22/01/2017 Sunday Politics


22/01/2017

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It's Sunday morning, and this is the Sunday Politics.

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Theresa May will be the first foreign leader to visit US

:00:41.:00:44.

President Donald Trump this week - she's promised to hold "very

:00:45.:00:47.

frank" conversations with the new and controversial

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Speaking of the 45th President of America,

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we'll be looking at what the Trump presidency could hold

:00:58.:01:00.

in store for Britain and the rest of the world.

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And with the Supreme Court expected to say that Parliament should

:01:07.:01:09.

have a vote before the Brexit process begins, we'll ask

:01:10.:01:12.

Shadow Home Secretary Diane Abbott what Labour will do next.

:01:13.:01:18.

In the capital, a ?2 billion regeneration scheme in north London.

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Is a public-private partnership the best way,

:01:23.:01:25.

And to talk about all of that and more, I'm joined by three

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journalists who, in an era of so-called fake news, can be

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relied upon for their accuracy, their impartiality -

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and their willingness to come to the studio

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It's Steve Richards, Julia Hartley-Brewer

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and Tom Newton Dunn, and during the programme they'll be

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tweeting as often as the 45th President of the USA in the middle

:02:02.:02:05.

So - the Prime Minister has been appearing on the BBC this morning.

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She was mostly talking about Donald Trump and Brexit,

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but she was also asked about a story on the front of this

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It's reported that an unarmed Trident missile test fired

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from the submarine HMS Vengeance near the Florida coast in June

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The paper says the incident took place weeks before a crucial Commons

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Well, let's have listen to Theresa May talking

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The issue that we were talking about in the House of Commons

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It was about whether or not we should renew Trident,

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whether we should look to the future and have a replacement Trident.

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That's what we were talking about in the House of Commons.

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That's what the House of Commons voted for.

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He doesn't want to defend our country with an independent

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There are tests that take place all the time, regularly,

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What we were talking about in that debate that took place...

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I'm not going to get an answer to this.

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Tom, it was clear this was going to come up this morning. It is on the

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front page of the Sunday Times. It would seem to me the Prime Minister

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wasn't properly briefed on how to reply. I think she probably was, but

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the Prime Minister we now have doesn't necessarily answer all

:03:47.:03:49.

questions in the straightest way. She didn't answer that one and all.

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Unlike previous ones? She made it quite clear she was briefed. You

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read between the Theresa May lines. By simply not answering Andrew Marr

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four times, it is obvious she knew, and that she knew before she went

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into the House of Commons and urged everyone to renew the ?40 billion

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replacement programme. Of course it is an embarrassment, but does it

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have political legs? I don't think so. She didn't mislead the Commons.

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If she wanted to close it down, the answer should have been, these are

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matters of national security. There's nothing more important in

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that than our nuclear deterrent. I'm not prepared to talk about testing.

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End of. But she didn't. Maybe you should be briefing her. That's a

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good answer. She is an interesting interviewee. She shows it when she

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is nervous. She was transparently uneasy answering those questions,

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and the fact she didn't answer it definitively suggests she did know

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and didn't want to say it, and she answered awkwardly. But how wider

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point, that the House of Commons voted for the renewal of Trident,

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suggests to me that in the broader sweep of things, this will not run,

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because if there was another vote, I would suggest she'd win it again.

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But it is an embarrassment and she handled it with a transparent

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awkwardness. She said that the tests go on all the time, but not of the

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missiles. Does it not show that when the Prime Minister leaves her

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comfort zone of Home Office affairs or related matters, she often

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struggles. We've seen it under questioning from Mr Corbyn even, and

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we saw it again today. Absolutely. Tests of various aspects of the

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missiles go on all the time, but there's only been five since 2000.

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What you described wouldn't have worked, because in previous tests

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they have always been very public about it. Look how well our missiles

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work! She may not have misled Parliament, but she may not have

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known about it. If she didn't know, does Michael Fallon still have a job

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on Monday? Should Parliament know about a test that doesn't work? Some

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would say absolutely not. Our deterrent is there to deter people

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from attacking us. If they know that we are hitting the United States by

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mistake rather than the Atlantic Ocean, then... There is such a thing

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as national security, and telling all the bad guys about where we are

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going wrong may not be a good idea. It was her first statement as Prime

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Minister to put her case for renewal, to have the vote on

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Trident, and in that context, it is significant not to say anything. If

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anyone knows where the missile landed, give us a call!

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So Donald Trump's inauguration day closed with him dancing

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to Frank Sinatra's My Way, and whatever your view on the 45th

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President of the United States he certainly did do it his way.

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Not for him the idealistic call for national unity -

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instead he used Friday's inaugural address to launch a blistering

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attack on the dark state of the nation and the political

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class, and to promise to take his uncompromising approach

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from the campaign trail to the White House.

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Here's Adam Fleming, with a reminder of how

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First, dropping by for a cup of tea and a slightly awkward exchange

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Then, friends, foes and predecessors watched

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I, Donald John Trump, do solemnly swear...

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The crowds seemed smaller than previous inaugurations,

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the speech tougher then any previous incoming president.

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From this day forth, it's going to be only America first.

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In the meantime, there were sporadic protests in Washington, DC.

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Opponents made their voices heard around the world too.

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The President, who'd criticised the work of

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the intelligence agencies, fitted in a visit to the CIA.

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There is nobody that feels stronger about the intelligence community

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And, back at the office, in the dark, a signature signalled

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the end of the Obama era and the dawn of Trump.

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So, as you heard there, President Trump used his

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inauguration to repeat his campaign promise to put "America first"

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in all his decisions, and offered some hints of what to expect

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He talked of in America in carnage, to be rebuilt by American hands and

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American Labour. President Trump has already started to dismantle key

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parts of the Obama Legacy, including the unwinding of the affordable care

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act, and the siding of the climate action plan to tackle global

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warning. Little to say about foreign policy, but promised to eradicate

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Islamic terrorism from the face of the Earth, insisting he would

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restore the US military to unquestioning dominance. He also

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said the US would develop a state missile defence system to deal with

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threats he sees from Iran and North Korea. In a statement that painted a

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bleak picture of the country he now runs, he said his would be a law and

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order Administration, and he would keep the innocents safe by building

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the border war with Mexico. One thing he didn't mention, for the

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first time ever, there is a Eurosceptic in the oval office, who

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is also an enthusiast for Brexit. We're joined now by Ted Malloch -

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he's a Trump supporter who's been tipped as the president's

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choice for US ambassador to the EU, and he's

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just flown back from Washington. And by James Rubin -

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he's a democrat who served Let's start with that last point I

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made in the voice over there. We now have a Eurosceptic in the oval

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office. He is pro-Brexit and not keen on further European Union

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integration. What are the implications of that? First of all,

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a renewal of the US- UK special relationship. You see the Prime

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Minister already going to build and rebuild this relationship. Already,

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the bust of Winston Churchill is back in the oval office.

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Interestingly, Martin Luther King's bust is also there, so there is an

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act of unity in that first movement of dusts. Donald Trump will be

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oriented between bilateral relationships and not multilateral

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or supernatural. Supranational full. What are the implications of someone

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in the White House now not believing in it? I think we are present in the

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unravelling of America's leadership of the West. There is now a thing

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called the west that America has led since the end of World War II,

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creating supranational - we just heard supernatural! These

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institutions were created. With American leadership, the world was

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at peace in Europe, and the world grew increasingly democratic and

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prosperous. Wars were averted that could be extremely costly. When

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something works in diplomacy, you don't really understand what the

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consequences could have been. I think we've got complacent. The new

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president is taking advantage of that. It is a terrible tragedy that

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so many in the West take for granted the successful leadership and

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institutions we have built. You could argue, as James Rubin has

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argued in some articles, that... Will Mr Trump's America be more

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involved in the world than the Obama won? Or will it continue the process

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with running shoes on that began with Mr Obama? President Obama

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stepped back from American leadership. He withdrew from the

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world. He had a horrendous eight years in office, and American powers

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have diminished everywhere in the world, not just in Europe. That

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power will reassert. The focus will be on America first, but there are

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foreign interests around the world... How does it reassert itself

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around the world? I think the institutions will be recreated. Some

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may be taken down. There could be some new ones. I think Nato itself,

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and certainly the Defence Secretary will have discussions with Donald

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Trump about how Nato can be reshaped, and maybe there will be

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more burden sharing. That is an important thing for him. You are

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tipped to be the US ambassador to Brussels, to the EU, and we are

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still waiting to hear if that will happen. Is it true to say that Mr

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Trump does not believe in EU integration? I think you made that

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clear in the speech. He talked about supranational. He does not believe

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in those kinds of organisations. He is investing himself in bilateral

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relationships, the first of which will be with the UK. So we have a

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president who does not believe in EU integration and has been highly

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critical of Nato. Do the people he has appointed to defend, Secretary

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of State, national security, do you think that will temper this

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anti-NATO wretched? Will he come round to a more pro-NATO situation?

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I think those of us who care about America's situation in the world

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will come in to miss President Obama a lot. I think the Secretary of

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State and the faculty of defence will limit the damage and will urge

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him not to take formal steps to unravel this most powerful and most

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successful alliance in history, the Nato alliance. But the damage is

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already being done. When you are the leader of the West, leadership means

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you are persuading, encouraging, bolstering your leadership and these

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institutions by the way you speak. Millions, if not hundreds of

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millions of people, have now heard the US say that what they care about

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is within their borders. What do you say to that? It is such

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an overstatement. The point is that Donald Trump is in a Jacksonian

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tradition of national populism. He is appealing to the people first.

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The other day, I was sitting below this page during the address, and he

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said, everyone sitting behind me as part of the problem. Everyone in

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front of me, the crowd and the crowd on television, is part of the

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solution, so we are giving the Government back to the people. That

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emphasis is going to change American life, including American

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International relations. It doesn't moving the leak back -- it doesn't

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mean we are moving out of Nato, it simply means we will put our

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national interests first. There were echoes of Andrew Jackson's

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inauguration address of 1820. That night, the Jacksonians trashed the

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White House, but Mr Trump's people didn't do that, so there is a

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difference there. He also said something else in the address - that

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protectionism would lead to prosperity. I would suggest there is

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no evidence for that in the post-war world. He talked about protecting

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the American worker, American jobs, the American economy. I actually

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think that Donald Trump will not turn out to be a protectionist. If

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you read the heart of the deal... This is referring to two Republican

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senators who introduce massive tariffs in the Hoover

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administration. Exactly. If you read The Art Of The Deal, you will see

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how Donald Trump deals with individuals and countries. There is

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a lot of bluster, positioning, and I think you already see this in

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bringing jobs by the United States. Things are going to change. Let's

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also deal with this proposition. China is the biggest loser of this

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election result. Let me say this: The first time in American history

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and American president has set forth his view of the world, and it is a

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mercantile view of the world, who makes more money, who gets more

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trade, it doesn't look at the shared values, leadership and defends the

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world needs. The art of the deal has no application to America's

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leadership of the world, that's what we're learning. You can be a great

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businessman and make great real estate deals - whether he did not is

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debatable - but it has nothing to do with inspiring shared values from

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the West. You saying China may lose, because he may pressure them to

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reduce their trade deficit with the US. They may or may not. We may both

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lose. Right now, his Secretary of State has said, and I think he will

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walk this back when he is brief, that they will prevent the Chinese

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from entering these islands in the South China Sea. If they were to do

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that, it would be a blockade, and there would be a shooting war

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between the United States and China, so US - China relations are the most

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important bilateral relationship of the United States, and they don't

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lend themselves to the bluff and bluster that may have worked when

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you are trying to get a big building on second Ave in Manhattan. Is China

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the biggest loser? I think the Chinese have a lot to lose. Gigi and

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Ping was in Davos this week -- Xi Jin Ping was in Davos.

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Is Germany the second biggest loser in the sense that I understand he

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hasn't agreed time to see Angela Merkel yet, also that those close to

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him believe that Germany is guilty of currency manipulation by adopting

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a weak your row instead of the strong Deutschmark, and that that is

:20:20.:20:23.

why they are running a huge balance of payments surplus with the United

:20:24.:20:29.

States. American - German relations may not be great. There is a point

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of view throughout Europe. You only have to talk to the southern

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Europeans about this question. It seems like the euro has been aligned

:20:39.:20:42.

to benefit Germany. Joe Stiglitz, the famous left of centre Democrat

:20:43.:20:48.

economist, made the same case in a recent book. In this case, I think

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Germany will be put under the spotlight. Angela Merkel has shown

:20:57.:21:00.

herself to be the most respected and the most successful leader in

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Europe. We who care about the West, who care about the shared values of

:21:06.:21:09.

the West, should pray and hope that she is re-elected. This isn't about

:21:10.:21:14.

dollars and cents. We're living in a time whether Russian leader has

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another country in Europe and for some inexplicable reason, the

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American president, who can use his insult diplomacy on everyone,

:21:26.:21:28.

including Mrs Merkel, the only person he can't seem to find

:21:29.:21:34.

anything to criticise about is Mr Putin. There are things more

:21:35.:21:38.

important than the actual details of your currency. There are things like

:21:39.:21:42.

preventing another war in Europe, preventing a war between the Chinese

:21:43.:21:45.

and the US. You talk about the Trident missile all morning, nuclear

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deterrence is extremely important. It doesn't lend itself to the bluff

:21:53.:21:57.

and bluster of a real estate deal. I understand all that, but the fact we

:21:58.:22:00.

are even talking about these things shows the new world we are moving

:22:01.:22:05.

into. I'd like to get you both to react to this. This is a man that

:22:06.:22:09.

ended the Bush Dynasty, a man that beat the Clinton machine. In his

:22:10.:22:17.

inauguration, not only did he not reach out to the Democrats, he

:22:18.:22:19.

didn't even mention the Republicans. These are changed days for us. They

:22:20.:22:26.

are, and change can be good or disastrous. I'm worried that it's

:22:27.:22:30.

easy in the world of diplomacy and in them -- for the leadership of the

:22:31.:22:36.

United States to break relationships and ruin alliances. These are things

:22:37.:22:40.

that were carefully nurtured. George Schultz, the American Secretary of

:22:41.:22:48.

State under Reagan talked about gardening, the slow, careful

:22:49.:22:51.

creation of a place with bilateral relationships that were blossoming

:22:52.:22:56.

and flowering multilateral relationships that take decades to

:22:57.:22:59.

create, and he will throw them away in a matter of days. The final

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word... I work for George Schultz. He was a Marine who stood up

:23:06.:23:09.

America, defended America, who would be in favour of many of the things

:23:10.:23:14.

that Donald Trump and the tramp Administration... Give him a call.

:23:15.:23:19.

His top aide macs that I've spoken to are appalled by Mr Trump's

:23:20.:23:23.

abdication of leadership. He is going to our radically -- he's going

:23:24.:23:32.

to eradicate extremist Islam from the face of the year. Is that

:23:33.:23:37.

realistic? I know people in the national security realm have worked

:23:38.:23:40.

on a plan. They say they will have such a plan in some detail within 90

:23:41.:23:46.

days. Lets hope they succeed. We have run out of time. As a issues.

:23:47.:23:52.

Thank you, both. -- fascinating issues.

:23:53.:23:55.

So Theresa May promised a big speech on Brexit, and this week -

:23:56.:23:58.

perhaps against expectation - she delivered, trying to answer

:23:59.:24:01.

claims that the government didn't have a plan with an explicit

:24:02.:24:03.

wish-list of what she hopes to achieve in negotiations with the EU.

:24:04.:24:06.

To her allies it was ambitious, bold, optimistic -

:24:07.:24:08.

to her opponents it was full of contradictions

:24:09.:24:10.

Here's Adam again, with a reminder of the speech and how

:24:11.:24:14.

There are speeches, and there are speeches.

:24:15.:24:19.

Like Theresa May's 12 principles for a Brexit deal leading

:24:20.:24:23.

to the UK fully out of the EU but still friendly in terms

:24:24.:24:26.

This agreement should allow for the freest possible trade

:24:27.:24:29.

in goods and services between Britain and the EU's member states.

:24:30.:24:32.

It should give British companies the maximum

:24:33.:24:37.

operate within European markets and let European businesses do

:24:38.:24:41.

She also said no deal would be better than the wrong deal,

:24:42.:24:49.

We want to test what people think about what she's just said.

:24:50.:25:05.

Do we have any of our future negotiating

:25:06.:25:07.

As the European Parliament voted for its new

:25:08.:25:12.

president, its chief negotiator sounded off.

:25:13.:25:19.

Saying, OK, if our European counterparts don't accept

:25:20.:25:21.

it, we're going to make from Britain a sort

:25:22.:25:24.

of free zone or tax haven, I

:25:25.:25:27.

The Prime Minister of Malta, the country that's assumed the EU's

:25:28.:25:33.

rotating presidency, spoke in sorrow and a bit of anger.

:25:34.:25:36.

We want a fair deal for the United Kingdom, but

:25:37.:25:40.

that deal necessarily needs to be inferior to membership.

:25:41.:25:50.

Next, let's hear from some enthusiastic

:25:51.:25:53.

leavers, like, I don't know, the Daily Mail?

:25:54.:25:58.

The paper lapped it up with this adoring front page.

:25:59.:26:01.

For Brexiteers, it was all manna from heaven.

:26:02.:26:05.

I think today means we are a big step closer to becoming

:26:06.:26:08.

an independent country again, with control of our own laws,

:26:09.:26:11.

I was chuckling at some of it, to be honest, because

:26:12.:26:17.

There were various phrases there which I've used myself again and

:26:18.:26:21.

Do we have any of those so-called Remoaners?

:26:22.:26:26.

There will, at the end of this deal process,

:26:27.:26:28.

so politicians get to vote on the stitch-up, but

:26:29.:26:31.

We take the view as Liberal Democrats that

:26:32.:26:34.

if this process started with democracy last June,

:26:35.:26:36.

We trusted the people with departure, we must trust them

:26:37.:26:41.

Do we have anyone from Labour, or are you all

:26:42.:26:47.

watching it in a small room somewhere?

:26:48.:26:49.

Throughout the speech, there seemed to be an implied threat that

:26:50.:26:56.

somewhere along the line, if all her optimism of a deal

:26:57.:26:59.

with the European Union didn't work, we would move

:27:00.:27:01.

into a low-tax, corporate taxation, bargain-basement economy on the

:27:02.:27:03.

I think she needs to be a bit clearer about what

:27:04.:27:07.

The Labour leader suggested he'd tell

:27:08.:27:14.

his MPs to vote in favour of starting a Brexit process if

:27:15.:27:17.

Parliament was given the choice, sparking a mini pre-revolt among

:27:18.:27:20.

Finally, do we have anyone from big business here?

:27:21.:27:25.

Of course, your all in Davos at the World Economic

:27:26.:27:34.

Clarity, first of all, really codified what many of us have been

:27:35.:27:44.

anticipating since the referendum result,

:27:45.:27:46.

particularly around the

:27:47.:27:47.

I think what we've also seen today is the Government's

:27:48.:27:52.

willingness to put a bit of edge into the negotiating dynamic, and I

:27:53.:27:55.

Trade negotiations are negotiations, and you have to lay out, and you

:27:56.:27:59.

have to be pretty tough to get what you want.

:28:00.:28:02.

Although some business people on the slopes speculated

:28:03.:28:04.

about moving some of their operations out of Brexit Britain.

:28:05.:28:06.

We saw there the instant reaction of Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn,

:28:07.:28:24.

but how will the party respond to the challenge posed by Brexit

:28:25.:28:27.

Well, I'm joined now by the Shadow Home Secretary, Diane Abbott.

:28:28.:28:31.

People know that Ukip and the Tories are for Brexit. The Lib Dems are

:28:32.:28:40.

four remain. What is Labour for? For respecting the result of the

:28:41.:28:44.

referendum. It was a 72% turnout, very high for an election of that

:28:45.:28:49.

nature, and we believe you have to respect that result. You couldn't

:28:50.:28:52.

have a situation where people like Tim Farron are saying to people,

:28:53.:28:57.

millions of people, sorry, you got it wrong, we in London no better.

:28:58.:29:00.

However, how the Tories go forward from here has to be subject to

:29:01.:29:07.

parliamentary scrutiny. Is it Shadow Cabinet policy to vote for the

:29:08.:29:12.

triggering of Article 50? Our policy is not to block Article 50. That is

:29:13.:29:16.

what the leader was saying this morning. So are you for it? Our

:29:17.:29:23.

policy is not to block it. You are talking about voting for it. We

:29:24.:29:28.

don't know what the Supreme Court is going to say, and we don't know what

:29:29.:29:33.

legislation Government will bring forward, and we don't know what

:29:34.:29:37.

amendment we will move, but we're clear that we will not vote to block

:29:38.:29:43.

it. OK, so you won't bow to stop it, but you could abstain? No, what we

:29:44.:29:51.

will do... Either you vote for or against all you abstain. There are

:29:52.:29:55.

too many unanswered questions. For instance, the position of EU

:29:56.:29:59.

migrants working and living in this country. You may not get the answer

:30:00.:30:03.

to that before Article 50 comes before the Commons, so what would

:30:04.:30:08.

you do then? We are giving to amend it. We can only tell you exactly how

:30:09.:30:13.

we will amend it when we understand what sort of legislation the

:30:14.:30:16.

Government is putting forward, and in the course of moving those

:30:17.:30:20.

amendments, we will ask the questions that the people of Britain

:30:21.:30:24.

whether they voted to leave remain want answered.

:30:25.:30:29.

When you come to a collective view, will there be a three line whip? I

:30:30.:30:38.

can't tell you, because we have not seen the government 's legislation.

:30:39.:30:42.

But when you see it, you will come to a collective view. Many regard

:30:43.:30:48.

this as extremely important. Will there be a three line whip on

:30:49.:30:54.

Labour's collective view? Because it is important, we shouldn't get ahead

:30:55.:30:59.

of ourselves. When we see what the Supreme Court says, and crucially,

:31:00.:31:03.

when we see what the government position is, you will hear what the

:31:04.:31:07.

whipping is. Will shadow ministers be able to defy any three line whip

:31:08.:31:14.

on this? That is not normally the case. But they did on an early vote

:31:15.:31:20.

that the government introduced on Article 50. Those who voted against

:31:21.:31:25.

it are still there. In the Blair years, you certainly couldn't defy a

:31:26.:31:30.

three line whip. We will see what happens going forward. I remember

:31:31.:31:36.

when the Tories were hopelessly divided over the EU. All these

:31:37.:31:39.

Maastricht votes and an list arguments. Now it is Labour. Just

:31:40.:31:46.

another symptom of Mr Corbyn's poor leadership. Not at all. Two thirds

:31:47.:31:58.

voted to leave, a third to remain. We are seeking to bring the country

:31:59.:32:03.

and the party together. We will do that by pointing out how disastrous

:32:04.:32:09.

a Tory Brexit would be. Meanwhile, around 80 Labour MPs will defy a

:32:10.:32:18.

three line whip. It's too early to say that. Will you publish what you

:32:19.:32:23.

believe the negotiating goal should be? We are clear on it. We think

:32:24.:32:29.

that the economy, jobs and living standards should be the priority.

:32:30.:32:34.

What Theresa May is saying is that holding her party together is her

:32:35.:32:40.

priority. She is putting party above country. Does Labour think we should

:32:41.:32:46.

remain members of the single market? Ideally, in terms of jobs and the

:32:47.:32:51.

economy, of course. Ritt -ish business thinks that as well. Is

:32:52.:32:56.

Labour policy that we should remain a member of the single market?

:32:57.:33:01.

Labour leaves that jobs and the economy comes first, and if they

:33:02.:33:04.

come first, you would want to remain part of the single market. But to

:33:05.:33:12.

remain a member? Jobs and the economy comes first, and to do that,

:33:13.:33:19.

ideally, guess. So with that, comes free movement of people, the

:33:20.:33:23.

jurisdiction of the European, and a multi-million never shipped thief.

:33:24.:33:30.

Is Labour prepared to pay that? Money is neither here nor there.

:33:31.:33:35.

Because the Tories will be asked to pay a lot of money... The EU has

:33:36.:33:44.

made it clear that you cannot have... I am asking for Labour's

:33:45.:33:51.

position. Our position is rooted in the reality, and the reality is that

:33:52.:33:57.

you cannot have the benefits of the member of the European Union,

:33:58.:34:01.

including being a member of the single market, without

:34:02.:34:03.

responsibility, including free movement of people. Free movement,

:34:04.:34:08.

is remaining under the jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice. Is

:34:09.:34:16.

that the Labour position? You've said that Labour wants to remain a

:34:17.:34:21.

member of the single market. That is the price tag that comes with it.

:34:22.:34:26.

Does Labour agree with paying that price tag? We are not pre-empting

:34:27.:34:32.

negotiation. Our goals are protect jobs and the British economy. Is it

:34:33.:34:37.

Labour's position that we remain a member of the customs union? Well,

:34:38.:34:46.

if we don't, I don't see how Theresa May can keep our promises and has

:34:47.:34:56.

unfettered access... You said Labour's position was clear. It is!

:34:57.:35:05.

It is clear that Theresa May... I am not asking about Theresa May. Is it

:35:06.:35:10.

Labour's position to remain a member of the customs union? It is Labour's

:35:11.:35:17.

position to do what is right for British industry. Depending on how

:35:18.:35:20.

the negotiations go, it may prove that coming out of the customs

:35:21.:35:25.

union, as Theresa May has indicated she wants to do, could prove

:35:26.:35:31.

catastrophic, and could actually destroy some of her promises. You do

:35:32.:35:36.

accept that if we are member of the customs union, we cannot do our own

:35:37.:35:44.

free trade deals? What free trade deals are you talking about? The

:35:45.:35:50.

ones that Labour might want to do in the future. First, we have to

:35:51.:35:55.

protect British jobs and British industries. If you are talking about

:35:56.:35:59.

free trade deals with Donald Trump, the danger is that Theresa May will

:36:00.:36:04.

get drawn into a free-trade deal with America that will open up the

:36:05.:36:11.

NHS to American corporate... The cards are in Theresa May's hands. If

:36:12.:36:16.

she takes us out of the single market, if she takes us out of the

:36:17.:36:21.

customs union, we will have to deal with that. How big a crisis for

:36:22.:36:26.

Jeremy Corbyn will be if Labour loses both by-elections in February.

:36:27.:36:32.

I don't believe we will lose both. But if he did? I am not anticipating

:36:33.:36:41.

that. Is Labour lost two seats in a midterm of a Tory government, would

:36:42.:36:45.

that be business as usual? I'm not prepared to see us lose those seats,

:36:46.:36:49.

so I will not talk about something that will not happen. Thank you.

:36:50.:36:52.

You're watching the Sunday Politics.

:36:53.:36:53.

We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland, who leave us now

:36:54.:36:56.

Coming up here in 20 minutes, The Week Ahead,

:36:57.:36:59.

when we'll be talking to Business Minister Margot James

:37:00.:37:01.

about the government's new industrial strategy and that

:37:02.:37:04.

crucial Supreme Court ruling on Brexit.

:37:05.:37:07.

First, though, the Sunday Politics where you are.

:37:08.:00:10.

have to do this. Thank you to you both.

:00:11.:00:13.

What exactly is the government's industrial strategy?

:00:14.:00:23.

Will ministers lose their supreme court battle over Brexit, and,

:00:24.:00:27.

Well, tomorrow Theresa May is launching the government's

:00:28.:00:39.

industrial strategy - and to talk about that we're joined

:00:40.:00:43.

by the Business Minister, Margot James - welcome to the show.

:00:44.:00:50.

When you look at what has already been released in advance of the

:00:51.:00:58.

Prime Minister's statement, it was embargoed for last night, it's not

:00:59.:01:03.

really an industrial strategy, it's just another skills strategy, of

:01:04.:01:07.

which we have had about six since the war, and our skills training is

:01:08.:01:14.

among the worst in Western Europe? There will be plenty more to be

:01:15.:01:19.

announced tomorrow in what is really a discussion document in the

:01:20.:01:22.

preparation of an industrial strategy which we intend to launch

:01:23.:01:27.

properly later in the year. Let's look at skills. You are allocating

:01:28.:01:35.

117 of funding to establish institutes of technology. How many?

:01:36.:01:42.

The exact number is to be agreed, but the spend is there, and it will

:01:43.:01:47.

be on top of what we are doing to the university, technical

:01:48.:01:50.

colleges... How many were lit bio create? We don't know exactly, but

:01:51.:01:57.

we want to put them in areas where young people are performing under

:01:58.:02:01.

the national average. But if you don't know how many, what is the

:02:02.:02:08.

basis of 170 million? That is the amount the Treasury have released.

:02:09.:02:12.

The something that is very important, we are agreed we need to

:02:13.:02:16.

devote more resources to vocational training and get it on a par with

:02:17.:02:22.

academic qualifications. I looked on the website of my old university,

:02:23.:02:28.

the University of Glasgow, the Russell group universities. Its

:02:29.:02:33.

spending budget every year is over 600 million. That's one University.

:02:34.:02:41.

And yet you have a mere 170 million foreign unspecified number of

:02:42.:02:46.

institutes of technology. It hasn't got equality with the academics? You

:02:47.:02:52.

have to remember that just as you have quoted figures from Glasgow

:02:53.:02:55.

University there are further education colleges all over the

:02:56.:03:00.

country. The government is already spending on 16 to 19-year-olds. But

:03:01.:03:08.

also, we are going to be adding... This is new money that is all to the

:03:09.:03:13.

good, because we are already spending a lot. We have already

:03:14.:03:19.

created 2 million more apprentices since 2010. That many are not in

:03:20.:03:23.

what we would call the stem skills, and a lot come nowhere near what the

:03:24.:03:28.

Dutch, Germans and Austrians would have. I'm not clear how another 170

:03:29.:03:34.

million would do. You said it is more than skills. In what way is

:03:35.:03:38.

this industrial strategy different from what Mr Cameron and Mr Osborne

:03:39.:03:50.

did before? It's different because it is involving every single

:03:51.:03:52.

government department, and bringing together everything that government

:03:53.:03:54.

does in a bid to make Britain more competitive as it disengages from

:03:55.:03:57.

the European Union. That is what the last Labour government did. They

:03:58.:04:03.

will much more targeted interventions. Under the Labour

:04:04.:04:07.

government, the auto industry got some benefit. A few more sectors

:04:08.:04:12.

were broached under the coalition government. This is all about

:04:13.:04:17.

communities all over the country, some of whom have fallen behind in

:04:18.:04:22.

terms of wage growth and good jobs. The Prime Minister has already

:04:23.:04:28.

announced 2 billion as a research and development priority in specific

:04:29.:04:35.

technologies, robotics, artificial intelligence, medical technology,

:04:36.:04:39.

satellites... So you are doing what has been done before. There is

:04:40.:04:44.

nothing new about this. Wait until tomorrow, because there will be some

:04:45.:04:49.

new strands emerging. It is the beginning of the dialogue with

:04:50.:04:52.

industry and with workers, and the responses will be invited up until

:04:53.:04:58.

April. That will inform a wider strategy that goes beyond skills. I

:04:59.:05:04.

have moved on to beyond them. I'm slightly puzzled as to how the

:05:05.:05:09.

government knows where to invest in robotics, when it can't even provide

:05:10.:05:14.

the NHS with a decent IT system. Discuss. I have to say I find it

:05:15.:05:19.

bizarre that the government is making an announcement about an

:05:20.:05:22.

amount of money and don't know where it's going. This is typical of all

:05:23.:05:27.

governments over all political shoes, which is total disregard for

:05:28.:05:33.

technical education, so different from Germany, who actually invest in

:05:34.:05:42.

the technological side. Germany has a long history. We want to emulate

:05:43.:05:48.

some of the best of what German companies do. Siemens sponsor

:05:49.:05:53.

primary schools, for example. We want to get a dialogue on with

:05:54.:05:58.

business. We don't want to decide where this money is going. By the

:05:59.:06:03.

way, it was 4.7 billion that the government has agreed to invest in

:06:04.:06:09.

science and research, which is the most significant increase in

:06:10.:06:12.

decades. Can you remind us what happened in Northern Ireland, when

:06:13.:06:17.

the government invested money in state-of-the-art technology for

:06:18.:06:20.

energy? No one needs to be reminded of that, and that is not what we are

:06:21.:06:28.

doing. We are inviting business and industry to advise where that money

:06:29.:06:33.

is best spent. That's very different from government deciding that a

:06:34.:06:38.

particular technology is for the future. The government's chief

:06:39.:06:43.

scientific adviser has determined that we will invest a huge amount in

:06:44.:06:49.

battery technology, which should benefit the electric car industry,

:06:50.:06:54.

and... This is taxpayers' money. Who gets it? Ultimately, business will

:06:55.:07:01.

get it, but often only when there is a considerable amount of private

:07:02.:07:06.

sector finance also drawn in. But who is held to account? Various

:07:07.:07:14.

government departments at local authorities will hold this list to

:07:15.:07:18.

account. A lot of it is about releasing private capital as well.

:07:19.:07:25.

Thank you very much. This week, the Supreme Court, I think we know the

:07:26.:07:32.

ruling is coming on Tuesday. And the expectation is that the judges will

:07:33.:07:36.

say Parliament will have to vote to trigger. Is this all much ado about

:07:37.:07:42.

nothing? Parliament will vote to trigger, and the government will win

:07:43.:07:45.

in the Lords and the Commons by substantial majorities, and it will

:07:46.:07:50.

be triggered? Completely. We've known that. Parliament is voted.

:07:51.:07:55.

Everyone is pretty confident that the Supreme Court will uphold the

:07:56.:07:59.

High Court's decision and say it has to go to MPs. There will be a bit of

:08:00.:08:07.

toing and froing among MPs on amendments. You heard Diane Abbott's

:08:08.:08:13.

slightly car crash interview there. The Lib Dems may throw something in,

:08:14.:08:17.

but we will trigger Article 50 by the end of March. If it also says

:08:18.:08:24.

that the roll of Edinburgh, Cardiff and Belfast should be picked up,

:08:25.:08:29.

that could complicate matters. Absolutely. That could delay the

:08:30.:08:33.

planned triggering of Article 50 before the end of March. Not what

:08:34.:08:37.

they say about the Westminster Parliament, because it is clear that

:08:38.:08:42.

it was. I never understood the furore about that original judgment,

:08:43.:08:47.

because every MP made it clear they wouldn't block it. Even though Diane

:08:48.:08:52.

Abbott was evasive on several fronts, she said they wouldn't block

:08:53.:08:57.

it. You are right, if they give a vote, or give some authorisation for

:08:58.:09:02.

the Scottish Parliament and other devolved assemblies, that might

:09:03.:09:07.

delay the whole sequence. That is the only significant thing to watch

:09:08.:09:13.

out for. Watch out on Tuesday. Mrs May goes to Washington. It will be

:09:14.:09:18.

another movie in the making! I would suggest that she has a tricky line

:09:19.:09:22.

to follow. She has got to be seen to be taking advantage of the fact that

:09:23.:09:28.

there is a very pro-British, pro-Brexit president in the Oval

:09:29.:09:32.

Office, who I am told is prepared to expend political capital on this.

:09:33.:09:37.

But on the other hand, to make sure that she is not what we used to call

:09:38.:09:49.

Mr Blair, George Bush's poodle. It is very difficult, and who would not

:09:50.:09:53.

want to be a fly on the wall in that meeting! I can't think of anyone in

:09:54.:09:56.

the world who would despise Mr Trump more than Mrs May, and for him, he

:09:57.:10:02.

dislikes any woman who does not look like a supermodel, no disrespected

:10:03.:10:12.

Mrs May. Most of it is actually anti-EU, and I think we should

:10:13.:10:16.

capitalise it. Let's get the Queen to earn her money, roll out the red

:10:17.:10:21.

carpet, invite him to dinner, spend the night, what ever we need...

:10:22.:10:28.

Trump at Balmoral! Here is the issue, because the agenda is, as we

:10:29.:10:33.

heard from Ted Malloch earlier, that this is not an administration that

:10:34.:10:39.

has much time for the EU, EU integration or Germany. I think

:10:40.:10:41.

Germany will be the second biggest loser to begin with. They will not

:10:42.:10:47.

even give a date for Angela Merkel to meet the president. This is an

:10:48.:10:55.

opportunity for Mrs May... It is a huge. It could sideline talks of the

:10:56.:11:03.

punishment beating from Germany. The Trump presidency has completely

:11:04.:11:10.

changed the field on Brexit. Along came Donald Trump, and Theresa May

:11:11.:11:14.

has this incredible opportunity here. Not of her making, but she has

:11:15.:11:19.

played her cards well. To an officially be the EU emissary to

:11:20.:11:25.

Washington, to get some sort of broker going. That gives us huge

:11:26.:11:30.

extra leveraged in the Brexit negotiations. People around the

:11:31.:11:34.

world think Germany as a currency manipulator, that it is benefiting

:11:35.:11:38.

from an underpriced euro, hence the huge surplus it runs of America, and

:11:39.:11:43.

they think it is disgraceful that a country that runs a massive budget

:11:44.:11:48.

surplus spends only 1.2% of its GDP on defence, and America runs a

:11:49.:11:53.

massive deficit and needs to spend a lot more. He's going for Germany.

:11:54.:12:00.

And what a massive shift. I think Obama was quite open, in a farewell

:12:01.:12:04.

interview, that he felt closer to Merkel than any other European

:12:05.:12:09.

leader. And Jamie kind of reflected that in our discussion. Yes, that's

:12:10.:12:16.

very interesting discussion. I think she was the last person he spoke to

:12:17.:12:21.

in the White House, Obama. And now you are getting the onslaught from

:12:22.:12:27.

Trump. This Thatcher- Reagan imagery is dangerous, though. Blair was

:12:28.:12:32.

hypnotised by it and was too scared to criticise Bush, because he wanted

:12:33.:12:37.

to be seen in that light, and we know where that led. Cameron

:12:38.:12:42.

similarly with Obama, which presented him with problems, as

:12:43.:12:45.

Obama didn't regard him as his number one pin up in Europe. I would

:12:46.:12:52.

put a note of caution in there about the Thatcher - Reagan parallel.

:12:53.:12:57.

Everything Trump is doing now is different from before, so Mrs May

:12:58.:13:02.

should not have any of these previous relationships in her mind.

:13:03.:13:08.

That is not entirely true. Donald Trump aches to be the new Ronald

:13:09.:13:16.

Reagan. He may be impeached first! He sees her as the new Margaret

:13:17.:13:19.

Thatcher, and that may her leveraged with him. Thank you.

:13:20.:13:27.

We'll be back here at the same time next week, and you can catch up

:13:28.:13:32.

on all the latest political news on the Daily Politics,

:13:33.:13:34.

In the meantime, remember - if it's Sunday,

:13:35.:13:39.

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