08/09/2014 The Papers

England to win their first World. `` qualifier in. We will find out how a

spat led to two writers being disqualified in Spain. That is all

in Sportsday, in 15 minutes, after the papers. Hello and welcome to our

look ahead to what the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. With me are

Beth Rigby, deputy political editor of the Financial Times, and John

Kampfner, director of the Creative Industries Federation. Tomorrow's

front pages, starting with: The Times reports that a leading

economist is warning Scottish voters of financial disaster if they vote

for independence. The front page of the Daily Mail is devoted to the

Royal pregnancy and the referendum with paper saying that Gordon Brown

is leading a desperate fight`back by the no campaign. The Guardian has

Gordon Brown as the saviour of the Union campaign. The Scotsman says

the fight for Scotland's future is now neck and neck. Another royal

baby headline from the Mirror, which focuses on the Duchess of

Cambridge's acute morning sickness. The Metro manages to merge the

referendum and royal story ` the paper asks if the pregnancy news can

save the union. And the Sun tells the story of the royal baby in

inimitable fashion ` it's headline, 'The Bun'. And then Arrow, in case

you are unsure of where that might be. `` an arrow. The battle to save

Britain, Gordon Brown launched a last`ditch attempt to save the

faltering union last night. The problem is a lot of people have

already voted. Absolutely. You know when certain newspapers site with no

irony that Gordon Brown is their saviour, you have both newspapers,

very much wearing their hearts on their sleeves, the Mail in

particular, but others as well being uncritical of Labour politicians in

their sort of patriotic mantle, to save the union. You can be equally

confident that if Scotland does go independent, and the union falls or

whatever you want to describe it, the recriminations will be

absolutely vicious. Yes, I mean I suppose one could say that the no

campaign have just been too complacent, have they? Well, there

was concern in a few months ago that Alistair Darling wasn't the right

person to lead the campaign, that he lacked, as people have talked about

in more recent weeks, the passion. The passion to win over the people

that he had all the head arguments, all the intellectual arguments about

currency, about financial institutions, about jobs etc, but

did he have the heart? Could he win the Scottish hearts from Alex

Salmond? The concern now is that they have left it right to the

wire, that they thought that it was going to be a pretty straight round

to victory for the pro` unionists. And now suddenly everyone has woken

up with this electrifying poll by YouGov over the weekend, which

suggest that for the first time this year the yes campaign had edged into

the lead, and pulls out tonight say it is neck and neck. So we have gone

from it could never happen, to in ten days time, 300 years of union

could be over. What is that mean for England, Scotland, Westminster,

currency, financial institutions, what does it mean for 600,000

Scots? No one seems to know. That is the bizarre thing. It could happen,

it is a possibility. And no one really seems to know what it means

is, fundamentally. I mean the Scottish Daily Mail is saying the ?2

billion tartan panic, if we go to that one, share prices wiped off the

share price today, stocks tumbling, all because of the uncertainty of

something that could very well happen. We were saying earlier,

there is no contingency planning in Whitehall, in the event of a yes

vote. The rapper Kuch and, not just for Scotland but for the rest of the

UK `` repercussions. Every aspect of the future of Westminster, what

happens to the Scottish seats, what happens to the entire weight the

country is run. At the other part is, at the very most, if the no

campaign does manage to sort of galvanise or frighten people and

they win in the end by 5347, or 52 `48, or whatever, even then things

are going to change. They have already committed to massively more

power. But also the extent to which we have seen it with the rise of

UKIP, the extent of the antipolitics. You have the three

main parties all saying please vote no. These are all the arguments, and

people are sticking their fingers up at them and saying yes. The entire

ranks of Fleet Street are saying please vote no, and everybody is

anti` power. But what is interesting about the way the Scottish Daily

Mail have done the story, the Guardian have got the financial

fallout, and the FT have let on that tonight. Up until this point there

was always, you mustn't leave because this could happen. This

could happen, you could be worse off, you could lose jobs. Business

refused for months and months, and have consistently refused, to

actually come out in favour of the pro` unionist campaign for fear of

upsetting their customers, of getting a backlash from the SNP, and

pro`independence politicians. So everyone has sat on their hands and

left it to Alistair Darling to do the heavy lifting. But what you are

seeing now is 2.5 billion wiped off financial institutions today, the

pound falling to a ten month low. So what you are now seeing, the FT is

reporting that the banks are saying some people are actually moving

their deposit from Scotland to England as of the uncertainty. And

this is the reality of the financial chaos that could happen. And as you

have said, Paul Krugman, the Economist, and Nobel prizewinner,

has warned that Scots could face financial disaster. It is not just

politicians peddling the line now. It is not just politicians peddling

the line now. Exactly, you are beginning to see the reality of what

could happen. And I wonder if that might shift... Well it might do, but

it could equally go the other way. It could equally be the sort of,

well, the point I was making before, if the forces of the power, big

money, big politics, tell me to do X, I'll do why. The Guardian had

Scottish firms, potentially shipping down to London wholesale, because

they want a bank of last resort, the Bank of England. Going back to the

point you are making a little earlier, about the sort of rubber

hitting the road and this might actually make the Scots

belligerent, all this talk about the economy and dire warnings about at

all, that sort of stuff, after the first debate, Alistair Darling and

Alex Salmond, that Alistair Darling won, all the stuff about not be able

to keep the Sterling, opinion polls showed that the Scottish people or

those in the polls, thought it was a bluff. They did not think that

Westminster would follow through on that and take the Queen's head of

the money they have. The fact is, as you were saying, the evidence is,

that could well happen. `` off. That could change. The reality is that

people could start taking their money out of Scotland. Fear of

capital flight, if I were Scottish, I would be really concerned about

that. Because the financial services sector is huge in Scotland, it is

the driver of the economy in Edinburgh. And they have all these

companies wondering whether they will stay or whether they will come

back. And actually, the head of the, the economic heads of credit

Suisse, one of the big investment banks, says there is a clear risk at

the moment in being part of the capital structure of the Scottish

financial institutions. Investors are factoring that in. That is why

all the share prices have come off so heavily today. He says the issue

will not be keeping Scotland in the pound, but keeping the pound in

Scotland. The front of the Daily Telegraph, the Queen is urged to

intervene. Which she won't. She is not allowed to, apparently. Why then

would the Telegraph put that on its front page? Being urged. Being urged

is one thing. I whom? By the Daily Telegraph? `` by whom. She will be

in Balmoral, as is her usual routine, of the late summer and

early autumn, that is the time the Prime Minister is there, is part of

the standard routine which happens to coincide with the vote. But

putting two and two together, there is nothing she can do. I mean her

job is, and it will be very interesting to see, the other point

is that if Scotland were to vote yes, there is so much details still

to be negotiated. In amongst this predicted chaos, just what would...

I mean, in a way, you've got full independence still to be worked

out. What is the role of the Queen? What is the role of the Sterling?

What is the role of the nuclear deterrent? What is the role of

embassies around the world? Security Council 's? All of that sort of

stuff still to be negotiated. But if it is no, you still have another

negotiation, which you could call independence ` lite. And when you

start giving, they are all saying to Scotland is now what would you

like, we will buy you off, give you whatever powers you like. What is

going to happen to other parts of England as well? You look at the

north`west, you look at the north`east who are discontented with

the concentration of wealth and power in London, you are going to

have further fallout within England itself. Tomorrow they will have this

press conference, where all the leaders of the Scottish, the leaders

of the main Scottish, sorry, the UK parties loop was Scottish leaders

are going to lay out what this kind of timetable for devolution that

Gordon Brown spoke of actually is `` UK parties' Scottish leaders. They

have had a shock over the weekend, they roll out Gordon Brown tonight

and that is the kind of headline to save the union. And tomorrow will be

the detail of the devolutionary proposals and timetable. So there is

some sort of plan. Strategy. They have got to try and get the momentum

of the SNP now, to secure... They only have one full week of

campaigning to go, just ten days. On to the Times. Britain to join the US

led air strikes against ISIS militants next month.

Fascinating that until the weekend story of the Scottish referendum

when it was barely figuring, it was there and thereabouts. The stories

were international ones. Israel, Gaza, Russia, Ukraine. The threat

posed by Islamic State and what America did in terms of drones and

airstrikes in northern Iraq. David Cameron has been hovering. This is

the anniversary around Nel of the decision by the House of Commons to

vote against airstrikes, against Bashar al`Assad who won year ago was

public enemy number one, now he is our enemy's enemy. Over the summer,

a few weeks ago, there were complaints that we couldn't

contemplate it while parliament was back. They might well do some

limited airstrikes. The big question, the equally big question,

is what happens to the many dozens of British citizens who have signed

up as jihadis for the fight? What will they do if and when they come

back? Sorry, we will quickly go to the Daily Mirror. Kate's so sick. To

seek for engagement, with morning sickness. She was hospitalised. She

is being treated. In her last pregnancy... You have got to be

pretty sick. I have had morning sickness and it is unpleasant but to

be hospitalised... I imagine from the reports I have read that she is

probably not at 12 weeks yet. At the time where you would normally tell

people, because you have had your first scan and the baby seems OK.

They have obviously rushed out the news because she is very ill. It

must be tough for them in that most people don't want to tell anyone

about the baby before 12 weeks. They have had to tell the world.

Conspiracy theorist we're winking it to the Scottish independence issue.

That is a conspiracy too far. Many thanks. Stay with us on BBC News

because at midnight we will have more on the timetable set out by

Gordon Brown to increase the power of the Scottish Parliament if voters

reject independence. Coming up now, it is time for Sportsday.

Hello and welcome to Sportsday. I'm Nina Warhurst. A terrific start for

England in their Euro 2016 qualifying campaign in Switzerland.

Marin Cilic has the upper hand against Kay Nishikori in the men's