10/12/2017 The Andrew Marr Show


10/12/2017

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So, Theresa May's best week,

I guess, since she became

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Prime Minister, getting that first

Brexit agreement.

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But this leaves open

the biggest question of all -

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what kind of relationship

are we going to have with the EU?

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What kind of country

are we going to be?

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At last, the Cabinet are going

to settle down to discuss it.

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About time, because, as with Labour,

right now, it's clear as mud.

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David Davis, the Brexit Secretary,

and Sir Keir Starmer,

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his Labour opposite number,

are both here, promising straight

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answers to straight questions.

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Ian Blackford, the SNP's

Leader at Westminster,

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His call this morning for Labour to

join his party in a pledge to stay

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inside the single market.

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And I've been talking

to the Hollywood screenwriter

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and West Wing creator Aaron Sorkin,

on his first film as a director,

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Molly's Game, with its

star Jessica Chastain.

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And reviewing the news, Gina Miller,

the anti-Brexit campaigner,

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the broadcaster Iain Dale -

he's pro-Brexit - and observing them

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both, Anushka Asthana,

political editor of the Guardian.

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But first, the news

with Tina Daheley.

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Good morning.

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The Foreign Secretary,

Boris Johnson, is due to meet

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the Iranian president,

Hassan Rouhani, this

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morning on the second day

of his visit to the country.

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He'll continue to press

for the release of Nazanin

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Zaghari-Ratcliffe -

the British-Iranian aid

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worker who's been held

prisoner in the country

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since April, 2016.

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She denies charges of trying

to overthrow the Iranian government.

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But she faces the possibility

of a further court appearance today,

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after Mr Johnson appeared last month

to contradict her claim

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she was on holiday in Iran

at the time of her arrest.

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More than 20 Arab League countries,

including close allies

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of the United States,

have urged President Trump

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to reverse his decision to recognise

Jerusalem as the capital of Israel.

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After three days of violence

and protests in the Gaza Strip

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and West Bank, they say the move

is a dangerous violation

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of international law.

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The Arab League will now ask the UN

Security Council to condemn the US

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President's declaration.

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The equalities watchdog

is to conduct its own review

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into the Grenfell Tower fire.

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71 people died in the blaze,

in west London, in June.

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The Equality and Human Rights

Commission is expected to consider

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whether the Government and the local

council failed in their

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duty to protect life.

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It will publish its conclusions

in April, before the full findings

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of the official inquiry are known.

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Students in England

are being encouraged to study

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for undergraduate degrees in two

years, rather than three.

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The Universities Minister,

Jo Johnson, says that

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students taking shorter

courses will save thousands

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of pounds in tuition fees

and living expenses,

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even though universities would be

able to charge nearly £2,000 more

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per year than the current maximum

of just over £9,000.

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A spell of heavy snow is forecast

over parts of Wales,

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the Midlands and parts of Northern

and Eastern England.

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The Met Office has issued an amber

weather warning for up to 10cm

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of snow at low levels,

with up to 20cm on higher ground.

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There are fears that some rural

areas could become cut off.

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Wrap up warm.

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That's all from me.

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The next news on BBC One is at 1pm.

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Back to you, Andrew.

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Thank you, Tina.

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Now to the papers.

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The most important political story I

think on the front of the Sunday

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Telegraph, Cabinet Brexit truce

threatens to unravel, basically

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about the Irish agreement, a picture

of Theresa May putting a shoe on top

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of the Christmas tree. Sunday Times,

a near naked bloke who had been

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swimming in the Serpentine. The

Observer back to Brexit, EU gets

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tough over trade deal, saying other

non-EU countries will try to

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persuade the EU not to give us a

good deal, no names. People in the

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snow. What else? The Mail on Sunday,

shouting match between Philip

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Hammond and the new Defence

Secretary in the House of Commons,

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Downing Street, and Theresa May

apparently had to separate them.

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Just what the country wants to hear!

Sunday Express, gold plated trade

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deal, it demands. You very often do

not get serious stories on the front

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of the red tops, but this is a real

story about the working conditions

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of people working for Amazon. Shall

we start with the front page of the

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Sunday Telegraph, Anushka, an

interesting story?

Theresa May at

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least ended the week in a good

place, partly because of the deal

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appearing to be all things to all

people. According to this, Downing

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Street have told senior Eurosceptic

ministers, suggesting Michael Gove

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and Boris Johnson perhaps involved,

not to worry about the words full

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alignment we were talking about last

week. It does not mean anything in

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EU law and it is completely

meaningless, apparently, according

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to some of the aids, it was just

done to please the Irish government.

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Dublin looked at the words and

thought, great, a clear agreement

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from the British Government.

This is

part of the problem. It is very

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clear the words could be read in

different ways. The question is, how

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will they be read in the next stage?

The interesting thing is, they

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started off with regulatory

convergence, then regulatory

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alignment, then alignment.

Full

alignment.

That means more like the

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European economy rather than the

Japanese economy. Our economy

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converges more with European style

economies than the Japanese. That is

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meant to give comfort to Brexiteers,

hard Brexiteers.

Do you think it is

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possible people Breen proved these

words -- people are being briefed,

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these words do not mean anything?

A

lot has changed this week.

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Certainly, Theresa May's position

has changed. A lot of us thought we

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could for circumstances where the

Government could fall over this.

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Within days, she got the DUP and

Irish government and the EU on side,

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with a little bit of help from

George Younger, it has to be said,

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and that was partly because EU

government claim that were putting

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pressure on the Government to get

this done -- help from Mr Juncker.

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This is an interesting... Dan Hodges

has gone from a Labour commentator

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to slightly Conservative

commentator.

He will be on the phone

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right now!

This has been Theresa

May's best week, he says, we have

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seen the Prime Minister we thought

we would get. She has been a

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conciliator this week, a diplomat.

She has kicked some of these things

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into the long grass but that is what

happens in the EU, you agree on what

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you can.

Let us talk more about the

Prime Minister. A lot of praise

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about how she has soaked up

punishment, kept going, two hours

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sleep before Brussels during the

breakfast deal, she has not given

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up, where other people, perhaps more

tough looking politicians, they

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might well have folded.

The toys in

the 1980s, we bulls wobble but they

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do not fall down. You can knock her

down, but she comes back. I think

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she has now recovered her mojo a

bit. She needed to. You have not

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seen any of the hard Brexiteers,

Owen Patersons, Iain Duncan Smith's,

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they are not that happy, but they

have not denounced this, Anna Soubry

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Nicky Morgan on the other side is

saying, this is great. She has kind

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of united a very divided party.

They

wobble but they do not fall down! I

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like that. The front page of the

Observer, you are a lawyer, what do

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you make of the argument about the

full alignment?

I have to say, I

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agree with Iain.

Excellent.

The full

alignment, you can take it, if it

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means falling into line, going on to

the Irish saying Fintan O'Toole,

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article saying we have basically

agreed we have to stay in the single

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market and Customs union, come what

may, by the back door. If that is

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the case, nobody is going to be

happy. But I have to say that this

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is only the start. It was a fudge to

get over the line because we needed

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to to get to the real detail. Phase

two, that is when we will find out

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what is going to be agreed.

The

Observer is quite gloomy about phase

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two?

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What interesting about this story on

the front page, we expected

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resistance from the EU member

states, it is the non-EU member

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saying, you cannot give the UK a

special deal in a third country

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status because we will not put up

with that. The EU and non-EU member

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saying the UK cannot have a special

deal. The end of the column on page

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one, Lord Coe saying, there might

not be enough time for an

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off-the-shelf Canada deal. The

detail will be in a very tight

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timeline.

Can we talk more about the

Fintan O'Toole common in the Irish

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Times? -- column. The clearest view

from Dublin saying the Irish

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government has saved Britain from a

hard Brexit, that is effectively his

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argument.

It is, the last line of

the article is really interesting,

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he says, if the deal is the dream of

a clean Brexit is off the table...

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Northern Ireland must align with

Southern island who are part of the

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EU, all of the EU rules and

regulations -- southern Ireland. The

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UK is in alignment with the EU,

therefore...

135 common agreements

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underpinned by EU law. If you have

to align with all of them, if you

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don't, then that presumably means

the break-up of the union, that

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seems to be the two choices the

article is pointing to.

The key

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thing is you have all four sides,

Irish government, EU, Britain,

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Northern Ireland, they all want the

same outcome, a frictionless border.

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You would hope in the end reasonable

people would be able to get to that

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outcome.

How worried are people in

the Conservative Party?

It leaves

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you in a situation where you are

slightly more likely to get a softer

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Brexit because the soft Irish border

will be replicated in Dover- Calais

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or you are more likely to get WTA

rules. One MP was saying there are a

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lot of Conservative MPs who are

quite moderate on Europe and they

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are behind the PM because they want

the bespoke deal. In the end, if it

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comes to a choice between WTO and

staying in the European Free Trade

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Association, a lot of Conservative

MPs would choose the European Free

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Trade Association.

Dan Hodges argues

that makes it less likely we would

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crash out.

Another big political

story I mentioned in the papers

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review, the extraordinary bust up

between Philip Hammond and Williams,

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does it really matter?

It does

because politics is about

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interpersonal relationships and we

saw that when Margaret Thatcher met

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Gorbachev. Here you have two very

senior government ministers at each

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other's threads, Philip Hammond

essentially his people allegedly

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briefly against the new Defence

Secretary, calling him, stupid boy,.

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I would not be happy with that. They

apparently confronted each other in

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the voting lobby with the Prime

Minister a few feet away and her PPS

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said to them, it was not fisticuffs,

a verbal fight.

Air turns blue.

They

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were hauled into the Prime

Minister's office and she gave them

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a dressing down and quite right.

Interesting week for Gavin

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Williamson. He gave an interview

saying all terrorists have to be

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killed and should not be allowed

back into the country, cosying up to

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the Daily Mail, and you wonder if if

it is the first part of a leadership

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bid. He has enemies and fans. The

Chancellor, I'm afraid, again, he

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has not covered himself in political

glory here.

Another big story this

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week, Anushka, the two year degree

proposal from Jo Johnson.

- and

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grab. Students can forget the lovely

three years having fun. They are

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trying to ramp up the number of

people doing fast tracked two year

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degrees. The Russell group have not

offered them so far because they do

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not get enough money. They are

trying to find ways to make it much

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broader.

Hardly anyone has picked up

on this idea since the election, in

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the Conservative manifesto, 0.2% of

students have gone for it, either

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because they are lazy or because

more likely the universities are not

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offering the degrees because it is

expensive.

That is what it appears

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to be, universities are not putting

them out there because there is a

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limit on how much they could charge.

The Government are saying it is not

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good enough, people are paying a

lot, they should be able to do it in

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two years.

Nearly out of time, Boris

Johnson in Tehran, just a

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possibility later today we will see

Boris Johnson and this poor woman

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stuck there for all of this time,

Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe, on the

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forecourt of Tehran airport coming

home.

I wish that was going to be

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the case. Such a tragic story. This

trip was diarist a couple of years

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ago, this visit today. It is good it

has brought it to the floor and he

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can talk about it on humanitarian

grounds. It is heartbreaking.

He is

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working jolly hard on it now.

He

should have apologised, come forward

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first when he made the blunder. But

he is now working hard. Her husband

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seems to have faith in him.

We need

to hope she is back home. One of the

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story, Iain, the Palestine Jerusalem

story, we will hear Aaron Sorkin on

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that later, this is a really

dangerous moment.

It is unfortunate

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the Palestinian president is now

refusing to meet Vice President Mike

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Pence. It would have been an ideal

opportunity for him to explain in

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words of one syllable four letters

why the Prime Minister have made the

0:15:310:15:35

wrong decision. Donald Trump has

been skilful Forder -- for domestic

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politics. He says, I am different, I

fulfil promises. Domestically, it

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has worked for him. In terms of the

impact on the area, we don't know,

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he has thrown up the cards in the

air, we will see the consequences.

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In a small number of syllables and

limited words, you have covered a

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great deal of subjects for us. Thank

you very much.

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And so, to the weather.

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Proper winter in the north,

you lucky people.

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Wet and bracingly cold down here.

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And apparently, more snow

on the way this morning.

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With more, here's Stav Danaos

in the weather studio.

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It's been very severe, the weather

this morning across parts of Wales

0:16:220:16:27

and into Central parts of England as

well. VB prepared amber warning

0:16:270:16:34

remains in force. Best stay home,

and it looks like there will be

0:16:340:16:39

significant price risk. Let me show

you the snow radar, you can see

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where the heavy snow has been.

Sennybridge has seen totals around

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23 centimetres, in fact the latest

recording is 28 centimetres. It will

0:16:530:16:59

keep falling across central and

northern parts of Wales, in towards

0:16:590:17:04

the Midlands, gradually easing down

through the afternoon. Gale force

0:17:040:17:07

winds in the south and south-west up

to 80 mph so this could cause

0:17:070:17:13

disruption as well. Some very wild

weather across parts of England and

0:17:130:17:16

Wales. Meanwhile in Scotland and the

far north of England, sunny and very

0:17:160:17:23

cold. This gradually clearing away

eastwards in the overnight period,

0:17:230:17:29

turning cold again with the

significant risk of ice in many

0:17:290:17:34

places, temperatures as low as minus

macro 12 Celsius across northern

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Scotland.

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Much too early to ask silly

questions about a white Christmas.

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Thanks.

0:17:490:17:50

So, we've been talking

at length this morning

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about that UK-EU divorce deal.

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The Irish border was,

of course, the big problem -

0:17:530:17:56

a point that hasn't been lost

on the Scottish National Party.

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Its Westminster leader

Ian Blackford joins me now.

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You have issued an appeal this

morning to the Labour Party, what

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have you asked them to do?

We have

now reached the end of phase one and

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it's about the kind of deal that can

be put together which will protect

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the economic interests of the people

of the United Kingdom, about jobs

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and living standards.

So what do you

want them to do?

We want them and

0:18:160:18:22

others to get behind us. If you look

at the agreement has come forward

0:18:220:18:26

about full alignment in order to

deal with the Irish question, the

0:18:260:18:32

simple answer is to stay within the

single market and Customs union.

The

0:18:320:18:36

Liberal Democrats want the same

thing but the problem is during the

0:18:360:18:41

referendum campaign people were told

that if they were voting to leave

0:18:410:18:44

the EU, they were leaving the single

market, again and again.

Many would

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say during the campaign even on the

Leave site that it would not be

0:18:490:18:59

necessary. It is about the threat

coming clearer to jobs and

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prosperity.

Let's look at what

people were saying during the

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referendum campaign itself.

0:19:070:19:09

The British public would be voting,

if we leave, to leave the EU

0:19:090:19:12

and leave the single market.

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Should we come out

of the single market?

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I think that that almost certainly

would be the case, yes.

0:19:150:19:18

Do you want us to stay

inside the single market, yes or no?

0:19:180:19:21

No, we should be outside

the single market.

0:19:210:19:23

I had Michael Gove in that chair

and I said, "After Brexit,

0:19:230:19:26

will we be in the European single

market, yes or no?",

0:19:260:19:28

and he said, "No."

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He was right.

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So we won't be in the single market?

0:19:300:19:32

Yes, absolutely.

0:19:320:19:33

We would be out of the single

market, that's the reality.

0:19:330:19:36

Britain would be quitting,

quitting the single market.

0:19:360:19:40

So you can't really say that voters

didn't know what they were voting

0:19:400:19:43

for. They were voting to leave the

single market and they did so. Time

0:19:430:19:49

and time again I was asking people

in that very chair and they said we

0:19:490:19:53

are out of the single market, that's

what people voted for and therefore

0:19:530:19:57

it is breaking trust with the voters

to stay.

I don't agree, there were a

0:19:570:20:02

lot of untruths told in that

campaign, let's go to the bus that

0:20:020:20:11

set about 350 million for the NHS.

The simple fact is there was not a

0:20:110:20:19

conversation with the people of the

United Kingdom looking at job

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losses.

I have already had that

conversation on the screen.

In the

0:20:230:20:32

Scotland there is a threat of 80,000

jobs lost, we have lost the banking

0:20:320:20:39

authority already, there's a clear

threat to living on jobs. Nobody,

0:20:390:20:47

when we talk about parliamentarians

of the House of Commons and I will

0:20:470:20:51

even say some Conservative MPs, have

got to be careful because if we

0:20:510:20:56

going into a hard Brexit without the

protection of the single market and

0:20:560:21:00

a customs union, there is an

economic threat to this country

0:21:000:21:03

which is unparalleled in recent

times.

Your real position for

0:21:030:21:07

Scotland is that you want to stay

inside the EU, is that still the

0:21:070:21:11

case now that the actual agenda of

the EU is becoming more clear?

0:21:110:21:16

Martin Schultz in negotiation with

Angela Merkel said he wants a new

0:21:160:21:22

constitutional treaty for the United

States of Europe, explicitly and

0:21:220:21:27

army, Treasury and Chancellor and

the rest of it, and anyone who

0:21:270:21:30

doesn't like it will have to leave

the EU.

What we are doing is

0:21:300:21:35

concentrating on what's in front of

us at the moment, which is the

0:21:350:21:40

negotiations of the UK and

protecting our people. I would

0:21:400:21:42

remind the Prime Minister we are

talking about four nation states

0:21:420:21:47

within the UK. What she should do is

call the First Minister of Scotland

0:21:470:21:54

and Wales into these negotiations.

She also has to understand the

0:21:540:21:57

people of Scotland and Northern

Ireland voted to remain in the EU.

0:21:570:22:01

We asking her to respect the wishes

of those people by staying in the

0:22:010:22:07

single market and Customs union. The

question for Jeremy is is he going

0:22:070:22:11

to come with us to protect the jobs

and living standards of people in

0:22:110:22:16

this country.

I doubt it. Let me ask

about the Irish border issue and the

0:22:160:22:22

sense of convergence being the

answer, how important is that for

0:22:220:22:25

Scotland and why?

It's a massive

issue. At the end of the day it's

0:22:250:22:31

about the living standards people

have post Brexit. The UK has now

0:22:310:22:35

signed up to have full convergence

with southern Ireland and the rest

0:22:350:22:39

of Europe. What I'm saying to the

Prime Minister and everyone else is

0:22:390:22:44

the single market and Customs union

is the pathway to doing that.

Very

0:22:440:22:48

briefly, do you think the Irish

agreement, the convergence, means in

0:22:480:22:53

effect we stay in both those

organisations?

I believe it will be

0:22:530:22:58

ultimate, now you can debate that.

The EU is making it clear through

0:22:580:23:03

the transition deal we will remain

in the single market and Customs

0:23:030:23:06

union and that will create the

pathway for us doing it over the

0:23:060:23:10

longer term.

Ian Blackford, very

interesting, thanks for joining us.

0:23:100:23:17

Coming up later this morning,

Sarah Smith will be asking Northern

0:23:170:23:20

Ireland Secretary James Brokenshire

how the Government got the DUP

0:23:200:23:22

onside with the Brexit deal,

and the Shadow Foreign Secretary,

0:23:220:23:25

Emily Thornberry, about what Labour

wants in the Brexit negotiations.

0:23:250:23:27

That's the Sunday Politics

at 11am here on BBC One.

0:23:270:23:30

Up to now, Labour's answers

on the really big questions

0:23:300:23:32

about our future after we leave

the EU have been pretty

0:23:320:23:35

vague and contradictory.

0:23:350:23:36

Well, the time for

that has now passed.

0:23:360:23:38

Sir Keir Starmer, the Shadow Brexit

Secretary, joins me now.

0:23:380:23:44

Do you accept you have been very

clear to know about where you want

0:23:440:23:49

to end up?

No, we have said we want

to partnerships that retains the

0:23:490:23:52

benefits of the single market and

the customs union.

Can I explain to

0:23:520:23:59

you why I think you have not been

clear? You've had your deputy leader

0:23:590:24:02

Tom Watson, who has said we can stay

inside the single market perhaps

0:24:020:24:07

input -- and you have said this week

you have not been sufficiently clear

0:24:070:24:17

on the point of the single market.

My problem is I always get very

0:24:170:24:22

technical and legal about this and

I'm not going to do that, so let's

0:24:220:24:25

be clear. The benefits of the single

market and Customs union are no

0:24:250:24:30

tariffs and an alignment of

regulations and standards, and that

0:24:300:24:33

means that for goods and services we

can trade successfully in the

0:24:330:24:38

future. That's what we want, that's

what we mean by the benefits and to

0:24:380:24:42

some extent the model doesn't

matter.

Can I try and... What you

0:24:420:24:49

want is you accept you cannot stay

inside the single market because of

0:24:490:24:53

the referendum result but you want a

new treaty which gives you as many

0:24:530:24:56

of the benefits of the single market

and Customs union as can be

0:24:560:25:03

negotiated, is that true?

The way we

put it is we would start with viable

0:25:030:25:07

options, staying in the customs

union, and the single market variant

0:25:070:25:10

which means full participation in

the single market is so it's a bit

0:25:100:25:14

more than that. We want the full

benefits and we're clear what the

0:25:140:25:19

starting options will be. But the

developments this week show we are

0:25:190:25:22

right in our approach because one of

the reasons we advocated that course

0:25:220:25:26

is because it's the only way to

achieve no hard order in Northern

0:25:260:25:30

Ireland. At some point I put David

Davis in the House of Commons on

0:25:300:25:35

Tuesday, you cannot sweep the

customs union of the table on the

0:25:350:25:39

one hand and say you don't want a

hard order in Northern Ireland and

0:25:390:25:43

that is exactly the conclusion of

the negotiations this week.

I want

0:25:430:25:47

to come onto your position in the

second but this hard border

0:25:470:25:51

question, we have this new word -

full convergence - of relations on

0:25:510:25:59

the EU and the UK, but we are told

this morning that that's not legally

0:25:590:26:04

meaningful and that actually it may

not mean much in the end.

Well, the

0:26:040:26:10

document was released on Friday, it

commits to no hard border meaning no

0:26:100:26:14

infrastructure and no related checks

or controls. That's an absolutely

0:26:140:26:20

clear commitment. Just let me

finish, if you don't mind.

A

0:26:200:26:26

fallback position.

A commitment to

the north-south co-operation and

0:26:260:26:32

what's written into the document is

these are commitments come what may

0:26:320:26:38

in all circumstances.

The document

also says no customs union and no

0:26:380:26:42

single market.

You pushed me on that

fallback position so let's deal with

0:26:420:26:46

that. Having re-read the small

print, I am clear that fallback in

0:26:460:26:55

the first position in fact will

collapse into one, which is

0:26:550:26:59

alignment. I have been saying over

and over again...

So you think this

0:26:590:27:05

is the real deal?

This is the real

deal, you cannot have no hard border

0:27:050:27:09

if you don't have alignment.

You are

saying that because the European

0:27:090:27:14

Commission also said that?

They

issued their own assessment of the

0:27:140:27:19

agreement reached. Remember, they

are on the other side of the

0:27:190:27:23

negotiating table and said they did

a mapping exercise of the

0:27:230:27:28

north-south cooperation agreement

and they are clear the biggest

0:27:280:27:31

single risk is divergence to those

agreements because they are based on

0:27:310:27:36

EU law. They then went on to say

what the UK has said is their aim is

0:27:360:27:39

to solve this with an EU UK

agreement, then the EU said, "This

0:27:390:27:49

intention seemed hard to reconcile

with the UK's communicative decision

0:27:490:27:53

to leave the internal market and

Customs union".

But with respect,

0:27:530:27:58

they would say that.

They say we do

not say how option one isn't

0:27:580:28:06

essentially the same... The Tory

party realise this collapses into

0:28:060:28:15

one way forward, which is alignment

and convergence.

So for a lot of

0:28:150:28:19

people this is confusing but let me

be clear, you really think the

0:28:190:28:23

agreement Theresa May struck this

week means Britain will in

0:28:230:28:27

perpetuity stay close to the single

market and Customs union?

Yes, I

0:28:270:28:32

think that's the right thing and I

think we should hold her to that

0:28:320:28:35

because that goes to the heart of

the question, what sort of Britain

0:28:350:28:39

do we want to be? Do we see Europe

as our major trading partner or do

0:28:390:28:44

we want to rip ourselves apart from

that?

So you want a new treaty

0:28:440:28:49

giving full access and benefits of

the single market and Customs union,

0:28:490:28:53

and you have said it's a bit like

Norway style treaty for the

0:28:530:28:58

21st-century.

Yes.

The two things

the EU has made clear what that

0:28:580:29:05

involves is paying money in, would

you accept that?

Norway pays money

0:29:050:29:10

in, actually on a voluntary basis

but there may have to be payments,

0:29:100:29:15

to be negotiated.

But the other

thing as you know is the four

0:29:150:29:19

freedoms and you have said again and

again that freedom of movement is

0:29:190:29:22

off the table, after we leave we

have left. Can I ask you a subtly

0:29:220:29:29

different question, what maximal

cross-channel migration in both

0:29:290:29:32

directions be part of that's

negotiation or not?

Whatever the

0:29:320:29:37

rules are would have to be

negotiated and you are right to push

0:29:370:29:40

me on this because I've said freedom

of movement cannot stay the same,

0:29:400:29:45

the status quo is not an option,

that means it's got to be

0:29:450:29:50

negotiated, and you and others push

back against me and say you cannot

0:29:500:29:53

have the benefits of the single

market if you don't accept freedom

0:29:530:29:58

of movement. Now we have the EU and

UK agreeing to an approach which

0:29:580:30:03

says we must retain alignment we are

to solve the position in Northern

0:30:030:30:07

Ireland.

So that means people moving

across those borders in both

0:30:070:30:12

directions?

Let me make this point

because what is set against me every

0:30:120:30:16

time I put this argument is you

can't have that, it's and therefore

0:30:160:30:22

you have got to give up on the

benefits of the single market and

0:30:220:30:25

Customs union. What's clear is the

benefits are integral to Northern

0:30:250:30:31

Ireland.

I want to say one more time

on this question of migration

0:30:310:30:35

because we are moving back and

forward between the EU and UK. It's

0:30:350:30:40

about real people watching this

programme. What Labour in that

0:30:400:30:45

treaty negotiated system whereby

people living in the EU could live

0:30:450:30:48

and work here freely and vice versa?

That would have to be negotiated. Of

0:30:480:30:54

course we would want people to come

from the EU to work here and people

0:30:540:30:59

here to go and work in the EU, the

basis of that would have to be

0:30:590:31:04

negotiated.

Easy movement, if not

free?

Of course.

And after we have

0:31:040:31:12

left the EU, under your negotiation

we would still be mapping, copying

0:31:120:31:17

and pasting, whatever, sticking

close to EU regulations when it

0:31:170:31:21

comes to carrots, car engines,

whatever it might be?

0:31:210:31:26

What underpins access and benefit is

a level playing field. If you want

0:31:260:31:33

those benefits, you have to stay on

the same level playing field. The

0:31:330:31:37

Labour Party does not want to

deregulate.

The answer is yes?

Yes,

0:31:370:31:45

we are comfortable staying on a

level playing field.

In the future,

0:31:450:31:51

they change, the vacuum cleaner

regulations, and we change with

0:31:510:31:55

them, even though we do not have a

vote?

Yes. Let me explain. If you're

0:31:550:32:00

making vacuum cleaners in this

country and you are selling to

0:32:000:32:03

Europe, you have to do it otherwise

you cannot sell into the market. We

0:32:030:32:06

have a choice about whether we stay

aligned or not does not mean we have

0:32:060:32:11

to exercise that choice in a way

that makes it more difficult to

0:32:110:32:16

trade, we can choose to stay

aligned.

After the negotiation, we

0:32:160:32:20

carry on paying money and, easy

movement of people, the people who

0:32:200:32:25

voted to take our money back and cut

immigration, they will not be happy,

0:32:250:32:29

and we are going to copy and paste

and follow the EU regulations, even

0:32:290:32:33

though we do not have a vote, that

is by any standards the worst of all

0:32:330:32:39

worlds, you have backed yourself

into a very pleasant corner.

I do

0:32:390:32:42

not see how it is the worst of all

worlds to continue to trade

0:32:420:32:46

successfully in Europe, and to have

a solution that works in Ireland,

0:32:460:32:53

3600 people were murdered over 30

years in Northern Ireland, very good

0:32:530:32:58

book published earlier this year...

We are going widely off subject.

0:32:580:33:05

Remember the dead, serious

questions, having no hard border and

0:33:050:33:10

trading successfully with Europe, it

is a choice we are entitled to make.

0:33:100:33:14

We have a choice and we can choose

that.

We will take their regulations

0:33:140:33:19

without a vote, carry on with big

migration back and forward and we

0:33:190:33:22

will pay money for the privilege,

that has been described as being a

0:33:220:33:28

vassal state of the EU.

How we

negotiate is a matter store for

0:33:280:33:33

negotiation, not cut and paste, but

we do have a choice, stay aligned so

0:33:330:33:37

we can trade successfully or tear

apart? I say we should stay aligned.

0:33:370:33:43

We are talking about what sort of

Britain we are going to be, what the

0:33:430:33:46

next 40, 50 years are going to look

like, and I do not think anyone

0:33:460:33:50

voted to make it harder to trade

with Europe.

Your own colleague

0:33:500:33:53

Barry Gardner has described the

position as a vassal state, and that

0:33:530:34:01

will be Labour's position?

The

position Barry Gardner laid out was

0:34:010:34:04

at the beginning of last summer.

It

is where you have ended up.

We did a

0:34:040:34:09

huge amount of work over the summer

as you know developing our policy,

0:34:090:34:12

we came up very clearly saying

transitional arrangements will be

0:34:120:34:16

needed and on the same terms as now

and that we should have as viable

0:34:160:34:21

options on the table staying in a

customs union and a member of the

0:34:210:34:25

single market and every Labour

spokesperson since then has said the

0:34:250:34:28

same thing. I appreciate looking

back you can find minor differences,

0:34:280:34:32

but since the summer, it has been a

unified voice from Labour.

I am not

0:34:320:34:38

unfortunately a mind reader, but I

suspect you would like to stay in

0:34:380:34:42

the single market and the customs

union and you know that would be the

0:34:420:34:45

best available option to us right

now because we would have votes and

0:34:450:34:49

so forth. Can I ask you, would it

not be more honest and

0:34:490:34:55

straightforward and infuse many of

your own supporters if you were able

0:34:550:34:58

to say, yes, let us get rid of the

obfuscation, weasel words, I would

0:34:580:35:03

like to stay inside the single

market and the customs union?

I have

0:35:030:35:07

said we want the benefits of both

and I have said the viable options

0:35:070:35:11

are staying in a customs union or

variant of the single market, I do

0:35:110:35:16

not want to get technical.

Not

exactly the same thing.

Everyone

0:35:160:35:20

knows you would have to sign a new

agreement, you cannot stay in

0:35:200:35:24

exactly the same agreement, you need

a new agreement, a variant of what

0:35:240:35:28

we have got,

0:35:280:35:39

but do want full participation of

the single market? Yes. The benefits

0:35:410:35:44

of the customs union? Yes. Do we

need to negotiate? Yes. That is the

0:35:440:35:47

Britain we want to live in.

Very big

choices. Jeremy Corbyn has said the

0:35:470:35:49

idea of a second referendum is on

the table. Is it?

At the moment, it

0:35:490:35:52

is clear we have to get through this

phase of the negotiation and the

0:35:520:35:55

Article 50 agreement. We have never

called for a second referendum, we

0:35:550:35:59

are focused on what...

The leader

has said you have not taken a

0:35:590:36:03

decision which means you might call

for a second referendum, yes or no?

0:36:030:36:08

We have not called a second

referendum.

I am asking about the

0:36:080:36:13

future.

It is hard to know what will

happen, things are moving so fast,

0:36:130:36:18

but we are not calling for it.

Thank

you very much.

0:36:180:36:23

Now, Molly's Game is a new film

based on the true story

0:36:230:36:26

of an underground poker master

called Molly Bloom.

0:36:260:36:28

West Wing creator Aaron Sorkin's

debut as a director

0:36:280:36:30

is about the murky world of illegal

gambling, Russian dirty money

0:36:300:36:33

and American mafias,

all of which confronts Molly

0:36:330:36:34

with a profound moral dilemma.

0:36:340:36:36

I caught up with Aaron Sorkin

and Jessica Chastain,

0:36:360:36:38

who plays Molly, to discuss why

he chose this particular

0:36:380:36:40

story for his first film.

0:36:400:36:42

I wasn't going to wait before

I put a plan in place.

0:36:420:36:45

I will be hosting a game in this

suite every Tuesday night.

0:36:450:36:47

Let's play.

0:36:470:36:48

Slow it down.

0:36:480:36:52

Big players don't like fast games.

0:36:520:36:54

Sarcastic dealing, cool.

0:36:540:36:56

Molly Bloom is what got me

to choose Molly Bloom.

0:36:560:37:00

I read her book, which

is a terrific write -

0:37:000:37:02

I would recommend it

0:37:020:37:04

to anybody - but then

it was meeting Molly.

0:37:040:37:06

In that first hour that I met her,

it started to become clear to me

0:37:060:37:12

that I was talking to someone

who didn't realise it but she was

0:37:120:37:15

a real-life movie heroine.

0:37:150:37:17

She does the right thing

when doing the wrong thing,

0:37:170:37:20

that sense of integrity,

that sense of character

0:37:200:37:22

and that sense of decency.

0:37:220:37:25

Especially nowadays,

when you come across it,

0:37:250:37:30

it feels like just a cool glass

of water in the middle

0:37:300:37:33

of the desert.

0:37:330:37:35

She's encouraged to blurt out

the names of lots of people

0:37:350:37:37

whose secrets she knows,

lots of powerful men,

0:37:370:37:39

and she refuses to do so.

0:37:390:37:40

In the end, why do

you think she refuses?

0:37:400:37:45

It's not about protecting

powerful men, the film,

0:37:450:37:47

it's about not giving any more

of herself away.

0:37:470:37:50

The film really explores patriarchy,

and you see it in her family,

0:37:500:37:56

you see it in her industry

and you see it in the government.

0:37:560:38:00

And Molly gives so much of

who she is away throughout the film.

0:38:000:38:03

She changes everything

about the way she looks,

0:38:030:38:05

she's jumping through these hoops,

adhering to the rules

0:38:050:38:07

laid out by men.

0:38:070:38:08

And at the end of the movie,

she says, I'm not doing it any more.

0:38:080:38:11

This is my name, this is who I am

and I'm going to stay true to that.

0:38:110:38:16

First buy-in, 250,000.

0:38:160:38:17

That's going to make noise.

0:38:170:38:18

I was the biggest game

runner in the world.

0:38:180:38:20

You're not taking

a percentage of the pot?

0:38:200:38:22

No.

0:38:220:38:23

Keep it that way because you don't

want to break the law

0:38:230:38:26

when you're breaking the law.

0:38:260:38:27

Am I breaking the law?

0:38:270:38:28

Not really.

0:38:280:38:29

We're able to find out

for sure, aren't we?

0:38:290:38:31

Laws are written down.

0:38:310:38:32

Despite the cocaine and the drugs,

and the dirty money,

0:38:320:38:35

the poker games and the sexual

allure and the violence,

0:38:350:38:37

is this, in the end,

an old-fashioned moral story?

0:38:370:38:40

Everything you described comes

from the man cave that Molly has

0:38:400:38:42

created to serve this industry

where men make all the rules.

0:38:420:38:47

So I think it's really

a timely film right now.

0:38:470:38:51

Also, when you think of what women

had to do to find success

0:38:510:38:54

in an industry dominated by men.

0:38:540:38:57

And for her at the end of the film,

to stay true to who she is,

0:38:570:39:01

it's absolutely a moral tale.

0:39:010:39:04

When you're making a film,

you've written presidents,

0:39:040:39:14

you've written the Social Network

and now you're bringing

0:39:140:39:16

in the Russian Mafia.

0:39:160:39:17

That can't not be a political

statement at this moment.

0:39:170:39:20

It would have been a political

statement no matter what year

0:39:200:39:22

the film was released.

0:39:220:39:23

As it happened, this film suddenly

became more relevant

0:39:230:39:25

than anyone expected it to be.

0:39:250:39:27

I'll even tell you this -

many of the Russian mobsters

0:39:270:39:33

who Molly inadvertently lets

into her game, she did not know

0:39:330:39:41

that they were connected,

as we say, in the US.

0:39:410:39:43

Many of them lived in Trump Tower.

0:39:430:39:46

And your characters in the West Wing

have this golden way of speaking

0:39:460:39:49

which owes a lot to JFK,

I guess, and that era,

0:39:490:39:51

and the writers around there.

0:39:510:39:53

And we now have a president

who communicates by tweet.

0:39:530:39:58

Can I put it to you that, actually,

whatever you think of Donald Trump -

0:39:580:40:02

and I suspect you're not a huge

supporter - he's a very,

0:40:020:40:05

very effective modern rhetoritician?

0:40:050:40:06

Well, effective at what?

0:40:060:40:07

I don't think there's a grand

strategy behind what he's doing,

0:40:070:40:10

I don't think he's playing 3D chess

while the rest of us

0:40:100:40:13

are playing checkers.

0:40:130:40:17

I think that we are seeing a guy

just lob spitballs, and what he does

0:40:170:40:21

best and what his base likes him

the most for

0:40:210:40:27

is that he's an excellent stick

with which to poke

0:40:270:40:30

their enemies in the eye.

0:40:300:40:32

You come from an American

Jewish heritage.

0:40:320:40:37

Do you not at least applaud the move

to Jerusalem as the capital,

0:40:370:40:40

the American embassy

going to Jerusalem?

0:40:400:40:41

A lot of people in Israel

are really, really delighted.

0:40:410:40:44

No, I am not delighted

that he did that.

0:40:440:40:46

It was absolutely unnecessary.

0:40:460:40:49

There is no upside to it.

0:40:490:40:54

It will very likely cause

violence around the world.

0:40:540:40:58

A lot of that violence is going

to be directed toward Americans.

0:40:580:41:04

It was an empty gesture

designed to appease a very,

0:41:040:41:07

very narrow group of supporters.

0:41:070:41:17

Of course, Israel is

applauding it, and of course,

0:41:170:41:19

we all support Israel,

0:41:190:41:20

but it was a reckless and stupid

thing to do.

0:41:200:41:23

Jessica, Aaron, thanks very

much for talking to us.

0:41:230:41:25

Thank you very much.

Thank you.

0:41:250:41:27

Now, the main event -

in his first interview

0:41:270:41:30

since the Brussels deal,

the Brexit Secretray,

0:41:300:41:31

David Davis, joins me.

0:41:310:41:34

Before we get going on this week's

events, I have to ask you, no easy

0:41:340:41:39

way of talking about this, an issue

about your own integrity when it

0:41:390:41:42

came to some of the things you have

said about impact assessments, you

0:41:420:41:46

told me you were doing lots of

impact assessments, really important

0:41:460:41:50

to work out what will happen after

Brexit, then you told the House of

0:41:500:41:54

Commons something else. Both clips

you, the first earlier in the

0:41:540:41:59

year...

0:41:590:42:01

We continue to analyse the impact

of our exit across the breadth

0:42:010:42:04

of the UK economy covering more

than 50 sectors, I think

0:42:040:42:06

58 at the last count,

to shape our negotiating position.

0:42:060:42:09

Has the Government undertaken

any impact assessments

0:42:090:42:10

on the implications of leaving

the EU for different

0:42:100:42:13

sectors of the economy?

0:42:130:42:14

Not in sectors.

0:42:140:42:24

On the motor sector?

No.

Financial

services.

The answer

0:42:250:42:31

will be no to all of them.

0:42:310:42:35

Did the impact assessments exist or

not? Using the word impact does not

0:42:350:42:40

make an impact assessment. Let me be

clear, the impact assessment has a

0:42:400:42:44

proper meaning almost in Law,

certainly in civil service, and the

0:42:440:42:49

better regulation task force has

guidelines. What we have done is

0:42:490:42:53

analysed each sector and said, how

big is it? How big is it question

0:42:530:43:02

how much does it depend on European

markets? That has been the focus.

0:43:020:43:08

There are 850 pages of that.

You

were wrong in the House of Commons,

0:43:080:43:13

they do exist?

No. The people asking

for this were aiming at was the idea

0:43:130:43:19

of a forecast of the impact, the

forecast of how much would this

0:43:190:43:23

industry lose under this scenario,

those do not exist.

That is the kind

0:43:230:43:28

of thing people would hope the

Government had done. You're going

0:43:280:43:31

into this really important

negotiation, people want to know

0:43:310:43:35

what the Government's view of the

impact on the car industry might be.

0:43:350:43:40

We know what the effective

regulatory barriers are, that is the

0:43:400:43:44

important thing. We will no doubt

later come to the arguments of

0:43:440:43:49

convergence and so on. How do we

deal with that? What do we need to

0:43:490:43:54

negotiate? When we started we were

looking at possibly doing

0:43:540:43:57

negotiation sector by sector. We

will not do that so there is no

0:43:570:44:01

point doing one forecast here...

Why

not question at uber-the forecast do

0:44:010:44:05

not work. Look at what people have

forecast for the outcome of the

0:44:050:44:11

Brexit referendum. -- why not? The

forecast do not work.

They said the

0:44:110:44:17

economy would come down. It has

improved. Best employment ever.

0:44:170:44:22

Lowest unemployment in my lifetime.

Way off topic. Do you not accept you

0:44:220:44:27

gave the impression the detailed

impact assessments were being done,

0:44:270:44:31

had been done, eye watering the

detailed, meticulous, they existed?

0:44:310:44:37

No. Sectoral analysis is not the

same as an impact assessment.

We are

0:44:370:44:42

conducting a broad range of analysis

on the macroeconomic and sectoral

0:44:420:44:45

level, to quote, understand the

impact of leaving the EU on all

0:44:450:44:51

aspects of the UK, including

agriculture. That is an impact

0:44:510:44:55

sectoral assessment of the kind you

said did not exist.

That is what

0:44:550:44:59

they have got. 850 pages of sectoral

analysis. That is the size, the

0:44:590:45:07

employment, the dependence on

Europe, availability of other

0:45:070:45:13

markets, that is the data, that is

done. No one has said anything

0:45:130:45:17

different. Throughout the course of

18 months, sectoral analysis is the

0:45:170:45:22

phrase I have used. Alice in

Wonderland. No, Gulliver's Travels.

0:45:220:45:28

Were you loose in your language at

least?

I have answered questions on

0:45:280:45:34

this thousands of times. I have used

the term sectoral analysis many

0:45:340:45:40

hundreds of times.

How much will it

cost to leave the EU?

It is very

0:45:400:45:44

complex.

Again, I gave you that

figure not that long ago and you

0:45:440:45:52

rolled your eyes and you shut your

head and you laughed and you said,

0:45:520:45:56

no, absolutely not, just a guess. If

billion was a guess, bloody good

0:45:560:46:02

guess.

If you want precision, I

said, that sounds sort of made up.

0:46:020:46:09

Pretty accurate question at

the

reason it was sort of made up was

0:46:090:46:13

because at that stage we were going

through the line by line analysis.

0:46:130:46:19

-- pretty accurate? We did not know

what the outcome would be.

When did

0:46:190:46:23

you know?

Let me finish. A week or

so go, quite recently, we did not

0:46:230:46:32

complete the line by line analysis

until we went into the final round

0:46:320:46:36

of negotiations.

An awful lot of

money, can you point to one occasion

0:46:360:46:40

on which a government minister of

money, can you point to one occasion

0:46:400:46:43

on which a government minister ever

warned the British public this is

0:46:430:46:45

what it would cost to leave the EU?

From the beginning, in the Lancaster

0:46:450:46:48

House beach and indeed actually I

think maybe in the conference

0:46:480:46:52

speech, certainly Lancaster House

speech, the Prime Minister said we

0:46:520:46:57

would meet our obligations.

No one

knew what that meant.

We had not

0:46:570:47:03

done the numbers, the opening bid

was 100 billion plus, on the front

0:47:030:47:13

of the Financial Times newspaper.

Nothing like 100 billion. You have

0:47:130:47:18

had Keir Starmer on here promising

effectively a Labour government

0:47:180:47:22

would continue paying large sums of

money. We are not going to do that.

0:47:220:47:30

Can I ask about the sums. 40 billion

is roughly four years of net import

0:47:300:47:35

at the moment so forth four years of

payments...

It won't quite work like

0:47:350:47:43

that.

But at what point in this

parliament will we start to get

0:47:430:47:49

money back? Hardly any will come

back this Parliament?

If we have the

0:47:490:47:57

two-year transition period, that

will carry on as now, so 20 billion,

0:47:570:48:06

which is a guess. But we haven't

done the profile of that yet, it may

0:48:060:48:11

go on for many years but quite small

sums.

Let's go onto this year...

0:48:110:48:21

This week's negotiations.

It feels

light-years!

Is the question is

0:48:210:48:26

whether that full convergence quote,

full alignment I beg your pardon, is

0:48:260:48:35

real or not.

It's an important

distinction. You were the rate in

0:48:350:48:39

the earlier about using words.

I

corrected myself, full alignment.

0:48:390:48:45

And it was changed from no

divergence, that's the point. Let me

0:48:450:48:50

explain. No divergence would have

meant taking cut and paste rules. It

0:48:500:49:00

covers agriculture, road and rail,

water... It is unlikely to have much

0:49:000:49:06

impact on health or indeed

education. But the ones it does have

0:49:060:49:09

an impact on, we are not looking to

create a circumstance where animal

0:49:090:49:14

welfare is worse in Britain than

elsewhere. Or where safety of food

0:49:140:49:22

is worse or pollutions of waterways

so we will need the outcomes but not

0:49:220:49:28

do it by just copying or doing what

the European Union are doing. And to

0:49:280:49:33

put it plainly to you, because Keir

was reading out the union comments

0:49:330:49:40

on it, when the same point was put

to Michel Barnier on Friday, he said

0:49:400:49:45

no, you don't understand, this does

not mean membership of the single

0:49:450:49:49

market or the customs union.

But if

I put it in very simple terms, if

0:49:490:49:55

they have a rule on carrots, in due

course I will rule on carrots will

0:49:550:50:00

be aligned. Their carrots and our

carrots will be broadly speaking the

0:50:000:50:05

same carrots.

Full alignment means

outcome. Northern Ireland is next to

0:50:050:50:14

the Republic of Ireland...

And it

will have next to regulations, very

0:50:140:50:19

similar.

There will be some

similarities. The Prime Minister

0:50:190:50:23

made this out in her Florence

speech, she said there will be areas

0:50:230:50:28

where we want similar outcomes and

will have similar methods to achieve

0:50:280:50:32

them, there will be areas with

similar outcomes but different

0:50:320:50:35

methods to achieve them, and areas

where we want different outcomes and

0:50:350:50:40

will use different methods.

Let's

stick with what we know, in this

0:50:400:50:43

agreement you have all signed up to

full alignment, it involves

0:50:430:50:48

agriculture. David Jones your junior

minister was worried about this

0:50:480:50:54

because he pointed out before you do

a free trade deal with America they

0:50:540:50:59

have insisted we have to have

agricultural norms that apply to

0:50:590:51:02

them as well.

You say that, we

haven't yet started that negotiation

0:51:020:51:09

so it's a bit hard... I mean,

there's an awful lot here, I saw it

0:51:090:51:14

in your earlier comment as well, of

assuming what the other side says in

0:51:140:51:20

the negotiation at the beginning is

the outcome. You can see an example

0:51:200:51:25

this week in the Japan agreement

where there are agricultural...

0:51:250:51:30

There's no way Europe and Japan will

be the same.

Nonetheless the US

0:51:300:51:38

Commons secretary Wilbur Ross has

said any deal with Brussels might

0:51:380:51:47

hinder a relationship and it's

necessary we remove any unnecessary

0:51:470:51:52

regulatory divergences with the US,

which seems to go against the spirit

0:51:520:51:56

of what you have aggrieved this

week.

He said maintain the

0:51:560:52:00

regulations, that's not we are going

to do, we are going to bring back

0:52:000:52:05

control.

They will be aligned, fully

aligned in fact.

If you look at any

0:52:050:52:11

free trade deal anywhere in the

world, look at the Canadian one with

0:52:110:52:15

Europe, what you see is agreements

on where product standards normally

0:52:150:52:22

comply. Sometimes you see other

things, in the free trade deal

0:52:220:52:26

between Europe and Canada they say

they will not go below the minimum.

0:52:260:52:33

What the House of Commons and what

the House of Lords, what the

0:52:330:52:37

parliament will decide in the future

is what's good for this industry but

0:52:370:52:41

what's good in terms of both the

market in Europe and the rest of the

0:52:410:52:43

world and they will make those

decisions independently with full

0:52:430:52:46

sovereignty and even light of what

the consequences will be.

The

0:52:460:52:53

Chancellor of the Exchequer has said

that under all circumstances we will

0:52:530:53:03

pay the money to the EU. Can I ask

you whether this agreement this

0:53:030:53:09

week...

It is conditional on an

outcome, I'm afraid that's not

0:53:090:53:13

right. I have this -- it is

conditional on a trade outcome, but

0:53:130:53:23

also the other elements of the

treaty which will be security,

0:53:230:53:29

foreign affairs and other things.

So

in the unhappy possibility but it's

0:53:290:53:33

a possibility if we get onto the

trade side of the negotiations,

0:53:330:53:37

phase to -- two, and the EU don't

give us what we want and they have

0:53:370:53:48

us over a barrel and we hate it and

we say we are not having any of

0:53:480:53:52

that, in those circumstances are

committed to the regulatory

0:53:520:53:55

convergence, committed to paying the

money?

No deal is no deal. Let me

0:53:550:54:02

finish, you want the answer.

Otherwise you will be coming back to

0:54:020:54:06

me later saying you only said this.

Number one, no deal means that we

0:54:060:54:12

won't be paying the money. Some of

these areas...

So the Chancellor is

0:54:120:54:19

wrong about that, OK.

It's been made

clear when ten already so that's not

0:54:190:54:25

new. One of the things we have had

as a major objective, Major

0:54:250:54:30

negotiating objective of the British

government, we don't normally lay

0:54:300:54:34

out red lines, that's one of the

things I have said, that we want to

0:54:340:54:39

protect the peace process and also

we want to protect Ireland from the

0:54:390:54:44

impact of Brexit for them. So this

was a statement of intent more than

0:54:440:54:48

anything else.

Here is the crucial

question, that promise on full

0:54:480:54:55

alignment that we have made not just

of the EU but also in specific terms

0:54:550:55:00

to the Irish government in Dublin,

if we don't get a deal, does that

0:55:000:55:05

promise gets torn up?

I think if we

don't get a deal we will have to

0:55:050:55:09

find a way of making sure we keep

the frictionless border as an

0:55:090:55:15

invisible border in Northern

Ireland. We do it at the moment. At

0:55:150:55:19

the moment there are different tax

and levy regimes north and south of

0:55:190:55:23

the border, we manage that without

having border posts and we will find

0:55:230:55:28

a way of doing that.

The Taoiseach

thinks he has that in his pocket, he

0:55:280:55:38

may be watching this. Can you look

in the camera and say we commit

0:55:380:55:42

ourselves to that.

We commit

ourselves to maintaining a

0:55:420:55:47

frictionless invisible border,

that's what we undertake.

Even with

0:55:470:55:50

no deal?

Even with a WTO deal, we

will find it. I strongly recommend

0:55:500:55:58

reading our paper was published, we

published 14 papers this year.

Tell

0:55:580:56:05

people, is a technical solution?

It

could be a solution using trusted

0:56:050:56:10

traders so that people can cross the

border but they will be notified and

0:56:100:56:14

there will be audits of them. All

sorts, and also large allowances to

0:56:140:56:21

small companies. There are

possibilities we can do which nobody

0:56:210:56:25

has engaged on yet.

Transitional

period about two years.

Two years.

0:56:250:56:33

Is the case that during that

transitional period we are still

0:56:330:56:38

negotiating or not?

We would expect

the substance -- substantive trade

0:56:380:56:45

deal to be struck.

There will be

tinkering going on?

Yes.

In real

0:56:450:56:56

terms, because there has to be an

implementation phase, we have about

0:56:560:57:00

eight months to do an incredibly

complicated trade deal that took

0:57:000:57:05

Canada seven years?

It's not that

complicated, it come back to the

0:57:050:57:09

alignment point. The first thing is

we want an overarching trade deal

0:57:090:57:13

which has no carrots so you don't

have to negotiate every tariff. --

0:57:130:57:20

that has no tariffs.

Let me push

back one more time on this because

0:57:200:57:26

it comes to the kind of arrangement

we want to have once we have finally

0:57:260:57:30

left the EU which the Cabinet is

finally going to discuss before

0:57:300:57:34

Christmas. What is your vision of

that?

It's not just my vision, it's

0:57:340:57:42

what we have been discussing

already, before the Florence speech,

0:57:420:57:46

before the white paper was

published, which is an overarching

0:57:460:57:48

trade deal which includes services,

with individual specific

0:57:480:57:55

arrangements for aviation, nuclear,

data, a series of strands am most of

0:57:550:58:00

them based on where we start now. As

Michel Barnier has said, the thing

0:58:000:58:05

is how we manage divergence, that's

the point. So that it doesn't

0:58:050:58:09

undercut the access in the future.

Going further forward. So if the

0:58:090:58:15

basic deal, I'm being very crude

about this but it is Canada plus the

0:58:150:58:22

city?

Plus plus plus would be one

way of putting it.

The French want

0:58:220:58:29

to steal as much of the city as they

can.

That's your words.

Appropriate,

0:58:290:58:38

grab, whatever. It's perfectly

possible that would make a very

0:58:380:58:41

difficult negotiation and cannot be

done within eight months so if it's

0:58:410:58:45

not finished within eight months,

what happens?

I don't agree, it's

0:58:450:58:50

more like a year than eight months

but we cannot sign this until after

0:58:500:58:55

we actually leave, it may be

one-minute or one second after we

0:58:550:59:00

leave but the formal technicalities

mean we can't do that. We have about

0:59:000:59:04

a year which is why this week was

important. If we had gone through

0:59:040:59:08

this week...

I have another this

week question.

Then we really would

0:59:080:59:15

have been com pressed and I would be

saying it is difficult to do. So the

0:59:150:59:20

odds against a WTO agreement have

dropped dramatically.

And that's the

0:59:200:59:24

meaning of this week. Let me ask

what Michael Gove meant when he said

0:59:240:59:29

this can be looked up again at the

next general election, if we don't

0:59:290:59:34

like the deal David Davis has

struck, don't worry... That wasn't

0:59:340:59:39

helpful, was it?

It's a statement of

the obvious, any new government is

0:59:390:59:45

elected on a mandate of its own. We

were elected on the mandate the deal

0:59:450:59:50

was delivered, any other government

might not be. That would be the

0:59:500:59:53

consequence. Go back and renegotiate

or whatever. But it's a statement of

0:59:530:59:59

the obvious.

And what you want is

Canada plus plus plus.

What we want

0:59:591:00:08

is a bespoke outcome. We will

probably start with the best of

1:00:081:00:14

Canada and the best of Japan and

best of south Korea and add to that

1:00:141:00:18

the bits which are missing, which

are the services.

Thank you.

1:00:181:00:24

That's all for this week.

1:00:241:00:25

Next week, we'll be back

with our final show before

1:00:251:00:28

the Christmas break.

1:00:281:00:29

My guests will include a man tipped

by many to be the next James Bond,

1:00:291:00:32

the actor James Norton.

1:00:321:00:34

Plus, much more.

1:00:341:00:35

Until then, goodbye.

1:00:351:00:38

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