02/04/2014 The Papers


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which killed 13 people 4.5 years ago. `` multiple shooting. All


personnel had been ordered to be sheltered immediately. We will bring


you more as we get it. Welcome to our look ahead to the


papers tomorrow. I have a political commentator and the City editor at


the mail on Sunday. The front pages are in now. The Daily Telegraph has


the health risks of the current smoggy conditions. The Guardian


claims that ministers want to make GCSEs tougher by picking Mark from


students in England with those in China. The Metro covers the case of


a businessman who bled to death on the road after being stabbed by


carjackers. The headline in the Mera is warning people to keep their


children indoors because of the killer smog. The Mail is leading


with Nigella Lawson who has apparently been banned from the US


after admitting that she took cocaine. The Express headlines


booming property prices, saying that the price of the average home has


soared by ?16,000 in months. The Times is claiming that the PM is


being pressured to prevent Scots from voting in the next election if


they vote on independence. The Sun has a take on the dust cloud over


the UK with a headline Desert Island. That is where we begin.


Desert island. Stay inside alert. The take of the Sun seems to play up


the freak weather conditions. The desert sand was the most bizarre


thing about this. It was visible on cars all over the country, or least


those I have seen in London. The visible effect. Following the story


on, the very bottom of the story points out that Britain faces fines


of ?200 million after legal action was launched over the persistent


lack of UK air quality. That may be lurking beneath this. You have a


freak event because it comes on top of what might be at persistent


problem. It isn't just dust from the Sahara. It is pollution from


factories in the UK and across Europe. There is confusion about


this story. You read what different and watchdogs and apartments are


advising. Some advise to stay indoors, especially if... Some


schools have kept children from going into the playground because of


it. Other advisers are seemingly saying that it isn't that bad. On


the front page of the Times, they call it a blunder. They say that the


Met Office admitted that it overstated the threat and people


panicked. It is one of these stories which, because there are pretty good


photographs to go along, you can see, it is perhaps being over eight.


Asthmatic people are feeling it. `` over`egged. That is a lot to do with


the Saharan dust which is a freak weather condition. Indeed. Let's go


to the Times. Pressure on camera and to prevent Scots from voting if they


vote for independence. That could be that they don't have a say in the


election? This is interesting. It is interesting that he has kept Nigel


Karadzic and Nick Clegg of the front page. If you look across the front


pages, the debate is not nearly as prominent as we might have thought.


`` Farage. That may be because they don't want to give Nigel Farage a


leg up. The Times has got their story through its own merit but I


don't think the timing is coincidence. It says that the PM is


being lobbied by senior conservatives who want to ban the


59th Scottish constituencies from taking part in the election if they


vote for independence. That has run applications. If you take away those


59 constituencies which are all not Tory except one, the political


landscape comes a very different. In order to do it, you have to get the


bill passed through Parliament. Can you see Labour MPs voting for that?


In some ways, it is a story to highlight the what gifts of the


whole independence debate and to make people who might be tempted to


vote for independence thing twice. An interesting political story. Very


interesting. It says that it if there is a voter independence,


camera and should resign according to some MPs. He helped put this the


agenda and allowed it to happen. His position will be extremely


difficult. I'm sure that he does not want to get an history as the Prime


Minister who saw the breakup of the union. Back to the electoral thing.


I think it unpacks a host of possibilities that the Scottish


referendum poses which should have been unthought of before. The


opposite possibility, the general election takes place and Scotland


votes Yes to independence but the Scottish constituencies still had


seats in Westminster. Let us imagine that we are in the situation we were


in in 2010 where we have a negotiation and hung parliament. You


may end up with a government which depends upon Scottish seats. The


alternative to them, if they do vote, is that they vacate their


seats. That would be halfway through a British Parliament. We would have


to renegotiate and have a new coalition or would there be a new


general election? It hones in on the problems of the referendum could


cause. It is clever electioneering cause. It is clever electioneering


as far as the referendum is concerned because of exactly that.


No matter what happens, if we do vote for independence, it is going


to be an absolute muggle. It is the drip, drip that is being fed to the


newspapers. In good and interesting stories, but it is to make people


think, " Don't vote for independence." That public down


south of the border will think of this, I wonder. A lot of people


would think, why would they vote for independence? Why would they vote


our Prime Minister? If there is any Yes for independence, the Scottish


MPs would vacate their seats but they would vacate their seats after


the election, not before it. Very interesting story. Well done, the


Times. Let's go to the Guardian. To the GCSE marks paid to China's


scores. We had been hearing that the pressure that the Chinese are under


to get good grades. `` pegged. Is this what he is suggesting? There


are those who would think twice about putting their children under


the kind of pressure we hear about in Shanghai and Singapore and far


Eastern countries about educational performance. We have also talked


about the question already of whether we are comparing like with


like. The way these educational performance data is collected in


other countries, is it can parable to what is going on here? It is a


very difficult thing. It isn't a coincidence and that the Guardian


has chosen to headline it in a way that they have done. You immediately


think of Tiger mums, and hot housing. In this country, we tend to


be negative about China. When these comparative studies come and they


show that our 15`year`old children are not doing as well as other


countries, that is also negative. You can't have it both ways. Code is


correct to push the stand`up as long as we do not go down that


high`intensity, pressurised situation. `` Gove is correct. There


were other statistic about problem`solving in 15 `year`olds. We


did very, very well. Our kids to do very well in something. GCSEs are


meant to be more about teaching children to think rather than to


regurgitate. We should applaud where applause is necessary. It is a


classic cliche, isn't it? They make Apple products in China but they


don't develop them. Something to ponder. Let's go to the Mirror and


the big debate tonight. The rumble in central London. One line from it


from central `` Nigel Farage, migrants have created a white


underclass. Farage plays the race card. He KOs Nick Clegg. It is no


coincidence that he used this phrase. He seems to pull back from


it a little bit but I can't help feeling that there was a deliberate


plan. He knew the constituency to which he was trying to appeal. The


thing about the Mirror which surprises me is the opinion piece on


the verdict which suggests that Nick Clegg was victorious, or least


delivered some serious blows on Farage which I don't think was the


case to be honest. Nick Clegg was defensive throughout the debate.


There were areas, notably Syria and the Keating issue where he landed


some blows but not sure that most people think that that was central


to the debate. I think that a lot of commentators, especially on the Left


were startled and frightened by the blatant appeal that Farage was


making to the Mirror readers. Labour Party, working, what he would call


working`class voters, which of course have not really being in the


UKIP train before, but today it was very, very clear that he was going


for them, help labour. Labour voters definitely because he was talking


about hard`working people taking our jobs and that sort of thing that in


a different way from the way he has done it in the past. `` help Labour.


They will want to knock him out as soon as possible. Deliberate Mac


party has suggested that they have made mistakes on immigration and


they should not allow the barriers to be completely blown open. `` the


Labor Party. Labor Party has tried to address the issue. Had they


adjusted well enough? `` addressed it. People developer position which


is hard to shake in either direction. If the kernel of an idea


is in the mind of people and you are a politician with a mind to do so,


you can reach out to it. It has power. The antiestablishment


argument which he was pushing so much, it will appeal to Labour


voters. The establishment is conservatives and LibDem at the


moment. He's pushing that more now than he was when the establishment


was the Labour. He is the outsider. Apparently it's a big shout out for


the Prime Minister for Waitrose. It doesn't sound like it is connected,


but I think that this is really... ! You can draw the link here. An off


the cuff remark that David Cameron made. He was visiting John Lewis and


said how much he loves Waitrose and he finds Waitrose customers are more


talkative and engage more with him. He would have thought that that was


a nice and flattering and friendsly thing to do. It send a dodgy message


because it sounds like David Cameron only connects with Waitrose


shoppers. And then, of course, most of us these days aren't are doing a


lot of shopping in Aldi and the pound shop. I was going to say `


that's exactly where he should be making that comment down in Aldi or


Pound Stretcher. I'm saying that it is a serious political mistake, but


the us and them message that Nigel Farage is so desperately trying to


be on the us, he's looking like a them. Has he dropped the clankinger


then? Yes, as Daisy says. I think that it is intriguing and it gives


us a window. Where you shop, supermarket`wise, in a lot of


people's minds, is a proxy for social class and social positioning


and some things have been thrown in the air by that. We have a middle


class that's felt a squeeze and, as Daisy says, is increasingly drawn to


places like Aldi and Lidl. Well, I wonder where he will make his


statement from tomorrow, Aldi? You can imagine Ed Miliband making hay


in Prime Minister's Questions, "You wouldn't know, you only shop in


Waitrose! ". He says when he's in his local town, he shops as


Sainsbury only because there isn't a Waitrose, that's going to stick! It


will. Back to the Express, house prices soaring by ?16,000. No end in


sight for prices and London is way outstripping. It usually does, but


it is getting ridiculous now, isn't it? It is. This is beginning to


shape up to be quite a serious issue. The imbalance that there is


between London. But interestingly, in the figures that came out


yesterday, there was other hot spots in certain parts of Manchester, that


were extremely hot on house prices. But it is becoming a serious issue.


I don't want to be an alarmist, but house prices are galloping at a rate


which is at odds with what we're seeing in the rest of the economy


and poses some quite serious dilemmas for the Bank of England


about how it deals with this. They're very torn, it seems to me,


and obviously they're aware of this, in that they don't feel that they


can raise interest rates to calm down this behaviour because it could


be destructive to the economic recovery, but at the same time, they


need to communicate to people that interest rates will go up and house


prices could be a burden. Deutsch Bank has just said that it believes


that rate rises will come sooner rather than later. They've changed


their mind on that. And coming back to the London property market, there


were figures out this weekend showing... And we've known this for


a while, that more billionaires than any other city in the world, are


buying property in London because they see it as a safe haven for


their money. It's not to live in, but purely an investment. That


brings in massive implications for mansion tax and so on. The average


house that the billionaires is buying is ?22 million for the


average house. And you can see that generally, as house prices rise, so


does stamp duty. The Treasury's coiffers grow so there are lots of


incentives for the Government to be happy about this. And then we get


back to boom and bust. Exactly, but as you say, lots of reasons for the


Government to be happy with the election around the corner.


Absolutely. Daysy and Simon, great to have you both in looking at the


stories behind the headlines. Many thanks for that.


We'll now go to that breaking news I was telling you about earlier. The


apparent shooting, an incident. At the


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