16/01/2016 The Papers


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Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers


With me are Tim Shipman, political editor of the Sunday


Times, and Oliver Wright, political editor of the Independent.


The Observer leads with figures from the World Health Organisation


The health body declares it a global public health emergency, warning


that poor air quality will overwhelm health services across the globe.


The Sunday Express writes that millions of families can expect


higher council tax bills and bigger cuts to public services


because of Conservatives plans to reduce county council budgets.


The Mail on Sunday headlines a poll which suggests


the campaign for Britain to leave the EU is now six points ahead.


It blames the Paris massacre, Cologne sex attacks and the Syrian


The Telegraph unveils a new alliance of Conservative MPs


that plans to push for Britain to stay within the EU.


They warn against Britain leaping into the void.


The Independent on Sunday has an exclusive interview with the head


of Interpol, who says criminal gangs made ?4 billion last year


And the Sunday Times leads with the terrorist attack in Burkina Faso


We can begin with the Sunday Telegraph. Tim, earlier you were


saying that you were saying that they were finding it hard to write


about other than Europe. There are only three things Westminster is


talking about. The Tories are talking about Europe and the future


leadership of your party. And the Labour Party MPs are talking about


the current leadership of their party. That is basically it. Europe


is on the front of three national newspapers. This is a bit like the


PeopleSoft of Judy and the Judaean 's people front. -- the people's


front of Judaea. Splitters! The significance of this story is that


David Cameron has finally found some allies and a new group that is


imaginatively called conservatives for the reform of Europe, which does


what it says on the tin, they want to stay in the EU. The former


Policing Minister, he will run the script. He is a eurosceptic. But now


he says we should stay in. It is a big deal for Cameron to land this


by. -- land this. Where is the Conservative Party on Europe at the


moment? All over the place? What David Cameron will try to do if he


gets this successful negotiation, which many of us doubt he will be


able to achieve in the next month or so... He will try and run quite a


eurosceptic campaign to keep Britain within the EU. They will not


suddenly start saying the EU is the best thing. He will be saying that


he has a deal to give us some less Europe and so on balance, it is


better to stay in. It is interesting to think how you get that message


across. It would be a spin, a turnaround, that could put him in


the Olympic figure skating! EU shock. The outer vote is 6% ahead.


-- outvote. This is a significant shift. If you look back to before


Christmas, there were some opinion polls that had them two or three


points ahead. This is the largest survey that has suggested such a


lead. I think that the polls will fluctuate quite a lot. This these


talks about the coming sex attacks, the Syrian migrant crisis, the Paris


terror attacks. -- the Cologne sex attacks. It does show that the


referendum is at the mercy of events that David Cameron, control in this


campaign. One reason why he wants to get a deal quickly in February


rather than halfway through the year is that they are worried about the


migrant crisis dominating the news agenda during the summer. There is a


degree of bloody mindedness about this as well. There is a fear in


Downing Street that if you get everybody telling people that we


need to stay in, the main parties, the big businesses, part of the


British public will push back against that. And some on the left


are pretty anti-European, although for different reasons. They see it


as a pro-business union. They hate the TT IP. That is the transatlantic


trade partnership. Both agree a trade deal with the US. As it's


David Cameron were not stressed enough about this, Boris Johnson has


emerged. He is looming over everything. The poll says that if


Boris supported the outcome thing, his lead would go -- the campaign's


lead would go from 6.2 eight points. Both sides are desperate to get him.


-- six points to eight point. In terms of the general public, the


only person who is likely to be able to move a significant amount of


votes is Boris Johnson. Nobody I have spoken to around Boris thinks


that is what he is likely to do but there is an attempt to involve him.


There is always a Boris angle. And he causes quite a lot of these Boris


angle is. -- angles. He has written a lot about this himself. He is


trying to extract as much political capital out of this decision as


possible. He wants to be positioned where he can succeed David Cameron


when he steps down. If he thinks is best chance is to lead the no


campaign, that is probably what he will do. If he thinks his best


chance is to lead the yes campaign, he will probably do that. A variety


of rabbits from the hat. They want to rebrand our membership as a slow


lane in the 2-tier Europe. This idea of an emergency brake to stop


migrants coming in if public services are getting overwhelmed.


And just to connect to what we are saying, what David Cameron really


wants to do after the negotiation is make a grand announcement about


changing domestic law to say that British law and British courts have


supremacy over what happens in Europe. This was an idea that Boris


himself has been advancing and the trick is that Michael Gove has been


asked by Cameron to go and make this happen. The people they really want


to lock into the Cameron camp, they get one of them to deliver the


other's idea and then everyone lives happily ever after. The other major


story in the Sunday Times is this latest attack, this time in Burkina


Faso. This is a very interesting picture of French special forces who


were rapidly deployed. This is interesting beyond the obvious point


that this is yet another terrorist attack. The fact that French special


forces were on the scene they quickly suggest to me that there was


some kind of deal, some kind of organisation that should this happen


and how they would organise the logistics of those kinds of


situation. It shows a degree of international cooperation where the


West is actively participating and helping some of the more vulnerable


countries in terms of the security apparatus there. Having people who


can deal with these sorts of attack close by, ready and able. This


sounds like an insensitive thing to say but 29 people dead... 150


hostages... It suggests to a certain extent that the operation was


reasonably successful. There is always that question. Is this what


groups like Al-Qaeda won't? Western newspapers reported on a story that


happened in a country a long way away? It is a country as long way


away. It is interesting, politically. A national newspaper


putting on its front page something that happened a long way away. But


we have a Prime Minister who thinks this is the existential battle about


times. And one of his predecessors, Tony Blair, would say exactly the


same thing. There is international cooperation and the view that things


are happening long way away are part of the same struggle that


politicians here think they are engaged in and it does not matter


that is happening in West Africa, you have to tackle this wherever it


is happening. Tax rate on middle-class. What is this about? It


is complicated but it affects all of us, so it is important. The


government is completely changing the way they provide funding to


local councils. They are trying to encourage local councils to be more


limited in the way they raise money. They will be allowed to keep


all of the business rates. As part of that, somehow you have got to


rearrange the funding so that the poorer parts of the country do not


massively lose out. This story says that the government's plans will


take money from some of the county councils. What we know about those?


They tend to rural and conservative. This story is


basically saying that a group of Tory backbenchers are kicking off


about this, saying how dare you do this and that they will lose


services. They say they will fight the government when some of these


girls go through the House of Commons. Many people will say that


this is what affects people on the ground much more than what they


might consider quite incidental debate about the EU. Yes. This is a


good story. It is about how much people pay in council tax and how


much they get back out of it. The problem you have with this contrast


between the rural and the open, yes, you have a lot of rich people living


in the countryside and doing quite well, but you also have a lot of


poverty in rural areas and housing problems. Children who have grown up


there cannot afford to live there. Elderly people without bus


services... This kind of thing. It is not as simple as perhaps this


government formula is making it out to be. On many of the front pages,


there is an image of Stuart Broad, celebrating after England's


victory. Here it is. We might as well enjoy this for a bit. That was


an extraordinary performance. I don't know about you but I grew up


watching some pretty miserable cricket in my days. Some of it was


enlivened by watching Stuart Broad's father who did well very


briefly for England 20 odd years ago. Not that briefly! You make it


sound like he had a good afternoon. He had one very good series. But


Stuart Broad is turning into one of the greatest fast bowlers England


has ever had. He has taken six or seven wickets, a ludicrous amount of


wickets, against the Australians. We have 2 of the greatest of -- bowling


performances by an impish bowler in my adult lifetime. -- English


bowler. When there is good news on the front pages, it is nice to have


some sporting success. -- grim news. It is stop and I suppose what we do


need is some consistency. When they are good, they are brilliant. But


then one year or so later, they do something unexpected. We will see.


Coming up next, it's the Film Review.


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