27/09/2014 The Papers


27/09/2014

No need to wait to see what's in the papers - tune in for a lively and informed conversation about the next day's headlines.


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Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers

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With me are political commentator Jo Phillips and Nigel Nelson,

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who is political editor of the Sunday People.

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Tomorrow's front pages, starting with:

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The Observer says the Conservative Party is in chaos

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as it begins its party conference following the defection of one MP

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The Mail says the two surprises have wrecked Mr Cameron's chances of

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using the conference as a launchpad to win the General Election.

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She is pictured on the Telegraph, too.

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The paper says Mark Reckless lost faith in Mr Cameron after a furious

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And the Express leads on the same story:

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What an incredible day, politically. Let's begin on what the mail on

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Sunday is leading on tomorrow, the minister forced to quit over

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Internet sex shame. More details of what these allegations are from

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another Sunday newspaper over this minister. The other papers have had

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to play catch up fairly quickly. This is a Sunday Mirror story.

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Broadly, Brooks Newmark, the civil society minister, was caught sending

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explicit pictures of the social media having established a rapport

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with someone on social media. He thought he was talking to a young

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woman but he was talking to a freelance undercover reporter. The

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moment he realised what had happened, he quit. It was within

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less than an hour after he had been told the story would run in tomorrow

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morning's papers and he went. Clearly, he felt it was serious

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enough to resign. David Cameron has not had the usual friendly letters

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when you normally do in these occasions and has immediately

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replaced him with another minister but it is a very bad start to David

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Cameron's Tory conference. The Tory conference wouldn't be the same

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without a bombshell! We have got to now! Brooks Newmark doesn't actually

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admit to what the allegations are. Our reporters have been in contact

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with him and he says he wants to spend time with his family and

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doesn't say whether they chew but he has resigned. That does put out the

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fire, so to speak, and stop the endless days of calls for his

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resignation. One assumes that if this was not true comic he would

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fight tooth and nail to defend his name. The last thing a minister like

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him would want is this overshadowing the conference. At worst or best,

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depending on which way you look at it, it's a terrible error of

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judgement. He has made a complete fool of himself. But he has slightly

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stolen Mark Reckless's thunder! The focus is very much on both. In the

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Observer double whammy for Mr Cameron, who is remaining silent

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tonight as he walked into the hotel in Birmingham ahead of the

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conference but you will have a lot of questions to answer tomorrow. But

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he will want to talk about policies. Indeed! And how the Tories might win

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the election. In a sense, Mark Reckless's defection is a much more

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serious blow to David Cameron than losing a minister. The fact that

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Mark Reckless has a 10,000 majority in Rochester and Strood would

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suggest he is likely to retain the seat in a by`election for UKIP in

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the same way that Douglas Carswell willing Clacton, meaning that before

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the general election, you are looking at UKIP having to elected

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MPs in the House of Commons. Psychologically that's hugely

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important because they will be seen as a respectable party. Nigel Farage

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says he will do whatever it takes to get Mark Reckless elected.

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Otherwise, he will be like so many defect ease. He has had his moment

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in the sun. He will disappear. Do people vote for defectors? I don't

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know. He has got a 10,000 majority but that does not mean he has got a

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terrific personal following. But I think a lot of the fact that his ``

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a lot of the stuff that has come out tonight... Up until this evening and

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last night, Mark Reckless was leaving messages saying, I am

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looking forward, going to Birmingham. If those things are

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true, and that is what Tory HQ are putting out, voters in Rochester and

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Strood might think, that's a bit shifty. He has been plotting this

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since last year. Rochester and Strood is one of those areas that

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has flipped between Labour and Tory. It could go UKIP but could equally

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go Labour. It's important that somebody like Mark Reckless wins the

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seat, clearly, but Douglas Carswell... There is a personal

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following there. It looks like he will retain the seat. He may do it

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with a big majority. What Mark Reckless did is discover... A

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polling company went into the constituency, asking questions,

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like, how likely would you be to vote for Mark Reckless if he went to

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UKIP? Ground is being prepared here. It gives a picture of a very shallow

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man. At the end of last month, he was talking about the only way to

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get an independent Britain, talking about the European referendum, was

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to vote Conservative, so I do agree with you there. But it just seems to

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me that it is another coup for Nigel Farage. I presume he would have

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unleashed it yesterday but decided the vote in the House of Commons

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would have overshadowed it. The Sunday Times also reports on the

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defection and the scandal as well. Prime Minister rocked by defection

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and sex scandal. Any new interesting analysis of how it rocks the Prime

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Minister? They have got Lord Ashcroft's polling data and his

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survey of more than 8000 voters found 27% of those who voted Tory in

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2010 had abandoned the party. 73% of those would now back UKIP. UKIP is a

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very serious threat. David Cameron has got to get his troops geared up

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for the election, especially in a way that Labour were not able to do

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this last week, and UKIP represent a huge threat there. The activists

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will know, the guys will have to go out and leaflets in the rain and so

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on, they will know that UKIP could do pride of victory. Sticking with

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the Sunday Times, bombing jihadists says top British general. Something

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similar was said to me yesterday. Again, question marks over the

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military campaign. Absolutely. This is Lord Richards saying, with all

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his experience as an army man a soldier, there is no way out of this

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without ending up with a ground war and I think that is what everybody

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is terrified of. You have got to take it seriously. We will look at

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more papers and stories at 11:30 p.m.. At 11 p.m., more on Mark

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Reckless, the second Conservative MP to defect to UKIP in a month.

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