Browse content similar to 21/05/2017. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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It's Sunday Morning, and this is the Sunday Politics. | :00:15. | :00:19. | |
Labour attacks Conservative plans for social care and to means-test | :00:20. | :00:21. | |
So can Jeremy Corbyn eat into the Tory lead | :00:22. | :00:24. | |
Theresa May says her party's manifesto is all about fairness. | :00:25. | :00:30. | |
We'll be speaking to a Conservative cabinet minister about the plans. | :00:31. | :00:34. | |
The polls have always shown healthy leads for the Conservatives. | :00:35. | :00:37. | |
But, now we've seen the manifestos, is Labour narrowing the gap? | :00:38. | :00:41. | |
And coming up here: Just six weeks into the job and Robin Swann | :00:42. | :00:45. | |
is leading the Ulster Unionists into an election battle | :00:46. | :00:46. | |
So how will his brand of "confident unionism" play with the voters? | :00:47. | :00:58. | |
And with me - as always - the best and the brightest political | :00:59. | :01:01. | |
panel in the business: Sam Coates, Isabel Oakeshott | :01:02. | :01:03. | |
and Steve Richards - they'll be tweeting throughout | :01:04. | :01:05. | |
the programme, and you can get involved by using | :01:06. | :01:08. | |
Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn says pensioners will be up to ?330 a year | :01:09. | :01:16. | |
worse off under plans outlined in the Conservative manifesto. | :01:17. | :01:28. | |
The Work Pensions Secretary Damian Green has said his party will not | :01:29. | :01:34. | |
rethink their plans to fund social care in England. Under the plans in | :01:35. | :01:38. | |
the Conservative manifesto, nobody with assets of less than ?100,000, | :01:39. | :01:44. | |
would have to pay for care. Labour has attacked the proposal, and John | :01:45. | :01:49. | |
McDonnell, Labour's Shadow Chancellor, said this morning that | :01:50. | :01:52. | |
there needs to be more cross-party consensus. | :01:53. | :01:56. | |
That's why we supported Dilnot, but we also supported | :01:57. | :01:58. | |
Because we've got to have something sustainable over generations, | :01:59. | :02:01. | |
so that's why we've said to the Conservative Party, | :02:02. | :02:03. | |
Let's go back to that cross-party approach that actually | :02:04. | :02:06. | |
I just feel we've all been let down by what's come | :02:07. | :02:10. | |
Sam, is Labour beginning to get their argument across? What we had | :02:11. | :02:21. | |
last week was bluntly what felt like not very Lynton Crosby approved | :02:22. | :02:25. | |
Conservative manifesto. What I mean by that is that it looks like there | :02:26. | :02:29. | |
are things that will cause political difficulties for the party over this | :02:30. | :02:33. | |
campaign. I've been talking to MPs and ministers who acknowledge that | :02:34. | :02:38. | |
the social care plan is coming up on the doorstep. It has cut through | :02:39. | :02:44. | |
very quickly, and it is worrying and deterring some voters. Not just | :02:45. | :02:47. | |
pensioners, that people who are looking to inherit in the future. | :02:48. | :02:59. | |
They are all asking how much they could lose that they wouldn't have | :03:00. | :03:01. | |
lost before. A difficult question for the party to answer, given that | :03:02. | :03:04. | |
they don't want to give too much away now. Was this a mistake, or a | :03:05. | :03:09. | |
sign of the Conservatives' confidence? It has the hallmarks of | :03:10. | :03:16. | |
something that has been cobbled together in a very unnaturally short | :03:17. | :03:20. | |
time frame for putting a manifesto together. We have had mixed messages | :03:21. | :03:25. | |
from the Tory MPs who have been out on the airwaves this morning as to | :03:26. | :03:29. | |
whether they will consult on it whether it is just a starting point. | :03:30. | :03:34. | |
That said, there is still three weeks to go, and most of the Tory | :03:35. | :03:40. | |
party this morning feel this is a little light turbulence rather than | :03:41. | :03:44. | |
anything that leaves the destination of victory in doubt. It it flips the | :03:45. | :03:48. | |
normal politics. The Tories are going to make people who have a | :03:49. | :03:52. | |
reasonable amount of assets pay for their social care. What is wrong | :03:53. | :03:59. | |
with that? First, total credit for them for not pretending that all | :04:00. | :04:02. | |
this can be done by magic, which is what normally happens in an | :04:03. | :04:06. | |
election. The party will say, we will review this for the 95th time | :04:07. | :04:11. | |
in the following Parliament, so they have no mandate to do anything and | :04:12. | :04:16. | |
so do not do anything. It is courageous to do it. It is | :04:17. | :04:20. | |
electorally risky, for the reasons that you suggest, that they pass the | :04:21. | :04:25. | |
target their own natural supporter. And there is a sense that this is | :04:26. | :04:32. | |
rushed through, in the frenzy to get it done in time. I think the ending | :04:33. | :04:37. | |
of the pooling of risk and putting the entire burden on in inverted | :04:38. | :04:42. | |
commas the victim, because you cannot insure Fritz, is against the | :04:43. | :04:51. | |
spirit of a lot of the rest of the manifesto, and will give them huge | :04:52. | :04:54. | |
problems if they try to implement it in the next Parliament. Let's have a | :04:55. | :05:03. | |
look at the polls. Nearly five weeks ago, on Tuesday the 18th of April, | :05:04. | :05:08. | |
Theresa May called the election. At that point, this was the median | :05:09. | :05:13. | |
average of the recent polls. The Conservatives had an 18 point lead | :05:14. | :05:18. | |
over Labour on 25%. Ukip and the Liberal Democrats were both on 18%. | :05:19. | :05:27. | |
A draft of Labour's manifesto was leaked to the press. In the | :05:28. | :05:32. | |
intervening weeks, support for the Conservatives and Labour had | :05:33. | :05:35. | |
increased, that it had decreased for the Lib Dems and Ukip. Last Tuesday | :05:36. | :05:40. | |
came the launch of the official Labour manifesto. By that time, | :05:41. | :05:46. | |
Labour support had gone up by another 2%. The Lib Dems and Ukip | :05:47. | :05:52. | |
had slipped back slightly. Later in the week came the manifestos from | :05:53. | :05:56. | |
the Lib Dems and the Conservatives. This morning, for more polls. This | :05:57. | :06:01. | |
is how the parties currently stand on average. Labour are now on 34%, | :06:02. | :06:09. | |
up 4% since the launch of their manifesto. The Conservatives are | :06:10. | :06:13. | |
down two points since last Tuesday. Ukip and the Lib Dems are both | :06:14. | :06:19. | |
unchanged on 8% and 5%. You can find this poll tracker on the BBC | :06:20. | :06:25. | |
website, see how it was calculated, and see the results of national | :06:26. | :06:30. | |
polls over the last two years. So Isabel, is this the Tories' wobbly | :06:31. | :06:33. | |
weekend or the start of the narrowing? This is still an | :06:34. | :06:38. | |
extremely healthy lead for the Tories. At the start of this | :06:39. | :06:45. | |
campaign, most commentators expected to things to happen. First, the Lib | :06:46. | :06:50. | |
Dems would have a significant surge. That hasn't happened. Second, Labour | :06:51. | :06:56. | |
would crash and plummet. Instead they are in the health of the low | :06:57. | :07:00. | |
30s. I wonder if that tells you something about the tribal nature of | :07:01. | :07:07. | |
the Labour vote, and the continuing problems with the Tory brand. I | :07:08. | :07:11. | |
would say that a lot of Tory MPs wouldn't be too unhappy if Labour's | :07:12. | :07:17. | |
result isn't quite as bad as has been anticipated. They don't want | :07:18. | :07:23. | |
Corbyn to go anywhere. If the latest polls were to be the result on June | :07:24. | :07:30. | |
the 8th, Mr Corbyn may not be in a rush to go anywhere. I still think | :07:31. | :07:35. | |
it depends on the number of seats. If there is a landslide win, I | :07:36. | :07:40. | |
think, one way or another, he will not stay. If it is much narrower, he | :07:41. | :07:45. | |
has grounds for arguing he has done better than anticipated. The polls | :07:46. | :07:51. | |
are very interesting. People compare this with 83. In 83, the Tory lead | :07:52. | :07:56. | |
widened consistently throughout the campaign. There was the SDP - | :07:57. | :08:09. | |
Liberal Alliance doing well in the polls. Here, the Lib Dems don't seem | :08:10. | :08:11. | |
to be doing that. So the parallels with 83 don't really stack up. But | :08:12. | :08:14. | |
let's see what happens. Still early days for the a lot of people are | :08:15. | :08:17. | |
saying this is the result of the social care policy. We don't really | :08:18. | :08:22. | |
know that. How do you beat them? In the last week or so, there's been | :08:23. | :08:25. | |
the decision by some to hold their nose and vote Labour, who haven't | :08:26. | :08:31. | |
done so before. Probably the biggest thing in this election is how the | :08:32. | :08:35. | |
Right has reunited behind Theresa May. That figure for Ukip is | :08:36. | :08:42. | |
incredibly small. She has brought those Ukip voters behind her, and | :08:43. | :08:47. | |
that could be the decisive factor in many seats, rather than the Labour | :08:48. | :08:52. | |
share of the boat picking up a bit or down a bit, depending on how | :08:53. | :08:57. | |
turbulent the Tory manifesto makes it. Thank you for that. | :08:58. | :09:00. | |
We've finally got our hands on the manifestos of the two main | :09:01. | :09:03. | |
parties and, for once, voters can hardly complain that | :09:04. | :09:05. | |
So, just how big is the choice on offer to the public? | :09:06. | :09:09. | |
Since the Liberal Democrats and SNP have ruled out | :09:10. | :09:11. | |
coalitions after June 8th, Adam Fleming compares the Labour | :09:12. | :09:13. | |
Welcome to the BBC's election centre. | :09:14. | :09:16. | |
Four minutes from now, when Big Ben strikes 10.00, | :09:17. | :09:20. | |
we can legally reveal the contents of this, our exit poll. | :09:21. | :09:24. | |
18 days to go, and the BBC's election night studio | :09:25. | :09:26. | |
This is where David Dimbleby will sit, although there is no chair yet. | :09:27. | :09:36. | |
The parties' policies are now the finished product. | :09:37. | :09:39. | |
In Bradford, Jeremy Corbyn vowed a bigger state, | :09:40. | :09:42. | |
the end of austerity, no more tuition fees. | :09:43. | :09:45. | |
The Tory campaign, by contrast, is built on one word - fear. | :09:46. | :09:53. | |
Down the road in Halifax, Theresa May kept a promise to get | :09:54. | :10:01. | |
immigration down to the tens of thousands, and talked | :10:02. | :10:04. | |
of leadership and tough choices in uncertain times. | :10:05. | :10:07. | |
Strengthen my hand as I fight for Britain, and stand with me | :10:08. | :10:13. | |
And, with confidence in ourselves and a unity | :10:14. | :10:19. | |
of purpose in our country, let us go forward together. | :10:20. | :10:27. | |
Let's look at the Labour and Conservative | :10:28. | :10:30. | |
On tax, Labour would introduce a 50p rate for top earners. | :10:31. | :10:36. | |
The Conservatives ditched their triple lock, giving them | :10:37. | :11:00. | |
freedom to put up income tax and national insurance, | :11:01. | :11:02. | |
although they want to keep the overall tax burden the same. | :11:03. | :11:04. | |
Labour offered a major overhaul of the country's wiring, | :11:05. | :11:06. | |
with a pledge to renationalise infrastructure, like power, | :11:07. | :11:08. | |
The Conservatives said that would cost a fortune, | :11:09. | :11:11. | |
but provided few details for the cost of their policies. | :11:12. | :11:14. | |
Labour have simply become a shambles, and, as yesterday's | :11:15. | :11:16. | |
manifesto showed, their numbers simply do not add up. | :11:17. | :11:18. | |
What have they got planned for health and social care? | :11:19. | :11:20. | |
The Conservatives offered more cash for the NHS, | :11:21. | :11:24. | |
reaching an extra ?8 billion a year by the end of the parliament. | :11:25. | :11:28. | |
Labour promised an extra ?30 billion over the course of the same period, | :11:29. | :11:32. | |
plus free hospital parking and more pay for staff. | :11:33. | :11:38. | |
The Conservatives would increase the value of assets you could | :11:39. | :11:45. | |
protect from the cost of social care to ?100,000, but your home would be | :11:46. | :11:48. | |
added to the assessment of your wealth, | :11:49. | :11:50. | |
There was a focus on one group of voters in particular | :11:51. | :11:54. | |
Labour would keep the triple lock, which guarantees that pensions go up | :11:55. | :11:59. | |
The Tories would keep the increase in line | :12:00. | :12:05. | |
with inflation or earnings, a double lock. | :12:06. | :12:08. | |
The Conservatives would end of winter fuel payments | :12:09. | :12:11. | |
for the richest, although we don't know exactly who that would be, | :12:12. | :12:14. | |
This is a savage attack on vulnerable pensioners, | :12:15. | :12:23. | |
particularly those who are just about managing. | :12:24. | :12:27. | |
It is disgraceful, and we are calling upon the Conservative Party | :12:28. | :12:31. | |
When it comes to leaving the European Union, Labour say | :12:32. | :12:37. | |
they'd sweep away the government's negotiating strategy, | :12:38. | :12:40. | |
secure a better deal and straightaway guaranteed the rights | :12:41. | :12:43. | |
The Tories say a big majority would remove political uncertainty | :12:44. | :12:49. | |
Jeremy Vine's due here in two and a half weeks. | :12:50. | :13:01. | |
I'm joined now by David Gauke, who is Chief Secretary to the Treasury. | :13:02. | :13:07. | |
Welcome back to the programme. The Tories once promised a cap on social | :13:08. | :13:14. | |
care costs. Why have you abandoned that? We've looked at it, and there | :13:15. | :13:22. | |
are couple of proposals with the Dilnot proposal. Much of the benefit | :13:23. | :13:27. | |
would go to those inheriting larger estates. The second point was it was | :13:28. | :13:31. | |
hoped that a cap would stimulate the larger insurance products that would | :13:32. | :13:37. | |
fill the gap, but there is no sign that those products are emerging. | :13:38. | :13:42. | |
Without a cap, you will not get one. We have come forward with a new | :13:43. | :13:47. | |
proposal which we think is fairer, provide more money for social care, | :13:48. | :13:51. | |
which is very important and is one of the big issues we face as a | :13:52. | :13:56. | |
country. It is right that we face those big issues. Social care is | :13:57. | :14:01. | |
one, getting a good Brexit deal is another. This demonstrates that | :14:02. | :14:09. | |
Theresa May has an ambition to lead a government that addresses those | :14:10. | :14:11. | |
big long-term issues. Looking at social care. If you have assets, | :14:12. | :14:17. | |
including your home, of over ?100,000, you have to pay for all | :14:18. | :14:21. | |
your social care costs. Is that fair? It is right that for the | :14:22. | :14:26. | |
services that are provided to you, that that is paid out of your | :14:27. | :14:31. | |
assets, subject to two really important qualifications. First, you | :14:32. | :14:35. | |
shouldn't have your entire estate wiped out. At the moment, if you are | :14:36. | :14:42. | |
in residential care, it can be wiped out ?223,000. If you are in | :14:43. | :14:48. | |
domiciliary care, it can be out to ?23,000, plus you're domiciliary. | :14:49. | :14:54. | |
Nobody should be forced to sell their house in their lifetime if | :14:55. | :14:59. | |
they or their spouse needs long-term care. Again, we have protected that | :15:00. | :15:01. | |
in the proposals we set out. But the state will basically take a | :15:02. | :15:11. | |
chunk of your house when you die and they sell. In an essence it is a | :15:12. | :15:16. | |
stealth inheritance tax on everything above ?100,000. But we | :15:17. | :15:19. | |
have those two important protections. I am including that. It | :15:20. | :15:23. | |
is a stealth inheritance tax. We have to face up to the fact that | :15:24. | :15:28. | |
there are significant costs that we face as a country in terms of health | :15:29. | :15:32. | |
and social careful. Traditionally, politicians don't address those | :15:33. | :15:37. | |
issues, particularly during election campaigns. I think it is too Theresa | :15:38. | :15:42. | |
May's credit that we are being straightforward with the British | :15:43. | :15:46. | |
people and saying that we face this long-term challenge. Our manifesto | :15:47. | :15:49. | |
was about the big challenges that we face, one of which was | :15:50. | :15:53. | |
intergenerational fairness and one of which was delivering a strong | :15:54. | :15:57. | |
economy and making sure that we can do that. But in the end, someone is | :15:58. | :16:03. | |
going to have to pay for this. It is going to have to be a balance | :16:04. | :16:07. | |
between the general taxpayer and those receiving the services. We | :16:08. | :16:10. | |
think we have struck the right balance with this proposal. But it | :16:11. | :16:13. | |
is entirely on the individual. People watching this programme, if | :16:14. | :16:18. | |
they have a fair amount of assets, not massive, including the home, | :16:19. | :16:25. | |
they will need to pay for everything themselves until their assets are | :16:26. | :16:29. | |
reduced to ?100,000. It is not a balance, you're putting everything | :16:30. | :16:34. | |
on the original two individual. At the moment, for those in residential | :16:35. | :16:40. | |
care, they have to pay everything until 20 3000. -- everything on the | :16:41. | :16:44. | |
individual. But now they will face more. Those in individual care are | :16:45. | :16:48. | |
seeing their protection going up by four times as much, so that is | :16:49. | :16:52. | |
eliminating unfairness. Why should those in residential care be in a | :16:53. | :16:56. | |
worse position than those receiving domiciliary care? But as I say, that | :16:57. | :17:01. | |
money has to come from somewhere and we are sitting at a proper plan for | :17:02. | :17:05. | |
it. While also made the point that we are more likely to be able to | :17:06. | :17:08. | |
have a properly functioning social care market if we have a strong | :17:09. | :17:12. | |
economy, and to have a strong economy we need to deliver a good | :17:13. | :17:16. | |
deal on Brexit and I think Theresa May is capable of doing that. You | :17:17. | :17:20. | |
have said that before. But if you have a heart attack in old age, the | :17:21. | :17:25. | |
NHS will take care of you. If you have dementia, you now have to pay | :17:26. | :17:29. | |
for the care of yourself. Is that they are? It is already the case | :17:30. | :17:33. | |
that if you have long-term care costs come up as I say, if you are | :17:34. | :17:37. | |
in residential care you pay for all of it until the last ?23,000, but if | :17:38. | :17:43. | |
you are in domiciliary care, excluding your housing assets, but | :17:44. | :17:47. | |
all of your other assets get used up until you are down to ?23,000 a | :17:48. | :17:53. | |
year. And I think it is right at this point that a party that aspires | :17:54. | :18:00. | |
to run this country for the long-term, to address the long-term | :18:01. | :18:03. | |
challenges we have is a country, for us to be clear that we need to | :18:04. | :18:08. | |
deliver this. Because if it is not paid for it this way, if it goes and | :18:09. | :18:14. | |
falls on the general taxpayer, the people who feel hard pressed by the | :18:15. | :18:18. | |
amount of income tax and VAT they pay, frankly we have to say to them, | :18:19. | :18:22. | |
those taxes will go up if we do not address it. But they might go up | :18:23. | :18:26. | |
anyway. The average house price in your part of the country is just shy | :18:27. | :18:32. | |
of ?430,000, so if you told your own constituents that they might have to | :18:33. | :18:36. | |
spend ?300,000 of their assets on social care before the state steps | :18:37. | :18:42. | |
in to help...? As I said earlier, nobody will be forced to pay during | :18:43. | :18:47. | |
their lifetime. Nobody will be forced to sell their houses. We are | :18:48. | :18:52. | |
providing that protection because of the third premium. Which makes it a | :18:53. | :18:57. | |
kind of death tax, doesn't it? Which is what you use to rail against. | :18:58. | :19:02. | |
What it is people paying for the services they have paid out of their | :19:03. | :19:07. | |
assets. But with that very important protection that nobody is going to | :19:08. | :19:10. | |
be wiped out in the way that has happened up until now, down to the | :19:11. | :19:16. | |
last three years. But when Labour propose this, George Osborne called | :19:17. | :19:20. | |
it a death tax and you are now proposing a stealth death tax | :19:21. | :19:24. | |
inheritance tax. Labour's proposals were very different. It is the same | :19:25. | :19:30. | |
effect. Labour's were hitting everyone with an inheritance tax. We | :19:31. | :19:37. | |
are saying that there are -- that there is a state contribution but | :19:38. | :19:39. | |
the public receiving the services will have to pay for it out of | :19:40. | :19:46. | |
assets, which have grown substantially. And which they might | :19:47. | :19:49. | |
now lose to social care. But I would say that people in Hertfordshire pay | :19:50. | :19:54. | |
a lot in income tracks, national insurance and VAT, and this is my | :19:55. | :19:59. | |
bet is going to have to come from somewhere. Well, they are now going | :20:00. | :20:03. | |
to pay a lot of tax and pay for social care. Turning to immigration, | :20:04. | :20:08. | |
you promised to get net migration down to 100,020 ten. You failed. You | :20:09. | :20:12. | |
promised again in 2015 and you are feeling again. Why should voters | :20:13. | :20:17. | |
trust you a third time? It is very clear that only the Conservative | :20:18. | :20:21. | |
Party has an ambition to control immigration and to bring it down. An | :20:22. | :20:26. | |
ambition you have failed to deliver. There are, of course, factors that | :20:27. | :20:30. | |
come into play. For example a couple of years ago we were going through a | :20:31. | :20:34. | |
period when the UK was creating huge numbers of jobs but none of our | :20:35. | :20:37. | |
European neighbours were doing anything like it. Not surprisingly, | :20:38. | :20:41. | |
that feeds through into the immigration numbers that we see. But | :20:42. | :20:48. | |
it is right that we have that ambition because I do not believe it | :20:49. | :20:53. | |
is sustainable to have hundreds of thousands net migration, you're | :20:54. | :20:57. | |
after year after year, and only Theresa May of the Conservative | :20:58. | :21:01. | |
Party is willing to address that. It has gone from being a target to an | :21:02. | :21:05. | |
ambition, and I am pretty sure in a couple of years it will become an | :21:06. | :21:09. | |
untimed aspiration. Is net migration now higher or lower than when you | :21:10. | :21:14. | |
came to power in 2010? I think it is higher at the moment. Let's look at | :21:15. | :21:20. | |
the figures. And there they are. You are right, it is higher, so after | :21:21. | :21:24. | |
six years in power, promising to get it down to 100,000, it is higher. So | :21:25. | :21:32. | |
if that is an ambition and you have not succeeded. We have to accept | :21:33. | :21:35. | |
that there are a number of factors. It continues to be the case that the | :21:36. | :21:40. | |
UK economy is growing and creating a lot of jobs, which is undoubtedly | :21:41. | :21:44. | |
drawing people. But you made the promise on the basis that would not | :21:45. | :21:48. | |
happen? We are certainly outperforming other countries in a | :21:49. | :21:50. | |
way that we could not have predicted in 2010. That is one of the factors. | :21:51. | :21:56. | |
But if you look at a lot of the steps that we have taken over the | :21:57. | :21:59. | |
course of the last seven years, dealing with bogus students, for | :22:00. | :22:05. | |
example, tightening up a lot of the rules. You can say all that but it | :22:06. | :22:08. | |
has made no difference to the headline figure. Clearly it would | :22:09. | :22:12. | |
have gone up by much more and we not taken the steps. But as I say, we | :22:13. | :22:17. | |
cannot for ever, it seems to me, have net migration numbers in the | :22:18. | :22:22. | |
hundreds of thousands. If we get that good Brexit deal, one of the | :22:23. | :22:27. | |
things we can do is tighten up in terms of access here. You say that | :22:28. | :22:32. | |
but you have always had control of non-EU migration. You cannot blame | :22:33. | :22:36. | |
the EU for that. You control immigration from outside the EU. | :22:37. | :22:39. | |
Have you ever managed to get even that below 100,000? Well, no doubt | :22:40. | :22:46. | |
you will present the numbers now. You haven't. You have got down a bit | :22:47. | :22:51. | |
from 2010, I will give you that, but even non-EU migration is still a lot | :22:52. | :22:56. | |
more than 100000 and that is the thing you control. It is 164,000 on | :22:57. | :23:00. | |
the latest figures. There is no point in saying to the voters that | :23:01. | :23:04. | |
when we get control of the EU migration you will get it down when | :23:05. | :23:07. | |
the bit you have control over, you have failed to get that down into | :23:08. | :23:13. | |
the tens of thousands. The general trend has gone up. Non-EU migration | :23:14. | :23:17. | |
we have brought down over the last few years. Not by much, not by | :23:18. | :23:23. | |
anywhere near your 100,000 target. But we clearly have more tools | :23:24. | :23:28. | |
available to us, following Brexit. At this rate it will be around 2030 | :23:29. | :23:33. | |
before you get non-EU migration down to 100,000. We clearly have more | :23:34. | :23:36. | |
tools available to us and I return to the point I made. In the last six | :23:37. | :23:40. | |
or seven years, particularly the last four or five, we have seen the | :23:41. | :23:44. | |
UK jobs market growing substantially. It is extraordinary | :23:45. | :23:48. | |
how many more jobs we have. So you'll only promised the migration | :23:49. | :23:51. | |
target because you did not think you were going to run the economy well? | :23:52. | :23:55. | |
That is what you are telling me. I don't think anyone expected us to | :23:56. | :23:59. | |
create quite a number of jobs that we have done over the last six or | :24:00. | :24:03. | |
seven years. At the time when other European countries have not been. | :24:04. | :24:06. | |
George Osborne says your target is economically illiterate. I disagree | :24:07. | :24:12. | |
with George on that. He is my old boss but I disagree with him on that | :24:13. | :24:19. | |
point. And the reason I say that is looking at the economics and the | :24:20. | :24:22. | |
wider social impact, I don't think it is sustainable for us to have | :24:23. | :24:27. | |
hundreds of thousands, year after year after year. Let me ask you one | :24:28. | :24:31. | |
other thing because you are the chief secretary. Your promising that | :24:32. | :24:35. | |
spending on health will be ?8 billion higher in five use time than | :24:36. | :24:40. | |
it is now. How do you pay for that? From a strong economy, two years ago | :24:41. | :24:42. | |
we had a similar conversation because at that point we said that | :24:43. | :24:48. | |
we would increase spending by ?8 billion. And we are more than on | :24:49. | :24:53. | |
track to deliver it, because it is a priority area for us. Where will the | :24:54. | :24:57. | |
money come from? It will be a priority area for us. We will find | :24:58. | :25:01. | |
the money. So you have not been able to show us a revenue line where this | :25:02. | :25:07. | |
?8 billion will come from. We have a record of making promises to spend | :25:08. | :25:11. | |
more on the NHS and delivering. One thing I would say is that the only | :25:12. | :25:15. | |
way you can spend more money on the NHS is if you have a strong economy, | :25:16. | :25:21. | |
and the biggest risk... But that is true of anything. I am trying to | :25:22. | :25:24. | |
find out where the ?8 billion come from, where will it come from? Know | :25:25. | :25:29. | |
you were saying that perhaps you might increase taxes, ticking off | :25:30. | :25:32. | |
the lock, so people are right to be suspicious. But you will not tell us | :25:33. | :25:39. | |
where the ?8 billion will come from. Andrew, a strong economy is key to | :25:40. | :25:43. | |
delivering more NHS money. That does not tell us where the money is | :25:44. | :25:47. | |
coming from. The biggest risk to a strong economy would be a bad | :25:48. | :25:51. | |
Brexit, which Jeremy Corbyn would deliver. And we have a record of | :25:52. | :25:55. | |
putting more money into the NHS. I think that past performance we can | :25:56. | :25:59. | |
take forward. Thank you for joining us. | :26:00. | :26:01. | |
So, the Conservatives have been taking a bit of flak | :26:02. | :26:03. | |
But Conservative big guns have been out and about this morning taking | :26:04. | :26:07. | |
Here's Boris Johnson on ITV's Peston programme earlier today: | :26:08. | :26:11. | |
What we're trying to do is to address what I think | :26:12. | :26:15. | |
everybody, all serious demographers acknowledge will be the massive | :26:16. | :26:18. | |
problem of the cost of social care long-term. | :26:19. | :26:22. | |
This is a responsible, grown-up, conservative approach, | :26:23. | :26:25. | |
trying to deal with a long-term problem in a way that is equitable, | :26:26. | :26:28. | |
allows people to pass on a very substantial sum, | :26:29. | :26:31. | |
still, to their kids, and takes away the fear | :26:32. | :26:33. | |
Joining me now from Liverpool is Labour's Shadow Chief Secretary | :26:34. | :26:39. | |
Petered out, welcome to the programme. Let's start with social | :26:40. | :26:51. | |
care. The Tories are saying that if you have ?100,000 or more in assets, | :26:52. | :26:55. | |
you should pay for your own social care. What is wrong with that? Well, | :26:56. | :27:00. | |
I think the issue at the end of the day is the question of fairness. Is | :27:01. | :27:05. | |
it fair? And what we're trying to do is to get to a situation where we | :27:06. | :27:09. | |
have, for example, the Dilnot report, which identified that you | :27:10. | :27:15. | |
actually have cap on your spending on social care. We are trying to get | :27:16. | :27:18. | |
to a position where it is a reasonable and fair approach to | :27:19. | :27:24. | |
expenditure. But you will know that a lot of people, particularly in the | :27:25. | :27:28. | |
south of country, London and the south-east, and the adjacent areas | :27:29. | :27:33. | |
around it, they have benefited from huge house price inflation. They | :27:34. | :27:36. | |
have seen their homes go up in value, if and when they sell, they | :27:37. | :27:41. | |
are not taxed on that increase. Why should these people not pay for | :27:42. | :27:47. | |
their own social care if they have the assets to do so? They will be | :27:48. | :27:51. | |
paying for some of their social care but you cannot take social care and | :27:52. | :27:55. | |
health care separately. It has to be an integrated approach. So for | :27:56. | :27:58. | |
example if you do have dementia, you're more likely to be in an | :27:59. | :28:02. | |
elderly person's home for longer and you most probably have been in care | :28:03. | :28:07. | |
for a longer period of time. On the other hand, you might have, if you | :28:08. | :28:11. | |
have had a stroke, there may be continuing care needs paid for by | :28:12. | :28:14. | |
the NHS. So at the end of the date it is trying to get a reasonable | :28:15. | :28:18. | |
balance and just to pluck a figure of ?100,000 out of thin air is not | :28:19. | :28:26. | |
sensible. You will have heard me say about David Gold that the house | :28:27. | :28:32. | |
prices in his area, about 450,000 or so, not quite that, and that people | :28:33. | :28:36. | |
may have to spend quite a lot of that on social care to get down to | :28:37. | :28:41. | |
?100,000. But in your area, the average house price is only | :28:42. | :28:45. | |
?149,000, so your people would not have to pay anything like as much | :28:46. | :28:51. | |
before they hit the ?100,000 minimum. I hesitate to say that but | :28:52. | :28:57. | |
is that not almost a socialist approach to social care that if you | :28:58. | :29:00. | |
are in the affluent Home Counties with a big asset, you pay more, and | :29:01. | :29:05. | |
if you are in an area that is not so affluent and your house is not worth | :29:06. | :29:08. | |
very much, you pay a lot less. What is wrong with that principle? I | :29:09. | :29:13. | |
think the problem I am trying to get to is this issue about equity across | :29:14. | :29:17. | |
the piece. At the end of the day, what we want is a system whereby it | :29:18. | :29:23. | |
is capped at a particular level, and the Dilnot report, after much | :29:24. | :29:27. | |
examination, said we should have a cap on care costs at ?72,000. The | :29:28. | :29:31. | |
Conservatives decided to ditch that and come up with another policy | :29:32. | :29:35. | |
which by all accounts seems to be even more Draconian. At the end of | :29:36. | :29:39. | |
the day it is trying to get social care and an NHS care in a much more | :29:40. | :29:48. | |
fluid way. We had offered the Conservatives to have a bipartisan | :29:49. | :29:51. | |
approach to this. David just said that this is a long term. You do not | :29:52. | :29:56. | |
pick a figure out of thin air and use that as a long-term strategy. | :29:57. | :30:01. | |
The Conservatives are now saying they will increase health spending | :30:02. | :30:07. | |
over the next five years in real terms. You will increase health | :30:08. | :30:12. | |
spending. In what way is your approach to health spending better | :30:13. | :30:17. | |
than the Tories' now? We are contributing an extra 7.2 billion to | :30:18. | :30:24. | |
the NHS and social care over the next few years. But you just don't | :30:25. | :30:28. | |
put money into the NHS or social care. It has to be an integrated | :30:29. | :30:33. | |
approach to social and health care. What we've got is just more of the | :30:34. | :30:38. | |
same. What we don't want to do is just say, we ring-fenced an out for | :30:39. | :30:43. | |
here or there. What you have to do is try to get that... Let me ask you | :30:44. | :30:51. | |
again. In terms of the amount of resource that is going to be devoted | :30:52. | :30:56. | |
in the next five years, and resource does matter for the NHS, in what way | :30:57. | :31:02. | |
are your plans different now from the Conservative plans? The key is | :31:03. | :31:06. | |
how you use that resource. By just putting money in, you've got to say, | :31:07. | :31:11. | |
if we are going to put that money on, how do we use it? As somebody | :31:12. | :31:18. | |
who has worked in social care for 40 years, you have to have a different | :31:19. | :31:22. | |
approach to how you use that money. The money we are putting in, 7.7, | :31:23. | :31:27. | |
may be similar in cash terms to what the Tories claim they are putting | :31:28. | :31:32. | |
in, but it's not how much you put in per se, it is how you use it. You | :31:33. | :31:46. | |
are going to get rid of car parking charges in hospital, and you are | :31:47. | :31:48. | |
going to increase pay by taking the cap on pay off. So it doesn't | :31:49. | :31:51. | |
necessarily follow that the money, under your way of doing it, will | :31:52. | :31:53. | |
follow the front line. What you need in the NHS is a system that is | :31:54. | :31:57. | |
capable of dealing with the patience you have. What we have now is on at | :31:58. | :32:05. | |
five Asian of the NHS. Staff leaving, not being paid properly. So | :32:06. | :32:14. | |
pay and the NHS go hand in hand. Let's move onto another area of | :32:15. | :32:18. | |
policy where there is some confusion. Who speaks for the Labour | :32:19. | :32:24. | |
Party on nuclear weapons? Is it Emily Thornbury, or Nia Griffith, | :32:25. | :32:30. | |
defence spokesperson? The Labour manifesto. It is clear. We are | :32:31. | :32:35. | |
committed to the nuclear deterrent, and that is the definitive... Is it? | :32:36. | :32:46. | |
Emily Thornbury said that Trident could be scrapped in the defence | :32:47. | :32:49. | |
review you would have immediately after taking power. On LBC on Friday | :32:50. | :32:55. | |
night. She didn't, actually. I listened to that. What she actually | :32:56. | :33:01. | |
said is, as part of a Labour government coming in, a new | :33:02. | :33:06. | |
government, there is always a defence review. But not the concept | :33:07. | :33:10. | |
of Trident in its substance. She said there would be a review in | :33:11. | :33:17. | |
terms of, and this is in our manifesto. When you reduce | :33:18. | :33:21. | |
something, you review how it is operated. The review could scrap | :33:22. | :33:27. | |
Trident. It won't scrap Trident. The review is in the context of how you | :33:28. | :33:32. | |
protect it from cyber attacks. This will issue was seized upon that she | :33:33. | :33:38. | |
was saying that we would have another review of Trident or Labour | :33:39. | :33:43. | |
would ditch it. That is nonsense. You will have seen some reports that | :33:44. | :33:50. | |
MI5 opened a file on Jeremy Corbyn in the early 90s because of his | :33:51. | :33:54. | |
links to Irish republicanism. This has caused some people, his links to | :33:55. | :34:03. | |
the IRA and Sinn Fein, it has caused some concern. Could you just listen | :34:04. | :34:09. | |
to this clip and react. Do you condemn what the IRA did? I condemn | :34:10. | :34:16. | |
all bombing. But do you condemn what the IRA did? I condemn what was done | :34:17. | :34:21. | |
with the British Army as well as both sides as well. What happened in | :34:22. | :34:25. | |
Derry in 1972 was pretty devastating as well. Do you distinguish between | :34:26. | :34:32. | |
state forces, what the British Army did and the IRA? Well, in a sense, | :34:33. | :34:38. | |
the treatment of IRA prisoners which made them into virtual political | :34:39. | :34:44. | |
prisoners suggested that the British government and the state saw some | :34:45. | :34:48. | |
kind of almost equivalent in it. My point is that the whole violence if | :34:49. | :34:55. | |
you was terrible, was appalling, and came out of a process that had been | :34:56. | :35:02. | |
allowed to fester in Northern Ireland for a very long time. That | :35:03. | :35:07. | |
was from about two years ago. Can you explain why the Leader of the | :35:08. | :35:11. | |
Labour Party, Her Majesty 's opposition, the man who would be our | :35:12. | :35:15. | |
next Prime Minister, finds it so hard to condemn IRA arming? I think | :35:16. | :35:22. | |
it has to be within the context that Jeremy Corbyn for many years trying | :35:23. | :35:25. | |
to move the peace protest... Process along. So why wouldn't you condemn | :35:26. | :35:34. | |
IRA bombing? Again, that was an issue, a traumatic event in Irish - | :35:35. | :35:42. | |
British relations that went on for 30 years. It is a complicated | :35:43. | :35:47. | |
matter. Bombing is not that complicated. If you are a man of | :35:48. | :35:52. | |
peace, surely you would condemn the bomb and the bullet? Let me say | :35:53. | :35:56. | |
this, I condemn the bomb and the bullet. Why can't your leader? You | :35:57. | :36:03. | |
would have to ask Jeremy Corbyn, but that is in the context of what he | :36:04. | :36:08. | |
was trying to do over a 25 year period to move the priest process | :36:09. | :36:09. | |
along. Thank you for joining us. It's just gone 11.35, | :36:10. | :36:12. | |
you're watching the Sunday Politics. We say goodbye to viewers | :36:13. | :36:14. | |
in Scotland and Wales. Hello and welcome to | :36:15. | :36:24. | |
Sunday Politics in Northern Ireland. The election campaign in Britain | :36:25. | :36:26. | |
heated up this week with the launch of the Labour and Conservative | :36:27. | :36:30. | |
manifestos, but we're still waiting to hear what our local | :36:31. | :36:32. | |
parties have up their sleeves. Heading into his first election | :36:33. | :36:36. | |
as leader of the Ulster Unionists, Robin Swann will be outlining | :36:37. | :36:40. | |
his plans to retain the party's And sharing their thoughts I'm | :36:41. | :36:43. | |
joined by the Irish News journalist Allison Morris and | :36:44. | :36:49. | |
the columnist Alex Kane. With two and half weeks to go before | :36:50. | :36:57. | |
polling in the Westminster election, one issue that has been | :36:58. | :37:00. | |
at the front of the campaign Yesterday, protesters | :37:01. | :37:03. | |
were on the streets of Belfast Thousands of people marched | :37:04. | :37:06. | |
from the Falls Road Politicians too joined the protest | :37:07. | :37:12. | |
including the SDLP, Sinn Fein, At City Hall the crowd heard | :37:13. | :37:18. | |
speeches in English and Irish No longer will we be in the back | :37:19. | :37:35. | |
rooms. We will be front and centre. We will take over our towns and | :37:36. | :37:38. | |
cities. The Irish language are at the very centre of who we are as | :37:39. | :37:42. | |
people now. We're not going anywhere. | :37:43. | :37:50. | |
Body singles going on yesterday? You can see from the amount of people on | :37:51. | :38:02. | |
the streets, that some people have tried to make it a Rob Dallek | :38:03. | :38:10. | |
radical Republican agenda. It is actually people from all walks of | :38:11. | :38:19. | |
life. It has allies from other communities towards this issue. The | :38:20. | :38:24. | |
issue with Irish language is the priests the Mac peace process that | :38:25. | :38:27. | |
Mac peace and a figure reason it has become | :38:28. | :38:42. | |
so... Are missing the nationalist vote being galvanised once again? | :38:43. | :38:48. | |
They certainly are going to try and maximise it. In the wider issue, we | :38:49. | :38:55. | |
are asking if there will be an Irish language act. I think there is going | :38:56. | :39:00. | |
to be. I think it is inevitable that there will not be a return to the | :39:01. | :39:04. | |
status quo. This has to be at the heart of their agenda. Without this | :39:05. | :39:10. | |
act, there is going to be no assembly, no executive. There was a | :39:11. | :39:18. | |
softening from Michelle O'Neill last week when she talked about Ulster | :39:19. | :39:22. | |
Scots and other cultural aspect being brought into the same package. | :39:23. | :39:28. | |
Think we are looking at the deal. I think there will be a package on the | :39:29. | :39:36. | |
Irish act very soon. Is that how you see it? Yes. I think it has to have | :39:37. | :39:43. | |
a wider cultural context. Once you widen it out, I think they will | :39:44. | :39:46. | |
accept that they know it has been put down as a red line and I think | :39:47. | :39:50. | |
the amount of people that has taken to the streets says it is not just | :39:51. | :39:55. | |
something on a whim, it is an important aspect of the talks. | :39:56. | :39:59. | |
Thank you, both, we'll hear more from you later. | :40:00. | :40:01. | |
Just six weeks into the job and Robin Swann is facing his first | :40:02. | :40:05. | |
electoral challenge as leader of the Ulster Unionist Party. | :40:06. | :40:07. | |
His main challenge is to retain the two Westminster seats the party | :40:08. | :40:10. | |
has held since 2015, but he also has to try to reverse | :40:11. | :40:13. | |
a long-term downward trend in the party's vote. | :40:14. | :40:17. | |
How confident are you of keeping your seats in South Antrim | :40:18. | :40:24. | |
I am pretty confident. We are under no illusion that both seats are | :40:25. | :40:29. | |
going to be a fight and a struggle for us, but we're up for that fight. | :40:30. | :40:38. | |
We are under pressure from thin Fein because they are galvanised. | :40:39. | :40:52. | |
Southampton, Danny Kennedy is the best candidate. You accept that they | :40:53. | :41:00. | |
are both in pretty tight fights and that you could lose some of those | :41:01. | :41:07. | |
seats that is a real possibility. Yes. To MPs are putting in lots of | :41:08. | :41:17. | |
work and I'm confident that they will retain those seats. This is a | :41:18. | :41:26. | |
first past the post election, so it is about personalities and it is to | :41:27. | :41:29. | |
very strong candidates. Confident, pragmatic | :41:30. | :41:34. | |
unionism is your mantra, yet you're running fourteen | :41:35. | :41:35. | |
candidates in this election, the smallest number | :41:36. | :41:37. | |
of the five main parties. The party itself has made it very | :41:38. | :41:49. | |
clear that I wanted the two be a champion of the union. And how it | :41:50. | :41:57. | |
fits in in a wider UK context. It broadens out over Brexit, it | :41:58. | :42:02. | |
broadens the strength of the union both in Scotland and Wales and the | :42:03. | :42:06. | |
rest of the UK. That is where I see the Ulster Unionist Party fitting. | :42:07. | :42:16. | |
Engaging at that level, coming out of Brexit negotiations, we are going | :42:17. | :42:20. | |
to be on a global stage. An economic stage, a social stage and the rest | :42:21. | :42:24. | |
of the global sphere. I see Northern Ireland is being able to do that. We | :42:25. | :42:28. | |
withdrew... You withdrew from several | :42:29. | :42:30. | |
constituencies before you'd even tried to secure a pact with the DUP | :42:31. | :42:31. | |
- and some people saw that as a sign What was your strategy - | :42:32. | :42:35. | |
did you have a strategy? Of course we had a strategy. One of | :42:36. | :42:43. | |
the things that we looked at, going back to the previous answer, | :42:44. | :42:51. | |
Northern Ireland need voices in Westminster not just for Brexit but | :42:52. | :42:54. | |
for the period after that. Because of Northern Ireland art in there, we | :42:55. | :42:59. | |
are in a far weakened position. An example of that is that we have | :43:00. | :43:07. | |
three MEPs in Europe. The middle of Brussels, arguing as a conglomerate | :43:08. | :43:13. | |
for Northern Ireland. Those three voices came together and represented | :43:14. | :43:18. | |
Northern Ireland, irrespective of party politics. They could stomach | :43:19. | :43:26. | |
got good deals in Europe. Now we need people in Westminster. Your | :43:27. | :43:33. | |
party is a shadow of its former self. We look at the nub of seats | :43:34. | :43:37. | |
you had 20 years ago and look at where you are now, scrabbling around | :43:38. | :43:40. | |
to hang onto one or two seats, when you look at how your representatives | :43:41. | :43:46. | |
in The Assembly has fallen? There is no scrambling. We are in a tight | :43:47. | :43:54. | |
fight for Northern Ireland, as well. The just rumour that in 1997, you | :43:55. | :44:03. | |
have 32.7% of the votes. 60% of the vote in 2010. -- 16. You lost seats. | :44:04. | :44:16. | |
We lost seats because of the drop from six seats to five seats. You | :44:17. | :44:22. | |
can't claim it was anything other than a bad result. We would only | :44:23. | :44:27. | |
party that increased our percentage share of the vote. It may have only | :44:28. | :44:35. | |
been... Is what I want to do under my leadership. I can expand that | :44:36. | :44:41. | |
said that unionism is no longer seen as a derogatory insult. That | :44:42. | :44:46. | |
unionism is actually something that a lot of people can buy into because | :44:47. | :44:51. | |
of the strength of what it means on a UK basis. Following Brexit, what | :44:52. | :44:56. | |
it means to be part of the UK on a worldwide basis, as well. On the | :44:57. | :45:01. | |
global stage. What is your relationship with Arlene Foster? You | :45:02. | :45:04. | |
called her a bit arrogant when she wrote in the Belfast Telegraph that | :45:05. | :45:09. | |
she wouldn't be standing, but wanted a clear run in south Belfast. A bit | :45:10. | :45:14. | |
arrogant, doesn't that suggest that she sees herself as the person who | :45:15. | :45:18. | |
is leading and speaking for unionism and make you are a bit part player? | :45:19. | :45:23. | |
I didn't know that Arlene actually said that, but I will talk to her | :45:24. | :45:29. | |
about it. I am reading between the lines. It's just your context in | :45:30. | :45:39. | |
your spin on it, Mark. We have just announced that we were going to run. | :45:40. | :45:50. | |
And the DUP was written about by the Belfast Telegraph as being given | :45:51. | :46:05. | |
every run. -- a free run. As I said earlier, 103,000 votes. Many | :46:06. | :46:11. | |
recognise the value of the Ulster Unionist party. 225,000 opted for | :46:12. | :46:21. | |
the DUP. That is not worth getting excited about 100 and 3000. There is | :46:22. | :46:29. | |
no doubt about which is the main Unionist party. That does not mean | :46:30. | :46:35. | |
when going to go away, either. What it does do is it nails the nonsense | :46:36. | :46:41. | |
that Mike Nesbitt talked about when he said he wanted the Ulster | :46:42. | :46:45. | |
Unionist Party to be the main party of unionism. We're still fighting. | :46:46. | :46:57. | |
Ripley for a credible candidates for this election. We have got a very | :46:58. | :47:03. | |
strong team and we have let to see them being functional and working | :47:04. | :47:10. | |
for the people of Northern Ireland. Because of the inability of The | :47:11. | :47:13. | |
Assembly to come about. At this point of time, we are getting in the | :47:14. | :47:21. | |
doors. We need to make sure there is an assembly and that there is a | :47:22. | :47:30. | |
change of the mindset that we are seeing of people on the steps. Now | :47:31. | :47:36. | |
people want to see The Assembly work. Because we are seeing the | :47:37. | :47:39. | |
denigration of the services in our health services. Also education. | :47:40. | :47:47. | |
With respect, they may or may not want to see the semi-working, this | :47:48. | :47:53. | |
is a election to Westminster. You have two seats there. If you hold | :47:54. | :47:57. | |
onto them, you will have very little influence on a Westminster dominated | :47:58. | :48:00. | |
by a Conservative Party that does very well and all the polls | :48:01. | :48:03. | |
suggesting that that is going to be case. Whether we have a return to | :48:04. | :48:08. | |
Stormont or not is not what that it's about. It is what we are | :48:09. | :48:11. | |
getting on the doorsteps and that is what we have do understand the | :48:12. | :48:16. | |
context of Northern Ireland. It all becomes amalgamated. What are people | :48:17. | :48:22. | |
saying on the doorstep about Mike Nesbitt lying on his face in a | :48:23. | :48:28. | |
hotel? How difficult was it about the confusion and speculation? We're | :48:29. | :48:38. | |
not fighting this on that. If you have any specific questions you want | :48:39. | :48:45. | |
to ask, then I will answer them. He is accounted a comic you must be | :48:46. | :48:52. | |
embarrassed. -- he is a candidate. Mike is a strong candidate of his | :48:53. | :49:01. | |
own right. We have got strong candidates across the country. Let's | :49:02. | :49:12. | |
talk about Brexit. That is an important issue as far as this issue | :49:13. | :49:16. | |
is concerned. You said we need to get the best deal for Northern | :49:17. | :49:19. | |
Ireland. What does that look like in your view? One of the things we | :49:20. | :49:27. | |
hear, and I think it is one of the things we have two nail down as | :49:28. | :49:31. | |
well, no matter what party you vote for on the 8th of June, is not to | :49:32. | :49:47. | |
engage in a second referendum. Theresa May is going to move on. The | :49:48. | :49:53. | |
calls are fear and threat that has been put around about the hard | :49:54. | :49:57. | |
border. The Irish Government are very clear that he didn't want a | :49:58. | :50:06. | |
hard border. Nobody wants a hard border. Why are we putting that on | :50:07. | :50:14. | |
the political agenda? One of the things I'm very clear about, I don't | :50:15. | :50:18. | |
want to see a border in the Irish Sea because that is something that | :50:19. | :50:23. | |
Northern Ireland could could not afford politically or economically | :50:24. | :50:28. | |
across Irish Sea trade and I do not think it is something that the | :50:29. | :50:32. | |
Republic of Ireland want, either. Arlene Foster told me that it isn't | :50:33. | :50:47. | |
outrage that Michelle... That is between Michelle and Arlene. That is | :50:48. | :50:54. | |
holding up the return to Stormont that you have just said is important | :50:55. | :51:00. | |
to your voters. We do not know at this stage whether it is going to | :51:01. | :51:05. | |
hold up. There are a number of round tables that we are having leading | :51:06. | :51:12. | |
into this time. I think this will be the final challenge between Sinn | :51:13. | :51:19. | |
Fein and them. It is up to them to work out how best to move forward. | :51:20. | :51:28. | |
Do you think there should be an Irish language act? One of the | :51:29. | :51:34. | |
things that I am not constable with was the Irish language act that Sinn | :51:35. | :51:40. | |
Fein put forward in 2015, which would have an Irish language | :51:41. | :51:49. | |
official. He would have the same powers as a High Court judge who | :51:50. | :51:54. | |
would be able to penalised people for not recognising Irish language. | :51:55. | :52:04. | |
We are cutting back the number of our civil servants, to bring in | :52:05. | :52:07. | |
legislation that would bring in 10% recruitment of Irish language | :52:08. | :52:13. | |
speakers. If it came down to it with the Ulster Unionist Party back and | :52:14. | :52:21. | |
Irish language act or not? That sounds such a simple question. Not | :52:22. | :52:26. | |
the one we have in front of us. I'm not going to sign a blank cheque on | :52:27. | :52:31. | |
behalf of the Ulster Unionist Party before I know what is in it. If the | :52:32. | :52:35. | |
act was not the Sinn Fein version, if the act was a wider cultural act, | :52:36. | :52:39. | |
then you would be persuadable, would you? This is the conversation that | :52:40. | :52:48. | |
we had with Sinn Fein about this specific issue. We tabled an act, | :52:49. | :52:56. | |
they wouldn't wear that because it wasn't a specific Irish language | :52:57. | :53:00. | |
act. They wanted a specific Irish language act. We were trying to look | :53:01. | :53:07. | |
at a broader language act. I believe there are solutions. Sinn Fein want | :53:08. | :53:12. | |
a specific Irish language act. Finally, Mike Nesbitt predicted the | :53:13. | :53:15. | |
outcome of last year's assembly election. He put a number in a | :53:16. | :53:21. | |
sealed envelope. I have an envelope, can I tempt you? Know. I'm not | :53:22. | :53:30. | |
interested in playing with fire. Maybe you know more than I know. | :53:31. | :53:36. | |
What about the challenge of holding onto those two seats? A big | :53:37. | :53:45. | |
challenge. In fairness, I felt that in 2015, there were more likely to | :53:46. | :53:54. | |
lose one and when the other. I think it will be the other time round this | :53:55. | :54:03. | |
-- other way round. I still think Danny Kennedy will hold on. In term | :54:04. | :54:17. | |
of the biggest challenge, the Ulster Unionist Party exactly where the DUP | :54:18. | :54:25. | |
were in 1991 or 9092. It is about working out how you reinvent | :54:26. | :54:31. | |
themselves. A road that has not already been swallowed up by the | :54:32. | :54:35. | |
DUP. Saying this is how we can make a difference since it has become DUP | :54:36. | :54:41. | |
and Sinn Fein that has turned it into a permanent contest. Is that | :54:42. | :54:47. | |
doable, Alison? Is the situation possible to be turned around? I | :54:48. | :54:53. | |
don't think so, at this point. I do think that Robin was right when he | :54:54. | :55:00. | |
said that elections can be more about personalities. There has been | :55:01. | :55:12. | |
a lot of outreach for softer nationalist who maybe would be | :55:13. | :55:21. | |
looking at Sinn Fein. The charge that was made against the Ulster | :55:22. | :55:24. | |
Unionist Party against Mike Nesbitt was that there was too much mixed | :55:25. | :55:28. | |
messaging. How does Robin Swan deal with that and sell one single | :55:29. | :55:35. | |
message? I think that was a confident performance by Robin there | :55:36. | :55:41. | |
today. It was mixed messages. They quite happily wandered into the | :55:42. | :55:51. | |
Unionist forum. I have been in the Ulster Unionist Party. They need to | :55:52. | :55:56. | |
find one key thing that the Ulster Unionists can say. Interesting. They | :55:57. | :56:00. | |
give very much indeed. That pause and have a look back at the week | :56:01. | :56:01. | |
gone past with Na. A relaxed end of interview chat | :56:02. | :56:13. | |
created headlines. Arlene Foster didn't expect them. My advice to her | :56:14. | :56:18. | |
as any politician come as any client would be think before you speak. The | :56:19. | :56:23. | |
DUP leader was on more familiar territory by the end of the week. | :56:24. | :56:27. | |
How dare Sinn Fein tell the Unionist people who their leader should be. | :56:28. | :56:33. | |
It is an outrage. Was the Sinn Fein leader RH bye blonde comment? She | :56:34. | :56:40. | |
was wrong. We have a responsibility to set the tone and be very | :56:41. | :56:47. | |
responsible of our language. He is stepping down, but is he being | :56:48. | :56:50. | |
treated fairly? He had to go and do his job. I have enough to prosecute. | :56:51. | :56:58. | |
And it was goodbye after the leader said he was leaving office. Simon | :56:59. | :57:07. | |
Kofi and Liam are vying for his job. Let's have a final word | :57:08. | :57:15. | |
with Allison and Alex. You think the criticism of their -- | :57:16. | :57:34. | |
is fair about calling her blonde? Yes. Politically I think she thought | :57:35. | :57:42. | |
it was going to be a nice soft interview when she could show her | :57:43. | :57:48. | |
fluffy side backfired. There is no such thing as a soft interview. That | :57:49. | :57:53. | |
proved it. She was left her own thinking what could go wrong? | :57:54. | :58:01. | |
Anybody who allows themselves to have a word association game is not | :58:02. | :58:09. | |
a good idea. She should have dodged that question completely. We heard | :58:10. | :58:15. | |
from Arlene Foster and she was talking for the first time about the | :58:16. | :58:19. | |
issue of the Brexit donation RC. What did you make of what she had to | :58:20. | :58:24. | |
say about that donation of ?435,000? She should be much clearer. The | :58:25. | :58:29. | |
following day it was revealed that the guy who was the source of the | :58:30. | :58:33. | |
donation have handled it. She clearly knew all about. What it is | :58:34. | :58:37. | |
out there, somebody will find the truth. It is much easier and | :58:38. | :58:40. | |
politics just to say, this is what happened. This is how it happened, | :58:41. | :58:44. | |
this is why we did it. If you leave questions unanswered, it is not only | :58:45. | :58:47. | |
the interview is it like you who will go after, it is also twitter | :58:48. | :58:54. | |
any social media world. Also the point about the blonde thing, it was | :58:55. | :59:01. | |
epically stupid. It will not lose to a vote within unionism. She doesn't | :59:02. | :59:07. | |
care. Final quick sentence? I agree. It will do her no harm. She based | :59:08. | :59:13. | |
herself on Margaret Thatcher and she should stick to that and not try and | :59:14. | :59:18. | |
be cancelled. And rent to own is still | :59:19. | :59:18. | |
our cancelled. And rent to own is still | :59:19. | :59:18. | |
be too cancelled. And rent to own is still | :59:19. | :59:19. | |
our policy. cancelled. And rent to own is still | :59:20. | :59:19. | |
be too fluffy. cancelled. And rent to own is still | :59:20. | :59:19. | |
our policy. Thank cancelled. And rent to own is still | :59:20. | :59:19. | |
be too fluffy. Thank cancelled. And rent to own is still | :59:20. | :59:19. | |
our policy. Thank you cancelled. And rent to own is still | :59:20. | :59:19. | |
be too fluffy. Thank you cancelled. And rent to own is still | :59:20. | :59:19. | |
our policy. Thank you very cancelled. And rent to own is still | :59:20. | :59:19. | |
be too fluffy. Thank you very cancelled. And rent to own is still | :59:20. | :59:19. | |
our policy. Thank you very much, cancelled. And rent to own is still | :59:20. | :59:19. | |
be too fluffy. Thank you very much. cancelled. And rent to own is still | :59:20. | :59:20. | |
our policy. Thank you very much, Tom Brake. Andrew, back to you. | :59:21. | :59:26. | |
So, two and half weeks to go till polling day, | :59:27. | :59:28. | |
let's take stock of the campaign so far and look ahead | :59:29. | :59:31. | |
Sam, Isabel and Steve are with me again. | :59:32. | :59:40. | |
Sam, Mrs May had made a great thing about the just about managing. Not | :59:41. | :59:47. | |
the poorest of the poor, but not really affluent people, who are | :59:48. | :59:54. | |
maybe OK but it's a bit of a struggle. What is in the manifesto | :59:55. | :59:58. | |
for them? There is something about the high profile items in the | :59:59. | :00:02. | |
manifesto. She said she wants to help those just above the poorest | :00:03. | :00:07. | |
level. But if you look at things like the winter fuel allowance, | :00:08. | :00:12. | |
which is going to be given only to the poorest. If you look at free | :00:13. | :00:16. | |
school meals for infants, those for the poorest are going to be kept, | :00:17. | :00:20. | |
but the rest will go. The social care plan, those who are renting or | :00:21. | :00:28. | |
in properties worth up to ?90,000, they are going to be treated, but | :00:29. | :00:33. | |
those in properties worth above that, 250,000, for example, will | :00:34. | :00:39. | |
have to pay. Which leads to the question - what is being done for | :00:40. | :00:46. | |
the just about managings? There is something, the personal allowance | :00:47. | :00:49. | |
that David Cameron promised in 2015, that they are not making a big deal | :00:50. | :00:54. | |
of that, because they cannot say by how much. So you are looking in tax | :00:55. | :01:00. | |
rises on the just about managings. Where will the tax rises come from. | :01:01. | :01:08. | |
We do not know, that there is the 40 million pounds gap for the Tories to | :01:09. | :01:15. | |
reach what they are pledging in their manifesto. We do not know how | :01:16. | :01:20. | |
that is going to be made up, more tax, or more borrowing? So that is | :01:21. | :01:26. | |
why the questions of the implications of removing the tax | :01:27. | :01:30. | |
lock are so potentially difficult for Tory MPs. The Labour manifesto | :01:31. | :01:34. | |
gives figures for the cost of certain policies and where the | :01:35. | :01:37. | |
revenue will come from. You can argue about the figures, but at | :01:38. | :01:43. | |
least we have the figures. The Tory manifesto is opaque on these | :01:44. | :01:47. | |
matters. That applies to both the manifestos. Looking at the Labour | :01:48. | :01:51. | |
manifesto on the way here this morning, when you look at the | :01:52. | :01:55. | |
section on care for the elderly, they simply say, there are various | :01:56. | :01:59. | |
ways in which the money for this can be raised. They are specific on | :02:00. | :02:05. | |
other things. They are, and we heard John McDonnell this morning being | :02:06. | :02:10. | |
very on that, and saying there is not a single ? in Tory manifesto. I | :02:11. | :02:18. | |
have only got to page 66. It is quite broad brush and they are very | :02:19. | :02:24. | |
open to challenge. For example, on the detail of a number of their | :02:25. | :02:29. | |
flagship things. There is no detail on their immigration policy. They | :02:30. | :02:33. | |
reiterate the ambition, but not how they are going to do that, without a | :02:34. | :02:38. | |
massive increase in resource for Borders officials. We are at a time | :02:39. | :02:45. | |
where average wages are lagging behind prices. And in work benefits | :02:46. | :02:52. | |
remain frozen. I would have thought that the just-about-managings are | :02:53. | :02:57. | |
people who are in work but they need some in work benefits to make life | :02:58. | :03:00. | |
tolerable and be able to pay bills. Doesn't she has to do more for them? | :03:01. | :03:08. | |
Maybe, but this whole manifesto was her inner circle saying, right, this | :03:09. | :03:15. | |
is our chance to express our... It partly reads like a sort of | :03:16. | :03:22. | |
philosophical essay at times. About the challenges, individualism | :03:23. | :03:26. | |
against collectivism. Some of it reads quite well and is quite | :03:27. | :03:32. | |
interesting, but in terms of its detail, Labour would never get away | :03:33. | :03:36. | |
with it. They wouldn't be allowed to be so vague about where taxes are | :03:37. | :03:40. | |
going to rise. We know there are going to be tax rises after the | :03:41. | :03:45. | |
election, but we don't know where they will be. 100%, there will be | :03:46. | :03:53. | |
tax rises. We know that they wanted a tax rise in the last budget, but | :03:54. | :03:58. | |
they couldn't get it through because of the 2015 manifesto. Labour do | :03:59. | :04:02. | |
offer a lot more detail. People could disagree with it, but there is | :04:03. | :04:08. | |
a lot more detail. More to get your teeth into. About capital gains tax | :04:09. | :04:14. | |
and the rises for better owners and so on. The SNP manifesto comes out | :04:15. | :04:19. | |
this week, and the Greens and Sinn Fein. We think Ukip as well. There | :04:20. | :04:25. | |
are more manifestos to come. The Lib Dems have already brought theirs | :04:26. | :04:32. | |
out. Isn't the Liberal Democrat campaign in trouble? It doesn't seem | :04:33. | :04:36. | |
to be doing particular the well in the polls, or at the local elections | :04:37. | :04:41. | |
a few weeks ago. The Liberal Democrats are trying to fish in | :04:42. | :04:46. | |
quite a small pool for votes. They are looking to get votes from those | :04:47. | :04:51. | |
remainers who want to reverse the result, in effect. Tim Farron is | :04:52. | :04:56. | |
promising a second referendum on the deal at the end of the negotiation | :04:57. | :05:03. | |
process. And that is a hard sell. So those voting for remain on June 23 | :05:04. | :05:09. | |
are not low hanging fruit by any means? Polls suggesting that half of | :05:10. | :05:15. | |
those want to reverse the result, so that is a feeling of about 20% on | :05:16. | :05:20. | |
the Lib Dems, and they are getting slightly less than half at the | :05:21. | :05:23. | |
moment, but there are not a huge amount of votes for them to get on | :05:24. | :05:29. | |
that strategy. It doesn't feel like Tim Farron and the Lib Dems have | :05:30. | :05:38. | |
promised enough. They are making a very serious case on cannabis use in | :05:39. | :05:42. | |
a nightclub, but the optics of what they are discussing doesn't make | :05:43. | :05:46. | |
them look like an anchor in a future coalition government that they would | :05:47. | :05:50. | |
need to be. I wonder if we are seeing the re-emergence of the | :05:51. | :05:54. | |
2-party system? And it is not the same two parties. In Scotland, the | :05:55. | :05:59. | |
dynamics of this election seemed to be the Nationalists against the | :06:00. | :06:03. | |
Conservatives. In England, if you look at what has happened to be Ukip | :06:04. | :06:17. | |
vote, and what Sam was saying about the Lib Dems are struggling a bit to | :06:18. | :06:21. | |
get some traction, it is overwhelmingly Labour and the | :06:22. | :06:23. | |
Conservatives. A different 2-party system from Scotland, but a 2-party | :06:24. | :06:25. | |
system. There are a number of different election is going on in | :06:26. | :06:29. | |
parallel. In Scotland it is about whether you are unionist or not. | :06:30. | :06:34. | |
Here, we have the collapse of the Ukip vote, which looks as though it | :06:35. | :06:39. | |
is being redistributed in the Tories' favour. This is a unique | :06:40. | :06:43. | |
election, and will not necessarily set the trend for elections to come. | :06:44. | :06:50. | |
In the Tory manifesto, I spotted the fact that the fixed term Parliament | :06:51. | :06:54. | |
act is going to be scrapped. That got almost no coverage! It turned | :06:55. | :07:02. | |
out to be academic anyway, that it tells you something about how | :07:03. | :07:06. | |
Theresa May is feeling, and she wants the control to call an | :07:07. | :07:11. | |
election whenever it suits her. Re-emergence of the 2-party system, | :07:12. | :07:14. | |
for this election or beyond? For this election, yes, but it shows the | :07:15. | :07:24. | |
sort of robust strength of parties and their fragility. In other words, | :07:25. | :07:27. | |
the Lib Dems haven't really recovered from the losses in the | :07:28. | :07:32. | |
last general election, and are therefore not really seen as a | :07:33. | :07:37. | |
robust vehicle to deliver Remain. If they were, they might be doing | :07:38. | :07:42. | |
better. The Labour Party hasn't recovered in Scotland, and yet, if | :07:43. | :07:47. | |
you look at the basic divide in England and Scotland and you see two | :07:48. | :07:51. | |
parties battling it out, it is very, very hard for the smaller parties to | :07:52. | :07:57. | |
break through and last. Many appear briefly on the political stage and | :07:58. | :08:03. | |
then disappear again. The election had the ostensible goal of Brexit, | :08:04. | :08:08. | |
but we haven't heard much about it in the campaign. Perhaps the Tories | :08:09. | :08:13. | |
want to get back onto that. David Davis sounding quite tough this | :08:14. | :08:17. | |
morning, the Brexit minister, saying there is no chance we will talk | :08:18. | :08:22. | |
about 100 billion. And we have to have power in the negotiations on | :08:23. | :08:26. | |
the free trade deal or what ever it is. I think they are keen to get the | :08:27. | :08:31. | |
subject of the manifesto at this point, because it has not started | :08:32. | :08:36. | |
too well. There is an irony that Theresa May ostensibly called the | :08:37. | :08:40. | |
election because she needed a stronger hand in the Brexit | :08:41. | :08:45. | |
negotiations, and there was an opportunity for the Lib Dems, with | :08:46. | :08:48. | |
their unique offer of being the party that is absolutely against the | :08:49. | :08:53. | |
outcome of the referendum, and offering another chance. There | :08:54. | :08:59. | |
hasn't been much airtime on that particular pledge, because instead, | :09:00. | :09:03. | |
this election has segued into being all about leadership. Theresa May's | :09:04. | :09:09. | |
leadership, and looking again at the Tory manifesto, I was struck that | :09:10. | :09:14. | |
she was saying that this is my plan for the future, not ABBA plan. Even | :09:15. | :09:21. | |
when talking about social care, he manages to work in a bit about | :09:22. | :09:27. | |
Theresa May and Brexit. And Boris Johnson this morning, an interview | :09:28. | :09:31. | |
he gave on another political programme this morning, it was | :09:32. | :09:36. | |
extraordinarily sycophantic for him. Isn't Theresa May wonderful. There | :09:37. | :09:41. | |
is a man trying to secure his job in the Foreign Office! Will he succeed? | :09:42. | :09:47. | |
I think she will leave him. Better in the tent than out. What did you | :09:48. | :09:55. | |
make of David Davis' remarks? He was basically saying, we will walk away | :09:56. | :10:00. | |
from the negotiating table if the Europeans slam a bill for 100 | :10:01. | :10:08. | |
billion euros. The point is that the Europeans will not slam a bill for | :10:09. | :10:13. | |
100 billion euros on the negotiating table. That is the gross figure. | :10:14. | :10:18. | |
There are all sorts of things that need to be taken into account. I | :10:19. | :10:23. | |
imagine they will ask for something around the 50 or ?60 billion mark. | :10:24. | :10:30. | |
It looks that they are trying to make it look like a concession when | :10:31. | :10:34. | |
they do make their demands in order to soften the ground for what is | :10:35. | :10:38. | |
going to happen just two weeks after general election day. He makes a | :10:39. | :10:42. | |
reasonable point about having parallel talks. What they want to do | :10:43. | :10:47. | |
straightaway is deal with the bill, Northern Ireland and citizens | :10:48. | :10:52. | |
rights. All of those things are very complicated and interlinked issues, | :10:53. | :10:55. | |
which cannot be dealt with in isolation. I wouldn't be surprised | :10:56. | :10:59. | |
if we ended up with parallel talks, just to work out where we are going | :11:00. | :11:03. | |
with Northern Ireland and the border. Steve, you can't work out | :11:04. | :11:10. | |
what the Northern Ireland border will be, and EU citizens' writes | :11:11. | :11:15. | |
here, until you work out what our relationship with the EU in the | :11:16. | :11:20. | |
future will be. Indeed. The British government is under pressure to deal | :11:21. | :11:25. | |
quickly with the border issue in Ireland, but feel they can't do so | :11:26. | :11:30. | |
because when you have a tariff free arrangement outcome, or an | :11:31. | :11:33. | |
arrangement that is much more protectionist, and that will | :11:34. | :11:37. | |
determine partly the nature of the border. You cannot have a quick | :11:38. | :11:40. | |
agreement on that front without knowing the rest of the deal. I | :11:41. | :11:44. | |
think the negotiation will be complex. I am certain they want a | :11:45. | :11:49. | |
deal rather than none, because this is no deal thing is part of the | :11:50. | :11:54. | |
negotiation at this early stage. Sounding tough in the general | :11:55. | :11:58. | |
election campaign also works electorally. But after the election, | :11:59. | :12:03. | |
it will be a tough negotiation, beginning with this cost of Brexit. | :12:04. | :12:09. | |
My understanding is that the government feels it's got to make | :12:10. | :12:13. | |
the Europeans think they will not do a deal in order to get a deal. They | :12:14. | :12:20. | |
don't want no deal. Absolutely not. And I'm sure it plays into the | :12:21. | :12:24. | |
election. I'm sure the rhetoric will change when the election is over. | :12:25. | :12:29. | |
That's all for today, thank you to all my guests. | :12:30. | :12:31. | |
The Daily Politics will be back on BBC Two at 12.00 | :12:32. | :12:34. | |
And tomorrow evening I will be starting my series of interviews | :12:35. | :12:38. | |
with the party leaders - first up is the Prime | :12:39. | :12:40. | |
Minister, Theresa May, that's at 7pm on BBC One. | :12:41. | :12:42. | |
And I'll be back here at the same time on BBC One next Sunday. | :12:43. | :12:46. | |
Remember - if it's Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics. | :12:47. | :12:50. |