15/09/2013 Sunday Politics South West


15/09/2013

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is on the table. Who would you rather play table football against?

:00:25.:03:35.

because I am winning. So in the winning 's which ones are heading

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popular policy was a mansion tax on house is worth more than £2 million,

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popular policy was a mansion tax on councillors. The next most popular

:04:02.:04:05.

policy was scrapping the Trident nuclear deterrent, supported by

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policy was scrapping the Trident of councillors. Then there was the

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reinstatement of the 50p top rate of income tax. 70% of councillors like

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the look of that. When it came to the idea of banning the burka in

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public places like schools and airports, 45% of councillors were in

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favour. Finally, a ban on topless Page three model is won the support

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of 33% of councillors. Why is it so popular, the idea of a mansion tax?

:04:34.:04:42.

It is a much fairer tax. We know there are people out there with

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It is a much fairer tax. We know expensive houses. Which of these is

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most important to you? Banning Trident. The cold war ended in

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1989. Another one was the idea of banning the burka in public places.

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whatever they like. If they want to banning the burka in public places.

:04:59.:05:07.

wear the birth or a kilt or if they anything. We are the party of jobs.

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Thank you. Last night, a fully clothed Nick Clegg rallied his

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troops, but if he was not around, who would Lib Dem councillors want

:05:23.:05:28.

instead? Business Secretary Vince Cable was most popular, with a third

:05:28.:05:33.

of the votes. In second place, the party's president, Tim Farron, with

:05:33.:05:40.

27%. 10% went to Danny Alexander, while the business minister Joe

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Swinson received 7%. The Energy Secretary Ed Davey scooped 6%, and

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in last place, Steve Webb, the pensions minister, who got 5%. If

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any of these councillors want to talk to me about it, I would be

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delighted to hear from them. Is talk to me about it, I would be

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certainly isn't. What do you think contenders. But our survey is not

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the only one that has got tongues wagging in Glasgow, because the

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the only one that has got tongues Dem leadership have commissioned

:06:23.:06:23.

their own poll which showed that 75% Dem leadership have commissioned

:06:23.:06:25.

of the country will never vote Dem leadership have commissioned

:06:25.:06:29.

the party, no matter what they do. Also meeting here this weekend,

:06:29.:06:37.

the party, no matter what they do. Democrats like to think they have

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got just as much va-va-voom, even if a big chunk of the country doesn't.

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Add, back in his hometown. So, the Much of their party thinks they

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Add, back in his hometown. So, the moving in the wrong direction.

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Earlier, I spoke to former party moving in the wrong direction.

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leader Paddy Ashdown. He has been put in charge of heading up the

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leader Paddy Ashdown. He has been election campaign. I asked him if

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the mood in Glasgow was grim. No. In many ways, as you know, Tory old

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commentator that you are just as I am a hoary old member at the other

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end of the camera, we have been midterm of a government, especially

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when you are in government and the country is going for in a deep

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economic crisis, has almost no relevance to where you might be

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economic crisis, has almost no the nipple come to consider how

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economic crisis, has almost no will vote in 600 days time -- when

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the people come to consider how will vote in 600 days time -- when

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will vote. We do not dismiss polls, but they are a snapshot of what

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will vote. We do not dismiss polls, indication of where we will be.

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will vote. We do not dismiss polls, guess is, for what it is worth,

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will vote. We do not dismiss polls, as we come to the election, the

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public will be in a very serious, probably frightened mood. Their

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public will be in a very serious, thoughts will be, who maintains

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public will be in a very serious, job, makes sure I don't have to

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public will be in a very serious, to higher mortgage? The coalition

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has delivered not only the required policies to make Britain's economy

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prosperous, but also its society fair. That is what people will want

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to see. I think coalition politics are here to stay and we have a role

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to play in it. But you are in a are here to stay and we have a role

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mood this morning. You tweeted that you were not happy with how the

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Observer newspaper handled your there anything we can do to help?

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There is probably something they arguments with the interview. The

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headline they chose to put on it late last night was outrageous,

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misrepresentative and in one case in Something about Ashdown wants a

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coalition with the Tories, or at Something about Ashdown wants a

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least they gave that in for us Something about Ashdown wants a

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inference. Let me make this point. election. I am in charge of the

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campaign. Any journalist who in these next two years says that any

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Liberal Democrat prefers anything else in terms of the outcome of

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Liberal Democrat prefers anything coalition but the result of the

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ballot box dictating that outcome, that any prefer one side to another

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coalition determined by the electors that any prefer one side to another

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in the votes, will get a bloody that any prefer one side to another

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time from me, no matter who they are. We take the warning. A survey

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of Lib Dem councillors shows that in coalition with the Tories. That

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of Lib Dem councillors shows that in clear sign that your activists want

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a change of direction. I don't think it is news that as a left-wing

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party, we find it more congenial with those on the left wing, but

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that is not the issue. You saw it election. We are servants of the

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ballot box. We do watch the British people require us to do to provide a

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of our country. I am sure you have stable government in the interests

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of our country. I am sure you have got the point by now. I have fought

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the Tories all my life. But when responsibility to amend the economic

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crisis, was this right for the determine who are going to be in any

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coalition, should there be one, determine who are going to be in any

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voters and nobody else. It is not about what we like. I understand

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that. But your own internal polls leadership are not taking the party

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with them on that. I don't think that is true. Nick Clegg has done

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what no other party leader has done. He took the coalition agreement

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what no other party leader has done. the party, and they voted for it. So

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it is not true to say that members different direction. I think we

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it is not true to say that members extraordinarily united. I did not

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expect them to be so under these pressures, but they have surprised

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me and made me joyful at the same time. The party has done what it

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done in local government for a long time. We may have our private likes

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and dislikes, but the thing that coalition is the ballot box. You

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have said that three times. I can say it again if you like. Please

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don't! What if your party votes say it again if you like. Please

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reinstate tuition fees as party policy afternoon? We will have to

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listen to that and act accordingly. You must listen to the voice of

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listen to that and act accordingly. party and take it into account in

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what you do. I am always quite answering hypothetical questions. I

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don't think it is likely to happen, but if it did, we would have to

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don't think it is likely to happen, distinguished Lib Dems was that

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don't think it is likely to happen, your party conference voted for

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something, it was in the manifesto. The manifesto is taken in its final

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form before the party for decision. The party will express views at

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form before the party for decision. stage in all sorts of ways. It did

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in my leadership, too. The manifesto is democratically agreed by the

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party at the time of the election, not before. The Tory conference

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party at the time of the election, be about how they think they have

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been vindicated, that austerity be about how they think they have

:12:59.:13:03.

worked, the economy is turning a corner. But Nick Clegg's conference

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announcements will be about plastic bags. Have you got the hang of this

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coalition think? Andrew, you can always be guaranteed to put things

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in the most discreditable form! always be guaranteed to put things

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is part of your charm. That was about to be a minor announcement in

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discovered beforehand. It has not the middle of his speech. But it was

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discovered beforehand. It has not been very popular in terms of how it

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has been received, but that is not the central message. That leads

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has been received, but that is not to what I think is the biggest

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election. Isn't the biggest danger that the Tories, not you, if there

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is an economic recovery, they will get the credit for it? I don't think

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think the electorate does gratitude. The only time people cast a thank

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Thatcher over the sale of council houses. We could have a different

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discussion over whether that was a good idea. But what you have done is

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the underpinning for the promise of government, we have stayed firm

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the underpinning for the promise of very tough economic policy. But

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the underpinning for the promise of you get the credit? What we have

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done by ourselves, which the Tories would never have done, is make sure

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that when the pain is felt, it is not the poor who feel it. We have

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seen the biggest shift of taxation, lifting the poorest in the country

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out of taxation, that has ever happened, including in the previous

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Labour government. You are presiding over the biggest squeeze on living

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standards in modern times. Because it is the biggest recession in

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modern times. When you speak to it is the biggest recession in

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2.5 million people who have been lifted out of taxation altogether

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because of the Liberal Democrats, tax cut. You may be able to make the

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because of the Liberal Democrats, connection, Andrew, you are a sharp

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economic crisis and difficulty for everybody. But it is clear that

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economic crisis and difficulty for the Tories had been by themselves,

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none of that would have happened. We have sought to shift the burden

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none of that would have happened. We from the poorest in this country. I

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am part of that. So when we go into the next election, the message will

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am part of that. So when we go into be that if you want to continue

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am part of that. So when we go into have a prosperous economy and a

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society, only the Liberal Democrats will deliver that. Tim Farron says

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want to diss him. Can you confirm he likes Ed Miliband and he does not

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want to diss him. Can you confirm that there will be no dissing of Ed

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Miliband? It is not much my style. I've never much liked comments about

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the other leaders. I do not intend to make it so in the future. Can I'd

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finish up on Syria? You said after the Syria vote that Britain was

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finish up on Syria? You said after hugely diminished country. Given it

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both sides on a course which could now see Syria give up chemical

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weapons without records to military action, would you like to withdraw

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these remarks and admit that you should be proud and happy with what

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Britain has done? No. You and I should be proud and happy with what

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know, because we are old observers, that that would never have happened

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underpinning of a threat to use resigned from that. We have no part

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to play in the fact that Assad and Putin have moved towards peace for

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to play in the fact that Assad and fear of military action. We decided

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exactly the opposite. Why would fear of military action. We decided

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liked to have seen our country join in with those who are serious about

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upholding an international law which has restrained even than axes and

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left others to make sure that we talent, but instead we resigned

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left others to make sure that we moved towards peace. -- even the

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Maxis and Stalin. But if it had moved towards peace. -- even the

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would not have had the time to allow this to happen. It has avoided war.

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Job done, British Parliament. That would be true if it was accurate but

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it is not. The resolution proposed a delay, that we should wait until the

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inspectors came back. That time frame was absolutely nothing to

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inspectors came back. That time with the parliamentary vote. The

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vote was going to incorporate that. I do not think you can claim what

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vote was going to incorporate that. remember that diplomacy, which was

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not reinforced by the threat of military action, does not work.

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not reinforced by the threat of is when diplomacy runs with a grain

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of military action that it works. illustration of that, look at what

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is happening over the last two weeks. By regret to say that our

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country, which has always been in disengagement, had no part to play

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And you we would get to the Balkans eventually, and we did. His biggest

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challenge is if the economy is get some credit for the Lib Dems,

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when the Tories will want to halt it all. But his position is not to

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when the Tories will want to halt it the necessary axeman. That is George

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Osborne's role. Their role is to be Osborne's role. Their role is to be

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the chaser party, taking the edge off. They will because of me going

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on about the pupil premium and That is what you will hear from

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of the cuts. Will that work? They them, how they have taken the edge

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of the cuts. Will that work? They are in a pretty good position. Even

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if they have lost two thirds of are in a pretty good position. Even

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popular support, according to the polls, I do not know anyone in

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Westminster methinks that will be matched in their parliamentary

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representation. If they have 56 matched in their parliamentary

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now, they might lose a dozen but Strategically, they are in a better

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position than the reading of the polls would tell you. I think Nick

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Clegg's survival has been one of the stories of this Parliament. He is

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looking good at the comfort -- at the conference. When he was at his

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lowest after the AV referendum, people were saying he would survive

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I thought that was fanciful. Believe and lead us into 2015 and beyond and

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I thought that was fanciful. Believe it or not... Paddy Ashdown was

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wrong, you were wrong and... I wasn't. I'm underestimated how bad

:20:15.:20:22.

his rivals are. If you are Lib Dem member, however aggrieved you are

:20:22.:20:27.

with Nick Clegg, you do not think, wouldn't it be great if Christian

:20:27.:20:31.

was in charge? Nick Clegg is the best they have. -- Chris Huhne was

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in charge. Of course, the people do in charge. Of course, the people do

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government and it is a consequence of the way they vote, a different

:20:41.:20:44.

matter. If Janan Ganesh is right, and they lose 15 seats in the next

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pivotal in the next government. It Possibly the most amusing outcome

:20:51.:20:58.

would be a Labour or Tory overall majority, which would be hilarious

:20:58.:21:00.

for the look on Paddy Ashdown's face. The danger is they get trapped

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constantly in talking about the politics of coalition and of a hung

:21:06.:21:09.

parliament. And they are very puffed politics of coalition and of a hung

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parliament. And they are very puffed up and they enjoy Parliament and

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there is a possibility they will not be. While they are talking about the

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Polish and themselves, they are be. While they are talking about the

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talking about the issues facing be. While they are talking about the

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coalition. It was interesting that he said that we are a left-wing

:21:32.:21:37.

party, not a centre-left party or a centre party, but a left-wing party.

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I'm going to put myself in the firing line and say that there is a

:21:44.:21:48.

big split between the Tim Farron line who say they like Ed Miliband,

:21:48.:21:53.

and another one, Jeremy Browne in the Home Office saying that Labour

:21:53.:21:56.

are intellectually lazy. The risk clearly a clique around Nick Clegg

:21:56.:22:05.

who wants to be a synthetic party, but that is not where the membership

:22:05.:22:12.

who wants to be a synthetic party, activists are clearly of the left,

:22:12.:22:16.

not just the centre-left. They are very pro-immigration and they want

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strategy has to be to take the party to the centre. The something not

:22:21.:22:26.

happen at some stage? The poll suggests it is a left-wing party.

:22:26.:22:30.

happen at some stage? The poll Very left-wing. Other think the

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happen at some stage? The poll would have yielded -- would have

:22:32.:22:33.

yielded the same results before would have yielded -- would have

:22:33.:22:40.

2010 election. This is reflected by the arithmetic. Whichever party

:22:40.:22:43.

2010 election. This is reflected by biggest will most likely be the

:22:43.:22:45.

2010 election. This is reflected by in coalition with the Lib Dems.

:22:45.:22:49.

2010 election. This is reflected by Clegg's on latitude to choose is

:22:49.:22:56.

exaggerated by us. The choice is no parliamentary arithmetic. But if you

:22:56.:23:02.

remember the structure of the Lib Dems, they can tie themselves up in

:23:02.:23:09.

infighting. -- the choice is not stable. And Nick Clegg has had a

:23:09.:23:16.

good conference last year, and will have another one this year. The

:23:16.:23:18.

economy is better than it was a have another one this year. The

:23:18.:23:22.

ago. It could still go quite well for him. Yes, it is one of the

:23:22.:23:27.

ago. It could still go quite well stories of this Parliament, his

:23:27.:23:29.

survival and the way in which he has prospered. But there are a lot of

:23:29.:23:35.

campaigners, labour activists who have not forgotten what he has done

:23:35.:23:38.

in government and are determined to get him. It will be a tough year and

:23:38.:23:42.

a half. Tougher than he imagined. Now, not so long ago they were

:23:42.:23:47.

writing George Osborne's political obituary. Be on the Omni shambles

:23:47.:23:54.

budget of 2012 and a lacklustre performance of the British economy

:23:54.:23:58.

meant his reputation work -- was in the dirt. -- the omnishambles. But

:23:58.:24:04.

things have changed. The Chancellor is saying he has been vindicated. If

:24:04.:24:12.

runway, it looks as though the British economy has taken off,

:24:12.:24:15.

quarter. Forecasts for the rest British economy has taken off,

:24:15.:24:21.

the year have been revised up words. What's more, the office for National

:24:21.:24:28.

recession never actually happened. Unemployment is down in the three

:24:28.:24:32.

months to July and the number of spasticity rate since 1997. On

:24:32.:24:42.

Monday, George Osborne said his policies were bearing fruit. We

:24:42.:24:45.

Monday, George Osborne said his our nerve when many told us to

:24:45.:24:49.

abandon our plans. As a result, thanks to the efforts and sacrifices

:24:49.:24:54.

of the British people, Britain is turning a corner. The message for

:24:54.:25:01.

his Labour critics was clear. The Chancellor thinks he was right and

:25:01.:25:06.

Good afternoon. Good afternoon.Do you accept that the economy has

:25:06.:25:22.

turned a corner? I think it is good that a stalled recovery appears

:25:22.:25:27.

turned a corner? I think it is good get this in perspective. We have had

:25:27.:25:29.

three wasted years. We have the worst economic recovery in history.

:25:29.:25:34.

Debt is up and we have record youth programme if they feel better or

:25:34.:25:43.

worse off, compared to 2010, the majority will tell you they feel

:25:43.:25:48.

worse because, on average, wages are down by £1500 compared to May of

:25:48.:25:54.

2010. That is the situation. The one of the things we have seen

:25:55.:26:02.

talked about, Vince Cable has been talking about this as well, is what

:26:02.:26:07.

is happening in the housing market. It seems that much of the solution

:26:07.:26:08.

to powering the recovery in the It seems that much of the solution

:26:08.:26:14.

of George Osborne lies in sorting out the housing market but the

:26:14.:26:19.

problem is, we are at risk of being another housing bubble. Because

:26:19.:26:22.

problem is, we are at risk of being research that came out this week, we

:26:22.:26:26.

know that housing in the UK is three times more expensive than in the US.

:26:26.:26:29.

know that housing in the UK is three We know that house prices are rising

:26:29.:26:32.

five times faster than wages, but we also know that the government is

:26:32.:26:38.

five times faster than wages, but we building new housing at a slower

:26:38.:26:40.

rate, the slowest rate that we have complaining about a housing bubble,

:26:40.:26:47.

isn't that like Satan complaining about seven? -- seven. We all know

:26:47.:26:54.

that we cannot go back to business as usual. We need to build a new

:26:54.:26:58.

model of growth. But the housing bubble you talk about, it is not a

:26:58.:27:01.

bubble. It might turn into one. bubble you talk about, it is not a

:27:01.:27:07.

said the risk of a bubble. It is nothing like what happened on the

:27:07.:27:13.

I said, in 2009, we had the crash and we knew we needed to reconfigure

:27:13.:27:16.

the way that our economy works. Having an economy based on crisis is

:27:16.:27:25.

rebalance the economy. We saw the unemployment statistics this week,

:27:25.:27:29.

and it is welcomed overall, that unemployment has come down. At half

:27:29.:27:40.

up. And it went down in other parts. We know that we need to rebalance

:27:40.:27:45.

our economy, so that we do not just rely on consumption, but that we

:27:45.:27:51.

grow our productive sectors. And also that we grow our exports as

:27:51.:27:55.

well. We know we have a continuing deficit. We always have a trade

:27:55.:28:02.

deficit. There was never a trade surplus under Labour. Want to come

:28:02.:28:13.

onto what you have mentioned but would you scrap the help to buy

:28:13.:28:14.

scheme? We have not said that we would you scrap the help to buy

:28:14.:28:18.

scheme? We have not said that we would do that. Why not if it is

:28:18.:28:21.

causing the bubble? If you let me finish, on one hand what that scheme

:28:21.:28:27.

does at the moment, at the moment it is inhalation to a new scheme but

:28:28.:28:34.

tomorrow -- next year it will be in you do not sort out the supply of

:28:34.:28:39.

housing, then that is a recipe for the problems we have seen. Our

:28:39.:28:43.

argument is build more houses. Help more people to buy them by all means

:28:43.:28:45.

but if you do not have the supply more people to buy them by all means

:28:45.:28:48.

but if you do not have the supply you will end up with rising prices.

:28:48.:28:53.

That is obvious. Labour said that government austerity would prevent

:28:53.:28:54.

the return of growth. Austerity government austerity would prevent

:28:54.:29:00.

were wrong. We never said that growth would never return. What

:29:00.:29:05.

were wrong. We never said that said was that if you went for an

:29:05.:29:05.

were wrong. We never said that overly extreme deficit reduction

:29:05.:29:12.

recovery and you would choke growth. That is what we saw for three years.

:29:12.:29:17.

If you say, look at the US economy, it has grown at three times the

:29:17.:29:24.

If you say, look at the US economy, economy has grown at twice the rate.

:29:24.:29:28.

But the British economy is growing quicker than the American or German

:29:28.:29:31.

economy is now. But over time we have not seen that happen. But it is

:29:31.:29:37.

now. That may be the case. But my point is that those three years

:29:37.:29:42.

now. That may be the case. But my people undergoing huge stress and

:29:42.:29:45.

worry. It is good that we have growth back again but the question

:29:45.:29:49.

is, what kind of growth? What we have said... I'm going to come onto

:29:49.:29:55.

that but your credibility depends on your previous analysis. And there

:29:55.:29:57.

are doubts about it. This is what you said not that long ago. In

:29:57.:30:05.

You and the Labour Party said it had choked off growth. You were wrong.

:30:05.:30:33.

We were not wrong, because we had three years where the economy was

:30:33.:30:38.

not moving. Let's remind ourselves. Claude Osborne was predicting that

:30:38.:30:42.

the economy was going to grow by 6.9% between the start of this

:30:42.:30:46.

Parliament and now. It has grown by 1.8%. We did not say we would never

:30:46.:30:55.

have a return to growth. You never said that austerity would only

:30:55.:30:59.

temporarily delay growth. We have looked through your speeches and Ed

:30:59.:31:03.

Balls'. We can't find any reference to say this is simply delaying the

:31:03.:31:09.

recovery. You said austerity would choke off growth. If that is true,

:31:09.:31:13.

why has it returned now? Did we choke off growth. If that is true,

:31:13.:31:19.

it would choke off growth for ever? choke off growth. If that is true,

:31:19.:31:27.

We did not. You have changed your tune. I think your package at the

:31:27.:31:29.

top of this programme, to frame tune. I think your package at the

:31:29.:31:34.

around George Osborne, this is not a people's lives, and the people who

:31:34.:31:40.

deserve huge credit for the growth we are seeing are our country's

:31:40.:31:46.

businesses, who despite the tough economic times, have succeeded.

:31:46.:31:49.

businesses, who despite the tough are the ones who have powered this

:31:49.:31:49.

Westminster to take credit. But are the ones who have powered this

:31:49.:31:57.

blame the government for lack of growth. So therefore, when the

:31:57.:32:03.

growth comes, the government has to situation Britain is in now. We

:32:03.:32:09.

growth comes, the government has to the recovery still has to reach

:32:09.:32:12.

growth comes, the government has to parts of the country, but this is

:32:12.:32:16.

the OECD annualised growth in the G-7, the world's guest economies.

:32:16.:32:21.

That is looking pretty healthy. G-7, the world's guest economies.

:32:21.:32:30.

is a recovery. I am not denying G-7, the world's guest economies.

:32:30.:32:33.

we are seeing a stalled recovery, but who benefits from the growth? On

:32:33.:32:39.

average, your viewers have sustained a £1500 pay cut. That is the second

:32:39.:32:48.

biggest fall in the G20 since May 2010. Because we had the biggest

:32:48.:32:55.

financial services sector and took services are still in decline.

:32:55.:33:07.

the economy. They are not the only contributor to the economy. The

:33:07.:33:13.

point is, who benefits? Unemployment is falling, but we don't just want

:33:13.:33:15.

people to have any job, we want is falling, but we don't just want

:33:15.:33:19.

to have decent jobs that pay a weight you can live off and that are

:33:19.:33:23.

more secure. Let me show you the unemployment figures. Your criticism

:33:23.:33:30.

has been that all the new jobs are part-time. They are not now, they

:33:30.:33:42.

employment, up 94,000. This is a short time frame. It is since the

:33:42.:33:48.

recovery began. Half the jobs that have been part-time jobs. Roughly

:33:48.:33:58.

who would like to work full-time. Over the last 20 years, people now

:33:58.:34:04.

feel more insecure at work than ever. The question is about what

:34:04.:34:07.

feel more insecure at work than kind of growth and employment you

:34:07.:34:07.

are getting. The other point is kind of growth and employment you

:34:07.:34:14.

uneven spread of this across our north-east and north-west, the

:34:14.:34:23.

Humber, the east of England, they agree that there was a regional

:34:23.:34:33.

imbalance, but the service sector is growing, cheering and construction

:34:33.:34:40.

are growing and financial services are in decline, so the rebalance is

:34:40.:34:45.

happening. It is not happening to the degree we need to transform

:34:45.:34:50.

happening. It is not happening to long-term, sustainable model of

:34:50.:34:54.

comprehensive industrial strategy towards. Your party conference is

:34:54.:35:05.

coming up. I am sure you are looking forward to it. Why do Ed Miliband's

:35:05.:35:09.

people see of him? I don't accept approval ratings get worse the more

:35:09.:35:17.

people see of him? I don't accept that. I have given you the figures.

:35:17.:35:22.

Polls go up and down. I have said that on this programme before. But

:35:22.:35:28.

his approval rating has consistently gone down. What actually matters our

:35:28.:35:34.

leadership, the Labour Party have gone down. What actually matters our

:35:34.:35:39.

put on almost 2000 extra councillors in places like Canada case, even

:35:39.:35:50.

Whitney. What is wrong with Whitney? We have been putting on votes. Let

:35:50.:35:56.

me show you this. This is the net satisfaction rating. Your leader is

:35:57.:36:01.

now more unpopular than Gordon Brown was when he took Labour to the worst

:36:01.:36:07.

defeat in living memory. Gordon Brown did not put on anything like

:36:07.:36:14.

this number of councillors. Votes are what matter, Andrew. Few people

:36:14.:36:21.

think Ed Miliband is a capable leader. Twice as many people think

:36:21.:36:26.

over Spurs who lives on the moon. These are polls. If you are talking

:36:26.:36:32.

to me about over Spurs lit, that puts this into context, Europe

:36:32.:36:39.

session with polls! -- Elvis Presley. Since 2010, we have put on

:36:39.:36:44.

thousands of members. Compare that to the Conservative Party, which has

:36:44.:36:47.

not won a general election since 1992. They will not disclose their

:36:47.:36:58.

membership figures. Why -- why won't you pledge to renationalise Royal

:36:58.:37:03.

Mail? Because that would be like writing a blank cheque. We don't

:37:03.:37:05.

know at the moment how much the government would receive for the

:37:05.:37:09.

sale of Royal Mail? So how can I judge how much it would cost to buy

:37:09.:37:14.

it back? That would be irresponsible. But the government

:37:14.:37:17.

does not need to do this right now. The entire country is against it.

:37:17.:37:23.

Sources in the City and Whitehall tell me that if Labour pledged to

:37:23.:37:26.

renationalise it, it would kill off the flotation. So if you are against

:37:26.:37:34.

it, why don't you do it? For me to pledge to renationalise Royal Mail

:37:34.:37:37.

would be like writing a blank cheque. But if you put it in the

:37:37.:37:44.

prospectus, people in the City, who know more about these things, say it

:37:44.:37:50.

would not happen, so why not do it? Because that would be irresponsible.

:37:50.:37:54.

It would be like writing a cheque for billions to renationalise Royal

:37:54.:37:59.

Mail. You would not have too right at the check if it did not happen. I

:37:59.:38:05.

have to deal with the facts. I am not good deal with the plot somebody

:38:05.:38:09.

might be speculating about in the City. We have to be careful about

:38:09.:38:14.

this. For me to pledge to renationalise it now would be like

:38:14.:38:18.

writing a bank cheque . We are going to be a fiscally responsible

:38:18.:38:22.

government. That is why I am not prepared to do that. Ed Balls will

:38:22.:38:28.

not be talking to you. You are watching the Sunday Politics. Coming

:38:28.:38:29.

up in 20 minutes, Coming up on the Sunday Politics in

:38:29.:38:53.

the South West. Around about plans to build a huge wind farm off the

:38:53.:38:59.

North Devon coast. For the next 20 minutes I am joined by Dan Rogerson

:38:59.:39:07.

and Nicky Williams. I am sure that Dan is one of many Liberal Democrats

:39:07.:39:11.

hoping that the conference will improve their election chances. A

:39:11.:39:15.

promise to sort out Council funding will be high on some wish lists. The

:39:15.:39:21.

leader of Devon Council warned of devastating cuts. Dan is one of

:39:21.:39:25.

those who has argued for urban council cash to be handed to rural

:39:25.:39:30.

ones, but the chance of the Liberal Democrats seems unlikely. But who

:39:30.:39:37.

doing not seems unlikely. If I was running a local authority I would

:39:37.:39:41.

say to central government, we are having to make difficult decisions.

:39:41.:39:44.

The fact is everyone is having to make difficult decisions. These

:39:44.:39:49.

critics accept the overall cake needs to be smaller, but they say it

:39:50.:39:55.

is unfairly divided up. Is it fair that urban authorities get 50% more

:39:55.:40:03.

funding than rural ones. In Sheffield, you're making a point

:40:03.:40:09.

about urban and rural funding. There is bluntly a bit of a thing going on

:40:09.:40:15.

were local councils in rural errors say they are being short—changed and

:40:15.:40:21.

an urban council say they are being short—changed. I understand the

:40:21.:40:24.

pressures, whether it is city councils oral councils, we

:40:24.:40:28.

understand. We cannot magic money that is not there. You have been

:40:28.:40:35.

pushing for a better deal. Word is his response leave you? He says if

:40:35.:40:41.

everybody is unhappy, but is there. He is also a member of the Cabinet,

:40:41.:40:46.

so he cannot announce a change of a funding formula. The pressure that I

:40:46.:40:52.

and other rural Liberal Democrat colleagues... Word is that leave you

:40:52.:40:58.

if you cannot influence government policy? Yellow macro we can

:40:58.:41:03.

influence policy. He is unlikely to announce a final version in an

:41:03.:41:15.

interview with you. He did not sound very sympathetic. He is holding the

:41:15.:41:26.

current line. You want it changed? You sponsored an early day motion

:41:26.:41:33.

and he is not listening. I think we will get some change. I am hopeful

:41:33.:41:39.

that we will. We are into the cycle of budgets coming up and I think we

:41:39.:41:46.

will get changes. Is Nick Clegg the man to get that changed? Yes.He

:41:46.:41:53.

does not seem to be listening. This is not on the floor of the House of

:41:53.:42:00.

Commons were you would expect a policy change to be announced. We

:42:00.:42:03.

will keep up that the pressure. You are supporting him? I voted for a

:42:03.:42:09.

Nick Clegg in the leadership contest. I am happy to support him.

:42:09.:42:19.

Sarah tether has resigned. She did not call for him to go as leader.

:42:19.:42:24.

Lord Oakeshott has made similar pronouncements. That is his right to

:42:24.:42:29.

do. We will see what happens at the conference. He has the support of

:42:29.:42:33.

the party and my support. You represent Plymouth. Where do you

:42:33.:42:41.

stand on this issue? I think the funding formula is complex and it is

:42:41.:42:46.

not particularly transparent. It needs to be reviewed. Urban councils

:42:46.:42:50.

have particular problems and challenges which mean they do need

:42:50.:42:59.

more finance. The 15% of cuts across councils means it is having a

:42:59.:43:03.

devastating effect on services across the country. What kind of

:43:03.:43:10.

services? What kind of cuts are people expecting to see, bus

:43:10.:43:16.

services, libraries? Councils will have to stop doing things. It is not

:43:16.:43:23.

a case that we can keep on business as normal. Councils are having to

:43:23.:43:28.

make hard decisions. These cuts mean, I think John Hart said, it

:43:28.:43:34.

would have a devastating effect on the library service, on those

:43:34.:43:39.

services which people take for granted at the moment. We have

:43:39.:43:45.

plenty more to discuss. Five new government funded Free Schools have

:43:45.:43:51.

just opened their doors to pupils in the South West. This week the

:43:51.:43:53.

scheme, which enables parents to open new schools, came under fire.

:43:53.:43:58.

Critics say that they are often in places where they are not needed.

:43:58.:44:03.

One headteacher is blaming a nearby Free School for an increase in his

:44:03.:44:10.

class sizes. Open this week, this academy. It is a Free School which

:44:10.:44:16.

means it is not required to teach the National Curriculum or to employ

:44:16.:44:19.

qualified teachers. While it receives funding from the

:44:19.:44:24.

government, it is free from local education authority control. Around

:44:24.:44:28.

60 years seven and year eight pupils attend here and that is having an

:44:28.:44:34.

impact on schools and colleges nearby. The community college here

:44:34.:44:40.

has lost 11 pupils from this year year seven's intake. Going into the

:44:40.:44:47.

next financial year, those 11 pupils we do not have, they are worth £4000

:44:47.:44:54.

each. That is £45,000 less that I will not get in the budget next

:44:54.:44:58.

year. It is what an experienced teacher costs in school budgets. In

:44:58.:45:03.

the summer, we had to make a teacher redundant. School provision

:45:03.:45:08.

traditionally involved local authorities looking at the

:45:08.:45:11.

population to ensure there are enough places for pupils. The

:45:11.:45:17.

government backed Free School system means a new Free School can be

:45:17.:45:20.

located in an area, regardless of the need for places. We are calling

:45:20.:45:26.

on government to make sure that new schools are opening in areas of high

:45:26.:45:37.

demand. We do not want them to open up in areas where there is a

:45:37.:45:43.

surplus. The vast majority of open mainstream Free Schools are in areas

:45:43.:45:46.

with the greatest pressure on places, the government says. This

:45:46.:45:51.

academy's current home is an old primary school which closed two

:45:51.:45:56.

years ago due to a shortage of pupils. Their ambition is to move to

:45:56.:46:00.

a larger site with a capacity for 700 pupils, complete with sixth form

:46:00.:46:05.

by 2016. I appreciate that in the early days, because we are new

:46:05.:46:14.

provider, that is an initial impact which is going to be quite hard to

:46:14.:46:19.

take. However, my mind is on what is best for the children of this area

:46:20.:46:25.

and in actual fact, that is what I expect everybody to be thinking

:46:25.:46:28.

about, because this is not about bums on seats, this is about what is

:46:28.:46:33.

right for education in this area and providing a new choice is the

:46:33.:46:37.

absolute right thing to do. You'll macro what I find difficult about

:46:37.:46:42.

the school is I categorically do not see the pupil demand. There may be a

:46:42.:46:49.

demand from parents, but that is not need, that is parental wishes and

:46:49.:46:53.

none of the secondary schools in this area are full to capacity. We

:46:53.:46:59.

are not all bursting at the seams, it is a waste of public money, in my

:46:59.:47:04.

view. In the summer, it emerged that £60 million was spent on helping 72

:47:04.:47:09.

Free Schools to open. The government said it made no apologies for

:47:10.:47:13.

spending money on encouraging new people to come forward offering new

:47:13.:47:17.

ideas and ways to run schools. Joining us now to discuss this we

:47:17.:47:23.

have Janet Fookes, Tory peer and former Plymouth MP with a background

:47:23.:47:26.

in teaching. The government says it is not apologising for having new

:47:26.:47:32.

ideas, should that be the case even when schools that are currently

:47:32.:47:35.

nearby the schools are losing teachers? I am surprised, because

:47:35.:47:41.

the act actually requires the Secretary of State to look at the

:47:41.:47:45.

existing situation and to assess what the impact might be on other

:47:45.:47:52.

schools in the area. Is it illegal? No, I am saying that the Secretary

:47:52.:47:59.

of State has that duty and I wonder whether there are other issues that

:47:59.:48:05.

state in this particular example, there are other factors we do not

:48:05.:48:11.

know about. Is a desperate need for more primary school faces, it is

:48:11.:48:17.

this not a waste of money? —— places. The Secretary of State

:48:17.:48:27.

should not allow this to happen. Are you for Free Schools in general? In

:48:27.:48:33.

general, yes. I believe in choice and variety of provision. I think

:48:33.:48:38.

this is a welcome breath of fresh air. Your colleague Nick Harvey

:48:38.:48:44.

described Free Schools as unwanted and unnecessary, do you agree? In

:48:44.:48:51.

some areas, they are wanted, like in West London and South London, there

:48:51.:48:58.

has been demand and I am happy as a member of a Coalition government,

:48:58.:49:01.

this is a conservative policy, to see if they work and if they can

:49:01.:49:08.

deliver. What we may be having is too many, too quickly, and one we

:49:08.:49:13.

look at some of the examples, they seem to be coming in areas where

:49:13.:49:17.

there just is not the demand, and to me that isn't not a good use of

:49:17.:49:22.

resources. The problem with not allowing them, is that you only

:49:22.:49:29.

leave parents with the choice of a bad school. Is that the best thing

:49:29.:49:34.

for those parents and what happens to the spirit of competition and the

:49:34.:49:39.

fact that people have to pull up their socks? Government is keen to

:49:39.:49:43.

work with Ofsted to help the really good schools and to raise the

:49:44.:49:47.

aspirations of all schools to deliver a better quality education.

:49:47.:49:52.

There is choice in that area, there are schools around that area, and we

:49:52.:49:57.

are picking on this example, but the priority ought to be trying out Free

:49:57.:50:02.

Schools in areas where there is demand and in areas where there is

:50:02.:50:06.

not, looking at the impact on the existing schools. You are part of

:50:06.:50:11.

the government, or why are you not doing it? It is a Coalition

:50:11.:50:16.

government. The Pupil Premium, which is narrowing the gap between people

:50:16.:50:20.

from disadvantaged backgrounds and people from well off policies, in

:50:20.:50:25.

order to do that we have to have other concessions. Ed Miliband said

:50:25.:50:30.

a Labour government would not open any new Free Schools, what is wrong

:50:30.:50:36.

with them? Jaden Smith says they are good thing. —— Janet Fookes. Free

:50:36.:50:45.

Schools are opening in places where there is a surplus of places. That

:50:45.:50:52.

cannot be right. Capital funding has also been cut to build new schools

:50:52.:50:57.

where they are actually needed by 60%. This means that the sums do not

:50:57.:51:04.

add up. We want choice for parents and we believe there should be

:51:04.:51:07.

choice for parents, but there are some problems with this model. The

:51:07.:51:12.

fact you do not have to have qualified teachers! That cannot be

:51:12.:51:16.

right. We want quality education, we want to parents involved, but we

:51:16.:51:20.

have to have those checks and balances and make sure the schools

:51:20.:51:25.

are provided in the places where they are needed. Can I come back on

:51:25.:51:30.

that? I believe there are certain specialities were they must have

:51:30.:51:34.

qualified teacher status, but in the rest, it is to open it up perhaps to

:51:34.:51:38.

people who have taught in further education or in other colleges were

:51:38.:51:42.

they do not have that particular status, but where they have a great

:51:42.:51:46.

deal to offer or even people who have been in structures in the Armed

:51:47.:51:50.

Forces. It is not to dilate standards, it is to broaden it,

:51:50.:51:55.

bring in more people who do not have the precise qualification, but who

:51:55.:52:01.

have a lot to offer. I was going to say that the problem is that Free

:52:01.:52:07.

Schools have the ability to do things like that, the very

:52:07.:52:09.

innovative, what happens is that existing really good schools do not

:52:10.:52:15.

have the same freedoms. That is one of the things that Labour is talking

:52:15.:52:19.

about, extending those freedoms which allows schools to innovate, to

:52:19.:52:22.

allow schools to be innovative with the National Curriculum, about where

:52:22.:52:28.

they get their services from, such as ICT, so that they can provide the

:52:28.:52:33.

best possible choice for parents. What would you say to that? It seems

:52:33.:52:40.

that Michael Gove is saying to state schools we will be more

:52:40.:52:43.

prescriptive, fine new £120 per child if you take them out of term

:52:43.:52:50.

time, and on the other hand giving a free rein to Free Schools. I think

:52:50.:52:56.

all teachers should be qualified and I do disagree. This was not a

:52:56.:53:00.

Coalition policy, it was announced by Michael Gove over a year ago.

:53:00.:53:05.

That is something we will have to revisit. However, if we have a

:53:05.:53:09.

limited number of Free Schools, to test this model, and there is clear

:53:09.:53:15.

public demand, I am happy. I would worry about areas where there is

:53:15.:53:19.

questionable demand, even from the number of pupils who might attend

:53:19.:53:23.

it. I have to stop you. The controversial wind farm plans of the

:53:24.:53:29.

North Devon coast has been back in the headlines. The Atlantic Array

:53:29.:53:34.

could be the biggest game of its kind in the UK. This week North

:53:34.:53:37.

Devon District Council voted to oppose the plans, but other councils

:53:37.:53:41.

have given them a cautious welcome. This couple moved to this quiet spot

:53:41.:53:48.

on the North Devon coast for their retirement. They now fear their

:53:48.:53:52.

views will be spoiled and their lives will be disrupted by a planned

:53:52.:53:56.

offshore wind farm near their property. They are going to have a

:53:56.:54:02.

10,000 metre emplacement there, where that loss is, whether will

:54:02.:54:10.

basically be a drilling site. They suggest that the noise will be

:54:10.:54:15.

inconsequential, but they will have to be bringing up eight cables and

:54:15.:54:21.

trenches for eight cables through the hard Cliff Rock. The Atlantic

:54:21.:54:27.

Array would be twice the size of any UK wind farm which is currently

:54:27.:54:32.

working. Around 240 wind turbines would be built, about ten miles off

:54:32.:54:38.

the North Devon coast, covering an area of about 77 square miles. This

:54:38.:54:45.

woman owns a holiday outlet which would overlook the construction

:54:45.:54:50.

site. I cannot advertise 5—star properties, or when you have a

:54:50.:54:55.

construction site in front of you and you do not have the fantastic

:54:55.:55:01.

feels that they have now. Whether I will be able to let the properties

:55:01.:55:05.

at all or if I have to reduce my prices enormously to try and attract

:55:05.:55:09.

people, I am certainly going to lose a lot of income. The firm behind it

:55:09.:55:14.

says it would produce enough electricity for nearly 1 million

:55:14.:55:18.

homes. We have taken into account feedback from local people as part

:55:18.:55:23.

of the consultation process and what we are really comfortable about is

:55:23.:55:30.

that we have found the site and it is the best one in terms of the

:55:30.:55:35.

area. Opposition to the project is growing. This week, North Devon

:55:35.:55:40.

Council voted to object to the proposal, raising concerns about the

:55:40.:55:45.

lack of economic benefit to the area and damage to the beauty of North

:55:45.:55:50.

Devon and tourism. Despite such concerns, Devon County Council and

:55:50.:55:54.

storage district Council voted this week not to launch major objections

:55:54.:56:00.

to the scheme. If this goes ahead, it is not deemed it to be

:56:00.:56:04.

particularly anti—terrorism and does not seem that people will be put off

:56:04.:56:09.

from coming down to places like this, because 13 miles off the coast

:56:09.:56:15.

there are these wind turbines. It is not local councils who will decide

:56:15.:56:19.

on this big infrastructure projects. The planning Inspectorate will

:56:19.:56:23.

examine the plans and make a recommendation to the Secretary

:56:23.:56:27.

State. This local MP has registered to appear at the planning enquiry

:56:27.:56:33.

after meeting with residents. Yes we are suggesting that we should have a

:56:33.:56:40.

240 wind turbine array from some of the most protected landscapes and

:56:40.:56:44.

coastline in our country. That raises serious issues which I hope

:56:44.:56:49.

the inspector will at that, the is Secretary of State will look that

:56:49.:56:55.

powerfully as well. Lobby groups say concerns about how these projects

:56:55.:57:03.

look are outweighed by the green energy and jobs they can bring. Had

:57:03.:57:08.

you got any sympathy for these concerns? —— had you. It has to be

:57:08.:57:19.

balanced. We need alternative energy sources. There will be an element of

:57:19.:57:24.

controversy and that is why we have a planning committees and why it

:57:24.:57:27.

will go to the planning Inspectorate. What would you prefer?

:57:28.:57:34.

Would you prefer offshore wind or a wind turbines on land? At the end of

:57:34.:57:40.

the day, there are hard choices that need to be made. We know we need to

:57:40.:57:45.

diversify. Should Labour have been making those decisions in the past?

:57:45.:57:51.

We progress the agenda, maybe. The important thing is these plans are

:57:51.:57:58.

going before planning committees at the moment and we need to consider

:57:58.:58:02.

them seriously. It is expensive to produce energy from wind turbines

:58:03.:58:08.

and they do have a lot of government subsidy, almost to the point but

:58:08.:58:13.

they are not profitable at all? Anyone technology will not be the

:58:13.:58:23.

answer. —— anyone. We have got to hold a debate about fracking as

:58:23.:58:29.

well. I think the fact is whenever you have technology that creates the

:58:29.:58:34.

energy we all use, it has to come from somewhere, and any method could

:58:34.:58:38.

be unpopular. Geoffrey Cox does not want it where he is. We have huge

:58:38.:58:44.

numbers of wind turbine applications in my constituency. It is a matter

:58:45.:58:51.

for planning authorities. I have discussed it with the council, about

:58:51.:58:55.

having a strategy, rather than individual elements, because we need

:58:55.:58:59.

to look at how it affects the landscape. I do think that with

:58:59.:59:04.

onshore wind, there has been an income into local farms to keep them

:59:04.:59:09.

viable. We have to balance all of these things to make sure it is a

:59:09.:59:13.

working countryside, not easy piece for people visit. It is our round—up

:59:13.:59:26.

of the political week in 60 seconds. Employment gloom in West Cornwall

:59:27.:59:32.

with the loss of almost 200 jobs at a factory in red wrist. To lose half

:59:32.:59:38.

the workforce is a tragedy. Unemployment figures provided a

:59:38.:59:42.

reason to be cheerful with the number of people in the region's

:59:42.:59:47.

dole queues down 20% year—on—year. Opponents of cuts to Torbay's Fire

:59:47.:59:54.

service delivered a petition. Yellow matter they have not done their

:59:54.:59:58.

sons, they need to revisit it. Catching speeding motorists in 20

:59:58.:00:04.

zones would be easier with better signs, says a counsellor. Every time

:00:04.:00:10.

I am here, you could get off on a technicality. Exeter City Council's

:00:10.:00:17.

crackdown on street beggars has met with strong opposition. They are

:00:17.:00:25.

causing more hassle for the police, more hassle for the local people. A

:00:25.:00:34.

crackdown on beggars in Exeter, have you ever given money to beggars? I

:00:35.:00:40.

tend to do exactly the opposite, which is give two schemes which help

:00:40.:00:45.

homeless people. You have some sympathy? Yes. They were working

:00:45.:00:51.

with the police and they identify that some of the people who were

:00:51.:00:54.

presenting themselves as homeless were not actually homeless and were

:00:54.:00:58.

actually involved in criminal activities. What do you make of

:00:58.:01:04.

this? We need to support people into a more productive way of life. Some

:01:04.:01:10.

of them may be buskers, other places like the London Underground, have

:01:10.:01:14.

looked at supporting people to do busking in the right places in a way

:01:14.:01:20.

that people enjoy. You can have a balance. It is not about purging

:01:20.:01:24.

everyone from the streets. Yes to buskers and no to beggars? That is

:01:24.:01:29.

the Sunday Politics in the South West. Thanks to my guest. Now

:01:29.:01:32.

the Sunday Politics in the South more than pay is going up. Which

:01:32.:01:43.

deserves a programme all to itself. In a moment, more from our political

:01:43.:01:52.

Good afternoon. Nick Clegg says victory for either the Conservatives

:01:52.:01:55.

Good afternoon. Nick Clegg says or labour at the next election would

:01:55.:01:57.

put at risk the economic recovery is. Speaking in Glasgow at the

:01:57.:02:00.

Liberal Democrat annual conference, he said a coalition would allow

:02:00.:02:04.

Liberal Democrat annual conference, party to balance politics and enable

:02:04.:02:07.

the government to finish the job of repairing the economy fairly. It is

:02:07.:02:10.

my genuine belief that if we go repairing the economy fairly. It is

:02:10.:02:15.

coalition and Islands politics, repairing the economy fairly. It is

:02:15.:02:20.

dominating blood on their own, you will get a recovery which is neither

:02:20.:02:24.

fair nor sustainable. Labour would wreck the recovery, and under the

:02:24.:02:28.

fair nor sustainable. Labour would same commitment to fairness as

:02:28.:02:31.

ours, you would get the wrong kind Two 19-year-old woman arrested after

:02:31.:02:37.

a stabbing on Thursday have been released without charge. Police

:02:38.:02:41.

a stabbing on Thursday have been trying to discover if there is a

:02:41.:02:44.

link between the killing and a fire four hours later in which four

:02:44.:02:49.

Five people are being questioned in connection with that blaze. A Syrian

:02:49.:02:53.

government minister has described the agreement drawn up by America

:02:53.:02:58.

country's chemical weapons as a The minister claims the deals helps

:02:58.:03:04.

the Syrians out of a crisis and others war. The US Secretary of

:03:04.:03:07.

State John Kerry is in Israel to brief the prime minister, Benjamin

:03:07.:03:11.

Netanyahu, on the proposal. China and France have also welcomed the

:03:11.:03:14.

deal, which says Syria has until Friday to submit a competence of

:03:14.:03:20.

list of its chemical stockpile. Britain's Mo Farah has missed out on

:03:20.:03:22.

winning his first half marathon Britain's Mo Farah has missed out on

:03:22.:03:27.

He was taking part in the Great North Run between Newcastle and

:03:27.:03:31.

South Shields. Farrar, who was the favourite following his two gold

:03:31.:03:34.

Ethiopian's can mean many Serb favourite following his two gold

:03:34.:03:43.

Kenenisa Bekele in a sprint finish. A carnival atmosphere for the start

:03:43.:03:52.

walking it, so I have no time in simply dressing up for fun. I am

:03:52.:04:00.

walking it, so I have no time in mind. I just want to enjoy it and

:04:00.:04:02.

appreciate the crowds and have a fantastic time. For elite athletes,

:04:02.:04:09.

today's race was about who would be first over the line. Despite the

:04:09.:04:13.

wind and rain, large crowds turned out for the world's most popular

:04:13.:04:17.

half marathon, which attracts some of the finest women runners, two,

:04:17.:04:25.

including the Kenyan. There were high hopes for Britain's double

:04:25.:04:29.

Olympic champion Mo Farah, but after Shields, he was narrowly beaten

:04:29.:04:36.

Ethiopian's Kenenisa Bekele. It Shields, he was narrowly beaten

:04:36.:04:47.

thought I would come back and close the gap slowly. I managed to close

:04:47.:04:50.

it a little bit, but you can't take away what he has. Wheelchair athlete

:04:50.:04:56.

David Weir won his race for a fourth time. More than £200 million has

:04:56.:05:01.

been raised since the Great North That is it for now. There will be

:05:01.:05:16.

more news on BBC One at 6:35pm. So, did anything happen while we

:05:16.:05:19.

were away this summer? I thought heading now? Who better to answer

:05:19.:05:27.

than the best political panel we could cobble together for a tenner?

:05:27.:05:33.

Putting foreign affairs to one side for a moment, it seems that what

:05:33.:05:38.

happened mystically was that it became more apparent that some sort

:05:38.:05:42.

of recovery was underway at last, and that Mr Miliband still has not

:05:42.:05:48.

yet resonated with the British public. These things are a problem

:05:48.:05:55.

for Labour. Ed Miliband's mistake over the summer holiday was to take

:05:55.:05:56.

a summer holiday. And it looked over the summer holiday was to take

:05:56.:06:00.

the rest of the Labour Party had taken one too. They were not finding

:06:01.:06:04.

issues they could make their own. The only person who made an impact

:06:04.:06:09.

was Stella Creasy on online abuse. That is a huge problem, and it is

:06:09.:06:13.

partly down to the fact that there is this intense message discipline.

:06:13.:06:15.

They don't want to say anything is this intense message discipline.

:06:15.:06:19.

of line until they have got all their ducks in a row. It makes the

:06:19.:06:21.

party do at the moment. The terms of party do at the moment. The terms of

:06:21.:06:27.

trade have swung in David Cameron's favour, but the political rhetoric

:06:27.:06:31.

look at this headline from the is still with Mr Miliband. Let's

:06:31.:06:40.

look at this headline from the Sunday Telegraph. That headline

:06:40.:06:44.

might not be right, but the story is significant in that Mr Cameron is

:06:44.:06:46.

still in danger on his right flank significant in that Mr Cameron is

:06:46.:06:52.

doesn't need an enormous share of the vote to get an overall majority?

:06:52.:07:00.

Westminster group think. Of course Ed Miliband is in trouble. The

:07:00.:07:04.

Tories are reserved and. They are better organised, the economy is

:07:04.:07:08.

recovering. That poses difficulties for Labour, but if you look at what

:07:08.:07:15.

is happening on the ground, UKIP still pose a danger to Cameron.

:07:15.:07:18.

is happening on the ground, UKIP don't need to poll 15% in a lot

:07:18.:07:20.

is happening on the ground, UKIP those marginal seats, they just

:07:20.:07:22.

is happening on the ground, UKIP to get five or 6% of the vote, and

:07:22.:07:24.

that could potentially destroy the Tory lead. Lots of commentators

:07:24.:07:34.

that could potentially destroy the to say, this guy will never be prime

:07:34.:07:39.

minister, but it is possible that by default or by accident, in a very

:07:39.:07:45.

Miliband could end up as prime minister. It is still all to play

:07:45.:07:51.

for on both sides. If UKIP remains a threat to the Tory right flank and

:07:51.:07:56.

the Tories themselves are not really a national party any more, I am

:07:56.:07:59.

the Tories themselves are not really they will only target a few seats in

:07:59.:08:02.

Scotland, they don't get any big seats in the big cities of the north

:08:02.:08:05.

any more, they don't get the Ulster vote they used to get, so it is

:08:05.:08:09.

possible that Labour, which is more nationally based and has seats in

:08:09.:08:13.

the Midlands and the north and in Wales, so they could get in. I

:08:13.:08:19.

agree. The advantage of having a bad summer is that Ed Miliband can go to

:08:19.:08:25.

expectations. All he has to do is not dribble on the lectern, and

:08:25.:08:29.

expectations. All he has to do is will be written up as spectacular.

:08:29.:08:31.

expectations. All he has to do is He might not even use a lectin.

:08:31.:08:39.

position. The electoral vagaries of the system work in his favour. He

:08:39.:08:44.

still has a narrow poll lead, he is not out of the game at all. Of the

:08:44.:08:47.

three main party leaders, the only one who can be confident about being

:08:47.:08:54.

three main party leaders, the only in government after 2015 is Nick

:08:54.:09:00.

electorally. But if it is this bad for Labour at the moment, what will

:09:00.:09:06.

it be like if this recovery turns out to be real? It depends how much

:09:06.:09:14.

they succeed. Chuka Umunna was shifting the debate are living

:09:14.:09:17.

standards. They don't want to keep arguing about who called it right.

:09:17.:09:20.

Do people feel richer than they arguing about who called it right.

:09:20.:09:24.

in 2010? The data suggests that people don't feel richer than in

:09:24.:09:28.

2010. Because they are not.That people don't feel richer than in

:09:28.:09:33.

the basis on which Labour will fight the next election. It is clear that

:09:33.:09:38.

Labour are unclear on what to say or do next. They have just got to hope

:09:38.:09:43.

and pray that the economy is not as soundly based as it appears to be

:09:43.:09:46.

and that George Osborne is Tony Barber, who thought he fixed the

:09:46.:09:54.

just before the next crash. There are all sorts of uncertainties

:09:54.:09:57.

just before the next crash. There China, the bond market, the housing

:09:58.:10:00.

bubble might be blown up, and Labour just had to hope something goes

:10:00.:10:01.

wrong for Osborne. Chuka Umunna just had to hope something goes

:10:01.:10:08.

he would not get rid of help to just had to hope something goes

:10:08.:10:11.

There are all these criticisms about just had to hope something goes

:10:11.:10:14.

artificial schemes pumping up house prices, but he would not say that.

:10:14.:10:19.

It is tortuous. You see this again and again. When asked if Labour

:10:19.:10:27.

would repeal the bedroom tax, or the same thing with Royal Mail, it

:10:27.:10:29.

happens again. They will be falling on people who have not had a meal in

:10:29.:10:42.

coming out of the Labour Party. There is a kind and Gillette in

:10:42.:10:45.

coming out of the Labour Party. them to a politician's career. When

:10:45.:10:48.

they are under attack for a long time, the media get bored after

:10:48.:10:51.

they are under attack for a long while and switch the story. It

:10:51.:10:56.

happened to Osborne, who had a horrific 2012 and has recovered

:10:56.:11:00.

bad press as he is getting at the moment, because people find it

:11:00.:11:08.

tedious. Syria has been the big foreign-policy event this summer. It

:11:08.:11:11.

has remarkably led to a Soviet- American initiative to get Syria to

:11:11.:11:19.

give up its chemical weapons. The world will now expect the Assad

:11:19.:11:25.

regime to live up to its public commitments. As I said at the outset

:11:25.:11:27.

anything less than full compliance. John Kerry. Is this too good to

:11:27.:11:44.

anything less than full compliance. true? Even superficially, it is

:11:44.:11:46.

anything less than full compliance. very good. The only people who

:11:46.:11:49.

emerge with any sense of triumph are the Russians, who have had their

:11:49.:11:53.

emerge with any sense of triumph are biggest diplomatic coup. They are

:11:53.:11:56.

back on the stage again. B if you want to know why Putin even has

:11:56.:12:02.

back on the stage again. B if you because of moments like this. They

:12:02.:12:04.

were humiliated after the end of the Cold War, and a Nou Camp is a great

:12:04.:12:09.

power again. Then you have the Obama situation, because he has ended

:12:09.:12:13.

power again. Then you have the Obama where he wanted to end up. He has

:12:13.:12:16.

power again. Then you have the Obama concession from Syria, but the way

:12:16.:12:16.

he got there was so embarrassing. It concession from Syria, but the way

:12:16.:12:21.

made him look weak and erratic as a leader. There were contradictions

:12:21.:12:25.

between himself and his Secretary of State last week, and it has not

:12:25.:12:32.

between himself and his Secretary of him any good. I was in the States,

:12:32.:12:37.

and it was open season on him. I have never understood the idea of

:12:37.:12:41.

chemical weapons as a red line when you can massacre people in their

:12:41.:12:46.

thousands through other means. But chemical weapons are beyond the

:12:46.:12:50.

pale. The rebels are miserable. chemical weapons are beyond the

:12:50.:12:58.

have run out of time. I will have to ask you what you think about Syria

:12:58.:12:59.

next week, which gives you time ask you what you think about Syria

:12:59.:13:05.

prepare. Your book on Fred the shred is going well? It is.I am back

:13:05.:13:11.

tomorrow at noon with the Daily Politics at noon on BBC Two, where

:13:11.:13:15.

we will have more from the Liberal Democrat conference in Glasgow.

:13:15.:13:18.

we will have more from the Liberal is the start of our Daily Politics

:13:18.:13:18.

conference coverage. Next week, is the start of our Daily Politics

:13:18.:13:21.

will be back here at our normal is the start of our Daily Politics

:13:22.:13:24.

of 11am, when we will be joined is the start of our Daily Politics

:13:24.:13:30.

Grant Shapps. Remember, if it is Sunday, it is the Sunday Politics.

:13:30.:13:50.

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