worlds. We are not in the eurozone, we have the pound as our | :18:03. | :18:06. | |
currency, like eight other member states retain their currency, but we | :18:07. | :18:11. | |
have unfettered access to the single market, and no other country... What | :18:12. | :18:15. | |
can you tell us about budget contributions in ten or 15 years' | :18:16. | :18:19. | |
time? I know what our budget contributions are today, not what is | :18:20. | :18:29. | |
on the side of your bus. How many migrants might be resettled here? | :18:30. | :18:32. | |
More came from outside of the EU than inside. Can you tell us how | :18:33. | :18:35. | |
many bailouts we might be dragged into? Zero. So if we vote to stay | :18:36. | :18:40. | |
in, even though we had a written guarantee in 2014 that which would | :18:41. | :18:45. | |
not be dragged into a bailout, you trust them this time? You say that | :18:46. | :18:57. | |
but you are a MEP. I am asking the questions. I think the ministers go | :18:58. | :19:03. | |
to the Council of Ministers meetings, 97% of the votes won, we | :19:04. | :19:09. | |
are not run by Eurocrats. You cannot answer any of the questions about | :19:10. | :19:13. | |
how it might look if we stay in, so there are risks both ways. Is it | :19:14. | :19:18. | |
safer to take back control to mitigate risks ourselves, or save a | :19:19. | :19:22. | |
passing control to people who may not have our interests at heart? I | :19:23. | :19:27. | |
do not know why you mistrust our European partners to such a great | :19:28. | :19:31. | |
extent, because the challenges we face in the 21st century, climate | :19:32. | :19:34. | |
change, cross-border crime, terrorism, those are challenges we | :19:35. | :19:39. | |
share with our partners. Let me ask another question, in our country we | :19:40. | :19:43. | |
have an example of a very high-minded, radical tradition that | :19:44. | :19:46. | |
has been very good at dispersing power from oligarchs to the general | :19:47. | :19:52. | |
population. As an heiress to the suffragettes and the chartists, do | :19:53. | :19:56. | |
you feel comfortable backing an elitist, anti-democratic project | :19:57. | :19:58. | |
where supreme power is wielded by people immune to the ballot box, | :19:59. | :20:02. | |
where we pay more to wealthy French farmers than poor African farmers, | :20:03. | :20:06. | |
and where we have inflicted joblessness and misery on tens of | :20:07. | :20:10. | |
millions of people around the Mediterranean while Eurocrats like | :20:11. | :20:13. | |
around in private jets? Does that seem comfortable as a person on the | :20:14. | :20:18. | |
centre-left? I feel comfortable because I feel the EU has been a | :20:19. | :20:22. | |
force for good in terms of employment protection, in a way a | :20:23. | :20:26. | |
Conservative governments never has, comfortable because we elect our | :20:27. | :20:30. | |
MEPs, and we elect a government that sends ministers to Brussels to have | :20:31. | :20:34. | |
the final say on European regulations, and I feel comfortable | :20:35. | :20:37. | |
as a British MP that over the vast majority of policy areas, whether | :20:38. | :20:42. | |
health, housing, education, policing, we have confidence in | :20:43. | :20:47. | |
those areas. So Lord Rose, the leader of the remainder campaign | :20:48. | :20:51. | |
says Vote Leave for higher wages, Paddy Ashdown says we will get | :20:52. | :20:55. | |
cheaper food, don't you think there are benefits to the majority of low | :20:56. | :21:00. | |
and medium income people from having that boosting household income? On | :21:01. | :21:05. | |
the contrary. So they are wrong? I think they are wrong, people in my | :21:06. | :21:09. | |
constituency, low and middle incomes, they will suffer the most | :21:10. | :21:17. | |
if manufacturing is eliminated, according to the Brexit Economist, | :21:18. | :21:21. | |
the Bank of England governor has predicted a recession, and it will | :21:22. | :21:24. | |
be people I reserve present who will be worse after macro, not people | :21:25. | :21:30. | |
earning high income jobs. -- worse off. What is the strongest argument | :21:31. | :21:36. | |
for voting Leave? I don't think there is one. None at all? This is | :21:37. | :21:41. | |
one of the things that puzzles a lot of people trying to make up their | :21:42. | :21:46. | |
mind. You do not think there are any benefits of staying in the EU. It is | :21:47. | :21:51. | |
not my job to tell you them, but I can see them! People make an issue | :21:52. | :21:54. | |
out of being so broad-minded and reasonable, but they struggle to see | :21:55. | :21:59. | |
the other point of view at all. They cannot put themselves in the shoes | :22:00. | :22:03. | |
of the people that the EU is not benefiting, which is the vast | :22:04. | :22:06. | |
majority. There is a lot of scaremongering on your side about | :22:07. | :22:10. | |
what might happen, because if we stay in, we will pretty much have | :22:11. | :22:14. | |
the status quo, access to a market where we trade more than with the | :22:15. | :22:19. | |
rest of the world, 44% of our exports go to the rest of the EU. | :22:20. | :22:26. | |
Our trade unions represent four million people who think we should | :22:27. | :22:30. | |
stay. I would rather this on to them than you. Do you think the European | :22:31. | :22:34. | |
Union is a growing, successful scheme that people would join today | :22:35. | :22:39. | |
if we were not already a member? Yes no? Yes. We ended there, I thank you | :22:40. | :22:44. | |
both for that. So, this week both sides of this | :22:45. | :22:46. | |
referendum have really The big set-piece TV | :22:47. | :22:49. | |
grillings have begun. Senior Conservatives have been | :22:50. | :22:52. | |
knocking lumps out of each other. And the Labour machine seems finally | :22:53. | :22:55. | |
to have creaked into life. We'll be talking about | :22:56. | :22:57. | |
all of that today. But, first, our Adam's been | :22:58. | :22:59. | |
on the buses to see where this | :23:00. | :23:01. | |
campaign is heading. There's livestock, | :23:02. | :23:03. | |
there's Boris Johnson, and there's a man | :23:04. | :23:05. | |
with a stuffed animal. Well, I suppose I could have | :23:06. | :23:09. | |
accidentally bought the cow This was the week the referendum | :23:10. | :23:12. | |
started to feel a bit more like a general election | :23:13. | :23:21. | |
campaign, and not just because of | :23:22. | :23:23. | |
the photo op. Vote Leave unveiled | :23:24. | :23:25. | |
a spending commitment, cutting the VAT on domestic fuel, | :23:26. | :23:27. | |
and a whole new immigration system - And here Boris told farmers | :23:28. | :23:30. | |
that their subsidies would be safe, even if the UK left the EU - | :23:31. | :23:36. | |
not everyone was convinced. There's no authority, no power, | :23:37. | :23:39. | |
he's just a person that's walked in here | :23:40. | :23:47. | |
and said what he's got to say. You could say it, I could | :23:48. | :23:49. | |
say it, I can promise. First of all, | :23:50. | :23:53. | |
where are your wellies? Are you getting a bit | :23:54. | :23:58. | |
of grief from the farmers? No, there's a lot of | :23:59. | :24:03. | |
support, a lot of support, and a lot of people | :24:04. | :24:05. | |
coming up to me and saying, "We are with you, | :24:06. | :24:08. | |
we want to come out." Some people, obviously, need | :24:09. | :24:11. | |
reassurance about the subsidies, He left - without offering me | :24:12. | :24:15. | |
a lift, so I caught the train, to Birmingham, | :24:16. | :24:21. | |
and the Labour in campaign. But this week Jeremy Corbyn | :24:22. | :24:23. | |
made a big speech after it emerged many Labour supporters didn't know | :24:24. | :24:30. | |
the party was in favour of the EU. Do you think that was | :24:31. | :24:34. | |
a great speech from JC? Jeremy's journey, if you like, | :24:35. | :24:37. | |
which mirrors the journeys that many have made on this, | :24:38. | :24:43. | |
he was a Eurosceptic in '75, and I think he's more powerful | :24:44. | :24:49. | |
for that. Our journey took us to a building | :24:50. | :24:54. | |
site to see investment from abroad that the Remain campaign claim | :24:55. | :24:57. | |
is linked to our EU membership. Of course, with foreign | :24:58. | :25:01. | |
money comes foreigners. How are you going to vote? | :25:02. | :25:04. | |
No, come out. Why's that? Because of all the immigrants | :25:05. | :25:08. | |
and things like that. Too many of them now | :25:09. | :25:12. | |
coming into this country. Well, inevitably, | :25:13. | :25:15. | |
I've ended up in one of these This week, the Remain campaign | :25:16. | :25:18. | |
got some high visibility backing from foreign leaders - | :25:19. | :25:22. | |
in Spain, the Netherlands, the former Foreign Secretary | :25:23. | :25:24. | |
David Miliband. Some people might say | :25:25. | :25:32. | |
that you live in America now, you are one of these high-profile | :25:33. | :25:35. | |
foreigners coming over and lecturing us on what to do, | :25:36. | :25:38. | |
what do you say to that? I'm a British voter, | :25:39. | :25:41. | |
and I'm able to speak with passion about my own country, | :25:42. | :25:44. | |
this is my home country, and although it's not where I live | :25:45. | :25:46. | |
and work at the moment, I still feel that there is | :25:47. | :25:49. | |
a real obligation to speak not just to the economic issues | :25:50. | :25:52. | |
and the security issues, but also the foreign-policy | :25:53. | :25:54. | |
issues, frankly. to ride on Britain Stronger | :25:55. | :25:56. | |
in Europe's luxury coach, or hop onto Nigel Farage's | :25:57. | :25:59. | |
double-decker. You wait ages for a referendum | :26:00. | :26:02. | |
battle bus to come along, So, you heard Alan Johnson there | :26:03. | :26:06. | |
defending Jeremy Corbyn's latest intervention in the referendum | :26:07. | :26:12. | |
campaign, despite critics claiming that Labour hasn't exactly been | :26:13. | :26:14. | |
full-throated in its campaign Well, the former Deputy Prime | :26:15. | :26:17. | |
Minister and veteran Labour campaigner John Prescott | :26:18. | :26:23. | |
seems to agree. He says in his newspaper column | :26:24. | :26:26. | |
today that his party's message | :26:27. | :26:28. | |
hasn't been getting through. John Prescott, good morning to you. | :26:29. | :26:42. | |
Good morning. You say in your column that the Conservatives have hijacked | :26:43. | :26:46. | |
the campaign, why has Labour allowed that to happen? It is a good point, | :26:47. | :26:51. | |
I suggested in the paper that it seems almost to have been the | :26:52. | :26:56. | |
strategy, blue on blue destroying the Tory party, hopefully, we will | :26:57. | :27:00. | |
have to wait and see! We saw that in the broadcasts this morning, but | :27:01. | :27:03. | |
where is Labour? It seems as if we are just enjoying the fight between | :27:04. | :27:08. | |
them, but that is not putting our position. Labour maybe in the | :27:09. | :27:14. | |
European Union, I support being in it, but we're not putting the | :27:15. | :27:18. | |
arguments, and so when you see on a bus there, for example, on Boris's | :27:19. | :27:24. | |
bus, ?350 million a week to put into the health service, this is from a | :27:25. | :27:28. | |
government that reduced from 9% of GDP the average in Europe to 7%, and | :27:29. | :27:33. | |
when they go on with a Labour politician in this way, Gisela, the | :27:34. | :27:40. | |
Tories get the publicity, and they are in the background. We are not | :27:41. | :27:43. | |
putting down the record of the Tories, they cannot do it because | :27:44. | :27:48. | |
they are in a joint agreement on a bus about Europe. Let me just get | :27:49. | :27:52. | |
another question in, as a result of everything you say, are you worried | :27:53. | :27:57. | |
that you are failing to galvanise the Labour vote, do get it out to | :27:58. | :28:03. | |
vote for Remain on the 23rd? Absolutely! Labour people want to | :28:04. | :28:07. | |
hear Labour people talking about this government's record, whether | :28:08. | :28:11. | |
they are four in or out, they carried out a record that is | :28:12. | :28:15. | |
basically destroying our health service, housing was halved in | :28:16. | :28:23. | |
billions, and now they say they will bring it. Michael Gove says all | :28:24. | :28:25. | |
these terrible bankers, why didn't the vote with Labour to stop the | :28:26. | :28:29. | |
bonuses for them? He didn't, he doesn't, they are hypocritical, we | :28:30. | :28:33. | |
must show that Labour has strong values, we believe in social | :28:34. | :28:36. | |
justice. When you have heard Tories talking about being social justice?! | :28:37. | :28:44. | |
Look Labour, at Labour. Maybe Labour voters are confused, when you look | :28:45. | :28:49. | |
at Jeremy Corbyn's pro EU speech, he spent as much time attacking the | :28:50. | :28:54. | |
Tories and EU policies. Good on Jeremy! By Sea said the bad things | :28:55. | :29:00. | |
predicted by Vote Leave work addicted by those who say we should | :29:01. | :29:05. | |
remain, that all the scare stories were just myth-making and prophecies | :29:06. | :29:10. | |
of doom. Is it any surprise that Labour voters are confused? Yes, but | :29:11. | :29:14. | |
I do not think we should talk too much about what we should do, Jeremy | :29:15. | :29:19. | |
is not a passionate man, he does not scream and shout like me, does he?! | :29:20. | :29:24. | |
But to that extent, our people want to see, and this is what has | :29:25. | :29:28. | |
happened to politics, people speak and do believe what they are saying! | :29:29. | :29:34. | |
On both sides, Cameron's side, Boris Johnson, they are saying things that | :29:35. | :29:39. | |
they did not do in government, which Labour oppose, and they are against | :29:40. | :29:45. | |
social justice. We want a Labour Europe, different to them, not, we | :29:46. | :29:49. | |
all believe in Europe, let's travel on the same bus! No wonder people | :29:50. | :29:54. | |
are confused, get a strong Labour voice, and glad Jeremy said what he | :29:55. | :29:57. | |
said, but point out what these beggars did in government! | :29:58. | :30:03. | |
What about the confusion, even Damian McBride caught on Twitter | :30:04. | :30:12. | |
offering policy tips to the Brexit campaign. | :30:13. | :30:13. | |
Labour voters seem to be confused. I don't say that the Europe they | :30:14. | :30:42. | |
want is the one I want. I took part in the last referendum. Despite the | :30:43. | :30:45. | |
Tories not giving us a referendum and taking us in 1975 into the | :30:46. | :30:52. | |
common market. I do believe, I was against a political Europe. In fact, | :30:53. | :30:56. | |
I turned down a job with Jim Callaghan to be commissioner. On | :30:57. | :31:00. | |
that ground, I thought that is where they were heading. | :31:01. | :31:04. | |
I can't say it has stopped. What we argued then was for a wider Europe | :31:05. | :31:13. | |
so we didn't move along the federal Europe case. That is still an | :31:14. | :31:16. | |
argument to be fought for, I feel strongly, Labour does. I'm not sure | :31:17. | :31:17. | |
the Tories pursued it. Sadiq Khan, tested Jarrell, Harriet | :31:18. | :31:23. | |
Harman, they have appeared with Tories, including the Prime | :31:24. | :31:28. | |
Minister. You refused, but last night you were appearing on Russia | :31:29. | :31:36. | |
Today, a Putin propaganda channel, with Ken Livingstone, he has been | :31:37. | :31:39. | |
suspended from your party, have you thought this through? | :31:40. | :31:46. | |
Of course. I don't go in joint party operations, I never have. I didn't | :31:47. | :31:51. | |
when I fought the Labour in 1975. I am the same. I am not saying they | :31:52. | :31:56. | |
can't or shouldn't. We are saying the Labour vote is crucial and there | :31:57. | :32:01. | |
is confusion as to the Labour position. | :32:02. | :32:04. | |
Standing alongside Tory politicians, the survey has recently shown most | :32:05. | :32:09. | |
of the speeches that come out of that are Tory spokesmen. 48% Tory, | :32:10. | :32:17. | |
8% Labour. Why are we confused? Like in Scotland, if you appear alongside | :32:18. | :32:28. | |
them bring on Europe, you better start telling people what you | :32:29. | :32:29. | |
disagree about. Jeremy is trying to do that. I | :32:30. | :32:32. | |
wouldn't do it, it adds to the confusion. If you can't get the | :32:33. | :32:34. | |
Labour vote out in big numbers, are you worried you could lose this | :32:35. | :32:36. | |
referendum? Yes. I want every Labour person in | :32:37. | :32:41. | |
to vote. I fought on the last one thinking we would win on the | :32:42. | :32:47. | |
referendum, and we lost, mainly it was particularly women, they get | :32:48. | :32:51. | |
concerned about the long-term, their children, security, I think that is | :32:52. | :32:56. | |
what defeated as in 1975. Seriously, I think it will go the other way. We | :32:57. | :33:05. | |
need to be talking about the big powers. It is not Britain on its | :33:06. | :33:11. | |
own, it is global powers, America, India, China, who will decide the | :33:12. | :33:16. | |
issue about crime, immigration, security. We will be a little island | :33:17. | :33:21. | |
shouting out, don't you recognise we are a big power. But we will have no | :33:22. | :33:27. | |
say in a global decision. Jeremy Corbyn has hinted he might | :33:28. | :33:31. | |
bring Ed Miliband into the Shadow Cabinet. What about you, are you | :33:32. | :33:35. | |
available? I have done my bit for the Labour | :33:36. | :33:41. | |
Party, except shouting on the side as I do. That is his decision. I | :33:42. | :33:46. | |
want to see a united party. One of the things is people are confused | :33:47. | :33:54. | |
because of these changes. Where does Labour stand? Start talking about it | :33:55. | :34:02. | |
and be clearer on immigration. We have been cowards, the whole | :34:03. | :34:05. | |
political establishment has avoided the argument. That is a global | :34:06. | :34:13. | |
solution. There will be more migration coming from African | :34:14. | :34:17. | |
countries which have no water or food because of climate change. This | :34:18. | :34:22. | |
is not a temporary problem but a global problem and needs a global | :34:23. | :34:25. | |
solution and not a little country on the side shouting and staying out of | :34:26. | :34:29. | |
it. Thank you. | :34:30. | :34:31. | |
Now, even if plenty folks are still undecided, | :34:32. | :34:33. | |
you might think most Mps will have made their mind up as to how they'll | :34:34. | :34:37. | |
It's only two-and-a-half weeks to go, after all. | :34:38. | :34:40. | |
But, according to our research, there at still 26 undecided Tory | :34:41. | :34:43. | |
Well, we're going to reduce that number by one today, | :34:44. | :34:46. | |
as the Conservative MP Johnny Mercer is here to reveal for the first time | :34:47. | :34:50. | |
What is your decision? The first thing to say is, like a lot of | :34:51. | :35:04. | |
people, being out on the doors of Plymouth, we are disappointed by the | :35:05. | :35:07. | |
level of debate. Even today. | :35:08. | :35:10. | |
What is your decision? It is important to get this across. | :35:11. | :35:17. | |
But tell me, leave or remain? Two Government ministers saying the | :35:18. | :35:20. | |
Government is not telling the truth about the economy which has upset | :35:21. | :35:23. | |
people. In terms of this referendum, it is | :35:24. | :35:31. | |
clear we should remain, not a single economic expert has come out and | :35:32. | :35:35. | |
said this will do things for our economy, our jobs. | :35:36. | :35:38. | |
If you look at what this garment has delivered in places like Plymouth | :35:39. | :35:42. | |
around jobs, the single biggest factor in improving people's life | :35:43. | :35:47. | |
chances, it has done good things. It is the economic case. | :35:48. | :35:51. | |
And a security case. Why do the people of Plymouth seem not | :35:52. | :35:56. | |
convinced quite a recent polls say they were largely for Leave. | :35:57. | :36:00. | |
A poll I have been running has come out and said that. | :36:01. | :36:04. | |
When this debate started, I said this was an issue, not the issue. It | :36:05. | :36:10. | |
has become clear. I did not think we would vote to leave the EU. This is | :36:11. | :36:16. | |
a vote of singular importance to this country. People have begun to | :36:17. | :36:20. | |
forget we need to get on with Government on June 24. | :36:21. | :36:24. | |
That may be the case. But do you think you can win on the economic | :36:25. | :36:31. | |
arguments? With the economic arguments, there are single clear | :36:32. | :36:34. | |
points. On the economy, the people who | :36:35. | :36:41. | |
always feel the worst affected, it is always the most vulnerable. | :36:42. | :36:45. | |
Always those who file like a desperate struggle. My area of | :36:46. | :36:49. | |
Plymouth is still categorised by the EU as a deprived area in parts. They | :36:50. | :36:54. | |
cannot take that shock. It is OK for others to say we can go to this | :36:55. | :36:59. | |
nirvana. The truth is the same people are affected. | :37:00. | :37:04. | |
Why do 74% in your constituency say... | :37:05. | :37:07. | |
That is a very small poll. But it is indicative of the mood, | :37:08. | :37:13. | |
74%. People will feel more passionate | :37:14. | :37:15. | |
about leaving because for some people this is a single issue. They | :37:16. | :37:19. | |
have been looking for a reason to come out and leave the EU. I think | :37:20. | :37:24. | |
the vast majority do not want to leave. You are looking at where we | :37:25. | :37:30. | |
are now it is not perfect. We are on this trajectory. Do we throw it away | :37:31. | :37:35. | |
for a nirvana no one can quite lay their hands on. Could the most | :37:36. | :37:41. | |
vulnerable in the UK who rely on a job, on the NHS, public service | :37:42. | :37:45. | |
funding, could they withstand that shock? I can look them in the eye | :37:46. | :37:50. | |
and say, I went this based on something that sounded like a great | :37:51. | :37:54. | |
idea but I could not go for it. It has loads of problems. | :37:55. | :37:58. | |
Why take so long? Thinking about Europe is not something I got into | :37:59. | :38:01. | |
politics today about. I have spoken to a lot of people. It | :38:02. | :38:07. | |
would be naive to suggest there are reasons why people want to leave. On | :38:08. | :38:13. | |
balance, it is a clear case. Society is judged by how it looks after its | :38:14. | :38:18. | |
vulnerable. We have to remain part of the EU to continue to do that. It | :38:19. | :38:23. | |
isn't perfect. Thank you for coming on and telling | :38:24. | :38:26. | |
We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland who leave us now | :38:27. | :38:33. | |
Coming up here in 20 minutes, the Week Ahead, when we'll be | :38:34. | :38:37. | |
talking about the referendum and the TV debates with the veteran | :38:38. | :38:39. | |
Conservative backbencher David Davis. | :38:40. | :38:40. | |
First, though, the Sunday Politics where you are. | :38:41. | :38:50. | |
Hello and welcome to Sunday Politics in Northern Ireland. | :38:51. | :38:52. | |
Tomorrow the newly elected Assembly has its first full | :38:53. | :38:55. | |
day of business and - for the first time in its modern | :38:56. | :38:57. | |
incarnation - there'll be an Opposition to | :38:58. | :38:59. | |
But has peace broken out between the two Executive parties? | :39:00. | :39:06. | |
I hope that this week has shown that we are confident in our decisions. | :39:07. | :39:13. | |
We're getting out there and making those decisions and moving forward. | :39:14. | :39:17. | |
There is a recognition that we have to work together. | :39:18. | :39:21. | |
But will the new leader of the Opposition ruin the honeymoon? | :39:22. | :39:23. | |
I'll be asking Mike Nesbitt how he sees his role over | :39:24. | :39:26. | |
And with me throughout, journalists Sam McBride | :39:27. | :39:29. | |
The third consecutive Stormont mandate gets down to business this | :39:30. | :39:36. | |
week with a full agenda - the first since last | :39:37. | :39:38. | |
As well as new faces on the benches there's also a new structure | :39:39. | :39:42. | |
But already this week we've seen a DUP minister visit | :39:43. | :39:47. | |
an Irish language school and a Sinn Fein Minister | :39:48. | :39:51. | |
lift the lifetime ban on gay blood donors. | :39:52. | :39:53. | |
So has the good weather improved the mood around the Executive table? | :39:54. | :39:59. | |
I welcome very much the fact that Peter went there. It was very good | :40:00. | :40:09. | |
to see a DUP minister recognised how important a contribution Irish | :40:10. | :40:12. | |
climate education makes to our children. I think also Michelle's | :40:13. | :40:16. | |
decision which has been supported by the executive in relation to the | :40:17. | :40:23. | |
lifting of the ban on gay blood is very welcome story for the LGBT | :40:24. | :40:28. | |
community. But I do think all this symbolises the fact that since the | :40:29. | :40:32. | |
agreement in November of last year, there is a recognition both within | :40:33. | :40:38. | |
the DUP and Sinn Fein that we have to work together and we have to be | :40:39. | :40:43. | |
seen to be giving leadership to everybody within society. We have to | :40:44. | :40:46. | |
show people that things are going to be different from the last term and | :40:47. | :40:51. | |
I think we are beginning to see that is taking shape. | :40:52. | :40:53. | |
We indicated that we wanted to get on with the job of governing and | :40:54. | :40:56. | |
think that we are confident enough to do all that they hope that this | :40:57. | :41:00. | |
week has shown that we are confident in our decisions, we're getting out | :41:01. | :41:03. | |
there, we are making those decisions and we're moving forward. | :41:04. | :41:08. | |
In terms of the decision on reversing the blood ban, were you | :41:09. | :41:11. | |
happy with that? I was because we always said that | :41:12. | :41:15. | |
such a decision should be based on science and based on medical | :41:16. | :41:20. | |
evidence and that medical evidence was there. Michelle came with the | :41:21. | :41:23. | |
evidence to others and I was quite happy to endorse the decision that | :41:24. | :41:28. | |
they suggested. If Simon had the chance to deal with it for the | :41:29. | :41:34. | |
election he would have done so. Is there choreography going on here | :41:35. | :41:36. | |
between the DUP and Sinn Fein because yesterday we had the Irish | :41:37. | :41:41. | |
climate school and we had Martin McGuinness at the Somme. Is that how | :41:42. | :41:45. | |
you are working together? I don't think there is choreography | :41:46. | :41:48. | |
toll. Peter is new into the department and has been visiting a | :41:49. | :41:52. | |
number of schools. He has been to his old Grammar School in Banga, | :41:53. | :41:57. | |
he's been to a primary school and he was at an Irish language school and | :41:58. | :42:00. | |
I estimate you will be many other schools in the coming months as | :42:01. | :42:05. | |
well. Listening to that is the first | :42:06. | :42:11. | |
Leader of the Opposition in half a century, Mike Nesbitt. Good morning. | :42:12. | :42:14. | |
Are you planning to spoil the party for them? | :42:15. | :42:18. | |
No. We are about scrutiny and that is not the same necessarily a | :42:19. | :42:22. | |
criticism. If you scrutinise and you think it is good you should say so. | :42:23. | :42:26. | |
For example, I very much welcome the lifting of the blood ban. I would | :42:27. | :42:30. | |
also welcome Peter we're going to the Irish language school. I did | :42:31. | :42:40. | |
that a few months ago. And I'm determined to engage and understand | :42:41. | :42:44. | |
better why those who an Irish language actually wanted. | :42:45. | :42:47. | |
Those two examples that we've talked about already and of course Martin | :42:48. | :42:52. | |
McGuinness travelling to the Somme, they put you on the back foot, don't | :42:53. | :42:56. | |
they? Because it looks like the DUP and Sinn Fein are very purposeful | :42:57. | :43:00. | |
and united and strategic. They have had nine years and now | :43:01. | :43:04. | |
they have an endorsement from the electorate and that it's fine. But | :43:05. | :43:07. | |
we are about delivery and scrutinising the delivery from | :43:08. | :43:13. | |
Government. We did try to fight the campaign for the last Assembly | :43:14. | :43:16. | |
election on lack of delivery in terms of the 80 million for property | :43:17. | :43:19. | |
and all the rest unless not go over that again. This is a new mandate. | :43:20. | :43:23. | |
We will have a programme for Government eventually and our job | :43:24. | :43:26. | |
will be to scrutinise that programme and its delivery. As I say, when it | :43:27. | :43:31. | |
is delivered properly, we will give praise and when it is not we will | :43:32. | :43:33. | |
criticise. Dust before we get onto the wider | :43:34. | :43:38. | |
issues I want pick up on that Martin McGuinness trip. Due welcome the | :43:39. | :43:42. | |
fact he travelled there this week? I think you did the right thing and | :43:43. | :43:46. | |
I think he did it in the right way because had he delayed his trip to | :43:47. | :43:50. | |
go on the 1st of July, it would've been controversial and it would have | :43:51. | :43:54. | |
dominated the centenary anniversary commemorations. So I think he did do | :43:55. | :43:58. | |
the right thing. Just as I believe I was right to go with some of my | :43:59. | :44:04. | |
colleagues down to Dublin a you days ago to the cemetery for an Easter | :44:05. | :44:08. | |
centenary event commemorating the British soldiers. Many of whom are | :44:09. | :44:15. | |
Irishmen, or from the Ireland and died in the rebellion. | :44:16. | :44:17. | |
He says he is demonstrating sensitive and strong leadership. | :44:18. | :44:21. | |
To you agree? I think in terms of what he did, that was the right | :44:22. | :44:25. | |
thing to do. I am more than happy to say that that is the right thing | :44:26. | :44:28. | |
that he did. What about this concept of | :44:29. | :44:31. | |
collective responsibility? We talked about it in the last mandate when it | :44:32. | :44:35. | |
clearly was not there. And for a large part of that mandate your | :44:36. | :44:39. | |
party was around the executive table. It seems that the DUP and | :44:40. | :44:42. | |
Sinn Fein are happy you are not there now and they seem to have | :44:43. | :44:47. | |
signed up completely to the concept of collective responsibility. They | :44:48. | :44:50. | |
are inextricably linked and bounced together in Government. | :44:51. | :44:53. | |
I think what we had in the past two mandates was nine years when you had | :44:54. | :44:58. | |
by all four parties in Government but actually, the smaller parties | :44:59. | :45:01. | |
being bossed by the two bigger ones and the back that we now have the | :45:02. | :45:06. | |
two parties, themselves alone in Government, is a more honest, open | :45:07. | :45:10. | |
and transparent way to do business. This delivery will be by Sinn Fein | :45:11. | :45:15. | |
and the DUP. And we're now and shackled. We have 16 MLAs who will | :45:16. | :45:18. | |
not be shackled by the fact that once I sat at the executive table | :45:19. | :45:23. | |
and has maybe put his hand up for a policy that the others want to | :45:24. | :45:27. | |
criticise. We are unshackled now and we can say exactly what we think | :45:28. | :45:31. | |
about what the executive is doing. What is opposition going to look | :45:32. | :45:35. | |
like? You of the largest party in opposition but are you going solo? | :45:36. | :45:40. | |
Is this about the Ulster Unionist Party's opposition strategy with 16 | :45:41. | :45:44. | |
members, or is it about forming a united opposition with the other | :45:45. | :45:48. | |
biggest party in opposition, namely the SDLP? | :45:49. | :45:54. | |
It is not a secret that we've had discussions with the SDLP and we | :45:55. | :45:57. | |
will continue to have discussions with the SDLP but we will not be | :45:58. | :46:01. | |
rushed into anything. It has taken the DUP and Sinn Fein nine years to | :46:02. | :46:05. | |
get their relationship to the point where you are able to say they have | :46:06. | :46:08. | |
got their act together so we're going to take time to see how we go. | :46:09. | :46:13. | |
We have formed a team of spokespeople across the whole piece. | :46:14. | :46:18. | |
We expect the SDLP will do the same thing. But at the Goodwood make | :46:19. | :46:21. | |
sense of the various spokespeople started looking to see there are | :46:22. | :46:26. | |
areas where we can cooperate and develop alternative policies. | :46:27. | :46:30. | |
You would like it to be a joined up approach? Would you be the Leader of | :46:31. | :46:35. | |
the Opposition and would Colum Eastwood be the deputy leader? | :46:36. | :46:38. | |
That is the sort of line which which is not helpful. | :46:39. | :46:42. | |
It is not bad from your point of view but maybe not by him. | :46:43. | :46:46. | |
I have gone out of my way to say to him that you are the leader of the | :46:47. | :46:50. | |
SDLP. You're not the deputy leader or anything. If we're going to work | :46:51. | :46:52. | |
together it will be as coal equals on this. | :46:53. | :46:57. | |
I many times have you sat down and talked to Colum Eastwood about the | :46:58. | :47:02. | |
possibilities? What is the plan? How close do you think you are due being | :47:03. | :47:08. | |
able to sign up to a joint approach? We're not discussing signing up to | :47:09. | :47:11. | |
anything formal at this time. We have the spokespeople hopefully | :47:12. | :47:14. | |
starting to talk to each other. I will continue to build on a | :47:15. | :47:18. | |
relationship with Colum Eastwood. We sat together for a while with the | :47:19. | :47:23. | |
mandate. I like his style. I like Ricky is going and I like back to 30 | :47:24. | :47:28. | |
wants Northern Ireland to work. His motivation for that is different | :47:29. | :47:31. | |
from mine obviously because he aspires to a united Ireland but that | :47:32. | :47:36. | |
motivation is no bar to working with him to ensure that the health | :47:37. | :47:40. | |
service gets fixed, that we create more high earning jobs, that we do | :47:41. | :47:44. | |
all the things that we aspire that says Northern Ireland does actually | :47:45. | :47:47. | |
work. Let's be honest. Wouldn't a combined | :47:48. | :47:52. | |
opposition speak with a much longer boys spent two positions of 16 and | :47:53. | :47:56. | |
13 respectively. -- much louder voice. If you're | :47:57. | :48:01. | |
saying I want to give your alternative logic says you want to | :48:02. | :48:05. | |
try and present a cross community alternative. So I will aspire to | :48:06. | :48:10. | |
that but what I am saying is we will not be rushed or pushed into it. | :48:11. | :48:14. | |
But you need to get on with it because tomorrow is the first full | :48:15. | :48:16. | |
day of proper business. They know is that what they are | :48:17. | :48:19. | |
doing and already the opposition is not quite clear. | :48:20. | :48:23. | |
It is only been a number of days. The DUP and Sinn Fein have an | :48:24. | :48:26. | |
working on their relationship for nine years. So I think we can take a | :48:27. | :48:30. | |
little bit of time to get this right. | :48:31. | :48:34. | |
Let's talk about the committees. A lot of the opposition, the opposing | :48:35. | :48:38. | |
should take face. There was a real possibility in this mandate that if | :48:39. | :48:42. | |
the DUP and Sinn Fein work as closely together as they seem to be | :48:43. | :48:46. | |
suggesting they want to, and controversial issues will be dealt | :48:47. | :48:50. | |
with in private between themselves and by the time it filters down to | :48:51. | :48:54. | |
the committees it is already been agreed. | :48:55. | :48:56. | |
That is speculation. We will have to wait and see. | :48:57. | :49:01. | |
It is informed speculation. I tell you what is possible. The DUP and | :49:02. | :49:06. | |
Sinn Fein being themselves alone in Government reduction it work better | :49:07. | :49:09. | |
than what we have had over the last nine years and if you believe in | :49:10. | :49:14. | |
country first, party second, which I do, then what I have done, that is | :49:15. | :49:19. | |
the result, is a good thing. Even if it is not a great thing for the | :49:20. | :49:23. | |
Ulster Unionist Party. If these parties deliver positive outcomes | :49:24. | :49:26. | |
for our people in the way they have not done over the last two mandates, | :49:27. | :49:31. | |
of course that is a good thing. Even by saying that you're shooting | :49:32. | :49:34. | |
yourself in the foot. You're saying is probably better the people in | :49:35. | :49:36. | |
Northern Ireland for Sinn Fein and the DUP to work together towards | :49:37. | :49:40. | |
some kind of agreed policy for the benefit of everybody in the country | :49:41. | :49:45. | |
and pushing you to one side. That is effectively what you are suggesting. | :49:46. | :49:49. | |
That is the mandate they were given and our job is to scrutinise how | :49:50. | :49:52. | |
they deliver on that. It might be difficult to do that | :49:53. | :49:55. | |
with the committee system the way it is because you have intentionally | :49:56. | :49:59. | |
committees were a DUP chair and step easy chair could protect a Sinn Fein | :50:00. | :50:04. | |
minister and vice versa. I cheer for the last four years. Like all the | :50:05. | :50:11. | |
other committees there are 11 members. Four of them were from the | :50:12. | :50:15. | |
DUP and three from Sinn Fein so if they wanted to at any point they | :50:16. | :50:20. | |
could have closed down. It was different in the previous mandate | :50:21. | :50:22. | |
because they were not working so closely together. With respect, | :50:23. | :50:26. | |
there were times in that committee where you | :50:27. | :50:27. | |
could see them eyeballing each other across the table and it was a clear | :50:28. | :50:32. | |
signal, let's close this down. And it may well be that happens much | :50:33. | :50:37. | |
more in the new mandate and the poor Sinn Fein and the DUP together have | :50:38. | :50:41. | |
a majority on every single committee including your own committee. | :50:42. | :50:45. | |
Yes. It is the same again. Four and three. Seven of the 11 on the | :50:46. | :50:49. | |
executive office committee. If they want to close it down on | :50:50. | :50:52. | |
committees they don't stop that scrutiny they can do that | :50:53. | :50:54. | |
effectively. You are to this. That is the mandate | :50:55. | :50:58. | |
that they have been given and the committees are not the only way we | :50:59. | :51:01. | |
will bring forward switch me of another nation. Would do it in the | :51:02. | :51:05. | |
chamber, media, whatever means we think is appropriate. | :51:06. | :51:12. | |
Would he put together some kind of programme for opposition which | :51:13. | :51:15. | |
people can compare and contrast? We've got a document now where we've | :51:16. | :51:19. | |
been circulated with a draft framework for Government. | :51:20. | :51:25. | |
What you are talking about is the second document in a series of | :51:26. | :51:29. | |
three. What they promise was a framework and that was supposed to | :51:30. | :51:32. | |
be ready for the 6th of May and use over two weeks to produce a draft | :51:33. | :51:35. | |
programme for Government which should now be finished and out for | :51:36. | :51:40. | |
consultation leading to the final... They publish the first one and that | :51:41. | :51:47. | |
is the framework. They will consult on that then draw up a draft | :51:48. | :51:50. | |
programme for Government, then consult on that and then finally at | :51:51. | :51:53. | |
the end of the year publish a document. You read paragraph 61 of | :51:54. | :51:58. | |
the agreement and they have failed to deliver on that agreement. | :51:59. | :52:05. | |
People at home might think, that -- had on them. A lot of people want | :52:06. | :52:09. | |
things done differently so if they manage to get their act together | :52:10. | :52:12. | |
they may agree with you that it could be better for everybody in | :52:13. | :52:15. | |
Northern Ireland. If that is the case, you are stuffed. | :52:16. | :52:20. | |
They are putting a lot of store on this so-called fresh start agreement | :52:21. | :52:23. | |
on what I'm saying to you, one of the core commitments in paragraph 61 | :52:24. | :52:27. | |
is already a clear failure. They have failed to deliver what they | :52:28. | :52:32. | |
promise. In terms of an alternative programme for Government be not only | :52:33. | :52:36. | |
published a manifesto ahead of the 5th of May, we published eight other | :52:37. | :52:39. | |
documents, a vision document and seven specific policy documents so | :52:40. | :52:43. | |
the bones of an alternative programme for Government are already | :52:44. | :52:45. | |
there. Before I bring in Colum Eastwood and | :52:46. | :52:53. | |
Sam, you being quite magnanimous and we will see how that pans out in the | :52:54. | :52:57. | |
chamber when you get the wind in your back is the official Leader of | :52:58. | :53:00. | |
the Opposition but someone watching who is a young Unionist who fancies | :53:01. | :53:06. | |
a career in politics and can't decide between Ulster Unionists and | :53:07. | :53:10. | |
the DUP, why would he or she choose the Ulster Unionists over the DUP | :53:11. | :53:14. | |
with a DUP is in Government, seems to be unassailable Andras the having | :53:15. | :53:17. | |
to accept that if they do a good job that is grand by me? | :53:18. | :53:21. | |
If you That is what all editions are all | :53:22. | :53:30. | |
about. We have a credo ended his country | :53:31. | :53:31. | |
first, party second that individual bird. | :53:32. | :53:34. | |
Maybe you need to rethink that? Without that you would not have the | :53:35. | :53:39. | |
Belfast agreement in 1998. Let whomever weather DUP were on those | :53:40. | :53:44. | |
big the Asians. They were on the other side of the crash barriers. We | :53:45. | :53:50. | |
have done is a game by creating an official opposition. It is the right | :53:51. | :53:56. | |
time. Is not great for the Ulster Unionist Party. | :53:57. | :54:01. | |
Since 1998 you're gone down and down and down and dwindled and you said | :54:02. | :54:04. | |
yourself you went back to 16 seeds which could not be considered to be | :54:05. | :54:10. | |
successful. -- seats. It is over four years since we've | :54:11. | :54:14. | |
had 16 MLAs up at Stormont so our capacity to do the job is greatly | :54:15. | :54:19. | |
enhanced even if we did not grow the numbers in the way I had hoped. | :54:20. | :54:23. | |
Thank you. Stay with us because I want to ring in camp two and Sam. | :54:24. | :54:36. | |
What you make of the thing to back way things are shaping up between | :54:37. | :54:39. | |
this cohesive approach between the DUP and Sinn Fein and then, and as | :54:40. | :54:47. | |
yet unclear, opposition? I don't believe it is a cohesive | :54:48. | :54:52. | |
approach by the DUP and Sinn Fein. It appears to be much more amicable. | :54:53. | :54:57. | |
It looked very nice this week in various nice things were done in a | :54:58. | :55:00. | |
nice way but at the bottom about what we have is the DUP saying it | :55:01. | :55:05. | |
will be our way or no way. And Sinn Fein for pragmatic and no doubt | :55:06. | :55:14. | |
magnanimous and reasons which mean because they have invested so much | :55:15. | :55:18. | |
in getting into a peace process and maintaining it, have decided to | :55:19. | :55:22. | |
allow that to pass. There are a lot of people who think this has only | :55:23. | :55:26. | |
gone as far as it has an done as well as it has because Sinn Fein | :55:27. | :55:30. | |
have button-down lip and there are a lot of people in Sinn Fein who are | :55:31. | :55:37. | |
not happy about that. As I imagine there are people in Mike Nesbitt's | :55:38. | :55:42. | |
support base who are not happy he has been as magnanimous as he has | :55:43. | :55:46. | |
been today. This is the difficulty for both those parties. The | :55:47. | :55:49. | |
difficulty of politics here in general that if you try and make | :55:50. | :55:53. | |
peace, if you tried about in your lip you are offending people in your | :55:54. | :55:57. | |
own support base. It is intriguing situation because | :55:58. | :55:59. | |
were so many years we have had people saying we want constructive | :56:00. | :56:04. | |
politics. We want people to work together and then people begin to | :56:05. | :56:08. | |
work together and it throws up new challenges and difficulties. | :56:09. | :56:13. | |
I think people could be forgiven for being confused because we coming out | :56:14. | :56:17. | |
of an election winner DUP were saying vote for us to stop Martin | :56:18. | :56:20. | |
McGuinness said they were pushing that message themselves. Now they | :56:21. | :56:25. | |
have changed that and realise they are to work together and they have | :56:26. | :56:28. | |
been forced to do that much closer than they would have had to do if | :56:29. | :56:31. | |
there was not an opposition facing them. I think Mike Nesbitt has | :56:32. | :56:36. | |
struck gold with a good tone in that there is a lot of criticism of the | :56:37. | :56:41. | |
SDLP and the Ulster Unionists that they are just opposed to everything | :56:42. | :56:44. | |
and they need to see this as a long game. They are in opposition for | :56:45. | :56:47. | |
five years. There will be issues where they oppose the Government | :56:48. | :56:51. | |
can't just be seen as Jim Allister with extra seas. They need to be | :56:52. | :56:54. | |
able to present something which could form a Government at some | :56:55. | :56:58. | |
stage and I think they are wise actually to work together where they | :56:59. | :57:01. | |
need to but also to keep their separate identities are not be in a | :57:02. | :57:04. | |
position where something happens in the SDLP over a macho support -- | :57:05. | :57:13. | |
over a March, and Mike Nesbitt is having to answer for it, and vice | :57:14. | :57:22. | |
versa with Colum Eastwood. Can they keep them all the line? | :57:23. | :57:27. | |
They have that situation over the community centre where the DUP do | :57:28. | :57:30. | |
not want public funding to go towards that because the names of | :57:31. | :57:33. | |
two IRA men from the 1920s would be on the gates. Is that an example of | :57:34. | :57:41. | |
the kind of events that could derail the collective responsibility around | :57:42. | :57:47. | |
the executive table? Collected responsibility and the | :57:48. | :57:50. | |
ability to make common cause in the opposition are rule depended on | :57:51. | :57:54. | |
events and a series of events coming up now which are called the marching | :57:55. | :57:58. | |
season. It will test Mike and it would text -- I was fascinated by | :57:59. | :58:06. | |
the thought that two parties in opposition, who may be able to | :58:07. | :58:11. | |
proceed in a way and build links between each other, or maybe will be | :58:12. | :58:16. | |
torn apart by the same things that have torn apart politics here | :58:17. | :58:19. | |
overall these years. Nonetheless it is progress. | :58:20. | :58:23. | |
I did not think it was possible and did not think they should go into | :58:24. | :58:28. | |
opposition. Events pose big challenges but if | :58:29. | :58:34. | |
you believe in it and you wanted to work you will get through events. | :58:35. | :58:39. | |
If you hold your nerve through the marching season. | :58:40. | :58:44. | |
I think a lot of people say that one of the problems previously when the | :58:45. | :58:48. | |
Ulster Unionists were at the heart of Government where the | :58:49. | :58:50. | |
interpersonal relationships which were not great. I am confident I can | :58:51. | :58:54. | |
build a good relationship with Colum Eastwood. | :58:55. | :58:57. | |
We will see and we will give a close eye. | :58:58. | :59:01. | |
I'm you will. Thank you very much. We will hear more in a moment or two | :59:02. | :59:05. | |
but let's pause and take a look back at the political week in 60 seconds. | :59:06. | :59:14. | |
As the football teams from those parts of the island got ready for | :59:15. | :59:18. | |
the euro is the Deputy First Minister was also on foreign soil as | :59:19. | :59:22. | |
he visited World War I battlefields. I am out of my comfort zone here | :59:23. | :59:26. | |
today. But that is what leaders do. I think if you are not -- a leader | :59:27. | :59:40. | |
you have to lead from the front. 100 anniversary of the battle | :59:41. | :59:45. | |
doctrine. The new Health Minister lifted the lifetime ban on gay men | :59:46. | :59:48. | |
donating blood here. I have been opposed for eight days. | :59:49. | :59:52. | |
I took the decision based on the evidence I had on front of being | :59:53. | :59:56. | |
will stop a comedian to go on a politician as they battle to win | :59:57. | :59:59. | |
hearts and minds over Europe. What signal does it sends to the | :00:00. | :00:06. | |
world? Surely humanity moves forward by working together not by putting | :00:07. | :00:09. | |
up more borders? Do you want to be able to decide the | :00:10. | :00:13. | |
laws of your own country by electing politicians? | :00:14. | :00:24. | |
Let's have a final word. Just a little flavour there of Thursday | :00:25. | :00:29. | |
night's debate between Eddie Izzard and Sammy Wilson. Does that can | :00:30. | :00:32. | |
exchange help people to make their minds up as an off a lot of people I | :00:33. | :00:35. | |
meet say they still cannot work out which way to vote? | :00:36. | :00:39. | |
Alternately that probably helps the remaining camp because when it comes | :00:40. | :00:42. | |
to the bit in the final week of the election, as we saw in Scotland, | :00:43. | :00:47. | |
people are more likely to plump for the evil they know. | :00:48. | :00:51. | |
Do you agree with that broadly? I thought it was great to see him | :00:52. | :00:59. | |
and Sammy having to be polite, faced with a man wearing lipstick and a | :01:00. | :01:02. | |
pink beret. I think you did not know what to | :01:03. | :01:05. | |
make of him. The claims never to oppose them before. | :01:06. | :01:10. | |
John Major got stuck into the Brexit campaigners calling them deceitful | :01:11. | :01:13. | |
and squalid. And that is what makes most people's | :01:14. | :01:16. | |
minds are piping. Look at the people who are for each side and go for | :01:17. | :01:21. | |
which way. The Brexit group do not appeal to an off a lot of people | :01:22. | :01:25. | |
that the debate here is largely decided by original politics. Most | :01:26. | :01:29. | |
Nationalists will bow to stay in and most Unionists narrowly perhaps will | :01:30. | :01:32. | |
vote come out. A final word? The Government has | :01:33. | :01:37. | |
been getting involved in the last week or so. They are alarmed about | :01:38. | :01:40. | |
this. The group persuade those nationalistic, or Unionists could | :01:41. | :01:45. | |
act against it. Thank you very much indeed. That is | :01:46. | :01:46. | |
it from all David Davis will talk to is about | :01:47. | :02:06. | |
the snoopers' charter, but that interview with John Major on the | :02:07. | :02:11. | |
Andrew Marr Show, earlier we showed you in talking about the deceit of | :02:12. | :02:15. | |
the Leave campaign, this is in talking about Boris Johnson's | :02:16. | :02:21. | |
prospect of leading the party. If they continued to divide the | :02:22. | :02:23. | |
Conservative Party, as they are doing at the present time, and if | :02:24. | :02:28. | |
Boris has the laudable ambition, because it is laudable to become | :02:29. | :02:32. | |
Prime Minister, he will find, if he achieves that, that he will not have | :02:33. | :02:36. | |
the loyalty of the party he divided. Iain Duncan Smith was serially | :02:37. | :02:42. | |
disloyal in the 1990s. When he became leader, he was surprised that | :02:43. | :02:45. | |
no-one was loyal to him. Boris should learn from that. | :02:46. | :02:51. | |
What was the purpose of his interview this morning? | :02:52. | :02:58. | |
I guess number ten asked him to do it, and being a loyal supporter of a | :02:59. | :03:01. | |
Tory party, he would do that. I guess he was trying to reduce the | :03:02. | :03:07. | |
credibility of the Leave campaign's claim. Some irony when you consider | :03:08. | :03:12. | |
the most incredible claim has been from George Osborne, the Treasury, | :03:13. | :03:17. | |
in terms of his forecasts, and even what John Major said, I was his last | :03:18. | :03:22. | |
defender in the Commons, the numbers bandying around. | :03:23. | :03:28. | |
He said for example this controversial ?350 million was one | :03:29. | :03:35. | |
third of that. That is half the net contribution. He said industries | :03:36. | :03:40. | |
would face 10% levies. The car industry would, but most of | :03:41. | :03:45. | |
the others would be up to 5%. He was not being very | :03:46. | :03:48. | |
straightforward with the numbers. Were you surprised how personal the | :03:49. | :03:52. | |
attacks on Boris well. We know he has long hated Iain | :03:53. | :03:56. | |
Duncan Smith. Understandable. But saying in the | :03:57. | :04:04. | |
hands of Michael Gove, Boris Johnson, IDS, the NHS would be like | :04:05. | :04:09. | |
a hamster in a room with a pattern. He was trashing the Tory brand. | :04:10. | :04:17. | |
A harsh attack. I don't think it was very wise. | :04:18. | :04:21. | |
One of the problems both sides of this campaign have had is it is too | :04:22. | :04:24. | |
personalised. The public don't like it. After the | :04:25. | :04:30. | |
23rd, we had to pull the party together. | :04:31. | :04:34. | |
With that sort of attack, it is a bad idea. | :04:35. | :04:37. | |
Sam. Let me put it this way. Whatever the result, things for the | :04:38. | :04:42. | |
Tories will never be the same again for the rest of this Parliament. | :04:43. | :04:48. | |
It will be very hard. Clearly with a working majority of about 18, hard | :04:49. | :04:53. | |
to get contentious the station through, the biggest area of danger | :04:54. | :04:58. | |
for David Cameron. He will be a zombie Prime Minister, he can't get | :04:59. | :05:03. | |
it through the Commons, and the Lords is a different matter where | :05:04. | :05:07. | |
legislation will get stuck. You saw the kinds of things in the | :05:08. | :05:11. | |
Queen's Speech. With the exception of the data Bill, I can't see any of | :05:12. | :05:17. | |
the bills will be that radical when they get passed into law. So I think | :05:18. | :05:21. | |
there will be a successful coup after June the 23rd, that seems | :05:22. | :05:24. | |
unlikely. Even if it is a vote to Leave. | :05:25. | :05:31. | |
That could change things. I think David Cameron would go within his | :05:32. | :05:37. | |
own time. In the case of a remain vote, there are up to 20 MPs who | :05:38. | :05:41. | |
bitterly disliked David Cameron. I don't think that number has | :05:42. | :05:47. | |
dramatically increased solely as a result of the referendum campaign. | :05:48. | :05:51. | |
There is a safety valve, the leadership election which will | :05:52. | :05:55. | |
happen possibly sooner than you think. | :05:56. | :06:00. | |
There may not be an immediate coup even if the vote is to Remain. | :06:01. | :06:06. | |
The keyword or words, zombie parliaments, there are anything | :06:07. | :06:11. | |
between 20-50 MPs deeply disillusioned with the Prime | :06:12. | :06:13. | |
Minister. They have a taste for revolt. The | :06:14. | :06:19. | |
Government majority is derisory. This Government could now find it | :06:20. | :06:24. | |
very difficult to get anything major through this potential zombie | :06:25. | :06:29. | |
parliament. That is absolutely true. On the | :06:30. | :06:33. | |
matter of a coup, there are a number of mischief makers within the Tory | :06:34. | :06:37. | |
ranks who don't mind if a coup succeeds or fails, they feel the | :06:38. | :06:40. | |
Labour opposition is so weak, they have the luxury of doing this. | :06:41. | :06:47. | |
I think the numbers are lower than you think. I would say 20, not more | :06:48. | :06:53. | |
than that. That is enough, given the Government | :06:54. | :06:56. | |
majority. These are the ones that hate the | :06:57. | :07:00. | |
regime as it were. You have another group. The problem | :07:01. | :07:06. | |
is not if there is a Brexit victory, but if there is a very narrow Remain | :07:07. | :07:09. | |
victory. A lot of those wanting Brexit will | :07:10. | :07:16. | |
feel they have been cheated. The ?9 million spent on the | :07:17. | :07:20. | |
leaflets, all of that, they will be difficult to manage. | :07:21. | :07:24. | |
This is a Government that has found it hard to get its budget through. | :07:25. | :07:29. | |
Almost unprecedented, it lost most of the major parts of the budget | :07:30. | :07:34. | |
unveiled in March. Would it not be even more difficult if it is a vote | :07:35. | :07:42. | |
to Remain, but small, to get its business through except the | :07:43. | :07:44. | |
noncontroversial. To say it is difficult for the | :07:45. | :07:51. | |
future is a description of the past ten months, they had two H a great | :07:52. | :07:57. | |
answer their planned pensions reform amongst other things. | :07:58. | :08:02. | |
The potential American trade deal. Most recently, and prior to the | :08:03. | :08:07. | |
referendum. Things will become difficult | :08:08. | :08:10. | |
afterwards. David Cameron will end up leading my kind of Government, it | :08:11. | :08:15. | |
won't do very much. The basic strategic stuff. What the founders | :08:16. | :08:24. | |
in America intended. The one bit of optimism for the Tories, it picks up | :08:25. | :08:29. | |
on David's point, I wouldn't underestimate how many Tory MPs want | :08:30. | :08:34. | |
is referendum done with, that includes absolutely committed | :08:35. | :08:36. | |
leaders who don't think much of David Cameron. | :08:37. | :08:42. | |
Interviewing Johnny Mercer, he wants it over, you can tell from his | :08:43. | :08:45. | |
demeanour. And he wouldn't look at me but there | :08:46. | :08:51. | |
may be another reason! We don't need to go that! | :08:52. | :08:55. | |
Let me ask you. Given the kind of Government our panel are talking | :08:56. | :08:58. | |
about, it is already difficult for the Government to get things done. | :08:59. | :09:02. | |
Even more difficult after the referendum I would suggest if it is | :09:03. | :09:07. | |
Remain by a small majority. Does that give you hope for your | :09:08. | :09:11. | |
continued opposition to the investigatory Powers act for the | :09:12. | :09:17. | |
police and intelligence services? Taking up on the American view, look | :09:18. | :09:23. | |
what happened with tax credits. There were about 40 people opposing | :09:24. | :09:30. | |
it, only two voting against it. It went to the House of Lords, got | :09:31. | :09:34. | |
knocked back. The Government knew there was a looming rebellion. | :09:35. | :09:37. | |
That will be the message of the future. | :09:38. | :09:40. | |
A lot of that pressure play. The investigative powers act, large | :09:41. | :09:46. | |
parts of it will be flayed by the House of Lords, the Government will | :09:47. | :09:48. | |
concede. That is the way it will happen. | :09:49. | :09:53. | |
Whether it is the approval mechanisms or the data gathered or | :09:54. | :09:58. | |
who has access, those will be challenged. | :09:59. | :10:00. | |
All those things will now be more at risk at least after the referendum. | :10:01. | :10:05. | |
Maybe why they are brushing it through in the next few days. | :10:06. | :10:10. | |
I would suggest looking at the campaign, two and a half weeks to | :10:11. | :10:14. | |
go, in the week up to the Whitsun bank holiday, Remain one that, and | :10:15. | :10:22. | |
overwhelming economic amount of stuff coming out. | :10:23. | :10:26. | |
In the weeks since leading up to this weekend, Leave have probably | :10:27. | :10:27. | |
done better. The interviews on Sky. | :10:28. | :10:35. | |
Still all to play for. Leave goes into this week probably with a | :10:36. | :10:38. | |
spring in its step. I think that is right. One of the | :10:39. | :10:45. | |
mistakes of the Remain campaign was at two different points, to feel | :10:46. | :10:49. | |
like they were heading for victory. Once in the aftermath of the visit | :10:50. | :10:56. | |
by President Barack Obama. They thought it was a big moment that | :10:57. | :10:59. | |
would produce a push. A couple of weeks ago, they sensed | :11:00. | :11:07. | |
that polls were going their way, in private conversations they thought | :11:08. | :11:10. | |
they had got it in the bag. That created hubris and a problem. | :11:11. | :11:15. | |
They did not see coming the Australian style points system | :11:16. | :11:21. | |
attacked by Vote Leave last weekend, setting out plans. They thought it | :11:22. | :11:25. | |
would be a policy freak referendum campaign. That pulled the debate | :11:26. | :11:30. | |
back into the Leave side. Is Leave thinking it can win? | :11:31. | :11:34. | |
Privately, I think they are beginning to think they have a 50-50 | :11:35. | :11:41. | |
chance, maybe more. Previously, privately, a lot would admit they | :11:42. | :11:45. | |
felt pessimistic. I definitely sense a shift. If you | :11:46. | :11:49. | |
look at what happened in Scotland, it was around this time use saw | :11:50. | :11:57. | |
polls saw an advantage -- seeing an advantage for independence. | :11:58. | :12:02. | |
Still three weeks to go, nobody is counting their chickens. | :12:03. | :12:08. | |
I am reliably informed Leave is ahead but that is embargoed so I | :12:09. | :12:14. | |
didn't mention it. But they still don't think they are | :12:15. | :12:19. | |
losing? How big a victory do they need in | :12:20. | :12:23. | |
order to put the question to bed and preserve the Prime Minister. | :12:24. | :12:29. | |
At least 55-45? That would do it. The fact they | :12:30. | :12:34. | |
deployed John Major shows they are worried. | :12:35. | :12:40. | |
John Major was the nuclear weapons. Lose or win, yes or no? | :12:41. | :12:46. | |
Brexit, a small margin. You heard it here first. Just to | :12:47. | :12:52. | |
mention, as well as the debate we have been discussing, I will be | :12:53. | :12:55. | |
interviewing leading figures from both sides of | :12:56. | :12:56. | |
Starting tomorrow at 7.30 on BBC One, with Shadow Foreign | :12:57. | :13:01. | |
Followed on Wednesday by Chancellor George Osborne. | :13:02. | :13:05. | |
And then it's the turn of Leave campaigners Nigel Farage | :13:06. | :13:07. | |
I hope you can join me, it should be fun. | :13:08. | :13:13. | |
And, of course, we're back here next week as usual at 11 o'clock | :13:14. | :13:17. | |
Remember, if it's Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics. | :13:18. | :13:23. |