31/01/2016 Sunday Politics Northern Ireland


31/01/2016

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Morning folks. Welcome to the Sunday Politics.

:00:37.:00:40.

George Osborne called it a "major success".

:00:41.:00:43.

Google say they're paying what's due.

:00:44.:00:46.

But Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell's not impressed -

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we'll ask him how he'd get big business to pay more tax.

:00:49.:00:51.

David Cameron says he wants an emergency brake on access

:00:52.:00:57.

to welfare benefits for EU migrants to be applied immediately

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But will that be enough for the PM to clinch a deal and head

:01:02.:01:07.

And coming up here... if we stay in or we get out?

:01:08.:01:14.

As MLAs prepare to vote to make changes

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at the Assembly, not everyone's happy.

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We'll hear from the man behind the Opposition Bill,

:01:19.:01:20.

plus the Alliance Party and the SDLP.

:01:21.:01:21.

And taking time out from their protracted negotiations

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with Her Majesty's Revenue and Customs over how much tax

:01:36.:01:37.

they should pay on their enormous fees - the best and the brightest

:01:38.:01:42.

political panel in the business - Nick Watt, Polly Toynbee

:01:43.:01:45.

and Janan Ganesh who'll be tweeting throughout the programme.

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First this morning, George Osborne hailed Google's back tax bill

:01:51.:01:53.

Since then the settlement's been condemned as too lenient by -

:01:54.:01:59.

among others - Boris Johnson, The Sun, Rupert Murdoch

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and the Labour Party, which has accused the Chancellor

:02:03.:02:05.

of offering the internet giant "mates' rates".

:02:06.:02:08.

In a moment, I'll be talking to Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell.

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First here's Google executive, Peter Barron, defending the company

:02:12.:02:14.

on the Andrew Marr Show this morning.

:02:15.:02:19.

What I would say is that in the UK we pay corporation tax at 20%.

:02:20.:02:22.

It's absolutely the same corporation tax rate as everybody else,

:02:23.:02:27.

Yes, but you keep coming back to this point about sales.

:02:28.:02:34.

We are taxed as corporation tax dictates on the activities,

:02:35.:02:37.

the economic activities of Google UK.

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So, we pay corporation tax in the UK at 20%,

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and, actually, globally, our effective tax rate over the last

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five years or so is round about 20%, which is very close to the UK rate,

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And I'm joined now by the Shadow Chancellor,

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Welcome. What single step would you take to make sure that companies

:03:02.:03:14.

like Google, Apple, Amazon, pay a fair and appropriate level of tax?

:03:15.:03:20.

Openness and transparency. I want the information about how this deal

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has been arrived at and I want them to publish in the future there tax

:03:24.:03:31.

records. So that we can have openness and transparency, see what

:03:32.:03:35.

is fair. The Chancellor said this was a major success. But we cannot

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tell because we have not got the information. Would you extend that

:03:40.:03:46.

to British major companies publishing their tax? Six out of ten

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of the UK's biggest companies are not paying any corporation tax. Yes,

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I would. The suggestion has been put forward about the FTSE 100. That is

:03:57.:04:01.

a good idea. There would be no commercial disadvantage. Do you

:04:02.:04:08.

think that transparency would be a major step forward? It is one step

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forward. We want country by country reporting as well. I supported

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George Osborne on as negotiations in Europe with that. We're not going to

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get enough. I found quite angry making this morning that we have

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allegation -- allegations that their Conservatives were voting their MEPs

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to vote against this. I find that frustrating. I want HMRC to be

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properly resourced so they can do the job. There are too many job

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cuts. We have lost too much expertise. There is time now to

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start thinking about how we review our tax system. The Treasury select

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committee has undertaken a review. Corporation tax is levied on

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profits. Even if you got your transparency, you would quickly find

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that the concept of profits that can be moved around geographically, they

:05:02.:05:06.

can be manipulated depending on costs, would you consider replacing

:05:07.:05:13.

corporation tax with, for example, a tax on corporate sales? Revenues are

:05:14.:05:17.

less malleable than profits. That is one of the issues to be addressed.

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Nigel Lawson has done an article to that effect. One of the most

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important things is to secure international agreement. We cannot

:05:29.:05:31.

have the situation where companies are shopping around the world to

:05:32.:05:35.

find the lowest tax regime and inventing company structures to

:05:36.:05:39.

enable that to happen. But if you had a tax on the revenues, it would

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not happen what they moved around. Revenues are revenues. You would

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levy a tax on the revenues in the UK. That is why it is worth looking

:05:50.:05:54.

at. It might be a combination of that and economic activity as well.

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One professor said if you raise corporate taxes too high, companies

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may move to island macro or elsewhere. Do you accept there has

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to be a limit? There has to be a limit, there has to be some

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reasonableness. If we can get international cooperation, you can

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avoid this development of virtual tax havens taking place. Would you

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want a common rate of corporation tax? Not necessarily. You would like

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to make sure that what you charge is reasonable and fair and you would

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expect those companies to abide by that. I listened to the Google

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representative this morning. The reputational damage to Google is

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immense. The savings they have made in taxes not worth the reputational

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damage. Let's move on to the other big issue, Europe. And membership.

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How did you vote in the 1975 referendum? Against. In the 1983

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Labour manifesto it claimed that a commitment to radical socialist

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policies was incompatible with membership of the European Union. It

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proposed withdrawal. Did you agree with that at the time? I did at the

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time. That is long gone. We're within Europe. We are working within

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Europe with other parties to see how we can make Europe fair,

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particularly with regard to the rights of workers. Take this tax

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issue. We need to be in Europe to ensure we can secure fair agreement

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on tax. That is why, by remaining within, we have got to remain within

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with their own reform agenda, that is one of the issues we need to

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reform. To take that phrase radical socialist policies, you are

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committed to radical socialist policies. How is that now compatible

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with remaining in the EU when it was not in 1983? Because we have

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demonstrated with the work we have undertaken within the EU that we

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have secured some benefits. Employment rights. In addition,

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there are real opportunities now where we can work with others to

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secure that radical change. Withdrawal from Europe at the moment

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would not be beneficial. It would lose jobs. It would undermine the

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benefits we have gained in terms of employment. That is why we want to

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work to reform it. The issue that I have got with the Prime Minister, we

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will see what he comes back with... On the social Europe issue, you want

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a more social Europe. In France you have got a socialist government that

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has moved to the right. In Germany, a centre-right government. Other

:08:50.:08:55.

countries have either the hard right in power or the hard right at the

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top of the polls. Where is your social Europe in that? That is why

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we will work with socialist and social Democrats. I think you will

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see in the coming years that a wider debate is taking place. In some way

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the referendum debate will enable us to then look at those ideas.

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Wouldn't it be fair to say that like Jeremy Corbyn, you are pretty

:09:22.:09:27.

lukewarm about our membership of the European Union? I signed up to

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remain within the EU. That does not mean to say that we accepted as a

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perfect institution. We want to see reform. I come back to the tax

:09:40.:09:44.

issue. Unless we get international cooperation, particularly across

:09:45.:09:48.

Europe, we will not solve this problem. You have got a Eurosceptic

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track record. Kate Hoey, a leader -- leading Labour Eurosceptic, she said

:09:56.:09:59.

that you and Jeremy Corbyn consistently voted with Eurosceptic

:10:00.:10:05.

MPs on the EU. That is true, isn't it? On a number of issues, because

:10:06.:10:09.

we were frustrated with the slow pace of reform. That does not mean

:10:10.:10:13.

we are in favour of coming out. It is better to argue from within to

:10:14.:10:19.

secure a commonality of agreement. Do you broadly support the changes

:10:20.:10:22.

that David Cameron is trying to renegotiate? I don't know what they

:10:23.:10:28.

are yet. Let's see what he comes back with. My fear is if he does not

:10:29.:10:33.

treat this issue seriously and it is just about party management, he

:10:34.:10:37.

could blow it. We could be outside of Europe and have the economic

:10:38.:10:42.

penalties as a result. Even if he comes back with something you do not

:10:43.:10:47.

regard as satisfactory, you will campaign to stay in? We will

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campaign for our own agenda. The government wants to get this done by

:10:54.:10:57.

the end of June. Will you cooperate with that timetable? We will see

:10:58.:11:03.

what he comes back with. Let's have it as soon as possible. We want the

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debate to take place. Delaying it would not help. We want the debate

:11:09.:11:11.

to start now. It would be better for him to come back fairly soon. Get

:11:12.:11:18.

the debate going. Even if the campaign overlaps with important

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elections in Scotland, England, Northern Ireland, Wales? That is the

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problem but it will overlap with something. Immigration is good to be

:11:27.:11:31.

a huge issue. The IMF says that almost 4 million immigrants will

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arrive in the EU between 2015 and 2017. Almost 4 million. Should

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Britain take a fair share of that? I think is important we cooperate with

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our European partners to make that we can accommodate those that need

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to come to this country. In addition, that we have systems in

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place that protect wages, so that immigration is not used to undermine

:11:56.:12:00.

wages. But should we take a fair share of the 4 million? I think we

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should. We should cooperate with others and carry the burden. The

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majority of Britons want us to rise to it and ensure we assist others

:12:11.:12:14.

and that others are not suffering, and that we do not stand on one side

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when people suffer. Could you give an indication of how many? Young not

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at this stage. That would be a matter to negotiate with our

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European partners. Should we volunteered to be part of the EU

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quotas system? Mrs Merkel and others want 160,000 to be relocated through

:12:38.:12:40.

Schengen. Should we be part of Schengen? Should we be part of the

:12:41.:12:47.

160,000? We should be doing more in terms of assisting refugees coming

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from Syria. We should be doing more to help those in desperate need.

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People are drowning in the Mediterranean. We cannot stand

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aside. This country has a history of receiving refugees. People watching

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this would want some sort of idea of numbers because numbers are

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important. It is important. That is why we need to get into these

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negotiations quickly and come back with practical proposals. In 2013

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you told a gathering of the people's assembly at a rally on immigration

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that they should be open borders? I was arguing then... There was

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re-search looking at the long-term structure of the globe. Inevitably

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in this century we will have open borders. The movement of peoples

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across the globe will mean that borders will almost become

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irrelevant by the end of the century. We should be preparing for

:13:44.:13:49.

that and explaining why people move. Conflicts, poverty and destitution,

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and also climate change. In our policy-making we should be working

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now to see how we address that. It will mean that we need to look at

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how we resolve conflicts, how we make the world more equal and also

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how we tackle climate change. In that way we can deal with the

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reality of the world, which means that people are not forced to move

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but there will be movement. Total open borders? At the end of this

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century that is what will occur. People are ignoring borders already

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as they fly from Syria. We should be making sure that if there is no

:14:25.:14:27.

forced movement, we look at the push and pull factors. Conflict

:14:28.:14:34.

prevention, the tackling of inequality and policies that tackle

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climate change. In that way we can cope with the global pressures with

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regard to population movement. To do that, for a Labour government to

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prepare for that, would be loosening controls as you move towards that?

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No. What I am saying is if you look at the analysis of what is happening

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over the next 75 years, the movement of people is such that borders are

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very difficult to maintain. That will happen by the end of the

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century. We should be opening up the debate of how we handle that. One of

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the issues we have to tackle is why people are moving. It is about

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conflict and climate change. It is about poverty as well. That means

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greater equality not just in our country but across the globe. I

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wanted to talk to you about Google and the EU. I hope you will come

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back and give me an interview on economic policy. Let me finish with

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a taster? Back to Professor Blanchflower, he said about you and

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Mr Corbyn that you have to accept the realities of capitalism and

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modern markets, like it or not. No more silly stuff about companies not

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being able to pay dividends if they do not do X or Y. Do you accept

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that? That is why I appointed him as an advisor. I wanted objective

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advice. I have established the architecture for the future

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development of economic policy. Are you going to accept his advice

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on that? We will listen to his advice and take it on board. But we

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will also listen to other advisers. But those advisers, what's the point

:16:21.:16:27.

of them if you will not listen? We will test every policy we put

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forward. On that one, we are hoping that we would avoid any need for

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that by introducing as we come into covenant a real living wage. In the

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meantime, we want to campaign with shareholders so they pressurise

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their companies to abide by a real living wage. I think there is an

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alliance to be built there. Is it party policy that if companies don't

:16:48.:16:51.

pay what you regard as a living wage, until it's made mandatory,

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that they shouldn't be allowed to pay dividends? it's one of ideas we

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have floated for discussion. We have put it to the economic advisers to

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get their view. Angela Eagle said it's unworkable. That's why it's

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open for discussion. It's a really good campaigning tool for us to work

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with shareholders to make sure they exert their influence to ensure

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their companies, on things like the living wage and paying their taxes

:17:18.:17:21.

as well, to make sure their companies are acting appropriately.

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John McDonnell, I hope you come back to continue the debate with us. I

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certainly well. So, David Cameron once dismissed

:17:27.:17:29.

the idea of an emergency This morning, Downing Street

:17:30.:17:31.

is indicating that a brake on welfare benefits for EU

:17:32.:17:35.

migrants might be acceptable if it was applied immediately,

:17:36.:17:37.

but only as a stop-gap measure. This evening, the Prime Minister

:17:38.:17:40.

meets EU Council President Donald Tusk as he tries to broker a deal

:17:41.:17:43.

ahead of a crunch summit of European leaders next month -

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but will the fractious leave campaigns be in any position to take

:17:50.:17:54.

advantage if he's seen to fail? Right now the future of Britain

:17:55.:17:56.

inside or outside the European Union You might think it started here

:17:57.:18:03.

in Brussels, or that the media's massed ranks are awaiting

:18:04.:18:12.

the outcome in the European Parliament in Strasbourg,

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or that we are hovering with baited breath for a decision

:18:18.:18:19.

in our own Parliament, but no. This week the decision was made

:18:20.:18:22.

in Havering, in Essex. In this chamber right now,

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Havering councillors are debating If they do, of course nothing

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will change, because the smart among you know, no council,

:18:32.:18:37.

not even the British Parliament, Nevertheless Havering Council

:18:38.:18:40.

deliberately didn't deliberate on the leisure centre

:18:41.:18:48.

or meals on wheels. However the Prime Minister meanwhile

:18:49.:18:53.

was hurrying for a deal on wheels - not with councillors,

:18:54.:18:56.

but with 27 EU member states. It's his plan to block in-work

:18:57.:19:05.

benefits for EU migrants for four years that's getting

:19:06.:19:08.

the bumpiest ride. The EU counter proposal

:19:09.:19:10.

of an an "emergency brake" on access to benefits - if a country can prove

:19:11.:19:12.

it's welfare system's under strain - has not gone down well

:19:13.:19:16.

with Eurosceptics back home. They are saying we are

:19:17.:19:18.

allowed to go to Brussels, and ask their permission

:19:19.:19:25.

to change the benefit rules, David Cameron still wants that

:19:26.:19:28.

benefit ban, and knows accepting the emergency brake as is would only

:19:29.:19:34.

accelerate any campaign to leave. We want to end the idea

:19:35.:19:38.

of something for nothing. It's not good enough,

:19:39.:19:41.

it needs more work, I believe we've got to put

:19:42.:19:47.

country before party, country before personality, vote

:19:48.:19:54.

for freedom, and vote for leave. In Havering they aren't waiting

:19:55.:19:56.

for a date or a settlement. The Prime Minster knows Brexit

:19:57.:20:02.

supporters are eyeing his own Cabinet to see who might be tempted

:20:03.:20:05.

do the same. Michael Gove might come

:20:06.:20:08.

out for leave. Boris Johnson, though

:20:09.:20:12.

it's rather doubtful, might just possibly come out

:20:13.:20:18.

for leave, to vote for leave. Theresa May, who almost

:20:19.:20:20.

certainly is preoccupied And finally, Sajid Javid,

:20:21.:20:22.

the Business Secretary, who has the most

:20:23.:20:27.

Eurosceptic record of all. But it's very difficult,

:20:28.:20:31.

when you are a government minister, and you've got real feelings

:20:32.:20:33.

of loyalty to your party and your Prime Minister,

:20:34.:20:35.

to depart from the line. And a lot of pressure,

:20:36.:20:39.

moral pressure, if you like, A Havering Borough MP thinks that

:20:40.:20:43.

kind of pressure is wrong. I think that this is a decision

:20:44.:20:53.

that we all have to make And it shouldn't impede

:20:54.:20:56.

on people's political careers. People should be able

:20:57.:21:00.

to make up their own minds, and not worry about whether they are

:21:01.:21:03.

going to be sidelined or punished Those who do out themselves for out,

:21:04.:21:06.

will need campaign wizards who can Which, of two battling groups,

:21:07.:21:12.

that is yet undecided, but so far both have seen a bad

:21:13.:21:18.

spell of personality clashes and darkening moods way over

:21:19.:21:23.

the heads of most grassroots The chance of winning over

:21:24.:21:26.

undeclared MPs is the magic What we did discover,

:21:27.:21:30.

it's like the dementors slowly sucking the people up out

:21:31.:21:40.

of the air, body I do think that there will be

:21:41.:21:44.

a coming together now, probably for very good reasons,

:21:45.:21:47.

there have been divisions But I think this campaign will not

:21:48.:21:50.

be just politicians. It's about the people

:21:51.:21:53.

versus the elite in many ways. In fact, you have a referendum

:21:54.:21:55.

really in many ways when politicians Meanwhile back in Havering...

:21:56.:21:58.

is they want to do. party motion is therefore

:21:59.:22:01.

carried by 30 votes to 15. So, councillors in Havering have

:22:02.:22:07.

voted for a motion that says Now, there are plenty of councillors

:22:08.:22:11.

who said they don't have any business debating this,

:22:12.:22:19.

they have far more important things But what it might show

:22:20.:22:22.

is that for some people - and in this case,

:22:23.:22:26.

an official elected body - never mind what the date is,

:22:27.:22:29.

and never mind the renegotiation, they would like to make

:22:30.:22:33.

clear their views right now. I'm joined now by the Conservative

:22:34.:22:40.

MP, Steve Baker, co-chairman of Conservatives for Britain

:22:41.:22:43.

and a director of the Vote Leave If the Prime Minister can get an

:22:44.:22:53.

agreement that there will be a break in welfare payments for migrants the

:22:54.:22:57.

day after the referendum, isn't that a powerful thing to take to the

:22:58.:23:02.

country? It's not powerful at all. Bernard Jenkin is the Conservative

:23:03.:23:06.

director of Vote Leave, but we have been told by the OBR that it

:23:07.:23:09.

wouldn't make much difference even if the Prime Minister got this

:23:10.:23:13.

break. They would only take one case brought forward by activist lawyers,

:23:14.:23:17.

and we would expect the European Court of Justice to strike down such

:23:18.:23:22.

a measure. We think it's a red herring, and as John Redwood said, a

:23:23.:23:26.

bad joke. They have ended up trying to manufacture the appearance of

:23:27.:23:30.

success out of very little. As things stand at the moment, there's

:23:31.:23:33.

nothing the Prime Minister would bring back that would make you want

:23:34.:23:37.

to stay in? I've been clear through the whole period that most of us

:23:38.:23:41.

want to end the supremacy of the EU in the UK. Make our own laws in

:23:42.:23:45.

Parliament. The prime ministers had something similar about the European

:23:46.:23:51.

Court of Human Rights. Demanding an opt out from the charter is subbing

:23:52.:23:54.

the Prime Minister has had to give up. So money inconsistencies. The

:23:55.:24:00.

answer is no. I expect a good number of colleagues to join me and

:24:01.:24:04.

campaign to leave at this stage. How many Tory MPs will campaign for out?

:24:05.:24:11.

Of the 150 on the list who have expressed interest, and about a

:24:12.:24:15.

fifth have made up their minds, I think about 50-70. No more than 50

:24:16.:24:24.

or 70 Tory MPs campaigning on your side of the referendum to leave?

:24:25.:24:28.

That would be my expectation at this stage. John McDonnell said he wanted

:24:29.:24:32.

to get this out of the wear it, the referendum. Didn't sound to me like

:24:33.:24:37.

Labour would join with the SNP on delaying tactics for the referendum.

:24:38.:24:41.

Would you like the referendum to be later? Realistically we are

:24:42.:24:46.

campaigning out to leave the EU and we have secured our objectives for

:24:47.:24:49.

the campaign. But there is a good case to be made that a June date

:24:50.:24:55.

would trust us. There are elections in neigh, and I think there's a good

:24:56.:25:04.

case for a delay until September. I would prefer the government brought

:25:05.:25:07.

forward a measure that went through the Commons without a row, but if

:25:08.:25:11.

Labour and the SNP and conservative colleagues wish to put something

:25:12.:25:15.

through, then we will be able to what's the biggest beach from the --

:25:16.:25:22.

beast on the cabinet you would like to get? I haven't ruled anybody out.

:25:23.:25:28.

But I'm happy to go into the campaign without any Cabinet big

:25:29.:25:31.

beasts. It would be surprised this point if Chris Grayling didn't join

:25:32.:25:38.

us. He would count as a big beast, leader of the house. People know

:25:39.:25:45.

which Cabinet members are discussed. Theresa May? She made a speech on

:25:46.:25:55.

immigration which would be difficult to recalibrate with the EU. It's a

:25:56.:26:01.

matter for her. You've given up on Bryce Johnson? He occasionally

:26:02.:26:03.

flirts with it in the press. But he's a typical conservative, he

:26:04.:26:10.

loves Europe, he would like Europe to be different, but we'll see what

:26:11.:26:15.

he does when the comes. The different leave campaigns, it's

:26:16.:26:23.

flawed with blood, when will you stop knocking lumps out of each

:26:24.:26:27.

other? I'm not knocking lumps out of anybody and I regret this week that

:26:28.:26:31.

we've had distractions from the core aim of leaving the EU and I regret

:26:32.:26:35.

they have got their way to the press. Everybody involved needs to

:26:36.:26:39.

reach a resolution, everybody involved wants to move on and I hope

:26:40.:26:43.

we do so quickly, let's fight a winning campaign. You are not the

:26:44.:26:48.

director of Vote Leave but you are on the Parliamentary planning

:26:49.:26:51.

committee for Vote Leave, so you are associated. Did you agree with the

:26:52.:26:55.

attempts to get rid of the two full-time people running it, Dominic

:26:56.:26:58.

Cummings and Matthew Elliott? This is a matter for the board. Do you

:26:59.:27:03.

agree with whether they should have gone? At this stage it's very late

:27:04.:27:07.

in the day to make such a profound change. But given the severe

:27:08.:27:19.

concerns of my colleagues, it is clear there will have to be material

:27:20.:27:21.

changes in Vote Leave in order to carry parliamentarians with the

:27:22.:27:23.

campaign. What this material change mean? There has to be a greater

:27:24.:27:26.

degree of involvement with planetary and so they think they are shaping

:27:27.:27:29.

the campaign to win over those voters we need. Will there be a

:27:30.:27:34.

merger in the end? Surely that's what all of you need, you are up

:27:35.:27:39.

against the government, is huge machine, don't you need to be

:27:40.:27:43.

united? It's a David and Goliath battle and we need to be united. The

:27:44.:27:49.

process of unity will come through designation. Realistically, leave.

:27:50.:27:52.

EU is looking at the Courville, where as Vote Leave knows we need

:27:53.:28:00.

the swing vote. -- looking at the core vote. I'm confident that Vote

:28:01.:28:04.

Leave can and will win the referendum. I wouldn't give away the

:28:05.:28:10.

mop in case there is more blood to wipe up.

:28:11.:28:13.

One of David Cameron's four key demands in his EU

:28:14.:28:15.

renegotiation concerns competitiveness.

:28:16.:28:18.

The Prime Minister says the burden of regulation on businesses is too

:28:19.:28:21.

high, and that the EU needs to strengthen the single market

:28:22.:28:24.

and accelerate trade agreements with America and China.

:28:25.:28:26.

Arguments about the economic costs or benefits of membership will form

:28:27.:28:29.

a large part of the referendum campaign, with both sides keen

:28:30.:28:32.

Those campaigning to remain within the EU say our membership

:28:33.:28:38.

is worth ?3000 to every household in Britain.

:28:39.:28:41.

It's based on a CBI claim that the UK's economy is 5% bigger

:28:42.:28:48.

They also claim that 3 million jobs are linked

:28:49.:28:55.

to trade within the EU, that 45% of UK exports of goods

:28:56.:28:58.

and services go to the EU, and that the value of

:28:59.:29:03.

trade with the EU is ?133 billion higher than it would be if we left.

:29:04.:29:08.

Those who argue we would be better off if we left claim that

:29:09.:29:17.

regulations imposed on business by the EU cost over

:29:18.:29:19.

They say the 3 million figure on jobs is

:29:20.:29:24.

dependent on trade with the EU, not membership.

:29:25.:29:27.

They argue that the trade would continue if we voted to leave,

:29:28.:29:30.

because we currently import more than we export from the EU.

:29:31.:29:32.

So its members would want free trade to remain.

:29:33.:29:36.

They further point out that the importance of UK trade

:29:37.:29:39.

They cite ONS figures showing that the proportion

:29:40.:29:46.

of UK exports heading for the EU fell from 54.8% in 1999

:29:47.:29:49.

But an analysis by the House of Commons Library in 2013

:29:50.:29:59.

of numerous studies into the economic

:30:00.:30:02.

impact of EU membership found no consensus either way,

:30:03.:30:05.

So, which side will manage to convince voters?

:30:06.:30:13.

I'm joined now by the former trade minister Digby Jones

:30:14.:30:15.

and Richard Reed, who founded Innocent Smoothies,

:30:16.:30:18.

who is campaigning for Britain to stay in the EU.

:30:19.:30:20.

Welcome. Digby Jones, the EU accounts for 45% of our exports. Why

:30:21.:30:32.

would you risk any of that? That will not change. Because in the

:30:33.:30:38.

morning after any referendum result, Germany, it is pivotal on Germany,

:30:39.:30:44.

would immediately want some form of tariff free arrangement with

:30:45.:30:48.

Britain. They make a million cars they sell in Britain a year. 75 to

:30:49.:30:55.

80% of all the trains in this country are built in Dusseldorf. We

:30:56.:31:01.

do not know for sure? No. Germany does it and the others follow. There

:31:02.:31:07.

are many arguments to stay in. But the one thing we should kill now is

:31:08.:31:14.

that not one job in Britain is at risk because of EU membership. Not

:31:15.:31:19.

one. There would be a free-trade agreement because we are so

:31:20.:31:24.

important to Europe. And by the way that does not mean there are not

:31:25.:31:28.

other reasons why not -- why we might not want to be in or out. I

:31:29.:31:32.

get so frustrated when people talk about jobs at risk. It is rubbish.

:31:33.:31:38.

That is very easy thing to call total nonsense. It is clear that if

:31:39.:31:43.

your biggest market is suddenly interfered with, that it will not

:31:44.:31:48.

somehow affect trade, does not make sense. You know more than most

:31:49.:31:50.

people that businesses need certainty. What we have right now is

:31:51.:31:56.

unfettered access to the largest market in the world. The fact that

:31:57.:32:00.

we want to start playing around with this and that is good for business,

:32:01.:32:04.

it does not make sense. I do not see the added value in belonging to a

:32:05.:32:09.

club that fetters small businesses in this country every day.

:32:10.:32:23.

I am a small business. I have done it for years. This is a colossal

:32:24.:32:32.

opportunity. If you are an entrepreneur in the UK. You're

:32:33.:32:38.

making it sound like it makes it more difficult. It makes it much

:32:39.:32:42.

easier because it is one set of regulations and 500 million

:32:43.:32:48.

consumers. If you have a shop, would you want 60 million people walk by

:32:49.:32:55.

our 500 million people walk by? You can achieve that through a

:32:56.:32:59.

free-trade agreement. You get the sales prevention team in Brussels

:33:00.:33:01.

marching valiantly towards 1970, trying to save this is how you will

:33:02.:33:10.

lead your small business in Hartlepool. But we all know that

:33:11.:33:15.

Sutherland Europe, compliance is a voluntary event. We all know that

:33:16.:33:20.

the French do not obey these rules. Then we and northern Europe, we are

:33:21.:33:25.

by no means the best, we obey this stuff. And a small business who

:33:26.:33:30.

doesn't have lobbyists in Brussels, and you know this... I know this.

:33:31.:33:39.

Britain loves a bit of regulation. You are absolutely right. If we come

:33:40.:33:43.

out and you say we will still trade, we will still have to comply with

:33:44.:33:47.

the regulation. That is the condition of free trade. We will not

:33:48.:33:51.

avoid regulation. The regulation is there whether we are in or out. If

:33:52.:33:56.

we are in, we get to influence the regulation. We get to have the voice

:33:57.:34:01.

heard. You tell that to the money men in the City who have seen

:34:02.:34:10.

legislation come down from Brussels. You see what happens when we're not

:34:11.:34:14.

there when the big decisions are made. You think we have no

:34:15.:34:20.

influence? We're one of the three big forces in Europe. We are one of

:34:21.:34:23.

the three biggest economies in Europe. Digby Jones, I want to ask

:34:24.:34:30.

you this. You assume we will still have unfettered access to the single

:34:31.:34:35.

market. But it has been pointed out by Richard Reid that that means we

:34:36.:34:37.

would have to meet by Richard Reid that that means we

:34:38.:34:40.

would have to meet the conditions of getting into the single market.

:34:41.:34:44.

Could there be other costs? Free movement of people may be a cost.

:34:45.:34:48.

That is a price Switzerland and Norway pay. Let's Explorer that. I'm

:34:49.:34:54.

concerned this referendum is going to become a referendum purely on a

:34:55.:34:58.

migration on the street, when we ought to be discussing how can

:34:59.:35:03.

European Union reform and improve the life of an unemployed

:35:04.:35:08.

25-year-old in Madrid and a single mother in Athens? How can the power

:35:09.:35:12.

of Britain, economic and otherwise, how can it be seen as a driver to

:35:13.:35:17.

get the standard of living up? If you base your economy on exporting

:35:18.:35:22.

our lives and importing BMWs, you will go bust. They are asking Europe

:35:23.:35:27.

to subsidise the growth of our lives, in the hope that for some

:35:28.:35:31.

reason on skilled people in Europe will do this. You are going to get

:35:32.:35:34.

on skilled people in Europe coming to rich countries instead of

:35:35.:35:40.

actually getting skilled people in Europe being marketable in northern

:35:41.:35:44.

Europe. You can only pull that off with reform. We should not be

:35:45.:35:52.

campaigning to stop these people coming. We should be campaigning to

:35:53.:35:55.

get the skills base of Europe up so they get wealthy, but more

:35:56.:36:00.

importantly, they are more marketable in our market. The

:36:01.:36:05.

British government has enough trouble getting the skills base

:36:06.:36:08.

right in Britain without trying to get it right in southern Europe.

:36:09.:36:13.

Richard Reid, you say that we are in the club that we can influence the

:36:14.:36:19.

rules. Let me put the question. The British have been on the wrong end

:36:20.:36:24.

of EU majorities on these rules more than any other country that is a

:36:25.:36:28.

member of the EU. We really get away on these things. You are joking. We

:36:29.:36:35.

have got the best possible setup. We are part of the EU. We said no to

:36:36.:36:42.

the euro, no to Schengen, no to force migratory bird it is. Why so

:36:43.:36:51.

many majority votes? This is a macro decision. Once in a generation. We

:36:52.:36:57.

have got to get it right. The big picture is it is a colossal

:36:58.:37:01.

opportunity and we have got the best version of the deal. When you and I

:37:02.:37:07.

were arguing cases about whether we should join the euro years ago, I

:37:08.:37:11.

can remember sitting in television studios and being told the world was

:37:12.:37:16.

going to end and we were going to go to Armageddon and back if we did not

:37:17.:37:21.

join the euro. We made the right decision about the euro. This

:37:22.:37:29.

interview has come to an end. I thank you both.

:37:30.:37:31.

It's just gone 11:35 - you're watching the Sunday Politics.

:37:32.:37:33.

We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland, who leave us now

:37:34.:37:36.

Coming up here in 20 minutes, we'll be hearing from our political panel.

:37:37.:37:47.

Hello and welcome to Sunday Politics in Northern Ireland.

:37:48.:37:50.

It's all change on the hill as MLAs vote to cut their numbers,

:37:51.:37:53.

reform their departments and perhaps establish an official opposition.

:37:54.:37:57.

So, will it create a new super-efficient Stormont?

:37:58.:38:00.

Or will we scarcely notice the difference?

:38:01.:38:03.

We'll hear from the independent MLA who's behind the push for change

:38:04.:38:06.

Plus - there's still no official date for polling day,

:38:07.:38:11.

but election fever is catching in the Republic.

:38:12.:38:13.

All things are on the top. I think people are a little bit more

:38:14.:38:28.

positive about everything. And with their thoughts on that

:38:29.:38:30.

and more, my guests of the day are Felicity Huston and Chris

:38:31.:38:33.

Donnelly. Not fit for purpose

:38:34.:38:38.

and in urgent need of reform - just some of the criticisms that

:38:39.:38:42.

politicians themselves have directed MLAs have been busying themselves

:38:43.:38:44.

with a number of bills which will reduce the number

:38:45.:38:52.

of Assembly members, merge Executive departments

:38:53.:38:53.

and establish a formal opposition. So, will it be enough to improve

:38:54.:38:57.

Stormont's image and create With me are the Independent Unionist

:38:58.:39:01.

MLA John McCallister and councillors Nichola Mallon from the SDLP

:39:02.:39:05.

and Nuala McAllister Welcome to the programme. John

:39:06.:39:17.

McCallister. Private members bill has its consideration stage on

:39:18.:39:21.

Tuesday, do you think it will ultimately steal the established of

:39:22.:39:24.

an effective opposition at Stormont Guzman I certainly hope so. I think

:39:25.:39:30.

that broader package you mentioned at the start of the programme of

:39:31.:39:35.

changing the departments, ultimately the reduction of MLAs to 2021 and

:39:36.:39:42.

the opposition bill. All that is about how would you start to create

:39:43.:39:46.

this idea of a collective government with an agreed programme for

:39:47.:39:50.

government, moving in one direction and held to account by a robust

:39:51.:39:54.

opposition that ultimately gives voters a choice and the ability of

:39:55.:39:59.

toys and change for a future elections. There are a lot of

:40:00.:40:03.

amendments from other parties. Sinn Fein is opposing every cause of the

:40:04.:40:07.

deal Lyman stage. Sinn Fein ride back from November told me they were

:40:08.:40:14.

likely to oppose every clause on the grounds that they had agreed fresh

:40:15.:40:20.

start and they were certainly pushing Bible had in England's first

:40:21.:40:24.

start that had improved the provision for opposition from -- it

:40:25.:40:34.

is there and it is being debated. All of the parties and I say this

:40:35.:40:39.

including Sinn Fein, they have engaged with me on the bill, it has

:40:40.:40:45.

been very useful. Michael Allen. Sinn Fein is opposed, will be SDLP

:40:46.:40:51.

-- Michael Allen. The SDLP has worked quite closely. John has to be

:40:52.:40:55.

commended for bringing this bill forward. If you look at the glaring

:40:56.:41:03.

weakness in the system, there is a lack of openness and transparency

:41:04.:41:07.

with the budget process in particular. The bill with the

:41:08.:41:13.

amendments make good inroads into trying to address that. You're not

:41:14.:41:19.

happy with the notion of it petition of concern, what changes do you

:41:20.:41:25.

think needed? We think it is worth quite considerably from what it was

:41:26.:41:28.

intended to be. We have tabled an amendment. If someone has a petition

:41:29.:41:33.

of concern and will be scrutinised to see weather it has adverse impact

:41:34.:41:42.

on human rights and equality. So, you think it has been abused but you

:41:43.:41:45.

don't want to get rid of it altogether? Know because

:41:46.:41:48.

unfortunately we believe we won't be in a place where there won't be a

:41:49.:41:54.

misuse of power, or domination of sectarianism so unfortunately we

:41:55.:41:58.

have two retained the safeguards for minority rights and we believe we

:41:59.:42:01.

are doing is the right way and the right and effectively. As far as

:42:02.:42:08.

opposition is concerned, your current party before he was bodied

:42:09.:42:11.

said there was no place called opposition but he made a speech yet

:42:12.:42:16.

last week in which he seemed to suggest opposition would be a good

:42:17.:42:20.

idea, does that mean the SDLP is moving in that direction? I think he

:42:21.:42:24.

was clear that after this they should be an official opposition but

:42:25.:42:29.

we are fighting this election to be in government. With caster, what is

:42:30.:42:38.

your position on this? We have been quite constructive, working along

:42:39.:42:42.

side him and we will be supporting him. On the hell out of the bill

:42:43.:42:51.

is... By party would have major concerns about the petition of

:42:52.:42:55.

concern. I would not like to see that mechanism being used to

:42:56.:42:58.

actually slapped down the bill. It would be a great embarrassment to

:42:59.:43:02.

the party who do use it and I hope the petition of concern is not used

:43:03.:43:05.

because something that creates more accountability and scrutiny is a

:43:06.:43:08.

good thing for the public. And is it a possibility that the Alliance

:43:09.:43:14.

Party could opt if the bid is successful to take an opposition

:43:15.:43:17.

stance in the next mandate rather than seek to be in the Executive

:43:18.:43:22.

they currently are? No party fight an election to go into opposition.

:43:23.:43:26.

They fight going to government and to govern for the best the people.

:43:27.:43:30.

Whenever that happens after the election then Alliance will say what

:43:31.:43:34.

the position is then. But you do support the notion of an effective

:43:35.:43:38.

opposition even if you might opt for hope that you are not out

:43:39.:43:42.

yourselves? Of course. As I said, something that creates more

:43:43.:43:46.

accountability to hold politicians to account and then making decisions

:43:47.:43:49.

in the Executive is nothing but a good thing. The other piece of

:43:50.:43:52.

legislation that I talked about in the introduction of the reduction of

:43:53.:43:56.

members bill, your party has tabled an amendment wanting the reduction

:43:57.:44:00.

in numbers to come into effect this year 's election, rather than adding

:44:01.:44:07.

21. But there is not any real prospect of that happening, do you

:44:08.:44:11.

accept that? We are in a bizarre situation here. Politicians have

:44:12.:44:16.

agreed to reduce the numbers from six to five per constituency but

:44:17.:44:19.

they have agreed to hold off until 2021 or the next Assembly election.

:44:20.:44:24.

We are pushing three the final stage of the departments but which reduces

:44:25.:44:29.

the number of departments, so Eddie single -- decision that affects the

:44:30.:44:34.

public, they could save ?11 million in five years, 90 new police

:44:35.:44:38.

officers, 90 new nurses, I think the public would like that. We need to

:44:39.:44:41.

make sure that MLAs are held accountable. John McCallister, is

:44:42.:44:45.

that the kind of issue that leaves members of the public watching the

:44:46.:44:52.

comings and goings, that the left hand doesn't know what the right

:44:53.:44:59.

hand is doing. It is an open debate. The agreement in fresh start but

:45:00.:45:09.

like I would have much preferred to see after beating this under the new

:45:10.:45:13.

Assembly mandate, time to work out whether 90 is the right number

:45:14.:45:18.

because changes at Westminster might also affect numbers. And that is not

:45:19.:45:21.

self-interest? Independents like yourself are very often individuals

:45:22.:45:28.

who tend to pick up the sixth seed. If it goes from six seats to five,

:45:29.:45:32.

someone Microsoft could struggle to be returned. Absolutely. It is

:45:33.:45:39.

important to have independent voices. Also we are still grappling

:45:40.:45:43.

ride throughout the committee stage of my bill, it is always debating

:45:44.:45:47.

this idea of how we continue to address the historic problems and

:45:48.:45:52.

once you reduce and change the size of constituencies it can change the

:45:53.:45:58.

make-up of those constituencies or indeed reduce somewhat the spread of

:45:59.:46:04.

candidates across it, for example you might have more constituencies

:46:05.:46:09.

with no nationalist representatives or no unionist representatives and

:46:10.:46:12.

we have to ask ourselves is that a good thing, are we ready for that

:46:13.:46:15.

and that is why I think most of the parties are reluctant to go too

:46:16.:46:24.

fast, too soon on this issue. You are not in, Nichola Allen. Your

:46:25.:46:27.

party touched on this. We agreed reduction in numbers, but marketing

:46:28.:46:36.

departments, we want to set up an official opposition, changing number

:46:37.:46:38.

of constituencies, changing Westminster. I think we need to be

:46:39.:46:41.

cautious. We need change but we don't want to rush it too far to be

:46:42.:46:49.

end up causing damage. You looked as if you were shaking your head, Naula

:46:50.:46:56.

MCallister, do you not agree? The change we are opposing is what

:46:57.:47:00.

affects politicians, it is the change in the numbers. John

:47:01.:47:06.

mentioned the Westminster boundaries might change but... Why get a power

:47:07.:47:12.

and an wide five years to do something. It sells itself interest

:47:13.:47:18.

the parties and I think a lot of people can get on board with that.

:47:19.:47:21.

We're talking about ensuring there is better inclusion because there

:47:22.:47:26.

are members of other parties who have just one MLA and their

:47:27.:47:30.

supporters on this issue because they know we can ensure greater

:47:31.:47:34.

accountability and we can look alongside the departments and we can

:47:35.:47:38.

ensure that we provide better value for money at Stormont. Forgive me

:47:39.:47:42.

for saying, it will work quite well, this tactic, the Alliance on the

:47:43.:47:47.

door so casually. You actually say to people who are potential voters,

:47:48.:47:51.

we think this should change and beginning of your colours to the

:47:52.:47:55.

mast at the zero will not change the order to do so because something

:47:56.:47:59.

shouldn't change you shouldn't do it? Alliance have been calling this

:48:00.:48:04.

for a number of years and just because the bike there are parties

:48:05.:48:07.

that do this all the time and we appeal for people to get on board

:48:08.:48:10.

with us. We're not talking about something that will create a massive

:48:11.:48:13.

change. You can still feel the number of candidates as you wish, in

:48:14.:48:17.

each constituency. That will not stop it but what we're talking about

:48:18.:48:20.

is on election day it will be five, not six. John McCallister, your bill

:48:21.:48:26.

has consideration said on Tuesday. It may go through but do you accept

:48:27.:48:30.

if it goes through it is going to be a hugely changed version of what you

:48:31.:48:37.

initially authored? I would suspect I can't entirely predictable, of the

:48:38.:48:41.

land. When I the bill and worked on the bill, even as you agreed at the

:48:42.:48:48.

time of second stage, a pretty ambitious programme of reform of

:48:49.:48:52.

both the Assembly and official opposition of the way the Executive

:48:53.:48:55.

worked, collective responsibility, all of those things were very

:48:56.:49:01.

ambitious but even I don't get up on -- all of what I would like in the

:49:02.:49:05.

bill to set. It has certainly fired up a conversation with parties,

:49:06.:49:11.

academics and commentators in saying, this is the sort of change

:49:12.:49:17.

we might need over a period of time and I will continue to campaign for

:49:18.:49:21.

the change. Thank you very much. Stay with us.

:49:22.:49:24.

Let's see what my guests of the day make of that.

:49:25.:49:26.

Chris Donnelly and Felicity Huston are with me.

:49:27.:49:28.

Welcome to you both. Chris, Sinn Fein sportsperson said to us this

:49:29.:49:37.

morning the bill, John McCallister's bill is unnecessary because the

:49:38.:49:39.

fresh start agreement has provision for an opposition in line with the

:49:40.:49:45.

Good Friday Agreement, so that is an explanation for why republicans have

:49:46.:49:48.

opposed each and every one of the 24 clauses in the bill. What you think

:49:49.:49:54.

will happen on Tuesday? First of all I think John should be commended for

:49:55.:49:58.

ensuring the issue of constitutional reform is kept through the member 's

:49:59.:50:03.

bill on the agenda. We do know because we have a coalition with the

:50:04.:50:07.

five parties in the Executive which is necessary because of the legacy

:50:08.:50:11.

of the conflict but we know the consequence of that is no unifying

:50:12.:50:17.

discerning agenda through the Executive. That is at a situation

:50:18.:50:22.

where departments run by different parties have own agenda and that

:50:23.:50:26.

leads to protracted deadlock the Executive table which goes on for

:50:27.:50:29.

years over issues on education, health, local government reform. But

:50:30.:50:33.

I think crucially and this is why I think Sinn Fein can be quite relaxed

:50:34.:50:36.

about this, that system benefits since then and the DUP at the Leeds

:50:37.:50:41.

parties within unionism and nationalism and therefore it will

:50:42.:50:46.

have to be driven not by them because it is in their interests to

:50:47.:50:52.

be able to move of the Executive to ensure that like I just wanted to

:50:53.:50:56.

bring felicity in on the overall issue of reform. That is a package

:50:57.:51:01.

of measures. Do they brought the make sense? Broadly, yes. Our

:51:02.:51:07.

current political structure is one of dampest circles of hell for both

:51:08.:51:11.

politicians. You can pinpoint a policy because you're stuck in this

:51:12.:51:19.

horrendous... Anything that breaks add up and starts to turn us into a

:51:20.:51:22.

normal political state, functioning state with opposition policies

:51:23.:51:26.

implemented and people electing politicians on the basis of policy

:51:27.:51:29.

sale breadboard, that has to be welcome and I think we will be

:51:30.:51:34.

delighted. We will talk you later. Thank you.

:51:35.:51:36.

Now, they haven't called it officially yet, but the Irish

:51:37.:51:39.

election will take place in the coming weeks.

:51:40.:51:41.

Will Enda Kenny be returned as Taoiseach?

:51:42.:51:43.

Will there be a shift to Micheal Martin's Fianna Fail?

:51:44.:51:46.

Can the party make the gains that put it into government in the Dail?

:51:47.:51:52.

One area being targeted by Sinn Fein is Donegal where the party

:51:53.:51:55.

currently holds two seats, but hopes to gain a third.

:51:56.:51:58.

Our Political Correspondent Stephen Walker has been to the county

:51:59.:52:00.

Over 200 commenters from Dublin, some regard this as a place apart.

:52:01.:52:19.

... Kilometres. Elections here are also different and even before a

:52:20.:52:24.

vote has been cast, headlines have been created. It's a case of all

:52:25.:52:31.

teams here in Donegal. Once there to constituencies, they have now been

:52:32.:52:38.

merged to create one. Once six TDs were elected, this time it will be

:52:39.:52:42.

five. It fixes election race very tight and the final outcome

:52:43.:52:48.

difficult to predict. -- makes this election race. Sinn Fein have two

:52:49.:52:53.

TDs here at the moment. Patrick McLoughlin and Pearse Doherty. They

:52:54.:52:56.

hope local councillor Gary Doherty can win a third seed. Old management

:52:57.:53:01.

will be key. It is a risky strategy. Very ambitious to take these seats.

:53:02.:53:08.

It is one that me and public have been instigators of because we

:53:09.:53:15.

believe it is important to be in a position to lead the next

:53:16.:53:18.

government. Why do you say it is risky? Because when you stand three

:53:19.:53:23.

candidates and your two hours without, it is the other sitting TDs

:53:24.:53:30.

in jeopardy. Reporter Kieran O'Donnell says Sinn Fein are in a

:53:31.:53:33.

strong position and could take a third seed in Donegal. Anything is

:53:34.:53:38.

possible in the selection. Guaranteed to seats. Whether Gary

:53:39.:53:45.

Gardai makes enough for Patrick to stainless that race remains to be

:53:46.:53:51.

seen. It is unlikely but possible. Fine Gael are running sitting TDs

:53:52.:53:57.

Jeroen Dijsselbloem which you and they have also selected a fresh face

:53:58.:54:05.

with a well-known name. Paddy Harte's father was a Fine Gael TD.

:54:06.:54:11.

He says Donegal needs to be better connected and that includes

:54:12.:54:13.

improving the a five in Northern Ireland. The last major said in that

:54:14.:54:20.

city in the ad has not got a motorway, which is dairy. It is

:54:21.:54:25.

essentially our capital wasn't a border. -- Barry. It is important

:54:26.:54:32.

for the island that it Afive as a connection. The Aberfoyle...

:54:33.:54:45.

Post-election, the Aberfoyle have made it clear who they will go into

:54:46.:54:50.

coalition with. We will not be going into government with Fine Gael. Our

:54:51.:54:54.

objective is to become the largest party and ensure their recovery that

:54:55.:55:01.

Donegal can benefit from. And it brings about a fair approach to

:55:02.:55:06.

governing the country. Voters in Donegal will have a number of

:55:07.:55:09.

independent candidates to choose from. In other constituencies,

:55:10.:55:14.

independents find it hard to get elected because they are up against

:55:15.:55:19.

a party machine. But in Donegal there is an independent tradition.

:55:20.:55:24.

Thomas Pringle became an independent TD in 2011. If he is returned he is

:55:25.:55:33.

prepared to talk to other parties. I would bag all the things that

:55:34.:55:37.

Donegal requires but all things old legacy in a national level. If the

:55:38.:55:42.

party of Fine Gael or attempt to do business on with me then I would

:55:43.:55:48.

talk to them but I support anyone would not be guaranteed. So far

:55:49.:55:53.

there are three other independent candidates in this race. There is a

:55:54.:55:59.

Green Party candidate. It means Donegal voters have plenty of

:56:00.:56:05.

choice. It's a mass of elections. I think the left will do well this

:56:06.:56:11.

time. There are just squeezing us try. Far too many of them got in

:56:12.:56:19.

last time. All over the place. Things are on the up. I think people

:56:20.:56:23.

are more positive about everything. The current government configuring a

:56:24.:56:28.

job. The boundary changes and the mother of candidates makes it

:56:29.:56:31.

difficult to predict how all the seats will fall. There are so many

:56:32.:56:37.

things at the minute. The field will be so wide and varied. It will go

:56:38.:56:46.

down to the wire. A lot before the last two candidates are elected in

:56:47.:56:50.

Donegal. The boundaries may have changed here and it may look

:56:51.:56:55.

different but when the election is finally called, the fight for seats

:56:56.:57:00.

in Donegal will be as competitive as ever.

:57:01.:57:04.

Stephen Walker reporting from Donegal, and two more

:57:05.:57:05.

Independent candidates have now entered the fray -

:57:06.:57:07.

Let's hear more from Chris Donnelly and Felicity Huston.

:57:08.:57:16.

Chris, if the battle for seats in Donegal likely to be A microcosm of

:57:17.:57:20.

the broader General Election campaign? I don't think so. Donegal

:57:21.:57:26.

is unique, Sinn Fein are particularly strong there. One of

:57:27.:57:31.

the things for republicans along the border, Dublin as well. They're

:57:32.:57:36.

getting stronger. A three and week long campaign. Enda Kenny will be

:57:37.:57:43.

the first Fine Gael Taoiseach to gain real action. Enough Labour TDs

:57:44.:57:50.

for it give the coalition were Willie need a third party? The

:57:51.:57:56.

fascinating what ifs. As Chris says, a really short, sharp campaign?

:57:57.:58:00.

Absolutely and more of it please. I think everybody should have three

:58:01.:58:04.

weeks. That is the way you like it? Even if political anorak like me,

:58:05.:58:12.

that is plenty. Some real political anoraks are saying we might have a

:58:13.:58:16.

second election to sort this out. Some are I keep praying for that.

:58:17.:58:18.

The waiter it looks at the moment, if Labour are only said on nine or

:58:19.:58:24.

10%, that would be enough, as happened in the early 80s, there had

:58:25.:58:27.

to be a second election a few months it. We will see. Some people will be

:58:28.:58:32.

happy and some will not be happy. Wheels the key again later.

:58:33.:58:35.

Now, let's pause and take a look back at the week in 60 seconds

:58:36.:58:39.

In or out? In London the Taoiseach made clear his hopes in the dregs of

:58:40.:58:49.

debate. I want Britain to remain a central member of the EU and from

:58:50.:58:55.

our island point of view, this is a really critical issue. But back in

:58:56.:58:59.

Belfast the First Minister suggested Mr Kenny should keep it up so

:59:00.:59:02.

himself. He is entitled to an opinion and if you are that the end

:59:03.:59:07.

of the day it is a matter for the people of the UK. With the Assembly

:59:08.:59:10.

election coming up in a veteran decided to bow out. After eight

:59:11.:59:15.

years, some tough years as were the long, off with the old, on with the

:59:16.:59:19.

new. Or not so new as a familiar face re-entered the political arena.

:59:20.:59:22.

I am not someone who could possibly go off and have a nice life because

:59:23.:59:26.

I would find myself shouting at the television and getting frustrated.

:59:27.:59:30.

But what were the chances all parties doing away with election

:59:31.:59:36.

posters? I think the chances of that happening are slim. And a warning,

:59:37.:59:43.

always someone is listening. Mr Jim Allister... Chris Page reporting.

:59:44.:59:48.

Just time for a quick look ahead with Felicity and Chris.

:59:49.:59:53.

Naomi Long's turn has certainly been made pretty clear. She wants to come

:59:54.:00:00.

back to the Assembly. She was my MP and East Belfast and one that thinks

:00:01.:00:04.

it is great that is covering a lot of issues. She is strong on animal

:00:05.:00:07.

welfare, a massive issue in Northern Ireland. She gets back into the

:00:08.:00:10.

Assembly I think it will be a real plus for that and it should make

:00:11.:00:18.

sure David Ford's performance as he is in obvious new leader. She is a

:00:19.:00:24.

formidable politicians. It's to keep United candidate to defeat in East

:00:25.:00:27.

Belfast so it'll be interesting to see Alliance perform with her on the

:00:28.:00:31.

ticket in East Belfast. Arlene Foster has said Terry Wogan is a

:00:32.:00:37.

legend of broadcasting. It is part of my life. He has been broadcasting

:00:38.:00:39.

for so long. That is talk about themselves and the

:00:40.:00:41.

mayoral budget. Back to Andrew. Welcome back. Let's return to the

:00:42.:00:59.

issue of Google's tax bill. It is not just Google. Earlier I spoke to

:01:00.:01:02.

John McDonnell and asked him what he would do to make sure that companies

:01:03.:01:07.

like Google pay a fair and appropriate level of tax. First of

:01:08.:01:12.

all, I want the information about how the deal was arrived at and I

:01:13.:01:15.

want them in future to publish their tax records, the British part. So we

:01:16.:01:23.

can have openness and transparency, we can see what is fair. The

:01:24.:01:28.

Chancellor said this was a major success, but we cannot tell because

:01:29.:01:33.

we have not got the information. I would suggest that the Google row

:01:34.:01:38.

rumbles on by Google appearing with Andrew Marr this morning. There are

:01:39.:01:44.

other companies in the frame like Amazon, Apple, big investigation by

:01:45.:01:47.

the European Commission -- commission. And we discover that a

:01:48.:01:52.

lot of major British multinationals do not pay any are very small

:01:53.:01:56.

amounts of corporation tax. This issue has got a long way to go, I

:01:57.:02:03.

would suggest? Yes, and it could end up in a transatlantic almost cold

:02:04.:02:08.

war between the EU and the US and in particular US companies. Each side

:02:09.:02:13.

thinks the other is trying to exploit its site disproportionately.

:02:14.:02:16.

I wonder if eventually the people who ultimately lobby for

:02:17.:02:21.

International corporate tax reform and clarity will be corporations

:02:22.:02:24.

themselves. At the moment they are getting into trouble of what is

:02:25.:02:27.

ultimately observing the letter of the law, and certainly observing

:02:28.:02:31.

their duty to pay the legal minimum of tax, the duty they have to their

:02:32.:02:36.

shareholders. If that is getting them into trouble, I think they have

:02:37.:02:39.

an incentive in the long run to press for a clarity and reform

:02:40.:02:43.

internationally, even if it means their aggregate tax payment goes

:02:44.:02:48.

slightly upwards. The irony is that this row comes after there has been

:02:49.:02:54.

major changes at the OECD level, at EU level, on trying to simplify and

:02:55.:03:00.

get multinationals to pay their due tax. And yet we seem to be no

:03:01.:03:04.

further forward than before. I wonder if people start looking

:03:05.:03:09.

harder at corporation tax and whether that is the right way to

:03:10.:03:13.

proceed? S there are other ways of doing it. You can do it on turnover,

:03:14.:03:19.

sales. These large companies that are taking bigger and bigger slabs

:03:20.:03:23.

of the British markets are not paying their tax. Think of the

:03:24.:03:32.

people competing against Amazon. Argos, the local book shop... It is

:03:33.:03:39.

not fair. Their sense of indignation... Then to discover that

:03:40.:03:42.

the Conservative Party, while talking about how they are trying to

:03:43.:03:47.

clean this up and they are doing more than Labour, which possibly

:03:48.:03:51.

they are, meanwhile instructing their MEPs to vote against moves in

:03:52.:03:55.

Europe, to try to get a proper European agreement on this, it will

:03:56.:03:59.

not work unless we get a European agreement, and to find out that the

:04:00.:04:04.

Government says one thing speaking here but secretly in the European

:04:05.:04:08.

Parliament does something else. There are a lot of legs on this. A

:04:09.:04:12.

lot of trouble for the Conservative Party because it plays to their

:04:13.:04:16.

weakness, sick -- just a security and defence place to be Labour

:04:17.:04:21.

weakness. They are in bed with the big corporations. Do you think they

:04:22.:04:28.

are in bed with them? Politicians love meeting cutting edge companies.

:04:29.:04:31.

They do not spend that much time with steel companies. It is a bit of

:04:32.:04:37.

a stretch to then think that they were ever doing anything about

:04:38.:04:42.

Google's tax returns. I think it is quite a stretch. The Google top

:04:43.:04:49.

executive right at the heart of Downing Street, just as Andy Coulson

:04:50.:04:51.

from the Murdoch empire was right at the heart of Downing Street. You

:04:52.:04:57.

have got Seamus Milne at the heart of the Corbyn Empire. There is quite

:04:58.:05:10.

a difference! It is ironic, the International rules were meant to be

:05:11.:05:13.

cleaned up. They were meant to have done something about the double

:05:14.:05:20.

Irish and Dutch sandwich. I speak in tongues because that is how you have

:05:21.:05:26.

to do it these days. Unless there is a major radical change, I would

:05:27.:05:29.

suggest, if they carry on the current way, it will be another ten

:05:30.:05:32.

years before there are further changes? Yass and not only were the

:05:33.:05:38.

international rules meant to have been cleared up, George Osborne

:05:39.:05:44.

talked about how reprehensible aggressive tax avoidance is. Then

:05:45.:05:50.

last week he said the deal with Google is a special deal. The

:05:51.:05:53.

problem with George Osborne is he has forgotten the second part of

:05:54.:05:58.

Peter Mandelson's famous sentence about being relaxed about people

:05:59.:06:06.

getting rich... As long as they pay their tax. The problem for George

:06:07.:06:11.

Osborne is that he sees everything through a 2010 lens. This deal is

:06:12.:06:13.

much better than anything that happened under new Labour. That is

:06:14.:06:22.

six years ago. We have moved on. People are now judging this

:06:23.:06:25.

government on what they have done. It has been a long slow burning

:06:26.:06:30.

campaign. The tax Justice campaign has been brilliant. UK uncut Ren

:06:31.:06:38.

fantastic demonstrations against top shop, Vodafone, boots, people

:06:39.:06:40.

avoiding their taxes in elaborate ways. Witty campaigns the public

:06:41.:06:48.

saw. I think it is at the centre of it now. With other cases coming up,

:06:49.:06:53.

Apple and Amazon, Vodafone always in the frame... Just finally, I thought

:06:54.:07:03.

it was fascinating that Peter Borren of Google explained in effect that

:07:04.:07:06.

the money made in Britain and other places is then sent to Bermuda,

:07:07.:07:12.

essentially warehoused in Bermuda. It is a tax haven. If they

:07:13.:07:18.

repatriated back to California headquarters, they would pay

:07:19.:07:22.

corporation tax in America and they think that is too high. America

:07:23.:07:29.

corporate tax is run about 40%. Apple has about 200 billion US

:07:30.:07:34.

dollars in cash reserves internationally. Let's move on to

:07:35.:07:38.

the referendum. I got the impression from listening to John McDonnell and

:07:39.:07:44.

other Labour shadow ministers I have interviewed that there is no

:07:45.:07:48.

appetite on the Labour front bench to delay this referendum. I think

:07:49.:07:52.

they would like to get on with it? S they want to get on with it, then

:07:53.:07:56.

wanted to succeed. They want the yes campaign to win. At the moment

:07:57.:08:00.

Labour is not doing very well with it. It ought to be a great hallmark

:08:01.:08:08.

for them. Labour is almost unequivocally pro-EU. They should be

:08:09.:08:12.

making a lot of capital against every split Tory party and they are

:08:13.:08:18.

not, really. It is not clear why. Maybe their hearts are not in it. It

:08:19.:08:23.

is led by two people who voted to come out into -- 19 75. Alan Johnson

:08:24.:08:29.

woman who is leading the campaign, does not appear to be making much

:08:30.:08:32.

headway. Maybe they are waiting until Cameron comes back with a

:08:33.:08:37.

package. I think they are missing a trick. The Eurosceptics want more

:08:38.:08:41.

time. They fear if it is rushed, they will definitely lose. But for a

:08:42.:08:48.

June referendum in the Commons, it would need Labour as well. It is

:08:49.:08:55.

clearly not going to happen. The only thing that could stop it,

:08:56.:08:59.

because the numbers are now not in the Commons, is if the electoral

:09:00.:09:02.

commission, bearing in mind you have the leaders of the three devolved

:09:03.:09:06.

administrations saying they're not happy, that is the only thing that

:09:07.:09:11.

could potentially stop it. Now that the Labour Party is saying we should

:09:12.:09:15.

get on with it, it looks like that will happen. People like Steve Baker

:09:16.:09:19.

needs to be careful. They have been saying for 20 years we need a

:09:20.:09:23.

referendum. Here it is coming down the stream and they say, we are not

:09:24.:09:27.

sure about it. That potentially shows they are nervous about the

:09:28.:09:32.

case. One of the most telling thing is Steve Baker said was the number

:09:33.:09:36.

of Tory MPs who would vote to leave would be no more than 70, which is

:09:37.:09:41.

clearly expectations management on his party that's my part. What you

:09:42.:09:47.

have seen in the past 72 hours is expectations management on all

:09:48.:09:56.

sides. Downing Street is dampening down expectations. We are all

:09:57.:10:02.

massively impressed. I hope you are right that he is that clever. What

:10:03.:10:06.

worries me is that he has been reckless. He has put things out

:10:07.:10:10.

there that he could never get. He has not put everybody square. If not

:10:11.:10:18.

clever, certainly cynical. Steve Baker and the sceptics are playing

:10:19.:10:21.

down their expected numbers, even Cabinet ministers. The area where

:10:22.:10:29.

George Osborne thinks he will make the most fundamental and important

:10:30.:10:33.

changes as the exceptions for those countries not in the eurozone. That

:10:34.:10:40.

gets very little coverage. George Osborne says that is the most

:10:41.:10:44.

important thing we could get because it will play for decades to come.

:10:45.:10:48.

The territory they are fighting on is the area where they are quite

:10:49.:10:54.

weak, benefits reform. We will have another referendum in 2021 when

:10:55.:10:59.

treaty change takes place and the eurozone becomes a proper monetary

:11:00.:11:03.

union. I don't think anybody is go to do a treaty change for a long

:11:04.:11:08.

time. The mood across Europe, particularly about immigration and

:11:09.:11:11.

refugee is, I think nobody will want a treaty. It is all talk. I do not

:11:12.:11:20.

see it. I don't think anybody will trust their own electorate

:11:21.:11:22.

sufficiently at any particular point. They will look at hours with

:11:23.:11:29.

great interest. And they will say, don't go there. Before we go, a sad

:11:30.:11:35.

morning today. We learned that veteran broadcaster Terry Wogan has

:11:36.:11:39.

died at the age of 77 after a short battle with cancer. Over his many

:11:40.:11:43.

years in broadcasting, he interviewed a great number of

:11:44.:11:46.

people, including politicians. He really is talking to Margaret

:11:47.:11:50.

Thatcher. What do the next ten years hold for

:11:51.:11:54.

us and for our Prime Minister? Mrs Margaret Thatcher. You ever

:11:55.:12:05.

apprehensive? Are you ever nervous before you get up and speak? Always.

:12:06.:12:12.

And you would not speak well if you were not. I have been answering

:12:13.:12:15.

questions in the House every Tuesday and Thursday for ten years. And I am

:12:16.:12:21.

still just as nervous as I was at the beginning. It requires immense

:12:22.:12:26.

preparation. You have seen your share of trouble and strife and

:12:27.:12:30.

success. What have been your worst moments? The worst moment on totally

:12:31.:12:38.

was when the Argentinians invaded the Falkland Islands. I will never

:12:39.:12:42.

forget it. With the worries and some of the terrible problems you have

:12:43.:12:48.

had, do you have any time for personal worries? We have been very

:12:49.:12:55.

lucky. You know Dennis very well. You both belong to Lord's Tavern is.

:12:56.:12:59.

Everyone knows Dennis. He is marvellous! Why did your audience

:13:00.:13:09.

laugh when you mentioned him? He is held in great affection by everyone

:13:10.:13:12.

because he has the tremendous knack for saying things people would love

:13:13.:13:15.

to say but they're not. Terry Wogan, one of the most

:13:16.:13:19.

accomplished and professional, charming broadcasters in modern

:13:20.:13:23.

times. Sadly died this morning. We learn from his family. Terry Wogan.

:13:24.:13:28.

That is it for today. I thank all of my guests. The daily politics will

:13:29.:13:34.

be on BBC Two from noon tomorrow and every day next week, including Prime

:13:35.:13:38.

Minister's Questions on Wednesday. I am back your macro same time, same

:13:39.:13:42.

place next week. We will know more about the American election campaign

:13:43.:13:46.

by them. If it is Sunday, it is the Sunday Politics.

:13:47.:13:52.

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