11/05/2014 Sunday Politics West Midlands


11/05/2014

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Morning, folks. Welcome to the Sunday Politics, where we're talking

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about the Europe-wide contest that really matters. No, not Eurovision.

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The European elections. There are local elections across England too

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on May 22nd. The party leaders are campaigning ahead of polling day.

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The results could be a pointer to the Big One, May 2015. We'll be

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speaking to the man in charge of Labour's election battle plan. Has

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the opposition really got its sights set on all-out victory in 2015? Or

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will it just be content with squeaking home? And you can't

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mention elections these days without talking about the impact of this

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And in the Midlands, one giant him if UKIP really

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And in the Midlands, one giant Euro`constituency of nearly six

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million people electing seven MEPs. We'll have the first of our two live

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debates with the parties of in, out, debates with the parties of in, out,

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boroughs. What will make a difference to the way you vote?

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And I'm joined by three journalists guaranteed to bring a touch of

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Eurovision glamour to your Sunday morning. With views more

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controversial than a bearded Austrian drag act and twice the

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dress sense, it's Nick Watt, Helen Lewis and Janan Ganesh. So you might

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have thought you've already heard David Cameron promise an in-out

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referendum on EU membership in 2017 if he's still Prime Minister. Many

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times. Many, many times. Well he obviously doesn't think you've been

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listening, because he's been saying it again today. Here he is speaking

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to the BBC earlier. We will hold a referendum by the end of 2017. It

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will be a referendum on an in-out basis. Do we stay in a reformed

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European Union or do we leave? And I've said very clearly that whatever

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the outcome of the next election, and of course I want an overall

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majority and I'm hoping and believing I can win an overall

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majority, that people should be in no doubt I will not become Prime

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Minister unless I can guarantee that we will hold a referendum. Here's

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saying there that an overall majority there will definitely be a

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referendum. If these are the minority position, he won't form a

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new coalition unless they agree to a referendum, too. The Lib Dems a

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pulmonary agree to that. They probably will because the Prime

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ministers have a strong argument which is I gave you a referendum

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back in 2010 so the least I need is theirs and the Lib Dems are the only

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party who have stood in recent elections on a clear mandate to hold

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a referendum, so it is difficult for them to say no, there was

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interesting the interview he did earlier today. He named everything

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was going to ask for. The most controversial with him, as he said

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in his speech last year, he wants to take Britain out of the commitment

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to make the European Union and ever closer union. That is a very big

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ask, but the point is, he may well get it because the choice for the

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European Union now, France and Germany, is a clear wonderful do

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Britain in or out? Previously, it was can you put up with a British

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prime ministers being annoying? I think you'll find the answer is they

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are willing to pay a price but not any price to keep Britain in. In

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this scenario, Labour would have lost the election again because we

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are talking the slowly happen if Mr Cameron is the largest party or has

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an overall majority. Could you then see Labour deciding we had better go

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along with a referendum, too? I think that's unlikely because as I

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think that's unlikely because there's a huge upside for that for I

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think what's interesting is the idea he would for minority government.

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Would you get confidence and look at other options that might well happen

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with the way the arithmetic is going or is he going to hold out and say

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the only way I will be Prime Minister is in a majority

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Conservative government? No, the implication of his remarks was I

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wouldn't form a coalition government unless my coalition partners would

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also agree to vote for a referendum. He's basically talking about is

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negotiating strategy in those coalition talks. It's a red line and

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a huge opportunity for the Lib Dems, because they know David Cameron

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absolutely has to do, for accidental reasons, as a person who survives as

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Tory leader, to ask for that referendum, so they can ask anything

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they want in return and if I was Nick Clegg, I would work out in the

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next year one absolute colossal negotiating demand for those

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coalition talks. For a party around 10% in the polls, they will do have

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the Prime Minister over a barrel on this one, assuming that coalition

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talks goes well. They could make Michael Gove Tbyte meeting. OK, we

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need to move on. So, the politicians are out and about on what used to be

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called the stump ahead of local and European elections in less than two

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weeks' time. But, without wanting to depress you on a damp Sunday

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morning, the party strategists are already hard at work on their

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campaign plans for the General Election next May. Yes, it's less

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than a year to go. They may have taken their time, but Labour's

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battleplan for 2015 is starting to take shape. As well as take

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promising to freeze your energy bills, and reintroduce the 50p rate

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of tax, Ed Miliband now says he wants to intervene in the housing

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market to keep rents down. There's even talk that the party leadership

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wants to bring more railway lines into public ownership. And Labour is

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gambling that its big push on the cost of living will see it through

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to the general election despite evidence that growth is firmly back.

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Labour's campaign chief Douglas Alexander hopes it all adds up to

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victory next May. But so far, the evidence is hitting home very thin.

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One survey today shows that 56% of people don't think Mr Miliband is up

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to the job of Prime Minister. As we head towards one of the least

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predictable general elections in 70 years, has Labour got a message to

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win seats up and down the country? And Labour's election co-ordinator

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and Shadow Foreign Secretary, Douglas Alexander, joins me now.

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Welcome to Sunday Politics. A lot of these policies announced polar

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pretty well. By popular with the country. When you add them together,

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it's a move to the left and what would be wrong with that? I think is

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your packet suggests, the contours in the coming campaign are becoming

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clear. Our judgement is the defining issue of the year in British

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politics will be the widening gap between the wealth of the country

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and the finances of ordinary families. We believe it will be a

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cost of living election and we have been setting out our thinking in

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relation to energy prices and rent, but you will hear more from Labour

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Party in the coming months because we're now less than one year away

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from a decisive moment. If the leftish think tank suggested any of

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his policies in that Tony Blair years, you would have opposed them.

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Let's be clear, when not going for an interest but seeking to secure a

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majority for the only way to do that is not simply to appeal to your

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base, but to the centre ground. I believe we got genuine opportunities

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in the next year. You have the Conservatives in a struggle with

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UKIP on the right of politics. The Lib Dems 9% of trying to find their

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base, and there's a genuine opportunity in the next year for

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Labour to dominate the centre ground of politics and secure the majority

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Labour government we are planning for in the coming year. I notice you

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didn't deny you wouldn't have opposed. You say you have got an

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message for aspirational voters in the South. This is what John Denham

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said. He thinks you're talking too much to your core vote.

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He is right to recognise we took a terrible beating in 2010. 29%. If

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you look at what we've done in the last week, for example, the

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signature policy on rent Ed Miliband announced to launch the campaign,

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there's now more than 9 million people in the country in the private

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rented sector, more than 1 million families. Many of them are in the

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south-east. They are seeing circumstances where, suddenly,

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landlord will increase the rent and they put the pressure involved in

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schooling, health care facing the families, so it is important both in

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terms of policy and in terms of politics that we speak to the whole

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country, not simply to one part of it falls up what is the average rise

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in event last year? I don't know. Can you tell me? 1%. 1% not in real

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terms. I'm not sure what the problem is. It will happen to wages in last

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year, we are facing circumstances where people will be worse off, up

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to ?1600 off worse and frankly, if our opponents want to argue that the

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economy has healed and they deserve a victory lap, good luck to them

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because actually, what we are hearing from the Buddhist public,

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not just in the north and south, is not the cost living crisis is

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continuing and it affects families. There was nothing aspirational about

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your party election broadcast for the European elections. It looked

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like crude class war to money people. That's a bit of it. Bedroom

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tax. Isn't it going to look bad that two thirds of those affected are

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disabled? Who cares? They can't fight back. Shall be lay-offs and

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NHS nurses? The National Health Service? Oh yes. Mr Cameron? Who

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said that? Me. My gosh. The man has shrunk. He's actually shrunk. What

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shall we do with him? Can we hunt him? Nothing about Europe, Labour

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policy. News that the Tories would result in negative campaigning and

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smear. You didn't tell you would be just as bad. Let's start the party

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broadcast. The one thing guaranteed to have most people reaching for the

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remote control these days are the words, there now follows a party but

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the broadcast. I make no apology in the factory to be innovative in how

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we presented. It's factual. It was a policy -based critic of this

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government. And the Lib Dems role within it. So you're claiming it's

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factual to betray the camera and cabinet is not even knowing what the

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NHS is, -- the Cameron Cabinet. They attack the disabled because they

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can't fight back. The Pinellas Tanner severely Prime Minister Sun

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and he was treated during a short life by the NHS. It's a fact many

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disabled people across the country including in my constituency have

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been directly affected by the bedroom tax. And ultimately, this

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Conservative led government, including the Lib Dems, will be held

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accountable by the politicians. You say that, the Prime Minister, who

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had a severely disabled son of. I you not ashamed about? I shadowed

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Iain Duncan Smith of five months also they don't have the excuses of

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seeing that saying nobody told them the consequences of the bedroom tax.

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They went into this with their eyes open. They knew about the hardship

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and difficulty. If they were one-bedroom properties available

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across the country for people to move into, their argument would be

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OK but they knew they were dealing with the most vulnerable people. Did

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you sign off that part of the broadcast? Of course I stand by the

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fact of it. I wish David Cameron and Iain Duncan Smith would apologise to

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the disabled people of the country and the poorest people for the

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effects of the bedroom tax. I hope we get that apology between now and

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election. As someone who thinks integrity is important in politics,

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not ashamed of this kind of thing? It's important we scrutinise the

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policies of this government as well as adding a positive agenda for

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change. You want that you won't promise this is the last time we'll

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see such a negative press campaign? I don't think it is negative or

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personal to scrutinise the government. So we'll get more of

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this? I'm less interested in the background of the cabinet than their

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views. You call the upper-class twits. It's for the British public

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to make a judgement in terms of the British... That's how you depicted

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them. We are held in accountable for the bedroom tax, the NHS, taxation,

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and our record they have to defend. One reason are so fearful in this

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election is actually because they know they have a poor record. Let's

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look at other part of the election campaign. This poster. Particularly

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digitally doing the rounds. On that shopping basket, can you tell us

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which items take the full 20% VAT? It's representative of household

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shopping, which includes items like cleaning products, and we know that

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food is not that trouble. People don't go to the supermarket and say

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this is -- vatable. So you are denying that ?450 extra is being

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paid? Yes, where'd you get that figure? For an average family to pay

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?450 a year extra VAT, they would have to spend ?21,600 a year on

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vatable products at 20%. The average take-home pay is only 21,009. They

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have got to spend on all sorts of things which are zero VAT. So in

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addition to the items, has a range of products people face in terms of

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VAT. How could an average family of ?21,000 a year spent 21,006 and the

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pound a year on 20% vatable items? It's not an annual figure, is it? So

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what is it then? If it's an annual, what is it? The increased VAT in

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this parliament is calculated over the course of a Parliament. For the

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whole of the Parliament? And you're illustrated this with a shopping

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basket which almost has no VAT on it at all? People will be buying a

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weekly shop in the course of this Parliament every week. Did you sign

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off on this as well? Of course. It didn't dawn on you you're putting

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things on it which have no VAT? If you want to argue some people go to

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the shops and say these are vatable or not, I disagree. Even your rent

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cap announcement went wrong. You're working on the rent rises and it

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turns out it wasn't. It was a post your policy. It is the exception

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rather than the rule to have the position we have at the moment. In

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Northern Ireland we have seen the continued rise in terms of the

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rented sector but there is a widespread recognition that for

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those people in the rented sector, change is necessary. Are you

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coordinating this campaign? It seems accident prone. This is a party that

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has set the agenda more effectively than a Conservative party that said

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when David Cameron was elected he wasn't going to bang on about

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Europe. The day after the election we expect the Conservative party to

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be engulfed in crisis. I'm proud of what we talk about and I think there

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is a clear contrast about a party talking about issues people care

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about, and a Conservative party talking about exclusively a

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referendum. Are you in charge of the campaign? I am coordinating the

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campaign is, yes. The expensive election guru you have hired, has he

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been involved in any of this? We have started our discussions with

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him. You are going to have to brief him about British politics because

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he doesn't know anything about it. I make no apology for hiring him. He

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has a lot of experience in winning tight elections and that is what we

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are expecting. If you are expecting us to say, they have passed and we

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have to hold them accountable, then I am sorry but we have a campaign

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that holds the Government and the Conservatives to account for what I

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think is a very hopeless record in government. Thank you.

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He leads a party with zero MPs but his media presence is huge. He's had

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an expenses scandal, but the public didn't seem to mind. He's got a

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privileged background but he's seen as an anti-establishment champion.

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Nothing seems to stick to him, not even eggs. I speak of course of

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Nigel Farage. We'll talk to him in a moment, but first Giles has been out

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on the campaign trail ahead of elections that could make or break

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the UKIP leader. Nigel Farage likes a stage, and at

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this stage of the Euro and local election campaign he is, like his

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party, in buoyant mood. They feel they are on the verge of what they

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see as causing an earthquake in British politics. Today Nigel is

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filling thousands seat venues and bigger. Not that there's much sign

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of that at this press launch. But it's a threat with serious money

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behind it, that they believe the media and the political elite just

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haven't realised yet, much less learned how to counter it. Not that

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it's all been plain sailing. Offensive comments from some

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candidates has not only seen UKIP labelled as racist, but necessitated

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a rally by the party to visibly and verbally challenge that. The

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offensive idiotic statements made by this handful of people have been

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lifted up and presented to the great British public as if they represent

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the view of this party, which they do not. They never have and they

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never will. APPLAUSE I don't care what you call us, but

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from this moment on, please do not call must trust a racist party. We

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are not a racist party. The need to say that is not just

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about the European and local elections even at that campaign

:20:05.:20:07.

launch it's clear UKIP's leader has set his sights firmly on the

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ultimate prize. I come from the south of England and I would not

:20:10.:20:12.

want to be seen as an opportunist heading to the north, north Norfolk

:20:13.:20:17.

or whatever it will be. I will make my mind up and stand in the general

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election for somewhere in Kent, East Sussex, Hampshire, somewhere in my

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home patch. Back at UKIP HQ they are still drilling down how the last

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fortnight of campaigning should go. They aren't taking any chances, and

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one imagines having offices above those of Max Clifford is a reminder

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how fragile built reputations can be of the bubble bursting. They want

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their reputation to be built on votes and they know anything but

:20:47.:20:49.

significant success on May 22nd and some seats in Westminster in 2015

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isn't going to be good enough. And after that, having sold yourselves

:20:58.:21:00.

as the honest outsiders, that stance is harder to maintain once your

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people are on the inside. And subtle changes from the past are already

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noticeable. The ordinary man of the people stance is still working.

:21:11.:21:12.

Characteristically outside a pub, Nigel Farage is glad handed by a

:21:13.:21:19.

customer. Two weeks to go, let's cause an upset. Wouldn't that be

:21:20.:21:24.

great? The only sign that such an interaction is different now is the

:21:25.:21:27.

ever presence of bodyguards who shadow his every move. Over lunch

:21:28.:21:39.

ahead of Question Time, a radio appearance, and then off to

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Scotland, I ask him if some of those minded to vote UKIP who see him as a

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man they'd be comfortable having a drink with are the sort of people

:21:47.:21:49.

he'd be entirely comfortable sitting down with. Every political party

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attracts support from across the spectrum and there will be some

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magnificent people who vote for us and some ne'er-do-wells. The one

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common thing about UKIP voters is that they are often not very

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political. And it's that people's army that if UKIP can get to a

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polling booth might just create that earthquake they want.

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Nigel Farage joins me now. When you decided not to stand at the new work

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by election coming said if you lost it that the bubble would have

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burst. What did you mean by that? I was asked at seven 20p -- at 7:21pm

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if I would stand, I have decided by the next morning that I would not. I

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didn't know he was going to resign. You claim only a handful of UKIP

:22:54.:22:57.

candidates have ever said things that are either stupid or offensive,

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I'm right on that, yes? 0.1%, I'd rather it was non-. But why have you

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chosen a candidate to fight this by-election that has said many

:23:11.:23:14.

things most people would regard as stupid or offensive? Roger is

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fighting this for us, someone of 70 years of age who grew up with a

:23:21.:23:26.

strong Christian Bible background, in an age when homosexuality was

:23:27.:23:31.

imprisonable. He had a certain set of views which he maintained for

:23:32.:23:34.

many years which he now says he accepts the world has moved on and

:23:35.:23:41.

he is relaxed about it. The comments about homosexuality are not from the

:23:42.:23:46.

dark ages, they are from two or three years ago. From when he was a

:23:47.:23:52.

Conservative, yes, so will you be asking David Cameron that question?

:23:53.:23:56.

I have never seen a single comment from Roger that would be deemed to

:23:57.:24:04.

be offensive. Do you regard his comments on homosexuality as

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offensive? When he grew up, homosexuality was illegal in this

:24:10.:24:14.

country. But this was in 2012 but he said that. Most people have his age

:24:15.:24:25.

still feel uncomfortable about it -- of his age. In 2012 he said, if two

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men can be married, why not three, why not a commune. Many people in

:24:33.:24:38.

this country are disconcerted by the change in the meaning of marriage

:24:39.:24:42.

and in a tolerant society we understand that some people have

:24:43.:24:47.

different views. But he has changed his views now in only two years? He

:24:48.:24:52.

says he is more relaxed about it. Was he your candidate? He is a

:24:53.:25:03.

first-class campaigner who has had 30 years in industry, he served in

:25:04.:25:07.

the European Parliament, he is a good candidate. This morning's

:25:08.:25:12.

papers suggest you are about to select Victoria Ayling for Grimsby,

:25:13.:25:17.

but she is on camera saying that, of immigrants, I just want to send a

:25:18.:25:22.

lot back. This is all very interesting, and we can talk about

:25:23.:25:26.

it, all we could talk about the fact that in 12 days we have a European

:25:27.:25:30.

election and every voter across the UK can vote on it and it is really

:25:31.:25:37.

interesting. Are you happy to pick a candidate that says of immigrants, I

:25:38.:25:45.

just want to send a lot back? I have seen the tape, it is a complete

:25:46.:25:50.

misquote and she says it in the context of illegal immigrants. I

:25:51.:25:58.

have seen the full quote and in the context it is not about illegal

:25:59.:26:01.

immigrants. Let's come onto the European campaign, you have used a

:26:02.:26:06.

company that employs Eastern European is to deliver leaflets in

:26:07.:26:11.

London and the Home Counties. Have we? I'm told that in Croydon one

:26:12.:26:17.

branch might have done that. Have you found some indigenous Brits to

:26:18.:26:23.

deliver leaflets in Europe? We have thousands joining the party every

:26:24.:26:27.

month and they are not all indigenous because what is

:26:28.:26:30.

interesting is that in today's opinion polls, UKIP is above the Lib

:26:31.:26:46.

Dems and the Conservatives amongst the indigenous voting.

:26:47.:26:56.

We have not agreed a manifesto for the general election, we will do

:26:57.:27:03.

over the course of the summer. This is in your local election. We are

:27:04.:27:09.

having local elections in some part of the country but we are fighting a

:27:10.:27:13.

European election. It is impossible with the British media to have an

:27:14.:27:18.

intelligent debate on the European question. But as I say, we are also

:27:19.:27:24.

fighting the local elections too. You have promised these tax cuts,

:27:25.:27:31.

how much will they cost? I have met -- read the local election manifesto

:27:32.:27:35.

and it doesn't make those promises. We do talk about local services, we

:27:36.:27:40.

do talk about the need to keep council tax down but we don't talk

:27:41.:27:48.

about income tax. Absolutely not. In local election campaigning you say

:27:49.:27:52.

you would restore cuts to policing, double prison places, restore cuts

:27:53.:27:58.

to front line NHS, spend more on roads, how much would that cost? You

:27:59.:28:05.

are obviously reading different documents to me. We are voting for

:28:06.:28:10.

local councillors in district councils who have got little local

:28:11.:28:17.

budgets. Every party in a manifesto puts his aspirations in it. Have you

:28:18.:28:23.

read it? Of course I have, cover to cover, which is why I'm saying you

:28:24.:28:29.

are misquoting it. By the way, on the bubble bursting, you told that

:28:30.:28:36.

to Norman Smith of the BBC. 75% of British laws are now made in the

:28:37.:28:40.

European Union. Now AstraZeneca is potentially going to be taken over

:28:41.:28:46.

by Pfizer. The BBC is refusing to show the public that that decision

:28:47.:28:51.

cannot be taken here but by an elected European commissioner, and

:28:52.:28:55.

we sit and argue about what is in or not in the local election manifesto.

:28:56.:29:09.

It is my job, but let me come on to AstraZeneca. Is it your view that a

:29:10.:29:12.

British government should stop the takeover of AstraZeneca? It cannot.

:29:13.:29:24.

Can we please get this clear. I sat next to Chuka Umunna the other day

:29:25.:29:28.

at question time and he said what could and couldn't be done. He said

:29:29.:29:34.

I am being studiously neutral, and the reason is we don't have this

:29:35.:29:38.

power. That is what the European elections is about. Should France

:29:39.:29:44.

have the takeover of the food company Danan? We seem to do things

:29:45.:30:02.

to the Nth degree and nobody else does, perhaps because we have this

:30:03.:30:06.

culture and we obey it. In your view, you don't think Pfizer should

:30:07.:30:15.

be able to take over AstraZeneca? There is some good science within

:30:16.:30:19.

AstraZeneca which is in danger of being asset stripped and lost.

:30:20.:30:26.

Because it is run by a Swede and a Frenchman and most of its employees

:30:27.:30:31.

are overseas. I understand that but there are still some good science

:30:32.:30:36.

being produced here. What did you think of the Prime Minister saying

:30:37.:30:39.

he would not form a government after the election unless he was able to

:30:40.:30:45.

have a referendum in 2017? I sat here talking to you and you said to

:30:46.:30:52.

me that David Cameron had given a cast-iron guarantee that if David

:30:53.:30:56.

Cameron becomes Prime Minister he will have a referendum on the Lisbon

:30:57.:31:00.

Treaty, but he didn't deliver on that. He knows that people struggle

:31:01.:31:05.

to believe the renegotiation is worth a row of beans. He is saying

:31:06.:31:11.

he will not form a government unless he can go forward with the

:31:12.:31:15.

referendum. I know he is desperately trying to pretend to be Eurosceptic

:31:16.:31:18.

whilst at the same time saying he will campaign for Britain to remain

:31:19.:31:23.

in. In a sense, that is what this election is about. We have three

:31:24.:31:27.

traditional parties, all of whom passionately believe in the

:31:28.:31:30.

continued membership of the European Union and we have UKIP saying we

:31:31.:31:34.

want trade and cooperation but there is a bigger and better world out

:31:35.:31:40.

there. You are now travelling with I think four bodyguards, has this

:31:41.:31:51.

affected you and your family life? I can't stand it. I've always wondered

:31:52.:31:55.

about the place and on my own thing. Sadly we have a couple of

:31:56.:31:59.

organisations out there headed up by senior Labour Party figures who

:32:00.:32:01.

purport to be against fascism and extremism, who received funding from

:32:02.:32:07.

the Department of communities, from the trade unions, who have acted in

:32:08.:32:11.

a violent wait more than once. You are saying the Labour Party is

:32:12.:32:16.

behind the threats? No, I said a taxpayer funded, trade union funded

:32:17.:32:20.

and headed by senior Labour Party figures, and I'm happy for them to

:32:21.:32:23.

come to my meetings and have an itinerant with me, but it's not so

:32:24.:32:27.

much fun when there are banging you over the head. I is still keen to be

:32:28.:32:33.

an MP? Yes, what UKIP will then do is target before the general

:32:34.:32:38.

election next year for the one life be easier if you just went to the

:32:39.:32:43.

Lords? That's the last thing I want to do. There's an awful lot to do.

:32:44.:32:47.

Most of all, I will not rest until we are free from political union and

:32:48.:32:51.

government from Brussels. Nigel Farage, thank you for being with us.

:32:52.:32:54.

It's just gone 11.30am. You're watching the Sunday Politics. We say

:32:55.:32:57.

goodbye to viewers in Scotland, who leave us now for Sunday Politics

:32:58.:33:00.

Scotland. Coming up here in 20 minutes, our panel talks about the

:33:01.:33:03.

big stories of the week. First though,

:33:04.:33:10.

Hello once again from the Midlands. I'm Patrick Burns. More now on the

:33:11.:33:22.

great European confrontation everyone's talking about. It's got

:33:23.:33:25.

passion, excitement and a dramatic outcome. No, not that one. Although

:33:26.:33:29.

we do have at least one beard on display. Today we are joined by four

:33:30.:33:34.

of the candidates hoping to be among the seven new MEPs elected when we

:33:35.:33:41.

go to the polls a week on Thursday. Dan Dalton for the Conservatives.

:33:42.:33:44.

Sion Simon for Labour is our one bearded man. Jonathan Webber for the

:33:45.:33:48.

Liberal Democrats. And James Carver for UKIP. A warm welcome to you all.

:33:49.:33:59.

Once every five years comes our biggest collective experience of

:34:00.:34:02.

democracy on a truly epic scale. One giant constituency of nearly six

:34:03.:34:05.

million people, from the Cotswolds to the Staffordshire Moorlands, the

:34:06.:34:08.

West Midlands is about to decide who'll represent us in the next

:34:09.:34:11.

European Parliament. For viewers in Gloucestershire there's a similar

:34:12.:34:18.

contest in South West England. Then there were six. Now there are

:34:19.:34:22.

seven. The Lisbon Treaty has awarded us one more West Midlands MEP. And

:34:23.:34:26.

the battle for that seventh seat could be crucial. For UKIP to have

:34:27.:34:31.

three MEPs here, Bill Etheridge, number three on their party list,

:34:32.:34:35.

must come seventh overall. But the Green Party's Deputy Leader, the

:34:36.:34:38.

Dudley councillor Will Duckworth reckons a swing of under four

:34:39.:34:42.

percent would put him in. Or could seventh go to one of three MEPs in

:34:43.:34:46.

the outgoing Parliament? Phil Bennion, battling to help the

:34:47.:34:49.

Liberal Democrats avoid the dreaded 'whitewash', and the two ex`UKIP

:34:50.:34:52.

MEPs Mike Nattrass and Nikki Sinclaire, who now lead new anti`EU

:34:53.:34:59.

parties. It's a dizzying assortment of ten parties for the voter to sort

:35:00.:35:03.

out, with a clear divide emerging between those who broadly want to

:35:04.:35:07.

keep us in the EU, maybe, and the rest who have a variety of reasons

:35:08.:35:10.

for trying to get themselves in to Europe to get us out. One of the

:35:11.:35:21.

parties is different from the others in that it is more left on the

:35:22.:35:27.

political spectrum. In other cases it is to do with personalities.

:35:28.:35:33.

Tensions that have arisen between UKIP NEP 's. While polling is a week

:35:34.:35:38.

on Thursday, we'll have to wait until a fortnight tonight for the

:35:39.:35:42.

results. They can't be declared until the polls have closed right

:35:43.:35:51.

across the rest of the EU. `` MEPs. And here is that dizzying assortment

:35:52.:35:55.

of names and parties as shown on the ballot paper. You can also look them

:35:56.:36:00.

up on the BBC News Politics website. Our guests today represent the four

:36:01.:36:02.

biggest parties contesting these elections, and this is the first of

:36:03.:36:11.

our two live debates. For the Conservatives, it is a case

:36:12.:36:21.

of having three MEPs going out. With the polls putting your party in

:36:22.:36:25.

third place, you are not going to get in. We have still got ten days

:36:26.:36:32.

until the election. We are confident we have a good message. We believe

:36:33.:36:37.

the message is popular, the British people buy into what we are saying.

:36:38.:36:42.

There is still ten days to go, we are hopeful that we will do better

:36:43.:36:49.

than the polls suggest. Sion, I do not want to give the impression that

:36:50.:36:55.

I am obsessing about the polls. Second place in the polls in a

:36:56.:36:58.

region like this, so full of marginals given everything that has

:36:59.:37:03.

happened in this country. Labour should be doing better than that.

:37:04.:37:09.

Labour is clearly campaigning to be first in the selection. The polls

:37:10.:37:16.

suggest you are not going to be. The polls, say one thing one week and at

:37:17.:37:22.

another thing another. What is interesting is if you look at the

:37:23.:37:31.

national polls, you see that UKIP is polled on 13% rather than 30. Why is

:37:32.:37:38.

that? People treat this election as Nigel Farage wants them to treat it,

:37:39.:37:44.

a referendum on the EU. This is not. This affects people and their lives

:37:45.:37:50.

in the West Midlands. You told us why being in the EU was very much in

:37:51.:37:57.

the Midlands interest, you are the party. Just look at the way the tide

:37:58.:38:02.

is flowing. You have six of the 11 parties campaigning to pull Britain

:38:03.:38:08.

out. That may be the case. I think you will find now that increasingly

:38:09.:38:15.

the polls suggesting we need to concentrate on certain areas. This

:38:16.:38:21.

is a region which depends on Europe for jobs, prosperity and economics.

:38:22.:38:28.

Why is there talk about your party being whitewashed in these

:38:29.:38:32.

elections? We are working very hard to make sure this is not the case.

:38:33.:38:41.

We are putting forward a case now. It is not something you can change

:38:42.:38:46.

overnight. The point that was made in my report earlier on is that the

:38:47.:38:51.

danger from your point of view, the anti`EU vote can be split with so

:38:52.:38:57.

many of these anti`European parties contesting the part of the electoral

:38:58.:39:00.

marketplace that you hold. Consistent opinion polls show, Sion

:39:01.:39:07.

said the battle for first place is between Labour and UKIP. It is clear

:39:08.:39:20.

that UKIP is the main party that oppose it `` Britain's membership of

:39:21.:39:31.

the EU. You did pretty well last night `` time. You are back to

:39:32.:39:43.

around 5.4% in the West Midlands. You perform in European elections

:39:44.:39:46.

and then it is back to politics as normal. Personally I could agree

:39:47.:39:52.

with you on that. But it is a different political climate in

:39:53.:39:57.

Europe `` in Britain just now. We are fighting 74% of local election

:39:58.:40:08.

seats in this election. We think 2015 and the election then, will be

:40:09.:40:15.

very interesting. We hear that voting for you is a protest vote.

:40:16.:40:23.

You cannot do that because you are not one of the above. We have picked

:40:24.:40:28.

up the protest vote in the past. The UKIP support as you have described

:40:29.:40:39.

is a European centric element. I would be as apprised of it was more

:40:40.:40:44.

than skin deep. UKIP say they are doing damage to you, Sion. Is not

:40:45.:40:51.

just the Liberal Democrats and Tories. I think the point I am

:40:52.:40:58.

making is that I think you will see a split on ballot papers because

:40:59.:41:06.

people will vote Labour in the local elections because they want Labour.

:41:07.:41:10.

They will vote UKIP in the European elections as a protest against so

:41:11.:41:15.

many things. My point is that that is an important mistake people not

:41:16.:41:19.

to make. This is not a referendum on the EU, they should vote according

:41:20.:41:26.

to the kind of people that they want to represent them. What about

:41:27.:41:40.

further Tories? I do not believe we're going come third. I don't want

:41:41.:41:47.

to upset with opinion polls, but the arithmetic looks clear enough. We

:41:48.:41:52.

will now soon enough what the actual result is. The European elections

:41:53.:41:56.

when you have been in government for four years and you have had to take

:41:57.:42:00.

difficult decisions on the economy to get it back onto, yes, often it

:42:01.:42:06.

is a protest against the government. UKIP have done well in

:42:07.:42:10.

the last European elections. What have they achieved? Will there be

:42:11.:42:18.

ructions in the Tory party if you don't do well? I think in this case,

:42:19.:42:25.

we know this is a difficult election. The party has bought into

:42:26.:42:36.

the central message that we have, reform, referendum and... The issues

:42:37.:42:44.

around Europe are almost technical, nuanced and complicated. UKIP and

:42:45.:42:48.

many of the conversations around this issue are oversimplified. Dan

:42:49.:42:56.

Mitre said his party has bought into it, but the British people have not.

:42:57.:43:05.

`` might have said. Our position is directly opposite of theirs. It is

:43:06.:43:10.

clear, we have said that we have reached a stage where we cannot

:43:11.:43:14.

renegotiate. If we listen to what some of the EU leaders have said,

:43:15.:43:20.

renegotiation is not an option. David Cameron has said he would not

:43:21.:43:26.

sign up to Prime Minister to a government that did not sign up to a

:43:27.:43:33.

referendum. The Liberal Democrats are the party for Europe. I joined

:43:34.:43:37.

the party because of position on Europe. There is no question that

:43:38.:43:40.

should there be material changes in the future then we would consider

:43:41.:43:52.

this. Thank you very much indeed. The British National Party's

:43:53.:43:56.

cupboard is bare here in our part of the country: no local councillors,

:43:57.:44:02.

and no MEPs in the outgoing Parliament. That's even though they

:44:03.:44:06.

won nearly nine per cent of the vote here last time, higher than in the

:44:07.:44:09.

North West where Nick Griffin was elected. Our BBC Stoke Political

:44:10.:44:12.

Reporter Phil McCann has been charting their fortunes since then.

:44:13.:44:18.

Nick Griffin, ladies and gentlemen. The BNP was riding high in 2009. In

:44:19.:44:22.

2010 it launched its general election manifesto in

:44:23.:44:24.

Stoke`on`Trent, which it used to call the jewel in its crown, because

:44:25.:44:28.

nine of its 16 Midlands councillors where in the city. They won support

:44:29.:44:31.

partly by being visible in communities here, by running bingo

:44:32.:44:35.

clubs. So we came back here to see if views have changed now the BNP

:44:36.:44:38.

have gone. Well, if they want to send the lot back, then yes, I am

:44:39.:44:43.

with them. Don't you think we have got enough in this country? We can't

:44:44.:44:47.

hardly look after our own, can we? Now the British National Party has

:44:48.:44:49.

no councillors here in Stoke`on`Trent, or anywhere in the

:44:50.:44:52.

Midlands. Nationwide, it only has two. One of its MEPs has left the

:44:53.:44:56.

party and its membership has halved. But over the last few years, things

:44:57.:45:00.

have been going wrong for the BNP. It has had a cash crisis after

:45:01.:45:03.

losing a legal challenge through its all`white membership policy and it

:45:04.:45:06.

has been beset by internal disagreements, including from their

:45:07.:45:08.

former leader in Stoke`on`Trent who left saying some party members were

:45:09.:45:13.

Holocaust deniers. And to make things harder for the party, its

:45:14.:45:16.

number one candidate in the region, has a suspended prison sentence for

:45:17.:45:19.

racially aggrevated harassment after comments he made about black people

:45:20.:45:27.

after the 2011 riots. But they are still out pounding the streets

:45:28.:45:31.

looking for votes. Our view, our party's view on mass immigration to

:45:32.:45:35.

Britian is that it is an illegal process. It is illegal. It has never

:45:36.:45:38.

been sanctioned by the British people and it is a project of social

:45:39.:45:42.

engineering and social change on a national level, involving vast

:45:43.:45:44.

number of foreigners. That should have been taken to the people. It is

:45:45.:45:49.

a message from an extremist party but a message that has now become

:45:50.:45:53.

more mainstream, while the BNP have been left on the margins.

:45:54.:46:00.

Phil McCann. And next week we'll be hearing from our two former UKIP

:46:01.:46:03.

MEPs in the outgoing Parliament, Mike Nattrass and Nikki Sinclaire,

:46:04.:46:05.

who're now heading new anti`EU parties. Jim, UKIP make some play

:46:06.:46:21.

that says UKIP bands ex`BNP people from standing for you. We have had a

:46:22.:46:28.

huge media campaign against us. It seems to me completely unfair that

:46:29.:46:34.

the media and our political opponents say that if you discuss

:46:35.:46:38.

this issue of open`door immigration which only can be challenged from a

:46:39.:46:42.

position outside the European union, is you are racist. A quick

:46:43.:46:53.

reflection from others of you. I am delighted. I could it `` not put it

:46:54.:47:02.

more simply than that. It is good that we have a discussion on

:47:03.:47:06.

immigration on this country more openly and that people feel more lax

:47:07.:47:10.

about. I think it is better if we are going to have a single issue

:47:11.:47:16.

emigration party, it is better for it to be a party like UKIP which

:47:17.:47:21.

doesn't have that overtone of militarism and racism and nastier

:47:22.:47:26.

people like the BNP. `` immigration. It shows how important it is to get

:47:27.:47:32.

out and vote for the European election. It is important that we

:47:33.:47:37.

get people to vote, whoever they are voting for. Now our regular round`up

:47:38.:47:43.

of the political week in the Midlands in 60 seconds.

:47:44.:47:46.

It's a campaign special again this week, brought to us by BBC WM's

:47:47.:47:48.

Lunchtime presenter, Caroline Martin.

:47:49.:47:53.

Former Coventry Labour MP Dave Nellist is the lead candidate for

:47:54.:47:56.

the no to EU party in the West Midlands. They have a left wing take

:47:57.:48:03.

on Euroscepticism. Their next target, according to the Financial

:48:04.:48:06.

Times, is the ?450 billion public sector of health and education

:48:07.:48:09.

across Europe, that they want to open up to competition to private

:48:10.:48:16.

companies. We are dead against that. The Green party was in Solihull for

:48:17.:48:20.

the national launch of its local election campaign. Leader, Natalie

:48:21.:48:23.

Bennett said she believes they can make inroads in the West Midlands.

:48:24.:48:26.

Elsewhere in Solihull, at the local farmers' market there was confusion

:48:27.:48:29.

over what individual parties stand for in Europe and who some of the

:48:30.:48:35.

candidates are. What about this one? Do you recognise that man? Did he

:48:36.:48:42.

not have a thing on television? Jerry Springer? Jerry Springer,

:48:43.:48:47.

that's right. You can see how it might happen, by the way. Mike

:48:48.:48:50.

Nattrass is the one without the specs in case you were wondering.

:48:51.:49:00.

We are having a laugh, Sion. It makes a serious point how

:49:01.:49:08.

low`profile the European Parliament is. How do you combat this

:49:09.:49:15.

perception that it is a repository for retreads and reject

:49:16.:49:19.

politicians? It is not surprisingly people have not heard of their MEP.

:49:20.:49:25.

We have nearly 6 million people in our region. The only way people will

:49:26.:49:32.

have heard of their MEP is if the activities of the European

:49:33.:49:34.

Parliament were regularly reported in the media. We are constantly on

:49:35.:49:46.

the lookout. I am not having a go it you, Patrick. I am saying that the

:49:47.:49:53.

entire British media does not cover very important work that goes on day

:49:54.:49:58.

after day, week after week in Europe at all. So how will people ever hear

:49:59.:50:05.

of their MEPs? There is a real point that there is something uninspiring

:50:06.:50:11.

about the lack of linkage, who represents our region in a

:50:12.:50:18.

Parliament of this scale? It is a great shame that over the years we

:50:19.:50:24.

have not had the attention and virginity needed. `` opportunity.

:50:25.:50:30.

The huge amount that is done through Europe, it is not fed through to us

:50:31.:50:36.

all the time. If there was more public awareness, there would be

:50:37.:50:41.

more dialogue. What would you do, Jim, to build public awareness? Your

:50:42.:50:47.

party has been accused of not being the most active in terms of the

:50:48.:50:52.

business that you attend? It is the same question with regard to all

:50:53.:50:56.

parties. Some other MEPs are ready high performing in the parliament,

:50:57.:51:06.

some are not. What we want to do is seek our withdrawal from the

:51:07.:51:08.

European Union, let's make no secret about it. If I do find myself

:51:09.:51:19.

elected, 92% of the population of this country cannot name their MEP.

:51:20.:51:26.

If I am elected, I will be elected to a chamber as a parliamentarian,

:51:27.:51:29.

the only Parliament in Western Europe which will not bail to

:51:30.:51:37.

instigate legislation. It looks ironic that you are trying to get

:51:38.:51:41.

yourself into the European Parliament and yet the grandson well

:51:42.:51:46.

increasingly `` ground swell, is all about and in out referendum with the

:51:47.:51:52.

assumption that it is a party that is heading out. The key part of

:51:53.:51:59.

policy is we want to renegotiate our relationship with Europe. We want to

:52:00.:52:06.

bring powers back. David Cameron has made it clear the areas we want to

:52:07.:52:11.

renegotiate. That is the essence of policy. After that we should put

:52:12.:52:16.

that to the British people to decide. That is not a party position

:52:17.:52:20.

of being in or out, that is about letting the people decide. At salute

:52:21.:52:30.

the fascinating and we could go on. Next week we will do something very

:52:31.:52:36.

much like this again. My thanks to Dan, Sion, Jonathan and

:52:37.:52:39.

Jim. And we'll be re`dressing our gender`balance next week, when we'll

:52:40.:52:43.

Conservatives, Neena Gill for Labour Conservatives, Neena Gill for Labour

:52:44.:52:46.

and Jill Seymour for UKIP, with the Liberal Democrat MEP Phil Bennion,

:52:47.:52:49.

the only other man among us. And with less than a year to go to the

:52:50.:52:53.

General Election, we'll examine how this month's local elections could

:52:54.:52:56.

provide pointers in our key marginals, including a report from

:52:57.:52:59.

Tamworth which is a prime Labour target. This though is where we

:53:00.:53:01.

rejoin Andrew Neil. the website now. Now it is back to

:53:02.:53:04.

you, Andrew. Welcome back, let's go straight to

:53:05.:53:23.

our panel. What did you make of Mr Alexander's defence of the Labour

:53:24.:53:28.

party election broadcast? It is difficult for them because they

:53:29.:53:30.

started by saying they were not going to do negative campaigning and

:53:31.:53:35.

they have thrown that away for an advert which is funny but crude in

:53:36.:53:42.

the class war sense. He didn't look thrilled to be defending it. There

:53:43.:53:50.

is a page in Tony Blair's memoirs talking about negative campaigning,

:53:51.:53:53.

and he says that anything too extreme turns off the average voter

:53:54.:53:59.

so his line of attack on Hague was funny jokes but... I think this

:54:00.:54:10.

failed the Blair test, it was too vicious. If your strategy is to

:54:11.:54:17.

shore up your car vote, that advert was genius. If your strategy is to

:54:18.:54:21.

reach out to a broader number of voters, Middle Britain, then that

:54:22.:54:27.

advert was a complete disaster. It looks like there is a lot of

:54:28.:54:31.

negativity and smears all round in the next year. That definitely looks

:54:32.:54:42.

the way we are going. They will be essentially trying to re-run by --

:54:43.:55:01.

the American election. I am slightly puzzled why we cannot have our own

:55:02.:55:06.

election gurus who live here and understand the country. I should

:55:07.:55:12.

point out that the ?450 extra VAT that was claimed in that Labour

:55:13.:55:17.

poster, both Ed Balls and the Labour Treasury team have said that is ?450

:55:18.:55:23.

per year. Nonsense the VAT rise, one year. I should also point out that

:55:24.:55:29.

Nigel Farage said to Norman Smith, the BBC is always reliable Norman

:55:30.:55:37.

Smith that if you run in Newark and lost the bubble would burst. I

:55:38.:55:41.

should also point out that although a number of the tax rises I

:55:42.:55:45.

mentioned on council tax, minimum wage tax and some other things that

:55:46.:55:50.

UKIP wants to cuts, a couple of these are in the local manifesto but

:55:51.:55:56.

several are not. They are on the UKIP website, which is still current

:55:57.:56:04.

and dated 2014. We like to make sure we are absolutely right. Let's talk

:56:05.:56:09.

about Nick Clegg and Michael Gove and the latest spat. Let me show you

:56:10.:56:13.

this headline in the Observer this morning. From both the Independent,

:56:14.:56:22.

he called him a zealot, lunatic is of -- another word. Do we take this

:56:23.:56:33.

seriously? It hinges on this question of what counts as an area

:56:34.:56:39.

of need in education. The Lib Dems say an area of need is one where

:56:40.:56:42.

there are not enough school places to meet local demand. He says it can

:56:43.:56:47.

also be a place where there are surplus places but that is for a

:56:48.:56:51.

reason. Local places don't trust those schools to do a good job for

:56:52.:57:04.

their kids. It surprises me because there isn't a yawning distance

:57:05.:57:09.

between David Laws and Michael Gove. David Laws has found himself between

:57:10.:57:14.

a rock and a hard place because I asked -- as I understand it most Lib

:57:15.:57:18.

Dems don't like the free schools but Mr laws was quite sympathetic to it

:57:19.:57:22.

and he is now having to this respect it. When they asked people who are

:57:23.:57:29.

the most hated politicians in a poll were this week, Michael Gove is off

:57:30.:57:35.

the charts, far above David Cameron or George Osborne. This is

:57:36.:57:48.

tit-for-tat war. The Liberal Democrats believe Michael Gove had a

:57:49.:57:52.

hand in leaking the document that showed Nick Clegg was opposing the

:57:53.:57:56.

tougher Chris Grayling position on knife crime. They are saying there

:57:57.:58:00.

were Cabinet ministers who never usually attend the sub Cabinet

:58:01.:58:05.

meeting, they turned up and the document is leaked so what we are

:58:06.:58:09.

getting is tit for tat on that. It is inevitable but it is not good for

:58:10.:58:15.

either side of the Coalition. Voters will look at it and say it is

:58:16.:58:20.

politics of the playground. I read in the Mail on Sunday this morning

:58:21.:58:31.

that some Tory insiders are accusing Lib Dems of spreading rumours about

:58:32.:58:36.

the camera in marriage. The rebuttals of education story is that

:58:37.:58:43.

the free school meals is sucking money away. I always thought they

:58:44.:58:53.

would work together without fuss and yet it has been more the source of

:58:54.:58:59.

disagreement then I would have expected a couple of years ago. Is

:59:00.:59:04.

it serious? It is serious obviously, using that language, but is it fatal

:59:05.:59:11.

for the Coalition? I think it is a road bump because I don't think

:59:12.:59:14.

anybody wants to dissolve the Coalition. It is a challenge for

:59:15.:59:18.

Labour because where do they stand on the free schools? They invented

:59:19.:59:22.

the Academy programme so it is difficult for them to take a

:59:23.:59:27.

hands-off approach at this stage. There was a danger for Michael Gove

:59:28.:59:30.

that he looks ideological but the danger for the Liberal Democrats is

:59:31.:59:34.

that they are breaking the rules for the Coalition they said that they

:59:35.:59:38.

wouldn't break which is that they looked like opposition in

:59:39.:59:43.

government. Is Michael Gove's position safe? Very safe. If he

:59:44.:59:50.

moves in a reshuffle that will be to a a job. That's all for today. The

:59:51.:59:56.

Daily Politics will be back on BBC Two at lunchtime from Tuesday

:59:57.:59:59.

onwards. I'll be back here on BBC One at 11am next week. Remember if

:00:00.:00:02.

it's Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics.

:00:03.:00:51.

What if the person that killed her...

:00:52.:00:52.

I found out she'd been taking drugs. Just let me explain.

:00:53.:00:56.

You wasn't at that party all night. Yeah, I was.

:00:57.:00:59.

What was she even doing there? Oi, you keep your mouth shut.

:01:00.:01:02.

She was exchanging a significant number of texts and calls

:01:03.:01:04.

with someone in the weeks leading up to her death.

:01:05.:01:07.

It's like we didn't really know her at all.

:01:08.:01:10.

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