02/04/2016 The Papers

Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

With me are the political commentator Lance Price,

and the Times columnist Matthew Syed.

Tomorrow's front pages starting with:

The Observer's main story is a poll it carried out on the EU referendum,

which suggests the Out camp is leading.

The Sunday Express claims police have been given six more months

to find out what happened to Madeleine McCann,

who went missing from a holiday apartment in Portugal nine years

The Mail on Sunday alleges the government overspent its foreign

aid budget by some two-hundred-million

The Sunday Times carries an investigation into doping

in sport, and claims one doctor has prescribed banned performance

enhancing drugs to 150 well-known sporting figures.

British aid to Tanzania is the headline on the Sunday

Telegraph, which suggests the Foreign Office should suspend

aid to East African nation of Zanzibar, following disputed

elections there.And the Simpsons characters Smithers and Mr Burns

are pictured on the front page of the Independent.

Smithers is due to declare his love for his boss Mr Burns

We'll get to that if we have time. We start the Sunday Times and doping

scandal story. A British doctor claims he gave 150 sports stars...

Quite an extraordinary admission. He used secret filming. He didn't say

it, thinking it would become public. This hinges on the credibility of

the doctor. He was talking to somebody who were saying they were a

sprinter, who was in need of help, and he was using these names as a

way of conveying his credibility and the idea that because the other

stars are taking drugs, it might be a good idea for you to do so and any

money for it. There is a lot of coverage on the inside pages and one

would need to deconstruct it to see whether there is sufficient evidence

to take this seriously. The wider context, very serious issues over

the Tour de France the number of years ago. It seems to me as a

sports journalist, I spend so much time talking about corruption,

drugs, Fifa, people in suits leeching money, and it is a terrible

shame for the people who are clean, which as many athletes and many

officials. This doctor says he has never met a clean athlete. For the

Times to go with this story, we have to stress we are the BBC cannot

substantiate it. They must be fairly confident. You would think so, and

they have got pages and pages of it. There is an awful lot of copy inside

the paper about it. To put it on the front page suggests they have got

confidence. But right there on the front page, it says even the Sunday

Times has no independent evidence that this guy did treat the players.

Or that the clubs were aware of it or anything else. So it is really

just based on the secret recording of him. He may have been bragging,

who knows. Let's talk about the observable stop the young hold the

key to Briggs said. Brexit. It is whether the young people are

actually going to turn out and vote at all. Whether or not you can rely

on an opinion poll so early in the campaign, a lot of people have made

up their minds, and they do say the report that when the do not knows

are pushed, most of them said they were leaning towards staying in

there that changes the poll somewhat. The interesting point is

this one, that it seems the headline is the young hold the key to Brexit.

It does seem that the young are broadly speaking more in favour of

staying within the European Union than the older generation. This is

fact, the older generations are those that are more likely to vote.

If you cannot get the younger people who perhaps travel more, I'm

familiar with European Union, have a less sort of... A different

perspective, if you cannot get them to the ballot box when the

referendum is held, then the main campaign have got a problem. This is

an online poll, some are done by phone, they can give different

results. I read a story about sampling techniques and polls and

whether they take into account some of the anomalies you describe. And I

fell asleep... No, I didn't, I found it very interesting! Opinion polls

have come in for a real hard time since the general election. And I

suspect that these will change all the way through to the boat itself.

Young people are more in favour of staying in,/ the broader outlook on

the world, and they are less likely to turn out to vote. But they are

also not the people who voted for and European Community in the 70s,

and a lot of people think, this is not what I voted for back then. The

number of people voting for the second time in the EU referendum is

actually relatively small. The key to whether we stay in not rest on

those people who have grown up with the European Union, they don't ram

begging before that, they don't remedy EC, they certainly don't

remember Britain when it was outside any kind of European co-operation.

So, for them, the EU is normal. The people who are the strongest views

about pulling out, they still have a nostalgic view about what Britain

used to be. The German firm offers steel plant hope. This is talking

that the future of the Tata Steel plant in Port Talbot, Matty. A

suggestion that there might be a lifeline coming. If that is true. It

is to double to know, given that tartar have been looking for a buyer

for a long time.... -- Tata Steel. This will be a real lifeline. It is

not just an economic scenario, this is a community. People pot-macro

lives, families, and the knock-on effect of other industries which

rely on this. This will give some hope and I don't think there will be

taking it terribly seriously just yet. Other commentators suggest, why

would you keep paying more than steel then you need to? If you can

have cheap steel from Sweden and China, why would you do that? And

also if you take on the British steel plants, you have this an

enormous pension liability as well. You have to wonder about the timing

of all this. The government was clearly taken by surprise by the

Tata Steel announcement. If this deal was already a positivity,

perhaps there is something about them trying to put Russia on the

government to make a deal. Let's move the Mail on Sunday. 100 of them

and T ?2 million is what we overspent on foreign aid last year

by mistake. That is enough to keep poor Albert alive for six months

which shows how much money it is losing every week. -- Port Talbot. I

have to declare an interest in the Mail on Sunday a week ago ran a

story that involved me with my picture in the paper, about the

foreign aid budget, and how I was paid as a media consultant to go to

Armenian... I would pay you two. I am pleased to hear that, added

people want my e-mail address... The point was they got the figures wrong

by 100% and they didn't check with me. They did not check details with

me. So, I'm afraid when I read stories in the Mail on Sunday, I

treat it all with a bit of a pinch of salt. That is not to say they

haven't got a point, which is we are spending a lot of money on foreign

aid. The vast majority of it is extraordinarily well spent and there

are some very difficult decisions to be made and it is easy to criticise

the few things here and there go wrong. I have suspicions about that.

It is not just the fact that there was evidence that some of the money

gets siphoned off in corruption, it is also the lack of evaluation that

even in those schemes and about a nation that look good, they have

glossy brochures, it looks like the narrative is very good, when

randomised controlled trials evaluate that inflation to a

controlled good, -- group, it is not doing any good at all. There is not

enough rigour to test out whether these projects are making a

difference in education, in terms of food and all the other things,

disease and malnutrition. There was a great deal more than you give them

credit for. It has got tighter and tighter in recent years. I have been

involved through a charity in making applications for the money. The

amount of evidence you have to give for the genuine impact that your

schemes will have is considerable. The impact, unless it is assessed

relative to a proper controlled trial, it is very doable to know

whether it is making any difference because it is just observational

data. Yes, but you have to see what difference it is making on the

ground. Some of that Caley will be observational, does it look like

they are better schools, a better assessment of the ability of

journalists to hold governments to account, which is the sort of thing

I was involved in, but it isn't possible to run controlled tests

against every single foreign aid... If you did, your budget will be

spent on that. The Telegraph, the anger of middle-class savers. 40,000

family estates will have to pay in inheritance tax this year, which to

us seems quite low. You would have thought it would be more. They are

getting more money from the number of homes taxed. I think people get

upset. They think they have paid VAT and everything else, and now one of

my memory -- family members died and I have to pay tax again. But this

hits much wealthier people. The idea that this is a middle-class tax, it

is 40,000. But it hits more people this days. The threshold has gone

up. But the body prices as also gone up. A lot of this is about a

property, it is about the value of people pot-macro is. Clearly it is

unfair whether value of people pot-macro has gone up and what

started off as a rotary modest assets by the time they come to the

end of their lives, has turned into a huge one. But if you think of the

value of properties in London and the south-east, it is only 40,000

families that appeared to be affected. Finally, another sports

story. Fun and games with the Windies but England aim for the last

laugh. West Indian women meeting Australia, too. Who is your money

on? I heard someone say this is a good news story, no drugs, no

corruption, it has a terrific competition. The bookies say even

money, 11 to ten on the favourites but I am going to go for England. I

haven't got a clue. No point sitting there and pretending. That is it

bought this evening. But because it is Saturday, Matthew and love are

staying and will come back later and I know you will be as pleased as we

are. Coming up next, it is time for Reporters.