02/04/2014 The Papers


02/04/2014

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which killed 13 people 4.5 years ago. `` multiple shooting. All

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personnel had been ordered to be sheltered immediately. We will bring

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you more as we get it. Welcome to our look ahead to the

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papers tomorrow. I have a political commentator and the City editor at

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the mail on Sunday. The front pages are in now. The Daily Telegraph has

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the health risks of the current smoggy conditions. The Guardian

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claims that ministers want to make GCSEs tougher by picking Mark from

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students in England with those in China. The Metro covers the case of

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a businessman who bled to death on the road after being stabbed by

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carjackers. The headline in the Mera is warning people to keep their

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children indoors because of the killer smog. The Mail is leading

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with Nigella Lawson who has apparently been banned from the US

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after admitting that she took cocaine. The Express headlines

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booming property prices, saying that the price of the average home has

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soared by ?16,000 in months. The Times is claiming that the PM is

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being pressured to prevent Scots from voting in the next election if

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they vote on independence. The Sun has a take on the dust cloud over

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the UK with a headline Desert Island. That is where we begin.

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Desert island. Stay inside alert. The take of the Sun seems to play up

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the freak weather conditions. The desert sand was the most bizarre

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thing about this. It was visible on cars all over the country, or least

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those I have seen in London. The visible effect. Following the story

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on, the very bottom of the story points out that Britain faces fines

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of ?200 million after legal action was launched over the persistent

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lack of UK air quality. That may be lurking beneath this. You have a

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freak event because it comes on top of what might be at persistent

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problem. It isn't just dust from the Sahara. It is pollution from

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factories in the UK and across Europe. There is confusion about

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this story. You read what different and watchdogs and apartments are

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advising. Some advise to stay indoors, especially if... Some

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schools have kept children from going into the playground because of

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it. Other advisers are seemingly saying that it isn't that bad. On

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the front page of the Times, they call it a blunder. They say that the

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Met Office admitted that it overstated the threat and people

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panicked. It is one of these stories which, because there are pretty good

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photographs to go along, you can see, it is perhaps being over eight.

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Asthmatic people are feeling it. `` over`egged. That is a lot to do with

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the Saharan dust which is a freak weather condition. Indeed. Let's go

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to the Times. Pressure on camera and to prevent Scots from voting if they

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vote for independence. That could be that they don't have a say in the

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election? This is interesting. It is interesting that he has kept Nigel

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Karadzic and Nick Clegg of the front page. If you look across the front

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pages, the debate is not nearly as prominent as we might have thought.

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`` Farage. That may be because they don't want to give Nigel Farage a

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leg up. The Times has got their story through its own merit but I

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don't think the timing is coincidence. It says that the PM is

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being lobbied by senior conservatives who want to ban the

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59th Scottish constituencies from taking part in the election if they

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vote for independence. That has run applications. If you take away those

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59 constituencies which are all not Tory except one, the political

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landscape comes a very different. In order to do it, you have to get the

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bill passed through Parliament. Can you see Labour MPs voting for that?

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In some ways, it is a story to highlight the what gifts of the

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whole independence debate and to make people who might be tempted to

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vote for independence thing twice. An interesting political story. Very

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interesting. It says that it if there is a voter independence,

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camera and should resign according to some MPs. He helped put this the

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agenda and allowed it to happen. His position will be extremely

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difficult. I'm sure that he does not want to get an history as the Prime

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Minister who saw the breakup of the union. Back to the electoral thing.

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I think it unpacks a host of possibilities that the Scottish

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referendum poses which should have been unthought of before. The

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opposite possibility, the general election takes place and Scotland

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votes Yes to independence but the Scottish constituencies still had

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seats in Westminster. Let us imagine that we are in the situation we were

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in in 2010 where we have a negotiation and hung parliament. You

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may end up with a government which depends upon Scottish seats. The

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alternative to them, if they do vote, is that they vacate their

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seats. That would be halfway through a British Parliament. We would have

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to renegotiate and have a new coalition or would there be a new

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general election? It hones in on the problems of the referendum could

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cause. It is clever electioneering cause. It is clever electioneering

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as far as the referendum is concerned because of exactly that.

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No matter what happens, if we do vote for independence, it is going

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to be an absolute muggle. It is the drip, drip that is being fed to the

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newspapers. In good and interesting stories, but it is to make people

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think, " Don't vote for independence." That public down

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south of the border will think of this, I wonder. A lot of people

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would think, why would they vote for independence? Why would they vote

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our Prime Minister? If there is any Yes for independence, the Scottish

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MPs would vacate their seats but they would vacate their seats after

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the election, not before it. Very interesting story. Well done, the

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Times. Let's go to the Guardian. To the GCSE marks paid to China's

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scores. We had been hearing that the pressure that the Chinese are under

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to get good grades. `` pegged. Is this what he is suggesting? There

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are those who would think twice about putting their children under

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the kind of pressure we hear about in Shanghai and Singapore and far

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Eastern countries about educational performance. We have also talked

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about the question already of whether we are comparing like with

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like. The way these educational performance data is collected in

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other countries, is it can parable to what is going on here? It is a

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very difficult thing. It isn't a coincidence and that the Guardian

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has chosen to headline it in a way that they have done. You immediately

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think of Tiger mums, and hot housing. In this country, we tend to

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be negative about China. When these comparative studies come and they

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show that our 15`year`old children are not doing as well as other

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countries, that is also negative. You can't have it both ways. Code is

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correct to push the stand`up as long as we do not go down that

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high`intensity, pressurised situation. `` Gove is correct. There

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were other statistic about problem`solving in 15 `year`olds. We

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did very, very well. Our kids to do very well in something. GCSEs are

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meant to be more about teaching children to think rather than to

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regurgitate. We should applaud where applause is necessary. It is a

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classic cliche, isn't it? They make Apple products in China but they

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don't develop them. Something to ponder. Let's go to the Mirror and

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the big debate tonight. The rumble in central London. One line from it

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from central `` Nigel Farage, migrants have created a white

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underclass. Farage plays the race card. He KOs Nick Clegg. It is no

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coincidence that he used this phrase. He seems to pull back from

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it a little bit but I can't help feeling that there was a deliberate

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plan. He knew the constituency to which he was trying to appeal. The

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thing about the Mirror which surprises me is the opinion piece on

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the verdict which suggests that Nick Clegg was victorious, or least

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delivered some serious blows on Farage which I don't think was the

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case to be honest. Nick Clegg was defensive throughout the debate.

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There were areas, notably Syria and the Keating issue where he landed

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some blows but not sure that most people think that that was central

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to the debate. I think that a lot of commentators, especially on the Left

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were startled and frightened by the blatant appeal that Farage was

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making to the Mirror readers. Labour Party, working, what he would call

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working`class voters, which of course have not really being in the

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UKIP train before, but today it was very, very clear that he was going

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for them, help labour. Labour voters definitely because he was talking

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about hard`working people taking our jobs and that sort of thing that in

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a different way from the way he has done it in the past. `` help Labour.

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They will want to knock him out as soon as possible. Deliberate Mac

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party has suggested that they have made mistakes on immigration and

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they should not allow the barriers to be completely blown open. `` the

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Labor Party. Labor Party has tried to address the issue. Had they

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adjusted well enough? `` addressed it. People developer position which

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is hard to shake in either direction. If the kernel of an idea

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is in the mind of people and you are a politician with a mind to do so,

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you can reach out to it. It has power. The antiestablishment

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argument which he was pushing so much, it will appeal to Labour

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voters. The establishment is conservatives and LibDem at the

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moment. He's pushing that more now than he was when the establishment

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was the Labour. He is the outsider. Apparently it's a big shout out for

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the Prime Minister for Waitrose. It doesn't sound like it is connected,

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but I think that this is really... ! You can draw the link here. An off

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the cuff remark that David Cameron made. He was visiting John Lewis and

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said how much he loves Waitrose and he finds Waitrose customers are more

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talkative and engage more with him. He would have thought that that was

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a nice and flattering and friendsly thing to do. It send a dodgy message

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because it sounds like David Cameron only connects with Waitrose

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shoppers. And then, of course, most of us these days aren't are doing a

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lot of shopping in Aldi and the pound shop. I was going to say `

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that's exactly where he should be making that comment down in Aldi or

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Pound Stretcher. I'm saying that it is a serious political mistake, but

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the us and them message that Nigel Farage is so desperately trying to

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be on the us, he's looking like a them. Has he dropped the clankinger

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then? Yes, as Daisy says. I think that it is intriguing and it gives

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us a window. Where you shop, supermarket`wise, in a lot of

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people's minds, is a proxy for social class and social positioning

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and some things have been thrown in the air by that. We have a middle

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class that's felt a squeeze and, as Daisy says, is increasingly drawn to

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places like Aldi and Lidl. Well, I wonder where he will make his

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statement from tomorrow, Aldi? You can imagine Ed Miliband making hay

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in Prime Minister's Questions, "You wouldn't know, you only shop in

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Waitrose! ". He says when he's in his local town, he shops as

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Sainsbury only because there isn't a Waitrose, that's going to stick! It

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will. Back to the Express, house prices soaring by ?16,000. No end in

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sight for prices and London is way outstripping. It usually does, but

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it is getting ridiculous now, isn't it? It is. This is beginning to

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shape up to be quite a serious issue. The imbalance that there is

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between London. But interestingly, in the figures that came out

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yesterday, there was other hot spots in certain parts of Manchester, that

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were extremely hot on house prices. But it is becoming a serious issue.

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I don't want to be an alarmist, but house prices are galloping at a rate

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which is at odds with what we're seeing in the rest of the economy

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and poses some quite serious dilemmas for the Bank of England

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about how it deals with this. They're very torn, it seems to me,

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and obviously they're aware of this, in that they don't feel that they

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can raise interest rates to calm down this behaviour because it could

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be destructive to the economic recovery, but at the same time, they

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need to communicate to people that interest rates will go up and house

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prices could be a burden. Deutsch Bank has just said that it believes

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that rate rises will come sooner rather than later. They've changed

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their mind on that. And coming back to the London property market, there

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were figures out this weekend showing... And we've known this for

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a while, that more billionaires than any other city in the world, are

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buying property in London because they see it as a safe haven for

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their money. It's not to live in, but purely an investment. That

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brings in massive implications for mansion tax and so on. The average

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house that the billionaires is buying is ?22 million for the

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average house. And you can see that generally, as house prices rise, so

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does stamp duty. The Treasury's coiffers grow so there are lots of

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incentives for the Government to be happy about this. And then we get

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back to boom and bust. Exactly, but as you say, lots of reasons for the

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Government to be happy with the election around the corner.

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Absolutely. Daysy and Simon, great to have you both in looking at the

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stories behind the headlines. Many thanks for that.

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We'll now go to that breaking news I was telling you about earlier. The

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apparent shooting, an incident. At the

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