21/05/2017 Sunday Politics West


21/05/2017

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It's Sunday Morning, and this is the Sunday Politics.

:00:36.:00:40.

Labour attacks Conservative plans for social care and to means-test

:00:41.:00:42.

So can Jeremy Corbyn eat into the Tory lead

:00:43.:00:45.

Theresa May says her party's manifesto is all about fairness.

:00:46.:00:51.

We'll be speaking to a Conservative cabinet minister about the plans.

:00:52.:00:55.

The polls have always shown healthy leads for the Conservatives.

:00:56.:00:58.

But, now we've seen the manifestos, is Labour narrowing the gap?

:00:59.:01:02.

In the West: Protests about school funding,

:01:03.:01:04.

and at the other end of the scale: the elderly may lose out,

:01:05.:01:07.

And with me - as always - the best and the brightest political

:01:08.:01:23.

panel in the business: Sam Coates, Isabel Oakeshott

:01:24.:01:25.

and Steve Richards - they'll be tweeting throughout

:01:26.:01:27.

the programme, and you can get involved by using

:01:28.:01:29.

Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn says pensioners will be up to ?330 a year

:01:30.:01:38.

worse off under plans outlined in the Conservative manifesto.

:01:39.:01:49.

The Work Pensions Secretary Damian Green has said his party will not

:01:50.:01:55.

rethink their plans to fund social care in England. Under the plans in

:01:56.:02:00.

the Conservative manifesto, nobody with assets of less than ?100,000,

:02:01.:02:06.

would have to pay for care. Labour has attacked the proposal, and John

:02:07.:02:11.

McDonnell, Labour's Shadow Chancellor, said this morning that

:02:12.:02:14.

there needs to be more cross-party consensus.

:02:15.:02:17.

That's why we supported Dilnot, but we also supported

:02:18.:02:19.

Because we've got to have something sustainable over generations,

:02:20.:02:23.

so that's why we've said to the Conservative Party,

:02:24.:02:25.

Let's go back to that cross-party approach that actually

:02:26.:02:28.

I just feel we've all been let down by what's come

:02:29.:02:32.

Sam, is Labour beginning to get their argument across? What we had

:02:33.:02:42.

last week was bluntly what felt like not very Lynton Crosby approved

:02:43.:02:46.

Conservative manifesto. What I mean by that is that it looks like there

:02:47.:02:50.

are things that will cause political difficulties for the party over this

:02:51.:02:55.

campaign. I've been talking to MPs and ministers who acknowledge that

:02:56.:02:59.

the social care plan is coming up on the doorstep. It has cut through

:03:00.:03:05.

very quickly, and it is worrying and deterring some voters. Not just

:03:06.:03:09.

pensioners, that people who are looking to inherit in the future.

:03:10.:03:21.

They are all asking how much they could lose that they wouldn't have

:03:22.:03:23.

lost before. A difficult question for the party to answer, given that

:03:24.:03:26.

they don't want to give too much away now. Was this a mistake, or a

:03:27.:03:31.

sign of the Conservatives' confidence? It has the hallmarks of

:03:32.:03:38.

something that has been cobbled together in a very unnaturally short

:03:39.:03:42.

time frame for putting a manifesto together. We have had mixed messages

:03:43.:03:47.

from the Tory MPs who have been out on the airwaves this morning as to

:03:48.:03:50.

whether they will consult on it whether it is just a starting point.

:03:51.:03:55.

That said, there is still three weeks to go, and most of the Tory

:03:56.:04:02.

party this morning feel this is a little light turbulence rather than

:04:03.:04:05.

anything that leaves the destination of victory in doubt. It it flips the

:04:06.:04:09.

normal politics. The Tories are going to make people who have a

:04:10.:04:13.

reasonable amount of assets pay for their social care. What is wrong

:04:14.:04:20.

with that? First, total credit for them for not pretending that all

:04:21.:04:23.

this can be done by magic, which is what normally happens in an

:04:24.:04:28.

election. The party will say, we will review this for the 95th time

:04:29.:04:33.

in the following Parliament, so they have no mandate to do anything and

:04:34.:04:37.

so do not do anything. It is courageous to do it. It is

:04:38.:04:41.

electorally risky, for the reasons that you suggest, that they pass the

:04:42.:04:47.

target their own natural supporter. And there is a sense that this is

:04:48.:04:53.

rushed through, in the frenzy to get it done in time. I think the ending

:04:54.:04:58.

of the pooling of risk and putting the entire burden on in inverted

:04:59.:05:04.

commas the victim, because you cannot insure Fritz, is against the

:05:05.:05:12.

spirit of a lot of the rest of the manifesto, and will give them huge

:05:13.:05:16.

problems if they try to implement it in the next Parliament. Let's have a

:05:17.:05:25.

look at the polls. Nearly five weeks ago, on Tuesday the 18th of April,

:05:26.:05:29.

Theresa May called the election. At that point, this was the median

:05:30.:05:34.

average of the recent polls. The Conservatives had an 18 point lead

:05:35.:05:40.

over Labour on 25%. Ukip and the Liberal Democrats were both on 18%.

:05:41.:05:49.

A draft of Labour's manifesto was leaked to the press. In the

:05:50.:05:53.

intervening weeks, support for the Conservatives and Labour had

:05:54.:05:56.

increased, that it had decreased for the Lib Dems and Ukip. Last Tuesday

:05:57.:06:02.

came the launch of the official Labour manifesto. By that time,

:06:03.:06:08.

Labour support had gone up by another 2%. The Lib Dems and Ukip

:06:09.:06:13.

had slipped back slightly. Later in the week came the manifestos from

:06:14.:06:18.

the Lib Dems and the Conservatives. This morning, for more polls. This

:06:19.:06:22.

is how the parties currently stand on average. Labour are now on 34%,

:06:23.:06:30.

up 4% since the launch of their manifesto. The Conservatives are

:06:31.:06:34.

down two points since last Tuesday. Ukip and the Lib Dems are both

:06:35.:06:41.

unchanged on 8% and 5%. You can find this poll tracker on the BBC

:06:42.:06:46.

website, see how it was calculated, and see the results of national

:06:47.:06:51.

polls over the last two years. So Isabel, is this the Tories' wobbly

:06:52.:06:55.

weekend or the start of the narrowing? This is still an

:06:56.:07:00.

extremely healthy lead for the Tories. At the start of this

:07:01.:07:06.

campaign, most commentators expected to things to happen. First, the Lib

:07:07.:07:12.

Dems would have a significant surge. That hasn't happened. Second, Labour

:07:13.:07:17.

would crash and plummet. Instead they are in the health of the low

:07:18.:07:22.

30s. I wonder if that tells you something about the tribal nature of

:07:23.:07:28.

the Labour vote, and the continuing problems with the Tory brand. I

:07:29.:07:33.

would say that a lot of Tory MPs wouldn't be too unhappy if Labour's

:07:34.:07:38.

result isn't quite as bad as has been anticipated. They don't want

:07:39.:07:45.

Corbyn to go anywhere. If the latest polls were to be the result on June

:07:46.:07:51.

the 8th, Mr Corbyn may not be in a rush to go anywhere. I still think

:07:52.:07:56.

it depends on the number of seats. If there is a landslide win, I

:07:57.:08:01.

think, one way or another, he will not stay. If it is much narrower, he

:08:02.:08:07.

has grounds for arguing he has done better than anticipated. The polls

:08:08.:08:12.

are very interesting. People compare this with 83. In 83, the Tory lead

:08:13.:08:17.

widened consistently throughout the campaign. There was the SDP -

:08:18.:08:30.

Liberal Alliance doing well in the polls. Here, the Lib Dems don't seem

:08:31.:08:33.

to be doing that. So the parallels with 83 don't really stack up. But

:08:34.:08:35.

let's see what happens. Still early days for the a lot of people are

:08:36.:08:39.

saying this is the result of the social care policy. We don't really

:08:40.:08:43.

know that. How do you beat them? In the last week or so, there's been

:08:44.:08:47.

the decision by some to hold their nose and vote Labour, who haven't

:08:48.:08:52.

done so before. Probably the biggest thing in this election is how the

:08:53.:08:56.

Right has reunited behind Theresa May. That figure for Ukip is

:08:57.:09:03.

incredibly small. She has brought those Ukip voters behind her, and

:09:04.:09:09.

that could be the decisive factor in many seats, rather than the Labour

:09:10.:09:13.

share of the boat picking up a bit or down a bit, depending on how

:09:14.:09:18.

turbulent the Tory manifesto makes it. Thank you for that.

:09:19.:09:21.

We've finally got our hands on the manifestos of the two main

:09:22.:09:24.

parties and, for once, voters can hardly complain that

:09:25.:09:26.

So, just how big is the choice on offer to the public?

:09:27.:09:30.

Since the Liberal Democrats and SNP have ruled out

:09:31.:09:32.

coalitions after June 8th, Adam Fleming compares the Labour

:09:33.:09:34.

Welcome to the BBC's election centre.

:09:35.:09:37.

Four minutes from now, when Big Ben strikes 10.00,

:09:38.:09:41.

we can legally reveal the contents of this, our exit poll.

:09:42.:09:45.

18 days to go, and the BBC's election night studio

:09:46.:09:48.

This is where David Dimbleby will sit, although there is no chair yet.

:09:49.:09:57.

The parties' policies are now the finished product.

:09:58.:10:01.

In Bradford, Jeremy Corbyn vowed a bigger state,

:10:02.:10:03.

the end of austerity, no more tuition fees.

:10:04.:10:06.

The Tory campaign, by contrast, is built on one word - fear.

:10:07.:10:14.

Down the road in Halifax, Theresa May kept a promise to get

:10:15.:10:22.

immigration down to the tens of thousands, and talked

:10:23.:10:25.

of leadership and tough choices in uncertain times.

:10:26.:10:29.

Strengthen my hand as I fight for Britain, and stand with me

:10:30.:10:35.

And, with confidence in ourselves and a unity

:10:36.:10:41.

of purpose in our country, let us go forward together.

:10:42.:10:48.

Let's look at the Labour and Conservative

:10:49.:10:51.

On tax, Labour would introduce a 50p rate for top earners.

:10:52.:10:57.

The Conservatives ditched their triple lock, giving them

:10:58.:11:21.

freedom to put up income tax and national insurance,

:11:22.:11:23.

although they want to keep the overall tax burden the same.

:11:24.:11:26.

Labour offered a major overhaul of the country's wiring,

:11:27.:11:28.

with a pledge to renationalise infrastructure, like power,

:11:29.:11:30.

The Conservatives said that would cost a fortune,

:11:31.:11:33.

but provided few details for the cost of their policies.

:11:34.:11:35.

Labour have simply become a shambles, and, as yesterday's

:11:36.:11:37.

manifesto showed, their numbers simply do not add up.

:11:38.:11:40.

What have they got planned for health and social care?

:11:41.:11:42.

The Conservatives offered more cash for the NHS,

:11:43.:11:46.

reaching an extra ?8 billion a year by the end of the parliament.

:11:47.:11:49.

Labour promised an extra ?30 billion over the course of the same period,

:11:50.:11:53.

plus free hospital parking and more pay for staff.

:11:54.:11:59.

The Conservatives would increase the value of assets you could

:12:00.:12:06.

protect from the cost of social care to ?100,000, but your home would be

:12:07.:12:10.

added to the assessment of your wealth,

:12:11.:12:11.

There was a focus on one group of voters in particular

:12:12.:12:15.

Labour would keep the triple lock, which guarantees that pensions go up

:12:16.:12:21.

The Tories would keep the increase in line

:12:22.:12:27.

with inflation or earnings, a double lock.

:12:28.:12:30.

The Conservatives would end of winter fuel payments

:12:31.:12:33.

for the richest, although we don't know exactly who that would be,

:12:34.:12:36.

This is a savage attack on vulnerable pensioners,

:12:37.:12:45.

particularly those who are just about managing.

:12:46.:12:49.

It is disgraceful, and we are calling upon the Conservative Party

:12:50.:12:52.

When it comes to leaving the European Union, Labour say

:12:53.:12:59.

they'd sweep away the government's negotiating strategy,

:13:00.:13:02.

secure a better deal and straightaway guaranteed the rights

:13:03.:13:05.

The Tories say a big majority would remove political uncertainty

:13:06.:13:11.

Jeremy Vine's due here in two and a half weeks.

:13:12.:13:23.

I'm joined now by David Gauke, who is Chief Secretary to the Treasury.

:13:24.:13:29.

Welcome back to the programme. The Tories once promised a cap on social

:13:30.:13:36.

care costs. Why have you abandoned that? We've looked at it, and there

:13:37.:13:43.

are couple of proposals with the Dilnot proposal. Much of the benefit

:13:44.:13:48.

would go to those inheriting larger estates. The second point was it was

:13:49.:13:53.

hoped that a cap would stimulate the larger insurance products that would

:13:54.:13:58.

fill the gap, but there is no sign that those products are emerging.

:13:59.:14:04.

Without a cap, you will not get one. We have come forward with a new

:14:05.:14:08.

proposal which we think is fairer, provide more money for social care,

:14:09.:14:12.

which is very important and is one of the big issues we face as a

:14:13.:14:17.

country. It is right that we face those big issues. Social care is

:14:18.:14:23.

one, getting a good Brexit deal is another. This demonstrates that

:14:24.:14:30.

Theresa May has an ambition to lead a government that addresses those

:14:31.:14:33.

big long-term issues. Looking at social care. If you have assets,

:14:34.:14:39.

including your home, of over ?100,000, you have to pay for all

:14:40.:14:43.

your social care costs. Is that fair? It is right that for the

:14:44.:14:47.

services that are provided to you, that that is paid out of your

:14:48.:14:53.

assets, subject to two really important qualifications. First, you

:14:54.:14:57.

shouldn't have your entire estate wiped out. At the moment, if you are

:14:58.:15:04.

in residential care, it can be wiped out ?223,000. If you are in

:15:05.:15:09.

domiciliary care, it can be out to ?23,000, plus you're domiciliary.

:15:10.:15:16.

Nobody should be forced to sell their house in their lifetime if

:15:17.:15:20.

they or their spouse needs long-term care. Again, we have protected that

:15:21.:15:22.

in the proposals we set out. But the state will basically take a

:15:23.:15:32.

chunk of your house when you die and they sell. In an essence it is a

:15:33.:15:37.

stealth inheritance tax on everything above ?100,000. But we

:15:38.:15:41.

have those two important protections. I am including that. It

:15:42.:15:45.

is a stealth inheritance tax. We have to face up to the fact that

:15:46.:15:49.

there are significant costs that we face as a country in terms of health

:15:50.:15:54.

and social careful. Traditionally, politicians don't address those

:15:55.:15:58.

issues, particularly during election campaigns. I think it is too Theresa

:15:59.:16:04.

May's credit that we are being straightforward with the British

:16:05.:16:07.

people and saying that we face this long-term challenge. Our manifesto

:16:08.:16:10.

was about the big challenges that we face, one of which was

:16:11.:16:14.

intergenerational fairness and one of which was delivering a strong

:16:15.:16:18.

economy and making sure that we can do that. But in the end, someone is

:16:19.:16:25.

going to have to pay for this. It is going to have to be a balance

:16:26.:16:28.

between the general taxpayer and those receiving the services. We

:16:29.:16:31.

think we have struck the right balance with this proposal. But it

:16:32.:16:35.

is entirely on the individual. People watching this programme, if

:16:36.:16:39.

they have a fair amount of assets, not massive, including the home,

:16:40.:16:46.

they will need to pay for everything themselves until their assets are

:16:47.:16:50.

reduced to ?100,000. It is not a balance, you're putting everything

:16:51.:16:55.

on the original two individual. At the moment, for those in residential

:16:56.:17:01.

care, they have to pay everything until 20 3000. -- everything on the

:17:02.:17:06.

individual. But now they will face more. Those in individual care are

:17:07.:17:10.

seeing their protection going up by four times as much, so that is

:17:11.:17:13.

eliminating unfairness. Why should those in residential care be in a

:17:14.:17:17.

worse position than those receiving domiciliary care? But as I say, that

:17:18.:17:23.

money has to come from somewhere and we are sitting at a proper plan for

:17:24.:17:26.

it. While also made the point that we are more likely to be able to

:17:27.:17:30.

have a properly functioning social care market if we have a strong

:17:31.:17:34.

economy, and to have a strong economy we need to deliver a good

:17:35.:17:37.

deal on Brexit and I think Theresa May is capable of doing that. You

:17:38.:17:42.

have said that before. But if you have a heart attack in old age, the

:17:43.:17:47.

NHS will take care of you. If you have dementia, you now have to pay

:17:48.:17:50.

for the care of yourself. Is that they are? It is already the case

:17:51.:17:55.

that if you have long-term care costs come up as I say, if you are

:17:56.:17:59.

in residential care you pay for all of it until the last ?23,000, but if

:18:00.:18:04.

you are in domiciliary care, excluding your housing assets, but

:18:05.:18:08.

all of your other assets get used up until you are down to ?23,000 a

:18:09.:18:14.

year. And I think it is right at this point that a party that aspires

:18:15.:18:21.

to run this country for the long-term, to address the long-term

:18:22.:18:25.

challenges we have is a country, for us to be clear that we need to

:18:26.:18:29.

deliver this. Because if it is not paid for it this way, if it goes and

:18:30.:18:36.

falls on the general taxpayer, the people who feel hard pressed by the

:18:37.:18:39.

amount of income tax and VAT they pay, frankly we have to say to them,

:18:40.:18:44.

those taxes will go up if we do not address it. But they might go up

:18:45.:18:48.

anyway. The average house price in your part of the country is just shy

:18:49.:18:54.

of ?430,000, so if you told your own constituents that they might have to

:18:55.:18:58.

spend ?300,000 of their assets on social care before the state steps

:18:59.:19:03.

in to help...? As I said earlier, nobody will be forced to pay during

:19:04.:19:08.

their lifetime. Nobody will be forced to sell their houses. We are

:19:09.:19:14.

providing that protection because of the third premium. Which makes it a

:19:15.:19:18.

kind of death tax, doesn't it? Which is what you use to rail against.

:19:19.:19:24.

What it is people paying for the services they have paid out of their

:19:25.:19:29.

assets. But with that very important protection that nobody is going to

:19:30.:19:32.

be wiped out in the way that has happened up until now, down to the

:19:33.:19:37.

last three years. But when Labour propose this, George Osborne called

:19:38.:19:41.

it a death tax and you are now proposing a stealth death tax

:19:42.:19:45.

inheritance tax. Labour's proposals were very different. It is the same

:19:46.:19:51.

effect. Labour's were hitting everyone with an inheritance tax. We

:19:52.:19:58.

are saying that there are -- that there is a state contribution but

:19:59.:20:01.

the public receiving the services will have to pay for it out of

:20:02.:20:07.

assets, which have grown substantially. And which they might

:20:08.:20:11.

now lose to social care. But I would say that people in Hertfordshire pay

:20:12.:20:15.

a lot in income tracks, national insurance and VAT, and this is my

:20:16.:20:20.

bet is going to have to come from somewhere. Well, they are now going

:20:21.:20:24.

to pay a lot of tax and pay for social care. Turning to immigration,

:20:25.:20:29.

you promised to get net migration down to 100,020 ten. You failed. You

:20:30.:20:34.

promised again in 2015 and you are feeling again. Why should voters

:20:35.:20:38.

trust you a third time? It is very clear that only the Conservative

:20:39.:20:43.

Party has an ambition to control immigration and to bring it down. An

:20:44.:20:48.

ambition you have failed to deliver. There are, of course, factors that

:20:49.:20:51.

come into play. For example a couple of years ago we were going through a

:20:52.:20:55.

period when the UK was creating huge numbers of jobs but none of our

:20:56.:20:59.

European neighbours were doing anything like it. Not surprisingly,

:21:00.:21:02.

that feeds through into the immigration numbers that we see. But

:21:03.:21:09.

it is right that we have that ambition because I do not believe it

:21:10.:21:15.

is sustainable to have hundreds of thousands net migration, you're

:21:16.:21:18.

after year after year, and only Theresa May of the Conservative

:21:19.:21:22.

Party is willing to address that. It has gone from being a target to an

:21:23.:21:26.

ambition, and I am pretty sure in a couple of years it will become an

:21:27.:21:30.

untimed aspiration. Is net migration now higher or lower than when you

:21:31.:21:36.

came to power in 2010? I think it is higher at the moment. Let's look at

:21:37.:21:41.

the figures. And there they are. You are right, it is higher, so after

:21:42.:21:46.

six years in power, promising to get it down to 100,000, it is higher. So

:21:47.:21:53.

if that is an ambition and you have not succeeded. We have to accept

:21:54.:21:57.

that there are a number of factors. It continues to be the case that the

:21:58.:22:02.

UK economy is growing and creating a lot of jobs, which is undoubtedly

:22:03.:22:06.

drawing people. But you made the promise on the basis that would not

:22:07.:22:09.

happen? We are certainly outperforming other countries in a

:22:10.:22:12.

way that we could not have predicted in 2010. That is one of the factors.

:22:13.:22:18.

But if you look at a lot of the steps that we have taken over the

:22:19.:22:20.

course of the last seven years, dealing with bogus students, for

:22:21.:22:26.

example, tightening up a lot of the rules. You can say all that but it

:22:27.:22:30.

has made no difference to the headline figure. Clearly it would

:22:31.:22:33.

have gone up by much more and we not taken the steps. But as I say, we

:22:34.:22:39.

cannot for ever, it seems to me, have net migration numbers in the

:22:40.:22:44.

hundreds of thousands. If we get that good Brexit deal, one of the

:22:45.:22:48.

things we can do is tighten up in terms of access here. You say that

:22:49.:22:53.

but you have always had control of non-EU migration. You cannot blame

:22:54.:22:57.

the EU for that. You control immigration from outside the EU.

:22:58.:23:00.

Have you ever managed to get even that below 100,000? Well, no doubt

:23:01.:23:07.

you will present the numbers now. You haven't. You have got down a bit

:23:08.:23:13.

from 2010, I will give you that, but even non-EU migration is still a lot

:23:14.:23:17.

more than 100000 and that is the thing you control. It is 164,000 on

:23:18.:23:22.

the latest figures. There is no point in saying to the voters that

:23:23.:23:25.

when we get control of the EU migration you will get it down when

:23:26.:23:28.

the bit you have control over, you have failed to get that down into

:23:29.:23:34.

the tens of thousands. The general trend has gone up. Non-EU migration

:23:35.:23:38.

we have brought down over the last few years. Not by much, not by

:23:39.:23:44.

anywhere near your 100,000 target. But we clearly have more tools

:23:45.:23:49.

available to us, following Brexit. At this rate it will be around 2030

:23:50.:23:54.

before you get non-EU migration down to 100,000. We clearly have more

:23:55.:23:57.

tools available to us and I return to the point I made. In the last six

:23:58.:24:01.

or seven years, particularly the last four or five, we have seen the

:24:02.:24:05.

UK jobs market growing substantially. It is extraordinary

:24:06.:24:10.

how many more jobs we have. So you'll only promised the migration

:24:11.:24:12.

target because you did not think you were going to run the economy well?

:24:13.:24:17.

That is what you are telling me. I don't think anyone expected us to

:24:18.:24:20.

create quite a number of jobs that we have done over the last six or

:24:21.:24:25.

seven years. At the time when other European countries have not been.

:24:26.:24:28.

George Osborne says your target is economically illiterate. I disagree

:24:29.:24:33.

with George on that. He is my old boss but I disagree with him on that

:24:34.:24:40.

point. And the reason I say that is looking at the economics and the

:24:41.:24:43.

wider social impact, I don't think it is sustainable for us to have

:24:44.:24:49.

hundreds of thousands, year after year after year. Let me ask you one

:24:50.:24:52.

other thing because you are the chief secretary. Your promising that

:24:53.:24:56.

spending on health will be ?8 billion higher in five use time than

:24:57.:25:01.

it is now. How do you pay for that? From a strong economy, two years ago

:25:02.:25:04.

we had a similar conversation because at that point we said that

:25:05.:25:10.

we would increase spending by ?8 billion. And we are more than on

:25:11.:25:14.

track to deliver it, because it is a priority area for us. Where will the

:25:15.:25:18.

money come from? It will be a priority area for us. We will find

:25:19.:25:23.

the money. So you have not been able to show us a revenue line where this

:25:24.:25:28.

?8 billion will come from. We have a record of making promises to spend

:25:29.:25:33.

more on the NHS and delivering. One thing I would say is that the only

:25:34.:25:37.

way you can spend more money on the NHS is if you have a strong economy,

:25:38.:25:42.

and the biggest risk... But that is true of anything. I am trying to

:25:43.:25:46.

find out where the ?8 billion come from, where will it come from? Know

:25:47.:25:50.

you were saying that perhaps you might increase taxes, ticking off

:25:51.:25:54.

the lock, so people are right to be suspicious. But you will not tell us

:25:55.:26:00.

where the ?8 billion will come from. Andrew, a strong economy is key to

:26:01.:26:05.

delivering more NHS money. That does not tell us where the money is

:26:06.:26:09.

coming from. The biggest risk to a strong economy would be a bad

:26:10.:26:12.

Brexit, which Jeremy Corbyn would deliver. And we have a record of

:26:13.:26:17.

putting more money into the NHS. I think that past performance we can

:26:18.:26:20.

take forward. Thank you for joining us.

:26:21.:26:22.

So, the Conservatives have been taking a bit of flak

:26:23.:26:25.

But Conservative big guns have been out and about this morning taking

:26:26.:26:29.

Here's Boris Johnson on ITV's Peston programme earlier today:

:26:30.:26:32.

What we're trying to do is to address what I think

:26:33.:26:36.

everybody, all serious demographers acknowledge will be the massive

:26:37.:26:39.

problem of the cost of social care long-term.

:26:40.:26:43.

This is a responsible, grown-up, conservative approach,

:26:44.:26:47.

trying to deal with a long-term problem in a way that is equitable,

:26:48.:26:50.

allows people to pass on a very substantial sum,

:26:51.:26:52.

still, to their kids, and takes away the fear

:26:53.:26:54.

Joining me now from Liverpool is Labour's Shadow Chief Secretary

:26:55.:27:01.

Petered out, welcome to the programme. Let's start with social

:27:02.:27:12.

care. The Tories are saying that if you have ?100,000 or more in assets,

:27:13.:27:16.

you should pay for your own social care. What is wrong with that? Well,

:27:17.:27:22.

I think the issue at the end of the day is the question of fairness. Is

:27:23.:27:26.

it fair? And what we're trying to do is to get to a situation where we

:27:27.:27:31.

have, for example, the Dilnot report, which identified that you

:27:32.:27:36.

actually have cap on your spending on social care. We are trying to get

:27:37.:27:39.

to a position where it is a reasonable and fair approach to

:27:40.:27:46.

expenditure. But you will know that a lot of people, particularly in the

:27:47.:27:50.

south of country, London and the south-east, and the adjacent areas

:27:51.:27:55.

around it, they have benefited from huge house price inflation. They

:27:56.:27:57.

have seen their homes go up in value, if and when they sell, they

:27:58.:28:02.

are not taxed on that increase. Why should these people not pay for

:28:03.:28:08.

their own social care if they have the assets to do so? They will be

:28:09.:28:12.

paying for some of their social care but you cannot take social care and

:28:13.:28:17.

health care separately. It has to be an integrated approach. So for

:28:18.:28:20.

example if you do have dementia, you're more likely to be in an

:28:21.:28:24.

elderly person's home for longer and you most probably have been in care

:28:25.:28:28.

for a longer period of time. On the other hand, you might have, if you

:28:29.:28:32.

have had a stroke, there may be continuing care needs paid for by

:28:33.:28:35.

the NHS. So at the end of the date it is trying to get a reasonable

:28:36.:28:39.

balance and just to pluck a figure of ?100,000 out of thin air is not

:28:40.:28:48.

sensible. You will have heard me say about David Gold that the house

:28:49.:28:53.

prices in his area, about 450,000 or so, not quite that, and that people

:28:54.:28:57.

may have to spend quite a lot of that on social care to get down to

:28:58.:29:03.

?100,000. But in your area, the average house price is only

:29:04.:29:07.

?149,000, so your people would not have to pay anything like as much

:29:08.:29:12.

before they hit the ?100,000 minimum. I hesitate to say that but

:29:13.:29:18.

is that not almost a socialist approach to social care that if you

:29:19.:29:21.

are in the affluent Home Counties with a big asset, you pay more, and

:29:22.:29:26.

if you are in an area that is not so affluent and your house is not worth

:29:27.:29:30.

very much, you pay a lot less. What is wrong with that principle? I

:29:31.:29:34.

think the problem I am trying to get to is this issue about equity across

:29:35.:29:39.

the piece. At the end of the day, what we want is a system whereby it

:29:40.:29:45.

is capped at a particular level, and the Dilnot report, after much

:29:46.:29:48.

examination, said we should have a cap on care costs at ?72,000. The

:29:49.:29:53.

Conservatives decided to ditch that and come up with another policy

:29:54.:29:56.

which by all accounts seems to be even more Draconian. At the end of

:29:57.:30:01.

the day it is trying to get social care and an NHS care in a much more

:30:02.:30:10.

fluid way. We had offered the Conservatives to have a bipartisan

:30:11.:30:13.

approach to this. David just said that this is a long term. You do not

:30:14.:30:17.

pick a figure out of thin air and use that as a long-term strategy.

:30:18.:30:23.

The Conservatives are now saying they will increase health spending

:30:24.:30:28.

over the next five years in real terms. You will increase health

:30:29.:30:33.

spending. In what way is your approach to health spending better

:30:34.:30:39.

than the Tories' now? We are contributing an extra 7.2 billion to

:30:40.:30:45.

the NHS and social care over the next few years. But you just don't

:30:46.:30:50.

put money into the NHS or social care. It has to be an integrated

:30:51.:30:55.

approach to social and health care. What we've got is just more of the

:30:56.:30:59.

same. What we don't want to do is just say, we ring-fenced an out for

:31:00.:31:05.

here or there. What you have to do is try to get that... Let me ask you

:31:06.:31:13.

again. In terms of the amount of resource that is going to be devoted

:31:14.:31:17.

in the next five years, and resource does matter for the NHS, in what way

:31:18.:31:23.

are your plans different now from the Conservative plans? The key is

:31:24.:31:27.

how you use that resource. By just putting money in, you've got to say,

:31:28.:31:33.

if we are going to put that money on, how do we use it? As somebody

:31:34.:31:39.

who has worked in social care for 40 years, you have to have a different

:31:40.:31:43.

approach to how you use that money. The money we are putting in, 7.7,

:31:44.:31:49.

may be similar in cash terms to what the Tories claim they are putting

:31:50.:31:53.

in, but it's not how much you put in per se, it is how you use it. You

:31:54.:32:07.

are going to get rid of car parking charges in hospital, and you are

:32:08.:32:10.

going to increase pay by taking the cap on pay off. So it doesn't

:32:11.:32:12.

necessarily follow that the money, under your way of doing it, will

:32:13.:32:15.

follow the front line. What you need in the NHS is a system that is

:32:16.:32:19.

capable of dealing with the patience you have. What we have now is on at

:32:20.:32:26.

five Asian of the NHS. Staff leaving, not being paid properly. So

:32:27.:32:36.

pay and the NHS go hand in hand. Let's move onto another area of

:32:37.:32:40.

policy where there is some confusion. Who speaks for the Labour

:32:41.:32:45.

Party on nuclear weapons? Is it Emily Thornbury, or Nia Griffith,

:32:46.:32:52.

defence spokesperson? The Labour manifesto. It is clear. We are

:32:53.:32:57.

committed to the nuclear deterrent, and that is the definitive... Is it?

:32:58.:33:07.

Emily Thornbury said that Trident could be scrapped in the defence

:33:08.:33:11.

review you would have immediately after taking power. On LBC on Friday

:33:12.:33:17.

night. She didn't, actually. I listened to that. What she actually

:33:18.:33:22.

said is, as part of a Labour government coming in, a new

:33:23.:33:27.

government, there is always a defence review. But not the concept

:33:28.:33:31.

of Trident in its substance. She said there would be a review in

:33:32.:33:38.

terms of, and this is in our manifesto. When you reduce

:33:39.:33:42.

something, you review how it is operated. The review could scrap

:33:43.:33:48.

Trident. It won't scrap Trident. The review is in the context of how you

:33:49.:33:53.

protect it from cyber attacks. This will issue was seized upon that she

:33:54.:33:59.

was saying that we would have another review of Trident or Labour

:34:00.:34:04.

would ditch it. That is nonsense. You will have seen some reports that

:34:05.:34:11.

MI5 opened a file on Jeremy Corbyn in the early 90s because of his

:34:12.:34:15.

links to Irish republicanism. This has caused some people, his links to

:34:16.:34:24.

the IRA and Sinn Fein, it has caused some concern. Could you just listen

:34:25.:34:30.

to this clip and react. Do you condemn what the IRA did? I condemn

:34:31.:34:37.

all bombing. But do you condemn what the IRA did? I condemn what was done

:34:38.:34:42.

with the British Army as well as both sides as well. What happened in

:34:43.:34:46.

Derry in 1972 was pretty devastating as well. Do you distinguish between

:34:47.:34:53.

state forces, what the British Army did and the IRA? Well, in a sense,

:34:54.:34:59.

the treatment of IRA prisoners which made them into virtual political

:35:00.:35:05.

prisoners suggested that the British government and the state saw some

:35:06.:35:09.

kind of almost equivalent in it. My point is that the whole violence if

:35:10.:35:16.

you was terrible, was appalling, and came out of a process that had been

:35:17.:35:23.

allowed to fester in Northern Ireland for a very long time. That

:35:24.:35:28.

was from about two years ago. Can you explain why the Leader of the

:35:29.:35:32.

Labour Party, Her Majesty 's opposition, the man who would be our

:35:33.:35:36.

next Prime Minister, finds it so hard to condemn IRA arming? I think

:35:37.:35:43.

it has to be within the context that Jeremy Corbyn for many years trying

:35:44.:35:46.

to move the peace protest... Process along. So why wouldn't you condemn

:35:47.:35:56.

IRA bombing? Again, that was an issue, a traumatic event in Irish -

:35:57.:36:03.

British relations that went on for 30 years. It is a complicated

:36:04.:36:08.

matter. Bombing is not that complicated. If you are a man of

:36:09.:36:13.

peace, surely you would condemn the bomb and the bullet? Let me say

:36:14.:36:18.

this, I condemn the bomb and the bullet. Why can't your leader? You

:36:19.:36:24.

would have to ask Jeremy Corbyn, but that is in the context of what he

:36:25.:36:28.

was trying to do over a 25 year period to move the priest process

:36:29.:36:30.

along. Thank you for joining us. It's just gone 11.35,

:36:31.:36:33.

you're watching the Sunday Politics. We say goodbye to viewers

:36:34.:36:36.

in Scotland and Wales. Hello and welcome to the Sunday

:36:37.:36:45.

Politics here in the West. On the march: A noisy protest

:36:46.:36:49.

in Bristol yesterday complained But are the politicians keeping

:36:50.:36:58.

quiet about austerity? I'm joined by four candidates -

:36:59.:37:08.

They are the Conservative Richard Graham; Karin Smyth for Labour;

:37:09.:37:11.

Wera Hobhouse for the Lib Dems All the talk in the papers this

:37:12.:37:14.

morning is about the so-called weekend wobble, after the Tory

:37:15.:37:23.

manifesto which tackled social care The Conservatives are trying

:37:24.:37:27.

to limit the damage - the Work and Pensions Secretary said

:37:28.:37:31.

on Andrew Marr this morning that it is wrong for people

:37:32.:37:33.

like Mick Jagger to get it. Everyone who is in genuine

:37:34.:37:41.

need of the winter fuel But we think the money

:37:42.:37:44.

that is currently being spent on people who need it less,

:37:45.:37:48.

many of whom have come up and said to me over the years,

:37:49.:37:56.

"really, should I be getting this?" That money is better set in a social

:37:57.:37:59.

care system that we all agree is one of the great challenges

:38:00.:38:03.

facing our country. Richard Graham for the

:38:04.:38:10.

Conservatives, just when it was going so well for you, this

:38:11.:38:14.

manifesto doesn't seem to have gone down terribly well, particularly

:38:15.:38:18.

with the elderly? I think the manifesto has gone done extremely

:38:19.:38:21.

well with people whose major concerns are education and health. I

:38:22.:38:24.

think they're absolute commitment to making sure there was a huge, real

:38:25.:38:29.

terms increase in spending on the NHS and education is incredibly

:38:30.:38:31.

reassuring for many of my constituents. People are worried

:38:32.:38:37.

that dementia might not only take their minds but actually take their

:38:38.:38:43.

homes as well? I think it is incredibly insensitive

:38:44.:38:46.

scaremongering to talk about dementia tax, my mother had dementia

:38:47.:38:47.

and died of it, this is not a tax, and died of it, this is not a tax,

:38:48.:38:52.

this is about a fair contribution to the cost of care to all taxpayers

:38:53.:38:58.

and the families affected. We will increase by four times the amount of

:38:59.:39:01.

assets you can hand onto your family after your death. It could go down

:39:02.:39:07.

to the last ?100,000 was like if you have a house in this part of the

:39:08.:39:11.

world, worked hard all your life and a queue Nolito home, you could lose

:39:12.:39:15.

it. If you need 15 years of care, you could lose the lot. -- you could

:39:16.:39:24.

lose your home. It's the family that's going? It's the assets you

:39:25.:39:28.

are handing of us that you can hand on ?100,000. But yes, those with

:39:29.:39:32.

assets worth a lot of money will have to contribute more because that

:39:33.:39:36.

is about how we can afford a social care system that we don't have at

:39:37.:39:40.

Now, what we need to look at here is Now, what we need to look at here is

:39:41.:39:46.

ensuring that all the people who have contributed to society, who

:39:47.:39:49.

have families, are kept above the poverty line. The Green party policy

:39:50.:39:53.

is to ensure year-on-year that is what happened. If the cost of living

:39:54.:39:59.

increases, people and pensioners need to afford to live... The

:40:00.:40:05.

handing of you I'm down to your family, or should that wealthy a

:40:06.:40:10.

part of your estate for which you could pave your own care? What the

:40:11.:40:17.

Green party seeks to do is provide everyone who needs social care with

:40:18.:40:22.

social care. Free? Free at the point of use. That comes under the whole

:40:23.:40:27.

banner of health care. People should be able to access health care... You

:40:28.:40:31.

should make no contribution no should make no contribution no

:40:32.:40:39.

matter how wealthy? The wealth tax that the Green party refer to is

:40:40.:40:44.

something that is more in line with contributing and he austerity

:40:45.:40:49.

measures. The wealthiest will be paying... Green policy, do you get

:40:50.:40:58.

free social care or not? Yes, the Green policy is to provide social

:40:59.:41:05.

care when people need it. The Lib Dem approach to this issue is

:41:06.:41:09.

different. We are addressing head-on that we need to raise more money. So

:41:10.:41:14.

we are saying 1p in the pound from income tax, so everyone makes a

:41:15.:41:17.

contribution. That will go nowhere. We will raise ?6 billion a year. If

:41:18.:41:28.

we increase that by year, we can guarantee the health and social care

:41:29.:41:30.

bills will be paid for. And the whole approach is about solidarity.

:41:31.:41:37.

People pay according to their ability, but everyone makes a

:41:38.:41:40.

contribution and whether people are getting ill and needing long-term

:41:41.:41:43.

care or not, the burden will be shared. So you can put your house?

:41:44.:41:52.

City keep your house? We're not saying that people lose

:41:53.:41:59.

people who are higher earners and more... I'm not talking about cash,

:42:00.:42:06.

I'm talking about houses. We have not said anything -- we have not

:42:07.:42:13.

said anything about times, we will guarantee that everyone in will get

:42:14.:42:19.

their hopes health and social care paid for. We are now seeing this

:42:20.:42:24.

myth of strong and stable going away and think there was no compassion at

:42:25.:42:28.

the heart of this Conservative government. I have thought about

:42:29.:42:31.

this to four years. Last time they said there would be a cap on care.

:42:32.:42:35.

They get older people certainty and dignity at all the rage, got into

:42:36.:42:40.

power two months later they kicked it into the long glass to lay grass.

:42:41.:42:44.

Out of the blue this week, they landed this bomb shell on older

:42:45.:42:51.

people and their families. We need to contribute over time but it is a

:42:52.:42:54.

major discussion for all the generations you have. The deal not

:42:55.:43:01.

proposals, gave a degree of certainty, and we could think how we

:43:02.:43:03.

do involve people in the discussion do involve people in the discussion

:43:04.:43:06.

about the best method to raise the money. With all due respect,

:43:07.:43:09.

Richard, I'm afraid the resurrection of this as a death tax to say to

:43:10.:43:13.

people, whatever else you should get, you don't know what will happen

:43:14.:43:17.

to you. You'll have to suddenly alter your entire life plan. That

:43:18.:43:23.

loss of dignity and care, and people are talking on the doorstep,

:43:24.:43:26.

yesterday I went to a woman whose husband has a stroke inside her

:43:27.:43:31.

house. The real cruelty about this is about suddenly having to pay for

:43:32.:43:35.

your social care costs, keeping people at home out of hospital, a

:43:36.:43:42.

major issue for hospitals, social care is a bit of a term people don't

:43:43.:43:45.

understand. That is helping people get dressed in the morning, taking

:43:46.:43:50.

their medication. If they went to hospital they get it free? If they

:43:51.:43:53.

have to come home, then that would be totalled up and when you're dead

:43:54.:43:58.

you get the bill? We don't know the details because of the out of the

:43:59.:44:02.

blue. There will be some details. There are no details of four people

:44:03.:44:08.

vote. On a day which is the anniversary of the murder of Jo Cox

:44:09.:44:11.

with her strong belief that what brings us together is more important

:44:12.:44:14.

than what divides us, we should recognise that there was no

:44:15.:44:18.

government yet that has resolved the issue of social care. There's a plan

:44:19.:44:22.

on the table which you have kicked around for two years, done nothing

:44:23.:44:27.

about it, and you put out of the blue. Because you think you're

:44:28.:44:32.

walking this election. If I can briefly reply. The Dilnot commission

:44:33.:44:37.

proposal will have provided a cap on the amount any family had to pay.

:44:38.:44:41.

But would not have been right for a millionaire living and an enormous

:44:42.:44:45.

house with a huge amount of assets, let's take Philip Green for the sake

:44:46.:44:51.

of either. The total costs his family would pay... He's a long way

:44:52.:44:55.

from my constituency and yours. We have capped the floor so everyone

:44:56.:44:59.

knows they can hand over ?100,000 of assets, whatever the cost of their

:45:00.:45:05.

care. This has been a subject of Royal commissions for 20 years and I

:45:06.:45:08.

know the Conservative Party doesn't like to hear about experts, but the

:45:09.:45:12.

experts have gone through this and massive details, there is a plan on

:45:13.:45:14.

the deep in the Department of Health, that

:45:15.:45:20.

has been thrown City that is then thrown into the air. If you read the

:45:21.:45:27.

papers this morning it is full of the latest manifesto stories and the

:45:28.:45:32.

wedding of Pippa Middleton. Should the Middleton 's get a fuel

:45:33.:45:39.

allowance? They have spent tens of thousands on this wedding, the

:45:40.:45:45.

honeymoon is ?300,000. Do people like that, decently partial, but do

:45:46.:45:49.

they deemed a fuel allowance? The basis of our society, of this

:45:50.:45:54.

country, I'm astonished in this election, it's five years since we

:45:55.:45:57.

took my family to the Olympics to celebrate how great this country and

:45:58.:46:02.

our culture. We come together and pool are risks, we give according to

:46:03.:46:07.

our means... You need to spend money on rich people claiming fuel? The

:46:08.:46:11.

basis of our way of telling whether welfare Society is taxing people --

:46:12.:46:17.

bases of our welfare society is taxing people fairly. If the

:46:18.:46:23.

Middleton 's don't get it, they should be taxed fairly. There were

:46:24.:46:26.

long way from our constituents. Hang on. It's being part of the entire

:46:27.:46:35.

system. Absolutely. I keep stressing, we believe in solidarity.

:46:36.:46:39.

I don't want to start with the politics of envy, Saint bees before

:46:40.:46:42.

the habit of those shouldn't be allowed because they can afford a

:46:43.:46:48.

wonderful wedding. Mike Pepper. -- like Pippa Middleton. Is it fair

:46:49.:46:57.

that a quarter of us that will house dementia, why shouldn't we share

:46:58.:47:01.

that burden around? Is not just the tragedy of looking after somebody

:47:02.:47:04.

with a long-term condition but what happens to the families afterwards.

:47:05.:47:09.

One must quit word from Charley. Irrespective of fuel that respect of

:47:10.:47:13.

fuel tax, everyone should be able to heat their home, cook their food,

:47:14.:47:19.

but the people that don't need it don't have to take it, is the

:47:20.:47:25.

answer, surely. Means testing is greatly unfair.

:47:26.:47:27.

If one word has dominated politics over the past seven

:47:28.:47:34.

Tough government spending cuts designed to fix

:47:35.:47:37.

But it's hardly been mentioned during the current

:47:38.:47:40.

We sent Dickon Hooper to find out why.

:47:41.:47:42.

Yes, we're going to have to make difficult decisions, yes,

:47:43.:47:46.

we're going to have to make some difficult and painful cuts.

:47:47.:47:51.

One of the biggest economic crises of the post-war era.

:47:52.:48:03.

Let me make it clear, austerity is a political choice.

:48:04.:48:09.

It's also something not really being discussed in this election.

:48:10.:48:12.

But its effects are definitely being felt.

:48:13.:48:19.

You've got to learn to know what your limitations are.

:48:20.:48:23.

Rich has run this coffee stand in a Bristol park

:48:24.:48:29.

He's angry the park's historic swings were demolished,

:48:30.:48:36.

and won't be replaced because of the cuts.

:48:37.:48:40.

So the community is raising money itself.

:48:41.:48:43.

We've raised about ?4000 so far, so we're a third of the way

:48:44.:48:47.

The swings were cut because of austerity,

:48:48.:48:52.

but people have rallied around, is that sustainable?

:48:53.:48:55.

This is the first time we've had to go to the community

:48:56.:48:58.

and ask them to help pay for a piece of equipment.

:48:59.:49:01.

If we were doing that every year, every six months, people

:49:02.:49:04.

A small example of austerity perhaps, but it's important

:49:05.:49:10.

Is it important to voters in the general election though?

:49:11.:49:17.

What's the most important issue in this election for you?

:49:18.:49:19.

I'm a teacher and I have two children, one of which is

:49:20.:49:30.

about to start school and the cuts are massive.

:49:31.:49:32.

What about the swings here, do you miss them?

:49:33.:49:36.

They are a sign of austerity aren't they?

:49:37.:49:49.

We are seeing school trips cancelled...

:49:50.:49:55.

This protest attracted maybe a thousand people

:49:56.:49:58.

A noisy end to a week in which the main parties

:49:59.:50:05.

And for those pouring over the small print,

:50:06.:50:11.

austerity should still be a talking point.

:50:12.:50:20.

Austerity and cuts ought to be a big issue, because certainly

:50:21.:50:22.

the Conservatives are still planning some pretty big cuts going forward

:50:23.:50:25.

to most areas of public spending and really tough on public sector

:50:26.:50:28.

pay, relative, particularly, to what the Labour Party are suggesting.

:50:29.:50:32.

So there are differences between the parties.

:50:33.:50:34.

There's a lot of austerity still to come, we think,

:50:35.:50:37.

Their manifesto is not very explicit.

:50:38.:50:41.

And quite big spending increases if we get a Labour

:50:42.:50:44.

government, so some big differences between them.

:50:45.:50:50.

So voters perhaps should wake up and smell the coffee.

:50:51.:50:52.

Austerity is still with us, And the parties have very different

:50:53.:50:56.

Cameron Smith from Labour, four more bank holidays if Labour getting, and

:50:57.:51:14.

NT public sector pay restraint, money to spend on nationalisation,

:51:15.:51:18.

where is the cash coming from? As you know, and has been debated this

:51:19.:51:23.

morning, our manifesto is costed fully and like the Conservative. But

:51:24.:51:26.

I disagree with your film, the only thing people are talking about is

:51:27.:51:31.

the cuts. Particularly around education, the school gates at my

:51:32.:51:34.

constituency every school is losing out, parents know that. There was a

:51:35.:51:39.

big march in Bristol yesterday. And the health service. That is all the

:51:40.:51:43.

people are talking about now. Spending actually going up? The

:51:44.:51:48.

Prime Minister called this election because she wanted to look strong

:51:49.:51:50.

and stable, and people love the boat is because they are talking fixing

:51:51.:51:55.

Mac with the voters because they talk about things that matter to

:51:56.:51:59.

them, there Talanoa the when you say about the cuts, do you

:52:00.:52:09.

say, don't worry about those under a Labour government, there won't be

:52:10.:52:12.

any quiver that I listen to what people are saying. I say clearly,

:52:13.:52:17.

vote for a strong voice locally from the Labour Party. We will stand up

:52:18.:52:22.

for you on those things. I have been talking about more services in South

:52:23.:52:28.

Bristol hospital, GP services, a GP service close to my constituency.

:52:29.:52:32.

People in my constituency and self but are well aware... We are talking

:52:33.:52:35.

that individual things. Putter are not talk about individual thing. I

:52:36.:52:42.

do you not tell people to vote for Corbyn? I tell people to vote for

:52:43.:52:48.

the Labour Party. Do you think Auburn will be ago by Minister? I

:52:49.:52:54.

want to Labour by Minister. But we know she will court called the

:52:55.:53:00.

selection... Can you say that Jeremy Corbyn will be ago by Minister? Of

:53:01.:53:04.

course I can say Jeremy Corbyn. He'll be better than the a

:53:05.:53:10.

Conservative government. To nationalise the water companies

:53:11.:53:14.

alone would use ?70 billion of money. Try and listen occasionally

:53:15.:53:18.

to someone else, just as we listen to you. The idea that we can promise

:53:19.:53:24.

everything on public spending, nationalisation, and all the rest of

:53:25.:53:28.

it, is, I'm afraid, simply not credible. The truth of the word

:53:29.:53:34.

austerity is that it really means living within your means and when

:53:35.:53:41.

they get. We had ?150 billion of deficit every year, we got it down

:53:42.:53:43.

to just under 50 billion, and we've to just under 50 billion, and we've

:53:44.:53:47.

got a way to go. What we have done is stretched this out over a longer

:53:48.:53:52.

period of time, so there isn't too much pain specifically in health and

:53:53.:53:55.

education which are crucial sectors. But we have got to keep finding ways

:53:56.:54:00.

of living within our means. Why wasn't your manifesto costed? There

:54:01.:54:07.

are things on the winter fuel allowance, it's right that we

:54:08.:54:10.

shouldn't be giving it to the richest people... And what level?

:54:11.:54:16.

You had people calling over the Labour manifesto trying to find

:54:17.:54:21.

bombs, and you haven't done your own? That's because we haven't made

:54:22.:54:25.

the same reckless spending commitments that the Labour have,

:54:26.:54:28.

we're not renationalisation costs a fortune, and we aren't making

:54:29.:54:31.

promises that we can't deliver. You not worried about the damage done to

:54:32.:54:35.

the fabric of our society by continual reductions in spending in

:54:36.:54:38.

real terms was not worried about the damage done to the fabric of our

:54:39.:54:41.

society by continual reductions in spending in real terms? Particularly

:54:42.:54:43.

schools? Now. Because we made this commitment that we have 4 billion

:54:44.:54:49.

extra over what inflation will likely amount to over the next five

:54:50.:54:53.

years. We put a huge amount of money into expenditure programme for

:54:54.:54:56.

schools to expand to more pupils, and I have seen in my own

:54:57.:55:00.

constituency that the number of schools which are delivering either

:55:01.:55:02.

good or outstanding Ofsted results and getting chills and the results

:55:03.:55:06.

they want is increasing all the time. Let's bring in Wera. The Lib

:55:07.:55:12.

Dems in their manifesto claimed they will eliminate the deficit in three

:55:13.:55:13.

years. That is harsher than anybody years. That is harsher than anybody

:55:14.:55:20.

else in this room? It was definitely important to cut the deficit

:55:21.:55:23.

originally. After the financial crisis, I want to finish my point.

:55:24.:55:32.

What the cuts are being done now just cool and they are damaging

:55:33.:55:33.

long-term Young people are future and we need

:55:34.:55:47.

to put money into them. Two of three head teachers say they have two lay

:55:48.:55:52.

off members of staff. I have been a headteacher in the school, that is

:55:53.:55:56.

damaging. We know the problem. Have pledged to pay off the deficit in

:55:57.:55:59.

three years, that would mean you would have to make a large cuts.

:56:00.:56:07.

Our manifesto is costed. It is important that we make sure that the

:56:08.:56:13.

money, particularly the pupil premium is there for disadvantaged

:56:14.:56:17.

young people to make progress in school. These are the areas we are

:56:18.:56:23.

focusing on. This is what we need to do because of current cuts. I'm not

:56:24.:56:27.

quite clear whether spending savings are coming from in your case. We are

:56:28.:56:35.

not going ahead with County corporation tax and our manifesto is

:56:36.:56:39.

also fully costed. I think it's interesting that Richard mentions

:56:40.:56:42.

the true meaning of austerity because we all know austerity is a

:56:43.:56:47.

choice that his government made to effectively pack tax the poor rather

:56:48.:56:50.

than the rich. There was essentially a choice. You could increment

:56:51.:56:57.

transactions tax, maybe 0.05% of transactions with brings billions

:56:58.:57:00.

but instead, they are choosing to take swings away from local parks or

:57:01.:57:05.

take teachers away from school. Taking nurses to food banks. That is

:57:06.:57:09.

choice that has been made by the choice that has been made by the

:57:10.:57:15.

Tory government. How would you the Green party create wealth cover for

:57:16.:57:17.

your good at spending money, and that's not much that I have seen...

:57:18.:57:24.

You would not write of student debt? We wouldn't write off student that

:57:25.:57:29.

because... But ?14 billion. Its ?14 billion of its all paid. But a small

:57:30.:57:34.

amount is actually paid anyway. Why should we tax our young people going

:57:35.:57:38.

into the future quiz of the weight of the money come from? How would

:57:39.:57:41.

you create wealth. How do you grow the pie? Can you go pie? I think

:57:42.:57:47.

that is the expression that the business users. Wealth can come from

:57:48.:57:52.

many different sources, one of them being actively enforcing corporation

:57:53.:57:58.

tax. How would you grow it? That is growing at. What the current

:57:59.:58:03.

government has done in austerity is taking away from the poor, and the

:58:04.:58:07.

most vulnerable. Let's start taking some money away from the top 1%, the

:58:08.:58:14.

top 1% of earners. The top 1% of earners earn money each year, taxing

:58:15.:58:17.

than just a little bit more, this is just the top 1%. Can you give me one

:58:18.:58:22.

way of how the Greens would grow the economy? Just one? The renewable

:58:23.:58:29.

sector. A huge sector that we have in this country and could grow.

:58:30.:58:34.

Doing what? The Tory argument on Hinckley is that it's going to make

:58:35.:58:41.

jobs and money, how is that not growing the economy to invest in

:58:42.:58:47.

young people. That's taking money, what industries would you grow? The

:58:48.:58:50.

renewable sector is an industry, David. It's an industry where people

:58:51.:58:55.

have jobs where you are providing for the communities and that is a

:58:56.:58:59.

whole sector and the whole industry that would generate billions. Karin,

:59:00.:59:03.

a quick word. The investment in our young people in the future is a

:59:04.:59:07.

different view of society than the one we're now getting from the

:59:08.:59:10.

Conservative government. They are worried about the future and Brexit,

:59:11.:59:15.

there is a deal of uncertainty. That uncertainty is the greatest thing I

:59:16.:59:17.

faced talking to people everyday. There was nothing provided by the

:59:18.:59:20.

Conservative government to sure that up. Very last. Why uncertainty? You

:59:21.:59:29.

need a strong government with the leadership going to be to take us

:59:30.:59:32.

through this rather than having parties which are fighting like rats

:59:33.:59:35.

with each other. That's all we got time for this week I'm afraid.

:59:36.:59:39.

cancelled. And rent to own is still our policy. Thank you very much, Tom

:59:40.:59:41.

Brake. Andrew, back to you. So, two and half weeks

:59:42.:59:47.

to go till polling day, let's take stock of the campaign

:59:48.:59:50.

so far and look ahead Sam, Isabel and Steve

:59:51.:59:52.

are with me again. Sam, Mrs May had made a great thing

:59:53.:00:06.

about the just about managing. Not the poorest of the poor, but not

:00:07.:00:11.

really affluent people, who are maybe OK but it's a bit of a

:00:12.:00:17.

struggle. What is in the manifesto for them? There is something about

:00:18.:00:21.

the high profile items in the manifesto. She said she wants to

:00:22.:00:25.

help those just above the poorest level. But if you look at things

:00:26.:00:30.

like the winter fuel allowance, which is going to be given only to

:00:31.:00:35.

the poorest. If you look at free school meals for infants, those for

:00:36.:00:40.

the poorest are going to be kept, but the rest will go. The social

:00:41.:00:45.

care plan, those who are renting or in properties worth up to ?90,000,

:00:46.:00:51.

they are going to be treated, but those in properties worth above

:00:52.:00:58.

that, 250,000, for example, will have to pay. Which leads to the

:00:59.:01:03.

question - what is being done for the just about managings? There is

:01:04.:01:08.

something, the personal allowance that David Cameron promised in 2015,

:01:09.:01:13.

that they are not making a big deal of that, because they cannot say by

:01:14.:01:19.

how much. So you are looking in tax rises on the just about managings.

:01:20.:01:26.

Where will the tax rises come from. We do not know, that there is the 40

:01:27.:01:35.

million pounds gap for the Tories to reach what they are pledging in

:01:36.:01:39.

their manifesto. We do not know how that is going to be made up, more

:01:40.:01:45.

tax, or more borrowing? So that is why the questions of the

:01:46.:01:48.

implications of removing the tax lock are so potentially difficult

:01:49.:01:53.

for Tory MPs. The Labour manifesto gives figures for the cost of

:01:54.:01:57.

certain policies and where the revenue will come from. You can

:01:58.:02:00.

argue about the figures, but at least we have the figures. The Tory

:02:01.:02:06.

manifesto is opaque on these matters. That applies to both the

:02:07.:02:10.

manifestos. Looking at the Labour manifesto on the way here this

:02:11.:02:14.

morning, when you look at the section on care for the elderly,

:02:15.:02:18.

they simply say, there are various ways in which the money for this can

:02:19.:02:23.

be raised. They are specific on other things. They are, and we heard

:02:24.:02:29.

John McDonnell this morning being very on that, and saying there is

:02:30.:02:36.

not a single ? in Tory manifesto. I have only got to page 66. It is

:02:37.:02:43.

quite broad brush and they are very open to challenge. For example, on

:02:44.:02:48.

the detail of a number of their flagship things. There is no detail

:02:49.:02:53.

on their immigration policy. They reiterate the ambition, but not how

:02:54.:02:58.

they are going to do that, without a massive increase in resource for

:02:59.:03:05.

Borders officials. We are at a time where average wages are lagging

:03:06.:03:10.

behind prices. And in work benefits remain frozen. I would have thought

:03:11.:03:15.

that the just-about-managings are people who are in work but they need

:03:16.:03:20.

some in work benefits to make life tolerable and be able to pay bills.

:03:21.:03:26.

Doesn't she has to do more for them? Maybe, but this whole manifesto was

:03:27.:03:34.

her inner circle saying, right, this is our chance to express our... It

:03:35.:03:40.

partly reads like a sort of philosophical essay at times. About

:03:41.:03:45.

the challenges, individualism against collectivism. Some of it

:03:46.:03:49.

reads quite well and is quite interesting, but in terms of its

:03:50.:03:55.

detail, Labour would never get away with it. They wouldn't be allowed to

:03:56.:04:00.

be so vague about where taxes are going to rise. We know there are

:04:01.:04:04.

going to be tax rises after the election, but we don't know where

:04:05.:04:09.

they will be. 100%, there will be tax rises. We know that they wanted

:04:10.:04:16.

a tax rise in the last budget, but they couldn't get it through because

:04:17.:04:22.

of the 2015 manifesto. Labour do offer a lot more detail. People

:04:23.:04:27.

could disagree with it, but there is a lot more detail. More to get your

:04:28.:04:33.

teeth into. About capital gains tax and the rises for better owners and

:04:34.:04:39.

so on. The SNP manifesto comes out this week, and the Greens and Sinn

:04:40.:04:45.

Fein. We think Ukip as well. There are more manifestos to come. The Lib

:04:46.:04:48.

Dems have already brought theirs out. Isn't the Liberal Democrat

:04:49.:04:55.

campaign in trouble? It doesn't seem to be doing particular the well in

:04:56.:05:02.

the polls, or at the local elections a few weeks ago. The Liberal

:05:03.:05:04.

Democrats are trying to fish in quite a small pool for votes. They

:05:05.:05:10.

are looking to get votes from those remainers who want to reverse the

:05:11.:05:15.

result, in effect. Tim Farron is promising a second referendum on the

:05:16.:05:20.

deal at the end of the negotiation process. And that is a hard sell. So

:05:21.:05:28.

those voting for remain on June 23 are not low hanging fruit by any

:05:29.:05:34.

means? Polls suggesting that half of those want to reverse the result, so

:05:35.:05:39.

that is a feeling of about 20% on the Lib Dems, and they are getting

:05:40.:05:43.

slightly less than half at the moment, but there are not a huge

:05:44.:05:48.

amount of votes for them to get on that strategy. It doesn't feel like

:05:49.:05:56.

Tim Farron and the Lib Dems have promised enough. They are making a

:05:57.:06:02.

very serious case on cannabis use in a nightclub, but the optics of what

:06:03.:06:05.

they are discussing doesn't make them look like an anchor in a future

:06:06.:06:09.

coalition government that they would need to be. I wonder if we are

:06:10.:06:14.

seeing the re-emergence of the 2-party system? And it is not the

:06:15.:06:18.

same two parties. In Scotland, the dynamics of this election seemed to

:06:19.:06:22.

be the Nationalists against the Conservatives. In England, if you

:06:23.:06:24.

look at what has happened to be Ukip vote, and what Sam was saying about

:06:25.:06:42.

the Lib Dems are struggling a bit to get some traction, it is

:06:43.:06:43.

overwhelmingly Labour and the Conservatives. A different 2-party

:06:44.:06:46.

system from Scotland, but a 2-party system. There are a number of

:06:47.:06:48.

different election is going on in parallel. In Scotland it is about

:06:49.:06:53.

whether you are unionist or not. Here, we have the collapse of the

:06:54.:06:57.

Ukip vote, which looks as though it is being redistributed in the

:06:58.:07:04.

Tories' favour. This is a unique election, and will not necessarily

:07:05.:07:09.

set the trend for elections to come. In the Tory manifesto, I spotted the

:07:10.:07:12.

fact that the fixed term Parliament act is going to be scrapped. That

:07:13.:07:21.

got almost no coverage! It turned out to be academic anyway, that it

:07:22.:07:25.

tells you something about how Theresa May is feeling, and she

:07:26.:07:29.

wants the control to call an election whenever it suits her.

:07:30.:07:34.

Re-emergence of the 2-party system, for this election or beyond? For

:07:35.:07:43.

this election, yes, but it shows the sort of robust strength of parties

:07:44.:07:47.

and their fragility. In other words, the Lib Dems haven't really

:07:48.:07:52.

recovered from the losses in the last general election, and are

:07:53.:07:57.

therefore not really seen as a robust vehicle to deliver Remain. If

:07:58.:08:00.

they were, they might be doing better. The Labour Party hasn't

:08:01.:08:06.

recovered in Scotland, and yet, if you look at the basic divide in

:08:07.:08:10.

England and Scotland and you see two parties battling it out, it is very,

:08:11.:08:15.

very hard for the smaller parties to break through and last. Many appear

:08:16.:08:20.

briefly on the political stage and then disappear again. The election

:08:21.:08:26.

had the ostensible goal of Brexit, but we haven't heard much about it

:08:27.:08:31.

in the campaign. Perhaps the Tories want to get back onto that. David

:08:32.:08:38.

Davis sounding quite tough this morning, the Brexit minister, saying

:08:39.:08:42.

there is no chance we will talk about 100 billion. And we have to

:08:43.:08:46.

have power in the negotiations on the free trade deal or what ever it

:08:47.:08:51.

is. I think they are keen to get the subject of the manifesto at this

:08:52.:08:55.

point, because it has not started too well. There is an irony that

:08:56.:09:00.

Theresa May ostensibly called the election because she needed a

:09:01.:09:05.

stronger hand in the Brexit negotiations, and there was an

:09:06.:09:08.

opportunity for the Lib Dems, with their unique offer of being the

:09:09.:09:11.

party that is absolutely against the outcome of the referendum, and

:09:12.:09:17.

offering another chance. There hasn't been much airtime on that

:09:18.:09:22.

particular pledge, because instead, this election has segued into being

:09:23.:09:28.

all about leadership. Theresa May's leadership, and looking again at the

:09:29.:09:33.

Tory manifesto, I was struck that she was saying that this is my plan

:09:34.:09:40.

for the future, not ABBA plan. Even when talking about social care, he

:09:41.:09:46.

manages to work in a bit about Theresa May and Brexit. And Boris

:09:47.:09:50.

Johnson this morning, an interview he gave on another political

:09:51.:09:55.

programme this morning, it was extraordinarily sycophantic for him.

:09:56.:09:59.

Isn't Theresa May wonderful. There is a man trying to secure his job in

:10:00.:10:06.

the Foreign Office! Will he succeed? I think she will leave him. Better

:10:07.:10:12.

in the tent than out. What did you make of David Davis' remarks? He was

:10:13.:10:18.

basically saying, we will walk away from the negotiating table if the

:10:19.:10:24.

Europeans slam a bill for 100 billion euros. The point is that the

:10:25.:10:32.

Europeans will not slam a bill for 100 billion euros on the negotiating

:10:33.:10:36.

table. That is the gross figure. There are all sorts of things that

:10:37.:10:41.

need to be taken into account. I imagine they will ask for something

:10:42.:10:46.

around the 50 or ?60 billion mark. It looks that they are trying to

:10:47.:10:54.

make it look like a concession when they do make their demands in order

:10:55.:10:56.

to soften the ground for what is going to happen just two weeks after

:10:57.:11:02.

general election day. He makes a reasonable point about having

:11:03.:11:06.

parallel talks. What they want to do straightaway is deal with the bill,

:11:07.:11:09.

Northern Ireland and citizens rights. All of those things are very

:11:10.:11:14.

complicated and interlinked issues, which cannot be dealt with in

:11:15.:11:18.

isolation. I wouldn't be surprised if we ended up with parallel talks,

:11:19.:11:23.

just to work out where we are going with Northern Ireland and the

:11:24.:11:29.

border. Steve, you can't work out what the Northern Ireland border

:11:30.:11:33.

will be, and EU citizens' writes here, until you work out what our

:11:34.:11:38.

relationship with the EU in the future will be. Indeed. The British

:11:39.:11:43.

government is under pressure to deal quickly with the border issue in

:11:44.:11:48.

Ireland, but feel they can't do so because when you have a tariff free

:11:49.:11:52.

arrangement outcome, or an arrangement that is much more

:11:53.:11:55.

protectionist, and that will determine partly the nature of the

:11:56.:12:00.

border. You cannot have a quick agreement on that front without

:12:01.:12:03.

knowing the rest of the deal. I think the negotiation will be

:12:04.:12:07.

complex. I am certain they want a deal rather than none, because this

:12:08.:12:12.

is no deal thing is part of the negotiation at this early stage.

:12:13.:12:18.

Sounding tough in the general election campaign also works

:12:19.:12:21.

electorally. But after the election, it will be a tough negotiation,

:12:22.:12:29.

beginning with this cost of Brexit. My understanding is that the

:12:30.:12:32.

government feels it's got to make the Europeans think they will not do

:12:33.:12:37.

a deal in order to get a deal. They don't want no deal. Absolutely not.

:12:38.:12:42.

And I'm sure it plays into the election. I'm sure the rhetoric will

:12:43.:12:45.

change when the election is over. That's all for today,

:12:46.:12:50.

thank you to all my guests. The Daily Politics will be

:12:51.:12:52.

back on BBC Two at 12.00 And tomorrow evening I will be

:12:53.:12:55.

starting my series of interviews with the party leaders -

:12:56.:12:59.

first up is the Prime Minister, Theresa May,

:13:00.:13:01.

that's at 7pm on BBC One. And I'll be back here at the same

:13:02.:13:03.

time on BBC One next Sunday. Remember - if it's Sunday,

:13:04.:13:07.

it's the Sunday Politics. We've made great strides

:13:08.:13:56.

tackling HIV. Imagine if we could

:13:57.:13:57.

create a movement Hello, there!

:13:58.:13:59.

I bet you weren't expecting me. Well, I'm thrilled to tell you

:14:00.:14:32.

that today but no battle like the battle

:14:33.:14:41.

we're going to see today

:14:42.:14:45.

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