04/02/2016 The Papers


04/02/2016

No need to wait to see what's in the papers - tune in for a lively and informed conversation about the next day's headlines.


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Wembley. And a golfer with a robotic swing who turned up and got a hole

:00:00.:00:00.

in one. That, after the papers. Hello and welcome to our look ahead

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to what the the papers will be With me are Benedicte Paviot,

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a correspondent from France 24 and Hugh Muir a columnist

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for The Guardian. Good evening to you both. Let's have

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a quick look at some of those newspapers before we have discussion

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of the Syria crisis taking the lead in the Guardian. Russian air strikes

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on civilians are pushing tented thousands of people to Turkey and

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what it calls the new exodus. The Times says the campaign to leave the

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European Union has surged to a record poll lead of nine point. It

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says voters have rejected David Cameron's renegotiation. Metro

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thinks wiki links Julian Assange is in the middle of the legal farce.

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Child-abuse allegations are the focus in the telegraph's main

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report. It says the former head of the Army, Lord Bramall, was forced

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to live under the weight of false allegations for nearly a year

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because of police failure. The independent accuses top city law

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firms of running an extortion racket. It says bills of up to ?1100

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an hour are denying people justice. The Financial Times leads with

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losses for credit Suisse. It says it is its lowest point in nearly a

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quarter of a century. The Mirror says the government cuts to social

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care mean thousands of patients ready to be released from hospital.

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Stay there because they have nowhere to go. The express also leads with

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the European Union. Suggesting 92 of people want to leave the European

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the Times. EU out campaign surges to the Times. EU out campaign surges to

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record lead. Things seem to be going rather wrong for Mr Cameron? Yes, we

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don't know the date yet of this referendum. Will it be in June or

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not? We do know that the campaign to leave the European Union has been

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handed its biggest lead in this poll. This you got served eight

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finds that 45% of people will vote to leave the EU compared with 36%

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who want to remain. The Times are who want to remain. The Times are

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pointing out while 19% do not know or would not vote, if you exclude

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the people who don't know, it means 56% want to leave, while 44% want to

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remain. A 9-point lead for the leave campaign. That is very significant.

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What's interesting is the biggest lead for the out of ten points was

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last recorded in January, 2014. It seems the satisfaction of the Prime

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Minister with the deal he has obtained isn't working. This is

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before, let's remember, the formal campaign stages. We don't even know

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if the deal will be agreed by the other EU members that that crunch

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summit on the 18th and 19th of February. We are in the preamble

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stage so I do think David Cameron will be very surprised by this. What

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it does tell you is things are still very much in flux. Even this poll

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found that the public back the individual measures that were part

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of the draft agreement that David Cameron came back with. They don't

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seem to like the package, but they don't mind the individual elements

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of that package. What I find intriguing about this, it seems to

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me reading the papers that are allegedly loyal to the

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Conservatives, are among the most vicious critics of Mr Cameron. That

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can't be helping his case. It was great extraordinary coverage, the

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Daily Mail today with who will speak for England yelp of pain and all the

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other headlines have been very critical. In a way, we don't know

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when the polling work was done, but if it was impacted upon by that one

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wouldn't be surprised. But I think the Prime Minister will think there

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is a long way to go. There are some signs of complacency here. The Times

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says Lord Rose thinks ultimately there will be a vote to remain

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inside the EU higher substantial margin. Stuart Rose? Yes, and even

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if he thinks that I don't know if it is wise to say at this stage.

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Complacency not wanted on the voyage. The Telegraph, that

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wonderful newspaper headline with the word here. Tory grassroots fewer

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real. What is going on? Apart from Eurosceptic fury, who will never be

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satisfied, always know their position before any campaign. This

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is a reaction to David Cameron saying yesterday in Parliament the

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fact that people, that backbench MPs should vote with their hearts. This

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is particularly meant the Eurosceptic MPs, and not listen to

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their constituency. It seems there is a real problem of Tory candidates

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in the mail raw and local elections in May not having people to go out

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campaign for them. Another problem here. This is over the Europe stance

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of Mr Cameron and his answering of those questions yesterday. I think

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it is another parliamentary dilemma. Do you vote for MPs to go to

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Parliament and use their judgment or vote for them as delegates? I think

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that was a point he was making. In a way he was clutching defeat from the

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jaws of victory. He was quite commanding in outlining the details

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of the deal. We know David Cameron has been in trouble with his

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constituencies before, quite early in his leadership you try to impose

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on a list of candidates on different constituencies. He met a lot of

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resistance. It is not the first time he has upset them. They do not like

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it. Europe is clearly a divisive issue. I think we can predict it

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will not just be until the referendum. I do not think it will

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draw a line under it after all, whatever the result. I think there

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is a great worry. I was in Paris yesterday and with representatives

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in real estate and land use, from 25 different countries, there is real

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concern, you can feel it in the business community, not just in

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France but across the EU and world, watching very carefully what is

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happening in the United Kingdom. Especially with the negative from

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pages and comments, as if written has made its mind up. I think you

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just need to point out Goldman Sachs in the Daily Telegraph article are

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warning that the pound could lose a fifth of its value if the UK decides

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to leave the EU. I think there are a lot of implications and people need

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to think very carefully. Before they cast their vote. A big investment

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bank, there are reputation not very high. Economic predictions rarely

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turn out to be accurate. Yes, who predicted the banking crisis? Many

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people sailed Mutley all come down to predictions like that from big

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companies like that, when the focus of the debate becomes about jobs and

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about employment and about the economy. Upon that the decision will

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turn. The people who don't know play a big role. The 19 or 20%. That is

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who the remain on leave party need to convince. How many people will

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vote? That will be critical. We don't have a lot of time, more time

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at 11:30pm. Just quickly, the metro, fast as UN backs Julian Assange.

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Most people will think, United Nations, what do they have to do

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with Julian Assange banged up in the embassy? An application was made to

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them to the effect that he had been detained arbitrarily. I don't think

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the British government thought this application had had much of a

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prayer. In fact, it is only leaked so far, no confirmation, but it

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looks as if they are going to support Julian Assange's position,

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that he has been arbitrarily detained. Hasn't he detained

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himself? That is the Foreign Office's position, he chose to go

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into the Ecuadorian Embassy, and that doesn't imply a detention in

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any way. I think his argument is I was forced into this position, and

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unfairly so. They seem to have accepted that. But it is not

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binding. Not legally binding. Indeed not. I don't know if it will do him

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much good, except in terms of PR. He has been making full use of it. Do

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you think he will come out of the door to have the cuffs put on

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Godsmark it has cost ?10 million. The fact of the matter is, the

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timing of his tweet was rather interesting. The UN official report

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is due to come out tomorrow. It is not legally binding. It is somewhat

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of a PR coup, but only minutes before we had about the leak, Julian

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Assange, from the Ecuadorian empathy were saying, I will come out, if it

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turns against me, the UN decision... But now he is expecting his passport

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back and wants to be able to fly to Ecuador. The British government's

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position is very clear. They are bound with the European Arrest

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Warrant to detain him, if he comes out of the Ecuadorian Embassy, where

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he cannot be got at. If he does, then yes, he will be arrested. That

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is the British position and the Swedes are not backing down.

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Whatever the Swedish is for that, I don't know! We will have another go

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at 11:30pm. For the moment, thank you both. We will be back at 11:30pm

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to look at the stories making tomorrow morning's from pages.

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Coming up next, time for Sportsday.

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