29/06/2014 The Papers


29/06/2014

No need to wait to see what's in the papers - tune in for a lively and informed conversation about the next day's headlines.


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Good evening and welcome to our look ahead at what the papers will be

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bringing us tomorrow. Welcome to my guests. Thanks for being with us.

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Let's have a look at the front pages. The Financial Times claims

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officials in Berlin will do everything in their power to stop

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the UK leaving the EU. David Cameron is writing in the

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Telegraph that Britain's drive for EU reforms are on track and insists

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he can do business with Jean`Claude Juncker. Elton John joined the

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debate about gay members of the clergy. He says that he believes

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Jesus would allow same`sex priest to marry.

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The Express says deferring a state pension could leave thousands of

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people better off in the long run. The Guardian has Dolly Parton, who

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made her sparkly debut at Glastonbury today.

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And The Daily Mail claiming the Prince of Wales is trying to

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influence former Labour ministers on a range of issues, from climate

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change to alternative medicine. The Times says plans to merge income

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tax and national insurance will be a key part of the next Conservative

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manifesto. And the Independent says David

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Cameron's European allies have warned him that his threats about

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Britain leaving an unreformed EU could backfire.

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Let's take a look at some of the stories. We start with the Times and

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this headline that George Osborne's grand plan is to join up the tax

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system. This is all about the idea of merging National Insurance and

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income tax? We have two separate tax in `` tax systems. Income tax is

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reasonably straight award. You are in a certain amount, you pay a

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certain amount. National insurance is more complicated. This idea

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appears to be a Conservative plan which will be in their next

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manifesto for the election next year, where you would merge them

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together. You would have a single percentage that you pay. It will

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worry a lot of people if they see this because for example the paper

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says if you were earning 40%, your tax rate would go up to 52%. That's

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how much they are taking anyway, it's just that it would be that much

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more transparent. From the conservative point of view, it is

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more sensible to have one system because you can talk about lowering

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VAT. People, governments in the past, abused national insurance as a

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stealth tax. None of us really understood it. But if it was a

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simple percentage, that debate would be slightly more... Easier to

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understand. This article points out that party strategists say you would

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need quite a big public awareness campaign because the headline

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numbers would change and people might think, hang on, this looks

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like a lot of tax I'm paying. It's great to believe we have a

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transparent government and telling people what they are paying and what

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that percentage is a good idea but if you suddenly find out you pay...

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If you pay half of your earnings, that is a lot. But national

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insurance has been reduced or increased in the past and people

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don't know if they are better off or not. We are only now coming out of

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the downturn. Suddenly people paying more tax. I'm not sure it's a good

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idea. A big PR campaign is a good idea. But for the long`term I think

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it will be good news, if we can get the IT to work. This would be a huge

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IT project that previous governments and this government have not done

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well with. We are still dealing with universal credit. The Ministry of

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Justice today announced it spent a lot of money on you `` on attack

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system that won't go anywhere. It's a nice idea to have transparent

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government but I'm not sure the technology exists yet to make such a

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thing possible. The other point the Times make is that is appalled that

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suggests the business world is supportive of this. `` that the

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business world is supportive. I think the point of IT is good.

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Government should not do IT projects unless they are absolutely sure they

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will work. We know all the stories that have been going on for decades.

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For the game that you get for doing this, the downside could be very

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significant. It would be disastrous if our tax system suddenly fell. And

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you have to put up taxes to cover that! ISIS declares the creation of

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its own is a mixed eight. This is the proclamation by Islamic

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extremists ISIS, but they have proclaimed the establishment of a

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caliphate was the empire with an extreme religious and political

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leader. It's news in that we didn't know how far ISIS was going to go.

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Lots of ground has been taken in Iraq at the Iraqi army has been

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fighting back. This is surprising in terms of how bold they want to be

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and what their ambitions are. Ramadan started yesterday. This

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might be interesting for the Islamic world to hear, but I think it is

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disturbing because these are bold ambitions from what is still a

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terrorist group. It is concerning. We don't yet know how far this will

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It sends a message to other Islamic groups, that they are the big guys.

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This is Isis, they are saying that they have won the territory. If you

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want to look, this is the good aspiration that has been part of

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Islamic fundamentalism for a long time. `` great aspiration. They have

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said to the people of Iraq that they are the people who can deliver. It

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is done so quickly. For a long time, people hadn't even heard of Isis, to

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come from there to here, it is scary how quickly they are moving forward.

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They have a quote from Charles Lister, he said that this

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announcement is likely to be the most significant development in

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international jihad is since 9/11. People are saying that although it

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is a bold statement, it should not be underestimated `` jihadism. We

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have heard although the Iraqi army have regained much of Tikrit. That

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is disputed. Land seems to be changing hands quickly, it is

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difficult to see how stable any army gains will be in the face of

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terrorist groups that are moving quickly. With Ramadan starting,

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there will be some subsidence to a degree in the hostilities in Iraq,

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that probably gives Isis time to consolidate the ground which holds,

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one of the problem is that there has been up until now is that it is good

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at taking things but less good at defending them. There is probably

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now a period where there is less intensity to the fighting, and it

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can consolidate those gains they have made. To the Independent,

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Cameron is empty threat to the EU, there is the suggestion that, for

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all of his posturing and hard lining on European countries, warning David

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Cameron and his threats about the British people leaving the EU, if it

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is not reformed, that could backfire? This is what we have in a

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lot of the papers, the wash up from last week, there is a story in the

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Financial Times about Germany being more conciliatory. There is no doubt

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that some countries, like Germany, want the UK to remain part of the

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European project is that moves up to speeds. But, there are more

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ambivalent about whether Britain is part of it or not. I think there is

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a limit to what David Cameron can achieve. In terms of opening up the

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single market in things like competition, competition, services,

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there is a lot of willingness across the board to give some things that

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Britain wants. On freedom of movement, for the people, that is a

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no no. It will be a big problem for David Cameron, if you look at all of

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the polls and focus groups, anti` Europeanism is about immigration

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now. That'll make the people vote in 2017, I don't see how Cameron can

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win many concessions on that. There are suggestions that he, himself, is

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extending the olive branch to Jean`Claude Juncker, and he can work

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with this man now, that is what he is saying. Last week, there was a

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lot of hot air. David Cameron has to do business with this man, a lot of

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the other governments have rallied around him anyway. It is the

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question as to whether this is the direction of travel, and they have

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to work with this person. You are right, there's little room for

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manoeuvre, in what it is that they can retract from the referendum not.

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What the Berlin press was talking about was that they have to focus on

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economic growth in the EU, that is important for governments. You can

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see why Jean`Claude Juncker was supported for that. David Cameron is

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smart enough to say that he has let his wounds, they have made peace

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amid the phone call, let's get on with business. We were chatting

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before we came on air, if we come to the Financial Times now, the story

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is the polar opposite. This says that Germany pledges to keep the UK

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in Europe. You made reference to this. The German finance minister

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said that letting Britain leave would be unimaginable, and that they

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will do everything in their power to keep us in. On one hand, there is a

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warning that there will not be that many sweeteners, but the suggestion

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is that there will be some? The chairman position, `` the German

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position, I was talking to a senior German, and they said that the point

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of Germany is that they will do whatever they can to keep you in,

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but don't ask us to choose between you and the EU. That is how it is

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best characterised, they want Britain to stay, they don't like the

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idea of an EU without Britain in it. If the requests and the demands from

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Britain are too great, Germany, as you saw with Jean`Claude Juncker,

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will not side with us. Let's turn our attention is to something

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different now, this is the Daily Mail, how Charles influenced key

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policies. This is a result of BBC Radio 4's documentary, three former

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Labour ministers have talked about how Prince Charles bit their ear on

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certain quality issues, and got them to change their minds, particularly

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David Blunkett on, schools. He consorted with Labour ministers on

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issues, including climate change and grammar schools, that was topical at

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the time, this was several years ago. In terms of asked why this is

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interesting, Prince Charles rightly is engaged with a lot of groups on

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the ground, NGOs, and understandably, he has views on

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these things. The question as to why he should be interfering, or

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advising or sharing his views with government ministers is maybe not a

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bad thing. They may not have taken his advice, I am not clear why it is

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a story, other than this is a monarchy in waiting. There is no

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defined role for a monarchy in waiting. Naturally, he will be

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interested in different things and share those viewpoints. Whether the

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ministers take those views or not, that is up to them. Why shouldn't

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they? They make the point, the Daily Mail makes the point that the Queen

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never makes her views known on controversial issues. There is

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something saying that it is not the role of the monarchy to express

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views. Occasionally she has expressed views, I see no reason why

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he shouldn't have views. He has been unsuccessful in getting his

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viewpoints adopted by the government, that is a good thing as

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well, I don't know why we are so upset with him having thoughts.

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It'll be interesting to watch the documentary, to see how those views

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are conveyed. And see different conversations like this can happen.

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It is a Radio 4 documentary, it went out this afternoon, and it is

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available on iPlayer. The story was picked up by the papers, and these

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letters, the black spider letters, the handwritten ones. People have

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said that they should be allowed to see them, as members of the public,

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and see what he is writing to people. It is a slippery slope, once

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you show those, what more do you show? Advice to ministers, that has

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been a red line. And policy advice to ministers, they do not publish

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and would not publish stuff like that. There is this court case, the

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Guardian is fighting it with the Cabinet office at the moment, to

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release those letters. They will be fun to look at, I don't know... I

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don't think we will learn a great deal. We cannot let the paper review

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go without referring to the picture on lots of the front pages, we are

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looking specifically at the Independent, a glorious picture of a

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sparkly Dolly Parton, playing at Glastonbury in front of 100,000

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people. It made her feel like a rockstar. I bet that she didn't get

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muddy! Wearing white is a tough choice at Glastonbury. There are

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people who will really enjoy this. It is closing night at Glastonbury.

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She is the closing event. People hung around for this, clearly, she

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was a good draw. And something to pull in. People suggested that she

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had more people singing along to her then Arcade Fire. Although there is

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some controversy, some people are saying that she was not singing

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live, but her management said that she did. Glastonbury like to throw

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in the spanner into the works. She survived the mud, and put smiles on

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people 's faces despite the guru. I think she wrote a muddy song as

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well! Have a listen to that on you Tube, if possible. `` the goo. ``

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YouTube. That's it for The Papers this hour.

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Thank you, Zamila Bunglawala and Oliver Wright. Stay with us here on

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BBC News: At midnight, GPs with a poor record in detecting cancer

:15:04.:15:05.

could be named under government proposals. But coming up next it's

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time for World Cup

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