28/11/2015 The Papers


28/11/2015

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Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

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bringing us tomorrow. With me are Sian Griffiths, Education Editor

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from the Sunday Times and James Millar, Political correspondent from

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Thank you for joining us. Let's look at the front pages for tomorrow. The

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Mail on Sunday is leading with the resignation of Grant Shapps and the

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scandal that is engulfing the Tory party. That story also makes the

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front of the times. It says the Tory party chairman faces pressure to

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quit. The Telegraph reports that David Cameron has also been dragged

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into the crisis of alleged bullying inside the Conservative Party. Grant

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Shapps and his wife are pictured on the front of the Sunday express but

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it leads with the story that up to 100 prisoners serving life sentences

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could be lettered in jail for Christmas. The Observer reports that

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David Cameron is to risk a Commons vote over Syrian air strikes despite

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split in the Labour Party. More about that story in the Independent

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on Sunday. It sends a warning to Jeremy Corbyn from his deputy that

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he must back down. The Sunday Post has an opinion poll that says that

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the public cautiously backs bombing raids against Isis yet 74% fear a

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terrorist attack on the UK within one year. Plenty of choice. A lot

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concentrating on the vote over Syrian air strikes and Grant Shapps.

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The Observer has a headline about David Cameron risking a vote. James,

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is this a big rift in the Labour Party and one that could lead to a

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split possibly? Yes is the short answer. It's interesting that the

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Observer is talking about the risk for Cameron to have this vote, we

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can expected on Wednesday, maybe Thursday. Probably not a big risk

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because we know that a lot of Labour MPs will vote with the government to

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launch air strikes on Syria. The question is only how many and

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harmony that effects, whether it affects Jeremy Corbyn's leadership

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rather than Cameron 's leadership. Surely the Tory party does not want

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to risk being voted down again even though the Chancellor says that they

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don't want to give Isis propaganda of not agreeing on it. I think so.

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David Cameron must be quite confident I should think that he

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will get enough MPs to vote for air strikes because it looks now as if

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it will go ahead on Wednesday. I do not think that he would call the

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vote unless he was confident that he would get a majority for action. The

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story in the Sunday Times is interesting it suggests that David

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Cameron will order our AF air strikes within 36 hours of vote

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going in favour of action, -- RAF air strikes. And that precision

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strikes will be used to target the head of the international tax unit,

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which masterminded the Paris massacre. I think it will be a very

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interesting week. The vote will probably take place on Wednesday.

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Jeremy Corbyn is likely, says the Sunday Times, to offer his MPs a

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free vote after being warned that his Shadow Cabinet is ready to

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defeat him. If MPs are not allowed to vote as they wish, that is. The

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last paragraph says that Lord Mandelson has accused Jeremy Corbyn

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of siding with Isis! Not necessarily as a prize that Lord Mandelson is

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not impressed by this. The rhetoric is another step up in the rhetoric.

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Ken Livingstone said some incendiary things last week about the seven

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salmon bombers and terrorism in the Middle East. Rugby Sevens seven

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bombers. Now we have Lord Mandelson on the other side. It shows how

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bitter the battle within Labour is about this -- 7/7 bombers. It shows

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how compelling the case is against the air strikes and yet Cabinet

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ministers are having to phone MPs to convince them. The case cannot have

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been about compelling if they are having to spend the weekend doing

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that. Nuno Espirito Santo I am sure it is a case of making sure they

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have enough. Don't you think so? I do, and the motion will limit

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attacks to Isis targets and will rule out any attempt to commit

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ground troops to Syria. -- I find it odd, this idea of attacking the

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masterminds because how can Britain and point the bad guys when the

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French and the Americans, already active in Syria, apparently cannot.

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Apparently we have special missiles! It seems strange that we have

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amazing technology that the French and the Americans do not. I am wary

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of the idea that the Britons will cut off the head of the snake. The

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vote, possibly on Wednesday. Will there be enough people voting for

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it? It sounds like you think they will be. Yes, it doesn't need to

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many Labour MPs to side with the government for it to come through.

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Sir Malcolm Rifkind this week said there had to be a healthy majority.

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It's got to be a big want to look good. What does the public think? It

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is in the Sunday Post, your paper, James. Just run us through the main

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figures. Some very interesting stuff here. The main one is that 74% of

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people fear an attack on UK soil within a year. It almost shows that

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the terrorists are winning, in a way. The idea is to spread terror

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and it is working. There are interesting nuggets in the research.

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We have asked what people think of various leaders and how they are

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coping with the crisis and the message is clear that people think

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Jeremy Corbyn is a dead loss as far as this stuff is concerned. Also

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does everything in Scotland is seen through the prism of the

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independence referendum -- because everything is seen through that

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prison, two to one say that they feel safer as part of the UK than

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they would have been as a separate Scotland. Your comments about Jeremy

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Corbyn related to people in Scotland? It is a general

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perception, if you have heard what people are saying on the doorsteps

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in Oldham, where there will be a by-election this week, if you say

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the name of Jeremy Corbyn at the doorstep, it isn't going down well,

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people do not think much of the way that he has handled the Syria

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crisis. Do you think that is fair, Sian? I think Corbyn is a man of

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principle. That has always been his position. I think you should allow a

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free vote. I think that is very important. But for him to change his

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own personal position would be seen among his only young supporters in

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particular as hypocritical. He's a party leader now. And all his MPs

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disagree with him. He's written to the grassroots. Is still time to

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consult or does the leader need to read on this issue? It could cost

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him his position. I have written a column saying that if he loses this

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by-election this week he'll be on a sticky wicket. Will he magnanimously

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say, have a free vote? If he doesn't, he is in trouble, one way

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or another, whichever way he tries to whip his MPs. This by-election,

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the seat has a majority of 15,000, it would huge loss. Certainly a lot

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of MPs would think about their positions if he remains leader and

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that is generally what triggers elections, MPs looking out for their

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own jobs somewhere down the line. And the Sunday Post and its cautious

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backing for Syrian air raids against IS? That slightly goes against

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another opinion poll which said that 48% of people think that the UK

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should join in with the French, Americans, and other allied forces

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against Isis. I am splitting hairs yet it is by no means decisive. It

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is not. The public is rightly cautious, when you think about Iraq

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and the past. The opinion poll is interesting in that the readers is

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very strongly that they don't want to put troops on the ground in

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Syria. -- they say this very strongly. Budget the legacy of Iraq,

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people do not want troops in the Middle East. The other big story of

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the day. In the Daily Mail. The headline Resigned, exposed, and then

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doomed? This is all about Grant Shapps, who quit his ministerial

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post earlier today, they are talking about an alleged new blackmail plot,

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and then they are talking about whether Lord Feldman, the Tory

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chairman, will stay in his post, or whether his days are also numbered.

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We need to be careful of the details yet this suggests a very murky

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world. It does. I think actually this is a very moving interview

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given to the Guardian newspaper that the parents of Elliott Johnson. He

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is the young conservative activist who apparently committed suicide

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after allegedly being bullied by a senior election aid. Denies that, of

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course. When I read the interview I felt so sorry for the parents of

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this 21-year-old who seemed to have been caught up in a culture where

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bullying, ambition, alleged blackmail... It is a rather horrible

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set of allegations swirling around the youth wing of the Conservative

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Party. What I felt was complete sympathy for the parents of this

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young man. Not only are they faced with having to deal with the death

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of their son in terrible circumstances, but now with taking

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on and changing an apparent culture that led to his death. I think that

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they are being incredibly brave about standing up and saying, look,

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this is wrong, do something about it. James, this is rather like one

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of these TV programmes. House Of Cards. Some of the people involved

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in this scene to watch these programmes and think that they are

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real and this is the way that you behave in politics. It doesn't have

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to be. Absolutely not. A couple of things are worth saying. It is a bit

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like Syria. A lot of political shenanigans around it. A human story

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about human suffering. Someone has died. It is worth paying tribute to

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the Mail on Sunday. And the first to slack them off sometimes but they

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have gone at this week after week and nobody paid attention but the

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pressure has been building and strangely enough it is the Guardian

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interview that seems to have broken it down. Yet you have two paid

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tribute to the Mail on Sunday, Simon Walker in particular who has really

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been sticking at this, good journalism. Taking nothing away the

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individual tragedy of this, do people outside the Westminster

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closet really care about things going on inside a party? I think

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they possibly do because of the human heart to this story. Any

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parent can appreciate that their son has died for whatever reason. And if

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people have mistreated him along the way, any parent can understand that.

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It is the Tory party, they are in government, so if there are in

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question is, they need to be answered. The Sunday Telegraph now.

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The story says that Army medical staff are expected to be drafted

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into NHS hospitals to cover for striking junior doctors. The first

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of those planned industrial action stoppages takes place on Tuesday. It

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is reassuring that, in a way, that there will be doctors there! It

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shows that the level of crisis, we are used to the idea of the Green

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goddesses turning up when the firemen go on strike, but Army

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doctors in hospitals is something quite new, as is a doctors strike!

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Talks with a have been adjourned until Monday, Sian, it has gone on

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for a long time. This is the first of three strikes, another one will

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be on eight December and a third on 16th December. I think it is a mark

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of how strongly the junior doctors feel that they are prepared to go on

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strike three times to make their point. They say they are taking

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action to make the NHS safe in the future. So I think, again, I would

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love to see a poll on what the public think about this action by

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junior doctors. Do they support it or not? Do they feel that junior

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doctors, on whom we do rely for cover, should strike? The government

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argues that it is part of a seven-day NHS and contracts have to

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be renegotiated and most of them will be better off.

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LAUGHTER I'm not convinced. I talked to a lot

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of medical students and junior doctors in my job and they are

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working incredibly hard, such long hours. You think life is a junior

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doctor is rosy, it is not. You've got five years of medical training

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to do, then a one-year posts, more exams, they have a really tough

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time. At the end of it, they get well paid. Eventually! We will come

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back to that one later. That is it to the papers. Thank you, James and

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Sian. They will be back at 11th Udupi and other stories making the

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news tomorrow, we will probably come back to that debate about junior

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doctors. Stay for the news because doctors. Stay for the news because

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at 11pm as Grant Shapps resigns over claims that he failed to act over

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claims of bullying of young Tory party volunteers. We will have the

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latest. Coming up, the film

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