29/09/2013 Sunday Politics South West


29/09/2013

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With me are a trio of top political commentators. All three will be

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tweeting their thoughts, or in some cases just their thought through the

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show, using the hashtag #bbcsp. cases just their thought through the

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Conservative Party conference gets afternoon. We have already been

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bombarded with a series of policy announcements, a tax break for

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married couples of up to £200 per year, more money on life extending

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cancer treatments and, last night, the news that the second stage of

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the Chancellor's Help To Buy scheme brought forward from the start of

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next year. David Cameron says it is all about helping hard-working

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people. Right now, you can't get, 95% mortgage. That means a typical

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family with two people earning 20,000, 25,000, they are being

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asked, to buy an average house, 20,000, 25,000, they are being

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mortgage payment, but they can't get the mortgage. They can't buy their

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flat or house. As Prime Minister, I'm not going to stand back while

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people's aspirations to get on the housing ladder, to own their own

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flat or home, is being trashed. housing ladder, to own their own

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is why we need to act. A predictable attempt by party leadership to

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kick-start the conference with eye-catching policies. The polls

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show a big bounce for Ed Miliband and the Labour Party, with decent

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numbers for UKIP. What do party councillors as they travel to their

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For the Conservatives this weekend, conference, and as a scene setter we

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asked ComRes to survey councillors are Finland and Wales. Councillors

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asked ComRes to survey councillors like Tom, packing for conference at

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home in Wellingborough. Immigration is an issue for him. He thinks there

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are pros and cons. But we found is an issue for him. He thinks there

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immigration has had a negative reflects into this wider issue of

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our relationship with Europe. People possible influx of ovarian and

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Romania emigrants. Obviously the issue of Europe is very big. --

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Ukrainian. His colleagues in Corby are worried about the rise of the UK

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Independence Party. In our survey, nearly a quarter of Conservative

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councillors thought that their party should make a pact with UKIP. The

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concern is, yes, will they take If that happens, maybe we don't

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concern is, yes, will they take back in. Maybe a partnership is

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concern is, yes, will they take way to go. It depends what they

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concern is, yes, will they take talking about them. A pact? Depends

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what they say, anything is possible. What would you like to see? Ideally,

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from my point of view, a national pact. David Cameron arrived in

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Manchester last night. Around the same time as these activists from

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London. I broke the news to them that in our survey just 26% of Tory

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councillors think that the prime ministers in touch with the lives of

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ordinary people. The same at all Conservatives, you don't judge

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people by their background. It's not where they come from, it is where

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they are going to. It is not a where they come from, it is where

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problem that he is a bit on the where they come from, it is where

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side? Cull you might describe him like that, I would not use those

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words. Explain your T-shirt, it like that, I would not use those

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phrase that a senior Cameron person is alleged to have used about you?

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It is a humorous way of letting is alleged to have used about you?

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party now that we are here to say important. We are not going away any

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time soon. A sentiment you will important. We are not going away any

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a lot at this conference, because just 22% of councillors in our

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survey said that David Cameron was any good at listening to the people

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that work hard for his party. That was Adam. Joining me now from the

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Conservative Party conference in William Hague. Welcome to the Sunday

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Politics. Good morning. Over one in five Tory councillors in our survey

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support a pact with UKIP at the five Tory councillors in our survey

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election. Why do you think that five Tory councillors in our survey

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If it is one in five, it means a large majority did not want a pact

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with UKIP at the next election. large majority did not want a pact

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have noticed that UKIP, in local elections, has been receiving votes,

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some of which would otherwise have been for the Conservatives. I think

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we have to make sure that people election they are choosing between a

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Conservative and Labour Government, as David Cameron as Prime Minister

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or Ed Miliband. If people want to get a referendum on Europe, the

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or Ed Miliband. If people want to way to do that is to have David

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Cameron as Prime Minister. I think a Cameron as Prime Minister. I think a

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general election is different from the local government perspective. It

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is pretty unusual, some might say unprecedented, for a large chunk of

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one of the big parties in this country to want to go into coalition

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one of the big parties in this with a smaller party before an

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happened? Looking at your survey, three times as many didn't want

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happened? Looking at your survey, with statistics, you can highlight

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it whichever way around you want to. The point is, we are not having

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pacts with other parties, electoral pacts with other parties. You rule

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it out? That is not going to happen. What we do want is to have a pact

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it out? That is not going to happen. with the voters, if you like, as we

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have often done in the Conservative Party. We have won over the voters

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of other parties to support our policies and Prime Minister. That is

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important with those people that say important with those people that say

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they want to vote for UKIP. By default, they would produce a Labour

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government in the exact opposite of many of the things they intend,

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government in the exact opposite of Conservative and decide to vote

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government in the exact opposite of UKIP instead in a general election.

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That could help to produce a Labour government. The chairman of the

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That could help to produce a Labour committee, the elected voice of

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Conservative backbenchers, he says your party should spell out what had

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once back from the European Union before next year's European actions.

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Do you agree? We will be spelling out some things in the European

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elections. I will be talking about this later on today. For instance,

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European treaties the concept of ever closer union, a concept that in

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believed in. We would like that ever closer union, a concept that in

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consequences that would flow from that. We will be setting out the

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examples and principles of the changes we want to say. Certainly

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over the next year, not only before the European actions but the general

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election, if you are saying, let have the exact list of anything

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election, if you are saying, let negotiate, that is difficult because

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there will be a negotiation of a new deal in Europe if David Cameron

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there will be a negotiation of a new election. To some extent, that has

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to be negotiated. Only 11% of your own councillors feel that people in

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their area think that George Osborne is in touch with ordinary people.

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is not for me to explain why people say what they say in surveys. The

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important thing is what we are delivering for the country. What

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George Osborne is delivering his renewed economic growth. 1.4 million

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new jobs in the private sector, renewed economic growth. 1.4 million

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for hard-working people, by reducing the tax for 25 million of them.

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for hard-working people, by reducing Help To Buy scheme that we are

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highlighting today. That is what really matters to people, actually,

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I think you will find. Let's talk about helping ordinary people. Ed

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Miliband is guilty freeze energy prices. What are you going to do

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about energy prices, we already asked energy companies to put people

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on their lowest tariffs. This has not been amended. -- implemented.

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Why not? This is going to happen within this government. It is going

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to happen within this government when the... Why hasn't it happened

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now? People are suffering now from rising energy prices. It has not

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happened because my colleagues have been implimenting it. In the case of

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Ed Miliband's policy, if you are asking why it has not yet happened

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under this Government, it didn't even survive a few our's scrutiny in

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opposition. In a few hours he had to concede that if there was a big

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change in oil prices then the policy would not work. The trouble is,

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change in oil prices then the policy would dry up some of the investment

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in the energy industry. I don't think it is a credible promise.

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in the energy industry. I don't a party that presided over council

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tax bills doubling in the next a party that presided over council

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tax bills doubling in the next government, -- last government,

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tax bills doubling in the next not very credible. Why is George

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Osborne going against the European Well, we don't want to see the

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European treaties used in a way Well, we don't want to see the

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they should not be used. It's not necessarily over this particular

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issue. It is over the power that the European Union has over our lives

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and over this country. Can the bankers look after themselves? We

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should be able to decide those things in our own country. We have

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never signed up to such matters things in our own country. We have

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European institutions. If you allow one thing that wasn't meant to be

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decided to be decided, you find one thing that wasn't meant to be

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there are another ten or 20 things that affect many other people. We

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are very vigilant about what we that affect many other people. We

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competence creep, with the European Union taking more powers than it was

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meant to have. That is one of the referendum, do want a new deal in

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Europe. That is what we intend to institution, ICAP, fined for fixing

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the LIBOR rates. The founder of institution, ICAP, fined for fixing

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company has donated £5 million to your party. Shouldn't you give it

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back? Aren't you ashamed to accept that money? He has donated his own

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Which he made out of ICAP. As people have to other parties, people are

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free to do that and they should have to other parties, people are

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free to do that. I am not aware have to other parties, people are

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any plan for that to be repaid. Because you can't afford to. Let's

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recap this. We have seen Tory MPs parrot propaganda lines from the

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energy companies this week. We have the Chancellor going to court to

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fight for unlimited banker bonuses. We have a top Tory donor the centre

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fight for unlimited banker bonuses. of yet another city scandal. Ed

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Miliband is right when he says you lot are on the side of the vested

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interests so the rich and powerful, isn't he? Well, again, look at the

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record. I just did! 1.4 million extra jobs in the private sector, 25

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million people with a tax cut, a Help To Buy scheme which is going to

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help so many people, particularly young people have the house that

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future. Council tax bills held down, welfare reform so that it pays to

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work. Actually, this is a government achieving things for hard-working

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While President Laugharne he's talking about peace, the Iranians

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weapons programme. -- is talking. It would be hard to say from week

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to week whether it is speeding up continuing with it. That is why

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to week whether it is speeding up say the new message - the new words

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- from Iranian leadership are very welcome. I said that to the Foreign

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Minister in New York over the last few days but it is the actions that

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will count. At the moment, the nuclear programme continues. We

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negotiations on that and that will be a very important test as to

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whether actions will match the words. When will we know it if we

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are being strung along? He has strung as a long in the past as

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are being strung along? He has nuclear weapons negotiator. When

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will we know if he is not just doing that again? Over the next

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will we know if he is not just weeks, it will be a very important

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time. He has said there should be more transparency over the Iranian

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transparent in many regards at the moment. The atomic agency is asking

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for information that is not being given. One test is, in the coming

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information? The information that the international of authority is

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asking for about their nuclear programme. We will be able to form

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a view of this in the coming weeks or months. It is important we test

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their new willingness to talk to us important to find out whether they

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asking, is the nuclear programme really continuing? Are they really

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negotiations and offer something Speaking of being strung along,

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what sanctions would President Assad face if, in six months - the

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Year, Syria still has a chemical weapons arsenal. In the resolution

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we voted through the UN Security Council on Friday night, is the

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Council will take measures under Chapter seven of the UN Charter

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Council will take measures under the event of non-compliance. Does

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that allow full force? I did not catch that. Does that allow for

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Security Council resolution about Iraq, which most people concluded

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in not allow full force. It does not specify that. It talks about

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terms seven of the charter. That is a message of the whole UN Security

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Council that there will be measures - there will be consequences - if

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the Assad regime does not comply. has a big commitment. I have spent

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counterpart over the last week. Russia has said, this is something

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you will have to do. We will work with Russia and others very closely

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to check there is compliance will this resolution. Given the progress

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that has been made, you must be very glad that the British House of

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Commons stopped your rash to force against Syria. -- rush. The reason

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credible threat of military action. has happened is because there was a

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credible threat of military action. President Obama did not get it

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through Congress. They have not President Obama did not get it

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the vote in Congress. There is no other explanation as to why the

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policy changed. It was because there was a debate about military

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action in the West that the policy changed on theirs. That is why it

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changed. We were not in a rush for military action. The boat put to

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the House of Commons was to have inspectors reported. It was before

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Russian and Syrian policy changed. We need to make sure that works

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Russian and Syrian policy changed. practice. Thank you. What do you

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make about this rushing forward with the help to buy scheme which

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was meant to start next year - coming forward mad to the next

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couple of weeks? I think it is a Government having an interest in

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mortgage lending. -- there is a fundamental problem. It should have

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been set much lower to exclude London and the South East where

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houses are dramatically overvalued. Many economists think freezing

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energy prices is a terrible policy. These policies can be popular. If

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you have no chance of getting a deposit, the Government will make

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Osborne tried every single lever. It looked like he could not do

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anything to get the economy moving. It is moving. They have pulled it

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forward and there are signs it is recovering. The reason why they

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forward and there are signs it is doing this is they want to show

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this week at the conference there are real sort of understandable

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issues you can explain very simply that really up going to improve

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people's lives. The Conservatives Miliband's speech last week. The

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nuts. Much more cautious and -- language about the energy price

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freeze. They are nervous that Ed Miliband may be touching a nerve on

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that one. What we will get this week, I suggest, his Tory populism

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to counter Miliband populism. I think we will see that and it will

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be a mistake. As long as it is think we will see that and it will

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about The Picture, they are on relatively strong ground. When the

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political conversation changes to more fiddly things, particularities

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standards, things that are some more fiddly things, particularities

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below that picture, I do not think they can win a bidding war with

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below that picture, I do not think Labour Party. It is about borrowing

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against a party that stands for Labour Party. It is about borrowing

:21:31.:21:43.

before the Labour conference, which is unemployment, GDP growth and

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before the Labour conference, which warming economic picture. That does

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not pay energy bills. Does not sound that the Tories have anything

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not pay energy bills. Does not to counter the price freeze. --

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not pay energy bills. Does not does not sound. They have had a

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week to think about a great attack line and they do not add anything.

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the credibility test. Ed Miliband said, if there were a big spike

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the credibility test. Ed Miliband energy prices, he would not be able

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it is about credibility. Being seen as serious and grown-up is worth

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it is about credibility. Being seen more than any burst of popularity.

:22:52.:22:52.

with the election campaign, it My worry about the announcement

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with the election campaign, it begins to lose credibility, begins

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to seem a banana republic. It looks a lot less wise than it did last

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week. I disagree. Every time energy bills go up and they will continue

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to go up, it will be a reminder bills go up and they will continue

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how much people are being hit in the pockets. People know by energy

:23:18.:23:24.

prices are going up. There is a structural change in the world that

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was not there before - China and India. These energy companies may

:23:28.:23:33.

be making huge profit but, at the end of the day, what is driving

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be making huge profit but, at the the cost of fuel is China and India.

:23:40.:23:42.

Ed Miliband, great man that he is, I am not sure he can take on the

:23:42.:23:47.

people Sammir on that one. How dare Labour's Conference in Brighton

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last week. Dogged by criticism over the summer of his leadership style

:23:56.:23:59.

and lack of policies, Mr Miliband tried to demonstrate his strength

:23:59.:24:02.

of character with a series of bold announcements, and attempted to

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position himself on the side of ordinary Brits. The Labour leader

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told party members he would stand up to the strong and take on the

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vested interests that hold back up to the strong and take on the

:24:13.:24:17.

economy. In a speech in which he jokingly referred to himself as

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economy. In a speech in which he action hero, Mr Miliband promised

:24:21.:24:22.

to switch the forthcoming business action hero, Mr Miliband promised

:24:22.:24:26.

tax cut from large firms to smaller businesses. He said he would force

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big firms to train at an apprentice every time they bring in a worker

:24:30.:24:35.

from outside the EU. He hinted that increasing the minimum wage would

:24:35.:24:40.

be increased. He bowed to take on developers with a use it or lose it

:24:40.:24:47.

threat to landowners and pledged to build 200,000 homes each year by

:24:47.:24:52.

2020. He promised to freeze energy prices and reset the energy market.

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The next Labour government will freeze gas and electricity prices

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provoked a rash of headlines - hailing the return of red Ed macro.

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It has also given him a spike in the polls. And Labour's Shadow

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Ed Miliband says, our energy market is broken and does not work. In

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what way is that market to date different from the one Labour left

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companies that dominate the energy generate energy, and sell it on

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companies that dominate the energy Miliband recognised when he was

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Secretary of State and asked for more information from the company

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Secretary of State and asked for is on hold serve costs and profits,

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all the things we have done to mitigate against that in terms of a

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warm front programme and everything Horsell market is too secretive

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warm front programme and everything it is too much about such supply. -

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- the wholesale market. We have been raising with the Government in

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a co-operative way the argument been raising with the Government in

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resetting the market. It has got worse in terms of speed at which

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prices have gone up. Labour put wholesale and retail together. It

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was the start this dates back to wholesale and retail together. It

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was the start this dates back to privatisation. We took some reforms

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realised it was not working and privatisation. We took some reforms

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was broken and we need to reset privatisation. We took some reforms

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Ed Miliband will be the first to onwards. Let's have a look at what

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happened to energy prices under onwards. Let's have a look at what

:26:55.:26:59.

Labour government. Electricity up 67%, gas up 139%. Overall prices up

:26:59.:27:08.

by 48%. The market was broken and we saw prices biking as wholesale

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prices went up. The tick action we saw prices biking as wholesale

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the one Front programme, decent homes for social housing. -- we

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programme. Trying to do things around social obligations needs

:27:31.:27:35.

programme. Trying to do things be looked at. Gas and electricity

:27:35.:27:43.

presided over but as a consequence of Labour policy. Beds have a look

:27:43.:27:46.

at the breakdown of dual fuel - of Labour policy. Beds have a look

:27:46.:27:52.

and electricity bill. -- let's have a look. The supply costs of getting

:27:52.:27:59.

it to us and so on. The policies government - Green levies - are

:27:59.:28:11.

energy bills. £112 on average bill of 1188. You have put the bill up.

:28:11.:28:24.

obligations amount to £112. That helps the poorest insulate homes.

:28:24.:28:29.

Overwhelmingly, looking at your wholesale costs are worth more than

:28:29.:28:36.

half. What we have seen, based on figures we now have, in Eni macro,

:28:36.:28:43.

a wholesale costs fell by 39% and that was not reflected in our bills.

:28:43.:28:52.

Do you have plans to do anything about the £112? If you took that

:28:52.:28:57.

off, you could cut bills by 10% tomorrow. Or if you were in power.

:28:57.:29:02.

It is important that restimulate energy. It -- we stimulate. If we

:29:02.:29:11.

do not have clean energy, we will be beholden for ever-more to fossil

:29:12.:29:16.

do not have clean energy, we will fuels that are depleting. It will

:29:17.:29:20.

create jobs and bring in investment will start in the last few years,

:29:20.:29:30.

investment. If I could go back to whatever advance there are, looking

:29:30.:29:37.

at whether the money raised through energy companies to deliver energy

:29:37.:29:41.

efficiency, is that doing as well as it might? Could it be better

:29:41.:29:46.

delivered by another agency? They are fair questions. We need to get

:29:46.:29:53.

market. Can we make the market will competitive make sure when there is

:29:53.:29:57.

downward pressure on wholesale prices, that is reflected on our

:29:57.:30:02.

bills? That is the bigger picture argument. Also the freeze to help

:30:02.:30:04.

As you complain about the energy prices, it was as a result of your

:30:04.:30:17.

actions. Ed Miliband introduced prices, it was as a result of your

:30:17.:30:20.

climate change act. He admitted prices would have to rise to pay for

:30:20.:30:27.

decarbonisation. He said, we are going to minimise the costs as much

:30:27.:30:30.

as possible, but it is true there is not a low-cost energy future out

:30:30.:30:35.

there. It is important that we address the pressures on bills,

:30:35.:30:38.

there. It is important that we also recognise that if we are going

:30:38.:30:40.

to build a better future where we can have more home-grown British

:30:40.:30:48.

renewables. Truth is it is about the market. I acknowledge I acknowledge

:30:48.:30:59.

wholesale prices have fallen. They fell in 2009, we got a reduction in

:30:59.:31:08.

bills of 5%. Which are saying that the big companies are overcharging

:31:08.:31:13.

customers. We are seeing profits going up, but we haven't seen the

:31:13.:31:16.

amount of investment suggested by those profits coming through. But

:31:16.:31:24.

because your leader said in his speech in Brighton that Labour will

:31:24.:31:27.

have a world leading commitment speech in Brighton that Labour will

:31:27.:31:31.

Government to take out all carbon from energy generation by 2030.

:31:31.:31:35.

Government to take out all carbon is not that far away. By 2030, no

:31:35.:31:37.

more coal generation, no more gas generation, only much more expensive

:31:37.:31:42.

nuclear and much more expensive without bills going up even further?

:31:42.:31:51.

Hang on a second. The 2030 target to remove carbon from the electricity

:31:51.:31:55.

supply, we have said we should set a target now because, actually, it

:31:55.:31:59.

gives us more time to plan ahead and also allows investment to come in.

:31:59.:32:02.

There is plenty of people with cash in their pockets not want to invest

:32:02.:32:06.

what they are stalling because of the Government's hesitancy over

:32:06.:32:09.

this. I just want a clarification here. My understanding is that your

:32:09.:32:14.

commitment is to get rid of all carbon from power generation by

:32:14.:32:19.

2030? From the letters city supply. Only electricity. We will still

:32:19.:32:23.

2030? From the letters city supply. gas? We have always said we will

:32:23.:32:27.

need gas for decades to come. So we are clear for that. But you will be

:32:27.:32:37.

increasingly dependent on expensive nuclear. EDF are currently demanding

:32:37.:32:38.

twice the market nuclear. EDF are currently demanding

:32:38.:32:46.

plans in this country. Renewables are two or three times the market

:32:46.:32:50.

price. Bills are going up under your policies, and the coalition

:32:50.:32:55.

policies? On nuclear, we took a decision under the Labour Government

:32:55.:33:00.

that we needed to revitalise the sector, to hit targets on clean

:33:00.:33:04.

that we needed to revitalise the energy and make sure it can do the

:33:04.:33:08.

heavy lifting. The Government at the present time are engaged in

:33:08.:33:10.

heavy lifting. The Government at the discussions with EDF about what the

:33:10.:33:13.

strike price should be. It's important, because I don't know what

:33:13.:33:16.

it's going to be, it is important that stands up to scrutiny in terms

:33:16.:33:19.

of value for money. At the same time, I go back to market reforms.

:33:20.:33:26.

We will not just have a target for difference, the jargon for nuclear,

:33:26.:33:32.

we will have it for renewables as well. That is even more important,

:33:32.:33:36.

that we have a transparent market so that we can have a robust target

:33:36.:33:42.

price to be judged against. Michael Gove recognised in question time

:33:42.:33:46.

that the market was not working. The Telegraph said in its editorial,

:33:46.:33:50.

they used the term cosy cartel. We have former advisers to David

:33:50.:33:56.

Cameron saying something needs to be done. I'm surprised David Cameron

:33:56.:34:00.

doesn't acknowledge that. You are going to freeze prices for 20 months

:34:00.:34:06.

and will come up with a new regulator to replace Ofgem. Will

:34:06.:34:08.

that regulator have the power to regulator to replace Ofgem. Will

:34:08.:34:11.

control prices? The new energy watchdog will have a strategy

:34:11.:34:18.

responsibility to monitor the wholesale costs and prices, which it

:34:18.:34:20.

currently doesn't have at the moment. As a result of that it will

:34:21.:34:25.

currently doesn't have at the have the power that, if the

:34:25.:34:28.

wholesale prices fall, it can force the energy companies, if they don't,

:34:28.:34:35.

to pass on reductions in bills to consumers. It will not have what we

:34:35.:34:38.

see in some parts of the European Union, 15 of them, that have a

:34:38.:34:43.

variety of price controls that set things at below inflation and what

:34:43.:34:47.

have you. France, Spain, Italy. It will not do that. Why? Because we

:34:47.:34:54.

are looking at a temporary price freeze to reflect a reduction in

:34:54.:34:56.

are looking at a temporary price wholesale prices, to give the

:34:56.:35:00.

British public respite from ever climbing bills while they get

:35:00.:35:03.

reforms into the market. At the end of this, what we want is a more

:35:03.:35:07.

competitive market that can be trusted, that is more transparent.

:35:07.:35:12.

We do believe it is right that, actually, we need a regulator that

:35:12.:35:16.

has much more of a role in making sure the market is managed

:35:16.:35:19.

effectively. Are you accusing energy companies of profiteering? EU I am

:35:19.:35:29.

accusing them of overcharging and not passing on wholesale reduction

:35:29.:35:32.

costs to the customer in a fair way. Of making Carter -- cartel profits?

:35:32.:35:44.

I do believe that the level of profits they have passed on to their

:35:44.:35:49.

shareholders is high, compared to the reductions they could have

:35:49.:35:52.

provided to consumers. Let's look at the evidence for that. Here are the

:35:53.:35:59.

British owned companies, SSE and Centrica. In the last fiscal year

:35:59.:36:03.

they made combined earnings of £4 billion. But they invested £3

:36:03.:36:10.

billion. The remaining money went to debt servicing and paying dividends,

:36:10.:36:15.

which go into pension funds. Where in these figures is the

:36:15.:36:18.

profiteering? My figures that I got through their reporting to Ofgem and

:36:18.:36:28.

work done by other organisations, Witch and others, it shows that in

:36:28.:36:33.

Centrica's case they have something like 8% return in profit margins on

:36:33.:36:38.

the retail side. That goes up to 24% on the generation side. They have

:36:38.:36:40.

passed on, in terms of profits, something I70 4% through evidence to

:36:40.:36:46.

shareholders. But these figures don't show that. They have invested

:36:46.:36:54.

£3 billion. I am reporting what has been reported by Ofgem. Ofgem has

:36:54.:36:59.

not accused them of property in. They may well be, but we don't have

:36:59.:37:03.

the evidence. I would accuse Ofgem of not doing the job they should be

:37:03.:37:06.

doing, and they have held back from tackling the issue. It is

:37:06.:37:12.

acknowledged, across the sector, across the big six, something like

:37:12.:37:16.

50% of profits has gone over to dividends to shareholders. In

:37:16.:37:21.

Centrica's case it is 74%. On the Centrica example, even though they

:37:21.:37:24.

have had the highest profit margins, they have invested the least. It is

:37:24.:37:32.

fair to question. We are running out of time. None of us really know what

:37:32.:37:36.

the true price of energy is that is Labour's policy to reform his

:37:36.:37:41.

crucial. That is because he merged the market and we can't tell the

:37:41.:37:44.

difference. If they continue putting prices up, even after your price

:37:44.:37:47.

freeze, if they don't invest in a way that they do, do you rule out

:37:47.:37:51.

wholesale nationalisation? Absolutely. I want a more

:37:51.:37:56.

competitive market and that is why we are resetting it. You are

:37:56.:38:00.

watching Sunday Politics. Coming up in just over 20 minutes I will be

:38:00.:38:04.

looking at the week ahead with our political panel and

:38:04.:38:20.

thatthe In the South West: Hello, I'm Lucie Fisher. Coming up on the

:38:20.:38:35.

Sunday Politics in the South West: New warnings of cuts to council

:38:35.:38:39.

services. And for the next 20 minutes, I'm joined by the Labour MP

:38:39.:38:43.

for Exeter Ben Bradshaw and the Lib Dem Peer Robin Teverson. Welcome

:38:43.:38:46.

both of you to the programme. Let's start with Labour pledge to freeze

:38:46.:38:49.

energy prices if it wins the election. Rodman, do you think this

:38:49.:38:57.

is an important move from Miliband? —— Robin? I don't think it's a

:38:57.:39:08.

simple answer to the complex question of energy. I think we need

:39:08.:39:14.

a solution. In developed countries we tend to put price controls and

:39:14.:39:18.

freezes on power companies and it does not tend to work. I do not

:39:18.:39:24.

think it is the right solution. What we do need to make sure we get is a

:39:24.:39:27.

lot more competition in the industry. That is what the current

:39:27.:39:32.

energy bill in Parliament is about. I think we need to get more real

:39:32.:39:38.

test of those companies. The big six are not reforming in the best we and

:39:38.:39:42.

the regulator has to take a more positive approach. Then, what do you

:39:42.:39:54.

think? It is like the windfall tax. I think what has been very

:39:54.:39:57.

interesting is that we have two energy companies seeing they could

:39:57.:40:04.

freeze their energy prices until 2017. — saying. We even had Michael

:40:04.:40:13.

Gove on question Time saying the current energy market is not

:40:13.:40:16.

working. It's a short—term solution. We need to change the

:40:16.:40:24.

regulatory structure. It is a bit picking and choosing the. Peter

:40:24.:40:29.

Mandelson said it was the wrong way to go. He said it was the way the

:40:29.:40:33.

British economy needed to develop. New energy entrance said it would

:40:33.:40:37.

put them off coming into the industry. Need more competition

:40:37.:40:44.

coming in, hope blue on the renewables and more consumer

:40:45.:40:48.

orientated side of the industry. — hopefully on the renewables. We need

:40:48.:40:54.

to keep prices down. The big top honours while prices. We have to get

:40:54.:40:59.

off of the carbon and fossil fuel addiction. It has been widely

:40:59.:41:08.

welcomed by all consumer groups. It has been standing up against vested

:41:08.:41:20.

interests. Very briefly... The big thing you need to do is separate

:41:20.:41:26.

producers from the market. The way you do that is to force them to sell

:41:26.:41:32.

energy into the retail market. You would do that, would you?

:41:32.:41:40.

Absolutely, post 2015 cuts. Another announcement to come out of Labour's

:41:40.:41:43.

conference was the party's pledge to end what it calls the bedroom tax,

:41:43.:41:47.

in other words to reinstate what ministers call the spare room

:41:47.:41:50.

subsidy. The housing benefit changes have been controversial, but some in

:41:50.:41:53.

the South West have argued that by encouraging tenants to down—size,

:41:53.:41:56.

the Government's policy could help shorten our region's enormous

:41:56.:41:58.

housing waiting lists. John Henderson reports. It was an

:41:58.:42:04.

announcement that brought the house down. David Cameron was the Prime

:42:04.:42:10.

Minister who introduced the bedroom tax, I will repeal it. If Labour

:42:10.:42:16.

wins, it will then changes to housing benefit. For those at the

:42:16.:42:22.

sharp end, the changes have indeed be unpopular. The macro in this day

:42:22.:42:28.

and age there should not be anybody who cannot afford their home when

:42:28.:42:32.

the urban social housing. It should not happen, that is what social

:42:32.:42:38.

housing is for. Tell macro this family moved out of the home they

:42:38.:42:42.

had lived in for 24 years. He were deemed to have more bedrooms than

:42:42.:42:51.

they needed. It's less than £90 per month worse off. You could move

:42:51.:42:58.

somewhere, go to private sector, or stay here, yet into debt, and get

:42:58.:43:06.

kicked out. We had children up here, we lost our house. — we loved our

:43:06.:43:16.

house. They said they would be affected by the changes, changes

:43:16.:43:19.

that they call she defended as necessary to cut the multi—million

:43:19.:43:27.

pound housing benefit bill. Many people in privately rented

:43:27.:43:31.

accommodation cannot afford to have extra bedrooms because they do not

:43:31.:43:37.

have housing benefit. We are spending £23 billion on housing

:43:37.:43:39.

benefit and we have to get that under control. Four months on and

:43:39.:43:46.

this couple are slowly getting used to the two—bedroom house. I spent a

:43:46.:43:53.

lot of time thinking very childless week that I wanted to go home. I

:43:53.:43:59.

appreciate the need for downsizing but on an individual personal basis

:43:59.:44:04.

it has been very, very difficult. Pensioners are exempt from the

:44:04.:44:08.

changes and this couple think that is on fear. —— unfair. The

:44:08.:44:19.

downsizing is a good thing but it should be for everybody in council

:44:19.:44:22.

or housing association property. Everyone should downsize and they

:44:22.:44:37.

have too much space. Last year to households made a request to

:44:37.:44:43.

downsize, this year it was 18, quite an increase. I think from the

:44:43.:44:49.

figures I have given you, we have seen 20 houses being occupied by

:44:49.:44:55.

families who are living in very difficult housing is an needed to

:44:55.:45:03.

move into a good—sized family home. With over 15,000 people waiting to

:45:03.:45:07.

be housed in Devon and Cornwall many argue this is new point—scoring. The

:45:07.:45:16.

quality and are doing it to satisfy the Daily Mail. Ed Miliband seems to

:45:16.:45:22.

be doing it to satisfy the unions. As a money saver, it will not save

:45:22.:45:28.

much money at all. This couple did not like being forced to move home

:45:28.:45:34.

but despite the people, they can see the benefits of downsizing. John

:45:35.:45:39.

Henderson reporting. Well, joining us to discuss this, we have the

:45:39.:45:42.

Conservative leader of East Devon District Council. Paul Diviani,

:45:42.:45:49.

welcome to the programme. Is this policy working for you? Is it being

:45:49.:45:58.

posers for families? It is indeed. We had 320 families be thought would

:45:58.:46:03.

come into this category. We spent a long time contacting them all on a

:46:03.:46:07.

regular basis. We did not want any to fall through the net. There is

:46:07.:46:12.

some discretion in the housing benefit but that will not last

:46:12.:46:18.

forever. We have a thousand 500 houses in East Devon. — 4500 houses.

:46:18.:46:33.

It was said that your party was trying to satisfy the Daily Mail, it

:46:33.:46:37.

does not actually save money and is not working. If you were to move out

:46:37.:46:45.

of social housing at the council level land move into private housing

:46:45.:46:48.

you would drop what we have the same thing operating. That was brought in

:46:48.:47:00.

by the last government. We do not know how many spear houses he has

:47:01.:47:04.

two accommodate the people who want to move. The numbers who had moved

:47:04.:47:12.

had gone up from two to 18, that is minuscule. Across the country there

:47:12.:47:16.

are not the smaller properties for families to move to. That is why

:47:16.:47:21.

there has been a huge increase in the amount of years. People are

:47:21.:47:25.

falling into debt and using food banks. —— the amount of five years.

:47:25.:47:31.

It will not save money. —— early years. Do you have the properties to

:47:31.:47:43.

move people into? We do not. It is the floor, how can you move people?

:47:44.:47:52.

We are building more housing. Now we have housing under control we will

:47:52.:47:58.

be able to build council houses again. We will make sure the one and

:47:58.:48:03.

two—bedroom properties will come onto the market again. It is not

:48:03.:48:07.

practical to do in bungalows because it will take up too much land space.

:48:07.:48:15.

You have argued for this kind of policy in the past, waters you

:48:15.:48:22.

edition now? —— what is your position now? Social housing stock

:48:22.:48:30.

has gone down so we have an incredible shortage. We do not have

:48:30.:48:35.

the smaller houses we need. What I would like to see, moving forward,

:48:35.:48:39.

is an incentive to move rather than a penalty not to move. This houses

:48:39.:48:48.

to do it. I am delighted to see under this government we have

:48:48.:48:50.

started to have a rise in social housing. That is the way we have to

:48:50.:48:55.

solve this at the present time. Unfortunately, because of the way

:48:55.:49:01.

the Exchequer theirs and the problem is that there are, we cannot

:49:01.:49:06.

incentivise people to move out. People who cannot get into social

:49:06.:49:09.

housing at all are the real threat to us. You are shaking your head.

:49:09.:49:17.

Years living in cloud cuckoo land. In Exeter we had a perfectly good

:49:17.:49:23.

scheme that did incentivise families to downsize. It was working. Now you

:49:23.:49:30.

are piling misery on hard—pressed families. Giving bankers are huge

:49:30.:49:40.

tax cut. You should be ashamed. It is absolutely shameful. You sold off

:49:40.:49:49.

half £1 million. —— half a million houses. Would you stop people owning

:49:49.:49:58.

their own house? If we need to build more housing, how will be fun that?

:49:58.:50:03.

Developers would not be allowed to settle on land. —— fund that. It is

:50:03.:50:14.

the biggest challenge we face. This is unfair policy. It is just not

:50:14.:50:21.

working. It will not save money. It analyses the Budapest. Can we just

:50:21.:50:32.

come back on that. It has changed the way this works considerably, in

:50:32.:50:36.

terms of fostering, disable children, although that has been

:50:36.:50:41.

changed to make sure this works better. You have a problem of people

:50:41.:50:50.

who do not have a house. We have to stop you dear and Melbourne. —— stop

:50:50.:50:59.

you dear and move on. The Conservative leader of Devon County

:50:59.:51:02.

Council's again warning public services like children's centres and

:51:02.:51:04.

libraries face widespread cuts. Weeks after John Hart's sharply

:51:04.:51:07.

worded letter to Government was leaked, he's begun asking parish

:51:07.:51:10.

councils what services they can take on, to fill in the gaps. In a

:51:10.:51:14.

momen,t we'll hear what the Prime Minister makes of Councillor Hart's

:51:14.:51:17.

concern, but first this report from Jenny Kumah. This week, John Hart

:51:17.:51:26.

took to the airwaves to ask people what services should be cut in

:51:26.:51:30.

Devon. His letter warning of devastating cuts was leaked to the

:51:30.:51:36.

press. The letter found its way into the public domain, how did that

:51:36.:51:45.

happen? I do not know. It went to Mr pickles on the Thursday, other MPs

:51:45.:51:51.

on the Monday and a group of politicians on Tuesday. By the

:51:51.:51:57.

Wednesday it was in the hands of the press. The government say councils

:51:57.:52:06.

have to take the issue of pain. John Hart says he is more constrained

:52:06.:52:12.

than ever before. We were supposed to be able to do what we want to.

:52:12.:52:18.

Progressively we have had more restricted financial control from

:52:18.:52:24.

London. The authority has reduced its spending by 100 million over the

:52:24.:52:30.

past four years. It faces cuts of a further 100 million x 2017. We have

:52:30.:52:37.

closed now libraries or children's centres. We have kept everything

:52:37.:52:42.

going. That is by doing things differently. Will you be able to

:52:42.:52:48.

continue doing that for the next four years? I cannot do anything

:52:48.:52:55.

other than what is required by the county council to do. The hope is

:52:55.:53:00.

that Paddy shantytown councils will take on more services. —— Parish and

:53:00.:53:12.

town councils. The question is how much they can realistically take on.

:53:12.:53:17.

I lie awake at night worrying how I will balance the books. I would

:53:17.:53:23.

never refuse to look at an option but I would need some very strong

:53:23.:53:27.

persuasion that it was in the best financial interests of our

:53:27.:53:37.

taxpayers. There are other constraints. Dealers quite a

:53:37.:53:43.

difference between the government desire for localism and the

:53:43.:53:47.

decisions they have made which have taken away from parish and town

:53:47.:53:52.

councils the financial independence they have had for years. We no

:53:52.:53:57.

longer in charge of our own destiny or have the ability to raise

:53:57.:54:04.

taxation. We have very small reserves. Ministers say local

:54:04.:54:11.

government have a great deal and £23 million of savings could we meet by

:54:11.:54:18.

the covering uncollected council tax, recovering fraud and making

:54:18.:54:29.

changes. Jenny Kumah reporting. Now, when Martyn Oates put the Devon

:54:29.:54:32.

Council leader's concerns to the Prime Minister, he firmly rejected

:54:32.:54:35.

calls to take cash from urban councils and give it to rural ones.

:54:35.:54:38.

We have had to make difficult decisions across the board. All

:54:38.:54:41.

local councils are having to do more. We have made changes to the

:54:41.:54:51.

funding system. Government MPs have said you have broadened the divide

:54:51.:54:57.

and it has got worse. I do not accept that. You are asking me if it

:54:57.:55:09.

is difficult for local councils because there is less money around,

:55:09.:55:13.

it is, there is less money. We have to deal with that and it affects

:55:13.:55:17.

local councils as well as central government. We have encouraged

:55:17.:55:23.

councils to freeze the council tax so that hard—working people are not

:55:23.:55:27.

paying more for the services they get. That is east on the notion that

:55:27.:55:34.

Whitehall knows more about finances than local authorities. —— based on.

:55:34.:55:42.

We are supposed to have freedom and do what we want to do but we have

:55:42.:55:45.

had more restrict the financial control from London than ever. That

:55:45.:55:52.

is what I don't accept. We have taken off a lot of the ring fencing

:55:52.:55:58.

on money that goes to local government. That has transformed

:55:58.:56:03.

things since this government came to office. We got rid of the regional

:56:03.:56:08.

assemblies and development agencies that wasted so much money. Local

:56:08.:56:14.

councils do face difficult decisions but I think they have demonstrated

:56:14.:56:18.

over three years that we can freeze council tax, reduce spending, but

:56:18.:56:26.

also deliver good services. There have been suggestions children's

:56:26.:56:32.

services and children's centres could be under threat, we did not

:56:32.:56:39.

have them at the end of the Labour government. 200 million has to be

:56:39.:56:48.

cut off a 600 million budget as was just outlined dear. That is because

:56:48.:56:52.

government economic policies have healed. It is only recently things

:56:52.:56:57.

have picked up a little bit —— have failed. We have two recognise that

:56:57.:57:05.

there are difficult choices. I hope the councillors will do what they

:57:05.:57:10.

can to protect the most honourable. That is what, for me, is most

:57:10.:57:16.

important. Are you surprised to hear the government be so what about

:57:16.:57:29.

this? Actually, I am quite shocked. I was speaking to the rural

:57:29.:57:34.

secretary of state who felt this was the balance that was still wrong. I

:57:34.:57:43.

would expect the Prime Minister and Deputy Prime Minister to say similar

:57:43.:57:49.

things that I would not necessarily agree. We have had about 50% less

:57:49.:57:58.

money coming into rural authorities yet services tend to be more

:57:58.:58:02.

expensive. Some rebalancing still has to happen. Things have to

:58:02.:58:11.

change. Are we likely to see unitary afforded tea to try to save some

:58:11.:58:15.

money? I think that is what government should do to save money.

:58:15.:58:21.

Let's reduce this duplication in local government. It is cities like

:58:21.:58:28.

Exeter within shire counties that suffer the most. They get a bad

:58:28.:58:35.

healed. The shire counties spend more money in the rural area 's.

:58:35.:58:40.

Everyone is having to tighten their belts. Now our regular round—up of

:58:40.:58:53.

the political week in 60 seconds. To the coastguard agency confirmed

:58:53.:58:56.

closing dates for stations in Brixham and Portland. The campaign

:58:56.:59:02.

to save them continues. The campaign goes on. I am never going to give

:59:02.:59:09.

up. Businesses in Cornwall were called dated benefit from a new

:59:09.:59:17.

local investment bank. We need decisions to be made in Cornwall.

:59:17.:59:23.

Businesses in rural Devon in this low due for high—speed broadband

:59:23.:59:28.

worked all ministers had mismanaged the project. I cannot say that they

:59:28.:59:36.

have made enough inroads and that anyone is taking responsibility for

:59:36.:59:42.

the living. Firefighters go on strike over pensions. It is not what

:59:42.:59:47.

any of us signed up for order expect it. And dealers only seven years

:59:48.:59:54.

burial space left in some cemeteries. —— the is only seven

:59:54.:00:03.

years. What should we do about cemeteries running out of space? I'm

:00:03.:00:08.

called burials that they are becoming fashionable. It is plenty

:00:08.:00:14.

of space out the off Plymouth order Cornwall post to do that. It is a

:00:14.:00:24.

serious option. Beat for basking sharks like I saw yesterday. ——

:00:24.:00:35.

beat. It is a problem for people. I am not sure about the idea of

:00:35.:00:40.

digging people up after 70 years. And what do you think about reusing

:00:40.:00:50.

graves? It is an option. It happens in some parts of the world. At the

:00:50.:00:56.

moment you are having people buried 30 miles away from their loved ones

:00:56.:01:00.

and that cannot rewrite. That's the Sunday Politics in the South West.

:01:00.:01:03.

Thanks to my guests Ben Bradshaw and Robin

:01:03.:01:04.

Thanks to my guests Ben Bradshaw and for. My thanks again to Mary McLeod

:01:04.:01:05.

So, we'll David Cameron's marriage tax break win over voters? How will

:01:05.:01:25.

So, we'll David Cameron's marriage conference initiatives? And what is

:01:25.:01:36.

UKIP leader Nigel FarageFarage up to with the Tories in Manchester?

:01:36.:01:41.

On this business of a possible Tory- UKIP pact, in a general election,

:01:41.:01:56.

let's see what David Cameron had to say about that earlier. I am not

:01:56.:02:02.

looking for a packed. I think we need to give people a clear choice

:02:02.:02:05.

at the general election. The British economy has turned a corner. We

:02:05.:02:09.

at the general election. The British on the right track, we are seeing

:02:09.:02:11.

more jobs, new businesses, we are beginning to get things moving

:02:12.:02:15.

again. Do you want to stick with us, hard-working people, or do you want

:02:15.:02:20.

to put it at risk with Ed Miliband hard-working people, or do you want

:02:20.:02:25.

and his crazy plans to tax business out of existence? That was the Prime

:02:25.:02:32.

there any appetite on the UKIP side discussions around the country,

:02:32.:02:39.

there any appetite on the UKIP side would say no. It's being discussed,

:02:39.:02:50.

is the media that is pushing this. It has reflected what has happened

:02:50.:02:53.

conference season began. Labour It has reflected what has happened

:02:53.:02:59.

trying to reclaim what I would call position. I'm not sure what the

:02:59.:03:05.

Liberal Democrats or two, but the Conservatives are trying to react to

:03:05.:03:11.

accusation they are lurching more to the right, which the media wants to

:03:11.:03:16.

able to do some sort of pact with interpret as them possibly being

:03:16.:03:20.

able to do some sort of pact with UKIP. Have you given any thought to

:03:20.:03:26.

whatsoever. It is not on the radar. I have read comments, including

:03:26.:03:33.

Carswell, the Eurosceptics, that they might form a potential, let's

:03:33.:03:39.

call it, you know, cabinet. If there were UKIP members, I don't doubt

:03:39.:03:43.

that Nigel Farage would be one of them. But I would reiterate it is

:03:43.:03:46.

not discussions that are taking place. I am thinking more of an

:03:46.:03:54.

have responded to that by saying, the moment, there are no ongoing

:03:54.:03:58.

discussions. There is certainly constituency level or coming out of

:03:58.:04:05.

believe any constituencies are Eurosceptics? I am not privy to

:04:05.:04:14.

believe any constituencies are all 360 constituencies might be

:04:14.:04:16.

discussing. All I can do is give you the example of the few I have seen

:04:17.:04:22.

and know it is not on the agenda. Without a pact, it is perfectly

:04:22.:04:24.

possible that you could fail to Without a pact, it is perfectly

:04:24.:04:29.

a single seat at the next election, but put Ed Miliband into Downing

:04:29.:04:34.

Street? Categorically not. There are a number of seats out there that are

:04:34.:04:36.

very clear marginals, just like a number of seats out there that are

:04:36.:04:53.

Izzard was. I believe there could be an MP -- just like Eastleigh was. If

:04:53.:04:58.

you take enough votes away from an MP -- just like Eastleigh was. If

:04:58.:05:02.

Tories, if you make sure that Labour wins? I will go back to the comment

:05:02.:05:07.

I made. If you take Eastleigh as an example, a Liberal Democrat held

:05:07.:05:12.

seat, even after that result, does not mean that UKIP is suddenly going

:05:12.:05:17.

to be focusing on Tory seats. We are out there because people resonate

:05:17.:05:21.

with our message. For the Liberal Democrats to make it abundantly

:05:21.:05:24.

clear that they will not support a referendum, that they will not

:05:24.:05:27.

support any discussion on leaving the queue, that could be a big

:05:27.:05:31.

turn-off for voters. David Cameron says there is not going to be a

:05:31.:05:33.

pact, Diane James says there is says there is not going to be a

:05:33.:05:36.

going to be one. There might be says there is not going to be a

:05:37.:05:39.

or at a constituency level. But says there is not going to be a

:05:39.:05:41.

seems clear to me that there will not be a national one. So, does

:05:41.:05:46.

David Cameron have a UKIP strategy? The only encouraging thing for

:05:46.:05:49.

UKIP's successful David Cameron that the moment that he would only

:05:49.:05:51.

that their support is so enormous that the moment that he would only

:05:51.:05:55.

really need to win back maybe a third or a quarter of its to make a

:05:55.:05:58.

decisive difference to the Tory share of the vote in 2015. The

:05:58.:06:02.

question becomes, how much of that UKIP support is up for grabs? A

:06:02.:06:07.

question becomes, how much of that last week suggested that 47% of

:06:07.:06:09.

current UKIP voters would consider voting Tory if it meant preventing

:06:09.:06:13.

Ed Miliband becoming Prime Minister. That number goes up to 57% against

:06:13.:06:19.

recovery. So, plausibly, there is secondary question is, what does

:06:19.:06:25.

David Cameron do to win over those people? He has tried a Europe will

:06:25.:06:29.

referendum and it didn't work. He tried travelling up his immigration

:06:29.:06:33.

policy and that didn't work. I wonder if it is time. You wait until

:06:33.:06:38.

the run-up to 2015, when they start to focus on the explicit choice

:06:38.:06:44.

Cameron, and that is what shifts a Cameron. We heard from William Hague

:06:44.:06:52.

earlier in the programme, the Tory line is that if you vote UKIP you

:06:52.:06:56.

could end up with Ed Miliband in Downing Street. That is the simple

:06:56.:07:01.

appeal, isn't it? Yes, and I think Diane is right, I think the European

:07:01.:07:08.

elections will show a good showing for UKIP. It is deemed the one where

:07:08.:07:12.

you can play away. I think it will be hard for people to get excited

:07:12.:07:14.

about that, I think that bounce be hard for people to get excited

:07:14.:07:20.

fade away. In Eastleigh, they had a good ground game, that is difficult

:07:20.:07:26.

for UKIP, that don't have that machinery sorted. How are they going

:07:26.:07:28.

to fund that operation? But the machinery sorted. How are they going

:07:28.:07:33.

bounce could fade away after the European elections. Even if they go

:07:33.:07:39.

election, they are still immensely dangerous to the Conservative Party.

:07:39.:07:43.

But there is really only two things David Cameron can do. One is to

:07:43.:07:47.

But there is really only two things boring and talk about helping people

:07:47.:07:49.

with their mortgage, helping with bread and butter issues. The second

:07:49.:07:54.

thing is, those European actions, he tends to the natural Conservative

:07:54.:07:57.

voters and says, you have had your fun, next year do you want me or Ed

:07:57.:07:59.

Miliband us your prime and? The fun, next year do you want me or Ed

:07:59.:08:03.

danger with David Cameron is saying, of course, there is not going to be

:08:03.:08:07.

a pact, the danger is you will get a repeat of the 1977 election. John

:08:07.:08:13.

Major said, famously, do not bind my hands. A series of Conservative

:08:13.:08:19.

personally rule out membership of the euro, when the Conservative

:08:19.:08:24.

membership was wait and see. That looked like a Prime Minister not in

:08:24.:08:25.

charge of his party. The danger looked like a Prime Minister not in

:08:25.:08:31.

Let's assume you do really well looked like a Prime Minister not in

:08:32.:08:34.

the European actions and there is a widespread expectation that you

:08:34.:08:41.

will, even in Downing Street. They might be managing expectations.

:08:41.:08:44.

will, even in Downing Street. They stops you fading away as the general

:08:45.:08:47.

election approaches? A number of reasons. As has been mentioned,

:08:47.:08:50.

election approaches? A number of whole issue of the referendum pledge

:08:50.:08:52.

has been proved to be an absolute nonsense. It is so contingent on if

:08:52.:08:59.

I am re-elected, if it's not a coalition government, is, if, if.

:08:59.:09:07.

That was fooled nobody. The issue of where voters are coming from, it is

:09:07.:09:08.

because they have lost faith in where voters are coming from, it is

:09:08.:09:12.

David Cameron says. There is nothing he is going to say that is convince

:09:12.:09:19.

think that is my view and the view of a lot of UKIP. I am told that

:09:19.:09:21.

they have expunged Nigel Farage of a lot of UKIP. I am told that

:09:21.:09:29.

the fringes? It is a great scoop, on the front page. They are outside the

:09:29.:09:33.

ring of steel. Even so, they won't programme, so they must be worried

:09:33.:09:38.

paid money for adverts in the Tory about something. His people have

:09:38.:09:43.

paid money for adverts in the Tory brochure and his name has been taken

:09:43.:09:43.

out. Speaking of people the Tory brochure and his name has been taken

:09:43.:09:48.

leadership is worried about, Boris Johnson, are we in any doubt as

:09:48.:09:53.

leadership is worried about, Boris interview that he is now beginning

:09:53.:09:59.

his long march back to Parliament? He does express feeling slightly sad

:09:59.:10:01.

during the Syria debate that he He does express feeling slightly sad

:10:01.:10:04.

not there, on the political front line to participate. I still do

:10:04.:10:10.

not there, on the political front see why it is in his interest is to

:10:10.:10:14.

move before 2015. No, I don't think he will move before, I think he

:10:14.:10:17.

move before 2015. No, I don't think sending a signal to the existing

:10:17.:10:17.

Tories in the Commons that when sending a signal to the existing

:10:17.:10:29.

Me Dave goes, I will be back? He has the Vince Cable problem, if you

:10:29.:10:33.

Me Dave goes, I will be back? He has the same thing too many times,

:10:33.:10:36.

people get bored and factor it in. The interesting thing is him saying

:10:36.:10:40.

that people have seven years before the electorate get bored of them. He

:10:40.:10:45.

might be cresting that. He doesn't want to be Prime Minister, he is

:10:45.:10:48.

much more ambitious than that. He wants to be an emperor. He was

:10:48.:10:55.

asked, which Roman emperor would you like to be compared to? You said,

:10:56.:11:02.

important. I don't think you are thinking big enough. See what I

:11:02.:11:09.

important. I don't think you are to put up with, every Sunday? By

:11:09.:11:09.

virtue of being born in the US, to put up with, every Sunday? By

:11:09.:11:14.

could be president. Unlike Arnold Schwarzenegger. How about a deal

:11:14.:11:24.

with Boris? He has made no secret, after Eastleigh, that he would be

:11:24.:11:27.

open to a discussion. Let's call it no more than a discussion. He has

:11:27.:11:31.

been adamant, however, he does not see any reason, any justification or

:11:31.:11:36.

any opportunity where he would be able to have that discourse with

:11:36.:11:42.

any opportunity where he would be David Cameron. Maybe it comes down

:11:42.:11:45.

to that on both sides. I've no idea. We know that the Tories will be

:11:45.:11:49.

to that on both sides. I've no idea. more Eurosceptic after the next

:11:49.:11:52.

election? I can't imagine David Cameron's successor will be somebody

:11:52.:11:56.

that supports EU membership in ideological direction of the party.

:11:56.:12:04.

The leadership contest will be about 2018. If you are standing, when

:12:04.:12:05.

this is a great deal for Britain membership, are you going to say

:12:05.:12:12.

this is a great deal for Britain because the Prime Minister has

:12:12.:12:14.

turned to leave rapid change two words in the working Time directive,

:12:14.:12:17.

turned to leave rapid change two or are you going to become a leader

:12:17.:12:20.

by saying, I want out? What would be a good conference for David Cameron

:12:20.:12:32.

eye-catching announcement related to living standards. May be a clearer

:12:32.:12:36.

line on energy prices? That would certainly help, that fightback has

:12:36.:12:41.

been rubbish so far. The thing we should be looking out for are not

:12:41.:12:44.

the polls immediately after, but the ones about the end of October, when

:12:44.:12:48.

everything gets to settle down and then we will see what happens. In a

:12:48.:12:53.

word, what is Nigel Farage out to get at the Tory conference? What is

:12:53.:12:57.

he doing, other than mischief? I could almost say revenge. Revenge on

:12:57.:13:05.

Mr Cameron? Yes. You know? Lord Ashcroft was there at the Labour

:13:05.:13:11.

conference. You call it mischief, but there is every reason why he

:13:11.:13:15.

should be there. We all call it mischief. Thanks for being with

:13:15.:13:19.

should be there. We all call it Join me on Daily Politics for live

:13:19.:13:22.

coverage of the Conservative Party conference tomorrow morning from

:13:22.:13:26.

11:30 on BBC Two. We will bring conference tomorrow morning from

:13:26.:13:30.

George Osborne's speech live and uninterrupted. I'll be back next

:13:30.:13:34.

weekend when guests will include former Conservative Chancellor

:13:34.:13:35.

Kenneth Clarke. Remember, if it former Conservative Chancellor

:13:35.:13:38.

Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics.

:13:38.:13:40.

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