15/06/2014 The Andrew Marr Show


15/06/2014

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It's only football. Join me today for our review of the Sunday

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newspapers, the editor of the biggest selling Sunday, the jury in

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Newton and one -- Victoria Newton and Azfal Ashraf. The country was

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supposed to be a haven of peace and democracy, but the person we want to

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hear from is Tony Blair. And we will. He spoke to was earlier from

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the Middle East and laid out how he sees the current crisis and what the

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West should do now. But what of his original decision to go to war in

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2003? When you revisit the things you are saying at the time, like in

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Congress, that Iraqi becoming a beacon of peace, stability and

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democracy, you must acknowledge there was an element of naivete

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that? I acknowledge absolutely that the hopes not fulfilled. The next

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biggest political story remains the Scottish independence referendum.

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Last week we spoke to Alex Salmond for the yes campaign, and this week

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we speak to one of the big beast of the Labour Party brought in for the

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prounion campaign, John Reid, former cabinet minister in virtually every

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job you can think of, now Lord Reed. We have also got the newest cabinet

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minister, Sajid Javid, who, as culture Secretary, takes

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responsibility from everything to football, lucky man, to the BBC.

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Lucky man. He's also responsible for theatre, and on cue, I will be

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talking to one of the of grain -- grandest of grand dames, the great

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Kathleen Turner. It's going to be one heck of an hour. First the news.

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The United States says any assistance to fight the violent

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Islamist uprising in parts of Iraq will only succeed if the Iraqi

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authorities overcome deep divisions and forge 'national unity'.

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The warning comes as Iran says it could be prepared to work with

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Meanwhile, the former Prime Minister Tony Blair has blamed the renewed

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violence on the failure of western countries to intervene in Syria.

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He says the advance of insurgents has to be countered

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with force but not necessarily another ground invasion.

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This is where the fightback against Sunni Muslim militants begins. The

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Iraqi government, hopes. These pictures show a helicopter gunships

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hitting militant targets. The Iraqi prime minister has vowed to retake

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the towns and villages overpowered by insurgents in recent days. And

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these are the forces he is trying to stop, Sunni fighters from the ISIS

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group, who have been five -- advanced to the north of Baghdad. 1

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million people having left homeless according to the UN, senior

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officials say a failure to repel the attack would tear the country apart.

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We are seeing a very serious threat to the sovereignty and integrity of

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the country, that is what needs to be dealt with. It cannot be dealt

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with only militarily, but not only politically, because your opponent

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is a very determined organisation, a group of people who seek to destroy

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the state. Fearful that Iraq might be on the brink, the US has sent an

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aircraft carrier to the region while Barack Obama considers possible air

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strikes. The Iranians president says his country is willing to help both

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Iraq and the US confirmed what he calls terrorist groups. The blame

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game over who is responsible for the ISIS gains continues. Writing on his

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website, former British Prime Minister Tony Blair says the upturn

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in violence is the predictable result of the West's failure to

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intervene in neighbouring Syria. Hopes of a positive start

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for the England team were dashed as they were beaten 2-1 by Italy in

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the heat and humidity of Manaus, in For those who couldn't make it to

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Brazil, there was comfort in numbers, as fans gathered

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together to watch the match.Mike Bushell joined some of them

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in Liverpool. The heat and humidity dictated the

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pace and both sides looked ragged. Early on, fancier for Raheem

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Sterling had found just an opening, only to realise it was the side

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netting. The feeling was that England were giving Italy too much

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space, so nobody was to surprise when the Italians did opening -- did

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open the scoring. But the disappointment didn't last for long.

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And the relief was there as Daniel Sturridge turned in the equaliser

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and got the party going again. But the half-time bubble of optimism was

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burst, because after the break, Mario Balotelli exposed the

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frailties at the back once more. That frustration for England fans

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only grew as England huffed and puffed but could not break down the

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Italian's notoriously strong defence. God bit tired towards the

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end. The skills weren't there. The Italians probably a bit better in

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possession, kept the ball, didn't run as much. It showed over the 90

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minutes. We have the chance is to have won the game, that is for sure.

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There it is, England can find a way through, so it gets more tense for

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the England fans next Thursday against Uruguay. England can draw

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comfort from the fact that the team has never failed to qualify from the

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group stage of the World Cup they have been out since 1958. However,

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Uruguay are the South American champions and are also wounded

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having lost their opening match as well. Mike, with the fans in

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Liverpool, for BBC News. Older people with HIV need better

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support to keep them well, that's according to the

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Royal College of Nursing.It's estimated that around a quarter

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of the 100,000 people with HIV Nurses say better training

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for staff is needed to ensure that those living with

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the virus do not face stigma when The former British number one

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tennis player, Elena Baltacha, who died last month, will be remembered

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today as a number of mixed doubles The 30-year-old died

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of liver cancer, and the matches are in aid of

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Baltacha's tennis academy in Ipswich Wimbledon champion Andy Murray will

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take part along with Tim Henman Murray's mother Judy says today's

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matches are I'll be back with the headlines just

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before ten a.m.. As usual, to the front pages, and the single biggest

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technical challenge for the newspapers was getting the England

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result in. We will be talking to the editor of the sun on Sunday, but

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first is her front-page, about the ballet dancer and Mick Jagger. There

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we go. With some of the other papers it's hard to know whether they knew

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or not. The Sunday Telegraph, which we don't have here, oh no, there it

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is, says England against Italy, down but not out. They don't have the

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result. Was that an inspired guess? And also the effect on the taxes on

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house prices going up and we will pay more in depth duties. The Mail

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on Sunday has Cameron telling UK Muslims to be more British and we'll

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talk about that later on. And the Sunday Times, still has its teeth

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into the backside of fever, a big investigation on the story and Kate

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are. To review the papers, Victoria Newton, and Azfal Ashraf, who was a

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counterterrorism officer working for the United States Institute, the

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oldest think tank in the world, founded by the Duke of Edinburgh --

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Duke of Wellington. You have served both in Iraq and Afghanistan. We

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will go straight to the extraordinary Iraqi effect, and you

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have chosen the Sunday express their and Tony Blair's essay which he

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revealed on a website overnight. We have a crisis in Iraq and we are all

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thinking about what we should do about it, and the ex-prime minister

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wants to say it was not him. That makes me wonder whether Shakespeare

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should be quoted here. He does protest too loudly. I also wonder

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who his media advisers are because right now, I don't think anybody

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would have been looking for blame. They are looking for solutions here.

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Anyhow, what he is saying is that if he had not invaded Iraq it would

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have been just as bad if not worse, that is what he suggests. An

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impossible thing to argue about. It is counterfactual. As to the actual

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insurgency itself, we have seen the Iraqi army running away again and we

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have a Sunni Muslim militia being roused, led by uranium officers.

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What is your feeling about the balance of forces on the ground --

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Iranians officers. There are reports that one general is there with 67

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advisers, and it's not clear but Ukraine is 1000 miles away, and the

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thing that is worrying us in Iraq is on Iran's doorstep. They sent some

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typhoon planes to calm things down and it's natural that the Iranians

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would want to do something. A small party of 67 is going to be an

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advisory thing. The militias, those are just people being roused by the

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spiritual head of the Shia Muslims, trying to protect what they think is

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an -- an existential threat. The main defence in Baghdad will be by

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the Army. They have deserted in the North, but that is not to say that

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they will desert around Baghdad, and there are reasons for that. There is

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a sense this is the final fight for Baghdad and if they don't hold it,

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it's all over. Absolutely. Baghdad could be a city too far for ISIS.

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They might have overstretched themselves, and I think if there is

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going to be a military intervention by the Iranians or the Americans,

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this is the time to do it, because they have broken cover. If they

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retreat back into Mosul and Tikrit, it becomes an urban war. Victoria,

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you have chosen one of your rival newspapers, the Mail on Sunday to

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discuss the second story. They have done a great graphic, an eyewitness

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report from the ground in Baghdad, and they have obviously gone on to

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the Tony Blair story. They are quite critical of him. He is also pointing

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out that in Syria they fail to take action and this has become a huge

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problem, and that is his justification. You picked up on the

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PR point about why he chose to speak out now. He will be hugely

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criticised this. Smoking ban, minimum wage, it's odd he has stuck

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his orient. He is a frustrated man because the only thing people want

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to talk about the 2003 decision, which will be round his neck for the

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rest of his life. Which he still believes is the right decision. The

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tragedy is heaving -- is that he did some good things in Sierra Leone and

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Kosovo. They were successful because they will -- there was an early

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intervention so there was no catastrophe. You have to be careful

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of taking one lesson and applying it to another. You mentioned Ukraine

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earlier on and you have chosen the Observer, and it looks very like a

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Civil War already going on there. I think it is. This is a story about a

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military transport aircraft that was shot down by the rebels. Today the

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president of Ukraine has declared a day of mourning. The question is, is

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this a tipping point? Well, I'm not sure. I think there is another story

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that has been eclipsed by this, which I are some old tanks... They

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are Russian tanks though. They are Russian tanks, and their rocket

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launchers, but they are obsolete tags, so the suggestion is that

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Vladimir Putin is pushing them in, but if he was going to reinforce the

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rebels, he would have got better weaponry than what is being sent

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across. So it is a game, albeit a dangerous one. Victoria, your neck

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story, which is politics, your own newspaper having an opinion about --

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your next story. And it shows that Tony Blair is more popular than Ed

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Miliband as a potential leader. The majority of voters say it is the

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case. Labour voters traditionally think that Tony Blair would be at a

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leader, so Ed Miliband not having a great week. He is marginally more

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popular than Gordon Brown by 1%. Look that if people were feeling

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this recovery and this is seen as a huge divide, in the north they are

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not and in the site they are. And considering moving homes and going

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on holiday. -- in the South. This is a very big economic decision, how

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much money to be spent to get that result out? You kept the press is

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opening for much longer. This is hugely important, there is even and

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show aspect, you need more glories and printing presses with more

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people working later into the light. The football edition had to be

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finished at 1:15pm -- 1:15am. Did you have front pages for England

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winning, the draw and Philip? Absolutely, and you must select this

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quickly. -- failure. You cannot afford to be late. And we did this

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better than any other paper, I think. The Daily Mail, this argument

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about Muslim values in schools, are they promoting values which are

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contrary to the tone of this country? That is evolution of the

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story but what the Prime Minister wants to do is take the anniversary

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of the Magna Carta and suggest we should have British values. I have

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two different things, the headline and the other is the way that the

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story is running. The headline is not helpful. It says to anybody

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looking at this is that Muslims are not Jewish. And tells any of them

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that they are not. And it says to extremists, but tiny minority, that,

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yes, they are not British. And they are helping them. When you read the

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actual text, the Prime Minister avoidance mentioning Muslims, he is

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talking about any extremist. What we forget is these extremists are a

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very tiny minority, the vast majority of Muslim people... Don't

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drain the swamp because you need the crocodiles and nothing but?

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Absolutely, and most Muslims are very patriotic. Victoria. This Royal

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story. From the Independent. Another opinion poll? They did not use any

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picture of the people involved. This shows that the public think that

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William is more popular than the Queen, which is shocking. What is

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interesting for the newspaper is, in terms of sales, Prince Harry is by

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far the most popular. Amongst our own readers. No mention of Kate

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Middleton. Her popularity as unsightly winning, perhaps we need

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to see more of her. -- is slightly falling. And the football, you have

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taken the story from the Sunday Times. You were talking earlier

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about this perhaps being milking this too much? When you look at the

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details, this is a red herring. The allegation is that a South African

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policeman did a report on the security threat and he basically

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came to the conclusion that because Qatar is near some insecure places,

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it is of a high threat and he does admit this is superficial and as a

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security person, I can see why this report was not a major factor. But

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the allegation is this is one of the many things that led to the grub

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decision. I must let you talk about your own front page and the

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football. It was a very long night for England fans. The coverage was

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everywhere. What is the verdict, looking ahead? What hope do you

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have? We are trying to be up to it, we can still do it, Uruguay on

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Thursday, we did not want to dismiss them. People think they played very

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well. We are trying to be positive. The sun was in the papers this week,

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Ed Miliband having some trouble for holding it up as Mike were you

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disappointed by that? Yes, he has worked with us, he has written

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articles for me and we get on very well so it did seem odd to make that

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decision and then worry afterwards and apologise. Thank you both very

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much. Given the temperatures

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and humidity that the England football team have had to contend

:20:12.:20:13.

with in the Amazon jungle, it seems almost churlish to quibble

:20:14.:20:15.

about the weather here in Britain. But it has been a bit muggy,

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splodges of rain amidst hot sun. As summery as most

:20:19.:20:21.

of us can cope with. So with the forecast for the day

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ahead, over to Philip Avery. 16 degrees is a night-time minimum

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in Cardiff. Through the coming day, some sunshine around, there is a lot

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of cloud around at the moment but it will be pleasantly warm. The cloud

:20:43.:20:47.

at its thickest from the Borders through the North of England, one or

:20:48.:20:52.

two buckets of rain at the moment. But this area of high pressure

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supply is all about cloud but keeps things settled. It is just feeding

:20:57.:21:03.

in some noticeable breezes across the South East and that is tapping

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into the supply of cloud there. We will stay cloudy East. This central

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belt of Scotland, 20 degrees, Northern Ireland, 19 And dry. One or

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two showers on the diagonal from the North of England, through the West

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Midlands. Generally speaking, the further east, the better the day.

:21:30.:21:34.

Monday, showers in the far south-east, some cloud and rain in

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the north of Scotland and in between, sunny with a top

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temperature of 20 degrees. Thank you.

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The arguments over Scottish independence have been raging

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for years but it is now less than 100 days before

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the crucial referendum on Scotland's future on September the 18th.

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Last week we heard from the First Minister, Alex Salmond.

:21:58.:21:59.

Putting the unionist case today, I'm joined by Lord John Reid,

:22:00.:22:02.

It has been said that the yes campaign has more enthusiasm and

:22:03.:22:12.

optimism. And the no campaign has been quite pessimistic? Are you

:22:13.:22:19.

trying to generate optimism's there are plenty of people to do that, I

:22:20.:22:24.

think that the campaign from our side has been trying to rationally

:22:25.:22:28.

examine the arguments and the yes campaign has been putting forward

:22:29.:22:34.

some fantasy and wishful thinking. And that generates a lot of

:22:35.:22:39.

excitement but when you examine that position over the bigger issues,

:22:40.:22:45.

what are the advantages of being a member of the UK? Financial

:22:46.:22:49.

stability and economic strength and the social justice measures. On the

:22:50.:22:54.

other hand, we risk of separation of currency and Europe and the funding

:22:55.:23:01.

of pensions. When you focus on those arguments, you will find that we

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will sensibly take the no vote. You are confident? I am not complacent.

:23:10.:23:18.

There has always been the minority in Scotland who objected to the

:23:19.:23:22.

union. But when you look at what we have achieved over that period, in

:23:23.:23:28.

terms of economic development and, as Alex Salmond tells us, one of the

:23:29.:23:34.

wealthiest nations in the world, are we supposed to blame England for

:23:35.:23:37.

that? That is a reason for staying in the union and why the majority

:23:38.:23:43.

have always been for membership. I get the impression that there are

:23:44.:23:46.

but one of the big driving forces on the yes campaign is a feeling of

:23:47.:23:50.

Scotland wants to be left of centre, social democratic. Higher taxes to

:23:51.:23:55.

protect the welfare and the NHS and they cannot get that reliably any

:23:56.:23:59.

more from England, which has drifted to the right. What do you say? There

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is a great feeling in Scotland towards the need for social justice

:24:07.:24:10.

and fairness and you do not have to look into any crystal ball, you can

:24:11.:24:14.

read the book, the welfare state, the National Health Service, the

:24:15.:24:19.

minimum wage, all of these things have been delivered by British

:24:20.:24:26.

Labour or a liberal governments. Never buy National Assembly and they

:24:27.:24:28.

have been delivered and working together, so the NHS, driven by a

:24:29.:24:36.

Welshman, the welfare state by Beveridge, and Ingush men, votes for

:24:37.:24:42.

women, founded by adding rich woman, and the Scots have contributed,

:24:43.:24:48.

David Hume, Adam Smith, right through to the last Labour

:24:49.:24:51.

government with so many Scots introduced after 100 years, the

:24:52.:24:57.

minimum wage. The irony of Alex Salmond making this an issue, I do

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welcome that because it is through this work together in the UK that we

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have delivered all of those measures. Another issue is about

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trust. All of the unionist parties, particularly the Labour Party, say

:25:14.:25:15.

if there is a no vote, there will be further evolution measures,

:25:16.:25:21.

including tax raising powers. Yes campaign say you cannot trust that,

:25:22.:25:25.

they are panicking in the middle of a campaign and they will put the no

:25:26.:25:28.

vote in their back could add salt off. You can only trust more powers

:25:29.:25:32.

to the Scottish Parliament by voting yes. Looking at the facts and

:25:33.:25:38.

history books, it was a Labour government who delivered in 1997

:25:39.:25:46.

home rule for Scotland through devolution and, of course, to Wales

:25:47.:25:50.

and Northern Ireland. For most of that campaign, in which I was

:25:51.:25:54.

involved, the SNP were opposed to devolution. The Calman commission in

:25:55.:26:03.

2012, which set out the platform for further fish grow for further

:26:04.:26:05.

economic powers, when it was suggested, the SNP opposed that. --

:26:06.:26:18.

further growth. Is there anything Unionist parties can do to further

:26:19.:26:22.

convince people that they will deliver further devolution if there

:26:23.:26:26.

is the no vote? You must put forward the positive case, financial

:26:27.:26:32.

stability gained from way back until the Royal Bank of Scotland only a

:26:33.:26:38.

few years ago. 35 pounds of toxic debt, richer than the GDP of

:26:39.:26:48.

Scotland. -- 35 million pounds. The position we have is a wealthy

:26:49.:26:51.

nation, social justice measures and working together because we have our

:26:52.:26:57.

own political identity in Scotland but we are part of the wider unit.

:26:58.:27:03.

And then, ask people to Alan is that against the risks. We do not know

:27:04.:27:08.

what currency we will get, if we will be members of the European

:27:09.:27:13.

Union or about funding pensions. Sorry to interrupt, you have thrown

:27:14.:27:18.

herself into your other love, foot well and Celtic. Surely the better

:27:19.:27:24.

England do, the angrier the Scots will be? You almost think there is a

:27:25.:27:30.

good hotline for government? If England are knocked out earlier,

:27:31.:27:34.

that will calm things down? I have never believed that you are a better

:27:35.:27:39.

Scotsman the more that you dislike England. I was very pleased to see

:27:40.:27:44.

Alex Salmond saying he was supporting England as one of the

:27:45.:27:48.

home countries and I did watch the game last night, so this is not a

:27:49.:27:55.

battle between England and Scotland. This is a discussion and debate

:27:56.:27:58.

between Scots people about the future of Scotland and the welfare

:27:59.:28:03.

of the people. And in my own view, I am convinced that that is better

:28:04.:28:10.

preserved inside the UK, we can be a very rich, diverse nation with our

:28:11.:28:13.

own identity but part of a much stronger state. Thank you.

:28:14.:28:18.

In a career that's included some of the biggest movies of the '80s

:28:19.:28:22.

and '90s, Kathleen Turner is one of film's foremost femmes fatale.

:28:23.:28:24.

Her partnership with Michael Douglas in Romancing the Stone and The War

:28:25.:28:27.

of the Roses was a great double act of modern comedy.

:28:28.:28:30.

And who else but Turner had the kind of voice that could cause

:28:31.:28:34.

a cartoon to smoulder like Who Framed Roger Rabbit?

:28:35.:28:39.

Her most recent triumphs have been on the stage, often here in London.

:28:40.:28:42.

Kathleen Turner is back again, starring in a very funny new

:28:43.:28:44.

She plays a hard-up, hard-drinking woman who's sure that

:28:45.:28:51.

a painting she bought in a junk shop is worth millions.

:28:52.:28:56.

It is not Jackson Pollock? It is not resolved. Not that easily. But I

:28:57.:29:11.

think that part of what is interesting about this story is,

:29:12.:29:18.

what is value? The value we place on something might be more important

:29:19.:29:23.

than the actual market. This is based on real story. It is about

:29:24.:29:29.

money and class? Very much about class, I think. And the wide

:29:30.:29:35.

disparity of education and money. Certainly in my country, the gap is

:29:36.:29:42.

widening. Quite vividly. Is that why we get so many great plays coming

:29:43.:29:48.

out of America at the moment? We now have this, Bakersfield Mist, very

:29:49.:29:53.

good, tightly written plays. About money and class with big roles for

:29:54.:30:01.

women? Something big is happening? I hope so. I like the tendency towards

:30:02.:30:10.

strong and forceful women. I cannot help that, the one thing I know I

:30:11.:30:14.

would not play well would be the victim. It is just not my nature.

:30:15.:30:23.

But I think that more and more women in my country are standing up

:30:24.:30:29.

proudly and asserting themselves. You seem to be having much more fun

:30:30.:30:34.

on the stage? Than making films? Oh, yes. I have a film coming out soon

:30:35.:30:43.

with Jim Carrey and Jeff Daniels. And just reminded me of just how

:30:44.:30:48.

warring I find film-making. You just said there for hours. The act for

:30:49.:30:52.

about 20 minutes and then sit for another two hours. I love the

:30:53.:30:58.

intensity of theatre and being in the same space with the audience.

:30:59.:31:06.

The energy. Of course, you are in the strange position that one of

:31:07.:31:10.

your most famous roles was as a cartoon character, listening to that

:31:11.:31:14.

extraordinary voice you have got, and who framed Roger Rabbit was your

:31:15.:31:18.

breakthrough role for many people. Let's have a little look at it. You

:31:19.:31:26.

have to make the scam works. No, I love my husband. You don't know how

:31:27.:31:30.

hard it is being a woman. Looking the way I do. Yes, well, you don't

:31:31.:31:39.

know how hard it is being a man looking at a woman looking the way

:31:40.:31:44.

you do. I'm not bad, I'm just drawn that way. And the great Bob Hoskins,

:31:45.:31:52.

RIP. Michael Douglas was probably your most famous on-screen coupling,

:31:53.:31:56.

as it were. But Bob Hoskins was great as well. He was marvellous.

:31:57.:32:02.

It's always been Michael Douglas and Danny DeVito as well, always the

:32:03.:32:08.

three of us. Danny keeps saying he wants to get the girl in the end one

:32:09.:32:13.

of these days. We will see. You had a bad decade. I want to ask you

:32:14.:32:19.

about pain, because in the 1990s, you had arthritis. I had rheumatoid

:32:20.:32:28.

arthritis. It is a very difficult, incredibly painful, disease. Even

:32:29.:32:36.

though it is not like cancer that can kill you, it can kill your

:32:37.:32:39.

lifestyle altogether. Not being able to move meant not being able to

:32:40.:32:46.

act. I am one of the lucky ones. I have found a job that I was meant to

:32:47.:32:50.

do, you know, so not being able to do that... You are moving a lot on

:32:51.:33:00.

stage. Do you like my fight scene? How about that? Me and my titania

:33:01.:33:08.

minis, baby. You were an early supporter of John Kerry, but what

:33:09.:33:12.

about Hillary Clinton? Will she run? I hope she does. And this time I

:33:13.:33:17.

will absolutely back. The timing is now right, I think. -- back her. She

:33:18.:33:23.

has proven herself in every possible way. Almost every possible way. She

:33:24.:33:29.

has not appeared on that Sophie yet, so you should have a word with her.

:33:30.:33:32.

I shall do so. Get over to The Andrew Marr Show. Kathleen Turner,

:33:33.:33:35.

thank you for coming in. Looking at the violence now

:33:36.:33:46.

engulfing Iraq, with much of the country now under the sway of

:33:47.:33:48.

militant Islamic extremists, many have concluded that the west is now

:33:49.:33:51.

reaping what it sowed when the US, supported

:33:52.:33:54.

by the British government under Can the current instability be

:33:55.:33:56.

traced back to that decision, and what should the West do now,

:33:57.:34:00.

to prevent the situation from 11 years on from the Iraq war,

:34:01.:34:02.

how does Mr Blair view He spoke to me

:34:03.:34:06.

a little earlier this morning from Abu Dhabi, and agreed that events

:34:07.:34:10.

in Iraq are desperately serious. It is vitally important we realise

:34:11.:34:18.

what is at stake here and act, and that will require I think both

:34:19.:34:23.

targeted action from the United States and will require, I think, a

:34:24.:34:30.

national unity government of some sort on the Iraqi side which should

:34:31.:34:34.

be one representative of all of the political parties, one endorsed by

:34:35.:34:41.

the grand ayatollah and has the support of the international

:34:42.:34:43.

community. And then we have do make sure that in respect of Syria, we

:34:44.:34:49.

shift policy, as we have been calling for a long time, and realise

:34:50.:34:53.

if we don't deal with the Syria issue, the problems won't just be

:34:54.:34:59.

for the region, they will come back and hit us very directly, even in

:35:00.:35:04.

our own country. What would it mean for the West and the Middle East if

:35:05.:35:09.

ISIS succeeded in creating an Islamic caliphate going down to the

:35:10.:35:14.

shores of the Mediterranean? Well, it would be a total disaster and it

:35:15.:35:18.

must not be allowed to happen. What is important is to realise how this

:35:19.:35:21.

has come about. It is a situation which has grown up over the last

:35:22.:35:25.

three years and there is no point trying to deal with Iraq if we don't

:35:26.:35:30.

accept the wider regional context, so you have to deal with Syria as

:35:31.:35:36.

well. Yet ISIS could not have had its spectacular military successes

:35:37.:35:39.

if Iraq had not been torn apart by civil war and a lack of authority at

:35:40.:35:43.

the Centre for the last ten years, would it? And that is partly our

:35:44.:35:48.

responsibility in the West. Yes, but we have to be very clear about this.

:35:49.:35:54.

Three years ago, in Iraq, Al-Qaeda was beaten, effectively. Now it's

:35:55.:35:58.

absolutely correct, and this is why Iraq needs a different type of

:35:59.:36:01.

politics and a different way of governing, it is correct that their

:36:02.:36:09.

activities and the policies of the government aiding the situation, but

:36:10.:36:13.

we have to understand the region as a whole. Although we can have the

:36:14.:36:20.

debate about 2003, we realise we are 11 years later in 2014, and the

:36:21.:36:23.

single biggest thing that has changed in the region is the Arab

:36:24.:36:27.

revolutions that have spread across the region. My point is simple. Even

:36:28.:36:32.

if you left Saddam Hussein in place in 2003, when 2011 happened and you

:36:33.:36:36.

have the Arab revolutions going through Tunisia and Libya and the

:36:37.:36:43.

Yemen and Bahrain and Egypt and Syria, you would have still had a

:36:44.:36:48.

major problem in Iraq. Indeed, you can see what happens when you leave

:36:49.:36:54.

the dictator in place, as happened with Bashar al-Assad. What I'm

:36:55.:36:56.

trying to say is, we can rerun the debates about 2003 and there are

:36:57.:37:01.

perfectly legitimate points on either side, but where we are in

:37:02.:37:04.

2014, you have do understand that this is a regional problem but a

:37:05.:37:10.

problem that will affect us. If you talk to security services in France

:37:11.:37:12.

and Germany and the UK, they will tell you their single biggest worry

:37:13.:37:18.

today are returning jihadist fighters, and our own citizens, from

:37:19.:37:24.

Syria. We have to look at Syria and Iraq in context in the region and

:37:25.:37:27.

understand what is going on and engage. That does not mean, by the

:37:28.:37:31.

way, engagement as in Iraq or Afghanistan, but it does mean that

:37:32.:37:35.

we actively try and shape this situation with our allies in the

:37:36.:37:38.

region and don't believe that if we wash our hands and walk away that

:37:39.:37:42.

the problems will be solved. Shape it howl? For example, we take

:37:43.:37:49.

immediate exact -- action in the face of Iraq. In the shape of Syria,

:37:50.:37:54.

the three years, frankly, we have had a contrast of the -- a

:37:55.:37:59.

catastrophe unfolds, and then support the region. And those

:38:00.:38:02.

people, they are virtually a majority in the region, who believe

:38:03.:38:06.

in open and tolerant societies and properly run economies and

:38:07.:38:10.

countries. Let me just say, long-term, I'm an optimist about the

:38:11.:38:14.

region. I think these more modern minded people will win. . Are we

:38:15.:38:39.

talking about drone strikes, the provision of military equipment to

:38:40.:38:43.

the Iraqi government, but the fightback is being led by Iranians

:38:44.:38:49.

military commanders. President Obama is saying all options are on the

:38:50.:38:52.

table and he will be debating with his military commanders what the

:38:53.:38:57.

best way forward is. Whether that is through drones of fighters or

:38:58.:39:01.

whatever is the right and appropriate response. The key thing

:39:02.:39:04.

that they need to know is that they will not be able to continue that

:39:05.:39:08.

push unhindered, and as for the Iranians help, the many Iraqis, they

:39:09.:39:15.

will want to make sure that they are not simply dependent on Iran.

:39:16.:39:22.

Iranians support might be one aspect to this, but for the Iraqis who

:39:23.:39:26.

believe passionately in the independence of their country, they

:39:27.:39:29.

will want that to be treated with some caution. What about putting

:39:30.:39:33.

special forces in. What about Britain's role? Britain has to

:39:34.:39:43.

coordinate closely with the US. I won't put forward any options, and

:39:44.:39:55.

the key point is to understand that we need to engage with it, and if we

:39:56.:39:59.

don't, the consequences will come back on us. Reading your essay, a

:40:00.:40:12.

lot of people will conclude, is there the sense of urgency. We don't

:40:13.:40:21.

need to go back to war in the way we were in Iraq or Afghanistan. The

:40:22.:40:30.

only alternatives are doing nothing will stop there are a myriad set of

:40:31.:40:32.

responses in only alternatives are doing nothing

:40:33.:40:34.

will stop there are a myriad between as we did in Libya, and intervention

:40:35.:40:43.

is tough. Nonintervention is tough, but the best policy for us is to

:40:44.:40:48.

realise that whatever form of intervention we choose, it will be

:40:49.:40:51.

difficult, but better than the alternative, which is to stick it

:40:52.:40:56.

out, and as we see in Syria the appalling results of such a policy.

:40:57.:41:02.

Yet where we have intervened, notably in Iraq, we are partly

:41:03.:41:05.

responsible for what has happened. In Iraq we have seen so many years

:41:06.:41:10.

of instability, and now this, that when we revisit the things you were

:41:11.:41:16.

saying at the time, about Iraq becoming a beacon of peace and

:41:17.:41:19.

stability, you must acknowledge there was an element of naivete in

:41:20.:41:24.

that. I acknowledge our hopes were not fulfil. Even in the last few

:41:25.:41:32.

weeks, millions of people, even a higher percent of people voted

:41:33.:41:38.

higher than in the elections in America and they have produced a

:41:39.:41:43.

regime that has noticeably failed to hold Iraq together and has been

:41:44.:41:51.

sectarian. Macro yellow that has contributed to the problem.

:41:52.:41:56.

Sometimes people talk about Iraq in 2003 like it was stable. You are

:41:57.:42:02.

subject to appalling repression if you occurred or a Shia Muslim. Two

:42:03.:42:06.

wars had been started in the region -- if you were a Kurd. The first

:42:07.:42:13.

decisions I took well with President Clinton, not George Bush, so the

:42:14.:42:16.

idea that Iraqi would be stable is not credible -- Iraq. The question

:42:17.:42:24.

is, whether we from here. I accept that, but at the time, you said it

:42:25.:42:28.

would make Iraq a safer and more stable place and that has clearly

:42:29.:42:35.

not happened, has it? Absolutely, and as I constantly said, and I take

:42:36.:42:43.

full responsibility of the list... So you take full responsibility for

:42:44.:42:49.

the problem? I have constantly said that what we underestimated about

:42:50.:42:53.

Iraq, Afghanistan, the whole of the region, is that once you remove the

:42:54.:42:58.

dictatorship, outcomes this tribal ethnic and above all religious

:42:59.:43:01.

tension and then you are engaged in a different type of struggle, and my

:43:02.:43:05.

plea is, you don't have to engage like we did in Afghanistan, but you

:43:06.:43:09.

have to recognise we have interests, and if these people are allowed to

:43:10.:43:14.

grow these extremist groups, they will pose a threat in our own

:43:15.:43:20.

borders. Hillary Clinton says she deeply regrets her support for the

:43:21.:43:24.

war and David Miliband has said the same thing. What do you think about

:43:25.:43:29.

the word regret that original decision? As I've said many times,

:43:30.:43:35.

of course you regret the loss of life and the difficulties we

:43:36.:43:38.

encountered. But if you say to me, would I prefer a situation where we

:43:39.:43:42.

left Saddam Hussein in 2003, do I think the region would be safer or

:43:43.:43:46.

more stable if we done that, my answer to that is unhesitatingly no.

:43:47.:43:52.

Fighters are being exported back to the West from Syria and elsewhere, a

:43:53.:43:55.

jihadist movement regaining power and confidence in the Middle East

:43:56.:43:59.

and we have the debate in Britain about the way that Muslims in

:44:00.:44:02.

British laws are being educated. Do you agree with the Prime Minister

:44:03.:44:05.

that it is time to reassert British values much more -- in a much more

:44:06.:44:14.

muscular way, if you like? The phrase is draining the swamp of

:44:15.:44:18.

Islamic fundamentalism in schools and communities, or do you think it

:44:19.:44:22.

is a small number of extremist not connected to mainstream conservative

:44:23.:44:26.

Islam? I have a clear view of this. There is a fundamental problem that

:44:27.:44:31.

we face that originated in the region and has spread across the

:44:32.:44:35.

world, and that problem is extremism based on a warped and abusive view

:44:36.:44:39.

of the religion. It is a problem here in the region. It's a problem

:44:40.:44:43.

in countries like Pakistan. It is a problem in the east. We can see from

:44:44.:44:49.

Nigeria it is a problem in African countries and in our own society, as

:44:50.:44:53.

we can see from the issue with the Birmingham schools. It is not a

:44:54.:44:56.

question of reasserting just British values. We have do assert the strong

:44:57.:45:02.

values of religious respect and tolerance for difference, in other

:45:03.:45:05.

words, to say the only way that a modern economy and modern society

:45:06.:45:08.

can work is it people of different faiths learn to live with each

:45:09.:45:11.

other, respect each other and treat each other equally and fairly. Any

:45:12.:45:16.

politics that is based on a view that this is my religion, or this is

:45:17.:45:20.

my view of my religion and if you don't agree, you are my enemy, that

:45:21.:45:23.

is the ideology we have to attack and root out. Finally, Mr Blair,

:45:24.:45:30.

your own role, will you stay as a member of the quartet? Do you think

:45:31.:45:33.

you have a role in trying to put back together the mess that is the

:45:34.:45:41.

Middle East? Despite the difficulties, I want to keep working

:45:42.:45:45.

at this, I have spent a lot of time in this region, thinking about this

:45:46.:45:51.

and I want to contribute. Not back to the commerce guise of Brussels?

:45:52.:45:59.

Absolutely not. -- grey skies. Thank you.

:46:00.:46:01.

The newest member of the Cabinet, Culture Secretary Sajid Javid,

:46:02.:46:03.

The first of the 2010 intake and the first British Asian MP to

:46:04.:46:07.

The son of a Pakistani bus driver, state educated with a hugely

:46:08.:46:11.

successful career in banking before he entered Parliament.

:46:12.:46:14.

So how will all that shape his approach to the job,

:46:15.:46:20.

which is one of the most wide-ranging in government, covering

:46:21.:46:23.

everything from football to theatre, press regulation and the BBC?

:46:24.:46:25.

Sajid Javid joins me now for his first appearance on the show.

:46:26.:46:28.

I will start by asking about that Tony Blair interview, do you agree

:46:29.:46:44.

with what is going on? Is an acre dastardly? It is a huge worry, I

:46:45.:46:52.

utterly condemn the action. -- is this a catastrophe. It is worrying

:46:53.:46:57.

for the world. It is up to the elected government to decide how to

:46:58.:47:02.

respond and what is particularly sad is that if you weeks ago, millions

:47:03.:47:06.

of Iraqis went to the polls, they are elected the new government and

:47:07.:47:12.

there was a great show of democracy and we have this going on in this

:47:13.:47:18.

volatile country. Does the intervention of Tony Blair help or

:47:19.:47:21.

hinder this? When it comes to the Middle East, he has a lock to say

:47:22.:47:26.

and it is important to focus on what is going on, on the ground. We will

:47:27.:47:33.

help with humanitarian aid and Justine Greening is looking at ways

:47:34.:47:38.

we can provide that. It is very important, this region, and it has

:47:39.:47:42.

an impact across the globe. There will not be British jets flying over

:47:43.:47:47.

Baghdad? We have no plans for intervention. You have been

:47:48.:47:54.

bombarded with endless theatre and music and the rest, what has stood

:47:55.:48:01.

out? This is a very small department but it actually affects millions of

:48:02.:48:10.

lives. There are theatres and music and dance and all parts of the

:48:11.:48:15.

cultural sector involved and that is what makes it important. I have been

:48:16.:48:21.

focusing on recognising just how important the creative industry is,

:48:22.:48:26.

in terms of the contribution to the economy, we have the biggest

:48:27.:48:30.

creative sector in Europe with millions of people employed. Just as

:48:31.:48:36.

important as economic contribution is the social value of the cultural

:48:37.:48:42.

sector. That is an eloquent defence but what gets your juices going?

:48:43.:48:50.

What do you really enjoy? I have really enjoyed going to the theatre

:48:51.:48:54.

with my children to see what they want to see and the last thing was

:48:55.:48:58.

warhorse with my younger daughter. The things that I like are not

:48:59.:49:05.

obvious, I went to see a production in Birmingham, about a British Asian

:49:06.:49:10.

family, which reminded me of my roots. I also like music. There is a

:49:11.:49:19.

wide variety of things. It is not to determine what is good and what is

:49:20.:49:22.

not, there is a huge variety of tastes. That is why this sector is

:49:23.:49:29.

so vibrant, my job is to remain -- make sure it remains so. That is

:49:30.:49:33.

something I have been focused on in my speech recently about culture for

:49:34.:49:39.

all people. Will you be dragged out to see England playing football? I

:49:40.:49:44.

would not use that word. I will be going to the third match with Costa

:49:45.:49:50.

Rica. And I am looking forward to that and I will support the team but

:49:51.:49:54.

I will also be banging the drum is for British business. Those

:49:55.:49:59.

Thatcherite admirers of you, we have a Culture Secretary who will say,

:50:00.:50:03.

this department does not need to exist. They will be disappointed? It

:50:04.:50:08.

is a very important department and it touches so much of our lives, and

:50:09.:50:16.

the equality work that I do also, what the government has achieved in

:50:17.:50:20.

that area. The biggest thing longer term is the BBC. Is the trust fit

:50:21.:50:27.

for purpose? The BBC trust has an important role and one job I was not

:50:28.:50:31.

expecting was the resignation of Lord Patten so what I am focused on

:50:32.:50:37.

is finding a replacement and a new chairman and I want them to be the

:50:38.:50:41.

best person for the job. That will take up quite some of my time. Is

:50:42.:50:49.

the trust, you think it should stay? That is a very important decision

:50:50.:50:53.

and it is something we should look at with the charter review. There is

:50:54.:50:58.

a charter that sets out how the BBC works, ten year charter. I will not

:50:59.:51:05.

start that charter review until after the election because I think

:51:06.:51:09.

it is right to start when we have the new chairman. I want to gauge

:51:10.:51:14.

your own instincts because clearly it is hugely controversial, lots of

:51:15.:51:20.

newspapers would like to see the BBC disappear. Others say it is a longer

:51:21.:51:28.

time for the licence fee. Even the Labour Party is talking about that.

:51:29.:51:32.

What about the licensee? One thing we already did when we came to

:51:33.:51:37.

government is we worked with the BBC to freeze the licensee and I still

:51:38.:51:43.

think it is a large amount for many families. It is too high? No, I

:51:44.:51:51.

think this needs to be looked at when you have the charter review but

:51:52.:51:57.

another point is since the last review, technology has changed. The

:51:58.:52:03.

number of people who consume platforms like online, even the

:52:04.:52:10.

iPlayer, so that as being a very big change and that if needs to take all

:52:11.:52:14.

of this into account. Have you seen an alternative funding method?

:52:15.:52:20.

Freckly, I have not looked at that because we have not started this

:52:21.:52:23.

review but I think all of these issues should be looked at and

:52:24.:52:29.

nothing should be ruled out. What position do you take on the argument

:52:30.:52:34.

between London and the Metropolitan theatres and galleries? The Opera

:52:35.:52:39.

house and those bigger institutions take a disproportionate share of the

:52:40.:52:44.

Getty? London is strangling the arts in many other areas? I am very proud

:52:45.:52:50.

of this sector and London is a powerhouse not just for our own

:52:51.:52:54.

country but globally, it is a very vague exporter. But I do understand

:52:55.:52:59.

that argument and when I made a speech on this issue, not just

:53:00.:53:04.

talking about regions and fair distribution but also getting more

:53:05.:53:07.

people from all backgrounds participating in culture. This is

:53:08.:53:11.

one of the things I wanted to look at. What I have found is it is

:53:12.:53:17.

improving, a lot of the government that the

:53:18.:53:17.

at. What I have found is it is improving, a lot government provides

:53:18.:53:21.

goes through the Arts Council and, historically, it was about 70%, 60%

:53:22.:53:28.

to the regions and it is not about 70%. But I want to see what can be

:53:29.:53:33.

done. Looking across the broad sweep of the department, where are things

:53:34.:53:41.

not going as well? One thing I would say is not banned. My department is

:53:42.:53:47.

responsible for that run out and coverage and that is something we

:53:48.:53:54.

have made huge progress on, in terms of superfast broadband with better

:53:55.:53:56.

coverage than almost any other European country. But we can do

:53:57.:54:03.

more, and in my own constituency, it is semi-rural, there are still many

:54:04.:54:07.

people who do not have her fact broadband coverage. -- perfect. What

:54:08.:54:16.

about extremism in schools? David Cameron says people must be more

:54:17.:54:24.

British. Is a problem of not just terrorism but conservative Islam,

:54:25.:54:28.

saying we want to cut ourselves off from the rest of the community and

:54:29.:54:33.

we want security of belief? That is a serious issue and we have seen

:54:34.:54:38.

that with enquiries in the schools in Birmingham and those results from

:54:39.:54:45.

Ofsted. It is important to point out that the vast majority of British

:54:46.:54:50.

Muslim 's are hugely important in the community and play the same role

:54:51.:54:58.

as everybody else. -- Muslim cleric. -- Muslim cleric. They can have a

:54:59.:55:14.

very big impact. -- Muslims. As a man from a Muslim background, how do

:55:15.:55:19.

you react to language like draining the swamp? You can use all sorts of

:55:20.:55:26.

language but everybody recognises the issue. The Prime Minister has

:55:27.:55:33.

talked about taking a more muscular attitude to promoting British

:55:34.:55:36.

values, something I have long thought we should be doing. That is

:55:37.:55:41.

very important. And I look forward to doing that. Thank you.

:55:42.:55:45.

Now over to Sian for the news headlines.

:55:46.:55:48.

The former Prime Minister Tony Blair has told this programme that

:55:49.:55:51.

the West must be prepared to intervene in Iraq to prevent

:55:52.:55:53.

He said the situation was desperately

:55:54.:55:56.

serious and if not checked, would have repercussions for Britain.

:55:57.:55:58.

Speaking from Abu Dhabi, he said President Obama was right

:55:59.:56:01.

to consider all options, including air strikes and the use of drones.

:56:02.:56:08.

We have to look at Syria and Iraq and the region in context and we

:56:09.:56:13.

must understand what is going on and we have to engage and that does not

:56:14.:56:19.

mean engagement with ground troops but it does mean that we actively

:56:20.:56:23.

shape this situation with allies in the region and I do not believe that

:56:24.:56:27.

if we just wash our hands and walk away, the problems will be solved.

:56:28.:56:30.

First, a look at what's coming up immediately after this programme.

:56:31.:56:38.

Join us live from Brighton, and Cameron announces British values and

:56:39.:56:49.

we ask, should the British stop tolerating intolerance? -- David

:56:50.:57:03.

Cameron. John Simpson has arrived in the Iraqi capital. What is the

:57:04.:57:09.

atmosphere there? Does it feel entrenched? It feels like a very

:57:10.:57:16.

nervous place, yes. By pure chance, I did and then to a government

:57:17.:57:21.

minister that I know and he said that last week, last Thursday, the

:57:22.:57:26.

government was in a state of utter panic and people were finding it

:57:27.:57:29.

difficult even to speak to each other and put sentences together to

:57:30.:57:34.

know what to do about this. But he said that has calmed things down and

:57:35.:57:40.

this increase in the number of people coming forward, volunteering

:57:41.:57:48.

to fight, it has its own problems because they are fighters and that

:57:49.:57:53.

could lead to other problems later on. It has calmed down a lot of the

:57:54.:58:00.

nerves for the moment. Tony Blair spoke earlier on, urging aerial

:58:01.:58:04.

western intervention. Air attacks in Syria and in Iraq as well. How

:58:05.:58:12.

helpful to you think that has been? -- do you think. I expect he will be

:58:13.:58:17.

quite grateful for the government. What they most of all want is some

:58:18.:58:21.

sign that they are not just in this on their own and with drones and

:58:22.:58:26.

bombing and so on, that is a way of doing that. It is not the answer. It

:58:27.:58:34.

is not the answer at all. It is just a tactic, it temporarily tactic and

:58:35.:58:38.

it could go terribly wrong, as it did in Afghanistan. But it is

:58:39.:58:42.

something they could do. Thank you very much.

:58:43.:58:45.

That's all we have time for, thanks to all my guests.

:58:46.:58:47.

Do join me again at the same time next week,

:58:48.:58:50.

when I'll be talking to the Shadow Business Secretary, Chuka Umunna,

:58:51.:58:52.

Nicola Benedetti and the inimitable nonagenerian, Baroness Trumpington.

:58:53.:58:54.

We are about to find out whether they can cook.

:58:55.:59:31.

You're going to love it. Smashed it. Yum-yum-yum.

:59:32.:59:35.

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