10/12/2015 The Papers


10/12/2015

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good night at White Hart Lane. We will also hear from Alastair Cook on

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who might open the batting with him in South Africa, on Sportsday after

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The Papers. Welcome to our look ahead to what

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the papers will bring us tomorrow. With me are the Guardian's political

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correspondent Rowena Mason and the Independent's economics editor Ben

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Chu. Let's look at the front pages, starting with the Telegraph, leading

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with our top story at the BBC, the delayed decision on airport

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expansion. The paper says the CBI has branded it gutless. The same

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story dominating the Times front page with claims that the owner of

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British Airways could threaten to give up on Heathrow. The Metro

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reports on more wet weather misery in Cumbria, describing residents

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fleeing their village as flooding returned. The Independent says

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private investors are being enticed to purchase rooms in care homes. Obi

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in women is as dangerous as terror threat in the Daily Mail after

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comments by England's Chief Medical Officer. The Guardian leads with the

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latest in a series of allegations about the retailer Sports Direct.

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The express claims that the number of asylum seekers coming to the UK

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has increased 60% in three months. We will start, Rowena, with the

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Telegraph and a story that broke in the last couple of hours, the

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government has now confirmed it will not take the decision on whether to

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have another runway or an extension to Heathrow until next summer. Many

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people are upset about that. A lot of people. We did suspect this would

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happen, the story was leaked out in troops and drabs over the last week,

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but nevertheless, my e-mail inbox was flooded with statements from

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various serious business groups, I ensure Ben's was as well, saying

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they are disgusted and frustrated, and yet again they just want

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certainty. If you are a cynic comic you would say this is all to do with

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a certain Mr Goldsmith, a certain race for City Hall in London, and a

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final decision suggesting that perhaps it should be Heathrow that

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gets the extra runway or an extension, that would potentially

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scupper his chances of winning. They have given this explanation which is

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all about air quality, they need to do more tests on air quality before

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they make a decision, which will take time, but it is really a green

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figleaf, as you intimated. The mayoral elections... That is what it

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is about in your view? Is that Goldsmith pledged to resign as an MP

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if they gave the go-ahead to Heathrow, he is standing for the

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London mayoralty. If they took the decision now he would have to resign

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and it would take the wind out of the Tory campaign for London mayor.

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It is not what they want. It sits a lot of people, Labour as well,

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because Sadiq Khan is against it as well. It is a very predictable thing

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they have done, albeit one that is quite embarrassing for the minister

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because they did say, they set up the Howard Davies Review two years

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ago, they said they would take the decision after the election, and

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they have discovered it is still politically contentious, surprise,

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surprise, now had picked it out for six months and will probably find

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another reason to do it in six months -- kicked it out. Boris

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Johnson, the current mayor, doesn't think it should be Heathrow, Sadiq

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Khan thinks it should be Gatwick, Zac Goldsmith doesn't think it

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should be Heathrow, the only people who seem to think it should be

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Heathrow are Heathrow and Mr Davies. But Davies is perhaps the man who

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matters the most. Well, it is still possible for David Cameron to

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override what Howard Davies has said because in his report he did still

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leave other options on the table, saying Gatwick was viable. The

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statement the government put out this evening was interesting in that

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it did not mention the word Heathrow, it just said "We want more

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a court capacity in the south-east, there are several viable options

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recommended and we will decide later on". So it is possible that the wind

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could be blowing more in the direction of Gatwick. They are happy

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tonight, the chief executive there, he was well chuffed! Going on to the

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Independent, Ben, very interesting story, your front page, scandal of

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buy to let care homes. This is an interesting story, a care home

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provider in the North of England, relatively small but with a quite

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ominous business model, is telling investors, if you put up money we

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will build a care home and you will basically have the right to the

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proceeds of individual rooms. This is where this buy to let concept

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comes from. As well as having the right to the revenues of individual

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rooms it seems to promise investors 10% annual returns, which is

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incredibly high. So this draws attention to quite an ominous, as I

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say, development in terms of who controls these care homes, but also,

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will these care homes be viable? If they are promising those returns can

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they live up to them? Will they squeeze the quality of care of the

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residents in order to make those returns? Or put up the prices? Yes,

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there are lots of quite scary imprecations of running a care home

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on that high-risk business model. Rowena, the fact is, this isn't

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illegal, though. No, it doesn't seem to be, and the sector is one which

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is sadly quite unregulated. It does seem incredibly high, a 10% return.

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Looks like the rate of an Icelandic banks not long ago! It is a time

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when care homes are suffering council cuts, a lot of squeeze on

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their profits, so, I suppose it underlines the pressures care homes

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are under, but they have to think of these wheezes, but hopefully it is

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quite a small area of business they have moved into for now. Onto the

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Guardian. The prime minister ready to soften stance on benefits for

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migrants, he has been in Poland today, and the Polish by Minister

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made it clear she didn't agree with him. Absolutely. It seems to be

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preparing for a retreat, unsurprisingly. The Prime Minister

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last month outlined his four main menu of reforms he wants, and a key

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one was this toughening up on the benefits that people who move across

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borders in the EU can receive in the state they go to, so in the UK

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people from Poland or wherever would not be able to get tax credits for a

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period of time before they can collect them. He has run into

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serious resistance on this, not least from the Polish government,

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and now the Guardian's line is that he seems to be rolling back from

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that and saying, maybe my demands will not be as concrete or as strict

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as I intimated last month. So that suggests he may be able to come back

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with something, but will it be enough to satisfy the folk in the

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backbenches? Quite. He has come up with his four demands he wants from

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the Yukon but I think the only one the public is that keen on and

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interested in is the one about curbing benefits for migrants, that

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is the big prize for him. So it is not very surprising that he is

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having to roll back from this idea of a four-year limit on benefits for

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migrants, because almost every other country in Europe is opposed to it

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and thinks it is discriminatory. The question is, can he find something

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else that will help? There has been the suggestion in recent days that

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they could be an emergency brake on migration especially designed for

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Britain. Whether Brussels over -- Brussels allows that to happen

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remains to be seen because we have this summit next week. OK, onto the

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Daily Express, Reina, continuing the theme of migrants, new surge in

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asylum seekers, 410,000 in just three months. Guess, it is probably

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hardly surprising, this, given the turmoil there has been in Syria, the

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Middle East and North Africa. The 410,000 is a big number but that is

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for the whole of the European Union, and the number, if you look at the

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UK alone, I think it is 12,000 between July and September. That is

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in the small print! That is an increase and highlights the

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difficulty that Cameron has of sticking to this target he will

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never make of only tens of thousands of migrants, net migrants coming to

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the UK, but... It is a consequence of the terrible war and turmoil

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there is in the world. And it feeds into that whole debate as well that

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we spoke about earlier, Ben, about the Prime Minister, as far as the

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public are concerned, getting some kind of result from Brussels on the

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amount of money given in benefits to migrants. If you are seeing one

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headline suggesting there are still more coming, another one saying he

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will have to roll back on that, that doesn't look good. This is a big

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problem with the debate. These are asylum seekers, not migrants, and

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they all get muddled together, the headline seem to be about people

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coming here, but it is important to make the distinction between people

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fleeing for their lives and people coming for economic reasons. The

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line can be blurred but it is important not to throw out the

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humanitarian imperative of taking in people fleeing for their lives. This

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goes to the point about the migrant thing. The economics of the prime

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minister's position, if we cut benefits for economic migrants they

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will not want to come, saying it is a pull factor. There is no evidence

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to suggest it is a big pull factor, the supposed generosity of the UK

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benefit system, so it is the Charente. He says he wants this

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concession from Europe but Stephen Miquel says it problem went have a

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"Anyway, according to the Obi at. Our final story, the bake off his

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back but the celebrity one. Interesting faces there on the front

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of the express. Samantha Cameron, rowing, and Ed Balls. A fantastic

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line-up they have managed to get here with these political figures

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from both sides of the spectrum, you can imagine really good arguments!

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LAUGHTER. Not just going not know about cake. I am sure Mr balls will

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be very gentlemanly. He has a good sense of humour, he has a reputation

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for being a hard task masker in his Shadow Chancellor role, but he is a

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very funny chap and very genial so hopefully he will have good banter

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with Samantha. Samantha Cameron is not very talkative, we have not

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heard much from her. We know what happened when her husband spoke in

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the kitchen! We do, that's right! You got it, exactly! He said he

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wasn't standing again. Rowena and Ben will be back in an hour. Now it

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is time for Sportsday.

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No need to wait to see what's in the papers - tune in for a lively and informed conversation about the next day's headlines.


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