10/12/2017 Sunday Politics Scotland


10/12/2017

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LineFromTo

Morning everyone and welcome

to the Sunday Politics.

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I'm Sarah Smith and I'll be bringing

you your essential briefing

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on all the top political

stories this week.

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She's done the easy bit,

now comes the hard part.

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As we move on to trade

and transition talks with the EU,

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just what sort of deal

is the Prime Minister aiming for?

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The issue of trade across the Irish

border is likely to dominate

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those talks, we'll speak

to the Northern Ireland

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Secretary James Brokenshire

about what he thinks a solution

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to the problem could look like.

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Momentum, the group set up

to support Jeremy Corbyn,

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is facing allegations it's trying

to take over the Labour

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party, we'll investigate.

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And on Sunday Politics

Scotland at 11.35am.

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The budget is coming,

the threat of taxes getting fat.

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What will we get for all those extra

pennies in the old man's hat?

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All that coming up in the programme.

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And with me today to try to make

sense of is all, three journalists

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who are in full alignment with this

week's political developments.

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Tim Shipman, Helen

Lewis and Toby Young.

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The cliche that a week is a long

time in politics has

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never been more apt.

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As Theresa May first appeared to be

the brink of collapse,

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and then claimed victory with a deal

to allow Brexit talks to move

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on to the next phase.

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Deal or no deal?

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The question that took

Theresa May to Brussels not

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once but twice this week.

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On Monday it seemed

it was all sorted.

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Time to move onto talks about trade.

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Then in stepped Arlene Foster.

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Northern Ireland must

leave the European

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Union on the same terms as the rest

of the United Kingdom.

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So lunch was left to go

cold in Brussels as the

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PM rushed home to try

and save the deal.

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The problem ran along

the Irish border.

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Did promises of regulatory

alignment mean Northern

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Ireland would operate differently

from the rest of the UK?

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Unionist alarm bells

could be heard in

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Westminster where Theresa May

relies on their support.

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While others saw their

chance to tell their own

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bespoke Brexit deal.

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So back to the drawing

board and a chance for

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Labour to stick the boot in.

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What an embarrassment.

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Shambles.

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The last 24 hours have

given a new meaning to

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the phrase coalition of chaos.

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There was a tricky

moment for the Brexit

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secretary as he was quizzed over his

economic impact studies that don't

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actually exist.

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So there isn't one,

for example, on the automotive

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sector.

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On the automotive sector.

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Is there one on aerospace?

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No.

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One on financial services?

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I think the answer is

going to be no to all of

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them.

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Right.

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By the Chancellor admitted

the Cabinet has not yet

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debated future European

trading relations.

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The Cabinet has had general

discussions about how Brexit

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negotiations but we haven't had

a specific, er, mandate of the

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position.

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At Prime Minister's Questions

Brexiteers reminded the PM

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they too had lines

they wouldn't cross.

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Will she apply a new coat of paint

to her red lines because I

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fear on Monday they were beginning

to look a little bit pink.

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Talks through the night

on Thursday and

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finally, white smoke.

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Tweeted by Jean-Claude

Juncker's chief of staff

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to signal a deal had been done.

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4am Friday.

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The red eye back to Brussels,

the Brexit Secretary's

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face told the story of a long night.

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A tweak of the words

and a deal agreed.

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Sufficient progress has now

been made on the strict

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terms of the divorce.

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Not everyone was happy.

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There are still matters

there that we would have liked

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to have seen clarified.

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The whole thing is a humiliation.

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In a letter yesterday

Environment Secretary Michael Gove

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said voters could change the deal

if they don't like it.

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At the next general election.

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Let's unpack a week of remarkable

political developments with our

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panel.

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Tim, the papers are claiming a

marvellous victory for Theresa May,

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but this is a problem of her own

making she managed to dig herself

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out of?

The government announced

immediately they had got a deal and

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it took them two and a half weeks to

nail it down. It is worth

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remembering that when she went off

to Brussels to Jean-Claude Juncker

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who said, don't come here unless you

are ready to go. Theresa May kicked

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him out of his office for an hour

while she begged Arlene Foster to

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get in line and initially, it wasn't

happening because they hadn't nailed

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it down. People say, why weren't all

these civil servants and people who

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know about how to deal with these

guys, engaged in this process? The

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separation between the Northern

Ireland Office and Downing Street,

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the whip office was negligent and

they should have been holding hands

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with the DUP and Tilly was taken

over the line. Disaster was only

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narrowly averted. They were saying

earlier in the week, this is a

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catastrophe and Theresa May needs to

go.

But she pulled it out in the

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end. We were talking about takeover

plots, Theresa May might lose her

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job and now it is a victory.

When

you are talking about this, you have

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to divorce the theatre around it and

the last-minute concessions, which

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will not end. The question is what

happens when the Forge recedes.

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Everyone has something out of this

deal because there is no clarity.

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Arlene Foster said they wanted

clarity. Both sides when they get

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the clarity will be unhappy, but the

question is what they will do about

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it.

Toby, both people on both sides

of the Brexit debate in the Tory

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party, who are claiming they are

very, very happy. They can't all be

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happy.

I am not surprised the

Brexiteers our content. There are

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various things the remain as

predicted couldn't be achieved. They

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thought they would be a backbench

rebellion. Now that looks like the

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divorce bill will sail through. A

lot of Remainers thought the state

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is of EU nationals would remain

uncertain for long time. This makes

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no Deal Brexit less likely that was

always the Remainers best of

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reversing the result of the

referendum.

Now we're left with the

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question, what does full alignment

mean. David Davis asked that that

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this morning.

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It means outcomes.

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It means...

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If I arrived in two

cars, they are next

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to each other.

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Well, Northern Ireland is next

to the Republic of Ireland.

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Yes, and it will have next

to regulations, it will be very

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similar.

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There will be some similarities.

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Again, the Prime Minister

laid this out in her

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Florence speech.

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She said there are areas

where we will want similar

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outcomes and we'll have similar

methods to achieve them.

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There will be areas

where we have similar

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outcomes where there will be

different methods to achieve them.

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That's going to be true of a lot

of product areas, a lot of

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manufacturing.

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There will be areas where we want

different outcomes and

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we will use different methods.

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That was clear as mud, Toby, what do

you think full alignment means?

I

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don't think we should spend as much

time as you seem to want to,

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discussing it. As Michael Gove

clarified, it doesn't have any legal

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force. It doesn't have any binding,

legal force. It hasn't got to the

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stage of the treaty. It might be

difficult to unwind because it is

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the basis of an agreement. But

nonetheless, it is not binding and a

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lot is left to play for.

It is what

got the DUP on-board, finding a form

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of words which could be what you

wanted them to.

People wanting

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immigration cut without the economy

taking a hit. The same thing with

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the DUP, they want to stay aligned

to prison, but they don't want their

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agriculture, Northern Ireland is one

of the biggest industries, to take a

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massive hit from a hard border. So

you are trying to reconcile two

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contradictory impulses. That Philip

Hammond clip is extraordinary saying

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the Cabinet have a discuss where

they think this ends up in the end.

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That is where the row will be.

Number Ten is specifically briefing

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full alignment, so we haven't solved

anything.

It is a verb, he converge,

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I don't do converge, we have full

alignment. The Conservative Party

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managed to get through a general

election where they had half of

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their supporters hardline. This may

help them keep the show on the road.

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We will be talking to all three of

you throughout the programme.

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So it was the arrangements

to avoid a hard border

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between Northern Ireland

and the Republic that

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threatened to scupper progress

in the Brexit talks.

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And there remains confusion

over exactly what it

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is that's been agreed.

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Hopefully we can clarify some

of that with the Secretary of State

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for Northern Ireland

James Brokenshire.

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Thanks for coming in. Can we go back

to the beginning of the week and the

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discussions with the DUP. Where you

involved in that?

It is worth

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stressing this is a fast-moving

situation. When the Prime Minister

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was in Brussels at the start of the

week, the text hadn't been agreed.

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That is why we've got the conclusion

with the text effectively now being

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able to go on to the second phase.

Where you part of the back and

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forward between Number Ten and the

DUP?

I don't want to get into the

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details, but I have been involved,

supporting the Prime Minister and

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making sure we have got sufficient

progress and why we have the benefit

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of moving into phase two, which is

worth we can solve the issues with

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relation to Northern Ireland.

He was

a significant failure at the

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beginning of the week to flight to

Brussels without the DUP agreeing on

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the text.

It was a fast-moving

situation.

Why go for lunch with

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Jean-Claude Juncker if there wasn't

agreed text?

It was to continue the

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discussions.

The Prime Minister

didn't think she had a deal on

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Monday, she went to Brussels knowing

there wasn't an agreement with the

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DUP.

The text wasn't agreed, as I

have underlined on a few occasions

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already in this interview. It is how

we have secured what we needed to

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do. We needed to give that assurance

in relation to Northern Ireland's

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constitutional status in ensuring

trade between Northern Ireland and

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Great Britain could remain

unfettered. That is important and we

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can now solve this on phase two.

The

agreement said there would be full

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alignment with the EU in the event

of no deal. It doesn't say anything

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how you will avoid a hard border if

there is a trade deal with the EU.

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You are looking at paragraph 49 of

the agreement. First and foremost,

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this is about securing a free trade

agreement. Secondly, if that isn't

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sufficient you move onto specific

solutions to deal with the unique

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circumstances of Northern Ireland.

Only through an agreed outcome, do

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you move on to the issue of

alignment, which I'm sure we will

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discuss further.

Your preferred

option is to have the free trade.

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Absolutely.

Nothing has been solved

on how you avoid a hard border

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between Northern Ireland and the

republic if you have a free-trade

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deal.

We were never going to solve

this in the first phase how this

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agreement, we want to secure is

firmly in Ireland's interest, given

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the nature of trade between Ireland

and the whole of the United Kingdom.

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That is why we go into this second

phase with confidence we can secure

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the positive outcome, which is the

best way to solve this.

The Irish

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Taoiseach says it is clear in which

way it is going. He says we believe

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the UK and Northern Ireland will

remain in alignment with the EU. Is

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that your understanding?

I think he

underlines we could come to

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different arrangements. It wasn't

about the same, somehow we would

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stay within the customs union, the

single market. We are not. The text

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says clearly, we are leaving and

Northern Ireland will be part of

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that. Having shared outcomes may

mean we may achieve that to the same

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or substantially the same way, or

very differently.

It cannot be too

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different if you have to maintain

this idea you don't have a hard

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border between Northern Ireland and

the republic. How does this allow

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you to strike free trade deals with

the United States for instance, if

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you have got to maintain either

alignment or come to some of the

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United States for instance, if you

have got to maintain either

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alignment or come to some other

border solution?

Let's take a couple

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of examples. In relation to data

daylight, have your prescription

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service nor those -- north or south

of the border. How that can converge

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between Ireland and the UK. Things

like agriculture.

Let's talk about

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agriculture. If we were to strike a

free trade deal with the US, they

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have made it clear we will have to

diverged from EU rules on some

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agricultural standards, like

chlorine washed chicken, how can we

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do the kind of deal the US will

insist on and still maintain these

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border arrangements?

We are yet to

get into those discussions.

They

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have been to London and they have

said, if we stay too closely aligned

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with the EU we will be able to get a

deal with the US.

We're not going to

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somehow compromise our food safety

standards to have a race to the

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bottom. That is why knowing the

integrated nature of the food sector

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on island, is why we said we are

proud to look at alignment with

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agricultural standards.

That tie

your hands. Why does the former

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Brexit minister himself say it will

handicap our ability to enter into

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free-trade arrangements?

We have

difference across the United Kingdom

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over some of these devolved issues.

It doesn't create barriers within

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the UK market. We are compliant with

the same rules as the EU and it is

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positive decisions we might take.

When it comes down to this issue,

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there won't be this race to the

bottom in relation to standards.

It

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is important to understand. You are

tying the government's hands in its

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ability to strike the free trade

deals that was supposed to create

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the optimistic post Brexit future

proclaimed by the government.

It is

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why we want to yes, secure the

positive free-trade agreement, Abbas

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Bogue agreement with our EU

partners, but equally, which we

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don't have, the flexibility to

negotiate trade deals around the

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world so have the benefit of having

to do that.

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The answer to this free trade deals

is how you manage the border between

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the Republic of Ireland and Northern

Ireland, that has not been answered.

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We've set up the framework, we've

not been able to have these

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discussions yet. That's why it was

so important, where it was a really

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positive achievement that Theresa

May secured by moving into phase two

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where we can do just that. To look

at all these different elements we

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been working hard on with the EU

that need to be solved whether

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through the free trade agreement,

whether through specific

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circumstances to meet these issues,

and protecting the ability from

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people to move from Northern

Ireland's, into the Republic, really

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importantly underlining the

significance of the Good Friday

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Agreement.

The Prime Minister

significantly said no deal was

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better than a bad deal. What this

means in Brussels as if there is no

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do we have to stay in full alignment

with the rules and regulations, is

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that the possible?

Is the document

states, nothing is agreed until

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everything is agreed.

In the

situation of no deal, nothing would

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be agreed and that is the

circumstance in which this deal

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kicks in...?

This document doesn't

commit in that way. We are not

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contemplating a notable situation.

The Prime Minister has frequently

0:17:220:17:28

contemplated that, saying no deal is

better than a bad deal.

I think it

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says this in a good way, to secure

this positive outcome that agreement

0:17:320:17:38

with our EU partners. We will only

do that if it is acceptable. Under

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the no deal statements that the

Prime Minister has made.

When this

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agreement says, in the event of no

deal, we will maintain full

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alignment, you say this doesn't mean

no deal?

This document doesn't deal

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with no deal. That's what I'm

saying. Paragraph five...

So in the

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absence of agreed solutions the UK

will maintain full alignment with

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the rules of the customs union?

Paragraph five scissors and

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agreement being reached...

So you

need an agreement before you have

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absence of agreed solutions.

It is

about the three tiered approach will

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take, free-trade agreements, dealing

with unique circumstances and then

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moving onto the alignment issues. It

is this three tiered approach that

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will inform the negotiations. This

is why I say this provides us with a

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positive backdrop to go into phase

two, to get positive outcomes in

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ensuring there is no barrier between

the Republic of Ireland and Northern

0:18:400:18:43

Ireland. I take the positive

viewpoint, around getting agreement,

0:18:430:18:50

securing that bright positive future

for Northern Ireland and the UK as a

0:18:500:18:54

whole which is what that does.

James

Brokenshire, thank you. Tim, are you

0:18:540:19:01

a clearer? On what has been agreed?

Much less clear. What is the scope

0:19:010:19:07

of this alignment issue? If you

listen to government ministers, and

0:19:070:19:11

David Davis earlier and James has

said nothing that contradicts that,

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you are talking about big areas like

agriculture and energy. David Davis

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said it would cover four areas, is

put to someone in the Irish

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government has said and covered 142

areas, there's quite a big gap

0:19:230:19:26

between them and we haven't yet

bridged that intellectually, it

0:19:260:19:30

seems.

And not much clearer on what

if there is no deal.

We would crash

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out which would be definitely worse

than a bad deal. An appalling

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outcome. I think the whole issue of

these agricultural standards is

0:19:390:19:44

fascinating because it reveals the

difference between the average Leave

0:19:440:19:48

voter and the average person on the

right, the free trader who is not

0:19:480:19:54

worried about safety standards and

is fine with chlorine tipped chicken

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but we no one that free-trade Dale

got bounced out of contention one

0:19:580:20:02

thing that revolted people with the

idea of lower animal safety

0:20:020:20:06

standards, food covered in bacteria

then washed in chlorine. So you have

0:20:060:20:09

one wing of the Tory party who are

OK with that and people who voted

0:20:090:20:14

Leave who are not.

Is it still on

the table, this idea of no deal?

It

0:20:140:20:21

has to be, until we've concluded a

deal, because otherwise our

0:20:210:20:27

negotiating position is weaker. In

some ways the way that we've managed

0:20:270:20:30

to agree on what the status of EU

National 's would-be and what the

0:20:300:20:34

role of the ECJ would be for eight

years after we leave, suggest that

0:20:340:20:38

even in the absence of a trade deal

or even a transition deal being

0:20:380:20:43

successfully negotiated we could

nonetheless put a minimal deal in

0:20:430:20:46

place which could guarantee the

rights of UK National is here and

0:20:460:20:49

British nationals in Europe. So in

that way it makes no deal a little

0:20:490:20:55

less unpalatable but I think we will

still get a deal.

Thanks for that.

0:20:550:21:00

Well, discussions of

what the government wants its final

0:21:000:21:02

deal to look like also brings

into focus what Labour's

0:21:020:21:05

plans would be.

0:21:050:21:06

Speaking this morning Labour's

Shadow Brexit Secretary Keir Starmer

0:21:060:21:08

argued that Britain should remain

as close to the EU as possible.

0:21:080:21:12

How we negotiate that agreement

with the EU is a matter for

0:21:120:21:15

negotiation.

0:21:150:21:16

It doesn't mean it's cut

and paste, but we do have a

0:21:160:21:19

choice, do we want to stay aligned

so we can trade successfully or do

0:21:190:21:23

we want to tear apart?

0:21:230:21:24

And I say we should stay aligned.

0:21:240:21:26

We are talking about

what sort of Britain we are

0:21:260:21:28

going to be and what the next 40

or 50 years might look like.

0:21:280:21:31

I don't think anybody

voted to make it

0:21:310:21:33

harder to trade with Europe.

0:21:330:21:37

Emily Thornberry, Labour's shadow

foreign affairs spokesperson, is

0:21:370:21:40

with me now. Thank you for coming

in. That was Keir Starmer this

0:21:400:21:44

morning. I don't want to put words

into his mouth or yours but I

0:21:440:21:49

interpret that as saying, we are not

staying in the single market, that

0:21:490:21:52

is not the Labour position but we

want to maintain many of the

0:21:520:21:55

arrangements we have with the single

market. Is that right?

We've always

0:21:550:22:00

said we have to accept the results

of the referendum, we have some

0:22:000:22:04

tests to be abided by to get a good

deal so we need to be able to get

0:22:040:22:08

the full advantage of access to the

single market and the customs union.

0:22:080:22:12

To achieve that what Keir Starmer

seemed to be saying was that was a

0:22:120:22:16

closely aligned to the rules and

regulations of the EU, possibly even

0:22:160:22:21

pay for access to the free market

and while free movement of people

0:22:210:22:24

wouldn't he said they should be easy

movement of people from the UK to

0:22:240:22:28

the EU and vice versa. Is that

really respecting the referendum

0:22:280:22:31

result?

We have to leave the

European Union that there's no

0:22:310:22:36

reason why we don't need go a long

way. It would not be respecting the

0:22:360:22:41

referendum and the sentiment that

has expressed during the referendum

0:22:410:22:44

if we did not move, after leaving

the European Union, to a system

0:22:440:22:49

where we had fair rules and managed

migration, so people could easily

0:22:490:22:52

travel across Europe and those that

we need to have an ox economy - this

0:22:520:22:58

we need an our economy can stay and

that will help us.

If we are staying

0:22:580:23:07

closely aligned to the rules and

regulations of the EU why we have no

0:23:070:23:10

say in the formation of those rules

how is that taking back control?

0:23:100:23:15

We're going to leave and it seems to

us that people wanted to leave, they

0:23:150:23:20

wanted some form of control over

migration and fair rules and managed

0:23:200:23:24

migration is what we want but they

did not vote to lose their jobs

0:23:240:23:27

offer their neighbours to lose their

jobs. We need to prioritise the

0:23:270:23:32

economy and trade when it came to

negotiations and people should be in

0:23:320:23:35

no doubt that our biggest trading

partner is the European Union. It

0:23:350:23:40

would be economically ridiculous for

us to march off into the Atlantic

0:23:400:23:43

and say, we are turning our backs on

the European Union. To go into deals

0:23:430:23:48

with them we'd need the same rules

when it came to our exporting of

0:23:480:23:53

carrots or anything else. If you

want to export vacuum cleaners to

0:23:530:23:57

Europe they need to have the same

safety standards as the rest of

0:23:570:24:00

Europe.

Do you think people who

voted to leave will be happy that we

0:24:000:24:06

would follow and mirror the rules

and regulations of EU when we have

0:24:060:24:11

no say in their creation now, we

become will takers and not makers?

0:24:110:24:16

What we've said is that we need an

interim period when we negotiate

0:24:160:24:22

properly and have a long-standing

relationship with EU. When it comes

0:24:220:24:25

to exporting goods clearly we need

the same standards and don't want to

0:24:250:24:29

undercut European standards, nobody

wants and implement controls, we

0:24:290:24:33

need all these things to be less in

Britain than in the rest of Europe,

0:24:330:24:37

well, some Tories do but we don't

and we are clear about that.

That

0:24:370:24:42

would constrain our ability to sign

free trade deals with other

0:24:420:24:46

countries. The more closely aligned

we stay with EU the less movement we

0:24:460:24:51

will have to sign a new deal with

the USA for example.

What we need is

0:24:510:24:57

a custom-built arrangement between

Britain and the rest of Europe. We'd

0:24:570:25:00

need to be in a form of the customs

union and closely aligned to the

0:25:000:25:04

single market and that might give us

room to make the that is something

0:25:040:25:08

we need to be involved in

negotiation...

That is clearly of

0:25:080:25:12

secondary importance to you, the

ability to strike new deals with

0:25:120:25:17

third countries.

We've always been

pragmatic, most of our trade has

0:25:170:25:22

been with EU. We're just stating a

fact and we shouldn't put the kibosh

0:25:220:25:25

on that.

Are you happy with the

agreement Theresa May struck this

0:25:250:25:30

week?

Really don't understand it.

I've looked at it, I don't

0:25:300:25:35

understand. I think probably what

she is doing is she's rubbed at some

0:25:350:25:41

of her red lines, and that's good

because you shouldn't go into

0:25:410:25:44

negotiations with hard red lines

like she has. I don't understand how

0:25:440:25:48

on one hand she is saying she's

going to align and on the other hand

0:25:480:25:52

will be out of the single market on

the customs union. It doesn't really

0:25:520:25:56

make any sense to me.

I thought that

was the position you said Labour

0:25:560:26:01

win, leaving the single market on

the customs union but wanting to

0:26:010:26:04

stay aligned to Europe and is

regulations...

They say they've

0:26:040:26:09

swept any form of customs union of

the table. That's what I understand.

0:26:090:26:14

She is swept away any suggestion

that the European Court of Justice

0:26:140:26:17

would have anything to do with any

rules. She seems to be busily

0:26:170:26:20

putting them back on the table

again. That's probably a good thing.

0:26:200:26:24

What a waste of time. Because

wouldn't it have been good to have

0:26:240:26:28

began on a pragmatic, realistic

basis and we might have got further

0:26:280:26:31

than we have now. We are running out

of time.

What is Labour's answer to

0:26:310:26:36

the question of the border between

the northern Ireland and the

0:26:360:26:43

Republic of Ireland, how do you

avoid hardboard?

The further we go

0:26:430:26:45

from the EU, the harder it is to

have a soft border. What we have

0:26:450:26:49

said without that a form of customs

union is a viable option. Melbourne

0:26:490:26:52

has come up with any other

suggestion.

This idea, it says in

0:26:520:26:57

the agreement that was struck with

EU in the absence of any other

0:26:570:27:01

agreement, this idea that we would

maintain the full alignment with the

0:27:010:27:05

rules and regulations come you are

satisfied that it works well for the

0:27:050:27:08

UK and EU and solves the border

question?

Of course there has to be

0:27:080:27:13

a form of alignment, of course the

European Court of Justice need staff

0:27:130:27:17

an ongoing relationship with British

justice in the way we put forward

0:27:170:27:20

rules when we are working with the

rest of the EU. Why have we denied

0:27:200:27:26

at all this time, it is self-evident

and continues to be so.

It is

0:27:260:27:32

proposed that an amendment be put

forward that would give MPs a

0:27:320:27:36

meaningful vote on this while there

is still time for more negotiation

0:27:360:27:40

rather than at the end of

negotiations, will Labour support

0:27:400:27:43

that?

We have always said this. From

the outset we have said, why should

0:27:430:27:48

parliaments across the rest of

Europe have a vote on this, and the

0:27:480:27:51

European Parliament have a vote, the

people of Walloons will have a lot

0:27:510:27:56

in it, why not the British people?

That has to be a meaningful vote. --

0:27:560:28:01

one at the British Parliament. They

will have to factor in what the

0:28:010:28:05

British Parliament thinks. And many

people in the British Parliament

0:28:050:28:08

will not accept no deal, for

example. If they think they are

0:28:080:28:11

going to come to the British

Parliament with no deal is an option

0:28:110:28:14

they have another think coming.

There's another amendment to the Lib

0:28:140:28:17

Dems want, to put forward the option

of remaining in the single market.

0:28:170:28:22

Vince Cable has said it is

specifically designed to flush out

0:28:220:28:26

the Labour Party by asking straight

out will you support this amendment

0:28:260:28:29

or not with the option of staying in

the single market. How would Labour

0:28:290:28:33

vote on that?

We are leaving the EU,

we need a custom made deal with the

0:28:330:28:40

EU. We need to be able to respect

the views of the British people as

0:28:400:28:44

expressed in the referendum and one

debate was about ensuring that we

0:28:440:28:47

have more control of migration.

We've been told that the four

0:28:470:28:51

freedoms mean we can't stay in the

single market as it currently is so

0:28:510:28:54

we need a different deal. Those

other things we should have focused

0:28:540:28:58

on rack from the outset.

Emily

Thornberry, thank you very much for

0:28:580:29:03

coming in this morning.

0:29:030:29:05

There have been a number of reports

in the press recently accusing

0:29:050:29:08

the Labour pressure group Momentum

of forcing serving Labour

0:29:080:29:10

councillors off the ballot paper

for re-election in favour

0:29:100:29:12

of their own candidates.

0:29:120:29:13

Sources close to Momentum argue

they are simply helping to reflect

0:29:130:29:16

the new make-up of the Labour Party.

0:29:160:29:18

So is there any truth

in the allegations?

0:29:180:29:20

Elizabeth Glinka has been

to Brighton to find out.

0:29:200:29:29

They say to keep your

friends close and your

0:29:300:29:32

enemies closer, and in

the

0:29:320:29:36

Labour Party in Brighton they are

0:29:360:29:37

very close indeed. Here, as in many

other parts of the country,

0:29:370:29:45

there are suggestions that Momentum

is attempting to seize control and

0:29:450:29:50

ultimately replace sitting

councillors with candidates of their

0:29:500:29:52

own choosing.

0:29:520:29:57

Two weeks ago Momentum won

all nine positions on the

0:29:570:29:59

committee which will organise

the selection of candidates

0:29:590:30:01

for the next City Council

elections in 2019.

0:30:010:30:03

Local activists have spoken

about installing the first Socialist

0:30:030:30:05

council in the city, the implication

being that the current Labour

0:30:050:30:07

council is not quite

socialist enough.

0:30:070:30:09

If you talk to people from Momentum,

they will say to you, we

0:30:090:30:17

have brought in all these

new members, they're

0:30:170:30:19

full of enthusiasm,

0:30:190:30:20

why shouldn't we have our people

moving in to take over the party,

0:30:200:30:30

we are the future of the party.

0:30:300:30:44

Is there bullying

going on in Brighton?

0:30:440:30:46

I think there has been.

0:30:460:30:48

And I think that has

predominantly been from people

0:30:480:30:50

outside the Labour Party

and it is not acceptable.

0:30:500:30:52

Wouldn't be accurate to say that

Momentum members and

0:30:520:30:54

some of the new Labour Party members

are mobilising against the existing

0:30:540:30:57

councillors?

0:30:570:30:58

I think there has been some chatter

about that and a lot of

0:30:580:31:01

that has been from those who are not

in the party at the present time.

0:31:010:31:05

Once people are not members

of the Labour Party,

0:31:050:31:07

they can't share our values

and therefore they should be

0:31:070:31:09

excluded from Momentum.

0:31:090:31:11

And that would be a way

to unify the party in

0:31:110:31:21

Brighton and Hove and

around the country.

0:31:210:31:23

As a former minister in the Blair

government you might expect of

0:31:230:31:32

a captain to take that view.

0:31:320:31:35

I spoke to a number of Labour Party

0:31:350:31:37

members who said they had

experienced intimidation and that

0:31:370:31:39

Momentum was authoritarian

and brutal to existing councillors.

0:31:390:31:41

None would agree

to appear on camera.

0:31:410:31:43

While I was in Brighton a Momentum

activist posted this video and

0:31:430:31:46

social media.

0:31:460:31:47

The faces of three Labour

councillors including the

0:31:470:31:49

council leader had

been superimposed.

0:31:490:31:50

Something I put to a local

Momentum organiser Greg

0:31:500:31:52

Hadfield, who is currently suspended

from the Labour Party.

0:31:520:31:54

I haven't seen it so I'm not

going to comment on it.

0:31:540:31:57

And you think that is?

0:31:570:31:58

I'm happy to get

back to you and have

0:31:580:32:00

considered view but

I haven't seen it.

0:32:000:32:02

I have spoken to a number of people

across the party in Brighton

0:32:020:32:05

and Hove, some of them tell me that

Momentum are using bullying tactics,

0:32:050:32:09

that the party is very divided

and they feel not able to speak up

0:32:090:32:12

and air their views.

0:32:120:32:14

They are saying that on the record?

0:32:140:32:17

Because I think that's

shocking smears.

0:32:170:32:21

What we have seen in

Brighton and Hove in the

0:32:210:32:24

last 18 months is a massive upsurge

in democratic, decent democratic

0:32:240:32:26

engagement with party members.

0:32:260:32:31

Anyone who says that,

first of all they are lying,

0:32:310:32:36

but also they don't have the best

interests of the party.

0:32:360:32:39

Would you like to get

rid of the current

0:32:390:32:41

cohort of councillors

in Brighton and Hove,

0:32:410:32:43

the Labour councillors.

0:32:430:32:45

I would love it for

members to elect the best

0:32:450:32:48

representatives of this

Labour Party that they can.

0:32:480:32:50

If that is bullying,

if that is not democratic, if that

0:32:500:32:57

is deselecting, then people

saying that have a very

0:32:570:32:59

strange view of democracy.

0:32:590:33:01

Overnight Labour suspended

the member who posted the video.

0:33:010:33:04

He denied was anti-Semitic

and issued an apology.

0:33:040:33:07

Away from Brighton

the deselection of Labour

0:33:070:33:11

councillors in Haringey

and in other London boroughs has

0:33:110:33:13

made the national press.

0:33:130:33:17

There have been deselection

is in other places as

0:33:170:33:19

well including Hastings

and by just aware the

0:33:190:33:21

former mayor is among

the casualties.

0:33:210:33:24

I think we need a cultural

message from the top.

0:33:240:33:27

Momentum clearly have a place

in the Labour movement now

0:33:270:33:29

although they are not affiliated

with the party

0:33:290:33:31

formally they have brought energy

and ideas to the party.

0:33:310:33:33

That is no bad thing.

0:33:330:33:35

But Jeremy Corbyn is not just

the party leader but the

0:33:350:33:37

figurehead of momentum,

he has to send a message

0:33:370:33:40

to all his troops,

if you like around the country,

0:33:400:33:42

saying perhaps, not in my name.

0:33:420:33:44

Having spoken to people

from across the

0:33:440:33:46

Labour Party in Brighton,

there are those that

0:33:460:33:52

will tell you that the party is more

united than ever before

0:33:520:33:55

and they are incredibly positive

about the future.

0:33:550:33:57

But on the other

side even people who

0:33:570:33:59

describe themselves as being

on the left say they feel despondent

0:33:590:34:02

and that the atmosphere can only be

described as toxic.

0:34:020:34:08

Well we asked Momentum if someone

could come on to discuss the issues

0:34:080:34:11

raised in that film but no

one was available.

0:34:110:34:18

Never mind, we have our panel of

experts. Helen, is it perfectly

0:34:180:34:25

legitimate for momentum to get their

own candidate selected. They are in

0:34:250:34:30

the ascendancy now, so why shouldn't

they have more candidates?

They have

0:34:300:34:35

a legitimate position and they are

entitled to push it forward. But it

0:34:350:34:42

is controlled by two Private limited

companies and the data is in the

0:34:420:34:46

hands of one man. They talk about

progress and the Fabians, it is

0:34:460:34:54

around Jeremy Corbyn as a person.

The third thing, they are very

0:34:540:34:58

successful in terms of making viral

videos and they are an effective,

0:34:580:35:02

organising force and that is why

people are so worried.

Momentum do

0:35:020:35:07

show the way politics is going, they

are fantastic at mobilising people,

0:35:070:35:11

reaching their supporters and doing

it in different ways, are centrists

0:35:110:35:16

in the Labour Party frightened by

their success?

Definitely and that

0:35:160:35:20

is why they haven't been able to put

up a better fight. To claim this is

0:35:200:35:23

an undemocratic, because

0:35:230:35:27

an undemocratic, because votes have

been taken before Momentum takes

0:35:270:35:31

been taken before Momentum takes

control like the Brighton & Hove

0:35:310:35:32

Albion are to, is absurd. It isn't

democratic because a small neo-Nazis

0:35:320:35:39

calls will be holding the Labour

Party to ransom. It doesn't matter

0:35:390:35:46

Party to ransom. It doesn't matter

whether they can sit out at these

0:35:460:35:47

meetings until

0:35:470:35:51

meetings until 2am until moderates

have to go home. It doesn't make it

0:35:510:35:54

a takeover, it is

0:35:540:35:59

a takeover, it is definitely not

democratic as it would be if

0:35:590:36:03

democratic as it would be if Britain

First took over the Labour Party.

Is

0:36:030:36:06

that fair?

The

0:36:060:36:10

that fair?

The problem is calling it

tiny. It isn't tiny any more.

0:36:100:36:14

tiny. It isn't tiny any more. The

last lot of people campaigning on

0:36:140:36:17

the streets for Labour were involved

in Momentum. If you look at their

0:36:170:36:20

social media, 60% of voters saw a

Momentum

0:36:200:36:27

Momentum video on their Facebook

feeds during the general election

0:36:270:36:29

and Momentum spent £2000 on it.

Everything else spread virally.

0:36:290:36:35

There is a popularity and yes they

are a bunch of old leftie Marxists,

0:36:350:36:41

but on the other side there is

people

0:36:410:36:45

people cheering the Jeremy Corbyn,

they have come together and it is a

0:36:450:36:50

powerful force and no wonder the

Blairites and motorists are worried.

0:36:500:36:56

Blairites and motorists are worried.

It is a form of bullying?

0:36:560:37:00

It is a form of bullying?

You have

these optimistic people who want to

0:37:000:37:03

change the world, tied up with a

group of people who are effective

0:37:030:37:07

organisers and behave in a

substandard way a lot of the time.

0:37:070:37:14

substandard way a lot of the time.

To compare them with Britain First

0:37:140:37:16

is over the top. To compare it with

an organisation whose explicit

0:37:160:37:22

purpose is to advance racist

propaganda is unfair.

We will leave

0:37:220:37:27

that therefore now.

0:37:270:37:34

Good morning and welcome

to Sunday Politics Scotland.

0:37:340:37:36

Coming up on the programme.

0:37:360:37:38

Will Scotland's Chancellor really

hike taxes just before Christmas?

0:37:380:37:42

I'll be speaking to two

politicians who hope he does.

0:37:420:37:46

And with support growing

across business and politics,

0:37:460:37:48

is it time for Scotland to start

running its own immigration system?

0:37:480:37:52

It's that time of year again

when peace, love and understanding

0:37:560:38:14

plans through Parliament

and continue to govern.

0:38:140:38:17

In a moment we'll hear

from Scottish Lib Dem

0:38:170:38:20

leader Willie Rennie,

but first, with me now, is Scottish

0:38:200:38:23

Green Co-convener Patrick Harvie.

0:38:230:38:29

Have you already done a deal?

No, we

have set out very clearly what we

0:38:290:38:35

think the priorities are for the

Scottish Government, we took accept

0:38:350:38:41

the party conference and our members

indoor our key priorities around

0:38:410:38:44

fair taxation, to revenue for public

services and close the inequality

0:38:440:38:52

gap, investing in carbon

infrastructure and protecting local

0:38:520:38:55

government.

Have you had talks with

the Scottish Government about the

0:38:550:38:59

budget?

Yes, I think the last time I

spoke to Derek, he mentioned he had

0:38:590:39:03

spoken to all the political parties.

This is normal, political parties

0:39:030:39:06

should talk all the time. Especially

in a minority government.

So what is

0:39:060:39:12

your one red line, your thickest red

Line?

We have said clearly that we

0:39:120:39:16

want to seek an innovation based as

minimum pay increase in the -- and

0:39:160:39:22

inflation -based pay increase in the

public sector, protect public

0:39:220:39:25

services which we managed to hold

last year and we need to reverse

0:39:250:39:29

cuts, we can do that with fairer

taxation. On tax we have an

0:39:290:39:33

interesting position where in 2016,

we were the only party saying we

0:39:330:39:38

don't just need to tweak the income

tax system, you can restructure it

0:39:380:39:46

by protecting the low earners and

making people like me pay a bit

0:39:460:39:49

more. We have won that argument

already, labour and the Liberal --

0:39:490:39:58

and the Conservatives have already

agreed, I don't know what Willie

0:39:580:40:02

will see but we think they are going

in that direction.

Your idea of a

0:40:020:40:07

pay increase of at least inflation

for public sector workers would be

0:40:070:40:10

paid for by your proposal in tax but

have you worked out how much of 3%

0:40:100:40:15

pay rise would cost?

We have said

all along it is for the Scottish

0:40:150:40:22

Government to produce the figures...

You must have a guess.

So what the

0:40:220:40:25

Scottish Government has put in the

public domain has said you are

0:40:250:40:32

talking about 100 million per

percent.

£300 million?

Over that.

0:40:320:40:43

Which is more than any of the model

tax increases that the Scottish

0:40:430:40:47

Government produced in its

government.

That depends on when you

0:40:470:40:52

are taking the most pessimistic idea

of tax avoidance, and the evidence

0:40:520:40:56

for that is shaky. Also in 2016, the

tax proposals we put forward were

0:40:560:41:01

about raising revenue party from

income tax and partly from a form of

0:41:010:41:05

local tax. The SNP have stalled on

reforming local taxation, that is

0:41:050:41:10

really regrettable. They have made

the choice to stall on local tax

0:41:100:41:14

reform, they need to come forward

with tax policies that though they

0:41:140:41:17

have two centre the fiscal

commission. I am not allowed to do

0:41:170:41:23

that, Derek is the owner person who

can do that and run the system and

0:41:230:41:26

decide what they will put the

parliament.

If you're going to have

0:41:260:41:30

a negotiation, by definition, you

have to be prepared to concede. And

0:41:300:41:34

they must be prepared to concede as

well. Have you had any indication

0:41:340:41:38

from the Scottish Government that

they have any indication of putting

0:41:380:41:41

any taxes up?

Your first question

was, have we done a deal, we have

0:41:410:41:45

not. The Scottish Government have

not told me what the budget is that

0:41:450:41:48

they're going to oppose this week in

the budget. We will find out on

0:41:480:41:53

Thursday but their budget plan is on

spending but also what their tax

0:41:530:41:58

plans are, their proposals for tax

rates and bands on income tax, as

0:41:580:42:01

well as a public sector pay policy.

We will have to look at all of that

0:42:010:42:05

detail together and not react

immediately.

But no tax rises would

0:42:050:42:09

not be accidental to you?

Identity

how we -- acceptable to you? I do

0:42:090:42:15

not see how we could fund the

Scottish Government's own parties on

0:42:150:42:20

four example the health service

being funded by an extra £500

0:42:200:42:23

million over the course of the

Parliament, I do not know how you

0:42:230:42:26

could find that if the UK Government

is imposing a cut on the revenue

0:42:260:42:30

side of the budget, and you don't

raise tax.

So there would have to

0:42:300:42:34

be, even if it is not your

proposals, there would have to be

0:42:340:42:37

some tax rises?

I don't see how

Derek Mackay could present a budget

0:42:370:42:40

which even meets SNP policies if

it's a standstill on tax and seeing

0:42:400:42:45

a reduction of the revenue side, it

doesn't add up.

In the documents

0:42:450:42:51

they produced, your right to say

there was a range of suggestions

0:42:510:42:56

depending on how people reacted to

tax rises, but the figures they

0:42:560:42:59

produced and the analysis they

produced suggested that if you put

0:42:590:43:03

an additional 5p on the additional

rate, people earning over 150,000

0:43:030:43:13

pounds, only 20,000 of them, if you

put 5p on, you a chilly lose money.

0:43:130:43:17

But you're proposing to put 15p on

which seems entirely self-defeating.

0:43:170:43:25

The focus on the additional rate is

something that keeps coming back in

0:43:250:43:29

this tax discussion. A very small

proportion of the population pay

0:43:290:43:34

that top rate of tax. There is a

question about whether those people

0:43:340:43:39

are going to find ways to dodge

taxes if you increase the rates. The

0:43:390:43:42

evidence for that is mixed. The only

way to find out if the evidence is

0:43:420:43:49

correct is to attempt a change. You

can make a bigger change by reducing

0:43:490:43:53

the threshold. Some people in Labour

have suggested going through further

0:43:530:43:59

in reducing that tax threshold than

we have.

What would you like to

0:43:590:44:02

reduce it to?

Pick on anyone of

these measures, and say what's your

0:44:020:44:07

order before then, -- what is your

number for that, it doesn't make

0:44:070:44:14

sense.

It does if you are going to

implement a tax system.

You have to

0:44:140:44:17

think across the piece, you have to

think about the tax rate across the

0:44:170:44:22

higher rate and the basic rate, you

split that up. We are likely to see

0:44:220:44:27

what rates and bands of income tax

being proposed by the Scottish

0:44:270:44:29

Government because we seem to have

one but argued.

The air passenger

0:44:290:44:35

duty, is that a Red Line?

You cannot

-- we cannot support a cut to air

0:44:350:44:43

passenger duty. We already know

that's not going to happen, if you

0:44:430:44:46

are cynical, you could say that they

have found a way to blame

0:44:460:44:49

Westminster for the fact that they

can't change it this year. If you

0:44:490:44:53

are more generous, you could say

that they got a technical problem

0:44:530:44:57

they did not anticipate. Whichever

view you take, that's not going to

0:44:570:44:59

happen this week and it's clear that

the SNP should drop the policy

0:44:590:45:06

overall, not just a ferret down road

a year, they should drop the policy

0:45:060:45:09

and if there's any tax giveaway, it

should be cutting public transport

0:45:090:45:14

fares on buses and trains.

How would

you reply to people saying, of

0:45:140:45:20

course but Greens are going to give

in and vote for the budget, they are

0:45:200:45:26

just puppets of the SNP.

I think

they have been looking at bad Tory

0:45:260:45:33

memes on the Twitter.

The fact that

you voted for it last year is a bad

0:45:330:45:38

Tory meme?

We have voted for some

budget and against, the Tories voted

0:45:380:45:45

for every single SNP budget.

Your

not a puppet, that's the gist of it.

0:45:450:45:52

Every party should drive as hard

bargain we can for their voters.

0:45:520:45:57

Thank you very much.

0:45:570:45:59

Shortly before we came on air

I spoke with Willie Rennie.

0:45:590:46:05

Have you already done a deal to

support the Scottish budget?

We have

0:46:050:46:09

certainly have not. We will wait to

see what the budget comes up with on

0:46:090:46:12

Thursday and we will be prepared to

talk to Derek Mackay and his

0:46:120:46:16

colleagues about whether an

agreement can be reached. The top

0:46:160:46:19

priority for us is to have a

transformation of investment for

0:46:190:46:23

education which will help of the

economy which has been stuttering

0:46:230:46:26

over recent months and years. We

need to invest in people skills to

0:46:260:46:33

make things change.

Have you not had

any talks with them?

We have had

0:46:330:46:38

discussions with him but we have not

reached any agreement.

You say your

0:46:380:46:40

Red Line is how you much you want

spent in education.

We want to

0:46:400:46:50

invest £500 million in education. We

think there should be an investment

0:46:500:46:53

in colleges, schools and nurseries

and we would do that by putting a

0:46:530:46:57

penny on the basic rate of income

tax.

That would not raise £500

0:46:570:47:03

million, though, would it?

That

would.

It would, if you put a penny

0:47:030:47:08

on the rate from how much, from

12,000 right way up?

Yes, because of

0:47:080:47:14

the personal allowance changes at

Westminster, it would be that you

0:47:140:47:19

wouldn't pay any more tax unless you

work earning over £80,800 so it

0:47:190:47:24

would be attracting those on the

lowest incomes.

-- £18,800. Does

0:47:240:47:30

that go along with the Scottish

Government's economists cultivation?

0:47:300:47:34

I thought the maximum they came up

with with all the various

0:47:340:47:38

calculations they had was £290

million.

They have come up with a

0:47:380:47:44

limited number of options which

involves creating different bands

0:47:440:47:48

and taking those on low incomes out

of the tax increases. We are

0:47:480:47:53

proposing a different system, so

there four options, I think the

0:47:530:48:00

maximum is about to 90.

But have you

had any indication from Derek Mackay

0:48:000:48:08

or anyone else in the Scottish

Government that they would be

0:48:080:48:11

prepared to contemplate a raise in

of the basic rate?

We haven't got

0:48:110:48:17

down to that kind of detail yet, we

have got to see what they come up

0:48:170:48:21

with.

It's a pretty obvious come up

with.

We've covered a lot of issues,

0:48:210:48:27

one is whether we can make the

necessary education we think is

0:48:270:48:35

needed. We are unnecessary nursery

education, they are clearly trying

0:48:350:48:41

to expand the number of hours for

three and four years old, we have

0:48:410:48:44

gone to that detail. In mental

health, we want to make sure we get

0:48:440:48:48

investment in the front line by

recruiting and training more

0:48:480:48:51

personnel for mental health

officers. In GP surgeries, also with

0:48:510:48:58

the police and accident and

emergencies. Those of things that we

0:48:580:49:00

have set out what we have not got

down to the specific details in tax.

0:49:000:49:04

Your big issue is Europe, the

Liberal Democrats are campaigning

0:49:040:49:11

for a second referendum on the

European Union. You seem to think

0:49:110:49:16

that's more important almost, that

anything else, the economic impact

0:49:160:49:20

of leaving the European Union is the

biggest issue. Why not say to this

0:49:200:49:26

Scottish Government, we will support

your budget if you support a second

0:49:260:49:30

referendum on the European Union?

There are a number of different

0:49:300:49:34

priorities that the Liberal

Democrats have, yes, we want to

0:49:340:49:37

avoid the dangerous impact of

Brexit. But this is about the

0:49:370:49:40

budget. This is about trying to get

a package of finances for Scotland

0:49:400:49:45

that will boost the economy, because

we have been sluggish over recent

0:49:450:49:50

months. That's the focus we've got

and that's why we believe investing

0:49:500:49:54

in mental health, also education,

should be the priority.

You could

0:49:540:49:58

also say, the impact of Brexit will

overwhelm any of these detailed

0:49:580:50:02

discussions on education or

whatever, we need to not leave the

0:50:020:50:08

European Union, back our son having

a -- back second referendum and we

0:50:080:50:18

will back your budget.

It'll take

more than that for us to back the

0:50:180:50:21

budget, we want to have a

transformational on education but

0:50:210:50:25

tackling also problems mental

health. It is interesting idea and

0:50:250:50:28

it's something I will raise the

Derek Mackay perhaps but that on its

0:50:280:50:31

own is not sufficient. We need to

have a transformational education to

0:50:310:50:35

make real change.

A while back on

this programme, you said you would

0:50:350:50:42

like the SNP to back your second

referendum on Europe, and make

0:50:420:50:48

Russell, the Brexit secretary, was

interested in that, and said he

0:50:480:50:50

would like to meet you and discuss

at.

Where are there any meetings?

0:50:500:50:56

Yes, Tavish Scott and make Russell

have had a discussion, we have been

0:50:560:50:59

encouraging them to

0:50:590:51:05

encouraging them to move from

considering to supporting our

0:51:050:51:07

proposal. We think it is the best

way of avoiding dangerous Brexit and

0:51:070:51:12

the impact on the economy. We have

to get the SNP over the line to

0:51:120:51:16

fully supported.

What is your

problem with the idea? It would seem

0:51:160:51:21

an obvious thing for them to support

it on one level.

Yes, it would. We

0:51:210:51:26

do not understand why they are not

fully supporting at.

One reason is

0:51:260:51:30

presumably because a lot of yes

voters in the independence

0:51:300:51:34

referendum voted leave, so might not

be pleased if they backed the second

0:51:340:51:39

European referendum.

It could well

be, I cannot read the minds of the

0:51:390:51:43

SNP very well these days, but

hopefully they will come on board

0:51:430:51:46

and support the move.

Are those

discussions still going on?

We have

0:51:460:51:51

not had discussions this week.

I

mean about the Europe issue.

That is

0:51:510:51:58

what I mean, yes.

Is the reality

that you will not back the budget?

0:51:580:52:05

There is nothing in it for you. At

times you have been the most

0:52:050:52:08

critical party of the whole idea of

independence for Scotland, and the

0:52:080:52:13

wall idea at the second referendum,

what possible motive would you have

0:52:130:52:18

in propping up an SNP Government?

We

are reasonable and pragmatic people,

0:52:180:52:23

we always try to hunt for agreement

when we can, and if we can find

0:52:230:52:27

common ground we will do that. We

want the transformation investment

0:52:270:52:32

in education, we want a change in

mental health services for the

0:52:320:52:35

better, and we want to make sure

that we get a fairer funding package

0:52:350:52:41

for ferries in Orkney and Shetland,

which the finance secretary is being

0:52:410:52:48

underhand on.

Were not going to go

into that, last point, you said a

0:52:480:52:52

minute ago you had not had

discussions on Europe this week with

0:52:520:52:56

the SNP. Are you implying these are

regular discussions that are

0:52:560:53:00

ongoing?

I think there has been one

meeting, but I visit frequently with

0:53:000:53:06

Scottish Government ministers, and I

am open to having further

0:53:060:53:10

discussions.

You still hope to wind

them over?

Yes, I do, I am ever

0:53:100:53:17

optimistic.

Willie Rennie, we have

to leave it there, thank you very

0:53:170:53:20

much indeed.

0:53:200:53:21

So, at last, a deal in Brussels this

week means that Britain will be able

0:53:210:53:25

to move to stage two

of the Brexit negotiations.

0:53:250:53:27

Theresa May remains adamant

that Britain will leave

0:53:270:53:29

the European single market

and control its own immigration,

0:53:290:53:31

with a view to bringing

the numbers down.

0:53:310:53:33

But the debate is very

different here in Scotland.

0:53:330:53:36

Faced with an ageing population,

there've been growing calls

0:53:360:53:38

to maintain, or even boost,

the numbers of EU

0:53:380:53:40

migrants coming here.

0:53:400:53:42

And now that the real negotiations

over Brexit are about to start,

0:53:420:53:46

the think tank, the Institute

for Public Policy Research,

0:53:460:53:48

has said that devolving

control over immigration

0:53:480:53:50

to the Scottish Parliament

is an "idea whose time has come".

0:53:500:53:53

We'll debate the merits

of that in a moment,

0:53:530:53:55

but first here's Graham Stewart.

0:53:550:54:03

Hello, everybody, it is great to see

you all here as we are about to turn

0:54:030:54:07

on the Christmas tree lights in

Downing Street once again.

0:54:070:54:09

MUSIC

0:54:090:54:19

To help us do this...

MUSIC

0:54:280:54:40

Five, four, three, two, one.

0:54:510:54:58

Five, four, three, two, one.

So,

Theresa May got what she wanted this

0:54:580:55:00

Christmas, or key, maybe Europe did

anyway. There was a deal on the

0:55:000:55:06

so-called divorce bill, no hard

order in Ireland. And to the reef of

0:55:060:55:10

many European citizens living here,

they will get to stay here and work

0:55:100:55:13

as they do now. That is good news

for Simon, originally from Poland,

0:55:130:55:17

who has run his own landscaping

business across Fife in the Lothian

0:55:170:55:20

is for the past ten years, employing

a mix of European and Scottish

0:55:200:55:26

workers. But the UK Government is

still intent on reducing immigration

0:55:260:55:29

once we're out of the EU, and he

believes that would make hiring

0:55:290:55:34

workers a lot more difficult in the

future.

It would definitely restrict

0:55:340:55:38

the amount of skill and experience

we have access to. I think the ideal

0:55:380:55:45

scenario is that there is still a

free flow of workers and skill.

Here

0:55:450:55:50

it is in black and white. A plan for

a tighter system of control for

0:55:500:55:54

after we leave the EU. The

government document, which was

0:55:540:55:59

leaked in August, says freedom of

movement with an unlimited number of

0:55:590:56:02

EU citizens can come here, we'll

end. New arrivals after 2019 would

0:56:020:56:10

have to register to remain

long-term. There would be tighter

0:56:100:56:12

rules for lower skilled workers to

prioritise British employees,

0:56:120:56:15

perhaps even a cap on numbers. For

EU citizens who do come to the UK,

0:56:150:56:20

it would be harder to bring family

along. But could Scotland take a

0:56:200:56:27

different path? The Institute for

Public Policy Research in Scotland

0:56:270:56:29

says it is time to rethink the UK's

one size fits all immigration policy

0:56:290:56:37

and post Brexit is the ideal time to

do it.

Immigration has not been

0:56:370:56:41

working across the UK for a long

time, but devolving immigration to

0:56:410:56:44

us could be one of the answers to

this an offence, places in Scotland

0:56:440:56:50

we are immigration is lower, the

need for immigration is greater, in

0:56:500:56:54

terms of economic son demographics,

to go ahead and get the levels that

0:56:540:56:58

are right, and allow other parts of

the UK we are immigration is

0:56:580:57:05

greater, to restrict immigration,

which would bring coherence to the

0:57:050:57:08

UK wide immigration matters not they

are right now.

Similar to concerns

0:57:080:57:11

in Ireland this week over the

prospect of a hard border, there are

0:57:110:57:16

questions about how Scotland did

have a separate immigration system

0:57:160:57:20

while maintaining an open border

with England. Questions Lord Smith

0:57:200:57:24

of Kelvin doubtless considered three

years ago when he proposed evolving

0:57:240:57:28

further powers to Holyrood in the

wake of the independence referendum.

0:57:280:57:31

He stopped well short of

recommending power should be

0:57:310:57:36

devolved, but he suggested

politicians explore the possibility

0:57:360:57:40

of post-study work visas for

students. Something Scotland's

0:57:400:57:45

universities are even more keen to

explore in the week Brexit.

We

0:57:450:57:49

benefit hugely from being able to

attract students from across the

0:57:490:57:51

from over 100 countries. At the

moment we're rather unmapped by UK

0:57:510:57:58

immigration policy. We would for

instance like to be able to offer a

0:57:580:58:02

competitive ability for students to

stay on and work a period after they

0:58:020:58:06

have graduated so that they can

contribute something to our economy

0:58:060:58:09

and call back to their own countries

with work experience as well as a

0:58:090:58:14

fantastic Scottish degree.

Are you

going to be celebrating? No. Still

0:58:140:58:18

more work to do.

As the EU's chief

Brexit negotiator made clear, any

0:58:180:58:26

celebrations over this week's

agreements are premature. Britain's

0:58:260:58:33

future with Europe let alone the

Immigration bills have not even --

0:58:330:58:37

immigration rules have not even been

discussed yet.

0:58:370:58:50

Shortly before we came on air

I spoke to the SNP's Deidre Brock

0:58:520:58:55

and the Conservative's Paul

Masterton.

0:58:550:59:02

First of all, tell us the story of

the problem is one of your

0:59:020:59:05

constituents has been having?

Yes,

she has been 24 years in Britain,

0:59:050:59:10

she married a Marine who served in

Bosnia and Northern Ireland, and

0:59:100:59:16

went on to become a member of what I

could term Queens bodyguard, and is

0:59:160:59:22

now Regius keeper at the botanic.

She replied for a residency card and

0:59:220:59:29

was refused, despite the fact she

has lived here all that time, and

0:59:290:59:32

stayed at home bringing up their

three children while Simon was

0:59:320:59:36

serving, and she could not prove her

income levels so she was refused and

0:59:360:59:40

keen to see me in some distress, --

came to see me in some distress, and

0:59:400:59:46

it has caused a lot of attention in

the media.

Has it been sorted out?

0:59:460:59:52

The negotiations announced, the

first phase of the EU negotiations,

0:59:520:59:56

the document on Thursday, suggested

that marriage to a UK national will

0:59:561:00:01

be taken into account when assessing

whether or not people can remain in

1:00:011:00:06

the UK after Brexit. But it says it

has taken into account, it is not a

1:00:061:00:14

guarantee. The criteria is still not

clear enough as to what will be

1:00:141:00:20

applied when people apply for a

residential status after Brexit.

The

1:00:201:00:25

way you have described the case,

whatever the rights and wrongs, it

1:00:251:00:29

does not seem that her case had much

to do with Brexit in the first

1:00:291:00:35

place, did it?

No, residency was

refused, but it is a ridiculous

1:00:351:00:41

situation, she has lived here for 24

years, bringing up three citizens of

1:00:411:00:45

the UK, her husband is highly

respected, and even she was refused

1:00:451:00:50

residency, so this causes a lot of

doubt in people's minds about what

1:00:501:00:53

will be applied after Brexit went EU

nationals have to apply.

Again,

1:00:531:01:00

you're presumably encouraged by the

wording in the document?

I am

1:01:001:01:07

encouraged, but the 3 million

organisation which represents the

1:01:071:01:09

views of many EU nationals, the 3

million who live in the UK, have

1:01:091:01:13

said they are not satisfied with the

fact there is not sufficient detail

1:01:131:01:17

as to what that criteria might be

for those wanting resident status

1:01:171:01:23

after Brexit?

Are you happy with the

wording?

Yes, I take her point that

1:01:231:01:31

it is wording and a lot comes into

how that works for people who are

1:01:311:01:36

here achieving that settled status,

but in terms of the high-level clear

1:01:361:01:39

commitment made to these people, as

we come to be phase one, it is very

1:01:391:01:44

strong.

Are you happy that the

European Court will, it seems, have

1:01:441:01:48

a role in this for almost a decade?

I am personally comfortable with

1:01:481:01:53

that. I know some of my colleagues

may feel less comfortable, but for

1:01:531:02:01

me it is more important that we talk

about these individuals as people

1:02:011:02:04

and giving them that the assurance

they have built in the lights in the

1:02:041:02:08

UK.

On a more general point, the SNP

would like after Brexit for the to

1:02:081:02:14

be some Scottish immigration policy

which could be different from that

1:02:141:02:21

in England or Wales.

Are you getting

anywhere? Well, we're looking into

1:02:211:02:32

immigration at this moment. We have

had a couple of sessions already,

1:02:321:02:35

but it is not simply the SNP, they

are a number of organisations,

1:02:351:02:39

increasing numbers of organisations

concerned about what will happen

1:02:391:02:43

after Brexit to migration from

Scotland. It is very important for

1:02:431:02:48

the economy, not to mention the

social and cultural importance they

1:02:481:02:50

bring.

1:02:501:02:56

bring. But we have people like the

Scottish Chambers of commerce, FSB

1:02:561:03:01

Scotland, we have universities

Scotland, we have the College of

1:03:011:03:05

Scotland, different organisations

who feel that some sort of

1:03:051:03:08

differential approach to immigration

is required in the future.

Given

1:03:081:03:13

that list of organisations, it seems

obvious for the Scottish

1:03:131:03:16

Conservatives to support it.

On the

committee with Deidre, I said I'm

1:03:161:03:22

not convinced with any of the issues

outlined being unique to Scotland,

1:03:221:03:27

so some differentiated deal is

necessary or would have any economic

1:03:271:03:31

benefit for Scotland. It seems that

a lot of these issues are UK wide,

1:03:311:03:35

and they need a pan UK resolution.

Why, because for example the

1:03:351:03:41

Scottish Government says Scottish

industry and business needs more

1:03:411:03:45

immigrants. Without prejudice to the

idea that could be special

1:03:451:03:48

agreements -- there could be special

agreements to England and Wales

1:03:481:03:53

Cricket Board same thing. What is

wrong with the same idea that the

1:03:531:03:56

Scottish Government should be able

to determine these things? The

1:03:561:03:59

Conservatives have been saying for

weeks you can have an electronic

1:03:591:04:05

border between Ireland, Northern

Ireland and the Republic which would

1:04:051:04:08

mean you do not need to have a

tariff or customs barrier. Surely it

1:04:081:04:12

is possible to have an immigration

system where the Scottish Government

1:04:121:04:16

can have some separate policy and it

would work electronically?

I think

1:04:161:04:20

it is possible, but it is whether it

is necessary or beneficial. A lot of

1:04:201:04:27

issues are sectoral, so issues

facing soft fruit farmers in Angus

1:04:271:04:35

are the same as those Down South. It

is about putting together an

1:04:351:04:41

immigration policy that works for

Britain and its new place.

If you

1:04:411:04:48

take an issue like farming, a lot of

people who come and work in the soft

1:04:481:04:54

fruit industry in Scotland are from

Eastern Europe, exactly the same

1:04:541:04:59

issues that arise in East Anglia or

Lincolnshire, so doesn't Paul

1:04:591:05:08

Masterton have a point that it is

going -- if there is going to be

1:05:081:05:11

immigration rules, they should apply

to areas of Britain, rather than

1:05:111:05:15

something Scotland should have

separately?

I refer you to the Ernst

1:05:151:05:20

separately?

I refer you to the Ernst

& Young report talking about a

1:05:201:05:22

demographic time bomb to Scotland,

Scotland has a particular problem

1:05:221:05:28

with an ageing population, and

dependence on population growth on

1:05:281:05:33

migration. -- inward migration. I do

not hold that there is not a

1:05:331:05:36

specific need for Scotland to

address this. People are becoming

1:05:361:05:40

increasingly alarmed at the prospect

of losing those important migrant

1:05:401:05:44

workers after Brexit.

But businesses

in England are alarmed as well.

1:05:441:05:52

But if we have a number of

organisations making a case for

1:05:521:05:55

flexible migration in Scotland, I

don't see why that should not be the

1:05:551:05:59

case. Even the head of the Tories

acknowledge there are differing

1:05:591:06:02

needs in Scotland, but they're just

not prepared to do anything about

1:06:021:06:05

it.

If we can have an electronic

border, why not have it? I take your

1:06:051:06:10

point about some of the issues being

the same, but what the Scottish

1:06:101:06:14

Government would say is, where the

best people to decide that, not the

1:06:141:06:17

government in London.

My view is

that we need to have an immigration

1:06:171:06:22

system that works for the UK as a

whole. There are some specific

1:06:221:06:27

issues facing Scotland that they can

be met better than the UK where aid

1:06:271:06:30

framework.

Is this something we

discussed within the Scottish

1:06:301:06:37

Conservatives? There have been

suggestions in the papers over the

1:06:371:06:40

weekend of the Scottish

Conservatives might come round to

1:06:401:06:43

the kind of view that Deirdre is

having.

I don't think so. We accept

1:06:431:06:49

that there are sectoral issues which

are more prolific in Scotland by way

1:06:491:06:54

of the workforce and the ageing

demographic but the Scottish

1:06:541:06:58

Government has a soft and hard

powers which you can use to attract

1:06:581:07:01

more inward migration to Scotland

and we need to focus on the overall

1:07:011:07:05

UK wide immigration policy.

Is Paul

Wright, are you getting signals that

1:07:051:07:11

the Scottish Conservatives might

come round your point of view?

I

1:07:111:07:16

can't see that I've seen any

evidence of it yet. I would hope

1:07:161:07:20

that the evidence that the Scottish

Government submitted containing a

1:07:201:07:22

lot of data to the importance of

migration to Scotland to the

1:07:221:07:29

migration advisory Council recently

would be taken into the account when

1:07:291:07:33

the UK Government forms interviews.

But I would still argue that the

1:07:331:07:36

Home Office immigration service is

not fit for purpose and needs

1:07:361:07:39

review, and I would like to see

things altered for Scotland's

1:07:391:07:41

purposes.

We will have to leave it

there, thank you very much.

1:07:411:07:47

Time now to take a look back

over events and a look

1:07:471:07:49

forwards to the week ahead.

1:07:491:07:51

With me this week are the former

Labour advisor Paul Sinclair.

1:07:541:07:57

And the Common Space

editor Angela Haggerty.

1:07:571:08:07

I just wonder, is this idea of a

separate immigration policy, an idea

1:08:071:08:11

that time has come? I don't know

what Labour's views are on this, I

1:08:111:08:18

guess we don't know what Labour's

views are on anything at the moment

1:08:181:08:21

because it has not been made clear.

It's an obvious thing that Labour

1:08:211:08:26

could support.

I think the idea will

be about practicalities. If the rest

1:08:261:08:32

of the country has voted to leave

the EU because we have got a problem

1:08:321:08:36

with freedom of movement, is

Scotland has a separate immigration

1:08:361:08:39

policy, the question is, can we

still have freedom of movement

1:08:391:08:42

within the United Kingdom? There is

a question of practicalities rather

1:08:421:08:45

than the principle.

It didn't occur

to me when I was doing the

1:08:451:08:51

discussions there, but in a way,

Paul Masterson conceded the

1:08:511:08:55

principle, because if you have what

he called sectoral deals, that

1:08:551:08:58

conceived the idea that you can have

a differential immigration policy.

1:08:581:09:03

Yes, the advice seems to be coming

from a range of different places now

1:09:031:09:07

that Scotland's needs are different

when it comes to immigration and I

1:09:071:09:12

think Scotland's attitude are

different when it comes to

1:09:121:09:13

immigration as well when it comes to

the rest of the country. The issues

1:09:131:09:16

affecting us with Brexit are quite

different to the issues that have

1:09:161:09:19

been brought up elsewhere. I don't

think that having a more open

1:09:191:09:24

immigration policy would go down so

badly in Scotland, I think people

1:09:241:09:27

recognise that it's necessary for

certain sectors in the economy. We

1:09:271:09:34

have other things devolved, why

can't we have this devolved as well

1:09:341:09:36

if it makes sense to do so, if the

advice is to do that? I take the

1:09:361:09:40

point about the practicalities could

be difficult, but we are in a

1:09:401:09:44

situation where the practicalities

of everything to do with Brexit

1:09:441:09:47

going to be difficult. They have to

be worked out, we had to find a way

1:09:471:09:51

around these things but I think it

can be done. There will be a way to

1:09:511:09:57

do that. I don't think that it

should be on stuck because of the

1:09:571:10:02

practicality question. I think in

principle we need to accept that

1:10:021:10:05

this makes good sense and went it

comes to unionists, I think the

1:10:051:10:09

Conservatives are pushing this UK

wide line because they think they

1:10:091:10:14

cannot keep separating things to

Scotland. Rather I think it's

1:10:141:10:18

actually a good thing to allow

Scotland to take control over

1:10:181:10:21

certain things otherwise they feel

like it's going to be detrimental

1:10:211:10:23

for them if it's a UK wide policy.

But budget, there will be a deal,

1:10:231:10:28

would there? It's just a question of

with whom, who is your money on?

I

1:10:281:10:31

think there will be a deal. I think

we are going to get into huge

1:10:311:10:36

difficulty here, it seems almost

certain that taxes are

1:10:361:10:46

certain that taxes are going to go

up. In principle and not against

1:10:461:10:48

income tax going up, but if you look

at the problems that Scotland have,

1:10:481:10:51

our income tax base is too small, we

don't have enough high earners or

1:10:511:10:54

middle earners. Anything that's

going to determine people moving

1:10:541:10:57

south or make people not want to

come to Scotland, we just talked

1:10:571:11:00

about immigration, why would you

come to Scotland if taxes are going

1:11:001:11:03

to be higher? The thing I fear about

it is this. For whatever, because

1:11:031:11:12

getting a cost into deeper's pay

packets, the benefit they will --

1:11:121:11:18

people's pay packets, they will not

see any benefit in public services,

1:11:181:11:21

I think this is an electoral tactic

by Nicola Sturgeon saying, I raised

1:11:211:11:26

taxes, Richard Leonard wants to

raise their more and Tories wants to

1:11:261:11:30

cut them.

The other thing and I'm

sure the SNP government is aware of

1:11:301:11:35

this, it's one thing to say that all

the people support taxes going up in

1:11:351:11:42

opinion polls, when it comes to

voting for a party that puts your

1:11:421:11:45

taxes up, people are not maybe quite

so keen. As the SNP know to their

1:11:451:11:49

cost.

One of the issues that we need

to be aware of is that of the

1:11:491:11:56

options of the SNP Scottish

Government has laid out so far on

1:11:561:11:59

raising taxes, even the best and

most optimistic projections for how

1:11:591:12:06

much could be raise are still only

going to offset the cuts coming into

1:12:061:12:12

the Scottish budget.

200 million --

£290 million according to their

1:12:121:12:22

budget.

So the tax rate may not go

to improve public services.

It is

1:12:221:12:27

important point, we should explain.

£290 million, if you take action to

1:12:271:12:32

not pay these extra taxes, and maybe

430 million, but as you say, in the

1:12:321:12:38

bigger scheme of things, it's not

enormous sums of money. Kezia

1:12:381:12:42

Dugdale, you've been very critical

of her.

I have merely passed an

1:12:421:12:46

opinion.

And what is the opinion?

I

think it's rather sad that Kez, who

1:12:461:12:53

I think is a woman of ability

although we didn't see that when she

1:12:531:12:57

was leader of the Scottish party,

has trashed her own credibility. I

1:12:571:13:03

think we will find it a sad when she

gets back from Australia, we're

1:13:031:13:07

going to find, the question will be

how much of money of her £100,000

1:13:071:13:10

fee will she actually give to

charity, which she said.

The

1:13:101:13:16

opposition... It says, stop being so

perfect, it's a bit of fun.

I think

1:13:161:13:24

it nearly broke the Internet with

the economy right on Kezia Dugdale.

1:13:241:13:28

It's a TV show, it's not that big a

deal, she will probably come back

1:13:281:13:33

and will be a bit of controversy and

squabbling but it will be fine.

Do

1:13:331:13:39

you think Richard Leonard should

bring her in?

Probably.

No!

That's

1:13:391:13:46

all we have time for this week. I

will be back for the same time next

1:13:461:13:50

week for our final programme before

the Christmas break.

1:13:501:13:53

Until then, goodbye.

1:13:531:13:54

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