24/05/2014 The Papers


24/05/2014

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Bank and Israel. Coming up in the film review, the

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X`Men come back to fight another battle of future past. ``The Film

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Review. Hello and welcome to our look ahead

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to what the the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. With me are

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Yasmin Alibhai`Brown, columnist from the Independent and Martin Bentham

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from the London Evening Standard. They have swapped places, if you are

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not confused, I am! Tomorrow's front pages, starting with The Observer,

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claiming that the UKIP leader, Nigel Farage, will use his party's local

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election success as a springboard to draw up 20 parliamentary seats to

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target at next year's general election. The Independent on

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Sunday's front page gives coverage to calls for Nick Clegg, the Lib Dem

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leader, to stand down. The Sunday Telegraph reports on the ongoing row

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over Prince Charles' comments about Russia's President Vladimir Putin.

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The Sunday Times leads on a story about calls from some Conservative

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MPs for an early referendum on Britain's membership of the EU. The

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Mail on Sunday devotes it's entire front page to a picture of the man

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suspected of killing six people in a series of drive`by shootings. And

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the Express also covers the shooting, but it's main story

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relates to the rising value of the pound, which the paper says is good

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news for British holiday`makers. So let's begin. We will start with

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some of the inside pages of The Sun, saying how UKIP will put Ed number

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ten. A poll boosts Labour because they will defect to the other

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parties. `` will put Ed Miliband in number ten. This is the poll by Lord

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Ashcroft, the Conservative peer who does a lot of polling for the

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Conservative party to see how they stand. He has looked at these 26 key

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seats and found that there would be a 12% labour advantage in those

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seats. Therefore, it runs down a whole raft of them here in the

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graphic, as it shows here, they will be gaining a great number of the

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Conservative target seats and various Labour target seats that the

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Conservatives would have to win. What he is saying is that because

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UKIP are taking some votes from the Tories, that will therefore allow

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Labour to win Tory seats. The overall effect is that according to

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this 83 Tory MPs could lose their seats in what is described as an

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election night bloodbath. We were talking last night about how if the

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whole of the UK had voted and the results from the local elections...

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Labour would have ended with 31% of the vote which would not have been

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enough. You cannot extrapolate, fewer people turn up for local

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elections. There was a low turnout. Not as low as we have known it

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before. On the same page there was an interesting column by Louise

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Mensch who was a Tory MP and has now left. She says this and I agree with

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that. She talks about that conservatives can make a comeback. I

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am not a Tory. I think we know that! I would vote for the Tories to

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keep out UKIP, I would. I would do that. What she says is that there is

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a way of the Conservatives being taken seriously and what she calls"

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the sexist, racist party not getting its way" . That is an important

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message. Coming from an ex` Tory MP. A very good column, read it! We do

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not know, that those who have voted to send a message to the main

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parties in the local elections, would be as bold in the general

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election. We don't. Of course, it is more difficult for UKIP, you can

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vote for it UKIP councillor who could have a chance of getting in,

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it would be harder for them to get a Westminster seat. When it comes to

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the serious matter of the government, it could be that you

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could be that UKIP effect is less potent than in this election. On the

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other hand, we would not take that for granted. When you have a lot of

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fairly tight seats, at every election, there are always a lot. It

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does not take a great deal of movement in each of those seats to

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change the election result quite dramatically. That is one of the key

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thing is, it is hard to predict this in the coming general election. They

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need good candidates, as far as we know, we have Christine and Neil

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Hamilton among their favourite people. There are some problems

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here. Nigel Farage is a brilliant politician. But, do they have them?

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That could be the case, that they lack that candidates. It probably

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is. But if they take 2000 or 3000 votes, and there is a protest vote,

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this poll suggests, and one of the great fears that is motivating Tory

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MPs and worrying Labour MPs, that a few thousand votes to UKIP could

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make the difference between a Labour or Tory win. It could have a big

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impact through the country. In the next general election. All of these

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unintended consequences are very interesting. Let's have a look at

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another potential consequence in the Sunday express. Osborne targets

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voters in the North. An exclusive here, saying that George Osborne is

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bound to make the Conservative party the alternative in the north. This

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is where the Conservatives want to capitalise, I'm Labour losses in

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their traditional heartlands. It is a real mixup. There are some

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difficult places for Labour. Rotherham was one. If you look at

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the history that, it is not a happy picture. It is very particular to

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Rotherham. MPs have not been entirely honest, et cetera.

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Interestingly, in the same piece, they would like David Davis to take

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on UKIP. Because he is straight talking, he is not an Eton boy, and

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it sounds like a lot of people who have voted for UKIP. This is the

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man, Martin, who lost the leadership battle as we remember, to David

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Cameron. He did, and yes, he might have a role, although I do not think

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that he is entirely popular within the leadership of the Tory party.

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Whether he gets the chance to come in is another matter. Going back to

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the Osborne thing here, she talks about targeting Northern voters and

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so on. `` he talks. It is a huge gap for the Tories. They do not have a

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big gap in any of the northern cities. In rural and `` in rural

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areas, they have some MPs. Although he wants to target the voters, it

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does not say how they will do it. Of course they want to do it and need

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to because they cannot be a party entirely. They have not had the time

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to think about how they can do it, it has only been a couple of days.

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The North need not pay any more taxes before the next election, or

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something like that! The Independent on Sunday looks at the pack ``

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impact on Liberal Democrats. In a bid to oust Nick Clegg, some of his

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colleagues, and one of them we spoke to tonight, sticking their necks

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out, saying he is nice, but he has to go. Will it be the downfall of

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him? The local elections, are they traditionally the downfall of a

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party leader? Not always are not necessarily. It is so close to the

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election it will be very difficult for the Liberal Democrats to

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jettison Nick Clegg and they might have been Vince Cable in his place.

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Will that solve their problems? I don't know. Schweinsteiger will

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fight the election for them, they have to go with that. `` macro ``

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Nick Clegg will fight for them. It will have an impact on how the

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election will go for them. If they lose their MEPs, which people are

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predicting, then there will be a big crisis, I think, in the Liberal

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Democrat party. The Liberal Democrats have given us a response

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tonight. A spokesman for the party saying that these concerns will be

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taken seriously over the leadership issue, but the party should not have

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its message to supported over need is infighting. After a difficult

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election, some colleagues will have concerns but we should discuss them

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collectively, as the Liberal Democrats do. We knew that the

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elections would be tough and it is disappointing that dedicated

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councillors have lost their seats. Miklik's made the case for Europe ``

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Nick Clegg has made. We had those divisive TV and radio debate is not

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so long ago. We will move away, finally, from the elections. Not for

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long, we have European election results tomorrow. The Sunday Times,

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parents sue for term time holidays. A group of families are mounting a

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legal challenge against Michael Gove 's crackdown on families taking

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holidays during term time. Not so long ago, you could take a week or

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two, asked a head teacher for permission, but they are trained to

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stab attack and parents are unhappy. It has been going on for a long

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time, `` they are trying to crack down. 200,000 parents have signed

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this petition but every year, 24,000 children skip school every day to go

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on family breaks. You can understand why, costs go up over the holidays.

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The Prime Minister was saying that he thinks that holiday companies are

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cashing in. That is quite ridiculous for a Conservative to say that! Try

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to go on holiday at a particular time, things go up at weekends

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rather than during the week. This is an absurd case to take up. Policies

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are policies, children should not be taken out during term time. The

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problem is, what has happened, is that since they have recording,

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quite a long time ago now, statistics on truancy and

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authorised, unauthorised absences. Schools are measured on truancy, and

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this counts as truancy. As you were saying, they used to be some

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discretion shown if your child was turning up regularly and they were

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performing well and so on at school. A blind eye would be turned. There

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is also a class issue. There have been many cases of poorer families,

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working class families, being fined for truancy of their children. Some

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head teachers would recognise the difference between a family having a

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holiday and not having a holiday. Then they would say...? There should

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be room for everybody. Taking children out of school is a bad

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idea. We have all wanted to do it and I have done it, and I understand

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that. It is not a good idea. If we are finding some parents, I did the

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other parent should get away with it. What if it is an extended

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holiday to see family overseas and could be regarded as educational?

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There are some schools who are finding ?500 each family who does

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this. They had to add that into the cost. It is an expensive business.

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Let's move on to the Observer, fair trade goods, not helping the poor.

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Sales of certain fair trade products are not benefiting poor farm

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workers. Profits are failing to trickle down to much of the

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workforce. This is not what we are led to believe happens with fair

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trade. You get more for your bag of coffee if it has but mark on it? It

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is unfortunate and disturbing. `` has that mark. Having read the full

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story, it turns out that part of this is down to the fact that the

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fair trade providers are operating in marginalised areas, they tend to

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be smaller operators, and there are suggestions that what is compared

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here is small farmers against bigger operations who have efficiencies,

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and a scale, and maybe that is why the money does not get down to the

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staff, because they cannot afford to pay the money. On the other hand,

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maybe those farmers would not be in business at all if they were not

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supported by the fair trade people. It would be terrible if people

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stopped buying fair trade products because of this. This is the

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difficulty, use it, then I will not spend my money. That would be awful.

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There is a helpful article inside of the Observer which lets us know

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where to turn if we want to be ethical shoppers. Again, that could

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rest... And reassure people. There will be a knee`jerk reaction. Before

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we finish with a little cartoon and give the last word to Matt, let's go

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back to a reference that Yasmin made. Two MPs in Rotherham, not

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being entirely honest, potentially. I assume you were referring to Denis

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McShane, who admitted to filing false receipts. We are not referring

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to anyone else from that part of the country. We just need to be

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absolutely watertight on that. Finally, the last word, conflating

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two different stories. I voted UKIP, says a man in the pub with a

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pint in his hand. To be honest, I paid eight Bulgarian to do it for

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me. This is what happens. We talk about this all the time. I often

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seem to have a remaining cabdriver giving me here. `` Rumanian. We have

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a lot of drivers from all over the world taking the home. Thank you

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very much. Thank you for coping with all of the election fallout. That is

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the papers. At that date, a man has been arrested after a shooting at

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the Jewish Museum in Brussels in which three people died. Coming up,

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it is time for the film review. Welcome to the Film Review. Taking

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us through the latest releases is Mark

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