03/08/2014 The Papers


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presidents pay tribute to the fallen soldiers of the First World War, 100


years after Germany declared hostilities against France.


Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be bringing


us tomorrow. Sitting worryingly close to each other, that daily


Mirror's deputy political editor James Lyons and the Daily


Telegraph's senior correspondent Christopher Hope. I can't work out


the pecking order! Tomorrow's front pages: The Independent says UKIP


could force Labour out of many key seats.


The Metro leads on the air strike at the school in Gaza.


The Guardian has the same story and a picture of the Common Wealth games


closing ceremony. Short and sweet. Let's start with


the Independent. A political story for you to get your teeth into.


"Miliband warned of UKIP threat to Labour majority". An academic warns


of the right`wing party's potential to take working`class


constituencies. I remember reading last week about another piece of


work that said UKIP only needed to take 9% of the vote in the general


election and it would put Ed Miliband into Downing Street. That's


what Ed Miliband's team believe and hope but the truth about UKIP, which


some of the Labour Party may have been slow to wake up too, is that


they can cause mayhem for all of the parties. They're taking away votes


from the Lib Dems, for goodness' sake stop if you can imagine the


type of person who goes from voting Nick Clegg at the last election to


Nigel Farage on this one... Those people do exist and they are a


problem for the Lib Dems. This highlights that there are seats,


predominantly in traditional working class Labour seats where UKIP will


pose a big threat and competition come the next election. They've


singled out one here, Ashfield, where Glorietta Piero is the one of


the rising stars of labour. `` Gloria Di Piero. I think she will be


safe because she's working extra hard. There are places like great


Grimsby where Austin Mitchell, or Austin Haddock as he was known when


he changed his name briefly, where they could cause a problem. The


danger for Labour is that those people who they've attracted from


the Conservatives will be tempted to go back to the Conservatives as the


election gets nearer because they don't want Ed Miliband Downing


Street and they may hold on Labour votes and then shed the Tories. If


UKIP to such a diverse section of voters, nobody is really going to


going to want to state clearly what the outcome is going to be. You


could call them the "none of the above" party. They are protest party


and will eat into both parties. Be wary of any of these national


projections. They need to win 24% of the vote to get an MP, so it is a


low starting base. What they are banking on is doing really well in


the East Midlands and the coastal areas, where they have strong


council support from the May elections and the year before last.


They may try to get a handful of MPs. Any opinion poll at this stage


is too far out, isn't it, to be trusted? They always used to say


that whoever is ahead of Christmas will win so let's wait and see what


happens at Christmas. What's happened in British politics is


we're seeing a real fracturing where it isn't just UKIP the shrug of the


greens are taking votes away from the Lib Dems and Labour. It's going


to be very difficult for anyone to get a majority. Everyone is


expecting a hung parliament as the most likely outcome. You could


rewrite that introduction to say "Tory victory" quite easily and it


could equally be true. Thanks for saying that. Let's look ahead to the


commemorations here and in other parts of Europe tomorrow of the


beginning of the First World War. The picture is of headstones at a


British ceremony in France and the quote at the top is extremely


moving. "I look from time to time at the pictures my father's mate posted


him from France. Come and join us, they wrote. They all died in the


war, my father's friends. " It will be a sombre day tomorrow and normal


politics will be suspended because tomorrow is a huge day. The idea of


lamps going out across Europe is interesting, to symbolise this huge


sacrifice 100 years ago. A lot of encouragement on social media for


people to take part and show their respects. It is a great way to try


to make a connection. Particularly for younger people and kids today,


because it isn't like there are people alive now who can tell them


about a first hand so it's important to do something dramatic for them to


Copperhead. Let's look at the Metro. UN outrage as Gaza school is hit


again. The secretary general cause the strike criminal. The US State


Department say they are appalled at the attack. This seems much stronger


language from both the UN and the US. Yes, the UN has been sounding


pretty tough on this for a while and the US has worded some of the more


tragic incidents such as this one but this is definitely a toughening


of the line from the British government. People have seen Ed


Miliband calling on the Government to step up to the mark, stand up to


Israel and say what is happening in Gaza is an acceptable and calling


out David Cameron. That's led to a huge political row today but we saw


Philip Hammond coming out and using rather stronger language than he


might have done had Ed Miliband not stood up and said what he did. He


was on it and early, Miliband, to be fair to him. He went out to Israel


last year and he has been really firm on this story, trying to sound


out... His trip was in stark contrast to the Prime Minister's,


the trip the Prime Minister did quite recently. He stood up and gave


a speech in the Connecticut, the Israeli parliament, which was


completely uncritical and had no tough messages. `` in the Knesset.


There wasn't a word about the need to engage. Isn't it easier for the


leader of the is to say those things than the Prime Minister? Yes, he can


because the UK is obviously looking to the US for their support for


Israel and wondering what he can get away with saying. The pictures are


so appalling, it's hard. It's hard to be critical of Ed Miliband for


raising it. I appreciate it's hard to play politics with it but it


speaks to some of the horrors felt by people. David Cameron was saying


very similar things in 2006 when he was in opposition. The thing that


struck me was the sense of disbelief expressed by the UN workers that it


was another school, despite the fact that 33 times the UN has explained


where the ball are, or where they congregated, and yet still this


supposedly accurate shelling as... There are credible reports that


Hamas are using these schools as weapons dumps and to fire rockets


from there into Israel. Israel say that they've had intelligence that


there was a terrorist on a motorbike that they were trying to target and


everything has got caught up. It's hard to... It easy for us here to


try to rationalise things. It's just read full, really. Israel are


pushing that very hard against the footage we're seeing, justifying


last night's suggestion that a soldier had been taken hostage and


then the soldier turned out to have died. That was a story on the BBC


and other networks today, saying, was that really the case? It's a PR


battle as much as anything else for Israel to try to keep going without


upsetting America any more. The guardian paper has a story about


women's refuges being closed and support for the most honourable


women and children being put back by almost 40 years. And this is before


all of the cuts starting to bite. This is a council cut so although


they are trying to make it into a western story, with a picture of


Theresa May, it is choices made by councils. This is a council


decision. The Guardian has pulled together a number of councils who


have closed the centres and take on local choices. If you were a


conservative, you would be saying this was an example of localism and


local priorities. If you've had a 25 present budget cut, which councils


across Britain have, and the Government are refusing to ring


fence the money for this kind of facility, if you are forcing town


hall chiefs to make a choice between providing social care for vulnerable


and elderly people or social workers to protect children and this kind of


provision, that isn't really a choice. The first ones you mentioned


and statutory. The rules around social care are being rewritten, as


you know, about what level of help you are allowed. It's being


rewritten as we speak and a lot less people will get care because of it.


There's also the question of the level of provision for vulnerable


children. There is a suggestion from this article that some of these safe


houses are being closed because they don't take in male victims. I don't


know how easy it is to have male and female victims in the same place. I


couldn't see explained in the copy we have here is why a woman's refuge


would have to take men. Further into the article it says a new focus is


on providing accommodation for male victims, which has led to funding


being cut for women's refuges. It is right that we acknowledge that men


can be victims of this kind of abuse that it is awful that you have to


make a choice between one gender or another. While not dismissing it in


anyway, the numbers of men who fall victim to this are much smaller so


there is clearly an issue around how you provide that kind of protection.


But what happens to these women and children who have nowhere to go?


Potentially they'll have to stay in a place where they are in danger.


I'm sure there will be some sort of temporary provision like B It's


difficult. The answer might be to make this area statutory so that it


isn't subject to these whims of a counsellor. It's difficult. Not a


lot of levity in the papers of late so let's give thanks to the


Commonwealth Games and a glittering finish with Kylie Minogue in an


extraordinary pair of boots and a headdress. Chris was glued to


Kylie's boots before we came on! He didn't know any of the tunes that he


liked the boots. Not a look that many of us can pull off! After the


Gold Rush, the game store to a close and the president of the


Commonwealth Games Federation says it is the best Games ever. It had to


be after India. That one went over budget and was a bit of a disaster.


This has been a really good kart games and we should be proud of it


and England won the medals table. It did indeed! It sounded like Glasgow


was a great place to be a visitor. It sounded buzzing. I was very


envious listening to and watching the coverage and remembering what it


was like to be privileged enough to be in London during the Olympics. It


completely tipped it down today! Apparently there were binmen on


parade at the closing ceremony. I loved the tea cakes at the opening


ceremony so I would have liked to catch those! No sooner have they


closed than we are starting to talk about legacy. Will we see much of


that? The question is still hanging over the Olympic Games. Slightly


different in that they were using a lot of existing infrastructure


there, not building the same big, new stadiums. One of the depressing


thing is, or disappointing things, about the Olympics is the fact that


here we are after hosting such a magnificent Games and people are


less active and doing less sport. That's it for The Papers this hour


but James and Christopher will be back with us again, we think, at


11:30pm but it all depends on the camera crew games on the closing


ceremony and the news but we'll be here doing something. Stay with us.


At 11pm, more on the suspected Israeli missile strike close to the


UN run school in Gaza.


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