28/11/2015 The Papers


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Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be


bringing us tomorrow. With me are Sian Griffiths, Education Editor


from the Sunday Times and James Millar, Political correspondent from


Thank you for joining us. Let's look at the front pages for tomorrow. The


Mail on Sunday is leading with the resignation of Grant Shapps and the


scandal that is engulfing the Tory party. That story also makes the


front of the times. It says the Tory party chairman faces pressure to


quit. The Telegraph reports that David Cameron has also been dragged


into the crisis of alleged bullying inside the Conservative Party. Grant


Shapps and his wife are pictured on the front of the Sunday express but


it leads with the story that up to 100 prisoners serving life sentences


could be lettered in jail for Christmas. The Observer reports that


David Cameron is to risk a Commons vote over Syrian air strikes despite


split in the Labour Party. More about that story in the Independent


on Sunday. It sends a warning to Jeremy Corbyn from his deputy that


he must back down. The Sunday Post has an opinion poll that says that


the public cautiously backs bombing raids against Isis yet 74% fear a


terrorist attack on the UK within one year. Plenty of choice. A lot


concentrating on the vote over Syrian air strikes and Grant Shapps.


The Observer has a headline about David Cameron risking a vote. James,


is this a big rift in the Labour Party and one that could lead to a


split possibly? Yes is the short answer. It's interesting that the


Observer is talking about the risk for Cameron to have this vote, we


can expected on Wednesday, maybe Thursday. Probably not a big risk


because we know that a lot of Labour MPs will vote with the government to


launch air strikes on Syria. The question is only how many and


harmony that effects, whether it affects Jeremy Corbyn's leadership


rather than Cameron 's leadership. Surely the Tory party does not want


to risk being voted down again even though the Chancellor says that they


don't want to give Isis propaganda of not agreeing on it. I think so.


David Cameron must be quite confident I should think that he


will get enough MPs to vote for air strikes because it looks now as if


it will go ahead on Wednesday. I do not think that he would call the


vote unless he was confident that he would get a majority for action. The


story in the Sunday Times is interesting it suggests that David


Cameron will order our AF air strikes within 36 hours of vote


going in favour of action, -- RAF air strikes. And that precision


strikes will be used to target the head of the international tax unit,


which masterminded the Paris massacre. I think it will be a very


interesting week. The vote will probably take place on Wednesday.


Jeremy Corbyn is likely, says the Sunday Times, to offer his MPs a


free vote after being warned that his Shadow Cabinet is ready to


defeat him. If MPs are not allowed to vote as they wish, that is. The


last paragraph says that Lord Mandelson has accused Jeremy Corbyn


of siding with Isis! Not necessarily as a prize that Lord Mandelson is


not impressed by this. The rhetoric is another step up in the rhetoric.


Ken Livingstone said some incendiary things last week about the seven


salmon bombers and terrorism in the Middle East. Rugby Sevens seven


bombers. Now we have Lord Mandelson on the other side. It shows how


bitter the battle within Labour is about this -- 7/7 bombers. It shows


how compelling the case is against the air strikes and yet Cabinet


ministers are having to phone MPs to convince them. The case cannot have


been about compelling if they are having to spend the weekend doing


that. Nuno Espirito Santo I am sure it is a case of making sure they


have enough. Don't you think so? I do, and the motion will limit


attacks to Isis targets and will rule out any attempt to commit


ground troops to Syria. -- I find it odd, this idea of attacking the


masterminds because how can Britain and point the bad guys when the


French and the Americans, already active in Syria, apparently cannot.


Apparently we have special missiles! It seems strange that we have


amazing technology that the French and the Americans do not. I am wary


of the idea that the Britons will cut off the head of the snake. The


vote, possibly on Wednesday. Will there be enough people voting for


it? It sounds like you think they will be. Yes, it doesn't need to


many Labour MPs to side with the government for it to come through.


Sir Malcolm Rifkind this week said there had to be a healthy majority.


It's got to be a big want to look good. What does the public think? It


is in the Sunday Post, your paper, James. Just run us through the main


figures. Some very interesting stuff here. The main one is that 74% of


people fear an attack on UK soil within a year. It almost shows that


the terrorists are winning, in a way. The idea is to spread terror


and it is working. There are interesting nuggets in the research.


We have asked what people think of various leaders and how they are


coping with the crisis and the message is clear that people think


Jeremy Corbyn is a dead loss as far as this stuff is concerned. Also


does everything in Scotland is seen through the prism of the


independence referendum -- because everything is seen through that


prison, two to one say that they feel safer as part of the UK than


they would have been as a separate Scotland. Your comments about Jeremy


Corbyn related to people in Scotland? It is a general


perception, if you have heard what people are saying on the doorsteps


in Oldham, where there will be a by-election this week, if you say


the name of Jeremy Corbyn at the doorstep, it isn't going down well,


people do not think much of the way that he has handled the Syria


crisis. Do you think that is fair, Sian? I think Corbyn is a man of


principle. That has always been his position. I think you should allow a


free vote. I think that is very important. But for him to change his


own personal position would be seen among his only young supporters in


particular as hypocritical. He's a party leader now. And all his MPs


disagree with him. He's written to the grassroots. Is still time to


consult or does the leader need to read on this issue? It could cost


him his position. I have written a column saying that if he loses this


by-election this week he'll be on a sticky wicket. Will he magnanimously


say, have a free vote? If he doesn't, he is in trouble, one way


or another, whichever way he tries to whip his MPs. This by-election,


the seat has a majority of 15,000, it would huge loss. Certainly a lot


of MPs would think about their positions if he remains leader and


that is generally what triggers elections, MPs looking out for their


own jobs somewhere down the line. And the Sunday Post and its cautious


backing for Syrian air raids against IS? That slightly goes against


another opinion poll which said that 48% of people think that the UK


should join in with the French, Americans, and other allied forces


against Isis. I am splitting hairs yet it is by no means decisive. It


is not. The public is rightly cautious, when you think about Iraq


and the past. The opinion poll is interesting in that the readers is


very strongly that they don't want to put troops on the ground in


Syria. -- they say this very strongly. Budget the legacy of Iraq,


people do not want troops in the Middle East. The other big story of


the day. In the Daily Mail. The headline Resigned, exposed, and then


doomed? This is all about Grant Shapps, who quit his ministerial


post earlier today, they are talking about an alleged new blackmail plot,


and then they are talking about whether Lord Feldman, the Tory


chairman, will stay in his post, or whether his days are also numbered.


We need to be careful of the details yet this suggests a very murky


world. It does. I think actually this is a very moving interview


given to the Guardian newspaper that the parents of Elliott Johnson. He


is the young conservative activist who apparently committed suicide


after allegedly being bullied by a senior election aid. Denies that, of


course. When I read the interview I felt so sorry for the parents of


this 21-year-old who seemed to have been caught up in a culture where


bullying, ambition, alleged blackmail... It is a rather horrible


set of allegations swirling around the youth wing of the Conservative


Party. What I felt was complete sympathy for the parents of this


young man. Not only are they faced with having to deal with the death


of their son in terrible circumstances, but now with taking


on and changing an apparent culture that led to his death. I think that


they are being incredibly brave about standing up and saying, look,


this is wrong, do something about it. James, this is rather like one


of these TV programmes. House Of Cards. Some of the people involved


in this scene to watch these programmes and think that they are


real and this is the way that you behave in politics. It doesn't have


to be. Absolutely not. A couple of things are worth saying. It is a bit


like Syria. A lot of political shenanigans around it. A human story


about human suffering. Someone has died. It is worth paying tribute to


the Mail on Sunday. And the first to slack them off sometimes but they


have gone at this week after week and nobody paid attention but the


pressure has been building and strangely enough it is the Guardian


interview that seems to have broken it down. Yet you have two paid


tribute to the Mail on Sunday, Simon Walker in particular who has really


been sticking at this, good journalism. Taking nothing away the


individual tragedy of this, do people outside the Westminster


closet really care about things going on inside a party? I think


they possibly do because of the human heart to this story. Any


parent can appreciate that their son has died for whatever reason. And if


people have mistreated him along the way, any parent can understand that.


It is the Tory party, they are in government, so if there are in


question is, they need to be answered. The Sunday Telegraph now.


The story says that Army medical staff are expected to be drafted


into NHS hospitals to cover for striking junior doctors. The first


of those planned industrial action stoppages takes place on Tuesday. It


is reassuring that, in a way, that there will be doctors there! It


shows that the level of crisis, we are used to the idea of the Green


goddesses turning up when the firemen go on strike, but Army


doctors in hospitals is something quite new, as is a doctors strike!


Talks with a have been adjourned until Monday, Sian, it has gone on


for a long time. This is the first of three strikes, another one will


be on eight December and a third on 16th December. I think it is a mark


of how strongly the junior doctors feel that they are prepared to go on


strike three times to make their point. They say they are taking


action to make the NHS safe in the future. So I think, again, I would


love to see a poll on what the public think about this action by


junior doctors. Do they support it or not? Do they feel that junior


doctors, on whom we do rely for cover, should strike? The government


argues that it is part of a seven-day NHS and contracts have to


be renegotiated and most of them will be better off.


LAUGHTER I'm not convinced. I talked to a lot


of medical students and junior doctors in my job and they are


working incredibly hard, such long hours. You think life is a junior


doctor is rosy, it is not. You've got five years of medical training


to do, then a one-year posts, more exams, they have a really tough


time. At the end of it, they get well paid. Eventually! We will come


back to that one later. That is it to the papers. Thank you, James and


Sian. They will be back at 11th Udupi and other stories making the


news tomorrow, we will probably come back to that debate about junior


doctors. Stay for the news because doctors. Stay for the news because


at 11pm as Grant Shapps resigns over claims that he failed to act over


claims of bullying of young Tory party volunteers. We will have the


latest. Coming up, the film


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