02/02/2016 The Papers


02/02/2016

No need to wait until tomorrow morning to see what's in the papers - tune in for a lively and informed conversation about the next day's headlines.


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another Australian appointment in English rugby and a look at the

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first of 51-day internationals for English cricketers in South Africa.

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-- five, one-day internationals. Welcome to our look ahead. With me

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are Emily Ashton, and Dan Gillespie from the New York Times.

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Let's take a look at the front pages. We will start with the FT, I

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think. No, we will start with the metro. Do we have some papers? No,

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we don't. Let's just dive into it then. Let start with the

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Independent, the headline is the question of the day? Deal, or no

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Deal? We have been hearing from the EU for a long time and finally we

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get this draft proposed deal. Yes, this is the question, does it do

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what David Cameron has promised it would do? No, not quite. He wanted

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one of the key parts of it, was that he wanted and out right about the

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four years on benefits for EU migrants. That is not in this draft

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deal. In fact, benefits will gradually be given to migrants over

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those four years. But he is claiming it as a victory, as we thought he

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would. It is a bit like the Emperor's new clothes. He went out

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into the sticks today to Chippenham to sell this deal, or talk about it,

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instead of going to Westminster. He was out of the traps quite quickly,

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to the frustration of those in his own cabinet. There is a lot of focus

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on the papers today about what this deal says. David Cameron decided to

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back the UK remaining in Europe and go full force behind the referendum.

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That is why this is meaningful. The fact he went outside of Westminster

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is sending a strong symbol, he is is sending a strong symbol, he is

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ready to campaign and put his full force behind that. We have had an

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ambivalent David Cameron until now. On the other hand, the European

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Union have offered concession on the other point he wanted and at a time

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when the EU is buffeted by a migration and economic crisis, the

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sending a strong message, we want Britain inside. Some of the papers

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are taking a harder line. The metro, you are joking! There are other

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papers who have similar headlines. It is a pale imitation of what was

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promised in the Conservative manifesto? Yes, and that four-year

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ban was in the manifesto, it fell short of that. We have heard so much

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from David Cameron over the years and it might not have been in the

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manifesto, but last January he was talking about the need for treaty

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change. That is not part of it. A couple of years ago, he was talking

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about changing the working Time directive and agricultural policy,

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and none of that was in there. It was obvious he was going to claim it

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as a victory. He hasn't gone that far yet. Even though there are gaps

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and a lot of details to be hammered out in a couple of weeks, already

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some of the back benches and some of the ministers nailing their colours

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to the mast. I wonder what is going on in these circles in the cabinet

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because there is a lot of banks about whether they follow the

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convictions of whether they keep their jobs. Prankster. It feels like

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that. We are already hearing Theresa May is giving it a cautious

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advocacy. But we hearing, depending on what paper you are reading, we

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are hearing there is active rebellion already. This debate is

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already coming along ideological lines, depending what paper you

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read. According to these papers, it is almost like a different use of

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end. The Telegraph, ministers to defy the Prime Minister and Europe.

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Sajid Javid, Michael Gove, Boris Johnson, of course. These are the

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sort of people he fears could lead a middle of the road out campaign?

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Yes, there are the Eurosceptics, but it is likely he comes out that the

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out come pain. They don't want to back the losing side. Some of the

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Leave campaigners say it will give them a boost. No cabinet minister

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wants to be on the losing side. Iain Duncan Smith, Theresa Villiers will

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be on the outside and they haven't got the big East of Boris and

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Michael Gove. How does this play in the United States? We know what

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Barack Obama thinks, he would prefer Britain in? I think it is fair to

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say, Americans want Britain within the European Union because the UK in

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the European Union is a stronger transatlantic partnership. At a time

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when the EU is a disaster zone with the migration and economic crisis,

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there is a feeling if Britain leaves, that prices could turn into

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an implosion in the United States could use a strong partner across

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the Atlantic. It Barack Obama could come out and say that, he would. It

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all depends on whether his friend, David Cameron, wants him to.

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Washington wants Great Britain in the European Union. Crispin Blunt

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said, it is not just about what Britain once, it is how this affects

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the running of the EU. It is our biggest market. I guess the United

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States thinks that as well? If it is going to shackle the EU for a

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generation so it doesn't run properly, that is a reason in itself

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to vote against this deal? The European Commission, you can see,

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the Leave campaign are bending over backwards to help Britain stay in.

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They think they are not going to be able to go forward and the mission

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in the EU, if written leaves. So they have done a lot to help him

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secure this deal. The migration crisis and everything else is

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happening in Europe, to take the time to help us and our concerns, is

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quite remarkable. It is worth remembering there are many countries

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in the European Union that see things in a similar way to the UK.

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The Netherlands and countries in northern Europe, people want

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pragmatism in the European Union. They will be devastated if the UK

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leaves. It is seen as a moderating force when it comes to economics,

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the free market and when it comes to having less Europe, rather than more

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Europe. If it leaves, other countries will be upset. In essence,

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what has been agreed in the deal, might used against UK anyway. And

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also, let's have a look at the cartoon in the Telegraph. It is pure

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genius. If we sneaked onto a lorry, we can get out of the country for

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the referendum. A lot of people feel that way with six months of it still

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to come. Let's talk about Iowa, since you are here. What a

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performance by Bernie Sanders gesture marked I think we are seeing

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something we have seen in this country where people are attracted

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to these ageing hippies, the far lefties like Jeremy Corbyn. It is

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young people attract it to them. So you have Bernie Sanders edging

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Hillary Clinton by a small margin. You have a picture of her on the

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front page. She didn't put the mustard, she said it is a huge

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relief to sneak home? She lost Iowa last time so this is a seminal

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moment for her in some ways. But the margin is so small, they cannot

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declare victory. The Clinton camp is trying to put a positive spin on it.

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She is potentially in trouble. A lot of people had discounted Bernie

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Sanders, but he keeps doing better. His message is resonating with young

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people, in the same way Jeremy Corbyn has resonated with young

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people in the UK. The question is, before it goes to the entire letter,

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or people still be boating the Bernie Sanders? It is doubtful. They

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said that about Jeremy Corbyn! The Hillary camp will be worried

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tonight. She has a lot of other big seeds sown up. It is early days. New

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Hampshire and Iowa are small. Iowa is conservative and small, lot of

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Evangelicals. It is not a barometer for the rest of the country. But it

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is the first time we have seen these electorates put in front of the

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electorate in a meaningful way, so it is a snapshot and I think Hillary

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will be worried tonight. I will be talking a bit tonight about this

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thing in Buzzfeed, the prices that women have to pay for the same

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things men by, razors and deodorant. A study a couple of weeks ago,

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analysing hundreds of products that women pay more for. Razors and

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creams. Boots the chemist has announced it is going to change the

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prices of two products following this. There was also a debate in

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Westminster this afternoon with a fair few MPs getting involved. It

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does seem outrageous. This bit at the bottom, and Amazon claim to be a

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pirate ship and equivalent Faerie Queene ship is dearer. It is

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staggering. Women get paid less and now paying more for their products,

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it is a good campaign. It is quite eye opening. We will talk about it

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again in the next hour. You are coming back at 11:30pm so thank you

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very much indeed. We will be back at 11:30pm, coming up it is now the

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sport.

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