07/02/2016 Sunday Politics Northern Ireland


07/02/2016

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Morning, folks, and welcome to the Sunday Politics.

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We finally know what David Cameron wants

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as he attempts to reform our relationship with the EU.

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Does it deliver on his promises - and will it be enough to convince

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and most of us can't name our MEP.

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Is there a democratic crisis in the EU?

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Former Respect MP George Galloway and Labour's Stephen Kinnock go

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Jeremy Corbyn has plenty of new grassroots support.

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But is Labour facing a cash crisis thanks to a loss of money from big

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donors, taxpayers and Government plans to restrict union funding?

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It is an affront on British democracy.

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And coming up here... agreement which changed the funding

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Mike Nesbitt and Colum Eastwood on dealing with the past.

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And we look at the state of the parties at the end of week

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one in the Republic's general election campaign.

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about his priorities these last two years?

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And joining me as always, three journalists who've got more

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opinions than the campaign to leave the EU has splinter groups.

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Yes, it's Nick Watt, Helen Lewis and Janan Ganesh.

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We'll see if they're still on speaking terms by the end

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Let's start today by talking about what the Government in England

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is or isn't going to do about a sugar tax.

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Health experts have been calling for one, to tackle

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is a crisis in child obesity - but so far ministers

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Well, this morning the celebrity chef Jamie Oliver said

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to "get ninja" to force the Government to act.

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Here's the Health Secretary, Jeremy Hunt, responding

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on The Andrew Marr Show this morning.

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It has to be a game changing moment, a robust strategy.

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The issue here is, do what it takes to make sure

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that children consume less sugar, because we have got

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We are the most obese nation in the EU

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Well, we are going to be announcing in due course -

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David Cameron has said, if it isn't a sugar tax,

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it needs to be something that is equally robust.

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But he hasn't taken a sugar tax off the table.

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Will there be a sugar tax? His instinct is to say no, I do not want

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to run the nanny state that Jeremy Hunt says his one-year-old daughter,

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by the time she is an adult, one third of the population will be

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clinically obese and Public Health England shows if you introduce a

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sugar tax, you will reduce that some Jeremy Hunt is in favour but the

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Prime Minister is inching towards some decision, whether that is a

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sugar tax or not... Regional and devolved governments, Wales has been

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very keen on that. I feel I am at liberty to say this but Scotland

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also has greater tax-raising powers so he could get outflanked. Or wait

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and see how it does in Scotland and Wales and then decide to follow?

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Yes. I want to make the liberal case against this but that ship has

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sailed decades ago, we tax alcohol and tobacco and this is more like a

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revenue raiser because that isn't -- a justifiable cause, we have a

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population with a sweet tooth that you can hit the revenue. That is the

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reasoning to deal with rather than the more censorious reason of

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monitoring behaviour. And junior doctors, scheduled to be back on

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strike on Wednesday in England, which means that some of the talks

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so far have failed? There is bad feeling but as Andrew Marr was

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saying, the turnout on the vote was very high, and the 8%. The

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government is really struggling to shake this debate and it is

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interesting with that interview, Jeremy Hunt has said until now that

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the cost of the new contract would be revenue neutral, he now admits

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there would not only be a transitional cost but longer term

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and the government is really struggling on this. It is not affect

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emergency services this time. It was a big week for

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David Cameron's renegotiation He once promised a fundamental

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change in that relationship as a condition for backing

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the campaign to stay in. Well, there are changes -

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but perhaps not quite as fundamental And what he has achieved still needs

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to be agreed by EU leaders at a summit in a fortnight's

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time, where it could be But Mr Cameron says what he's

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achieved is so significant that if Britain was not an EU member,

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this would make him want to join. Here he is speaking

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earlier in the week. I can say, hand on heart,

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I've delivered the commitments that I made in my manifesto,

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and I think the whole country knows that if you, for instance,

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pay people ?5,000, ?10,000 additional to their wages,

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then that is a draw to Britain, and that's one of

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the reasons why we've seen such high levels

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of migration and movement. So David Cameron says it lives up

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to everything that was promised in the Conservative

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election manifesto. I'm joined by former Cabinet

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minister Eric Pickles. Welcome back. You said this week the

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Prime Minister has kept to the letter and spirit of his manifesto

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promise. Let us look at what this promise. The manifesto said we will

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insist that EU migrants who want to claim tax credits and child benefit

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must live here and contribute to the economy for a minimum of four years.

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The emergency rig on tax credits does not achieve that? -- brake. You

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must bear in mind the things we can do through domestic law, a

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job-seeker from Europe who cannot find a job within six months, you

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are obliged to leave and that has been achieved through domestic law.

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The manifesto promised no in work benefits until you have been here

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for four years. The reality is graduated, they rise, and after four

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years you get the full benefit? That is not unreasonable. After four

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years to get full benefit but we know that the criteria for putting

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on the brake for four years has already been passed and the largest

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political party in the EU agrees that has happened and we should have

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this in place after the next referendum. It will have to be

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approved by the European Parliament and the other 27 members and what

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constitution, emergency, the cost to migrants is five billion pounds

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every year, we are 1.6 5 trillion economy, public spending is 750

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billion pounds. Why is ?500 million and emergency, only 1.6% of the

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bill? My earlier answer was, we already know the political leader of

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the largest political party in the Parliament of Europe has said it is

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the fact that we have arrived at those conditions and an emergency

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brake will be placed. What emergency? It is an emergency in the

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views of the European partners, they have accrued -- agreed to this

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emergency brake but in terms have the mechanism of Britain future for

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other countries, that will be decided over the next two weeks but

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what we do know as far as the UK is concerned, we will get that

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emergency brake. If a migrant Eilidh Child lives abroad, they should

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receive no child tax credit or benefit, no matter how long they

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have worked in the UK or how much tax they have paid. There it is. The

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sentiment does not deliver on that either? What it does deliver is

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harmonisation of benefits so the level of benefits will be exactly

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the same as it would be in their own country. You are going to have 28

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different levels of child benefit! In many cases it can be as much as

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the quarter. And in some cases, more? Not many people to pay the

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same level that we don't but the point I was making is that in Poland

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it is a quarter of the level as it is here. You promised no child

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benefit for migrants and you're delivering index linked child

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benefit for migrants? It is a big improvement on the current

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situation. When you go into negotiation, but do precisely that

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and I think it is within the spirit of what we said. The manifesto said

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that you will control migration from the European Union by reforming

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welfare rolls and Mr Cameron at one stage said that reducing immigration

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from the European Union would be at the heart of this. Can you give us

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an idea of how much these changes will reduce European Union

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migration? I am not part of the negotiating team so all I can go

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wrong is what I have seen in newspapers and given that we know

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that in work benefits, 40% of new arrivals are supported by that and

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given that the average is ?6,000 in addition and can be as much as

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?10,000, it will have an effect. You said 40% but that is not the figure,

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we know from the Freedom of Information release that if there

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had been any emergency brake in the last four years it would have

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affected 84,000 families. That is it, not 40%. I said that 40% of the

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new immigrants that, in, new migrants, claiming in work benefit,

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you are comparing apples and pears? I am not. 80,000 families is nowhere

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near 40%. Last year, 180,000 net migration from the EU. Do you have

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any idea by how much the figure will be reduced as a result of the

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settlement? Were not trying to prevent people living inside the

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European Union, we are trying to stop people coming for something for

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nothing, to claim from our innovative system and secondly, to

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ensure there is an equalisation inside the market of people coming

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here just because of our in work benefits. Since this will apply only

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to new migrants and not those that are already here, is unlikely to be

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a rush to come in before these restrictions in? And the figure

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could rise? As part of the negotiations we have to ensure that

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doesn't happen. We would have two ask as part of the negotiation... To

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ensure that there isn't this new influx. In the manifesto you also

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said that we want national partners to be able to work together to block

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unwanted European legislation. In the Lisbon Treaty there is an orange

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card system that does that and we have the red card with Mr Cameron,

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is this an improvement? The Orange card has been used twice. That was

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yellow, orange has never been used. I beg your pardon. It is confusing!

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How many different cards? Three, yellow and orange and this red card.

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In what way would the red card be any improvement on the existing

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Orange card, which means 51% of national parliaments can make the

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commission rethink? We can move much quicker in terms of trying to knock

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out any deal between European Parliaments and secondly, national

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parliaments are becoming much more assertive in terms of their session

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and that is a massively important step in the re-establishment in the

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importance of national parliaments. It is not just our Parliament, we

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would need to get 56% of national parliaments, at least 15 others, and

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in many cases we would only have 12 weeks to ask them to vote against

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the policy of their own national government. That is not credible? Of

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course it is. I think this is a very important step on the way of

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ensuring national parliaments are much more assertive and don't

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forget, read this in line of stopping them moving towards ever

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closer union and protecting sterling. Let us look at that. It

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was meant to be one of the big wins for the Prime Minister, Donald Tusk,

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the President of the Council, says we have always had that, it need not

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mean integration for Britain, the settlement confirms only the status

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quo. It is very interesting for him to

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say that but on every programme that I've ever been on, it has been this

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drift towards ever closer union, political union, that has been

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important. If it means we have now re-established that it is about give

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and take and cooperation, that is a great thing. Given how little the

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prime and this has achieved -- the Prime Minister has achieved, would

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his position not be undermined, or become untenable, if this draft

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settlement was further undermined before being finally agreed? I'm

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very confident, given that this Prime Minister is the only Prime

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Minister ever to take powers back from Europe, that it will be

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successful. But could you stomach of further watering down? It would

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depend what the overall position is but my position comes not from any

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enthusiasm for Europe. It's just a lack of any decent ideas that we

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would be better off outside. To come back to this business of the

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European Parliament, there are number of areas in which the

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European Parliament has to approve this settlement, including the work

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benefits, child benefit element, perhaps even the red card. What

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guarantees can you give, because the European Parliament won't to do

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this, if it does it at all, until after the referendum... So how can

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you guarantee that we will vote to stay in and the European Parliament

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will not pass the legislation? We've had indications from the European

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Parliament that they will do precisely that. What I would hope...

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Where? Just a second. The leader of the largest party has said that. I

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think what we would want to see over the next couple of weeks are more

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codification in terms of how this would come to operate, not just for

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us but for other parties. But if the European Parliament doesn't pass

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this, it is not legally binding. The Prime Minister has told us that. It

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can only be eagerly binding under the existing treaties with

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legislation through the European Parliament. You are asking the

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British people to vote blind, to vote yes, without really knowing

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what the European Parliament might do down the road in the autumn at

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the end of the year. I'm very confident that will be the case. --

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won't be the case. It will be an appalling abuse of trust and would

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undermine the European Union, were it not to do so. But sooner or

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later, we are going to have to go on to discuss, what would the

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consequences be thus leaving? Because that would not be a

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pain-free experience. I really want the guarantees for those that want

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us to leave to say that my constituents and my constituents'

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children will be materially better off by leaving. Not just the same

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but better off by leaving. Eric Pickles, thanks for being with us

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this morning. Thank you. In recent weeks we've been debating

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some of the big issues at the heart We've covered immigration

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and the economy. Today we're going to look

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at Britain's sovereignty within the European Union and ask,

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is the EU a democratic club There are about 500 million people

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across the 28 member states Voters from these countries go

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to the polls every five years to elect 751 members

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of the European Parliament. The UK currently has

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73 MEPs, who have some say over the EU budget

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and new legislation. But it's the unelected Commission,

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led by President Jean-Claude Juncker, that is responsible

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for day-to-day management, plus proposing and

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implementing new laws. Later this month, David Cameron

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will attend a crucial meeting of the European Council

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to press for his draft settlement, the outcome of his

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efforts to renegotiate our terms The Council is made up of the 28

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heads of state or government of EU members and decides

:19:07.:19:13.

the Union's overall political But it's not to be confused with

:19:14.:19:16.

the Council of the European Union, where ministers from each

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country meet to discuss, There's always been

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concern about a so-called democratic deficit and at the last

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elections in 2014, turnout In the UK, where few people can

:19:30.:19:33.

even name a local MEP, I'm joined now by former Respect

:19:34.:19:40.

MP George Galloway - he's said this week he'll campaign

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for Britain to leave the EU - and by the Labour MP

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Stephen Kinnock, who wants Stephen Kinnock, let me come to you

:19:54.:20:02.

first. Turnout at the last election was under 36%. Only 11% can name

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their MEP. Richie Gray the EU has a massive democratic deficit and the

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Cameron settlement does nothing to address it, does it? On the

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democratic deficit, of course it would be good if more people voted

:20:17.:20:21.

in democratic elections but let's not forget there is another

:20:22.:20:24.

democratically elected institution in Brussels and that's the council

:20:25.:20:26.

of the vistas and the European council. They are ministers. Our

:20:27.:20:31.

Prime Minister, directly elected by the British people, going to

:20:32.:20:34.

Brussels to exert influence for Britain. The democratic deficit

:20:35.:20:38.

sometimes gets tied up with the European Parliament. That's an

:20:39.:20:42.

element of it but the council is a major part. On the renegotiation, I

:20:43.:20:46.

think the really important point is that this referendum is not about

:20:47.:20:50.

David Cameron's renegotiation. This referendum is about the future of

:20:51.:20:55.

the United Kingdom as a trading nation, as a proud nation in terms

:20:56.:21:00.

of a diplomatic big player and where we are actually going in terms of

:21:01.:21:03.

the long-term future of the country. It's not about the precise details

:21:04.:21:09.

of David Cameron's renegotiation. Mr Cameron think that is important.

:21:10.:21:13.

George Galloway, you said you believe in a union of the peoples of

:21:14.:21:17.

Europe but surely the only realistic way to achieve that is to work for a

:21:18.:21:21.

reformed EU. Anything else is just rhetoric. No, because I think it is

:21:22.:21:32.

in the Brits of the EU. You pointed to the visibility of the European

:21:33.:21:35.

Parliament, its credibility and standing but you didn't add that the

:21:36.:21:39.

European Parliament itself, even if AT the centre people were turning

:21:40.:21:41.

out to vote for it, has almost no power. The power lies in this

:21:42.:21:47.

council of ministers and in a bureaucracy well entrenched, very

:21:48.:21:52.

lavishly funded, which has meant of its own. I could answer your

:21:53.:21:57.

question in two words - Catherine Ashton. Never heard of her? No. Ever

:21:58.:22:05.

elected to? No. She was the European Foreign Minister, dictating to other

:22:06.:22:08.

countries outside the world with no democratic mandate of any kind. I

:22:09.:22:14.

think we have to be more sensible about the way we talk about these

:22:15.:22:18.

things. There is a process of co-decision which is enshrined in

:22:19.:22:21.

the treaties of the European Union. The vast majority of the legislation

:22:22.:22:25.

which goes through has to be agreed by both the European Parliament and

:22:26.:22:29.

by the European council on the basis of proposals from the European

:22:30.:22:32.

Commission. Not necessarily all the council. Politics is the art of the

:22:33.:22:39.

possible and when you are part of a system of pooled sovereignty is,

:22:40.:22:42.

when we come together as nation states because we believe our

:22:43.:22:45.

sovereignty is actually strengthened through cooperation, of course you

:22:46.:22:50.

have to make compromises. You don't win absolutely 100% of everything

:22:51.:22:54.

that you go for but actually, I believe that through corporation and

:22:55.:22:56.

pulling our sovereignty our sovereignty is strengthened. There

:22:57.:23:01.

has been a lot of talk by the Prime Minister about asserting the

:23:02.:23:04.

sovereignty of Parliament. It seems to be one of the carrots to attract

:23:05.:23:08.

Mr Boris Johnson to come onside. But surely you have to accept that in

:23:09.:23:13.

many areas, the EU and the European Court of Justice, they are sovereign

:23:14.:23:16.

and Parliament has to recognise that sovereignty or we have to leave. I

:23:17.:23:21.

think that we have to also look at the likes of Google or the big

:23:22.:23:26.

multinational companies. They don't recognise the concept of

:23:27.:23:30.

sovereignty. For people on the left, such as George and myself, the key

:23:31.:23:35.

point of the European Union is, it's a transnational body that regulating

:23:36.:23:39.

transnational business. Not very well. It is not regulating them very

:23:40.:23:43.

well. Much better than we could do them alone. I don't think so. The

:23:44.:23:49.

bottom line is... And this is to be, on the left. Mr Kinnock senior and I

:23:50.:23:55.

shared many platforms on this, as well as the late Mr Benn, the late

:23:56.:24:00.

Mr foot. This was commonplace on the left. We don't want to be dictated

:24:01.:24:07.

to by other countries. We want our people to choose our government and

:24:08.:24:12.

thus our direction. And I'd rather take my chance with changing things

:24:13.:24:16.

in Britain than waiting for a change in Bulgaria or in Poland. But you

:24:17.:24:23.

are nationalists and doesn't but inevitably involve some kind of

:24:24.:24:28.

pooling sovereignty? The whole basis of the European Union... As we

:24:29.:24:33.

always said from 1975 onwards, on the left, the European Community,

:24:34.:24:37.

now the EU, is actually built on neoliberal economic principles,

:24:38.:24:42.

which are ironclad and unchangeable. However people want to vote. Are you

:24:43.:24:49.

comfortable with the manner in which Greece's sovereignty was overturned

:24:50.:24:52.

by the European institutions and above all by companies -- countries

:24:53.:24:58.

like Germany? We live in a highly globalised, interdependent world and

:24:59.:25:02.

the idea that the UK alone can exert influence and regulate the big

:25:03.:25:05.

multinationals on its own is absurd. The other key point on Greece is,

:25:06.:25:09.

how would we help the people of Greece by leaving the EU? Our

:25:10.:25:13.

principles are about solidarity, a key value on which European Union is

:25:14.:25:18.

founded, which is a value of the left. What was the solidarity that

:25:19.:25:22.

the EU showed Greece? I think what we need is a Labour Prime Minister

:25:23.:25:26.

in Brussels arguing against the politics of austerity. We are not

:25:27.:25:32.

part of the eurozone. This was a eurozone argument. We can still

:25:33.:25:40.

exert our influence. What many would think is your natural allies on the

:25:41.:25:43.

European left, so reads the increase, and a party in Spain, want

:25:44.:25:48.

to stay in the EU. Why are you right and your comrades wrong? The people

:25:49.:25:53.

of Greece were crushed underfoot by this neoliberal consensus on which

:25:54.:25:58.

the EU and administrations are built. Portugal actually had an

:25:59.:26:04.

election and elected a majority of left-wing MPs and we're told by the

:26:05.:26:09.

European Union, the president of Portugal was told, you mustn't

:26:10.:26:12.

summon these people to your palace to allow them to form a government.

:26:13.:26:16.

This is unconscionable. It's not because I love the people of Greece,

:26:17.:26:20.

though I do, or the people of Spain. I don't want us to face the same

:26:21.:26:25.

fate as them. Jeremy Corbyn and John McDonell's economic policies, which

:26:26.:26:29.

I believe in and which are badly needed, are illegal under the EU. If

:26:30.:26:35.

we were to save our steel industry, for example, we would be acting out

:26:36.:26:38.

with the European Union's legal framework. You've been closely

:26:39.:26:42.

involved in the steel industry. What do you say to that? I fail to see

:26:43.:26:48.

how our principles of solidarity and reaching out to our brothers and

:26:49.:26:51.

sisters in other parts of the year are helped by the idea that we

:26:52.:26:54.

suddenly leave. But to me seems to be going against the founding value

:26:55.:26:57.

of the Labour Party, which is solidarity. On steel, this is a

:26:58.:27:02.

classic example but it is up to your member state government to play the

:27:03.:27:05.

game properly. Unfortunately, we have a government that has been

:27:06.:27:09.

asleep at the wheel on steel for four or five years. An energy

:27:10.:27:12.

compensation package should have been put in place years ago. The

:27:13.:27:15.

government has done nothing about it. The massive flooding of Chinese

:27:16.:27:20.

steel into the British market has only been happening over the last

:27:21.:27:23.

four years. That could only be done by Europe, not Britain. It took them

:27:24.:27:28.

for years to get the stated clearance because nobody was

:27:29.:27:30.

knocking on the door properly in Brussels and because we are cosying

:27:31.:27:34.

up to Beijing. Cameron and Osborne seem to be putting the interests of

:27:35.:27:39.

our relationship with China ahead of British industry. We are allowing

:27:40.:27:42.

them to damp massive amounts of Chinese steel in the market. The

:27:43.:27:47.

European Court of Justice is preventing us from deporting

:27:48.:27:49.

Moroccan citizen, the daughter-in-law of Abu Hamza, Abu

:27:50.:27:54.

Hamza himself convicted of 11 terrorist offences. She has done

:27:55.:27:59.

time, too, for a terrorist elated offence. We still can't deport her.

:28:00.:28:02.

That is a pretty serious intrusion of our sovereignty. I don't know the

:28:03.:28:07.

details of that case but I do know we live in a very interdependent

:28:08.:28:10.

world... You said that. What people want to know is if we can deport

:28:11.:28:13.

foreign citizens who have terrorist criminal convictions. We did manage

:28:14.:28:18.

to do it with Abu Hamza, so there are ways. The EU is a rules -based

:28:19.:28:23.

organisation. It sets the rules of the game. It's up to the member

:28:24.:28:28.

states to play that game properly. Unfortunately, we have a government

:28:29.:28:31.

that has failed to build alliances and coalitions in Brussels. That's

:28:32.:28:34.

one of the reasons we have a difficult relationship with the EU

:28:35.:28:39.

now. When you look at this leave site and the various factions of the

:28:40.:28:43.

time they seem to be spending more time knocking lumps out of each

:28:44.:28:50.

other, does that make you happy you joined? I campaigned against

:28:51.:28:53.

breaking up Britain and for a no vote in the Scottish referendum.

:28:54.:28:56.

That didn't mean I was with the Tories, didn't mean I was with the

:28:57.:29:01.

Orange order. So are you solo again? There used to be a commonplace view

:29:02.:29:09.

from the 1970s, and still standing now, for a democratic future for

:29:10.:29:13.

Britain. We decide how many immigrants we have, who we deport,

:29:14.:29:17.

what our levels of taxation are and what our foreign policy should be.

:29:18.:29:20.

We will leave it there. Thank you both.

:29:21.:29:23.

Labour says it faces losing more than a quarter of its funding,

:29:24.:29:25.

thanks to Government plans to change the way the party gets money

:29:26.:29:28.

from trade union members, along with moves to cut state

:29:29.:29:31.

In a rare TV outing, the party's general secretary

:29:32.:29:34.

Iain McNicol has told us just how damaging the changes could be.

:29:35.:29:37.

An audience of around 800 people turning out on a Thursday night

:29:38.:29:44.

in North London to watch well-known comedians,

:29:45.:29:47.

artistic and political types talk about, well,

:29:48.:29:50.

why Jeremy Corbyn ought to be Prime Minister.

:29:51.:29:53.

He wasn't here and this wasn't a fundraiser but similar nights

:29:54.:30:02.

to this have raised cash for the party.

:30:03.:30:05.

Welcome, one and all, you bunch of loony lefties.

:30:06.:30:08.

I started in my constituency in Brentford.

:30:09.:30:13.

And then other constituencies asked me to do the same thing

:30:14.:30:18.

and we've done 165 and raised ?100,000.

:30:19.:30:54.

And it's just as well, because the Labour Party

:30:55.:30:56.

says it could be about to lose about ?8 million of funding

:30:57.:30:59.

if Government plans to change the way it collects

:31:00.:31:02.

money from trade union members go through.

:31:03.:31:03.

And they say it's no laughing matter.

:31:04.:31:05.

It is an affront on British democracy.

:31:06.:31:06.

If you look at any previous agreement which changed

:31:07.:31:09.

the funding of a political party, it was done on a consensual,

:31:10.:31:12.

cross-party basis, an agreement, because of the effect it had.

:31:13.:31:14.

So is this an existential threat to the Labour Party?

:31:15.:31:16.

It would be very difficult for the party.

:31:17.:31:19.

funding would mean that we would not be able to operate in the current

:31:20.:31:25.

way that we do, holding the Government to account

:31:26.:31:27.

The cash goes towards staffing, reportedly around

:31:28.:31:31.

half its costs, and, of course, campaigning.

:31:32.:31:33.

Things like party election broadcasts, battle buses,

:31:34.:31:37.

At the moment, trade union members have to actively opt

:31:38.:31:40.

out of paying towards the Labour Party.

:31:41.:31:42.

In the future, they would have to opt in, in writing,

:31:43.:31:46.

within three months - something Labour fear

:31:47.:31:48.

people just won't get round to doing.

:31:49.:31:50.

It also coincides with a 19% cut to so-called short money,

:31:51.:31:56.

cash given to all opposition parties to

:31:57.:32:01.

help with the costs of Parliamentary business -

:32:02.:32:04.

a sort of concession for not having the civil service

:32:05.:32:05.

But the man who used to be in charge of said civil

:32:06.:32:09.

service says the Government's plans are at best partisan.

:32:10.:32:11.

It goes to this wider question of what I would see

:32:12.:32:17.

as a worryingly authoritarian streak in government that finds it

:32:18.:32:19.

difficult to live with and accept challenge.

:32:20.:32:21.

I think that's something that people of all parties...

:32:22.:32:24.

I'm actually a crossbencher, not in any

:32:25.:32:26.

party, and I think, whichever party are in,

:32:27.:32:28.

There's nothing authoritarian about having something

:32:29.:32:33.

clearly flagged in our manifesto, voted for in a majority government

:32:34.:32:38.

and delivered on, and there's nothing authoritarian about having

:32:39.:32:41.

That's to say, if you're a Labour Party supporter and you're

:32:42.:32:47.

a member of a trade union, you actively choose to do it,

:32:48.:32:50.

rather than having it forced upon you

:32:51.:32:52.

Frankly, I think the Labour Party needs to get

:32:53.:32:55.

out and convince union members it's a good use of their money to give

:32:56.:32:58.

that money to the Labour Party, just as the Conservatives

:32:59.:33:01.

and Liberal Democrats have to convince people to give

:33:02.:33:03.

We don't rely on people accidentally giving

:33:04.:33:14.

Back in Kentish Town, the organisers here say a night

:33:15.:33:24.

like this is as much about raising awareness and morale as it is cash.

:33:25.:33:27.

Jeremy Corbyn's leadership campaign relied on grassroots support.

:33:28.:33:29.

As the party's funding streams start to dry

:33:30.:33:31.

up, it it could well need to rely on people like this -

:33:32.:33:34.

people willing to come to a night about Jeremy Corbyn

:33:35.:33:36.

In fact, Mr Corbyn may prefer the thought of appealing

:33:37.:33:53.

to the wallets of people like this, rather than the traditional big

:33:54.:33:56.

donors, and number of whom have already publicly

:33:57.:33:58.

But fundraising made up just 3% of the

:33:59.:34:01.

The spotlight will now fall on how Labour pays its way in the future.

:34:02.:34:05.

And we now say goodbye to viewers in Scotland,

:34:06.:34:08.

who leave us for Sunday Politics Scotland.

:34:09.:34:10.

Now, this week in the House of Lords, Labour's peers

:34:11.:34:13.

will try to fight off the Government's plans to change

:34:14.:34:15.

the way union members give money to the party.

:34:16.:34:17.

The shadow leader in the Lords, Angela Smith, joins me now -

:34:18.:34:20.

and I should add we asked to speak to a Government minister

:34:21.:34:23.

For a change! Or not! If you join a trade union, why should part of the

:34:24.:34:28.

membership fee be given to the Labour Party without your explicit

:34:29.:34:30.

approval? It is a choice you can make and one of the things said

:34:31.:34:34.

during the House of Lords debate is a Conservative peer said, when was

:34:35.:34:39.

the evidence that people are forced to opt in? One of the key things is

:34:40.:34:44.

the government says you must opt in rather than quite but when they gave

:34:45.:34:50.

businesses two years to bring in the plastic bag levy, they gave trade

:34:51.:34:54.

unions three months to change them into our system. In three years

:34:55.:34:59.

would you change your mind? Well, no. It's not really a matter of

:35:00.:35:09.

time, then? Within three months in writing, the government is making

:35:10.:35:14.

this as difficult as possible. When this was looked at, it was amenable

:35:15.:35:18.

of a number of -- context of a number of aspects and they are not

:35:19.:35:23.

giving any other changes on those affecting themselves, only the

:35:24.:35:28.

Labour Party. Many members do not vote Labour, why should they have to

:35:29.:35:34.

opt out? Surely those who want to join Labour should have to opt in?

:35:35.:35:38.

There does not seem to be any problem with people being asked to

:35:39.:35:45.

opt out. Look at this in the context of funding for all parties, the

:35:46.:35:49.

government have picked one recommendation from the committee of

:35:50.:35:53.

standards in public life, the one that reflects the Labour Party adds

:35:54.:35:56.

nothing to look at Conservative Party funding, blatantly partisan

:35:57.:36:01.

and unfair. But is it wrong within its own right? Labour depends on

:36:02.:36:09.

inertia, people pay the levy but they don't want to and they do not

:36:10.:36:16.

know about opting out? Isn't it time we stopped tracking nonlabour

:36:17.:36:20.

voters? Nobody is tracking anybody, that is grossly misrepresenting. In

:36:21.:36:28.

the context of all of these public life issues, you can do it but they

:36:29.:36:36.

say themselves, tracking, the Conservatives talk about the burden

:36:37.:36:41.

on trade unions, this is unfair. It will ensure that in that short space

:36:42.:36:45.

of time they will not be able to reach everybody. You said that even

:36:46.:36:50.

in two years you would still be against it. That is not exactly what

:36:51.:36:57.

I said, over a longer period of time, in the context of all the

:36:58.:37:00.

other measures that have been addressed on party funding, what is

:37:01.:37:05.

unfair is this is one measure affecting one party. You understand

:37:06.:37:09.

the government is picking on you. Not just me! In the United States,

:37:10.:37:19.

Bernie Sanders, on the left of the party, he has no union backing or

:37:20.:37:25.

big donors or business backing. He managed to get, not even running

:37:26.:37:29.

nationwide, over 3 million individual donations. He raised $20

:37:30.:37:38.

million in January. Jeremy Corbyn is striking a chord with people who

:37:39.:37:41.

have never been involved before. Why not raise more money from ordinary

:37:42.:37:48.

sympathisers. Do not think for one moment that trade unionists who

:37:49.:37:51.

could opt in are not ordinary Labour Party, many of them are and over

:37:52.:37:57.

longer period you would not see the drop off the Conservative Party is

:37:58.:38:02.

hoping for. $20 million in one month. That is amazing and I would

:38:03.:38:07.

like to change how we can fund political parties and that is what

:38:08.:38:12.

the committee looked at, reducing the cap on donations, reducing the

:38:13.:38:17.

spending limits and it did look at -- look at trade unionists funding.

:38:18.:38:25.

How much do you raise from individual members? About two thirds

:38:26.:38:32.

of funding. Excluding a good donors? I could not give you that figure.

:38:33.:38:41.

Isn't that the way the Labour should reduce its dependence on the unions,

:38:42.:38:46.

?8 million from the unions at the moment, and many people in the party

:38:47.:38:50.

used to think that kind of funding was a disadvantage for the party

:38:51.:38:56.

because you are more than unions. Would that not be one way of getting

:38:57.:39:02.

small, individual donations to bring in a lot of money and show that you

:39:03.:39:06.

are not in the pocket of anybody? Over the course of Parliament it is

:39:07.:39:11.

about ?8 million every year that is just one third of the money that we

:39:12.:39:14.

get from all areas, donations from members also. What I am looking at

:39:15.:39:21.

is the Conservative Party that so dislikes the unions, it wants to cut

:39:22.:39:26.

their funding to not just us but in the work they do. If they want to do

:39:27.:39:31.

that, look at parting funding overall but it is ill-conceived to

:39:32.:39:35.

just look at modelling the opposition. I take your point that

:39:36.:39:40.

they are not stopping big donors from giving themselves money but

:39:41.:39:48.

have you not become more dependent on the unions? At one stage we

:39:49.:39:51.

thought you were becoming less so but more than ever, and the leader

:39:52.:39:57.

seems to make that dependency even greater? According to a recent

:39:58.:40:02.

report, Jeremy Corbyn treats big Labour donors with disdain and has

:40:03.:40:09.

abandoned fundraising. We look at all members and supporters for

:40:10.:40:14.

donations but I will not apologise for our relationship with trade

:40:15.:40:17.

unions, we grew out of them and we work together on issues. What I am

:40:18.:40:24.

asking is, are you not becoming overly dependent on them? And

:40:25.:40:28.

becoming vulnerable to this time of action from a Conservative

:40:29.:40:31.

government? Our donations continue to increase, I cannot give you

:40:32.:40:39.

figures, I do not do those sums. I cannot remember them. I haven't got

:40:40.:40:44.

a photographic memory! I know the problem! Are you going to block this

:40:45.:40:52.

in the House of Lords? You may not like this but it was in the Tory

:40:53.:40:57.

manifesto? This came from cross-party, let us investigate this

:40:58.:41:02.

properly, let us take not just my word or the word of the Labour

:41:03.:41:06.

Party, let's have a cross-party look at what the Tory party is trying to

:41:07.:41:11.

do and I would put store by that. Let's look at the report on the 29th

:41:12.:41:15.

of the brewery. Thank you very much. -- February.

:41:16.:41:19.

Coming up here in 20 minutes, we'll be talking to an MP

:41:20.:41:21.

from the latest Eurosceptic group hoping to be chosen as the official

:41:22.:41:32.

Hello and welcome to Sunday Politics in Northern Ireland.

:41:33.:41:34.

Deadlock over legacy continues to dominate

:41:35.:41:37.

the political agenda, so is there the will to resolve

:41:38.:41:40.

We'll hear from the leaders of the UUP and the SDLP.

:41:41.:41:46.

The battle is in full swing in the Republic,

:41:47.:41:48.

with polling in the general election less than three weeks away.

:41:49.:41:51.

And our guests of the day are Dawn Purvis

:41:52.:41:53.

If anyone needed a reminder of the importance of legacy issues,

:41:54.:42:08.

in recent days, we've had former and current chief constables -

:42:09.:42:10.

as well as the authors of the Eames-Bradley Report -

:42:11.:42:12.

all taking to the airwaves to say what needs to happen.

:42:13.:42:16.

This is what Sir Hugh Orde and George Hamilton had to say

:42:17.:42:19.

First of all, their different perspectives on the Historical

:42:20.:42:23.

Enquiries Team, which Sir Hugh maintains was the first step

:42:24.:42:25.

My ambition was to be part of a wider process. That is why we set it

:42:26.:42:38.

up. Sadly, no-one came in the windows, leaving the Historical

:42:39.:42:42.

Enquiries Team to be the only show in town and now sadly even that has

:42:43.:42:45.

gone. We have gone backwards, not forwards. It was based on trying to

:42:46.:42:51.

do something fundamentally different to what police services did now

:42:52.:42:54.

passed. It was trying to understand what victims wanted to know and

:42:55.:42:59.

doing our level best to give them some form of resolution in terms of

:43:00.:43:05.

what had gone on when their loved one was killed. It started off on

:43:06.:43:08.

the right footing but there were problems as we developed it. There

:43:09.:43:14.

was not confidence in the work of the ACT. So you said in his piece

:43:15.:43:19.

that this was a different approach and that was to be welcomed and

:43:20.:43:24.

defended. It was to be victim centred, and suing questions for

:43:25.:43:27.

families, all of which is important. But under the Police Act, I have to

:43:28.:43:36.

collect evidence, and bring offenders to justice. We want to do

:43:37.:43:39.

that in a way that is sensitive and informative to families. But that

:43:40.:43:43.

was the problem. They did not have a firm grounding on the purpose.

:43:44.:43:47.

There was agreement between the two, though, about the need for political

:43:48.:43:50.

leadership to resolve for good the outstanding legacy problems.

:43:51.:43:53.

These processes around what people can see, what they cannot see, needs

:43:54.:44:02.

a political solution rather than a legal one. If we hide behind the

:44:03.:44:09.

law, we will see is more demands for inquests, public enquiries and more

:44:10.:44:13.

investigations. There simply are not the resources for any of that to

:44:14.:44:16.

happen. It is a reality check and political leadership will resolve

:44:17.:44:20.

that issue if they wanted to be resolved. It is interesting that the

:44:21.:44:25.

first Duke Constable on your programme to make believed it will

:44:26.:44:31.

be -- it had been resolved soon after 2003. I hope the progress we

:44:32.:44:35.

have made means of me will resolve it in NXT you'll spot it has been

:44:36.:44:42.

huge problem. -- means we will get resolved in the next few years but

:44:43.:44:46.

it has been a big problem. We want to move this thing forward.

:44:47.:44:48.

The Chief Constable, George Hamilton.

:44:49.:44:49.

Let's pursue some of those issues now with the leaders

:44:50.:44:51.

of the Ulster Unionist Party and the SDLP.

:44:52.:44:53.

Mike Nesbitt is with me in Belfast and Colum Eastwood

:44:54.:44:56.

Welcome. Mike Nesbitt, George Hamilton talked about the need for

:44:57.:45:00.

compromise and rate decisions. Do you see any evidence

:45:01.:45:02.

of that happening? Not at all and I have been involved

:45:03.:45:09.

in talks for probably three years on these issues. I do not think we have

:45:10.:45:15.

a common understanding of what we mean with dealing with the past.

:45:16.:45:19.

What we mean to deal with it and for whose benefit? People talk about

:45:20.:45:23.

being victim centred. IKEA that a lot from Sinn Fein but look at what

:45:24.:45:27.

we have had an last few days. The IRA are trying to say, we are not

:45:28.:45:31.

responsible for the Shankill bomb, the police were. Going back to the

:45:32.:45:39.

Castlereagh break-in, you have Gerry Kelly saying it was not the IRA. Now

:45:40.:45:46.

the IRA, what they have got, it does not prove anything other than the

:45:47.:45:51.

fact that they are responsible. The survivors and victims are being

:45:52.:45:53.

re-traumatised because of the strategies of Republicans to cover

:45:54.:45:58.

embarrassment for the seedy sectarian war by saying others are

:45:59.:46:04.

responsible. It is a Regis to do that to victims and survivors. There

:46:05.:46:07.

is no evidence that police knew about the Shankill bomb and every

:46:08.:46:11.

evidence says it was the IRA. George Hamilton is very clear. Compromised,

:46:12.:46:18.

compromise and brave decisions. Are you,? -- argue for that? That is not

:46:19.:46:29.

compromise. Compromise means you have to give and take. Yes. I'm

:46:30.:46:35.

prepared to look at the well-being of everyone, no matter how they got

:46:36.:46:40.

past their mental health. We have forgotten the lesson of George

:46:41.:46:44.

Mitchell. He said, you're focusing on the things that are most

:46:45.:46:53.

intractable. Let's look at an agenda which means we can agree on

:46:54.:46:58.

something. It is a really toxic legacy. Why don't we do with that

:46:59.:47:01.

rather than allow people to suffer because of the mutual butyl between

:47:02.:47:11.

the DUP and Sinn Fein? Colum Eastwood, George Hamilton talked

:47:12.:47:13.

about compromise and brave decisions. You have what Mike

:47:14.:47:17.

Nesbitt said in his response to the Chief Constable. What do you make of

:47:18.:47:22.

it? One of the lessons in last couple of weeks around the Shankill

:47:23.:47:26.

bombing, and I was on the Shankill with those families in the days

:47:27.:47:30.

after that report came out, those families have again been

:47:31.:47:33.

re-traumatised by the failure of all of us to do with the past. My

:47:34.:47:37.

generation wants to move on, wants to move forward. I don't think we

:47:38.:47:41.

can until we properly deal with the legacy of the past. It continues to

:47:42.:47:45.

infect and affect the politics of today. If we want to look after the

:47:46.:47:49.

victims, we want to look after those people who have been left behind,

:47:50.:47:53.

and we want to look after the political process today, we have to

:47:54.:47:58.

deal with the past. We can no longer pretend that does not exist. We can

:47:59.:48:02.

no longer pretend it will go away. We have to engage in a serious

:48:03.:48:07.

process of dealing with this. I'm not waiting until after the election

:48:08.:48:11.

or anything else. When can it be resolved then? When you listen to

:48:12.:48:16.

politicians individually, it sounds like the other million miles apart

:48:17.:48:19.

on key issues and yet we hear from Martin McGuinness that if the issue

:48:20.:48:22.

can't be solved before the election, it's be resolved after me's

:48:23.:48:28.

election. The Secretary of State says, we're closer than ever before.

:48:29.:48:33.

You believe that? In terms of structures, think we can agree. The

:48:34.:48:37.

big gap is political will from the British Government, from the IRA and

:48:38.:48:41.

other paramilitary groups. You have seen what Lord Justice Weir has said

:48:42.:48:48.

in the last few weeks. The blockages bid in the way of justice and truth

:48:49.:48:51.

from the MOD and paramilitary organisations. I think we can all

:48:52.:48:55.

easily agree the structures but if people are not prepared and

:48:56.:48:59.

organisations and governments are not prepared to move forward until

:49:00.:49:02.

the full truth of what happened, we will always be on this

:49:03.:49:06.

merry-go-round. I just want to ask you very quickly about Eames-Bradley

:49:07.:49:14.

. Hugh Orde said he thinks it is high time that the Eames-Bradley

:49:15.:49:17.

Report be lifted off the shelf where it has gathered dust for the past

:49:18.:49:20.

seven years. Does that make sense and would that help nudge people

:49:21.:49:25.

forward? We have always said that Eames-Bradley was an attempt to do

:49:26.:49:31.

with the past and it is an opportunity lost. In number of

:49:32.:49:35.

victims and survivors have unfortunately passed away. We have

:49:36.:49:37.

missed the opportunity to give them truth and justice that they so

:49:38.:49:42.

desperately require. What we do need now is a political will from those

:49:43.:49:46.

people who have the truth to tell. That has been the big gap. It is

:49:47.:49:51.

very unfortunate that we are re-traumatising victims every day

:49:52.:49:57.

with different approaches to how we actually deal with the past. I think

:49:58.:50:00.

it does hurt our future and it does not do our future any good. The

:50:01.:50:06.

prospects of a different type of society here. If we continue to

:50:07.:50:12.

re-traumatised victims with issues that affect them.

:50:13.:50:15.

The big sticking point for some unionists was the ?12,000

:50:16.:50:18.

recognition payment for victims of the Troubles.

:50:19.:50:19.

Denis Bradley said on Friday he believes the DUP's acceptance

:50:20.:50:22.

of the Evason Report shows that the party has

:50:23.:50:24.

Has he got that right? That is a question for the DUP but he is

:50:25.:50:35.

certainly right to raise the question. It does seem to set a

:50:36.:50:39.

precedent and you wonder where that is going and whether that is the DUP

:50:40.:50:42.

taking their eye off the ball on whether they know exactly where they

:50:43.:50:46.

are going with this potentially in terms of the proposal for those

:50:47.:50:50.

carrying serious physical injury, which has not come forward because a

:50:51.:50:56.

small number of the 250 or so who qualified had suffered injury at

:50:57.:50:58.

their own hands through their own terrorist acts. Jeffrey Donaldson

:50:59.:51:03.

was very clear in responding that the DUP's position is not shifted.

:51:04.:51:08.

Clearly, people do think that the position has shifted. He said it is

:51:09.:51:16.

not a question for you, but I am asking you, does it look like the

:51:17.:51:19.

DUP has shifted its position, and if it has, without necessarily be a bad

:51:20.:51:25.

thing for Unionism? They have either shifted their position they are

:51:26.:51:27.

sleep at the wheel. Either way, we need to know. Neither is

:51:28.:51:33.

particularly edifying. What we are looking for here are processes that

:51:34.:51:36.

unblock something that is badly blocked. Colum talks about truth.

:51:37.:51:46.

But there is not a truth. What we have proposed thinking about this is

:51:47.:51:48.

that the one thing you cannot disagree about is that certain

:51:49.:51:52.

things happen in some places at some times. With the Shankill bomb, you

:51:53.:51:58.

can lay down a factual spine and allow people to record their own

:51:59.:52:02.

impressions of that. Because the search for an agreed narrative is

:52:03.:52:05.

the search for Holy Grail that will not happen. Would you be prepared to

:52:06.:52:09.

compromise on an issue like this if the bigger picture was resolved?

:52:10.:52:15.

This has been toxic for as long as anyone can remember and it will

:52:16.:52:18.

continue to be so. It seems to get worse as time passes rather than

:52:19.:52:24.

better. Might it be today better -- betterment of Unionists to swallow

:52:25.:52:28.

hard and deal with this for the greater good? The easy bite, which

:52:29.:52:35.

would make a big impact, is to recognise so many victims suffer

:52:36.:52:40.

from them until health and well-being and it is

:52:41.:52:43.

intergenerational. People born after ceasefires are suffering the toxic

:52:44.:52:46.

legacy of the conflict. Let's do that as a confidence builder.

:52:47.:52:50.

Another thing I am very keen on is acknowledgement statements. I would

:52:51.:52:53.

be prepared as the leader of Unionism to make a statement about

:52:54.:52:57.

what Unionism did and did not do in the years we were in charge if

:52:58.:53:01.

others were prepared to speak out. Colum Eastwood, 20 seconds left. Is

:53:02.:53:07.

there a failure for politicians to face up to making the difficult

:53:08.:53:10.

decisions that have got to be taking? We need to recognise that

:53:11.:53:16.

this is an issue for people that have the most truth to tell and they

:53:17.:53:20.

should be telling it. I would encourage the British Government, in

:53:21.:53:24.

terms of David Cameron, he needs to step in. This is why above the

:53:25.:53:28.

Secretary of State's pay grade and he needs to recognise that the good

:53:29.:53:32.

thing he did around Bloody Sunday, you can do that again and offer lots

:53:33.:53:35.

of people that same level of truth and justice. Thank you both very

:53:36.:53:37.

much indeed. Let's hear from Cathy

:53:38.:53:38.

Gormley-Heenan and Dawn Purvis. Welcome. Do you think there is some

:53:39.:53:48.

merit in it Eames-Bradley being back in the mix? It was one of the

:53:49.:53:54.

documents that most people find a lot of merit in in the peace

:53:55.:53:57.

process. What has happened since his Bradley Dack my, it was a big

:53:58.:54:03.

document and the issue of dealing with the past got reduced and

:54:04.:54:07.

reduced. It is right down to about five pages in the Stormont House

:54:08.:54:10.

agreement. The detail of it was not there. There are certainly have been

:54:11.:54:18.

many calls for Eames-Bradley to be dusted down and looked at again. But

:54:19.:54:23.

there is the role of the British Government in terms of this process

:54:24.:54:27.

going forward and now one use the words of national-security, which we

:54:28.:54:29.

know is one of the main sticking points at the minute and is not

:54:30.:54:34.

something that Eames-Bradley focused on. If you look at any international

:54:35.:54:38.

cases of the peace processes, no-one ever puts into peace agreements the

:54:39.:54:43.

need for a national-security veto. The British Government is out of

:54:44.:54:46.

step with the rest of international processes on this. Do you detect any

:54:47.:54:52.

shifts in emphasis, significant shifts, on the part of nationalism

:54:53.:54:58.

or Unionism recently? Yes, I do. I recognise a shift from the DUP. When

:54:59.:55:03.

we look at when Eames-Bradley was published in the recognition

:55:04.:55:10.

payment, people were not happy. It is pragmatic by the DUP to sign up

:55:11.:55:16.

to the Evason Report and it paves the way for the pension fund was

:55:17.:55:22.

seriously injured. Jeffrey Donaldson was very clear, it is not a U-turn

:55:23.:55:25.

and does not necessarily connect with Eames-Bradley. He made the

:55:26.:55:31.

point that the two things are quite separate. Fair enough, but it is

:55:32.:55:34.

still a step forward. People are recognised for a long time that

:55:35.:55:39.

there are people waiting on this pension and they should have it.

:55:40.:55:45.

What I do detect is that whilst there is some political will to

:55:46.:55:49.

reach agreement on these issues around the Stormont is agreement, I

:55:50.:55:52.

do not detect that all the parties in those negotiations. At the

:55:53.:55:56.

minute, it falls down to Sinn Fein and the Secretary of State and it

:55:57.:56:02.

should involve all parties. We will hear more from both of you later.

:56:03.:56:03.

For now, thank you. Time now for a look back

:56:04.:56:04.

at the week in 60 seconds, This woman missed out on being

:56:05.:56:19.

selected for the Assembly. Jonathan Bell claimed, we did not know the EU

:56:20.:56:26.

referendum question. It is very foolish person who answers before

:56:27.:56:31.

they know the exact nature of the question.

:56:32.:56:35.

Jim Allister was on hand to put the minister right. Why is the Minister

:56:36.:56:39.

coming to this House pretending they don't know the question when the law

:56:40.:56:42.

of the landscapes what the question is? The Assembly consider downsizing

:56:43.:56:46.

but the numbers matter? It could be five, four, it is being

:56:47.:56:52.

streamlined and efficient for our people. Phil Flannigan faced a

:56:53.:56:58.

massive legal bill after libelling Tom Elliott.

:56:59.:57:02.

And bird fanciers got rates relief as our MLAs ruled out pigeon puns.

:57:03.:57:10.

We think the policy does have wings and they should get their rates

:57:11.:57:11.

cheaper. Stephen Walker, still in a flap over

:57:12.:57:18.

the pigeon puns this week. Next to the election

:57:19.:57:21.

in the Republic. The starting gun was fired last week

:57:22.:57:24.

on a very short campaign. Muiris MacCartaigh

:57:25.:57:27.

from Queen's University You have been following developments

:57:28.:57:28.

very closely. Enda Kenny had a bit

:57:29.:57:33.

of an economic wobble in week one. Not good for him. Your Mac that is

:57:34.:57:45.

right. In contrast with 2011 elections, it is extraordinary. The

:57:46.:57:49.

campaign was about cuts to economies and freefall. Now, economic growth

:57:50.:57:55.

is very good in the Republic. What happened during the week is, the

:57:56.:58:04.

byword for the election was about the long-term economic plan, and

:58:05.:58:06.

they came out and said there would be something to the turn of 12

:58:07.:58:09.

billion in the next five years in terms of extra revenues. Whilst not

:58:10.:58:14.

breaching the very strict EU stability and growth figures. The

:58:15.:58:19.

party started to probe into this and he said, actually, that is not quite

:58:20.:58:23.

true. By Friday, or foster, they released a statement

:58:24.:58:31.

true. By Friday, or foster, they drop-down. For a party saying that

:58:32.:58:32.

we know how to handle the Connolly, not an ideal start. Not great and a

:58:33.:58:40.

personal level. How much will this come down to economic stability

:58:41.:58:46.

versus chaos scenario? As you said, the outgoing administration, this is

:58:47.:58:50.

the key card. Both said they would like to go into Government with each

:58:51.:58:54.

other. They say, you know, vote for us, we can provide, we can keep

:58:55.:58:58.

economic growth going that is currently taking place. The other

:58:59.:59:03.

parties... There is this issue about fairness. How will resources be

:59:04.:59:12.

used? The opposition parties, other smaller parties are saying, well,

:59:13.:59:16.

yes, the economy has turned a corner but a lot of families, working

:59:17.:59:20.

families are not feeling this at all. So it is about the economy,

:59:21.:59:26.

economic growth, versus strength and distribution. When you look at the

:59:27.:59:36.

polls out today, one has Sinn Fein down a couple of points, others

:59:37.:59:39.

suggest something similar are bit different, all within the margins of

:59:40.:59:42.

error. It is very difficult to read. It is. There are two elements to

:59:43.:59:47.

this. It is absolutely remarkable in terms of the number of parties

:59:48.:59:53.

entering this election. A vast number of independents as well.

:59:54.:59:58.

There has been a lot of stability, when you take into consideration the

:59:59.:00:01.

margin of error, there is a lot of stability. Sinn Fein is around 20%.

:00:02.:00:07.

The Labour Party trying to breach that 10% mark. And about 20% more

:00:08.:00:12.

for independence and smaller parties. There are nine or ten

:00:13.:00:17.

possible College and options which is very strange. Indeed, in my

:00:18.:00:22.

lifetime, in fact, in the history of Ireland, I do not recall it being

:00:23.:00:34.

one where finny -- where the incumbent looks like the largest

:00:35.:00:42.

party and Enda Kenny could be the Taoiseach for two elections. I think

:00:43.:00:48.

of it 6-9 months ago, there was talk about this and understand they met

:00:49.:00:52.

with the people who worked with the Tory party in the British system,

:00:53.:00:56.

trying to work towards this because it is a slightly reduced Parliament

:00:57.:01:00.

chamber of parliament is in this election. It is down from 166 6158.

:01:01.:01:06.

So I think they have been thing, if we maintain our vote, we were not to

:01:07.:01:12.

fire off a majority last time, it could go a different way. But that

:01:13.:01:16.

is off the table now. The party has accepted numbers will drop. The

:01:17.:01:21.

current numbers, they don't have enough majority. So the save money

:01:22.:01:28.

is Will there be a thug element to the coalition? A lot of the smaller

:01:29.:01:32.

parties are saying, that is instability. We might have another

:01:33.:01:36.

five-year Government. Thank you very much indeed for joining us.

:01:37.:01:39.

And let's have a final word with Cathy and Dawn.

:01:40.:01:43.

Loads of interesting things happening.

:01:44.:01:46.

The Alliance MLAs Stewart Dickson and Trevor Lunn have

:01:47.:01:48.

tabled an amendment to the Justice Bill this week

:01:49.:01:51.

which would allow for abortion here in cases

:01:52.:01:52.

Abortion stigma has always got political discourse running through

:01:53.:02:05.

it. In terms of how it is unfolding, I think the most interesting thing

:02:06.:02:08.

that we have to remember when this is tabled next week is that everyone

:02:09.:02:12.

involved in the policy-making process around this is male, bar

:02:13.:02:18.

one. The Lord Chief Justice, the Attorney General, the Minister for

:02:19.:02:20.

Justice, all of the Department, all of the committee for Justice are one

:02:21.:02:26.

committee and the church leaders are male. This is a male dominated

:02:27.:02:30.

political policy environment that is charged effectively with something

:02:31.:02:34.

that will never be a personal reality for any of them. Is there

:02:35.:02:40.

any chance of it being a free vote at Stormont? I am not entirely sure.

:02:41.:02:47.

I will defer to dawn on this. I do not think so on this point. It is

:02:48.:02:52.

too soon. The reality is that how MLAs think privately is very

:02:53.:02:56.

different from what they are necessity to say publicly and we

:02:57.:02:59.

know that from surveys with Assembly members have been surveyed. They are

:03:00.:03:06.

not out of kilter with oblique sentiment, which is support of other

:03:07.:03:09.

members. That is an interesting point. You have a particular

:03:10.:03:14.

interest in this issue, given your previous involvement with the Marie

:03:15.:03:17.

Stopes clinic. We'll MLAs back legislative change? If there was a

:03:18.:03:22.

free vote next week, they would support legislative change. Sinn

:03:23.:03:29.

Fein's policy to support abortion in cases of beetle at the martyr. We

:03:30.:03:31.

will not see a petition of concern coming from them. -- fatal foetal

:03:32.:03:40.

abnormality. If Arlene Foster allows a free vote in her Assembly, we

:03:41.:03:43.

might see the amendment going through. I do not think she will

:03:44.:03:47.

allow a free vote at this stage in advance of an election. I think she

:03:48.:03:50.

will want to keep the party tight and make sure that there is no

:03:51.:03:54.

strange moves coming from the DUP and that when people come to the

:03:55.:04:00.

polls later in May, they know that. There are many public

:04:01.:04:03.

representatives and members of the public who take the view that there

:04:04.:04:05.

should not be abortion in any circumstances and that includes

:04:06.:04:10.

sexual crime or foetal foetal up the Marty. Sure. What opinion poll after

:04:11.:04:18.

opinion poll shows that people want to see legislative change. -- fatal

:04:19.:04:21.

foetal abnormality. If you believe some of the polls -

:04:22.:04:34.

and we're not much inclined to these days - those arguing for Britain

:04:35.:04:36.

to leave the EU could be ahead of those who want us

:04:37.:04:40.

to remain a member. If true, it can't have much to do

:04:41.:04:42.

with the unity shown by those jostling to be picked

:04:43.:04:45.

as the official, designated leave campaign, as they've spent all week

:04:46.:04:49.

fighting like ferrets in a sack. UKIP MP Douglas Carswell

:04:50.:04:56.

was speaking to Andrew Marr earlier about one of the newer leave groups,

:04:57.:04:59.

called Grassroots Out or GO for short, which is

:05:00.:05:02.

hoping to be chosen. I was out at the weekend

:05:03.:05:06.

and the weekend before We've got a great ground

:05:07.:05:11.

game in Vote Leave. We've delivered

:05:12.:05:14.

millions of leaflets. I'm not going to be

:05:15.:05:16.

disrespectful of any They're led by people

:05:17.:05:19.

who've done this before. And I think what's important

:05:20.:05:23.

is that we make sure that people realise that David Cameron's

:05:24.:05:26.

deal is pretty duff. Well, Peter Bone is one

:05:27.:05:36.

of the MPs behind GO. Why should you get the official

:05:37.:05:52.

designation? Were not united and still 37, 43%, but it looks good,

:05:53.:06:00.

there are 42 grassroot campaigns made up of different people, and I

:06:01.:06:13.

think who should get designation, it is an establishment view that you

:06:14.:06:18.

have to have a top-down organisation like BSE, imposed from the top,

:06:19.:06:26.

there was nobody going out on the February morning is knocking on

:06:27.:06:30.

doors, there are 42 campaigns so this is from the grassroots up. It

:06:31.:06:39.

is not another campaigning organisation bringing everyone

:06:40.:06:41.

together and they still have independence. With this umbrella

:06:42.:06:47.

stop you from knocking each other? Aaron Banks, he has put money into

:06:48.:06:54.

Grassroots Out? It is funded by a number of individuals. Conservative

:06:55.:07:04.

donors... Here's one of them and he said that people in vote leave where

:07:05.:07:09.

two of the nastiest individuals I ever had the misfortune to leave.

:07:10.:07:19.

Kate Hoey, voting to quit. She is also voting for Vote Leave. Let us

:07:20.:07:29.

bring everyone together, this has to stop, last week whenever we had 100

:07:30.:07:34.

people from all of the different groups and parties working together,

:07:35.:07:39.

why cannot we get that at the top? One happy family working under the

:07:40.:07:45.

grassroots movement. You have that bright Grassroots Out tie on. This

:07:46.:07:51.

picture has more than just a tie on it. One of your colleagues,

:07:52.:07:58.

launching the campaign with the Union Jack jacket. People might

:07:59.:08:05.

remember the John Redwood leadership campaign would wonder if politicians

:08:06.:08:08.

want to be seen on the same platform as that? People are going out across

:08:09.:08:17.

the country, campaigning to come out of the EU. Not looking like that,

:08:18.:08:24.

looking like me! No, they don't want to look like me! Is this just

:08:25.:08:33.

journalist from? The poll has them ahead? The Electoral Commission in

:08:34.:08:39.

the next few weeks will have to designate one of these groups as the

:08:40.:08:45.

main out and in group and both sides are fighting like bad. The danger

:08:46.:08:51.

for the leaving camp is the group to win this referendum will be the

:08:52.:08:56.

group that wins the argument that it represents the safest option and the

:08:57.:09:00.

losing group will be portrayed as the riskiest. People like Douglas

:09:01.:09:05.

Carswell or deeply fearful of Nigel Farage as one of the main figures on

:09:06.:09:09.

the outside because in a good day he can get 30% of the electorate and

:09:10.:09:14.

that is why Grassroots Out is established, because the Aaron Banks

:09:15.:09:25.

group, he is funding the other group which has cross-party support and

:09:26.:09:31.

that will be important. Vote Leave, the more stable, steady safer option

:09:32.:09:36.

is now struggling on the cross-party option, particularly in that box.

:09:37.:09:46.

How do you know all that) it is also quite true. Why are you talking

:09:47.:09:53.

about the personalities and the policies and that is a reflection

:09:54.:09:57.

of, when we talk about policies people would enter a coma. Neither

:09:58.:10:05.

side has key messages, I don't think you could stop 100 people in the

:10:06.:10:08.

street and one could tell you anything that was in this and that

:10:09.:10:12.

is why we talk about personalities. We are doing our best! We have

:10:13.:10:19.

always exaggerated the importance of campaigns on election results and

:10:20.:10:22.

referendums and last I was told that because of Labour's assiduous work

:10:23.:10:28.

at ground level they would end up counteracting disadvantages like

:10:29.:10:33.

leadership and economic credibility so I have never believed that the

:10:34.:10:38.

internal rivalry would really hold them back and recent opinion polls

:10:39.:10:41.

have stood up to that. What really goes on their favour is the nature

:10:42.:10:45.

of the deal that David Cameron extracted last week because it is

:10:46.:10:52.

less impressive than was instigated in the Bloomberg speech and it will

:10:53.:10:56.

have to fight the referendum on the existing terms of membership and I

:10:57.:11:02.

think he can win that but he would have gone into the last four months

:11:03.:11:06.

of this campaign with something drastically different and not

:11:07.:11:11.

cosmetically different. That is right, the fundamental issues will

:11:12.:11:16.

be debated and we are all innovative this Westminster bubble thinking

:11:17.:11:19.

that Joe Bloggs says this and it matters but on the street, nobody

:11:20.:11:26.

can name any of these campaigns and the simple question is, in or out

:11:27.:11:30.

were undecided? That is what we're finding and a lot of people are

:11:31.:11:34.

undecided who say we have not heard the arguments and we clearly have to

:11:35.:11:40.

get our message out on leaving and that does concern emigration and

:11:41.:11:43.

controlling borders but also the fact that we pay 55th -- ?55 million

:11:44.:11:48.

every week to Europe and get nothing. You get half of that act.

:11:49.:11:56.

We don't. You do! We get a bit of that back. They decide how we spend

:11:57.:12:04.

it. You get it back as a rebate and you also get it back in funding from

:12:05.:12:12.

the EU? The facts will matter. How many billions of pounds each week

:12:13.:12:18.

goes to the EU that we have no control over? You said the gross

:12:19.:12:22.

figures... The net figure is about half of that. It is not. If you go

:12:23.:12:30.

into the detail I can assure you it is. Can you win this without any

:12:31.:12:35.

front person? Behead Minister of is heading up the game campaign. If he

:12:36.:12:41.

does not get what he wants he will be heading up the Grassroots Out

:12:42.:12:49.

campaign. -- I will be. You are not holding your breath. Who should be

:12:50.:12:54.

heading up your side? I don't want any figurehead. Who would debate

:12:55.:12:59.

with the Prime Minister? It depends on the issues. In or out, how about

:13:00.:13:06.

that? If you are talking about dozens, a businessman, trade unions,

:13:07.:13:13.

somebody from Labour Leave. Belgian rambler that a government... I will

:13:14.:13:20.

have to stop you expect thanks to all of the guests.

:13:21.:13:23.

Join us next Sunday at 11, when we'll be taking stock

:13:24.:13:25.

made by the Conservatives at last year's election and asking

:13:26.:13:30.

Remember - if it's Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics.

:13:31.:13:34.

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