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Good morning and welcome to the Sunday Politics. | :00:36. | :00:38. | |
So after protracted negotiations, David Cameron has finally named | :00:39. | :00:41. | |
the day when voters will decide whether or not the United Kingdom | :00:42. | :00:44. | |
The Prime Minister said the country would be "safer, | :00:45. | :00:56. | |
stronger and better off" by staying in a reformed European Union - | :00:57. | :00:59. | |
on the terms he agreed with EU leaders in Brussels late | :01:00. | :01:02. | |
But about a quarter of the ministers who sit with Mr Cameron | :01:03. | :01:09. | |
They've said they'll campaign for the UK to leave. | :01:10. | :01:14. | |
We'll be talking to one of those wanting out, Leader of the House | :01:15. | :01:17. | |
We'll be deliberating over which way this man will swing. | :01:18. | :01:23. | |
The Mayor of London has apparently been "agonising" over his decision, | :01:24. | :01:30. | |
although apparently all the smart money's on him supporting | :01:31. | :01:32. | |
The party wants to stay in the EU, arguing it will be better for jobs, | :01:33. | :01:43. | |
We'll be joined by the Shadow Foreign Secretary, Hillary Benn. | :01:44. | :01:53. | |
And with me, three of Fleet Street's finest, who've survived | :01:54. | :01:55. | |
Nick Watt, Melanie Phillips and Tom Newton Dunn. | :01:56. | :02:02. | |
So David Cameron's done a deal and named the date. | :02:03. | :02:07. | |
Not everyone's convinced, even one of the Prime Minister's | :02:08. | :02:15. | |
best Cabinet buddies, Michael Gove, has decided to campaign | :02:16. | :02:18. | |
Both camps, those who want to stay in the EU and those who want | :02:19. | :02:23. | |
to leave have come out all guns blazing this morning. | :02:24. | :02:25. | |
Let's hear what David Cameron had to say on the Marr show | :02:26. | :02:28. | |
If we remain in a reformed EU, you know what you will get communal how | :02:29. | :02:34. | |
to do business, create jobs, continue with our economic recovery. | :02:35. | :02:39. | |
If we leave, seven years potentially of uncertainty and at the end of | :02:40. | :02:43. | |
that process you still cannot be certain that our businesses will | :02:44. | :02:48. | |
have full access to the market. So it could cost jobs, mean overseas | :02:49. | :02:51. | |
companies not investing in Britain. It would be a step into the dark, a | :02:52. | :02:56. | |
real risk of uncertainty. And that is the last thing we need in our | :02:57. | :02:59. | |
country now. Let's talk now to the BBC's | :03:00. | :03:00. | |
Political Editor, Laura Kuenssberg. The town and the language has | :03:01. | :03:08. | |
changed, it was fighting talk from Mr Cameron yesterday, all the other | :03:09. | :03:15. | |
comments were about a friendly cabinet meeting, convivial, honest, | :03:16. | :03:20. | |
now the gloves are off. It was described by Theresa Villiers, one | :03:21. | :03:23. | |
of the ministers for Out, as emotional. I think today is the | :03:24. | :03:26. | |
first time we will see those emotions spilling into the public | :03:27. | :03:30. | |
domain. As you say the Prime Minister has moved into campaigning | :03:31. | :03:34. | |
language, that fighting talk, because the stakes are so high for | :03:35. | :03:38. | |
him. He knows fine well that he's taking a huge gamble with own | :03:39. | :03:43. | |
leadership. Is taking a huge gamble with the country's membership of the | :03:44. | :03:47. | |
European Union, and she always said he might in the end argued to leave, | :03:48. | :03:51. | |
very few people who believe that come also taking a gamble with his | :03:52. | :03:56. | |
own party unity and that fighting talk we heard from him on that is | :03:57. | :04:00. | |
still in part a last-minute plea to those waverers to get on his side | :04:01. | :04:04. | |
rather than going to the other. This is something we will see play out, | :04:05. | :04:09. | |
perhaps Tom at Italy, this kind of blue on blue action. Cameron isn't | :04:10. | :04:13. | |
going to stand up and debate directly with those opposing him. He | :04:14. | :04:17. | |
will do it through another way. Another thing he said to Andrew Marr | :04:18. | :04:23. | |
today was quite strong, and a bit sharp, he suggested that those come | :04:24. | :04:27. | |
including perhaps Boris Johnson, want to campaign for Out, were | :04:28. | :04:32. | |
linking arms with George Galloway and Nigel Farage. For most people in | :04:33. | :04:36. | |
the Conservative Party, hardly a compliment. What about the waverers, | :04:37. | :04:41. | |
Boris Johnson for example, he wasn't able to be swayed with Michael Gove, | :04:42. | :04:47. | |
George Osborne, a close friend, and that will have been a big blow, how | :04:48. | :04:53. | |
big a blow will it be Boris Johnson campaigns for Out? One thing about | :04:54. | :04:58. | |
this, some people wonder why the media seem obsessed with one | :04:59. | :05:02. | |
politician. The reason is this. It is not often that politicians have | :05:03. | :05:07. | |
single name recognition. It's not often as, if we do from time to time | :05:08. | :05:11. | |
you go out campaigning in action with politicians, if it is Boris | :05:12. | :05:15. | |
Johnson people come out of their houses and their businesses and | :05:16. | :05:19. | |
shops, to see him and talk to him. They want to have pictures taken | :05:20. | :05:24. | |
with him. He's a rare politician, the kind who can actually add a real | :05:25. | :05:28. | |
fizz to a campaign and cut through to the public. Some people love him, | :05:29. | :05:34. | |
some despise. But the point is, his addition to the Out campaign, if | :05:35. | :05:38. | |
that's the way he goes which is what we expect, it would change the | :05:39. | :05:41. | |
dynamics of the campaign. Particularly for the Out side, who | :05:42. | :05:47. | |
have not landed on one obvious leader, it would be a significant | :05:48. | :05:50. | |
boost for them, real shot in the arm. We are finally going to cure | :05:51. | :05:55. | |
from Boris Johnson at 10pm this evening. He will lay out his | :05:56. | :06:00. | |
arguments in his regular Telegraph column. The surprise would be if he | :06:01. | :06:05. | |
decided to stay in. But of course you never know with him, he is | :06:06. | :06:10. | |
unpredictable, and instinctively many who know him well say that at | :06:11. | :06:16. | |
heart he is a YouGov file, not naturally a sceptic. Theatrical to | :06:17. | :06:20. | |
the end! Briefly, how will it play out between Cabinet ministers on | :06:21. | :06:25. | |
either side? Will they really be able to hold it together over the | :06:26. | :06:29. | |
weeks of campaigning? One extraordinary thing about this is | :06:30. | :06:36. | |
that they have an officially divided Cabinet, and the normal way of | :06:37. | :06:39. | |
politics working is that they have to stick together come hell or high | :06:40. | :06:44. | |
water. I think most people will do their best to be polite but | :06:45. | :06:48. | |
friendships and loyalties will be tested. Clearly what it means is | :06:49. | :06:53. | |
that there won't be much going on here apart from this. The focus will | :06:54. | :06:58. | |
be Europe. The Challenger David Cameron, whatever the result, is | :06:59. | :07:02. | |
whether he can keep the party together after the vote. Thank you. | :07:03. | :07:05. | |
So after a near sleepless night on Friday, European leaders | :07:06. | :07:08. | |
were meant to agree a deal over a civilised English breakfast. | :07:09. | :07:10. | |
They didn't bother with afternoon tea. | :07:11. | :07:20. | |
In the end they came up trumps over dinner. | :07:21. | :07:22. | |
History starts with a lot of waiting around, as I discovered on Friday. | :07:23. | :07:28. | |
Waiting for news from the EU summit, Westminster had ground to a halt. | :07:29. | :07:34. | |
Over there, European leaders were on their second | :07:35. | :07:42. | |
The French president was worried about the city of London getting | :07:43. | :07:52. | |
a special deal, the Polish Prime Minister feared her citizens living | :07:53. | :07:54. | |
in the UK would lose their benefits, and the Greek PM was | :07:55. | :07:57. | |
David Cameron said he was battling for a better deal for Britain, | :07:58. | :08:05. | |
which involved lots of talk, quite a few croissants, | :08:06. | :08:07. | |
Suddenly, back at Westminster, a thing happened. | :08:08. | :08:18. | |
One of the Leave campaigns, Grassroots Out, held a rally | :08:19. | :08:21. | |
where it was rumoured they would reveal a surprise supporter. | :08:22. | :08:23. | |
Who would be your dream Eurosceptic special guest? | :08:24. | :08:26. | |
Sorry, it was actually George Galloway. | :08:27. | :08:36. | |
When he turned up, a bunch of people left. | :08:37. | :08:43. | |
They were people who were waiting for Nigel and had | :08:44. | :09:01. | |
The only thing more exciting was happening back in Brussels, | :09:02. | :09:11. | |
where finally, a deal designed to keep Britain in the EU | :09:12. | :09:13. | |
The hacks were briefed by a clearly knackered Prime Minister. | :09:14. | :09:19. | |
Within the last hour, I have negotiated a deal to give | :09:20. | :09:27. | |
the United Kingdom special status inside the European Union. | :09:28. | :09:30. | |
In the midst of it all, Angela Merkel was snapped | :09:31. | :09:33. | |
That is what I call a working dinner. | :09:34. | :09:43. | |
Now, it's Saturday morning in Downing Street. | :09:44. | :09:52. | |
More waiting, this time for the first Cabinet meeting | :09:53. | :09:54. | |
on a weekend since the Falklands, and David Cameron's chance | :09:55. | :09:56. | |
to brief his colleagues on that deal. | :09:57. | :09:58. | |
This is the deal and here is what it amounts to. | :09:59. | :10:01. | |
In a future EU treaty, the EU will exempt the UK | :10:02. | :10:07. | |
from the idea of ever-closer union, there will be safeguards | :10:08. | :10:10. | |
for the City of London, when it comes to in-work benefits, | :10:11. | :10:12. | |
the UK will be able to apply the emergency brake, | :10:13. | :10:16. | |
which means EU migrants will not get the same level | :10:17. | :10:21. | |
as the rest of us until they have been here for a few years, | :10:22. | :10:24. | |
and from 2020, they will only get child benefit paid at the rate | :10:25. | :10:27. | |
they would get in their home country. | :10:28. | :10:29. | |
Time for ministers to give their verdict. | :10:30. | :10:31. | |
Home Secretary, are you a remain-ian? | :10:32. | :10:32. | |
Chancellor, I am guessing you are an inner, aren't you? | :10:33. | :10:41. | |
Each gave their answer during a two hour meeting in Number 10. | :10:42. | :10:49. | |
Then the PM appeared to press the button marked "Referendum". | :10:50. | :10:51. | |
The choice is in your hands, but my recommendation is clear. | :10:52. | :10:56. | |
I believe that Britain will be safer, stronger and better off | :10:57. | :10:59. | |
And apparently it is now totally fine for members of the Cabinet | :11:00. | :11:05. | |
What was it like when Michael Gove spoke, was he a bit sad? | :11:06. | :11:13. | |
Of course, because he and the Prime Minister, he and the rest of us, | :11:14. | :11:16. | |
One of the interesting and remarkable things about this | :11:17. | :11:26. | |
government is we all know each other and we like each other, | :11:27. | :11:28. | |
We have each other's mobile phones and we text and talk to each other. | :11:29. | :11:33. | |
Please join me in welcoming Vote Leave's... | :11:34. | :11:34. | |
But the six ministerial Tory outers headed straight to the HQ | :11:35. | :11:38. | |
It is Iain Duncan Smith, I am a member of the Cabinet. | :11:39. | :11:43. | |
I will be voting to leave the EU because I am profoundly | :11:44. | :11:53. | |
optimistic about the UK, I believe we can flourish | :11:54. | :11:56. | |
outside the European Union, so I think the better option | :11:57. | :11:59. | |
is to take back control, and restore the ability | :12:00. | :12:03. | |
to make our own laws and control our own | :12:04. | :12:05. | |
Happy, happy, here we go, big smiles. | :12:06. | :12:09. | |
Now the referendum campaign will be brought to a street near you, | :12:10. | :12:13. | |
like the Britain Stronger In Europe team did in rainy Bath this weekend. | :12:14. | :12:16. | |
There is one more thing we are waiting for, which side | :12:17. | :12:19. | |
The Mayor of London will reveal his intentions tonight. | :12:20. | :12:29. | |
Exciting. Let's pick up on that. Tom Newton Dunn, will he campaign to | :12:30. | :12:36. | |
come out? It looks very much like it. People close to him this morning | :12:37. | :12:40. | |
that I've spoken to, some pro-European MPs who hoped he would | :12:41. | :12:45. | |
go their way, have now resigned themselves to Boris going from Vote | :12:46. | :12:49. | |
Leave. Apparently it was down to this big dinner he had with Michael | :12:50. | :12:52. | |
Gove on Tuesday night as revealed by the Mail on Sunday today. Horace was | :12:53. | :12:57. | |
really given an argument he found hard to refuse. It would certainly | :12:58. | :13:01. | |
appear that they have done a deal to do this together. Is it not more | :13:02. | :13:05. | |
about leadership ambitions than about his true feelings to do with | :13:06. | :13:12. | |
the EU? Everyone will presume that now is not simply because Boris | :13:13. | :13:17. | |
Johnson is known for being inside Europe, he is an internationalist, | :13:18. | :13:21. | |
born in New York, he's lived in Brussels, he has always been in | :13:22. | :13:25. | |
favour of reform but not leaving. He was telling people openly one month | :13:26. | :13:29. | |
ago that he would campaign to stay in. He has clearly worked out that | :13:30. | :13:33. | |
the electorate that matters for him other grassroots Tories and the MPs | :13:34. | :13:37. | |
who ask up to Cork and who will therefore hopefully propel him | :13:38. | :13:41. | |
towards being Prime Minister. The thought he will have is, does he | :13:42. | :13:47. | |
look sincere in doing this? He will have to have a very good argument | :13:48. | :13:53. | |
tonight to make it look why he has done this apparent turnaround. Let's | :13:54. | :13:58. | |
look at some of the substance, Melanie Phillips. Some will say that | :13:59. | :14:02. | |
not many people in the public will look at the details, they will do it | :14:03. | :14:06. | |
on gut instinct and emotion. Do you think that is true, or are there | :14:07. | :14:12. | |
salient issues that could capture the imagination? I think the two are | :14:13. | :14:16. | |
not necessarily in contradiction of each other, gut instinct and | :14:17. | :14:19. | |
emotional part of it and fear will have a lot to do with this campaign. | :14:20. | :14:24. | |
The fear, we must cling on for fear of something worse which is what the | :14:25. | :14:28. | |
Prime Minister has played on and will continue to do so | :14:29. | :14:31. | |
significantly. I was struck by the interview with the Prime Minister | :14:32. | :14:36. | |
this morning in which he addressed the most important issue, | :14:37. | :14:41. | |
sovereignty. And he redefined it. He was so keen to slip away from it | :14:42. | :14:46. | |
because it is so dangerous him. The odd comment is that Britain will | :14:47. | :14:50. | |
still have no control over its own stash might be argued is that | :14:51. | :14:53. | |
Britain will still have no control over its own laws, they will be | :14:54. | :14:58. | |
dictated in significant measure. Users they are looking at a | :14:59. | :15:03. | |
mechanism... He is clinging to his apparent concession that he has run | :15:04. | :15:08. | |
from them not to sign up to ever closer union. That is a meaningless | :15:09. | :15:11. | |
thing. The thing is that we in Britain will continue to be bad but | :15:12. | :15:15. | |
the judgments of the European Court of Justice. Although the Prime | :15:16. | :15:19. | |
Minister is floated some kind of constitutional settlement, this is a | :15:20. | :15:22. | |
nonsense because nothing can override that superiority. While we | :15:23. | :15:25. | |
continue to be signed at the EU. Opponents are vexed that we appear | :15:26. | :15:36. | |
not to have the ability to make her own laws, but we do not seem to be | :15:37. | :15:39. | |
vexed whether we have the ability to decide whether to go to war not. You | :15:40. | :15:44. | |
could have a situation in the next few months where Turkey and Syria, | :15:45. | :15:50. | |
sorry, Russia and Turkey could find themselves at war. What happens | :15:51. | :15:59. | |
then? We are bound to go to war on Turkey's behalf, the cause Turkey is | :16:00. | :16:02. | |
a member of Nato. Opponents of the European Union do not seem to be too | :16:03. | :16:05. | |
vexed about that. Do you think security will be the overriding | :16:06. | :16:08. | |
thing that will convince people? It is simple who is clicked to win this | :16:09. | :16:12. | |
campaign. The winners will be the safest option and the losers will be | :16:13. | :16:18. | |
the riskiest option. That is why the Prime Minister is talking about risk | :16:19. | :16:22. | |
and uncertainty. He's saying what can you, the outers, what is your | :16:23. | :16:27. | |
vision for what Britain would be like outside the European Union. We | :16:28. | :16:31. | |
will hear more from you later in the programme. | :16:32. | :16:33. | |
Well, as we've been hearing, as soon as David Cameron announced | :16:34. | :16:36. | |
the date of the referendum, members of the Cabinet were given | :16:37. | :16:38. | |
free rein to campaign on either side of the argument. | :16:39. | :16:41. | |
So who'll be campaigning to stay in and who'll be | :16:42. | :16:43. | |
It is time for ministers to pick a side. | :16:44. | :16:48. | |
No surprises that David Cameron, George Osborne and Philip Hammond | :16:49. | :16:50. | |
And they will be pleased that potential outers Theresa May, | :16:51. | :16:59. | |
Liz Truss and Sajid Javid have also all opted for the remain team. | :17:00. | :17:03. | |
Chris Grayling, Priti Patel, John Whittingdale, Theresa Villiers | :17:04. | :17:08. | |
and Iain Duncan Smith will be campaigning to leave. | :17:09. | :17:11. | |
They will be cheered that Michael Gove, after much | :17:12. | :17:16. | |
soul-searching, has also plumped for the leave campaign. | :17:17. | :17:19. | |
However, there is one big name waiting on the sidelines. | :17:20. | :17:26. | |
Pollsters claim his support could sway a lot of voters. | :17:27. | :17:30. | |
Surely it cannot be long to wait now. | :17:31. | :17:32. | |
And the Leader of the House of Commons, Chris Grayling, | :17:33. | :17:34. | |
Welcome. Hello. Why do you not think the deal that the Prime Minister | :17:35. | :17:42. | |
secured was enough? The Prime Minister has made some progress in | :17:43. | :17:46. | |
his discussions in Brussels, and we give him credit for that, but does | :17:47. | :17:51. | |
this represent a transformation that says to me, we should stay within | :17:52. | :17:56. | |
the European Union? It does not. Our membership of the European Union | :17:57. | :18:00. | |
holds us back. There are decisions that we should be taking for the | :18:01. | :18:04. | |
benefit of her country that we cannot take when wearing the EU, | :18:05. | :18:10. | |
like how many people, and live and work your, like forming free-trade | :18:11. | :18:14. | |
deals around the world, and we are spending millions of pounds a week | :18:15. | :18:17. | |
in subscriptions to the EU that should be spent on the National | :18:18. | :18:20. | |
Health Service are bringing their beds. Some of that does not take | :18:21. | :18:24. | |
into account the rebate that the UK gets. In your mind, the prime and it | :18:25. | :18:30. | |
has failed in his ambition to secure fundamental reform? The Prime | :18:31. | :18:33. | |
Minister has worked hard at this. He has failed, in your mind? What he | :18:34. | :18:36. | |
has brought back is a deal that he and others believe it is | :18:37. | :18:54. | |
sufficient for us to stay in the European Union. I do not think that, | :18:55. | :18:57. | |
I think we should leave. That is the essence of the debate. What did they | :18:58. | :19:00. | |
have secured to get your support? You're talking about risk. All the | :19:01. | :19:04. | |
National statisticians are saying that our population is on the way to | :19:05. | :19:09. | |
rising from 75 to 80 million people. I do not think we can cope with | :19:10. | :19:13. | |
that. We do not have the houses, the school places, the hospitals. Your | :19:14. | :19:18. | |
government has failed to do anything about net migration figures? Letting | :19:19. | :19:22. | |
that happen is a huge risk. We cannot do anything about it because | :19:23. | :19:29. | |
of the free movement you -- rules in the European Union. If we did not | :19:30. | :19:32. | |
have free movement, what level of movement would be acceptable? We | :19:33. | :19:35. | |
should bring it down to the tens of thousands. If the UK pulled out of | :19:36. | :19:41. | |
the EU, you would get the level down to the tens of thousands? We would | :19:42. | :19:46. | |
have the ability to set limits. We would look at the reality of the | :19:47. | :19:49. | |
migration pressures we face. We could take decisions in the | :19:50. | :19:52. | |
interests of Britain. At the moment we cannot do that. So there is not | :19:53. | :19:58. | |
anything that David Cameron could have secured to get your support, | :19:59. | :20:02. | |
because you always wanted to come out of the EU? I believed for a long | :20:03. | :20:04. | |
time it was likely I would decide to come out of the EU. I have | :20:05. | :20:23. | |
sat through European meetings for five years. We are not able to look | :20:24. | :20:25. | |
after our national interest properly, our citizens are business | :20:26. | :20:27. | |
interests. Too many decisions have been passed to Brussels. Michael | :20:28. | :20:29. | |
Gove spoke yesterday about the decisions that cross the desks of | :20:30. | :20:31. | |
ministers. Give me one example of something that has come across your | :20:32. | :20:35. | |
desk that you could not in act because of the EU? When I was | :20:36. | :20:39. | |
Minister for health and safety, there were changes being brought in | :20:40. | :20:42. | |
that would cost British business money. Which ones to G1 to bring -- | :20:43. | :20:48. | |
want to not bring in. You always talk about regulations. Which | :20:49. | :20:53. | |
specific bills were you not able to pass, which laws were foisted on you | :20:54. | :20:59. | |
by the EU? I would not have imposed massive change to the North Sea oil | :21:00. | :21:03. | |
industry, which is the best safety record in the world. It took three | :21:04. | :21:07. | |
years of intense negotiations to reduce a package which would have | :21:08. | :21:10. | |
been damaging to one that simply cost extra money for the industry. | :21:11. | :21:15. | |
You want to strip away health and safety regulations? We have the best | :21:16. | :21:19. | |
resume in the world. Across the board you would like to get rid of | :21:20. | :21:29. | |
health and safety regulations that are brought in as a result of not | :21:30. | :21:32. | |
just our government but the EU? I want us as a nation to decide what | :21:33. | :21:35. | |
health and safety rules we get in the UK, not have been imposed. I | :21:36. | :21:38. | |
want the right regulation. I want proper safety in the workplace but | :21:39. | :21:41. | |
not massive burdens put on business. What was the atmosphere like in | :21:42. | :21:45. | |
Cabinet yesterday. It was cordial. It was constructive and friendly. | :21:46. | :21:50. | |
The Prime Minister accepted we had different views around the table. We | :21:51. | :21:54. | |
are all committed to working in the next few months for the cause we | :21:55. | :21:58. | |
believe in. We will do it in a constructive and friendly way. You | :21:59. | :22:06. | |
will not be able to do that. We do not have to attack each other | :22:07. | :22:10. | |
personally insult each other. It is already happening. You have said the | :22:11. | :22:14. | |
Prime Minister is your mongering, it will be project fear. That is not | :22:15. | :22:18. | |
friendly? I have not said the prime and is to is scaremongering. You | :22:19. | :22:24. | |
have implied it will be -- it was Ron Prentice ate was too risky to | :22:25. | :22:30. | |
leave. That is nonsense, the airlines thing, we have cheap | :22:31. | :22:35. | |
airfares all around the world. There are airports in continental Europe | :22:36. | :22:39. | |
that would go bust if it was not for low-cost aviation from United | :22:40. | :22:44. | |
Kingdom. You can guarantee that to the British people, can you? All | :22:45. | :22:48. | |
these things will be there the day after Britain votes to leave the EU? | :22:49. | :22:53. | |
Why would people in continental Europe cost themselves money? You | :22:54. | :22:58. | |
cannot guarantee it? Aske yourself the question. Do you think the day | :22:59. | :23:02. | |
after Britain leaves the European Union, the Germans will say, we will | :23:03. | :23:08. | |
no longer sell BMWs to the British? It will not happen. There will be a | :23:09. | :23:12. | |
trade deal. Countries will want to trade with the UK. The issue is, | :23:13. | :23:18. | |
will it be the same deal, will there be full access for the UK to the | :23:19. | :23:23. | |
same markets? For goods and services? Are you saying this will | :23:24. | :23:28. | |
be a utopia where the same deal will be struck, we will not have to be | :23:29. | :23:32. | |
part of freedom of movement rules, and we will not have to pay a penny | :23:33. | :23:39. | |
towards the EU? We are the most important customer of the European | :23:40. | :23:41. | |
Union. Can you guarantee that we will have full access to trade and | :23:42. | :23:47. | |
services in the way that exist now, without freedom of movement and | :23:48. | :23:50. | |
without paying into a EU fund? Aske the question the other way around, | :23:51. | :23:54. | |
why would they take a risk with jobs in Germany, France and other | :23:55. | :23:59. | |
European countries, by not agreeing a proper modern free-trade agreement | :24:00. | :24:08. | |
in goods and services? They run a massive trade surplus with us. They | :24:09. | :24:10. | |
sell more to us than we sell to them. They lose out financially of | :24:11. | :24:13. | |
those arrangements do not continue. I am not seeing the arrangements | :24:14. | :24:17. | |
would not continue, they would continue. I am talking about the | :24:18. | :24:21. | |
Thames. Everyone says we do not know what out would look like. I am | :24:22. | :24:26. | |
trying to see how long it would take, would it look like Canada, and | :24:27. | :24:32. | |
would it be on the same terms we have no? Why would it not be on a | :24:33. | :24:35. | |
free-trade basis? It costs them money if it is not. It is not ours | :24:36. | :24:41. | |
who loses money, it is Germany and France and other European countries. | :24:42. | :24:45. | |
That is why there would be a free-trade agreement that would | :24:46. | :24:49. | |
allow all businesses to trade. How long would that take? A relatively | :24:50. | :24:53. | |
short period of time in my view, because they lose financially. If it | :24:54. | :24:58. | |
took Canada seven years, how long would it take the UK? There is a | :24:59. | :25:02. | |
process of negotiation set out in the treaty that is estimated to take | :25:03. | :25:07. | |
two years. I would not expect those countries to take a risk. They would | :25:08. | :25:14. | |
lose out financially, not us. Even over the negotiations, President | :25:15. | :25:18. | |
Hollington said that he will not give special treatment to Great | :25:19. | :25:21. | |
Britain. Why would these countries who have been pulled through the | :25:22. | :25:24. | |
ringer over these negotiations suddenly want to immediately, on | :25:25. | :25:28. | |
your timescale, set up favourable terms of trade with the UK? Does | :25:29. | :25:33. | |
anybody seriously think that President Hollande will say to the | :25:34. | :25:36. | |
French farmers, who we know are fairly lively bunch when they want | :25:37. | :25:40. | |
to be, you will no longer have free-trade agreements to sell your | :25:41. | :25:45. | |
wine, cheese and other agricultural products to British supermarkets? | :25:46. | :25:48. | |
Why would you take that political risk? We do not know the terms, that | :25:49. | :25:52. | |
you admit. We know what you would like. We know you're saying you | :25:53. | :25:57. | |
cannot believe there would be another option, but it is a risk. | :25:58. | :26:01. | |
The Prime Minister is right? It is a risk for the French not to have an | :26:02. | :26:07. | |
agreement with us. Otherwise their businesses lose out. Sajid Javid | :26:08. | :26:10. | |
does not agree with you and use the Business Secretary. Is he wrong when | :26:11. | :26:15. | |
he says, my head says it is too risky for business? I think the risk | :26:16. | :26:21. | |
is on the other side. Inside you jab the drum? I have a different view. | :26:22. | :26:29. | |
-- is Sajid Javid. Continental Europe are the ones who would lose | :26:30. | :26:33. | |
if we do not have a free-trade agreement with them. He is the | :26:34. | :26:37. | |
Business Secretary. What do you know that he does not? We have different | :26:38. | :26:41. | |
views around the Cabinet table. We set them out yesterday. Some of us | :26:42. | :26:48. | |
are in Yahn Sommer out. We will have that debate over the next few | :26:49. | :26:52. | |
months. The Business Secretary is very good at his job. He is also | :26:53. | :26:57. | |
clear in his article that he is deeply unhappy about the European | :26:58. | :27:02. | |
Union. But he is being loyal to the Prime Minister. We are taking | :27:03. | :27:05. | |
different views. We are both loyal to the Prime Minister. Not on this | :27:06. | :27:10. | |
issue. The Prime Minister has been clear that government ministers are | :27:11. | :27:14. | |
free to take different sides. It is a bold decision, the right decision. | :27:15. | :27:22. | |
If you lose the argument, are you worried about your job? I think that | :27:23. | :27:25. | |
is relevant. While? It will only happen on June 23rd? Wanted easily | :27:26. | :27:29. | |
see a situation where David Cameron feels strongly about this. He will | :27:30. | :27:33. | |
say to you and your colleagues or canning for out, that is it, it is | :27:34. | :27:38. | |
over? David Cameron will do what he believes is right. This is a matter | :27:39. | :27:44. | |
of principle for me. It is not about my career, my job. I am doing what I | :27:45. | :27:51. | |
believe is the right thing for the country. What happens to me is | :27:52. | :27:54. | |
neither here nor there. I believe it is the right thing for the country | :27:55. | :27:56. | |
and I also believe it is the low-risk option. Is it right for a | :27:57. | :28:01. | |
Conservative majority government, for the first time in many years, | :28:02. | :28:05. | |
fighting and divided over this issue? People expect mature | :28:06. | :28:10. | |
democracy, the expect is as politicians to debate and discuss. | :28:11. | :28:15. | |
They do not expect us to agree all the time, we are not robots. We will | :28:16. | :28:20. | |
have a constructive debate but we will stay friends, we will stay | :28:21. | :28:24. | |
respectful of the Prime Minister, and work to make sure that we carry | :28:25. | :28:30. | |
on gather -- governing the country well. If you win, does the Prime | :28:31. | :28:35. | |
Minister have to go? Absolutely not. So you trust him to renegotiate | :28:36. | :28:40. | |
bilateral trade agreements with the EU as the Prime Minister the | :28:41. | :28:44. | |
campaign to stay in the EU? I trust him as the Prime Minister that was | :28:45. | :28:47. | |
bold enough to give the country the choice. If the country decides to | :28:48. | :28:54. | |
stay, he will lead us in government in 2020. He would really be your | :28:55. | :28:58. | |
favourite person to lead these negotiations? You would still trust | :28:59. | :29:03. | |
and? I would still trust them. In terms of your colleagues, do you | :29:04. | :29:05. | |
think it would be possible for him to stay either way? Absolutely. The | :29:06. | :29:11. | |
last thing we need at the end of all this, regardless of the result, is a | :29:12. | :29:16. | |
political bloodbath. We have a good team and the team needs to carry on. | :29:17. | :29:21. | |
How big boost would Boris Johnson be to your campaign? It would be great | :29:22. | :29:26. | |
if he joined our campaign. I know no more than anybody else, but I hope | :29:27. | :29:32. | |
you will join. If you lose, will this issue be settled? The people | :29:33. | :29:36. | |
will have decided, so we will not be able to return. We will not be | :29:37. | :29:40. | |
urging for another referendum. Is that it for a generation? The people | :29:41. | :29:44. | |
of this country will have decided that if we vote to stay, we stay, if | :29:45. | :29:49. | |
we are to leave, we leave. Chris Grayling, thank you. | :29:50. | :29:53. | |
Its leader, Jeremy Corbyn, has been sceptical | :29:54. | :29:56. | |
He voted to leave the European Economic Community in 1975. | :29:57. | :30:01. | |
The party will campaign to stay in the EU. | :30:02. | :30:04. | |
The Labour leader says it brings investment, jobs and protection | :30:05. | :30:06. | |
In a moment we'll be talking to the Shadow Foreign Secretary, | :30:07. | :30:10. | |
Hillary Benn, but first let's hear what Jeremy Corbyn had to say, | :30:11. | :30:17. | |
We will be campaigning to keep Britain in Europe in the coming | :30:18. | :30:21. | |
referendum, regardless of David Cameron's tinkering, | :30:22. | :30:23. | |
because it brings investment, jobs and protection for British | :30:24. | :30:25. | |
Labour believes the European Union is a vital framework for European | :30:26. | :30:33. | |
trade and co-operation in the 21st century, | :30:34. | :30:35. | |
and that a vote to remain is in the best interests | :30:36. | :30:37. | |
of our people, but we want a progressive change in Europe, | :30:38. | :30:44. | |
to make the EU work for working people. | :30:45. | :30:46. | |
workers' rights, putting jobs and sustainable growth at the heart | :30:47. | :30:50. | |
of EU economic policy, democratisation and greater | :30:51. | :30:51. | |
accountability of institutions, and a halt, an absolute halt, | :30:52. | :30:55. | |
to the pressure to privatise public services by some elements | :30:56. | :30:58. | |
The Shadow Foreign Secretary, Hilary Benn, joins me. Welcome. Did David | :30:59. | :31:13. | |
Cameron secure a good deal? He went through this whole process because | :31:14. | :31:17. | |
of the splits in the Conservative Party. It has not changed our view, | :31:18. | :31:22. | |
Labour are in favour of remaining in the European Union, will be 40 | :31:23. | :31:26. | |
announced a referendum and negotiation and we still are in | :31:27. | :31:30. | |
favour. So it hasn't made any difference. Some changes, like the | :31:31. | :31:34. | |
red card, we complain about at the general election, I think that's | :31:35. | :31:36. | |
good for Britain. A red card on laws that the UK | :31:37. | :31:50. | |
doesn't like. If you have is a efficient number of national | :31:51. | :31:52. | |
parliaments in the EU states saying we don't fancy this, as a good | :31:53. | :31:55. | |
thing. Changes in child benefit, we believe in fair contribution but | :31:56. | :31:57. | |
this referendum won't be about to David Cameron's deal, in the end. It | :31:58. | :32:00. | |
will be about whether we are better off in or out. I thought it was | :32:01. | :32:03. | |
striking listening to Chris Grayling that he wasn't able to answer your | :32:04. | :32:08. | |
perfectly fair questions about what trade relationships will replace the | :32:09. | :32:11. | |
free access we have got to the largest single market in the world | :32:12. | :32:15. | |
because we are members of the European Union. Let's go back to the | :32:16. | :32:19. | |
deal. You say it will make no difference yet to concede that | :32:20. | :32:22. | |
introducing a red card, a challenge to EU laws that the UK doesn't like, | :32:23. | :32:26. | |
and restrictions on child benefit, even if they were not quite what the | :32:27. | :32:30. | |
prime and stir promised, they good things, you support that. -- the | :32:31. | :32:37. | |
Prime Minister promised. They are changes we ourselves called for. Yet | :32:38. | :32:40. | |
this decision is about much much more than that. It has not changed | :32:41. | :32:46. | |
Labour's view of the case of Britain remaining in the EU because it's | :32:47. | :32:50. | |
good for jobs and investment. Let's take a practical example. Everyday | :32:51. | :32:55. | |
we export just under 2000 cars to Europe with no tariff. When Japan | :32:56. | :32:59. | |
and America export cars they pay a 10% tariff. That's what access to | :33:00. | :33:04. | |
the single market means and where investment has come to Britain in | :33:05. | :33:07. | |
the last decade, investing in the car industry which is now growing | :33:08. | :33:10. | |
and expanding that, people thought it was on its way out, it isn't. No | :33:11. | :33:17. | |
need to presume that would disappear, as Chris Grayling | :33:18. | :33:18. | |
need to presume that would disappear, as Chris Grayling said... | :33:19. | :33:22. | |
None of those campaigning for Leave can guarantee the terms of access to | :33:23. | :33:25. | |
that single market, what those terms would be. A lot of well-paid | :33:26. | :33:29. | |
Manufacturing high skilled jobs depend on that. Those jobs might not | :33:30. | :33:35. | |
go, it is Project Fear, saying that. Nick Clegg said repeatedly that 2 | :33:36. | :33:39. | |
million jobs would disappear and that isn't based in fact. I'm not | :33:40. | :33:44. | |
saying that 3 million would disappear. What's the alternative? A | :33:45. | :33:49. | |
good example is Norway. In order to get access to the single market | :33:50. | :33:53. | |
Norway has to pay a contribution which is the same per capita as I | :33:54. | :33:57. | |
was. They have to accept almost all the rules and free movement of | :33:58. | :34:02. | |
workers. It's because the Norwegian establishment wanted that. They | :34:03. | :34:07. | |
don't have any say over the rules in Europe. How is that an improvement | :34:08. | :34:12. | |
on what we've got now? It isn't. It is a worse deal. Even at the | :34:13. | :34:15. | |
Norwegians don't recommend we do that. That is why the Leave | :34:16. | :34:20. | |
campaigners as we have just seen with Chris Grayling 's inability to | :34:21. | :34:24. | |
answer your question, is that they cannot tell us what Out would look | :34:25. | :34:31. | |
like, so why take the risk? Are you saying Britain can't survive outside | :34:32. | :34:35. | |
the EU? You are implying this country could not do well on its | :34:36. | :34:39. | |
own, could not survive. You are scaremongering in a sense. Jo, I am | :34:40. | :34:46. | |
not saying that. The implication is that Britain could not secure a | :34:47. | :34:50. | |
similar deal, that this country is not capable of being able to run its | :34:51. | :34:55. | |
affairs effectively. I'm making a different argument, this one. We've | :34:56. | :34:59. | |
already got a lot of good trade deals with other countries precisely | :35:00. | :35:03. | |
because we are part of the European Union, which gives us tariff free | :35:04. | :35:07. | |
access. We are part of the largest single market in the world. Why | :35:08. | :35:11. | |
would we trade what we have the moment, which is good deals, for the | :35:12. | :35:15. | |
promise of deals that are just as good when those campaigning for | :35:16. | :35:20. | |
cannot actually answer the questions. What about control of | :35:21. | :35:26. | |
your own borders, are you happy with current levels of migration? Free | :35:27. | :35:30. | |
movement in the European Union is part of the rules. So you want | :35:31. | :35:34. | |
limitless migration in that sense because that is what it will be over | :35:35. | :35:38. | |
the next five or ten years, bearing in mind what is happening in the | :35:39. | :35:42. | |
world at the moment? It will be impossible to lower those levels. | :35:43. | :35:46. | |
What is happening in the world is a separate argument. If you're talking | :35:47. | :35:51. | |
about outside of the European Union... Once those people get | :35:52. | :35:55. | |
citizenship of Europe they will be able to come to Britain. Rightly or | :35:56. | :35:59. | |
wrongly, it is something people are concerned about. Being part of the | :36:00. | :36:04. | |
EU means this country cannot control its own borders, can't control | :36:05. | :36:08. | |
levels of migration. If you look at the number of people Germany has | :36:09. | :36:11. | |
taken in because of the crisis in Syria it will be a number of years | :36:12. | :36:15. | |
before they can get German citizenship. Then I don't think they | :36:16. | :36:19. | |
will choose in large numbers to move from Germany to the UK. Look at | :36:20. | :36:24. | |
living standards and economic opportunities in Germany. The other | :36:25. | :36:27. | |
part of the German equation is that many British people are living and | :36:28. | :36:31. | |
working in other European countries, and EU migrants who have come to | :36:32. | :36:36. | |
Britain are working as nurses, lecturers, in manufacturing. They | :36:37. | :36:41. | |
are paying into the British economy, they are net contributors, as you | :36:42. | :36:45. | |
know, because they work and they pay taxes, and that gives us more | :36:46. | :36:51. | |
revenue, as a country. To do agree with Jeremy Corbyn attacking the | :36:52. | :36:55. | |
deal particularly because of the brake on benefits to EU migrants? | :36:56. | :37:01. | |
Our view is that we agree in fair contribution. Jeremy Corbyn said the | :37:02. | :37:05. | |
deal was tinkering around the edges especially when the focus was on a | :37:06. | :37:10. | |
break in benefits for EU migrants. He doesn't like it. We agree that | :37:11. | :37:15. | |
their contribution is the right approach... Are you sure Mr Corbyn | :37:16. | :37:21. | |
signed up to that? We are sure that their contribution is the right | :37:22. | :37:25. | |
approach. He was making a different argument. His argument was that it | :37:26. | :37:29. | |
is irrelevant to the view that Labour has taken about the benefits | :37:30. | :37:33. | |
Hello and welcome to Sunday Politics in Northern Ireland. | :37:34. | :37:45. | |
We've one topic this week - Europe - and in today's programme we'll hear | :37:46. | :37:48. | |
the arguments for and against Northern Ireland remaining in the EU | :37:49. | :37:51. | |
as part of June's UK-wide referendum. | :37:52. | :37:56. | |
We'll hear from politicians and business leaders on opposing | :37:57. | :37:58. | |
And my first guests this morning are the deputy leader | :37:59. | :38:02. | |
of the DUP, Nigel Dodds, and Sinn Fein's Mairtin O Muilleoir. | :38:03. | :38:07. | |
Nigel Dodds, you've made no secret of your Euro-sceptic | :38:08. | :38:09. | |
Is June's referendum your great opportunity? | :38:10. | :38:18. | |
First of all we welcome the fact there is a referendum in June. We | :38:19. | :38:24. | |
have been pressing for this for a long time, even when David Cameron | :38:25. | :38:31. | |
was opposed to it. I give him credit for the fact he is calling the | :38:32. | :38:34. | |
referendum. It is too long since people have had their say. An | :38:35. | :38:36. | |
opportunity arises for everyone to have a debate and discussion about | :38:37. | :38:41. | |
what is the best decision for the United Kingdom, this is a national | :38:42. | :38:44. | |
referendum, so do we want this political superstructure or do we | :38:45. | :38:49. | |
want a trading relationship? That is what it comes down to. The deal the | :38:50. | :38:54. | |
Prime Minister has done is recognised by many people as | :38:55. | :38:58. | |
tinkering with the issues that does not get to the root of some of the | :38:59. | :39:03. | |
problems about sovereignty, the control of borders, control of law | :39:04. | :39:05. | |
making decisions, control of finances. And I think people are | :39:06. | :39:09. | |
concerned about some of those issues and want to have their say. Your | :39:10. | :39:14. | |
leader has said, CAPNEXT... You're not electing the | :39:15. | :39:38. | |
DUP, the SDLP, Sinn Fein. Your vote is equal to the Prime Minister's | :39:39. | :39:45. | |
adult. It is a referendum on one specific issue. We are making a | :39:46. | :39:50. | |
recommendation as a party, but we recognise people will make up their | :39:51. | :39:54. | |
own mind across all parties. I suspect within every political | :39:55. | :39:57. | |
party, no matter how strong the leadership, that within those | :39:58. | :40:01. | |
parties and outside those parties, people will have a range of opinions | :40:02. | :40:05. | |
and there will be people who vote on the 23rd of June who may not even | :40:06. | :40:11. | |
vote normally in elections, that's what tends to happen in referendums. | :40:12. | :40:15. | |
I think the opportunity for a positive debate is they are. We will | :40:16. | :40:19. | |
recommend strongly under half of our party that the circumstances that | :40:20. | :40:27. | |
the United Kingdom -- on behalf of other party that the United Kingdom | :40:28. | :40:31. | |
is stronger as part How come you are an advocate of the | :40:32. | :40:46. | |
UK remaining? My first election was the first EU election, Sinn Fein | :40:47. | :40:57. | |
were... This island has benefited hugely full. The people of Ireland | :40:58. | :41:12. | |
want consulted. If we look at what is in the interest of our citizens | :41:13. | :41:18. | |
here, in the six counties in the north, I think you have to admit | :41:19. | :41:22. | |
that for the pocket, we benefit hugely from the EU, and for peace. | :41:23. | :41:34. | |
It has been of enormous benefit, we have benefited on all fronts. I know | :41:35. | :41:40. | |
that the DUP will go in for a strong No vote, but I wonder if in their | :41:41. | :41:44. | |
heart of hearts, they also do not accept that membership of the | :41:45. | :41:50. | |
European Union has been good for our neighbours, and for both | :41:51. | :41:54. | |
communities. On the issue of consultation, on the issue of the | :41:55. | :42:01. | |
date of referendum, there was an issue in terms of Scotland, Wales | :42:02. | :42:06. | |
and Northern Ireland, devolved regions, the First Minister is all | :42:07. | :42:10. | |
made it clear they did not want the referendum as close to the local | :42:11. | :42:15. | |
elections, and the same with the London Mayor collections. David | :42:16. | :42:18. | |
Cameron ignored you? He has pressed ahead because he said it is in the | :42:19. | :42:25. | |
national interest. I disagree with the date, but nevertheless. On the | :42:26. | :42:28. | |
wider issues about the benefits and all the rest of it, there will be | :42:29. | :42:31. | |
came after the assembly elections to go into it in more detail, but the | :42:32. | :42:37. | |
idea that our safety and security depends on the EU is nonsense, it is | :42:38. | :42:44. | |
about being part of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation and | :42:45. | :42:46. | |
those alliances we make. People talk about safety and security want to | :42:47. | :42:50. | |
seem to want to take a vote of Nato, but stay in the EU. David Cameron | :42:51. | :42:58. | |
does not. He says that if, stronger, better offer inside, you said it for | :42:59. | :43:02. | |
outside. He is wrong, because we will be worse off. We're paying | :43:03. | :43:07. | |
millions of pounds into the European Union. It has been recommended by | :43:08. | :43:12. | |
many economists that families will be ?1000 better off. The money we | :43:13. | :43:18. | |
get out of Europe for Northern Ireland, for every pound we pay in, | :43:19. | :43:25. | |
we pay in ?1 how can you assure us that will be better off to stay in | :43:26. | :43:30. | |
the UK, when others are pretty sure it could not get much worse? We will | :43:31. | :43:43. | |
probably get our teeth into it, but look at the reality on the ground. I | :43:44. | :43:51. | |
just left Belfast City Hall in late 2014, and they got ?4 million from | :43:52. | :43:55. | |
Europe for the renewables ground. Nigel's constituency also got ?14 | :43:56. | :44:10. | |
million for a centre. None of these pivoting projects would happen | :44:11. | :44:14. | |
without the EU, and it is true with other projects. Theresa Villiers was | :44:15. | :44:20. | |
asked, if you're up backs out, will you repay the money? She did not | :44:21. | :44:25. | |
answer. Every landmark in the city has been made possible because of | :44:26. | :44:32. | |
the EU. For me at is about looking to the future. Just to pick up on | :44:33. | :44:38. | |
that, outside the European Union, you have no idea what kind of | :44:39. | :44:42. | |
obstacles and trade barriers would be put in place to make it much more | :44:43. | :44:45. | |
difficult for the UK to trade with our existing EU partners. You cannot | :44:46. | :44:51. | |
quantify that. If you look at the other models and relationships that | :44:52. | :44:56. | |
exist with countries outside the EU, it would be expensive. I do not | :44:57. | :45:02. | |
accept it. You don't want to accept it, but you cannot prove it. I do | :45:03. | :45:08. | |
not accept it, and I think a lot of serious economic commentators do not | :45:09. | :45:12. | |
accept it either. That is a lot of scaremongering. We're hearing about | :45:13. | :45:16. | |
how terrible this would be, it was the same argument used by those who | :45:17. | :45:19. | |
said we should go into the euro in terms of the Irish Republic. Look at | :45:20. | :45:24. | |
the trade implications of all of that. None of that came to pass. In | :45:25. | :45:34. | |
fact, it is better off outside. Northern Ireland and the Irish | :45:35. | :45:39. | |
Republic traded in terms of the currency on an equal basis, but the | :45:40. | :45:42. | |
point is that now we have a situation where people are using all | :45:43. | :45:47. | |
sorts of skier arguments, but the reality is that trade imbalances we | :45:48. | :45:52. | |
have currently, where they sell far more to the United Kingdom, of | :45:53. | :45:55. | |
course they would be mad not to want to do a trade deal on good terms | :45:56. | :46:00. | |
with the United Kingdom since they want to sell to us, but on the issue | :46:01. | :46:04. | |
that was raised about all of these things that the EU does for Northern | :46:05. | :46:08. | |
Ireland and would not happen otherwise, I find a slight irony, | :46:09. | :46:14. | |
because we are part of the United Kingdom, and things would not happen | :46:15. | :46:18. | |
in the Northern Ireland without the money coming from the London | :46:19. | :46:22. | |
Treasury. He wants out of that union, but wants to stay in a union | :46:23. | :46:30. | |
that cost us money. It is spurious. You're very concerned about what is | :46:31. | :46:35. | |
good for London and the United Kingdom and Northern Ireland, I | :46:36. | :46:41. | |
appreciate that, but I am more concerned about the Shankill Road, | :46:42. | :46:48. | |
and for those areas we're in that beneficiary, but let me say this, in | :46:49. | :46:57. | |
2018, the pivotal strategy is to lower corporation tax to the same | :46:58. | :47:02. | |
level as the rest of the island, and that has worked down south and | :47:03. | :47:07. | |
brought in investment. It worked because it reduces tax and it is the | :47:08. | :47:13. | |
gateway to the EU. This proposal was sabotaged entirely because of the | :47:14. | :47:20. | |
executive. You have mentioned Theresa Villiers, she has committed | :47:21. | :47:25. | |
herself to the Vote Leave campaign. Are you content it is appropriate | :47:26. | :47:29. | |
former to remain as Secretary of State in Northern Ireland having | :47:30. | :47:33. | |
adopted that position? The Tory party did here do not cost me any | :47:34. | :47:43. | |
concern. Theresa Villiers will undoubtedly be against EU | :47:44. | :47:48. | |
membership. Those who are concerned about building trust and confidence, | :47:49. | :47:55. | |
let us argue on the merits, in terms of what is good for local people. | :47:56. | :48:03. | |
One of the things, something that the Northern Ireland Executive is | :48:04. | :48:05. | |
delivering, we fought for that very strongly and delivered it, but the | :48:06. | :48:09. | |
interesting thing is because we are part of the European Union, we have | :48:10. | :48:12. | |
to lose money for the blog rant over that. If we were not part of the | :48:13. | :48:16. | |
European Union will be be better off and have the corporation tax. I | :48:17. | :48:28. | |
accept that. Yes, we would better. It is a critical time for the | :48:29. | :48:35. | |
company on Badia, but no one will accept the corporation tax from | :48:36. | :48:38. | |
North America if you see, by the way we are not part of... -- Bombardier. | :48:39. | :48:48. | |
Many American companies have said they would refer if there was a | :48:49. | :48:54. | |
looser connection to the EU. You have got to look at the facts. S see | :48:55. | :49:01. | |
if we can get facts. I spoke to Alistair Hamilton, Chief | :49:02. | :49:07. | |
Executive... He said there are three things we need to have clarity on if | :49:08. | :49:13. | |
the UK leads the European Union. 60% of exports go to European markets, | :49:14. | :49:16. | |
most of the Republic of Ireland. Companies want to know what those | :49:17. | :49:21. | |
markets will be like if the UK is outside the EU. Foreign direct | :49:22. | :49:28. | |
investment, we pitch that we offer access to European markets, so how | :49:29. | :49:30. | |
will that look in future? The funding we get from Europe goes to | :49:31. | :49:34. | |
companies like Bombardier, will we get the same distribution in future? | :49:35. | :49:38. | |
We get a lot of money because of our past. Bullseye the three issues you | :49:39. | :49:43. | |
need to address. Reality is a there will be more money because even if | :49:44. | :49:46. | |
we continued with all of the subventions that come from Europe | :49:47. | :49:51. | |
and had to compensate people for tariffs, we would still be ?4 | :49:52. | :49:55. | |
billion a year better off. There will be a lot of issues to be | :49:56. | :50:00. | |
discussed. The idea that being in Europe is risk-free and being | :50:01. | :50:03. | |
outside is full of risks, remember when we joined the Common market, | :50:04. | :50:08. | |
liquidity is now compare to put it was then. -- look where it is now. | :50:09. | :50:16. | |
Look what happened in the Eurozone, look at the crisis. It is difficult | :50:17. | :50:25. | |
for other people to take a strong... Briefly. It is good for peace. There | :50:26. | :50:32. | |
is an equilibria and here, Unionists have always been quite reticent, but | :50:33. | :50:37. | |
for me it is important for peace to remain in the union. It is important | :50:38. | :50:40. | |
that in terms of the elections on May the 5th for the assembly, | :50:41. | :50:45. | |
whatever opinions about the referendum, that we have a strong | :50:46. | :50:51. | |
devolved government. I suspect we will return to all of this is a | :50:52. | :50:53. | |
great deal. Now for a look at the week in 60 | :50:54. | :50:57. | |
seconds, with Stephen Walker. The row over MLA's expensive shows | :50:58. | :51:11. | |
-- expenses shows no sign of going away. That is contrary to the | :51:12. | :51:16. | |
termination, and the commission if it thinks this is OK, is quite | :51:17. | :51:21. | |
wrong. I am extremely disappointed that the publicity that has been | :51:22. | :51:25. | |
generated. Apparently at the behest of the two senior members of the | :51:26. | :51:33. | |
independent panel. The health minister urged people to put | :51:34. | :51:39. | |
patients first. This is not one week, one one year problem. Jobs | :51:40. | :51:45. | |
could go at Bombardier, but it is insisted that all is not lost. We | :51:46. | :51:51. | |
are committed to manufacture and keeping jobs. And the EU referendum | :51:52. | :52:00. | |
debate hotted up. It is not part of the world economy. The growth is | :52:01. | :52:05. | |
elsewhere. Of course it is. It is not! | :52:06. | :52:09. | |
And the Brexit conversation continues - the main business | :52:10. | :52:12. | |
organisations here have been pushing the economic importance | :52:13. | :52:14. | |
of Northern Ireland staying in a reformed EU. | :52:15. | :52:16. | |
But not everyone sees a June vote to leave as a recipe | :52:17. | :52:19. | |
I'm joined by David Gavaghan, the Chair of the CBI here, | :52:20. | :52:23. | |
What's the clincher in David Cameron's deal that | :52:24. | :52:28. | |
I think the position is really very clear from previously, but in terms | :52:29. | :52:41. | |
of what has happened in the last few days, what we're looking at is a | :52:42. | :52:47. | |
European Union recognising the special position of the United | :52:48. | :52:51. | |
Kingdom in the European Union. There is a good deal for the United | :52:52. | :52:55. | |
Kingdom in terms of generation of jobs and stability of the future of | :52:56. | :52:58. | |
United Kingdom in the European Union. , CBI point of view, there is | :52:59. | :53:06. | |
a strong feeling amongst our members here in Northern Ireland, by no | :53:07. | :53:16. | |
means a significant majority, there are people who want to leave. We | :53:17. | :53:20. | |
will work through that with all facts and details. How do you | :53:21. | :53:26. | |
respond to that, while there may be individuals who do think that Brexit | :53:27. | :53:31. | |
is a good idea, there are people who want to stay. The majority of the | :53:32. | :53:36. | |
members of the CBI might want to stay, but it does not mean the | :53:37. | :53:41. | |
majority of small business owners do. Northern Ireland has thousands | :53:42. | :53:46. | |
of small businesses that derive zero benefit from the European Union. The | :53:47. | :53:51. | |
CBI is an organisation partially funded by the European Union, and | :53:52. | :54:00. | |
gets a huge amount. You survey your members, often paid for by the | :54:01. | :54:03. | |
European Union. We can take a lot of what the CBI says with a pinch of | :54:04. | :54:09. | |
salt. It represents business establishment, and organ nations | :54:10. | :54:18. | |
that can often paid lobbyists. The CBI is a voice in the wider debate. | :54:19. | :54:23. | |
You have another voice so what do you say to those individuals and | :54:24. | :54:26. | |
organisations who are concerned it is a much riskier road to go down, | :54:27. | :54:33. | |
to leave the European Union, with some any unquantifiable things to | :54:34. | :54:38. | |
stay where we are? It is very imperfect. It is ?50 million a day | :54:39. | :54:44. | |
to be a member of the European Union for the UK. The equivalent of a | :54:45. | :54:49. | |
construction of a General Hospital of the week. That is the magnitude | :54:50. | :54:56. | |
of the cost of this. And in your view is there no benefit? I see very | :54:57. | :55:02. | |
little benefit. I see nothing but regulation, the British Government | :55:03. | :55:06. | |
having no sovereignty. Look at Michael Gove's statement on the | :55:07. | :55:11. | |
issue. This is the important point, we need to get away from this and | :55:12. | :55:22. | |
the -- get to the details. There are 23,000 civil servants in the | :55:23. | :55:25. | |
European Union. It is smaller in terms of the bureaucracy than | :55:26. | :55:26. | |
Birmingham City Council. It is 25. The key point is that for | :55:27. | :55:43. | |
people in Northern Ireland, it is about the future of jobs. Good jobs | :55:44. | :55:50. | |
in a stable environment. There is a key issue for the business community | :55:51. | :55:55. | |
in relation to the massive win we have had regarding the corporation | :55:56. | :55:58. | |
tax, and the opportunity we now have... But that was by the UK | :55:59. | :56:02. | |
Government, the European Union have done nothing but try to get the | :56:03. | :56:06. | |
Irish Republic to give up on its beneficial rate of corporation tax. | :56:07. | :56:12. | |
Last week it was bailing out the Irish government over Apple's tax | :56:13. | :56:18. | |
payment. Let us see the response. You only have to see the | :56:19. | :56:25. | |
transformation since we joined the European Union, and the Republic | :56:26. | :56:28. | |
Ireland has adopted and and practised all the things the | :56:29. | :56:32. | |
European Union gets. It is a huge market for the United Kingdom, | :56:33. | :56:41. | |
representing 45% of exports. A declining percentage. Yes because | :56:42. | :57:00. | |
the world is changing. With respect, let David answer. Then come back to | :57:01. | :57:05. | |
you. The European Union is a place where, across the world, | :57:06. | :57:09. | |
organisations and trading blocs want to do business with China. Bike in | :57:10. | :57:20. | |
Switzerland do this, but we cannot? Because the World Trade | :57:21. | :57:24. | |
Organisation... Would you like to hold all of this interview or can I | :57:25. | :57:34. | |
respond? I really just want David to have an opportunity to respond. It | :57:35. | :57:40. | |
is generating between 2700 and 3700 per person of value every year for | :57:41. | :57:44. | |
citizens in the United Kingdom. In Northern Ireland, as the chief | :57:45. | :57:50. | |
invests her said last week, there is a huge issue in Northern Ireland | :57:51. | :57:53. | |
should we leave the European Union. What we need is to focus on the | :57:54. | :57:59. | |
creation of good jobs, be part of a global trading block that has access | :58:00. | :58:03. | |
to 500 million people on our doorstep. There are huge | :58:04. | :58:06. | |
opportunities for us to engage with the rest of Europe and make it the | :58:07. | :58:12. | |
success we have achieved. We trade with the world, and that is the | :58:13. | :58:17. | |
challenge, we want to trade with the world and the European Union is not | :58:18. | :58:23. | |
the world. We will be that they are. No meeting of minds, which I | :58:24. | :58:26. | |
suspected. I'll be back with Stormont Today - | :58:27. | :58:28. | |
that's Monday on BBC Two at 11:20am. | :58:29. | :58:34. |