28/11/2015 The Papers

Migrants trying to get to western EU countries clash with police

Hello, and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers

With me are Sian Griffiths, Education Editor from the Sunday

Times and James Millar, Political correspondent from the Sunday Post.

The Mail on Sunday leads with Grant Schapps resignation and the scandal

The Telegraph reports that David Cameron is to risk a Commons

Grant Schapps and his wife are on the front of the Sunday Express but

says that up to 100 prisoners serving life sentences could be let

out of jail for Christmas. The Observer says that David Cameron

could risk a Commons vote despite a split in the Labour Party. The Times

also goes with the story and claims if David Cameron wins the vote, he

will order RAF air strikes to target the masterminds of the Paris

massacre. There's more on that story

in the The Independent On Sunday. It has a warning to Jeremy Corbyn

from And finally The Sunday Post has

a poll which says that the public cautiously back bombing

raids against IS, but that 74% of people fear a terrorist attack

on the UK within the year. We're going to start with the

likelihood of a Commons vote this week about air strikes over Syria.

At least that's what the papers are speculating about. And let's look to

the observer first of all with the headline:

Cameron to risk Commons vote over Syria strikes as split deepens.

Sian? It's an interesting story and it does look at though David Cameron

is preparing this week for a parliamentary vote, probably on

Wednesday on British military action against Islamic State in Syria. And

as the headline in the strap says, this comes as Labour is deeply

divided over the way its MPs are going to vote, with Labour leader

Jeremy Corbyn facing a shadow Cabinet revolt on the issue. I think

Cameron must be pretty confident, actually, that enough Labour MPs

will vote with him for him to call this vote. I think he thinks he's

going to have a fairly comfortable win. And in one of the papers, I

think it's the Sunday Times, it looks as though 80 Labour MPs are

expected to vote with Cameron and to back the bombing. And James, it's

not just getting a majority, it's getting a comfortable majority. A

healthy majority, because obviously last time he tried to get the

Commons to back action in Syria, entirely different action, it's

worth pointing out, he lost in 2013. So he doesn't want to just creep

over the line. I was talking to Malcolm Rifkin who said it would

have to be a healthy majority. As a former minister, he knows a thing or

two about this. And it looks like he'll get a healthy majority and

that's why the story is about Labour, and it looks like there will

be a vote and the Government will win. But where that will leave

Labour is a different kettle of fish. You sound confident that he'll

get the numbers. Where are they all phoning around, it's reported, to

try to get Labour in to target certain MPs? It's a fair point. He's

trying to make a compelling case, but that's to do with the healthy

majority, rather than the majority. It's also because there was a time

when you would have the usual channels and whips would talk to

each other and everybody would know what's going on. Nobody knows what's

going on inside the Labour Party, including the Labour Party

leadership. So it's difficult for the Government to engage what's

going on so the only thing they're doing is phoning up MPs and saying,

what are you doing. And that leads us to the independent on Sunday with

Watson telling Corbyn - you must back down. So it is the deputy

telling the leader what to do. James, carry on. This is quite a

good take on the story, I think. The new political editor at the

Independent on Sunday, so well done him for getting Watson's take on

this, Tom Watson's take on this. It doesn't exactly leave us much

clearer about what exactly is going to happen. You would think that the

deputy telling the leader to do this might have some sort of influence,

but again, nobody really knows how the Labour Party is working. I spoke

to a Shadow Cabinet member about this and he said, "I have no idea

what's going to happen." And that wasn't just saying it to the papers

because he doesn't didn't want to give away what was going to happen,

he genuinely has no idea what's going to happen at the Cabinet

meeting on Monday. Jeremy Corbyn supporters would say that he's a man

of principle and sticking to his principles on this. Yes, I think

that that is how his young activist supporters will see it. But it does

seem... I mean, a number of the papers are suggesting that he will

actually allow Labour MPs to have a free vote, because really he has no

alternative. You know, the Shadow Cabinet has made it absolutely clear

that a number of them are prepared to defy him, so I think there will

be a free vote on Wednesday and the Government will get its majority. Do

you think that that is damaging to people's perceptions of the Labour

Party? To have the leader saying one thing, and then all his immediate

management team, for want of a better description, actually

announce that they're going to vote completely the other way? Of course,

it's hugely damaging and it could possibly be a make or break issue

for Jeremy Corbyn. I don't know. That's why we don't know if there

will be a free vote. Every logic points to a free vote. But if you

have a free vote, two things happen. One is that the Labour Party look

mad and incapable of forming a Government and not a Government in

waiting. And the other is that Jeremy Corbyn doesn't get what he

wants, which is to stop the bombing. His entire career is based on being

a pacifist and opposing action in the Middle East. So he's trying to

figure out how to get that, and not necessarily listening to the votes

saying - you can't, you're the leading of the Labour Party now.

Zblts going to be an interesting week and speculation that the vote

will be called for Wednesday. But we don't have that confirmed and don't

know that. Of course, what do people outside the Westminster bubble

think? That could be revealed in part at least in Scotland in the

Sunday Post, James? Yes, this is very much people outside of the

Westminster bubble. You know, outside of the "normal people", as

they should be. And yes, most of them fear a terror attack in Britain

after the Paris attacks. That is the big headline finding from this

research that the terrorists who want to sew terror have sewn terror,

but what happens next is not clear. There is cautious there. People

don't want to send soldiers in to the Middle East. That's the legacy

of what happened in Iraq and what went wrong in Iraq. Do you think

that that is reflected on the wader population outside of Scotland as

well? I think it is. I get the feeling from people, when I talk to

people, there's a real reluctance and a worry about putting troops on

the ground in Syria, and I think that it does go back to Iraq and

what happens in Iraq and just general fears. But I think that it

is interesting in this poll that 74% of the readers feared a terror

attack on the UK within a year. So you know, on the one hand, I think

people are incredibly aware of the threat posed by ISIS to Britons in

this country. But nevertheless, still very worried about the repurr

cushions if we take -- repercussions if we send troops in. Another big

story dominating the headlines, dominating the bulletins today is

the resignation of Grant Schapps from his ministerial post. And this

all about his resignation as Overseas Aid Minister in the

aftermath of all of the allegations of how the Conservative Party is

being run and how it treats activists and all of those

allegations, which are coming home. And James, resignation, or resigned,

exposed, doomed is the headline. Yes. The Tory Party certainly has

questions to answer now. The Mail on Sunday have been hammering away at

this for weeks and nobody has paid a huge amount of attention until the

last week or so, it's begun to build critical mass and now we have a

resignation. Grant Schapps, who was party chairman at the time of a lot

of allegations around bullying, blackmail and all sorts of very

unpleasant dealings that may or may not have been going on, has now

resigned. So the story is very much moving on. How far it's going to go,

we will have to wait and see. I suspect it's not the ends of it, but

the next person in the firing line is Lord Felledman, who was also

co-chairman -- Lord Feldman, and the father of Elliot Johnson, the Tory

activist who died, is still very much calling for Lord Feldman to

follow Grant Schapps out the door. Lord Feldman given the backing of

senior Conservatives at the moment. But as James is saying, the Mail and

the Mail on Sunday have been pushing the story in the last few weeks? It

is, and it's a dramatic front page there. But the story moved on after

an interview that the parents of Elliot Johnson gave to the Guardian

yesterday, which was a moving interview, and you know, on the one

hand, their 21-year-old son has committed suicide amid these

allegations that he was bullied, allegedly, by a senior Conservative

aide, who denies the allegations. And on the other hand, they've

somehow found the strength to stand up and say - yes, we've lost our

son, you know. But something has gone horribly wrong within the

culture of the Conservative youth wing, and it needs to be put right.

And somewhere, from somewhere, they've found the strength to stand

up and take on the establishment, really, and say - please sort this

out before anybody else suffers in the way our son has suffered. And I

think that's very brave. Indeed. On to the Sunday Telegraph. Of course,

it is the first of three strikes by junior doctors due to begin on

Tuesday. They've adjourned ACAS talks until Monday, so not much time

left to sort this out. And the headline there suggests, "Army is

poised to cover for striking NHS doctors." What do you make of that?

It is extraordinary, the idea that we're going to have army doctors in

hospitals. But on the other hand, this is only the first of three

strikes that the junior doctors are planning to call. And I think in

some ways that it is reassuring that there will be army doctors there, as

opposed to nobody at all. But I think, and I'm hoping, hopefully the

ACAS talks will be fruitful and the other two strikes will not happen.

But I would love to know what the public think about junior doctors

striking for the first time for 40 years, because will they feel it's

wrong for doctors to strike? Even in places like Great Ormond Street

Hospital, where children are being treated, or will they feel that

junior doctors have a really, really difficult time. The job is almost

undo-able. If you make their hours even longer, you extend it in to

Saturday working, can the NHS... What will the future of the NHS look

like? OK, but the Government and across the NHS is such a sensitive

topic, and the Government is saying that this actually to make their

life better, and also to extend the case to get a more uniform service

across seven days? Well the Government, or the Conservative

Party promised the NHS. Having won the election, they now have to

implement it. That is more difficult than promising it, which is more

difficult than they're finding, of course. So yes, there is very much

two sides to it. You would hope that they can get around the table at

ACAS and find some sort of agreement, but it has become a very,

very bitter dispute. So I wouldn't necessarily hold out any hope that

there will be an agreement any time soon. And I bet that is one of the

topics that people outside the Westminster bubble are very

sensitive of. Here's a story, great fun. Sunday Times. Riddle of Sally

from Bolton. And this is all about a question worth ?100 million, which

is a painting that somebody says is by Leonardo, but a forger says he

did it in 2007 and based it on somebody who worked in the Co-op.

It's such an amazing story. It is the only light story on the front

paging of tomorrow's papers. And as you say, it is the chalk drawing of

a 15th century Italian woman, possibly. So is it a Da Vinci, or

was it drawn in the 1970s by Britain's most prolific forger, who

used to operate out of his parent's council house, and was it inspired

by a Co-Op supermarket worker called Sally. And the forger was jailed in

2007 for forgery. And he claims that he drew this woman, the work is

called La Bella Principisa, if I have the pronunciation correct. And

I love the headline, Riddle of Sally from Bolton. Should you believe a

forger, given that the career is based out of it. 15th century or

1970. She looks 19 # 0s to me. You think it is a forgery? She looks

quite 1970s. You are very kind to try to pronounce it in Italian, I

think it was. What should it be, if it is 1970s? OK. Thank you very

much. Coming up next,