26/01/2014 Sunday Politics South


26/01/2014

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Morning folks. Welcome to the Sunday Politics.

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Ed Balls has gone socialist and fiscal Conservative in one speech.

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He promises to balance the biggest bit of the budget. And to bring back

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the 50p top tax rate. Political masterstroke, or a return to old

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Labour? If you go to work by public

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transport, chances are the price of your ticket has just gone up -

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again. We'll speak to Transport Secretary Patrick McLoughlin. He's

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our Sunday Interview. And it's been another wet week

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across much of the UK, but what's the outlook according to this man?

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This morning.This morning. Held in recent years by party veterans

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In the South: The council with money in the bank and a large

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And with me - as always - the political panel so fresh-faced,

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entertaining and downright popular they make Justin Bieber look like a

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boring old has-been just desperate to get your attention. Nick Watt,

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Helen Lewis and Janan Ganesh, and they'll be tweeting quicker than a

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yellow Lamborghini racing down Miami Beach. Being political nerds, they

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have no idea what I'm talking about. Ed Balls sprung a surprise on us all

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yesterday. We kinda thought Labour would head for the election with a

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return to the 50p top rate of tax. But we didn't think he'd do it now.

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He did! The polls say it's popular, Labour activists now have a spring

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in their step. The Tories say it's a return to the bad old days of the

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'70s, and bosses now think Labour is anti-business. Here's the Shadow

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Chancellor speaking earlier this morning. I was part of a Government

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which did very many things to open up markets, to make the Bank of

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England independent, to work closely with business, but the reality is we

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are in very difficult circumstances and because if I'm honest you,

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George Osborne's failure in the last few years, those difficult

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circumstances will last into the next Parliament. Business people

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have said to me they want to get the deficit down, of course they do But

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to cut the top rate... It is foolish and feeds resentment I want to do

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the opposite and say look, pro-business, pro investment, pro

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market, but pro fairness. Let's get this deficit down in a fairway and

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make the reforms to make our economy work for the long term. What are the

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political implications of Labour now in favour of a 50%, in practise 352%

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top rate of tax? One of the political implications I don't think

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exist is that they'll win new voters. I'm not sure many people out

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there would think, I would love to vote for Ed Miliband but I'm not

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sure if he wants to tax rich people enough. It will con Dale their

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existing vote but I don't think it is the kind of, in the 1990s we

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talked about triangulation, moving beyond your core vote, I don't think

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it is a policy like that. If there has been a policy like that this

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year, this month, it has been the Tories' move on minimum wage. I

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thought Labour would come back with their own version, a centre-right

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policy, and instead they have done this. I think we talk about the 35%

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strategy that Labour supposed will have, I think it is a policy in that

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direction rather than the thing Tony Blair or Gordon Brown would have

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done. Where he was not clear is on how much it would raise. We know the

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sum in the grand scheme of things isn't much, the bedroom tax was

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about sending a message. What we are going to see is George Osborne and

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Ed Balls lock as they try to push the other one into saying things

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that are unpopular. The Tories, ?150,000 a year, that's exactly

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where Ed Balls want them to be. All three main parties have roughly the

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same plan, to run a current budget surplus by the end of the next

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Parliament. George Osborne said ?12 billion of welfare cuts, hasn't said

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how he is going to do it. Ed Balls is giving an idea that he is going

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to restore this 50 persons rate The contribution of that will be

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deminimus. It is not much, but what does it say about your values.

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Because it is that package, it is cleverer than people think. Where

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the challenge is is the question that Peter Mandelson posed at the

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last election, which is can the Labour Party win a general election

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if it doesn't have business on its side? That's the big challenge and

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that's the question looking difficult for them this morning

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Does it matter if Labour has business on its side. I thought the

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most fascinating thing about this announcement is it came from the guy

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mindful of business support, Ed Balls. When in opposition and when a

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Minister and as a shadow as a result, he's been far more conscious

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than Ed Miliband about the need not to alienate the CB Bill. In the

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run-up of an election. This is a measure of Ed Miliband's strength in

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the Labour Party, that his view of things can prevail so easily over a

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guy who for the last 15 years has taken a different view. Eight out of

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ten businesses according to the CBI don't want us to leave business

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Business is in a bit of a cleft stick. Ed Miliband would like to see

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businesses squealing, and Ed Balls is clearly not so comfortable on

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that one. There's a difference on that. Mind you, they were squealing

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this morning from Davos. They probably had hangovers as well. The

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other thing they would say is this is not like Ed Balls thinks that 50p

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is the optimal rate forever, it what go eventually. Isn't that what

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politicians said when income tax was introduced? Yeah, in '97 Labour

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regarded 40 persons as the rate where it would stay.

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It's been a bad week for the Lib Dems. Again. Actually, it's been one

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of the worst weeks yet for Nick Clegg and his party in recent

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memory, as they've gone from talking confidently about their role in

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Government to facing a storm of criticism over claims of

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inappropriate sexual behaviour by a Lib Dem peer, Chris Rennard, and a

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Lib Dem MP, Mike Hancock. Here's Giles with the story of the week. A

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challenge to Nick Clegg's authority as he face as growing row over the

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Liberal Democrat... I want everyone to be treated with respect by the

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Liberal Democrats. We are expecting him to show moral leadership on our

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behalf. A good man has been publicly destroyed by the media with the

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apparent support of Nick Clegg. I would like Nick Clegg to show

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leadership and say, this has got to stop. When Nick Clegg woke up on

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Monday morning he knew he was in trouble, staring down the barrel of

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a stand justify with Lord Rennard over allegations that the peer had

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inappropriately touched a number of women. Chris Rennard thought he was

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cleared. Nick Clegg wanted more I said if he doesn't apologise, he

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should withdraw from the House of Lords. If he does that today, what

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do you do then? I hope he doesn t. I think no apology, no whip. 2014 was

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starting badly for the Liberal Democrats. Chris Rennard refused to

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apologise, saying you can't say sorry for something you haven't

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done. The and he was leaning towards legal action. Butch us friends

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better defending Pym and publicly. This is a good, decent man, who has

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been punished by the party, with the leadership of the party that seems

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to be showing scant regard for due process. But his accusers felt very

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differently. It is untenable for the Lib Dems to have a credible voice on

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qualities and women's issues in the future if Lord Rennard was allowed

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to be back on the Lib Dem benches in the House of Lords. Therein lay the

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problem that exposed the weaknesses of the Lib Dem leaders. The party's

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internal structures have all the simplicity of a circuit diagram for

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a supercomputer, exposing the complexity of who runs the Liberal

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Democrats? The simple question that arose of that was can the leader of

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the Lib Dems remove a Lib Dem peer? The simple answer is no. The Lib Dem

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whips in the Lords could do it but if enough Lib Dem peers disagreed,

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they could overrule it. Some long-stand ng friends of roar

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Rennard think he is either the innocent victim of a media

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witch-hunt or at the least due process has been ridden over rough

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shot by the leadership. Nobody ever did spot Lord Rennard as he didn't

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turn up to the Lords, will citing ill health. But issued a statement

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that ruled out an apology. He refused to do so and refused to

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comply with the outcome of that report, so there was no alternative

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but for the party to suspend his membership today. On Wednesday Nick

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Clegg met Lib Dem peers, not for a crunch decision, but to discuss the

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extraordinary prospect of legal action against the party by the man

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long credited with building its success. The situation was making

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the party look like a joke. One Tory MP said to one of my colleagues this

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morning, the funny thing about the Liberal Democrats, you managed to

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create a whole sex scandal without any sex. And we can laugh at

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ourselves but actually it is rather serious. And it got more serious,

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when an MP who had resigned the Lib Dem whip last year was expanded from

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the party over a report into allegations of serious and unwelcome

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sexual behaviour towards a constituent. All of this leaves the

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Lib Dems desperately wishing these sagas had been dealt with long ago

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and would now go away. Nick Clegg ended the week still party leader.

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Lord Rennard, once one of their most powerful players, ended the week,

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for now, no longer even in it. Giles on the Lib Dems' disastrous

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week. Now, as you doubtless already know, on Tuesday Lib Dem MPs will

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vote to choose a new deputy leader. You didn't know that? You do now.

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The job of Nick Clegg's number two is to speak with a genuine Lib Dem

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voice, untainted by the demands of coalition Government. At this point

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in the show we had expected to speak to all three candidates for the

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post, held in recent years by party veterans like Vince Cable and Simon

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Hughes. We thought it being quite a significant week for the party, they

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might have something to say. And here they are. Well that's their

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pictures. For various reasons, all three are now unavailable. Malcolm

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Bruce, he's reckoned to be the outsider. His office said he had a

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"family commitment". Gordon Birtwistle, the Burnley MP, was

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booked to appear but then told us, "I was at an event last night with

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Lorely Burt" - she's one of the candidates - "and she told me it was

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off". And Lorely Burt herself, seen by many as the red hot favourite,

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told us: "Because of the Rennard thing we don't want to put ourselves

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in a position where we have to answer difficult questions." How

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refreshingly honest. Helen, how bad politically is all this for the Lib

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Dems? What I think is the tragic irony of the Lib Dems is they've

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been revealed as being too democratic. In the same way that

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their party conference embarrassed Nick Clegg by voting sings that he

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signed up to, and now everything has to be run past various

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sub-committees first. Is it democratic or chaotic? It is

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Byzantine. Mike Hancock was voluntarily suspended, and this week

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he was properly suspended. It was new information into the public

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domain that forced that. I'm already hearing Labour and Conservative

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Party musing that if it is a long Parliament, we will form a minority

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Government. It is a disaster for them. Voters like parties that

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reflect and are interested this their concerns. Parties that are

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self obsessed turn them off. The third party, if they carry on like

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this, they'll be the fifth party in the European elections, so they have

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got to draw a line under this. They do that, if they do, through

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mediation. As I understand it, Chris Rennard,s who has go devoted his

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entire life to the Liberal Democrats, and previously the

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Liberal Party, is keen to draw a line under this. He is up for

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mediation but he needs to know that the women that he has clearly

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invaded their personal space, that there wouldn't be a possible legal a

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action from them. The it is very difficult to see how you could

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resolve that. Except he is threatening through his friends

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these famous friends, to spill all the beans about all the party's sex

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secrets. Isn't the danger for the Lib Dems, this haunts them through

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to the European elections, where they'll get thumped in the European

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elections? They'll get destroyed in the European elections, which keeps

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it salient as a story over the summer. And it has implications for

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Nick Clegg's leadership. He's done a good job until now, perhaps better

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than David Cameron, of exercising authority over his party. He had a

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good conference in September. Absolutely, and now the Lib Dems

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have looked like a party without a leader or a leadership structure.

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Part of that is down to the chaotic or Byzantine organisational

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structure of the party. Part of it is Nick Clegg's failure to assert

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himself and impose himself over events. Is it Byzantine or

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Byzantine. It is labyrinthine. You don't get these words on the Today

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programme. The cost of living has been back on the agenda this week as

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Labour and the Tories argue over whether the value of money in your

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pocket is going up or down. Well there's one cost which has been

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racing ahead of inflation and that's the amount you have to pay to travel

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by train, by bus and by air. Rail commuters have been hard hit over

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the last four years, with the cost of the average season ticket going

:15:47.:15:50.

up by 18% since January 2010, while wages have gone up by just 3.6% over

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the same period. It means some rail users are paying high prices with

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commuters from Kent shelling out more than ?5,000 per year from the

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beginning of this month just to get to work in London. It doesn't

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compare well with our European counterparts. In the UK the average

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rail user spends 14% of their average income on trains. It is just

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1.5% in Italy. Regulated fares like season tickets went up 3.1% at the

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beginning of this month, and with ministers keen to make passengers

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fought more of the bills, there are more fare rises coming down the

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track. And Patrick McLoughlin joins me now for the Sunday Interview

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Welcome. You claim to be in the party of hard-working people, so why

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is it that since you came to power rail commuters have seen the cost of

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their average season ticket going up in money terms by over 18% while

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their pay has gone up in money terms by less than four? I would point out

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that this is the first year in ten years that we have not had an above

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inflation increase on fares. The Government accepts we have got to do

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as much as we can to help the passengers. A big inflation increase

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since 2010. This is the first year in ten years that it has not been

:17:35.:17:41.

above RPI, but we are also investing huge amounts of money into the

:17:42.:17:45.

railways, building new trains for the East Coast Main Line and the

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great Western. We are spending 500 million at Birmingham station, this

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is all increasing capacity, so we are seeing investments. Over the

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next five years Network Rail will invest over ?38 billion in the

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network structure. We also have an expensive railway and it is ordinary

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people paying for it. A season ticket from Woking in Surrey,

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commuter belt land in London, let's look at the figures. This is a

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distance of over 25 miles, it cost over ?3000 per year. We have picked

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similar distances to international cities.

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The British commuter is being ripped off. The British commuter is seeing

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record levels of investment in our railways. The investment has to be

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paid for. We are investing huge amounts of money and I don't know

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whether the figures you have got here... I'm sure they are likewise,

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as you have managed to do... White -- ten times more than the Italian

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equivalent. We have seen transformational changes in our

:19:30.:19:33.

railway services and we need to carry on investing. We were paying

:19:34.:19:38.

these prices even before you started investing. We have always paid a lot

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more to commute in this country than our European equivalents. I'm not

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quite sure I want to take on Italy is a great example. You would if you

:19:53.:19:58.

were a commuter. You is a great example. You would if you

:19:59.:20:04.

the other rates of taxation has to be paid as well. Isn't it the case

:20:05.:20:10.

they are making profits out of these figures and using them to subsidise

:20:11.:20:14.

cheaper fares back in their homeland? The overall profit margin

:20:15.:20:22.

train companies make is 3%, a reasonable amount, and we have seen

:20:23.:20:26.

a revolution as far as the railway industry is concerned.

:20:27.:20:31.

a revolution as far as the railway 20 years we have seen passenger

:20:32.:20:36.

journeys going from 750 million to 1.5 billion. That is a massive

:20:37.:20:40.

revolution in rail. Let me look 1.5 billion. That is a massive

:20:41.:20:45.

spokesperson for the German government, the Ministry of

:20:46.:20:45.

transport. They are charging huge fares in

:20:46.:21:03.

Britain to take that money back to subsidise fares in Germany. What do

:21:04.:21:08.

you say to that? We are seeing British companies winning contracts

:21:09.:21:12.

in Germany. The National Express are winning contracts to the railways.

:21:13.:21:18.

What about the ordinary commuter? They are paying through the nose so

:21:19.:21:23.

German commuters can travel more cheaply. We are still subsidising

:21:24.:21:28.

the railways in this country, but overall we want to reduce the

:21:29.:21:32.

subsidy we are giving. We are still seeing growth in our railways and I

:21:33.:21:40.

want to see more people using them. Why do you increase rail fares at

:21:41.:21:48.

the higher RPI measure than the lower CPI measurement? That is what

:21:49.:21:53.

has always been done, and we have stopped. This is the first time in

:21:54.:21:57.

ten years that we have not raised the rail figures above RPI. You

:21:58.:22:07.

still link fares to RPI. You use the lower CPI figure when it suits you,

:22:08.:22:13.

to keep pension payments down for example, but the higher one when it

:22:14.:22:17.

comes to increasing rail fares. We are still putting a huge subsidy

:22:18.:22:22.

into the rail industry, there is still a huge amount of money going

:22:23.:22:26.

from the taxpayer to support the rail industry. I am not asking you

:22:27.:22:32.

about that, I am asking you why you link the figures to the higher RPI

:22:33.:22:40.

vesture Mark if we are going to pay for the levels of investment, so all

:22:41.:22:47.

the new trains being built at Newton Aycliffe for the East Coast Main

:22:48.:22:51.

Line and the great Western, ?3. billion of investment, new rolling

:22:52.:22:56.

stock coming online, then yes, we have to pay for it, and it is a

:22:57.:22:59.

question of the taxpayer paying for it all the -- or the passenger.

:23:00.:23:13.

You have capped parking fines until the next election, rail commuters we

:23:14.:23:17.

have seen the cost of their ticket has gone up by nearly 20%, you are

:23:18.:23:27.

the party of the drivers, not the passengers, aren't you?

:23:28.:23:34.

We are trying to help everybody who has been struggling. I think we are

:23:35.:23:48.

setting out long-term plans for our railways, investing heavily in them

:23:49.:23:52.

and it is getting that balance right. But you have done more for

:23:53.:23:57.

the driver than you have for the user of public transport. I don t

:23:58.:24:04.

accept that. They are paying the same petrol prices as 2011. This is

:24:05.:24:10.

the first time in ten years that there has not been an RPI plus

:24:11.:24:18.

rise. We are investing record amounts. Bus fares are also rising,

:24:19.:24:25.

4.2% in real terms in 2010, at a time when real take-home pay has

:24:26.:24:31.

been falling. This hits commuters particularly workers who use buses

:24:32.:24:36.

on low incomes, another cost of living squeeze. I was with

:24:37.:24:41.

Stagecoach in Manchester on Friday, and I saw a bus company investing in

:24:42.:24:55.

new buses. Last week First ordered new buses. Part of your hard-working

:24:56.:25:01.

families you are always on about, they are the ones going to work

:25:02.:25:07.

early in the morning, and yet you are making them pay more for their

:25:08.:25:11.

buses in real terms than they did before. They would be happier if

:25:12.:25:18.

they could travel more cheaply. It is about getting investment in

:25:19.:25:23.

services, it has to be paid for Why not run the old buses for five more

:25:24.:25:31.

years? Because then there is more pollution in the atmosphere, modern

:25:32.:25:35.

buses have lower emissions, and we are still giving huge support

:25:36.:25:40.

overall to the bus industry and that is very important because I fully

:25:41.:25:43.

accept that the number of people, yes, use the train but a lot of

:25:44.:25:52.

people use buses as well. High-speed two, it has been delayed because 877

:25:53.:25:59.

pages of key evidence from your department were left on a computer

:26:00.:26:05.

memory stick, part of the submission to environmental consultation. Your

:26:06.:26:09.

department's economic case is now widely regarded as a joke, now you

:26:10.:26:16.

do this. Is your department fit for purpose? Yes, and as far as what

:26:17.:26:22.

happened with the memory stick, it is an acceptable and shouldn't have

:26:23.:26:26.

happened, and therefore we have extended the time. There has been an

:26:27.:26:31.

extension in the time for people to make representation, the bill for

:26:32.:26:42.

this goes through Parliament in a different way to a normal bill. It

:26:43.:26:55.

is vital HS2 provides what we want. What I am very pleased about is when

:26:56.:26:59.

the paving bill was passed by Parliament just a few months ago,

:27:00.:27:04.

there was overwhelming support, and I kept reading there was going to be

:27:05.:27:10.

70 people voting against it, in the end 30 people voted against it and

:27:11.:27:15.

there was a good majority in the House of Commons. So can you give a

:27:16.:27:20.

guarantee that this legislation will get onto the statute books? I will

:27:21.:27:28.

do all I can. I cannot tell you the exact Parliamentary time scale. The

:27:29.:27:31.

bill will have started its progress through the House of Commons by

:27:32.:27:40.

2015, and it may well have concluded. The new chairman of HS2

:27:41.:27:46.

said he can bring the cost of the line substantially under the budget,

:27:47.:27:57.

do you agree with that? The figure is ?42 billion with a large

:27:58.:28:02.

contingency, and David Higgins, as chairman of HS2, is looking at the

:28:03.:28:06.

whole cast and seeing if there are ways in which it can be built

:28:07.:28:12.

faster. At the moment across London we are building Crossrail, ?14.

:28:13.:28:17.

billion investment. There was a report last week saying what an

:28:18.:28:23.

excellent job has been done. Crossrail started under Labour.

:28:24.:28:29.

Actually it was Cecil Parkinson in the 1990 party conference. You may

:28:30.:28:37.

get HS2 cheaper if you didn't pay people so much, why is the

:28:38.:28:43.

nonexecutive chairman of HS2 on ?600,000? And the new chief

:28:44.:28:53.

executive on ?750,000. These are very big projects and we need to

:28:54.:28:56.

attract the best people become so we are going for the best engineers in

:28:57.:29:01.

the world to engineer this project. It is a large salary, there is no

:29:02.:29:07.

question about it, but I'm rather pleased that engineers rather than

:29:08.:29:11.

bankers can be seen to get big rewards for delivering what will be

:29:12.:29:15.

very important pieces of national infrastructure. I didn't have time

:29:16.:29:19.

to ask you about your passenger duty so perhaps another time. We are

:29:20.:29:26.

about to speak to Nigel Mills and all of these MPs on your side who

:29:27.:29:29.

are rebelling against the Government, how would you handle

:29:30.:29:34.

them? We have got to listen to what our colleagues are talking about and

:29:35.:29:40.

try to respond it. Would you take them for a long walk off a short

:29:41.:29:45.

pier? I'm sure I would have many conversations with them. An

:29:46.:29:57.

immigration bill to tack the immigration into the UK. When limits

:29:58.:30:04.

on migration from Bulgaria and Romania were lifted this year there

:30:05.:30:09.

were warnings of a large influx of migrant workerses from the two new

:30:10.:30:13.

European countries. So far it's been more of a dribble than a flood. Who

:30:14.:30:19.

can forget Labour MP Keith Vaz greeting a handful of arrivals at

:30:20.:30:23.

Luton Airport. But it is early days and it is one of the reasons the

:30:24.:30:28.

Government's introduced a new Immigration Bill. The Prime Minister

:30:29.:30:31.

is facing rebellion from backbenchers who want tougher action

:30:32.:30:38.

on immigration from abroad. Nigel Mills would reimpose restrictions on

:30:39.:30:47.

how many Romanians and Bulgarians can come here. Joining me is Nigel

:30:48.:30:53.

Mills, Conservative MP behind the amendment and Labour MP Diane

:30:54.:30:58.

Abbott. Welcome. Nigel Mills, there hasn't been an influx of Romanians

:30:59.:31:06.

and Bulgarians. Why do you want to restore these, kick these

:31:07.:31:09.

transitional controls way forward to 2019? I don't think any of us were

:31:10.:31:14.

expecting a rush on January 1st Andrew. I think we were talking

:31:15.:31:19.

about a range of 250,000 to 350 000 people over five years. That's

:31:20.:31:25.

obviously a large amount of people, especially when you think net

:31:26.:31:29.

migration to the UK was well in excess of the Government's target of

:31:30.:31:33.

tens of thousands last year. The real concern is that it would be

:31:34.:31:38.

ever increasing our population, attracting lots of low-skilled,

:31:39.:31:44.

low-wage people, which keeps our people out of work and wages down.

:31:45.:31:49.

Did you accept that if you were to accept this, it would be in breach

:31:50.:31:53.

of the Treaty of Rome, the founding principle of the European Union We

:31:54.:31:59.

were trying to keep the restrictions that Bulgaria and Romania accepted

:32:00.:32:03.

for their first seven years of EU membership, on the basis that when

:32:04.:32:06.

we signed the treaty we weren't aware that we would have a huge and

:32:07.:32:10.

catastrophic recession we are still recovering from. But you would be in

:32:11.:32:16.

breach of the law, correct? The UK Parliament has a right to say we

:32:17.:32:20.

signed this deal before the terrible recession, and we need a bit longer

:32:21.:32:24.

in our national interest. It is worth noting that Bulgaria and

:32:25.:32:32.

Romania haven't met all their accession requirements. The

:32:33.:32:36.

Bulgarian requirement passed a law... So if they break the law it

:32:37.:32:41.

is alright for us to break the law? Is we should be focusing on trying

:32:42.:32:46.

to get 2. 4 million of our own in work, and 1 million people not in

:32:47.:32:52.

work... Let me bring in Diane Abbott. Will you vote for this

:32:53.:32:57.

amendment and why? It is in breach of the treaty. While I deplore MPs

:32:58.:33:02.

that try to cause trouble, these MPs have been particularly mindless

:33:03.:33:06.

because what they want to do wouldn't be legal. However, it is a

:33:07.:33:11.

Tory internal brief, if I might say so. Maybe you can cause trouble by

:33:12.:33:16.

voting for it. No, that would be going too far. Underlying it is a

:33:17.:33:23.

real antagonism for David Cameron. They have had to hold off on this

:33:24.:33:27.

bill until January. It was supposed to be debating before Christmas As

:33:28.:33:31.

we speak they've not cut a deal so it could be pretty grus om. Nigel

:33:32.:33:39.

Mills, what do you say to that I think there is a recognition that

:33:40.:33:43.

there is a problem with the amount of migration from EU countries that

:33:44.:33:48.

we need to tackle. We could try to achieve an annual cap perhaps,

:33:49.:33:51.

longer limits on when countries get free movement. I think the debate is

:33:52.:33:55.

moving in the right direction, but I think those people who are trapped

:33:56.:33:59.

out of work and desperately looking for work want something to be done

:34:00.:34:04.

now and not wait a few more years while we have more assessments

:34:05.:34:09.

Andrews. People are worried about the level of immigration. They I it

:34:10.:34:14.

is too high. That's the consensus in the country. We spoke to to

:34:15.:34:20.

migration centre in Hackney and they said they are struggling to cope

:34:21.:34:23.

with the number of people using their services. These are people

:34:24.:34:27.

with problems with the law. In the past years EU migrants put in more

:34:28.:34:32.

to the economy in taxation than they take out in benefits. When it comes

:34:33.:34:37.

to free movement, which is agitating Nige em, that horse has bolted. We

:34:38.:34:42.

signed a treaty. There is nothing people like Nigel Mills can do,

:34:43.:34:46.

unless they want to rip their party apart, God forbid. Will you go as

:34:47.:34:51.

far as to rip your party apart, Nigel Mills? Are you going to take

:34:52.:34:55.

this all the way? Would you rather see this bill go down than your

:34:56.:35:01.

amendment not be accepted? This is a very important bill. I think we all

:35:02.:35:07.

want to see measures on the statute book, so the last thing we want to

:35:08.:35:10.

see is this bill go down. We do need to set out clearly that we have real

:35:11.:35:15.

concerns about the level of EU migration and something needs to be

:35:16.:35:22.

done. Would you rather have the bill without your amendment or no bill at

:35:23.:35:28.

all? I am hoping we can have the bill with the amendment. I know

:35:29.:35:32.

that, but if you can't? Is that will depend on what the Labour Party

:35:33.:35:39.

decide to do. They are talking tougher on immigration but will they

:35:40.:35:43.

take action on it? Your party has been talking tough on immigration

:35:44.:35:47.

but I will be surprised if an Ed Miliband Labour Party would vote for

:35:48.:35:52.

egg in direct cameravention of the Treaty of Rome. It would make no

:35:53.:35:56.

sense. Nigel Mills is wishing for the impossible. If I was a Tory I

:35:57.:36:04.

would be wringing high hands. He hasn't ruled out crashing the bill.

:36:05.:36:09.

That's incredible. Where will this end, Nigel Mills? We'll end with a

:36:10.:36:15.

vote on Thursday. There's a lot of amendments people can use to show

:36:16.:36:19.

their concern about migration. We want limited and proportionate

:36:20.:36:23.

action, and that's what I am proposing. I want to see the bill on

:36:24.:36:27.

the statute book, I want the restrictions on people who shouldn't

:36:28.:36:32.

be here getting bank accounts and driving licences. I don't want to

:36:33.:36:37.

crash this bill but there's more measures we need in it. Nigel Mills

:36:38.:36:43.

thank you. You are going to be -- popping up I think on the Sunday

:36:44.:36:48.

Politics East Midlands. Diane Abbott, thank you as well.

:36:49.:36:55.

We're in for more heavy rain and high winds across the UK today. You

:36:56.:36:58.

may remember that one UKIP councillor - he's since been

:36:59.:37:00.

suspended - caused controversy last weekend by blaming the recent

:37:01.:37:03.

flooding on the legalisation of gay marriage. Why didn't I think of

:37:04.:37:06.

that? So who better than this man to bring you the unofficial forecast.

:37:07.:37:10.

I'll be bringing you the late least UKIP weather from your area.

:37:11.:37:15.

You're watching Sunday Politics. Also coming up in just over 20

:37:16.:37:21.

minutes, I'll be looking at the week ahead with our political panel.

:37:22.:37:39.

Welcome to Sunday Politics Sites. Basingstoke and Deane has one of the

:37:40.:37:49.

largest property portfolios of any council and all of those rents make

:37:50.:38:03.

up a nice little earner. I'm joined by both Labour and Conservative

:38:04.:38:06.

representatives. On Friday, the government has said that take`home

:38:07.:38:14.

pay has gone. Cost`of`living crisis is sounding like a political slogan.

:38:15.:38:19.

It is one year comparing with another. A few weeks back at the

:38:20.:38:24.

full four years of the coalition, independent commentators are

:38:25.:38:29.

questioning it. It will improve further. By the time we get the

:38:30.:38:35.

election, or you have dropped the great cost crisis? Now, because the

:38:36.:38:42.

figures might have altered a bit, but there might still be an issue as

:38:43.:38:46.

to how much of hits working people have taken. You agree with the

:38:47.:38:52.

figures, that he is going up and people are better off? That is what

:38:53.:38:58.

the figures are saying. GDP is increasing, and... Are people saying

:38:59.:39:10.

that in their pockets? Business confidence is growing, people are

:39:11.:39:13.

employing, employment is at record levels, unemployment is falling.

:39:14.:39:19.

More work needs to be done but this economic plan is working and we're

:39:20.:39:23.

not seeing a double dip or triple dip recession or a requirement for

:39:24.:39:28.

plan B. What about Ed Balls's flat`lining? We do not see that any

:39:29.:39:33.

more. This is the narrative that they are coming out with. It is a

:39:34.:39:39.

narrative that will continue, it has validity and it has resonance on the

:39:40.:39:43.

doorstep. That is what will count. It is a people feel and how they

:39:44.:39:47.

feel they have been treated over the period of Parliament, not one year

:39:48.:39:52.

to the next. Who will be responsible for taking the economy forward, the

:39:53.:39:56.

people who got us into the mess in the first place are the people who

:39:57.:40:00.

are repairing things? What about energy, Christmas power cuts cost

:40:01.:40:07.

millions for thousands as storms brought down the power lines across

:40:08.:40:11.

the South of England in particular. The Rye 100,000 homes without

:40:12.:40:17.

electricity in our region. Last week the bosses of the power distribution

:40:18.:40:23.

companies got a grilling from MPs. One MP found the witnesses less than

:40:24.:40:30.

impressive. I was absolutely amazed at the level of complacency, the

:40:31.:40:34.

content for customers, and we'll know somebody who was affected by

:40:35.:40:42.

this and the southern region, and to find out that the reaction times,

:40:43.:40:45.

the number of people that were without electricity on Christmas Day

:40:46.:40:55.

and Boxing Day was quite remarkable. After complacency from all of you.

:40:56.:40:59.

I think that Ofgem will go away and they will go away and they will do a

:41:00.:41:04.

better job next time around. Will be not need financial incentive to do

:41:05.:41:08.

this? They have a private company, why should they? They have a

:41:09.:41:15.

responsibility to transfer electricity along the lines, that is

:41:16.:41:19.

their responsibility. Do they need an incentive to do that? Rail I do

:41:20.:41:24.

not think so, but I am preceded that we need to have a really kept the

:41:25.:41:27.

way we have structured the electricity market. Ultimately,

:41:28.:41:33.

these transition companies are monopoly providers and they have

:41:34.:41:36.

shown utter contempt for their customers.

:41:37.:41:40.

You asked the question in the Commons at the time of the storms,

:41:41.:41:47.

what we need to do to electricity companies to persuade them to spend

:41:48.:41:54.

more money? You are saying the select committees at their best,

:41:55.:41:58.

calling the companies to account. Whether changes are going to be the

:41:59.:42:03.

norm now. Every 100 years we are seeing these storms, but it is much

:42:04.:42:07.

more frequent than that. The companies have to react to that. The

:42:08.:42:14.

question I posed to the Prime Minister was, given those weather

:42:15.:42:17.

changes, she not now be more investment in nature that river and

:42:18.:42:22.

sea defences are scrutinised to make sure that they can be robust enough

:42:23.:42:27.

to deal with these weather changes. How can you persuade a private

:42:28.:42:31.

company that they need to do that? Response from them was that they

:42:32.:42:36.

were going to go away and be kept this. I am reluctant to provide

:42:37.:42:39.

legislation at this stage... At it might be needed. That is the final

:42:40.:42:46.

threat, but as a conservative we preferred to have that first step of

:42:47.:42:50.

saying, this is a responsibility from a company, this is what you

:42:51.:42:54.

actually have to do. But bear in mind that these storms that we have

:42:55.:43:00.

not seen many years. The Select Committee's threat of legislation,

:43:01.:43:05.

is that enough? What we are seeing is the consequences of that year

:43:06.:43:07.

rate privatisation coming home to roost. This is all predicted. ``

:43:08.:43:19.

Thatcher's privatisation. We do not have this problem in France. State

:43:20.:43:26.

owned French companies own large part of British power supplies. The

:43:27.:43:30.

last Labour government should have taken stronger action, yes, and

:43:31.:43:34.

hopefully the lessons of the last few months will persuade the

:43:35.:43:37.

opposition that they should have taken stronger action on government

:43:38.:43:40.

and that the current model is broken. Ed Miliband's freeze.

:43:41.:43:48.

Investment is drying up. All of these foreign companies, why should

:43:49.:43:52.

they come and get involved in a market where prices might be frozen.

:43:53.:44:04.

One boss said that there is dramatic cooling of investment. Companies are

:44:05.:44:11.

recognising that they will be a change of government that will

:44:12.:44:15.

deliver a different structure. They will have to live with it. The

:44:16.:44:18.

current structure is anti`consumer in this country. Are you actually

:44:19.:44:25.

advocating state ownership when it was under the last government that

:44:26.:44:31.

we ended up with five companies dominating. State ownership? As far

:44:32.:44:40.

as I'm concerned, that is an option. The FSB has a conference tomorrow

:44:41.:44:43.

for they will be telling the government just what it needs to do

:44:44.:44:49.

to help with Spanish in. `` help expansion. What will the message be?

:44:50.:44:58.

We are very excited, this is the first policy day that the FSB is

:44:59.:45:03.

holding. We have a line`up of very impressive speakers. You have a lot

:45:04.:45:09.

of influence now? As far as the employment figures are concerned,

:45:10.:45:12.

small businesses are beginning to employ people again and that is to

:45:13.:45:19.

be very welcomed. We are seeing unemployment figures going down and

:45:20.:45:22.

that has to be welcomed. You expect more growth in 2014? Yes, we do.

:45:23.:45:30.

What either hurdles? The concern that I would have over reducing

:45:31.:45:34.

unemployment and people taking on more, when we hit that 7% figure

:45:35.:45:41.

that Mark Carney has been talking about, he sees that as a figure to

:45:42.:45:50.

put increases in interest rates. For your members, interest`rate rises in

:45:51.:45:53.

Dorset, what with the consequences be? The consequences that we are

:45:54.:45:59.

still fragile, we have seen great improvements, but the economy is

:46:00.:46:04.

still fragile and what I would not want to see as interest rates

:46:05.:46:07.

suddenly rising because we have hit a magic figure. What about pay

:46:08.:46:13.

rises? People who have not had pay rises in small firms, should they be

:46:14.:46:19.

getting it now? Should they be thinking about paying it? The facts

:46:20.:46:22.

about these businesses, largely small businesses pay above the

:46:23.:46:30.

minimum wage and often above the living wage. Small businesses are

:46:31.:46:35.

and have been giving their employees increases, not of the size... And

:46:36.:46:43.

certainly you have to feel for private sector workers who have had

:46:44.:46:47.

their pay frozen. You think that you would like to pay people more? We

:46:48.:46:54.

already pay well above the minimum wage and have done for some years.

:46:55.:47:02.

But of course there is no more money coming into the public sector. It

:47:03.:47:06.

has to be found within the existing coffers and we do not even know the

:47:07.:47:11.

full local government finance settlement rose from Eric Pickles,

:47:12.:47:16.

who is yet to declare his plan. There could be more cuts coming in

:47:17.:47:21.

the next few weeks. Apart from the public sector, do you think that

:47:22.:47:24.

small businesses in the private sector should be thinking about a

:47:25.:47:27.

bit of a pay rise and what would you say to the Chancellor about interest

:47:28.:47:32.

rates. This is the engine behind British economy. 50% of our GDP

:47:33.:47:38.

comes from small and medium`sized businesses. 50% of our employees

:47:39.:47:46.

come from them, 95% of companies in Britain actually imply ten or less

:47:47.:47:53.

people. `` employee. This is why we have reduced corporation tax, this

:47:54.:48:02.

is whether such energy. Very much these messages that the Chancellor

:48:03.:48:05.

understands and wants to support. Pay rise? That is for the Chancellor

:48:06.:48:14.

to make up. Hopefully we'll invite me back in March when the budget

:48:15.:48:17.

comes out and that is when you will see comments about the pay rises. In

:48:18.:48:22.

the Thames Valley, are we seeing the expansion that we're hearing being

:48:23.:48:26.

talked about in a wider economic level? The Thames Valley has never

:48:27.:48:32.

been hit as badly as the rest of the country. We are first out of

:48:33.:48:38.

recession. Looking nationwide, because there are other parts of the

:48:39.:48:43.

economy nanny to be taken on board. But certainly the signs are good

:48:44.:48:48.

locally. 1.I would add to what David said is of course that the impact of

:48:49.:48:53.

business rates on small businesses is disproportionately heavy. Small

:48:54.:49:02.

businesses are still clobbered with the tax that is inherently unfair on

:49:03.:49:05.

small businesses and does need changing. What would you say about

:49:06.:49:12.

that? He's absolutely right. The only signs which argued is that we

:49:13.:49:17.

have a freeze which will be continued and as far as employment,

:49:18.:49:29.

the 2000 pounds NIC that we can get by employing more people, the

:49:30.:49:32.

government is doing things. I'm not here to support either of them, but

:49:33.:49:38.

as far as small businesses are concerned, things are looking

:49:39.:49:43.

better, but we are not out of the woods yet. Councils are busy setting

:49:44.:49:49.

budgets, we were talking about them a moment ago, worrying about where

:49:50.:49:54.

savings be made. But imagine if you were running a council and you had

:49:55.:49:56.

another source of income that brought in more than their council

:49:57.:49:59.

tax and the government grand combined. `` grant.

:50:00.:50:18.

No one would claim that Basingstoke shares much with Dallas. If you

:50:19.:50:28.

would own up to line dancing. Basingstoke and Deane Borough

:50:29.:50:31.

Council may not have oil but it does have land and property, lots and

:50:32.:50:35.

lots of it. And it is a huge property spinner. `` moneyspinner.

:50:36.:50:43.

We own all sorts of things, warehouses, concert halls, doctors

:50:44.:50:51.

surgeries, coffee shops. You do not run a GP surgery. We do not run a GP

:50:52.:51:00.

surgery recovery shop, we own the property and we get rent from the

:51:01.:51:03.

property. How much says that bring in? It brings in about ?50 million,

:51:04.:51:13.

that is more than we get from government grant or council tax. It

:51:14.:51:18.

has one of the largest commercial portfolios of any local authority.

:51:19.:51:24.

It is not as Basingstoke that relies on harrying out its property to make

:51:25.:51:27.

a profit, David Cameron would be delighted to know that the council

:51:28.:51:41.

in his constituency also rents out. Who you rent two is also just as

:51:42.:51:48.

important, so what are the criteria? It depends on what fits in with the

:51:49.:51:52.

other criteria in the borough, we need to be adding something to the

:51:53.:51:55.

quality of life for our residents. For example, the shopping centre,

:51:56.:52:01.

when they decided that they wanted out of that we were able to step in

:52:02.:52:09.

and buy it. It was a 1950s, 1960s shopping centre and brought it up to

:52:10.:52:15.

the current standards. Currently if you are renting a property, the

:52:16.:52:19.

recession must have been a tough time. We have lost substantial

:52:20.:52:24.

amounts, interest rates are half what they used to be. Basingstoke

:52:25.:52:37.

has nearly ?115 million in the bank. It is that rarest of beast 's, a

:52:38.:52:42.

debt free council, one that is about to freeze council tax for the fourth

:52:43.:52:49.

year in a row. Recently it rented someone's to an indoor skydiving

:52:50.:52:53.

centre and a coffee shop next door, bringing in ?100,000 per year. Even

:52:54.:52:57.

though this has led some to accuse the borough of moving into the

:52:58.:53:04.

coffee business. The rate of return was such that it enabled us to

:53:05.:53:10.

invest twice or three times the amount in other things we do not

:53:11.:53:14.

then have to worry about the rate of return from that. We can put those

:53:15.:53:18.

into longer term project for the benefit of the community which we

:53:19.:53:21.

would not otherwise have been able to do. Can you see yourself smaller

:53:22.:53:28.

and more moving down that private line? We need to learn how to work

:53:29.:53:33.

with private business, because that is how you make the most gains.

:53:34.:53:37.

People say, you have all of these assets, why don't you spend them?

:53:38.:53:41.

Don't mind using them, but investing wisely so that you get a return and

:53:42.:53:46.

you can recycle the money is the right way. But going out and

:53:47.:53:52.

frittering the money, in 40 years's ten you will not have a council here

:53:53.:53:55.

who will be able to continue to invest, it will be a council that

:53:56.:54:01.

has no money to invest. Is this just because the good people

:54:02.:54:04.

of Basingstoke have over the years built up this investment? Other

:54:05.:54:11.

councils must look at them with greedy eyes. They are Newtown, they

:54:12.:54:17.

have a of land invested in the first place, but that approach is

:54:18.:54:22.

responsible. There are an accountable body and the money is

:54:23.:54:29.

coming in for the benefit of the local community. To be not have

:54:30.:54:34.

bought houses? I will not decry them. It disappoints me to learn

:54:35.:54:39.

that they are cutting, for example, subsidies to local CB this year. You

:54:40.:54:42.

would have thought that that would have been a priority in the current

:54:43.:54:52.

climate. `` the local CAB. They are accountable, they are probably more

:54:53.:54:57.

transparent than many of the businesses. Good luck to them. Would

:54:58.:55:04.

you say there is line that must not crossed here? You know a lot about

:55:05.:55:08.

the Armed Forces. There was a suggestion that they could be Royal

:55:09.:55:20.

Navy people preaching the virtues of British shipbuilding. Do you think

:55:21.:55:28.

that you'd happen? , you were right, `` you are right, there needs to be

:55:29.:55:34.

a line drawn. Bournemouth focuses on to risen. There is a lot of work

:55:35.:55:39.

that we do to allow wide portfolio to be managed. One that actually

:55:40.:55:46.

supports... You have outsourced a lot in Bournemouth... But that is

:55:47.:55:54.

good, you do not necessarily want councils running things, but you

:55:55.:55:57.

want them to benefit from being able to outsource things. The land is

:55:58.:56:05.

owned by the council, therefore... That they are outsourcing as well.

:56:06.:56:10.

We outsource some. That is something for the local authority to

:56:11.:56:14.

determine. But it is wise for councils throughout the country to

:56:15.:56:19.

consider that. You were saying that Sandhurst is quite a good investment

:56:20.:56:28.

for the government. It is twofold, it strengthens relationships with

:56:29.:56:33.

countries around the world, but also the paper that service as well. In

:56:34.:56:40.

the same way that overseas students benefit from coming here to go to

:56:41.:56:46.

university. Are you saying that they should have a right to buy the boat?

:56:47.:56:53.

And maintain them. He was the 62nd round up.

:56:54.:57:00.

`` here is the round`up in 60 seconds.

:57:01.:57:04.

Photographers outside the home of MP Mike Hancock this because he was

:57:05.:57:14.

suspended `` this week as he was suspended from the Liberal Democrats

:57:15.:57:18.

over accusations of inappropriate sexual advances towards a

:57:19.:57:20.

constituent. The EU wants half of all household

:57:21.:57:28.

rubbish recycled by 2020. This will cheer village is much more

:57:29.:57:32.

21st`century. They have got what they think is the first phone box to

:57:33.:57:41.

offer high`speed Wi`Fi. The MP who did the ceremony was surprised to

:57:42.:57:45.

get an old`fashioned phone call. It rang. In Sussex they were playing

:57:46.:57:52.

host to European anti`fracking protesters. It is important for

:57:53.:57:58.

people to get in front of the companies and say, we refuse it. As

:57:59.:58:08.

we were saying, they still have a nationalised energy situation. But

:58:09.:58:11.

the Russians, some of them do on their own boats. The Russian sailors

:58:12.:58:15.

might get called up and bring their brought into action. The merchant

:58:16.:58:21.

Navy, if you like, they can be upgraded when actually required, so

:58:22.:58:29.

it is reservists. We talked about Mike Hancock year, the Liberal

:58:30.:58:34.

Democrats having a very hard time of it. Lord Rennard, Chris Hughton

:58:35.:58:40.

before that. Is it just their turn for sleaze? `` Chris Huhne. Everyone

:58:41.:58:56.

has skeletons in their cupboards. I be doing the rate thing? It is

:58:57.:59:02.

managing it, they do not think that the Lib Dems have done very well

:59:03.:59:08.

about managing it. They have a very democratic structure which is a

:59:09.:59:11.

hindrance in this situation, is it, or is it actually part of what they

:59:12.:59:15.

would say is one of their virtues? That the whole membership gets to

:59:16.:59:20.

have involvement year? I think that there are prospect is more ``

:59:21.:59:30.

process is more democratic, but a candidate has to be selected and go

:59:31.:59:36.

through the various stages, my concern is that we absolutely need

:59:37.:59:39.

to improve that scrutiny on the one side. We must make sure that we have

:59:40.:59:44.

the best people stepping forward, but we only get the best people

:59:45.:59:47.

stepping forward if they feel that they have the general support of the

:59:48.:59:54.

nation. The balance of that... It is not what they have done before they

:59:55.:59:57.

are selected, it is the behaviour afterwards. No one is

:59:58.:00:00.

questioning... The issue about Mike Hancock... But I do not think it was

:00:01.:00:07.

a case of will for the Kim MPs are peers. It is the way that we manage

:00:08.:00:12.

it. The Lib Dems clearly have a lot to learn from other parties. I think

:00:13.:00:16.

that all parties can learn from this episode as well. That is the Sunday

:00:17.:00:22.

politics in the south. Thank you to both of my guests. You can keep

:00:23.:00:27.

up`to`date with my blog. Back to Andrew.

:00:28.:00:28.

constituency, very pleased. Andrew, back to you.

:00:29.:00:42.

UKIP leader Nigel Farage is never far away from controversy, but this

:00:43.:00:45.

week he's been outdoing himself He was hit over the head with a placard

:00:46.:00:49.

by a protester in Kent, provoked outrage by saying women with

:00:50.:00:51.

children are worth less to city firms, and said the ban on owning

:00:52.:00:59.

handguns was 'crackers'. He also seemed less than sure of his party's

:01:00.:01:02.

own policies when I interviewed him on the Daily Politics. And the story

:01:03.:01:06.

that got everyone talking was the suggestion by a UKIP councillor that

:01:07.:01:11.

flooding is linked to gay marriage. We'll talk about all of that in a

:01:12.:01:14.

moment, but first, over to Nigel with the weather. Weather for all

:01:15.:01:23.

areas of the British Isles but definitely not "Bongo Bongo Land."

:01:24.:01:26.

You may have heard about a storm in a tea cup developed when you kip

:01:27.:01:32.

councillor in Oxfordshire blamed the floods on the gay marriage Bill The

:01:33.:01:38.

old party is focusing on the view of UKIP members like him, even though

:01:39.:01:44.

he had said a sell yuj of things before when a Tory councillor. How

:01:45.:01:50.

quickly things change depending on when the blouse. There are

:01:51.:01:58.

occasional barmy views by people of all persuasions. In Whitby a Labour

:01:59.:02:04.

councillor claimed of fathered a child with an extra terrorist ral,

:02:05.:02:10.

and said his real mother was a foot green alien. And in Wales a

:02:11.:02:17.

councillor thinking about heading off for the

:02:18.:02:26.

slopes, there were flurries of embarrassment for the Tories after

:02:27.:02:34.

Aidan Burly organised a Nazi skiing party in a resort.

:02:35.:02:40.

Anyone heading to Brussels, perhaps on the gravy train, watch out for

:02:41.:02:46.

hot air. In Britain temperatures are rising

:02:47.:02:50.

ahead of the European elections in May. It could get stormy, so advise

:02:51.:02:58.

light aircraft. Watch out for outbreaks of common sense, and no

:02:59.:03:02.

chance of cyclonic fruit cakes. Back to you, Andrew, with the rest of the

:03:03.:03:07.

Sunday Politics. Nick, if it was any other party that

:03:08.:03:11.

had bon through the past week it would be in meltdown. And maybe it

:03:12.:03:16.

is harming UKIP and maybe it isn't. What do you think? That just shows,

:03:17.:03:22.

that great weather forecast, Prince Charles now has a rival to be an

:03:23.:03:28.

excellent weather forecaster, as does the Duchess of Cornwall. It

:03:29.:03:33.

shows why Nigel Farage is the fefr candidate to the European elections.

:03:34.:03:37.

Our invitation to the British people to kick the establishment. The

:03:38.:03:42.

establishment have spent five years that the European Parliament is a

:03:43.:03:45.

waste of time, so who are you going to vote for? A Nigel Farage type of

:03:46.:03:53.

person. What was important about your eadviceration of Nigel Farage

:03:54.:03:57.

on Daily Politics is that when it came to the substance, they

:03:58.:04:00.

flounder. But the point about that party is they may have the thinnest

:04:01.:04:04.

set of policies, but people know what they stand for more than any

:04:05.:04:11.

other parties - get out of Europe, a grammar school in every town. If any

:04:12.:04:16.

other leading politician called for an end to the ban on handguns, at a

:04:17.:04:22.

time when we've seen these appalling gun deaths in the United States now

:04:23.:04:25.

almost one every week in some terrible siege in a school. It would

:04:26.:04:30.

be a crisis. It seems to wash off him. He's got congenital

:04:31.:04:40.

foot-and-mouthitis. Straight into another wild nothing to do with why

:04:41.:04:45.

people might vote UKIP. I don't think people are desperate to have

:04:46.:04:49.

handgun licences back in this country. It is such an unusual

:04:50.:04:55.

phenomenon, UKIP, that if this was a Tory or a Labour or a Lib Dem saying

:04:56.:05:02.

it, we've seen the damage done to the Lib Dems on a much more serious

:05:03.:05:07.

manner, we would say this is terminal. But maybe it adds to this

:05:08.:05:10.

image that we are not like the other parties. I think that is it. We keep

:05:11.:05:17.

waiting for these scandals and embarrassments to do damage to

:05:18.:05:21.

UKIP's poll ratings, but it's not working. It is ultimately because if

:05:22.:05:28.

you are an antiestablishment party, if you are an anti-system party the

:05:29.:05:33.

rules of the game which apply to the establishment parties don't apply to

:05:34.:05:39.

you. And the more ramshackle and embarrassing you are, the more

:05:40.:05:43.

authentic you seem. It what be take something for them not to finish

:05:44.:05:50.

second in May. Do they spend the following 12 months sinking in the

:05:51.:05:54.

poll snoos And George Osborne's strategy is fame everything as

:05:55.:05:57.

Labour versus the Conservatives The electorate will have their fun in

:05:58.:06:01.

May. Maybe the Tories will be beat into third place but in thejection

:06:02.:06:08.

is that -- but in the general election it is Labour versus the

:06:09.:06:16.

Tories. The Conservative Party will run around, 46 letters to Graham

:06:17.:06:20.

Brady, a leadership contest. That sort of scenario. UKIP, if it rules

:06:21.:06:25.

well in the European elections, could cause big trouble for Mr

:06:26.:06:29.

Cameron and Mr Clegg couldn't it? The big point about this, David

:06:30.:06:36.

Cameron said this is not a political party but a pressure group. This is

:06:37.:06:41.

the way to look at UKIP, and the way it is used by people in the right of

:06:42.:06:46.

the party, who say we have to do this. I like the policy of painting

:06:47.:06:53.

the trains in their old liveries. It would be like my old train set. I

:06:54.:07:05.

like the bigger passports. Pre-GNER... And London and Midland.

:07:06.:07:14.

I used to be a train spotter. Gordon Birtwhistle has been on the

:07:15.:07:18.

phone. Good to know you are watching but pity you are not here. He wanted

:07:19.:07:24.

to clarify he had constituency commitments to prevent him coming on

:07:25.:07:28.

the show to talk about becoming leader of the party, but he didn't

:07:29.:07:32.

dispute anything we said on the show.

:07:33.:07:35.

Yesterday, Ed Balls said that housing investment will be a central

:07:36.:07:38.

priority for the next Labour Government. It's a big issue, as the

:07:39.:07:41.

lack of new homes pushes up the the price of owning or renting. Well,

:07:42.:07:44.

tomorrow the Tories will announce what they say is the most ambitious

:07:45.:07:47.

programme of affordable housebuilding for 20 years. The

:07:48.:07:54.

Government sees housing as a really important part of the economy.

:07:55.:08:00.

That's why we are announcing a 23 billion package for 165,000 new

:08:01.:08:05.

affordable homes. So individual builders, councils, housing

:08:06.:08:10.

associations can bid for that money. Phase one, which we are halfway

:08:11.:08:15.

through at the moment, we've built 170,000 houses. 99,000 already

:08:16.:08:19.

coming out of the ground, so we ve made real progress on that. So,

:08:20.:08:26.

165,000 new, affordable homes. It is a lot. Let me add three more words.

:08:27.:08:31.

Over three years. It is not such a lot. It is not, and Labour's

:08:32.:08:36.

commitment is 200,000 homes a year and even that isn't enough. The

:08:37.:08:41.

problem here is that the vest interest is with people who already

:08:42.:08:46.

have homes. They have a vote in the system through the planning

:08:47.:08:48.

regulations. In London there is a gap in the hedge through Richmond

:08:49.:08:53.

Park through which you should be able to see St Paul's Cathedral

:08:54.:08:58.

That's why you cannot build homes where you want them. I don't think

:08:59.:09:03.

we want to build homes over Richmond Park. He wasn't saying that. That's

:09:04.:09:11.

dies an Tyne -- that's Byzantine. You've got to deal with supply,

:09:12.:09:15.

which is why Labour is talking about 200,000 a year, and what George

:09:16.:09:21.

Osborne has done with supply is helping with demand. We know the

:09:22.:09:25.

Help to Buy Scheme is pretty dangerous, and Mark Carney is keen

:09:26.:09:31.

to put the break on that. If you are to deal with supply, you have to do

:09:32.:09:37.

radical things. Chris Huhne talked about on brownfield sites you can

:09:38.:09:41.

tax people who are holding the land as if the development has taken

:09:42.:09:45.

place. Then if you are really going to deal with it you have to talk

:09:46.:09:48.

about the greenfield sites, and you have to deal with the garden cities

:09:49.:09:53.

argument, which is too much for the Tories. All the parties seem to

:09:54.:09:57.

agree building new houses is a political winner. I hope that they

:09:58.:10:00.

are right. I'm not sure they are. The housing market is the example of

:10:01.:10:06.

what economists call the insider in-outsider problem. People who are

:10:07.:10:11.

already homeowners have no rational incentive to vote for more housing

:10:12.:10:17.

stock. Even if you leave aside the Conservative arable objections, if

:10:18.:10:21.

you are a homeowner there is an interest to stick with the planning

:10:22.:10:25.

promise that we have. So then we are stuck between a rock and a hard

:10:26.:10:29.

place. Not only are we growing at the moment but our population is

:10:30.:10:34.

growing. I've seen projects that in quite quickly we will overtake

:10:35.:10:39.

Germany and become the largest populated country in Europe. If

:10:40.:10:42.

that's the case we've got to build homes. We have. If you look at Tower

:10:43.:10:48.

Hamlets in London, the population is r ging higher than the number of

:10:49.:10:53.

dwelling. Classically the theory's been young people are most affected

:10:54.:10:57.

by this and they don't vote much. But when their parents have young

:10:58.:11:03.

Johnny stuck at home at 37, that's an electoral issue. That's why the

:11:04.:11:09.

garden cities project is interesting, because they finance

:11:10.:11:12.

themselves. You zone it for development, it is worth ?2 million

:11:13.:11:17.

an acre and then you can build on it. But who is going to want the

:11:18.:11:23.

greenfield sites gone. And how quickly can we build garden cities

:11:24.:11:29.

today? Some were started before the Town and Country Planning Act. I've

:11:30.:11:34.

read stats about the way Chinese and Japanese are building houses and

:11:35.:11:38.

they were slower than that. Here's a thought, sticking on the housing

:11:39.:11:42.

theme. Ed Miliband came up with the energy freeze, a populist

:11:43.:11:47.

interventionist move. Then the use it or lose it to land developers.

:11:48.:11:53.

Then breaking up the banks. Now the 50p tax rate. How much would you put

:11:54.:11:57.

on Labour coming up for rent controls? That's already a big

:11:58.:12:03.

split. They are split already on it. They have. In London it is a popular

:12:04.:12:07.

policy. It might not play well in the rest of the country. I would say

:12:08.:12:11.

50-50 on that. I think Labour supporting rent controls like the

:12:12.:12:15.

Tories having a go at welfare. The policy may be individually popular

:12:16.:12:20.

but it sends an impression about the party which might be less attract

:12:21.:12:24.

active. It confirms underlying suspicions that vote these guys into

:12:25.:12:28.

power and suddenly they are tampering with the private economy.

:12:29.:12:33.

The memories of the '70s when Governments tried and failed to do

:12:34.:12:36.

that. It is riskier than a superficial reading of the polls

:12:37.:12:40.

would suggest. One to watch? I think they are looking at it. That was the

:12:41.:12:46.

key message of the Ed Balls speech on housing, is looking at supply and

:12:47.:12:51.

how you get to that 200,000 figure a year, which is substantially more

:12:52.:12:55.

than what Kris Hopkins is talking about. What we didn't get to talk

:12:56.:12:59.

about, remember we had Michael Wilshaw on, the Chief Inspector of

:13:00.:13:04.

Schools. We all consumed was Mr Gove's man, the Education

:13:05.:13:08.

Secretary's man. Now according to the Sunday Times he is spitting

:13:09.:13:12.

blood about the way Mr Gove and his office are speaking about him behind

:13:13.:13:16.

the scenes. We've checked the quotes and he stands by them, so I think

:13:17.:13:19.

we'll have to have the head of Ofsted back on the programme. If you

:13:20.:13:24.

are watching, we're here. All that to the Lib Dems who didn't come on

:13:25.:13:28.

today. That's all for today. Thanks to all

:13:29.:13:31.

my guests. The Daily Politics is back on Monday at midday on BBC Two,

:13:32.:13:35.

and I'll be here again next week. Remember, if it's Sunday, it's the

:13:36.:13:36.

Sunday Politics. Britain, with 120,000 soldiers

:13:37.:14:14.

is now at war with Germany This would be the first

:14:15.:14:22.

truly modern war. and resolve of entire populations

:14:23.:14:30.

against each other. A war that would turn

:14:31.:14:36.

the country upside down.

:14:37.:14:40.

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