16/01/2016 The Papers

Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers

With me are Tim Shipman, political editor of the Sunday

Times, and Oliver Wright, political editor of the Independent.

The Observer leads with figures from the World Health Organisation

The health body declares it a global public health emergency, warning

that poor air quality will overwhelm health services across the globe.

The Sunday Express writes that millions of families can expect

higher council tax bills and bigger cuts to public services

because of Conservatives plans to reduce county council budgets.

The Mail on Sunday headlines a poll which suggests

the campaign for Britain to leave the EU is now six points ahead.

It blames the Paris massacre, Cologne sex attacks and the Syrian

The Telegraph unveils a new alliance of Conservative MPs

that plans to push for Britain to stay within the EU.

They warn against Britain leaping into the void.

The Independent on Sunday has an exclusive interview with the head

of Interpol, who says criminal gangs made ?4 billion last year

And the Sunday Times leads with the terrorist attack in Burkina Faso

We can begin with the Sunday Telegraph. Tim, earlier you were

saying that you were saying that they were finding it hard to write

about other than Europe. There are only three things Westminster is

talking about. The Tories are talking about Europe and the future

leadership of your party. And the Labour Party MPs are talking about

the current leadership of their party. That is basically it. Europe

is on the front of three national newspapers. This is a bit like the

PeopleSoft of Judy and the Judaean 's people front. -- the people's

front of Judaea. Splitters! The significance of this story is that

David Cameron has finally found some allies and a new group that is

imaginatively called conservatives for the reform of Europe, which does

what it says on the tin, they want to stay in the EU. The former

Policing Minister, he will run the script. He is a eurosceptic. But now

he says we should stay in. It is a big deal for Cameron to land this

by. -- land this. Where is the Conservative Party on Europe at the

moment? All over the place? What David Cameron will try to do if he

gets this successful negotiation, which many of us doubt he will be

able to achieve in the next month or so... He will try and run quite a

eurosceptic campaign to keep Britain within the EU. They will not

suddenly start saying the EU is the best thing. He will be saying that

he has a deal to give us some less Europe and so on balance, it is

better to stay in. It is interesting to think how you get that message

across. It would be a spin, a turnaround, that could put him in

the Olympic figure skating! EU shock. The outer vote is 6% ahead.

-- outvote. This is a significant shift. If you look back to before

Christmas, there were some opinion polls that had them two or three

points ahead. This is the largest survey that has suggested such a

lead. I think that the polls will fluctuate quite a lot. This these

talks about the coming sex attacks, the Syrian migrant crisis, the Paris

terror attacks. -- the Cologne sex attacks. It does show that the

referendum is at the mercy of events that David Cameron, control in this

campaign. One reason why he wants to get a deal quickly in February

rather than halfway through the year is that they are worried about the

migrant crisis dominating the news agenda during the summer. There is a

degree of bloody mindedness about this as well. There is a fear in

Downing Street that if you get everybody telling people that we

need to stay in, the main parties, the big businesses, part of the

British public will push back against that. And some on the left

are pretty anti-European, although for different reasons. They see it

as a pro-business union. They hate the TT IP. That is the transatlantic

trade partnership. Both agree a trade deal with the US. As it's

David Cameron were not stressed enough about this, Boris Johnson has

emerged. He is looming over everything. The poll says that if

Boris supported the outcome thing, his lead would go -- the campaign's

lead would go from 6.2 eight points. Both sides are desperate to get him.

-- six points to eight point. In terms of the general public, the

only person who is likely to be able to move a significant amount of

votes is Boris Johnson. Nobody I have spoken to around Boris thinks

that is what he is likely to do but there is an attempt to involve him.

There is always a Boris angle. And he causes quite a lot of these Boris

angle is. -- angles. He has written a lot about this himself. He is

trying to extract as much political capital out of this decision as

possible. He wants to be positioned where he can succeed David Cameron

when he steps down. If he thinks is best chance is to lead the no

campaign, that is probably what he will do. If he thinks his best

chance is to lead the yes campaign, he will probably do that. A variety

of rabbits from the hat. They want to rebrand our membership as a slow

lane in the 2-tier Europe. This idea of an emergency brake to stop

migrants coming in if public services are getting overwhelmed.

And just to connect to what we are saying, what David Cameron really

wants to do after the negotiation is make a grand announcement about

changing domestic law to say that British law and British courts have

supremacy over what happens in Europe. This was an idea that Boris

himself has been advancing and the trick is that Michael Gove has been

asked by Cameron to go and make this happen. The people they really want

to lock into the Cameron camp, they get one of them to deliver the

other's idea and then everyone lives happily ever after. The other major

story in the Sunday Times is this latest attack, this time in Burkina

Faso. This is a very interesting picture of French special forces who

were rapidly deployed. This is interesting beyond the obvious point

that this is yet another terrorist attack. The fact that French special

forces were on the scene they quickly suggest to me that there was

some kind of deal, some kind of organisation that should this happen

and how they would organise the logistics of those kinds of

situation. It shows a degree of international cooperation where the

West is actively participating and helping some of the more vulnerable

countries in terms of the security apparatus there. Having people who

can deal with these sorts of attack close by, ready and able. This

sounds like an insensitive thing to say but 29 people dead... 150

hostages... It suggests to a certain extent that the operation was

reasonably successful. There is always that question. Is this what

groups like Al-Qaeda won't? Western newspapers reported on a story that

happened in a country a long way away? It is a country as long way

away. It is interesting, politically. A national newspaper

putting on its front page something that happened a long way away. But

we have a Prime Minister who thinks this is the existential battle about

times. And one of his predecessors, Tony Blair, would say exactly the

same thing. There is international cooperation and the view that things

are happening long way away are part of the same struggle that

politicians here think they are engaged in and it does not matter

that is happening in West Africa, you have to tackle this wherever it

is happening. Tax rate on middle-class. What is this about? It

is complicated but it affects all of us, so it is important. The

government is completely changing the way they provide funding to

local councils. They are trying to encourage local councils to be more

limited in the way they raise money. They will be allowed to keep

all of the business rates. As part of that, somehow you have got to

rearrange the funding so that the poorer parts of the country do not

massively lose out. This story says that the government's plans will

take money from some of the county councils. What we know about those?

They tend to rural and conservative. This story is

basically saying that a group of Tory backbenchers are kicking off

about this, saying how dare you do this and that they will lose

services. They say they will fight the government when some of these

girls go through the House of Commons. Many people will say that

this is what affects people on the ground much more than what they

might consider quite incidental debate about the EU. Yes. This is a

good story. It is about how much people pay in council tax and how

much they get back out of it. The problem you have with this contrast

between the rural and the open, yes, you have a lot of rich people living

in the countryside and doing quite well, but you also have a lot of

poverty in rural areas and housing problems. Children who have grown up

there cannot afford to live there. Elderly people without bus

services... This kind of thing. It is not as simple as perhaps this

government formula is making it out to be. On many of the front pages,

there is an image of Stuart Broad, celebrating after England's

victory. Here it is. We might as well enjoy this for a bit. That was

an extraordinary performance. I don't know about you but I grew up

watching some pretty miserable cricket in my days. Some of it was

enlivened by watching Stuart Broad's father who did well very

briefly for England 20 odd years ago. Not that briefly! You make it

sound like he had a good afternoon. He had one very good series. But

Stuart Broad is turning into one of the greatest fast bowlers England

has ever had. He has taken six or seven wickets, a ludicrous amount of

wickets, against the Australians. We have 2 of the greatest of -- bowling

performances by an impish bowler in my adult lifetime. -- English

bowler. When there is good news on the front pages, it is nice to have

some sporting success. -- grim news. It is stop and I suppose what we do

need is some consistency. When they are good, they are brilliant. But

then one year or so later, they do something unexpected. We will see.

Coming up next, it's the Film Review.