30/04/2017 Sunday Politics South East


30/04/2017

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It's Sunday Morning, and this is the Sunday Politics.

:00:35.:00:39.

Theresa May says she has no plans to increase tax levels,

:00:40.:00:41.

but refuses to repeat David Cameron's 2015 manifesto

:00:42.:00:45.

promise ruling out hikes in VAT, national insurance and income tax.

:00:46.:00:52.

The leaders of the EU's 27 member states unanimously

:00:53.:00:55.

agree their negotiating strategy for the upcoming Brexit talks, but

:00:56.:00:59.

And in the last of our series of interviews ahead of Thursday's

:01:00.:01:09.

In the capital this week: to the leader of Plaid Cymru Leanne

:01:10.:01:26.

They hit an all-time low after coalition government,

:01:27.:01:47.

but are the Lib Dems poised to bounce back,

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And with me to analyse the week's politics,

:01:49.:01:53.

Isabel Oakeshott, Steve Richards, Tom Newton-Dunn.

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They'll be tweeting using the hashtag #bbcsp.

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So when Theresa May was interviewed just over an hour ago

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on The Andrew Marr Show, the Prime Minister was asked

:02:00.:02:02.

to confirm that she would repeat David Cameron's 2015 election

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promise not to raise VAT, national insurance and income tax

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We have absolutely no plans to increase the level of tax,

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but I'm also very clear that I don't want to make specific proposals

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on taxes unless I'm absolutely sure that I can deliver on those.

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But it is, would be my intention as a Conservative Government

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and a Conservative Prime Minister, to reduce the taxes

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The Tories like to have a clear tax message in elections, are they

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getting into a bit of a mess? That method wasn't clear, but does it

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mean, saying they have no plans to increase the level of tax? We are

:02:35.:02:39.

clear there will not be a rise in VAT, a lot of commentators will get

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overexcited about that, but there was no great expectations there

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would be a rise in VAT. Tempting as it is, because even one percentage

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point on VAT rate is 4.5 billion for the exchequer so it is tempting but

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there has been no speculation that would happen. We can see that she

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clearly wants to reiterate the language about hard-working families

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but I don't think we are that much the wiser. Even if she does not put

:03:09.:03:14.

up rates, according to projections the overall tax burden, as a

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percentage of GDP, is rising, will rise in the years ahead. That is why

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it was an odd phrase, I know she is doing it to be evasive but to say

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they have no plans to raise the general level of taxation, they do

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have. We also know they have specific plans because it was in the

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last budget, they had a tax rise which they had to revise, National

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Insurance rises, so very wisely in my view they are keeping options

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open, the 2015 tax-and-spend debate was a fantasy world, totally

:03:52.:03:55.

unrelated to the demands that would follow. They now have the

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flexibility, one of the arguments you had heard last time was Philip

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Hammond saying to her, we have to break away from the 2015 manifesto

:04:04.:04:09.

commitment and we can only do it this way, that is one of the better

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arguments. The Tories like to talk about tax cuts in elections, whether

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they do it is another matter, but they are not being allowed to talk

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about tax cuts, they are now on the defensive over whether they will

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raise taxes. That is not a healthy position for the campaign to be in.

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If you look at the numbers, quite frankly, if you will not do this at

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this election with eight 20 point lead over Labour, then when will you

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take these tough decisions? Reading between the lines of what Theresa

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May has said all over different broadcasters this morning, income

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tax will go down for low-income families, such as the threshold rise

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that microbes that was already factored in. She has had to commit

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to it again. VAT will be fat, national insurance contributions

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will go up. Do you think they will go up? I think so, she had plenty of

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opportunity to rule it out and she didn't. There was a terrible mess

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with the budget, it is a good tax argument but not a good electoral

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argument that you are eroding the base so heavily with people moving

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into self-employment that as you raise national insurance

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contributions for everybody but the self-employed, it is something the

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Treasury will have to look at. The other triple lock on pensions, we

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don't know if they will keep to that either? If they are sensible they

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will find a form of words to give them flexibility in that area as

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well. I would say there is no question over that, that has gone.

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As Mrs May would say, you will have to wait for the manifesto. That is

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what all the party leaders tell me! Labour have spent the weekend

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pushing their messages Speaking at a camapign rally

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in London yesterday, Jeremy Corbyn promised a Labour

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government would fix what he called People are fed up, fed up with not

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being able to get somewhere to live, fed up waiting for hospital

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appointments, fed up with 0-hours contracts, fed up with low pay, fed

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up with debt, fed up with not being able to get on in their lives

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because we have a system that is rigged against so many.

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I've been joined from Newcastle by Labour's elections

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and campaigns co-ordinator, Ian Lavery.

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Good morning. To deal with this rigged economy, as Mr Corbyn calls

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it, the Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell has a 20 point plan for

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workers out today. When you add up everything he plans to do to help

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workers, how much will it cost? The full costings, one thing I need to

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say at the very beginning, the costings of any policy which we have

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already ruled out and any policy we will be ruling out in the next few

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days and weeks will be fully costed in the manifesto and in addition to

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the fact that it will be fully costed, we will see it in the

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manifesto how indeed it has been funded, so we are very clear,

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anything we have seen already, and there are some exciting policy

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releases and there will be more in the future, anything we are going to

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do will be fully costed and in the manifesto. You announced a 20 point

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plan but cannot tell me what the costs will be this morning so at the

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moment it is a menu without prices? It is not a menu without prices, it

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is a fantastic opportunity. This 20 point plan is something which will

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transform the lives of millions of millions of people in the

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workplace... But what is the cost? It will be welcomed by many people

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across the UK. The fact the costings have not been released, you will

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have to be patient, it will be released very clearly, it will

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identify that in the manifesto. Let me come down to one of the points,

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the end of the public sector pay freeze. Can you give us any idea how

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much that will cost? The end of the public sector pay freeze, so

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important to the future of the Labour Party, it is an massive

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policy decision. Let me say at this stage, Theresa May, the Prime

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Minister, this morning, on The Andrew Marr Show, did not have the

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common decency, courtesy all respect to condone the fact that nurses, the

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heroes of the NHS, have had a reduction of nearly 14% in their

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wages since 2010 and are using food banks to feed themselves! Does that

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not say everything that is wrong with today's society? So can you

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tell me what it will cost, which is what my question was? What I will

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say is everything the Labour Party pledges, everything that we come out

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with, what we will roll out between now and the 8th of June, will be

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fully costed, people will be very much aware of how much the costings

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will be, where the funding will come from, when the manifesto is

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published. What about doubling paternity leave, nu minimum wage,

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four new bank holidays, any idea what it will

:09:18.:09:28.

cost? These are exciting new proposals and of course today cost

:09:29.:09:32.

money but we are the sixth richest economy in the world. It is about

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redistribution of the wealth we create. We are seeing growth in the

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economy, it is how we utilise the finances in the best way we possibly

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can for a fairer society for the many and not the few. You just can't

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tell me how much it will cost? That is why I will repeat again that you

:09:47.:09:51.

need to be very patient. Do you know the cost yourself? You are the head

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of the campaign, do you know the cost of these things yourself? I am

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very much aware of how much the costings are likely to be, they have

:10:00.:10:03.

been identified, they will be published in the manifesto. You

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really do understand I would not be releasing today, live on your show,

:10:10.:10:13.

any costings or predictions with regards the manifesto. Why not? You

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have released the policy, why not the cost? Because there is a fine

:10:19.:10:24.

detail and we will identify it to the general public in the manifesto.

:10:25.:10:27.

We not only explain how much it will cost but we will explain where the

:10:28.:10:34.

funding comes from. Be patient. Will some of the costs be met by

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increasing taxes? I would think at this point in time there is not any

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indication to increase basic taxes and again the taxes and spending of

:10:45.:10:50.

the Labour Government with the proposals of the 20 point plan, the

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issues we have got, housing, the NHS, crime, education will all be

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identified with the costings in the publication. Can you tell us this

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morning, we'll tax for most people rise or not to finance this? We in

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the Labour Party are looking to a fair tax system which will be

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clearly identified in the manifesto. Mr McDonnell also wants to ban all

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0-hours contracts. Would that include those who actually like

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those contracts? There are nearly 1 million, depending on which figured

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you'd use, there are nearly 1 million people on zero-hours

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contract and the vast proportion of those want to be able to live a

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decent life, a secure life, they want to understand whether they will

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be at work the next day, they're included hours... I understand a lot

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of people don't like zero-hours contract and your proposal will

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address that, but there are those, I saw one survey where 65% of people

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on zero-hours contract like the flexibility it gives them. Will you

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force them off zero-hours contract or if they like them will they

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continue with them? We will discuss it with employee is to make sure

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individuals in the workplace have the right to negotiate hours in that

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workplace. Guaranteed hours is very, very important. Zero-hour contracts

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are an instrument in which employers abuse and exploit mainly young

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people, mainly female people in the workplace. We would be banning

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zero-hour contract. But there are those, students for example, who

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like them, would they be forced off zero-hour contracts in your

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proposal? Our proposal would be banning zero-hour contract and

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introducing contracts which have set hours in the workplace. You also say

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no company will be able to bid for a public contract unless the boss

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earns no more than 20 times the lowest paid, or the average wage,

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I'm not quite sure which. What would happen if British Aerospace bids to

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build more joint strike Fighters and the boss is paid more than 20 times?

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I understand the point you raise but we have an obscene situation in this

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country, Andrew, in which the bosses at the very top make an absolute

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fortune... But what would happen then? Who would build joint strike

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Fighters... The difference in wages between the top earners in the

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country and the people in the factories, in the workshops,

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producing the goods, is vast. I understand that is the reason you

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want a ratio. What I am saying is, what happens if the ratio is

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greater? Who gets the contract if not British Aerospace? Who else

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builds the planes? We are going to introduce a wage rate CEO of one to

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20. -- wage ratio. We want to close the gap between the people at the

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very top and people who produce the goods. Let me try one more Time, who

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would build the joint strike fighter? We would look at the issue

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as it came along but the policy is clear... Can you name a single

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defence contractor weather boss' salary is less than 20 times average

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earnings? We are not reducing, we have rolled that out as part of this

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fantastic plan to transform society to get rid of discrimination, to try

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and bring together our communities. We will introduce a pay ratio of one

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to 20. Fair enough, thank you very much.

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It's a month after the triggering of Article 50, and EU leaders -

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with the exception of Britain - met in Brussels this weekend

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to agree their opening negotiating stance, to get the divorce

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It is inside this psychedelic chamber where Britain's 'Grexit'

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future will be decided over the next two years, but there is a vast gulf

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in rhetoric coming from the UK and the EU. With parallel narratives

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emerging for both sides. There is broad agreement that an orderly

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withdrawal is in the interests of both sides. But Theresa May's

:15:32.:15:36.

position is that the terms of our future trade deal should be

:15:37.:15:39.

negotiated alongside the terms of our divorce. Meanwhile the EU says

:15:40.:15:44.

the terms of the UK's exit must be decided before any discussion on a

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future trade deal can begin. But don't forget that divorce

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settlement. Don't remind me. In Brussels, many think written should

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pay even more, while in the UK ministers said the divorce bill

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should be capped at 3 billion. After you. Thank you.

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For are you looking forward to it? Isn't that divorce bill a bit high?

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Isn't this about punishing Britain? We are very united, you all seem so

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surprised but it's a fact. How soon can we get a deal? We have to wait

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for the elections. It was the decision of Mrs May. It took over an

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hour for the leaders to make their entrances but once inside it's just

:16:37.:16:39.

a few minutes to agree the negotiating guidelines. They set out

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three main areas. The first phase of talks on the divorce settlement will

:16:46.:16:49.

deal with the existing financial commitments to the EU, the Northern

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Ireland border and the rights of EU citizens in the UK. They said a UK

:16:53.:16:56.

trade agreement can be discussed when the first phase of talks

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reaches significant progress. And that there must be unity in the

:17:02.:17:06.

negotiations, that individual EU members won't negotiate separately

:17:07.:17:12.

with the UK. They are quite good here at negotiating because they are

:17:13.:17:16.

used to it. They set a maximum and then they have to recede a little

:17:17.:17:20.

bit depending on what the other side is prepared to offer. I think there

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is room for manoeuvre in some issues, but I don't think some of

:17:27.:17:30.

the baseline things will change that much. For example I don't think the

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European Union will concede on the rights of citizens who are already

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in the UK. It will be very difficult for them to accept that they will

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not be any exit bill, and the question of Northern Ireland is very

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important as well, the hard order question. The baseline things are

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not going to move that much, then you have room for manoeuvring

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between. On security, defence and the fight against terrorism, the

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guidelines said the EU stands ready to work together. And after lunch,

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friendly signs from some EU leaders as they gave individual press

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conferences. Paul and said the talks should open doors to new

:18:13.:18:15.

opportunities and even German Chancellor Angela Merkel, who had

:18:16.:18:22.

earlier said some in Britain were deluded about Brexit, softened her

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tone saying there was no conspiracy against the UK. Unity was the

:18:25.:18:29.

buzzword at this summit and for once everybody seemed to be sticking to

:18:30.:18:34.

the script. That unity is not only amongst the 27 states, it's also

:18:35.:18:38.

among the institutions so many of the divisions we have seen in the

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past at European level do not exist. That is very important and it's not

:18:44.:18:47.

be unity that is directed somehow against the UK because I think we

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all want this to be an orderly process and part of that is that the

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EU side is unified. So although there are no surprises here, what

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took place in this room was a significant step towards the real

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Brexit negotiations which will begin soon after the general election in

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June, said to be the most complex the UK has faced in our lifetimes.

:19:17.:19:21.

Isabel, Steve and Tom are still with me.

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Isabel, doesn't the British media have to be a bit careful here? We

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would never take at face value anything a British politician tells

:19:35.:19:39.

us. We would question it, put it in context and wonder if they are

:19:40.:19:43.

bluffing, but we seem to take at face value anything a European

:19:44.:19:47.

politician says about these negotiations. You only have to look

:19:48.:19:51.

at the front page of the Sunday Times today to see that. They quoted

:19:52.:19:56.

at length Juncker, who didn't like the food at the reception and this

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and that, and I think the mood is very optimistic. The key thing is

:20:01.:20:05.

the EU trade Commissioner has said we will get a free trade deal and a

:20:06.:20:10.

lot of people seem to be wilfully ignoring that incredibly big

:20:11.:20:13.

concession. That is what will happen in their view. Everything that is

:20:14.:20:19.

said at the moment needs a slight rerun over. They are all in

:20:20.:20:24.

negotiating positions, plus we seem to be completely unaware that they

:20:25.:20:28.

all have their own domestic constituencies as well. Angela

:20:29.:20:34.

Merkel has an important election coming up in September,

:20:35.:20:36.

Euroscepticism is quite different from Britain of course, but there's

:20:37.:20:40.

a different kind of euro scepticism in Germany, she has got to deal with

:20:41.:20:45.

that. Of course she has, which is why you are right, nothing should be

:20:46.:20:49.

taken too seriously out of the mouths of British politicians or

:20:50.:20:55.

European politicians until October this year. We have got to wait for

:20:56.:20:59.

the French elections, then German elections, and if you look through

:21:00.:21:03.

this you can see a way forward. There's no trade talks until pay up,

:21:04.:21:09.

but what was actually written was no trade talks until we make

:21:10.:21:13.

significant progress on the money. You can define significant progress

:21:14.:21:17.

in a lot of ways but come December, fireworks over the summer, we all

:21:18.:21:22.

get very excited about it, in these chairs I'm sure, come December

:21:23.:21:26.

things will look a lot smoother. The German elections are at the end of

:21:27.:21:31.

September but I've seen reports in German press, depending how it goes

:21:32.:21:34.

it could take until Christmas before a new coalition government is put

:21:35.:21:40.

together. The Brussels long-standing negotiating tactic of nothing is

:21:41.:21:43.

agreed until everything is agreed, then I guess the British could say

:21:44.:21:49.

we agree a certain sum of money if that's what it takes but that

:21:50.:21:53.

depends on them, what good trade deal we get. If we don't get that,

:21:54.:21:59.

the sum of money is off the table. In that sense, the two are going

:22:00.:22:04.

parallel. However, I wouldn't entirely dismiss what people are

:22:05.:22:08.

saying in their pre-election periods to their own electorates because

:22:09.:22:14.

they have to some extent to deliver subsequently. Of course Angela

:22:15.:22:18.

Merkel is campaigning and electioneering, who wouldn't, she

:22:19.:22:22.

has a tough election to fight, but she is measured and thoughtful and

:22:23.:22:26.

when she says things like some of the British are delusional, that is

:22:27.:22:30.

unusually strong language for her. What was she referring to? I don't

:22:31.:22:37.

know, it wasn't specific. Have the cake and eat it perhaps the

:22:38.:22:41.

sequencing the British don't want. When they thought the British

:22:42.:22:44.

government was going to effectively demand membership of the single

:22:45.:22:48.

market, that's not going to happen now. Unless you sign up to the four

:22:49.:22:55.

pillars, that's the cake and eat it proposition, which they are right in

:22:56.:23:01.

saying Theresa May has made. But everybody has access, even with no

:23:02.:23:05.

deal you have access. The other side of it is I think there will be a

:23:06.:23:15.

united position from them. And so, as somebody pointed out in that

:23:16.:23:21.

report, they are experienced, tough negotiators, so I don't think it

:23:22.:23:29.

will be quite as easy as some think. I spoke to one of those who drew up

:23:30.:23:35.

Article 50 and they said to me they deliberately put this two year

:23:36.:23:38.

timetable in to make it impossible for anybody to think about leaving.

:23:39.:23:45.

This is really tight, this negotiation. Easy, it isn't.

:23:46.:23:48.

This coming Thursday, voters up and down the country

:23:49.:23:50.

will be going to the polls in this year's local elections.

:23:51.:23:53.

Over the past few weeks I've interviewed representatives

:23:54.:23:55.

of the Conservative Party, Labour, the Liberal Democrats,

:23:56.:23:57.

Today it's the turn of Plaid Cymru and the SNP.

:23:58.:24:00.

A little earlier I spoke Alex Salmond, who until 2014

:24:01.:24:03.

I started by asking him why Scots should vote SNP in local elections

:24:04.:24:07.

when the Scottish Government had just cut central Government funding

:24:08.:24:09.

It's actually a funding increase going into Scottish councils this

:24:10.:24:25.

year, and if you look at the funding position for example between

:24:26.:24:29.

Scottish councils and those in England, which are obviously

:24:30.:24:32.

directly related through the Barnett formula, the funding in Scotland has

:24:33.:24:36.

been incomparably better than that in England so there's a whole range

:24:37.:24:47.

of the -- of reasons... What's happening south of the border

:24:48.:24:50.

indicates the protection the Scottish Parliament has been able to

:24:51.:24:54.

put in that helps vital services in Scotland. But there hasn't been a

:24:55.:24:58.

funding increase, the block grant from Westminster to Edinburgh was

:24:59.:25:03.

increased by 1.5% in real terms but the grant to councils was cut by

:25:04.:25:10.

2.6%. It was going to be a cut of 330 million, the Greens got you to

:25:11.:25:15.

reduce it to 170 million but it is still a cut of 2.6%. Your own

:25:16.:25:25.

Aberdeenshire Council has had a cut to 391 million. You have cut the

:25:26.:25:30.

money to councils. Yes, but councils have available to them more

:25:31.:25:33.

resources this year, and as you say the budget increased that further

:25:34.:25:38.

which is why we put forward an excellent local government budget in

:25:39.:25:41.

Aberdeenshire and resisted a Tory attempts to knock ?3 million off...

:25:42.:25:48.

You asked me about Aberdeenshire, and Aberdeenshire has put forward a

:25:49.:25:52.

budget for investment expansion and resisted a Tory attempts to knock ?3

:25:53.:25:57.

million off the education budget, and I'm very grateful you have given

:25:58.:26:00.

me the opportunity to make that point. The Government in Edinburgh

:26:01.:26:06.

has cut the money to Aberdeenshire by ?11 million. It is a cut. But

:26:07.:26:13.

there is an investment budget in Aberdeenshire that has been made

:26:14.:26:16.

available by the ability to increase the council tax by 2.5% after a

:26:17.:26:22.

nine-year freeze in Scotland, and that has brought more resources into

:26:23.:26:26.

local government and that's why the butchered in Aberdeenshire has been

:26:27.:26:30.

an investment budget including protection of the education budget

:26:31.:26:34.

in the face of a Tory and liberal attempt to cut bit. You have to

:26:35.:26:39.

compare what is happening in Scotland and England, and there's no

:26:40.:26:41.

doubt Scottish local authorities have been much better funded than

:26:42.:26:48.

those in England over the last few years and that's been the ability of

:26:49.:26:50.

the Scottish Government to protect the services at local level. A good

:26:51.:26:56.

reason for voting SNP. If they have been so well funded, why after a

:26:57.:27:02.

decade of SNP rule do one in five Scottish pupils leave primary school

:27:03.:27:10.

functionally illiterate? You have got to take these things... Nicola

:27:11.:27:14.

Sturgeon has made it a top priority to address these challenges but

:27:15.:27:19.

let's take another statistic. 93% of Scottish kids are now emerging from

:27:20.:27:22.

school to positive destinations, that means to further education,

:27:23.:27:30.

apprenticeships or work. Why are one in five functionally illiterate? You

:27:31.:27:36.

argue one statistic, I'm arguing Scottish education is putting in

:27:37.:27:40.

some substantially good performances like the 93% going on to positive

:27:41.:27:45.

destinations. You can't have a failing education system if you have

:27:46.:27:50.

got that 93%, and incidentally a record low youth unemployment in

:27:51.:27:54.

Scotland without the second lowest unemployment rate in Europe. These

:27:55.:27:59.

pupils are being prepared by the Scottish education system. Let's

:28:00.:28:03.

take the figures in the round on education. It's so important. Under

:28:04.:28:08.

your watch, under your government, the Scottish schools in the most

:28:09.:28:13.

important global comparison have fallen from tenth to 19th in

:28:14.:28:24.

science, and 11 to 24th in maths, that is a record of decline and

:28:25.:28:31.

failure. That is by the OECD and first questions about that, but the

:28:32.:28:36.

OECD has also described Scotland is one of the best educated societies

:28:37.:28:41.

in the world. That was from the school system in previous years gone

:28:42.:28:46.

by. For those who are currently in Scottish schools, you have fallen

:28:47.:28:52.

from 11th to 24th in mathematics. The OECD was commenting on

:28:53.:28:55.

introduction of the new curriculum for excellence in which they have

:28:56.:28:59.

given a resounding thumbs up to it, and that's the same source as the

:29:00.:29:04.

rankings which you are comparing. Nicola Sturgeon has said there are

:29:05.:29:08.

challenges on Scottish education, particularly the access through the

:29:09.:29:11.

education system and the attainment gap but don't tell me it's failing

:29:12.:29:16.

when 55% of our pupils have gone on to higher education. That's one of

:29:17.:29:19.

the most impressive figures in the world. Why have you cut 4000

:29:20.:29:26.

teachers? The pupil numbers in Scotland have been falling over

:29:27.:29:30.

recent years as well and now of course we are increasing the number

:29:31.:29:34.

of people going through teachers training so we can make sure that

:29:35.:29:38.

number increases, but listen, the Scottish Government and Scottish

:29:39.:29:43.

Parliament, as you very well know, are subject to real terms spending

:29:44.:29:47.

cuts over the last few years and all public services have been under

:29:48.:29:51.

pressure. The main reason in terms of teacher numbers has been an

:29:52.:29:54.

attempt on the Scottish Government to protect the teacher pupil ratio,

:29:55.:29:59.

and that will now be enhanced by a further taker -- intake. You

:30:00.:30:07.

promised you would reduce primary class sizes to 18 and instead they

:30:08.:30:13.

are now 23.5 and rising. You broke that promise. You didn't mention

:30:14.:30:19.

where we started from. We have kept the teacher pupil ratio very solid

:30:20.:30:23.

in Scotland and that's been against a range of public expenditure cuts

:30:24.:30:27.

but the new intake of teachers into the new teacher training in Scotland

:30:28.:30:29.

I think will enhance the system. You have spent in the pasty in

:30:30.:30:40.

Hollywood 43 hours on Government time debating independence. How many

:30:41.:30:45.

hours have you debated education on Government time? I don't have that

:30:46.:30:50.

they get a hand... The answer is zero, you have spent zero-hours

:30:51.:30:53.

debating education on Government time. Isn't it time the SNP got back

:30:54.:30:59.

to concentrating on the day job? Andrew, as you very well know Nicola

:31:00.:31:04.

Sturgeon has identified a key priority, closing the attainment gap

:31:05.:31:07.

in Scottish education. That is exactly what she has done. Let me

:31:08.:31:13.

answer the question, it is difficult to be in a remote location, if you

:31:14.:31:18.

talk before I answer the question then the view was will not be able

:31:19.:31:24.

to listen. I let you answer that without saying a word. Is this

:31:25.:31:29.

general election about independence, as you say it is, or not about

:31:30.:31:33.

independence, as Mrs Sturgeon says it is? No, I have said exactly the

:31:34.:31:40.

same as Nicola Sturgeon on that. The issue what independence will be

:31:41.:31:43.

decided in a national referendum of the Scottish people. The mandate for

:31:44.:31:48.

that referendum was gained in last year's Scottish elections. What this

:31:49.:31:53.

election is about is backing the right of the Scottish parliament to

:31:54.:31:55.

exercise that mandate and also providing real opposition to this

:31:56.:31:58.

Tory Government and allowing the Scottish Parliament to reverse

:31:59.:32:03.

austerity and some of the public expenditure cutbacks you have been

:32:04.:32:08.

talking about, that is what this is about, backing our Scottish

:32:09.:32:08.

Parliament. Alex Salmond, speaking

:32:09.:32:10.

to me earlier. I'm now joined by the leader

:32:11.:32:12.

of Plaid Cymru, Leanne Wood. You accuse the Government of wanting

:32:13.:32:19.

an extreme Brexit, those are your words. What is the difference

:32:20.:32:24.

between hard Brexit and extreme Brexit? My concern is the way in

:32:25.:32:27.

which we leave the European Union could be very damaging to Wales if,

:32:28.:32:32.

for example, there are tariffs introduced then that would have a

:32:33.:32:36.

real impact in terms of Welsh jobs, and I want to make sure that we have

:32:37.:32:42.

a Brexit that doesn't cause the damage to Wales that could be

:32:43.:32:46.

caused. But what is the difference between extreme and hard? Anything

:32:47.:32:52.

that puts Welsh jobs at risk is either extreme or hard and

:32:53.:32:55.

unacceptable to Plaid Cymru, and we will do what we can to protect those

:32:56.:32:59.

jobs. You want Wales to remain a member of the single market even if

:33:00.:33:04.

the UK isn't, which would mean Wales having to accept the free movement

:33:05.:33:08.

of people, still being under the jurisdiction of the European Court,

:33:09.:33:20.

and you also want to stay in the customs union which means you could

:33:21.:33:22.

not do your own free trade deals. What is the difference between that

:33:23.:33:25.

and being a member of the European Union? We would be like Norway,

:33:26.:33:27.

outside the European Union and inside the single market. The key

:33:28.:33:30.

question is the issue of jobs and the ability to continue to trade.

:33:31.:33:34.

Wales exports, we are the biggest exporter in the whole of the UK, so

:33:35.:33:38.

there are many jobs reliant upon those goods being able to be sold to

:33:39.:33:47.

the single market. Is it central to the UK? Out of the four countries

:33:48.:33:52.

that make up the UK... Proportionally, yes. If you remain

:33:53.:34:00.

in the single market, it is hard to see how Wales could stay in the

:34:01.:34:04.

single market if the UK -- when the rest of the UK was not, you cite

:34:05.:34:08.

Norway, that has free movement, it has to be said, it effectively have

:34:09.:34:13.

to accept the jurisdiction of the European Court, it is not in the

:34:14.:34:17.

customs union so it can do some of its own free trade deals, but the

:34:18.:34:26.

Welsh people voted to leave. We have to accept the principle of free

:34:27.:34:30.

movement if there is not going to be a hard border between the north and

:34:31.:34:34.

south of Ireland. There is going to be free movement within Ireland and

:34:35.:34:38.

therefore freedom of movement, as we said in the referendum campaign,

:34:39.:34:43.

would be very, very difficult to rule out. You lost that campaign, as

:34:44.:34:49.

you know, Wales voted to leave, 17 Council areas voted to leave, only

:34:50.:34:55.

five voted to remain. Doesn't it explain why your party is going

:34:56.:34:59.

nowhere? A majority in Wales voted to leave but you effectively want to

:35:00.:35:06.

support that and de facto remain in the EU? I don't accept that, we

:35:07.:35:10.

accepted the result but Plaid Cymru now is about defending Wales. There

:35:11.:35:15.

are so many risks facing our people from the jobs perspective, the

:35:16.:35:19.

privatisation perspective, the cuts perspective, and from the fact that

:35:20.:35:23.

the Tories would like to grab power was back from our National Assembly,

:35:24.:35:28.

so the key point... If you look at the Wales bill that went through

:35:29.:35:32.

recently, the list of reserved powers there suggests there are some

:35:33.:35:36.

powers currently within the Welsh Assembly jurisdiction that would be

:35:37.:35:42.

dragged back. Which power was will Westminster take back? They could

:35:43.:35:47.

take powers back over the NHS, for example. There is no indication they

:35:48.:35:54.

want to do that. The Tories have attacked the Welsh NHS. That is my

:35:55.:36:03.

point! Quite viciously. If they increase their mandate, I wouldn't

:36:04.:36:06.

put it past them to try to take power was back over the NHS and then

:36:07.:36:11.

of course we risk our NHS being privatised though this election is

:36:12.:36:16.

all about defending Wales, protecting Welsh people from further

:36:17.:36:19.

privatisation and cuts and a power grab from the Tories. Why is there

:36:20.:36:24.

never a breakthrough for your party, Plaid Cymru? Labour dominated in

:36:25.:36:28.

Wales for years, the Tories do quite well, Ukip had a surge for a while,

:36:29.:36:32.

it looks like the Tories will have another surge, never you, always the

:36:33.:36:37.

bridesmaid, never the bride. Wait until Thursday and I think you will

:36:38.:36:41.

see that in many parts of Wales we will increase our representation at

:36:42.:36:45.

a local council level. In the Rhondda, where I am assembly member,

:36:46.:36:51.

we are looking to increase our representation... You are only 13%

:36:52.:36:59.

in the polls will stop which is half of even the Tories in Wales! If you

:37:00.:37:03.

don't breakthrough in the selection, if the real problem is going

:37:04.:37:10.

nowhere, do you think you will pack it in? Robert Green not, I have a

:37:11.:37:15.

job to do, a vision of Wales which is about building up our nation and

:37:16.:37:20.

standing on our own two feet and my job is not done yet. Thank you for

:37:21.:37:23.

being with us as part of your job, we will see how it goes on Thursday.

:37:24.:37:27.

It's just gone 11.35, you're watching the Sunday Politics.

:37:28.:37:30.

We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland who leave us now

:37:31.:37:32.

First though, the Sunday Politics where you are.

:37:33.:37:41.

I'm Natalie Graham and this is the Sunday Politics

:37:42.:37:44.

It's time to pick and choose at County Council elections

:37:45.:37:49.

on Thursday, but with less money in their pockets to spend

:37:50.:37:52.

on local services how do the parties tempt the voters?

:37:53.:37:54.

Joining me in the studio today are Tim Loughton,

:37:55.:37:56.

Conservative MP for East Worthing and Shoreham and Lord Steve Bassam

:37:57.:38:01.

First, it's the weekend of picking and choosing general

:38:02.:38:12.

election candidates for both Labour and the Conservatives.

:38:13.:38:14.

In Brighton Kemptown some members of the local party are hoping to get

:38:15.:38:21.

a pro-Jeremy Corbyn candidate in place to beat the Conservatives

:38:22.:38:23.

in the most marginal seat in the South East.

:38:24.:38:25.

Steve, would you welcome a hard left Labour MP in Kemptown?

:38:26.:38:36.

All I am interested in is a labour candidate who will do the job and

:38:37.:38:44.

campaign against Simon Kirby. It is winnable with only a gap of 600, 700

:38:45.:38:49.

votes. I am sure we will campaign hard to win that seat. But your

:38:50.:38:54.

party is very divided in the city, we have covered it over the last

:38:55.:39:00.

year on this programme, with the rise of momentum in the

:39:01.:39:04.

constituency. If the local party prioritised winning in Brighton and

:39:05.:39:08.

Campbeltown rather than holding onto the seat they have held by Peter

:39:09.:39:14.

Kyle in Hove, that will be damaging? There will be plenty of resources in

:39:15.:39:21.

both constituencies. Peter has a very well-organised organisation

:39:22.:39:23.

behind him and we will run a very well organised campaign in Kemptown.

:39:24.:39:30.

He believes the Conservatives will throw the kitchen sink at him come

:39:31.:39:34.

he needs all the help he can get to hold onto a small majority? The

:39:35.:39:39.

Conservatives are out to get in, so you have to make sure they don't. He

:39:40.:39:43.

doesn't have the backing of his local party a few miles away? In

:39:44.:39:49.

Brighton Hove Albion there are over 6000 members and those members

:39:50.:39:54.

will be motivated and mobilised by this general election. Both

:39:55.:39:56.

campaigns will be equally well resourced. I shall be out there

:39:57.:40:01.

campaigning in both of them. If we go away from Brighton and have,

:40:02.:40:05.

there are many marginal seats in the south-east, as you know you used to

:40:06.:40:10.

hold as a party. It seems many of the candidates who stood two years

:40:11.:40:16.

ago not standing again. Haven't you got a problem but if you have the

:40:17.:40:21.

don't have the experience and don't have the experience and

:40:22.:40:24.

perhaps the local support, you stand less chance of winning them back

:40:25.:40:30.

this time? Usually the candidates for labour very high and they mount

:40:31.:40:34.

a very effective campaigns. Sarah was a very effective candidate last

:40:35.:40:39.

time round. But she is not standing again. She has a new job not

:40:40.:40:43.

involved in politics. I didn't stand involved in politics. I didn't stand

:40:44.:40:49.

in 1992. People were happy about that, but I got a house in the House

:40:50.:40:55.

of Lords. Exactly. Tim, you are looking pretty complacent, Hove, I

:40:56.:41:02.

put it to you is the 13th target seat for your party in the country.

:41:03.:41:07.

Yet you only selected your candidate on Friday died. You have given Peter

:41:08.:41:12.

Kyle a two-week Headstart, if that is not complacent, what is? The

:41:13.:41:18.

Prime Minister only announced the election the week before. You

:41:19.:41:24.

weren't ready. Nobody was expecting a general election, it was a secret,

:41:25.:41:28.

I was out of the country when it happened. We have just selected a

:41:29.:41:37.

very good candidate, born and bred in Hove and Sussex. She will give

:41:38.:41:39.

Peter a run for his money. We will Peter a run for his money. We will

:41:40.:41:46.

will be supporting Simon in Brighton will be supporting Simon in Brighton

:41:47.:41:50.

and Kemptown. The Labour Party don't know who they will be supporting

:41:51.:41:54.

a Tory MP then keep a Labour one. a Tory MP then keep a Labour one.

:41:55.:41:59.

Bearing in mind the Labour Party's difficulties, is the strategy to

:42:00.:42:04.

attack Jeremy Corbyn or attack Peter Kyle? We're not attacking, this is

:42:05.:42:11.

about re-electing a strong Conservative government. Peter Kyle

:42:12.:42:14.

sink at him. You will have two sink at him. You will have two

:42:15.:42:21.

attack to win? We always fight hard in Hove. My constituency is next

:42:22.:42:25.

door and we spend as much time as we can in Hove helping out the

:42:26.:42:27.

Conservative candidate. I am Conservative candidate. I am

:42:28.:42:31.

supporting Conservative candidates in other parts of Sussex, sitting

:42:32.:42:36.

MPs and hopefully new MPs like Christie, because we want a strong

:42:37.:42:38.

and stable government. We have heard and stable government. We have heard

:42:39.:42:41.

that phrase before, under Theresa May. We will move on. Let's talk

:42:42.:42:49.

about the electoral pacts which have been done this week.

:42:50.:42:52.

The Liberal Democrats and Greens have announced they will not fight

:42:53.:42:55.

each other in the two Brighton seats - to try and beat the Conservatives

:42:56.:42:58.

in Kemptown and keep the Green MP Caroline Lucas in Brighton Pavilion.

:42:59.:43:01.

So what do voters make of the decision by some

:43:02.:43:03.

I can understand why they are doing it, but surely everyone should be

:43:04.:43:10.

there for people to make their own minds up about and their own choice.

:43:11.:43:17.

Obviously if you want to vote for a party, they should be

:43:18.:43:19.

there this should make other parties just you can't.

:43:20.:43:22.

If it is a party I wanted to vote for, whichever that was wasn't

:43:23.:43:25.

on, I think I'd feel cheated, actually.

:43:26.:43:27.

We're joined now from Brighton by Davy Jones, who was the Green

:43:28.:43:29.

candidate in Brighton Kemptown until he stood down a few days ago.

:43:30.:43:35.

Thank you for joining us this morning. As we have just heard, many

:43:36.:43:42.

voters want their party to be on the ballot sheets and you have reduced

:43:43.:43:47.

their choice and that is anti-democratic? What we would say

:43:48.:43:52.

to people in Brighton Kemptown is, under the current first past the

:43:53.:43:55.

post voting system, the old-fashioned voting system we have,

:43:56.:43:59.

people aren't easily able to vote for what they believe in, because

:44:00.:44:03.

when they do say, they end up with the opposite of what they believe

:44:04.:44:05.

in. We believe people have the right to vote for what they

:44:06.:44:25.

believe in which is why we change the voting system to a fairer voting

:44:26.:44:28.

system. You are not going to do that in the next six weeks, could you

:44:29.:44:30.

explain why you are standing down? Is it to help the Labour Party beat

:44:31.:44:33.

the Conservatives or to help the Liberal Democrats? You are not

:44:34.:44:36.

right, we haven't got a pact with the two parties. I have no idea what

:44:37.:44:38.

the Liberal Democrats are doing in Kemptown. Simon Kirby is not very

:44:39.:44:41.

popular and he has a small majority. We felt there was a real danger that

:44:42.:44:45.

he would get re-elected if the progressive vote in the city split

:44:46.:44:50.

between the Labour and greens as it did in 2015. I stood in 2015 and got

:44:51.:44:57.

around 3200 votes. But lots of the Green voters said, we want to vote

:44:58.:45:01.

Green, but we feel we have the vote tactically to stop Simon Kirby

:45:02.:45:12.

getting in. So I have made the choice to stand down to maximise the

:45:13.:45:18.

chance of defeating Simon. You also got a small share of the vote in

:45:19.:45:24.

Hove last time round. You have a Remain MP with a small majority, are

:45:25.:45:27.

you going to stand down there as well? Give me a break. We just had a

:45:28.:45:34.

big discussion and listened to the voters of Kemptown saying they

:45:35.:45:37.

wanted us to stand down in Kemptown. It is a brave decision to do so.

:45:38.:45:42.

We're waiting to see the response of other parties. We have seen the

:45:43.:45:46.

response of the Lib Dems and the women's equality party. If I was

:45:47.:45:51.

Peter Kyle with his slim majority and a strong Tory lead in the

:45:52.:45:54.

opinion polls, I think I would want to sit down and discuss with the

:45:55.:45:58.

other Progressive parties, so if you are watching, we're waiting.

:45:59.:46:04.

The problem with these deals or packs, it is suggested Labour cannot

:46:05.:46:09.

win on their own, seats like Kemptown, you need the help of the

:46:10.:46:14.

other parties? The Green party is a recent phenomena in our country.

:46:15.:46:19.

They took a small share of the vote, enough to prevent Labour winning the

:46:20.:46:23.

Kemptown seat last time round. I hope they don't put a candidate up

:46:24.:46:28.

against Peter in Hove because he is a very progressive candidate and he

:46:29.:46:32.

is popular. He is well liked locally and it is good the other smaller

:46:33.:46:37.

parties are thinking about that because we don't want a political

:46:38.:46:42.

monoculture in the south. Beyond Brighton and her, would you

:46:43.:46:46.

encourage voters in Eastbourne to vote Lib Dem to stop the

:46:47.:46:50.

Conservatives winning fair? It would be the obvious thing to do? Looking

:46:51.:46:55.

at it in mathematical terms, it would be. We have always put

:46:56.:47:00.

candidates up there. That arguably, put the Conservatives in position in

:47:01.:47:07.

Lewes. The last election, the truth of the matter is, the Liberal vote

:47:08.:47:17.

imploded and disappear. To Labour, so they need those votes back? The

:47:18.:47:22.

Lib Dem vote collapsed because they lost support. Tim, Ukip is saying

:47:23.:47:28.

they will not put candidates in seats with a good Brexiteer, you

:47:29.:47:32.

could be called a good Brexiteer, are you hoping they will stand down

:47:33.:47:38.

against you? I will take on all comers. There will be a Conservative

:47:39.:47:41.

candidate in every seat in the whole of Great Britain. That is the way it

:47:42.:47:46.

should be. Davy Jones said, give us a break, you should give the

:47:47.:47:50.

electorate a break. Someone said in your clip, it is cheating the voters

:47:51.:47:55.

and it is taking them for fools. Voters are smart enough to know if

:47:56.:48:01.

they vote tactically, they can. They don't need to have a lack of choice

:48:02.:48:04.

because of party has done a dodgy deal and that party won't be

:48:05.:48:08.

standing. I would take on all comers and these sorts of deals undermined

:48:09.:48:15.

democracy. Your opponents arguably, Ukip, did very well in your part of

:48:16.:48:19.

Sussex. They came third in the general election. Locally, they did

:48:20.:48:27.

well, has the threat gone away? I am not complacent, I will be running a

:48:28.:48:31.

positive campaign. Ukip came a poor third behind Labour having

:48:32.:48:37.

people are saying, what is the point people are saying, what is the point

:48:38.:48:41.

of voting Ukip, the job has been done on Ukip, people were not

:48:42.:48:45.

convinced it was going to happen but the Conservative government

:48:46.:48:47.

are coming out of Europe. So why are coming out of Europe. So why

:48:48.:48:52.

would you vote Ukip? We're not taking this for granted. I want

:48:53.:48:57.

everybody to give the voters a chance and if you do these dodgy

:48:58.:49:01.

deals, it is gerrymandering the system and it is taking the

:49:02.:49:02.

electorate for fools. It's not just the General

:49:03.:49:04.

Election politicians All the seats in the County

:49:05.:49:06.

Councils of Kent, Surrey and East and West Sussex,

:49:07.:49:10.

are up for election on Thursday. Sara Neville has been getting

:49:11.:49:13.

a flavour of the debate. If you love the maelstrom

:49:14.:49:17.

of elections, you must be feeling Two in five weeks, with the first,

:49:18.:49:20.

the local County Council In Kent, it's a pick and mix

:49:21.:49:27.

of nearly 400 candidates Each one eyeing up the mouthwatering

:49:28.:49:32.

prospect of a seat on the council. This is the first election

:49:33.:49:40.

since the Brexit vote last year, so it could give us a flavour

:49:41.:49:44.

of what voters are thinking ahead But how will the parties

:49:45.:49:48.

tempt the electorate? Kent's currently Conservative

:49:49.:49:55.

controlled and has The budget has shrunk by some 35%,

:49:56.:49:58.

real terms loss of half a billion. Council tax is up and there

:49:59.:50:16.

is unprecedented pressure If you'd asked me five years ago

:50:17.:50:17.

whether we could go on improving services at the front with 35% less

:50:18.:50:22.

money, I would have But we have achieved

:50:23.:50:24.

that through a constant Unlike other authorities,

:50:25.:50:27.

we haven't closed libraries, we haven't closed children's

:50:28.:50:30.

centres, we've built and improve services, in my view,

:50:31.:50:33.

over the last four years. They certainly did in 2013, coming

:50:34.:50:37.

from nowhere to take 17 seats, bumping Labour into third to become

:50:38.:50:49.

the official opposition. Thanet is a Ukip stronghold,

:50:50.:50:51.

but with a no vote secured on the EU, and no Nigel,

:50:52.:50:56.

has Ukip's bubble burst? The point of voting Ukip really

:50:57.:51:01.

is whether or not you trust the Conservative Party

:51:02.:51:04.

to the deliver what I think there's enough evidence

:51:05.:51:06.

in the frame to show the Conservative Party can't be

:51:07.:51:09.

trusted on this. The biggest issue locally

:51:10.:51:13.

is connected to social care. Huge issues with the social

:51:14.:51:17.

care budget and the way Kent County Council

:51:18.:51:19.

handles that budget. Labour want to bag 23 seats this

:51:20.:51:30.

time round and improve on the 13 They say the standard

:51:31.:51:33.

of services has dropped in the last four years,

:51:34.:51:36.

which, they say, could turn Since 2010 the Conservatives

:51:37.:51:38.

at Kent County Council have cut Therefore, all of our front line

:51:39.:51:44.

services have been diminished I think if the Tories get

:51:45.:51:50.

in this time, and there are indications they will,

:51:51.:51:59.

then of course, those services, some May be the Lib Dems will be

:52:00.:52:01.

the party feeling the sugar rush? With seven seats, it

:52:02.:52:08.

seems the centre ground With seven seats, it seems

:52:09.:52:14.

the centre ground wasn't But, four years on it's a very

:52:15.:52:16.

different political landscape. We think we have a completely

:52:17.:52:21.

chaotic planning system, which is leading the government

:52:22.:52:25.

imposed high housing figures, resulting in a lot of large houses

:52:26.:52:29.

on greenfield sites, when what are we really need

:52:30.:52:31.

is low-cost housing on Brownfield Polling suggests that Labour vote

:52:32.:52:34.

is collapsing and the Ukip vote is also suffering,

:52:35.:52:38.

particularly in East Kent and we hope the votes

:52:39.:52:40.

will therefore come our way, as the major opposition party

:52:41.:52:43.

to the Conservatives. Choices about how your local

:52:44.:52:46.

services, schools, housing, roads and social care

:52:47.:52:53.

will all be managed. A taste test in Kent. In East and

:52:54.:53:12.

West Sussex county have responded to cuts in their budgets by making

:53:13.:53:16.

savings. Let's go back to Brighton and speak to our political reporter.

:53:17.:53:22.

The parties in Sussex are arguing over how best to save that money?

:53:23.:53:28.

Indeed, in East Sussex the Tories say they have a plan to boost the

:53:29.:53:31.

county's economy while making savings where they need to. Labour

:53:32.:53:35.

and the Greens dispute whether the cuts need to be made, particularly

:53:36.:53:43.

in adult social care. Ukip, for their part say they would like to

:53:44.:53:49.

cut costs by relying less on more expensive agency care workers. In

:53:50.:53:53.

West Sussex, it is different, it is about who has the safest pair of

:53:54.:53:58.

hands. The Tories say they have proven they can manage the council's

:53:59.:54:03.

finances sensibly. The opposition disagree, pointing, for example, to

:54:04.:54:08.

a scrapping of unpopular council DIY waste charges after the government

:54:09.:54:13.

indicated it may ban them anyway. And the council was told in 2013, it

:54:14.:54:20.

may have spent more than ?1 million of bills twice, but only started

:54:21.:54:26.

taking reaction to recover the cash Lacen last year. The opposition say

:54:27.:54:32.

they took too long to take the issue seriously. What effect has the

:54:33.:54:38.

unexpected general election had on the local campaigns? Some tell me it

:54:39.:54:43.

has tempted more people out on to the doorsteps, but it has turned

:54:44.:54:47.

next Thursday's poll into an important bellwether for junior

:54:48.:54:51.

eight. If the Lib Dems are to have their fightback, they will be

:54:52.:54:54.

looking to increase our county, maybe winning new seats. We know the

:54:55.:55:01.

Tories have been campaigning hard in Labour seats and 12 seeds somewhere

:55:02.:55:06.

like Hastings would set them on their way to regain their overall

:55:07.:55:11.

majority in East Sussex. In Crawley, a good performance would set Henry

:55:12.:55:16.

Smith's mind at ease. The Greens are wanting to win their first seats at

:55:17.:55:20.

both county councils, but in terms of the general election, we will be

:55:21.:55:25.

watching Ukip closely. They are the official opposition in West Sussex

:55:26.:55:28.

and on most of their seats in 2013 when they were riding high. But some

:55:29.:55:35.

suspect they may not return very many councillors on Friday morning.

:55:36.:55:40.

It'll be interesting. Tim Loughton, council tax has gone up, but we know

:55:41.:55:48.

things will get worse. How are your Conservative council candidates

:55:49.:55:50.

propose to defend the huge cuts your government is making the councils

:55:51.:55:56.

when they are on the doorstep this week. I agree it will get worse. We

:55:57.:56:01.

know it is because funding is coming down for councils. We are

:56:02.:56:06.

repatriated in business rates to local authorities, so we are

:56:07.:56:10.

devolving power. That is going to be a turbulent time until that comes

:56:11.:56:15.

in. A council like West Sussex, froze council tax for five years

:56:16.:56:22.

solid. We managed finances well and with the challenging problems and

:56:23.:56:28.

issues around an elderly population, I think we have done better than

:56:29.:56:32.

many in making sure we don't cut those front line services. But it

:56:33.:56:36.

will be a challenge. The Local Government Association says there is

:56:37.:56:41.

a funding gap of ?6 billion over the next five years. You mentioned adult

:56:42.:56:45.

social care, it is the looming crisis and the Prime Minister

:56:46.:56:49.

alluded to something in the manifesto. In this part of the

:56:50.:56:52.

world, care homes are either closing down or on the brink. People cannot

:56:53.:57:02.

care in their homes, the NHS is feeling the pressure. People will

:57:03.:57:04.

blame your government for that, whatever you come up with in the

:57:05.:57:07.

manifesto. Adult social care is the biggest challenge facing every local

:57:08.:57:11.

government. This is going to be a big issue, we have got to dust down

:57:12.:57:15.

the do not report and the work that has been done over many years. Would

:57:16.:57:22.

you like a death tax in the manifesto? I am looking at new ways

:57:23.:57:27.

in how we fund long-term adult social care so elderly sisters Billy

:57:28.:57:31.

Mac as the standard of care they need and deserve. In an ageing

:57:32.:57:36.

population, we need to make sure we're not piling costs onto the NHS

:57:37.:57:40.

because we have people who could come out of expensive hospital bed

:57:41.:57:44.

but they can't because the social care is in there. We need to

:57:45.:57:47.

streamline social care before we work out how we have a sustainable

:57:48.:57:51.

way of paying for our older citizens, quite rightly, in the

:57:52.:57:57.

future. In Kent, the Conservatives have cut budgets and improve front

:57:58.:58:01.

line services without reducing library hours or closing children's

:58:02.:58:05.

sentence, as they have done in parts of Sussex, so it can be done? I am

:58:06.:58:10.

sure there are other services under pressure. Kent does have a good

:58:11.:58:15.

reputation for some of its service areas, but you cannot keep taking

:58:16.:58:19.

the money away and expect the services to improve. I think Tim has

:58:20.:58:22.

put his finger on the point, the problem that will occur in the next

:58:23.:58:30.

Parliament. We need to have a better settlement for local government,

:58:31.:58:32.

particularly with adult social care and children's services because they

:58:33.:58:36.

are under pressure and under strain. Whilst I accept the rebalancing with

:58:37.:58:39.

business rates will have some benefits, it is not the whole story

:58:40.:58:40.

and we need a bigger pot. OK. Remember you can follow both

:58:41.:58:44.

the local and general election campaigns over the coming weeks,

:58:45.:58:47.

and find out more about all the candidates and the smaller

:58:48.:58:49.

parties, on your BBC local And now it's time for some

:58:50.:58:52.

of the other news you may have missed in 60 Seconds with Yetunde

:58:53.:59:00.

Yusuf. The Conservative MP Craig McKinley

:59:01.:59:09.

has been reselected to fight his Also this week, it was revealed that

:59:10.:59:12.

Kent Police submitted a file to the Crown Prosecution Service

:59:13.:59:19.

as part of an enquiry relating to his expenses

:59:20.:59:21.

in the 2015 general election. Mr McKinley says there was no reason

:59:22.:59:25.

why the investigation would overshadow his campaign,

:59:26.:59:29.

that he had acted properly and honestly throughout

:59:30.:59:31.

and had done nothing wrong. The Sussex Police and Crime

:59:32.:59:34.

Commissioner says officers need to do more to recognise

:59:35.:59:37.

the crime of stalking. Last year, more than 200 people

:59:38.:59:43.

reported the offence, with a sharp I think it's very difficult

:59:44.:59:46.

for police officers to understand in the first instance,

:59:47.:59:49.

the severity of the Because often incidents

:59:50.:59:51.

are reported in isolation. And it's been one year

:59:52.:59:54.

since the start of strike action The long-running dispute

:59:55.:59:57.

is over the introduction The disruption is estimated

:59:58.:00:01.

to have cost the south-east I would really like to ask both my

:00:02.:00:22.

guest about the year long strike on Southern trains but that is all the

:00:23.:00:23.

time we've got time for this week. Remember you can keep up today

:00:24.:00:26.

with all the election news and you can find details of who's

:00:27.:00:29.

standing where, on the BBC News Website and on your

:00:30.:00:32.

local BBC radio station. we will take the mandate that we

:00:33.:00:39.

want. To all three of you, thank you. Andrew, back to you.

:00:40.:00:51.

So, how will Thursday's local election results affect

:00:52.:00:53.

Who's winning the election ground war?

:00:54.:00:56.

And as he celebrates 100 days in the White House,

:00:57.:00:58.

We have the local elections, Metro elections in Liverpool, greater

:00:59.:01:15.

Birmingham, West Midlands, how will they play into the general election?

:01:16.:01:20.

Significantly, it is very unusual. People keep comparing this with the

:01:21.:01:25.

election in 83, not! Margaret Thatcher was nervous and to wait

:01:26.:01:28.

until after the local elections to call the election to see the result.

:01:29.:01:32.

We are getting these result in the middle of an election campaign so it

:01:33.:01:38.

will be important, whoever does badly will suffer a dent in

:01:39.:01:42.

confidence in terms of how they approach the election and we are

:01:43.:01:46.

also going to have mayoral figures as a reminder of another big

:01:47.:01:51.

difference with the 80s that however big, say, the Conservatives win in

:01:52.:01:55.

Westminster, there are now sectors of power in other parts of the

:01:56.:01:58.

United Kingdom which were not there in the 80s. One of the reasons

:01:59.:02:04.

niches that are rated in 83 was memories were still alive in

:02:05.:02:09.

political circles of 1970, Wilson saw the local election results and

:02:10.:02:12.

thought, I can win, he was told he would win by the Economist magazine,

:02:13.:02:17.

who had done the analysis, and of course he lost, so that is why she

:02:18.:02:23.

waited, Mrs May does not need to wait for that at all now, and on the

:02:24.:02:28.

Metro elections, the one she will be looking at is the West Midlands,

:02:29.:02:32.

that is the one that is a competition. I think she can really

:02:33.:02:36.

lose on Thursday in the local elections, governing parties are

:02:37.:02:39.

supposed to take effect again, losing lots of council seats. She is

:02:40.:02:45.

projected to put on 100 or so seats, Labour projected to lose around 200,

:02:46.:02:50.

the first time the main opposition party has shed seats since something

:02:51.:02:54.

like 83 so clearly the local elections give Mrs May great

:02:55.:02:57.

momentum going into the general election campaign but there is a

:02:58.:03:01.

downside in that, which is what we have already heard fighting about

:03:02.:03:04.

this morning, if it looks like it is going too well for the Tories, it

:03:05.:03:09.

says to voters, why bother turning up? Sushi comes up with totally

:03:10.:03:13.

unbelievable sound bites this morning that this is the most

:03:14.:03:16.

important general election in her lifetime. Really?! For her it is! It

:03:17.:03:26.

always is until the next one! I wonder if voter turnout is a

:03:27.:03:30.

problem? Tory voters are more likely to vote than Labour voters. If there

:03:31.:03:35.

is a sense that it is all over bar the shouting, the overall turnout

:03:36.:03:40.

will be low that Tory voters are still likely to turn out more than

:03:41.:03:44.

Labour voters so she would still win some. I don't think she needs to be

:03:45.:03:49.

too worried, I think there will be a significantly low turnout, even I am

:03:50.:03:53.

finding it hard to be that excited about this general election. Really,

:03:54.:04:00.

the policies, we have spent a lot of time talking about them today and we

:04:01.:04:04.

have to examine them, but all this is about is, do you want Theresa May

:04:05.:04:09.

or Jeremy Corbyn in Number Ten? Those are the only question is,

:04:10.:04:13.

apart from possibly how strong do you feel about Brexit, that will be

:04:14.:04:17.

on the voters' minds. You may say that but I will not be put off from

:04:18.:04:21.

going through a list of policies that we have already had in the last

:04:22.:04:27.

24 hours. On the Conservatives, more powers to stop company bosses under

:04:28.:04:36.

pensions, of course Philip Green was in mind there. Labour has come up

:04:37.:04:41.

with quite a few policies, actually, give all work of equal rights,

:04:42.:04:44.

whether part-time or full-time, temporary or permanent. Ukip, scrap

:04:45.:04:54.

VAT or takeaway -- on takeaway food and end the BBC licence fee. The

:04:55.:05:00.

Liberal Democrats have come out posed to the runway at Heathrow. I

:05:01.:05:07.

thought I knew that already? Will any of these policies make a

:05:08.:05:14.

difference? They are all nice handy things that people quite liked but

:05:15.:05:18.

probably not, is the answer. They are an awful way away from polling

:05:19.:05:22.

day now for people to remember and latch onto. I don't think you make

:05:23.:05:28.

your mind up on small issues like Heathrow, unless you live in

:05:29.:05:31.

Richmond-upon-Thames, maybe, but the problem Labour have got with

:05:32.:05:35.

unfailing a lot of these retail type policies which, in themselves, are

:05:36.:05:39.

very popular, is no one will listen to them until they get over the

:05:40.:05:43.

leadership credibility issue. Jeremy Corbyn could the world on a stick,

:05:44.:05:47.

but if no one believes he can deliver it then he will not be

:05:48.:05:51.

listened to and he has not done much apart from a speech yesterday in

:05:52.:05:54.

which is claim to fame was getting arrested, I don't see how that would

:05:55.:05:58.

work for him getting to Number Ten. They are not making progress on it.

:05:59.:06:06.

Labour has rolled out a number of policies which, taken individually,

:06:07.:06:10.

would have certain traction in normal times, quite interesting

:06:11.:06:15.

ideas, this sense of unfairness, a feeling that ordinary workers have

:06:16.:06:18.

not done well out of the recovery, those who caused the crash have, 20

:06:19.:06:24.

points, I went through some of them earlier, putting aside they are not

:06:25.:06:27.

costed, we are assured they will be. The problem I suggest is not the

:06:28.:06:34.

costing but the cut through? Every election has a context which is

:06:35.:06:38.

determined by opinion polls, however sceptical we are these days, and if

:06:39.:06:41.

one party is way ahead it is difficult for the other party to

:06:42.:06:47.

appear relevant, because if people assume they are not going to win,

:06:48.:06:51.

even some of its own MPs are saying, we are not going to win this, so you

:06:52.:06:58.

can vote for us, it is very hard to get attention and relevance. Where I

:06:59.:07:02.

think all the parties are bad with their current leaders is framing

:07:03.:07:05.

arguments, so those policies you have highlighted makes sense. The

:07:06.:07:12.

best leaders are brilliant framers of an argument and neither Theresa

:07:13.:07:16.

Maynor Jeremy Corbyn R. They have been campaigning, their manifestos

:07:17.:07:22.

are not out yet, both sides have been telling us we have to wait for

:07:23.:07:26.

costings, but it has not stopped them campaigning. Let's remind you

:07:27.:07:29.

of where they have been and what they have been doing so far.

:07:30.:07:35.

Let's start with Jeremy Corbyn, his first official visit was in the

:07:36.:07:39.

ultra-marginal Conservative seat of Croydon Central where the MP Gavin

:07:40.:07:45.

Barwell has a lead of just 165. That is not the only Conservative seat he

:07:46.:07:50.

has visited, along the way he popped in on Bristol North West, a

:07:51.:07:53.

Conservative majority of nearly 5000. The Tory seat of Cardiff

:07:54.:08:01.

North, a lead of just over 2000, Warrington South, just over 2700,

:08:02.:08:08.

and Crewe and Nantwich, Tory majority of three and a half

:08:09.:08:13.

thousand. Yesterday he visited Bethnal greed and Bob, a Labour lead

:08:14.:08:19.

of 20 4000. Theresa May kicked off her campaign in Bolton, Labour

:08:20.:08:22.

majority of over 4000. On her way round the UK she had a comfy stop in

:08:23.:08:27.

her own maidenhead seat, where she is defending a majority of nearly

:08:28.:08:33.

30,000, before travelling to other Labour marginals including Dudley

:08:34.:08:37.

North, a Labour lead of 4000. Bridgend, a lead of just under 2004

:08:38.:08:42.

Labour, before becoming ambitious and visiting shadow minister Richard

:08:43.:08:56.

Bergen's Leeds East seat, which he won by over 12,500 votes. Yesterday

:08:57.:09:00.

she went north of the border to Aberdeenshire, where amongst other

:09:01.:09:02.

places she visited the SNP seat of West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine,

:09:03.:09:04.

where the Tories would have to gain over 7000 votes to unseat the NP.

:09:05.:09:06.

What do you make of it all so far? It is remarkable she is doing these

:09:07.:09:14.

visits in Scotland. Past but even five years and the idea of a Tory

:09:15.:09:18.

Prime Minister going round Scotland would be utterly counter-productive,

:09:19.:09:22.

and actually they are ambitious for Scotland now under with Davidson, a

:09:23.:09:26.

prospect of multiple seats, and that would be a real genuine shift in

:09:27.:09:29.

Scottish politics, the likes of which we have not seen for 15 or 20

:09:30.:09:39.

years. If she gets that, that helps towards 100 seats, because if she

:09:40.:09:43.

wins ten in Scotland, it is effectively 20, the SNP lose ten,

:09:44.:09:48.

she gains ten, she wants to do that in the Midlands with Labour, and the

:09:49.:09:53.

North. To get the 100 majority, other than Scotland, she has to win

:09:54.:09:57.

Labour seats, that is all that is there. And clearly she has been

:09:58.:10:03.

told, it is obvious, that she has a chance of doing so, otherwise you

:10:04.:10:06.

don't go to these parts of the country in the first few days of the

:10:07.:10:11.

campaign. All logic points to her being able to pull it off as well.

:10:12.:10:16.

The opinion polls, the state of the Labour Party. The only qualification

:10:17.:10:20.

I have in this is that politics is so wild and free Braille at the

:10:21.:10:24.

moment, it doesn't feel like landslide to rain. That is true, it

:10:25.:10:33.

doesn't. It is early days, we haven't yet had the manifestos, the

:10:34.:10:37.

campaign is yet to gather momentum. It doesn't feel like landslide

:10:38.:10:43.

territory. I disagree, look at every single poll, the Tory lead is 10% in

:10:44.:10:50.

Wales, you can see her picking up 20 seat there. Put this together, I am

:10:51.:10:55.

told by the way she is going into traditional Labour heartland again

:10:56.:11:00.

tomorrow, the key is the Ukip vote. That will implode... Crumble towards

:11:01.:11:07.

Tories? If she can hoover that up and retain the Tory vote, she will

:11:08.:11:21.

have a majority of 150. I cannot let you go without

:11:22.:11:22.

reminding you that it is Donald Trump's 100 days. He's not making a

:11:23.:11:23.

lot of it now, this is what he said last night.

:11:24.:11:25.

We are just beginning in our fight to make America great again.

:11:26.:11:28.

Now, before we talk about my first 100 days, which has been very

:11:29.:11:37.

exciting and very productive, let's rate the media's 100 days.

:11:38.:11:42.

Because, as you know, they are a disgrace.

:11:43.:11:58.

There you go, still bashing the media, that was at a rally in

:11:59.:12:04.

Virginia, the 100 days was last night. He seems happier campaigning

:12:05.:12:09.

than running the country. You each have 20 seconds to give me your

:12:10.:12:13.

board on the first 100 days. Remarkable, he will not stop

:12:14.:12:21.

slagging off the media but America first has not meant America first in

:12:22.:12:25.

terms of national policy, he has reneges on what he said about Nato

:12:26.:12:31.

being obsolete. He is moving from the old right to the centre because

:12:32.:12:34.

that is where you get things done, he is a pragmatist, also is about's

:12:35.:12:42.

friend Nigel Parrott is no longer welcome, we read this morning!

:12:43.:12:48.

Allegedly! He loves campaigning but finds governing much more difficult.

:12:49.:12:53.

Who would have thought being president of the United States was a

:12:54.:12:58.

difficult job?! He loves rallies but being president and politics is a

:12:59.:13:02.

very difficult thing indeed. Thank you, there we go, Mr Trump's 100

:13:03.:13:06.

days, we will see what the next 100 brings.

:13:07.:13:09.

The Daily Politics is back on BBC Two after the bank holiday

:13:10.:13:12.

on Tuesday at midday, with all the latest

:13:13.:13:14.

And I'll be back here on BBC One next Sunday

:13:15.:13:18.

Remember - if it's Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics.

:13:19.:13:28.

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